Tuesday 9/21/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Monday Myths: Are Saratoga Big Stakes Winners Over the Top? September 20, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Saratoga’s elite stakes are destination races, and their alumni find it difficult to repeat their success after that pinnacle.

Background:

So far this year we’ve seen Saratoga stakes winners Caravel, Got Stormy and Fast Boat all return to disappoint next out with third, sixth and fourth-place finishes, respectively. As we round into the final Breeders’ Cup preps and perhaps even the Breeders’ Cup championship events themselves, how much stock do we take in Saratoga stakes winners being over the top?

Data Points:

I dialed up the Betmix database to look at all Saratoga graded stakes winners since 2016 and how they fared in the next races when back in graded stakes. Only starts within 90 days were considered as part of the current form cycle and how the immediate impact of the Spa outing may have impacted the runner. I also looked at the location of the return and its production. (Steeplechase races were omitted in the stats.)

//

Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 27% with a $0.70 ROI for every $1 bet.

All non-Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 22% with a $0.73 ROI for every $1 bet.

//

At Belmont from 34 starts, Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 38% with a $0.89 ROI for every $1 bet.

At Keeneland from 26 starts, Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 15% with a $0.33 ROI for every $1 bet.

At Churchill from 14 starts, Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 0% with a $0.00 ROI for every $1 bet.

At Santa Anita from 9 starts, Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 44% with a $1.47 ROI for every $1 bet.

At Del Mar from 8 starts, Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 25% with a $1.01 ROI for every $1 bet.

At Woodbine from 8 starts, Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 25% with a $0.82 ROI for every $1 bet.

At Parx from 6 starts, Saratoga graded stakes winners returned to win their next start 33% with a $0.53 ROI for every $1 bet. Noteable: 5 of 6 finished in exacta.

//

Overall Findings:

Overall, Saratoga graded stakes victors won more often in their next graded stakes attempts than the national average by 5 percent. But the popularity of Saratoga stakes winners drives the price down with a slightly lower ROI than the national returning graded stakes winner. There certainly has been some regional swings in play – hitting a strong 38% right back on the NYRA circuit at Belmont, but a surprisingly poor 4-for-40 (10%) at Churchill and Keeneland on the return. Heading straight west to California has produced 35% wins and a $1.25 ROI for every $1 bet.

Bottom line:

Saratoga graded stakes winners are not over the top, by the numbers. Be cautious of the Saratoga graded stakes winners when they return in Kentucky – such as we saw with 2021 returning losers Got Stormy and Fast Boat at the concluded Kentucky Downs meet, continuing a poor trend regionally – but overall the Spa graded stakes performers have returned stronger than what you’d expect nationally. They should be solid at places like Parx this weekend and potentially Santa Anita and Del Mar to come, along with their obvious presence at Belmont in its current new stand.

Additional Details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, see which trainers have been able to bring back Saratoga graded stakes winners with success and which have struggled. Notably, Steve Asmussen is 5-8 with his next-out stakes runners after winning such races at the Spa, succeeding last year with the likes of Yaupon and Jackie’s Warrior, and the previous summer with Mitole and Midnight Bisou.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Presque Isle Downs - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#11 Sok Fury
She made a move and flattened in her only career sprint try, but it came for more than twice this price, and she is worth a long look if she offers anything like the 6/1 ML price.


#6 Duplicated
She'll make her third start of the season while getting down in class in a big way, and while she doesn't have a ton of upside, just a little bit on the drop might be enough to get her home.


#5 Side Action
She fits well here off a neck miss with similar, but she's making her 12th career start and doesn't have a whole lot of excuses at this point. Capable.


Race Summary
Sok Fury can be better at a one-turn trip while facing this type of company, and she may be able to better sustain her run here than she did in her previous sprint try.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Patriot Drive
He steps up off the claim and has been in pretty decent form this year, and his ability to settle and finish might serve him well in a race with a handful of forward players who may not be finishing with a ton of enthusiasm late.


#5 J Beresford Tipton
He has done nothing wrong in a couple of local starts, and he's tactical enough to find the right kind of trip from off the pace. He's the one to beat at what'll likely be an unappealing price.


#2 Driftwood
He looks best of the pace in this spot, but he's going to have to bring another sharp effort as he continues his climb up the class ladder off a couple of solid showings. Player on paper may be vulnerable late.


Race Summary
Patriot Drive draws well to save ground on the first turn before launching a rally late, and there are a couple of speedier types who may not see out the trip.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#4 Watch Me Tango
She has shown some pretty solid pace for a route horse at this kind of level, and she should be quick enough to lead the way again today. She'll try the always tough test of stepping up to face winners for the first time, but she might get brave right back.


#2 Keypit
She ran okay behind an easy winner when stepping out of the maiden ranks for the first time, and she should be in line for a perfect pressing trip that gives her the jump on the finishing players.


#5 On a Tour
She turned in a good effort in her local debut, and she figures for another good tracking trip like she got last out. That said, she is almost sure to get overbet in this spot and doesn't have to win this.


Race Summary
Watch Me Tango should be able to show the way on the front end, and both she and Keypit look capable of beating the likely overbet chalk, On a Tour.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrington - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#7 A DELIGHTFUL ACT
Took the money and ran past several of these to win in U.S. debut.


#1 GOT POWER
Has speed and rail and alot of runner-up finishes.


#4 TOBAGO TIME
New $100k Club member sports 11/3-5-2 record this year.


Race Summary
A Delightful Act, an anxious third early, was flushed out before the half, wore down Got Power on the final turn and was geared down late. Don't expect 9-2 morning-line price but expect another victory for the New Zealand bred.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 MR FRITTER
No match for odds-on fave, tries to upgrade series of in-the-money finishes.


#3 MAGIC MAGGIE
Useful qualifiers, debuts for high-percentage connections.


#8 ANGELS EXPRESS
Finished second the last two times he stayed on stride.


Race Summary
Mr Fritter blasted to the lead from post 9, settled into a good pocket trip, angled out in mid-stretch but ran third as the 1-to-5 favorite passed by. He catches a weak field and switches to Filion to try and break through with a victory. Play 5-3 and 5-8 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#8 QUAN BLUE CHIP
Made two moves, won geared down, likely repeater.


#5 SEA LAIRD
Won in same spot and same post a month ago, plagued by bad starting spots since then.


#1 ALL CHEDDAR
Up late to win as the favorite, takes class hike, draws rail.


Race Summary
Quan Blue Chip made a quick second-quarter burst to the lead, yielded to the pocket, tipped 3-wide for the stretch drive and won going away. He validated a troubled trip from the race prior and is today's Best Bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Indiana Grand - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#6 Native Lion
Won two back when Ramos was aboard, and the two are reunited today; after a lesser effort last time, she can battle for the lead and can dig in vs. these.


#7 Timeless Rose
Was second in an Indiana-bred stakes races last out but can also run well vs. open company; big late threat.


#8 Ylikedis
Closed well for second the last time she was on this course; has been in good races and has some good late energy on occasion.


Race Summary
Native Lion does her best for jockey Ramos and can be in a threatening position from the start; should be able to finish well.


Indiana Grand - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 Traffic Pattern
Has speed and rail and should be able to make the transition to dirt; favorably placed with this group.


#2 He Takes Charge
Takes a huge class drop after two subpar efforts, the latest in July 2020; resurfaces nearly 15 months later for a much smaller claiming price.


#6 Bob's Calling
Was claimed by Green last out and goes for his third straight win; at the top of his game.


Race Summary
Traffic Pattern has a good chance to control this one from the outset and can resist when challenged.


Indiana Grand - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#9 Ransack
Has shown a lot of speed in longer races, probably won't get the early lead here but should be able to finish well after running in so many routes.


#7 Boa Nova
Came a neck short of getting his second straight win and is a solid player going this distance.


#2 Never Have I Ever
Got to the front end and cruised to victory at Arlington last out; has put up a fight vs. good company and fits here.


Race Summary
Ransack turns back to five furlongs and in setting the pace going long didn't exactly set dawdling fractions (:45 3-5, 1:10 2-5 last time) and can stay in range.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs



Presque Isle Downs - Race 2

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 2-3-4) Pick 4 (min .50 cent) (Races 2-3-4-5)



Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 5:10P


(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. CONGRATS SMOKE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CONGRATS SMOKE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third o r fourth start after a layoff. HARD TARGET: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. JOEYVILLE: Today is a sprint and the ho rse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



6

CONGRATS SMOKE

7/2


7/2




5

HARD TARGET

8/5


6/1




4

JOEYVILLE

6/1


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

JOEYVILLE

4


6/1

Front-runner

75


72


60.2


59.2


53.2




5

HARD TARGET

5


8/5

Front-runner

74


73


52.9


62.0


58.5




3

JESSE JONES

3


8/1

Front-runner

53


58


44.4


50.8


37.3




6

CONGRATS SMOKE

6


7/2

Alternator/Front-runner

61


63


108.1


70.2


63.7




8

KID RUSSELL

8


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

75


73


69.4


58.6


51.1




2

BISHI

2


8/1

Trailer

69


59


40.8


58.0


50.0




1

BUSCH LATTE

1


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

74


68


44.0


54.6


43.6




7

DIAMANT

7


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


68


34.2


40.2


27.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing



Parx Racing - Race 6

Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Philly BIG 5



Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 3:10P


FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON ONE PA-RESTRICTED RACE(S) OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. UNCLE ERNIE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * UNCLE ERNIE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.



4

UNCLE ERNIE

6/5


9/5
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

UNCLE ERNIE

4


6/5

Front-runner

89


89


89.9


83.1


79.6




6

MEET ME AT MUNDIS

6


4/1

Stalker

82


80


64.8


73.6


64.6




1

DOLLARIZATION

1


6/1

Stalker

86


80


62.7


74.8


68.8




3

ELEAZAR

3


6/1

Stalker

73


79


51.2


74.9


69.4




2

DANZAFIED

2


15/1

Alternator/Trailer

89


88


47.6


68.2


60.7




5

JUST A THOUGHT

5


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

92


74


70.4


70.2


61.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belterra Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:05pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 SUNRISER (ML=3/1)
#5 KITTY'S PROMISE (ML=7/2)


SUNRISER - My experienced judgement tells me to watch out for this horse in this race KITTY'S PROMISE - Faircloth had been running this filly at higher levels recently. Did win a $12,500 Claiming race though, on May 26th. Could do it again here. Sub-par try last time out at Belterra Park was due to the off-going (she finished fourth). Will most certainly do better in this event without a sloppy track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 QUEENS GIFT (ML=8/5), #3 PLATINUM GALE (ML=3/1), #4 EVENSCORE (ML=9/2),

QUEENS GIFT - A bit of a lackluster effort when this filly finished fifth. PLATINUM GALE - The finish of sixth in the last affair shows me that this equine may be getting out of condition. Hard to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as frequently as this one does. Won't be easy for this entrant to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. EVENSCORE - If you keep choosing these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be dissatisfied most every time. Run-of-the-mill speed figure last out at Belterra Park at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this runner will improve too much today.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #1 SUNRISER on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Tuesday, September 21st 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
FINGER LAKES
RACE #8
TIME: 4:33 PM EST
PICK: BET #3 Tax Me Naught 4/1 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 59

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 PEEKACHICA 2/1




# 5 MISS INHOFE 9/5




# 3 MAGNIFICENTREVENGE 5/2




I've got to go with PEEKACHICA. She has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the strongest in this field. Garnered a very strong speed figure last time out. With a nice class fig average of 69, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. MISS INHOFE - Has been running admirably and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Parker will probably be able to get this filly to break out sharply in this competition. MAGNIFICENTREVENGE - Has been running admirably lately and ought to be up on the front end early on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Louisiana Downs - Race #1 - Post: 2:45pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 KELLYS THE BOSS (ML=8/1)
#9 LADY LUTE (ML=7/2)
#2 MISS MIRACLE GIRL (ML=12/1)


KELLYS THE BOSS - Looking at today's class rating, this campaigner is up against an easier field than last time out at Louisiana Downs. This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should race well today. LADY LUTE - Milligan must have known this filly would run well at this track. Won her last race here on Aug 28th and now goes for a double. Don't often see a lucrative ROI like +200. This jockey/handler tandem has done well together over the last year. Delcid is back for another race today after sitting atop this horse for the 1st attempt on August 28th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. MISS MIRACLE GIRL - This filly is put right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. Dropping in class figure points from her September 12th race at Louisiana Downs. Based on that info, I will give this horse the advantage. The last fig of 58 is the best last race speed figure in the group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MO MONEYHONEY (ML=5/2), #8 KIMBERLY'S JACKPOT (ML=9/2), #5 SPECTACULAR IZZY (ML=6/1),

MO MONEYHONEY - This probable favorite may be out of shape without any recent works. The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable competitor. KIMBERLY'S JACKPOT - This horse ran a mediocre rating last time out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's race running that figure. SPECTACULAR IZZY - The effort in the last race on September 7th probably won't hold up against tougher opponents when they turn for home.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 KELLYS THE BOSS to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn NationalAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 71

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 21. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 2/1




# 1 CUCKOO FORCONONUTS 5/1




# 4 GOTTAFLATHAVEHER 6/1




My pick in this competition is BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD. Could provide positive dividends based on very strong recent Speed Figures with an average of 65. With a respectable 66 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. Is tough not to consider given the company run in lately. CUCKOO FORCONONUTS - Kravets has this mare running well and is a decent pick based on the very good speed figs put up in sprint races recently. Garnered a formidable Equibase Speed Fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. GOTTAFLATHAVEHER - Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved promptly to the lead recently. Must be in form if the conditioner is bringing her back so quickly.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine Bianco Event: (201393) Inter Milan at (201394) Fiorentina
Sport/League: ISAL

Date/Time: September 21, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Total Over 2.75 (-117)
Italy Serie A - Inter Milan at Fiorentina
Quick Synopsis: A total's play on Tuesday as your free play. We discussed last season that this Fiorentina side would be a much more exciting team this year in Serie A under new manager Vincenzo Italiano and they haven't disappointed thus far with wins in their last 3 after opening with a 3-1 loss to Roma. Each of their games have produced 3 or more goals. Inter come to town for this tricky fixture and are a perfect 4-0 to the over this season in league play and with a weekend game against a tough Atalanta side then a Champions League trip to Ukraine to face Shakhtar Donetsk in what might be seen as a must win puts their focus here in question.
The play is Over 2.75 (Split line of 2.5 and 3.0) I forecast this getting to a flat 3.0 and it's still a play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Adams Event: (951) Pittsburgh Pirates at (952) Cincinnati Reds
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: September 21, 2021 6PM EDT
Play: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+100) M Keller (RHP), T Mahle (RHP) Must Start
The Reds haven’t done themselves many favors in the wild card race over the past few weeks. That being said, they have a great chance to get a win Tuesday with Tyler Mahle on the mound. Mahle is coming off an absolute gem, not allowing a single run in 6 innings against these same Pirates in his last start. The Cincinnati offense came to life in a 9-5 win to begin this series and we can expect more of the same here. Take the Reds run line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia Event: (209321) Atletico San Luis at (209322) Juarez
Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: September 21, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Atletico San Luis 0.0 (-120)
FC Juarez, the only Liga MX team managed by a Brazilian in Ricardo “Tuca” Ferretti, has won only two of nine matches, losing five outright and coming in with a minus-6 goal differential that is tied for next-to-last. Colombian striker Ayron del Valle failed to score for Juarez and secured his release a few days ago by mutual accord, so the club will have a new strike partner for forward for Paraguay’s Darlo Lezcano. Atletico San Luis comes off an impressive 4-1 win over Tijuana behind a hat trick from 22-year-old Argentine forward German Berterame and should pick up all three points on the road here to improve to 4-1-4 in the Apertura, pulling even with Atlas for third place. Ride San Luis as a spread play to cover yourself with a p

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Sep 21 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
Soccer | Jonkopings vs Helsingborgs IF
Play on: Helsingborgs IF -122 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on Helsingborgs IF -122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Sep 21 '21, 1:10 PM in 1h
MLB | White Sox vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers +148 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on Tigers +148

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports Sep 21 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
Soccer | Sochaux vs Guingamp
Play on: Draw +194 at BetVegas

draw +194
The free soccer play takes place in France on Tuesday.
Sochaux 1
Guingamp 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Sep 21 '21, 2:30 PM in 2h
Soccer | Servette vs Zurich
Play on: Zurich +170 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Zurich +170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Sep 21 '21, 2:45 PM in 2h
Soccer | Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Play on: Inter Milan -105 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Inter Milan -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Tuesday, September 21st 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Pirates @ Reds
TIME: 6:40 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 9 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday, September 21st, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Twins @ Cubs
TIME: 7:40 PM EST
PICKS: BET OVER 8 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
MLB
Reds -1.5 -105
1-0 (+100)
4-1 (+295)


2.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Detroit over 9
0-1 (-170)
4-2 (+180)


3.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
MLB
Rays under 8.5
0-1 (-110)
4-3 (+115)


4.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)
MLB
Boston -135
0-0 (+0)
2-1 (+95)


5.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Boston under 9.5
0-1 (-125)
3-2 (+80)


6.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
Yankees -135
0-1 (-125)
4-3 (+15)


7.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Seattle +115
0-1 (-105)
2-2-1 (-20)


8.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
MLB
Detroit over 9
1-0 (+100)
3-3 (-50)


9.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)


1-0 (+100)
3-3 (-135)


10.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Yankees over 8.5
0-1 (-125)
2-3 (-180)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brand X Sports (http://brandxsports.com/)
MLB
DETROIT TIGERS +140
0
1
-110


Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)
MLB
TEXAS RANGERS/NEW YORK YANKEES o8.5
0
1
-110


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
ATLANTA BRAVES/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS o9.5
0
1
-110


Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS/ST. LOUIS CARDINALS u8
0
1
-110


Vegas Investment Picks (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)
MLB
BOSTON RED SOX ‑130
0
0
0


Mikey Money (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +190
0
0
0


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
MLB
LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑1.5 ‑135
0
0
0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Sep 21 '21, 7:05 PM in 18m
MLB | TEX vs NYY
Play on: OVER 8½ +100

The Yankees' everyday players are healthy for a change. That makes New York dangerous. The Yankees have 10 players who have reached double figures in homers. Joey Gallo, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton all have hit 30 or more homers. Only six teams have hit more home runs than the Yankees.
This isn't good news for righty Dane Dunning, who is 0-6 with a 6.65 ERA when pitching on the road. Dunning has been on the COVID-19 injured list the past 11 days. The Yankees are familiar with Dunning having faced him back on May 20. The Rangers are going against lefty Jordan Montgomery. The Rangers usually don't hit lefties well. However, Montgomery could slip here after recording a career-high 12 strikeouts against the Orioles this past Thursday. Montgomery threw 99 pitches in that game, the most he's thrown since July 27.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Sep 21 '21, 7:10 PM in 23m
MLB | TOR vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 8½ -105

1 Dimer on Blue Jays vs Rays under 8½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Sep 21 '21, 7:10 PM in 23m
MLB | Mets vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -136 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Boston Red Sox -136
The Boston Red Sox are rolling right, coming up clutch down the stretch as they try to make the wild card. They have gone 5-0 in their last five games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in all five wins.
Now the Red Sox take on the struggling New York Mets, who are all but eliminated from the playoffs. The Mets have gone just 1-5 in their last six games overall to fall 7.5 games back in the wild card. Don't be surprised if they pack it in the rest the way.
The Mets are 17-30 against left-handed starters this season, hitting just .236 and scoring 3.1 runs per game in those contests. They will be up against lefty Eduardo Rodriquez tonight. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts, two or fewer five times and one or fewer four times.
The Red Sox are 17-3 in Rodriquez's 20 Interleague starts in his career. The Mets are 5-21 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record. New York is 16-38 in its last 54 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Boston is 84-39 in its last 123 Interleague games. Bet the Red Sox Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Sep 21 '21, 7:10 PM in 23m
MLB | Mets vs Red Sox
Play on: Mets +126 at William Hill

1* MLB - Mets/Red Sox FREE PICK on Mets +126
Tuesday's Free MLB Pick is on the New York Mets as a +126 road dog against the Boston Red Sox. I just think Boston is getting a little too much love in this spot. Red Sox have won 5 in a row, but the last 3 game via a sweep of the lowly Orioles. It's just hard to trust Boston with Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound, especially at home. Rodriguez has a 6.32 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 11 home starts this season. Mets should have a big edge on the mound with Marcus Stroman, who has a 2.88 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 31 starts. Bet the Mets +126!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Sep 21 '21, 7:40 PM in 53m
MLB | Cardinals vs Brewers
Play on: Cardinals +190 at SC Consensus

Free Play on Cardinals +190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Sep 21 '21, 7:40 PM in 53m
MLB | STL vs MIL
Play on: OVER 7½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Cardinals vs Brewers over 7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Sep 21 '21, 7:40 PM in 53m
MLB | Cardinals vs Brewers
Play on: Cardinals +196 at linepros

FREE PICK - St Louis Cardinals +196
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 955
This is just too good a price to pass up with St Louis. No way should the Cardinals be anywhere close to a 2-1 dog right now. St Louis is the hottest team in baseball. They have won 9 straight, including last night's 5-2 win as a +170 dog.
While it might appear the Brewers have a big edge on the mound with Brandon Woodruff facing off against Jake Woodford. I don't think it's as lopsided as the line would suggest. Woodruff has been slipping here some. He's got just a 4.00 ERA and 1.278 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention in Woodruff's only start vs St Louis since June, he gave up 6 runs in 5 innings of a 4-8 loss as a -185 favorite.
Woodford's numbers aren't going to excite you, but he has pitched effectively in his last two outings, both of which the Cardinals won. He gave up just 1 ER in 4 innings of a 2-1 win against the Dodgers and 2 ER in 4 innings of a 7-6 win at the Mets. Give me St Louis +196!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Sep 21 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Dodgers vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +189 at linepros

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Colorado Rockies +189
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Colorado Rockies tonight. They have been a pesky team here of late in going 7-2 in their last 9 games overall while cashing time and time again as underdogs. Now they are back home where they have been the best home team in all of baseball from a betting perspective. You are up 22.2 units backing the Rockies at home as they've gone 45-27 at Coors Field. Antonio Senzatela has pitched well at home with a 3.89 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 13 starts. Senzatela shut out the Dodgers in 7 innings of a 5-0 victory in his last start against them on August 29th as a +220 dog. Julio Urias does not fare well against the Rockies, sporting a 5.48 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against them. Take Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Sep 21 '21, 9:38 PM in 2h
MLB | Astros vs Angels
Play on: Astros -195 at linepros

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 9/21:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Tuesday was with the Houston Astros with the money-line versus the Los Angeles Angels listing both starting pitchers Jose Urquidy and Packy Naughton. Houston (89-61) has won five of their last six games after their 10-0 win against the Angels in the opening game of this series. The Astros have now won 4 of their last 5 games on the road. Houston has also won 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles (72-78) has lost 5 straight games at home as a money-line underdog. The Angels have also lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Take Houston with the money-line listing Urquidy and Naughton. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Sep 21 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs A's
Play on: Mariners +124 at Caesars

Free Pick on Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Sep 21 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs A's
Play on: A's -127 at William Hill

1* on A's -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Sep 21 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs A's
Play on: Mariners +119 at BetVegas

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Seattle Mariners +119
The Seattle Mariners should not be underdogs to the Oakland A's tonight. Marco Gonzales is the better starter in this matchup with Paul Blackburn. Gonzales is 8-5 with a 3.98 ERA in 22 starts this season. He has gone 6-3 with a 4.03 ERA in 13 previous starts against the A's. Blackburn is 1-2 with a 4.94 ERA in six starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.94 ERA in his last three starts. Blackburn is also 1-1 with a 5.74 ERA in three previous starts against the Mariners. Seattle is 9-2 after allowing two runs or less in two straight games this season. Give me the Mariners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Sep 21 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs A's
Play on: A's -124 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on A's -124

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Sep 21 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs A's
Play on: Mariners +118 at BetVegas

Mariners vs Athletics Free Pick September 21, 2021
I think we're getting a great price on the Mariners with the better/hotter pitcher on the mound. Seattle left-hander, Marco Gonzales (8-5, 4.05 ERA) is 7-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 12 starts and he has gone 6-3 with a 3.83 ERA in 14 career outings (13 starts) against the A's.
Oakland right-hander Paul Blackburn (1-2, 4.94 ERA) has posted a 7.94 ERA over his last three starts and he has a 5.74 ERA in three career starts against the Mariners.
Free pick on Seattle Mariners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Sep 21 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs A's
Play on: Mariners +1½ -170 at Mirage

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Oakland at 9:40 pm et on Tuesday.

The Mariners took the opener of this series last night, ending the A's five-game winning streak. Now Oakland falls into a tough situation as it has gone 2-10 when coming off a loss against a division opponent as a home favorite this season, outscored by 2.0 runs on average in that spot. The A's are just 12-20 when playing at home off a loss this season, outscored by an average margin of 1.5 runs. Meanwhile, the Mariners are in a strong positive momentum spot here having gone 9-2 after giving up two runs or less in consecutive games this season, outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.0 run in that situation. Seattle starter Marco Gonzales hasn't been on the hill for a team loss by more than a single run on the road since back in early June in Detroit. Since then, the Mariners are a perfect 6-0 in his last six road outings when factoring in the +1.5 run-line. A's starter Paul Blackburn hasn't been good lately. Over his last three starts he owns an ugly 7.94 ERA and 2.12 WHIP. He's topped out at three strikeouts in his last four outings. The Mariners have seen Blackburn twice since last September and have tagged him for nine earn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Brewers -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Reds -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Tigers +135
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Yankees -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Astros -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – Red Sox under 9.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Twins over 8
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Athletics -125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Astros -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Blue Jays +100
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Yankees -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Royals +130
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Brewers -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Reds -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Nationals +135
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Dodgers under 10.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Royals +130
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Yankees -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Astros under 9
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Twins +110
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Athletics over 8.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Yankees -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Royals +130
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Nationals +135
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Reds -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: LA Dodgers w/Urias -195

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: SEATTLE/OAKLAND UNDER the total of 8½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, TUESDAY September 21, 2021
9/21 03:10 PM PT / 6:10 PM ET

MLB (963) KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS (964) CLEVELAND INDIANS

Take: (964) CLEVELAND INDIANS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

Tuesday's Free Selection: Pittsburgh Pirates/Cincinnati Reds over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports

Tuesday's Free Play: Cincinnati Reds - 180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Cincinnati w/Mahle -180 over Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Tuesday : Take NY METS/BOSTON UNDER the total of 9½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Tuesday Minnesota Jax pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports

Tuesday's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds - 180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports

Tuesday Free Play Kansas City Lynch +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Tuesday: CHICAGO WHITE SOX/DETROIT UNDER the total of 9½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Tuesday: Texas Rangers + 240

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports

LA DODGERS RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco

Pitt/Cincy OVER 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony

MLB Take NY Yankees w/Montgomery -245