Service Plays Monday 9/20/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer:

Packers -11 (3U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy:

Packers -11 (6U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

2 Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Parlay Winners

MONDAY FOOTBALL

Play Green Bay -10.5 over Detroit (NFL)

Detroit has lost 44 of the last 73 road games against the spread when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they have lost 86 of the last 154 games against the spread after allowing an average of six or more yards a play in their last game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas CRis

2* Green Bay -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young

7-Unit Play: Take #298 Green Bay Packers -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hitman

2* GB -11

[rocky57]

Randy Chambers - SportsChatPlace

NFL - Detroit Lions +12.5

[rocky57]

Pickswise Sports

MLB 3* Best Bet - Rays/Blue Jays Under 8.5 [-115]

NFL
2* Packers -11.5
2* Over 48.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

greenpunter us

NFL – American Football
Green Bay Packers - Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions +11.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsLine Projection Model

DET at GB | 09/20 | 8:15 p.m. ET

Against The Spread

Pick: Lions +11.5
Detroit covers in 54 percent of simulations

Over-Under

Pick: Over 48.5
The Over hits in 53 percent of simulations

Current Line: Detroit +11.5

Projected Final Score: Green Bay 30, Detroit 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Martin Green

Barcelona vs. Granada (Monday, 3 p.m. ET)

Barcelona / Barcelona double result -128 (one unit)
Barcelona over 2.5 goals -105 (half unit)
Memphis Depay to score -125 (half unit)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

pickstennis
WTA - SINGLES: Ostrava (Czech Republic)
Zakharova - Sorribes Tormo
Under 20.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

NL games
Pittsburgh (56-93) @ Cincinnati (77-73)
— Peters is 1-2, 3.04 in five starts.
— Pirates are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He threw 5 shutout IP in one start vs Cincinnati.

— Pirates are 8-4 in last 12 games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-8 in last ten road games.
— over 10-6-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-147
— record in first 5 innings: 45-84-18

— Gutierrez is 0-2, 8.40 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 10-10 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-4
— He is 1-0, 4.66 in two starts vs Pittsburgh this year.

— Cincinnati is 6-14 in its last 20 games.
— Reds are 3-6 in last nine home games.
— under 20-7-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-150
— record in first 5 innings: 69-60-21

Washington (61-88) @ Miami (63-86)
— Fedde is 1-1, 8.38 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 12-13 in his starts.
— over 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13-4
— He is 2-0, 1.04 in three starts vs Miami this year.

— Washington is 19-45 in its last 64 games.
— Nationals are 2-6 in last eight road games.
— over 29-15-2 last 46 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-151
— record in first 5 innings: 62-63-26

— Luzardo is 0-1, 5.17 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6
— He is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts vs Washington this year.

— Marlins are 6-5 in last 11 games.
— Miami is 7-4 in last 11 home games.
— under 17-10-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-149
— record in first 5 innings: 56-70-23

St Louis (79-69) @ Milwaukee (91-58)
— Woodford is 0-2, 7.31 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He gave up 5 runs in 8.1 IP in three relief stints vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 15-7 in last 22 games.
— St Louis is 6-3 in its last nine road games.
— Over is 4-1 in last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 55-148
— record in first 5 innings: 70-57-21

— Peralta is 1-1, 5.69 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 17-8 in his starts.
— under 13-11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-7
— He is 0-1, 5.73 in three starts vs St Louis this year.

— Brewers are 38-19 in last 57 games.
— Milwaukee is 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— over 6-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-149
— record in first 5 innings: 76-46-27

Atlanta (77-70) @ Arizona (48-101)
— Ynoa is 0-3, 3.58 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 6-7 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Arizona.

— Braves are 2-5 in last seven games.
— Atlanta is 3-7 in last ten road games.
— under 17-7-4 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-147
— record in first 5 innings: 73-52-22

— Mejia is 0-1, 4.91 in two starts.
— Arizona is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Arizona lost 16 of last 20 games.
— Arizona is 0-5 in its last five home games.
— over 15-5-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-149
— record in first 5 innings: 55-80-14

AL games
Kansas City (67-81) @ Cleveland (72-74)
— Singer is 1-1, 4.08 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 8-17 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 9-14-2
— He 1-0, 2.41 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— bullpen game

— Royals are 8-12 in its last 20 games.
— Royals are 1-4 in last five home games.
— under 34-18-6 last 58 games.
— scores run in first inning: 39-152
— record in first 5 innings: 55-74-23

— McKenzie is 3-1, 1.38 in his last six starts.
— Indians are 10-11 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-4
— He is 2-0, 0.50 in three starts vs Kansas City this year.

— bullpen game

— Cleveland is 15-13 in last 28 games.
— Indians are 1-6 in last seven home games.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scores run in first inning: 43-147
— record in first 5 innings: 58-68-21

White Sox (85-64) @ Detroit (72-78)
— Rodon is 4-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 15-7 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-29
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-5
— He is 2-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Detroit this year.

— Chicago is 12-9 in last 21 games.
— White Sox are 6-9 in last 15 road games.
— under 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-149
— record in first 5 innings: 82-44-23

— Manning is starts.
— Detroit is 8-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-3
— He is starts vs Chicago.

— Detroit is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Detroit is 4-1 in last five home games.
— under 28-15-3 last 46 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-150
— record in first 5 innings: 26-24-7 last 57

Texas (54-94) @ Bronx (84-66)
— Alexy is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (11 IP).
— He gave up six runs in 3.2 IP in a relief stint LW.
— Rangers are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Texas is 8-6 in last 14 games.
— Texas is 6-1 in last seven road games.
— over 19-16-4 last 39 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-149
— record in first 5 innings: 52-80-17

— Cortes is 0-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
— New York is 8-3 in his starts.
— under 8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-3
— He gave up 6 runs in 3.2 IP in three relief stints vs Texas.

— New York is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— New York is 2-8 in last ten home games.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-150
— record in first 5 innings: 63-55-32

Toronto (84-65) @ Tampa Bay (92-58)
— Ray is 4-0, 1.80 in his last ten starts.
— Toronto is 16-11 in his starts.
— under 8-1-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-5
— He is 2-1, 1.80 in five starts vs Tampa Bay this year.

— Toronto is 18-4 in last 22 games.
— Blue Jays are 9-1 in last 10 road games.
— Over is 5-3-2 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-148
— record in first 5 innings: 35-19-7 last 61

— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— Rays are 13-6 in last 19 home games.
— over 22-14-5 last 41 games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-150
— record in first 5 innings: 63-56-31

Houston (88-61) @ Angels (72-77)
— Valdez is 2-1, 3.96 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 12-7 in his starts.
— over 10-9
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is starts vs Anaheim.

— Astros are 11-9 in last 20 games.
— Astros are 3-1 in last four road games.
— over 8-4-3 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-149
— record in first 5 innings: 80-48-21

— Barria is 0-3, 5.70 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 3-6 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He is 0-1, 5.14 in two starts vs Houston this year.

— Angels lost their last three games.
— Angels are 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— under 6-1-1 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 44-149
— record in first 5 innings: 62-69-18

Seattle (80-69) @ Oakland (82-67)
— Anderson is 0-2, 4.80 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 5.2 IP, in one start vs Oakland.

— Seattle is 12-8 in last 20 games.
— Seattle is 9-3 in last 12 road games.
— over 12-2-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-149
— record in first 5 innings: 64-63-22

— Manaea is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 17-12 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 15-10-4
— He is 2-0, 0.56 in two starts vs Seattle this year.

— A’s won their last five games.
— Oakland is 5-3 in last eight home games.
— Over is 11-9-2 in their last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-149
— record in first 5 innings: 69-57-23

Interleague games
Baltimore (47-102) @ Philadelphia (76-73)
— Means is 0-4, 5.63 in his last seven starts.
— Baltimore is 0-8 in his last eight starts.
— under 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-7
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Orioles are 8-36 in their last 44 games.
— Baltimore is 24-51 on road, 23-51 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-149
— record in first 5 innings: 46-84-19

— Suarez is 1-0, 1.55 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 5-4 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Phillies are 5-7 in last 12 games.
— Phillies are 42-32 at home, 34-41 on road.
— over 14-9-1 last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 50-149
— record in first 5 innings: 64-55-30

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari

GOM
Sweden Allsvenskan
AIK -0,5 -110
GOM 55-36-3 67%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

Game: (915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Sep 20 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Toronto Blue Jays -105

Robbie Ray is having a Cy Young-type of season and although his numbers are a little better at home I feel good taking him on the road here because he has a career .143 BAA vs Rays batters. Rays SP Shane Baz makes his debut and in the Olympics he got knocked around a bit by Japan. He might start strong but by the 4th and 5th innings the Jays should be able to get to him. The Jays have a better pen as well so I am taking them on the money line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Martin Green

Barcelona vs. Granada (Monday, 3 p.m. ET)

Barcelona / Barcelona double result -128 (one unit)
Barcelona over 2.5 goals -105 (half unit)
Memphis Depay to score -125 (half unit)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

hunt valley sports
2** Green Bay -12 ov Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Parlay Winners

MONDAY MLB BASEBALL

Play Oakland -165 over Seattle (MLB)

Oakland has won 83 of the last 121 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 82 of the last 121 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Oakland has won 69 of the last 122 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game and they have won 60 of the last 112 games coming off two or more UNDER the totals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure Lock

10* Cleveland Indians -145

[golden contender]

Monday card has a Rare 6* Top NFL Totals Play from a Perfect Week 2 specific System. There is also the American League Play of the Month from an Undefeated MLB September system. MLB Totals Play below.


The MLB Totals Play is on the Under 8 runs in the Baltimore at Philadelphia game at 7:10 eastern. Solid Pitching match here as Means opposes Suarez. Baltimore has gone under the last 5 with Means on the mound and the last 5 on the road vs a Lefty. The Phillies have gone under in 4 of 5 at home vs a lefty and 9 of 13 in game 1 of a series. Suarez has allowed 2 or less runs in his last 5 starts and has a 1.50 Era on the year with 6 of 8 under of late in his starts. In the series 5 of 7 have stayed under. Look for this one to stay under 8 runs. On Monday we have a 6* Top Level Monday night Football Totals System and the American League Game of the Month with a Perfect September specific system. Top Plays on Atlanta and Dallas cashed out in the NFL on Sunday. See us on facebook/twitter to Jump on as we start the week big. For the MLB Comp Play. Play Under in the Orioles at Phillies game. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Sharp Action

8:15 p.m. ET: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

Both of these NFC North rivals are looking to bounce back from Week 1 losses. The Lions (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) fell to the 49ers 41-33 in last week's opener, although Detroit managed to cover as 9.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, the Packers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) got embarrassed by the Saints 38-3, losing straight up as 3.5-point neutral site favorites. This line opened with Green Bay listed as an 11-point home favorite. The public says Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are a great team and must get back on track by rolling the lowly Lions. This lopsided action has pushed Green Bay up from -11 to -11.5. Some shops even reached 12 before some Lions buyback dropped the number back down.

The Lions match several profitable betting systems, most notably a contrarian road divisional dog in a primetime game. Double-digit road divisional dogs are 109-83 (57%) over the past decade. Primetime dogs are 4-1 ATS this season. Monday Night Football double-digit dogs are 26-10 ATS (72.2%) over the past decade. Double-digit dogs are 50-38 ATS (56.8%) in the month of September over the past decade. Also, when two winless teams face off, the dog has been a smart bet (35-25 ATS, 58.3% the past decade).

We've also seen some respected money hit this total. It opened at 49.5 and the public is rushing to the window to take the over. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line fall from 49.5 to 48.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the under, which is also super contrarian in a heavily bet primetime game. Historically, divisional unders that fall at least a point are roughly 54% the past decade. Another reason to look at the under: the weather. The forecast calls for 15-20 MPH winds at Lambeau Field. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more, the under is roughly 55% the past decade. Adrian Hill, the lead ref, has historically favored unders (20-13, 60.6%).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Master Sports

MLB
4* #915 Toronto -125 (Ray)

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOM

Rays +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUnderdog

MLB

Atlanta-184 @ arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Late Phone: 2* Over 48.5 Detroit/Green Bay

Top Opinion - Monday Night Marquee: Green Bay -11.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young

*4 Milwaukee Brewers -210
*1 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5, RL, -110

[Player1]

World Worst Picker

Detroit Lions

We take:
Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal Sports

5* Blue Jays -127
5* Cardinals Over 8
3* Cardinals +183
3* Pirates +148

Argentina Liga Professional

5* Banfield Draw 1st Half -115
3* Banfield Draw +220

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

6 Units - #915 Toronto (-135) vs Tampa Bay *7 EST

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

MLB
Triple Dime - Reds -160
Double Dime - Rays +125
Dime - Yankees -1.5 runs (-135)

NFL
Triple Dime - Packers/Lions Over 48

[rocky57]

Randy Chambers - SportsChatPlace

MLB
Yankees -1.5 runs [-139]
Pirates +162
Athletics -175
Cardinals +180

[onetrikpony]

Insider Sports Report
4* Texas (Alexy)/N.Y. Yankees (Cortes) UNDER 9.5
Range: 10 to 9
3* Detroit/Green Bay UNDER 48.5 (NFL)
Range: 50 to 46

National Sports Service
4* Washington (Fedde) -115 over Miami (Luzardo)
3* Green Bay -11.5 over Detroit (NFL)

Primetime Sports Picks
4 Unit --> Washington (Fedde)/Miami (Luzardo) OVER 8.5
3 Unit --> Detroit/Green Bay OVER 48.5 (NFL)

Top Rank Sports Picks
4★ Chicago White Sox (Rodon)/Detroit (Manning) UNDER 9
3★ Detroit +11.5 over Green Bay (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JAY MCNEIL

60 DIME

MLB Road Rout

The Pick: 60 DIME play on the Atlanta Braves with Ynoa -1 1/2 runs over the Arizona Diamondbacks with Mejia.

The Line: At 8:45 am eastern time, the Braves are -1 1/2 runs, -110

[onetrikpony]

Elite Sports Picks

St. Louis (Woodford)/Milwaukee (Peralta) OVER 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KIRBY MAXWELL

40 Dime
MLB Blowout of the Week

PLAY: Philadelphia Phillies Run Line

LINE: At 9:30 am eastern, the line is Philadelphia -1' +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AL DEMARCO - GM

Raise the Bar 20-Dime

Underdog of the Month

The Pick: 20 Dimes - Toronto Run Line

The Line: Toronto +125 at -1 1/2 Runs at 10:10 am pacific

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHUCK O'BRIEN

50 DIME
3-Run Home Rout

50 Dime Play:Phillies Run Line


Line as of 1:15 PM Eastern: Phillies -105 at -1 1/2 Runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEAN MICHAELS

50 Dime
AFC East Lock

Pick: 50 Dime play - Green Bay

Line: Green Bay -11 1/2 at 10:20 am here in Las Vegas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TRACE ADAMS

Top-Rated
1000♦

The Pick: 1000♦ on the Detroit Lions plus the points.

The Line: At 7:15 am eastern time, the Lions are +11 1/2 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MITCHELL NEWMAN

75 DIME

NFC North Game of the Month

Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Detroit Lions

Price: At 6:30 am eastern time, the Lions are +11 1/2 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK BRAYMAN

40 Dime

Monday Night Total of the Month

The Pick: 40 Dime OVER Packers-Lions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GUS AUGUSTINE

Packers-Lions Side and Total
7-point Teaser

The Pick: 20 Dime 7-point Teaser Packers and Over

The Line: At 8:45 am eastern the line is -11 1/2 points and 48 1/2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

500♦
NFC North
Monday Night
Game of the Month

The Pick: 500♦ Detroit Lions

The Line: At 6:45 am pacific, the line is +11 1/2 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GODFATHERLOCKS SEPTEMBER 20TH PICKS

NFL & MLB

*** TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS ***

#1 - GREEN BAY PACKERS -11.5 (NFL)
#2 - TAMPA BAY RAYS +115 (MLB)
#3 - OAKLAND ATHLETICS -170 (MLB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

3* Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez

5* Lions Over 48.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso Sturgeon

15* Lions +11.5

[dawggy]

MARC LAWRENCE



Game: (303) Marshall at (304) Appalachian State
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Marshall +7.5 (-115)

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Edges - Thundering Herd: 3-0-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite, and 6-1-1 ATS as a non-conference road dog, and 4-0 ATS away in weekday games …
Mountaineers: 3-7-1 ATS at home when coming off a home game, including 0-4-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … With the Herd coming off a 42-38 loss to East Carolina as a double-digit favorite in a game in which they gained 647 yards, we recommend a 3% play on Marshall. Thank you and good luck as always.
Play on Marshall +7.5

Line Parameters +7 or more, 2% +5.5 or more.

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELS



Game: (331) Florida International at (332) Central Michigan
Date/Time: Sep 25 2021 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Central Michigan -11.5 (-110)

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The coupon expires Saturday, September 25th at NOON ET
Plus...Ralph will also be having an NFL 5% Sunday ($35 for that play but included with this special)

#332 5% Central Michigan -11.5 FIU NOON ET (good as 5% to -13.5)
Central comes in a very hungry 1-2 with losses at Missouri & LSU. Despite being a combined 33.5 pt dog in those two games they were only out’FD 44-49. Under McElwain, Central is not only 7-0 ATS off a SU loss in the regular season but they’ve covered those games by 14 PPG! Central is also 8-0 ATS as a Fav under McElwain. FIU playing a second straight road game with a road game against their rival Florida Atlantic on deck. Chippewas ran 86 and 81 plays their first two games while FIU has not faced a rush team all season and will wear down in the second half.

[dawggy]

BTC SPORT



Pats on Parade
Game: (477) New Orleans Saints at (478) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Sep 26 2021 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: New England Patriots -3.0 (-110)

I wanted to get this one out early because I think this might climb above 3 during the week and I want to get the best of the number. At the time of posting, there's a -3 (EV) at the Westgate Superbook; -3 (-106) at FanDuel and a couple stray -2.5's with increased juice at Barstool and Caesars.
This will be the third road game to start the season for the Saints after opening in Jacksonville then Carolina. The Patriots are 167-18 under Bill Belichick (2000-present) when they have a positive turnover differential, and they're going to be playing one of the most turnover-prone quarterbacks in the league in Jameis Winston. How much can New Orleans get corrected this week? They were missing nine starters in Sunday's loss to Carolina, they were missing eight assistant coaches because of Covid tracing and they haven't been in their home facility in three weeks. How much are they going to be able to get corrected in six days? Winston was sacked four times and threw two interceptions. If an unacclaimed Carolina defense was able to do that to the undermanned Saints, what's a Belichick-led defense going to do?
Yes, Mac Jones and the Patriots offense has been pretty boring thus far. But after seeing what's going on with Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson, I think the Patriots deserve the benefit of the doubt in how they're handling him. Starting right tackle Trent Brown is expected to return this week. Nick Folk has hit 33-consecutive field goals. The Patriots are the definition of stability in the NFL, and they're welcoming in a Saints team that's (literally) all over the place right now. Lay the small number with New England.