Saturday 9/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[swaminator]

Anyone catch the North Coast Early Play? I forgot to call Monday. Thanks and GL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast Sports

Army -33 (Early Bird Play)

[swaminator]

Thanks CPAW! GL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White: Favorites Struggled at 2017 Del Mar Breeders' Cup September 15, 2021 | By Jon White
It turned out that favorites did not do well in Week 1 of the National Football League, winning just four of the 12 games against the spread. How bad did favorites do? It was the worst cover percentage by favorites in Week 1 of the NFL since 1999.

To further illustrate how poorly favorites fared in Week 1 of the NFL this year, the underdog won nine games outright. It’s the most outright wins by an underdog in Week 1 of the NFL since 1983.

The biggest upset in Week 1 this year was the 23-16 victory by the 6.5-point underdog Pittsburgh Steelers at the Buffalo Bills. Pittsburgh was plus 230 on the money line (meaning if you bet $100 on the Steelers, it resulted in a $230 profit).

But if you think favorites had a difficult time in Week 1 of the NFL this year, that’s nothing compared to how favorites did the last time the Breeders’ Cup was held at Del Mar in 2017.

How about this? Not a single favorite won a Breeders’ Cup race on the dirt at Del Mar in 2017. It’s certainly something to keep in mind when Del Mar plays host to the Breeders’ Cup again this year on Nov. 5-6. This will be just the second time that the Breeders’ Cup is held at the track “where the turf meets the surf.”

Will Breeders’ Cup favorites do better this time at Del Mar? Well, they sure can’t do much worse than in the 2107 Breeders’ Cup.

The favorite won only two of the 14 races at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar. The percentage of winning favorites was a measly 14.2%. By comparison, the percentage of winning favorites at the recently concluded Del Mar summer meet was 34.2%, according to Mac McBride, the track’s director of media.

Perhaps it was a sign that chalk was going to have a rough time of it at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup when in the very first Breeders’ Cup race, the Juvenile Fillies Turf, the 2-1 favorite, Happily, finished last in the field of 14.

The only two favorites to get the job done at that Breeders’ Cup were Mendelssohn at 9-2 in the Juvenile Turf and World Approval at 5-2 in the Mile.

Below, listed in the same order from top to bottom in which the races were run, is how the favorite did in the 14 Breeders’ Cup races of 2017:

Finish Horse Favored (BC Race) Odds

14 Happily (Juvenile Fillies Turf) 2-1
8 Mor Spirit (Dirt Mile) 2-1
1 MENDELSSOHN (Juvenile Turf) 9-2
4 Elate (Distaff) 2-1
2 Sound And Silence (Juvenile Turf Sprint) 3-1
7 Moonshine Memories (Juvenile Fillies) 2-1
10 Lady Aurelia (Turf Sprint) 9-10
7 Unique Bella (Filly & Mare Sprint) 11-10
7 Lady Eli (Filly & Mare Turf) 3-2
6 Drefong (Sprint) 7-5
1 WORLD APPROVAL (Mile) 5-2
3 Bolt d’Oro (Juvenile) 7-10
3 Highland Reel (Turf) 7-5
5 Arrogate (Classic) 2-1

For the record, Arrogate finished in a dead heat for fifth in the BC Classic with Gunnevera.

The favorite did not win any of the seven 2017 Breeders’ Cup races contested on the dirt at Del Mar. The favorite won two of the seven Breeders’ Cup races run on the grass.

ODDS FOR EACH BREEDERS’ CUP WINNER

Below is what the odds were for each 2017 Breeders’ Cup winner:

Odds Winner (BC Race)

3-1 Rushing Fall (Juvenile Fillies Turf)
14-1 Battle of Midway (Dirt Mile)
9-2 Mendelssohn (Juvenile Turf)
7-2 Forever Unbridled (Distaff)
14-1 Declarationofpeace (Juvenile Turf Sprint)
17-1 Caledonia Road (Juvenile Fillies)
30-1 Stormy Liberal (Turf Sprint)
66-1 Bar of Gold (Filly & Mare Sprint)
11-1 Wuheida (Filly & Mare Turf)
9-2 Roy H (Sprint)
5-2 World Approval (Mile)
11-1 Good Magic (Juvenile)
14-1 Talismanic (Turf)
2-1 Gun Runner (Classic)

In the BC Classic, Arrogate was sent away as the $2.10 to $1 favorite. Gun Runner was the second choice in the wagering at $2.40 to $1.

WHERE DID THE WINNER LAST RACE?

You might be surprised that the track from which the most winners at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar last raced was Belmont Park. Three of the 2017 Breeders’ Cup winners had last started there.

In fact, runners coming off a race at a New York track did quite well at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup. In addition to the three winners who had last raced at Belmont, two other Breeders’ Cup winners had last started at Saratoga.

Below is where each winner at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup last raced:

Last Start (Winner) BC Race

Keeneland (Rushing Fall) Juvenile Fillies Turf
Remington (Battle of Midway) Dirt Mile
England (Mendelssohn) Juvenile Turf
Saratoga (Forever Unbridled) Distaff
Ireland (Declarationofpeace) Juvenile Turf Sprint
Belmont (Caledonia Road) Juvenile Fillies
Belmont (Stormy Liberal) Turf Sprint
Keeneland (Bar of Gold) Filly & Mare Sprint
France (Wuheida) Filly & Mare Turf
Santa Anita (Roy H) Sprint
Woodbine (World Approval) Mile
Belmont (Good Magic) Juvenile
France (Talismanic) Turf
Saratoga (Gun Runner) Classic

WAS THE WINNER COMING OFF A WIN OR LOSS?

Almost twice as many winners at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup were coming off a loss than a win. Only five were coming off a victory, while nine were coming off a defeat.

Below is where each winner at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup finished in his/her most recent start:

Last Race W or L (BC Winner) BC Race (Last-Race Finish if Loss)

W (Rushing Fall) Juvenile Fillies Turf
L (Battle of Midway) Dirt Mile (2nd)
L (Mendelssohn) Juvenile Turf (2nd)
W (Forever Unbridled) Distaff
L (Declarationofpeace) Juvenile Turf Sprint (3rd)
L (Caledonia Road) Juvenile Fillies (2nd)
L (Stormy Liberal) Turf Sprint (8th)
L (Bar of Gold) Filly & Mare Sprint (6th)
L (Wuheida) Filly & Mare Turf (4th)
W (Roy H) Sprint
W (World Approal) Mile
L (Good Magic) Juvenile (2nd)
L (Talismanic) Turf (3rd)
W (Gun Runner) Classic

WINNING JOCKEYS & TRAINERS

Among jockeys, Ryan Moore and John Velazquez were the leaders with two wins each. Three trainers had two victories apiece: Chad Brown, Aidan O’Brien and Peter Miller.

The winning jockey and trainer for each winner at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup is listed below:

Winner (Jockey & Trainer)

Rushing Fall (Javier Castellano & Chad Brown)
Battle of Midway (Flavien Prat & Jerry Hollendorfer)
Mendelssohn (Ryan Moore & Aidan O’Brien)
Forever Unbridled (John Velazquez & Dallas Stewart)
Declarationofpeace (Ryan Moore & Aidan O’Brien)
Caledonia Road (Mike Smith & Ralph Nicks)
Stormy Liberal (Joel Rosario & Peter Miller)
Bar of Gold (Irad Ortiz Jr. & John Kimmel)
Wuheida (William Buick & Charles Appleby)
Roy H (Kent Desormeaux & Peter Miller)
World Approval (John Velazquez & Mark Casse)
Good Magic (Jose Ortiz & Chad Brown)
Talismanic (Mickael Barzalona & Andre Fabre)
Gun Runner (Florent Geroux & Steve Asmussen)

WHAT WERE THE WINNING BEYERS?

Gun Runner won the BC Classic by 2 1/4 lengths while on his way to being voted 2017 Horse of the Year. He was credited with a 117 Beyer Speed Figure for his BC Classic performance. It was the highest Beyer at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup.

Below is a list of the winner’s Beyer Speed Figure for each 2017 Breeders’ Cup race:

BSF Winner (BC Race)

85 Rushing Fall (Juvenile Fillies Turf)
108 Battle of Midway (Dirt Mile)
86 Mendelssohn (Juvenile Turf)
99 Forever Unbridled (Distaff)
85 Declarationofpeace (Juvenile Turf Sprint)
82 Caledonia Road (Juvenile Fillies)
103 Stormy Liberal (Turf Sprint)
94 Bar of Gold (Filly & Mare Sprint)
104 Wuheida (Filly & Mare Turf)
111 Roy H (Sprint)
107 World Approval (Mile)
100 Good Magic (Juvenile)
108 Talismanic (Turf)
117 Gun Runner (Classic)

TOP ALL-TIME BREEDERS’ CUP BEYERS

Precisionist’s 125 remains the highest Beyer Speed Figure recorded by a Breeders’ Cup winner. He logged that figure when victorious in the 1985 BC Sprint at Aqueduct. Precisionist was voted a 1985 Eclipse Award as champion sprinter.

Below are all of the Beyer Speed Figures of 120 or higher by a Breeders’ Cup winner from 1984 through 2020:

Beyer Winner (BC Race, Track)

125 Precisionist (1985 Sprint at Aqueduct)
124 Sunday Silence (1989 Classic at Gulfstream Park)
124 Artax (1999 Sprint at Gulfstream Park)
124 Ghostzapper (2004 Classic at Lone Star Park)
122 Alysheba (1988 Classic at Churchill Downs)
121 Very Subtle* (1987 Sprint at Hollywood Park)
120 Princess Rooney* (1984 Distaff at Hollywood Park)
120 Proud Truth (1985 Classic at Aqueduct)
120 Black Tie Affair (1991 Classic at Churchill Downs)
120 Skip Away (1997 Classic at Hollywood Park)
120 Cajun Beat (2003 Sprint at Santa Anita Park)
120 American Pharoah (2015 Classic at Keeneland)
120 Arrogate (2017 Classic at Santa Anita)

*Filly

BEST HORSES TO HAVE RUN IN THE BREEDERS’ CUP

Who are the best of the best to have participated in Breeders’ Cup races?

I have come up with my list of the best horses to have run in the Breeders’ Cup. This is the way I see it. Undoubtedly your list would be different, quite possibly much different, than mine.

My approach to was to take all of the Breeders’ Cup starters from my list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries to have raced in North America. This is a list that I have updated from time to time. My horses on my Breeders’ Cup list all come from my current Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries and are listed in the same order.

It turns out the only Triple Crown winner to have ever run in a Breeders’ Cup race, American Pharoah, sits atop my ranking of the best horses to have participated in the Breeders’ Cup, as shown below (in parentheses is where the horse ranked on my list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries to have raced in North America):

1. American Pharoah (15)
2. Zenyatta (24)
3. Sunday Silence (28)
4. Cigar (29)
5. Easy Goer (33)
6. Alysheba (34)
7. Curlin (35)
8. Arrogate (36)
9. Shared Belief (37)
10. California Chrome (38)
11. Personal Ensign (40)
12. All Along (41)
13. Wise Dan (42)
14. Precisionist (75)
15. Ghostzapper (76)
16. Tiznow (78)
17. Skip Away (79)
18. Point Given (82)
19. Inside Information (83)
20. Gun Runner (84)
21. Lady’s Secret (85)
22. Beholder (86)
23. Azeri (87)
24. A.P. Indy (91)
25. Silver Charm (94)
26. Go for Wand (96)
27. Slew o’ Gold (98)

The horses ranked from No. 1 down to No. 14 (ranked higher than No. 15 American Pharoah) on my current list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries all did not race in the Breeders’ Cup. They are:

1. Man o’ War
2. Secretariat
3. Citation
4. Kelso
5. Spectacular Bid
6. Native Dancer
7. Dr. Fager
8. Seattle Slew
9. Count Fleet
10. Affirmed
11. Ruffian
12. Swaps
13. Phar Lap
14. Forego

THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THOROUGHBRED POLL

There is no change in the order of the Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll from last week. The Top 10 is listed below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 333 Knicks Go (20)
2. 312 Letruska (6)
3. 304 Essential Quality (10)
4. 164 Gamine
5. 152 Maxfield
6. 132 Max Player
7. 114 Domestic Spending
8. 106 Jackie’s Warrior
9. 90 Malathaat
10. 55 Silver State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Woodbine Mile | Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021 September 16, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
$1,000,000 GRADE 1 WOODBINE MILE

The Lead:
It's a turf racing paradise Saturday at Woodbine, where the $1 million Woodbine Mile will be joined for the first time by the $600,000 Canadian International on the same card. The two most prestigious grass races north of the border will be run consecutively in Races 9 and 10.

Horseplayers playing Woodbine this Saturday and Sunday with Xpressbet and on the 1/ST BET app can take advantage of late pick four hit & split promotions. Take down either pick 4 and share in $5,000 of additional payouts with other customers on those platforms who also scored.

​Field Depth:
RAGING BULL is the field's lone Grade 1 winner. He's joined by Grade 2 winners AVIE'S FLATTER, OLYMPIC RUNNER, MARCH TO THE ARCH, RIDE A COMET, SET PIECE and DUKE OF HAZZARD. Among the North Americans, RAGING BULL has held the strongest company lines. SPACE TRAVELER has been battling in elite-level international races.

Pace:
Rail-drawn TOWN CRUISE could be loose on the lead like he was in the King James local prep. Those in closest pursuit likely will be CHANGE OF CONTROL and OLYMPIC RUNNER. The pace does not appear to be strong and those in the front of the pack have a legitimate chance to take advantage of the situation for better placings than may appear on paper.

Our Eyes:
RAGING BULL won the Grade 1 Maker's Mark Mile in April at Keeneland, but followed with losses as the 3-5 and 1-1 favorite in the Poker and Fourstardave. He's only 1 for his last 7 and often well-bet, so it's quite likely he'll be an underlay on the tote to this true win chances. The unique Chad Brown-Frankie Dettori pairing will no doubt produce eyeballs and dollars, again conspiring for an underlay. RAGING BULL was promoted to third in this race in 2019 in a decent effort that suggests he can handle the course.

SET PIECE is a fantastic closer and on his game right now with 3 wins in his last 4 starts. The rider switch from Florent Geroux to Joel Rosario could be a good style fit, but might actually drive the price down a bit lower than it should. He could be an underlay in the simulcast market with Rosario's name drawing attention. The pace does not work in the favor of SET PIECE, but his form must be respected with FOUR 107 BRIS late pace figures in his last 8 starts. That's big stuff to fend off if he gets rolling.

International raiders DUKE OF HAZZARD and SPACE TRAVELLER add intrigue and uncertainty. DUKE OF HAZZARD has lost 12 straight races and has been mostly a Group 3-level performer in England. SPACE TRAVELLER looks to be the classier of the pair, but was 43-1 at Arlington last out in the Mr. D Stakes and managed a fourth-place finish. He's remained stateside since with trainer Brendan Walsh. Second-off-the-plane often invites a regression, so I'll take a pass and make SPACE TRAVELLER beat me.

Two-time Woodbine Mile winner Mark Casse's trio of entrants include OLYMPIC RUNNER, MARCH TO THE ARCH and RIDE A COMET. All have similar resumes, while MARCH TO THE ARCH was runner-up in the 2020 Woodbine Mile in what rates a slightly softer edition of this race compared to Saturday. OLYMPIC RUNNER may have the most tactical speed of the stablemates, which swings the pendulum in his favor in a race that has only TOWN CRUISE as defined early speed. OLYMPIC RUNNER ran down TOWN CRUISE in the recent King Edward over the course and distance in 1:31-3/5, a time about 2 lengths faster than last year's Woodbine Mile was won. That race could be good enough to pull the upset for OLYMPIC RUNNER.
​
Most Certain Exotics Contender:
SET PIECE has 8 straight superfecta finishes over 4 different courses and should be reliable to rally from far back for a share.
​​
Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
OLYMPIC RUNNER won't be a massive price, but he'll offer mid-range odds and has a big win chance.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$60 win OLYMPIC RUNNER. $10 exacta key-box OLYMPIC RUNNER with SET PIECE and RAGING BULL.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Laurel Stakes | Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021 September 17, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Laurel Park presents four stakes worth $500,000 on Saturday’s September to Remember card. To assist your handicapping, stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

//

Laurel // Race 4 // 2:15 pm ET // $100,000 Weathervane Stakes // 6 furlongs

#2 Hello Beautiful (2-5) // 32%W
#4 Never Enough Time (5-2) // 26%W
#3 Praise and Honor (8-1) // 20%W
#1 Fifteen Royals (20-1) // 11%W

//

Laurel // Race 6 // 3:20 pm ET // $100,000 Twixt Stakes // 1 mile

#7 Dreamalildreamofu (2-1) // 31%W
#6 Mrs. Orb (9-2) // 17%W
#2 Josie (3-1) // 14%W
#4 Lookin Dynamic (12-1) // 11%W

//

Laurel // Race 8 // 4:23 pm ET // Grade 3 $200,000 DeFrancis Dash Stakes // 6 furlongs

#5 Wondrwherecraigis (8-5) // 31%W
#6 Laki (6-1) // 26%W
#1 Kalu (9-2) // 14%W
#2 Jalen Journey (7-5) // 13%W

//

Laurel // Race 9 // 4:54 pm ET // $100,000 Polynesian Stakes // 1 mile

#5 Phat Man (9-5) // 31%W
#4 Cordmaker (9-2) // 18%W
#7 Tappin Cat (10-1) // 16%W
#2 Alwaysmining (8-1) // 13%W

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eddie Olczyk: Saturday Spot Plays | September 18, 2021 September 16, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk
1/ST and NBC handicapper Eddie Olczyk takes his handicapping talents to Belmont Park for a pair of Saturday keys. Follow Edzo’s plays each week – only with 1/ST and Xpressbet!

Belmont Park

Race 7 // 4:08 pm ET // allowance-optional claiming // 1-1/16 miles (inner turf)

#4 Hot Blooded (12-1 ML)
0-for-the-year after 7 starts is a concern, but he drops out of a tough, older-conditioned allowance race last out and is back in with 3-year-olds. I’d like to see an off-the-pace run and the value is there at 12-1 morning line. Win-place-show bet.

//

Belmont Park

Race 10 // 5:45 pm ET // $1 million Jockey Club Derby Invitational // 1-1/2 miles (turf)

#3 Tokyo Gold (8-1 ML)
After some travel issues last time, I love to see Johnny V. back up in the saddle. This should have a little quicker pace to run into and that could make the difference after a runner-up finish in the Belmont Derby in July. Win-Place bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach Sep 18 '21, 7:30 AM in 6h
Soccer | Brentford vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Play on: Wolverhampton Wanderers -115 at Mirage

Free Pick Wolverhampton -115 vs Brentford @ 7:30 AM ET - As long time followers know I play a lot of underdogs and totals in soccer. However, this is a great price on a small favorite in my opinion. Wolverhampton is at home and though Brentford is ahead of them in the standings they are a newly promoted club that has been helped by the schedule. Conversely, Wolverhampton had quite a tough schedule before an easier match last week and, indeed, they took care of business in that one. I look for the Wolves to build off that victory with another win as the host in this one as Brentford continues to struggle to score goals. The hosts are better than their record would indicate. Free Pick WOLVERHAMPTON -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports Sep 18 '21, 10:00 AM in 9h
Soccer | Walsall vs Newport County
Play on: Draw +214 at pinnacle

draw +214
The free play takes place on Saturday morning in England.
Walsall 1
Newport Co 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Sep 18 '21, 10:00 AM in 9h
Soccer | Arsenal vs Burnley
Play on: Arsenal -0½ +103 at pinnacle

Arsenal finally got the monkey off its back. Fresh off this season's first league victory a match against Burnley offers another excellent opportunity for the Gunners to achieve three points. Burnley finished 17th in the league last season, getting outscored 55-33. The only teams worse than them (Fulham, West Brom and Sheffield) all got relegated. So, the fact that the Clarets are in 19th this season shouldn't come as a surprise. This is a team which Arsenal beat 12 straight times from 2009 to 2019. While the last few meetings haven't gone as planned for the Gunners (2 draws, 1 loss) I like their chances of resuming their series dominance here. Consider Arsenal.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin Sep 18 '21, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Virginia Tech vs West Virginia
Play on: West Virginia -2½ -105 at linepros

Virginia Tech @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET
Game# 119-120
Play On: West Virginia -2.5 (5*)
This line makes little sense when you consider we have an unranked team in West Virginia (1-1) as a home favorite over the #15 ranked Virginia Tech Hokies (2-0). That’s the same Virginia Tech that upset then #10 North Carolina in their season opener. My experience over the years has led me to trust the oddsmakers substantially more than those voting in the college football polls, and especially so in these types of scenarios. Furthermore, since the start of last season West Virginia has gone 6-0 SU&ATS at home and won by 30.7 points per game. If that’s not enough, since the start of the 2006 season the Mountaineers are 36-1 in non-conference home games and that includes 18-0 during their last 18 in that exact role. Bet on West Virginia minus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Sep 18 '21, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Oklahoma
Play on: OVER 62 -110

#125/126 ASA FREE PLAY ON Over 62 Points – Nebraska vs Oklahoma, Saturday at 12 PM ET - This total opened 60 and has been bet up to 62. Our power numbers have this total at 65 so still a full FG worth of value on the Over. The Sooners have already scored 116 points in just 2 games this year so their offense is humming to say the least. That’s nothing new at OU as they’ve finished in the top 7 nationally in scoring each of the last 6 seasons and never averaged below 40 PPG in any of those years. The Nebraska defense won’t slow this team down. The Huskers have looked very good defensively the last 2 weeks, however those games were vs an FCS team and vs a Buffalo team that as many key players as any team in college FB and they are undergoing a completely revamped offense with a new coaching staff. Let’s not forget in their season opener the Huskers allowed 30 points to an Illinois team that lost their starting QB in the first quarter of that game. Oklahoma’s defense was supposed to be improved this year however in their 1 game vs an FBS opponent this year, Tulane put up 35 points on the Sooners. OU had 40 in that game but it could have been much worse. They didn’t punt in the game. 2 interceptions thrown by QB Rattler, a shut out on downs, and a missed FG were the only possessions they did not score. Last week they scored on every possession except 1. The Husker offense has been decent scoring 106 points in their 3 games this season. QB Martinez has looked much better this year completing 62% of this passes with no interceptions. He’s always a threat with his legs as well (256 yards rushing this year already) which makes it tough on the defense. Both teams love to play fast paced so we should see a lot of offensive snaps in this game. The weather looks perfect in Norman with nice temps and light winds. Okie is always a threat to get 50+ by themselves. Nebraska will have to score to keep up in this game. Frost knows if they are conservative they may get roasted here. 60 point totals are no big deal in OU games. In fact, they have reached at least 60 total points in 31 of their last 40 games. This is an OVER play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs Sep 18 '21, 12:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Michigan State vs Miami-FL
Play on: Michigan State +6½ -110 at SC Consensus

Taking MICHIGAN STATE as your FREE PICK here on Saturday. Would have been nice to grab the opening number of 8, but I am happy here. How many people are thinking to themselves - All Miami has to do is win by a touchdown, easy money! Man. Have you seen the Canes play? I like Miami. I have a Howard Schnellenberger signed mini-helmet behind my desk! But this team should not be favored. This for me is a fade of Miami and play on Sparty. Coach has the guys buying in. Bad year last season, well that experience is paying off now. Already a win under their belt at Northwestern. Miami was just a 8pt fave over Appalachian State last week. And I had them! Not sure who these guys think they are, but I can't lay points the way they look right now. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Sep 18 '21, 12:30 PM in 11h
Soccer | Everton vs Aston Villa
Play on: Aston Villa +145 at SC Consensus

1* Free Sharp Play on Aston Villa +145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Sep 18 '21, 2:00 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Nevada vs Kansas State
Play on: Nevada -120 at BetVegas

Don't be shocked if Nevada quarterback Carson Strong goes among the top 15 players in the 2022 NFL draft. Strong is that good and he's surrounded by excellent receiving weapons. The Wolfpack upset California on the road and they are slightly favored to turn the trick against Kansas State. I believe they can accomplish the feat as the Wildcats have to start backup redshirt freshman QB Will Howard. The Wildcats lost their starting QB, Skylar Thompson, to injury last week. The Wildcats are 12-6 when Thompson has been under center and 2-5 without him starting under Chris Klieman. Howard is more runner than passer. He has 185 career throws with an 8-to-11 touchdown-to-interception ratio. It's not exactly a secret that Kansas State will be heavily run-oriented in this matchup. Nevada doesn't have that good of a run defense, but the Wolfpack will be stacking the line daring Howard to beat them through the air. I doubt he can do that. The Wildcats are going to have problems if they have to play from behind, which I anticipate. Strong is going against a Kansas State secondary that ranked 94th in pass efficiency defense last season and doesn't look improved this season. Opposing QB's completed 67.7 percent of their passes against the Wildcats in 2020. This season the Wildcats are permitting passers to complete 67.2 percent of their throws.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Sep 18 '21, 2:30 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Purdue vs Notre Dame
Play on: Purdue +7½ -110 at Caesars

Play - Purdue (Game 137).
Edges - Boilermakers: 8-1 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points … Irish: 1-5 ATS last six as home favorites, and 2-6 ATS at home when coming off a home game. We recommend a 1* play on Purdue. Thank you and good luck as always.
> What a perfect way to start your Saturday than with Marc’s super-hot College Football Perfect System Club Play. It’s loaded with amazing winning situations, including the Perfect System Play from directly from his Perfect System Club. It’s locked and load - don’t miss out!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter Sep 18 '21, 2:30 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Purdue vs Notre Dame
Play on: OVER 58 -108

*3 Star Free Play Over* The Purdue Boilermakers have found a pretty good quarterback in Plummer. He knows Jeff Brohm's system well and is making much better decisions. Purdue has an elite receiver in Bell, and I think he can do damage against a questionable Notre Dame secondary.
Notre Dame's defense doesn't look the same this year. They lost their defensive coordinator Clark Lea, and they lost several key contributors from a year ago as well. Notre Dame has allowed 10 plays of 20 yards or more in just two games. That is against Florida State and Toledo (not elite offenses). Notre Dame ranks 121st out of 130 teams in the country at preventing explosive plays. Purdue should get some big gainers here.
The Notre Dame offense has been pretty good with Jack Coan at the signal caller spot. Purdue ranks 91st at preventing explosive plays despite having played only Oregon State and UConn. Not good. The Boilermakers defense is a major weakness and the Fighting Irish should be able to move the ball fairly easily in this game.
Take the over here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Sep 18 '21, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | SMU vs Louisiana Tech
Play on: UNDER 66 -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY on SMU vs Louisiana Tech under 66 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico Sep 18 '21, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Alabama vs Florida
Play on: Alabama -14½ -100 at pinnacle

This Saturday we don’t just get paid, WE GET FILTHY RICH. This is just about the strongest college football card I have released in as far back as I can remember: 87% NO LIMIT, 64-26-1 TOUCHDOWN (1-0 TY), 17-4 ANNIHILATOR, and 27-7 CONSENSUS WINNER (2-0 TY). If you want to get filthy rich, then follow me here.
Free NCAAF WINNER: Alabama Crimson Tide.
Game 143.
12:30 pm pst.
Folks just like me, I’m gonna keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet. LOL Let’s put aside the fact that Alabama is the No. 1 team in the nation. Let’s also put aside the fact that Florida head coach, Dan Mullen is 0-10 in his career against ‘Bama top-dog, Nick Saban. Let’s even further put aside the fact that the Gators have some well-documented quarterback issues as starter, Emory Jones, who’s been less than stellar AHEM…264 YP, 2 TD’s, 4 INT’s …is starting here this Saturday.
Those were the bones, now I give you the meat guys. This is the first SEC matchup for Alabama and they love, and I mean I mean love… like a fat guy loves a buffet…they love to make an example of their early SEC opponents and make a statement to the rest of the conference. Florida is no match on either side if the ball here. This game gets ugly folks. Here’s a few ATS stats for you. The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS their last eight conference games, 4-1 ATS their last five road games, and 5-2 ATS their last seven games vs. the Gators. Take Alabama here. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Sep 18 '21, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Alabama vs Florida
Play on: Alabama -14 -118 at pinnacle

1* Free Pick on Alabama -14 -118

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart Sep 18 '21, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Florida State vs Wake Forest
Play on: Florida State +5 -110 at SC Consensus

Florida State suffered what maybe its most embarrassing loss in its history last week to FCS opponent Jacksonville State on a late score. The Seminoles previous to that were 97-0 SU as a favorite of 27 or more points dating back to 1976. FSU HC Norvell has no excuses, and if he does not have his team perform optimally this week, he's probably a goner. The Seminoles are 23-5 SU in this series and Im betting they come out with a chip on their shoulders and come out of this with a cover.
Florida State coach Mike Norvell described his team as "sick to their stomach" after losing to FCS Jacksonville State, and vowed his players wont quit on their season after loss to FCS side.
CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA ST) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 50-18 ATS L/29 seasons for a 74/% conversion rate.
Play on Florida State to cover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Sep 18 '21, 4:00 PM in 15h
NCAA-F | Mississippi State vs Memphis
Play on: Memphis +3½ -110 at Mirage

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #162 Memphis Tigers over Mississippi State Bulldogs (4p.m., Saturday, September 18 ESPN2) This line is an overaction to the Bulldogs win last week against NC State. The Wolfpack did not show up for that game, especially on offense and were shell-shocked for the entire 60 minutes after the Bulldogs ran back the opening kick for a touchdown. Their offense struggled to move the football and will be a much different setting today at the Liberty Bowl with no cow bells. Memphis can score points and I am not sure if the Bulldogs can keep pace with them. Mississippi State is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Memphis is 17-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 home games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring top plays on Saturday and Sunday. Sign-up now and let 50 years of handicapping experience work for you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Sep 18 '21, 7:00 PM in 18h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Georgia
Play on: Georgia -31 -105 at pinnacle

1* NCAAF - S Carolina/Georgia FREE PICK on Georgia -18 (1st Half)
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the Georgia Bulldogs -18 in the 1st Half at home against the South Carolina Gamecocks (1H plays aren't allowed on the site, so I had to publish pick with the game spread...I don't love the -31 for the game nearly as much as I do the -18 for the half, but would lean that way if I had to).
Georgia is a team that I want to bet as much as possible, but sometimes the game spread just isn't the best option. You just never can feel good about laying 30 points against a conference opponent. It's just really hard to predict what's going to happen in garbage time once the starters have been pulled for the Bulldogs.
By just betting the 1H (rarely do teams ever pull their starters before the 3rd quarter), we can eliminate that garbage time. I just don't think it's asking much for Georgia to be up by at least 20 at the half against this South Carolina team.
The Gamecocks were extremely fortunate to win on the road last week against East Carolina. They only put up 20 points and 331 yards on the Pirates. They got no shot against this Bulldogs defense, which I firmly believe is the best defensive team in the entire country.
The other big thing here is that with this being Georgia's conference opener and conference home opener, it's a lot less likely they look past the Gamecocks.
Last year a less talented Georgia team beat South Carolina 45-16 on the road and outgained the Gamecocks 471 to 273 (led 28-10 at half...I think that's worst case here). Bet the Bulldogs -18 (1st Half) on Saturday!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan Sep 18 '21, 7:00 PM in 18h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Georgia
Play on: OVER 47 -109

OVER 47
Two SEC East teams will battle it out on Saturday when the Gamecocks visit the Bulldogs. Georgia, the #2 team in the country pounded UAB 56-7 last week. I like SC to get on the board tomorrow. They have enough weapons to be dangerous, but I just don't see them slowing the Bulldog offense down. Georgia can score in bunches, and with big plays. 3x plays over 60+ yards last week. Look for the high-octane passing attack to continue.
Some trends to consider. The total has gone over in 5 of South Carolina’s last 6 game on the road. The total has gone over in 6 of Georgia’s last 8 games against South Carolina.
Georgia wins big, and the total flies over 47.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
Saturday 5* FREE CFB O/U Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Sep 18 '21, 7:30 PM in 18h
NCAA-F | Auburn vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -5 -107 at pinnacle

Saturday card has an Executive Level TIER 1 Blowout Side, the ACC Total of the Year, 5* Afternoon Power system play headlining a Powerful CFB Card. We also have MLB and Soccer. Comp play below.
The College Football comp play is on Penn. St at 7:30 eastern. The Lions have covered 23 of 30 off back to back wins and 15 of 20 after scoring 40+ points last out as 9 of 11 covers at home vs a winning team. Auburn is in a play against System [pertaining to teams with a first year head coach playing their first road game off a win vs a team off a win. Auburn has failed to cover 11 straight on the road vs a team off back to back ats wins with a win percentage of .250 or better. The Tigers have failed to cover 5 of 6 vs Big 10 teams and the last 4 as a dog. Both are 2-0 but Penn. St has played tougher teams including a solid win on the road at Wisconsin. Look for a littany of Nittany today. On Saturday the ACC Total of the Year headlines the Card along with our Exclusive Executive Level TIER 1 Blowout, 5* Afternoon Power Play and Late night Banger, there is also MLB and Soccer. Jump on and cash out. For the College comp. Play on Penn. St. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Sep 18 '21, 8:00 PM in 19h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs Ole Miss
Play on: Ole Miss -14 -110 at SC Consensus

FREE PICK - Ole Miss Rebels -14
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 196
This is one line that didn't make a lot of sense to me. I think Ole Miss at a minimum should be a 17.5-point favorite in this game. Success has followed Lane Kiffin ever since his 3-year stint with the Crimson Tide. He instantly turned FAU into a power in C-USA (were coming off 3 straight 3-win seasons and won 11 games in his first year on the job).
He took over Ole Miss last year in the midst of a pandemic and went 5-5 with a 9-game SEC schedule and a matchup with Indiana in a bowl (won 26-20). Their 4-5 record in conference play was the best in 5 years.
They got just about everyone back (16 returning starters), including star quarterback Matt Corral. The offense wasn't the problem last year. They averaged 39.2 ppg and scored 48 against Alabama. It was the defense that held them back.
They really thought they would be better on that side of the ball in 2021. So far, it looks to be the case. That defense played extremely well in their 43-24 win against Louisville. They really dominated until they took their foot off the gas in the 2nd half (Rebels led 29-3 with less than 5 minutes to play in the 3rd quarter). I don't think there's any doubt its improved.
Not only do I think people are sleeping on just how good this Ole Miss team is, but I think people see that Tulane only lost 35-40 at Oklahoma and just assume they will be able to keep it within 2 TD's. What they don't look at is how that game played out. The Sooners led 37-14 at the half and went on to score just 3-points in the 2nd half. Ole Miss is scoring at will against this defense.
I'm also not so sure that the Rebels aren't better than Oklahoma. I definitely don't think there's as big a gap between them as this line indicates. The Sooners were a 31-point home favorite, which is basically saying Ole Miss would be around a 17-point dog on a neutral site to Oklahoma.
I think the only way the Rebels don't win by 20 is if they don't show up to play. With a bye week on deck, there's no reason for them to not be 100% focused on getting this win. Keep in mind the fact that Tulane rallied to make it close vs Oklahoma will help keep Ole Miss from overlooking them. Give me the Rebels -14!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Sep 18 '21, 8:00 PM in 19h
Soccer | LA Galaxy vs Minnesota United
Play on: Minnesota United -105 at SC Consensus

1* Free Play on Minnesota United -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Through Week 2, Mountain West programs have registered three victories over autonomous-5 opponents, including Nevada beating Pac 12-member Cal. The three A5 victories are the most by a nonautonomous-5 conference this season.

I'm laying the points with Nevada on Saturday, a slim number at Kansas State. Nevada has now won three of its last five against autonomous-5 opponents.

Since falling behind 14-0 to Cal in the season-opener, the Wolf Pack (2-0) have outscored the Bears and Idaho State 71-10.

And leading the charge for Nevada is a guy who I think can emerge as a top five quarterback in the next NFL Draft, Carson Strong. On the whole, the Pack ranks 31st in the nation with 479 yards per game, including an eighth-best 376.5 yards passing per contest. Strong has a no-fear mentality, and shows NFL-like poise. He's a big reason the Pack ride a 5-0 ATS streak into Manhattan.

Kansas State has laid its treads after two games with staunch defense. Problem is, this will be the best offense it's faced and Strong will be the best quarterback it faces this season. And when the Pack strikes, I don't see the Wildcats threatening much with their offense.

There's a part of me that also believes the Wildcats - who have failed to cover four of five against winning teams - will mistakenly look past and underestimate Nevada, with Oklahoma State on deck.

5* NEVADA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

I'll lay the points with the Iowa State Cyclones on the road against the UNLV Rebels, as this will be ugly when all said and done.

This is one of those games I would normally suggest playing in the first half, but the problem with the Rebels is they've shown us two different teams, one that showed up in the second half, and then one that showed up in the first half on the road at a ranked opponent.

In both, they failed.

And since Iowa State is in after a stinging lost to in-state rival Iowa, the Cyclones will be looking to take their aggression out on the hapless Rebels, who lost their starting quarterback Doug Brumfield and could be without him for awhile.

Sources in Vegas revealed it was a concussion, and later there were other sources who said Brumfield remained under close watch in Tempe, as he couldn't return to Las Vegas.

Waiting in the wings is Tate Martell, but there's no telling if Marcus Arroyo will pull the trigger, or use Justin Rogers, who has proven to be a horrible option under center.

If Martell plays, it will be an interesting dynamic, and it wouldn't shock me to see the total flair. But I still think inside Allegiant Stadium, with a reported 20,000+ Iowa State fans coming for this one, I am siding with Brock Purdy and that explosive offense to respond to last week's loss.

1* IOWA STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: UTSA -13½ over Middle Tennessee St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: UNLV +33 over Iowa St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Early Saturday's Free Selection: Nevada Wolfpack/Kansas State Wildcats under 50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Baylor Bears - 17 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Early Saturday's Free Play: Kansas State Wildcats + 1 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: East Carolina Pirates +9 over Marshall

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Duke +2'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Early Saturday's Free Pick: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs + 11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Saturday Free Play
Ohio State -24'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph FreePlay Sat: Stanford -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: SAN DIEGO/ST LOUIS UNDER the total of 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Saturday: Arkansas Razorbacks - 23 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: Air Force -9½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Saturday:
Michigan State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Saturday:
Texas -26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Charlotte +4½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon Event: (304639) Lotte Giants at (304640) Hanwha Eagles

Sport/League: KBO

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 4AM EDT
Play: Hanwha Eagles Total Over 3.5 (-128)
Get Brandon's entire Saturday card for $1. Details out soon.
Hanwha is not the best lineup in the league but against a shaky SP and terrible bullpen they should be able to get to their average of 4 runs a game. My numbers have it at 5.25 so make a small play on the Hanwha team total Over 3.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Event: (125) Nebraska at (126) Oklahoma
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Oklahoma -22.0 (-110)
126 Nebraska at Oklahoma
The Huskers took advantage of playing a smaller team with a new coaching staff last week against the Buffalo Bulls. We expect Nebraska to look good in that game and they did. Now they step up to play one of the most talented teams in the nation. Oklahoma has a huge advantage in skill position talent and coaching. We expect this number to rise as the week moves forward. Lay it with the Sooners.
PLAY OKLAHOMA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek Event: (121) Coastal Carolina at (122) Buffalo
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Coastal Carolina -13.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Trigger Event: (121) Coastal Carolina at (122) Buffalo

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Coastal Carolina -14.0 (-110)
SPECIAL OFFER- Adam Trigger 3 Day All-Access, including all 5% plays, for ONLY $29 using coupon code: ADAM29

Coastal Carolina (12PM ET ESPN2) – The first couple weeks of college football have basically been a wash but I feel like I really have a beat on a handful of teams now and I’ll roll out my biggest CFB card of the season on Saturday. I’m going to have action morning to night and I’ll kick things off in the early wave of games when the #16 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers head north to battle the Buffalo Bulls at UB Stadium in Buffalo, New York.
I laid it with Nebraska and cashed last weekend on a fade of Buffalo and I’m coming right back and doing the same thing here. Buffalo was a fade for me last season and the Bulls got significantly worse with head coach Lance Leipold leaving for the Kansas job and taking seven of his players with him I usually don’t go nuts over running backs because they are generally a dime a dozen but Jaret Patterson was a special player and a difference maker in the Buffalo offense. Buffalo now goes with Kevin Marks Jr at running back, he’s a serviceable backfield option but he’s not a gamechanger the way Patterson was and I see a substantial downgrade in the run game for Buffalo because of that. I talked about quarterback Kyle Vantrease being overrated last season and now he’s back with far less weapons including one of his top receivers, Jovany Ruiz, out for this game. Buffalo head coach Maurice Linguist was supposed to be co-defensive coordinator at Michigan this season but has found himself in a head coaching role in Buffalo despite never being more than a position coach. Buffalo lost 28-3 last weekend but it probably should have been a lot worse as the Bulls gave up 516 total yards to Nebraska in a game that could have been a far bigger blowout had the ‘Huskers not shot themselves in their own foot so many times. Coastal Carolina is elite (for a Group of 5 team), the Chants aren’t going to make many mistakes and I think that translates to a decisive win and cover of anything -14 or better on the road here.
I’m happy to fade this Buffalo team when it make sense but this is equally a play on a really good Coastal Carolina team for me. There will come a time this season where Coastal is just too inflated and I have to be on the other side but even after the line move here I think laying two touchdowns or less with the Chants is a bargain in this game. Coastal didn’t have to try at all in their season opener and rolled to a 52-14 win and cover over The Citadel. Kansas came out hot and lead after the first quarter in Conway last week but as soon as Coastal saw themselves trailing on the scoreboard they turned it up and never let off, running away with a 49-22 win which also covered the 26.5 point spread. Coastal will be on the road for the first time this season but I actually think that serves the Chants well here because I think this is the most focused they will be for any opponent yet this season. I have zero respect for this Buffalo team but they seem to be getting respect from the betting public as the general consensus is Buffalo is a decent team. Coastal doesn’t have another big non-conference opponent so my guess is the Chants have this one circled as their big non-conference game since it’s against a school from a bigger conference and on national TV. Coastal has been a little lax defensively early in games, presumably because they have been 20-30 point favorites, but I think the Chants view Buffalo as more of an equal and the Coastal defense will be on high alert from the outset. The only way Coastal Carolina doesn’t cover the number here is if the Chants give up a bunch of points to Buffalo. There are a couple strong systems that play on the UNDER here, I think that points to Coastal having a solid defensive game and even a few stops from the Chanticleers are going to allow Coastal to open it up here.
Coastal is now averaging over 50 points per game and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see the Chants at least crack 40 again here. As I stated earlier, Buffalo only gave up 28 points to Nebraska but that should have been a lot worse since the Bulls allowed a whopping 516 yards of total offense. Coastal is as efficient of an offense as you will find in the country led by Grayson McCall who is completing a ridiculous 82.5 percent of his passes this season. Coastal is capable of running the ball as well and I have the Chants as a superior team to Nebraska yet we are still having to cover the same number here. There’s obviously a line adjustment for Buffalo being at home but I’ve been to that stadium before and I don’t think it’s an outrageously difficult atmosphere at Noon ET on a Saturday. If Coastal Carolina slips up it’s going to be in conference play against an opponent that really knows them, Buffalo doesn’t and I think the Chanticleers will be able to do what they want offensively and string together enough stops to pull away here.
I know there were better numbers available in this one but we didn’t go across any insanely key numbers so I’m still willing to lay it with Coastal here. We laid a similar number with Nebraska last week after a similar line move and that one was never really in question. I have a feeling we are cashing via a Coastal win by a similar margin here. Play on Coastal Carolina -14 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Event: (119) Virginia Tech at (120) West Virginia

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Total Under 50.0 (-110)
120 Virginia Tech at West Virginia
PLAY UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs Event: (131) Minnesota at (132) Colorado
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Minnesota +2.5 (-105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers Event: (137) Purdue at (138) Notre Dame
Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/college-football))
Date/Time: September 18, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Notre Dame -7.0 (-115)
Take Notre Dame (#138)
Yes, the Fighting Irish are 0-2 against the spread; gashed defensively in each of their first two games of the season. And, yes, Purdue’s Jeff Brohm is 7-1 ATS as a road underdog since arriving in West Lafayette. But let’s dig a little deeper.
Brohm’s 7-1 ATS record as a road dog at Purdue includes four games from 2017 – his first year on the job -- and three since. Purdue lost 35-7 at Penn State at +28.5 = pointspread cover. They lost 45-24 at Wisconsin at +24 = pointspread cover. And they were +18 at ‘we struggle to score’ Iowa, hanging within the number there as well. NONE of those seven previous ATS covers as a road dog give me confidence that Purdue can step up in class and hang within single digits at Notre Dame.
Then we turn to the Irish side of the equation. Here’s the quote that matters from head coach Brian Kelly, from Thursday’s press conference: “The first two weeks of the season were not typical in-season preparation…We had been in a long camp. I wanted to make sure that we didn’t have ‘camp legs’ so you’re not really ramping things up going into that week (vs Florida State in their opener). Then we came off the short week into Week 2, so you’ve really affected two weeks with the Sunday game and this is the first week where we’re really in the routine. So we’re able to get after it the way we normally do. Tuesday and Wednesday were what we’re used to in terms of traditional practices leading up to a Saturday game…we raised our level of preparation this week.” I’m not expecting a defensive meltdown this time around, with the Irish primed for their best showing of the young season here. Take Notre Dame.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin Event: (145) Florida State at (146) Wake Forest
Sport/League: CFB (See all free college-football picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/college-football))
Date/Time: September 18, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Florida State +6.5 (-110)
22-6 on all 2020-21 5% plays. 12-1 College Football 5% Plays going back to October 2019. #1 All-Time at WagerTalk College Football win percentage and net profits. #1 net profits all-sports in 2021 at +178.53. Winner with Sunday's NFL 5% play. And here's Dave Cokin's first 2021 College Football 5% play!

Florida State hits the road following a rock bottom upset loss to Jacksonville State. By no means do I think the Seminoles are a good football team. And there's every chance they could be in the toilet for the season if they take another loss here. At the very least, Mike Norvell figures to have his team prepped to play after what looms as a very intense week of practice. The good news is FSU is not exactly facing a powerhouse in Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are 2-0 but they haven't looked particularly sharp in dispatching a terrible Old Dominion entry and FCS Norfolk State. One thing that's set is that McKenzie Milton is now the starting QB for FSU. Norvell made that clear as he released his depth chart for the game this week. I like the fact it's not going to be a situation where it's not clear who's getting the first team reps in practice. More than anything, I am betting this on my numbers. My power ratings do not radically adjust off one result and my projections have this game Wake Forest -2. That's a pretty good differential on a line that's less than a TD and unless there's something on info that takes me off a game I'm generally going to play based on value, particularly with an underdog. I can pretty much guarantee that if the 'Noles fail here, you won't see them on my playlist again anytime soon but I'm going to take them here. Florida State plus the points is the wager.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Mohawk Trotting Classic & Elegantimage Analysis September 18, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, there is another giant card ready to roll at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The headliner goes in Race 10, the Canadian Trotting Classic with a $606,500 purse. The co-feature Elegantimage is carded as Race 5 and has a field of ten 3-year-old filly trotters battling for a share of a $414,000 Purse.

There is an Xpressbet/1st Bet promo on the Canadian Trotting Classic for those who register. Get up to $10 back on win bets which finish 2nd or 3rd in that race.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5-Elegantimage -$414,000 Purse

5-Donna Soprano (7/2)-Made a break in the Casual Breeze on 9-3 and rebounded with a big trip win in the Simcoe. No doubt #7 is a truly fine filly but this gal is in sharp form. So, will look for some value and hope a home field advantage kicks-in.
7-Bella Bellini (8/5)-This Nifty Norman pupil is no doubt worthy of morning line favoritisms but hasn't raced at Mohawk. Has done good work on the big oval at M1 and could be the best here as well. Shouldn't be overlooked and the long stretch won't hurt chances but should offer a small price.
9-HP Mama B (9/2)-Mama has been the model of consistency this season hitting the board in 8 of 9 with 6 wins. Likes to get on the engine and that will probably be the plan again. Using in exotics and best to respect chances to hit the ticket.
8-Up And Ready (15-1)-Made a rare break in last but will look for a rebound to spice up the Superfecta. Has hit the board in 8 of 10 this year with 1 win. McNair should keep in range to cash a check as this 3-year-old has banked over $305k and has only taken 2 pictures.

$10 to Win on 5, $8 Exacta Box 5-7, $5 Exacta Box 5-9
Total Bet=$36

Race 10-Canadian Trotting Classic-$606,500 Purse

6-Fashion Frenzi (3-1)-Moreau trainee has won 3 straight and has been in the money in 7 of 9 starts this year with 5 pictures. This is another local hopeful who has won 9 of 13 at Mohawk. Recent form is top notch and has been too good to shoot against on this oval.
4-In Range (9/2)-Melander trainee makes its 1st start at Wbsb and should offer a solid price. Using in gimmicks, could be better on a large oval and Tetrick should keep this Bar Hopping colt in the mix.
7-Spy Booth (4-1)-Broke its maiden in the Zweig coming off the pace and the race set up nicely for this Takter trainee. Dunn is back in the bike, shouldn't offer much value and will look for a bottom of the ticket finish.
1-Ahundreddollarbill (5/2)-Alagna trainee was on a nice roll racing on smaller ovals out East but was a sick scratch in the NYSS Final at Yonkers. Not feeling the risk reward at the morning line and has not raced since 8-21. Does have big speed when right but would have felt better about chances with a recent qualifier happening.

$10 Win on 6, $10 Exacta Key 6/4,7
Total Bet=$30

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 9/18/21 September 18, 2021
Woodbine – Race 9. Post time: 5:35 ET
2 – Walton Street (8/5)

On paper this high class European veteran clearly lays over this field based on his outstanding 2021 form that has produced two major stakes wins in Dubai, a highly-respectable fourth place finish behind Mishriff in the Sheema Classic-G1, and then a solid third place effort in a Grade-1 event in Germany last month. The C. Appleby-trained gelding attracts F. Dettori and projects to enjoy an ideal-pace stalking trip and then have every chance in the long run from the top of the lane to the wire to exert his superiority. We’ll make hm a win play and rolling exotic single at or near his morning line of 8/5.

Churchill Downs – Race 8. Post time: 9:39 ET
4 – Ontheonesandtwos (5/2)

Was below her best form when unplaced in the Adirondack S.-G2 at Saratoga in July but has trained exceptionally well in recent weeks to indicate the daughter of Jimmy Creed can bounce back in a huge way with the return to Churchill Downs, where she was a smart debut winner in May and then a sharp runner-up in the Debutante S. the following month. This stretch-out in trip should be well within her scope, and with the switch to speed specialist R. Santana, Jr. we’re expecting the N. Casse-trained filly to be on or near the lead throughout. At 5/2 on the morning line, she represents gold wagering value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

Churchill Downs – Race 9. Post time: 10:11 ET
6 - Stellar Tap (3-1)

Loved the way he graduated at first asking at Saratoga last month when pressing the pace to the head of the lane and then kicking to score with complete authority in a race that already has proven to be productive. The S. Asmussen-trained colt should enjoy this two-turn middle distance while projecting to be either on the front end or in an ideal stalk-and-pounce position. His recent workouts have been extra sharp so despite this raise in class to Grade-3 company the son of Tapit looks quite capable of winning right back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Saturday at Woodbine September 18, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
There's no topping the Woodbine card on this Saturday, most notably because of the $250,000-guaranteed Late Pick 4 that includes a pair of Grade 1 races in the Canadian International and the Woodbine Mile.

The Canadian International kicks off the sequence as the ninth race (5:35 p.m. ET) and is followed by the Woodbine Mile as the 10th (6:12 p.m. ET). Those are some strong races, and when you get past those, you’ll be looking at a couple of highly competitive $40,000 races as the 11th (6:47 p.m. ET) and the 12th (7:17 p.m. ET).

From start to finish, nothing looks easy in this sequence.

Here’s a look at a $57.60 suggested ticket on the 20-cent exotic play:


9th Race (5:35 P.M. ET, Canadian International-G1)

WALTON STREET comes from the Charles Appleby barn, and that’s not a bad place as far as Europe-to-North America shippers have succeeded this year.

Appleby won turf stakes at Belmont and Saratoga and has a good chance to transfer that success to Woodbine with this Godolphin runner. He was third in a Grade 1 in Germany and had a three-win win streak from September through March (one win at Newmarket, two at Dubai-Meydan).

He gets the riding services of Frankie Dettori, and that should always get your attention in international affairs.

Also on the ticket: DESERT ENCOUNTER, FANTASIOSO.


10th Race (6:12 p.m. ET, Woodbine Mile-G1)

MARCH TO THE ARCH was the 2020 Woodbine Mile runner-up behind the great mare Starship Jubilee and was closing third in the G2 King Edward going a mile last out. He had a remarkable run from 13 lengths back to win the Niagara stakes two back. He followed fractions of :45 1-5, 1:07 1-5 and 1:32 1-5 before finishing the nine furlongs in a sizzling 1:45.

He’s at the top of the game for Mark Casse and this is where he does his best running.

Also on the ticket: OLYMPIC RUNNER, MARCH TO THE ARCH, RIDE A COMET, SET PIECE, RAGING BULL, SPACE TRAVELLER.


11th Race (6:47 p.m. ET, claiming)

IKERRIN ROAD leads the first of two $40,000 claiming races that end the Pick 4 and Woodbine Mile card.

He has been solid in his last two with a second and third and could be ready to win for the first time in two years.

Trainer Vito Armata has had a solid season with a 7-of-27 record, and the distance looks good for his sprinter here.

Also on the ticket: SOLIDIFY, DIXIE’S GAMBLE, SPEEDY HANS.


12th Race (7:17 p.m. ET, claiming)

FLYING CURLIN drops out of an allowance race here and has run against tough rivals at Aqueduct and Fair Grounds. Mark Casse has his Curlin gelding in the lowest level he’s seen and can wake up in this spot.

Also on the ticket: SPEED WAY, SOUPER RIVER, KID FORESTER.

Woodbine 20-cent Late Pick Four:
9) #2 Walton Street, #3 Desert Encounter, #6 Fantasioso.
10) #2 Olympic Runner, #3 March to the Arch, #4 Ride a Comet, #5 Set Piece, #7 Raging Bull, #10 Space Traveller.
11) #1 Ikerrin Road, #4 Solidify, #5 Dixie’s Gamble, #8 Speedy Hans.
12) #1 Speed Way, #5 Souper River, #10 Flying Curlin, #13 Kid Forester.
The ticket: 2-3-6 with 2-3-4-5-7-10 with 1-4-5-8 with 1-5-10-13 ($57.60).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez Event: (151) Tulsa at (152) Ohio State
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Total Over 61.0 (-105)
151 Tulsa Hurricanes at 152 Ohio State Buckeyes -25, 61
The days when style points were critical in college football have returned. Nationally recognized teams that suffer a loss in the first two weeks of the season are subject to the unwritten rules of what it takes to be a part of College Football Playoffs. Those unwritten rules include being dynamic on both sides of the ball and winning the game by a large margin.
Ohio State failed on three fourth downs a week ago at "The Shoe," and the result of closing the game with a minus-4 turnover margin was the first regular-season loss for third-year head coach Ryan Day.
Ohio State lost despite gaining 612 yards of total offense, including 484 through the air behind the performance of freshman quarterback C.J. Stroud. Stroud has the best receiving group in college football. Three future NFLers with the skillset and the speed to make the best defenses in the Power-5 look pedestrian. The free pick is a play on OVER the game TOTAL of 61 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (161) Mississippi State at (162) Memphis
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Memphis +3.0 (+100)
We're taking the Memphis Tigers on Saturday against the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
Memphis are averaging 48.5 ppg to open up the season (only behind Auburn) so will be full of confidence returning home ahead of this one.
Mississippi State took care of business as home underdogs last week against a very good NC State team but travel on the road for the first time this season into a packed Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium.
While the Bulldogs rush defense has been good this year, they face a Tigers team averaging 7.1 yards per rush attempt against FBS opponents this year, far superior to what they've faced prior in NC State and La Tech and that could well prove the decider here.
Take Memphis plus the points on Saturday to win and cover at home against Mississippi State in what should be a great game down in Tennessee.
PLAY: MEMPHIS +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo Event: (159) Georgia Southern at (160) Arkansas
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Georgia Southern +23.5 (-110)

Bad scheduling spot for Arkansas who comes in here off a monumental win over Texas last week and has Texas A&M on deck. Is Arkansas the better team? Of coarse they are but playing this game in between those two powerhouse teams is asking too much. Arkansas may be feeling a little Fat n Sassy on Saturday and that's not good when you are laying 23.5 points. Arkansas wins but not nearly enough to cover this big number.

TAKE GEORGIA SOUTHERN +23.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo Event: (155) Colorado State at (156) Toledo
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Colorado State +14.5 (-110)

Great spot to fade Toledo as they come off a gut wrenching loss to Notre Dame. No way I want to lay points with a team that just missed pulling a major upset as 16 point dogs. Toledo Wins but this is much closer than people think. Grab Colorado St +14.5 here.
TAKE COLORADO ST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Adams Event: (193) Rice at (194) Texas
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Texas -25.0 (-110)
Great spot to come back and play Texas here after a tough loss to Arkansas over the weekend. The Longhorns are trying to prove that they’re a top tier program, and losing outright as a 6 point favorite isn’t going to convince many people. However, Texas gets to take their anger out on an inferior opponent this week when they play host to Rice. The Owls were run out of their own building in a 44-7 loss to Houston over the weekend. Quarterback Luke McCaffrey went 9 for 19 with 86 yards and 3 picks in the game. The Longhorns may not be backable against the SEC, but they won’t have any trouble blowing out Rice on Saturday. Take Texas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril Event: (191) Stanford at (192) Vanderbilt
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Stanford -12.5 (-110)
Stanford started slowly in their first game versus Kansas State, but the Cardinal woke up last week with an impressive 42-28 win as a 17-point road underdog at USC. Look for that momentum to continue against a terrible Vanderbilt team that is still just 4-20 SU since the end of 2019, despite a road win at Colorado State last weekend. Vanderbilt lost outright 23-3 as a 21-point favorite in their only home game this season versus East Tennessee State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant Event: (199) Arizona State at (200) BYU
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Total Under 51.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Anthony Event: (24401) Ryan Spann at (24402) Anthony Smith
Sport/League: MMA

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 11PM EDT
Play: Anthony Smith -165
In the Main Event on Saturday's UFC Fight Night, Anthony Smith faces Ryan Spann…
Round 1 could be scary, but I just don't see Spann having the ability to do much after that. Anthony Smith is battled tested and has proved he can go into deep water. His toughness is off the charts as he continues to sharpen his striking. The biggest issue for Ryan is his cardio mixed with his style at which he fights. He has the power to land the bomb, but grappling is where he could find success as well. The problem is, …Spann just doesn't have the ability to push for takedowns round after round. Basically by round 2 his gas tank falls off a cliff which is where Smith can chip away. The biggest eye opener was rewatching Spann's fight against Sam Alvey. It was set up for Spann to have a highlight reel KO win against the limited movement and lack of striking volume from Alvey. It turned out Spann, the massive favorite, not only struggled to out land Sam in spots, but even with limited output Spann was tired quickly. On Saturday night Spann will be in a 5 round main event which he just isn't build for. Smith is a very very very hard guy to finish so early round 1 I believe Smith will play defense knowing he needs to weather the early storm. The slow movement and lack of footwork from Spann will also provide the perfect target for Smith to fire off heavy leg kicks. In my opinion this line should be wider as Smith is a level above Spann all around.

Play: Anthony Smith (-165)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Arlington - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#4 Sport Pepper
Forward player has been a bit dicey late at times, but he gets a solid turf route rider for this one and has been heading in the right direction.


#7 Wonderstruck
Think she's the most likely winner while adding blinkers and getting two turns on turf, but it doesn't really feel like the risk/reward balance is going to be there on the tote board as she drops out of stakes company.


#2 Winter's Ghost
He rallied with mild enthusiasm in the debut run going short on the main, but he's bred to be able to handle the added ground while moving to a course over which mom won. Overlooked for low-percentage connections.


Race Summary
Sport Pepper seems likely enough to handle the turf, and I like that he held decent form while getting around two turns for the first time last out. Have to think he lands a dreamy trip today.


Arlington - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#6 She Can't Sing
She has turned in some pretty good turf tries for being 0-for-6 over the footing, and she should be able to track the splits from close range. Would gladly take her as the second choice.


#1 Gray Owl
She's worth a little look as the 'other' Rivelli even with a tricky trail draw, but she might be quick enough to go from the inside and have a run for it.


#3 Richies Great Girl
Not much to argue with after the sharp score here and the good try at Saratoga, but the price might get a bit short in a race where she probably doesn't have to win.


Race Summary
Sentimentally, I'd love to see #4 Oh So Terrible get one more win here late in likely the final Arlington season, but she seems in a bit tough today. She Can't Sing gets the slight edge over the two Rivellis, and I think the better price of that pair is more interesting from the fence.


Arlington - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Greeleys Ice
He'll need to bounce back after a dull try on the main track, but his two-back run produced an effort that saw him finish just behind a few he'll face again today -- but his price is going to be significantly longer. Let's see if he can spring a turf sprint upset.


#8 W W Kan Do
He wired some of these last out when making his turf debut, and that was a pretty sharp first try on the new footing. He has dangerous pace and probably leads these into the lane again.


#2 Mongol Bull
He should be right up top with W W Kan Do in the early going, but he could take the worst of it while drawn closer to the fence. Easy to root for this guy.


Race Summary
Greeleys Ice might draft a perfect trip just behind the speed, and he's likely to offer a nice number on the board while not being far off the other listed pair here last month.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Hawthorne - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#9 GEAR UPN GO MOE
Changed tactics, gunned to clear lead, can build on third-place effort.


#6 SPORTS HERO
Beaten favorite in three-peat attempt against better.


#4 CHICK MAGNET
Rallied for second twice behind 'Hero,' needs some pace flow.


Race Summary
Gear Up Upn Go Moe accelerated into the first turn to avoid a 5-wide trip and held okay to finish third through a :56.2 back half. He starts farther outside tonight but he can rate and is an inviting 8-1 on the morning line. Play a 4-6-9 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#7 ABUCKABETT HANOVER
Been facing better, packs late wallop, today's Best Bet.


#9 BETTOR SUN
Early position from post 9 will be key for field's top money-earner.


#8 PIRATE HANOVER
Took serious money, paced evenly through wicked middle fractions.


Race Summary
Abuckabett Hanover rallied from last and finished willingly to get beat 4-1/2 lengths in the $1 million North America Cup. He should blow past this field for his 10th win in 25 starts. Play a 7/8,9/ALL trifecta.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 JM JACK OF HEARTS
Escaped traffic congestion too late, gets class relief, strong play.


#6 PRICELESS BEACH
Failed to sustain middle move, gets driver upgrade.


#5 MAJOR CUSTARD
Finished ahead of 'Jack' from post 10 but he's 0-21 this year.


Race Summary
JM Jack Of Hearts trailed most of the way with nowhere to run on the rail. He swung widest in the stretch and finished full of run as the beaten favorite. Expect a winning rally on the class drop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#8 C My Meister
Broke his maiden here, then shipped to Colonial and was third in the Kitten's Joy Stakes; can bring the late heat in this one.


#4 Eldon's Prince
Broke his maiden in the Proud Man Stakes in his first try at a mile on grass; faces better competition today.


#10 Credibility
Was up in time in his only start and his effort was comfortable to Eldon's Prince's run in the Proud Man.


Race Summary
C My Meister ran a good third vs. decent company at Colonial and has the closing move to be successful in this spot.


Gulfstream Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#5 Saturday Nite Girl
Has the benefit of having won going two turns on turf and the $650K weanling purchase and has the pedigree to perform well at this distance.


#4 Diamond Wow
Was an easy winner in her only start, and she stretches out from five furlongs to this mile; will be the one to catch.


#9 Eiswein
Closed with a rush and beat maiden claimers at Colonial in her only start; can be in the hunt throughout.


Race Summary
Saturday Nite Girl was impressive once she had the chance to stretch out and is in a perfect situation here.


Gulfstream Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#3 My Mane Man
Lost by a nose going a mile last time and can be a forward player from the outset.


#4 Lauda Speed
Has been in some strong races and lands in a spot that should provide a big chance for improvement.


#6 Flamingo Hawk
Takes his first leap into stakes company and has performed very well in allowance optional claiming races; fits well with these.


Race Summary
My Mane Man takes a slight turnback in distance and should be able to finish full of run; lightly raced but is clearly moving in the right direction.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Sep 18 '21, 1:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Orioles vs Red Sox
Play on: Orioles +240 at William Hill

Free Play on Orioles +240

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Sep 18 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Nevada vs Kansas State
Play on: Nevada -1½ -110 at linepros

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 9-18-21 Nevada @ Kansas State (2:00 PM EST)
Play On: Nevada -1 1/2
The Nevada Wolfpack travel to Kansas State to take on the Wildcats on Saturday afternoon. My Rocketman line for this game is Nevada to win by over 14 points. Both teams come in with 2-0 records on the season. Nevada is averaging 376.5 passing yards per game and a whopping 479.5 total yards per game so far this year. Nevada is 6-1 ATS last 3 years against non-conference teams. Nevada is scoring 35.5 points per game while allowing only 13.5 points per game overall this season. Nevada is 6-1 ATS last 7 games after allowing 20 points or less in their previous game. Kansas State lost their starting QB, Skylar Thompson last game with a knee injury and he is out for this one. His back up Will Howard came in and didn't do well going 8 for 17 47% completion percentage for only 76 yards and had an interception. I'll recommend a small play on Nevada over Kansas State in this one. Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Sep 18 '21, 4:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Colorado State vs Toledo
Play on: Toledo -14½ -105 at pinnacle

1* on Toledo -14½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Sep 18 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Mariners vs Royals
Play on: Royals +107 at Caesars

Free Pick on Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Sep 18 '21, 7:15 PM in 7h
MLB | CHC vs MIL
Play on: UNDER 7½ -110

1 Dimer on Cubs vs Brewers under 7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Sep 18 '21, 10:00 PM in 10h
Soccer | Pachuca vs Guadalajara
Play on: Pachuca +203 at BetVegas

FREE PLAY on Pachuca +203

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lethbridge



Lethbridge - Race 7

Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta



Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $4,100 • Post: 3:45P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * AMERICAN LEAGUE: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. OUR DANDY'S BOY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOTNTHIRSTY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. A. F. INDY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



3

AMERICAN LEAGUE

2/1


9/2




5

OUR DANDY'S BOY

8/5


6/1




2

HOTNTHIRSTY

6/1


7/1




4

A. F. INDY

5/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

AMERICAN LEAGUE

3


2/1

Stalker

87


70


63.4


65.8


61.8




6

REMARKABLE VINTAGE

6


3/1

Stalker

73


70


0.0


63.0


54.0




4

A. F. INDY

4


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

74


73


42.9


63.6


58.1




5

OUR DANDY'S BOY

5


8/5

Alternator/Stalker

82


71


41.2


71.1


63.6




2

HOTNTHIRSTY

2


6/1

Trailer

78


77


0.0


68.6


63.6




1

DARE TO ENTER

1


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


79


64.0


61.2


51.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs



Will Rogers Downs - Race 8

$2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double (.50) Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / (.50) Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11)



Claiming $15,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $11,800 • Post: 2:55P


QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DALLAS DYNASTY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ANOTHERDASHINGACORN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. CORONA RED ROCKET: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LINDT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



7

DALLAS DYNASTY

4/1


6/1




4

ANOTHERDASHINGACORN

5/2


6/1




3

CORONA RED ROCKET

3/1


7/1




2

PEVES SILVER SPUR

5/1


7/1




1

LINDT

8/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

LINDT

1


8/1

Average

67


67


4.0


0.0


0.0




2

PEVES SILVER SPUR

2


5/1

Slow

70


71


6.5


0.0


0.0




3

CORONA RED ROCKET

3


3/1

Average

74


68


3.6


0.0


0.0




4

ANOTHERDASHINGACORN

4


5/2

Average

72


73


5.9


0.0


0.0




5

ORBITA

5


12/1

Average

65


57


0.0


0.0


0.0




6

NSM DISCO DANCER

6


10/1

Average

68


61


0.0


0.0


0.0




7

DALLAS DYNASTY

7


4/1

Average

75


69


4.6


0.0


0.0




8

ALLIEFAYE

8


12/1

Fast

61


57


2.9


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $42400 Class Rating: 94

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 BOLD REY 6/1




# 6 FLYING TO THE LINE 15/1




# 4 CANOODLING 2/1




I think BOLD REY is a formidable choice. Conditioner has sharp win rate (20 percent) at this distance and surface. Will almost certainly compete strongly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this field. Has been right there at the finish line most every time lately. FLYING TO THE LINE - Garcia will most likely be able to get this mare to break out early in this race. CANOODLING - Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this race. Had one of the best speed figures of this group in her last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Saturday, September 18th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #7
TIME: 10:02 PM EST
PICK: BET #8 Aaron’s Tap 5/2 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Claiming - 550y on the Dirt. Purse: $12160 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 ACCREDITED TEXAS BRED PREFERRED WITH SAME DATE.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 RANGER THE STRANGER 1/1




# 3 THIS GAME IS REAL 5/2




# 2 DAK ATTAK 5/1




My choice for this event is RANGER THE STRANGER. He has been running soundly as of late while recording strong speed figures. Garnered a strong speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. With a nice class figure average of 80, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group. THIS GAME IS REAL - With Urieta in the saddle guiding him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this race. Had one of the best speed figures of this group of animals in his last race. DAK ATTAK - Is a solid choice - given the 69 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Shows solid speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)
NCAA Football
BALL STATE CARDINALS/WYOMING COWBOYS o52
3
1
+190


Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
NCAA Football
RICE OWLS +26.5
1
0
+100


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)
NCAA Football
BAYLOR BEARS ‑17.5
1
0
+100


Insider Sports Report (http://www.insidersportsreport.com/)

No pick yet
1
0
+100


Mikey Money (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
1
0
+100


Brand X Sports (http://brandxsports.com/)
NCAA Football
COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS/BUFFALO BULLS o56
1
1
+50


Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
1
1
+45


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)
NCAA Football
COLORADO BUFFALOES ‑2.5
2
2
-55


Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
NCAA Football
NEVADA WOLF PACK ‑1.5
1
1
-55


XS Sports Picks (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1132323&page=12)

No pick yet
2
2
-90


Vegas Investment Picks (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-100


GreenTreeSports (https://veri.bet/GreenTreeSports.org)

No pick yet
0
1
-125


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
NCAA Football
INDIANA HOOSIERS +4
2
3
-130


Assassin Sports Betting (https://www.patreon.com/assassinsportsbetting)

No pick yet
2
3
-260


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
NCAA Football
NORTH CAROLINA‑CHARLOTTE 49ERS/GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS o63
1
4
-34

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Century Mile - Race #6 - Post: 8:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 51

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 SMILE MARY (ML=6/5)


SMILE MARY - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier group than last time out at Century Mile. This filly is in nice physical condition. Ended up third on September 4th. This jock and conditioner have a lucrative ROI when they team up. The 46 last race speed rating looks sound on paper.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 NOT YOUR BIZINESS (ML=4/1), #2 I'MAMUDDERTOO (ML=9/2), #6 STORMY ROSE (ML=8/1),

NOT YOUR BIZINESS - Not probable for this thoroughbred to make an impact with no recent good showings in a sprint event. This animal hasn't been close in either of her last couple of outings. The rating last out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a vulnerable contender. I'MAMUDDERTOO - This filly notched a speed rating in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race. STORMY ROSE - Didn't close whatsoever on Sep 4th. Hard to bet on this time out at the expected odds. Not probable that the speed figure she earned on Sep 4th will hold up in this affair.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#5 SMILE MARY is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

5 with [6,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #10 - Post: 5:25pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $48,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 SHE'S MO BETTER (ML=5/1)
#8 SWEET GRACIE (ML=15/1)


SHE'S MO BETTER - Jockey hops up aboard after getting to know the beautiful animal by riding last time around the track. That's always a good tip. Looking at the past performances on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long hard look at this animal. I like this filly. Has the highest earnings per start in here today. A horse coming back this rapidly after a good outing is a good signal. SWEET GRACIE - It looks like Gomez had to learn about this filly on August 18th when riding her for the first time. Back aloft again today. This filly is in good form. Ended up first on Aug 18th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MAESTRIA (ML=9/5), #5 LUNA BELLE (ML=2/1), #7 HAPPY TAPPY TIM (ML=8/1),

MAESTRIA - Shins may have soreness since they added front wraps in the last race. This filly didn't show me enough down the stretch drive to warrant backing against stronger competition. LUNA BELLE - Would have to get quite a bit more than the morning line of 2/1 to wager on this horse. HAPPY TAPPY TIM - Somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last race out at Monmouth Park at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this entrant will improve too much in today's event.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 SHE'S MO BETTER is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

[4,8] with [4,8] with [2,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $10



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[4,8] with [4,8] with [3,5,7] with [2,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $24



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

[4,8] with [4,8] with [2,3,5,7] with [2,3,5,7] with [2,3,5,7] Total Cost: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



09/18/21, BEL, Race 8, 4.40 ET
09/18/21,BEL,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $80,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.;Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
2
Esotica
8/1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Maker Michael J.
JWL
94
45.74
1.34/$1


098.0720
10
Snicket
4/1
Saez L
Clement Christophe
TC
84
41.67
1.24/$1


097.6081
3
Beautiful Karen
7/2
Cancel E
Rice Linda
S
80
37.50
1.27/$1


097.0627
1
Pretty Clever
5/1
Carmouche K
Casse Mark E.


94
45.74
1.34/$1


095.0879
9
She's Dancing
3/1
Conner T
Stites Flint W.
E
94
45.74
1.34/$1


093.1833
6
Ok Honey
10/1
Davis D
DiPrima Gregory


84
41.67
1.24/$1


092.6630
5
Out First
8/1
Lezcano J
Ryerson James T.


94
45.74
1.34/$1


092.2829
7
Vienna Code
20/1
Samuel J L
Williams Andrew O.


80
42.50
1.37/$1


092.2445
4
Lot of Honey
20/1
Franco M
Ferraro James W.


94
45.74
1.34/$1


089.1332
8
Handle the Truth
30/1
Hernandez B
Metivier Richard


94
45.74
1.34/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.22, ROI 1.29/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.9280
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Horse Age 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
CFB
Army under 48
3-2 (+125)
5-1 (+390)


2.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
CFB
USC -7
3-1 (+195)
3-0 (+300)


3.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)


1-1 (-5)
3-3 (-25)


4.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
St. Louis -115
3-2 (+45)
2-2 (-55)


5.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
CFB
Georgia under 47.5
2-1 (+90)
3-4 (-130)


6.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
CFB
BYU under 50.5
2-2 (-125)
2-4 (-290)


7.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Houston over 8.5
0-3 (-380)
2-5 (-380)


8.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
CFB
Washington under 59
3-1 (+190)
2-5 (-495)


9.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
CFB
Air Force under 55
2-2 (-40)
1-6 (-615)


10.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
CFB
Kent St. +23
1-2 (-120)
1-6 (-620)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Saturday, September 18th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Diamondbacks @ Astros
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet Astros -1.5 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday, September 18th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Braves @ Giants
TIME: 9:05 PM EST
PICKS: BET UNDER 8 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CFB – Alabama -14.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
CFB – Toledo -14.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
CFB – Memphis +3.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
CFB – Old Dominion +27.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CFB – Georgia St under 63
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
CFB – Auburn +5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
CFB – UAB under 57.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
CFB – Tulane +14.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
CFB – BYU +3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CFB – UCLA -11
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CFB – BYU +3.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
CFB – Boise St -3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CFB – Rice +26
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
CFB – LSU -19.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
CFB – North Carolina -7.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
CFB – Utah St under 54.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
CFB – Utah -8
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
CFB – Old Dominion over 52.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
CFB – Memphis +3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
CFB – Toledo -14.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
CFB – Tulsa +25
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
CFB – Alabama -14.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
CFB – Wyoming -7
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
CFB – Colorado -2.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Buffalo under 58
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SATURDAY September 18, 2021
9/18 04:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET

CF (171) TROY VS (172) SO MISSISSIPPI

Take: (172) SO MISSISSIPPI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Sat (NCAAF) Oklahoma
Sat (NCAAF) Purdue
Sat (NCAAF) Alabama
Sat (NCAAF) BYU
Sat (NCAAF) UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 3

Friday’s games
Central Florida (2-0) @ Louisville (1-1)
— UCF beat Boise State 36-31, beat a I-AA team 63-14.
— Knights ran ball for 255 yards, threw for 318.
— Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— MSU has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Knights have a soph QB with 24 career starts.
— Last two years, UCF was 7-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— Malzahn is 14-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Louisville lost 43-24 to Ole Miss, beat a I-AA team 30-3.
— Ole Miss threw for 381 yards, outgained Cardinals 569-355
— Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cardinals’ junior QB has started 16 games.
— Last four years, Louisville is 2-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.

— These teams haven’t met since 2013.

Maryland (2-0) @ Illinois (1-2)
— Maryland beat West Virginia 30-24, a I-AA team 62-0.
— Terps outgained WVU 496-325, throwing for 347 yards.
— Maryland has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Maryland has 36 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Terrapins have sophomore QB who started 6 games.
— Last seven years, Maryland is 3-5 ATS as road favorite.
— Locksley is 1-2 ATS as a road favorite.

— Illinois gave up 79 points last 2 weeks, losing to UTSA/Virginia.
— Virginia threw for 423 yards, outgained Illini 556-337.
— Illinois has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Illinois has 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Illini have sophomore QB who has started 17 games.
— Illinois is 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog.

— Maryland (-17.5) hammered Illini 63-33 three years ago, in only meeting.
— Terrapins ran ball for 431 yards in that game.

Saturday’s games
Michigan State (2-0) @ Miami (1-1)
— Michigan State won first two games, running for 326 yards @ Northwestern.
— Tucker is 3-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Michigan State has a QB who started 26 games for Temple.
— MSU is 7-13 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.

— Miami got hammered by Alabama, then nipped App State 25-23 LW.
— Miami is 7-10 ATS in last 17 non-conference games.
— Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Miami has 190 returning starts on offensive line.
— Hurricanes’ senior QB has started 32 games.
— Under Diaz, Miami is 5-7 ATS as a home favorite.

— These teams haven’t met in last 20 years.

Virginia Tech (2-0) @ West Virginia (1-1)
— Tech allowed 12 ppg in winning its first two games.
— Fuente is 22-15-2 ATS in non-conference games.
— Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Tech has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hokies’ junior QB has started six games.
— Under Fuente, Hokies are 5-5 ATS as road underdogs.

— West Virginia lost 30-24 at Maryland, then hammered a I-AA team.
— WVU is 6-11 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
— Mountaineers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— WVU has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Mountaineers have junior QB with 32 career starts.
— Last four years, West Virginia is 10-5 ATS as home favorites.

— Virginia Tech won last three series games.
— Hokies won last three series games.

Cincinnati (2-0) @ Indiana (1-1)
— Bearcats whacked couple of stiffs to start season.
— Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS in last nine non-league games.
— Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Cincinnati has 48 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cincinnati has a junior QB with 37 career starts.
— Under Fickell, Cincinnati is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Hoosiers lost to Iowa, then pounded a I-AA team.
— Indiana was outgained 303-233 in loss to the Hawkeyes.
— Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Indiana has 67 returning starts on offensive line.
— Indiana has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Under Allen, Indiana is 4-7 ATS as a home underdog.

— These teams haven’t met since 2000.

USC (1-1) @ Washington State (1-1)
— USC lost to Stanford Saturday, fired its coach Monday.
— USC gained 416-408 TY in first two games this year.
— Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Trojans have a soph QB with 19 career starts.
— USC is 12-7 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Who fires their coach on September 13?

— Wazzu lost 26-23 to Utah State, beat I-AA team 44-24.
— Rolovich is 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Coogs have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Wazzu has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coogs have a soph QB with six career starts.
— Last six years, Wazzu is 4-2 ATS as home underdog.

— USC won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Trojans won five of last six visits to Pullman.
— Favorites are 8-5 ATS last 13 series games.

Alabama (2-0) @ Florida (2-0)
— Alabama waxed Miami 44-13, then beat up on a I-AA team.
— Alabama threw for 354 yards in win over Miami.
— Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Alabama has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
— Bama’s new QB has started two games.
— At Alabama, Saban is 33-23 ATS as a road favorite.

— Florida won first two games by 21-22 points (0-2 ATS)
— Gators ran ball for 763 yards in those two games.
— Florida has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Gators have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
— Florida’s new QB has two career starts.
— Under Mullen, Florida is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.

— Alabama (-17) held Florida off 52-46 LY, their first meeting since 2016.
— Gators threw ball for 408 yards in tough loss.
— Alabama is 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.

Florida State (0-2) @ Wake Forest (2-0)
— Florida State lost 41-38 to Notre Dame, 20-17 to a I-AA team.
— FSU ran ball for 466 yards in two games, but they lost to a I-AA team.
— Seminoles have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— FSU has 100 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Seminoles’ senior QB started 33 games at UCF, was hurt last two years.
— FSU is 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.

— Wake beat Old Dominion 42-10, a I-AA team 41-16.
— Deacons beat Florida State 22-20 in last meeting, in 2019.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 21 career starts.
— Deacons are 9-5-1 ATS last 15 games as home favorites.

— Florida State won seven of last eight series games.
— Seminoles are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Wake.
— Last 24 years, FSU is 2-0 ATS vs Wake as an underdog.

Utah (1-1) @ San Diego State (2-0)
— Utah lost 26-17 at rival BYU LW, giving up 219 YR.
— Last 3+ years, Utes are 2-6-1 ATS out of conference.
— Utah has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Utes have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah’s new quarterback started 39 games at Baylor.
— Last 5+ years, Utah is 11-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— San Diego State beat NM State 28-10, Arizona 38-14.
— Aztecs ran ball for 519 yards in those games.
— San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
— San Diego State has a junior QB with 4 starts.
— Aztecs are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games as home dogs.

— These teams haven’t met since 2010.

Auburn (2-0) @ Penn State (2-0)
— Auburn started season by scoring 60-62 points vs stiffs.
— Harsin is 7-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 26 career starts.
— Last 7 years, Auburn is 4-10 ATS as a road underdog.

— Penn State won 16-10 at Wisconsin, hammered Ball State.
— PSU was outgained 359-297 by the Badgers.
— Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
— Penn State has a junior QB, with 22 starts.
— Nittany Lions are 4-6-1 ATS last 11 games as home favorites.

— These teams haven’t met since 2002.

Virginia (2-0) @ North Carolina (1-1)
— Virginia hammered Illinois 42-14 LW, throwing for 423 yards.
— Cavaliers are 9-3 ATS last dozen non-league games.
— Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
— Virginia has a soph QB with 11 starts.
— Last six years, Cavaliers are 15-11 ATS as a road underdog.

— UNC lost 17-10 at Va Tech, hammered Georgia State 59-17 LW.
— Tar Heels held both opponents this season under 300 yards.
— Tar Heels have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Tech has 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNC has a soph QB with 27 career starts.
— Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS last six games as home favorites.

— Virginia won last four series games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS last seven visits to Kenan Stadium.
— Last two series games ended 38-31/44-41.

Tulane (1-1) @ Ole Miss (2-0)
— Tulane lost 40-35 at Oklahoma, whipped a I-AA team 69-20.
— Green Wave was outgained only 430-396 by the Sooners.
— Green Wave has 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Tulane has 114 returning starts on offensive line.
— Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 11 starts.
— Under Fritz, Tulane is 7-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Ole Miss waxed Louisville 43-24, beat a I-AA team 54-17.
— Rebels are 7-11 ATS out of conference.
— Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
— Rebels’ soph QB has started 16 games.
— Last three years, Ole Miss is 6-4 ATS as home favorite.

— These teams haven’t met since 2012.

Oklahoma State (2-0) @ Boise State (1-1)
— Oklahoma State edged Tulsa 28-23 LW; they were outshined, 347-313.
— OSU is 16-3 ATS in last 19 non-league games.
— Cowboys have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— OSU has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cowboys’ soph QB has started 21 games.
— OSU is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— Boise State lost opener 36-31 at UCF, pounded UTEP 54-13.
— Broncos were outgained 573-283 by Central Florida.
— Boise State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Broncos have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Boise has soph QB who has started 15 games.
— Last 2+ years, Boise is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.

— Oklahoma State (-1) beat Boise 44-21 in ’18; Broncos threw for 380 yards.

Arizona State (2-0) @ BYU (2-0)
— Arizona State beat UNLV 37-10 LW, beat a I-AA team 41-14.
— ASU ran for 287 yards against the Rebels.
— Sun Devils have 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— ASU has 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 18 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 5-10 ATS as a favorite, 2-4 on road.

— BYU beat Arizona 24-16, then upset rival Utah 26-17 LW.
— Last week was first time Cougars beat Utah since 2009.
— Cougars have 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— BYU has 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU’s QB has started two games, won ‘em both.
— Under Sitake, BYU is 3-5-1 ATS as home underdogs.

— Teams haven’t met since 1998.

Fresno State (2-1) @ UCLA (2-0)
— Fresno hammered couple of stiffs, lost 31-24 at Oregon.
— Bulldogs outgained Oregon 373-358, were -2 in turnovers.
— Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Fresno’s QB has nine career starts.
— Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS last ten games as road underdogs.

— UCLA had LW off after beating LSU 38-27.
— Bruins ran ball for 244-210 yards in first two games.
— UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 4-6 ATS as home favorite, 2-0 this year.

— Fresno (-2.5) won 38-14 at UCLA three years ago.
— Bulldogs won last three series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 3

https://i.ibb.co/YR3Mv0w/Screenshot-2021-09-16-at-19-54-09-FCS-Picks-Week-3.png (https://ibb.co/FxKMGHC)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football Week 3 Money Moves
Micah Roberts

We’ve got a few big games in college football’s week 3 action that will surely get the bettors clinging to a side whether it’s Alabama at Florida, Auburn at Penn State, or early bettors taking Tulsa on a 6.5 point ride betting against Ohio State.

“We’re expecting great handle again this week,” said Las Vegas SuperBook manager Randy Blum. “These bettors were a little apprehensive in the first week, but they came strong last week, and we’re seeing similar trends this week.”

Surprisingly, only because I remember decades of games between Nebraska and Oklahoma always being the game of the year, their 87th meeting Saturday hasn’t drawn any interest as the Sooners have been -22 all week at most books.

Station Casinos sportsbook VP Jason Mccormick said their sharpest plays this week have been on Colorado, North Texas (+14 vs. UAB), and Kansas State (+3 vs. Nevada) which all happened after Circa Sports let bettors punch away at early numbers for low limits when opening Sunday at 11 am PT.

Circa opened Minnesota -3 and were pick ‘em by the end of the day. Colorado has been bet up almost everywhere to the 3-point favorite. The Gophers lost star senior RB Mohamed Ibrahim two weeks ago due to a leg injury against Ohio State, but the uncertainty here appears to be what to make of the Buffaloes performance last week in a 10-7 loss against Texas A&M who played with a backup QB for most of the game.

The Kansas State sharp wagers are just a matter of the books and the bettors disagreeing on how much of a difference there is between starting QB Skylar Thompson being out Saturday against Nevada with a leg injury and backup sophomore Will Howard who had lots of snaps last season. Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White says the difference is worth 4.5-point down from Thompson.

The Las Vegas SuperBook has only seen a few sharps make wagers through Thursday afternoon.

“We don’t have a lot of sharp bets in yet, but we did see significant play on Coastal Carolina (at Buffalo) forcing us to move from -11 to -14,” said Blum. “We also saw action on Stanford (at Vanderbilt) that moved us from -10.5 to -12. Eastern Michigan (at U-Mass) moves from -18 to -22, but that was more of a market move for us.”

Then there’s the cautionary move with the market’s number even though no action has forced it. The air move when questions persist about a key player’s health. Keep the book safe, while also giving out a few extra points on the other side for those that want it.

“We moved Utah from -7 to -9, but it was just a precautionary move based on public perception seeing that San Diego State’s quarterback was questionable or didn’t practice,” Blum said. “We didn’t take any action on it either way.”

Aztecs QB Jordan Brookshire didn’t practice Monday and Tuesday and if he doesn’t start Saturday at home (Carson, CA), sixth-year senior backup QB Lucas Johnson will get the start. Johnson appeared to be the front runner for the starting job coming out of spring. There’s really not a dropoff between the two. Most books are still sitting with Utah -9. If it’s announced Brookshire is indeed out, expect another short rise in the number.

But it’s the big games driving the traffic to the books this week. Penn State has won and covered six straight since last season and Auburn has averaged 61 ppg in their first two games.

“Our largest handled game of the week so far is Auburn at Penn State and it’s had great two-way action so far,” Blum said. “We opened Penn State -7 but moved fast downward. Most of all the action on both sides is just the general public.”

Just an FYI on the Penn State game: It starts at 7:30 pm ET and every attending Beaver Stadium has been notified to wear white for the white-out under the lights. Sounds intimidating. Ask yourself why this total has dropped from 53.5 down to 50 when one of the teams has averaged 61 points in two games.

We saw Florida give Alabama a scare in the SEC Championship game last season. The Tide still won, 52-46, but the +16 on a neutral field had Florida bettors cheering with no sweat. Florida’s QB from last season is gone, but so is Alabama’s.

“Alabama at Florida doesn’t have any sharp play yet but we’re seeing good two way action,” Blum said. “I think they (sharps) have a side they like but want to wait until their desired number finally shows before they bet.”

It’s interesting to note that two of the three new QBs at elite programs have already lost with CJ Stroud at Ohio State and DJ Uiagalelei at Clemson. Alabama’s Bryce Young is going to get his first SEC road test at Gainesville. It’s a big step but most bettors are taking a side based on how he does in that spicey environment.

Atlantis Reno sportsbook director Marc Nelson said his top public plays for Saturday are Cincinnati (-3.5 at Indiana), Iowa (-22 vs Kent State), and Alabama. McCormick at Stations has two of those three with Marshall (-10 vs. ECU) instead of Iowa.

Lots of total movement this week but Blum recalled one of his sharp bettors seeking out one game.

“We had sharp money bet a total hard,” Blum said. “They bet the over in Utah State at Air Force pushing us from 50.5 to 54.”

Here’s a look at some of Circa Sports biggest Week 3 moves:

Liberty from -23 to -29 to -27.5 vs. Old Dominion
Arkansas -18 to -23.5 vs. Georgia Southern
Colorado +3 to -3 vs. Minnesota
U-Mass +21 to +17 vs. Eastern Michigan
UTSA -9 to -13 vs. Middle Tennessee State
Tulsa +31 to +24.5 at Ohio State
Baylor -14 to -17.5 at Kansas
San Jose State -3 to -6.5 at Hawaii
Texas A&M -25 to -30 vs. New Mexico
Michigan -24 to -26.5 vs. Northern Illinois

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CLEVELAND is 11-3 SU (11.1 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season in th...

BALTIMORE is 16-39 SU (-24.7 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

CINCINNATI is 4-23 SU (-19.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 31-66 SU (-42.3 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 5-17 SU (-17.1 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 49-24 SU (25.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 6-19 SU (-19.8 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the curr...

CHI WHITE SOX is 15-5 SU (12.2 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 18-33 SU (-18.8 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.

ARIZONA is 7-24 SU (-20.8 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current...

NY METS are 6-25 SU (-22.8 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the c...

MILWAUKEE is 45-22 SU (27.9 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 13-29 SU (-20.2 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season in the...

SAN FRANCISCO is 46-21 SU (29.7 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

OAKLAND is 42-21 SU (26.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, September 18

https://i.ibb.co/KqRSNwf/Screenshot-2021-09-18-at-07-00-06-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/mq1gv82)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, September 18

Trend Report

Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Cleveland is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
NY Yankees is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Baltimore @ Boston
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games

Minnesota @ Toronto
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Colorado @ Washington
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Washington's last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

Detroit @ Tampa Bay
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Chi White Sox @ Texas
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Texas's last 18 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

Seattle @ Kansas City
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Seattle's last 13 games
Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing at home against Seattle

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Chi Cubs @ Milwaukee
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

San Diego @ St. Louis
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ San Francisco
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

Oakland @ LA Angels
Oakland
Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Oakland
LA Angels is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Saturday September 18
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (7:15 p.m. ET)

-- The Brewers are 14-0 this season as a home favorite of at least -200 when facing a starter with an ERA under 7.20.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at Washington (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 0-9 on the road when the total is at least 9 coming off a game where they scored at least 9 runs.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Cincinnati (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Reds are 7-0-1 OU since August 2017 coming off a multi-run win as a home dog where they scored no more than five runs.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (7:15 p.m. ET)

-- Corbin Burnes is 8-0 since May 31 when starting at home.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)