Friday 9/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFB

Friday’s games
Middle Tennessee (1-2) @ Charlotte (2-1)
— MTSU lost its two I-A games, 35-14/27-13.
— In those games, Blue Raiders ran ball 61 times for 74 yards.
— MTSU has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Blue Raiders have 49 returning starts on offensive line.
— MTSU has a junior QB with 13 starts.
— MTSU is 15-19-1 ATS last 35 games as a road underdog.

— Charlotte upset Duke 31-28, lost 20-9 at Georgia State.
— 49ers allowed 352-298 rushing yards in its two I-A games.
— Charlotte has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— 49ers have 29 returning starts on offensive line.
— Charlotte has a junior QB with 27 starts.
— Under Healy, 49ers are 1-4 ATS as a home favorite.

— MTSU won four of last five series games.
— 49ers won last meeting 34-20, running ball for 248 yards.
— Favorites are 3-2 in last five series games.

Wake Forest (3-0) @ Virginia (2-1)
— Wake beat Florida State 35-14, also beat two stiffs.
— Deacons outgained Florida State 484-317 last week.
— Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 22 career starts.
— Last six years, Deacons are 15-7 ATS as road underdog.

— Virginia hammered Illinois 42-14, lost 59-39 at UNC.
— Cavaliers gave up 699 yards to Carolina, 392 on ground.
— Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
— Virginia has a soph QB with 12 starts.
— Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.

— Wake Forest won/covered last four series games.
— Deacons threw for 309 yards in LY’s 40-23 win.
— Underdogs are 6-2 ATS last eight series games.

Liberty (3-0) @ Syracuse (2-1)
— Liberty won 21-13 at Troy, beat Old Dominion 45-17.
— Flames’ two I-A opponents ran ball 59 times for 88 yards.
— Liberty has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Liberty has 127 returning starts on offensive line.
— Flames’ junior QB has 13 career starts.
— Under Freeze, Liberty is 4-1 ATS as road favorites.

— Syracuse won 29-9 at Ohio U, lost 17-7 to Rutgers.
— Syracuse ran ball for 283-286 yards in its two wins.
— Syracuse has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Syracuse has 120 returning starts on offensive line.
— Orange junior QB has 18 career starts.
— Under Babers, Syracuse is 8-11 ATS as home underdogs.

— Liberty (-3) won 38-21 here LY; they lost 24-0 at home in ’19.
— Flames ran ball for 338 yards in LY’s win.

UNLV (0-3) @ Fresno State (3-1)
— UNLV was outscored 85-13 in its two I-A games.
— Rebels were outgained by 670 yards in those two games.
— UNLV has 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Rebels have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UNLV is playing a few different QB’s.
— Rebels are 29-16 ATS last 45 games as road dogs.

— Fresno (+11) upset UCLA LW, lost 31-24 at Oregon.
— Bulldogs threw ball for 930 yards their last two games.
— Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Fresno’s QB has 14 career starts.
— Bulldogs are 14-11-1 ATS last 26 games as home faves.

— Fresno won/covered last three series games.
— Bulldogs ran ball for 243-260 yards last two meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis September 24, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park has a loaded 15-race card set to start the weekend. The headliners are 2 and 3 three-year-olds competing in stakes action. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 which includes the Hoosier Park Pacing Derby, and the Caesars Trotting Classic begins in Race 12. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12

1-Fortify (10-1)-Has only 1 win in 12 starts this year but has been in the hunt except for the last start from post 8 in the Mohawk Gold Cup. Fits with this crew and has the gate speed to race near the top of the stack for Dunn and has 1 win in 3 HoP starts.
5-Shake That House (9/2)-Similar profile as #1, is overdue for a win should like the company and can close like a train. AMac should be able to have in striking range turning for the wire.
6-This Is The Plan (4-1)-Recent form has been dull although last was better than the line looks. Gingras could have the pedal down from the word "go" and if he can get a breather on the engine, it could be picture time.
10-Catch The Fire (7/2)-Has drawn outside in the last 3 starts but has raced well. The last win came here in the Dan Patch on 8-13, and Zeron will be back in the bike tonight.

Race 13

2-Lindy The Great (5/2)-Comes off an impressive, upset win in the Maple Leaf Trot and has won 4 of 10 at Hoosier. Team Miller doesn't avoid the most difficult foes and gets a bit of class relief tonight.
7-Forbidden Trade (8-1)-Almost wired the field in the Maple Trot and then was a sick scratch in his next start. Qualifier on 9-21 at Mohawk was okay and thinking unless 100% he would have stayed home. Blais trainee is making his 1st HoP start and will be steered by usual pilot Bob McClure.

Race 14

1-Northern Cadilac (9/2)-Raced well at this class at the end of July and just missed in one of those races when starting from the rail. Dave Miller takes the lines and that shouldn't hurt. This is the home track for this 4-year-old and it's a wide-open race.
3-Crook Boyz (5/2)-This is the morning line choice who hasn't raced since 6-13 and is 1-14 on the year. Qualifier on 9-18 was good, the George barn is batting 27% over the last 30 days and Trace Tetrick takes a seat. Will respect connections but probably won't offer much value.
7-Tulhurstsantanna A (7/2)-East coast invader has been facing tougher but has not seen action since 9-4. Has hit the board in 9 of 17 here and the Virgil Morgan Jr. barn has posted 25% winners over the last 30 days. This 8-year-old has gate speed so Zeron could leave but can also race off cover. Can be a player if ready for a big try in a tough race.
10-Clever Character (3-1)-Winner of 10 races in 37 HoP starts fits at this level but will need some luck starting from the 2nd tier. The #1 may leave to protect the rail and if so, Page might be able to work a trip and be in range at the top of the lane.

Race 15

3-Sand Sniper (6-1)-Zeron takes a spin as Widger sticks with #5. Comes off an improved effort and this pilot could be aggressive and get a close-up seat. This might be a trip-out candidate at a solid price.
5-El Jako N (3-1)-Cullipher trainee was in too tough in the last 2 starts and this smells like a drop and pop situation. Widger should have this 9-year-old in play and looks like a player versus this crew.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,5,6,10/2,7/1,3,7,10/3,5
Total Bet=$32

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 9/24/21 September 24, 2021
Belmont Park – Race 6. Post time: 3:38 ET
6 – Judge Davis (9/2)

Ran better than the line will show in his debut last month at Saratoga when winding up fourth behind subsequent stakes winner Major General and seems very likely to improve a bunch with experience and distance for a barn that has strong stats with the second-time starter angle. The son of Distorted Humor retains J. Ortiz, and with a clean break projects to be on or near the lead from the get-go. He’s listed at 9/2 on the morning line and at or near that price Shug’s colt will offer good wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

*

Gulfstream Park – Race 9. Post time: 6:12 ET
2 – Hot Foot Susie (6-1)

Debuting daughter of the speed sire Chito breezed a visually pleasing 10 1/5 seconds at the OBS June Sale and then brought $40,000 through the ring, a very good price for a Florida-bred filly with a modest female family. She’s continued to impress in recent drills over the local main track, so we’re expecting the J. Orseno-trained juvenile to be a major player in this below average affair that is ripe to be won by a fresh face. At 6-1 on the morning line, she’s worth a small gamble as a win play and rolling exotic single.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream 5 Facts | September 21-26, 2021 September 21, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:
Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:
$108,768 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($200,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

$2,803 // Super High Five

Feature Race(s):
$400,000 Florida Sire Stakes In Reality // 2-year-olds // Saturday

$400,000 Florida Sire Stakes My Dear Girl // 2-year-old fillies // Saturday

$125,000 Florida Sire Stakes Wildcat Heir // older dirt milers // Saturday

$100,000 Hollywood Beach // 2-year-old turf sprinters // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):
Avg. Speed Last 3 (39%, +$7.20)

Lifetime Speed (38%, +$25.80)

Best Speed Last 3 (33%, -$7.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:
T: Antonio Sano // last week 13: 4-2-2 (31%, $0.92 ROI) // all 6 exacta finishes 7-2 or less

T: Saffie Joseph // last week 7: 3-2-1 (43%, $1.70 ROI) // 4: 3-1-0 teamed with Edgard Zayas // 5 of 7 starters 2-1 or less

T: Jorge Delgado // last week 6: 3-0-0 (50%, $1.53 ROI) // wins at 6-5, 8-5, 3-1 // 2-2 with maiden claimers

J: Edgard Zayas // last week 25: 12-5-3 (48%, $1.52 ROI) // $13 top payout, only above 3-1 // 8: 6-2-0 aboard favorites

J: Miguel Vasquez // last week 22: 6-2-1 (27%, $1.05 ROI) // won for 6 different trainers // 7-2, 4-1, 9-2 scores among them // 3-3 on favorites

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts | Sept. 21-26. 2021 September 21, 2021
Schedule:
Friday-Sunday

Carryovers:
$20,739 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race:
No stakes scheduled

Friday // Race 3 allowance // 2-year-old heat featuring 5 last-out winners

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):
Win % (50%, +$17.80)

Avg. 2 of 3 Speed (48%, +$17.80)

Avg. Speed Last 3 (41%, +$13.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:
T: Jonathon Wong // last week 12: 7-2-0 (58%, $1.45 ROI) // all 7 wins 2-1 or less // 6: 5-1-0 with favorites

T: Tim McCanna // last week 4: 3-0-1 (75%, $1.93 ROI) // wins at 6-5, 8-5, 9-5 // 2-2 with Francisco Duran riding

T: Steve Miyadi // last week 2: 2-0-0 (100%, $3.05 ROI) // wins at 6-5, 3-1 // now 4-5 over past 2 weeks

J: Catalino Martinez // last week 10: 5-1-0 (50%, $1.86 ROI) // wins included 4-1, 5-1 shots // won for 5 different trainers

J: Assael Espinoza // last week 9: 3-1-4 (33%, $1.04 ROI) // 7-22 over past 2 weeks (3-3 with Steve Miyadi)

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Laurel Park 5 Facts | Sept. 21-26, 2021 September 21, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:
Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:
$482 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):
No stakes scheduled

Thursday // Race 9 allowance // features last year’s Laurel Dash & Maryland Million Turf runners-up, So Street and Canon’s Roar

Friday // Race 8 allowance // Fool Yourself aims for a fifth consecutive victory

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):
Best Speed Distance (33%, +$39.20)

Avg. E1 (Early) Pace (26%, +$9.60)

Trainer 2-Year Race (21%, +$12.40)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:
J: Jorge Ruiz // last week 19: 5-3-3 (26%, $1.88 ROI) // wins at 5-2, 9-2, 9-2, 6-1, 12-1 for 5 different barns

J: Xavier Perez // last week 11: 4-0-1 (36%, $2.92 ROI) // wins at 2-1, 4-1, 6-1, 15-1 all in dirt sprints

J: Feargal Lynch // last week 12: 4-1-1 (33%, $1.60 ROI) // 2 stakes wins, including 10-1 upset

J: Jevian Toledo // last week 19: 6-2-5 (32%, $0.91 ROI) // 5 winners at 2-1 or less, added 5-1 score // 3: 2-1-0 with Brittany Russell (Noteable: shares agent with injured Sheldon Russell.)

T: Sarah Nagle // last week 3: 3-0-0 (100%, $2.83 ROI) // wins at 1-1, 9-5, 5-2 in turf claimers

T: Brittany Russell // last week 8: 4-2-1 (50%, $1.09 ROI) // all 4 wins at 2-1 or less

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 Ski Bunny
She figures for a perfect trip while spying the pace from close range, and she looks like a good fit with these after a nice first start for the new team when protected off the claim.


#6 Take Me Home
She has a right to be tough while getting back on a course over which she's won six races from nine starts, and the guess is she's going to be able to turn the tables on the one who beat her last time out. The one to beat.


#2 Like Me Or Not
She beat Take Me Home when they met at Timonium last time out, but that one might be just a bit more reliable to run back to the good effort. Chance if she brings something similar here.


Race Summary
Ski Bunny should land a dreamy trip while in touch throughout, and she may be playable enough as the likely second choice on the board.


Charles Town - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 My Pretty Eyes
It took her 12 tries and the drop into maiden claimers to land her first win, but she came right back with a really good effort against similar when hiked into allowance company off the win against cheaper company. If she can work out a trip from the rail, she looks like she can be the right one.


#7 Juba's House
Her form can be hit or miss, but her best stuff keeps her in the mix here. That said, she hasn't been a serious threat to a winner in four starts since landing the maiden win, and she'll probably find one or two of these a bit too tough today.


#4 Carson Castle
She's probably capable of at least a small move forward in this second start off the layoff, and it was nice to see her finish with a bit of enthusiasm last out for a runner who tends to give away ground late.


Race Summary
My Pretty Eyes has really come forward in a couple of starts so far this summer, and she's fast enough to keep in touch from what might be a pocket spot into the turn.


Charles Town - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#3 Cedar Run's Fire
She does her best work when able to establish the lead, and it looks like she might be quick enough to find the front with these. There's not much to beat in here, and she might discourage the rest.


#5 Shesauptowngirl
She might have just enough speed to keep the top choice in her sights early on, but she's probably not a very appealing price with this group. She can win, but she's not for me.


#5 Corky Cowgirl
Not much to look at outside of the top pair, but this one should be a big price and at least owns some back runs from last year that might be good enough to land a piece with these. Second start off the break for a share?


Race Summary
Cedar Run's Fire and Shesauptowngirl look tough to get past in the finale, but the former has a likely pace edge and may offer a slightly better number in a bad race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Meadowlands - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#4 TREACHEROUS DRAGON
Game in defeat as pace quickened, one to beat in here.


#1 FIND HAPPINESS
Series of seconds ended from post 8, now draws rail.


#6 CAPTIVA
Two wins, two seconds and two thirds in six starts since August.


Race Summary
Treacherous Dragon's bid for three wins in a row ended at the hands of a razor sharp favorite, who held the lead through a :26.1 final quarter. He held second in the split race that timed 1-2/5 seconds faster, earning a playback tonight. Play 4-1 and 4-6 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#7 MUSTANG BEACH
Overcame traffic, caught the favorite, continued strong on gallop out.


#2 STONEBRIDGE REX
Good first gear, held on to win in last two sire stakes events.


#5 NO PLAN INTENDED
Hit board in three straight from posts 8 and 9.


Race Summary
Mustang Beach was better than his photo-finish victory suggests. He was trapped 3-deep behind the favorites, weaved through the stretch and shot the rail to catch the even-money pace setter. Play 7-2 and 7-5 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#4 BETTER BE DONNA N
Did well to finish second to odds-on choice, often outruns her odds.


#3 PARISIAN BLUE CHIP
Plays to a steady beat, first or second in 31 of 79 starts.


#5 WATCH ME NOW
Chased torrid pace in repeat attempt in stakes race.


Race Summary
Better Be Donna N chased the 1-to-5 favorite and held second after a :54.3 back half. The 7-year-old mare could pick up her 25th victory with a duplicate effort. Play a 4-ALL exacta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#6 Mesa Moon
Hasn't been on turf but his pedigree indicates it shouldn't be a tough switch, especially to five furlongs; Triana will get him close to the lead early on, and this one is game enough to dig in, especially vs. state-breds.


#7 Denver City
Has won five of six and has a good chance to add to that; his only career came in his first start, which happened at Oaklawn.


#4 Shannon C.
Was runner-up to Denver City in the prep for this and usually gives a good account; he's a five-time winner, but has had a lot of chances to top that as he's been second in 11 of his 25 starts.


Race Summary
Mesa Moon probably will be in a stalking position behind a very quick leader in Denver City and can dig in when asked; has won four of nine with eight on-the-board finishes.


Remington Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 Quality Rocket
Had a rare off-the-board finish (fourth place) last out and probably needed the start, as he hadn't been on turf since October; is the class of this group with 10 wins in 34 starts. Can make amends and get to the winner's circle vs. these.


#6 Cowboy Mischief
Won the allowance prep for this and has won two of his five Remington turf attempts; good enough to be right there again.


#2 Quarky
Was third to Denver City in a sprint last time and will likely carveout the fractions as he goes two turns; definitely a threat.


Race Summary
Quality Rocket doesn't run many bad ones and is usually pretty salty when the big money is on the line.


Remington Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#5 Country Daisy
Found another gear and whisked past some tough fillies and mares -- many of these -- in the allowance prep for this and anything close to that will get her back to the winner's circle.


#3 She's All Wolfe
Was second behind Country Daisy last out in her first race in four months; always runs well at Remington and will be a strong player again.


#2 Run Slewpy Run
Was second behind Gotta See Red last out and won on turf two races back; in excellent form and wouldn't be a big surprise.


Race Summary
Country Daisy had a powerful victory vs. similar and can close strongly for another win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont Park



Belmont Park - Race 8

Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double Wagers



Stakes • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 90 • Purse: $150,000 • Post: 4:44P


JOSEPH A. GIMMA S. - FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. NON-LASIX RACE PURSUANT TO 4043.2 (7)(E)(5) LASIX NOT PERMITTED WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $150 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $750 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $750 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION PAYMENT OF $1,500 (ALONG WITH THE ENTRY AND STARTING FEES) MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. THE PURSE TO BE DIVIDED 55% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, 4% TO FIFTH AND 3% DIVIDED EQUALLY AMONGST THE REMAINING FINISHERS. WEIGHT 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS.; ALL MAIDENS ALLOWED 4 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER. CLOSED SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2021 WITH 13 NOMINATIONS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * NOVEMBER REIN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. VELVET SISTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ADVERSITY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sp rint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



6

NOVEMBER REIN

8/5


7/2




2

VELVET SISTER

7/2


4/1




3

ADVERSITY

8/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

VELVET SISTER

2


7/2

Front-runner

83


86


91.8


74.3


70.3




6

NOVEMBER REIN

6


8/5

Front-runner

83


83


80.8


79.6


76.1




3

ADVERSITY

3


8/1

Stalker

79


70


92.9


66.4


58.9




4

CLASSY EDITION

4


2/1

Stalker

79


67


38.9


63.5


56.5




5

SHESAWILDJOKER

5


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


80


87.0


55.7


48.2




1

OUR TINY DANCER

1


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

75


69


71.1


27.5


15.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs



Will Rogers Downs - Race 10

$2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta



Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 70 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:45P


QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ROCKIN JO KOOL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Spe ed Rating. MIGHTY LUCKY SEIS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KAZAM OF RETURN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post positio n next to it gets out of the gate fast. RL HONDO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



8

ROCKIN JO KOOL

3/1


7/2




9

MIGHTY LUCKY SEIS

8/1


8/1




5

KAZAM OF RETURN

4/1


8/1




7

RL HONDO

7/2


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

DASH FOR A SURPRISE

1


20/1

Average

48


33


0.0


0.0


0.0




5

KAZAM OF RETURN

5


4/1

Fast

73


60


3.3


0.0


0.0




6

GIMME A SECRET

6


8/1

Average

75


53


4.1


0.0


0.0




7

RL HONDO

7


7/2

Average

65


63


4.6


0.0


0.0




8

ROCKIN JO KOOL

8


3/1

Fast

81


68


2.8


0.0


0.0




9

MIGHTY LUCKY SEIS

9


8/1

Slow

74


62


6.1


0.0


0.0




10

FEAR THIS GRANNY

10


8/1

Slow/Trouble-prone

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: HTR TEQUILLA MIAMOR (12/1) [Jockey: Raudales Rolando - Trainer: Capps Stacey L], EL DON CHUY (15/1) [Jockey: Perez Antonio G - Trainer: Hernandez Salimm], DUANES HOWD ID DO (12/1) [Jockey: Benn Cordarelton J - Trainer: Chavira

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $14847 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 TRS AMAZING BONNIE Z 7/2




# 4 LOADED RESUME 2/1




# 5 JESS LIPPY 6/1




TRS AMAZING BONNIE Z looks to be a competitive contender. Her 72 average has this filly with among the strongest Equibase speed figs for this event. Should be given a shot - I like the figures from the last contest. Medina has this filly racing well and is a competitive choice based on the solid Equibase Speed Figs put up in short races lately. LOADED RESUME - Is a sharp contender based on figs put up lately under today's conditions. Should compete soundly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses. JESS LIPPY - The trainer wheels this one back soon to race again. The average class figure alone makes this horse a solid contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arapahoe Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD NON WINNER OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR TRIAL OR NON WINNERS OF FOUR RACES LIFETIME. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 DOBY 7/2




# 2 BIG BIZ 9/2




# 5 ACCOUSTICAL 5/2




DOBY looks very strong to best this field. Overall the speed figures of this racer look solid in this competition. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt route events in this lot. BIG BIZ - Has been consistently racing well lately. Ought to compete admirably in the pace battle which bodes well with this field. ACCOUSTICAL - Could provide positive dividends based on solid recent Speed Figures with an average of 71. The speed fig of 83 from his last contest looks very strong in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 2:28pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 RIDE ON BYE (ML=9/5)


RIDE ON BYE - I have to figure Engler is making a good move here. This colt can only profit from the shorter trip. Was in a Maiden Special race at Gulfstream Park last time out. That event had an Equibase class figure of 75 and he is moving down right here. A certain solid contender. This colt is tops in earnings per start. Check out this thoroughbred in the saddling enclosure.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DAVID'S CUPID (ML=3/1), #6 PO BOY (ML=7/2), #5 SO IN LOVE (ML=6/1),

DAVID'S CUPID - Don't think this steed is worth 3/1 in this race. PO BOY - The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued equine. SO IN LOVE - Don't think that this filly has value at 6/1 in today's event.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 RIDE ON BYE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,200 Class Rating: 30

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 AFLAXENDREAM (ML=3/1)
#6 GIMME CLEARANCE (ML=6/1)


AFLAXENDREAM - Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Trainer Laugherty moves this animal down the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a strong performance given the class advantage. This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on September 14th, finishing third. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. This filly's last speed rating is strong enough to score here, I'll play her back again this time around. GIMME CLEARANCE - The rider/trainer pair of Dominguez and Silva has a strong return on investment together. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five Equibase class figure points like this one did last out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class level. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 LA LA ANGEL (ML=2/1), #5 LINDA'S CITY (ML=4/1), #1 MISS CELESTE (ML=5/1),

LA LA ANGEL - When scrutinizing today's class figure, she will have to notch a much better fig than last race out to be competitive in this dirt sprint. LINDA'S CITY - The Brain tells me to keep my distance from horses in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance events recently. MISS CELESTE - Finished fifth last time out. Would have to perk up to land in the top three today. Earned a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure in the last race in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on September 2nd. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #4 AFLAXENDREAM on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs


09/24/21, CD, Race 6, 3.18 ET
09/24/21,CD,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
3
Cachirulo
20/1
Cardoso D
Cash Norman L.
SWL
108
30.56
1.15/$1


096.6768
5
Jesuit
3/1
Gaffalione T
Stewart Dallas
JE
40
37.50
1.46/$1


096.2319
2
Willie Has Hart
7/2
Desormeaux K J
Desormeaux J. Keith
FC
78
32.05
1.26/$1


095.5442
6
Dealmeinbud
6/1
Lanerie C J
Walsh Brendan P.


108
30.56
1.15/$1


095.2602
10
Great North
10/1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe
T
40
37.50
1.46/$1


094.7644
4
Fireman Dan(b+)
5/1
Rocco. Jr. J
Tomlinson Michael A.


40
37.50
1.46/$1


093.7338
8
Better Tone
6/1
Graham J
Amoss Thomas M.


108
30.56
1.15/$1


093.4700
9
War Ally
20/1
Bejarano R
Lukas D. Wayne


108
30.56
1.15/$1


093.3854
7
Delta Nine
20/1
Murrill M
Mitchell Sherman S.


108
30.56
1.15/$1


092.5884
1
Declare the Moon
5/1
Talamo J
Kenneally Eddie


108
30.56
1.15/$1


092.1902
11
Rithmicallea
8/1
Albarado R
Gelner Scott


40
37.50
1.46/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.3232
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Charlotte under 56
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Friday, September 24th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #7
TIME: 10:02 PM EST
PICK: BET #7 Juba’s House 3/1 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Friday, September 24th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Royals @ Tigers
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 9 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, September 24th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Mets @ Brewers
TIME: 8:10 PM EST
PICKS: BET UNDER 8 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Sep 24 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Pirates vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -216 at linepros

Gibson, who is 7-2 with a 1.97 ERA in his "home" starts, is off a quality effort but the Phillies didn't give him enough run support. That shouldn't be an issue today; Howard is 1-6 with a 6.51 ERA for his career. He's supported by a Pirate pen which has a 5.20 ERA on the road. The Philadelphia bats came alive yesterday with 12 runs. With the Pirates just 23-54 on the road, this one goes to the surging Phillies. Consider laying the wood.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Sep 24 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Marlins vs Rays
Play on: Rays -1½ -131 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 9-24-21
Miami @ Tampa Bay (7:10 PM EST)
Play On: Tampa Bay -1.5 -131 (Cabrera/Robertson) Listed
The Miami Marlins travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Rays on Friday night. Miami is 64-88 SU overall this year while Tampa Bay comes in with a 94-59 SU overall record on the season. Edward Cabrera is 0-2 with a 5.31 ERA overall this year, 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA on the road this season and 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA his last 3 starts. Miami is 24-50 on the road this year scoring only 3.9 runs per game. Miami is 3-14 in inter-league play this year scoring only 3.3 runs per game. Miami is allowing 5.7 runs per game past 7 games overall. Tampa Bay is 59-32 against right handed starters this year scoring 5.7 runs per game. Tampa Bay is 49-29 at home this year allowing only 3.3 runs per game. Tampa Bay is 11-2 overall vs Miami the past 3 years. Tampa Bay is 64-29 this year after a win. We'll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay on the Run line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule Sep 24 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | White Sox vs Indians
Play on: Indians +1½ -150 at Mirage

This is a free play on the Indians.
The White Sox are division champs, and we will see if they suffer a let down in their first game since clinching the AL Central.
Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he has an ERA over 5.00 on the road. He allowed six runs on eight hits over 3 1/3 innings in his only start against the Indians this season.
Cleveland will hand the ball to Shane Beiber, who will likely be on a pitch count in his first start coming off the DL.
The White Sox are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Sep 24 '21, 8:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Liberty vs Syracuse
Play on: UNDER 54 -107

#309/310 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 54 Points – Liberty vs Syracuse, Friday at 8 PM ET - At first glance we see two teams that want to run the football which in turns means less clock stoppage and lower scoring games in general. Liberty ranks 20th in rushing attempts per game at 44, Syracuse is 64th at 36.5. Both teams may have a hard time establishing the run though as the defenses they face are stout against the rush. In fact, the Flames have the 3rd best rushing defense in terms of yards allowed per rush at a miniscule 1.5RYPA, while allowing only 44 rushing yards per game overall. The Orange are giving up 92 rushing yards per game which ranks 26th while allowing 2.5 yards per attempt (17th best in the nation). Liberty does rate much better in terms of yards per point scored at 11.6 which is 21st, but Syracuse ranks 92nd in that same statistical category at 17.9YPPT. Another key factor here is pace of play as both have been conservative in their offensive approach this season. Liberty is averaging 71.5 plays per game which is around the national average, but Syracuse runs just 64.5 plays per game which ranks 107th. The Flames had two 40+ point outbursts but they came against a pair of bad defenses in Old Dominion and Cambell. The one defense they played which is like the Orange was Troy and they managed just 21 points in that game. Syracuse has played in two lower scoring games versus Ohio U and Rutgers before posting 62 on Albany last week. Coincidentally, that offensive outburst last week by the Cuse has driven this line up higher than it should be. The bet here is UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Sep 24 '21, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Cardinals vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs +170 at William Hill

1* on Cubs +170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Sep 24 '21, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Cardinals vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs +171 at linepros

The Cardinals are playing a doubleheader today. My involvement - a pizza bet - is fading Jack Flaherty. He's scheduled to start against Zach Davies in Game 2. St. Louis is hot. The Cubs are in rebuild mode. I understand that. I also know, though, that those backing the Cardinals are paying a premium to get Flaherty - and he's not going to pitch very long. I consider Flaherty one of the best pitchers in the National League. But he's endured an injury-plagued season. He missed 2 1/2 months because of a strained oblique muscle and then he was shut down following his Aug. 24 appearance because of shoulder soreness. He hasn't pitched since. The Cardinals are going to be extra careful with him here. They want to ease Flaherty into the postseason when the games really matter. So essentially the Cardinals are laying a monster price in what amounts to a glorified bullpen game. I'm not a fan of Davies, but he does have a 1.69 ERA in three starts versus St. Louis this season. The wind is blowing out at 14 miles per hour, so there should be plenty of runs. The Cubs are the more powerful team ranking 11th in homers with 202. The Cardinals are 20th in homers with 176.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | TOR vs MIN
Play on: OVER 8½ -105

1 Dimer on Blue Jays vs Twins over 8½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Twins
Play on: Twins +138 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Twins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Giants vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +180 at William Hill

Free Play on Rockies +180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Twins
Play on: Blue Jays -136 at linepros

My free play is on the Tor Blue Jays at 8:10 ET.
Toronto opened Sep 15-3 but then lost two of three at Tampa Bay. A four-game series in Minnesota starting Thursday allowed the Blue Jays a good opportunity to "make a move" in the AL wild card race. However, the Twins beat the Jays 7-2 last night and the Jays now sit THREE games behind Boston (No. 1 wild card) and one game behind the Yankees (No. 2 wild card). As for 68-85 Minnesota, 2020's AL Central champs, the Twins are just trying to play the role of spoiler in the season; last 10 days,
Taking the mound Friday night at Target Field will be Jose Berrios (12-8, 3.45 ERA) of Toronto, while Minnesota will start 6-foot-9 rookie Bailey Ober (2-3, 4.34 ERA). Berrios is a two-time All-Star and was a first-round pick in the 2012 draft by the Twins. He was traded to Toronto on July 30 for a pair of highly touted minor league prospects, infielder/outfielder Austin Martin and right-handed pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson. Berrios has made 63 career starts at Target Field in Minneapolis but Friday night will mark his first as a visiting player. In 64 career appearances at Target Field, including one relief outing, Berrios is 32-20 with a 3.59 ERA. Berrios faced his old team for the first time last Sunday in Toronto and allowed three runs on four hits while striking out six over 6.2 innings of a 5-3 victory. Ober will be making his second career start against the Blue Jays. He took the loss Saturday in a 6-2 defeat at Toronto when he allowed four runs (a three-run HR and a solo shot) in four innings. Ober has made 19 starts in 2021 and the Twins are a respectable 11-8 (remember: Minnesota is 17 games under .500!).
Toronto needs to win Friday, Saturday and Sunday and that can't happen if the Jays don't win tonight. That's the bet.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | TOR vs MIN
Play on: OVER 8½ -105

Free Total Annihilator On Blue Jays vs Twins over 8½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Twins
Play on: Blue Jays -135 at linepros

The high octane Jays were embarrassed by the Twins yesterday and now have starter woes. Berrioz is not one of them. He has been very good lately and was lights out against the Twins recently. The Jays have had success vs. Ober, and desperately need a win today. Look for a rebound from the Jays offense. Take the Jays to win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Mets vs Brewers
Play on: Mets +134 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Mets +134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Sep 24 '21, 8:30 PM in 3h
Soccer | CR Vasco da Gama vs Brusque
Play on: CR Vasco da Gama +121 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on CR Vasco da Gama +121

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Sep 24 '21, 8:30 PM in 3h
Soccer | CR Vasco da Gama vs Brusque
Play on: CR Vasco da Gama +121 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on CR Vasco da Gama +121

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Sep 24 '21, 10:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | UNLV vs Fresno State
Play on: UNDER 59½ -110

1* Free Play on UNLV/Fresno State under 59½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Sep 24 '21, 10:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | UNLV vs Fresno State
Play on: UNDER 60 -110

1* Free Pick on UNLV/Fresno State under 60 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Texas w/Howell -120 over Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: TORONTO/MINNESOTA UNDER the total of 9 runs