PDA

View Full Version : Sunday 9/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc



Can'tPickAWinner
09-13-2021, 09:42 PM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:38 AM
Nick Borrman Event: Bayer Leverkusen at Stuttgart
Sport/League: GBL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Both Teams to Score & OVER 2.5 Goals (-130)
Germany Bundesliga
Basically buying down the total here from 3.0 to 2.5 as if this thing is going over, it's going to be because both teams get on the board and so far this season, both teams are taking and allowing plenty of chances in their games.
Stuttgart has averaged 2.03 xG per game while allowing 1.60 xGA so far this season thanks to a lot to volume. They are taking 16.8 shots per game which is 3rd in the league behind only Bayern and Dortmund while also putting up 7.5 on goal which is actually the most in the league.
On the flip side, they are allowing 16.5 shots per game which is the most in the league and 6.8 on goal, the 2nd most.
Leverkusen has already scored 12 goals in four games this year while also conceding in three of four games. Their matches are averaging a combined 10.5 shots on goal so far this year and are also coming off another multi goal performance Thursday in the Europa League.
I think we see chances continue a plenty here for both teams especially as Leverkusen may have some tired legs having just played Thursday.
TAKE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE & OVER 2.5 GOALS
Line Parameter: 1% to -150

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:39 AM
Dan Alexander Event: Whipsnakes vs Chaos - PLL Title Game
Sport/League: LAX

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Chaos +1.5 (-105 DraftKings)
If you’ve been rolling with Andy Towers, Blaze Riorden & company during their late season run, you’ve cashed 5 straight tickets on Chaos as 1.5 point underdogs, 4 of those being OUTRIGHT wins. It’s hard to believe that a team that started 0-3 SU & ATS and is the only team to NOT be favored in any game this year has rattled off 7 covers and 6 outright wins. There’s no fluke about it – this team is finding their formula to success.
On the other sideline, the Whipsnakes are looking championship-esque yet again since the return of Matt Rambo & the addition of Jusin Guterding. However, while the Whips come into Sunday’s tilt with a 7-4 overall record, they’re only 2-6 as favorites against the spread with their first cover as -1.5 favorites coming last week. While we may see Rambo, Zed Williams & the Whips hoisting the trophy again come Sunday, I still think there’s enough to warrant a play on Chaos +1.5.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:40 AM
Bobby Ligs Event: (283) Denver Broncos at (284) Jacksonville Jaguars
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Jacksonville Jaguars +6.0 (-110)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:40 AM
Las Vegas Cris Event: (277) Buffalo Bills at (278) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Miami Dolphins +3.0 (-110)
(Free Plays 63-32 66%* *43-21 L/63 67%) Bengals a nice free play winner last week, as part of a +46% ROI +12.4u
Football weekend. This time, let's give out a special play. This is a 4% Client release at 3.5. 4% plays are 70% over the last 83 releases. This was released at +3.5, but I like it at this number also. Both Buffalo and Miami had tough games last week, and Buffalo has to go down and play in heat and humidity in Miami Sunday. Look for a possible drain in energy late in the game. Buffalo was favored by 6 6- at home vs a team that was likely to be worse than Miami this season. Bills lose, while Miami goes into Foxboro and shows they belong in any conversation. How does Buffalo remain a favorite of 3 or more on the road, off a mediocre performance, facing a team that looks good? Josh Allen was mediocre in front of crowds in 2019, one of the lowest-rated QB's. He didn't do well in the Playoffs with crowds, nor last week. Is it unreasonable to think that maybe this is an issue with him? He ran the ball way too much last week, no sliding. He missed his targets. and he GOT PAID in the off-season. Show me you can do it again, Josh. way too much last week, no sliding. He missed his targets. and he GOT PAID in off season. Show me you can do it again, Josh. Miami +3 is a LVC 4% (58-25 70%) (1-0 2021) 70-33 68% +122% 2020 NFL Sides

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:40 AM
Jimmy Adams Event: (269) New Orleans Saints at (270) Carolina Panthers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-110)
This is our “overreaction” game of the week, as all of the public money will be siding with the Saints after their performance last week. Jameis Winston looked as good as possible in a 38-3 win over the Packers. Let’s not forget that this is a guy that had 30 interceptions just a couple seasons ago. We’ll likely see some regression against a Panthers team coming off a win of their own. Sam Darnold came out strong in the win over the Jets, throwing for 279 yards with a couple of TD’s. Christian McCaffrey picked up 187 yards from scrimmage, and we’ll need another great outing from him in this one. New Orleans is also dealing with some COVID issues, so we’ll see how that affects player personnel as the week progresses. This is a great spot to play the home dog getting more than a field goal. Take the Panthers.
Line Parameter: 4 units at +3 or higher, 3 units at +2.5 or lower

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:41 AM
Marco D'Angelo Event: (285) New England Patriots at (286) New York Jets
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: New York Jets +6.0 (-110)

Can't understand how to justify New England being a 6 point road favorite here. The Westgate look ahead line was -3.5 before last weeks games were played. So what did either team do right or wrong to justify the 2.5 point move. Both teams lost but New England lost at home. Too much line value to pass up here in a game with two rookie QB's which means points should be hard to come by. Jets are a live Home Dog!
TAKE JETS +6

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:41 AM
Dwayne Bryant Event: (275) Las Vegas Raiders at (276) Pittsburgh Steelers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 47.0 (-110)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:42 AM
Steve Merril Event: (279) Los Angeles Rams at (280) Indianapolis Colts
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Indianapolis Colts +3.5 (-110)
This is a major flat spot and a textbook “sandwich” game for the Rams as they are coming off a big Sunday Night Football win at home (first time in their new stadium with fans) and now the Rams must travel as a road favorite to play a non-conference opponent. Los Angeles also has a huge look-ahead game on deck next week at home versus the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:42 AM
Tony Mejia Event: (209945) Orlando City SC at (209946) Philadelphia
Sport/League: MLS

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Philadelphia -133
An MLS clash between Eastern Conference playoff hopefuls Orlando City and Philadelphia square off at Subaru Park in Chester on Sunday afternoon. Unfortunately for the visitors, they'll be playing a vital contest without two of their top players since Nani is suspended after catching a red card via two yellows last time out and Andres Perea also was sent off in a frustrating loss to Montreal FC. OC remains in third place in the East while Philadelphia Union is tied for eighth with 32 points, but only six points separate these sides. Without a pair of their top playmakers, look for things to get even tighter. Ride Philadelphia Union on the 3-way money line.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:43 AM
Teddy Covers Event: (287) Minnesota Vikings at (288) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals -3.5 (-110)
Take Arizona (#288)
Experienced bettors know not to overreact to Week 1. That said, when Week 1 was exactly like the preseason, which was exactly like last year, bettors shouldn’t underreact either!
Minnesota was a mediocre team at best last year. They were a mediocre team in preseason action this August, at best. They were a mediocre team at best in Week 1. The Vikings remade their defense in the offseason, not anywhere near the elite stop unit they were earlier in Mike Zimmer’s tenure. Their offensive line remains a problem – just like last year – limiting Dalvin Cook’s ability to run and Kirk Cousins ability to throw downfield. This is NOT a good team, yet the betting markets don’t seem to want to accept that, based on Zimmer’s previous success and the supposedly remade defense for 2021.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals, who weren’t healthy down the stretch last year, looked very healthy in Week 1 – explosive offensively in Kliff Kingsbury’s third year on the job and much better defensively under Vance Joseph this year than they were a year ago. There was nothing fraudulent about either team’s Week 1 showing, yet the betting market adjustments have been limited. They’ll adjust more after Arizona smacks Minnesota on Sunday…….Take the Cardinals.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:43 AM
Dave Cokin Event: (293) Dallas Cowboys at (294) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Dallas Cowboys +3.5 (-115)
Dallas has some advantages here. The Cowboys have had extra time to prep coming out of the Week One Thursday opener. And they should be encouraged with that performance as they played the Super Bowl champs to a virtual dead heat on the road. The offense looked good and if there were any questions about Dak Prescott being back to his pre-injury form, they got dispelled in a hurry. The Cowboys did lose their best defensive player to an injury in practice this week, and while that could create a problem over the next couple months, I don't see it as a big deal in one game. The Chargers played pretty well last week in a win at Washington and I think they're a very capable team. But I still have their home field edge as the least in the league as the Chargers are the "other" team in this stadium. Dallas fans are likely to represent at last half the crowd if not more, so to me this is pretty much a neutral field game. Therefore, getting a field goal or better in a what is on paper a coin flip game, is value I am content with Dallas plus the points is the bet.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:44 AM
Tony Finn Event: (293) Dallas Cowboys at (294) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 19, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Chargers -3.0 (-110)
It is easier to let a blind stranger pull one of my teeth than it is to push in and be vested in the Dallas Cowboys this early 2021 campaign. The Los Angeles Chargers are playing with a second-year quarterback that focused on upgrading the team's offensive line, keeping their special teams healthy,, and issued a warning to all opponents on their schedule you don't know what you are going to get when you take the field to oppose the Los Angeles Boltz.
Most NFL weekend warriors won't issue for former Anthony Lynn led Chargers their due for the Week 1 road victory over Washington earning the "Dub" with a 20-16 final score. Consider the bare-naked truth that the Chargers came into the season with a 7-16 mark in one-run games across the last two years. Credit goes to those who earn it. Kudos to the Chargers offensive line that squared off against The Football Team's talented defensive front and won. The Cowboys offensive line killed it in Week 1, and the 'Boys still lost. Sunday they could be without their Top Three interior lineup in San Diego. Free Play is a rinse and repeat of Week 1, backing the Chargers to hold serve at SoFi and go 2-0 on the season.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:46 AM
Info Plays Sep 19 '21, 6:00 AM in 4h
Soccer | FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen
Play on: Hegelmann Litauen +159 at BetVegas

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Hegelmann Litauen +159

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:46 AM
Bobby Conn Sep 19 '21, 9:00 AM in 7h
Soccer | Leicester vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Play on: Brighton & Hove Albion +170 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Brighton & Hove Albion +170

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:47 AM
Red Dog Sports Sep 19 '21, 10:15 AM in 8h
Soccer | Sevilla vs Real Sociedad
Play on: Draw +224 at pinnacle

draw +224
Nice value on the draw at +224. This match takes place in Spain on Sunday.
Sevilla 1
Real Sociedad 1

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:47 AM
Steve Janus Sep 19 '21, 12:15 PM in 10h
Soccer | Mirandes vs Tenerife
Play on: Tenerife -143 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on Tenerife -143

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:47 AM
Jack Jones Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Patriots vs Jets
Play on: Patriots -6 -103 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: New England Patriots -6
The New England Patriots were as impressive as any 0-1 team last week. They deserved to win the game but lost 16-17 at home to Miami after fumbling going in for what would have likely been the game-winning touchdown.
The Patriots racked up 393 total yards against a good Dolphins defense and averaged 5.6 yards per play. They held the Dolphins to just 259 total yards and 5.0 yards per play, outgaining them by 134 yards for the game and 0.6 yards per play. Mac Jones was impressive in his debut, completing 29-of-39 passes for 281 yards and a touchdown while only taking one sack.
The New York Jets 'only' lost on the road to the Carolina Panthers 19-14. But keep in mind the Panthers were up 16-0 in that game and got pretty vanilla in the second half. But the Panthers were all over Zach Wilson, who clearly has little help with this team. The Jets only averaged 4.2 yards per play and managed 252 total yards while giving up 381 total yards and 6.0 yards per play.
Wilson just lost his best offensive lineman in Mekhi Becton to a season-ending injury last week, so he'll be running for his life again. This is a Jets team with laundry list of injuries already with five offensive linemen on the IR. They just lost one of their best defensive players in S Lamarcus Joyner last week to a season-ending injury as well.
There's just too much on rookie Wilson's shoulders in the early going. And Bill Belichick not only dominates rookie quarterbacks, he is also tremendous coming off a loss. Belichick is 57-34 ATS off a loss as the coach of New England. He is 12-4 ATS in road games off a division loss as the coach of the Patriots. He is also 29-14 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points as their head coach. Bet the Patriots Sunday.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:47 AM
Dennis Macklin Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Texans vs Browns
Play on: Texans +13½ -110 at William Hill

DMack's NFL WEEK II Free Play is on the Houston Texans
Houston is not very good from a talent aspect but .... you could see from their dominating win over Jacksonville that the Texans play hard and can do some things on offense. The Browns are very good but let one get away last week in Kansas City. Expect Cleveland to do what Cleveland does best, run the ball down your throat with their power running game controlling the clock and moving the chains. In my mind the Browns are getting a bit too much love and two touchdowns in an NFL game is two touchdowns. It's a long season and Cleveland doesn't care if it wins by margin in Week II. They just want to get a win and get out with no injuries. Grab the points.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:47 AM
Marc Lawrence Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Bengals vs Bears
Play on: Bears -2 -115 at pinnacle

Play - Chicago Bears (Game 274).
Edges - Bears: 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS last eight games versus AFC North opponents, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games in this series … Bengals: 1-5 SU and 2-6 ATS in games last six games when coming off a win … We recommend a 1* play on Chicago. Thank you and good luck as always.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:48 AM
Jeff Alexander Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Texans vs Browns
Play on: Texans +13½ -110 at William Hill

1* NFL - Texans/Browns FREE PICK on Texans +13.5
Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Houston Texans as a 13.5-point road dog against the Cleveland Browns. No overreactions with these two teams. No one is giving Houston any love for their dominating 37-21 win over the Jags in Week 1, despite the majority of people being on Jacksonville in that game (Jags were favored!). Cleveland on the other hand blew a double-digit lead in a crushing 29-33 loss at the Chiefs.
I get not overreacting with the Browns after losing to KC, but you have to wonder if Cleveland won't suffer a bit of a letdown after that massive game vs the Chiefs. One that hurts even more given how it played out. Browns are also dealing with a number of big injuries. Their offensive line could be decimated, which is going to make it hard for them to run this score up and win by 2 TDs.
I'm not about to say the Texans are a good football team, but this is not the worst team in the league like everyone thought they would be without Watson. Tyrod Taylor can win you games and they got better skill players than they get credit for. I think this will be a lot closer than most. Bet the Texans +13.5!

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:48 AM
Sean Higgs Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Bengals vs Bears
Play on: OVER 44 -115

Sunday NFL FREE PICK and we are going to be going OVER the total between the Bengals and Bears. Chicago defense will give up some points here to the young Cincy offense. I also think being home and, the Bengals an awful 2-14 SU (8-8 ATS) on the road their last 16, we know that the defense will allow some points. Bears offense will get going. And if it isn't, I won't be shocked to see Fields come out to start the 2nd half and inject some new life into the team. Even with Andy behind center, I think the Bears are good for 20+ here. I have no doubt that Cincy gets close to 30. We go OVER the total and have a winning day. ~ Higgs

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:48 AM
ASA Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Patriots vs Jets
Play on: Patriots -6 +100 at linepros

#285 ASA FREE PLAY ON New England -6 over NY Jets, Sunday at 1 PM ET - Patriots lost last Sunday 17-16 at home vs Miami but completely outplayed the Fins. New England was +8 first downs, +134 total yards, and +13 minutes time of possession. Now off a loss they should have won, we expect a great effort. We love Belichick off a loss + facing a rookie QB which he usually eats alive. The Jets had practically no running game last week vs Carolina (2.6 YPC) and they are facing a better defensive front this week. With no running game the offensive success will fall on rookie QB Wilson who will also be without his starting left tackle Becton who was injured last week. That’s a tall ask vs a Belichick led defense that thrives and crushing rookie QB’s. The Patriots have won 18 of the last 20 in this series and the Jets have covered only 2 of their last 14 division games. New England wins by a TD or more here.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:49 AM
Teddy Davis Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Rams vs Colts
Play on: Rams -3½ -106 at pinnacle

I know the betting public will be all over the Rams here as well. Let's be honest here though exactly what do you like about the Colts here besides this being a smelly line? The Colts were completely owned last week against the Seahawks and the deep ball hurt them. Wentz didn't show anything to deserve to being back here. I know the Rams defense against the run wasn't great but I think Stafford and company their big play ability that was put on display Sunday night will be the difference here and they cover this short number.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:49 AM
Rob Vinciletti Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Raiders vs Steelers
Play on: Raiders +6½ -102 at pinnacle

Sunday card has the NFC South Game of the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Move, the Sunday night NBC Power play, MLB and Soccer. NFL 5-1 last week. Comp play below.
The NFL Comp Play is on the Las Vegas Raiders at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders fit a nice week 2 specific System that pertains to teams that put up over 515 yards in a week 1 game. These team have covered 12 of 14 dating back to 1990. The Raiders stormed back against an above average Raven defense. They have now covered 6 of 7 after allowing 360 or more yards and 4 of 5 as a dog. The Steelers had a nice game plan vs the Bills and pulled a big road upset despite not blitzing Josh Allen much at all. The Steelers were out yarded in the game by over 100 yards and have failed to cover the last 4 as a favorite an 4 of 5 after allowing over 350 yards. They have dropped 5 of 6 to the spread vs AFC West teams. Vegas has covered the last 4 in the series. We will take the points in this one. On Sunday Rob look to improve on last weeks 5-1 NFL Record with the NFC South Game of the Year, an Executive Level tier 1 Move, Sunday night Perfect System Play on NBC, MLB 5* Banger system and big soccer plays. Jump on and cash out all day and night. For the Comp play. Take the points with the Raiders. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:49 AM
Brandon Lee Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Saints vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers +3½ -114 at linepros

FREE PICK - Carolina Panthers +3.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 269
I really like the Panthers as a 3.5-point home dog against the Saints in Week 2. Going from Week 1 to Week 2, it's all about figuring out who is for real based off the Week 1 scores. Both of these teams won in Week 1, but no one is crowning Carolina a contender for beating the Jets at home. New Orleans is a different story. The Saints had the most shocking score of Week 1, as they rolled Aaron Rodgers and the Packers 38-3.
Clearly New Orleans is better than we probably gave them credit for with Jameis Winston at quarterback, but let's not rule out the Packers not being a good team right now. I know it's hard to not just think that's a bad game because GB has an elite QB in Rodgers, but he's been nothing but a distraction this offseason. He didn't play anywhere close to what we would expect, completing 15 of 28 for 133 yards with 0 TDs and 2 INTs (hasn't had more than 5 INT for the season the last 3 years).
As for Carolina and their win over the Jets. Yes they only won by a final score of 19-14, but they 100% dominated that game. The Panthers never trailed and were up 16-0 late into the 3rd quarter. They had 1st and 10 on the Jets 13 and didn't score and 1st and Goal on the Jets 6 and had to settle for a field goal. They could have easily been up 28-0 at the half!
You also have to factor in what New Orleans is going through with them not being able to use their home facilities. It's certainly a disadvantage and you got to wonder if they won't be a little flat on the road. I also need to see Winson play well in a true road game to buy into the hype. Give me the Panthers +3.5!

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:49 AM
John Martin Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Raiders vs Steelers
Play on: Steelers -6 -110 at Caesars

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh Steelers -6
This is such a bad spot for the Oakland Raiders. They are coming off a massive overtime win on Monday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens. It was a monumental win for their franchise as it was the first time fans were allowed inside their new Allegiant Stadium, and the place was rocking. Now the Raiders have to travel on the road on a short week for an early 1:00 EST start time, which will be a 10:00 AM body clock game. This reminds me a lot of last year when the Raiders had just played the Chiefs to the wire the previous week, then went on the road and laid an egg in an early start time game in a 43-6 loss to the Falcons. The Steelers have an elite defense and that showed last week in a 23-16 win at Buffalo as 6.5-point dogs. Their offense will only get sharper as the season goes on, and they take a step down in class here against this Raiders defense compared to that Buffalo defense. The Raiders also came out of that game against the Ravens with a ton of injuries. Give me the Steelers.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:50 AM
Sean Murphy Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 11h
NFL | Patriots vs Jets
Play on: Patriots -5½ -110 at William Hill

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New England minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday.
Lost in the Patriots narrow loss to the Dolphins in a low-scoring home-opener last week was the fact that rookie QB Mac Jones was just fine in his first career NFL start. Jones took care of the football and made all the plays that were asked of him against a challenging opponent in the Miami Dolphins. Here, Jones takes a step down in class against the Jets, who boast one of the league's weakest pass defenses that certainly doesn't get any better after losing a key cog in FS LaMarcus Joyner to injury last week. That wasn't the only key injury suffered by the Jets last Sunday. They'll also have to make do without one of their best players in LT Mekhi Becton. An already weak offensive line gets exponentially worse without Becton. As usual, injuries on the offensive line don't warrant nearly the headlines as those to skill position players. Often, they're equally if not more important, however, and I believe that's the case with Becton. Look for the Pats to make life difficult on rookie QB Zach Wilson who comes off an absolute beatdown at the hands of the Panthers last Sunday. Wilson will make a few splash plays downfield while running for his life in this one, but it won't be enough to keep the Jets competitive. Take New England.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:50 AM
Rocky Atkinson Sep 19 '21, 4:05 PM in 14h
NFL | Vikings vs Cardinals
Play on: Vikings +3½ -100 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 9-19-21
Minnesota @ Arizona (4:05 PM EST)
Play On: Minnesota +3 1/2
The Minnesota Vikings travel to Arizona to take on the Cardinals on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota is 0-1 overall this season while Arizona comes in with a 1-0 record on the year. Minnesota had 336 yards passing and 403 total yards in their opener last weekend. Arizona looked incredible in their road win over Tennessee in Week One. I don't think anybody saw Arizona winning by that much over a decent Tennessee team. Right now I'm seeing 82% of the tickets on Arizona in this one which don't surprise me a bit but the line hasn't moved but 1/2 point making me believe their is some smart money on the Vikings here. Minnesota is 38-17 ATS last 55 games after a SU loss. Arizona is 7-19 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite. Arizona is 0-4 ATS last 4 games after scoring 30 points or more in their previous game. The Underdog is 6-2-2 ATS last 10 meetings overall in this series. Minnesota is 3-0-2 ATS last 5 meetings overall vs Arizona. I'll lean to the Minnesota Vikings to keep this one close and could even get the surprise outright win. Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:50 AM
Dave Price Sep 19 '21, 8:20 PM in 18h
NFL | Chiefs vs Ravens
Play on: Ravens +4 -110 at SC Consensus

Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on Baltimore Ravens +4
The Key: The Baltimore Ravens were 2.5-point underdogs in the lookahead line before they played Monday night against the Raiders. Now they are 4-point dogs to the Chiefs. I like the price we are getting with the Ravens here. They need this game like blood to avoid falling to 0-2. And we will get a big effort from them because of it. They have the formula to beat the Chiefs. They led the NFL in rushing last year and do a great job of controlling the clock. They will take that approach here against a Chiefs team that was fortunate to beat the Browns 33-29 in their opener after erasing a double-digit deficit. The Chiefs allowed 153 rushing yards and 5.9 YPC against the Browns. Lamar Jackson and company will be able to run wild on them as well. Some key defenders in S Matthieu, LB Hitchens and DE Clark are all questionable for the Chiefs this week. The Chiefs are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall and have been getting too much respect consistently. The Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Take Baltimore.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 01:51 AM
Joseph D'Amico Sep 19 '21, 8:20 PM in 18h
NFL | Chiefs vs Ravens
Play on: OVER 54½ -105

I was 7-2 in NFL preseason action and went 2-1 last Sunday. This Sunday I settle for nothing less than perfection: NFL HIGH ROLLER which are 1-0 this season (60 % LY) and my 62-14 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE (1-0 TY). Come with me here and LET’S BE PERFECT!
Sunday’s NFL FREE WINNER: OVER in the Chiefs/Ravens matchup.
Games 295/296.
5:20 pm pst.
Once this game is in the books, the electrical crew at M&T Stadium are going to need to change out all the light bulbs in the scoreboards because these two teams are gonna’ score so many points, bulbs are gonna’ burn out folks. Sports fans, once again the Chiefs are all OFFENSE, OFFENSE, and what else…oh yeah… OFFENSE. They put up 33 points on the Browns in their season opener. While allowing Cleveland to post 29 points on them. I was in attendance this past Monday Night at Allegiant Stadium as 60 points were scored by the Raiders and Ravens. Baltimore is supposed to have a good defense. But I saw a very disorganized Las Vegas offense accomplish big play after big play. Well, the best big play team in the NFL is coming to town here. Neither team is going to let up offensively especially when neither defense can stop the opposing offense from scoring. Look for both Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson to have probably one of their best games this year. The last four meetings in this series, have seen three overs. The over is 16-6 in KC’s L22 in the month of September, 4-1 in their L5 vs. the AFC, 4-1 in the Ravens L5 at home, and 11-5 in their L16 vs. the AFC. Take the over. Thank you.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 07:47 AM
Al Cimaglia: The Red Mile Pick 5 Analysis September 19, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
This afternoon The Red Mile has eight $250,000 stakes scheduled as two-and-three-olds will be taking part in the Kentucky Championship Series Finals. The 0.50 Pick 5 starts in Race 2, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 2

3-Pebble Beach (4/5)-Winner in 5 of 6 has had his way with this kind with the only loss coming to Caviart Camden and that was by a neck in a 148.3 losing effort. TMac has options, could beat this field taking control early on or could come off a helmet as in last. Looks like a winner with a decent trip and has an explosive brush.

Race 3

1-Cuatro De Julio (4-1)-Competitive colt has been in the money in 16 of 22 lifetime starts. Seems to be always in the hunt down the lane unless buried with a bad post or makes a break. Trotted home in 54.1 with a snappy 26.1 last quarter to take a picture versus 4 from this field on 9-7. Will look for another big effort at a fair price.
7-Venerate (3-1)-Julie Miller trainee had issues this year but has looked more like herself in the last 2 races. One of these starts Andy Miller may leave but has a shot either way. There is speed on the inside and the fractions could be lively, so best to not overlook. Trotted the 2nd half in 54.2 in last, to lose to the one above by only a nose.

Race 4

1-Lady Chaos (7/2)-Races better near the top of the stack and in the last 2 the post draws haven't been too kind. Might get overlooked at the windows and Dave Miller should have in play as soon as the wings fold. Needs the right trip and has a good chance of getting one.
2-Empressive Hill (3-1)-This is probably the fastest trotter in the field has won 5 of 7 in 2021. But does throw a few steps in every now and then, which was the case in her last race. Went off at 1/2 that day and was in against most of this field, so the 3-1 morning line seems generous.
5-Beltassima (9/5)-Beat #3 at an 8-1 price and led from gate to wire in last. Has been tagged today as the 9/5 program chalk and has hit the board in 7 of 10 at Lex with 5 pictures. Should be a main player.

Race 5

4-Thebeachiscalling (2-1)-There was no beating #6 on 9-12 as she cruised home in 147.1 and was 7 lengths better than this filly who finished 2nd. But if the odds-on choice doesn't have her fast ball this gal has faced top competition out East. My guess is Dunn will be closer to the lead turning for home in her 2nd start at the Red Mile.
6-Blue Diamond Eyes (1-1)-Looked like a jet plane before takeoff in last and anything close to that effort will be enough for the top check. But that sizzling mile was only 6 days ago and much faster than any effort this year.

Race 6

1-Goldie Legacy (7/5)-Cullipher pupil has been razor sharp in the last 5 races and is looking for the 3rd straight picture. Wins by being on the point and Gingras will be out and winging to protect the rail.
2-Komodo Beach (3-1)-Pelling trainee has been a bridesmaid in the last 2 starts and gets a chance for some revenge over #1. Using instead of the morning line chalk #4 who is only 1-7 at Lex and recent form has been dull. This son of Somebeachsomewhere could get a pocket ride and then roll by #1 down the lane as was the case on 8-22.


0.50 Pick 5

3/1,7/1,2,5/4,6/1,2
Total Bet=$12

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 07:49 AM
NFL

Sunday games
New Orleans (1-0) @ Carolina (1-0)
— Saints pasted Green Bay 38-3 LW; Winston threw 5 TD passes.
— Saints are 18-6 ATS in last 24 games on natural grass.
— Last 3 years, New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in NFC South road games.
— Saints are 2-9 ATS in last 11 road openers.
— Saints had five assistant coaches test positive for COVID this week.
— Last 5 years, New Orleans is 16-6 ATS as a road favorite.

— Panthers held Jets to 45 yards rushing, beat them 19-14 LW.
— Panthers outgained Jets 381-252, led 16-0 at halftime.
— Darnold threw for 279 yards in his Carolina debut.
— Last two years, Carolina is 0-6 ATS at home vs NFC South rivals.
— Last 4+ years, over is 20-13 in Panther home games.
— Last 2 years, Carolina is 1-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

— Saints won eight of last nine series games.
— New Orleans won last four visits to Charlotte by average of 30-10.
— Underdogs are 5-2 ATS last seven series games.

Houston (1-0) @ Cleveland (0-1)
— Texans ran ball for 160 yards, beat Jaguars 37-21 LW.
— Houston converted 12-21 on third down, were +3 in turnovers.
— Last three years, Texans are 9-6 ATS as road underdogs.
— Texans covered three of last four road openers.
— Over last decade, Houston is 2-3 ATS as double digit underdogs.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten road openers.

— Browns blew 22-10 lead, lost 32-29 at Kansas City LW.
— Browns ran for 153 yards, were -2 in turnovers, only 2-7 on 3rd down.
— Cleveland is 0-7 ATS as a favorite in their home opener.
— Browns are 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games as home favorite.
— Browns were double digit favorite once in last 10 years (W41-24, -10.5)
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.

— Houston won five of last six series games.
— Browns (-4) beat Texans 10-7 LY; both TD’s were in 4th quarter.
— Texans lost three of five visits to Cleveland.

Cincinnati (1-0) @ Chicago (0-1)
— Cincinnati edged Minnesota 27-24 in OT last week.
— Bengals converted only 3-14 on third down vs Vikings.
— Last 20 years; Bengals are 7-2 ATS in Week 2 if they won in Week 1.
— Bengals are 8-13 ATS last 21 games vs NFC opponents.
— Bengals covered six of last seven road openers.
— Over is 10-2 in their last dozen road openers.

— Chicago (+7.5) lost 34-14 in Los Angeles LW.
— Bears are 2-4 ATS last six road openers.
— Last four years, Chicago is 5-8 ATS as home favorite.
— Bears are 2-5 ATS in last seven home openers.
— Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven home openers.
— Dalton started 133 games for Bengals (70-61-2, 2011-19)

— Bears won last two series games, but are 5-6 overall vs Cincy.
— Bengals won four of six visits to Chicago.

Las Vegas (1-0) @ Pittsburgh (1-0)
— Tough scheduling spot for Raiders, after Monday nite home game.
— Las Vegas threw for 409 yards in their OT win Monday.
— Last two years, Raiders are 7-4 ATS as road underdogs.
— Las Vegas is 6-1-1 ATS in last eight road openers.
— Raiders converted 7-15 on 3rd down Monday, Ravens only 3-12.
— Over was 6-2 in Raider road games LY.

— Steelers won opener 23-16 in Buffalo; they were down 10-0 at half.
— Steelers blocked punt for a TD last week.
— Pitt converted only 4-12 on third down, Buffalo 8-18.
— Last 8 years, Pittsburgh is 28-23 ATS as home favorites.
— Pittsburgh is 10-6 ATS last 16 home openers (0-3 last three)
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 home openers.

— Raiders won five of last seven series games; teams last met in ’18.
— Raiders lost 35-3/38-35 in last two visits here; their last win here was in ’09.

Buffalo (0-1) @ Miami (1-0)
— Bills lost opener 23-16 to Steelers LW; they led 10-0 at half.
— Buffalo outgained Steelers 371-252, but had punt blocked for TD.
— Last 3 years, Bills are 5-3 ATS as road favorite.
— Buffalo is 11-8 ATS in last 19 road openers.
— McDermott is 17-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Over was 5-1-2 in Buffalo road games LY.

— Miami won opener 17-16 at New England last week.
— Dolphins were outgained 393-259 in Foxboro LW.
— Last five years, Miami is 14-8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Tagovailoa is 7-3 SU as Miami’s starting QB.
— Dolphins are 6-3 ATS in last nine home openers.
— Over is 11-1 in their last dozen home openers.

— Buffalo won last five series games, four of them by 10+ points.
— Bills waxed Miami 56-26 in Week 17 LY.
— Buffalo won four of last six visits to South Beach.

LA Rams (1-0) @ Indianapolis (0-1)
— Rams won opener 34-14; Stafford threw for 321 yards, 3 TD’s.
— Rams averaged 11.6 yards/pass attempt last week.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 SU in road openers (3-1 ATS).
— Last four years, Rams are 8-8 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Under McVay, LA is 13-10 ATS as road favorites.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten road openers.

— Colts lost 28-16 at home to Seattle LW.
— Seahawks averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Last 5+ years, Indy is 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Wentz is 35-34-1 as an NFL starter.
— Colts are 17-7-1 ATS last 25 games vs NFC opponents.
— Under is 19-14 in their last 33 home games.

— Rams won last two series games, 38-8/46-9.
— Rams split four visits to Indianapolis.
— McVay’s first game as Rams’ coach was 46-9 win over Indy in 2017.

San Francisco (1-0) @ Philadelphia (1-0)
— 49ers won opener 41-33 at Detroit; they led 38-10 at one point.
— 49ers averaged 11.5 yards/pass attempt LW, were minus-2 in turnovers.
— Niners are 5-4 ATS last nine games as road favorite.
— 49ers had eight plays of 20+ yards LW, tied for most in NFL
— Last 4+ years, over is 18-15 in 49er road games.
— 49ers stayed east this week, at Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia.

— Eagles won opener 32-6 in Atlanta, running ball for 173 yards.
— Eagles outgained Falcons 434-260, held Atlanta to 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Philly is only NFL team that hasn’t allowed a play of 20+ yards.
— Last 5 years, Eagles are 8-4 ATS as home underdogs.
— Philly won four of last five home openers.
— Last five years, under is 28-12 in Eagle home games.

— Eagles won seven of last nine series games.
— Philly (+9) won 25-20 @ San Francisco LY.
— 49ers lost three of last four visits to Philadelphia.

Denver (1-0) @ Jacksonville (0-1)
— Denver (-3) won its opener 27-13 at the Giants LW.
— Denver ran for 165 yards, outgained Giants 420-314.
— Last six times they won their opener, Denver also won in Week 2.
— Bridegwater is now 27-24 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last 4 years, Broncos are 4-6 ATS as road favorites.
— Last 3+ years, under is 16-9 in Denver road games.

— Jaguars (-3) were minus-3 in turnovers, lost 37-21 in Houston LW.
— Texans converted 12-21 on 3rd down, outgained Jaguars 449-395.
— Last two years, Jacksonville is 5-7 ATS as home underdogs.
— Jaguars covered their last four home openers (2-2 SU)
— Rookie QB Lawrence threw for 332 yards in his NFL debut.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home openers.

— Jaguars are 7-6 overall vs Denver.
— Home teams lost five of last seven series games.
— Broncos lost three of last five visits to Jacksonville.

New England (0-1) @ NJ Jets (0-1)
— Patriots (-3) lost opener 17-16 at home to Miami LW.
— Patriots outgained Dolphins 393-259, scored 13 points on four red zone drives.
— Last three years, Patriots are 8-10 ATS as road favorites.
— New England won/covered four of last five road openers.
— Patriots haven’t been 0-2 since 2001.
— Under 7-2 last nine road openers.

— Jets have new coach, new QB.
— Starting QB is rookie Wilson, from BYU.
— Jets started 0-2 three of last four years.
— Last four years, Gang Green is 14-8-2 ATS as home dogs.
— Jets are 6-2 ATS in last eight home openers.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.

— New England won last ten series games.
— Six of their last seven series wins were by 14+ points.
— Patriots won last five visits here (three by 7 or less points)

Minnesota (0-1) @ Arizona (1-0)
— Vikings (-3) lost opener 27-24 in OT at Cincinnati.
— Minnesota threw ball for 336 yards, gave up 149 yards on ground.
— Last four years, Vikings are 0-4 SU/ATS in Week 2.
— Last five years, Minnesota is 8-13 ATS as road underdog.
— Last five years, Vikings are 11-13 ATS on natural grass.
— Over is 10-7 in Minnesota’s last 17 road games.

— Arizona (+3) crushed Tennessee 38-13 in its opener.
— Cardinals outgained Titans 416-251, had 17-yard edge in field position.
— Redbirds scored five TD’s on 11 drives last week.
— Last three years, Arizona is 2-7 ATS as home favorites.
— Cardinals are 1-3-1 ATS in last five home openers
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine home openers.

— Minnesota won five of last six series games.
— Vikings lost last three trips to Arizona; their last win here was in ’97.
— Home side won last seven series games.

Atlanta (0-1) @ Tampa Bay (1-0)
— Falcons got pummeled 32-6 at home last week.
— Eagles outgained them 434-260, running for 173 yards.
— Falcons are only NFL team that hasn’t had a play of 20+ yards.
— Last four years, Atlanta is 8-12 ATS as road underdog.
— Falcons are 4-10 ATS in last 14 road openers.
— Under is 6-2 in Atlanta’s last eight road openers.

— Buccaneers (-9) won opener 31-29 over Dallas last Thursday.
— Tampa Bay threw 50 passes, ran ball only 14 times LW.
— Buccaneers turned ball over four times (-3) LW.
— Three of their four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Last 7+ years, Tampa Bay is 7-19-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 10-6 in their last sixteen home games.

— Tampa Bay won last three series games, by 13-4-17 points.
— Falcons won four of last five visits to Tampa.
— Underdogs are 6-4 ATS last ten series games.

Tennessee (0-1) @ Seattle (1-0)
— Tennessee got spanked 38-13 at home by Arizona LW.
— Titans were outgained 416-251; Henry ran for only 58 yards.
— Last three years, Tennessee is 7-5 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last 6+ years, Titans are 14-10-1 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Titans are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine road openers.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine road openers.

— Seahawks (-3) won opener 28-16 at Indianapolis.
— Seattle ran for 140 yards, allowed only one play of 20+ yards.
— Seattle is 11-8-2 ATS in last 21 games as home favorites.
— Seahawks are 14-4 ATS in last 18 home openers.
— Seattle is 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games vs AFC teams.
— Under is 16-3-1 in last 20 home openers.

— Seahawks won six of last eight series games.
— Titans lost seven of nine visits to Seattle.
— Last eight series games were decided by 7 or fewer points.

Dallas (0-1) @ LA Chargers (1-0)
— Dallas lost opener 31-29 in Tampa; Prescott threw for 403 yards.
— Cowboys lost despite being +3 in turnovers- they were 9-17 on 3rd down.
— Dallas scored only 12 points on four red zone drives LW.
— Last 4+ years, Cowboys are 6-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Dallas threw 58 passes, ran ball 18 times LW.
— Cowboys have three extra days to prep, playing on Thursday LW.

— Chargers (+1) won opener 20-16 at Washington.
— Bolts converted 14-19 third down plays last week.
— Chargers outgained Washington 424-259, throwing for 334 yards.
— Last three years, Bolts were 3-13-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Chargers are 7-4 ATS last 11 home openers.
— This is Chargers’ first game at SoFi Stadium with fans.

— Chargers won last three series games.
— Dallas won four of its last six visits to San Diego.

Kansas City (1-0) @ Baltimore (0-1)
— Chiefs (-5.5) beat Cleveland 32-29 in their opener.
— Chiefs were outgained 457-397, were +2 in turnovers.
— KC averaged 8.5 yards/pass attempt, Browns 11.5.
— Last six years, Chiefs are 17-11-1 ATS as road favorites.
— KC won last four road openers (3-1 ATS).
— Over 4-2 in their last six road openers.

— Baltimore lost opener 33-27 (OT) in Las Vegas Monday nite.
— Ravens were outgained 491-406; Carr threw for 435 yards.
— Last three years, Ravens are 7-0-1 ATS as a single-digit dog.
— Last five years, Baltimore is 4-1 ATS as home dogs.
— Last three years, Ravens are 5-7-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Ravens have been 0-2 once since 2006.

— Chiefs won last four series games (average total, 53.5)
— Chiefs won five of last six visits to Baltimore.
— Kansas City scored 32 ppg in last four series games.

Detroit (0-1) @ Green Bay (0-1)
— Lions lost opener 41-33 LW, after trailing 38-10.
— 49ers averaged 11.5 yards/pass attempt against them.
— Goff threw for 338 yards in his Detroit debut.
— Last three years, Detroit is 9-8-1 ATS as road underdogs.
— Lions are 2-4 ATS in last six road openers.
— Goff is 0-8 SU (1-7 ATS) with coach other than McVay.

— Green Bay got whacked 38-3 by New Orleans LW.
— Packers ran ball for only 43 yards; they were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Green Bay was one of two teams not to score TD last week.
— Last two years, Packers were 10-6 ATS as home favorites.
— Green Bay is 11-3 ATS in last 14 home openers.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four home openers.

— Packers won last four series games (42-21/31-24 LY)
— Lions split their last six visits to Lambeau Field.
— Goff lost playoff game 32-18 here last year.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 07:54 AM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#5 General's Duty
Debuter should be a square price in a race with a couple of more obvious options, and this one-mile trip might be right up his alley. Get a look at him on the track.


#3 Bust'em Kurt
Speed nearly scored in the debut at Monmouth, and he should be able to handle the one-turn mile. He's the one to beat here at a likely underlaid price.


#6 Bold Leader
He ran on with some interest from well off the pace in the debut try behind a runaway winner, and he's probably going to get better as the distances get a bit longer.


Race Summary
General's Duty has a little bit of appeal if the price is right, and the jockey/trainer combo has had some success in the past. Wouldn't be a shock.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#9 King Bubble
He's interesting while stepping up in class, as he's a perfect 3-for-3 on the grass in the states and might be able to get the right kind of trip while getting first jump on the finishing threats.


#4 Beacon Hill
He should be right up on the splits, but there is at least some chance the fractions are fair today, so maybe he's vulnerable late at a bit too short a price.


#8 Mokheef
Class dropper cuts back after that stakes try, and he's a pretty reliable finisher who can show up late. I'd definitely want him on the multi-race plays.


Race Summary
King Bubble brings solid form to this class hike, and his overall turf form has been really sharp throughout his career. He's obviously had some issues along the way, as today marks just his 12th start here as a 6yo, but the form fits and the price might be right.


Laurel Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#9 Empty Net
She seemed to like the turf just fine last out, and she should be able to sit right up on the splits in a race without a ton of other pace. Dangerous to close the day.


#6 My Dream Girl
She is tactical enough to work out a good trip today, but her overall form is sort of static and may not be good enough to get top honors here.


#8 Superstasia
The debut running line in the PPs isn't right -- she was never within a length of the leader and never a threat -- but she gets blinkers here while stretching out, and there are reasons to think both of those will work in her favor.


Race Summary
Empty Net is fast enough to control the tempo, and she might be a bit better this time around after getting that first route try out of the way.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 07:55 AM
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Golden Gate Fields - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Clearly Gone
Tired last time going longer in her first off the claim by Wong; won two straight claiming races, the first at Santa Anita and most recent at Del Mar. Can close strongly and will be the one to hold off.


#4 Scherzo
Was second at this level last time and turns back to 1 1-16th miles; can be mid-pack and should be able to move into strong contention.


#1 Prance
Lost photos in her last two here and dropping in class; can be close throughout.


Race Summary
Clearly Gone ran an odd race for her last time as she was pushed early; she can get back to a more relaxed early run and can make an impact in the yards.


Golden Gate Fields - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Miss Union
Was an easy winner in her debut that held third in her second and most recent start; has enough speed to get an inside advantage and can respond late.


#3 Code Ribbon
Lost a photo in her first over this strip after a maiden win at Pleasanton; has a good chance to improve as she run longer.


#2 Loveherheart
Tired in the G2 Sorrento at Del Mar last out and faced tough foes at Santa Anita as well; probably on the front end here.


Race Summary
Miss Union can get an ideal trip inside and maybe a length or two off the leader and can finish well vs. these.


Golden Gate Fields - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#6 Coolcross
Will have a good stalking position and can display the best late move in a field that has many that will be distance challenged. Good enough to score here.


#3 Bigfoot City
Was claimed by France out of a second-place finish last out; comes back for the same price and be on the front end.


#1 I Will Yeah
Tired last time against much better and can get back to decent form with this class drop.


Race Summary
Coolcross can benefit from chasing a pace that should play right to her liking; one to hold off.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:10 AM
Mike Wynn Free Pick: NY Jets +6 over New England

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:13 AM
Black Widow Sep 19 '21, 1:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Rockies vs Nationals
Play on: Rockies +105 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rockies +105

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:14 AM
Will Rogers Sep 19 '21, 4:25 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Chargers
Play on: Chargers -3 -106 at pinnacle

Cowboys vs Chargers
It is Herbert and the Chargers at home to Prescott and the Cowboys on Sunday. The Chargers are favored at -3.5. While both quarterbacks were excellent in week one, Herbert and the Chargers’ offense was particularly impressive in converting third downs and controlling the last 6+ minutes with a long sustained drive. The Chargers offensive line was very solid.
There were many concerns about Prescott following last years’ serious ankle injury, but he put them to rest with over 32 completions and 400 passing yards.
Key injuries and a suspension may have a profound effect on this game as the Cowboys for the second year running face a serious depletion in ranks early. The Cowboys had 0 sacks in week one, and with Lawrence and Gregory likely out, the Dallas passing rush will be seriously curtailed. With Collins also out, the Cowboys’ offensive line will struggle to contain All-Pro Joey Bosa and the chargin’ Chargers’ pass rush. Will we see more of Zeke Elliott? Pass protection aside, he had a miserable game in week 1. Certainly it is doubtful that Prescott will be allowed to approach 50 pass attempts again.
The Chargers are well coached, and relatively healthy. Sure, the Cowboys are not going to want to go 0-2, but there is the same impetus for the Chargers to rise to the dizzy heights of 2-0. Lay the points with the Chargers.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:15 AM
Stephen Nover Sep 19 '21, 4:25 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Chargers
Play on: OVER 54½ -104

The O.K. Corral has nothing on the Cowboys-Chargers when it comes to shootout time. The oddsmaker knows this setting a high total in this matchup. It's just not high enough given the circumstances and when you break down the matchup. Mike McCarthy knows the best defense is a good offense because his Cowboys can't stop anybody. Dallas surrendered the second-most yards in franchise history last season and the most points at nearly 30 a game. Tom Brady threw for 379 yards and four TD's in the Buccaneers' 31-29 opening week victory versus Dallas. Now the Cowboys face emerging superstar Justin Herbert likely minus their two best pass rushers. DeMarcus Lawrence is out with a broken foot suffered in practice and Randy Gregory tested positive for COVID-19. Dak Prescott has averaged 51.8 passes in five games since McCarthy took over. He's thrown for at least 400 yards in the past four games he's finished. Prescott has a deep set of wide receivers, two decent tight end targets and Elliott Elliott is an elite running back. LA is minus cornerback Chris Harris, out with a shoulder injury. Herbet threw for 337 yards against a much superior Washington defense last week. He, too, has very good wideouts, an excellent all-purpose back in Austin Ekeler and a much-improved offensive line that gave up only two sacks on Herbert's 49 dropbacks against Washington.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:16 AM
Kyle Hunter Sep 19 '21, 8:20 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Ravens
Play on: Chiefs -3½ -106 at pinnacle

*3 Star Free Play on Chiefs -3.5* The Baltimore Ravens have major injury problems right now. Baltimore is without Marcus Peters in the secondary and Jimmy Smith is questionable with an injury. You don't want to be down key guys in the secondary when going up against Patrick Mahomes.
Baltimore is without their top two running backs in JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards. The Ravens are also banged up badly on the offensive line. Lamar Jackson doesn't have nearly the help around him that he had last season.
Kansas City has beaten Baltimore soundly in the past, and I think they do it again. The Ravens blitz Mahomes too often, and we know Mahomes is a master against the blitz. If they try blitzing this much again without key guys in the secondary, the Chiefs are going to hit several big plays.
Baltimore had a short week to prepare, and the Ravens are just outclassed in their current state.
Take Kansas City.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:16 AM
Scott Rickenbach Sep 19 '21, 9:00 AM in 46m
Soccer | Leicester vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Play on: Leicester +185 at linepros

Free Pick LEICESTER +185 - Ton of value here with the road dog in my opinion. Leicester is looking up at Brighton & Hove in the table at this early stage of the season. However, the travelers have played the much tougher fixtures in comparison with the hosts. Also, Leicester has dominated recent history in matches between these clubs. That said, the big plus money price on the visitors is well worth a look in this one. Free Pick LEICESTER +185

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:17 AM
Hunter Price Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Chicago Fire vs Montreal
Play on: Montreal +100 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on Montreal +100

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:19 AM
Kenny Walker Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Saints vs Panthers
Play on: Saints -3 -110 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Saints

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 08:19 AM
Larry Ness Sep 19 '21, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Patriots vs Jets
Play on: Patriots -6 -102 at pinnacle

My free play is on the NE Patriots at 1:00 ET.

It will be a 'battle' between two rookie QBs Sunday in East Rutherford (NJ), as Mac Jones (No. 15 overall pick) and the New England Patriots visit Zach Wilson (No. 2 overall pick) and the New York Jets. Neither highly-touted QB was victorious in their respective NFL debuts last Sunday. Jones finished 29-for-39 with 281 yards and a touchdown in New England's 17-16 home loss against Miami, while Wilson threw for 258 yards, two TDs and an interception on 20-for-37 passing in New York's 19-14 defeat at Carolina. However, a closer look reveals that the Patriots outgained the Dolphins by 134 yards, converted 11 of 16 third-down attempts and controlled the clock, 36:43-23:17. Somehow, the Pats found a way to lose by ONE point. Meanwhile, Wilson was sacked SIX times and got NO support from his running game (17 carries for 45 yards / 2.6 YC). The Jets would total just 252 yards (converted just 4 of 13 on third downs) and trailed 16-0 at the half.
History favors the Pats, as the Jets dropped both games against New England a season ago and have lost 10 straight meetings over the last five seasons. The Jets' last win against the Patriots was a 26-20 overtime victory back on Dec 27, 2015 at home. New England head coach Bill Belichick has seen enough of Wilson already to be impressed. "He's an explosive player," Belichick said. "He's got a great arm. Live arm. Makes all the throws. Athletic. Like any young player, you know, they gain experience and get better every time they go out there." However, under Belichick, New England has historically fared well against rookie QBs with a 21-6 record against them during his 22 seasons coaching the Patriots (9-1 the last 10!).

Wilson plays behind a terrible offensive line that just lost left tackle Mekhi Becton for weeks because of a knee injury. As noted above, Wilson was sacked six times by the Panthers and that running game added no reprieve (45 yards). The Jets averaged an NFL-low 15.2 PPG last season and Week 1 wasn't exactly a sign that things are about to improve in 2021. I like what I saw from Jones in Week 1 and the Jets' secondary may be the easiest Jones will encounter all season. I noted above that the Pats have beaten the Jets in 10 straight meetings (five-season span) but when one goes back 10 seasons, the Pats have won 18 of 20, with New York's two wins BOTH coming in OT. I'm laying the points.

Good luck...Larry

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:08 AM
Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: BUFFALO/MIAMI UNDER the total of 47½

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:08 AM
Totals4U Early Sunday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Rams/Indianapolis Colts under 48

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:09 AM
Free Winners for Sunday, September 19th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
LOS ALAMITOS
RACE #5
TIME: 5:58 PM EST
PICK: BET #6 Magic On Tap 2/1 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:11 AM
Roz Wins ROZ Selections SUNDAY, September 19, 2021

FREE NFL
285. Patriots -5.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:11 AM
Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: St Louis Cardinals - 125

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:12 AM
#1 Sports Early Sunday's Free Play: New England Patriots - 6

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:12 AM
Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Houston/Cleveland Game OVER 48 Points

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:13 AM
Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play SUNDAY, September 19, 2021

FREE NFL
282. Eagles +3.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:13 AM
Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Sunday Selection Is
CINCINNATI +1½

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:14 AM
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday : Take TENNESSEE/SEATTLE OVER the total of 54

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:14 AM
Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Sunday
NY Jets +6

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:15 AM
Hawkeye Sports Early Sunday's Free Pick: New England Patriots - 6

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:15 AM
Huddle Up Sports
Sunday Free Play
Carolina +3'

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:16 AM
Arthur Ralph FreePlay SUN NE Pats - 5 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:16 AM
Teyas Sports FREE PICK 9/19 NFL SEATTLE UNDER 53 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:17 AM
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: LAS VEGAS/PITTSBURGH OVER the total of 47

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:17 AM
High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Sunday: Tennessee Titans + 6 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:18 AM
Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Sunday: Dall/LAC UNDER 55

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:19 AM
John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Sunday:
Bills/Dolphins OVER

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:19 AM
Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Sunday:
Minn/Az UNDER 50½

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:19 AM
Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Dallas Over 55

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 10:20 AM
Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY

MLB Milwaukee/Chi.Cubs OVER the total of 9 runs

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 11:49 AM
Wayne Root

Buffalo Bills -3.5 (+100)
Philadelphia Eagles +3 (-115)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:21 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 7-8



Claiming $4,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:30P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 19. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 4 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ORION'S TEMPLE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ORION'S TEMPLE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ROARING THUNDER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. WHO'S OUT: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.



9

ORION'S TEMPLE

5/1


3/1




6

ROARING THUNDER

4/1


7/2




7

WHO'S OUT

9/2


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

ORION'S TEMPLE

9


5/1

Front-runner

85


79


70.8


73.0


68.5




6

ROARING THUNDER

6


4/1

Front-runner

80


75


69.0


73.0


68.5




2

MAJESTIC CORREDOR

2


10/1

Stalker

79


74


41.4


65.0


55.5




7

WHO'S OUT

7


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

82


79


47.8


68.0


63.0




8

DELIVERER

8


15/1

Trailer

75


60


0.0


48.2


31.7




1

BOKUR

1


3/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


76


63.6


63.6


55.6




5

TROLOBUS

5


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


54.6


53.6


37.1




3

TRUE BLUE

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

73


73


31.2


55.6


43.1




4

DOGTOWN

4


2/1

Alternator/Non-contender

75


68


22.6


48.1


36.1

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:22 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Emerald Downs



Emerald Downs - Race 8

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)



Claiming $8,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $9,900 • Post: 5:37P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2021 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CANDIED LUTE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TOG RANPASHOUSEWEGO: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. L D' RADO GOLDRUSH: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MONSTRODAMOUS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" desi gnation. LOCHNESS: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days.



7

CANDIED LUTE

6/1


4/1




2

TOGRANPASHOUSEWEGO

9/5


6/1




6

L D' RADO GOLDRUSH

12/1


9/1




5

MONSTRODAMOUS

15/1


9/1




9

LOCHNESS

20/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

L D' RADO GOLDRUSH

6


12/1

Front-runner

80


72


93.2


67.8


59.8




9

LOCHNESS

9


20/1

Front-runner

87


81


86.2


58.4


45.9




2

TOGRANPASHOUSEWEGO

2


9/5

Front-runner

75


77


83.0


72.8


69.3




3

GREY POINT

3


6/1

Alternator/Front-runner

71


71


65.0


63.6


49.6




7

CANDIED LUTE

7


6/1

Stalker

85


82


87.0


72.8


66.3




4

BROTHER ROBERT

4


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

77


69


69.4


68.4


56.9




5

MONSTRODAMOUS

5


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

79


76


69.2


66.6


57.1




8

COMMAND SGT MAJOR

8


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

76


74


68.4


61.4


51.9




1

WHIDBEY PRINCE

1


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

67


67


55.4


55.0


41.0

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:24 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 78

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 SCREENSHOT 8/1




# 2 CMTAKEYOURLUVTOTOWN 2/1




# 6 EVER UP 10/1




SCREENSHOT looks strong to best this field especially at a such a nice price. She has been racing solidly lately while recording very solid speed figures. Has a very strong shot in this event if you like back class. This animal could stun this field at a nice price. CMTAKEYOURLUVTOTOWN - Ought to come out very strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the lead recently. Is a key contender - given the 77 speed figure from her most recent race. EVER UP - Has a sharp shot for this race if you like back class. Can't overlook the connections here, a 17 winning percentage, one of the strongest at getting into the winner's circle.


Return to top (https://www.equibase.com/products/freepicks2.cfm#top)

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=mth0919zm.htm&exp=09/21/2021&pds=MTH_-_09/19/2021&var=RACE_DATE=09/19/2021;TRACK_CODE=MTH&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Monmouth Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:40pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $55,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 PEARL EARRING (ML=4/1)
#2 NEXT TUESDAY (ML=9/2)


PEARL EARRING - Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this horse has the highest Equibase speed figure for the dist-surf. This filly has been working well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a top effort today. I like the hard fact that this filly's last figure, 70, is tops in this group. This thoroughbred is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf rating in last race at Saratoga was tops in this bunch. Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. NEXT TUESDAY - This handler does a good job stretching out any entrant. Horses going a route for the first time almost always show an improvement. Ranked number one in earnings per start. Another indication that this horse has class.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CUSTOMER LIST (FR) (ML=7/2), #8 KITTEN'S COLLUSION (ML=6/1), #10 CAPTAINSDAUGHTER (ML=6/1),

CUSTOMER LIST (FR) - Don't think this pony is worth 7/2 in this clash. KITTEN'S COLLUSION - This entrant will in all probability be at the back of the pack as this field crosses the finish line. CAPTAINSDAUGHTER - When looking at today's class figure, she will have to garner a much better speed rating than last race out to be competitive in this turf route.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - NEXT TUESDAY - I'm betting that this thoroughbred will improve by many lengths with the addition of Lasix. Catch this horse if you can.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #9 PEARL EARRING to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:24 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $49000 Class Rating: 93

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 LOUD LOUD MUSIC 4/1




# 3 COWBOYS DAUGHTER 2/1




# 5 COVER VERSION 6/1




LOUD LOUD MUSIC is my choice. Her 87 average has this filly with among the top Equibase Speed Figures in this event. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of strong win percentage - 17 percent - at this distance & surface. She looks strong in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. COWBOYS DAUGHTER - Will most likely be one of the early speedsters of the group going into the halfway point of the affair. Earned a solid speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. COVER VERSION - This selection will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface.

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:27 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belmont Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 CAUMSETT (ML=6/1)
#8 POP THE BUBBLY (ML=4/1)


CAUMSETT - In this race here, this thoroughbred has clearly shown signs that she likes the grass. Her speed ratings are the highest in the field for this distance/surface. Shows a classic training maneuver. Routing today after two short distance races. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should rebound in this event, with some respectable odds. POP THE BUBBLY - This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. I like that latest contest on August 19th at Saratoga where she finished third. I like this filly. Has the top earnings per start in here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 LIVE IN FIVE (ML=9/5), #2 LADY THORNHILL (ML=2/1), #4 HIT THE NAIL (ML=5/2),

LIVE IN FIVE - This filly recorded a fig in her last contest which probably isn't good enough in today's race. LADY THORNHILL - Finished second in her most recent race with a disappointing speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this bunch. HIT THE NAIL - Just cannot wager on this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything positive last time out or on Jun 13th.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #3 CAUMSETT to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:28 PM
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



09/19/21, CD, Race 9, 4.55 ET
09/19/21,CD,9,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $127,000 (includes up to $57,500 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 At A Mile Or Over Since July 19 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
9
Tellmeonasunday
8/1
Hernandez. Jr. B J
DeVaux Cherie
S
111
29.73
1.83/$1


098.9324
3
Gypsy Touch
10/1
Lanerie C J
Drury. Jr. Thomas
TL
111
29.73
1.83/$1


097.7464
7
Town Avenger
4/1
Leparoux J R
Lynch Brian A.
FEC
111
29.73
1.83/$1


096.6709
5
Mucho Macho Momma
5/1
Gaffalione T
Stewart Dallas


111
29.73
1.83/$1


096.3080
6
Thirteen Stripes
8/1
Geroux F
Asmussen Steven M.
J
111
29.73
1.83/$1


096.1332
1
Lady Traveler
3/1
Talamo J
Romans Dale L.


153
33.99
1.56/$1


095.9927
8
Roc's Princess
15/1
Court J K
Gowan William G.


111
29.73
1.83/$1


094.9534
2
Trumpet Lilly
6/1
Graham J
Amoss Thomas M.


111
29.73
1.83/$1


094.2332
10
My My Munny
15/1
Mena M
Catalano Wayne M.


111
29.73
1.83/$1


093.9205
4
Stop Shoppin Tammy
8/1
Bejarano R
Bauer Philip A.
W
111
29.73
1.83/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0676
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Type Not_Claiming -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:48 PM
Free Winners for Sunday, September 19th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Phillies @ Mets
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet UNDER 8 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:49 PM
Sunday, September 19th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Orioles @ Red Sox
TIME: 1:10 PM EST
PICKS: BET OVER 9.5 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:49 PM
Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NFL – Falcons +13
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
NFL – Vikings +3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
NFL – Broncos -7
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
NFL – Bills under 48
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
NFL – Steelers -7
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
NFL – Panthers +3.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
NFL – Texans +14
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
NFL – 49ers -3
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
NFL – Patriots -7
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
NFL – Falcons over 52
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NFL – Cowboys under 55
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
NFL – Ravens +3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NFL – Patriots -7
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
NFL – Rams -4
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
NFL – Steelers -7
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
NFL – Texans +14
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
NFL – Panthers +3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
NFL – 49ers -3
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
NFL – Steelers -7
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
NFL – Texans +14
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
NFL – Panthers +3.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
NFL – Bears -1
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
NFL – Patriots -7
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
NFL – Cowboys +3
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NFL – Ravens +3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

Can'tPickAWinner
09-19-2021, 12:56 PM
Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: BUFFALO/MIAMI UNDER the total of 47½