Tuesday 12/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise



Turf Paradise - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 7-8)



Claiming $3,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $10,660 • Post: 3:43P


(INCLUDES UP TO 30% AZHR (ARIZONA HORSE RACING) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SHORT CUT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster P ower Rating. HELLO HANDSOME: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CALIFORNIA TENGA: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. THIRTYMINUTEMASS: Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



1

SHORT CUT

6/1


4/1




7

HELLO HANDSOME

5/1


6/1




5

CALIFORNIA TENGA

12/1


7/1




3

THIRTYMINUTEMASS

7/2


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




8

ABOVE THE LAW

8


12/1

Front-runner

68


67


69.8


39.8


19.8




2

LIMITED OFFER

2


4/1

Front-runner

65


64


56.4


54.8


44.3




6

ROUGE SUNSET

6


20/1

Front-runner

56


65


44.8


46.6


30.1




3

THIRTYMINUTEMASS

3


7/2

Alternator/Front-runner

71


61


77.8


54.2


49.2




5

CALIFORNIA TENGA

5


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

69


72


92.9


52.1


42.6




7

HELLO HANDSOME

7


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

70


69


66.3


58.6


50.6




1

SHORT CUT

1


6/1

Trailer

69


63


39.3


62.5


57.5




11

TRACK BOUND

11


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

66


63


64.4


53.6


37.1




10

KEEN JAMES

10


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


52


39.6


47.6


33.1




4

LAZARUS COME FORTH

4


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


60


21.8


53.4


42.9




9

AGUA DORADO

9


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

68


66


20.0


54.0


40.0

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:04pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL (ML=6/1)


BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL - Trainer Ness gave this gelding a good stiff blow out. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Ness. Better be wary of this angle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 HOLIDAY BONUS (ML=2/1), #7 MR THRIFTY (ML=7/2), #4 MY AMANJENA (ML=9/2),

HOLIDAY BONUS - Can't play this morning-line favorite off the long layoff. This horse doesn't have a winner's disposition. Often finishes near the winner. MR THRIFTY - I'd like to see more preferred recent efforts with oddsmaker's morning line of 7/2. Finished fourth in his most recent race with a substandard speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. MY AMANJENA - This gelding is always close, but just doesn't win. Difficult to play him on the front end. This pony will probably bounce off of the last strong outing.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #6 BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

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Mahoning Valley (1st) Elgar, 7-2
(3rd) McGraw, 6-1

Mountaineer (1st) Flowzano, 6-1
(6th) Juba’s Lady, 10-1

Parx Racing (2nd) Sugar Streak, 9-2
(7th) I’m the Talent, 7-2

Penn National (3rd) Sunshine Tommy, 3-1
(8th) Screen Star, 3-1

Remington Park (5th) Muni Muni Slew, 9-2
(6th) Misty’s Fool, 5-1

Turf Paradise (4th) Walk On Water, 6-1
(5th) Passed by Paul, 6-1

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Monday Myths: Betting Early Speed on the Distance Cut-Back

December 6, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Early speed horses are successful when shortening distances.

Background:

Horseplayers who see a lot of 1s in the past performance lines in the early part of the race often are attracted to horses who are attempting to run a shorter distance this time. The speed theoretically can carry without the need for as much distance stamina.

Data Points:

I looked at all races in 2021 through December 5 and analyzed horses who had made the lead in their most recent start and were running a shorter distance in the return bid. The comparison was for horses at sprint distances at 5-1/2, 6, 6-1/2 and 7 furlongs.

//

Horses who made the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 5-1/2 furlongs this time won 17.3% with a $0.74 ROI.
Horses who did not make the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 5-1/2 furlongs this time won 13.1% with a $0.71 ROI.

//

Horses who made the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 6 furlongs this time won 15.3% with a $0.75 ROI.
Horses who did not make the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 6 furlongs this time won 12.8% with a $0.76 ROI.

//

Horses who made the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 6-1/2 furlongs this time won 16.2% with a $0.82 ROI.
Horses who did not make the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 6-1/2 furlongs this time won 12.1% with a $0.71 ROI.

//

Horses who made the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 7 furlongs this time won 13.3% with a $0.66 ROI.
Horses who did not make the lead last time and shortened their distance to run 7 furlongs this time won 13.0% with a $0.76 ROI.

//

Overall Findings:

At each of the common sprint distances, horses who made the lead last time out were more likely to win when shortening their distance than those shortening distance after not making the lead. The spread is greatest at 5-1/2 furlongs, where last-out leaders won 4.2% more often than those trimming the trip exiting races when they didn’t make the lead. That margin closed closest at 7 furlongs, where last-out front-runners barely held a .3% edge when on the cut-back.

Bottom line:

When you look at a 12.4% win rate for all horses in races at 7 furlongs or less, you see that horses who made the lead last time and cut back in distance win at a higher rate at each of these distances than the general likelihood of winners. They also win at a stronger rate than fellow cut-back distance runners who weren’t capable of making the front last time. Overall, you’d have to surmise by these numbers that it’s a solid angle that holds water.
You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, decipher which tracks are most likely to excel with these kind of cut-back speed horses.

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AI Picks: PA Nursery at Parx | Tuesday, Dec. 7, 2021

December 6, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Tuesday stakes action features the juveniles at Parx in the $200,000 Pennsylvania Nursery. To assist your handicapping, key stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Parx Racing // Race 9 // 3:50 pm ET // $200,000 Pennsylvania Nursery // 7 furlongs

#5 Disco Ebo (9-5) // 30%W
#9 Vine Jet (8-1) // 15%W
#4 Uncle Buddy (3-1) // 11%W
#6 Witty (6-1) // 9%W
#2 Dr. Steve (5-1) // 9%W
#1 Dance Code (6-1) // 7%W
#3 Wispering Springs (6-1) // 6%W
#8 Champion By Design (8-1) // 5%W
#10 Allevare (9-2) // 4%W
#7 Center Mid Maddie (8-1) // 4%W

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Best Horse Racing Bets for Tuesday, December 7, 2021
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

I’m not sure I’ve seen a better day for underdogs and sleepers than this Tuesday at Mahoning Valley Race Course, Parx Racing, and Remington Park.

All three tracks had at least one sleeper to tout, with Parx leading the parade with two (count ‘em, two!) sleepers to improve both our dispositions and our bankrolls.

Remember to check out the full race cards for all three tracks at our best horseracing wagering sites.

Good luck!
Tuesday’s Picks for Mahoning Valley Race Course

We’ll start on the main track with race five, a six-furlong allowance race for Ohio-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward. My money’s on the 8/1 sleeper, Hampton Dancer, ridden by Agustin Bracho.

There are three entries in this race at 8/1, but only one of those has won both of her career starts. For comparison, the 7/2 favorite, Shez Shacked Up, moneyed 15 of her 23 starts, winning two.

Longtime racing veteran Susan L. Anderson trains Hampton Dancer for owner-breeder Douglas Jacobson. Anderson has chosen Bracho to saddle Hampton Dancer for both of her career victories.

Race six is a six-furlong run for Ohio-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m going to agree with the morning line here and bet on the 4/5 favorite, Star Rules, with Jeffrey Sanchez in the irons.
This four-year-old filly finished eight of her 13 career starts in the money, winning two. She also finished second in both the Miss Southern Ohio Stakes at Belterra Park in September and the Ohio Debutante Handicap at Mahoning Valley last month.

James H. McDonald trains Star Rules for owner-breeder Doris Tummillo.

Race seven is a six-furlong allowance optional claiming run on the main track for Ohio-bred three-year-olds and upward. I like the second-favored (at 5/2) Classic Mo, with veteran jockey Erik Barbaran aboard.

This seven-year-old gelding takes the statistical spotlight in this nine-horse field with 28 money finishes in 48 career starts, 16 of those wins.

Jeffrey Skerrett trains Classic Mo for owner Danielle Agnello.
My Tuesday Picks for Parx Racing

Let’s begin at Parx with race two, a one mile and 70 yards claiming run on the main track for fillies and mares three years old and upward.

I’m betting my two dollars on the 6/1 sleeper, Grace’s Drama, piloted by jockey Luis M. Ocasio.

This seven-year-old mare’s record speaks for itself – 36 money finishes in 56 career starts, 12 of those wins. While the M/L favorite in this race has similar overall stats, Grace’s Drama has a slight statistical edge with her performance in 2021—eight money finishes in 13 starts, two of them wins.

Newcomer Jose M. Santaella-Calderon trains Grace’s Drama for owners Cirexis Stable and Santaella Stable.

Race eight is a one mile and 70 yards allowance run on the main track for three-year-olds and upward. I’m agreeing with the morning-line on this one. Bet on the 9/5 favorite, I Am Redeemed, ridden by Abner Adorno.
This three-year-old colt finished in the money five of his seven career starts, winning three, including the Storm Cat Stakes (Black Type) at Parx in August. In this nine-horse field, that makes him a star.

Penny Pearce, who’s having the best year of her career, trains I Am Redeemed for owner Larry Rebbecchi. Pearce has put Adorno in the irons for I Am Redeemed’s last five races.

Race nine is the Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes, a $200,000 purse, seven-furlong run on the main track for Pennsylvania-bred two-year-olds. I see an upset here, with the win going to the 6/1 underdog, Dance Code, with veteran jockey Nik Juarez aboard.

I agree that the current three-win streak of the 9/5 favorite—Disco Ebo—is formidable, but the uncertainty of who will ride Disco Ebo in this race gives me pause.

So, I’m backing Dance Code, a colt with a solid record himself: Three money finishes in four career starts, two of those wins. He also finished third in the Sanford Stakes (Grade III) at Saratoga in July.

Juan C. Vazquez trains Dance Code for Richie’s World Stables LLC. Vazquez put Juarez in the saddle for Dance Code’s most recent victory.
Tuesday’s Picks for Remington Park

Let’s begin with race five, a six-furlong allowance race on the main track for three-year-olds and upward. I’m backing the 5/1 third-favored Mover, piloted by Jose L. Alvarez.

This three-year-old colt moneyed four of his seven career starts, winning two. Mover broke his maiden on his second attempt and has posted solid speed figures since that time.

Granted, the morning-line favorite, My Golden M, has a slightly better money-finishes-to-starts ratio, but all his races have been maiden runs, and his single win was his sixth and most recent graduation try.

Twenty-year racing veteran Ronnie E. Cravens, III trains Mover for owner Geral Dewitt.

Race seven is a six-furlong allowance race on the main track for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on the 3/1 underdog, Favorable Outcome, with Stewart Elliott in the irons.
This seven-year-old finished 14 of his 24 career starts in the money, winning seven, including the Front Range Stakes at Arapahoe in July of 2020. He’s been campaigned at the stakes level for much of his career, winning the Swale Stakes (Grade II) at Gulfstream Park in 2017 and finishing third in the Malibu Stakes (Grade I) at Santa Anita later that same year.

He’s posted triple-digit speed figures in four of his five most recent races.

Mindy J. Willis trains Favorable Outcome for owners Amy Hardy and Westside Racing Stable.

For race eight—a six-furlong allowance race for Oklahoma-bred three-year-olds and upward—I’m betting on the 8/1 sleeper, Just Chillin, ridden by Floyd Wethey Jr.

This three-year-old gelding has the best statistical record in this nine-horse field: Six money finishes in nine career starts, with two wins. He also finished third in the Will Rogers Stakes at Will Rogers Downs in May and second in the Oklahoma Stallion Stakes at Remington Park in September.

Thirty-year racing veteran Francisco Bravo trains Just Chillin for owner Michael Grossman.

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Daily Horse Racing Tips – Parx – 7th December
By Spotlight Racing Group

And they're off at PARX Racing
NAP Estate (5:10 Parx)
Next Best Disco Ebo (8:50 Parx)
Other I Am Redeemed (8:19 Parx)
Estate to break maiden

The opening race on the card, a maiden special weight for two-year-old fillies over a mile on the main track, can go the way of the twice-raced Estate.

The daughter of Quality Road was an expensive $300,000 purchase as a yearling last year and showed plenty of ability in the mornings prior to making her racecourse debut on a fast main track over an extended seven-furlong in October.

Michal Trombetta’s charge finished third, beaten a length on that occasion having tracked the pace. A solid 49.80 four-furlong breeze followed while the selection experienced some trouble in running when finishing runner-up, beaten two lengths by a rival who led entering the straight in a similar contest over six furlongs on a muddy main track at the same track last month.

The selection is bred to appreciate this step up in distance and with Mychel Sanchez in the saddle, she is taken to break her maiden at the third time of asking.
TVG
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Ebo for stake success

A daughter of budget sire Weigelia, the Robert Reid Jr-trained filly Disco Ebo has shown that she is a force to be reckoned with in her career so far, having followed up two second-place maiden special weight finishes with three consecutive victories.

The first of those victories came when making all to deliver a wide-margin victory in a maiden special weight contest over five-and-one-half-furlongs at this venue in early September, while she employed similar tactics in a Penn National allowance contest over an extended six furlongs on a sloppy track the following month.

The selection is a late foal having been born in mid-May and as such it’s no surprise to see that she has improved with time, with her most recent victory a five-and-three-quarter-length success in the Shamrock Rose Stakes at Penn National – a career-best effort.

Disco Ebo has a decent draw five off the rail here and she is taken to make all the running to register a fourth consecutive victory.
TVG
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Redeemed for fourth success

I Am Redeemed looks capable of taking the eighth race on the Parx card, a mile-and-70-yard allowance event restricted to three-year-olds.

The selection has scored at a higher level in the past, having registered a three-and-a-half-length success in the mile-and-one-sixteenth Storm Cat Stakes at this venue back in August. That particular event was staged on a sloppy main track and it may be that he is best on a wet track.

Abner Adorno’s mount suffered a heavy defeat when upped to Grade 1 company for the Pennsylvania Derby at this venue the following month, but after finishing fifth in a minor stakes here in October, he returned to something like his old form when runner-up in an allowance over this course and distance last month.

Trainer Penny Pearce comes into this contest with a 23% strike-rate (28/123) at this meeting and her representative here can help improve on that.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The horse racing tips for Tuesday, December 7, 2021

The Quinté + of Tuesday, December 7 is scheduled at the Chantilly racecourse in the discipline of galloping. Find below our predictions for this race as well as our bet of the day and our bet of madness in two other races on the menu of the day.
THE PRONOS OF THE QUINTE OF DECEMBER 7
Dimitri Blanleuil

4 Central Park West (FAVORI)

He has been beating around the bush for several weeks and is expected to play a leading role again.

9 Fire Of Love (OUTSIDER)

He has a series of good performances and can happily move up the category.
Lionel charbonnier

5 Royaumont

Lionel Charbonnier is confident with the 5 Royaumont which has just finished second in the reference race.
Meeting 3 (Vincennes) – Race 2: 5 Glamor Queen

She had a bad run lately but still finished third. To resume imperatively.
THE MADNESS BET
Meeting 3 (Vincennes) – Race 4: 5 High Edition

She rarely wins but does all of her shopping. In case of faults of the favorites, it can do a “trick”.

Dimitri Blanleuil Journalist RMC Sport

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Today's Horse Racing Tips: Tuesday December 7th
Stephen Harris
bettingexpert Racing editor

Today’s Racing Tips – December 7th

There are four race meetings in Britain and Ireland on Tuesday, and all eyes will unusually be at Southwell as they stage their first meeting since removing the deep fibresand. The new tapeta has reportedly settled in well, and clearly trainers approve with a huge number entered at the declarations stage. There are three NH meetings to on a busy day, with Uttoxeter sure to attract plenty of betting interest for the five handicaps on the card.
SELECTION Track Time (UK) Horse ODDS
DAILY NAP Fontwell 12:50PM Whoshotwho 11.00
VALUE ANGLE Fontwell 1:20PM Nashville Nipper 5.00

Best odds available as at 3pm December 6th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Today’s Daily Nap

Whoshotwho

Fontwell, 12:50 pm

Dr Richard Newland’s frustrating handicapper ran really well around this unique course and distance when second to Darebin in October, and overdid things from the front when disappointing at Ffos Las last time out. He is sure to get a more patient ride this time from Sam Twiston-Davies-Davies (with loads of frontrunners in the line up likely to duel on the lead), and can come through smoothly up the straight if putting in a fluent round of jumping.
Today’s Value Angle

Nashville Nipper

Fontwell, 1:20 pm

Toby Lawes unexposed 7-y-o has shaped well in all four starts so far this season, including at Fontwell back in October, and he has been found a terrific opening here dropping down in class under the excellent Tom Cannon. This stiffer test of stamina at 2m5f should suit ideally after a fair fourth at Uttoxeter last time out, and he remains with upside after just six career starts under Rules (promising pointer previously).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robin Goodfellow's Racing Tips: Best bets for Tuesday, December 7
By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow dishes out his tips for Tuesday's meetings at Uttoxeter, Southwell and Fontwell.

UTTOXETER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.00 Get A Tonic

12.30 Quick Draw

1.00 Dorisa Queen

1.30 Gustavian (nap)

2.00 Alborkan

2.30 Clondaw Promise

3.00 Cousu Main

3.30 Anyharminasking

GIMCRACK

12.00 Get A Tonic

12.30 Quick Draw

1.00 Lady Malarkey

1.30 Master Debonair

2.00 Kalzari

2.30 Clondaw Promise

3.00 Full Of Light

3.30 Hidor De Bersy



SOUTHWELL

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

4.00 Toromona

4.30 Lipsink

5.00 Hooves Like Jagger

5.30 Viola

6.00 Midgetonamission

6.30 Love Mystery

7.00 Teumessias Fox

7.30 Redzone

GIMCRACK

4.00 Toromona

4.30 Zarzyni (nap)

5.00 Beat The Breeze

5.30 Virgin Snow (nb)

6.00 Sun Rising

6.30 Government

7.00 Wineglass Bay

7.30 Kodi Gold

Northerner – 4.30 Zarzyni (nap); 7.30 Redzone (nb).

Newmarket – 5.30 Timeless Soul (nb); 7.00 Yantarni (nap).


FONTWELL

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.20 Top Brass

12.50 Galileo Silver

1.20 With Pleasure

1.50 Whatsupwithyou

2.20 Ucanaver (nb)

2.50 Wouldubewell

3.20 Lockdown Leader

GIMCRACK

12.20 Oceanline

12.50 Cilaos Glace

1.20 Rare Clouds

1.50 Kap Auteuil

2.20 Ucanaver

2.50 Chloe’s Court

3.20 Kepy Blanc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Penn National - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 Jekyll Island He was never involved in the debut, but he'll get down in class for this second start while dropping off the bench here, and he'll race with Lasix this time around. Think he has some price appeal.
#7 Sunshine Tommy He'll make his local debut after turning in a decent effort at Parx, and he might find the local company a bit more to his liking. Not sure I trust him to repeat that last one, though.
#6 Flat Busted He'll try this level for the first time after chasing and fading in all four lifetime starts, and there is always a chance a horse with some pace like this can get brave turning for home in front.
Race Summary Jekyll Island is worth a small look here at a price while getting Lasix for his second career start. He'll have to fire fresh off the long layoff, but there doesn't appear to be anything to be afraid of in here.

Penn National - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 Thunder Grunder He's in good form and has the ability to turn the tables on the guy who beat him last time out in a spot where there might be an honest enough pace -- a ground-saving midpack trip might get him home.
#7 Krachenwagen Tactical speed goes off the claim after racing with much better than this over most of the last year, and he's a good fit right back at this level after handling similar last time out.
#4 Spin Cycle He handled the top choice when they met last out, and he has some pretty reliable form from close range. He's probably the one to beat at an underlaid price?
Race Summary Thunder Grunder might be able settle back and spy a few forward players, and he might offer a playable enough price with the other listed pair likely to command attention.

Penn National - Race #7
Picks Notes
#3 Tankinator He was sharp on the engine in that win at Parx last out, but he was no serious threat when facing similar in that two-back run over the local footing. Tough with his best.
#7 Dakota Outlaw He's quick enough to keep up early in here on the cut back around one turn, and he draws well to spy whatever pace shows from the inside along with the top choice.
#5 Don't Losemymoney He has some forward ability, but I worry that he'll get caught up with a tougher customer like the top choice early, and then he'll have to try to find more late. Think he loses this battle.
Race Summary Tankinator should be right up on the splits in the early going here, and he is capable of something a bit better than what he showed in his only previous local try.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Dover Downs - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 BLOWNOUTOFTHEWATER Third behind faves despite equipment problems on step up to this level, solid play.
#3 SPEE CLUB Beaten fave can use his speed well in this spot.
#4 FUN TIME CHARLIE Middle move to lead at stretch call, just missed.
Race Summary Blownoutofthewater ran third behind the favorites despite broken equipment at this level. He meets mostly class risers today and was Morgan's choice on a triple call. Play 5-3 and 5-4 exactas.

The Meadows - Race #2
Picks Notes
#1 MUSKINGUM Slowed by pace and traffic congestion, goes well from rail.
#3 PERTH ANGEL DE VIE Numbers translate well to this spot, 12 of 22 in money this year.
#6 LOVE OF PRAYERS Responded to front-end tactics with Palone in bike.
Race Summary Muskingum was trapped 4-deep on the rail until mid-stretch, finished with good energy and galloped out well. Play 1-3 and 1-6 exactas.

Yonkers - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 STELLAR YANKEE Class drop the answer for battle against older rivals.
#7 DRACARYS Z Anxious third, ranged up alongside faves, out-kicked in lane.
#1 SO MANY ROADS Gapped in pocket two back, drew post 8 in follow up.
Race Summary Stellar Yankee met short-priced winners in his last two starts, gets needed class relief and can get back on the winning track. Play 5-1 and 5-7 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#1 Bluegrass Breeze Ran an even fourth on a sloppy track last out and will get involved earlier from the inside post; can probably be a battler at this level.
#6 Golden Ale Probable favorite as he drops to maiden claiming after showing speed in maiden special races; dangerous if he can get clear early.
#2 Rocked Drops out of longer races and probably has a shot to make up some serious late ground.
Race Summary Bluegrass Breeze improved in his second start and can break well and benefit from the rail spot; expect continued improvement.

Remington Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#8 Mongolian Lotus Weakened as the favorite at a higher level on turf and should get back to good form with this class drop and return to dirt.
#5 Big Base Has shown speed in starter allowances and could be tough to catch going longer.
#7 Break At Dawn Was third in an allowance race three back and can be troublesome if he runs back to that one.
Race Summary Mongolian Lotus has won 6 of 12 on the turf and has never been at a lower level.

Remington Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#3 Acting Wizard Was along for third vs. similar last time and will probably get a lively pace to chase this time around.
#5 Heputtheaceinrace Held on for second at this price last out and the Craddock stable is always worth a look.
#1 Coach Dan Has shown speed in sprints and likely will be out front or close to it; could enjoy the stretch-out.
Race Summary Acting Wizard followed a slow pace and couldn't bring a lot of heat late in the game last time but should get a more favorable setup here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Turf Paradise Selections for December 7, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Dec 7th, 2021 12:45am PST

BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127) has five racecourses for wagering on Tuesday. You can find Turf Paradise, Remington Park, Penn National, Parx, and Mountaineer Park available for wagering on Tuesday afternoon and evening.

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Parx has the feature race of the day with the $200,000 Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes expected to run in Philadelphia. It’s supposed to be a clear and sunny day today in Philadelphia, so it should be a good day for racing.

TheSportsGeek is at Parx and Turf Paradise in Arizona on Tuesday afternoon. Turf Paradise has eight races, two on the turf, for a total of $133,070 in prize money available. Head below for our free Turf Paradise picks on December 7, 2021.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 1
(1) Seven Points
+350 (7/2)
(2) Big News Coming
+250 (5/2)
(3) Sugar On Top
+500 (5/1)
(4) Steinway
+450 (9/2)
(5) Pancakes and Beer
+800 (8/1)
(6) Snoozy Suzy
+1500 (15/1)
(7) Bones and Roses
+1000 (10/1)
(8) Abigail Aiden
+600 (6/1)

Post Time: 12:40 p.m. MST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse:$12,350

The first event at Turf Paradise is a $12,350 event covering a mile. Seven Points and Big News Coming should run like top contenders in this one.

Seven Points is winless in 11 attempts, but looks like to have a chance against this field. She has finished 2nd, 5th, 5th in her last three outings.

Seven Points had five straight appearances in the top-3, but went 5th in back-to-back races recently. In her last go on November 23, Seven Points finished 5th for a $20,600 prize.

Down to $12,350, Seven Points has to be worth considering. Big News Coming hasn’t had a win in six career races.

She is coming off a decent bid to finish 4th in a $20,600 race. Big News Coming edged out Seven Points by 6 ¼ lengths in that one.

With both going down in class and meeting again, I like a better bid from the No. 2 at Turf Paradise.
The Bet
(2) BIG NEWS COMING
+250
Place Bet Now!
Race 2
(1) Mr. Fireball
+800 (8/1)
(2) Abranian Story
+450 (9/2)
(3) Market King
+350 (7/2)
(4) Dark Hedges
+160 (8/5)
(5) Vicente’s Shadow
+600 (6/1)
(6) Sorriso
+800 (8/1)
(7) Conquest Smartee
+500 (5/1)

Post Time: 1:10 p.m. MST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$25,350

The second race at Turf Paradise covers 6 furlongs for a $25,350 purse. This one looks like a tough one between Dark Hedges and Market King in the stretch.

Market King is 4 for 21 in his career, and has finished 1st in back-to-back outings on November 9 and November 22.

He defeated Pintxos by 2 lengths in a $23,000 race, and then came back to beat Mr View by 2 ¾ lengths in a $13,880 assignment.

Market King has been seeing the track over the last several months. He’s finished in the top-3 in five of his last six outings, and should be close again on Tuesday.

Dark Hedges will be a strong contender in this one. He is 4 for 16 in his career, and has finished 5th, 2nd, 1st in his last three with improvement.

Dark Hedges is fresh off a 1 length win for a $23,600 purse on November 9. This was after placing 2nd behind Satchel de Ritches by 2 ¼ lengths for a $25,000 prize at Del Mar on August 22.

The transfer to Turf Paradise did Dark Hedges plenty of good. After racing at Santa Anita and Del Mar, a trip to Turf Paradise to search for easier foes helped put him in the winner’s circle.
The Bet
(4) DARK HEDGES
+160
Place Bet Now!
Race 8
(1) Perfect Fanny
+300 (3/1)
(2) Hotfoot
+200 (2/1)
(3) Capital Expense
+400 (4/1)
(4) Sharp Dressed Beau
+600 (6/1)
(5) Thief in the Night
+1500 (15/1)
(6) Jacks Outlaw
+800 (8/1)
(7) No Pasa Nada
+500 (5/1)
(8) Marque It Up
+3000 (30/1)
(9) Stitzy
+450 (9/2)

Post Time: 4:11 p.m. MST
Distance:5 Furlongs
Purse:$26,350

Race 8 covers 5 furlongs on the turf for a $26,350 purse. Jacks Outlaw and Hotfoot should be two contenders to win.

Jacks Outlaw is 4 for 23 in his career, finishing 1st, 1st, 4th in his previous three outings. He was a back-to-back winner on February 10 and March 5.

In the first of those two wins, Jacks Outlaw won because of a DQ after placing 2nd behind Matson by a neck for a $10,600 prize, and then a half length win for a $16,500 prize on March 5.

This sequence was after finishing 6th, 7th, 6th, so a drop in glass helped. However, in his most recent attempt, the colt finished 4th in a $30,000 assignment on April 9.

Hotfoot is 14 for 59 in his career, and is looking good as of late. He is searching for a hat-trick after a win on November 8 and November 18.

He beat Raofthesun by 3 ¾ lengths in a $16,400 assignment, and then followed up for a 1 length win for $24,800 to show that he’s capable in a tougher race.

This looks like another assignment where Hotfoot should be capable enough for another win.
The Bet
(2) HOTFOOT
+200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Parx Racing Selections for December 7, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Dec 6th, 2021 10:40pm PST

We are back on the racetrack Tuesday afternoon in North America. It’s only Tuesday, but Bob Baffert is the center of attention, and not the attention he wants again. Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit collapsed in a training session at Santa Anita Park because of a heart attack.

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Coming from a trainer that has had several horses collapse in the past, and has been in the middle of doping scandals, it’s going to be hard for him to receive much sympathy. It’s certainly not coming from me. This isn’t a one-time incident for Baffert to give him any more free passes.

BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127) has five racecourses scheduled for betting on Tuesday. Parx has the running of the $200,000 Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes this afternoon. That’s a big card for a Tuesday. For our first look on Tuesday, we’re heading to Parx in Philadelphia.

Parx has ten races for $484,000 in prize money on the card this afternoon. Head below for our free Parx Racing picks for December 7, 2021.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 6
(1) Jamminwithbrandon
+350 (7/2)
(2) Blugrascat’s Smile
+600 (6/1)
(3) Genghis
+1500 (15/1)
(4) Sevier
+200 (2/1)
(5) Kingsville
+500 (5/1)
(6) They Shot Sonny
+450 (9/2)
(7) Manolete
+1200 (12/1)
(8) Relishment
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 2:25 p.m. EST
Distance:1 1/16 Miles
Purse:$28,000

Race 6 is covering 1 1/16 miles for a $28,000 purse on Tuesday afternoon. Jamminwithbrandon and Sevier should have a chance to go in here.

Jamminwithbrandon is 6 for 41 in his career, and has finished 7th, 3rd, 2nd in his previous three attempts. He finished 7th on October 11 for a $28,000 purse, and then showed 3rd in his next outing on November 8.

Jamminwithbrandon showed 3rd for a $26,000 purse, and then did a spot better to place 2nd behind Ty Ran a Homer by 1 length in the same grade. He is going to have a chance to get this done.

Sevier is 17 for 49 in his career, and has been in consistent form. He’s finished 1st, 1st, 2nd, 2nd in his previous four outings.

Sevier defeated Silver Edge by 6 ½ lengths in a $50,000 race. That was impressively done. Following that attempt, Sevier placed 2nd for a $36,050 purse, and then did the same most recently in a $28,000 race.

He doesn’t have to show too much more improvement to secure the top prize on Tuesday.
The Bet
(4) SEVIER
+200
Place Bet Now!
Race 7
(1) Shesalittle Edgy
+180 (9/5)
(2) Madam Meena
+350 (7/2)
(3) Hey Mamaluke
+800 (8/1)
(4) Glory Dia
+500 (5/1)
(5) I’m the Talent
+350 (7/2)
(6) Promised Start
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 2:52 p.m. EST
Distance:6 ½ Furlongs
Purse:$48,000

Race 7 covers 6 ½ furlongs on the dirt for a $48,000 purse. Madam Meena is 9 for 19 with a pretty good strike rate in her career.

She looks good and should see a challenge from Shesalittle Edgy. Madam Meena is looking to get back into the winner’s circle after finishing 4th, 5th, 5th, 3rd after a win on February 26 for a $49,961 purse.

In her last attempt, Madam Meena showed 3rd for $57,120. This was after finishing 5th on October 18 in a $48,000 race.

Shesalittle Edgy is 6 for 16 and has gone top-3 in nine straight races. She had a hat-trick from August 31 to October 21, with a $28,000 win most recently by 1 ½ lengths.

She came back on November 12 at Aqueduct and couldn’t get the fourth win in a row. Shesalittle Edge did place 2nd behind Vegas Weekend by ¾ lengths up in grade in a $84,000 race.

That was impressive and showed Shesalittle Edgy can play with the bigger girls. Back down to $48,000, a win awaits with the same form.
The Bet
(1) SHESALITTLE EDGY
+180
Place Bet Now!
Race 9 – Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes
(1) Dance Code
+600 (6/1)
(2) Dr. Steve
+500 (5/1)
(3) Wispering Springs
+600 (6/1)
(4) Uncle Buddy
+300 (3/1)
(5) Disco Ebo
+180 (9/5)
(6) Witty
+600 (6/1)
(7) Center Mid Maddie
+800 (8/1)
(8) Champion By Design
+800 (8/1)
(9) Champion By Design
+800 (8/1)
(10) Allevare
+450 (9/2)

Post Time: 3:50 p.m. EST
Distance:7 Furlongs
Purse:$200,000

The Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes is the feature race on Tuesday and of this week. Ten horses are scheduled to run 7 furlongs for a $200,000 purse at Parx.

Uncle Buddy and Disco Ebo should have a strong say in the stretch run. Uncle Buddy is a two-time winner through two appearances.

He beat Lady G by 3 ¾ lengths for a $27,100 purse on debut at Penn National on July 9. In his next and most recent attempt, Uncle Buddy did it again with a 5 ¾ length for a $28,000 win. That was impressive, but this is a huge step up in class for a $4,500 colt.

Disco Ebo has finished 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 1st in five outings on the track. She comes into Tuesday off a hat-trick, with her latest win on November 26 at Penn National.

Disco Ebo beat Burano by 5 ¾ lengths in the $200,000 Shamrock Rose Stakes. That was too good from Disco Ebo after a blowout in a $28,000 assignment on October 26 by more than 10 lengths.
The Bet
(5) DISCO EBO
+180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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1.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
CBB
Oakland -2
1-0 (+100)
5-1 (+390)


2.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
CBB
UMass +2
0-1 (-110)
5-2 (+280)


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National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
CBB
Arkansas -18
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3-3 (-30)


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Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
CBB
Tennessee -4
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3-4 (-140)


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Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
CBB
N. Colorado -9.5
0-0 (+0)
3-4 (-140)


7.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
CBB
Syracuse +8.5
1-0 (+100)
2-4 (-240)


8.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
NBA
Spurs +2.5
0-1 (-110)
2-5 (-350)


9.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
NBA
Spurs +2.5
0-0 (+0)
1-1 (-10) *

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Free Winners for Tuesday, December 7th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
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Wild @ Oilers
TIME: 9:00 PM EST
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Tuesday, December 7th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE NBA PICKS
Knicks @ Spurs
TIME: 8:30 PM EST
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1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Celtics +2.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
NBA – Nets over 219
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
NBA – Knicks -2.5
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Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
CBB – Toledo -4.5
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5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CBB – James Madison over 124.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
CBB – Texas Tech +3.5
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NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
NBA – Celtics under 220
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Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
NBA – Nets -4
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VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
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William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
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Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
CBB – Boise St -13
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Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CBB – Villanova -8.5
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14.
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Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
CBB – Kentucky over 147
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Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
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NBA – Knicks over 211
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NBA – Nets -4
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


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NBA – Celtics +2.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
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CBB – Brown -3
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CBB – East Carolina -10.5
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Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
CBB – Furman -2
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23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
CBB – George Mason -4
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
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NBA – Knicks -2.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Nets over 219
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

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Bobby Conn Dec 07 '21, 7:35 PM in 26m
NBA | Nets vs Mavs
Play on: Nets -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Nets -2½ -110

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Timothy Black Dec 07 '21, 7:35 PM in 26m
NBA | Nets vs Mavs
Play on: Nets -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Best Bet on Nets -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Dec 07 '21, 8:00 PM in 51m
NCAA-B | Belmont vs St. Louis
Play on: UNDER 150½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Belmont vs St. Louis under 150½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Dec 07 '21, 8:00 PM in 51m
NCAA-B | College of Charleston vs Tulane
Play on: Tulane -3½ -110 at William Hill

Free Play on Tulane -3½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Dec 07 '21, 8:00 PM in 51m
NCAA-B | Belmont vs St. Louis
Play on: St. Louis -2½ -110 at Caesars

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Saint Louis -2.5
The Saint Louis Billikens just dropped their first home game of the season to a very good UAB team by a final of 72-77. I look for them to bounce back tonight and continue their dominance at home, where they have been so good over the past few seasons. The Billikens are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 home games. Saint Louis is 8-1-2 ATS in its last 11 home games against a team with a winning road record. It's a tough spot for the Belmont Bruins, who will be playing their 2nd road game in 3 days and their 3rd game in 6 days. It will be just the 2nd game in 7 days for the Billikens. The Bruins are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games after scoring 85 points or more. Belmont is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games against a team that wins 60% to 80% of their games. Give me Saint Louis.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Dec 07 '21, 8:00 PM in 51m
NCAA-B | Belmont vs St. Louis
Play on: Belmont +2½ -110 at Mirage

FREE PICK: Belmont Bruins +2.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 619
I like Belmont as a 2.5-point dog at St Louis. Most are rushing to back the Billikens as a short home favorite, but I'm just not quite sold on this team. They have faced three teams ranked in the Top 100 at KenPo. They lost by 16 on the road to No. 35 Memphis and by 5 at home to No. 43 UAB. The only win was in OT at No. 80 Boise State.
Belmont is No.58. The Bruins have one ugly loss at LSU, but that LSU team looks like it might be a little better than we thought. The Bruins have solid wins over both Drake and Iona, as well as a couple of close losses away from home against the likes of Ohio and Dayton. I like them to find a way to win here. Give me Belmont +2.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Dec 07 '21, 8:08 PM in 59m
NHL | Hurricanes vs Jets
Play on: Hurricanes -102 at SC Consensus

ASA FREE PLAY ON Carolina -105 over Winnipeg, Tuesday at 8 PM ET - This is just too much value to pass up on. Yes, the Hurricanes have lost a few games recently but the breaks have gone against them in some tight games. This Carolina team truly is one of the top teams in the NHL. As for Winnipeg, yes Connor Hellebuyck is a great goalie but oftentimes this Jets team struggles badly to score goals. Winnipeg hits some major stretches with a dearth of goals. The Hurricanes are so strong on the forecheck that they can often dominate teams in that way and this is what we are expecting here against the Jets in this one. Winnipeg is off of back to back wins but had lost 6 of 7 heading into that. Carolina is off a huge 6-2 home win and now circled this 5-game road trip as a key point for them in the first half of the season. Look for the Canes to respond extremely well here on the road.

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Black Widow Dec 07 '21, 8:08 PM in 59m
NHL | Hurricanes vs Jets
Play on: Hurricanes -102 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Hurricanes -102

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Dustin Hawkins Dec 07 '21, 8:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Duquesne vs DePaul
Play on: Duquesne +8½ -110 at Mirage

1 Dimer on Duquesne +8½ -110

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Hunter Price Dec 07 '21, 8:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Duquesne vs DePaul
Play on: DePaul -7 -110 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on DePaul -7 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Dec 07 '21, 8:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Rangers vs Blackhawks
Play on: Blackhawks +115 at SC Consensus

1* on Blackhawks +115

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Kenny Walker Dec 07 '21, 8:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Rangers vs Blackhawks
Play on: Blackhawks +115 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Blackhawks

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Dennis Macklin Dec 07 '21, 8:38 PM in 1h
NHL | Rangers vs Blackhawks
Play on: Rangers -118 at linepros

DMack's Free Play for Tuesday, December 7, 2021 is on the NY Rangers
The Rangers have taken several years, make that decades, to rebuild but some recent strong drafts have paid big dividends. The Broadway Blues are close to being on par with Florida, Carolina, Washington, and Tampa Bay in a very tough East. NYR now 16-4-3 and 8-1-1 at home and 8-3-2 on the road and winners of 9 of 10. The Blackhawks have been improved of late but are still a defensive sieve to such an extent that Marc-Andre Fleury hasn't even been able to bail them out in most cases. Better team, better form, tasty price that's worth a flyer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Dec 07 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Knicks vs Spurs
Play on: Knicks -2½ -101 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: New York Knicks -2.5
This looks like the spot the New York Knicks get back on track after three straight losses to three of the best teams in the NBA in the Nets, Bulls and Nuggets. In fact, their last seven games have been against tough competition.
Now they take a step down in class here against the San Antonio Spurs. And the Knicks come in fresh and ready to go on two days' rest. It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Knicks and 'sell high' on the Spurs after going 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
I cashed in the Spurs +7.5 last night as a premium pick, but I'm fading them today due to the spot. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 104-108 loss to the Phoenix Suns on the road Monday.
New York is 30-11 ATS in its last 41 games when the line is +3 to -3. The Knicks are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games after losing five or six of their last seven games coming in. The Spurs are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 home games after winning three of their last four games coming in. Bet the Knicks Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Dec 07 '21, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Butler vs Oklahoma
Play on: Butler +11 -110 at linepros

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Tuesday 12-7-21
Butler @ Oklahoma (9:00 PM EST)
Play On: Butler +11
The Butler Bulldogs travel to Oklahoma to take on the Sooners on Tuesday night. Butler is 5-3 SU overall this year while Oklahoma comes in with a 7-1 SU overall record on the season. Butler is 177-112 ATS last 289 non-conference games. Oklahoma is 3-7 ATS last 10 home games. Oklahoma is 5-12 ATS last 17 games overall. Oklahoma is 3-11 ATS last 14 games as a favorite. Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS last 6 games after an ATS win. Oklahoma is 1-7 ATS last 8 games as a home favorite. Butler is allowing only 58.4 points per game overall this year, 59.3 points per game on the road this season and 61.6 points per game past 5 games overall. Butler will try to slow the pace down giving us a lot of value getting double digit points. My Rocketman line has Oklahoma winning by only 3 points here. We'll recommend a small play on Butler tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Teddy Davis Dec 07 '21, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Butler vs Oklahoma
Play on: Butler +11 -110 at SC Consensus

Very surprised here to see Oklahoma laying double digits. I had this ream in a winning effort beating down Florida but they are getting a lot of respect because of that. Butler has played several tough games including Michigan St and Houston. I also think this is a little sandwich spot here for the Sooners as they have Arkansas coming to town next in a big game. Butler keeps it close here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Dec 07 '21, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Butler vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma -10 -110 at Caesars

Butler vs Oklahoma Free Pick December 7, 2021
This looks like a really unfavorable matchup for a Butler team that is 1-5 ATS on the season while averaging only 64.6 points per game. Oklahoma has held its opponents to 60.3 points per game overall this season, a number that drops to 52 ppg home at Lloyd Noble Center.
While Butler has held opponents to 58.4 ppg, that number skewed by matchups with weak opponents. The Bulldogs gave up 73 points to Michigan State on November 17 and 70 points at Houston on Nov 22. I fully expect the Sooners to put up 70+ while Butler will struggle to break 60 points.
Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Bulldogs are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
Free pick on Oklahoma Sooners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Dec 07 '21, 9:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Wild vs Oilers
Play on: Wild +115 at SC Consensus

1* Free Sharp Play on Wild +115

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Sean Murphy Dec 07 '21, 9:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Wild vs Oilers
Play on: Oilers -121 at linepros

Tuesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Edmonton over Minnesota at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Oilers suffered a lopsided 5-1 defeat at the hands of the Kings here at home ice on Sunday but I look for them to bounce back and snap their two-game mini-slide with a win over the red hot Wild on Tuesday night. Minnesota has won six straight games with the last five coming on home ice. Note that the Wild are averaging 0.7 goals below their season average while outscoring opponents by just 0.1 goals on average on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Oilers are 9-2 on home ice, averaging 4.2 goals per game and outscoring the opposition by an average margin of 1.2 goals. Here, we'll note that the Oilers are 22-8 in their lat 30 games after allowing five goals or more, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.1 goals on average in that spot. They're also 29-12 when coming off a loss by two goals or more over the last three seasons. The Wild on the other hand are 62-83 after scoring four goals or more in consecutive games, averaging just 2.5 goals in that situation. Take Edmonton.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Dec 07 '21, 9:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Villanova vs Syracuse
Play on: Syracuse +9 -110 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on Syracuse +9 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AJ May Dec 07 '21, 10:38 PM in 3h
NHL | Flames vs Sharks
Play on: Sharks +120 at Mirage

Taking the Sharks for a Free Pick here...
This one would be equivalent to an 8* bet for me (8 out of 10). I loved how the Sharks played against the Blue Jackets last game, but the desperation of the long Columbus losing streak won out over the better overall game by San Jose. The Sharks generated 70% of the high danger scoring chances in that game and over 65% of the expected goals at 5 on 5. You just don't lose often with those numbers.
Now they come off a long road trip and play that dreaded first game back. Generally, teams coming off a loss in this spot win at a higher rate than teams coming off a win. Call it whatever you want, but it seems like it's determination vs relaxation that makes the difference.
To be more specific, teams on a 2 or 3 game losing streak, coming off a road trip of 3 to 6 games, win 60% of the time with a 10% ROI and a sample size of 575 bets. Another (less reliable) trend is that teams coming off a 1 goal loss in Vegas are 9-24 the following game (Calgary's spot). Just wanted to throw it out there.
Over their last 10 games at 5 on 5, the Sharks are the better team in expected goals, high danger chances, AND have scored 11% LESS goals than expected compared to 4.5% MORE goals than expected for Calgary. That means (generally) that SJ has been unlucky and the Flames have been slightly lucky relative to what "should" happen.
Last thing... the Flames played like garbage last game in Vegas. They might be better this game, but it was their third lackluster performance in a row, so I'm starting to think it's more of a trend than an exception to the usually dominating play of Calgary.
I'm going with the Sharks as decent sized home dogs. Good luck!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Bradley +5½ over Toledo

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: MISSOURI -18½ over Eastern Illinois

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Totals4U

Tuesday's Free Selection: Charlotte/Arkansas under 145

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#1 Sports

Tuesday's Free Play: Kansas Jayhawks - 20 1/2

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Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the North Dakota St Bison +3½ over Montana St

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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Tuesday : Take TOLEDO -6 over Bradley

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Golden Dragon

Tuesday Free Play Kansas -20 CBB

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Hawkeye Sports

Tuesday's Free Pick: Missouri Tigers - 18 1/2

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Huddle Up Sports

Tuesday Free Missouri -18 CBB

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Tuesday: OKLAHOMA -11 over Butler

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Tuesday: Tulsa Golden Hurricane - 2 1/2

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Kenny Towers

Your Free Pick for Tuesday: Kansas -20½

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John Anthony Sports

Free Selection for TUESDAY JAMES MADISON

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Tony Sacco

Free Play for Tuesday: Kansas -20½

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Hollywood Anthony

Your Free Play Take USC -17½

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Odds Shark

NBA
Nets -3.5
Spurs +2.5
J Tatum over 7.5 rebounds

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Tony George

NBA
Nets -4

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Indian Cowboy

NBA
Knicks -1.5