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Can'tPickAWinner
11-01-2021, 10:58 PM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:03 AM
Gulfstream 5 Facts | November 3-7, 2021

November 3, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$210,116 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($300,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

$40,335 // Late Pick 5 Thursday

$3,035 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

$65,000 Cellars Chiraz // 3-year-old fillies on Tapeta // Friday

$65,000 Showing Up // 3-year-olds on Tapeta // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Trainer Current Year (39%, +$52.20)

Best Speed Last 3 (28%, -$15.00)

In The Money (ITM) % ( 27%, +$10.20)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 22: 10-4-1 (45%, $1.42 ROI) // 9-13 with Edgard Zayas // 6 wins at 1-1 or less odds

T: Gilberto Zerpa // last week 4: 2-0-1 (50%, $1.45 ROI) // $4 and $7 winners both in allowance sprints

T: Eddie Plesa Jr. // last week 3: 2-1-0 (67%, $2.40 ROI) // $5, $8 winners // Edgard Zayas aboard all 3 starters

J: Edgard Zayas // last week 27: 12-8-2 (44%, $1.38 ROI) // 9-13 with Saffie Joseph Jr. // 11: 8-3-0 on favorites

J: JC Diaz Jr. // last week 12: 3-2-1 (25%, $5.33 ROI) // winners paid $7, $29, $91 // added 18-1 third

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:03 AM
Laurel Park 5 Facts | November 3-7, 2021

November 3, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$3,001 // Rainbow 6 Thursday

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. E2 (Early) Pace (32%, +$72.60)

Trainer 2 Year Race Type (28%, -$11.20)

Speed Last Race (23%, -$12.20)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Claudio Gonzalez // last week 23: 7-2-3 (30%, $1.45 ROI) // 3-4 with Johan Rosado, including $25 score // 12-36 last 2 weeks

T: Damon Dilodovico // last week 7: 3-1-1 (43%, $1.96 ROI) // $6, $12, $19 wins, adding 19-third // 2-3 with Horacio Karamanos

T: John R.S. Fisher // last week 2: 2-0-0 (100%, $2.85 ROI) // $4, $6 scores on turf with Forrest Boyce

J: Johan Rosado // last week 13: 4-1-0 // (31%, $2.25 ROI) // $6, $7, $18, $25 wins // 3-4 with Claudio Gonzalez

J: Forrest Boyce // last week 10: 3-1-0 // (30%, $1.36 ROI) // $4, $6, $15 winners in turf routes

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:04 AM
Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts | November 3-7, 2021

November 3, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:
Friday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$3,687 // Super High 5 Thursday

$2,053 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot Thursday

Feature Race(s):

$50,000 Joseph T. Grace Stakes // elder turf routers // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Trainer Year (31%, +$10.20)

Jockey Meet (30%, +$10.00)

Avg. E1 (Early) Pace (24 %, -$2.40)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Jonathon Wong // last week 22: 7-3-2 (32%, $1.30 ROI) // 6: 3-1-0 with favorites // $10, $16 top winners // 11-31 last 2 weeks

T: Tim McCanna // last week 11: 7-2-0 (64%, $2.49 ROI) // 5: 4-1-0 with Frank Alvarado // 4: 3-1-0 with favorites, adding $16 winner

T: Jose Bautista // last week 5: 2-2-1 (40%, $1.30 ROI) // $6, $7 wins joined by 20-1 runner-up

J: Pedro Terrero // last week 26: 5-3-5 (19%, $3.19 ROI) // wins include $25, $34, $47 and $52, and added 30-1 in third // all 5 wins for different trainers

J: Frank Alvarado // last week 10: 5-1-1 (50%, $1.86 ROI) // all 5 wins 7-2 or less odds // 5: 4-1-0 with Tim McCanna

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:04 AM
XBTV Expert Eyes: Who's Tipping Their Hand for the Breeders' Cup?

November 3, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We tasked our expert analysts at XBTV to give us the names of the horses who have caught their eyes as Breeders' Cup approaches Friday and Saturday at Del Mar. Who has stood out in training and/or on video for our crew?
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JEFF SIEGEL
Oviatt Class (Juvenile, Friday Race 9)
Dakota Gold (Juvenile Turf, Friday Race 10)
Malathaat (Distaff, Saturday Race 10)
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//

ZOE CADMAN
Kaufymaker (Juvenile Turf Sprint, Friday Race 6)
Juju's Map (Juvenile Fillies, Friday Race 7)
Loves Only You (Filly and Mare Turf, Saturday Race 7)
Art Collector (Classic, Saturday, Race 12)
*
//

MICHELLE YU
Armor (Juvenile Turf Sprint, Friday Race 6)
Tarnawa (Turf, Saturday Race 11)
Gufo (Turf, Saturday Race 11)
Max Player (Classic, Saturday Race 12)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:04 AM
Jon White: Breeders' Cup Selections

November 3, 2021 | By Jon White

$1 MILLION JUVENILE TURF SPRINT (FRIDAY)

1. AVERLY JANE (5-2 on my official BC morning line)
Undefeated filly with 4 wins by combined 22 1/4 lengths

2. ONE TIMER (4-1)
Undefeated gelding with 3 wins by combined 17 lengths

3. TWILIGHT JET (15-1)
Drew rail (morning line made before post-position draw)

Nice-price danger: TIME TO PARTY (15-1)
Interesting at a nice price, especially with Prat aboard

$2 MILLION JUVENILE FILLIES (FRIDAY)

1. HIDDEN CONNECTION (5-2)
Her Thoro-Graph figs are similar to Echo Zulu’s

2. ECHO ZULU (4-5)
Big favorite is trying two turns for the first time

3. JUJU’S MAP (5-2)
Sparkling 4 14-length victory in G1 Alcibiades

Nice-price danger: TARABI (12-1)
Finished second at 19-1 to Echo Zulu in Spinaway

$2 MILLION JUVENILE FILLIES TURF (FRIDAY)

1. PIZZA BIANCA (5-1)
Not the best of trips in G1 loss at Woodbine

2. CALIFORNIA ANGEL (8-1)
Closed with a rush to win G2 Bessamine

3. MALAVATH (8-1)
Runner-up vs. males in G2 race in France

Nice-price danger: HAUGHTY (10-1)
Conditioned by red-hot Chad Brown

$2 MILLION JUVENILE (FRIDAY)

1. COMMANDPEFORMANCE (5-1)
Another maiden wins this BC race at Del Mar?

2. JACK CHRISTOPHER (9-5)
Champagne victory produced a 102 Beyer

3. CORNICHE (5-2)
$1.5 million buy is 2 for 2 and a G1 winner

Nice-price danger: OVIATT CLASS (20-1)
Sneaky good third in G1 American Pharoah

$1 MILLION JUVENILE TURF (FRIDAY)

1. DUBAWI LEGEND (4-1)
Runner-up in G1 in England (post here concern)

2. MODERN GAME (5-1)
Merits much respect off G3 triumph in England

3. ALBAHR (6-1)
Stylish come-from-behind score at Woodbine

Nice-price danger: DAKOTA GOLD (8-1)
Excellent Thoro-Graph fig at Monmouth

$1 MILLION FILLY & MARE SPRINT (SATURDAY)

1. GAMINE (3-5)
She’s 7 for 7 when going 7 furlongs or shorter

2. BELLA SOPHIA (5-2)
Sharp 3-year-old has best shot to upset favorite

3. CE CE (4-1)
Had to settle for third behind Gamine at the Spa

Nice-price danger: NONE

Note: Gamine is my choice as the “most probable winner” at this year’s Breeders’ Cup. My most probable Breeders’ Cup winner has won in 13 of the 17 last years.

I also gave some consideration to making either Life Is Good in the Dirt Mile or Jackie’s Warrior in the Sprint my “most probable winner.” But I ultimately decided Gamine is the right way to go.

I know there are those who think Gamine could be vulnerable this Saturday. Some believe that she is not as good this year as she was last year. But even if that’s true, I would not go so far as to say that the 2021 Gamine is significantly slower than the 2020 Gamine. Keep in mind no one has been able to beat Gamine in 2021. Her closest call so far this year, such as it was, came when she won the Grade I Derby City Distaff at Churchill Downs on May 1 by “only” 1 1/2 lengths. Two of her four victories this year have been by margins of five and 10 lengths.

This year’s Filly & Mare Sprint field was reduced to five with the defection of Estilo Tarentoso. Daily Racing Form’s David Grening reported Tuesday that Estilo Talentoso would not run Saturday “due to an issue with her right fore, according to trainer Juan Arriagada.”

As for Gamine’s remaining four opponents Saturday, she already has defeated two of them.

Ce Ce is a multiple Grade I winner. Gamine outran Ce Ce by three lengths in the Grade I Ballerina Stakes this year at Saratoga.

Edgeway is a very nice filly. She’s won this year’s Carousel Stakes at Oaklawn Park and Grade III Rancho Bernardo Stakes at Del Mar. But in between the Carousel and Rancho Bernardo, Edgeway finished 11 1/4 lengths behind Gamine in the Grade II Great Lady M. Stakes at Los Alamitos.

Sure, Bella Sofia is a talented 3-year-old filly who looks capable of possibly giving Gamine a serious run for her money. Bella Sophia looked terrific when winning the Grade I Test Stakes by 4 1/4 lengths at Saratoga. She then cruised to a 3 1/2-length win against her elders in the Grade II Gallant Bloom Stakes at Belmont on Sept. 26.

But while I think Bella Sofia should be taken very seriously Saturday, I still find it hard to envision her defeating Gamine.

By making Gamine my “most probable winner,” I can’t help but have one little concern due to how poorly favorites fared at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup held at Del Mar. Not a single favorite won any of the seven Breeders’ Cup dirt races in 2017. Only two favorites won the 14 Breeders’ Cup events in 2017. Those two winners were Mendelssohn at 9-2 in the Juvenile Turf and World Approval 5-2 in the Mile.

One of the shortest-priced favorites that lost at the 2017 Breeders’ Cup came in the Filly & Mare Sprint. Unique Bella finished seventh at odds of 11-10.

But while the overall record of favorites and Unique Bella’s performance in the Filly & Mare Sprint left much to be desired, I expect Gamine to take care of business as the heavy chalk in this year’s Filly & Mare Sprint.

Below is a list of my most probable Breeders’ Cup winner for each year going back to 2004:

2020 Golden Pal in the Juvenile Turf Sprint (won)
2019 Midnight Bisou (finished second)
2018 Newspaperofrecord in the Juvenile Fillies Turf (won)
2017 Bolt d’Oro in the Juvenile (finished third)
2016 Dortmund in the Dirt Mile (finished fourth)
2015 Songbird in the Juvenile Fillies (won)
2014 Goldencents in the Dirt Mile (won)
2013 Wise Dan in the Mile (won)
2012 Groupie Doll in the Filly & Mare Sprint (won)
2011 Goldikova in the Mile (won)
2010 Goldikova in the Mile (won)
2009 Zenyatta in the Classic (won)
2008 Zenyatta in the Ladies’ Classic (won)
2007 Midnight Lute in the Sprint (won)
2006 Ouija Board in the Filly & Mare Turf (won)
2005 Ouija Board in the Filly & Mare Turf (finished second)
2004 Ouija Board in the Filly & Mare Turf (won)

$1 MILLION TURF SPRINT (SATURDAY)

1. GOLDEN PAL (7-2)
Early zip + desirable post = second BC win?

2. GEAR JOCKEY (5-1)
Gaudy 105 Beyer at Kentucky Downs

3. KIMARI (6-1)
Fresh filly should not be taken lightly

Nice-price danger: FAST BOAT (12-1)
Surges late to get into superfecta?

$1 MILLION DIRT MILE (SATURDAY)

1. LIFE IS GOOD (4-5)
His Kelso was pretty much a paid workout

2. GINOBILI (4-1)
Big figs w/ blinkers in Del Mar summer wins

3. SILVER STATE (7-2)
Met Mile winner could prove tough customer

Nice-price danger: EIGHT RINGS (10-1)
Perked up with 4-length SA win for Baffert

$2 MILLION FILLY & MARE TURF (SATURDAY)

1. LOVES ONLY YOU (4-1)
Descendant of 1989 Classic winner Sunday Silence

2. LOVE (4-1)
Major player here after having to miss the Arc

3. WAR LIKE PRINCESS (7-2)
Seeking to extend her winning streak to 5

Nice-price danger: POCKET SQUARE (15-1)
Juddmonte filly seems to be blossoming

$2 MILLION SPRINT (SATURDAY)

1. JACKIE’S WARRIOR (6-5)
Terrific 3yo sprinter looks formidable

2. DR. SCHIVEL (4-1)
Won G2 SA sprint despite no right rein

3. SPECIAL RESERVE (6-1)
A $40,000 claim is now a BC contender

Nice-price danger: FIRENZE FIRE (10-1)
Infamous savager might finish 1-2-3-4

$2 MILLION MILE (SATURDAY)

1. SPACE BLUES (3-1)
Rocketed home to G1 win at ParisLongchamp

2. MO FORZA (5-1)
This dude just loves to win races

3. MASTER OF THE SEAS (12-1)
A 1-2-3-4 finish possible on firm ground?

Nice-price danger: HIT THE ROAD (15-1)
Troubled trip in City of Hope Mile

$2 MILLION DISTAFF (SATURDAY)

1. LETRUSKA (8-5)
Win machine choice despite messed-up workout

2. SHEDARESTHEDEVIL (4-1)
Edged top pick in two-turn Azeri on March 13

3. PRIVATE MISSION (8-1)
Watch out for this up-and-coming 3yo filly

Nice-price danger: AS TIME GOES BY (15-1)
Last more like it for regally-bred miss

$4 MILLION TURF (SATURDAY)

1. TARNAWA (9-5)
Won this race in 2020 for fab horseman

2. DOMESTIC SPENDING (4-1)
Excuse narrow AP defeat due to slow pace

3. WALTON STREET (8-1)
Loved the way he won for fun at Woodbine

Nice-price danger: SISFAHAN (12-1)
German ran second vs. future Arc winner

$6 MILLION CLASSIC (SATURDAY)

1. KNICKS GO (5-2)
He’s 7 for 7 in two-turn races for Cox

2. ESSENTIAL QUALITY (3-1)
Classy 3yo is 8 for 9; dandy Oct. 31 drill

3. HOT ROD CHARLIE (4-1)
Snazzy 111 Beyer in Penn Derby triumph

Nice-price danger: TRIPOLI (15-1)
Pac Classic victor makes noise with Irad?

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:05 AM
Ed Sehon

Juvenile Turf Sprint: Del Mar Race No. 6

#6 Twilight Gleaming (4-1 morning line). “When it comes to young sprinters, it’s very hard to beat those from the Wesley Ward barn. After placing last Spring at Keeneland and breaking her maiden at Belmont, the conditioner shipped his speedy filly to England and France where she finished second and first, respectively. Irad Ortiz Jr. rejoins well-traveled gal where the surf meets the turf. Wager: Win and box in exactas with 8 and 9.”

Del Mar Races Nos. 6-10

$0.50 all-Breeders Cup Pick 5 (cost $90)

Race 6: 6,8,9

Race 7: 6

Race 8: 1,4,5,7,9

Race 9: 1,10,12

Race 10: 1,3,6,10


Juvenile Fillies Turf: Del Mar Race No. 8

#7 Consumer Spending (8-1 morning line), who is his price play of the day. “Steadily improving daughter of More Than Ready cuts back to mile for superior trainer Chad Brown, who adds top rider Flavien Prat for West Coast debut. Potential payoff is icing on the cake. Wager: Win and Place.”


Juvenile Turf: Del Mar Race No. 10

#10 Portfolio Company (6-1 morning line). “This young turfer has been on my Watch List since his first-out maiden win at Saratoga in mid-July. A win here would complete Chad Brown-Flavien Prat daily double with #7 Consumer Spending in Race No. 8 — and increase the value of Brown’s stock portfolio. Wager: Win and bet top and bottom in exactas with 1,3 and 6.”

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:05 AM
Duane Colucci

Juvenile Turf Sprint: Del Mar Race No. 6

#6 Twilight Gleaming (4-1 morning line). “Irad Ortiz Jr. teams with Wesley Ward, a master with 2-year-olds sprinters. Steady workouts since her return from France should make her ready. Bet 6 to Win and key 6 over 3,5,8 and 9 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”


$0.50 all-Breeders Cup Pick 5 (cost $80)

Race 6: 3,5,6,8,9

Race 7: 4,6

Race 8: 1,2,9,14

Race 9: 1,8,12

Race 10: 3,6


Juvenile Fillies Turf: Del Mar Race No. 8

#1 Pizza Blanca (5-1 morning line). Even though Christophe Clement has yet to win a BC race, he is a top-notch trainer. This horse had a solid yet rough run at Woodbine. Should move forward here. Clement shows a $2.93 ROI with 2-year-olds. Bet 1 to Win and key 1 over 2,9 and 14 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”


Juvenile: Del Mar Race No. 9

#8 Barossa (10-1 morning line). “Barossa was able to improve second time running a mile. Bet Win on this Baffert entry at a price, plus he has the highest Beyer going a route in this field. But I’ll be honest: make a three-horse box with 1,8 and 12 because this race looks chalky.”


Juvenile Turf: Del Mar Race No. 10

Duane Colucci likes #6 Mackinnon (8-1 morning line). “Doug O’Neill trainee is 2-for-2 here, where the turf meets the surf. O’Neill has been on fire the past couple of weeks, plus the horse has solid workouts. Check out Oct. 15 and 22. Bet 6 to Win and key 6 over 2,3 and 10 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:05 AM
Dave Tuley

Juvenile Turf Sprint: Del Mar Race No. 6

#11 Derrynane (12-1 morning line). “In a 5-furlong sprint like this, most bettors are looking for a speed horse to go wire-to-wire, but just as often a closer comes out of the clouds to win these, especially on turf. This New York-bred filly (pictured above) won from off the pace for first win at Saratoga under my favorites closing jockey Joel Rosario and then trainer Christophe Clement took her to Canada and she pulled off the same feat. She’s definitely stepping up in class, but Clement knows how to place his horses and he’s hitting 24 percent when using Rosario the past two months. Wager: Win and Place.”

Juvenile Fillies: Del Mar Race No. 7

#4 Tarabi (12-1 morning line). “The chalk has won this race only once since 2010, so you know I love it – and I hit with Take Charge Brandi in 2014 at $125.40 and Vequist last year at $15.20. This is a short six-horse field and my colleagues are mostly avoiding it because of undefeated front-running favorite Echo Zulu (Sehon singles her in his Pick 5). And most people will cross out Tarabi because she chased Echo Zulu around the track in the Grade 1 Spinaway and wasn’t able to pass her, but we see horses turn the tables all the time, and we especially give these young 2-year-old the benefit of a doubt that they’ll improve. Wager: Win and Place.”

Juvenile Fillies Turf: Del Mar Race No. 8

#6 Hello You (10-1 morning line). “In these turf races, I like to look at the Europeans. They haven’t won this race since 2013, but I like a trio of them with #6 Hello You on top. She won the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket last time out over #3 Cachet. In her prior race, she had trouble in a Group 3 race won by #13 Miss En Scene, who many regard as the top invader here. Wager on 6 to Win and let’s use the 3,6 and 13 in exotics.”

Juvenile: Del Mar Race No. 9

#4 Pappacap (15-1 morning line). “This isn’t the last race of the day, but it’s actually the marquee event as the winner will likely move to the top of the Kentucky Derby future-book list (or very close to it). This Mark Casse trainee won her stakes debut in the Grade 2 Best Pal at 6 furlongs and then came up short as she stretched out in her next two outings. But that’s why we’re getting such a juicy price. She should be sitting just off the pace under veteran jockey Joe Bravo and have a great shot turning for home. Wager: Win and Place.”.

Juvenile Turf: Del Mar Race No. 10

#2 Albahr (6-1 morning line). “This is a shorter price than I usually shoot for — and hopefully it doesn’t get bet lower – but Albahr is my most likely winner if he can avoid a troubled trip from this inside post in a crowded field. I trust jockey Frankie Dettori, plus this gelding won three straight over in England before trainer Charles Appleby brought him over the pond early and they won the Grade 1 Summer Stakes at Woodbine for good measure. Wager on 2 to Win and I’ll also use my colleague’s picks (6 and 10) along win #1 Modern Games in exotics.”

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:05 AM
John Lauro

Juvenile Turf: Del Mar Race No. 10

#6 Mackinnon (8-1 morning line). “O’Neill trained. Great closing kick. Strong Win bet. Also use with #1 Modern Games in exacta box.”

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:06 AM
Jeff Siegel's Friday/Saturday Analysis Del Mar 11/5/21

November 4, 2021

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 11:55 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-I’ll Stand Taller; 4-Triple Tap; 11-Sumo

Forecast: Trainer Bob Baffert has two major players in this first-level allowance sprint, and both are well-regarded colts with plenty of upside. American Pharoah’s half-brother Triple Tap was late to the party when finally making his debut in mid-March earlier this year. He won nicely over seven furlongs with a strong speed figure, but then disappeared. The son of Tapit returns almost nine months later following a string of sharp workouts while appearing at least as good and perhaps better than he did prior to his first start, and likely will settle in the second flight and then have dead aim and every chance from the quarter pole home. Stable mate Sumo was a short horse and a tad disappointing when fading to fifth in his debut in early September at Del Mar but left that form behind with an authoritative maiden score at Los Alamitos two weeks later, winning in good style with a sharp number. Comfortably drawn outside and likely to produce another forward move, the son of Not This Time picks up Johnny V. and should find himself in a soft stalking position and then be ready to pounce when called up on. Worth including on a ticket or two as a back-up is I’ll Stand Pat, a progressive son of Square Eddie with rising numbers, a good prompting style, and prior win over the Del Mar main track.

Notable Workouts:

Triple Tap (October 29, Santa Anita, 5f, 5f, :59.2h). Grade: B
In blinkers, in company outside Rockefeller (same time) while under a nice hold throughout, splits of :24.1, :35.2 and :59.2 before being allowed to gallop out strongly to the 7/8 pole, up in 1:12 flat on our watches for a full six furlongs. Coming back extremely well, seems fit, and may be an even better type now than he was breaking his maiden at first asking in March.
View Workout Video

Sumo (October 31, Santa Anita, 5f, :59h). Grade: B+
Slightly second best but did quite well working outside Breeders’ Cup-bound Private Mission (5f, :58.4h) for B. Baffert, mostly in hand and never really set down, splits of :23.1, :34.3 and :59 flat, sharp move by lightly-raced son of Not This Time. Plenty of improvement in him with added experience.
View Workout Video

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RACE 2: Post: 12:25 PT Grade: B
Use: 7-Birth of Cool; 8-Ready to Purrform

Forecast: Ready to Purrform arrives with a perfect record (two-for-two), graduating at first asking at Ellis Park by a nose in early September and then improving significantly when scoring handsomely in the Laurel Futurity by more than three lengths despite breaking awkwardly and then being forced to rally far wide from the the three-furlong pole to the wire. The son of Kitten’s Joy picks up J. Rosario for this mile grass event for juveniles that serves as a consolation prize for those not quite up to the B.C. Juvenile Turf. This could be a very nice colt down the road, especially when the distances increase, but for now the B. Cox-trained colt is being allowed to step forward at a proper rate. There’s plenty of early speed signed on to compliment his late-running style so with good racing luck he should be capable of producing the last run. Worth tossing in on a ticket or two at a big price is the maiden Birth of Cool. Unplaced in two career outings but encountering significant trouble in both, the son of Karakontie has much more ability than he’s been able to show and with clear sailing today could easily make his presence felt. The P. Gallagher-trained colt has a good turn of foot, picks up Frankie, and seems a bit better than his morning line of 12-1 gives him credit for.

Notable Workouts:

Birth of Cool (October 17, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.3h). Grade: B-
A little late changing leads in solo half mile main track drill for Gallagher but did well enough without every being asked, splits of :24.3 and :49.4 on our watches. In good shape but is a much better mover on turf. Has some upside.
View Workout Video

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RACE 3: Post: 12:55 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Big Novel; 6-Big Switch; 9-Vivacious Vanessa

Forecast: Two fillies by Mr. Big from the J. Sadler barn rate a big look in this year’s edition of the Golden State Juvenile Fillies S. over seven furlongs on the main track. Big Novel continued her improving pattern with a pleasing maiden win at Santa Anita last month, showing good tactical speed to the head of the lane and then drawing clear with authority when asked to quicken. On pure numbers she’s the best in the field and likely will continue to step forward, so at 3-1 on the morning she’s clearly the top pick. Her stable mate, Big Switch, won at first asking over the Del Mar main track in late August, doing so from off the pace like a filly that will do nothing but improve with experience and distance. She doesn’t quite match up with Big Novel based on numbers, so it’s understandable that J. Bravo jumps off to ride the favorite, but I. Ortiz, Jr. takes the call and, yes, he’s a pretty good replacement rider. We’ll also toss in the recent debut grass winner Vivacious Vanessa, thoroughly professional in victory three weeks ago but switching surfaces and shortening up while moving into stakes company. She’s another that had J. Bravo in the saddle for her race and today will be accompanied by the highly-capable J. Hernandez, one of trainer G. Mandella’s “go-to” riders. She should be running on strongly late.

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RACE 4: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Hear My Prayer; 8-Superstition

Forecast: While this year’s renewal of the Senator Ken Maddy S for fillies and mares sprinting five furlongs on grass is highly contentious, we’ve boiled it down to two main contenders. It’s hard to get past Superstition as the top pick and one to beat. A perfect three-for-three over this course and distance, the daughter of Ghostzapper has an excellent stalking style that keeps her free of trouble and a highly-effective closing kick that makes her difficult to contain during the critical late stages of the race. Her victory two runs back in the Daisycutter S. probably beats this field, and with regular pilot F. Prat staying aboard we’re expecting the R. Mandella-trained filly to fire her best shot. Hear My Prayer, a winner of five of 10 career starts, shipped in from Florida during the summer meeting and was quite convincing in victory sprinting on grass in a good allowance race that earned a stakes-quality speed figure. She has enough early speed to turn her rail post position into a positive and can be effective on the lead or from a stalking position. A recent bullet half mile main track workout at Santa Anita in 46 1/5 seconds indicates she’s spot on for a career top effort.

Notable Workouts:

Superstition (October 27, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B+
Worked in the dark in team drill for R. Mandella inside Sumter (same time) and was under a nice hold throughout while finishing with plenty left while breezing out to the 7/8 pole. On top of her game.
View Workout Video

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RACE 5: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Joker Boy; 11-Slow Down Andy; 12-Finneus

Forecast: Slow Down Andy ran to his good workouts in his smart debut win last month at Santa Anita, employing a pace-pressing style before coming away with authority to register a nearly five length victory while earning a strong speed figure. Two easy breezes since that race should tick him over nicely for this tougher assignment, and with the likelihood that he’ll step forward with that experience behind him the son of Nyquist appears quite capable of winning right back in the Golden State Juvenile S. for California-bred two-year-olds. He’s drawn nicely outside and should have no issue with today’s extra three-sixteenths of a mile. Joker Boy was eliminated at the start when stumbling badly and subsequently was eased in the American Pharoah S.-G1 last month at Santa Anita. Prior to that outing, the son of Practical Joke won his first two starts sprinting over the Del Mar main track, including the I’m Smokin’ S. in a race that produced a strong speed figure, one good enough to make him a major player despite today’s disadvantageous rail post. He adds blinkers, picks up Johnny V., and seems likely to have a strong pace presence throughout. Finneus was another that was overmatched in the American Pharoah S.-G1 when well-beaten by Corniche but shortens to one corner and faces considerably easier state-bred foes, so we’re expecting the son of Stay Thirsty to regain his best form. During the summer season he was a distant but decent runner-up in the Del Mar Futurity-G1 over this track and distance, and with the switch to J. Rosario he should be able to produce a sufficient late kick to at least hit the board.

Notable Workouts

Joker Boy (October 17, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.1h). Grade: B-
In blinkers, broke off a few lengths in front of Touchdown Brown (5f, 1:00.3h) and was ridden some in the closing stages to wind up head-and-head at the wire, splits of :24.3, :36.3 and 1:01.1, okay move, nothing flashy. Sprints only at this stage for stakes winning juvenile.
View Workout Video

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RACE 6: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint. Post: 2:50 PT Grade: B
Use: 8-Averly Jane; 9-One Timer; 11-Derrynane

Forecast: Based on the nature of the Del Mar turf course in five-furlong sprints that presents a quick run from the starting gate to the far turn and an extremely short stretch (817 feet), handicappers must identify those horses with excellent early speed along with those that can be within range and then produce the quick turn of foot required to maneuver through heavy traffic in the final furlong. Deep closers have an almost impossible task, so we’ll concentrate on those with tactical speed. Two proven abbreviated sprint specialists with the proper style for the race are a pair of unbeatens, the W. Ward-trained filly Averly Jane and One Timer, conditioned by L. Rivelli. Averly Jane, perfect in four starts and most recently a winner of the listed Indian Summer S. at Keeneland in her first try on grass, is quick but can produce a second move when challenged in the stretch. Furthermore, she’s shown she’s not a need-the-lead type, having won the Kentucky Juvenile S. in her second career outing from a stalking position. Her numbers are solid – not brilliant, but good enough – and she won coasting to the wire in the Indian Summer while giving indication that she could have reached back for something extra had it been required.

One Timer is three-for-three, having won at Arlington Park and Woodbine (both all-weather races) and then most recently at Santa Anita, where he captured Speakeasy S. with a Beyer speed figure (70) that doesn’t do him justice. The running line suggests that he barely held on in the Speakeasy but in truth he was waiting on his competition and actually galloped out far in front after re-breaking past the wire. The Trappe Shot gelding has shown he can dish out heat and take it as well, and everything he has done in the morning since his last race indicates he has plenty more to give.

Derrynane, like Averly Jane a filly tackling the boys, perhaps is the most dangerous of the closers. She’s likely going to have plenty to do from the top of the stretch to the wire will need good fortune to secure a clear path through traffic, but if the leaders do each other in this daughter of Quality Road had a chance at what should be a substantial price. At least she’s worth including underneath in the horizontal exotics.

Notable Workouts

Averly Jane (October 31, Keeneland, 4f, :53.2b TC DU). Grade: B +
Broke off a length in front of Golden Pal (4f, :53.1b TC DU) for Ward and finished down the lane head-and-head over soft going, both under wraps while appearing sharp and eager. Undefeated filly looks terrific and may be the one beat in the BC Juvenile Turf Sprint.
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies. Post: 3:30 PT Grade: X
Use: 2-Hidden Connection; 5-Echo Zulu

Forecast: Undefeated in three starts, each by daylight and each more impressive than the previous race, two-time Grade 1 winner Echo Zulu tries two-turns for the first time, but based on running style, pedigree, and everything else we can throw in the hopper this terrific 2-year-old filly shouldn’t be the least bit inconvenienced by today’s longer distance. While she gives the impression of being a quick-actioned, sprinter type, the S. Asmussen-trained filly can switch off early and explode late while always providing regular jockey R. Santana, Jr. with the easiest of rides. The daughter of Horse of the Year and leading first-crop stallion Gun Runner has trained like she’ll have plenty more to give whenever asked. She’ll be a logical short-priced favorite to win this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies.

Hidden Connection has won her first two outings by a combined 17 lengths, most recently the two-turn Pocahontas S.-G3 two-turning at Churchill Downs. We can question the quality of the competition she has beaten so far while recognizing that the B. Calhoun-trained daughter of Connect has a dangerous second flight, stalking style that should she keep her trouble free and give her every chance to show what’s she’s made of. We have to think she has the best chance among the others to provide Echo Zulu with some competition.

Notable Workouts:

Echo Zulu (October 31, Del Mar, 4f, :50.1h). Grade: B
Never asked at any stage in easy solo breeze, final quarter mile in :24.3. Plenty fast but not speed crazy and should stay a middle distance in her present mindset.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Breeders’ Cup Fillies Juvenile Turf. Post: 4:10 PT Grade: B+
Use: 6-Hello You, 9-Koala Princess; 13-Mise En Scene

Forecast: The European contingent for this year’s renewal of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf is reasonably formidable but you may be surprised to know that over the years foreigners have badly underperformed in this particular race. Only two overseas shippers have been successful in the 13-year history of the event, though Mise En Scene, a Group-3 stakes winner in three career starts and an unlucky fourth last time out in the Fillies Mile-G1, has credentials to be quite dangerous. The English-bred daughter of Siyouni lacked a clear path when attempting to rally at Newmarket yet still finished a strong fourth in a race that produced a career top Timeform rating. She should easily handle Del Mar’s firm ground while the race’s two-turn trip should be of no concern, either.

That said, we’ll stick with the North American-based Koala Princess as our top pick. Thoroughly convincing in both of her wins, a runaway maiden score on the front end at Monmouth Park followed by an off-the-pace victory (rallying from eighth of 11) in a valuable listed sprint stakes at Kentucky Downs, the daughter of More Than Ready is genuine and versatile. She switches off beautifully in the early stages of her races and then quickens instantly when called upon, so we’re expecting she’ll be even more comfortable as the distances increase.

While Koala Princess and Mis En Scene will receive the bulk of our action, we’ll have a saver ticket or two that includes Hello You, a seasoned European import fresh from a noteworthy score in the 7F Rockfel S.-G2 over the testing (uphill late) Newmarket straightaway course on firm ground in late September. She has plenty of experience (six starts) and Timeform ratings that our fairly decent. Not much improvement, if any, will be needed to make her dangerous right off the plane.

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RACE 9: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Post: 4:50 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Jack Christopher; 3-Oviatt Class; 10-Commandperformance; 12-Corniche

Forecast: The Eclipse Award in the 2-year-old division will be determined along with winter book favoritism for the 2022 Kentucky Derby in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile-G1, which brings together two unbeaten colts, Corniche from the West and Jack Christopher from the East, and several other highly promising colts from the Midwest and various other parts of North America. One thing we’re fairly convinced of is that California’s Corniche is quicker than New York’s Jack Christopher leaving the gate and will be fully committed to be on the lead or at least pressing the pace, whereas ‘Christopher will be content to settle in the second flight if the early pace flow so dictates. Make no mistake, Jack Christopher has proven to be an exceptional colt up to a one-turn mile but as a son of Munnings from a mare by Half Ours he’s no sure thing to improve as the distances increase. Full credit to the colt and his connections if he wins, but at a short price we have lingering doubts.

As for Corniche, there will be no rating tactics employs. He’s a fast colt, a need-the-lead type, and trainer B. Baffert won’t be doing any experimenting. The son of Quality Road, a $1.5 million purchase at the OBS Sale in April, sizzled in his debut sprinting over the Del Mar main track while recording a sensational 98 Beyer speed figure but came back to earth when scoring in gate-to-wire fashion over a strongly biased pro-speed track at Santa Anita in the American Pharoah S.-G1 in his next appearance, earning a somewhat pedestrian 85 Beyer in that victory. Yes, we still like Corniche, but recognize he could be vulnerable due to a volatile pace scenario.

So, let’s take a close look at the two most dangerous closers in the field. Oviatt Class, a four-length maiden winner at Del Mar at mile, made up a ton of ground against the bias to finish a better-than-looked third in the American Pharoah, has trained extremely well since, and represents a genuine threat over a track we know he likes and at a distance that should promote his style. Is he good enough? On paper, maybe not yet, but such are the things that make long shots pull off upsets, especially when you’re dealing with a developing two-year-old sired by Bernardini, whose offspring generally mature later on. Also worth consideration is Commandperformance, a twice-started maiden that closed with courage to finish second to Jack Christopher in the Champagne S.-G1 and seems certain to improve with age, experience, distance, and development, as one would expect from a son of Union Rags. Like Oviatt Class, he’ll need a pace meltdown to have his best chance. It could happen.

Notable Workouts:

Jack Christopher (October 29, Belmont Park, 5f, 1:00.4b). Grade: B+
Breezing every step of the way outside Gerrymander (same time, also under a tight hold) and looked quite sharp as usual, plenty left while appearing eager and right on edge. Can he handle two turns? Hard to be sure (bred to sprint) but may be able to stay a middle distance on class alone.
View Workout Video

Oviatt Class (October 23, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B+
Broke off a few lengths behind Miss Everything (5f, 1:01.3h) and inhaled workmate in the final furlong while under some coaxing, plenty left late splits of :23.4, :35.3 and 1:00.1 for Desormeaux. Stretch runner appears to be improving all the time and broke his maiden over the Del Mar main track during the summer season. Will be rolling late in the B.C, Juvenile.
View Workout Video

Corniche (October 23, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h). Grade: B+
In company inside Enbarr (same time) and did nicely without being asked, splits of :23.1, :48 and 1:00.3 while traveling from the half mile pole to the seven furlong pole, solid work. Maintains his form, probably a need-the-lead type at this stage of his career.
View Workout Video

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RACE 10: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Modern Games; 3-Dakota Gold; 6-Mackinnon; 10-Potfolio Company

Forecast: Modern Games is listed at 5-1 on the morning line and represents an excellent gamble at that price. The tight Del Mar turf course with a short run-in from the top of the stretch to the wire always is problematic and it never should be surprising when the best horse is beaten due to traffic, but this European colt has the type of natural talent and acceleration to win this year’s renewal of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, His rail post position will allow for a ground-saving trip, but he’ll need to be extracted somewhere during the running – preferrable before the field heads up home – to secure his best chance. The C. Appleby-trained son of Dubawi was scintillating in victory at Newmarket in late September when winning the Sommerville S.-G3 while earning an outstanding Timeform rating of 102, and while today will be his first try over a mile the extra distance should only make him more formidable.

Dakota Gold appears to be the most dangerous of the North American contingent. Undefeated in two starts and highly impressive in both, the New York-bred son of Freud won the listed Nownownow S. over a mile on grass at Monmouth Park in his most recent appearance, drawing away with authority despite losing ground while wide most of the way. The D. Gargan-trained colt is drawn comfortable in the three-hole and with a clean break should find himself much closer to the pace than last time, perhaps even as a pace-stalker or presser. He’s highly-competitive on numbers and has plenty of further improvement in him.

Mackinnon, trained locally by D. O’Neill, has won his last three starts in visually pleasing style, with two of those victories accomplished over the same course and distance as today’s race. Not quite as fast on speed figures as Dakota Gold but developing with each outing, the son of American Pharoah likes to settle in mid-pack and then blast home, and with clear sailing from the head of the lane to the wire he’s certain to have a say in the matter in the closing stages. He’s looked terrific in the a.m. in recent weeks, so it’s not likely we’ve seen anything close to his best quite yet.

Notable Workouts:

Mackinnon (October 30, Del Mar, 6f, 1:14.4h). Grade: A-
Can’t verify the official final time but we caught him from the quarter pole to the wire in a sparkling :22.4 without really being asked, full of run while gobbling up the ground in the late stages. Gets better every time we see him.
View Workout Video

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Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Workout Report, Analysis, & Wagering Strategies
Saturday, November 6, 2021


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 10:15 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-One Fast Bro; 7-Via Egnatia

Forecast: One Fast Bro has never been off the board in five starts over the Del Mar turf course and has been no worse than second in each of his last four starts, including a solid runner-up try at this level last month at Santa Anita to subsequent Twilight Derby winner Subconscious. Drawn nicely inside and therefore guaranteed a ground-saving trip, the California-bred son of Coil is fast on figures and projects to settle somewhere in mid-pack and then have every chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. Via Egnatia is raised in class following a pair of recent mid-level claiming victories that earned decent speed figures. He’ll have to step forward to seriously challenge top pick but if the R. Baltas-trained gelding isn’t policed on the front he could take this field a very long way. His record over the local lawn – two wins in four starts – is another positive factor. The bulk of our action will go to One Fast Bro, but we’ll have tickets using both in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 2: Post: 10:50 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Lone Rock; 3-Cupid’s Claws; 4-Tizamagican

Forecast: These main track marathons are few and far between, but they’re always fun to watch, if not wager on. Lone Rock, listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite, was beaten at 10 cents on the dollar in the Grand Prix American Jockey Club S. at Belmont Park in mid-September, going down by length to his same-owner stable mate, the 18-1 long shot Locally Owned. The veteran son of Majestic Warrior and had no visible excuse, but he had won his previous four outings in dominating fashion so let’s operate under the assumption that he’ll bounce back today, though at 6/5 on the morning line he’ll offer little wagering value. Tizamagician, a proven marathoner and especially fond of the Del Mar main track, turned in a career top performance when runner-up to Tripoli in the Pacific Classic and then was below form when fifth after rating tactics were employed in the Awesome Again S.-G1 earlier this month. The son of Tiznow is more than capable of returning to winning form in this lesser assignment and likely will be on or near the lead throughout. Cupid’s Claws appears to be rounding back to form after finishing a close sixth (beaten less than two lengths) in the John Henry Turf Cup-G2 last month. A quality dirt marathoner when he’s on his game, the Kitten’s Joy gelding switches to L. Saez and offers decent price value at 6-1 on the morning line.

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RACE 3: Post: 1:25 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Princess Grace; 7-Going Global

Forecast: Princess Grace and Going Global are difficult to separate. They’re both high class, thoroughly professional race mares who loved to win races, though on pure numbers a very slight edge might have to be given to ‘Grace. The daughter of Karakontie has been beaten just once in seven starts – she was second in the Valley View S-G3 at Saratoga after a premature move – and she’s already ventured to Del Mar once this year, having taken the Yellow Ribbon H.-G2 with a career top speed figure. K. Desormeaux, who was aboard in that win, reprises his role and most likely will have the M. Stidham-trained filly settled comfortably in the second flight before setting her down when the time is right. Going Global, a 3-year-old filly tackling older foes for the first time, has won five of six starts since being imported from Ireland. Most recently, she produced a strong victory in the Del Mar Oaks-G1 and has done extremely good work in the a.m. since that score to keep her right on edge. In a race we’d rather watch than wager on, both should be included in rolling exotic play, with a narrow edge on top to Princess Grace.

Notable Workouts:

Going Global (October 23, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.1h). Grade: B+
Broke off several lengths behind Coulthard and Hollywoodhellraisr (both 5f, 1:00h TT) and closed the gap through the lane to finished lapped on the other two without ever being asked in a highly-impressive training track drill for P. D’Amato, splits of :24.1, :36 flat and :59.3, full of run late. Razor sharp and ready to fire another big shot.
View Workout Video

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RACE 4: Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint. Post: 12:05 PT Grade: X
Single: 5-Gamine

Forecast: Gamine almost certainly will be the shortest-priced favorite in the two-day, 14-race Breeders’ Cup carnival. The public choice in every one of her races, never having closed at odds higher than even money. she’s a winner of nine of 10 outings, the defending race champion, perfect in four starts at this seven-furlong distance, and the likely controlling speed, though she can just as easily stalk and pounce if required. When last seen in late August at Saratoga, the daughter of Into Mischief captured the Ballerina H.-G1 despite wanting to lug out through the lane, and the B. Baffert-trained filly might be vulnerable if she pulls the same stunt at Del Mar, though it should be noted that in her recent workouts she has breezed straight and true for the most part. Simply put, the only way she loses is if she somehow beats herself.

While Bella Sofia usually appears somewhat ordinary in her morning trials, the bargain basement $20,000 Ocala June Sale purchase is an entirely different performer when the lights go on. Successful in five of six career starts and a facile winner of the Test S.-G1 in her only prior outing at seven furlongs, the R. Rodriguez-trained filly isn’t nearly as fast as Gamine on pure numbers, but her figures continue to rise with each start, so a career top performance (which she will need to make a race of it) seems possible. We suspect she’ll wind up a distant second choice in the wagering over Ce Ce, a genuine and versatile West Coast Grade-1 winner but a non-threatening third behind Gamine in the Ballerina S.-G2 two races back and with just one triple-digit Beyer speed figure in her 15-race career.

Notable Workouts:

Gamine (October 30, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h). Grade: B
Easy work, breaking off several lengths behind Ginja (5f, 1:01.4h) and going on by when ready under very light coaxing only, splits of :24.2, :48 flat and 1:00.3 for B. Baffert. Not a scintillating work but more than good enough; will be odds-on in the BC Filly & Mare Sprint.
View Workout Video

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RACE 5: Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint Post: 12:40 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Lieutenant Dan; 5-Arrest Me Red; 6-A Case of You; 10-Gear Jockey

Forecast: Races at five furlong over the Del Mar turf course that offer a short run in from the top of the stretch to the wire present a near impossible task for the deep closers and an extremely difficult one for those not able to be within striking range right from the bell. Traffic can be a huge issue in a 14-runner field. Horses that save ground somewhere in mid-pack and wait for an opening must possess an electric turn of foot when the opportunity presents itself. Taking the overland route isn’t necessarily advised either, though at least those rallying wide have the opportunity to build momentum. Jockeys who are not accustomed to the short stretch often wait until the field straightens for home to make their move, but by then it’s often too late. Best place to be? On a clear early lead (that would be lovely), in a pace-stalking position, or in the second flight in the middle lanes, where a jockey can choose a viable path - either inside or outside - depending upon where and when room develops.

It’s more than likely that the group with finish in a heap, so a spread strategy in rolling exotic play is required. Whether or not he’s good enough remains to be seen, but the lightly raced and rapidly improving Arrest Me Red has the style and profile for the course and upside that some of the others might not have. A winner of four of six career starts, including the recent Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational-G1 with a career top 100 Beyer speed figure (making him a solid threat based on that number alone), the son of Pioneerof the Nile can win on the lead or from a stalking position, so if he has the good fortune to break running the W. Ward-trained sophomore will almost certainly have every chance to fire his best shot. We actually like him quite a bit better than his lower-priced stable mate Golden Pal, who is the quicker of the two but is slower on speed figures and vulnerable under pressure in the final furlong.

A Case of You arrives fresh from a career top performance when winning the prestigious Prix de l’Abbaye-G1 over the five-furlong straightaway course at Longchamp. Very much like Arrest Me Red, he’s a 3-year-old with rapidly improving form. Interestingly, he was assigned a Timeform rating of 122 in that victory, eight points better than what Glass Slipper earned in her win in that same race last year. He’s not particularly quick during the early stages of his races and as such may be taking the worst of it at Del Mar, but it’s safe to say that his closing kick matches anything in the field and with good racing luck the Irish-bred colt has a chance to make some serious noise in the final furlong.

Lieutenant Dan is a perfect two-for-two over the Del Mar course and distance, and while we’ve never considered him to be a world class grass sprinter, this California-bred gelding is a winner of four of his last five starts and has speed figures that fit. He’s proven to be quick enough to secure a favorable early position and generally provides a second move under pressure close home, so we’ll respect the S. Miyadi-trained gelding enough to include him on our ticket.

Gear Jockey earned a career top speed figure winning a Grade-3 sprint stakes at Kentucky Downs in mid-September, but the Del Mar course and distance couldn’t be more different, so we really can’t use that race to promote his chances under these conditions. However, the son of Twirling Candy has a dangerous late kick and could make an impact if the pace types falter and he get the opportunity to build up his moment with clear sailing from the head of the lane to the wire. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him at least hit the board.

As for Glass Slippers, she reproduced the same electric closing kick that had resulted in her 2020 victory at Longchamp when pulling off a 10-1 surprise in the B.C. Turf Sprint last year. She’s back to defend her crown, but she had an extra half-furlong and a longer stretch to work with at Keeneland and benefitted from a rather fortunate journey to register the upset from off the pace. Winless in three starts this year and under the conditions that really don’t suit her style at Del Mar, the English-bred mare is bet-against.

Notable Workouts:

Lieutenant Dan (October 29, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.4h TT). Grade: B
Usually a lazy sort in the a.m. but went well (for him) in this solo half mile training track drill, late changing leads but finishing with a bit more interest than usual, final three furlongs in :12.1 and :36.2. Always fires his best shot when it counts and is perfect over the Del Mar turf course.
View Workout Video

Arrest Me Red (October 31, Keeneland, 4f, :51.4b TC DU). Grade: B
Breezing work around dogs over soft course stalking Kaufymaker (4f, :52b, TC DU) and finishing down the lane with that one, both under a tight hold with both appearing to be eager and have plenty of energy. Sharp breeze despite slow final time.
View Workout Video

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RACE 6: Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile. Post: 1:30 PT Grade:
Use: 3-Ginobili; 5-Life Is Good

Forecast: It appears that Life Is Good has no chinks in his armor. Perhaps for the purpose of finding “value” you may be inclined to try to beat the obvious heavy favorite in this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile, but as hard as we’ve looked, we can locate nothing on his resume that suggests he won’t fire his best shot. Clearly the speed of the speed, this gifted front-runner showed in his 2-year-old debut last year that he can easily cope with Del Mar’s main track when he crushed maidens by more than nine lengths. During the winter, he won both of his two-turn races - each at the expense of subsequent Kentucky Derby-G1 first place finisher Medina Spirit – before suffering an injury that prevented a Triple Crown campaign. Beaten in a photo in a superlative effort off the bench by Jackie’s Warrior in the H. A. Jerkens Memorial S.-G1 at Saratoga in August in his first start in almost six months for new trainer T. Pletcher, the son of Into Mischief didn’t have any negative reaction from that tough, grueling effort. He returned to toy with his outclassed foes in the Kelso H.-G2 in late September in a race that was strategically chosen to easily tick him over for this much more important event.

Ginobili was always cut out to be a decent sort of racehorse – he finished a close second to undefeated Nadal in the 7F San Vicente S.-G2 as a 3-year-old – but it’s only been in his last two starts that the son of Munnings has truly become a legitimate top-class main track miler. Both of those outstanding victories, a runaway allowance win followed by an equally sharp performance in the Pat O’Brien S.-G2, were accomplished over the quirky Del Mar dirt surface. Local players know that there is no track on the West Coast in which the horse-for-course angle plays a more significant role in the handicapping process than at Del Mar. For that reason alone, you have to afford the R. Baltas-trained gelding something of a legitimate look and therefore use him as a small saver or a back-up in rolling exotic play.

Notable workouts:

Life Is Good (October 29, Belmont Park, 4f, :49.3b TT). Grade: B+
Under a stout hold throughout, full of run for T. Pletcher while being kept on edge for the Breeders’ Cup Mile. Ready for a career top performance, it would seem.
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. Post: 3:37 PT Grade: B+
Use: 4-Rougir; 6-Love; 7-War Like Goddess; 8-Love Only You; 12-Audarya

Forecast: There have been several excellent renewals of the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf, but none as deep and contentious as this one, at least in recent years. There are at least five in the field that could, or should, be favored and are very difficult to separate. Love, believed to be only a small notch below Breeders’ Cup Turf-G1 favorite Tarnawa, was pre-entered in that race as well as the B.C. Filly & Mare Turf-G1, with trainer Aidan O’Brien ultimately opting to keep the daughter of Galileo with the girls. A five-time Group-1 winner in England but somewhat disappointing in her last three winless starts, she nonetheless is more than capable of winning a race of this quality with her top performance. The $1.8 million earner (and a winner of seven of 14 career starts) has the type of tactical speed that should keep her within striking range no matter how the pace flow unfolds, and while she was tagged right on the wire when nosed out as the favorite in the Blandford S.-G3 at The Curragh last time she hit the front too soon and probably doesn’t even know she lost. If there is a concern, is that her blood wasn’t right earlier in the month, necessitating her withdrawal from a scheduled appearance on Champions Day at Ascot earlier this month. She’s been deemed healthy enough by trainer A. O’Brien to have made the trip the Del Mar, so we’ll approach this race under the assumption she’s set to perform to high her standards.

War Like Goddess can’t quite boast the glitzy resume that Love can, but that doesn’t mean that she’s not just as good. Successful in six of seven career starts, her last three by daylight with ease and confidence, the daughter of English Channel owns an intense turn of foot that can neutralize any type of pace flow. According to her speed figures, she has produced a forward move in every one of her career starts and may need another one to defeat Love. But there’s no reason to believe she can’t rise to the occasion.

Audarya is the defending B.C. Filly & Mare champion, having won this race at Keeneland last year at odds of 17-1. She won’t be that price today. Her extreme outside post position number 12 is of no concern for a filly that will lag early and explode late, and though she was a close fourth to Rougir in the Prix de l’Opera-G1 in France last month over heavy ground, today’s firm grass course should bring out her best. Winless in five starts this year but with Timeform ratings that say she’s every bit as good now as ever, the French-bred filly is a “must use” at 5-1 on the morning line.

Love Only You showed her quality last winter on the world’s stage when finishing a superb third – beaten just a half-length – behind Mishriff in the Dubai Sheema Classic, then went to Hong Kong to win a Group-1 race less than a month later. The pride of Japan, a winner of six of 14 races arrives fresh after 10 weeks of vacation time and if she brings her best stuff she’s more than capable of winning.

If you have room on your rolling exotic ticket, you probably should consider including Rougir, at least as a back-up or a saver. Her recent win at Longchamp was well-earned, though a case could be made that the deep going promoted her chances. She’s listed at 6-1 on the morning line, a decent sort of price for a Group-1 winning French filly who has won or been beaten a neck or less in each of her last four starts.


Notable Workouts:

War Like Goddess (October 31, Del Mar, 4f, :48.1h). Grade: B+
Worked alone on main track while displaying plenty of energy and looking as good as ever, final quarter mile without being asked in a sharp :23.3. Has never taken a backward move according to her speed figures and looks ready for another career top in the B.C. Filly & Mare Turf.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Breeders’ Cup Sprint Post: 2:38 PT Grade:
Use: 2-Jackie’s Warrior; 9-Dr. Schivel

Forecast: After a brief flirtation with distance racing early in 2021 to determine his viability for the spring classics, Jackie’s Warrior was returned to his roots as a dominating one-turn specialist and is every bit deserving of his 6/5 favorite’s role in this year’s Breeders’ Cup Sprint-G1. Thoroughly impressive when earning terrific speed figures in each of his last three outings, all wins, the S. Asmussen-trained colt most recently was assigned a career top 110 Beyer number when capturing the Gallant Bob S.-G2 under wraps. However, it was his performance two runs back that was his most impressive. In stalking and then out-finishing the brilliant Life Is Good in the H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.-G1 at Saratoga, the son of Maclean’s Music displayed championship qualities that are expected to continue under regular rider J. Rosario in a race that he projects to control from gate to wire.

Dr. Schivel is comfortably drawn on the far outside, which means the gifted son of Violence can pop and go or stalk and pounce. He’ll need a significant amount of improvement to put a scare into Jackie’s Warrior, but the twice-beaten in seven starts sophomore is a perfect three-for-three over the Del Mar main track and thus owns the home court advantage. Whether or not he’s good enough can be questioned but from all indications – including his appearance and his workouts – the M. Glatt-trained colt is prepared for a career top effort. He is worth including somewhere on your ticket for protection.

Notable Workouts:

Jackie’s Warrior (October 31, Del Mar, 3f, :36.4h). Grade: B+
Under a hammerlock through the lane while appearing ready to explode, final quarter mile in :24.3. Should handle the Del Mar main track without any issues.
View Workout Video

Dr. Schivel (October 30, Santa Anita, 5f, :58.2h). Grade: B+
Broke off behind Deservedly (5f, :58.3h) and finished down the lane with workmate to be head-and-head at the wire, splits of :23.2, :34.3 and :58.2, niggled at late, solid work for high class sprinter who always seems to save his best for the afternoon. Loves the Del Mar main track and will lay his body down when trying to stay with Jackie’s Warrior.
View Workout Video

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RACE 9: Breeders’ Cup Mile. Post: 3:20 PT Grade: A-
Single: 3-Space Blues

Forecast: Simply stated, European invader Space Blues is an exceptional racehorse and is superior to his North American counterparts. A winner of 10 of 18 career starts, including seven of his last 10 (all in top class stakes company), the five-year-old son of Dubawai will be stretching out to a mile for the first time following a recent series of outstanding seven furlong performances, but he should have no problem with today’s extra distance and in fact gives every indication that he’ll be quite comfortable over the Del Mar turf course’s tight layout and the extremely firm ground that it offers. From a good inside draw, world class jockey W. Buick can settle somewhere in mid-pack with cover and sit still to the far turn, at which time he’ll need to find room to allow the C. Appleby-trained horse to uncork the type of acceleration than none of his rivals can match. He’s the morning line favorite at 3-1 and deservedly so. Somewhere along the sequence we have to take a stand, and it’s in this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Mile that we will do just that. There’s always a traffic issue to worry about in a 14 runner event over a course with a short run to the wire after the field straightens for home but with any degree of good racing luck, we’re confident the Irish-bred veteran will deliver the goods in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 10: Breeders’ Cup Distaff. Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Malathaat; 6-Letruksa

Forecast: Letruska has won 17 of 22 races during her career, including six out of seven in 2021, and will deserve plenty of support in the year-end voting for Horse of the Year. She is as genuine and consistent as they come and is the deserved 8/5 morning line favorite for this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Distaff-G1. Always most effective as the controlling speed, the Kentucky-bred daughter of Super Saver will once again be on the front end, though there are others in the field, such as Private Mission, Horologist, and Shedaresthedevil, that will allow no breathers along the way. She will have to earn it.

Malathaat, clearly the best 3-year-old filly in North America, steps out of her comfort zone as she faces older mares for the first time, and, yes, she will need a career top effort to defeat Letruska and the others. We think she is capable of doing just that. A winner of six of seven career outings including three Grade-1’s, she has been freshened since winning the Alabama S.-G1 at Saratoga in August and has trained like a filly that is both physically and mentally ready to take on the new challenge. Most of Curlin’s offspring get better with age, maturity, and distance, and this T. Pletcher-trained 3-year-old seems primed to make the next leap. Based on the projected race flow, Johnny V. can settle somewhere in the second flight behind those that will be dealing with Letruska during the early stages of the race. He’ll move closer as the field enters the far turn. Then he’ll push the button. We’ll be gambling that she’ll provide the proper response.

Notable Workouts:

Malathaat (October 29, Belmont Park, 5f, 1:01.1h TT). Grade: B+
Breezing throughout outside Vindictive (same time) for T. Pletcher, never asked a drop while proving best late by a long head. Couldn’t be looking any better, ready for a career top performance.
View Workout Video
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RACE 11: Breeders’ Cup Turf. Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B+
Use: 7-Walton Street; 8-Broome; 13-Tarnawa

Forecast: European shippers have won 17 of the past 22 renewals of the Breeders’ Cup Turf, so it makes perfect sense to first focus on the foreign contingent in researching and handicapping this $4,000,000 mile and one-half marathon. Defending race champion Tarnawa returns to defend her crown and based on her current form appears to be every bit as good this year as last. She’s fresh, too, having had just three starts in 2021. A winner of a Group-3 affair in Ireland in early August in her seasonal bow, she next ran arguably the best race of her career when narrowly missing to likely European Horse of the Year St Mark’s Basilica in the Irish Champion S.-G1 the following month. Then, most recently, the D. Weld-trained mare lost nothing in defeat when second, beaten less than a length, in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe-G1 at Longchamp three weeks ago. Effective on any ground but quite comfortable over the extremely firm, pool table-type grass track at Del Mar, the five-year-old mare is blessed with an intense turn of foot and can be expected to produce a winning late kick, assuming she has the good fortune of to avoid traffic trouble from the top of the stretch to the wire.

At seven years of age, the English-based Walton Street has never been better. His 119 British Race Form figure earned in his nearly six-length romp in the Canadian International S.-G1 at Woodbine in mid-September was a career top, and to place that in context with our top pick, that rating was just three points below the one assigned to Tarnawa in her recent ‘Arc runner-up performance. The C. Appleby-trained gelding is hardly out of his element against world class competition and is a “must use” somewhere on your ticket.

Price players may want to toss in Broome. Why not include a European-based, Group-1 winning millionaire trained by A. O’Brien and ridden by Frankie? Originally listed at 20-1 on the morning line (he may go lower after the scratch of the major contender Domestic Spending), the five-year-old stayer has Timeform ratings that fit with most of these and will offer value in the vertical exotics even if he just manages to hit the board.

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RACE 12: Breeders’ Cup Classic. Post: 5:40 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Hot Rod Charlie; 4-Essential Quality; 8-Medina Spirit

Forecast:This much we’re certain of: Knicks Go will attempt to employ his usual gate-to-wire tactics in the 2021 Breeders’ Cup Classic-G1. How many of his nine wins were accomplished when he failed to make the early running? That number would be zero.
But unlike in his three most recent dominating front-running victories - the Corn Husker H.-G3, the Whitney S.-G1, and the Lukas Classic-G1 - the other main players in this race aren’t simply going to hand him the front end on a silver platter. This time, he’ll have to work to get the lead and work even harder to keep it. Medina Spirit, himself victorious in five of nine career outings, each in wire-to-wire fashion, may not be as committed to the front as Knicks Go, but there’s no way he’ll be backing off early. In fact, if Medina Spirit can somehow outrun Knicks Go early as his connections certainly hope he can, the B. Baffert-trained colt may be quite capable of reproducing his runaway score in the Awesome Again S.-G1, the race last month that produced his highest-rated victory in a career that remains highlighted by his first place finish in the Kentucky Derby-G1.

Where does the projected race flow leave Hot Rod Charlie? Probably in an ideal second flight, stalking position, similar to the trip he enjoyed when crossing the wire first in the Haskell Invitational G-1, a victory that was taken from him due to the carelessness of his jockey, F. Prat, who caused a mid-stretch spill. ‘Charlie returned to win the Pennsylvania Derby-G1 in September with a career top 111 Beyer speed figure that Knicks Go has exceeded just once in his 23-race career and four points better than anything Medina Spirit has ever achieved. A string of typically strong recent workouts suggests the D. O’Neill-trained colt still has additional improvement in him, and at anywhere near his morning line of 4-1 the son of Oxbow offers excellent wagering value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

Essential Quality, the colt that edged Hot Rod Charlie in the Belmont S.-G1 and then subsequently won both the Jim Dandy S.-G2 and Travers S.-G1, remains the leader for an Eclipse Award in the 3-year-old colt division, but in his first start since late August the son of Tapit surely will need a career top effort to win what is expected to be his final career race. He’s been beaten just once in nine lifetime outings – he was fourth without mishap behind Medina Spirit in the Kentucky Derby-G1 – and while we may question the ceiling of his natural talent there’s no doubting his will. Our first inclination was to leave him off our ticket, but we’re doing that with Knicks Go., so for now, he’s on. He’s simply too good of a racehorse.

Notable Workouts:

Hot Rod Charlie (October 30, Del Mar, 7f, 1:26.4h). Grade: B+
Broke off behind Khantoro d’Oro (5f, 1:01.2h) and after using that one as a target easily drew clear through the under mild coaxing before traveling out all the way around to the six furlong pole, :24.3, :36.3, 1:00 flat (to the wire) and 1:12.3 to the seven furlong pole before galloping out in 1:26.3. Coming up to the Classic as good as one would want.
View Workout Video

Medina Spirit (October 29, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:11.3h). Grade: B+
In company inside Ax Man (same time) for B. Baffert while working from the five furlong pole around to the seven furlong pole, splits of :24.1, :35.3, :59.2 and 1:11.3, easy to the top then mildly coaxed through the lane to prove a tad the best in yet another strong drill. Comes up to the Classic with a strong foundation and is plenty fit for his best effort.
View Workout Video

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:06 AM
Jeremy Plonk: Laurel $10 Free Bet Analysis: Friday, Nov. 5, 2021

November 4, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

A big-time Friday of racing coast-to-coast surrounds the opening day of the Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar. Get your TGIF off to a flying start with a $10 free bet in the Laurel Park early pick four when you play on the 1/ST BET or Xpressbet platforms. That’s right, you’ll get up to a $10 refund in wagering credits – win, lose or draw.

Laurel Park // Race 2 // 1:04 pm ET // maiden claiming // 1-1/8 miles (turf)

Class-dropping Narmer should improve second off the layoff and taking on easier foes; that was no easy task going 1-1/8 miles vs. maiden special weights after a 12-month absence. Graham Motion trainees win 25% on the MSW to MCL class drop. At 7-2 morning line, this is the top pick. The 9-5 morning line favorite Surfing leaves restricted New Jersey-bred company for the red-hot jockey/trainer combo of Johan Rosado and Claudio Gonzalez. They teamed to win 3 of 4 tandem starts last week at Laurel.

Include: #4 Narmer, #8 Surfing

Also consider: also-eligbles #12-#16 all are considerations if drawn in.

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Laurel Park // Race 3 // 1:42 pm ET // claiming // 7 furlongs

In a race for non-winners of 3 lifetime, 3-year-olds are eligible to run despite their level of prior success. Five-time winner Mi Cleopatra and I stands out while making her second start since coming to trainer Keiron Magee. She exits a fast 6-furlong race for the level, takes a class drop and should handle these. The only caveat is the 7-furlong distance, which she’s yet to try, but there’s nothing in her pedigree to think she can’t handle a bit more.

Include: #4 Mi Cleopatra and I

Also consider: #5 Supreme Blessing, #1 Walk It Out Nanny

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Laurel Park // Race 4 // 2:16 pm ET // claiming // 5-1/2 furlongs

Big Tall Dawg has been facing tougher in recent starts and knocking on the door. While it’s only 5-1/2 furlongs here, there’s a lot of cheap speed that will be fading and Big Tall Dawg consistently finishes stronger than these. Absent a troubled trip, which should not be a big deal with only 6 rivals, expect this one to finish the deal.

Include: #1 Big Tall Dawg

Also consider: #3 Belmullet, #4 Pepe and Heywood

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Laurel Park // Race 5 // 2:48 pm ET // maiden claiming // 1 mile

Big field of 11 has only one obvious toss-out. This will be the spread race to try and catch a bit of a price. For those looking to narrow, preference goes to Gulfstream transfer Power G (15-1 ML), who arrives in Maryland for a high-percentage barn. Axxetator makes plenty of sense off a Delaware third behind a horse who came back to win a Laurel maiden claiming $16,000-level race a notch below this one. Class dropper Natagar goes for a hot barn, Damon Dilodovico (7: 3-1-1 last week at Laurel), while Auction Kingdom makes the often advantageous move from maiden special weight to maiden claiming.

Include: All except #4 Made to Be Lucky (10 runners)

Also consider: none

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Pick Four Ticket

4,8 with 4 with 1 with 1,2,3,5,6,7,8,9,10,11 ($10 for each $.50 play)

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Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:07 AM
Rocket Picks ��: Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, and Del Mar Picks for November 5, 2021

By: Aaron Halterman

It’s Breeders’ Cup FRIDAY! Today, this article will feature a free middle Pick 4 from Del Mar, in hopes of building up the bankroll for the final sequences of the day. If you are traveling to Del Mar this weekend, enjoy, and we hope to see you there!

Below is our free middle Pick 4 for Del Mar:

Race 4: Senator Ken Maddy Stakes

#8 Superstition gets back to the California circuit today after running solid at Kentucky Downs last time out. She is a very consistent runner. #2 A G Indy has hit the board in three straight starts, and won her last two races over this track.

Race 5: Golden State Juvenile Stakes

#1 Joker Boy drops down in class for this race after facing much tougher last time out. He fits in a lot better with this group. #11 Slow Down Andy also makes sense in this race from a class standpoint. His Timeform figures match up pretty well with todays group.

Race 6: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G1)

# 1 Twilight Jet draws the rail in this spot, which might help him get the job done. He is very interesting at 15-1, and brings international form with him. #8 Averly Jane will look to take this field gate to wire. She is the fastest horses in the race early.

Race 7: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)

#5 Jujus Map has already won at this distance, which seems to be a big advantage over her rivals. #6 Echo Zulu has been brilliant in all three of her races so far this year. The only question mark is the distance, but she has not shown in weaknesses yet.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:07 AM
Breeders’ Cup Late Pick 4 Analysis & Wager

November 4, 2021 | By Johnny D


Breeders’ Cup is the annual time to take your best shot at some deep fields of talented horses. Horseplayers don’t get chances like this very often, so we’d love to take advantage of a limited opportunity. For certain, there’s nothing easy about handicapping BC races. Horses arriving from around the world make sorting out Cup contenders a bit like trying to find matching socks in the dark. There’s lots of touch and feel, some guessing, but little clarity and no certainty.

Best advice? Fine one or two runners that you really like. Hang your hat on them and spread in races where you feel unsure about outcomes. One thing’s for sure, there will be surprise winners. Always are. If you can be skilled and lucky enough to create tickets that lean on your best opinions and also include aggressive winners at big prices, riches can be yours.

A life changing score? Well, guess that depends on your life, doesn’t it? From this corner of the room we’ll be happy cashing a ticket or two Friday and Saturday. We’ve spent past BC Sunday’s licking wounds. We’ve also spent some celebrating in another country after a big hit. Know what? We don’t remember any of the wound-licking specifics, but we sure do recall how sweet the margaritas tasted by that private pool.

Below is one man’s humble opinion of Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Late Pick 4 and suggested tickets.

Drink up!

9th Race
Mile -- $2 Million
Three-Year-Olds & Upward
One Mile (Turf)

Overview: Last year, for only the second time in history, Euro-based runners finished 1-2-3 in this race. Don’t think that will happen again in this talent-rich, deep renewal. A couple of locals must be considered, especially since there doesn’t seem to be an abundance of early speed. North American-based runners, as reported in Xpressbet’s Free Breeders’ Cup Wager Guide, hold a 22-15 edge over invaders and there have been 10 filly or mare winners.

#1 Master of the Seas is a 3-year-old colt that hails from the recently torrid Charlie Appleby outfit. He was seventh in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot in October at 11-1. He’s only started twice since May—also third in the Gr. 2 Unibet Joel Stakes in September. We know enough not to lightly dismiss anything trained by Appleby. The rail should guarantee a ground saving trip for this guy and if he should get through on the inside…? In a wide-open race he should be considered.

#2 Smooth Like Straight is a Cal-based 4-year-old who’s finished second to #6 Mo Forza in his last two races. Like ‘Mo, this guy is a tough competitor with 7 wins in 18 starts, 6 seconds and 2 thirds. He’s been first or second in 5 out of 5 Del Mar starts and 8 of 9 first or second at the distance! You may beat him, but you’ll know you’ve been in a fight. This colt also has some early speed in a race without much of that and with this post position should be in a great spot throughout.

#3 Space Blues is a Charlie Appleby runner (also #1 Master of the Seas) that won his last start—Group 1 Quatar Prix de la Foret at Longchamp by 2 lengths. That was over a ‘heavy’ course and Del Mar’s layout will be the opposite of that. No matter, this 5-year-old horse is in great form—he won the race before that, too—so he has to be considered in the Mile. He races from off the pace, so he’ll need a trip and he could get overplayed based on his recent success in Europe. A winner of 10 of 18 with 3 seconds and 1 third, he can’t be dismissed but may not be a great bargain is he takes too much money.

#4 Raging Bull is a 6-year-old trained by Chad Brown. Normally, that’s enough for anyone to include this horse on their tickets. The complete horse has 1 win this year and 1 last year against top stateside competition. He comes from off the pace and will need to get lucky with a clear trip. Rolling the dice with this 1 for 1 at Del Mar runner isn’t the worst idea but he’ll need things to break well for him.

#5 Vin De Garde arrives from Japan to find a deep field of foes. This 5-year-old horse was second in the Gr. 1 Dubai Turf at Meydan in March going one mile and one-eighth. He’s more familiar with the one-mile trip and has 4 wins in 10 starts there. He would be surprise winner…and we know BC has had those.

#6 Mo Forza is a pro with 8 wins in 14 starts, 3 seconds and 1 third. He’s had physical issues and only started twice this year—both wins. He loves Del Mar – 3 for 6 with 2 seconds and the distance 6 for 8 with 1 second. He’s got a 4-race winning streak that stretches to August of ’20. A defeat in the one mile and three-sixteenths Gr. 1 Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational (too far) is the only blemish on what could be an impressive 8-race winning streak! There are so many things to like about this guy that we’ve got him as our top pick and a ‘must use’ in here.

#7 In Love was razor sharp in winning the Gr. Keeneland Turf Mile last out at 12-1. This 5-year-old gelding has now won 3 in a row for low-profile trainer Paulo Lobo and comes from well off the pace. He will need to get lucky turning for home to find room for his late kick. Along with others, he may find the short-ish Del Mar stretch a challenge.

#8 Hit the Road has won 6 of 12 overall, 2 of 4 at Del Mar and 6 of 11 at the distance. He’s got a nice style, too, that should find him just off the early pace. He’s been trouble prone and a clear trip would enhance his chances. Mile foes #6 Mo Forza and #2 Smooth Like Straight have gotten the best of him in the last 2 but by slim margins. If one likes either ‘Mo or ‘Smooth, and we do, we’ve got to give this fellow some consideration.

#9 Mother Earth is a 3-year-old filly making her ninth start of ’21. That’s quite a bit of racing for a young Euro-based lady. Facing older foes is nothing new for her—her last five races have been in open competition and her most recent—fifth in the Gr. 1 Queen Elizabeth II came against older males. Overall, she’s just 3 for 16 and at the end of a long season.

#10 Blowout is a front-running Chad Brown-trained 5-year-old mare who took the Gr. 1 First Lady at Keeneland in wire-to-wire fashion. She’s won 5 of 14—2 of those wins this year after 3 second-place finishes in as many tries last year. There’s not a lot of speed in here and that gives her a bit of a puncher’s chance to hang around.

#11 Got Stormy is a 6-year-old mare who’s won 2 of 5 this year. She has some tactical pace in a race without much of that. She defeated males most recently in the Gr. 1 Four Star Dave at Saratoga. She’s 1 for 1 at Del Mar and 10 for 20 at the distance. At six, we’re not in love with her chances but contention runs deep in this race and she’s a pro.

#12 Pearls Galore stretches out from a runner-up finish in the Gr. 1 Prix de la Foret against males last out to this one mile journey at Del Mar. That’s nice progression for this 4-year-old filly with 4 wins in 11 starts. That race was over ‘heavy’ ground and the firm Del Mar course could be more suitable to the multiple Gr. 3 winner. She just missed in the one-mile Gr. 1 Justify Matron Stakes in Ireland. She’s under the radar in here but we like that prep. The post does her no favors, however.

#13 Casa Creed has no speed and last won the six-furlong, Gr. 1 Jaipur in June at Belmont. He was also pre-entered in the Turf Sprint and often falls between route and sprint cracks. Just 2-12 at the distance.

#14 Ivar is one of two Lobo-trained runners in here. This 5-year-old horse hasn’t won since taking the Gr. 1 Shadwell Turf Mile at Keeneland last year, just before finishing fourth in the BC Mile. He was just two lengths behind upset winner Order of Australia. He’s made just two starts this year, so one wonders if he’s as good as he was last season.

Also Eligible
#15 Real Appeal needs a defection to draw into the race and this post will be a ‘killer’ going one mile on turf at Del Mar.

#16 Queen Supreme is a 5-yearold mare that was well beaten last out in Great Britain. She is a Group 1 winner in South Africa and would have her hooves filled in the Mile while breaking from this outside post position.

Must Use: #6
Chances: #1, #2, #3, #7, #8

Race 10
Distaff - $2 Million
Fillies & Mares, Three-Years-Old & Upward
One Mile & One-Eighth

Overview: The Distaff could be the crowning of Letrushka as the top filly or mare in North America…or, the race could produce a stunning upset of the top ranked mare. #1 Private Mission will have oodles to say about how this one turns out. 24 of 37 winners of this race have been 3-1 odds or less, including in 9 of 14 events in California. Kentucky-based trainers have won the last 4 Distaffs and 3-year-olds have win the race 11 times.

#1 Private Mission is a 3-year-old filly from the Bob Baffert stable with early speed and the rail. That’s a dangerous combination. Add to the mix that this filly has won her last 3 starts—most recently a pair in graded races—and you have the makings of an upset possibility. This filly needs to improve to defeat #6 Letrushka, for sure, but she’s young, sharp, CA-based and in the hands of a Hall of Fame trainer. If she doesn’t win, she at least will make #6 Letrushka work early.

#2 Royal Flag is a 5-year-old, Chad Brown-trained mare coming off a strong win in the Gr. 2 Beldame. She’s won 6 of 12 lifetime and been a victim of Letrushka’s twice before, although she’s been close to the favorite. A sharp filly or mare always is a danger and if #1 Private Mission can make #6 Letrushka hustle up front…maybe it sets up for this mare.

#3 Malathaat is a 3-year-old filly with 6 of 7 wins to her credit. She’s likely to be reasonably close to Letrushka in the early going as jockey John Velazquez won’t want to let the favorite get too far away. Malathaat will need to continue to improve to topple the giant and probably need help up front to soften up #6 Letrushka.

#4 Blue Stripe makes a first US start in here from native Argentina. She’s a mystery horse who’s been in the country for a long while, training in California and pointing for this race. If she can win the Distaff of an extended layoff…salute!

#5 Clairiere exploded with her best race ever when winning the Gr. 1 Cotillion at Parx last out. That effort either was a one-off performance or the start of something big. She comes from off the pace and would appreciate an up-front melt down. This field is much better than the one she faced outside of Philly but a sharp 3-year-old filly is not to be trifled with.

#6 Letrushka is a deserving favorite and is expected to make it 6 wins in a row and 7 of the last 8. She’s a speedy mare who dares foes to either run with her early or catch her late. She’s had a long season—7 races this year with breaks in Feb., May, July and September. She’s clearly the one to beat and, while there are suitable challengers with upset-minded connections, she’s probably going to be a handful.

#7 Horologist is a 5-year-old mare with speed that will hound favored #6 Letrushka early. That strategy may not help this runner, as she gets a bit late in races, but it may help some of the others in here.

#8 Shedaresthedevil is a 4-year-old filly with 9 wins in 16 starts, a Del Mar victory in 2 tries and a win at the distance in 2 attempts. She’s trained by Brad Cox, the man of this year and last. She’s got speed and will stalk #6 Letrushka and #1 Private Mission early, waiting for one or both to crack. If they do…she’ll attempt to pounce like she did in winning the Gr. 1 Clement Hirsch here at Del Mar in August.

#9 As Time Goes By is trained by Bob Baffert and appears to be headed back toward her best. She finished second to stablemate #1 Private Mission last out. She’ll need to keep progressing to win this.

#10 Marche Lorraine invades from Japan and would surprise.

#11 Dunbar Road closed well to be second to #6 Letrushka last out at Keeneland. She also was unable to run down the Distaff favorite in the Gr. 1 Personal Ensign at Saratoga. To this 5-year-old mare’s credit she’s been close. She’s another that would appreciate a hot pace battle up front.

Pace Makes the Race: #1, #6
Late: #2, #5, #8, #11

Race 11
Turf - $4 Million
Three-Year-Olds & Upward
One Mile & One-Half (Turf)

Overview: There’s not much speed in this race, but what’s there should keep things honest enough up front. 9-5 favorite and defending champ Tarnawa is drawn in the 13 hole and that could pose a problem for her. Euros have won 17 of the last 22 Turfs, 5 of the last 6 and 7 of 14 in California. Race favorites have been in the top 3 finishers the last 6 years. 5 fillies or mares have won the race, 3 of the last 6.

#1 Rockemperor probably will save ground from this rail position for trainer Chad Brown. He’s a 5-year-old with a sharp last out Gr. 1 Turf Classic win that fits pretty well in here. It was the best race of a 20-start career, so he’s either back on track or knocked out by the run. In Brown’s hands he could just be finding his best stride again. He’s 1 for 3 at the distance and a big price.

#2 United loves Del Mar – 3 wins, 2 seconds in 6 starts and has 1 win and 2 seconds at the distance. Most recently he earned a nose victory in the Gr. 2 John Henry Turf Cup. That was a good effort and at 6-years-old is still posting relative numbers in every other race. This is not one of the ‘other’ races. He was eighth in this event last year but nearly shocked the world when second at 50-1 in the Turf in ’19.

#3 Domestic Spending is a 4-year-old from the Chad Brown stable with 6 wins in 8 starts. This guy’s always right there and can’t be dismissed, even at a new distance. He has a win in his only Del Mar turf start. He’s earned the right to be on your Turf ticket.

#4 Astronaut has advanced steadily for trainer John Shirreffs and won the Gr. 2 Del Mar Handicap last out. He comes from off the pace and will need to improve more to have a big say in here. He’s one of those you could use in exotics in case he makes another forward step.

#5 Tribhuvan is a 5-year-old Chad Brown-trained performer with 5 wins in 20 starts. He’s got some pace in a race without much of that other than from #6 Acclimate. Expect these two to lead the field as far as they can go. Left alone on the lead this gelding is dangerous, but he should have company early.

#6 Acclimate will set the pace for the Turf but it’s doubful he can last at this distance where he’s 0-3. The 7-year-old is just 1 for 6 over the Del Mar turf.

#7 Walton Street scored a huge win for hot trainer Charlie Appleby last out in the Gr. 1 Canadian International. That was the 7-year-old’s first race in North America, and he was a short-priced favorite. Recent Timeform Ratings suggest he fits on his best day, and he’s clearly feeling well. This season he’s had the best form in a long time. He’s 5 of 13 at the distance and a victory would strike a blow for greybeards everywhere.

#8 Broome exits a poor finish in the Gr. 1 Arc and has had a long season with 9 starts. Obviously, the 5-year-old horse is hickory, but it’s asking a lot to cross the pond for the Turf after such a long campaign. Still, it’s Aidan O’Brien and he knows what’s what.

#9 Sisfahan is an interesting option based on a runner-up effort in the Gr. 1 Preis von Baden behind eventual Arc winner Torquator. This 3-year-old French-bred and mostly German-raced colt has 2 wins in 6 tries and has never been worse than third. He comes from well off the pace, so he’ll need some luck but his form is interesting.

#10 Yibir scored a powerful romp in the Jockey Club Derby Invitational at Belmont last out for trainer Charlie Appleby. His figs are a bit light for this, so he’d need to do better, but the 3-year-old gelding has won 5 of 11 and 2 of 3 at the distance. The post is a concern.

#11 Gufo disappointed as favorite last out in the Gr. 1 Turf Classic at Belmont. Before that he won two races, including the Gr. 1 Sword Dancer at Saratoga. He’s won 2 of 3 at the distance and was third in his only Del Mar appearance. He’s a fit on his best day, but that last effort isn’t inspiring for the 4-year-old.

#12 Teona is a 3-year-old filly with a pair of wins over her elders in the ungraded August Stakes at Windsor and in the Gr. 1 Prix Vermeille at Longchamp. Her figs are slow (although the last was a Timeform Rating of 110. Favored Tarnawa hits in the 125 range.) She’s young, lightly raced and sharp so she’s worth a look at a price. That 12-hole is no bargain.

#13 Tarnawa won this race at nearly 5-1 odds last year. The 5-year-old mare has raced just 3 times since, with a Gr. 3 win and a pair of Gr. 1 near misses, including last out in the Arc. She’s tough and so is the #13 post going around 3 turns at Del Mar. That’s a challenge she didn’t have last year when drawn inside. At a short price, she’s worth trying to beat.

#14 Japan is from Great Britain and starts for Aidan O’Brien. He was second to #11 Gufo in the Gr. 1 Sword Dancer and then didn’t fire in the Turf Classic behind #1 Rockemporer. Tough post for him going around 3 turns.

Also Eligible
#15 Bolshoi Ballet will need help to draw into the race and will be up against it from this post going three turns. He won the Gr. 1 Belmont Derby in July but hasn’t scored in two US tries since.
#16 Channel Maker is a 7-year-old who’s been off his best for a while.
#17 Mogul will need several defections to find himself up against it from an outside post.
#18 Friar’s Road needs help to make the starting lineup.

Use: #3, #9
Others to Consider: #4, #7, #10, #12

Race 12
Classic - $6 Million
Three Year Olds & Upward
One Mile & One-Quarter

Overview: Who can run with #5 Knicks Go early? Answer that question and you’ll have a better idea of what might happen at the finish of this race. We think he’s the fastest early and late in here and something will need to go very wrong for him to lose. Cal-based runners have won 7 of the last 14 Classics on the west coast…but not the last 2. 8 consecutive winners have been 6-1 or less.

#1 Tripoli came to life when moved from turf to dirt. He’s another example of a horse who clearly appreciates one surface over the other. He was capable on the turf, but is a Gr. 1 Pacific Classic winner on dirt—over the surface and at the distance of the BC Classic! Runners he will face Saturday are much stronger than those he defeated here in August and he was over 8 lengths behind Medina Spirit in the Gr. 1 Awesome Again last out.

#2 Express Train likes Del Mar—3 wins in 5 tries—and often finds the top three in races—11-14 at least third. His best races are a smidge below what he’ll need to win this one and he was 7 lengths behind Medina Spirit last out.

#3 Hot Rod Charlie has developed wonderfully for trainer O’Neill and won the Gr. 1 Pa Derby last out. He’s one of the leaders of a strong 3-year-old division and would bolster his case for divisional honors with a win here. He’s usually close to the early pace and that’s probably where he’ll be again with local leading rider Prat. This colt has been beaten by two of these foes twice each, so he’ll need to turn the tables on them and defeat some strong older horses. That’s a lot to ask but this guy’s development and running style give him some chance to win and make him a probable in-the-money player.

#4 Essential Quality is the current top 3-year-old on the basis of 5 out of 6 wins this season. His only loss came when fourth, beaten one length, in the Kentucky Derby. He’ll again face 2 that finished in front of him—8 Medina Spirit and 3 Hot Rod Charlie. This colt has enough speed to sit just behind whatever early pace might develop. Jockey Luis Saez will ask the question turning for home and expect a response similar to the one he’s gotten in five races and not the one he experienced at Churchill Downs.

#5 Knicks Go has speed and, while others in the lineup have gas, no one has enough to really run with him. That’s where this race will be decided. How fast will Knick’s Go need to go to keep clear of the early competition? If he does what he’s done in 4 of 6 starts this year and get a clear early lead, he’s going to win. If he’s hooked, he’s shown to be vulnerable. While several in here are successful front runners, we don’t see another horse with his kind of speed. If we’re right about that, he’ll race home well in front to conclude BC festivities.

#6 Art Collector has won 3 consecutive races since moving to Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott’s barn. He’s won those races on or near the lead and pretty much been a front-running type of horse. He’ll be facing more quality early speed in this race than he has in any of his 8 lifetime victories, so there’s a question how he’ll respond to the challenge.

#7 Stilleto Boy was second and third behind #8 Medina Spirit in his last two starts. This is a deeper field so he will be challenged like never before.

#8 Medina Spirit is the Kentucky Derby winner who’s been able to continue to win for Bob Baffert, defeating older in the Awesome Again at Santa Anita last out. He’s 1 for 1 at Del Mar and won the Shared Belief in his next-to-last start. He’s been most successful taking the early lead and grinding foes into submission. He’s not as fast early as Knicks Go, so he’ll probably sit second behind that one and they could go 1-2 around the oval. Of course, if Knicks Go stubs his toe, Medina Spirit will be in a perfect spot to pass him late.

#9 Max Player is an improving 4-year-old colt that won the Gr. 1 Jockey Club last out for trainer Asmussen. He’s much better this year than last when fifth in the postponed Derby and Preakness. Has he improved enough to challenge in here? Maybe. He’s run the kind of races recently that suggest he at least fits. He should stalk the early pacesetters and have his chance to close in the lane. Mostly, his improvement has us interested in him as an exacta chance.

Catch Him To Win: #5
Should Run Well: #3, #8, #9

The Tickets
($.50) Late Pick 4 ($30)
Race 9: #1, #2, #3, #6, #7, #8
Race 10: #1, #6
Race 11: #3, #4, #7, #9, #12
Race 12: #5

($.50) Late Pick 4 ($15)
Race 9: #6
Race 10: #1, #2, #5, #6, #8, #11
Race 11: #3, #4, #7, #9, #12
Race 12: #5

Race On!

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:08 AM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6
Picks Notes
#4 Holy Saint Think he has a bit of appeal at a mid-range price while stepping up off the claim. The barn has done good work here of late, and he should be in line for a great trip while tracking the pace from close range.
#8 Fast Loaded Tough to argue with the team here, and he ran a decent one while trying this type of company in his first start for the barn. Think he's probably a bit overbet here, but something similar to his last one keeps him in the mix.
#9 Cayenne Creek He probably takes back a bit early from the wide draw, and that may serve him well here as there are a few pace types signed on, giving him some chance to run on late if the speed starts coming back.
Race Summary Holy Saint seems tactical enough to avoid getting caught up with the speed here, but he should be able to work out the kind of trip that gives him first jump on anything coming from further back.

Charles Town - Race #7
Picks Notes
#5 Uncaptured Ruby Her form can be a bit spotty, but she's capable of something better than she showed last time out when trying this kind on the hike, and she's probably quite a bit better price here with some bounce-back potential.
#9 Who U Gonna Call She steps into allowance company for the local debut, but she's probably going to be a bit overbet off a modest Laurel effort. Capable underlay?
#10 Just a Bit Sassy Finisher didn't miss by much with a cheaper group last time out, and she might have a bit of appeal in the underneath spots at a price with these. Price should be right to include.
Race Summary Uncaptured Ruby can land a good trip with this bunch, and the hope is that her form will bounce back rather than continue a slide in the wrong direction here. Something close to the 8/1 ML price would feel appealing enough.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 Never Compromise He drops into an easier spot tonight while staying at the same claiming price, and he's a dangerous forward player with recent running lines that should make him a real handful here.
#2 Hello Carlo He didn't show anything in his only two-turn try, but it came with a much better group than he's going to find tonight. He's bred to handle this kind of trip, so he's worth another look in this easier spot.
#9 Jeffery Scott He was in way too deep in that stakes try last time around, and he's a much better fit with this crew. Could see using him on backup tickets.
Race Summary Never Compromise has a string of running lines that would likely be good enough to handle these, and he should be able to press the early pace with this cheaper bunch after a couple of allowance tries.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:08 AM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Dayton Raceway - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 DIVE BAR Good first impression locally, tries to upstage in-the-money finishes.
#5 ROCKINMYSHOE Tracked the fave from post 9 until closers passed both of them in stretch.
#2 STOPN POPN DROPN Backpedaled at this level and four straight 1-2 finishes.
Race Summary Dive Bar led clear through a 1:23.4 third-quarter split and held third in the faster division of a split race. His record is uninspiring, but he should break through at this level with his second win soon. Play a 6-ALL exacta.

Meadowlands - Race #2
Picks Notes
#6 AMERICAN CHROME Stretches out to larger oval, can use speed wisely in this spot.
#3 JUST N ACE No factor in tougher conditions, numbers translate well.
#1 SEEUINNASHVILLE A Cooked in fast pace, would like more if not 0-27 this year.
Race Summary American Chrome, stalked intently by the favorite through fast fractions, gave way in the stretch and held third on the class drop. He has enough speed to secure forward position from an outer post and factor the entire way. Play 6-1 and 6-3 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#2 DARK MOVES Early send looks like the right move in this spot, good value play.
#1 FEAR THE SHADOW Also benefits from lack of pace in race, but he's winless this year.
#7 THE SHINING Rallied from the clouds to finish third, starts outside.
Race Summary Dark Moves was no factor against Breeders Crown finalist Beach Glass, but he raced a close-up third in the start prior and can make maximum use of his speed tonight. He draws a better post, too, so bet on him to win and place.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:08 AM
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#3 Daunt Ran on well and was up in time for a maiden win in is second start; Nyquist colt can make his late charge vs. these.
#2 General Ken Cruised to an easy score in his only race, which came at Delaware Park; has been moved to the Chad Brown barn.
#6 Royal Spirit Is still a maiden but was second in theNownownow at Monmouth in his latest; clearly talented and he would not be a surprise.
Race Summary Daunt moved well late against a slow pace and will have a more lively clip in front of him today.

Belmont Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#1 Classic Lady Ran on for third in the Yaddo at Saratoga in her last start and has plenty of solid races on her form; can be in the mix from the start of this one.
#4 Ice Princess Is a main-track-only entrant and is a standout if this comes off the turf.
#6 Barkin Comes in from Woodbine, where she was third in the G2 Canadian; had won two straight going into that one and can move well late here.
Race Summary Classic Lady has shown a lot of ability and should get a ground-saving run from just slightly off the pace; legit chance here.

Belmont Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#2 Goddess of Fire Was third in the G3 Pocahontas at Churchill after a maiden win in a sprint at Saratoga; has late energy and has a good chance to run them down.
#1 Sweet as Pie Was sharp in a clear win at Belmont in her only start and is bred to improve with distance.
#8 Gerrymander Was second in the G1 Frizette last out and will be a factor from the beginning.
Race Summary Goddess of Fire ran a non-threatening third in the Pocahontas on a track that had a speed bias; should be able to close over this track.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:09 AM
Free Winners for Friday, November 5th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE #8
TIME: 4:00 PM EST
PICK: BET #9 Champagne Ivy 5/1 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 03:43 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park
PURCHASE
Lone Star Park - Race 9

WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double


Trial • 440 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 100 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 10:33
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 125 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * WON FAMOUS DASH: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. FLASH RILEY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. HES INNOCENT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route )/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ELMER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
WON FAMOUS DASH
9/5

9/2
3
FLASH RILEY
10/1

6/1
8
HES INNOCENT
8/5

7/1
6
ELMER
9/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
RUNAWAY THE EAGLE
1

30/1
Slow
80

75

6.6

0.0

0.0
2
KJ DAISY DUKE
2

12/1
Average
86

87

4.3

0.0

0.0
3
FLASH RILEY
3

10/1
Fast
100

94

3.3

0.0

0.0
4
GREAT HOCKS
4

15/1
Average
80

83

5.7

0.0

0.0
5
WON FAMOUS DASH
5

9/5
Average
98

100

3.7

0.0

0.0
6
ELMER
6

9/2
Average
89

96

4.3

0.0

0.0
7
POPS FIRST LADY
7

10/1
Average
94

82

4.7

0.0

0.0
8
HES INNOCENT
8

8/5
Average
92

94

3.8

0.0

0.0

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 03:43 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
PURCHASE
Camarero - Race 3

Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4


Maiden Claiming $14,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 52 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 3:35P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. 2# A CLASF.$14,000 Y DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. APOSTADORA is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * APOSTADORA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BIOGENICO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three i n average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4
APOSTADORA
3/1

3/1
5
BIOGENICO
2/1

7/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
TWIN SPOTS
3

10/1
Front-runner
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
4
APOSTADORA
4

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

73.9

43.6

40.1
5
BIOGENICO
5

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

64.9

39.9

35.4
6
STRONG PALACE
6

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: CALS FIREMAN (4/1) [Jockey: Adorno Omix Y - Trainer: Henriquez Ghislaine], LITTLE JUNIOR V. (20/1) [Jockey: Maldonado Alondra N - Trainer: Delgado Jose R].

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 03:43 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Stronach 5
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $39000 Class Rating: 77

LRL - R7 - FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, IF FOR $32,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. MD-BRED AND/OR MD-SIRED HORSES MAY WAIVE CLAIMING PRICE IN THIS RACE.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 10 MISS CASEY 6/1

# 8 SHE IS WISKY 9/2

# 3 GOOD STORY 10/1

My selection in this race is MISS CASEY. Will probably compete solidly in the early speed battle which bodes well with this field. Could provide positive returns based on formidable recent speed figures with an average of 65. With a nice Equibase class figure average of 77, has one of the top class advantages in this group. SHE IS WISKY - She looks strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. With a formidable 68 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's outing. GOOD STORY - Could beat this group of horses given the 60 Equibase Speed Fig garnered in her last outing. Has the look of a lucrative play.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 03:43 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Laurel - Race #7 - Post: 3:49pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $39,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#10 MISS CASEY (ML=6/1)
#8 SHE IS WISKY (ML=9/2)


MISS CASEY - This jockey and conditioner have a high win percentage together. Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should profit from today's shorter trip. SHE IS WISKY - This filly's last speed rating is high enough to triumph here, I'll play her right back today. This equine is uppermost in earnings per race. She looks solid in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GAMESTONKS (ML=3/1), #4 LOVE SAGA (ML=8/1), #13 MISS FOXANN (ML=8/1),

GAMESTONKS - Oddsmaker's morning line of 3/1 make this thoroughbred a pass by my approach. LOVE SAGA - I forecast a setback for this equine in this contest. MISS FOXANN - I just don't have a positive intuition about this pony in this affair.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #10 MISS CASEY on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
10 with 8 with [1,7,12] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
10 with 8 with [1,6,7,12,13] with [1,6,7,12,13] Total Cost: $20

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
[8,10] with [8,10] with [1,7,12,13] with [1,7,12,13] with [1,7,12,13] Total Cost: $48

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 03:44 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 95

AWAD S. - FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS. NON-LASIX RACE PURSUANT TO 4043.2 E) LASIX NOT PERMITTED WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $500 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION PAYMENT OF $1,000 (IN ADDITION TO THE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 GENERAL KEN 2/1

# 6 ROYAL SPIRIT 8/5

# 1 ARTIE'S ANGEL 30/1

GENERAL KEN is my choice. ROYAL SPIRIT - Earned a reliable Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. Strong jock and conditioner combo winning 30 percent of their races working together. ARTIE'S ANGEL - He has a respectable distance/surface win record - 1 for 2.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 05:44 PM
Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Knicks +4.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
NBA – Pistons over 211
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
NBA – Spurs -3.5
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
NHL – Canucks -135
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
NHL – Rangers under 6
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
NHL – Jets -170
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
NBA – Warriors -9.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
NBA – Trailblazers -4
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
NBA – Bucks -4.5
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
NHL – Ducks -180
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NHL – Kings over 5.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
NHL – Blackhawks +150
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Bucks under 215.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
NBA – Spurs -3.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
NBA – Clippers -2.5
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
NHL – Kings -125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
NHL – Oilers under 6
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
NHL – Canucks -135
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
NBA – Warriors -9.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
NBA – Hornets under 228
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
NBA – Raptors -5.5
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
NHL – Ducks over 5.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
NHL – Oilers -140
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
NBA – Wizards pk
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Spurs over 213.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:29 PM
1.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
NBA
Portland under 224
3-0 (+300)
5-1 (+390)


2.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
NBA
Orlando over 213.5
3-1 (+190)
5-1 (+390)


3.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
NBA
Nets -10
1-3 (-230)
3-0 (+300)


4.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)


3-1 (+190)
5-2 (+295)


5.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
CFB
Hokies over 47.5
2-1 (+90)
4-2-1 (+180)


6.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
NBA
Kings -1.5
2-1-1 (+90)
4-3 (+70)


7.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
NBA
Nets -10.5
2-1 (+90)
3-3 (-30)


8.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
NBA
Cleveland +5.5
0-3 (-350)
3-3 (-30)


9.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
CFB
Stanford over 53.5
2-2 (-20)
3-3 (-30)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:29 PM
Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
NCAA Football
BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES +2.5
2
2
-20


Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-100


Ace / Sleeper Selections (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)
NBA
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES/WASHINGTON WIZARDS o221
1
2
-120


Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)

No pick yet
1
2
-120


5thstreetpicks (https://www.5thstreetpicks.com/)

No pick yet
0
2
-200


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
NBA
ORLANDO MAGIC +4
1
3
-230

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:30 PM
Sal Michaels Nov 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Nets vs Pistons
Play on: Pistons +10½ -110 at Mirage

Free Play on Pistons +10½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:30 PM
Frank Sawyer Nov 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Wizards
Play on: UNDER 221 -110

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 11/5:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut on Friday was with Over the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Washington Wizards. Memphis (5-3) has won three of their last four games after their 108-106 upset win against Denver as a 1-point favorite on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Memphis has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams winning at least 60% of their games. Washington (5-3) has lost two games in a row after their 109-100 loss to Toronto as a 3.5-point favorite. The result finished below the 212 Total making it the 5th Over in their last 6 games at home. The Wizards have also played 35 of their last 51 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:30 PM
Dustin Hawkins Nov 05 '21, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Virginia Tech vs Boston College
Play on: UNDER 48½ -110

1 Dimer on Virginia Tech vs Boston College under 48½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:31 PM
Mike Williams Nov 05 '21, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Knicks vs Bucks
Play on: Knicks +4½ -105 at pinnacle

1* on Knicks +4½ -105

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:31 PM
Larry Ness Nov 05 '21, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Cavs vs Raptors
Play on: Raptors -5½ -104 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Tor Raptors at 7:30 ET.
The Toronto Raptors capped a three-game road trip with a 109-100 victory over the Washington Wizards on Wednesday and will try to extend their winning streak to SIX in a row Friday night when they host the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Raptors have won four straight on the road but are 2-3 at home. The Raptors, who are 6-3 to open the season. "We've learned many years that these wins do matter towards the end of the year as you start to fight for playoff position," said guard Fred VanVleet, who scored a season-best 33 points on Wednesday. "So I like where we are, but we have a long, long, long way to go but I think we're headed in the right direction."
The Cleveland Cavaliers are coimng off a 22-50 season and a three-year run of just 60-159 (.274), since LBJ 'flew the coop' for a second time, this time to Hollywood. However, the Cavaliers have won two in a row after a 107-104 home victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday, moving above .500 to 5-4. The Cavaliers' win over Portland continued their success against playoff-caliber teams, as they have also defeated the Hawks, Nuggets and Clippers.
Toronto's Pascal Siakam (shoulder surgery) has yet to play this season for Toronto, coming off back-to-back seasons in which he posted 21.4 PPG & 7.2 RPG plus 22.9 PPG & 7.3 RPG. However, OG Anunoby scored a career-best 36 points against the New York Knicks on Monday and leads the team averaging 20.3 PPG, while adding 5.6 RPG. Rookie Scottie Barnes is averaging 18.1 & 8.9 but has missed the last two games (sprained right thumb). However, he has received clearance to play on Friday. VanVleet started the season slowly but his line now reads 18.8-5.2-7.2, Trent has started eight of nine games, adding 15.1 PPG. Achiuwa (8.0 & 8.8) starts at center with Birch (6.6 & 5.7) also getting time.
Lauri Markkanen joined teammate Kevin Love on the health and safety protocol list Wednesday and did not play against Portland. The starting-five was guards Sexton (17.7) and Garland (14.6 & 7.9 APG), rookie PF Mobley (13.3 & 8.2), fill-in SF Wade (2.8 & 2.5) and center Allen (14.4 & 10.7). Veteran PG Rubio comes off the bench to average 11.4 & 6.8 APG. The 'early returns' show an improving Cavalier team but I think Toronto is on the verge of turning back into an elite team in the East, surely once Siakam returns. Lay the points.
Good luck...Larry

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:31 PM
Timothy Black Nov 05 '21, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Knicks vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -5½ -110 at Mirage

1* Best Bet on Bucks -5½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:31 PM
Bobby Conn Nov 05 '21, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Cavs vs Raptors
Play on: UNDER 208 -110

1* Free Play on Cavs/Raptors under 208 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:31 PM
Sean Murphy Nov 05 '21, 9:38 PM in 3h
NHL | Rangers vs Oilers
Play on: Rangers +1½ -168 at pinnacle

Friday NHL Free play. My selection is on New York +1.5 goals over Edmonton at 9:35 pm et on Friday.
The Rangers are coming off a 3-2 overtime loss in Vancouver two nights ago but I like their chances of bouncing back in Edmonton on Friday night. The Oilers of course offer a stiff challenge. They're 8-1 on the season and coming off consecutive 5-2 victories to open their current homestand. That actually puts them in a poor situation here, however, noting that they've gone 1-7 the last eight times they've come off consecutive wins by two goals or more, outscored by 1.6 goals on average in that spot. The Rangers, meanwhile, have outscored the opposition by 0.6 goals on average the last nine times they've played on the road off a one-goal loss, as is the case here. Edmonton has won four straight meetings in this series entering Friday's clash. That run of success has gone virtually unseen in what has been a competitive, back-and-forth series for years. You can certainly argue that the Rangers have their best team in years and I look for them to at the very least take this one down to the wire. Take New York +1.5 goals.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:32 PM
Kenny Walker Nov 05 '21, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Coyotes vs Ducks
Play on: Ducks -160 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Ducks

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:32 PM
Totals Guru Nov 05 '21, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Coyotes vs Ducks
Play on: UNDER 5½ -130

Free Total Annihilator On Coyotes vs Ducks under 5½ -130

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:32 PM
Black Widow Nov 05 '21, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Coyotes vs Ducks
Play on: UNDER 5½ -130

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Coyotes/Ducks under 5½ -130

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:33 PM
Steve Janus Nov 05 '21, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Coyotes vs Ducks
Play on: UNDER 5½ -120

1* Free Sharp Play on Coyotes vs Ducks under 5½ -120

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:34 PM
Jeff Alexander Nov 05 '21, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Blazers
Play on: Pacers +4½ -105 at pinnacle

1* NBA - Pacers/Blazers FREE PICK on Pacers +4.5
Friday's Free NBA Pick is on the Indiana Pacers as a 4.5-point road dog against the Portland Trail Blazers. This is just not the Blazers team that we expected to see to start the 2021-22 season. Portland is 3-5 SU and ATS. They come into this game having lost 3 straight, failing to cover all 3. Lillard isn't playing up to his MVP level and the entire team just isn't shooting the ball great, which is a problem with their limitations defensively. Pacers have recently got back Levert and Brogdon, forming quite a combo with Sabonis and rookie Duarte. Indiana has covered 3 of their last 4 after going just 1-4 ATS in their first 5. I just think it's a few too many here for the Blazers to be laying. Bet the Pacers +4.5!

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:34 PM
Mike Wynn Free Pick: Charlotte/Sacramento Over 226 Points

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:34 PM
Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2021
11/05 07:10 PM PT / 10:10 PM ET

NBA (549) INDIANA PACERS VS (550) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS

Take: UNDER

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:35 PM
Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: BROOKLYN/DETROIT OVER the total of 212

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:35 PM
Totals4U Friday's Free Selection: Charlotte Hornets/Sacramento Kings over 231

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:36 PM
Roz Wins ROZ FREE Selection FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2021

FREE NBA
546. Warriors -9.5 (7:10 PT / 10:10 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:36 PM
Atlantic Sports
Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Minnesota Timberwolves + 2 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:36 PM
#1 Sports Friday's Free Play: Sacramento Kings - 1 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:37 PM
Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the San Antonio/Orlando Game UNDER 212 Points

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:37 PM
Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2021

FREE NBA
539. Knicks +4.5 (4:40 PT / 7:40 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:37 PM
Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Friday Selection Is
MILWAUKEE -4½

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:37 PM
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday : Take CHARLOTTE/SACRAMENTO UNDER the total of 227

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:38 PM
Golden Dragon
Friday Free Play
Brooklyn -10 NBA

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:38 PM
Hawkeye Sports Friday's Free Pick: Vancouver Canucks - 120

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:39 PM
Huddle Up Sports
Friday Free
Sacramento -1'

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:40 PM
Arthur Ralph FreePlay 33-20 run FRI NHL Edmonton

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:40 PM
The Last Call Friday's Free Play: Detroit Pistons + 10 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:40 PM
Teyas Sports FREE PICK 11/5 GOLDEN ST UNDER 215

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:41 PM
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: SAN ANTONIO/ORLANDO OVER the total of 212

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:41 PM
High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Friday: Toronto Raptors - 6

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:41 PM
John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Friday:
BRK NETS

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:42 PM
Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Friday:
Ind/Port UNDER 224

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:42 PM
Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Indiana +3½

Can'tPickAWinner
11-05-2021, 06:42 PM
Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR FRIDAY

NBA BROOKLYN -10 over Detroit