Sunday 10/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Gulfstream 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday (12:50 pm ET daily post)

Carryovers:

$314,171 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($450,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

$3,881 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (26%, +$3.60)

Best Speed Today’s Distance (29%, +$2.80)

Trainer Current Year (22%, -$14.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Michael Yates // last week 3: 2-0-1 (67%, $6.53 ROI) // $17 and $22 maiden sprint wins

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 6: 3-1-1 (50%, $2.25 ROI) // 10-27 over past 3 weeks

T: Jorge Delgado // last week 4: 2-0-1 (50%, $3.43 ROI)// wins at $11 and $15

J: Edwin Gonzalez // last week 15: 4-4-2 (27%, $1.15 ROI) // 5: 3-1-1 on favorites + $20 topper

J: Miguel Vasquez // last week 20: 5-3-3 (25%, $1.04 ROI) // 3-3 favorites // wins for 5 different barns

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Laurel Park 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$3,057// Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (28%, -$2.40)

Last Purse (25%, +$37.00)

In The Money % (25%, -$18.20)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Horacio Karamanos // last week 18: 6-3-0 (33%, $2.39 ROI) // wins include $24, $32 upsets // wins for 6 different trainers

J: Jorge Ruiz // last week 15: 4-03 (27%, $1.46 ROI) // wins at $5, $8, $12, $15

T: Mike Trombetta // last week 9: 3-1-1 (33%, $1.02 ROI) // 2-3 with favorites // all 3 wins maiden claiming sprinters

T: Kelly Rubley // last week 5: 2-0-2 (40%, $5.44 ROI) // $11 and $44 scores with 9-1, 11-1 thirds

T: Mike Stidham // last week 4: 2-1-0 (50%, $1.88 ROI) // wins at $6, $8 adding 6-1 runner-up // both wins maiden special weight

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Santa Anita Park Stats | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:
Friday-Monday (Columbus Day holiday)

Carryovers:

$170,377 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

$9,752 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

$70,000 Swingtime Stakes // Cal-bred turf milers // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Lifetime Earnings (45%, +$14.00)

Best Speed Last 3 (42%, +$5.60)

In The Money % (30%, -$1.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Flavien Prat // last week 24: 7-8-3 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // 5-12 with Peter Miller & Richard Mandella // 5 wins turf

T: Richard Mandella // last week 10: 3-1-4 (30%, $1.37 ROI) // wins at $4, $4 and $18 – added 12-1 third

T: Mike Puype // last week 5: 2-0-0 (40%, $1.80 ROI) // $5, $12 scores both in maiden turf sprints

T: Bob Baffert // last week 13: 5-1-0 (38%, $0.66 ROI) // 5-6 with favorites // 3-3 with John Velazquez // 3 stakes wins

T: John Sadler // last week 7: 2-3-0 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // $4, $6 wins with maidens // 0-4 stakes all at 7-1 or less

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (301239) Chiba at (301240) Gunma

Sport/League: BSKT

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 2AM EDT

Play: Chiba -7.0 (-110)
Brandon is the #1 Wager Talk profit capper in all sports in 2021 and off his 5% play win yesterday he has another 5% play in Japanese baseball tonight at 10pm PT. Get it now!
The Chiba Jets are the highest scoring team in the Japanese basketball B League and are the runner-up champs from last year. Gunma was just promoted up from the B2 league and yesterday Chiba gave them a 20+ point whipping behind the wood shed. Expect another whipping here. 7 seems too low.

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Bobby Ligs Event: (451) New York Jets at (452) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (-110)
3% play to ATL-4

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Andrew McInnis Event: (451) New York Jets at (452) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (-110)
The Falcons and the Jets go head to head in London this Sunday, two teams that are 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS on the season. The Jets are coming off a win against a banged-up Tennessee Titans team, and whether you want to believe it or not, they were more than likely more excited about that win than they should have been. The Falcons haven't looked great on the season, but they're better than 3.5 point favourites against the Jets. After blowing a lead in the fourth quarter against the Washington Football team, the Falcons will get back on track in London against an inexperienced Jets team coming off a win, and besides, last week, they only reached double-digit points once on the season. The Falcons will walk all over the Jets and bring them back to reality.

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Teddy Covers Event: (451) New York Jets at (452) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Total Over 46.0 (-110)
Take New York – Atlanta OVER (#451-452)
Zack Wilson takes downfield shots. Seven different Jets receivers have a catch of longer than 25 yards and he’s got 15 completions of 20+ yards. Atlanta’s secondary is ripe for the picking, a vulnerable unit against every offense they’ve seen, allowing 32+ three times in four games. I expect the Jets to get a big play TD or two in this ballgame; always good news for Over bettors. Matt Ryan looks very comfortable running Arthur Smith’s offense right now – six touchdowns without an INT over the last two games, and a 68% completion rate for the full season. The Falcons hung 30 last week and they’re live to do it again here. Tottenham Hotspur supposedly has the best field conditions in the UK in case of bad weather. There’s a reason every sharp dollar bet on this total early in the week came in on the Over……Take the Over

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Las Vegas Cris Event: (457) New Orleans Saints at (458) Washington Football Team
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: New Orleans Saints -2.0 (-115)
(Free Plays 64-36 64%* *44-23 L/67 66%) Free play loss last week with Pittsburgh. This week we play the Dr Jekyl and My Hyde team, New Orleans. Geez, they are either world beaters or look like dung. If the every other game metric follows form, it's supposed to be a Saints victory tw. We don't really bet on nonsense like that though. Washington lost their defensive mojo from last year now that they are playing a more difficult schedule. Washington offense is middle of the road, facing a top 10 Saint defense. The Saints offense has sputtered a bit, but they are facing a porous Washing defense that ranks 7th from the bottom in my rankings. I'm taking the Saints on a short spread here. Saints -2

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Gianni the Greek Event: (453) Miami Dolphins at (454) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Miami Dolphins +10.0 (-110)

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Kevin Dolan Event: (457) New Orleans Saints at (458) Washington Football Team
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Total Over 44.5 (-110)
We like the Over here on Sunday between the New Orleans Saints and the Washington Football Team.
The Saints head into their bye week next week off the back off a rollercoaster string of results, looking fantastic against Green Bay in Week 1 but really sub-par against the Carolina Panthers and New York Giants over subsequent weeks.
The Saints have averaged just 18.3 ppg over their last three starts but will look to take advantage of a Washington team giving up a colossal 34 ppg (30th) over their last three starts.
Washington meanwhile rank 9th in the league on offensive yards per play, 8th on offensive points per play and 6th on touchdown production over their last three starts.
Expect a best effort from the Saints here heading into their bye week in a game we like to go Over the total on Sunday.
PLAY: OVER 44.5

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SIG Event: (467) New England Patriots at (468) Houston Texans
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Total Under 39.0 (-110)
Hard to say Houston finds themselves in a bad spot following a 40-0 shellacking by Buffalo this week, but that is exactly what they are in without Tyrod Taylor at QB. Davis Mills has been overmatched by opposing defenses and he gets Bill Bellichick this week.
Combined these two teams are 1-5 O/U season-to-date and the Texans will again find the going difficult against the Patriots D.
PLAY UNDER 39!

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Dwayne Bryant Event: (465) Green Bay Packers at (466) Cincinnati Bengals
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 (+100)

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The Prez Event: (457) New Orleans Saints at (458) Washington Football Team
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: New Orleans Saints -2.5 (-115)
New Orleans Saints at Washington Football Team +2.5, 43
A pair of .500 teams that are not equal in the stat columns or the talent pool meet on Sunday at FedEx Field when the New Orleans Saints visit Washington in a matchup against the Football Team.

The Saints (2-2) handed the winless New York Giants an 11-point fourth-quarter lead disappointing their hometown faithful in what was essentially the home-opener for New Orleans. The Giants rallied from double-digits down and defeated the Saints in overtime 27-21.

New Orleans lost their focus for just a minute to begin the final stanza and surrendered the momentum followed by the lead despite owning a 37:31 to 27:35 time of possession edge. Washington's two victories, one on a field goal on the final play and the other in a game where they scored two touchdowns in less than four minutes to steal a win. The former-Redskins defense was the team's calling card a year ago. That hasn't been the case in 2021. Free Pick is a play on the Saints minus the points.

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Andy Lang Event: (467) New England Patriots at (468) Houston Texans

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: stevejs50@yahoo.com 10:03 PM (1 hour ago) to me NE Patriots/Texans 1st Quarter Under 7
New England Patriot games have not been very high scoring so far this season, they have scored 17 points or less in 3 of 4 games. The only game New England scored more than 17 was against the Jets where Zach Wilson gifted them 4 interceptions. As far as 1st quarter scoring goes the Patriots have only scored 10 and allowed 17 in 4 games. Bill Belichick is not asking his quarterback to do much and it shows as Mac Jones ranks bottom of the list in average depth per target. Belichick is happy to use a short pass attack, run the ball and rely on his dominant defense which translates into slow starts & low scoring games. The Patriot defense is top 5 in any defensive category against the pass and rank 6th in yards allowed overall. The Texans will be starting rookie Davis Mills which is bad news considering Belichick is 6-22 against rookie quarterbacks and will certainly have different looks to confuse the youngster. In Mills two starts the Texans have not scored a single first quarter point and allowed 7 in each game which would result in two pushes based on this number. The only way to exploit the Pats defense is thru the running game which means Houston has a problem because they can't run the ball as they rank 26th in rushing yards per game. This game is projected to be controlled by New England which should result in early stops with slow methodical drives making it highly unlikely that we see more than 7 1st quarter points.

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Nick Borrman Event: France vs (n) Spain
Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Spain +0.25 (-130)
UEFA Nations League A Final
I believe this is Spains chance to shine. They played very well in the Euro Tournament this past summer, getting knocked out by Italy in penalties in the semifinals as were really the only team to outplay Italy the entire tournament. But they got their revenge on Wednesday, beating Italy 2-1 in Italy to move onto the Finals on Sunday.
Italy were handed a red card near the end of the first half which pretty much sunk their chances, but Spain were already leading 1-0 when that happened. They then scored a 2nd goal just a few minutes after that red card, in stoppage time of the first half to pretty much put that game on ice.
France had an incredible comeback against Belgium on Thursday. They trailed 2-0 at the half before scoring three in the second half to earn their spot in the final. I worry of the emotional roller coaster for them here but ultimately just look back at their results over the last few months and am disappointed as their defense has been conceding too much.
They had draws against Hungary and Portugal in the Euros group stage, then knocked out by Switzerland on penalties. Then two more draws against Bosnia and Ukraine in the September international break.
Spain is too good to be able for France to get away with any mistakes, and in what should be a very close game, I'll pay a little bit to get the +0.25 number.
TAKE SPAIN +0.25
Line Parameter: 2% at +0.25 to -150

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Tony Finn Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Total Under 44.5 (-110)
Early season success in the National Football League doesn't just resonate with the fanbase of a specific team; in truth, Joe Public is more prone to be overly optimistic about an organization's ability than the fan who knows what and who his team is.
Despite Raider Nation taking up as much as 75 percent of the SoFi seats for the Week 4 Monday Night Football showdown with the Los Angeles Chargers, Gruden and his gang were never really a part of the Week 4 primetime event.
Quarterback Derek Carr and his offense had an opportunity to exit Orange County on Monday night as the only remaining unbeaten AFC team. Neither the home field feel nor the perception that Carr and his minions were one of the most explosive offensive units in the league could push enough points to the scoreboard to claim a victory. The offensively assisted the Raiders in capturing a MNF win. The offensively challenged Bears are in Sin City on Sunday and a second straight contest where Carr and his teammates scuffle to score. The Free Pick is a play UNDER the TOTAL in the Week 5 matchup between the Bears and Raiders.

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The Gold Sheet Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Las Vegas Raiders -5.5 (-110)
Following Monday night’s visit to SoFi Stadium, the Raiders look to benefit from some home cooking in their own new stadium as they aim to improve to 3-0 at the “Death Star,” where they’ve secured overtime wins against the Ravens and Dolphins. Despite coming off a short week after battling the Chargers in L.A., Las Vegas will look to pick up its first cover in a favorite’s role as Chicago arrives in search of its first road victory of the young season. The Bears come off a 24-14 Week 4 victory over Detroit that saw rookie QB Justin Fields settle in with his best performance, throwing for 209 yards on just 11 completions one week after he finished just 6-for-20 for 68 yards while being sacked nine times in 26-6 loss to Cleveland. Although Andy Dalton may be ready to return after missing time with a bone bruise in his knee, head coach Matt Nagy has a decision to make after previously stating that the 11-year veteran would be his starter when healthy. Las Vegas coach Jon Gruden will have to prepare for the possibility that both will play. Chicago RB David Montgomery softened up the Lions defense by running for 106 yards and two touchdowns but left early with a knee injury that the team is hoping isn’t serious. Early reports hinted at a likely hyperextension and nothing significant, but Montgomery’s status for this game against Las Vegas is up in the air. Damien Williams, who found the end zone last week and has plenty of experience facing the Raiders from his days with Kansas City, would fill in if Montgomery can’t go. The Raiders won the most recent matchup 24-21 in 2019 at London's new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, narrowly avoiding squandering a 17-0 halftime lead. Given all of the uncertainty facing Chicago’s offense, laying the points with Las Vegas looks to be the move.

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The Prez Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Total Under 45.0 (-110)
Chicago Bears at Vegas Raiders -5.5, 45
The Chicago Bears (2-2) and the Las Vegas Raiders (3-1) meet on Sunday at Allegiant to square off in a non-conference matchup. The hometown Vegas Raiders welcome the NFC Chicago Bears to Sin City.

The Bears are riding high after last week's win over the division rival Detroit Lions. The Raiders fell on Monday Night in Los Angeles to the Chargers. The Bears are looking to earn a signature win for their rookie quarterback Justin Fields.

Head coach, Jon Gruden's offense was exposed in the MNF loss to the Boltz. Derek Carr showed some pimples that he had yet to reveal in the first four weeks of the season and the less-than-offensive line that Vegas rosters wouldn't earn a 2021 Purple Heart for bravery above and beyond the call of duty. Free Pick is a play Under the Total.

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Steve Merril Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Chicago Bears +5.5 (-110)
The public is heavy on the Raiders for the second time in the past three weeks, as they backed Las Vegas two weeks ago when the Raiders won straight-up in overtime versus Miami, but failed to cover as a -3.5 point favorite. The Raiders also overcame a 14-0 deficit in the first game for an eventual overtime win versus Baltimore, and Las Vegas trailed 21-0 in their loss this past Monday night at the Chargers. Overall, the Raiders have only won one game in regulation time this season. The Bears have struggled this season, but their offense improved last week with a change in play callers, and rookie QB Justin Fields had a much better game, averaging 12.3 yard per pass attempt.

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Marco D'Angelo Event: (475) San Francisco 49ers at (476) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-110)
San Francisco +5.5

This play is simple for me it’s all about fading Arizona this week just like I was all about fading the Rams last week with Arizona. The Rams were coming off their destruction of Tampa Bay and Tom Brady and suddenly the spot light was squarely on them. I just felt that after that very satisfying win that the Rams would be a classic case of being all Fat n Sassy and it would be a great spot to fade them and it was. Now it’s Arizona’s turn to be all Fat n Sassy as after all Arizona could not of looked any better in the 37-20 beat down of the Rams. Under Cliff Kingsbury this team has thrown in clunkers after big efforts just go back to Week 2 after blowing out Tennessee 38-13 in Week 1 they come back and escape 34-33 to Minnesota who missed game winning FG on final play and has just 1 win on the season. Arizona just completed a 3 road game in 4 weeks to open the season and goes back out on the road next week to Cleveland. Yes this is a division game so they should be flat but they just crushed the Top Dog in the Conference Rams so their stock can’t be any higher than it is right now. Yes I know the QB situation is unclear in SF at the momentum with Jimmy G leaving yesterday’s game but either way I’m still siding with 49ers. If Jimmy G goes we are fine if it is Trey Lance then we have 2 addition factors first and foremost the Injured Player Theory comes into play here (we always take the injured team 1st week of the injury). But you might say Trey Lance didn’t look good last week. He shouldn’t of as he’s a rookie who didn’t get a lot of snaps in practice. If he is starting he will get all the snaps and he will have a game plan tailored to his strengths not a game plan that was for Jimmy G. Lastly Arizona really won’t know what to expect if it’s Lance as there is no game film on him. Throw out what ever he did last week in relief as again that wasn’t the game plan designed for him. Note: Play Against - Home favorites (ARIZONA) - who are outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games 25-4 ATS L5 YRS in the NFL. Note: ARIZONA is just 1-8 ATS as a HF L3 years.

SAN FRANCISCO 27-24

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Carmine Bianco Event: (225697) Canada at (225698) Jamaica
Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 6PM EDT
Play: Canada +107
World Cup Qualifying - Canada at Jamaica
Quick Synopsis: Heading into this weeks qualifying games Canada likely would have been satisfied with a split and 3 points before heading home to face Panama next week but a big point in Mexico and they now are in a position to pick up a valuable 4 of 6 points with a win against a struggling Jamaican side that sit bottom of the group. No recent history between these two with the last meeting coming in 2017 but a strong defensive game by Canada thus far in qualifying and some speed with Buchanan and Davies has them playing well offensively as well. We'll take the small plus money favorite here as they take another step towards qualifying for next years WC.
The play is Canada +107

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Andy Lang Event: (477) Buffalo Bills at (478) Kansas City Chiefs
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Zack Moss OVER 8.5 Rush Attempts
The Bills are playing the Chiefs, and the Chiefs are one of the worst rush defenses in the league. They give up 5.4 yards a carry, and a league worst 8 rushing touchdowns surrendered. But I’m going to look at Zack Moss’s attempts here. The Bills can certainly get in a shootout with Kansas City, but they can really control the time of possession if they want to and keep Mahomes on the sideline, and they’ll do that with Singletary and Moss. Moss has flown over this rush attempts total the last two weeks getting 13 and 14 carries in those games, both of those in blowout wins, but if you’re looking for the weakness of the Chiefs, it’s their rush defense and the Bills have the weapons to exploit it. I’ll expect Moss to be a big part of the offense and get to double digits carries.

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The Gold Sheet

New York Giants +7.0 (-115)

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Underdog Sportsline

Miami Dolphins +10

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Bobby Ligs

3% Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (up to -4)

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Dr. Chuck

Bills-Chiefs over 56.5

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Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR SUNDAY

NFL TAMPA BAY -10 over Miami

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: New England/Houston Under 39½ Points

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Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: DETROIT/MINNESOTA UNDER the total of 49½

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Totals4U Early Sunday's Free Selection: Miami Dolphins/Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 48

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Roz Wins ROZ Selections SUNDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2021

FREE NFL
463. Broncos -1 (10 PT / 1 ET)

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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: New England Patriots - 8

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#1 Sports Early Sunday's Free Play: New England Patriots - 8

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Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Detroit Lions +10 over Minnesota

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play SUNDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2021

FREE NFL
459. Titans -4.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday : Take NEW ORLEANS/WASHINGTON UNDER the total of 43

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Hawkeye Sports Early Sunday's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox - 105

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The Last Call Sunday's Early Free Play: Boston Red Sox - 108

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Sunday: DENVER/PITTSBURGH OVER the total of 39

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Sunday: Las Vegas Raiders - 5 1/2

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Sunday: Phil/Car OVER 46

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Sunday:
TB BUCS

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Sunday:
Chic/LV OVER 45

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Tampa Bay w/Rasmussen Pk

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Al Cimaglia: Rosecroft Raceway Pick 4 Analysis October 10, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Rosecroft Raceway has 13 races set to roll with the first post coming at 7:15 EST. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 9, and that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

2-Spinout (5/2)-Finished 2nd in last after running into a buzz saw winner who blitzed the field from post 9. Probably will be on top or in the pocket after the 1st turn and should be tighter in the 2nd start since 7-14.
3-Manattack (4-1)-This 7-year-old raced well at this class and was just nipped in its 1st race since 8-4. Will need another big effort to win and has the gate speed to get the jump on others.
5-Lil Johnny (3-1)-Veteran knows how to win, (7-23) in 2021, and probably needed last after being off almost a month. Fits with this crew and looking for a big try. Foster takes the lines and that's a positive driver change.

Race 10

4-Rocktavius (7/2)-Fired hot off the bench, wired the field and now steps-up. This 8-year-old has won 26% of his starts at RcR and the Roberts barn is batting 25% winners over the last 30 days. Roberts steers #5 but Thompson can get the job done.
5-Starship (3-1)-This is the other Roberts entry and comes off an even effort versus straight Open company. This 4-year-old son of Captaintreacherous has 8 pictures in 21 RcR starts with a 150.2 mark this year and should be in the hunt.
7-Volley Ball Beach (4-1)-Comes off a big try at this class at long odds. Needs a sharp steer but was used a couple of times in last and might be able to roll late off cover tonight.

Race 11

5-I'm No Pansy (4-1)-Has won 5 of 18 at RcR, including last week in the 1st local start this season. Can be forwardly placed with this post draw and best to respect chances for a repeat.
8-Mittnite Delight (3-1)-Foster has enough gate speed to work with to claim a close-up seat. Comes off a sharp effort at this class and the post makes the price.

Race 12

4-Diamond Cowboy (5/2)-Drew-off by over 7 lengths last week to beat 6 from this bunch and looks like a must use tonight.
5-Twomickeytrip (7/2)-Well traveled veteran makes its RcR debut and did tune-up with a couple of starts in Woodstock. Might be able to fall in right behind the one above and make the most of an efficient trip.

0.50 Pick 4

2,3,5/4,5,7/5,8/4,5
Total Bet=$18

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies - October 10, 2021 October 10, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: A-
Single: 5-Comedic

Forecast: Comedic debuts following a string of good, solid workouts and catches what appears to be a below average field that should allow the daughter of Practical Joke to win at first asking in this abbreviated grass sprint. She brought $800,000 at the Fasig-Tipton 2-year-old in training sale in March after displaying superior speed and a smooth, athletic stride in a very impressive :10 seconds flat breeze, and while her recent workout times aren’t fast she really hasn’t been asked to show anything close to her best. Listed at 7/2 on the morning line, the S. Callaghan-trained 2-year-old will offer considerable value at that price in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

Notable Workouts:
5-Comedic (September 25, Santa Anita, 3f, :35.3hg). Grade B+-
Second of three in gate drill with Collusion Illusion (4f, :47.2hg) and Malibuena (4f, :48.3hg), taken in hand leaving the barrier and then always under cruise control, splits of :23.4 and :35.4 on our watches. Merely an educational move, looks like a high quality sort, for sure.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/myracehorsetb/comedic-outside-malibuena-middle-and-collusion-illusion-worked-at-santa-anita-park-on-september-25th-2021/)

9-Loma Vista (October 4, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3hg). Grade: B-
Okay gate drill inside Altruist (same time) and Otta Hand (4f, :48.2hg), light coaxing only and finishing with something left, splits of :24 flat, :36 flat, :48 flat and 1:01.2 on our watches. No world beater but has some run, seems fairly fit.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/phil-damato/outta-hand-outside-altruist-middle-and-loma-vista-worked-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-4th-2021/)

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RACE 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-It’s a Riddle; 6-Truly Fabulous

Forecast: Truly Fabulous drops a notch below her claim price to the bottom-level $10,000 league for the first time since being haltered in February, and this easier assignment should allow her to return to winning form. A restricted (nw-2) victory in a $20,000 seller three races back at Pleasanton charts quite well in this moderate affair, and with two easy works since raced and four career victories from 15 lifetime starts the J. Wong-trained filly looks fairly solid at 2-1 on the morning line. It’s a Riddle is worth including somewhere on your ticket as a back-up or a saver. In the frame in her last two starts and a two-time winner over the Santa Anita main track, the R. Hess, Jr.-trained mare has the route-to-sprint angle that we like, and though slower on pure numbers she could be dangerous if our top pick fails to deliver her best effort.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:04 PT Grade: B+
Use: 4-Aligato; 5-Hail Freedom

Forecast: Aligato was given an easy run in his debut when being allowed to lag to the head of the lane and then finishing full of run in traffic without being knocked about in a similar turf sprint for older maidens at Del Mar in late August. With that bit of experience behind him and an extra three-sixteenths of a mile to work with, the son of Kitten’s Joy should be along in plenty of time for a barn that has solid stats with second-time starters. There’s plenty of value here at 7/2 on the morning line if you can get it. Hail Freedom has been displaying speed going long in recent starts but may appreciate this turn back in trip and could find himself as the main speed in a race that doesn’t project to have quick early fractions. The D. O’Neill-trained colt shows a bullet half mile workout in :46 3/5 late last month, so we’re expecting to see “let roll” tactics employed. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Aligato.

Notable Workouts:
5-Hail Freedom (October 2, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.2h). Grade:
Broke off a couple of lengths behind Spoiled Rotten (4f, :48.4h) and proved best late while always breezing and able to go considerably faster if permitted. Maintains his edge for O’Neill, will be interesting to see if he can improve backing up to a sprint.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/hail-freedom/hail-freedom-outside-and-spoiled-rotten-worked-4-furlongs-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-2nd-2021/)

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RACE 4: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-Da Kine; 7-Heir; 8-Harbor Sky

Forecast: Da Kine returned off a 14-month layoff to run a winning race in defeat when tagged close home in a similar maiden $20,000 miler at Del Mar last month. If he can produce a forward move – or even run the same type of race – the R. Baltas-trained gelding should be the one to beat. Harbor Sky, a first-off-the-claim play for D. O’Neill (a solid 18% with this angle), finished a neck behind Da Kine in that same race and must be considered a contender right back, though the race-shape in that main track miler promoted his closing style and today, over a surface that plays to speed, may make his task more difficult. Heir, haltered for $20,000 two runs back and then a voided claim in his move recent outing, removes blinkers, gets a break in the weights with the switch to the seven-pound bug D. Herrera, and with just three career starts has more room to improve than most of the others. His numbers are gradually rising, and he’s always trained like a bit better gelding than a bottom-rung seller, so we’ll toss him in as well.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:08 PT Grade: B+
Use: 4-Warren’s Queen Bee; 7-Gritty Girl

ForecastMaiden state-bred juvenile fillies sprint five furlongs on turf in a field that offers two main contenders. Gritty Girl acted up before the start in her debut, flashed good speed to establish a clear lead to the turn, but then quickly backed up and was virtually eased through the lane. She’s returned to work extremely well for J. Mullins while giving the appearance of a filly with much speed and some quality, so we’ll give her a chance to make amends today and hope she has her mind on business. The daughter of Street Boss seems likely to enjoy this five furlong trip and the switch to grass, so we’ll make her a gamble at or near her morning line of 3-1. For protection, we’ll also include Warren’s Queen Bee on our ticket. Not particularly fast on speed figures but in the frame in both of her starts, the daughter of Clubhouse Ride should at least hit the board again today.

Notable Workouts:
7-Gritty Girl (September 29, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.1h TT). Grade: A-
Absolutely breezing while tons best over Fast Draw Munnings (4f, :47.4h TT), plenty left late while finishing in hand. Stopped badly in debut but has to be miles better than that. Can bounce back next time.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/jeff-mullins/fast-draw-munnings-outside-and-gritty-girl-worked-4-furlongs-at-santa-anita-park-on-september-29th-2021/)

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RACE 6: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: B
Single: 5-V Bucks

Forecast: V Bucks takes a slight drop in class to the restricted (nw-2) $16,000 level after disappointing as the favorite when fourth in a $25,000 affair at Del Mar last month. Her speed figure dropped 15 points off her previous good effort, so she clearly ran down to the competition’s level, rather than vice-versa. The P. Miller-trained daughter of California Chrome broke her maiden by daylight over the Santa Anita main track in June, so we’re expecting her to bounce back with her best effort today. At 7/2 on the morning line, she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:11 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Dicey Mo Chara; 3-Spirit Maker; 6-Tigershon

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this first-level allowance optional claimer over a mile on grass for older horses, with preference on top to Dicey Mo Chara. Victimized by a lack of pace and given too much to do when a willing but non-threatening second at this level last month at Del Mar, the English-bred gelding lands a good inside draw and should be able to secure a favorable pace pressing/stalking trip in an event that projects to have very soft early splits. The lightly-raced sophomore has plenty of room for improvement and is reunited with “win rider” T. Baze, so at 3-1 on the morning line the L. Powell-trained gelding deserves the edge on top. Spirit Maker found his best stride too late and actually galloped out far in front when fifth vs. similar in his comeback in mid-July at Del Mar. Unraced for more than two months since that outing, the J. Sadler-trained colt turned in a couple of flashy recent workouts to indicate he’s ready for a significant forward move, and if he’s not too far back early the son of Empire Maker colt should make his presence felt late. Tigerhon was no threat when given a race in his U. S. debut sprinting on turf at Del Mar in August, but with the addition of blinkers combined with the stretch out to two-turns the M. Glatt-trained colt seems sure to be forwardly placed, if not the controlling speed. He did win gate-to-wire at Newcastle in England last year, so front-running strategy seems logical.

Notable Workouts:
3-Spirit Maker (October 2, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.3h TT). Grade: B+
Solo training track drill without any need of urging, splits of :23.2, :35 flat and :59.3, very light coaxing only. Has plenty of room for improvement based on this drill. Has all of his conditions.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/john-sadler/spirit-maker-worked-5-furlongs-in-59-60-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-2nd-2021/)

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RACE 8: Post: 4:43 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Augusta Melody; 4-Doincic

Forecast: After being forced into a hot opening quarter and half, Augusta Melody stayed on gamely to run a winning race with a career-top speed figure when missing by a neck and winding up well clear of the rest in a similar affair at Del Mar last month. Today, the devout pacesetter/presser should have an easier time of it on the lead in a race without much early speed. Three easy breezes in the interim should have him fresh and ready. Doncic is the one to fear most. A maiden $30,000 claiming winner by more than nine lengths at Del Mar while leaving his previous form far behind, the son of Cairo Prince is protected today in a sign of confidence by new trainer V. Cerin following a timely claim and based on numbers is a strong fit despite the class hike. He’ll likely settle into a stalking position outside ‘Melody and then try to engage him when the pressure is turned on at the head of the lane. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with Augusta Melody getting preference on top.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:16 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Taming the Tiger; 4-Gypsy Blu

Forecast: Gypsy Blue is a Santa Anita turf course specialist (four wins, four seconds three thirds in 13 starts) and will be hard to beat if she can reproduce anything close to her best effort in this first-level allowance optional claimer. She was claimed for $32,000 when fourth at Del Mar in mid-July and today returns for $20,000, so there has to be a question of condition, but the purse of $63,000 makes the class drop somewhat understandable. The K. Mulhall barn has good stats with a limited sample in this first-off-the-claim category and a recent main track drill (5f, :59 4/5) should have the daughter of Papa Clem fit enough. Let’s hope she has at least one good one left. Taming the Tiger looked good winning a similar race on dirt at Los Alamitos last month and will be dangerous if she can duplicate that performance on grass. This will be her first career start on the lawn but, as a daughter of Smiling Tiger, there’s no reason she won’t handle it. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Gypsy Blue.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 5 Ticket Sunday at Belmont October 10, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Much of the Late Pick 5 Sunday at Belmont Park looks good – good enough to take a pop at it and move up from my usual weekly Pick 4 journey.

Three graded stakes races – the G3 Futurity Stakes (5th), the G2 Beldame Stakes (6th), and the G3 Knickerbocker Stakes – make up the heart of Belmont’s Late Pick 5, and I’m jumping in with a suggested ticket that totals $108.

Here’s the strategy for the day:


5th Race (2:43 p.m. ET, G3 Futurity S.)

SLIPSTREAM has taken a big step up in performance in his last two races and looks ready for this level of competition. He comes in off a front-running maiden score but likely will be forced to do this one from off the pace, which seems to be fine. He improved position in his first two races and is in with runners that are just quicker than he is. That probably plays in his favor as he will be set up for a solid run.

Also on the ticket: MIDNIGHT WORKER, CHI TOWN LADY, POPPY FLOWER.


6th Race (3:15 p.m. ET, G2 Beldame S.)

ZAAJEL moves up to older fillies and mares and returns to where she had her finest triumph. The Street Sense filly came into her own when she scored a big-time upset over Always Carina and Clairiere in the Grade 2 Mother Goose over this strip. She tried sprinters in the Grade 1 Text but never got involved and is back to a longer distance.

Also on the ticket: ROYAL FLAG.


7th Race (3:49 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

HOBOKEN JACK ran evenly vs. open maiden special weight company at Monmouth, which is probably a tougher spot than $50,000 maiden-claiming New York-breds. A good sign is a switch to hot-riding Paco Lopez, and the move to restricted company should be enough. It’s not a gimme by any means, but he looks to have an edge.

Also on the ticket: RED ROCK BAY, KONG LOVES A FIGHT.


8th Race (4:21 p.m. ET, G3 Knickerbocker S.)

SACRED LIFE has consistently shown late interest in his races, and that will comes in handy going 1 1-8 miles here. He was fourth the only time he tried this distance when he ran fourth as the 9-5 favorite in a Grade 1 at Keeneland. He tuned up for this with a fast-closing second to Breaking the Rules, a combatant today but not a choice on this ticket. That race was a mile, and the French-bred gets a distance more conducive to his running. He’s one of two talented Chad Brown runners in here, the other being L’IMPERATOR.

Also on the ticket: FIELD PASS, L’IMPERATOR.


9th Race (4:52 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

MY BOY COLTON got on the front end and ran a good second in his latest, and a repeat of that will probably get it done for his in this one. The pace will be quicker and he might not get to the lead, but the turn back to a mile should help him with some late pop. The Pioneer of the Nile colt looks ready for graduation from the maiden ranks.
Also on the ticket: DEFERRED TAXES (1-1A entry), BAIL OUT.


Belmont Park 50-cent Late Pick 5:

5) #2 Midnight Worker, #4 Slipstream, #5 Chi Town Lady, #8 Poppy Flower.
6) #3 Zaajel, #8 Royal Flag.
7) #1 Red Rock Bay, #2 Hoboken Jack, #7 Kong Loves a Fight.
8) #1 Field Pass, #3 Sacred Life, #4 L’Imperator.
9) #1 Deferred Taxes, #3 My Boy Colton, #8 Bail Out.

The ticket: 2-4-5-8 with 3-8 with 1-2-7 with 1-3-4 with 1-3-8 ($108).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Keeneland - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#8 Under One Sky
She showed some solid tactical pace when staying on well at 45/1 in the Kentucky Downs debut, and she might be able to sustain that move into the pace a bit better this time around with the debut under her belt.


#12 Mission Belle
She took a little bit of cash and didn't show much in the debut try, but she races for top connections and is worth another look while trying new footing -- not every horse likes the Kentucky Downs surface.


#3 Jazz Time Girl
She has run a couple of good ones to open her career, and she'll get around two turns for the first time with a decent midpack trip looming for her today.


Race Summary
Under One Sky was overlooked in the career debut, but she ran a good race that day and figures to get another great trip while tracking the pace with this group today. #7 Requestforproposal showed little at 3/5 when rained off in the debut but seems in the mix for Chad Brown as well.


Keeneland - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#4 Letruska
She's not going to be any kind of price, but she should be able to control the tempo in this spot while aiming for her fifth straight score. Game runner is the clear one to beat.


#1 Dunbar Road
She gave a thrill in the lane at 25/1 last time out but couldn't reel in the top choice, and she has run well here in a couple of tough races in the past. Logical exacta player.


#6 Crystal Ball
She has some positional pace to keep the top choice in her sights early on, but her ceiling seems just a bit light compared to what a few others in here are capable of, so she seems best used underneath.


Race Summary
Letruska is on a real tear right now, and she finds another field in which she should be able to dictate the tempo from the start. The local footing is the mildest of concerns, but she has carried her track with her while running through 16 wins from 21 starts.


Keeneland - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#13 Lucky Boss
He brings good form to this turf debut, and his sire tends to get runners who handle the footing just fine. Tactical speed should get a great trip and should be there if he handles the new surface.


#12 Tiz the Bomb
He's the one to beat while running out of the same barn as the top choice, and he just landed a stakes score at Kentucky Downs while trying the turf for the first time. Tough right back.


#5 Rocket One
He has shown some decent finishing ability in a couple of turf races, and there might be enough pace in here to give him a chance to rally on late. Worth including.


Race Summary
Lucky Boss and Tiz the Bomb race out of the same barn, but 'Boss will be a better number on the board while bringing form and a pedigree that suggest he can be competitive here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Belmont Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#1 Shady McGee
Is a good closer and was in good races at Saratoga; looks ready for the 1.5 miles.


#8 Abaan
Broke him maiden by 7.5 last out at Saratoga and we'll see how far his speed and take him.


#9 Cold Hard Cash
Lost photos against allowance company in his last two at Saratoga and will be challenged to get the distance.


Race Summary
Shady McGee has had a steady closing move running shorter distances and can be closer to lead here; should like the long run.


Belmont Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#4 Slipstream
Was a clear maiden winner last out at Belmont and can battle for this throughout.


#8 Poppy Flower
Stakes-placed filly capable of being close throughout; can be tough at this distance.


#5 Chi Town Lady
Unbeaten in two starts and has finished well at shorter distances; big player.


Race Summary
Slipstream was very sharp last time out and will engage the leaders; getting better and is ready for stakes company.


Belmont Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#6 Win With Pride
Was up with time at Saratoga last time out and is perfect for the 6.5 furlongs; gets a good pace set up here.


#5 First Homestead
Has taken four straight, including his latest at Saratoga; makes his first off the claim by Sciacca, has speed and can finish.


#7 Summer Bourbon
Was a clear winner in his last two and takes a slight step up; will be in the mix late.


Race Summary
Win With Pride has a good closing move and should be able to be a good trip from just off the pace.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Oct 10 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Lions vs Vikings
Play on: Lions +9½ -110 at Caesars

Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on Detroit Lions +9.5
The Key: The Detroit Lions are 0-4 this year but have shown they will fight for your money. They nearly came back against the 49ers in Week 1, actually held a halftime lead against the Packers in Week 2, and in Week 3 it took a 66-yard field goal by the Ravens to beat them. Last week's 14-24 loss at Chicago was misleading. Detroit somehow made 4 trips inside the Chicago 20-yard line and came away with zero points. That should be impossible. I like the price we are getting on the Lions this week as nearly double-digit underdogs to the Minnesota Vikings. It's not like Vikings have shown us enough at 1-3 to warrant being this big of a favorite. Detroit is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games after scoring 17 points or fewer in 3 straight games. The Lions are 33-17 ATS in their last 50 road games off a loss by 10 points or more. The Vikings are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 against a team with a losing record. Take Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Oct 10 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Dolphins vs Bucs
Play on: Dolphins +10 -108 at linepros

Play - Miami Dolphins (453).
Edges - Dolphins: 7-2 ATS as a dog of more than 7 points … Bucs: 0-9 ATS before a Thursday game, and 5-9 SUATS versus AFC East opponents ... With the Bucs coming off their big showdown win over Bill Belichick and the Patriots, and the Dolphins off a SU favorite loss to the Colts, we recommend a 1* play on Miami. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Macklin Oct 10 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Eagles vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers -3 -108 at pinnacle

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, October 10, 2021 is on the Carolina Panthers
We're gonna give Carolina a mulligan after getting run out at Dallas, the second of a road back-to-backs. Prior, the Panthers were near perfect against similar competition as they'll see here vs. the Eagles. Philly is crumbling at the base, especially on defense where they've allowed 100+ point the last three weeks, back-to-back 40burgers the last two. Add to the mix that at this writing, the Eagles could be missing as many as four offensive linemen. Laying three is impossible to pass. Carolina by double-digits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Oct 10 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Patriots vs Texans
Play on: Texans +8 -107 at pinnacle

Sunday card has the NFL Non Conference TOTAL of the YEAR and an NFL Executive Level TIER 1 Side headlining along with Divisional Round Game 2 Power System Plays and TOP 6* Sunday night Football. Comp play below.
The NFL Comp Play is o Houston plus the 8-9 points at 1:00 eastern. Much like our play on the Jets last week from a similar bounce back off a shutout system we will have to hold our nose here. Houston actually fits an 84% Dog system as well. The Texans have covered 6 of 8 after scoring 14 or less and 4 of 5 as a dog. New England has failed to cover 8 of 9 off a spread win and 4 of 5 as a road favorite. This is alot of points to lay with a rookie Qb on the road pitting a pair of 1-3 teams. The mostly likely scenario here is a close New England win with the Texans hanging around for a spread win. Play on Houston plus the points. On Sunday a Powerful card is up with the NFL Non Conference Total of the Year going early, then an Executive LEVEL TIER 1 side later on and a 6* Sunday night Football play. We also have more Divisional Round MLB Playoff System plays. Jump on and cash out. For the NFL Comp play. Take the Texans. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Oct 10 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Titans vs Jaguars
Play on: Titans -4½ -105 at pinnacle

1* NFL - Titans/Jaguars FREE PICK on Titans -4.5
Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Tennessee Titans as a 4.5-point road favorite against the Jacksonville Jaguars. I know this is a big public play, but I just can't pass up laying less than a touchdown against this Jaguars team. I just think this line is a bit of an overreaction to how bad Tennessee looked last week in a 24-27 road loss to the Jets and the Jags showing something in a 21-24 loss at Cincinnati on Thursday Night Football. It just looked like the Bengals were sleep walking for the 1st half and when they flipped the switch it was the total mismatch we thought it would be from the start. With home games against the Bills and Chiefs up next for Tennessee, this has to feel like a must win for them. Give me the Titans -4.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs Oct 10 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Patriots vs Texans
Play on: Texans +9 -110 at Caesars

Taking the HOUSTON TEXANS as our FREE PICK here on NFL Sunday. Everyone just saw the Patriots nearly beat the mighty Tom Brady's on Sunday night. Maybe they should have won. I know everyone will be reminded about the Texans getting thrashed in Buffalo 40-0. The talking heads will be telling everyone how Belichick is 22-6 vs rookie QBs. And Mills has looked entirely the part of a deer in headlights rookie signal caller. I understand Houston is a bad team. But I after a game like that, 4 yards in the first half! - I think this team comes out with some pride here at home. Part of me wanted to grab the Under 39 here. I really think we see a lot of Ingram and Johnson out of the backfield and short stuff to Cooks to get some confidence in their young QB. New England is not built to run a team out of the building on the road. And yes, can the Patriots win this one by 10. Sure they can. But - Lost 17-16 to Miami at home. Lost 28-13 at home to New Orleans. Lost 19-17 to Tampa at home. They won 28-13 at the Jets. I'm grabbing an ugly dog in the TEXANS here on Sunday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Oct 10 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Dolphins vs Bucs
Play on: OVER 47½ -111

FREE PICK: Dolphins/Bucs OVER 47.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 453
I'll take the OVER 47.5 in Sunday's non-conference matchup between the Bucs and Dolphins. I would grab the points with Miami if I had to take a side, as I feel Tampa Bay might be a little overvalued in this spot. With that said, there's more value with the OVER 47.5.
Prior to last week's game against the Pats, the OVER had cashed in each of the Bucs first 3 games. They combined for 60 with a total of 52.5 in Week 1 against Dallas, 73 with a total of 51.5 in Week 2 vs the Falcons and 58 with a total of 55 in their Week 3 matchup with the Rams.
I just think you have to look at the New England result and put it aside. That was special circumstances where you had Brady playing his first game back in New England against his old team. Every regular-season game means something, but that one meant a lot more to both teams.
I think it puts Tampa Bay in a really flat spot and I think that's bad news for maybe the most overrated defense in the NFL. It's also a defense that has been hit hard with injuries, especially in the secondary. Corners Sean Murphy-Bunting and Carlton Davis are both out, corner James Dean is questionable and so is stud strong safety Antoine Winfield. Veteran Jason Pierre-Paul is also questionable.
Miami might not look like the offense that can exploit the Bucs problems in the secondary, as they 30th in the league at just 173.8 passing yards/game. I just think the NFL can work in mysterious ways and with the big guys up front maybe not as locked in as they normally would be, we will see the Dolphins move the ball and put points on the board.
As for the Bucs offense, Brady is just one of those guys who never takes a game off. It's up in the air if Gronk will be back, but I don't think him not playing will be enough to keep this Pats offense from scoring 30+ points.
I see this being something like a 34-27 type of game, which is almost a full 14 points more than what we need to cash a winning ticket. This could be 28-20 and we still get there. Give me the OVER 47.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Oct 10 '21, 3:00 PM in 4h
WNBA | Sky vs Mercury
Play on: Sky +3½ -110 at Caesars

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Sky +3½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Oct 10 '21, 4:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United
Play on: Minnesota United +125 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on Minnesota United +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Oct 10 '21, 4:05 PM in 5h
NFL | Browns vs Chargers
Play on: Browns +2½ -110 at William Hill

Free Pick on Browns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Oct 10 '21, 4:05 PM in 5h
NFL | Bears vs Raiders
Play on: OVER 45 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Bears vs Raiders over 45 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Oct 10 '21, 4:05 PM in 5h
NFL | Bears vs Raiders
Play on: OVER 45 -110

1* Free Pick on Bears/Raiders over 45 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Oct 10 '21, 4:05 PM in 5h
NFL | Bears vs Raiders
Play on: Bears +5½ -104 at pinnacle

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Las Vegas at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.
I'm not a believer in the Raiders. Their 3-0 start saw plenty of breaks go their way and now that they've been handed their first loss of the season, I expect them to have a tough time picking themselves up off the mat on a short week against the re-energized Bears on Sunday afternoon. Chicago finally showed some signs of life offensively in last Sunday's much-needed bounce-back win over the Lions. Head coach Matt Nagy made the right move naming rookie QB Justin Fields his starter moving forward and I expect Fields to pay immediate dividends with a strong performance in this matchup on Sunday. While I do respect the Raiders pass rush, I believe Fields' ability to move in the pocket serves him extremely well here, buying him time to find open receivers down field against a very beatable Raiders pass defense. Defensively, the Bears have the potential to make the Raiders offense one-dimensional here as they've done an excellent job against the run this season (save for a poor performance against an elite Browns ground attack). I would suggest not only playing the Bears ATS here, but also sprinkling some on the moneyline as we're being offered a very generous potential return. Take Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Oct 10 '21, 4:25 PM in 6h
NFL | 49ers vs Cardinals
Play on: 49ers +5½ -110 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: San Francisco 49ers +5.5
It's time to 'sell high' on the Arizona Cardinals after their 4-0 start this season. They are coming off perhaps the most impressive win of any team last week, beating the Rams 37-20 on the road to end an eight-game losing streak to them.
But that was a Rams team in a letdown spot off their big win over the defending champion Bucs the previous week. The Cardinals simply wanted it more, but now it's their turn for a letdown as they are feeling fat and happy with their 4-0 start and that win over the Rams.
The 49ers have some injury questions that could also have the Cardinals not taking them seriously. I like backing teams like the 49ers who usually seem to rally for one game with injuries as everyone picks up their level of play. And it might be a good thing for them if Trey Lance starts with the element of surprise, plus how well he played last week.
The 49ers are coming off a very misleading 21-28 home loss to the Seahawks. They had 457 total yards and held the Seahawks to just 234 yards, outgaining them by 223 yards. Lance replaced an injured Jimmy G and went 9-of-18 passing for 157 yards and two touchdowns without an interception, while also rushing for 41 yards on seven carries. He is more than capable of leading Kyle Shanahan's offense.
The Cardinals have a great offense, but their numbers are definitely inflated by playing a weak schedule of opposing defenses in the Titans, Vikings, Jaguars and Rams. Now they are up against the best defense they have faced yet in the 49ers, who give up just 336.3 yards per game this season. They held the Eagles to 328 yards, the Packers to 353 and the Seahawks to 234. Their numbers would be even better if they didn't give up all those garbage time yards to the Lions in Week 1.
The 49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs. The Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as home favorites. Kliff Kingsbury is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite as the coach of Arizona. San Francisco is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. Bet the 49ers Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Oct 10 '21, 4:25 PM in 6h
NFL | Giants vs Cowboys
Play on: Giants +7 -110 at William Hill

A top-five offense and improved defense make Dallas the solid choice to capture the NFC East Division. But this isn't enough to give value to the Cowboys laying a touchdown to division rival New York. This is a huge game for the 1-3 Giants if they want to get back into the division race. If it weren't for losing two games on field goals at the gun, the Giants would be 3-1. Their defense has been disappointing. However, Daniel Jones is playing the best ball of his career by limiting his turnovers. He's had just two all season. Saquon Barkley is rounding back into his former elite form getting better each week and for the first time the Giants will start the same offensive line as they had the previous week. Jones won't have injured Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton. The Giants, though, have excellent wide receiving depth with key free agent signing Kenny Golladay to go with emerging rookie Kadarius Toney and John Ross, who could show something now that he's finally healthy. Dallas' defense is better, but is still far from elite. The Cowboys remain without their top pass rusher, injured DeMarcus Lawrence. The Cowboys traditionally are bad in this role, failing to cover 10 of the last 14 times when favored. The Giants, on the other hand, are 20-6 ATS as a road underdog. If given plus seven points, the Giants would be 12-2-1 ATS the past 15 times as a 'dog. Dallas is going to get its points here. But I don't see the Giants blinking. They are going to keep up making this a close game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico Oct 10 '21, 4:25 PM in 6h
NFL | 49ers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -5 -110 at SC Consensus

ARE YOU READY TO BEAT YOUR BOOK? If so, then this Sunday, I have the NFL card to do just that. It doesn’t get any bigger or better than this: 10-2 BLUE CHIP, 3-1 HIGH ROLLER, TOTAL OF THE WEEK, 62-16 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, and my famous, SUNDAY NIGHT LATE BAILOUT. Follow me Sunday and together WE WILL BEAT YOUR BOOK.
Sunday’s FREE NFL WINNER: Arizona Cardinals.
Game 476.
1:25 pm pst.
The NFC West is going to be a dogfight. A few weeks ago, this would have been a marquee matchup. But with Jimmy Garoppolo’s status unknown as of print, and a few other 49ers banged-up, we must lean on the division-leading, undefeated Cardinals here. They happen to possess the NFL’s top-scoring offense, accounting for over 35.0 PPG. Whether Jimmy G can go or not, the San Francisco “O” just won’t be able to compensate for their leaky defense (58.0 points allowed their last two games). The 49ers are 1-5-1 ATS their last seven games played vs. the Cardinals. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS their last four games played in the month of October. Take Arizona. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo Oct 10 '21, 4:25 PM in 6h
NFL | Giants vs Cowboys
Play on: Giants +7 -107 at pinnacle

Here, we have a divisional rivalry with the Giants getting upwards of a touchdown. New York is coming off its first win of the season, an overtime victory over New Orleans. Dallas has won three straight games and is a perfect 4-0 against the number so we are going contrarian here based on that perfect ATS record. Despite this, the Cowboys are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The Giants are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 road games teams allowing 6.0 or more yppl while going 22-7 ATS in their last 29 road games after gaining 6.5 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites averaging 255 or more passing ypg, after gaining seven or more passing ypa in three straight games. This situation is 42-13 ATS (76.4 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (473) New York Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Oct 10 '21, 4:25 PM in 6h
NFL | Giants vs Cowboys
Play on: OVER 52 -110

Mike Lundin's Giants vs Cowboys Free Pick October 10, 2021
The Cowboys have won three straight since losing their season opener at Tampa Bay. The Giants have played three close games since getting blown out by Denver in their first game of the season.
The Giants put up 485 yards of total offense in a 27-21 OT win at New Orleans last week. They average 283 passing yards per game (7th), and Daniel Jones should have good success against a Dallas secondary that is allowing 315 passing yards per game (31st).
As for the Cowboys offense, it is one of the best in the NFL and they have put up 41 and 36 points in their last two games.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games as a home favorite. Over is 20-6 in Cowboys last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Dallas. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Free pick on OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Oct 10 '21, 6:05 PM in 7h
Soccer | El Salvador vs Costa Rica
Play on: Costa Rica -140 at SC Consensus

1* Free Sharp Play on Costa Rica -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Oct 10 '21, 8:10 PM in 9h
NBA | Thunder vs Bucks
Play on: Thunder +6 -107 at pinnacle

1* on Thunder +6 -107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Oct 10 '21, 8:20 PM in 10h
NFL | Bills vs Chiefs
Play on: Bills +3 -120 at linepros

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Buffalo Bills +3
The Buffalo Bills are simply the better football team than the Kansas City Chiefs right now and shouldn't be underdogs. The Bills gave away the game against the Steelers in the opener and since have shown their true colors. They have outscored their last three opponents 118-21 and have shown they have the elite defense to match their already elite offense. The Chiefs still have an elite offense, but they can't be trusted because of their woeful defense. They give up 31.3 points and 437.8 yards per game this season. The Bills only allow 11.0 points and 216.8 yards per game to compare. Buffalo is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games overall. Kansas City is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games overall. The Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. Give me the Bills.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday, October 10th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE NFL PICKS
Patriots @ Texans
TIME: 1:00 PM EST
PICKS: BET Texans +8 @ BOVADA (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Ge8BT9IAE6ejHXmGko7osNK/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 9

$1 Exacta /$2 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5



Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 5 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 5:14P


FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Stalker. VICMAR is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * VICMAR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Today is a sprint and the horse is c arrying at least 120 lbs. CHEVAL DORE: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.



6

VICMAR

2/1


5/2




13

CHEVAL DORE

6/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




12

NONA RAC

12


20/1

Front-runner

68


60


74.4


51.0


32.0




8

FORTY FLASH

8


30/1

Front-runner

77


66


55.0


45.5


25.0




1

FAKE I D

1


5/2

Front-runner

73


69


41.7


38.9


31.4




3

ASYMPTOMATIC (IRE)

3


5/1

Alternator/Front-runner

0


0


87.0


42.3


23.3




5

BIG RED STYLE

5


8/1

Alternator/Front-runner

76


76


66.0


51.6


45.6




10

MINDSHIP Q

10


12/1

Alternator/Front-runner

68


68


47.6


38.2


22.2




6

VICMAR

6


2/1

Stalker

71


76


95.0


70.6


65.6




13

CHEVAL DORE

13


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

68


66


72.0


64.8


53.3




15

SMOOTH MUSIC

15


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

74


71


52.2


37.6


23.6




9

CAN'T BE BROKEN

9


15/1

Alternator/Trailer

71


70


75.8


55.6


43.1




14

PACIFIC LEGEND

14


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

72


59


56.2


49.0


34.5




11

ROYAL BIZ

11


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

64


62


77.6


46.2


23.2




7

SUPER TRIPLE

7


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


54.0


30.3


3.8




4

FULL SEND

4


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

67


50


49.6


45.4


23.4




2

CHIEFICIA

2


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


46.5


40.8


20.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 11

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Daily Double



Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 91 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 9:54P


QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. 124 LBS. (NO SEX ALLOWANCE). HORSES WHICH QUALIFY TO THE FINALS OF THIS RACE MUST REMAIN ON THE GROUNDS UNTIL 48 HOURS AFTER THE FINALS HAVE RUN.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * WHIZKEY GLASSES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. DASHA DYNASTY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. BEDUI NO SURPRISE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. YARD HOUSE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SEPERATE CRUISES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



7

WHIZKEY GLASSES

2/1


5/1




4

DASHA DYNASTY

3/1


7/1




3

BEDUINO SURPRISE

3/1


7/1




9

YARD HOUSE

12/1


8/1




5

SEPERATE CRUISES

6/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

A DASHING CARTEL

1


30/1

Slow/Trouble-prone

0


0


7.8


0.0


0.0




2

EC LEGIT

2


15/1

Fast

64


52


2.8


0.0


0.0




3

BEDUINO SURPRISE

3


3/1

Fast

84


83


1.0


0.0


0.0




4

DASHA DYNASTY

4


3/1

Fast

86


81


3.2


0.0


0.0




5

SEPERATE CRUISES

5


6/1

Average

87


82


5.4


0.0


0.0




6

FAVORITE QUESTION

6


30/1

Slow

79


67


6.6


0.0


0.0




7

WHIZKEY GLASSES

7


2/1

Fast

85


89


2.6


0.0


0.0




8

NEVADA CHARLES

8


6/1

Average

85


80


3.9


0.0


0.0




9

YARD HOUSE

9


12/1

Average/Trouble-prone

88


86


4.0


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Allowance - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4300 Class Rating: 61

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR AB BREDS THAT HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 TEE CLASS 2/1




# 1 HILL TOP WONDER 10/1




# 5 CIRCUIT RIDER 7/2




I think TEE CLASS is a solid choice. Had one of the most competitive speed figs of this group of horses in his last contest. With a reliable 50 average Equibase speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. HILL TOP WONDER - He should have a strong outing versus this less demanding field of horses. Oberholtzer has shown excellent profits (+33 return on investment ) at this distance/surface. CIRCUIT RIDER - His earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone makes you take a look at him. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group lately.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
NFL
CAROLINA PANTHERS ‑3
3
1
+190


Assassin Sports Betting (https://www.patreon.com/assassinsportsbetting)

No pick yet
1
0
+100


Insider Sports Report (http://www.insidersportsreport.com/)

No pick yet
1
0
+100


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
NFL
CLEVELAND BROWNS/LOS ANGELES CHARGERS u47
2
1
+90


Mikey Money (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
1
1
+10


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)
NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS +7
1
1
-10


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)
MLB
BOSTON RED SOX +105
2
3
-45


Ace / Sleeper Selections (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS/DALLAS COWBOYS o52
1
2
-95


Vegas Investment Picks (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)
NFL
PITTSBURGH STEELERS +1.5
0
1
-100


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)

No pick yet
1
2
-110


Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
NFL
MIAMI DOLPHINS +10
0
1
-110


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)
NFL
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS ‑240
0
1
-130


Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS +260
0
2
-200


FURBOOKIE (http://pickmonitor.com/user/furbookie)

No pick yet
0
2
-220


Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
NFL
DENVER BRONCOS ‑1.5
1
4
-340


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS ‑1 +120
0
4
-400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SUNDAY, October 10, 2021
10/10 10:00 AM PT / 1:00 PM ET

NFL (465) GREEN BAY PACKERS VS (466) CINCINNATI BENGALS

Take: (465) GREEN BAY PACKERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
Sunday Free Play
Boston Eovaldi -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Sunday Selection Is
CAROLINA -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Sunday Free Play
Denver -1'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph FreePlay 19-8 run SUN Carolina -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 10/10 NFL ARIZONA -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MM SPORTS
Giants ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny P
Whitesox ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Rodgers
Saints -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BB Sports
Astros over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dale Irving
Patriots ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Assasin
Saints 1H Under 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

San Francisco +5.5 over Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

Las Vegas -5.5 over Chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks

Cleveland/L.A. Chargers OVER 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks®

San Francisco +5.5 over Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bam Bam Sports Services

3* Cardinals -5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=haw1010zm.htm&exp=10/12/2021&pds=HAW_-_10/10/2021&var=RACE_DATE=10/10/2021;TRACK_CODE=HAW&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Hawthorne - Race #4 - Post: 4:34pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 84

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 GO YEOWOMEN (ML=6/1)
#9 WINDY CITY GIRL (ML=4/1)
#5 PRESENT OF HERO (ML=10/1)


GO YEOWOMEN - Granitz brings her right back. I advocate you stay with this live mare. WINDY CITY GIRL - The rider and trainer combination here have a high winning percent when they work together. Rivelli drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to think this horse has a darn good chance at this level. Although it's been awhile, this mare won at a higher class level and at today's distance. I think she could run back to that old form today. I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a strong effort within the last month. PRESENT OF HERO - The ROI when Felix and Perez team up is terrific. This mare is a gem of consistency, almost always in the money. This mare is in fine condition, having run a good race on September 9th, finishing first. If you review the PP's for this racer, you'll see she has recorded the top Equibase speed fig at the distance and surface. A repeat race right here and this horse has a superb chance to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 LADY BREXIT (ML=7/2), #3 RISKY RISKY RISKY (ML=5/1), #6 BALLYBRACK LASS (ML=8/1),

LADY BREXIT - Finished sixth last time. Would have to get better to land in the top three in today's race. I don't normally play a chalk horse that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. RISKY RISKY RISKY - This vulnerable equine hasn't been near the winner at the finish of late. BALLYBRACK LASS - Doubtful that the speed figure she earned on September 10th will be enough in this event.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 GO YEOWOMEN is going to be the play if we are getting 9/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,5,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,5,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,5,9] with [1,5,9] with [1,3,5,9,11] with [1,3,5,9,11] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



10/10/21, BEL, Race 7, 3.49 ET
10/10/21,BEL,7,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
2
Hoboken Jack
3/1
Lopez P
Breen Kelly J.
JSFEC
174
43.10
1.18/$1


096.1649
5
Empire Station
7/2
Cancel E
Weaver George


30
63.33
1.87/$1


095.9311
6
El Veinticuatro
9/2
Franco M
Rodriguez Rudy R.
T
40
60.00
1.64/$1


095.4081
4
Phoebe's Frosty
8/1
Alvarado J
Lawrence. II James L.
W
30
63.33
1.87/$1


095.3464
8
Light Work
5/1
Lezcano J
Breen Kelly J.


30
63.33
1.87/$1


095.0271
9
Just Jeremy
6/1
Diaz. Jr. H R
Hogan Jr. William J
L
30
63.33
1.87/$1


094.2483
7
Kong Loves a Fight
15/1
Davis D
Noda Orlando


30
63.33
1.87/$1


093.7593
3
Bossmakinbossmoves
10/1
Carmouche K
Schosberg Richard E.


30
63.33
1.87/$1


090.5298
1
Red Rock Bay
20/1
Luzzi M J
Ferraro James W.


174
43.10
1.18/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 51.72, ROI 1.36/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.8351
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Keeneland - Race #3 - Post: 2:04pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $43,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 ALBERTA SUN (ML=4/1)
#2 SHASTALOO (ML=5/1)
#3 ASSERTIVE STYLE (ML=9/2)


ALBERTA SUN - A filly like this one, almost always in the money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. This thoroughbred could be tough in this race, especially since Arrieta rode in the last race and now should be better acquainted with this one. Stalking speed. My partners and I like this horse. Diodoro moves this horse here to Keeneland from Churchill Downs. Looking at the horse's recent PP lines, she has shown the ability to win at different racing venues. A racer coming back this soon after a strong race is a good sign. SHASTALOO - Diodoro has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be wary of the longer priced half. This filly is in good physical condition. Finished third on Sep 17th. ASSERTIVE STYLE - This filly registered a strong rating of 90 in her last event. That speed rating should be good enough to score this time. PP lines show this pony with three improving Equibase speed figures. Morales should be on a live horse right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 R WORKING GIRL (ML=2/1), #8 SILVER CLOUD (ML=5/1), #4 DOCS SEVEN (ML=5/1),

R WORKING GIRL - I think this chalk horse needs this race under her belt to start getting back into shape. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list. SILVER CLOUD - Finished second in her most recent race with a pedestrian speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. DOCS SEVEN - Never really did much at all last out on September 17th. Hard to bet on in today's event. Don't believe this entrant will make an impact in today's event. That last rating was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class figure.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 ALBERTA SUN to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip