Sunday 10/17/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: LA Rams/NY Giants Over 48½ Points

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Totals4U Early Sunday's Free Selection: Kansas City Chiefs/Washington Football under 54

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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Phoenix Mecury + 4 1/2

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#1 Sports Early Sunday's Free Play: Los Angeles Rams - 8 1/2

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Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Houston/Indianapolis Game OVER 43 Points

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Golden Dragon
Sunday Free Play
Green Bay/Chicago under 44

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Hawkeye Sports Early Sunday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Rams - 8

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Huddle Up Sports
Sunday Free
Miami -3

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Sunday: Dallas Cowboys - 3

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Sunday:
DOLPHINS/JAGS UNDER

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

Take Carolina +2½

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Tokyo Brandon Event: Aisin AW Areions at Altiri Chiba

Sport/League: BSKT

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1AM EDT
Play: Away Total Under 75.5 (-105)
This is the Japanese B3 League game and Chiba has been red hot. Aishin averages only 68 points a game and I have no idea where the book is getting 75 from. It seems way too high. Maybe they know something I do not know but I see value betting the under here so make a small 1% play on the Aishin team total Under 75.5.

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (301235) Shinshu at (301236) Alvark
Sport/League: BSKT

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 2AM EDT
Play: Total Under 149.5 (-110)
These teams just played to a 123 total and my numbers have this total at 127. This was 151 yesterday and I missed it but I won't miss this one. Take the Under 149.

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (301237) SeaHorses Mikawa at (301238) Gunma
Sport/League: BSKT

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 2AM EDT
Play: Total Over 164.0 (-105)
These teams just played to a 176 total and my numbers have this at 175.5. 164 seems a bit low to me so make a small play on the Over 164.

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Rob Veno Event: (251) Miami Dolphins at (252) Jacksonville Jaguars
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NFL))
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Jacksonville Jaguars +3.0 (-115)
Not sure a routine breaking trip to London is ideal for a team in severe disarray like Miami. Offensive line, cornerback & wide receiver are all position groups that are either current or potential headaches for the Dolphins. The OL has been a mess in all facets but they're difficulties in pass protection are extreme. QB Tua Tagovailoa returns this week but the situation isn't ideal with the porous OL, little ground game and a weakened WR corps (DeVante Parker out / Preston Williams ?able). On top of that, HC Bryan Flores stated this week that his defense is “out of sync in a lot of ways”. Making matters worse, #1 CB Xavian Howard is out and #2 CB Byron Jones has been limited this week as well. Jacksonville has issues of their own but last week's 454-368 total yardage edge over Tennessee shows that they are making strides. Jags actually have more offensive weaponry & overall run/pass balance in this matchup. Miami's offensive issues provide Jacksonville's defense they best matchup they've had the past three weeks. Miami is desperate for a win but that alone won't get them one in this spot. Jacksonville was knocking at the door vs. Arizona & Cincinnati but they are in position to walk through and get their first win here.
Recommendation: Jacksonville +3

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The Prez Event: (251) Miami Dolphins at (252) Jacksonville Jaguars

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Jacksonville Jaguars +3.0 (-115)
251 Miami Dolphins at 252 Jacksonville Jaguars +3, 47


The Jacksonville Jaguars and Miami Dolphins leave the sunny confines of Florida for a Sunday night showdown across the pond. The Urban Meyer era of Jaguars football has been interesting if nothing else. A Jacksonville win in London today makes the outside of the lines drama with Meyer and a lapdance disappear.

A scuffling Miami offense gets starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa back from a Week 2 rib injury that's kept him inactive the last three weeks, all Dolphins' losses. The Jags haven't yet cracked the win column under Meyer but they have shown growth spurts that make them a live dog in London.

The current handicap in this first Week 7 Sunday event has the Dolphins as three-point chalk. The live odds board doesn't show any indication that the books are going to come off the three in this game but the Jags receiving a field goal plus a hook is a number I would entertain. Free Pick is a play on the Jags plus the points.

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Bryan Leonard Event: (263) Cincinnati Bengals at (264) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Detroit Lions +3.5 (-110)
264 Cincinnati at Detroit
Extremely tough scheduling situation for the Bengals. Coming off a very emotional overtime loss to the Packers, with a trip to division rival Baltimore on deck. It also doesn’t help that your star quarterback was injured in that contest.
Detroit has been on the cusp of a victory more than once this season, but continue to find ways to enter the loss column. But we like the energy this team has played with this season, despite the lack of elite talent. Detroit has been better than many people projected, it’s time to get over the hump here.
PLAY DETROIT

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Bobby Ligs Event: (263) Cincinnati Bengals at (264) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Detroit Lions +3.5 (-115)
3% play Det +3 or more

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The Prez Event: (259) Minnesota Vikings at (260) Carolina Panthers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Vikings -2.5 (-115)
259 Minnesota Vikings at 260 Carolina Panthers +2.5, 46

The National Football League savvy fan understood what it meant when the Carolina Panthers went from one-point home chalk to nearly three-point home dogs on Friday. The announcement that hybrid tailback Christian McCaffrey will miss as much as another three weeks to injury has flipped the script in this NFC affair.

The Carolina Panthers (3-2) host the Minnesota Vikings (2-3). The Panthers lost in ugly fashion a week ago to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Vikings enter the Carolinas off a much-needed victory over their division rival Detroit Lions.

The Panthers are not as good as their 3-2 record. Not without McCaffrey or the current form of Sam Darnold. Minnesota has gotten healthier and shown marked improvement on the defensive side of the ball across the first five games of the season. Free Pick is a play on the visiting Vikings minus the field goal.

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Steve Merril Event: (265) Los Angeles Rams at (266) New York Giants
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Rams -8.0 (-110)
-Los Angeles last played on a Thursday, so they have extra rest; average 6.8 yards per play
-New York has one lucky win in overtime; injuries to their main offensive players; disarray
-Rams defense allows just 20.5 points per game on the road; will stifle an anemic NY offense
Play RAMS (-).

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Tony Finn Event: (259) Minnesota Vikings at (260) Carolina Panthers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Vikings -2.5 (-115)
The Minnesota Vikings have won two of three since starting the season 0-2. Conversely, the Panthers have lost two straight after a perfect 3-0 beginning to 2021. The Vikes rallied to earn a victory over the winless Detroit Lions and failed to cover as 10-point home chalk. Carolina failed to cover as 2.5 point faves over Philadelphia losing straight up 21-18.
The opening number in this Week 6 NFC event found the Panthers as short home chalk. The combination of sharp money and the Friday announcement that all-everything tailback Christian McCaffrey will miss as much as another three weeks to injury.
The movement in this contest is correct in my opinion. The less-than-dynamic duo of McCaffrey being an inactive and poor form of Carolina QB Sam Darnold make Kirk Cousins and a healthy Dalvin Cook the side to back.

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Kevin Dolan Event: (201233) AS Roma at (201234) Juventus
Sport/League: ISAL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Juventus -114
We like Juventus to get the home win here on Sunday against Roma.
Both teams heading on opposite trajectories right now with Juventus overcoming a terrible start to the season to now going on a three game winning run, holding a 7.08 to 2.54 xG advantage over those three games as well.
Roma meanwhile were red-hot to start the season, sitting on top after three games, but since then have won just two of their last four and have beaten Juventus just once on the road over their last twelve attempts in this venue.
Take Juventus on the moneyline for Sunday to beat Roma in Turin.
PLAY: JUVENTUS ML -114

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Las Vegas Cris Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-115)
(Free Plays 65-36 64%* *45-23 L/68 66%) New Orleans free play winner last week. Let's keep them coming. I'm going to go with an unpopular side for this one. Cleveland at home is getting all the love so far, and Arizona has to be due for a loss, don't they? Well. I'm not stepping in front of that bus, and I like the fact the Cardinals were flat last week and still came away with the win. My numbers show value here with the Cardinals getting a FG. Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-115)

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Dave Cokin

Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Cleveland Browns -3.0 (-120)
Cleveland still finds ways to lose games they should win, but the fact is this team could be unbeaten right now. The Cardinals are unbeaten but while they're obviously playing good football, they're also getting a little lucky. Arizona could easily have lost last Sunday against a shorthanded 49ers entry. SF had a stopped on downs at the one yard line and basically ended up leaving too many points off the board in the seven point loss. I tend to like games where both teams are off misleading results and that's the case here. Cleveland minus the field goal is my play.

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Teddy Covers Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.5 (-110)
Take Arizona (#267)
The Browns gained 7.8 yards per play at LA last Sunday. The league average is in the 5.5 range. The NFL’s second worst defense this season – the awful Lions – has allowed 6.5 yards per play. KC, who has faced one high scoring, big play offense after the next, ranks dead last at 7.1 yards per play. Cleveland was in an AVERAGE of 2nd and 2 on every second down last week. They didn’t commit a single turnover. And they lost, becoming the first team in NFL HISTORY to lose a game with 40+ points, 500+ yards and zero turnovers. Which tells us, very clearly, that there are problems in Cleveland. When you can’t win playing a near perfect offensive game it’s an issue!
The Browns injury report is downright ugly. They’ve got cluster injuries on the offensive line, with both starting tackles questionable at best for Sunday – no surprise here if both Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills sit this week. That comes on the heels of injuries to Chris Hubbard and Nick Harris earlier; both guys out on Sunday. And the Browns have got cluster injuries in their secondary. MJ Stewart is out, Denzel Ward, Greedy Williams and Greg Newsome are questionable at best. Pass rushing stud Jadeveon Clowney is banged up as is his counterpart on the other side, Myles Garrett. Both guys missed Wednesday practice, as did top two RB’s Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb, center JC Tretter, TE David Njoku and Clowney’s backup at DE Takk McKinley. This, folks, is NOT a healthy team.
Arizona did something last week they hadn’t done in the Kyler Murray era – they won a game when scoring only 17 points, the first time they’ve been able to accomplish that in the Kliff Kingsbury/Kyler Murray era. This team drafted defense, they emphasized defense throughout camp, and now they’ve proven that the defense is good enough to win games even when the offense isn’t clicking. That’s a real confidence boost for an undefeated team; a team that shouldn’t be underdogs in this pointspread range against a flawed favorite like Cleveland on Sunday, even without Rodney Hudson or Chandler Jones in the lineup this week. Take the Cardinals.

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Gianni the Greek Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Cleveland Browns -3.0 (-115)

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Info Plays Oct 17 '21, 11:30 AM in 11h
Soccer | Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United
Play on: Tottenham Hotspur +125 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Tottenham Hotspur +125

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Jack Jones Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Rams vs Giants
Play on: Rams -10½ -110 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Los Angeles Rams -10.5
I don't normally lay double-digits in the NFL. But I'm willing to Sunday with the Los Angeles Rams over the New York Giants for a number of reasons. For starters, the Rams come in on extra rest after beating the Seahawks 26-17 Thursday. They will be the fresher, more prepared team.
That's especially the case with all the injuries the Giants are dealing with right now. RB Saquon Barkley and WR Kenny Golloday are out. QB Daniel Jones, WR Sterling Shepard, WR Darius Slayton, WR Kedarius Toney and S Jabril Peppers are all questionable. In all, they have 18 players out and another 6 questionable. They are a mash unit right now.
The Giants are coming off a 20-44 road loss to the Dallas Cowboys in which they gave up 515 total yards. They are now giving up 409 yards per game and 6.3 yards per play. The Rams can pretty much name the score behind an offense that is averaging 28.2 points per game, 408.2 yards per game and 6.8 yards per play.
The Rams are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. bad defensive teams that give up 27 or more points per game. Los Angeles is 24-9-1 ATS in its last 34 vs. NFC opponents. New York is 6-19-1 ATS in its last 26 home games. The Giants are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games as home underdogs. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Bet the Rams Sunday.

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Dave Price Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Packers vs Bears
Play on: Packers -4 -112 at linepros

Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on Green Bay Packers -4
The Key: The Green Bay Packers have owned the Chicago Bears. They have gone 9-1 SU in the last 10 matchups and have won each of the last 4 matchups by 7 points or more, including blowout wins by 16 and 21 points in their 2 matchups last year. The Packers are going to get their points, and I just don't think Justin Fields and the Bears can keep up. The Bears are averaging just 224 YPG in their last 3 games with Fields as their starter and it's not like it has come against good defenses as they have faced the Browns, Lions and Raiders. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Green Bay is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 matchups. The Packers are 17-5 ATS in the last 22 matchups in Chicago. Take Green Bay.

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Marc Lawrence Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Bengals vs Lions
Play on: Lions +3½ -109 at pinnacle

Play - Detroit Lions (Game 264).
Edges - Lions: 4-0 ATS when coming off a division away game … Bengals: 2-20-1 SU in last twenty-three away games, and 4-9-1 ATS as road favorites versus winless foes … We recommend a 1* play on Detroit. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Rocky Atkinson Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Packers vs Bears
Play on: Packers -6 +103 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 10-17-21
GREEN BAY @ CHICAGO (1 PM EST)
Play On: GREEN BAY -6


The Green Bay Packers travel to Chicago to take on the Bears on Sunday afternoon. Green Bay comes in with a 4-1 record while Chicago is 3-2 on the season. Green Bay is averaging 247 yards per game passing and 347.6 total yards per game this year. Chicago is averaging only 113.2 passing yards per game and 240 total yards per game this season. After a season opening embarrassing loss to New Orleans, Green Bay is 3-0 their last 3 games overall scoring 27.3 points per game. They are scoring 35 points per game in division play so far this season. Some more trends to look at are Green Bay is 6-1 ATS last 7 games after a SU win. Green Bay is 6-2 ATS last 8 games as a favorite. Chicago is 5-11 ATS last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Chicago is 4-9 ATS last 13 games after an ATS win. Chicago is 3-7 ATS last 10 games against the NFC North. The favorite is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings overall in this series. Green Bay is 24-6 SU and 22-8 ATS last 30 meetings at Chicago including 2-0 SU and ATS the past 3 years. Green Bay is 20-7 ATS last 27 meetings overall in this series. Aaron Rodgers is 20-5 SU lifetime vs the Bears where he has 55 touchdowns, 10 interceptions and a nice 107.2 passer rating. Chicago offense will be shut down here and Rodgers will have another big day leading the Packers to the win in this one. We'll recommend a small play on Green Bay today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Dennis Macklin Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: OVER 55½ -105

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, October 17, 2021 is on the Chiefs/WFT OVER
The Chiefs were just embarrassed at home by Buffalo and will be in a foul mood here. Still want no part of Kansas City's 1-11-1 run as a favorite so we'll look immediately at the total. KC has lost three of four, giving up 101 points, and committing 11 turnovers since the last time they forced one, themselves. The Chiefs have 18 plays of 20+ yards, they've given up a whopping 28 themselves on defense. The WFT has given up 33.8 ppg. in their L4, all of which went over the total. This will probably be a good one to watch where the first one to 40 wins. Play the OVER.

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Rob Vinciletti Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Packers vs Bears
Play on: Bears +6 -110 at SC Consensus

Sunday card loaded with Executive Level Tier Side, NFC Total of the Year, Sunday night Football, Game 2 LCS and Soccer. Comp Play below
The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on Chicago plus the points at 1:00 eastern. The Bears have covered 14 of 20 as a home dog. The Packers are in a play against System pertaining to teams who have won 4 or more straight and lost on the road prior to that streak. The Packers have failed to cover the last 6 in week 6 of the season. The Bears defense should keep this game close and Fields can get out of the pocket here and make some plays. This should be a good game here. On Sunday we have the NFC Total of the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Side, the Sunday night NFL, Game 2 N.L.C.S and Soccer. Jump on and end the week big. For the NFL Comp play. Look for the Bears to get the cover. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

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ASA Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chargers vs Ravens
Play on: Chargers +2½ +101 at pinnacle

#261 ASA NFL FREE PLAY ON LA Chargers +2.5 at Baltimore Ravens, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Both teams are coming off big home wins – Chargers beat Browns 47-42, Ravens MNF comeback over the Colts. Much is made of Lamar Jackson and his play this season – but Justin Herbert has the 4th best QBR in the NFL (ahead of Tom Brady) 13 TD’s to 3 INT’s. The Chargers strength offensively is throwing the football with the 3rd best passing offense in the league at 303PYPG. The Ravens pass defense is 29th in the NFL allowing 296PYPG. Two solid offenses but the key difference between these two teams though comes down to defense. Defensively the Chargers have an edge. Overall, the Chargers rank 19th in yards allowed per game at 371 whereas the Ravens give up 390YPG which ranks 24th. On paper those defensive numbers look fairly close however the Chargers have faced three offenses in the top 6 in terms of DVOA or efficiency while Baltimore on the other hand has faced 4 offenses that rank 18th or worse in DVOA and yet they have worse defensive numbers. The Chargers have covered 8 of their last 9 games with 4 straight covers on the road, 3 of which they won outright. Digging deeper the Chargers are 37-17 ATS their last 54 as a road dog. Bet LA Chargers

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Matt Fargo Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Chiefs -6½ -110 at William Hill

Kansas City is coming off a blowout loss against the Bills Monday night to fall to 2-3 on the season and this could already be a make or break game for the Chiefs. They scored only 20 points which was a season low but that came against the top ranked defense in the NFL. Still, they are ranked No. 4 in total offense and No. 5 in scoring offense and have a great opportunity to get back on track here. Patrick Mahomes has not been the same quarterback we have come accustomed to the last few years and while he has had some spectacular games, he has two games where his passer rating was 70.9 and 81.6. The Washington defense was supposed to carry the team this season but it has been dreadful so far this season as it is ranked No. 27 in total defense and No. 31 in scoring defense. It is 2-3 with the two wins coming against the Giants and Falcons by a combined five points. Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on Road favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. Play (257) Kansas City Chiefs

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John Martin Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chargers vs Ravens
Play on: Ravens -3 +100 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Baltimore Ravens -3
The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off three straight huge wins over the Chiefs, Raiders and Browns. It's going to be hard for them to keep it going against the Baltimore Ravens this weekend. This is a very bad matchup for the Chargers. They are the worst team in the NFL at defending the run, giving up 158 rushing yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry. The Ravens are a run-heavy team that averages 149 rushing yards per game and 4.9 per carry. The Chargers gave up 230 rushing yards to the Browns last week and have allowed 186 or more three times. Los Angeles is 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 games after scoring more than 30 points last game. Baltimore is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games overall. Give me the Ravens.

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Steve Janus Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
Soccer | Juarez vs UNAM Pumas
Play on: UNAM Pumas +120 at SC Consensus

1* Free Sharp Play on UNAM Pumas +120

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Brandon Lee Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Rams vs Giants
Play on: Rams -9 -103 at pinnacle

FREE PICK: Los Angeles Rams -9
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 265
You aren't going to make a profit long-term betting a lot of big road favorites, but I just can't help myself with the Rams as a mere 9-point favorite at the Giants on Sunday. I just don't know how New York can make a game of it with all the injuries they are dealing with.
There's a good chance starting quarterback Daniel Jones will be cleared to play after leaving last week's game against the Cowboys with a concussion, but he's got a bunch of backups to work with. Giant will be without starting running back Saquon Barkley and one of their top wide outs in Kenny Golladay. They also don't figure to have emerging rookie wideout Kadarius Toney, who left their last game with an ankle injury. Wide outs Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard are also both questionable to play. Same goes for starting left tackle Andrew Thomas and left guard Ben Bredeson.
How in the world are the Giants going to generate enough offense here to keep pace with Matthew Stafford and that potent Rams offense? Keep in mind New York's defense has regressed a ton from last year. They are giving up 27.8 ppg, 409 ypg and 6.3 yards/play.
Giants are just 8-20 ATS last 28 off a road blowout loss by 21 or more points, while the Rams have covered 21 of their last 30 vs fellow NFC opponents. LA is also 17-5 ATS last 22 on the road vs bad defensive teams that are giving up 27 or more points/game. Give me Rams -9!

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Mike Lundin Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Washington Football Team +7 -112 at pinnacle

Chiefs vs Football Team Free Pick October 17, 2021
The Chiefs have burned their against the spread backers on the regular for quite some time (3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall), but now they've also dropped three of their last four straight up. They have the worst scoring defense in the NFL and are coming into the week 31st in total defense allowing 437 yards per game. Washington is also going through a rough patch, but I expect to see a reaction after taking a 33-22 home loss to New Orleans last week. Football Team are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. Chiefs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
Free pick on Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Chiefs -6½ -110 at pinnacle

Two teams off of losses. But according to my power rankings and projections the superior advantage resides with Andy Reid and company.
WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS in home games off a home loss by 10 or more points.
KANSAS CITY is 11-1 ATS in road games after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
NFL Road favorites (KANSAS CITY) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-7 ATS L/38 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.
NFL Underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, with a losing record.are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.
NFL Road favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (KANSAS CITY) - good passing team - averaging 230 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which qualify on a ATS line.
Play on Kansas City -
Projected score: KC 34 Washington 20

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Joseph D'Amico Oct 17 '21, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Cowboys vs Patriots
Play on: Cowboys -3 -120 at pinnacle

I am proud to announce I have my first NFL TEN DIMES PLAY of the season. The last 4 years my TEN DIMES releases are 11-0. I release only 2-3 a year and over the L4 years, they are 100%. I also have my 23-6-1 VEGAS INSIDER MOVE coming from the SHARPEST players in Vegas. And my coveted 4-1 HIGH ROLLER PLAY, which are normally reserved for my personal clients that can move a minimum of $10,000 a game. Get all my winners this Sunday and have the most-profitable NFL betting day you have ever had.
Sunday’s NFL FREE WINNER: Dallas Cowboys
Game 271.
1:25 pm pst.
Sports fans, there is no possible way Mac Jones and the pedestrian New England offense can keep pace with Dak Prescott and the Dallas “O”. The Patriots are accounting for a mere, 19.2 PPG. They got a win last week against Houston. But some might argue there were some very questionable calls that went their way. Prescott, over the last three outings has tossed 10 TD’s and just one INT. Why you ask? Well guys, the backfield of Elliott and Pollard have teamed up to be quite the tandem of ball-carriers, keeping defenses honest and allowing their QB to open up the passing game. Granted, the Cowboys “D” is a work in progress. But, when your offense is dominating the clock and controlling the tempo, it makes it tough for opposing offenses to get into a rhythm. Not that the Patriots have what it takes to get into that rhythm. After this game, the Dallas schedule gets significantly tougher. They need all the wins they can get right now. Dallas gets another win and cover. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

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Jesse Schule Oct 17 '21, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Raiders vs Broncos
Play on: Broncos -3 -120 at linepros

This is a free play on Denver.
After winning three straight to start the season, the Broncos have lost back to back games. They look to get back on track, and a home game against a troubled Raiders team looks like a good spot to do just that. John Gruden is out as head coach, and you have to wonder how the players are going to respond to that. I look back to 2017 when Dererk Carr chose to stand for the National Anthem while many of his teammates chose to kneel. After Carr was sacked four times in a loss to Washington on Monday Night Football, the media started asking if his offensive line was tanking on purpose. One of his offensive linemen was quoted saying: “if he wants to stand alone, he can stand alone on the field.” While most of the players involved in the alleged incident are no longer with the Raiders, a similar situation could arise. "A house divided against itself can not stand" - Abraham Lincoln. The Broncos are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Rosecroft Raceway Pick 4 Analysis October 17, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Rosecroft Raceway has 13 races set to roll this evening. The feature is carded as Race 11, a Preferred Open Handicap with a $12,000 purse. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 9, and that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track

Race 9

5-Tellitlikelynn (5/2)-Steps-up in the 2nd RcR start after taking a picture as an odds-on choice. Best to respect chances of another trip to the winner's circle, was off a month before the last race.
7-Racer Pacer (4-1)-Comes off a big try from the 9-hole last week to finish 3rd. This will be the 3rd start here and has shown the ability to win with an outside post. Should be a player and might get overlooked at the windows.

Race 10

1-Panther's Pinot (9/2)-Drops after racing well and finishing 2nd in its RcR debut. This post draw should help the cause and has the gate speed to be put play in early in the mile. Using and hoping the morning line odds hold up.
2-Better Than Some (4-1)-Comes off a double qualifier at RcR and should relish the company in 1st start here. Hasn't raced since 6-5 but if dialed on high should be a threat. Likes to race near the top of the stack and Moyer can follow that plan.
4-Dance On The Beach (3-1)-Recent form has been dull but was facing Open company. Morand should be able to work an efficient trip and make a well-timed move to get an overdue win. Has hit the board in 24 of 48 RcR starts with 9 wins.

Race 11

1-Volley Ball Beach (4-1)-Couldn't get on the engine from post 7 and lost all chance. This time the rail should take care of that problem. Has the gate speed to be put in play and race near the lead at a fair price.
7-Derby Dog Hanover (8-1)-Took the long way around from post 9 and still cashed the top check. Steps-up but so do 3 others. Should offer a nice price, best to respect and has hit the board in 7 of 9 with 4 wins at RcR.

Race 12

1-Manaccount (7/2)-Makes the 3rd start at RcR, raced well from the rail and then got stuck with post 9 in last and had no chance. Could be sitting on a big try and should have enough gate speed to come away on the point or in the pocket.
5-Dirt On My Boots (3-1)-Makes the 2nd start in town and drops. Starts in a good slot to find some live cover and that type of trip may work well. Should be better with a start over the track and has hit the board in 14 of 20 at RcR with 6 pictures.

0.50 Pick 4

5,7/1,2,4/1,7/1,5
Total Bet=$12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wgering Strategies - October 17, 2021 October 17, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Tony Ann; 6-Annaghlasa

Forecast: Tony Ann encountered a bit of trouble when forced to alter course in mid-stretch and wound up a close third in a similar maiden turf sprint for fillies and mares at Del Mar in late August, an effort that earns her the role as the short-priced (6/5 ML) choice in today’s opener. Truthfully, the running line flatters her but unless her European import stable mate is at least better than average for this level (and we think she is), the daughter of Cairo Prince probably graduates at a short price. Annaghlasa gives the barn a powerful one-two punch and a legitimate chance – based strictly on her only start overseas – to spring a mild surprise at 4-1 on the morning line. A respectable fourth of 16 at Gowran Park in early May in a race in which she lacked a clear path when full of run midway, the 3-year-old Irish-bred filly stayed on reasonably well and was subsequently imported. She has trained quite well and should be plenty fit to fire a big shot in her U.S. debut. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics but reserve the main punch for the better-priced Annaghlasa.

Notable Workouts:
2-Tony Ann (October 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B-
In blinkers, broke off several lengths in front of She’s So Nice (5f, 1:02h TT) and Gold Dragon Queen (5f, 1:02.1h TT) and received the slowest of the three final times but actually worked fine while crossing the wire first along the rail and doing so without undue pressure, splits of :37.4 and 1:02.3, plenty left late. In good shape has room for further development.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/phil-damato/shes-so-nice-outside-tony-ann-inside-and-gold-dragon-queen-worked-5-furlongs-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-10th-2021/)

6-Annaghlasa (October 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h TT). Grade: B
In company inside Gold Phoenix (same time) in training track drill for D’Amato, proving slightly best without being asked, final half mile in :23.4 and :48.4, solid drill. Ran well in only outing last spring in Ireland and appears to have acclimated well. Seems fit, should be live vs. older maidens in her first local appearance.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/gold-phoenix-(outside)-and-annaghlasa-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/gold-phoenix-outside-and-annaghlasa-worked-5-furlongs-in-101-60-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-11th-2021/)

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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B-
Single: 3-Horse Greedy

Forecast: Let’s take a stand in this $10,000 claiming sprint for older horses while trying to beat the first two morning line choices. Alleva (9/5) drops to the bottom after a disappointing run in a starter’s allowance sprint at Los Alamitos last month, but a repeat of his restricted (nw-3) $20,000 win two races back – an effort that produced a career top speed figure - would make him the one to beat. However, the D. O’Neill-trained gelding was able to quickly establish the pace in that race and today he’ll have to cope with Bibleman (2-1), who is drawn outside and is the quicker of the two, though not particular generous under pressure, himself. The way we see it, the race could easily set up nicely for Horse Greedy (7/2), the ex-classer who went stale in the spring and was stopped on. The P. Miller-trained gelding returns showing a bullet six furlong drill at San Luis Rey Downs earlier this month and goes for a stable that has strong stats with layoff runners. The eight-year-old gelding has run well off the bench in the past and does his best work from off the pace, so if the speed caves in, he’ll be in the right spot to produce the last run.

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RACE 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: X
Single: 3-Picota

Forecast: Picota performed admirably when third in his U.S. debut in the Zuma Beach S. over this course and distance earlier this month and anything close that effort in this maiden event should be more than good enough. In that race the P. D’Amato-trained colt steadied in traffic early, found room to rally through the lane and finished with interest before galloping out nicely. A bullet three furlong blowout (:36 4/5) over the training track since that race indicates he came out of the race in good order and is ready to step forward. At 6/5 on the morning line the English-bred colt is a logical, short-priced rolling exotic single.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Yellow Dress; 5-Sweet Soulmate; 7-Righteously

Forecast: Here’s a toughie, a $25,000 claiming sprint restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Sweet Soulmate has rising speed figures and projects as the best of the speed types. She’s won three out of seven career starts – all in gate-to-wire fashion – and if she can make the lead over this speed-favoring track the daughter of Twirling Candy might be able to stick it out. Righteously returns to her proper level and may regain her best form after not being quite up to first-level allowance competition at Los Alamitos in her last two outings. She might be most effective with a patient ride and given that there’s other speed in the field waiting tactics probably should be employed. Yellow Dress, away a couple of months but a solid runner-up at this level last time out at Del Mar, should be running on late and rates a good look if a pace meltdown materializes. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but if you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead.

Notable Workouts:
5-Sweet Soulmate (October 9, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.2h). Grade: B-
Steady work without much pressure, splits of :24.3, :36.3 and 1:01.2, solid drill for this level of filly. Has some improvement in her and looks ready for good effort.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/sweet-soulmate-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/sweet-soulmate-worked-5-furlongs-in-101-40-at-santa-anita-park-on-october-9th-2021/)

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RACE 5: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Ingest; 3-Crossword; 9-Ka’nah

ForecastThis grass grab bag for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming older sprinters looks chaotic with nothing to trust, and no result would be surprising. We’ll try to survive going three-deep but the only safe way to advance is to “buy” the race. Ka’nah was awful at 40 cents on the dollar eight days ago and wound up sixth of seven beaten more than eight lengths, but new trainer D. O’Neill wheels him back quickly and moves him to grass, so there’s a reasonable possibility that the son of Gio Ponti will bounce back with a good effort. The veteran gelding has run well over the local lawn in the past, is assured clear sailing from his outside draw, switches to J. Hernandez, and projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking trip in a race without much early speed signed on. O’Neill’s other entrant, Ingest, drops to his lowest level ever and may be able to secure the role as the controlling speed. Given that type of trip over a course he’s won on in the past, the son of Square Eddie could get brave. Crossword is a fit on speed figures but has never had any success on this grass course. The sharp drop in class certainly should help and his runner-up effort two runs back sprinting on turf at Del Mar gives him something of a look.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Burnin Turf; 5-Big Story; 6-Betito

Forecast: Yet another challenging affair, this one for California-bred first-level allowance optional claimers over a mile on the main track. Betito, away for more than two months following a pair of poor performances, could easily snap back over his favorite dirt surface. He’s proven to be a need-the-lead type and probably will be fully committed to the front-end leaving the gate, a logical strategy in a race in which the closers are highly suspect. The son of Heat Shield exits a pair of races in open company and should greatly appreciate this return to the state-bred ranks. Burnin Turf shows a significant edge in the speed figure department, but all five of his career outings have come on turf and there’s no real assurance, at least based on pedigree, that those efforts will be duplicated on dirt. The D. Blacker-trained gelding projects to be close up throughout and have every chance, but his lack of proven form on dirt makes him suspect. Blacker’s other starter, Big Story, isn’t as fast on numbers as Burnin Turf but at least we know he can handle the Santa Anita main track. Freshened since mid-August, the son of Mr. Big stretches out again and seems likely to be forwardly placed throughout. A maiden seven furlong win two runs back was reasonably decent and with just six career starts he should still have plenty of room for improvement.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:19 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-North County Boy; 6-Unbridled Ethos; 7-Whooping Jay

Forecast: Here’s a treat, a rare race carded for the downhill turf course featuring state-bred older sprinters in the California Flag Handicap. Whooping Jay, first off an $80,000 claim by M. Glatt, is a tough and genuine grass sprinter returning in two weeks following a troubled trip sprinting on the flat course when third after lacking room on the turn and then getting clear too late. The son of Square Eddie can be tough on the front end or rallying from mid-pack so new trainer J. Brave can assess the pace flow and choose his strategy. North County Guy always is tough to beat, whether he’s sprinting, routing, or marathoning. The R. Baltas-trained gelding looked quite good winning his last start two-turning at Del Mar with a powerful figure, one that makes him the one to fear most despite this shortening in trip. U. Rispoli will have him settled early and then produce him when the time is right. Unbridled Ethos was a late scratch out of an allowance race here on Oct. 2 and didn’t work back until Oct. 10, so his condition is (or was) a question. But a troubled third (beaten a length) behind our top pick in a race in late August at Del Mar makes him a contender on paper, so we’ll include the J. Mullins-trained gelding on a ticket, at least as a back-up or a saver.

Notable Workouts:
6-Unbridled Ethos (September 26, 5f, 1:00.1h TT). Grade: B
Breezing along in easy fashion, final three furlongs in :12 flat and :36.2 in very nice training track drill. Appears on edge.
View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/unbridled-ethos-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/unbridled-ethos-worked-5-furlongs-in-100-20-at-santa-anita-park-on-september-26th-2021/)

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RACE 8: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B-
Use: 6-Scream and Shout; 9-Lunatic

Forecast: The P. Miller barn is strong with layoffs, which is why we’re giving Lunatic top billing in this bottom-rung maiden claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. Off the track since February but with a healthy recent series of drills at San Luis Rey Downs, the class dropping daughter of Mshawish removes blinkers, gets a break in the weights with the switch to 7-lb. bug rider D. Herrera, and has back numbers that are good enough to win this modest affair. Scream and Shout probably is the quickest in the field and if she can shake loose early without pressure the T. Yakteen-trained 4-year-old could prove troublesome. She’s a bit suspect in the lane (they all are in here) but over a track that promotes her style the daughter of Blame could get brave. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top to Lunatic.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Another Eddie; 5-September Secret; 6-Miss Carousel; 10-Greg’s Diva

Forecast: The Sunday nightcap is a wide-open turf sprint for entry-level allowance fillies and mares that offers several price possibilities. In her first outing since the previous November, September Secret had a nightmarish trip in a similar affair at Del Mar last month and seems certain to run better today with good racing luck. The P. Miller-trained filly was in heavy traffic down the backstretch, was shuffled back and steadied to lose her position, t hen raced in traffic in the upper stretch before finding room inside and coming home strongly to finish sixth, beaten five lengths, and then galloping out in front around the clubhouse. We’re expecting she’ll be fitter and sharper today, so at 6-1 on the morning line daughter of Grazen offers a reasonable gamble. Also listed at 6-1 is Miss Carousel, who was no factor in an all-weather sprint up north last time out but could easily return to top form with return to grass. Most effective as a late-running sprinter, the E. Freedman-trained filly was a good winner of two turf sprints at Del Mar during the summer meeting and is reunited with “win rider” G. Franco. Another Eddie (15-1) is another long shot that might outrun her price. With two wins and a second in three career starts over the Santa Anita turf course, the B. Cecil-trained sophomore has a number back in the spring that makes her dangerous and with some help up front could be heard from late. Greg’s Diva is the quickest in the field and will take them as far as she can. She had a right to need her last outing (her first since November) when worn down late but with the break in the weighs with the switch to bug girl J. Pyfer the daughter of Shackleford may prove an elusive target.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 5 Ticket Sunday at Woodbine October 17, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
The Grade 1 E.P. Taylor Stakes and Grade 2 Nearctic Stakes are enough of a lure at Woodbine on Sunday, and those two in the 20-cent Late Pick 5 make the day all that much more alluring.

The sequence runs in races 7-12. The E.P. Taylor goes as the eighth and the Nearactic is the ninth.

Here’s a look at this Sunday’s play, which amounts to $76.80:



7th Race (4:04 p.m. ET, allowance)

ANTIGONE had a three-race winning streak in July and August and most recently lost an optional claiming race by a nose. She displayed eye-catching late moves in her last two turf races – most recent a fourth going seven furlongs and a win going a mile two races back.

The 1 1-16th-mile distance on the turf should play well for her.

Also on the ticket: #2 ADMIRING, #4 A LITTLE VOODOO, #6 TRANSIENT.



8th Race (4:37 p.m. ET, G1 E.P. Taylor S.)

LA DRAGONTEA takes on a legit Grade 1 field here and goes for her third straight victory.

Her most recent came in the G2 Canadian Stakes and she’ll probably benefit from having had that start here. Has a good thing with jockey Joel Rosario, who is three of four aboard her, and she’s three of five since arriving from Great Britain this year.

Trainer Christophe Clement has the filly at the top of her game and ready for his spot.

Also on the ticket: #2 ETOILE, #3 COURT RETURN, #4 KALIFORNIA QUEEN, #6 MUTAMAKINA, #8 GREAT ISLAND.


9th Race (5:09 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

LOOKIN TO STRIKE was third in the G3 Bold Venture last out and has significant stakes experience that will make this veteran a strong player in this allowance race.

Will have a fast pace to chase and he can bring his best in the final furlong. He comes out of a race in which he was third all the way around and because of being close-up lacked late energy. Opponents at this level likely will back up to him.

Also on the ticket: ARTIE.



10th Race (5:44 p.m. ET, G2 Nearctic S.)

ADMIRALTY PIER has been in front of Grade 1 competition going longer distances but his connections have found a new approach: Sprints. He was far back early in the six-furlong, G1 Highlander Stakes and rallied from last to second, beaten a half-length by Silent Poet.

It marked the first time he’d been ridden by Antonio Gallardo, who gets the return call for trainer Barbara Minshall. The Highlander was raced in 1:07 4-5, and a return to the six furlongs should play in his favor.

Also on the ticket: OLYMPIC RUNNER, AVIE’S FLATTER, TOWN CRUISE.


11th Race (6:16 p.m. ET, claiming)

FRAME THIS has toiled against much tougher since being claimed last year by the Tiller barn, and he drops to his lowest level since breaking his maiden for $10,000 last year.

He was second by a head and third by 4 1-4 against $40,000 optional claimers this year and most recently was unplaced for $25,000. He gets back to the purchase price today and should show significant improvement.

Also on the ticket: WIDE AWAKE.


Woodbine 20-cent Late Pick 5:
7) #1 Antigone, #2 Admiring, #4 A Little Voodoo, #6 Transient.
8) #2 Etoile, #3 Court Return, #4 Kalifornia Queen, #6 Mutamakina, #8 Great Island, #10 La Dragontea.
9) #2 Lookin to Strike, #8 Artie.
10) #1 Admiralty Pier, #3 Olympic Runner, #5 Avie’s Flatter, #9 Town Cruise.
11) #3 Frame This, #13 Wide Awake.
The ticket: 1-2-4-6 with 2-3-4-6-8-10 with 2-8 with 1-3-5-9 with 3-13 ($76.80)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Hawthorne - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#6 Dastardly Deeds
Worry that he's going to be a bit of a short number here, but he'll get blinkers for the first time while trying the dirt, and his pedigree suggests he might like the new footing after the summer at Arlington.


#1 Inside the Circle
Speed will have to go from the fence, but there isn't a ton of serious pace lined up outside of him. Chance he finds the front and never lets it go.


#2 Deora Store
Tactical type ran well locally here last year and has some room to move forward in this second start off the long layoff. Useful comeback run should set him up for a good one.


Race Summary
All of these listed three have a serious chance at this one, but Dastardly Deeds might get the right trip tracking a modest pace while adding blinkers. The switch to dirt gives him a chance to wake up here after a couple of more modest efforts.


Hawthorne - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Baseball Politics
There isn't a ton of speed signed on in here, so he might be able to get a decent trip right up near the top, and I always like to see a team go back in for a horse after losing them via claim. Chance here at a mid-range price.


#6 Navy Seal
He turned in some pretty solid efforts sprinting on the dirt at Oaklawn earlier this year, so the change in footing gives him a real chance to bounce back off a forgettable turf sprint try.


#4 Dream Keeper
He's got enough speed to be in the mix early here, and his two local tries last year were both pretty solid. Not out of it, but think he's more likely to settle underneath.


Race Summary
Baseball Politics steps up after getting claimed back into the Manley barn, and he's good enough to be competitive here if he handles the change in scenery.


Hawthorne - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#3 Beealea
Taking a price swing on this one while moving into open company, and there might be just enough early speed in here to set things up for someone to run on late. Not sure his ceiling is high enough, but the race shape intrigues, so demand a double-digit price.


#1 Lost in Manhattan
He has been really good in his local tries, but he could find himself with a tricky trip to work out from the inside. There are a few others with a very similar running style, and that may complicate things for him from the fence.


#10 Wile E Peyote
He has some positional pace to spy the speed, and his form is dangerous enough on paper before factoring in that this will be his first start for Rivelli. Want him on the tickets.


Race Summary
Beealea needs his very best stuff here, but I wonder if some of the chasing pace might be coming back a little bit late, and he may be able to pick up pieces at a price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Santa Anita - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#3 Mucha Woman
Drops out of tougher races and has the speed to get to the lead here; the class drop will help her last the whole trip this time.


#5 Sweet Soulmate
Had won two straight until finishing second last out; in a tougher spot today.


#4 Yellow Dress
Just missed last out and could get a good stalking trip just off the leader; has a good chance today.


Race Summary
Mucha Woman has enough speed to get where she wants to be and she should be difficult to catch.


Santa Anita - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 Hapi Hapi
Was a closing third the last time he ran this distance on dirt and has the best closing move; fits for this price and could yield a good payoff.


#4 El Tigre Terrible
Has shown some interest at the end of many of his races and can benefit from following a rapid pace.


#2 Burnin Turf
Went wire to wire two back and then tired last time in a race that went entirely too fast for him; fits with these.


Race Summary
Hapi Hapi does his best when allowed to drop back and he usually has some interest when called upon; pace plays into his game plan.


Santa Anita - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Give Me the Lute
Ran second in the Green Flash at Del Mar last time and won the Albany at Golden Gate two back; is a top quality turf sprinter and gets the services of a hot rider in Desormeaux.


#4 North County Guy
Was a clear winner vs. open company last out and can be a big threat in his return to restricted company.


#8 Desmond Doss
Improved position late late time at Los Al and has been in the hunt in races over the Santa Anita turf; upset chance.


Race Summary
Give Me the Lute has done well in shorter turf races and can get to the lead from the inside post; travels well and can succeed here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach Oct 17 '21, 9:00 AM in 31m
Soccer | West Ham United vs Everton
Play on: West Ham United +182 at pinnacle

Free Pick WEST HAM +182 - West Ham has been fantastic on the road including a 6-game unbeaten run. There is a reason that, despite Everton being 3-0 at home this season, this match is priced around a pick'em across the board. Roughly equal odds between who will be the winner here and I feel that speaks volumes and taking a shot with the road dogs is worth a look here given how well they have traveled! Free Pick WEST HAM +182

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Chargers vs Ravens
Play on: Ravens -2½ -110 at Caesars

Free Pick on Ravens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 4h
NFL | Chargers vs Ravens
Play on: Ravens -2½ -110 at Caesars

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Ravens -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Oct 17 '21, 2:26 PM in 5h
PGA | Robert Streb vs Keith Mitchell
Play on: Keith Mitchell -105 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Keith Mitchell -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Oct 17 '21, 4:25 PM in 7h
NFL | Raiders vs Broncos
Play on: Raiders +4 -108 at pinnacle

My free play is on the LV Raiders at 4:25 ET.
Las Vegas opened the season with three straight victories, beating the Ravens 33-27 in overtime, the Steelers 26-17 and the Dolphins 31-28 in overtime as well. However, the Raiders then lost a Monday Nighter 28-14 at the LA Chargers, before last week's 20-9 home loss to the Bears. The Raiders travel to Denver on Sunday to take on the Broncos, who have had a similar start to the season. The Broncos also won their first three games, beating the Giants 27-13, the Jaguars 23-13, and the Jets 26-0. However, Denver has struggled the last two weeks, falling 23-7 to the Ravens and 27-19 to the Steelers. Both teams are 3-2, ONE game behind the 4-1 Chargers and ONE game up on the Chiefs 9KC has won the AFC West FIVE straight years!).
QB David Carr got off to an excellent start but had his worst effort of the season at home vs the Bears, throwing for just 206 yards without a TD and one INT. RB Jacobs, off back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, has not been healthy and last week had just 48 yards on 15 carries. The Raiders are averaging only 78.6 YPG on the ground, ranking 29th. Carr had been playing VERY well before last Sunday, averaging around 350 YPG with eight TDs and three INTs. TE Waller is tied for the team lead (28 catches) with WR Renfro, while WRs Ruggs 17 catches / 20.5 YPC) and Edwards (13 catches / 18.2 YPC) can 'stretch' the field. The Las Vegas defense is allowing 24.0 PPG.
Denver has found a QB in Teddy Bridgewater, who is completing 68.8% for 1,180 yards with seven TDs and just one INT (QB rating of 106.1). Gordon (282 yards / 4.7 YPC / 2 TDs) and Williams (247 yards / 4.2 YPC / one TD) give Denver a decent running game (118.6 YPG ranks 12th), while WRs Sutton (25 catches / 15.1 YPC) and Patrick (22 catches / 13.7 YPC) are solid at WR. TE Fant adds 21 receptions and two TDs The Denver defense is much improved, holding opponents to 15.2 PPG (2nd) on 292.4 YPG (3rd0.
Of course, 'the elephant in the room' is the resignation of Jon Gruden (you just MAY have heard!). The Raiders are having to deal with the fall out of that fiasco and I think the organization will rally on the field this weekend. These types of situations either go one of two ways, as the team will rally, or fall flat on its face. I believe Derek Carr will step up here, off not just one, but two subpar performances. He has passed for a total of 402 yards in the last two weeks, 33 yards fewer than he had in the season opener. The Broncos are on a similar slide after starting the year with three wins. They, too, have struggled to find consistency on offense, particularly on third downs where they have gone 5-for-26 over the past two games.
I like betting on motivated teams, and there's no question in my mind that the Raiders will be HIGHLY motivated here. "Just win, baby!'
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Oct 17 '21, 4:25 PM in 7h
NFL | Raiders vs Broncos
Play on: Raiders +4 -108 at pinnacle

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Las Vegas plus the points over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday.
We've seen the line move past a field goal in this one given all of the turmoil surrounding the Raiders and head coach Jon Gruden's abrupt departure last Monday night. I actually feel that Las Vegas is in better shape this week than it was last, when Gruden was still on the sidelines and all of that distraction swirling around. They at least have some closure when it comes to the situation now and going out and playing football, against a division-rival no less, should be a welcome reprieve. The Broncos took full advantage of a soft early season schedule to race out to a 3-0 start but it's been all downhill from there as they've dropped consecutive games by a combined 50-26 margin. I don't want any part of laying points with a banged-up Denver squad here, noting that it dropped both of last year's matchups with the Raiders, allowing a whopping 69 points in the process, and hasn't defeated Oakland/Las Vegas by more than a field goal since back in October of 2017. Take Las Vegas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Oct 17 '21, 5:08 PM in 8h
NHL | Stars vs Senators
Play on: OVER 5½ +102

These teams each played yesterday. Both are now playing their third game in four days. That may lead to some tired legs and sloppy defense. Five of the past six meetings had O/U lines of six or higher. We're getting value with a lower number here. The last meeting finished with a final score of 4-3 and the last three meetings averaged 6.67 goals. Consider the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Oct 17 '21, 7:37 PM in 11h
MLB | Dodgers vs Braves
Play on: Dodgers -170 at SC Consensus

1* Free Pick on Dodgers -170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Sunday, October 17th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE NFL PICKS
Vikings @ Panthers
TIME: 1:00 PM EST
PICK: Bet UNDER 45.5 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-sportsbook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 9

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Late Double Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)



Allowance • 110 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $13,900 • Post: 9:01P


QUARTER HORSE 110Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE AT 110 YARDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ZOOMIN FOR SPUDS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Ra ting.



8

ZOOMIN FOR SPUDS

6/5


4/5
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

FIREBRAND

1


20/1

Average

87


80


5.1


0.0


0.0




2

POWERLINE ROAD

2


10/1

Average

79


80


6.0


0.0


0.0




3

EYESA BRAYTIN

3


6/1

Fast

83


78


0.0


0.0


0.0




4

EL KATIE CARTEL

4


15/1

Slow

74


75


9.0


0.0


0.0




5

RED ROSY CARTEL

5


5/2

Average

82


80


5.3


0.0


0.0




6

BIG FABULOSO

6


15/1

Average

76


75


0.0


0.0


0.0




7

IN DEEP THOUGHT

7


6/1

Average

83


71


4.1


0.0


0.0




8

ZOOMIN FOR SPUDS

8


6/5

Average

106


107


4.6


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 1

Exacta / Daily Double 1-2



Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 36 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 2:45P


FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE WHICH HAVE NOT WON $10,000 SINCE OCTOBER 16. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CONCEPCIONARIA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CONCEPCIONARIA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surfac e. MISS BIANCAMAR: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. GAITANA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROSANI O.: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.



1

CONCEPCIONARIA

2/1


3/1




5

MISS BIANCAMAR

5/1


8/1




3

GAITANA

10/1


8/1




2

ROSANI O.

3/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

CONCEPCIONARIA

1


2/1

Front-runner

45


30


26.6


11.0


8.0




3

GAITANA

3


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

24


20


22.8


24.6


19.1




5

MISS BIANCAMAR

5


5/1

Trailer

32


25


13.3


19.5


14.5




2

ROSANI O.

2


3/1

Alternator/Trailer

26


27


25.6


25.6


19.6




4

SHEPIN

4


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

38


12


2.4


9.6


0.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Quick Picks for October 17, 2021

Belmont Park (NYRA)
Race #1- #3 PAY GRADE; #2 FROST ME; #5 VALLARAND
Race #2- #2 HERALD ANGEL; #9 APPRECIATE; #1 EMMA AND I
Race #3- #7 FORCED RANKING; #1 DRAKON; #5 CITIZEN MACK
Race #4- #4 TEXAS SWING; #5 GOOD CULTURE; #7 COACH BAHE
Race #5- #7 DEVIL OR ANGEL; #14 BALI’S SHADE; #4 HEZASTONECOLDFOX
Race #6- #11 WATER’S EDGE; #5 CATCH THAT PARTY; #9 GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR
Race #7- #3 MORE GRAYTFUL; #1A DUGOUT; #5 GANDY DANCING
Race #8- #7 TOO SEXY; #5 PACIFIC GALE; #8 INTRODUCED
Race #9- #12 LADY VALENTINE; #11 LILAC GIRL; #3 MISS BONNIE T


Fresno Fair
Race #1- #3 DREAM PEARL; #1 DJUDJU SEQ; #5 AURA MAKARINA
Race #2- #3 SEVEN SISTERS; #1 I’LL DO IT FOR YOU; #2 MISS MEGAN
Race #3- #4 TAMARANDO’S MINE; #5 AMITY HARBOR; #3 STORMY THUNDER
Race #4- #4 ROWDY OH; #5 FROST WARNING; #3 FLASHIN PASSION
Race #5- #5 EUSTACE; #2 LASTBESTHOPE; #1 PERSISTENCE
Race #6- #5 FAMILY TRIPS; #2 WICKED SUNSET; #1 RAMONCITA LIGHT
Race #7- #1 WELL DONE SALLY; #7 EVER VIGILANT; #4 LAKER JET
Race #8- #3 TRUTH SEEKER; #7 CLEM LABINE; #5 TRASH TALKIN CAT
Race #9- #6 ZESTFUL; #4 UNION DANCE; #5 PEACEFUL TRANSFER


Gulfstream Park
Race #1- #7 DEFENDANT; #9 SENORITA SALSA; #4 FOR EVER OURS
Race #2- #2 AWSUM ROAR; #6 MOANAS POWER; #1 PALOMITA
Race #3- #1 GOLDEN SODA; #4 BOGGIEMIESTER; #7 SIR SAFFER
Race #4- #7 CALIDAD; #5 BLAZINONBAYOU; #4 DANCIN AT THE RITZ
Race #5- #6 IDEAL BREEZE; #4 MIZZEN; #3 TIME’S ON MY SIDE
Race #6- #3 LAUDA SPEED; #5 MONY; #7 AWESOME BEACH
Race #7- #3 OCEAN SAFARI; #5 SHE NASTY; #7 QUEEN CAMILLA
Race #8- #1 TIZ POSSIBLE DEAR; #3 PLAYERA; #4 PAPA’S LITTLE GIRL
Race #9- #6 BYE BYE DAVID; #1 ROYAL WAR; #7 JOYFUL SURPRISE


Hawthorne Race Course
Race #1- #5 TOE THE LINE; #1 KING ZION; #2 OFF TO THE BEACH
Race #2- #6 GO STORMIN GIRL; #3 HOOSIER GOLD CASE; #4 ME SAY SO
Race #3- #3 HINTON; #2 IRISH MAJOR; #4 TAP THE MOJO
Race #4- #6 DASTARDLY DEEDS; #7 POLITO; #2 DEORA STORE
Race #5- #2 TWO WORLDS; #1 THROWN FOR A LOUPE; #3 NIGHT THINGS
Race #6- #7 I LOVE TO RACE; #3 ENGLISH; #6 MY BOSS LADY
Race #7- #6 NAVY SEAL; #3 MAXIMILIANO; #4 DREAM KEEPER
Race #8- #1 LOST IN MANHATTAN; #2 TIZRIK; #6 MYSTERY MAN


Keeneland Race Course
Race #1- #4 SOMES SOUND; #2 SMART TIME; #1 BOLD ADVENTURE
Race #2- #6 ITSY BITSY BETTY; #7 SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI; #2 HIGH FAIR
Race #3- #5 HAUGHTY; #10 CANDY KICK; #16 GIMME MO BABY
Race #4- #7 DISTORTED RANSOM; #6 JACK’S ADVANTAGE; #2 ESTILO PELIGROSO
Race #5- #9 ALEX’S STRIKE; #2 TUMBLING SKY; #5 FUTILE
Race #6- #6 SOUPER DORMY; #8 TOHUI; #3 SEVEN SCENTS
Race #7- #9 DISTORTED VERVE; #7 TRUMPET LILLY; #11 DAME CINCO
Race #8- #2 AMALFI PRINCESS; #12 RISKY REWARD; #10 BULLSEYE BEAUTY
Race #9- #10 REID’S FANGIRL; #14 MY HEAD HURTS; #9 JERUSALEMA


Laurel Park
Race #1- #11 PRUDENT SONG; #9 THISMIGHTBETHEONE; #6 BEAUTIFUL FAREWELL
Race #2- #4 IMAGINE VICTORY; #6 HELLO ROSIE SAY; #1 MISS MORENO
Race #3- #3 HOW LUCKY; #4 PEARLYVILLE; #1 MY DREAM GIRL
Race #4- #13 FORT FORTITUDE; #14 WAR STROLL; #2 DROSSELMOON
Race #5- #6 DESPITE ODDS; #2 PAINT MUSIC FOR ME; #8 SPEIGHTSTER RED
Race #6- #6 VANCE SCHOLARS; #1 MONEY ROOM; #9 EPIC RISE
Race #7- #9 BRAMBLE BAY; #5 STATE CROWN; #13 UNA LUNA
Race #8- #2 ALWAYS SUNSHINE; #9 ARTHUR’S HOPE; #5 TYBALT
Race #9- #1 BROADWAY MELODY; #12 BRAMBLE BUSH; #9 MISS BOSCONOVITCH


Mountaineer Race Track
Race #1- #1 MEGAN MACHEN; #4 MAGNIFICENT MADDY; #2 THE GOOD FLOWER
Race #2- #2 MIO D’ EVEN; #1 OSMI SLEW; #4 CENTRE STREET
Race #3- #3 WOLFINBARGER; #4 SHACKLEFORDS STORM; #7 GRAN CITY
Race #4- #5 SHARINGTHEJOURNEY; #4 PROOF OF PARANOIA; #6 SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE
Race #5- #3 NOT SHY; #4 MISS SOVELIA; #2 MY DIOR
Race #6- #1 AZILOOK; #2 CALENDULA; #4 COLORINCOLONEL
Race #7- #7 FRANCO; #8 SOUND OFF; #6 SHY GUY
Race #8- #1 ARMED ESCORT; #7 EVERGLIDE DRIVE; #6 POLITICAL JUSTICE


Santa Anita Park
Race #1- #7 BIG NEWS COMING; #2 TONY ANN; #8 KATERINI
Race #2- #5 ALLEVA; #6 BIBLEMAN; #3 HORSE GREEDY
Race #3- #3 PICOTA; #4 KHANTARO D'ORO; #1 PERCOLATE
Race #4- #3 MUCHA WOMAN; #6 MAGICAL THOUGHT; #4 YELLOW DRESS
Race #5- #2 INGEST; #9 KA'NAH; #8 CHASING FAME
Race #6- #4 EL TIGRE TERRIBLE; #2 BURNIN TURF; #5 BIG STORY
Race #7- #9 INDIAN PEAK; #1 GIVE ME THE LUTE; #7 WHOOPING JAY
Race #8- #8 WINTER STAR; #6 SCREAM AND SHOUT; #1 CANDY RUNNER
Race #9- #13 FANTASY HEAT; #9 NU PI LAMBDA; #2 ISN’T SHE LOVELY


Will Rogers Downs
Race #1- #2 CHICKS LIVEWIRE; #3 CANDY CARTEL; #6 WINDYS LIVEWIRE
Race #2- #4 SOUTHERN ELECTRIC; #2 LIVE MOONSHINE; #5 SNOW ADVISORY
Race #3- #7 LOTTA BIG COUNTRY; #5 JESS A REVENANT; #8 MOONFLASH OCEAN
Race #4- #4 MH APOLLITICAL SPY; #7 WHISPERALITTLEPRAYER; #6 WHOLOTTA
Race #5- #3 REDS CARTEL; #1 XF PAINTED HERO; #4 CORONA RED ROCKET
Race #6- #8 ABELS CANDY MAKER; #5 BENTAYGA; #7 ORBITA
Race #7- #3 SABBATICAL JESS; #1 KOOL KA CHING; #5 MRS PYC TO YOU
Race #8- #4 JT BUSINESS MAN; #6 APOLITICAL SASS; #5 VALERITY
Race #9- #8 WOWZ DASH; #10 LINNEYS BIG BAT; #4 CANDY EXPRESS


Woodbine Racetrack
Race #1- #6 PRIDE AND PASSION; #7 SILENT FIRE; #8 SAINT’S REST
Race #2- #8 VANBRUGH; #1 DUKE OF CARTHANIA; #4 CARMENOOTZ
Race #3- #10 TAKE CHARGE GENT; #4 UNCLE JOE; #6 LIGHT THE LAMP
Race #4- #13 BREATHLESSNTHESAND; #7 MAXIMUS MOMENTUS; #9 LYRICAL GANGSTER
Race #5- #6 MENAGERIE; #2 GUILEFUL; #5 CHARDONNAY
Race #6- #12 TARA TATTOO; #6 DOUBLE SAW; #3 ICE DANCER
Race #7- #2 ADMIRING; #9 SWEET SERENADE; #6 TRANSIENT
Race #8- #2 ETOILE; #8 GREAT ISLAND; #4 KALIFORNIA QUEEN
Race #9- #1 CLAYTON; #8 ARTIE; #6 LENNY K
Race #10- #9 TOWN CRUISE; #4 WHITE FLAG; #5 AVIE’S FLATTER
Race #11- #13 WIDE AWAKE; #3 FRAME THIS; #4 MUCHACHA


Zia Park
Race #1- #11 KISS MY HOT SOCKS; #12 BP VALIANT EAGLE; #4 TIME HEIST
Race #2- #11 WESTERN SANDMAN; #6 A FLASH OF CORONA; #3 MONEY FLASHIN
Race #3- #6 BAD BAD HOMBRE; #1 IRON BUDDERFLY; #9 FOUR OH ONE KAY
Race #4- #7 EL BUENAS NOCHES; #2 WICKED CORONADO; #4 WICKEDLY CORONA
Race #5- #8 TESGUINO SPECIAL; #4 FDD FLING; #3 CORONA DEBT
Race #6- #4 BREAKING NEW GROUND; #7 MY BUCKET IS FULL; #10 SPIRITONTHEMOUNTAIN
Race #7- #1 COST AVERAGE; #2 RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP; #4 FANTASY SUITE
Race #8- #3 READS PET ZENON; #2 JEEPS STRIDE; #7 CHIPPSTER
Race #9- #4 MANOSO; #6 SILENT ZENON; #5 WISKEY CROWN
Race #10- #8 REAL ME; #1 LEAD MONTEREY; #6 WHERES BRAYDEN
Race #11- #10 STORMIN L D; #3 FRANKS DEHERE; #6 PUB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuley's Thoroughbred Takes

By Dave Tuley

SUNDAY

Woodbine Race No. 10 (5:44 p.m. ET/2:44 p.m. PT)

John Lauro likes #3 Olympic Runner (6-1 morning line) in the Grade 2 Nearctic Stakes. “Olympic Runner shortens up after failing to fire in the Woodbine Mile.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Sunday, October 17th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
SANTA ANITA PARK
RACE #7
TIME: 7:08 PM EST
PICK: BET #4 North County Guy 5/2 odds to win @ Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Laurel Park 5 Facts | October 11-17, 2021

October 12, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$8,467// Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Maryland Million Day // Saturday, Oct. 23

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Win % (40%, +$6.20)

Avg. 2 of 3 Speed (36%, +$24.20)

Avg Speed Last 3 (34%, +$20.60) *top-3 second straight week*

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Horacio Karamanos // last week 17: 5-2-1 (29%, $1.68 ROI) // $12, $24 top winners // 11-35 last 2 weeks

J: Jevian Toledo // last week 18: 6-1-2 (33%, $1.13 ROI) // all 6 wins $11 or less // 5: 2-1-1 with Brittany Russell

J: Xavier Perez // last week 9: 3-2-0 (33%, $8.12 ROI) // $135 bomb joined $4, $6 winners; also 48-1 runner-up

T: Ferris Allen // last week 4: 2-0-0 (50%, $2.35 ROI) // $6, $12 winners, 2-2 with Karamanos

T: Frank Russo // last week 2: 2-0-0 (100%, $7.40 ROI) // $5 and $24 winners in allowance sprints

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Park 5 Facts | October 11-17, 2021

October 12, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday (12:50 pm ET daily post)

Carryovers:

$12,156 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($75,000-guaranteed pool Thursday) // $461K score Oct. 9

$7,554 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (30%, +$7.80)

Speed Last Race (30%, +$8.20)

Jockey Meet (29%, +$49.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Antonio Sano // last week 13: 4-2-1 (31%, $3.32 ROI) // $19 and $53 upsets delivered

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 11: 3-3-1 (27%, $0.52 ROI) // wins at 4-5, 4-5, 6-5 // 13-38 over past 3 weeks

T: Mark Casse // last week 7: 3-0-0 (43%, $2.41 ROI) // $5, $13, $14 scores all on Tapeta//

J: Edwin Gonzalez // last week 10: 5-1-0 (50%, $2.34 ROI) // 3-3 with Mark Casse // 9-25 over past 2 weeks

J: Rajiv Maragh // last week 5: 4-0-0 (80%, $2.90 ROI) // $3, $4, $8, $12 winners // 4 different trainers

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita 5 Facts | October 5-11, 2021

October 12, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday-Monday

Carryovers:

$347,528 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

$100,000 California Distaff // Cal-bred distaff turf sprinters // Saturday

$100,000 California Flag // Cal-bred turf sprinters // Sunday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Jockey 6 Month Win % (31%, +$12.20)

Last Finish (20%, +$12.60)

Win % (20%, +$7.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Brian Koriner // last week 9: 2-1-2 (22%, $4.54 ROI) // $30 and $51 bombs // 17-1, 19-1 ran third

T: Doug O’Neill // last week 17: 5-3-1 (29%, $0.96 ROI) // 3-4 with Mario Gutierrez // top price $11

T: Vladimir Cerin // last week 6: 2-1-1 (33%, $2.20 ROI) // 2-4 with Kent Desormeaux // two $13 winners

J: Flavien Prat // last week 15: 7-3-0 (47%, $1.79 ROI) // 2-3 with Richard Baltas, 2-4 with Peter Miler // 14-39 last 2 weeks

J: Kent Desormeaux // last week 13: 4-3-0 (31%, $1.80 ROI) // $8, $11, $13, $13 winners // 2-4 with Cerin

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
NFL – Texans over 44.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
NFL – Bengals -3.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
NFL – Raiders +5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
NFL – Steelers over 43
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
NFL – Giants +7.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
NFL – Ravens -3
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NFL – Patriots under 50.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




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Santa Anita - Race #5 - Post: 3:06pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 KA'NAH (ML=7/2)
#7 MINSKY (IRE) (ML=4/1)
#2 INGEST (ML=3/1)


KA'NAH - Speed figs on the grass point to this horse as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this distance and surface. That last race must not have been too hard on this gelding for him to be able to race again so quickly. This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of O'Neill. Better be careful of this angle. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I think can be a vital selection factor. This entrant is ranked number 1 in this field. Running on the turf today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. MINSKY (IRE) - Last out, this one was in a race at Del Mar in a race with an Equibase class figure of 96. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure in today's event puts him in a solid position in this race. INGEST - For my money, a bullet workout is the best indicator of fitness there is. Look at that last one - 47.2. Very impressive. This gelding's last speed rating is high enough to win here, I'll bet on him right back in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CROSSWORD (ML=4/1), #5 INCH (ML=6/1),

CROSSWORD - Didn't look so good last time out of the box. Probably won't do much running in today's event. No picnic to support any entrant in a short distance clash if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. INCH - Only knocked off maiden claimers last time out. It's going to be very tough for this mount to repeat versus winners. The rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - INGEST - Last race turf figure for this gelding is superior to the rest of these runners. You would be wise to consider speculating on this thoroughbred.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #9 KA'NAH to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,7,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[2,7,9] with [2,7,9] with [1,2,3,7,9] with [1,2,3,7,9] Total Cost: $36



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

[2,7,9] with [2,7,9] with [2,3,7,9] with [1,2,3,5,7,9] with [1,2,3,5,7,9] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KEENELAND PLONK PICKS

1st Race
Dual-conditioned claimers open the day in a 6-1/2 furlong dirt sprint. We’ve had 34 races at this class level in Fall Meets on dirt, and the average winner has been 4-1 with only 2 double-digit odds scores. Churchill preppers have 12 of the wins with Indiana Grand next at 5. Those two ports of call represent the entire field here. Early speed has been dominant on dirt in sprints, so lean to speed and that should help front-running Somes Sound under leading jockey Tyler Gaffalione. Shippingport was a local winner over 6 furlongs in Fall 2020, but was 2 lengths slower than par and 26th of 39 races on the clock at the meet.

2nd Race
Elder maiden claimers sprint 6 furlongs to start the early pick four. Winners in the MCL races this meet have been evenly distributed among Churchill (3), Kentucky Downs (2) and Ellis (2). All 8 have been won on or near the lead, none closing from more than 1-3/4 lengths back after the opening half-mile. These races have averaged a 6-1 return over the years on dirt in Fall Meets, and we’ve had a couple of price players score this meet at 11-1 and 17-1. Don’t be afraid to shop a bit. Itsy Bitty Betty makes sense as a daughter of leading Kee dirt sire Into Mischief, who is having another big Fall Meet. Super

3rd Race
Two-year-old maiden special weights take to the turf at 1-1/16 miles and kick off today’s Keeneland Turf Pick 3. We’ve had 63 of these 2YO turf routes in Fall Meets, and note the average winner is just under 10-1 with 10 winners at 20-1 or more. First-time starters account for only 11 of the 62 winners, so lean experience, where 40 of the 51 experienced winners came out of turf preps. Kentucky Downs preppers have won 11 of the first 20 turf races at the meet. Cailin Diana’s last start at KD came with a decent run behind California Angel, who returned here earlier this week to win the Jessamine Stakes. Belmont raider Haughty could be a heavy favorite for Chad Brown, but note for all of his success, he has only a single winner (2019) in a local 2-year-old maiden special weight on turf. Rusty Arnold pulled a 10-1 upset in a similar race earlier in this Fall Meet and will have also-eligible Cold Call trying to get into the field. Of the rookies, respect all 2yos this meet firing for trainer Kenny McPeek (Lady Mercedes).

4th Race
Bottom-level claimers match up over 7 furlongs on dirt. There has been 29 claiming sprints in Fall Meets for $10,000 or less, and they have gotten more formful the longer they go. The 6-1/2 and 7 furlong events have seen 5 of 11 winning favorites, an average winner at 3-1 and no winners over 7-1. They’ve played close to the vest. The average winner in these races have been 1-1/2 lengths off the lead after the first half-mile (3 furlongs to go), and the way the track has been playing at the meet, you probably want to be even closer up front. Jack’s Advantage turns back from a route to sprint, something that’s been successful in 3 of the 5 basement-level Fall Meet races at this distance over the years. If he breaks near the front, look out with the additional stamina.

5th Race
Sprinters in the starter allowance ranks battle over 6-1/2 furlongs on dirt in the swing race to the early and late pick fives. Favorites have lost 13 straight, and 17 of the last 18, starter allowance races during Fall Meets, dating back to 2015. The last 13 winners have averaged 8-1 with a high at 14-1. So it’s not chaos, but rather juicy. Churchill preppers lead with 12 winners and Indiana Grand is next-up with 4 in Fall starter races on dirt. Thirsty Betrayal leads the CD cast in this one off a similar win in Louisville. Crime Spree runs back second time at the meet on short rest. We’ve seen Fall starter allowances won by second timers at the meet on 12, 17 and 25-days rest in past seasons…this would be the shortest turn-around at this class level.

6th Race
Allowance turf sprinters battle in the middle leg to today’s Keeneland Turf Pick 3, similar to Saturday’s finale. The lack of a Wesley Ward entrant in here will force the public into some creativity as they’ve been defaulting to him with favorites all meet. My reminder: posts 3-4-5 having a statistical edge in full-field turf sprints. They account for 16 of 36 wins (46%) in fields of 12 at average odds of nearly 12-1. Barring scratches, power posts here go to Seven Scents, Huey Attack and Natural Power. Note Natural Power comes via Presque Isle, which has produced a solid 4 turf sprint ALW winners here in Fall Meets, averaging nearly 14-1 odds. Seven Scents interests most of that trio. Horses cutting back some distance have a 29-15 edge in Fall Meet turf sprint allowance races.

7th Race
This one is a dirt mile allowance. Inside speed is always noteworthy at this configuration. Posts 1-3 are 35 for 69, winning just over 50% of the offerings since the distanced debuted in 2015 for the Breeders’ Cup meet. The average winner in dirt miles is 1-1/2 lengths off the lead after the first half-mile – only 3 deep closers have made up more than 6 lengths from that point on. The 1-2-3 all have early speed in this race and it will challenge the bias to see which can withstand the others’ pressure. Frost Point could benefit with a ground-saving run from mid-pack as a daughter of Frosted, who has had a great year on the Kee dirt with his offspring in 2021. Corey Lanerie leads all Kee jockeys in dirt mile wins with 6 and will ride Bow Wow Girl.

8th Race
We get a second turf allowance sprint in today’s Keeneland Turf Pick 3 for the sequence’s final offering. Trainer Wesley Ward has won more turf sprints at Kee than anyone by far, and he won the first 2 offered this season with heavy favorites. He’ll have both Illegal Smile and Spicy Marg. My reminder: posts 3-4-5 having a statistical edge in full-field turf sprints. They account for 16 of 36 wins (46%) in fields of 12 at average odds of nearly 12-1. Barring scratches, power posts here go to Can’t Buy Love, Lady Edith and Illegal Smile. Lady Edit won the Mamzelle Stakes at Churchill earlier this year and gets back to turf sprinting after 2 poor finishes in other types of races. Illegal Smile also is a stakes winner in New York. Note Lady Edith, Prodigy Doll and Bullseye Beauty all come via Presque Isle, which has produced a solid 4 turf sprint ALW winners here in Fall Meets, averaging nearly 14-1 odds.

9th Race
Week 2 concludes with a 7-furlong maiden claimer on the dirt for 2-year-olds. We’ve had 66 MCL dirt sprints in Fall Meets for 2YOs and experienced horses hold a big 52-14 edge in victories. The average winner in Fall MCL 7F sprints is 1-1/4 lengths off the lead after the opening half-mile (3 furlongs to go), so you want to be close up. 10 of 37 winners at this class and distance came off of turf races like Jillian’s Star, My Zip Zip and Reid’s Fangirl attempt – so don’t be afraid of the surface change. Reid’s Fan Girl comes via Canterbury, and note these same connections scored a 14-1 claiming dirt upset here Saturday via Minnesota.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KEENELAND GABBY GAUDET

1st Race
4 - 6 - 2

Somes Sound was disappointing as the favorite last time out but I think the wide post and fast pace were to blame. The pace does not project to be nearly as fast today and the drop in class will make him tough to beat. Look for Toobadsosad to be closing late. Smart Time will be caught in a tough position of chasing the pace off of a 5-month layoff.

2nd Race
7 - 6 - 5 - 2

Supertaleofhoudini broke very quickly and then faded off the layoff. He probably needed the race but I also think he might be better when taken off the pace. He should get the setup wit the presence of the #4 ,#6 and #8. Its Bitsy Betty ran really well last out, doing all the dirty work on the lead. I like the cutback in her third career start but she will have to deal with other frontrunners. First time for a tag makes Vietnam a threat.

3rd Race
5 - 10 - 1 - 3

Haughty should be running an allowance race had it not been for her swimming wide and bumping another horse at the quarter pole last out. She was much the best in that field, however and looks formidable here. Candy Kick was bet in debut and looked like a live runner. I think she needed that first race and it will make her more experienced and fitter for this spot. Dancing Dee’s race last time out is a complete toss. Both horse and rider hit the gate badly on the way out Dylan Davis wrapped up on her early. Look for her to build off of her first race effort.

4th Race
8 - 3 - 7 - 10

With the exception of Popizar, you could make a case that Oro de Tejano is coming out some of the strongest races in this field. The main track hasn’t really been playing to deep closers, so he’ll need a well-timed move. In this wide-open field, I’d rather take a shot with a long shot. Respect Popizar and Distorted Ransome as well.

5th Race
9 -1 - 8 - 10

Alex’s Strike and Thirsty Betrayal both exit the same race. Although Thirsty Betrayal won that race, I’m hoping Alex’s Strike can turn the tables. Alex’s Strike had a poor beginning and lost contact with the field early on. The 6 1/2 furlongs versus 6 furlongs last out will help him too. Beverly Park has faced easier lately but there’s no denying the excellent form he is in. I think he can transition here successfully.

6th Race
6 - 12 - 1 - 2

Souper Dormy ran like a horse that went too far last out. He made a bold move and looked like he’d win for fun, and then just flattened out. I like the blinkers on move for this race and the shortening up in distance will make him sharp for this race. Competitive Saint fits in terms of class but might have to exert a little too much energy early getting into position with that post. Using American Mandate and Shackelford’s Journey underneath.

7th Race
7 - 2 - 5 -1

This race projects to have a fast pace. Mostly stemming from Super Quick and Tellmeonasunday. That’s really the only reason why I go against Super Quick. She could get hounded the entire race. I don’t know if Trumpet Lilly is a better horse at the end of the day, but she could get a better setup with that outside draw. She is fast too but I think she can successfully rate. She was forced to go with an inside post last out and it could be a different story today with post 7. Still debating on whether or not Frost Point is a closing sprinter or will like stretching out in distance.

8th Race
3 - 12 - 2 - 5

I don’t think New Boss handled Kentucky Downs last out. Look to her turf sprint races prior to that and she certainly deserves to be one of the favorites here. Risky Reward tired late at 6 1/2 furlongs last out but shortens up to a better distance. Good speed with outside draw. Is Amalfi Princess better at this distance or a little farther? I think farther and therefore don’t pick her on top.

9th Race
2 - 7 - 10 - 8

Tricky race to end the day. I like all four of my top picks and in was difficult to sort them in order of preference. If I can afford it, will likely use all of them in the late pick 4.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Expert Analysis
By Brad Free
BEST BET: Percolate (3rd race)

First Race
1. Tony Ann 2. M Is for Magic 3. Dani Mo
Based on an improved second start, third by less than a length, ~TONY ANN^ is the one to beat in this maiden turf sprint. 'ANN saved ground forwardly placed, waited for room into
the lane, angled off the fence and finished well. She did steady late between rivals, but would have finished third anyway. Good effort, the turf filly is sitting on a win stretching from
five furlongs at Del Mar to six furlongs at Santa Anita. ~M IS FOR MAGIC^ is a nine-start maiden switching surfaces after earning a career-high figure finishing second on dirt. Her
best previous race was a turf sprint last fall in Kentucky, so the surface change is no big deal. This is just her third start following a layoff; obvious contender. ~DANI MO^ broke
slowly again, but finished well for seventh in the same race the top choice exits. DANI MO ran better than her line looks. Problem is, she broke slowly both starts. First-time starter
STOIC LUNA trains as if she might have some speed.

Second Race
1. Alleva 2. Bibleman 3. Horse Greedy
This $10k claiming sprint is filled with unreliable droppers. ~ALLEVA^ could not take the heat last out in a strong $25k claiming starter at Los Alamitos; he pressed and cracked.
But his $20k claiming N3L win two back might be good enough, he has a versatile style that allows him to either set the pace or rally from slightly off. ~BIBLEMAN^ squandered
a two-length lead at the furlong pole last out, and finished third. Like many in this field, his form is going the wrong way. Claimed for $32k two back, down to $16k last out, now in
for $10k. ~HORSE GREEDY^ returns at the bottom following a seven-month layoff. A six-time winner who was a bona fide allowance sprinter not long ago, he runs for a stable that
does well with dirt-sprint comebackers. Peter Miller won with 3 of his last 6 returning from a layoff of six months or more. ITSTHATTIME has speed, is a three-time winner at Santa
Anita, and a threat up front.

Third Race
1. Percolate 2. Picota 3. Derecho Dandy
~PERCOLATE^ ran well in his U.S. debut, runner-up in a turf mile for maiden 2yos similar to this. He can upset likely favorite ~PICOTA^, who finished third in a stakes race in his
U.S. debut. PERCOLATE ran well both starts, second in a roughly run race in summer in England, second again at DMR while chasing the wire-to-wire winner. With time between
starts, blinkers on, the lightly raced colt should deliver. However, PICOTA earned a higher figure against better company when third in a $200k stake. In that race, PICOTA finished
far in front of the Il Capitano, who defeated to the top choice in the maiden race. The point is, one could argue PICOTA is more qualified to win this maiden race. The challenge
is wheeling back in two weeks. Might not make a difference in what looks like a two-horse race. ~DERECHO DANDY^ switches to turf after splitting the field in a dirt route that
already produced at least three next-out maiden winners.

Fourth Race
1. Sweet Soulmate 2. Righteously 3. Mucha Woman
~SWEET SOULMATE^ should be tough to beat at low odds in this $25k claiming sprint for 3yo fillies. Her recent starts are faster than her rivals, she drops from claiming-caliber
sprints vs. older into an age-restricted claiming sprint. The knock on the three-time winner is her odds may be short. ~RIGHTEOUSLY^ won five of her six previous starts before the
LRC fall meet, but was then overmatched twice vs. older Cal-bred allowance foes. She finished third, and next-to-last. A six-time winner, the question is whether she can return to
form against this softer group, or if her disappointing effort last out should be taken at face value. ~MUCHA WOMAN^ also drops. A three-time winner with more than six weeks
between starts, she is likely to fire her best shot. Still might need better than that to beat the top choice.

Fifth Race
1. Ka'nah 2. Ingest 3. Starship Chewbacca
Notwithstanding an off-the-board finish at odds-on last out, ~KA'NAH^ gets the call running back at the same 25k claiming N2L level. The differences are he moves to turf and goes
first off the claim by Doug O'Neil, who wheels him back in eight days. The gelding's previous starts are fast enough for this level, and he can turf. O'Neill also entered ~INGEST^,
who drops to N2L claiming for the first time after an okay fourth vs. starter allowance types. The gelding's lone win was on the SA turf course, albeit a route. ~STARSHIP
CHEWBACCA^ looms an upset candidate. He has run fast enough for this class, although his turf form is uncertain. CROSSWORD fits off his runner-up finish two starts back vs.
claiming 3yos. Trainer John Sadler and apprentice Emily Ellingwood teamed to go 4-for-6 since early last month.

Sixth Race
1. Betito 2. El Tigre Terrible 3. Hapi Hapi
Only seven starters, but this Cal-bred N1X dirt mile is deep. ~BETITO^ gets the call returning to his favorite track. All three wins were on the SA main including a win at this level
in June. Entered for the optional $20k claim tag first start in two months, he faces a difficult pace scenario. BETITO is a front-runner, so are three others to his inside. Tepid choice.
~EL TIGRE TERRIBLE^, a two-time sprint stakes winner plunging to $20k claiming, is arguably the "best horse." But the drop is troublesome, and he has been a sprinter throughout
his career. This is only his second route; he encountered trouble his previous two-turn try. The class drop probably makes sense, because his two starts following a layoff were
ordinary. ~HAPI HAPI^ will rally late in a race that could set up for his closing style. SQUALOTORO stretches out and adds speed, along with front-runner BURNIN TURF and
stretch-out BIG STORY.

Seventh Race
1. North County Guy 2. Give Me the Lute 3. Whooping Jay
Although veteran stakes winner ~NORTH COUNTY GUY^ has been a distance specialist most of his career, he won a SA downhill turf sprint by more than five lengths in October
2018. He likes this course. The consistent gelding dominated an allowance turf route two months ago, and trained in sharp fashion for a cutback in distance to six and a half on the
Page 5 of 5
hill. He can only win if he catches ~GIVE ME THE LUTE^. The latter is all speed, his G3 runner-up last out was validated when winner Lieutenant Dan returned to win another
G3. Front-runner 'LUTE is the one to catch. ~WHOOPING JAY^ did not have a great trip last out, third in a N2X/optional $80k claiming race. He was claimed by Mark Glatt, who
won this stakes race in 2019 with first-off-the-claim Castle. WHOOPING JAY has a versatile pressing style that should lead to a good trip positioned just off the pace. Front-runner
TIGER DAD will keep the pace honest; DESMOND DOSS is a multiple stakes winner who can run long or short, dirt or turf. Top to bottom, this is good field of Cal-breds.

Eighth Race
1. Lunatic 2. Candy Runner 3. Scream and Shout
Comebacker ~LUNATIC^ returns from an eight-month layoff while dropping to the maiden-20 bottom level for the first time. Miller-trained comebackers tend to fire. ~CANDY
RUNNER^ is second start back from a layoff, also dropping in class after finishing last of five in a maiden-40 comeback. Ten-pound weight break under the new apprentice.
~SCREAM AND SHOUT^ adds speed, but her stamina is suspect.

Ninth Race
1. Fantasy Heat 2. Greg's Diva 3. Nu Pi Lambda
Also-eligible ~FANTASY HEAT^ would be tough in this N1X/optional claiming turf sprint if she draws win. She won a N2X/optional claiming sprint last out, and though six and
one-half furlongs might be a stretch, the 4-for-11 mare projects for a cozy trip just off the speed. ~GREG'S DIVA^ is all speed, first start since February. She runs well fresh, finished
one-two six of her seven starts, gets a five-pound apprentice allowance, and could steal the race. ~NU PI LAMBDA^ finished in the money, without a win, seven consecutive starts at this N1X level. She is always in the thick of it. ISN'T SHE LOVELY returns to her favorite turf course for her first in two months. She is only Sunday mount for jockey Mike Smith.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grants Pass

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE FAR WEST FUTURITY. FINAL PURSE $40,000 ADDED. FINAL TO BE RUN MONDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2021. WEIGHT: 125 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



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# 9 LEAVING ANGELZ 8/5




# 6 FIVE BAR CALI 9/2




# 5 CM ROSIE AT TA BAR 5/1




I think LEAVING ANGELZ is a quite good choice. With a solid 70 average speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. With Osuna controlling the reins on him, this gelding ought to be able to break out sharply in this race. Could beat this group given the 75 Equibase Speed Fig earned in his last outing. FIVE BAR CALI - Quite good gamble today on Lasix. Should be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last competition. CM ROSIE AT TA BAR - Has been running solidly lately and ought to be up on the lead early on.