Saturday 10/9/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Free Winners for Saturday, October 9th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Texas Tech @ TCU
TIME: 7:00 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 62.5 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-sportsbook/)

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Saturday, October 9th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS
Middle Tenn St @ Liberty
TIME: 3:30 PM EST
PICKS: BET OVER 58 @ BOVADA (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Ge8BT9IAE6ejHXmGko7osNK/0/)

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Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: SMU Mustangs/Navy Midshipmen over 55 1/2 (Plays on Saturday)

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#1 Sports Thursday's Free Play: SMU Mustangs - 13 1/2 (Plays on Saturday)

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: Liberty Flames - 19 1/2 (Saturday, Oct 9th)

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Gulfstream 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday (12:50 pm ET daily post)

Carryovers:

$314,171 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($450,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

$3,881 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (26%, +$3.60)

Best Speed Today’s Distance (29%, +$2.80)

Trainer Current Year (22%, -$14.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Michael Yates // last week 3: 2-0-1 (67%, $6.53 ROI) // $17 and $22 maiden sprint wins

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 6: 3-1-1 (50%, $2.25 ROI) // 10-27 over past 3 weeks

T: Jorge Delgado // last week 4: 2-0-1 (50%, $3.43 ROI)// wins at $11 and $15

J: Edwin Gonzalez // last week 15: 4-4-2 (27%, $1.15 ROI) // 5: 3-1-1 on favorites + $20 topper

J: Miguel Vasquez // last week 20: 5-3-3 (25%, $1.04 ROI) // 3-3 favorites // wins for 5 different barns

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Laurel Park 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$3,057// Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (28%, -$2.40)

Last Purse (25%, +$37.00)

In The Money % (25%, -$18.20)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Horacio Karamanos // last week 18: 6-3-0 (33%, $2.39 ROI) // wins include $24, $32 upsets // wins for 6 different trainers

J: Jorge Ruiz // last week 15: 4-03 (27%, $1.46 ROI) // wins at $5, $8, $12, $15

T: Mike Trombetta // last week 9: 3-1-1 (33%, $1.02 ROI) // 2-3 with favorites // all 3 wins maiden claiming sprinters

T: Kelly Rubley // last week 5: 2-0-2 (40%, $5.44 ROI) // $11 and $44 scores with 9-1, 11-1 thirds

T: Mike Stidham // last week 4: 2-1-0 (50%, $1.88 ROI) // wins at $6, $8 adding 6-1 runner-up // both wins maiden special weight

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Santa Anita Park Stats | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:
Friday-Monday (Columbus Day holiday)

Carryovers:

$170,377 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

$9,752 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

$70,000 Swingtime Stakes // Cal-bred turf milers // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Lifetime Earnings (45%, +$14.00)

Best Speed Last 3 (42%, +$5.60)

In The Money % (30%, -$1.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Flavien Prat // last week 24: 7-8-3 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // 5-12 with Peter Miller & Richard Mandella // 5 wins turf

T: Richard Mandella // last week 10: 3-1-4 (30%, $1.37 ROI) // wins at $4, $4 and $18 – added 12-1 third

T: Mike Puype // last week 5: 2-0-0 (40%, $1.80 ROI) // $5, $12 scores both in maiden turf sprints

T: Bob Baffert // last week 13: 5-1-0 (38%, $0.66 ROI) // 5-6 with favorites // 3-3 with John Velazquez // 3 stakes wins

T: John Sadler // last week 7: 2-3-0 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // $4, $6 wins with maidens // 0-4 stakes all at 7-1 or less

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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AI Picks: SA, Kee, Bel Stakes | Saturday, Oct. 9, 2021 October 8, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
It’s another big Saturday of national stakes races, and to assist your handicapping, key stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

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Belmont Park // Race 7 // 3:47 pm ET // Grade 1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic // 1-1/2 miles (turf)

#3 Gufo (8-5) // 30%W
#5 Cross Border (8-1) // 18%W
#2 Arklow (6-1) // 18%W
#4 Rockemperor (10-1) // 10%W

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Keeneland // Race 9 // 5:15 pm ET // Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity // 1-1/16 miles

#1 Double Thunder (4-1) // 20%W
#5 Don’t Wait Up (9-2) // 14%W
#13 Classic Causeway (5-1) // 12%W
#12 Kevin’s Folly (12-1) // 10%W

//

Santa Anita Park // Race 7 // 7:08 pm ET // Swingtime Stakes // 1 mile (turf)

#5 Brooke (4-1) // 26%W
#7 Norma Jean B (6-1) // 17%W
#10 Quiet Secretary (6-1) // 14%W
#6 Ellie Arroway (15-1) // 9%W

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Race of the Week: First Lady at Keeneland | Saturday, October 9 October 7, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
$400,000 GRADE 1 FIRST LADY STAKES AT KEENELAND

The Lead:
Keeneland's Fall Stars Weekend boasts stakes throughout its 3-day opening week, and Saturday's card is absolutely stacked. A trio of Grade 1 races fill the marquee, and we'll focus our attention on Race 8, the Grade 1 First Lady at a mile on grass. Trainer Chad Brown seeks a personal four-peat in this event and will have multiple chances to land it.

​Field Depth:
Grade 1 winners in the lineup include ALTHIQA, HARVEY'S LIL GOIL, VIADERA, ABSCOND and EMPRESS JOSEPHINE (Ireland) . REGAL GLORY, BLOWOUT and PRINCESS GRACE have scored at the Grade 2 level. This is a high-class bunch not welcoming to a big class riser.

Pace:
BLOWOUT is pure turf speed and knows only one way, the front. She'll have company from DALIKA, who may not be as naturally quick, but will have to be sent hard from post 11 in this mile configuration. Those two are quality speed, while it appears few others will be interested in early engagement. The bulk of this field wants to sit mid-flight or farther back. A deep closer could be compromised.

Our Eyes:
ALTHIQA looks to continue a big-time run for trainer Charlie Appleby's Godolphin raiders to the US. She won the Just a Game and Diana in Grade 1 company at Belmont and Saratoga on separate raids this summer. The Godolphin ace trainer since added 3 Grade 1 victories at Woodbine and the inaugural $1 million Jockey Club Derby at Belmont for quite the autumn turn in North America. While familiar US course pilots Mike Smith and Manny Franco handled the controls in her previous 2 domestic wins, Jamie Spencer partners this time from overseas. I'm not wild about that as Spencer has had his share of riding foibles in the US, though has balanced the ledger at 15% (6-40) since 2015. The third trip across the pond since June raises a touch of concern. Still, she's the filly to beat, but if you didn't get her at 7-1 or 7-2, Saturday at something closer to 7-5 won't be appealing.

EMPRESS JOSEPHINE also travels stateside and will provide yet another Coolmore vs. Godolphin clash. This Aidan O'Brien-trained sophomore upset the Irish 1000 Guineas in May, but has dropped 3 straight. She's impeccably bred by Galileo and out of Lillie Langtry, who was a multiple Group 1 winner of $1.5 million. The dam flopped in her only US bid when up the track as the favorite in Santa Anita's 2019 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. O'Brien saddled 3 Breeders' Cup champions over this Keeneland turf course between the 2015 and 2020 events.

The 11 domestic challengers include 3 from Chad Brown, who aims for a record-padding fifth win in the First Lady. REGAL GLORY, BLOWOUT and VIADERA made up his trifecta. BLOWOUT will take them as far as she can on the front, coming in fresh in just her third start this year after only a trio of starts in 2020. But she picks up 6 pounds off her last 2 efforts and every bit counts when the gas tanks begins to empty. VIADERA won the Grade 2 Ballston Spa at Saratoga by a nose last out and has won 4 of her last 5. But note winning margins of a nose, nose, neck and neck...and there's no margin for error as she gives ground from a dastardly post 13. Brown's best chance projects to be REGAL GLORY, who dropped in class for a victory last time after finishing fourth to ALTHIQA in the Just a Game at Belmont. The key to that loss, which came by 3-1/2 lengths, very well could have been the course configuration. She has not been nearly as effective in 1-turn races as she has in 2-turn races. Look for the layout at Keeneland to boost the stock of REGAL GLORY.

PRINCESS GRACE has but a half-length runner-up finish on her resume from being perfect through 7 starts. Mike Stidham and the owners have done a masterful job campaigning her at 7 different venues. She makes her first-ever return trip anywhere, coming back to Keeneland where she won last October's Valley View vs. 3-year-olds. This will be far and away the toughest field she's ever faced.

As for the balance of the field, HARVEY'S LIL GOIL won the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup here last Fall against then-fellow sophomores. She's just 1-4 this year against elders and looked to be training superbly prior to her last few Saratoga starts and failing to deliver in the afternoon. She should get a good trip just behind the pair of confirmed speedsters, so perhaps that can right her fortunes.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
ALTHIQA should deliver on her last 2 victories with another contending finish. Even if a bit comes off her best, she should light the board.
​​
Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
DADDY IS A LEGEND has a strong Keeneland record and trainer George Weaver's barn has been hot in recent weeks in New York. ALTHIQA only beat her by 2-1/2 lengths at Belmont, and perhaps the course at Keeneland can make up the difference in her favor.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$40 win REGAL GLORY. $20 exacta box REGAL GLORY and ALTHIQA ($40). $10 exacta part-wheel REGAL GLORY and ALTHIQA over DADDY IS A LEGEND ($20).

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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis October 9, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Ontario Sires Stakes action is featured on the 12-race Woodbine Mohawk card. The Early 0.20 Pick 5 kicks-off the program. The sequence has a $100,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

1-Wind Blown (3-1)-Drops back to a level for success. Does the best work racing near the top of the stack and Henry should have no issue getting there.
4-Highlandbeachlover (5/2)-Gets a ++ driver change with JMac getting the call tonight. Only 4 for 42 in the past 2 years but should be in the mix versus this group. The pilot change could be the difference.
5-Lets Get Pickled (8-1)-Filion sat behind this 5-year-old last week and the effort was better than the line looks. Ran into a sharp winner and did pace the 2nd half in 54.1. Should be forwardly placed and has a shot for an upset at a price.
8-The Greek Freak (4-1)-Dropped to this level in last and Roy had the pedal down. Did get on the point but faded late. This is another who has trouble winning, 1-16 in 2021, but best to respect here.

Race 2

3-Portofino (5/2)-Winner of 2 straight made its debut in September and finished 2nd twice. The last 2 starts have been dominating wins and right now looks a cut above the rest.

Race 3

2-Game Of Shadows (3-1)-Rolled the back half in .55 and Roy sped away down the lane drawing off by almost 4 lengths. That win shouldn't be discounted, and the same effort could lead to the same result.
4-Voluptuous (5/2)-This Alagna trainee is no slouch. Beaten chalk lost all chance after being 10 lengths back at the half. McNair should work a better trip this time and may have enough early speed to get the jump on #2.

Race 4

5-Archery Seelster (3-1)-Odds-on winner sure looked the part on 9-30 drawing off by over 5 lengths. Raced most of the mile on his own and it probably won't be so easy tonight. But Roy knows well, and he should put this colt in play early in the mile.
9-HP Maestro (9/2)-The post will help boost the price and didn't have much chance in last. Filion could look to follow a live cover flow and the fractions should be honest. Has hit the board in 6 of 8 at Wbsb with 1 picture, and can be in the mix here.

Race 5

2-Dynomites Peak (5/2)-Winner of 2 in a row and 3 of the last 4 gets some post relief tonight. Looks like a major player once again.
5-Macho Phil (3-1)-Started from post 10 in last and lost by a half-length to #10 who benefitted from a smooth trip. This is a competitive affair, JMac can make the most of this post draw and should be in the hunt at the wire.
7-Century Iglesias (6-1)-Has hit the board in 5 of 7 at Mohawk with 1 picture. Jamieson needs to provide a sharp steer and find some live cover. There should be an honest pace and could finish fastest of all.

0.20 Early Pick 5

1,4,5,8/3/2,4/5,9/2,5,7
Total Bet=$9.60

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies - October 9, 2021 October 9, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play


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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Buzz of New York; 5-Takemebythehand

Forecast: 2-Buzz of New York wasted a perfect trip when failing to change leads the length of the lane and then just failing by a head to catch Summer Daisy in a similar maiden route affair for fillies and mares at Del Mar last month. Not much more will be needed to beat this field, though the loss of F. Prat (who is out of town) won’t help matters, Also, as an eight-race maiden, she’s probably not one to trust. Takemebythehand was given too much to do when a non-threatening fourth (beaten two and one-half lengths) in her U.S. debut at Del Mar in mid-July. The J. Mullins-trained English-bred sophomore gets an extra furlong to work with today, sports a healthy series of recent workouts, and should be heard from in the final furlong. We’ll try to get by using just these two in our rolling exotics in a race that we’ll otherwise not get too involved with.

Notable Workouts
5-Takemebythehand (September 22, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.4h TT). Grade: B-
Easy solo training track breeze for J. Mullins, just galloping while coming the final three furlongs in :12.3 and :38.1. Long-winded English-bred maiden filly should improve as the distances increase and has a right to step forward following an okay U.S. debut in July at Del Mar.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/takemebythehand-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/takemebythehand-worked-5-furlongs-in-102-80-at-santa-anita-park-on-september-22nd-2021/)

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RACE 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Silver Moon Road; 5-Rookie Year

Forecast: Silver Moon Road has won two of his last three races with strong figures, the victories sandwiching a last place two-turn performance behind Breeders’ Cup-bound Ginobili routing at Del Mar in a race in which the T. Yakteen-trained gelding was fried on a blistering pace and was virtually eased late. A 12-length maiden claiming win over this track and distance in June charts extremely well in this $50,000 claimer restricted to 3-year-olds, and with good bug girl J. Pyfer riding him back the son of Secret Circle appears well-placed to continue his winning form. Rookie Year broke his maiden by more than nine lengths at this trip over this distance in early May and has two-turned in each of his four races since. Back sprinting, the P. Miller-trained gelding isn’t as fast on numbers as our top pick but projects to draft into a comfortable stalking/pressing position and then have his chance to produce a career top performance. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with the main push going to Silver Moon Road.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:04 PT Grade: B
Single: 9-Kazuhiko

Forecast: Kazuhiko was given a run in his U.S. debut sprinting on turf at Del Mar in early August, failing to change leads in the stretch (typical for him) but coming home strongly without being knocked about to wind up third, beaten just over a length, and then galloping out well while clearly finding the five furlong trip a bit too sharp. The son of Deep Impact should be much more serious today today while greatly appreciating today’s extra furlong, so from his outside nine-post draw we’re hoping the 4-year-old Australian-bred colt can produce the last run. In a race in which no attractive alternates exists and at 5/2 on the morning line, we’ll take a stand and make him a win play and rolling exotic single.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Creative Peak; 6-Straight Up G

Forecast: Straight Up G is a first-timer from the R. Baltas barn with win-early breeding from a comfortable outside draw in a juvenile sprint that drew just six entrants. The workouts at San Luis Rey Downs jump off the page, so in a race that came up light the son of Straight Fire seems well-placed to score at first asking. Creative Peak was eliminated soon after the start as the even money favorite in a Los Alamitos maiden special weight sprint and today makes a positive barn change to V. Cerin. The son of Creative Cause, a respectable runner-up two races back in his debut at Santa Anita in a fairly fast race, is the best of the known element and is worth including in rolling exotic play either as a back-up or a saver.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B+
Use: 5-Let Freedom Rein; 8-Lucky Girl

Forecast: Let Freedom Rein gained valuable experience in her debut when winding up a willing third while on her own courage behind subsequent stakes winner Cairo Memories in a similar maiden turf miler for juvenile fillies and caught the eye galloping out full of run entering the clubhouse turn. R. Gonzalez got to known her in the race, stays aboard, and should have this $190,000 daughter of Constitution within range throughout and with every chance to produce a winning late kick. There’s excellent wagering value here at 4-1 on the morning line for a barn that has solid stats with the second-time starter angle. Lucky Girl displayed considerable promise when third of 14 in her debut in Ireland in July despite a very slow start and an extremely wide trip and gives every indication of being a well-meant European invader for R. Baltas following a strong series of workouts since arriving in California. She will be dangerous if she switches off behind horses and then produces a similar late run to the one she manufactured in her debut.

Notable Workouts:
Lucky Girl (October 4, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.2h TT). Grade: B
Even with Gold Dragon Queen (same time) for R. Baltas, splits of :24.1, :36 flat and 1:00.3 on our watches in solid training track drill while gearing up for U.S. debut. Steady, grinding sort will need a distance of ground on this circuit to show her best stuff. Looks fit, should be a live item when facing maiden juvenile fillies on grass.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/richard-baltas/lucky-girl-outside-and-gold-dragon-queen-worked-4-furlongs-in-48-40-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-4th-2021/)

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RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade:
Use: 4-Ka’nah; 5-Cunning Munnings

Forecast:This restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming sprint doesn’t have a whole lot in it, so we’ll double the race using the two main contenders. Ka’nah ran quite well when runner-up at this level two runs back, finishing second while more than four lengths clear of the rest, and repeat of that effort today should be sufficient. The Gio Ponti gelding has run well over this main track in the past and projects to settle in the second flight and then have dead aim and every chance from the quarter pole home. Cunning Munnings, away since November but returning for a barn that has strong stats (20%) with layoff runners, has been given a solid foundation of workouts both at San Luis Rey Downs and at Santa Anita to be fit and ready. The M. Glatt-trained gelding has back numbers that are good enough to win at this level, though his lack of tactical speed is a bit concerning. We’ll prefer Ka’nah on top but have tickets using both in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B+
Single: 4-Ippodamia’s Girl

Forecast: Ippodamia’s Girl needs to be held up early and produced late and given that type of trip the veteran mare should regain her winning form in this year’s renewal of the Swingtime S. over a mile on grass for fillies and mares. A bullet half mile training track drill (:46 2/5, fastest of 16) eight days ago is significant, as is the switch to one of the barn’s “go-to” riders, M. Gutierrez, so at 7/2 on the morning line we’re going to play the daughter of Stormy Atlantic with confidence in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

Notable Workouts:
4-Ippodamia’s Girl (October 1, Santa Anita, 4f, :46.2h TT). Grade: B+
Was let run through the lane and responded well with quick splits of :23 flat and :46.3, full stride late while appearing quite sharp. Has plenty of speed but form suggests she’s most effective when held up early and allowed to blast home. Happiest at a mile.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/richard-baltas/ippodamias-girl-worked-4-furlongs-in-46-40-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-1st-2021/)

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RACE 8: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B--
Use: 4-Test Drive; 6-Honor Among Men; 9-Sometimes Always

Forecast: We’ll triple this low level restricted (nw-2) $16,000 sprint for older horses that offers three main players and a few others with a look as well. Sometimes Always is guaranteed a lovely stalking trip outside and should have dead aim on the leaders every step of the way. The route-to-sprint angle is in full effect for this son of Morning Line, who was a clever winner around one corner two races back with a similar type of journey that he’ll enjoy today. Quite popular at the claim box, he’s changed barns in five of his seven career starts and retains U. Rispoli for new trainer J. Gutierrez while showing a steady, healthy work tab for his first race since mid-August. Honor Among Men missed in a photo as the favorite vs. similar at Los Alamitos last month after stumbling at the start and then getting worn down close home despite digging in gamely. He’ll need to navigate an extra half-furlong today but with a clean start the son of Bayern appears the most dangerous of the front-runners. Test Drive, in his first start following a claim by J. Wong (33% with this angle), is lightly-raced with a closing kick that could make him dangerous if a pace meltdown materializes. He picks up the stable’s “go to” rider A. Cedillo (24% with a massive flat-bet profit) and is worth using somewhere on your ticket at 5-1 on the morning line.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-I’ll Stand Taller; 2-Clem Labine; 4-Surplus

Forecast: I’ll Stand Taller is back sprinting where he’s always been most comfortable and at 6-1 on the morning line represents a reasonable gamble in this extended turf sprint for first-level allowance state-bred older horses. The D. O’Neill-trained colt has rising speed figures, a strong recent training track drill to have him on edge, and a stalking style that should have give him every chance to tag the leaders close home. Surplus continued his improving pattern by graduating from California-bred company over five furlongs on grass at Del Mar in late August. The P. Miller-trained gelding earned a career top speed figure in victory and a similar performance today makes him dangerous right back. Ex-Dodger reliever and three time World Series champion Clem Labine is a deep closing sprinter trying grass for the first time. As a son of Grazen, the Northern California-based gelding should have no difficulty adapting to the change in surface, and with good racing luck and some help up front he could pose a serious threat once again in the late stages.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday Santa Anita Late Pick 4 Analysis & Picks October 8, 2021 | By Johnny D


While spring is a wonderful time of year…complete with melting snow, blooming trees, singing birds and the Kentucky Derby; fall steals the cake with cool mornings, sunny afternoons, colorful landscapes, NCAA and NFL football, the World Series and Breeders’ Cup. Keeneland, Belmont and Santa Anita are in action this weekend and they’re all worth the price of a wager or two.

In fact, Santa Anita’s Late Pick 4 might be worth a little more attention than usual because Xpressbet is offering shares of an extra $2,000 to players who hit the wager. That may not mean a major windfall but, heck, if you’re playing the Pick 4 with Xpressbet or 1/STBET anyway, why not register and collect more money when you’re correct? The Late Pick 4 offer is good each racing day this meeting at The Great Race Place. Log in and visit MEMBER BENEFITS/SPECIAL OFFERS to register and for information about all Xpressbet offers, including a $10,000 Fall-Stars Pick 4 Split offer at Keeneland Saturday, Oct. 9.

In order to, hopefully, help horseplayers conquer Saturday’s Late Pick 4 at Santa Anita, we’ve analyzed the races below and offered up a suggested ticket. Please, consider the analysis and revise the suggested play or construct your own sheet based on the evaluations. Pick 4s are easier to hit than Pick 5s, about like the Matterhorn is easier to climb than Everest. In other words…wear your mittens, they’re both difficult!

Last week in this space, we suggested a $48 Late Pick 4 ticket that returned $37.75 for each $.50. Not so great. What was pretty good, however, is that the $48 total ticket price represented a suggested $3 Late Pick 4 worth a total of $226.50 plus a nearly 16% $6.01 bonus from the Xpressbet Late Pick 4 pot to registered players. Not a life-changing score but, as they say, ‘Better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick.’

This week’s Late Pick 4 is much tougher than last week’s, and we don’t envision a ‘chalky’ payoff. We’ve suggested a more expensive ticket to reflect the perceived open nature of these races. Trim and adjust to fit your preferences. This appears a difficult one.

6th Race
Claiming $25kN2L
Three Year Olds & Up
Six Furlongs

This is a tricky start to the Late Pick 4. Good news is that we get to see the tote board for wagering information that might help narrow down the choices. Any runner taking strong money in here should be a signal that the barn knows more than we do. Otherwise, wagering should be about evenly distributed across the board with no real ‘hot’ horse.

#1 Doc Adams drops for a tag for the first time off a nearly one-year layoff. The work pattern is nothing special and apprentice DA Herrera is up. The drop by owner, breeder Nick Alexander must be respected in a wide-open race.

#2 Honorary Degree broke maiden one back when loose on the lead at the maiden 20k level. That’s his only notable effort in 5 starts. Apprentice Jess Pyfer rides for Adam Kitchingman.

#3 Stir the Pot is just 1 for 16, with 4 seconds and 2 thirds. He has early speed and there’s not much of that in this race. A best of 80 half mile work in :47 3/5 shows he’s still got his speed. Six furlongs may not be his best distance, but he’s been second at six and one-half furlongs. Again, this is a wide-open race so his speed must be respected.

#4 Ka’nah was second at this level one back and then a respectable third in a $50k starter. He fits off those two races and has faced better earlier in his career. He should race just off the early pace under Tyler Baze.

#5 Cunning Munnings also was second at this level one back in a five and one-half furlong turf race in January of 2020. The 5-year-old’s been gone about one year and has trained about every seven days. Trainer Mark Glatt is 20% off long layoffs. More food for thought.

#6 Intense is a 3-year-old tumbling in class for this following gelding. Owner/breeder Terry Lovinger offers this guy up for a tag for the first time. The gelding has a few interesting works for this: :59 4/5 and 1:13 4/5. Count him in the mix on the drop from state-bred optional claimers into this scramble. Usual jockey Baze moves from this one to #4 Ka’nah and Maldonado replaces him.

#7 Gordy’s Boy is a bookend uncoupled entry for trainer Steve Miyadi (also has #1 Doc Adams). This 3-year-old gelding was claimed for $20k two back and promptly broke maiden against state-bred company for $45k at Los Alamitos Sept. 12. He’s just 1 for 13 overall but 1 for 1 with new connections. He usually races from off the pace. It should be noted that trainer Steve Miyadi is 30% with runners that won their last start.

Use as Many as You Can Afford.
Best: #4, #6
Next Best: #1, #3, #5, #7
While you’re at it…might as well add: #2

7th Race
Swingtime
Fillies & Mares Three Year Olds & Upward
One Mile (Turf)

A tricky event with enough speed to set things up for an ‘off-the-pace’ charge. Might need to use a couple of these to feel ‘covered.’ Even so, that might not be enough. Another bit of a scramble in the second leg of the Late Pick 4.

#1 Global Brand is a relatively new face to the local scene—one weak Listed stakes effort at Del Mar. She’s won just 2 of 14 starts—one at Tampa and one at Presque Isle. She has no speed and will require a pace collapse to win. Others are more attractive in here.

#2 Cowboys Daughter has inside speed and probably will use it to maintain position. She likes to win races—5 for 11—but is 0-3 at Santa Anita and at the distance. She was claimed for $20k four races back and has promptly won 3 in a row—2 on Golden Gate turf and 1 over Los Al dirt. Trainer Reid France is a sparkling 28% this year. She should have company on the front end and that ought to weaken her late. Always difficult to go against a hot streak but she seems in tough.

#3 Avenue de France won her last start over the Golden Gate turf in a $52k stakes race. She closed from off the pace to do it and that’s her style. She won a one mile and one-eighth allowance turf race at Sant Anita in December. Her only graded stakes try was not good, but it was at one mile and one-half. If things get really heated up on the front end, this 4-year-old filly could close to possibly get a piece of this.

#4 Ippodamia’s Girl is a 6-year-old mare that won a restricted stakes race at Del Mar two races back. She then set the pace in a one mile and one-eighth turf stakes there and faded. This distance is more to her liking—5 for 11—and she’s 3 for 10 at Santa Anita. At this distance she is likely to sit just off the early pace and maybe get first run on the closers. She is Gr. 3 stakes placed going five furlongs and was close in a Gr. 3 at this distance.

#5 Brooke is a 5-year-old mare that won Group 1 races in Chile and is placed in two Gr. 3 races in the US. In 4 US starts, she’s been close 3 times and twice at Gr. 3 level. Her poorest race was last out in the Gr. 2 Yellow Ribbon at Del Mar when nearly 19-1 odds. She finished just behind

#4 Ippodamia’s Girl two back in the Osunitas at Del Mar. They also finished close together in the Gr. 3 Wilshire, too. Like #4 Ippodamia’s Girl, this mare races from just off the pace. Feels like this return to an ungraded stakes race is a strong move. Would like her more if not for a somewhat sketchy work tab with gaps between morning efforts. Still, she fits well.

#6 Ellie Arroway is a 5-year-old mare with speed who should add pace to the race. She was claimed for $40k in January and was second for $25 in August at Del Mar. She would be a surprise.

#7 Norma Jean B., a 4-year-old filly, was 0 for 9 until breaking her maiden and then winning next out, too, in a first-level allowance race. She’s hot and is stepping up quite a bit in here. She races from off the pace and was 6-1 to win last out. She’ll be a bigger price than that in here and would be a surprise except for the old adage that ‘when fillies or mares get good, they stay good.’

#8 Nasty figures to set or force the early pace. Two of her last three races have come against Grade 2 foes and she showed speed and faded in each of those encounters and in the restricted common Osunitas Stakes. She is Gr. 3 stakes placed going this distance and has a stakes win at the distance over the Santa Anita turf. She sports a couple of notable workouts for this: :47 (2 of 23) and :59 (2 of 18), although speed hasn’t been her issue. ‘Stick’ has.

#9 England’s Rose is a lightly raced 5-year-old coming off a one mile and three-eighths first-level allowance score at Del Mar. She’s been first or second in her last 4 races since January. She’s lightly raced with just 6 starts and is 1 for 1 at Santa Anita and was second in her only start at the distance. She will need to rally from off the pace. She’s developing nicely, if not slowly, for trainer John Shirreffs and this is a big step up in class.

#10 Quiet Secretary is a 4-year-old filly who should add speed to the early mix. Winner of 4 of 16 overall, she’s 2 for 9 at Santa Anita and 4 for 8 at the distance. She won her last out in wire-to-wire fashion at Del Mar in a $62 Claiming/Allowance race. Her graded stakes tries thus far have been disappointing and her outside posts figures she’ll need to ‘go’ early to get the lead over the other speeds in here and that could sap her strength.

Best in a scramble: #4, #5
Use More If You Can Afford To: #3, #9


8th Race
Claiming $16KN2L
Three Year Olds & Upward
Six Furlongs
Several of these seem unlikely winners. Maybe players can get by this leg while using one or two runners.

#1 Chasing Fame comes out of this kind of race at Los Al Sept 19 that is common to several in here. This guy ran evenly to be a well-beaten fourth and now draws the rail for a rematch. Claimed for $20k at Del Mar in July, he’s been outrun since.

#2 The Roan Ranger won a race last out at Los Al going 1,000 yards but still is a maiden against Thoroughbreds. Would be a surprise.

#3 Hawk Hill drops back to a level where he was second going six and one-half furlongs at Del Mar. That afternoon he opened up the lane and was nailed on the money at 8-1 odds. Other tries at this level at Pleasanton and Golden Gate have not been as successful. He’s 1 for 15 and probably will come from off the pace.

#4 Test Drive was claimed last out by a 33% first-time barn switch outfit. He has shown no speed in 3 starts and did stumble last out. He’d be a surprise but the barn is good with these.

#5 Fun Coupon had fun last out at the Maiden $20k level with a hard-fought dead-heat draw going five and one-half furlongs at Los Al. Probably not capable of duplicating that effort although it should be noted that blinkers were added and may have made a difference.

#6 Honor Among Men is a 4-year-old with speed that just missed last out going five and one-half furlongs at this level in the common Los Al Sept. 19 race. He was favored and used his early speed. Expect similar tactics this time with Baze up. He should hang around a long time and could win.

#7 Squalotoro is a 4-year-old coming out of the common Los Al Sept. 19 race. He ran evenly to be third, two and one-half lengths back. He was second at this level three back at Santa Anita in Feb when he tossed his head at the start and flew home late. He fits in here and switches to JJ Hernandez who won on him last October.

#8 Pedro Perez is a Thoroughbred maiden with a Los Alamitos 1,800 yard win. Would be a surprise.

#9 Sometimes Always probably doesn’t know if he’s coming or going. He’s been claimed out of 5 of 7 starts at 4 different racetracks! Favored last out against fellow 3-year-olds going one mile at Del Mar, He pressed the early pace and weakened a bit late to hold second, something he’s pretty adept at (4 seconds in 7 starts). Before that he broke maiden for $20k going seven furlongs at Del Mar. Winning ride Umberto Rispoli has been up since and tries again for new trainer Jorge Gutierrez.

Fit and Fast: #6
Use: #7
Add On: #9

9th Race
State-Bred Allowance Optional Claiming
Three Year Olds & Upward
Six & One-Half Furlongs (Turf)

No relief in the last for players as this could go many different ways. There’s plenty of speed, a couple of first or lightly-raced-on-turf runners, some sharp recent maiden winners and a few steady punchers. Lots of ways for this one to go over a tricky six-furlong flat layout.

#1 I’ll Stand Taller was second to #2 Clem Labine three back at Del Mar, won his next start and was third going one mile and one-sixteenth at Del Mar in a decent effort—his first on turf. He’s a genuine 3-year-old with 8 starts, 4 at this level (a win, a second, a third and a fourth). One of several that deserves consideration in here.

#2 Clem Labine is a 5-year-old making his first start on turf. He won at this level last time out at Del Mar, was second in a Pleasanton allowance race and won for $25k at Pleasanton. He seems to be doing well enough and the main concern is how he will handle the grass. With 16 of 24 starts either first or second, he deserves some level of respect. He has a best-of 76 :47 2/5 blowout at Golden Gate for this.

#3 Mischievous Path’s last was not good. Pass for now.

#4 Surplus has speed and used it to cruise to a more than 3 length maiden victory last out going five furlongs at Del Mar on turf. Peter Miller trainers and this one has to be respected right back.

#5 Scary Fast Smile is a 4-year-old that’s been overmatched in his last 2 races. Before that he parlayed two thirds, three seconds and a seven-length win into an eighth-length tally at this level. This is his first turf try. Back at the appropriate level, he could be very dangerous. Nice 1:00, 2nd best-of-47 work for this.

#6 Single Me Out is a 6-year-old with 2 wins in 29 starts. Don’t think this is number 3.

#7 Austin’s Boy is a 4-year-old with speed, but he’s had trouble holding on throughout a couple of recent 5-furlong turf tests. He did win a maiden race going five and one-half furlongs over the Santa Anita grass in February ’20. Needs better and has a :59 work for this.

#8 Seattle Breakout surprised with a powerful win going six furlongs over Del Mar dirt in August. He had been gone since April and an awful first out performance over ‘Anita turf. Blinkers were added for the victory and that score must be respected even though it came over dirt against maidens.

#9 Riding With Dino is a 4-year-old with just 7 starts. He’s got speed and will use it in here. He hasn’t been very good at holding on though, since he won a six-furlong race in November ’19. Two five panel turf starts since have seen him collared in the lane. He has 2 wins, 2 seconds and 2 thirds in 7 starts, so he’s competitive…at least he should be until the final furlong and one-half.

#10 Foothill is a 4-year-old that was claimed in March for $25k. He won in his next out in April going one mile and one-eighth over Santa Anita turf. He gets a 5-pound weight break with apprentice Pyfer and that could help his closing kick as he cuts back from a mile. Still, he’s just 2 for 14 overall.

#11 Johnny Podres has just 2 wins and 13 losses; a far cry from won/loss records posted by his namesake. The equine version has been second 5 times—all on turf in just 9 starts there! He races from off the pace and has been close going five furlongs. Six and one-half ought to be up his alley. He’s been second in 2 of 3 Santa Anita turf starts. Underneath in Exactas might be best.

#12 El Diablo Rojo is one of several in here that have won at this level. However, this 4-year-old is 0 for 6 on turf. He races from off the pace and the distance should suit him even though the turf surface may not.

#13 Bound to Bet raced respectably against some of these on Del Mar turf at this level. Still, he will be drawn wide, if he gets in, and will need to rally very wide. Asking a lot from the post.

#14 Baby Gronk is a 6-year-old with 3 recognized wins out of 27 starts. Tough to endorse if he draws in.

Slightly Best But Not a Single: #5
These Should Be Used: #1, #2, #4, #8

$.50 Late Pick 4 Ticket ($60)
Race 6
#1, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7
Race 7
#4, #5
Race 8
#6, #7
Race 9
#1, #2, #4, #5, #8

Race On!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White: My Early Breeders' Cup Classic Odds October 7, 2021 | By Jon White
The 2021 Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar on Nov. 5-6 is just around the corner. As Del Mar’s morning-line oddsmaker, I thought this would be a good time to come up with a list of early odds for the $6 million BC Classic.

Of course, the actual field for the Grade I BC Classic is far from set in stone. Who will start in the 1 1/4-mile contest is a guessing game at this point. These early odds no doubt will be different closer to the Breeders’ Cup as a consequence of a number of factors, such as who actually ends up being entered and how well (or not) each horse seems to be training up to the race.

With all that in mind, my early odds for a dozen BC Classic candidates are listed below:

5-2 Knicks Go
3-1 Essential Quality
5-1 Hot Rod Charlie
6-1 Medina Spirit
10-1 Art Collector
10-1 Max Player
12-1 Maxfield
15-1 Tripoli
20-1 Dr Post
20-1 Happy Saver
30-1 Idol
30-1 Stilleto Boy

I expect Knicks Go and Essential Quality to receive the most support from bettors. Brad Cox trains both.

Knicks Go will be taking a three-race winning streak into the BC Classic. Last Saturday at Churchill Downs, he cruised to a four-length victory in the Grade III Lukas Classic.

With jockey Joel Rosario peeking back so many times in deep stretch that he looked something like a bobblehead, Knicks Go completed his 1 1/8-mile journey in 1:47.85. This clocking was not far off the track record of 1:47.28 set by Victory Gallop in 1999. In terms of fifths, Knicks Go was just two-fifths off Victory Gallop’s clocking.

Knicks Go was assigned a 104 Beyer Speed Figure for his Lukas Classic triumph. The Maryland-bred Paynter colt does own the highest Beyer recorded in a two-turn race this year, a 113 that was achieved when he won the Grade III Cornhuster Handicap by 10 1/4 lengths at Prairie Meadows on July 2. Knicks Go also posted a 111 Beyer when a 4 1/2-length winner of Saratoga’s grade I Whitney Stakes on Aug. 7.

It is noteworthy that when trained by Cox, Knicks Go now is seven for seven in races around two turns.

Knicks Go is a front-runner. Medina Spirit won Santa Anita’s Grade I Awesome Again Stakes in front-running fashion by five lengths last Saturday. Also last Saturday, Art Collector led past every pole when he took Belmont Park’s Grade I Woodward Stakes by 1 1/2 lengths.

Will Medina Spirit and/or Art Collector push Knicks Go early in the BC Classic? Could that be a recipe for Knicks Go to lose his first two-turn race for Cox? Or will Knicks Go prove to be just too fast early? Can Knicks Go seize control of the race early and, despite setting what likely will be a brisk pace, do it comfortably enough that he has plenty left in the tank for the stretch run?

Brad Free, like yours truly, has Knicks Go listed as a 5-2 favorite in Daily Racing Form’s BC Classic odds.

I have Essential Quality currently pegged at 3-1. Is that a tad too low? Perhaps. Free has Essential Quality a notch higher than I do at 7-2.

One of the main reasons I have Essential Quality at 3-1 instead of 7-2 is he has been the favorite in all nine career starts to date. In other words, he has been strongly backed by bettors every single time he has raced.

Then there is Essential Quality’s stellar resume in that he has won eight of nine lifetime starts. Also, it appears that this is a fine group of 3-year-old males. An indication of this was how Medina Spirit trounced older foes in the Awesome Again.

I look for Hot Rod Charlie to get quite a bit of respect as far as BC Classic wagering is concerned. Hence, I have him at 5-1.

Hot Rod Charlie ran a splendid race in defeat in the Grade I Belmont Stakes on June 5. Hot Rod Charlie’s performance was so impressive on that occasion because, despite running the fastest opening quarter-mile in the history of the Belmont when run at 1 1/2 miles, he managed to finish second to Essential Quality.

In the Belmont, Hot Rod Charlie zipped the first quarter in :22.78 or :22 3/5 in fifths. Prior to this year, the quickest initial quarter in the Belmont when run at 1 1/2 miles had occurred all the way back in 1945. That’s when The Doge covered the initial quarter in :22 4/5, a torrid pace in such a long race on what was then a deep track.

The Doge paid the price for his early efforts. He faltered and finished seventh in the field of eight. Pavot won by five lengths, while The Doge lost by a little more than 24 lengths.

The Belmont has been run at 1 1/2 miles a total of 95 times. Hot Rod Charlie ran the opening half-mile in :46.49 or :46 2/5 in fifths. The only horse to ever record a faster time for the first half-mile was the great Secretariat, who was clocked in :46 1/5 en route to his spectacular 31-length victory to complete a Triple Crown sweep.

After the Belmont, Hot Rod Charlie finished first in Monmouth Park’s Grade I Haskell Stakes on July 17 for trainer Doug O’Neill. However, the Kentucky-bred Oxbow colt was disqualified and placed last for causing Midnight Bourbon to clip heels and unseat jockey Paco Lopez during the stretch run.

When last seen under silks, Hot Rod Charlie won the Grade I Pennsylvania Derby by 2 1/4 lengths on Sept. 25. He received a robust 111 Beyer Speed Figure for that effort.

Below are the Beyers of 105 or higher by a 3-year-old this year at one mile or longer:

BSF Horse (Finish, Race, Track, Date)

111 Hot Rod Charlie (Won, Pennsylvania Derby, Prx, Sept. 25)
109 Essential Quality (Won, Belmont, Bel, June 5)
108 Hot Rod Charlie (2nd, Belmont, Bel, June 5)
107 Medina Spirit (Won, Awesome Again, SA, Oct. 2)
107 Essential Quality (Won, Travers, Sar, Aug. 28)
107 Life Is Good (Won, San Felipe, SA, March 6)
107 Midnight Bourbon (2nd, Pennsylvania Derby, Prx, Sept. 25)
107 Midnight Bourbon (2nd, Travers, Sar, Aug. 28)

I have Medina Spirit at 6-1 for the BC Classic following his Awesome Again victory in which he was hammered down to 13-10 favoritism despite facing older foes for the first time. The 3-year-old Florida-bred Protonico colt now has finished first or second in eight of nine career starts.

Back on the first Saturday in May, Medina Spirit crossed the finish line first in this year’s Grade I Kentucky Derby. Mandaloun was the runner-up. Hot Rod Charlie edged 5-2 favorite Essential Quality (who experienced a very wide trip) by a head for third.

As of right now, I could see Art Collector going off at anywhere from 8-1 to 12-1 for the BC Classic. I opted to make him 10-1 at this point.

Art Collector is three for three since Hall of Famer Bill Mott took over the training duties. For Mott, the 4-year-old Bernardini colt has won Saratoga’s Alydar Stakes on Aug. 6, the Grade II Charles Town Classic on Aug. 27, then last Saturday’s Woodward.

It is to Art Collector’s credit that he has shown that he can win even if he does not get the early lead. At Charles Town, he raced in second early, a length off the pace, before getting the job done. He also won Keeneland’s Grade II Blue Grass Stakes last year after stalking in third early.

A major reason why I do not have Max Player’s BC Classic odds lower than 10-1 is the fact that his top Beyer Speed Figure is not higher than 102. Free has Max Player at 9-2.

I think the DRF’s Jay Privman makes an astute observation in his comment for Max Player when stating that he “earned career-best Beyer in last, will need better still vs. these.”

As for the dozen BC Classic candidates that I listed earlier, this is their top Beyer Speed Figure to date:

Beyer Horse

113 Knicks Go
111 Hot Rod Charlie
109 Essential Quality
107 Art Collector
107 Medina Spirit
105 Maxfield
104 Dr Post
104 Tripoli
103 Happy Saver
103 Tizamagician
102 Idol
102 Max Player

Below are the Beyers for BC Classic winners going back to its first running in 1984:

2020 Authentic (111)
2019 Vino Rosso (111)
2018 Accelerate (105)
2017 Gun Runner (117)
2016 Arrogate (120)
2015 American Pharoah (120)
2014 Bayern (113)
2013 Mucho Macho Man (112)
2012 Fort Larned (117)
2011 Drosselmeyer (104)
2010 Blame (111)
2009 Zenyatta (112)*
2008 Raven’s Pass (110)*
2007 Curlin (119)
2006 Invasor (116)
2005 Saint Liam (112)
2004 Ghostzapper (124)
2003 Pleasantly Perfect (119)
2002 Volponi (116)
2001 Tiznow (117)
2000 Tiznow (116)
1999 Cat Thief (118)
1998 Awesome Again (116)
1997 Skip Away (120)
1996 Alphabet Soup (115)
1995 Cigar (117)
1994 Concern (115)
1993 Arcangues (114)
1992 A.P. Indy (114)
1991 Black Tie Affair (120)
1990 Unbridled (116)
1989 Sunday Silence (124)
1988 Alysheba (122)
1987 Ferdinand (117)
1986 Skywalker (118)
1985 Proud Truth (120)
1984 Wild Again (113)

*Synthetic surface

MUCHO GUSTO WORKOUT AT GRANTS PASS?

I could not help chuckling when I was notified of a workout in Oregon on Sept. 29 via Daily Racing Form’s stable mail. The email stated that Mucho Gusto had worked four furlongs that day in :50.60 at Grants Pass Downs.

Say what?

It was announced last January that Mucho Gusto had been retired from racing due to a soft-tissue injury. In what turned out to be his final start, the 5-year-old Kentucky-bred son of 2013 BC Classic winner Mucho Macho Man finished fourth in Santa Anita’s Grade II San Antonio Stakes late last year on Dec. 26.

Mucho Macho Man won six of 13 career starts while earning $3,943,800. His biggest victory came in the Grade I, $3 million Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park in 2020.

Did Mucho Gusto really have a workout last Friday at Grants Pass Downs? Of course not. It turns out that it was Mucho Runner who worked four furlongs in :50.60 at Grants Pass on Sept. 29.

Mucho Runner, like Mucho Gusto, is by Mucho Macho Man. That’s just about all that Mucho Runner and Mucho Gusto have in common.

A 4-year-old filly, Mucho Runner hasn’t raced this year. She has won one of four lifetime starts while earning $7,950. Her lone win came in a maiden $8,000 claiming race at Golden Gate Fields on May 24, 2020.

Mucho Gusto’s highest Beyer Speed Figure was the 107 he was credited with when he won the Pegasus. Mucho Runner’s top Beyer so far is the 49 in her lone victory.

The Sept. 29 workout originally attributed to Mucho Gusto has been corrected. It now properly has been attributed to Mucho Runner.

This brought back memories of my very first day on the job in the summer of 1974 after being hired by the Daily Racing Form. The man responsible for the DRF hiring me was Bud Lyon, who was the national supervisor of the DRF’s chart-callers. Lyon called a great many Kentucky Derby charts for the DRF. He was calling charts at Playfair that summer until Dick Cartney would take over calling the charts at Playfair following the close of Longacres in September.

After I was hired, Lyon instructed me to report to the racing office the next morning to learn the ropes of what the DRF needed from a track on entry days. Lyon’s call-taker was longtime DRF employee Wilbur Brooke.

While we were waiting for Lyon’s arrival at Playfair that morning, I stood near Brooke as he was typing away on the teletype machine. From a handwritten list of all the workouts at Playfair that morning, Brooke was sending this information to the DRF’s Seattle office via teletype.

When I happened to see the name of one of the horses on the handwritten list of workouts, I thought I should bring it to Brooke’s attention.

“If I were you, Wilbur, I would not send in that workout,” I said, pointing to the name of one of the horses.

Since this was my first morning on the job, I did not want to make a big deal of it. I tried to be as low-key as possible. Even so, Brooke did not take kindly to my suggestion.

“This is your first day on the job and you’re telling me to not send in one of these workouts,” Brooke barked at me. “Who do you think you are? These are OFFICIAL workouts. Who are you to tell me to not send in one of these workouts?”

“Sorry. Sorry,” I said. “I was just trying to help.”

Brooke went back to typing away. But after a few minutes, he stopped typing.

“Just out of curiosity, why did you tell me to not send in that workout?” Brooke asked.

“Well, anything is possible,” I said. “So, I can’t be 100% sure. But I am 99.9% sure that Little Current, winner of this year’s Preakness and Belmont Stakes, did not work four furlongs this morning at Playfair.”

“What? That’s the name of the Preakness and Belmont winner? Well, in that case I guess that I won’t send it in,” Brooke said.

When I showed up in the racing office the next morning, Brooke thanked me and explained what had happened.

“When the clocker asked the trainer for the name of the horse that had just worked a half-mile, the trainer said it had been Little Current,” Brooke said. “The trainer just wanted to see that if he did that, would Little Current’s name show up on the work tab in the Racing Form. And it almost did. Thanks again for catching that.”

I thought that, all in all, this was a pretty good way for my DRF career to begin.

THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THOROUGHBRED POLL

In the wake of Medina Spirit’s Awesome Again victory, he moves into the Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll. Art Collector also enters this week’s Top 10 following his win in the Woodward. Maxfield and Malathaat dropped out of the Top 10 this week.

The Top 10 is listed below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 323 Knicks Go (22)
2. 312 Letruska (6)
3. 383 Essential Quality (6)
4. 137 Jackie’s Warrior
5. 128 Hot Rod Charlie
6. 124 Gamine
7. 121 Medina Spirit
8. 92 Art Collector
9. 80 Max Player
10. 65 Domestic Spending

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Keeneland - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#9 Blowout
She has some reliable pace and will make her second start of the season in this spot. She should be able to control the tempo from the start with this crew, and she may offer one of her better recent prices here.


#3 Althiqa
This filly has been so much fun to watch in two North American starts -- somehow paying $16 and $10 in a couple Grade I wins. She's the one to beat, but I'm not sure she's getting an ideal race shape today.


#10 Princess Grace
She isn't that flashy, but she has done nothing wrong in her career while rattling off six wins from seven starts. She'll get a Grade I test for the first time in her career, but you couldn't be coming into this one much hotter than she is.


Race Summary
Blowout owns legit sprint pace, and she might be able to see this one out at a trip she thrives at. Anything near the 6/1 range would feel plenty attractive here.


Keeneland - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#11 Diamond Oops
He ran second in this race a couple years ago, and it has been surprising to me that he hasn't been given a handful of chances to thrive at this trip. He has some intrigue from close range at a decent number .


#4 Space Traveller
Nearly had this guy on top, as he has chased a couple of wire-to-wire winners in his two most recent North American tries, and he might be as good as ever right now. I won't be ripping up many tickets if he wins.


#10 Order of Australia
According to Betmix Angler, this barn is just 3-for-20 here in Grade I turf route races since 2013, but the good news is that this guy was one of them when landing last year's Breeders' Cup Mile at 73/1. Big chance, but I think this race is competitive.


Race Summary
Diamond Oops and Space Traveller are the two who intrigue the most in this spot, but Diamond Oops might be a slightly better number on the board and should get a big jump on 'Traveller.


Keeneland - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#7 Giant Game
The pedigree hints that he wants to go longer than the 7f debut trip, but he ran pretty well that day while rallying a bit late. Could see him taking a nice step forward around two turns in this second start. Strong lean in the finale.


#10 Let My People Go
He should offer a price for a barn that almost always does here, and he has handled the main track before. Not impossible with this bunch, and he figures for a dreamy trip from close range while stretching out.


#8 Jolly Tommy
He'll be on backup tickets after flopping as the chalk in the second lifetime start. He gets blinkers for this run, and he'll get around two true turns for the first time. Believers will get a much better price than the 9/5 from last time.


Race Summary
This is a pretty fun maiden finale, and I do have a mile worry that Giant Game will get overbet. He makes a ton of sense in a wide-open race, and he has the kind of upside I love to see coming into this type of spot.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 MAYHEM HANOVER
Returns to winning level with McNair, can dictate his position with good post draw.


#1 BEYOND BETTER
Rallied first-over for a win and two thirds, steps up, moves inside.


#4 DESPERATE MAN
North America Cup winner has held ultra-consistent form in blockbuster season.


Race Summary
Mayhem Hanover tracked a rapid pace from the pocket the last time he raced at this level and edged clear to win while the favorite tired. He is re-united with McNair and draws a favorable post on his exit from 'preferred' company. Play a 2/1,4/ALL trifecta.


Dayton Raceway - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 PACK UP AND GO
Tried to validate stunning upset, should work out a good trip.


#6 CANTESCAPEMYDESIRE
Takes class hike, seeks third straight, Page's choice on a triple call.


#8 MAYOR MITTCHEESE
Perhaps can pick up live cover and rally for a share at big odds.


Race Summary
Pack Up and Go sprung a 31-1 shocker in second start off a freshening -- and he passed the 1-to-5 favorite to do it. He projects an ideal trip in a speed-laden field and can win again with a duplicate effort. Play a 2-ALL exacta.


Freehold - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#1 WAR DADDY
Bothered by breaker at key juncture at Harrah's Philadelphia, can beat these.


#5 FAST N VICTORIOUS
Winless this year but earned top speed fig when third last out.


#7 STEPPIN HURRY
Seven wins this year have to count for something in this field.


Race Summary
War Daddy tracked a fast pace and the two favorites in third, appeared poised to strike from the pocket at the top of the stretch, only to lose action when the leader broke stride in front of him. He faced better foes at Harrah's Philadelphia and gets the call in this spot. Bet on him to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Belmont Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 Jalen Journey
Comes off a second in the G3 DeFrancis at Laurel and just before that won a 6.5-furlong allowance race at Saratoga by 8.5 lengths in 1:14 3-5. Will not lose if he runs back to that. Also in his favor is that he's won over this trip, having taken a seven-furlong dash in June. Asmussen has him heading in the right direction and he's ready to beat the top sprinters currently in New York.


#4 Firenze Fire
Just doesn't run bad ones here and is 7 of 11 over the strip; looked like a winner in two of his last three but lost those in photo finishes. Most notably, he probably cost himself the Forego last out as he repeatedly savaged eventually winner Yaupon in an event that will probably go down as an all-time horse racing hit on YouTube..


#3 Baby Yoda
Tries older stakes horses for the first time, and the 3-year-old could be up to the challenge. Has won three of four and his latest was for Mott. One-upped Jalen Journey with a 1:14 1-5 for 6.5 furlong, and it would not be shocker if this former $10,000 maiden claimer was up to this task.


Race Summary
Jalen Journey has improved by leaps and bounds and has developed in a top sprinter. Will be close throughout and can bring a finishing touch to the party.


Belmont Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 Poppy Flower
On the board in all five starts and comes in off a third at Kentucky Downs; broke her maiden at Belmont and will send like there's no tomorrow. Can get on the front end and will benefit from the ground-saving journey.


#8 Chi Town Lady
From the Ward barn, like the top pick, and is perfect in two starts. Won a stakes race at Saratoga and has a good chance to show some late run.


#7 Bubble Rock
Cruised to an easy maiden score at Saratoga and takes is ready for this level.


Race Summary
Poppy Flower has excellent speed and will go for the lead, not just for her own success, but her stablemate Chi Town Lady might be a stalker and could benefit from a rapid pace.


Belmont Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#7 Japan
Lost to Gufo by a neck in Saratoga's G1 Sword Dancer and can make amends as he returns for Aiden O'Brien; can get first jump on deep closers and should be the one to hold off.


#3 Gufo
Has won two straight and was all out to hold off Japan in the Sword Dancer, makes up most of his ground prior to getting to the home stretch and could ride that momentum into a victory.


#6 Channel Maker
Will take his usual spot on the front end and goes for a repeat in this race; deadly if they don't engage him.


Race Summary
Japan just missed last out and has a good chance to turn the tables on Gufo; can take aim at Channel Maker and should be difficult to handle late in the game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JM Sports

San Jose State-Colorado State under 21.5 1st half
San Jose State-Colorado State under 9.5 (-105) 1st quarter
TCU-Texas Tech over 13.5 1st quarter

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Buster Sports

East Carolina +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Trigger

Penn State +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
CFB
Maryland under 71.5
2-0 (+200)
3-1 (+190)


2.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
CFB
Louisville under 70
2-1 (+90)
4-3 (+75)


3.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
CFB
Akron +14
0-2 (-235)
4-3 (+45)


4.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
CFB
Missouri under 69
1-1 (-10)
3-3 (-65)


5.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)


0-1 (-115)
2-3 (-110)


6.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
CFB
Colorado St. -2.5
1-1 (-10)
2-4 (-225)


7.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
CFB
USC -3
0-1 (-110)
2-4 (-275)


8.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
CFB
Nevada under 64
0-2 (-220)
2-4 (-315)


9.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
CFB
Wake Forest -6
1-2 (-110)
2-5 (-350)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CFB – Ohio St over 71.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
CFB – West Virginia +2.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
CFB – Florida St over 63.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Braves +105
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Dodgers -115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
CFB – Auburn +15.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Dodgers -115
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Braves under 7
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
CFB – Buffalo over 65
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CFB – Michigan -2.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Braves +105
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Dodgers -115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CFB – Utah +3
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
CFB – Liberty -19.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
CFB – Syracuse +6
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
CFB – Penn St +2.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Braves +105
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Dodgers under 7.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
CFB – Arkansas +5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
CFB – Oklahoma -3
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
CFB – Oklahoma over 65
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Dodgers -115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Braves +105
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
CFB – Notre Dame +1
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – South Carolina +11
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Macklin Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Bowling Green
Play on: Akron +14 -110 at BetVegas

DMack's Free Play for Saturday, October 9, 2021 is on the Akron Zips
We all know that Akron is not much but it's hard to say how bad considering that three of the Zips four losses came in money games with Auburn, Temple, and Ohio State. The Zips have always played hard and figure to be healthier here than they were in September. Bowling Green is on the improve for sure as evidenced by their 5-0 ATS mark but all five of those games came as a dog and here we're asking the Falcons to cover two touchdowns as a DD home favorite .... a role they have not played since 2016. Too many points. Take Akron.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Maryland vs Ohio State
Play on: Maryland +21 -115 at linepros

I will gladly take all the points here with Maryland. So last Friday night in a showcase game vs Iowa Maryland was only getting 3 points. They played horrible and turnovers cost them the game as they ended up with 7. We are just seeing a way too big of adjustment here in favor of the Buckeyes with them coming off a blowout win over Rutgers. What oddsmakers are suggesting bad soles on the lines is that Ohio St is roughly 14 points better than Iowa. The line wouldn't be anywhere near that high so clearly we are getting some great value with this number and Maryland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Ole Miss
Play on: Ole Miss -5 -110 at pinnacle

FREE PICK: Ole Miss Rebels -5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 390
I'll lay it with Ole Miss at home in Saturday's big showdown with Arkansas. Both of these teams got a huge wake-up call last week. The Rebels went on the road and lost 42-21 in a game that wasn't as close as the final score. The Razorbacks were shutout on the road 37-0 by Georgia.
The big question now becomes, which of these teams will be able to bounce back better. My money is on Ole Miss. I thought they clearly put up the better fight in their big showdown with the SEC elite. Rebels convert a few of those 4th downs early and who knows how that game plays out.
Arkansas struggled to just get first downs. They had just 9 the entire game against Georgia and totaled just 162 yards. I just don't see them being able to go score for score with Matt Corral and this high-powered Ole Miss attack.
I'm also starting to wonder if we aren't overreacting a little bit to the Razorbacks big 40-21 win at home against Texas. I'm still not so sure the Longhorns are any good. Their best win is against a pretty mediocre Texas Tech team. Texas is also a great matchup for Arkansas, with how much the Longhorns want to run the ball with their stud back. Razorbacks haven't seen anything close to the passing game that they will be up against on Saturday.
Lastly, I believe playing at home is a huge advantage for Ole Miss in this spot. Much easier to bounce back on your home field than it is on the road and for Arkansas it will be their 3rd straight game away from home. Give me the Rebels -5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Ole Miss
Play on: Ole Miss -4½ -116 at pinnacle

Mike Lundin's Arkansas vs Ole Miss Free Pick
Both teams are coming off their first loss of the season. I think Ole Miss will be the team to bounce back to avoid a two-game skid.
The Rebels' offense is one of the most dangerous in college football, averaging just under 550 yards per game. While they were clearly outmatched to Bama in Tuscaloosa last week, they still managed to put 21 points on the board while Arkansas was shut out by Georgia in its Week 5 matchup.
The Razorbacks have plenty of success running the football, but I think it will be tough to keep up with Ole Miss and QB Matt Corral who has 10 TD passes against 0 INTs while averaging 9.7 yards per attempt on the season.
Rebels are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, and they have averaged 57.5 ppg in two games at home on the season.
Free pick on Ole Miss Rebels.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor -2½ -110 at SC Consensus

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Baylor minus the points over West Virginia at 12 noon et on Saturday.
Baylor let us down last Saturday night against Oklahoma State although as poorly as it performed offensively in that game, it was still right there, actually sitting inside the number in the final minutes of the game before the Cowboys earned the cover with a fourth down touchdown run. That was a testament to the incredible defense the Bears are capable of playing. I fully expect to see Baylor bounce back as it returns home to host an up-and-down West Virginia squad on Saturday afternoon. The Mountaineers are coming off consecutive heart-breaking three-point losses against Oklahoma and Texas Tech. That leaves them in tough as their Big 12 schedule is tough with their next three games after this coming against TCU (away), Iowa State and Oklahoma State. Note that over West Virginia's last 10 quarters of action, they've managed to score just three touchdowns. I do expect the Baylor offense to look a lot better as it returns home after facing a still-underrated Oklahoma State defense in primetime last Saturday night. For as poorly as the Bears performed on the scoreboard, QB Gerry Bohanon did continue to do a good job of taking care of the football while RB Abram Smith turned in another strong performance on the ground, managing 97 yards and a touchdown on just 10 carries. This is the game where we should see the Bears offense start clicking again versus a Mountaineers defense that feels like a levee about to break after holding four straight opponents to 23 points or less. Take Baylor.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter Oct 09 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Old Dominion vs Marshall
Play on: OVER 63½ -110

*3 Star Free Pick* The Marshall Thundering Herd rank second in the nation in pace of play so far this year. New Head Coach Charles Huff clearly has made it a priority to play as quickly as possible.
Marshall ran up the score against Navy in week one by throwing it around and playing extremely fast up 5 scores in the fourth quarter. They are likely to be up late here and I think they'll try to keep scoring against a weak Old Dominion team.
Old Dominion gave up 42 points against Wake Forest. They gave up 45 against Liberty. Marshall ranks higher in yards per play than both of those teams and they play quite a bit faster as well. The Thundering Herd should be able to put up a big number here.
Old Dominion has shown the ability to score when down big. The Monarchs play much faster than the average team, and they'll likely be down big needing to play quick and throw it a lot here.
Marshall has been a good over team this year, and I'll back the over again with Marshall in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Oct 09 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Old Dominion vs Marshall
Play on: Marshall -21 -109 at pinnacle

This is a get-right game for Marshall. I expect the Thundering Herd to even their record to 3-3 with an easy win against Old Dominion.
Marshall's offense has lived up to expectations. The Thundering Herd are the 18th-highest scoring team in the nation averaging 37.8 points. They rank in the top six in total yards and passing yards.
It's on defense where the Thundering Herd have disappointed. Marshall gave up just 13 points per game last season while ranking in the top-five in fewest yards allowed. This season, however, the Thundering Herd are giving up nearly 25 points per game and rank 88th in yards allowed.
Marshall is in need of a patsy after three consecutive defeats, including a one-point loss to Appalachian State.
Enter Old Dominion. The Monarchs went 1-11 two seasons ago. They didn't play last year because of the pandemic and are 1-4 this season. The Monarchs lost to Liberty and Wake Forest by an average of 30 points. They rank 95th in yards gained and are 84th in scoring. Their passing attack is dreadful.
The Monarchs are 104th in scoring defense permitting 31.4 points. They have yet to come up with a single takeaway.
Old Dominion is 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 Conference USA games.
Marshall coach Charles Ruff showed an inclination to run up a score when the Thundering Herd never took their foot off the gas in a 49-7 opening week victory against Navy scoring their final TD with two minutes left on a 30-yard pass.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
NCAA Football
UTAH UTES +3
2
1
+90


Ace / Sleeper Selections (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +100
1
1
+5


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
NCAA Football
MEMPHIS TIGERS/TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE o60.5
1
1
-10


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)

No pick yet
2
3
-45


Mikey Money (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
ATLANTA BRAVES +110
0
1
-100


Vegas Investment Picks (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-100


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)

No pick yet
1
2
-110


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-130


Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
0
2
-200


FURBOOKIE (http://pickmonitor.com/user/furbookie)

No pick yet
0
2
-220


Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
NCAA Football
OREGON STATE BEAVERS ‑4
1
3
-230


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)

No pick yet
0
4
-400


Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
NCAA Football
SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS +3
0
0
0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Boise St +6 over BYU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SATURDAY October 9, 2021
10/09 12:30 PM PT / 3:30 PM ET

CF (341) BOISE STATE VS (342) BYU

Take: (342) BYU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Meadowlands



Meadowlands - Race 6

Win, Place and Show Exacta, 50-Cent Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta



Allowance • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $45,000 • Post: 9:14P


(PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 8 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BAY JEWEL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Ra ce within the last 30 days. BAND SWEETHEART: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SNOW FORECAST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating . Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DONNYBROOK GIRL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 y ards if a Quarter Horse race).



7

BAY JEWEL

5/2


3/1




5

BAND SWEETHEART

9/2


8/1




9

SNOW FORECAST

6/1


8/1




4

DONNYBROOK GIRL

4/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

DONNYBROOK GIRL

4


4/1

Front-runner

86


78


107.1


69.2


55.7




9

SNOW FORECAST

9


6/1

Front-runner

83


83


80.5


80.6


72.6




2

MAGIC MOONSTAR

2


15/1

Front-runner

77


79


73.0


68.4


55.4




3

ATHWAAQ

3


12/1

Front-runner

89


73


70.6


75.3


63.8




10

TIZ HER WAY

10


8/1

Front-runner

71


79


50.9


75.4


61.9




5

BAND SWEETHEART

5


9/2

Stalker

88


84


34.0


74.4


65.4




7

BAY JEWEL

7


5/2

Trailer

92


84


53.8


84.4


81.9




8

JEN'S BATTLE

8


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

87


79


71.8


73.4


66.4




6

ODDSONDUSTYMILLER

6


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

79


82


59.2


66.2


53.7




1

LADY NOY

1


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


62


55.0


59.8


41.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs



Will Rogers Downs - Race 7

$2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double (.50) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)



Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 82 • Purse: $15,800 • Post: 2:30P


QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. (MULTIPLE WINNERS PREFERRED).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


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Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BLUES CANDY SA: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. BP FANCYDOWNSOUTH: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. RUN FAST RUN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. JESS A PANTHER V: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. JF STORM WAGON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" desig nation or an "L" designation.



3

BLUES CANDY SA

3/1


9/2




2

BP FANCYDOWNSOUTH

5/2


7/1




6

RUN FAST RUN

5/1


7/1




4

JESS A PANTHER V

6/1


9/1




5

JF STORM WAGON

9/2


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

CAPO DE STORY

1


8/1

Fast

70


58


1.1


0.0


0.0




2

BP FANCYDOWNSOUTH

2


5/2

Fast

76


71


3.2


0.0


0.0




3

BLUES CANDY SA

3


3/1

Fast

72


79


3.5


0.0


0.0




4

JESS A PANTHER V

4


6/1

Average/Trouble-prone

75


67


3.6


0.0


0.0




5

JF STORM WAGON

5


9/2

Average

80


63


4.3


0.0


0.0




6

RUN FAST RUN

6


5/1

Fast

69


73


2.0


0.0


0.0




7

FORT BLISS

7


8/1

Average

64


61


0.0


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR LATE SATURDAY: SOUTHERN MISS +2 over UTEP

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Late Saturday's Free Selection: New Mexico Lobos/San Diego State Aztecs over 42 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ Selections SATURDAY, OCTOBER 9, 2021

FREE CFB
368. UAB -6 (12:30 PT / 3:30 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Late Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Troy Trojans - 5 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Late Saturday's Free Play: UTEP Miners - 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Western Michigan Broncos -11 over Ball St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play SATURDAY, OCTOBER 9, 2021

FREE
CFB
360. Kentucky -3 (4:30 PT / 7:30 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is
OKLAHOMA -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take WYOMING +5 over Air Force

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
Saturday Free Play
Wake Forest -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Late Saturday's Free Pick: Nevada Wolfpack - 28 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Saturday Free Play
Florida -39

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph FreePlay 18-8 run SAT up Wisonsin -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Saturday's Late Free Play: South Alabama Jaguars - 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 10/9 CFB MICHIGAN ST -4 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: UL-MONROE +16 over Goergia St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Late Saturday: San Diego State Aztecs - 19 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: Ohio U +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Saturday:
USC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Saturday:
Kentucky -2½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Troy -5½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR SATURDAY

NCAAF ARKANSAS +5.5 over Ole Miss

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Oct 09 '21, 2:25 PM in 2h
PGA | Francesco Molinari vs Jimmy Walker
Play on: Francesco Molinari -130 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Francesco Molinari -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Colorado State
Play on: San Jose State +3 -110 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on San Jose State +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Colorado State
Play on: San Jose State +3½ -110 at SC Consensus

Free Play on San Jose State +3½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Boise State vs BYU
Play on: Boise State +6½ -110 at Mirage

Play - Boise State (Game 341).
Edges - Broncos: 21-1 SU in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, and 21-0 SU in Game Six of the season, and 4-0 ATS as a dog when coming off a SUATS loss … Cougars: 3-7 ATS Game Six of the season … With the Broncos in a bounce-back mode, we recommend a 1* play on Boise State. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Georgia vs Auburn
Play on: Georgia -14½ -109 at pinnacle

I am on a 9-3 college football run and Saturday I take it up a notch as we CRUSH YOUR BOOK. I have the strongest college football card I have released in years: SEC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH, 65-27-1 TOUCH DOWN PLAY, 27-4 (2-0 TY) ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE MOVE, 28-10 (1-0 TY) HIGH ROLLER, the OKLAHOMA/TEXAS WINNER, and my 5-1 CONSENSUS PLAY. This is the NCAAF SATURDAY CARD you and I have been dreaming about. Be on it and make our dreams a reality.
Saturday’s FREE NCAAF WINNER: Georgia Bulldogs.
Game 357.
12:30 pm pst.
Georgia knows they must not let up an inch at all as they have a true chance at the SEC Title and moreover, a CFP spot. Their ferocious defense, which ranks No.1 in total yards, passing yards, and points scored has pitched two consecutive shutouts, and has yielded a total of 23 points through five contests. Auburn has yet to face a stop-unit anywhere near this caliber. Even if quarterback, JT Daniels (check status) doesn’t go, his able backup, Stetson Bennett (70.7% completion rate, 515 yards passing, 6/2) has gained a ton of confidence at the helm. And has great talent around him. Tigers play-caller, Bo Nix hasn’t fared well in this rivalry. And this season, he does not have the luxury of a solid rushing unit. However, the Bulldogs counter any ground game with one of the stingiest run defenses in the nation (allowing just 70.6 YPG on the ground). Georgia has won and covered the last four years in this series, by a combined score of 103-37. The Bulldogs are 21-8 ATS the last 29 games played on the road and 20-7 ATS the last 27 games played as a road favorite. Auburn is 2-6 ATS the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take Georgia. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Boise State vs BYU
Play on: Boise State +6 -105 at pinnacle

It has been an uncharacteristically poor start for Boise St. as it is 2-3 including 1-1 in the MWC. The Broncos were picked to win the MWC Mountain Division and while that is far from done, a win here will gain some momentum heading into the remaining conference schedule. The Broncos are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. BYU is off to a 5-0 start but they are a bit overpriced here as this number has skyrocketed since opening at -2.5. The Cougars are 1-5-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 125 or less rushing ypg. This situation is 58-23 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (341) Boise St. Broncos

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Colorado State
Play on: San Jose State +3 -110 at William Hill

1* Free Wiseguy Play on San Jose State +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Georgia vs Auburn
Play on: Auburn +14½ +102 at linepros

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #358 Auburn Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 CBS) Georgia is coming off a big and dominating win over Arkansas last week but now must face a better offensive team in Auburn on Saturday. Playing at Jordan-Hare is never an easy task and I just do not believe Georgia will run away and hide in this game. Auburn is coming off an impressive win at LSU last week and they have a solid defense that should be able to keep them in this game. The home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings between Georgia and Auburn. The Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Oct 09 '21, 4:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Oregon State vs Washington State
Play on: Oregon State -3½ -110 at Mirage

1* NCAAF - Oregon St/Washington St FREE PICK on Oregon State -3.5
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the Oregon State Beavers as a 3.5-point road favorite against the Washington State Cougars. We cashed on the Beavers as a slim home favorite last week against Washington and will gladly back them laying a short number on the road against a pretty bad Washington State team. Every year there's teams who come out surprise everyone and take a massive leap forward. When these teams are historically bad programs like we have with Oregon State, I think it can take the books a long time to adjust and put proper numbers on their game. It's why I'm not concerned with this looking too obvious of a play. Oregon State is better on both sides of the ball. They win here by at least a touchdown. Bet the Beavers -3.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Oct 09 '21, 4:00 PM in 4h
PGA | Sungjae Im vs Chad Ramey
Play on: Sungjae Im -155 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Sungjae Im -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Oct 09 '21, 5:07 PM in 5h
MLB | Braves vs Brewers
Play on: Braves +114 at William Hill

While I won with the Brewers in yesterday's game, I feel that the Braves are offering excellent value as underdogs in this one. Atlanta is 5-0 in Fried's last five starts. The Braves won those games by a combined score of 27-10. Over his last three starts, Fried has allowed just two combined runs and only one of those was earned. That translates to a 0.39 ERA and 0.478 WHIP. Over that stretch, he had 15 K's against just one walk. On the other hand, Woodruff is 0-2 over his last three starts. In fact, the Brewers are 0-4 his last four starts, getting outscored by a combined 24-4 score. Consider Atlanta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Oct 09 '21, 6:08 PM in 6h
NHL | Lightning vs Panthers
Play on: Lightning +105 at BetVegas

1* on Lightning +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Oct 09 '21, 7:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | TCU vs Texas Tech
Play on: OVER 59½ -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY on TCU vs Texas Tech over 59½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Oct 09 '21, 7:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | UTSA vs Western Kentucky
Play on: UTSA +3½ -110 at SC Consensus

Huge Saturday up with BIG 10 Game of the Year + Executive Level TIER 1 Total, High Noon red river 6*, SEC Game of the Month, MLB, Soccer and Wilder vs Fury, College Comp play below.
The College Football Comp Play for Saturday is on Texas San Antonio plus the points at 7:00 eastern. UTSA has covered the last 7 on field turf and 8 of 9 as a road dog. They take on a Western Kentucky team that has failed to cover 25 of 33 after allowing 285+ pass yards,5 of 7 when favored and 6 of 8 off a loss. The Road runners are quietly taking points despite the 5-0 record. They fit a powerful long term system that plays on dogs of 3 or more vs a team that allowed more than 14 points in games 6. Look for UTSA to get the cover at the very least here today. On Saturday we have a tremendous card up led by the BIG 10 Game Of the Year, Executive Level TIER 1 Total, High Noon red river 6*, SEC Game of the Month, Platinum supreme Soccer, MLB Playoff System and Wilder vs Fury play. Jump on and cash out on this hige card. For the College Football Comp play. Take the points with Texas San Antonio. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Oct 09 '21, 7:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | TCU vs Texas Tech
Play on: OVER 60 -110

Free Total Annihilator On TCU vs Texas Tech over 60 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Oct 09 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Nebraska
Play on: Michigan -2½ -110 at Caesars

My free play is on Michigan at 7:30 ET.


Both Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh and Nebraska head coach Scott Frost have endured months of ridicule, doubts and even calls from irate fans that both should be fired, as the two Big Ten teams meet Saturday evening in Lincoln, Nebraska. The series is tied two-all since Nebraska joined the Big Ten and this marks Michigan's first visit to Lincoln since 2012.


Michigan was unranked to start the season and with MUCH lower-than-usual expectations, has opened 5-0 and has yet to trail in any game this season (Wolverines have moved to No. 9 in the latest AP poll). Who saw that coming? In fact, Michigan is coming off its most impressive performance of the year, as the Wolverines went on the road and dominated Wisconsin last week, leaving with a 38-17 win. The Michigan running game dominated through the team's first four wins but QB Cade McNamara went 17 of 28 for 197 yards and two TDs against the Badgers, after throwing just 53 total passes in the first four games. He's thrown for a modest 731 yards in five games but an important stat is that he has yet to be intercepted in 81 attempts (he has five TD passes). However, Michigan is a run-first offense, entering No. 1 in the conference at 255.0 YPG on the ground, ranking 7th in the nation. Michigan has ridden the tandem of Blake Corum (521 yards / 6.2 YPC / 7 TDs) and Hassan Haskins (373 yards / 4.6 YPC 6 TDs). Then there is the Michigan defense, which is allowing 12.8 PPG (7th) on 284.6 YPG (12th).


Nebraska is right behind Michigan with 237.5 YPG on the ground (2nd in the Big Ten and 14th in the nation). Unlike the Wolverines, the Cornhuskers rely on dual-threat QB Adrian Martinez, who has rushed for 412 yards on 5.2 YPC with 9 TDs. He's also a much better passer than McNamara, completing 66.7% for 1,463 yards with six TDs and two INTs. The Nebraska defense is allowing 15.5 PPG (12th) on 322,.2 YPG (41st). Nebraska is 3-3 (1-2 in the Big 10) and appears vastly improved from its embarrassing season-opening loss at Illinois, having pushed Oklahoma and Michigan State to the limit and hammering Northwestern 56-7 last week. Still, don't get too excited just yet Nebraska fans. The team's three wins have come over Fordham (FCS) 2-3 Buffalo and 2-3 Northwestern, which is 0-2 in the Big 10.


This game is a "Blueblood Battle," as Michigan's 969 all-time wins are the most in college football and Nebraska's 908 rank seventh. Nebraska has five national titles (4 Associated Press, 1 coaches' poll) and Michigan has three (2 AP, 1 coaches' poll). Nebraska ranks second with 46 conference titles, Michigan is third with 42. Each school has had three Heisman Trophy winners. That said, Michigan is by FAR the better team here in 2021 and I feel are greatly undervalued here. I'm no fan of Harbaugh but his team looks pretty darn good at the moment. Meanwhile, let me note that Scott Frost is 0-9 at Nebraska against ranked opponents. Lay the short price.


Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Oct 09 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Nebraska
Play on: Nebraska +3 -110 at William Hill

#382 ASA FREE PLAY ON Nebraska +3 over Michigan, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - The Huskers are quietly flying under the radar right now but this team is playing really well. As well a they have since HC Scott Frost took over back in 2018. Since losing @ Illinois to open the season, the Huskers are 3-2 but that doesn’t tell the entire story. Those 2 losses came @ Oklahoma who is undefeated and @ Michigan State who is also undefeated. They outgained the Sooners on a YPP basis in their 23-16 loss and destroyed MSU in the stat sheet (+14 first downs / +186 total yards / +15 minute time of possession) in that 3 point overtime loss. Those games were on the road and now they get a chance to host a prime time opponent at home. They tuned up nicely last week rolling Northwestern 56-7 outgaining the Cats by 364 total yards. Michigan beat up on some weaker teams at home to start the season but the last few games, while they’ve come out on top, haven’t been nearly as impressive. Two weeks ago they were outplayed at home by Rutgers and lucky to get a tight win (Rutgers was +77 total yards and held Michigan to 2.9 yards per carry). Last week it was a close game in Madison at halftime with Michigan leading Wisconsin 13-10. The Badgers lost starting QB Mertz a few plays into the 2nd half and the wheels came off helping Michigan to a 38-17 win. The Wolverines only averaged 2.5 YPC vs Wisconsin last week. So after averaging over 7 YPC in their first 3 games, they finally faced a few very solid defenses and were held to 2.7 YPC. That’s not great for a team that rarely passes (just 59 completed passes in 5 games this season). The Huskers defense is playing at their peak right now holding their last 2 opponents to less than 300 total yards and holding opponents to just 3.5 YPC on the season. On offense Nebraska is clicking as well averaging 526 YPG since their loss to Illinois to start the season. QB Martinez brings a dual threat that Michigan has not seen yet this season. He’s also throwing the ball as well as he ever has completing 71% of his passes over the last 5 games while rushing for nearly 400 yards as well. Scott Frost has had Michigan in the back of his mind since losing his Big 10 opening game as the Huskers head coach 56-10 @ Ann Arbor. This is a huge game for Nebraska right now and our power ratings have them as a home favorite (Wisconsin was -2 at home vs Michigan last week) and they catch the Wolves on the road for the 2nd straight week. The Huskers win this one outright so we take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs Oct 09 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | LSU vs Kentucky
Play on: LSU +3½ -110 at SC Consensus

We will be taking the LSU TIGERS as our FREE PICK for Saturday. Kentucky in off a huge win at Florida. Now they come home as small favorites over LSU in off their own home loss. Wildcats not in a familiar spot as favorites. And honestly, there is nowhere to go but down off that Gators win. You get a block FG return for a TD and are out-gained by about 160 yards, yet still come away with the win. That is a nice steal of a win. LSU with it's own problems. The coach has looked overmatched since the Burrow Championship run. Maybe it was his OC that really was the key to that team. Either way, this is a huge game for him, and the program. Might be weird to say a 'Must Win' for a guy who won the Natty in 2019. But since that 15-0, well, 5-5 last year, 3-2 this year. One last note on Kentucky - they play close games. Vs MizzU they were -5.5, won by 7. 33 point home fave over Chattanooga, won 28-23. At South Carolina, favored by 4.5, won 16-10. And they pulled out the 7pt win at Florida as 7pt dogs. Give me the points with LSU tonight as our FREE PLAY... Higgs. Be sure to check out my CFB Best Bet and my NFL Best Bet in Monday Night Football.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Oct 09 '21, 8:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs UL-Monroe
Play on: Georgia State -16 -101 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 10-9-21
Georgia State @ Louisiana Monroe (8:00 PM EST)
Play On: Georgia State -16 -101
The Georgia State Panthers travel to Louisiana Monroe to take on the Indians on Saturday night. Georgia State is 1-4 SU overall this year while Louisiana Monroe comes in with a 2-2 SU overall record on the season. Louisiana Monroe offense is averaging only 76.2 yards per game rushing, 131.2 yards per game passing and 207.5 total yards per game this year. Louisiana Monroe is allowing 317.8 yards per game passing and 443.5 total yards per game this season. Louisiana Monroe is allowing 37.5 points per game against conference opponents this year. Louisiana Monroe is scoring only 14.3 points per game overall this season. Looking at the records will make you say why in the world is this line like this. Georgia State has lost to some solid opponents in Army, North Carolina, Auburn and Appalachian State. They are better than their record indicates so this line is legit. We'll recommend a small play on Georgia State tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Oct 09 '21, 8:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Alabama vs Texas A&M
Play on: UNDER 51 -110

1* Free Pick on Alabama/Texas A&M under 51 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Oct 09 '21, 10:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | New Mexico State vs Nevada
Play on: New Mexico State +29 -110 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on New Mexico State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $20600 Class Rating: 86

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 ALL NIGHT HERO 5/2




# 9 AIR TO EM JESS 6/1




# 12 FANCY PANTS HEIDI 5/1




ALL NIGHT HERO is the most favorable bet in this race. Has to be considered based on the respectable Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. No strangers to the winner's circle, Gonzales and Delgado will most likely have this gelding breaking away from the field. This jock and conditioner team has produced some solid return on investment numbers at this track. AIR TO EM JESS - The speed rating of 86 from his latest race looks competitive in here. FANCY PANTS HEIDI - This equine must be bet on at the expected big odds. Shows solid speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Century Mile - Race #8 - Post: 9:45pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 TWO STEPS FASTER (ML=8/1)
#1 BLUES ROAR (ML=9/5)
#6 LIA'S ON TUNE (ML=7/2)


TWO STEPS FASTER - Last time, was entered in a race at Assiniboia Downs in a race with a class number of 85. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure this time out puts her in a solid position in this race. I like when a race sets up this way. This mare has the lone pace to crush this field. BLUES ROAR - I think this mare is ready to run a good one. She's had enough efforts since the vacation and should be fit. Another way to evaluate class is (EPS) earnings per start. This horse has the top in the bunch. I think she'll be close at the finish line. LIA'S ON TUNE - Strong return on investment for this jock and trainer tandem. This racer coming off a strong performance in the last month or so is a strong challenger in my book. This animal has increased her speed figures in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth taking a look at. That 82 fig this filly notched in her last race tells me she's a big time player this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 WHISKARITA (ML=4/1), #3 PIPER ROSE (ML=6/1),

WHISKARITA - Would have to get much more than the M/L odds of 4/1 to play this horse. PIPER ROSE - In the last race this racer finished fourth. Doesn't bode well for her chances this time around. Any thoroughbred coming out of a route race should show some speed to battle with the sprinters.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #4 TWO STEPS FASTER to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [1,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,4,6] with [1,4,6] with [1,2,3,4,6] with [1,2,3,4,6] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11800 Class Rating: 69

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 8 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 MORE THUNDER 6/1




# 4 SCOTTSDALE 9/5




# 5 STONE SCULPTOR 12/1




MORE THUNDER looks to be a solid contender. Has to be given consideration here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Wagerers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. With Aguilar on top him, this gelding will probably be able to break out quickly for this event. SCOTTSDALE - Will probably be one of the early speedsters of the pack going into the halfway point of the contest. Ran a strong last race. STONE SCULPTOR - Has recorded sound Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. This pony should be bet upon at the expected high odds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland



10/08/21, KEE, Race 6, 3.55 ET
10/08/21,KEE,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $84,000 (includes up to $19,800 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
5
Halo of Fire(b-)
7/2
Rosario J
Ward Wesley A.
SFC
72
37.50
1.47/$1


098.3352
11
Thedevilyousay
8/1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
E
236
28.81
1.15/$1


097.3044
6
Social Matrix
3/1
Geroux F
Cox Brad H.
J
70
41.43
1.36/$1


092.8648
12
Funny Business
8/1
Gaffalione T
Walsh Brendan P.


70
41.43
1.36/$1


092.1147
8
Fannie and Freddie
6/1
Mena M
Stall. Jr. Albert M.
L
236
28.81
1.15/$1


092.0998
2
Little Lara
12/1
Ortiz J L
Cerin Vladimir


70
41.43
1.36/$1


091.2125
10
Maresias(b+)
20/1
Achard A
Lobo Paulo H.


72
37.50
1.47/$1


091.1790
4
Twirling Savi
8/1
Arrieta F
Robertson McLean


70
41.43
1.36/$1


090.0502
3
Lady Arsinoe
12/1
Graham J
Amoss Thomas M.
W
70
41.43
1.36/$1


088.9314
13
Fast Giselle
20/1
Pedroza M
DeJesus Franklin
T
70
41.43
1.36/$1


088.3599
7
Girls House
12/1
Talamo J
Shirer Matt A.


70
41.43
1.36/$1


088.1735
9
Camaraderie
20/1
Rocco. Jr. J
Peitz Daniel C.


70
41.43
1.36/$1


086.7714
1
Two for One
20/1
Lanerie C J
Medina Robert


70
41.43
1.36/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.30, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6648
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not First Race After 45 Days Off -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today