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View Full Version : Thursday 12/16/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc



Can'tPickAWinner
12-13-2021, 11:35 PM
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Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2021, 11:40 PM
Aqueduct (1st) Wicked Happy, 7-2
(5th) Hangar One, 9-2

Charles Town (2nd) Quick Entry, 7-2
(4th) Distant Thunder, 3-1

Delta Downs (3rd) Brave City Girl, 4-1
(4th) My Kiki, 3-1

Fair Grounds (2nd) Double Dare You, 4-1
(5th) Jackie Moon, 7-2

Gulfstream Park (4th) Hey Hombre, 3-1
(5th) K. K. Ichikawa, 9-2

Laurel Park (1st) Zen Pi, 3-1
(2nd) Olympic Gold, 4-1

Remington Park (1st) Guardsman Pass, 3-1
(2nd) Pickle Snapper, 4-1

Turf Paradise (4th) Ju Ju Guy, 6-1
(5th) Vintage Kitten, 3-1

Turfway Park (1st) Noble Enterprise, 6-1
(3rd) Airwar, 4-1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:08 PM
AI Picks: Turfway Pick 5 Carryover | Thursday, Dec. 16

December 15, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Turfway Park has a $32,685 carryover in its pick five pool to open its racing week Thursday night. To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Turfway Park // Race 1 // 6:15 pm ET // maiden claiming // 1-1.16 miles

#8 Run With Grace (2-1) // 24%W
#3 Leia Organa (5-1) // 19%W
#1 Quite Whimsical (15-1) // 14%W
#5 Noble Enterprise (6-1) // 13%W

//

Turfway Park // Race 2 // 6:45 pm ET // claiming // 6 furlongs

#6 Morethansoultitle (3-1) // 22%W
#5 Franco’s Team (8-5) // 16%W
#7 O Cigano (8-1) // 13%W
#10 Dr Parker (12-1) // 13%W

//

Turfway Park // Race 3 // 7:16 pm ET // claiming // 6 furlongs

#4 Airwar (4-1) // 22%W
#10 Z U At the Races (5-1) // 16%W
#3 Southern Will (5-1) // 13%W
#5 Orb of the Boro (10-1) // 13%W

//

Turfway Park // Race 4 // 7:46 pm ET // claiming // 1 mile

#6 Ugly Duckling (10-1) // 23%W
#3 Inclusive (5-2) // 22%W
#2 It’s Game Time (6-1) // 14%W
#1 Shell Fire (8-1) // 7%W

//

Turfway Park // Race 5 // 8:14 pm ET // maiden special weight // 1-1/16 miles

#10 Valentina Day (3-1) // 23%W
#4 Midsummer Nights (20-1) // 13%W
#6 Catiche (3-1) // 11%W
#2 Legerity (5-2) // 11%W

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:08 PM
AI Picks: Laurel Park | Thursday, December 16, 2021

December 15, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Laurel Park returns to racing action Thursday. To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Laurel Park // Race 1 // 12:25 pm ET // claiming // 6 furlongs

#2 Zen Pi (3-1) // 24%W
#7 Spotted Bull (7-2) // 20%W
#4 Rising Perry (9-2) // 15%W
#3 Visual Artist (12-1) // 11%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 2 // 12:54 pm ET // claiming // 1 mile

#7 Strolled On By (5-1) // 24%W
#2 Glorious Weekend (15-1) // 12%W
#9 Shanghaied Astoria (12-1) // 8%W
#1 Iron Pearls (15-1) // 8%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 3 // 1:22 pm ET // maiden claiming // 5-1/2 furlongs

#1 Mailman’s a Flyer (8-5) // 30%W
#4 Hello Amigo (6-1) // 17%W
#9 Uncommon Valor (12-1) // 14%W
#5 Rahmer (20-1) // 10%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 4 // 1:50 pm ET // optional claiming // 7 furlongs

#1A Algebraic (9-2) // 28%W
#2 Maybe After Later (4-1) // 14%W
#10 Magic Mule (9-2) // 12%W
#9 Rippolino (5-1) // 7%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 5 // 2:20 pm ET // claiming // 7 furlongs

#3 Military Hop (6-1) // 27%W
#9 Phantom Bo (8-1) // 14%W
#12 Point Driven (9-2) // 12%W
#10 Championship Alley (5-1) // 8%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 6 // 2:49 pm ET // allowance // 5-1/2 furlongs

#1 Mending (3-1) // 29%W
#2 Hufflepuff (6-1) // 18%W
#9 Response Time (5-1) // 11%W
#5 Miranda’s Desmond (5-1) // 9%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 7 // 3:18 pm ET // optional claiming-allowance // 1 mile

#1 Galerio (5-2) // 22%W
#6 Torch of Truth (6-1) // 14%W
#5 Everett’s Song (9-2) // 12%W
#3 Newstome (15-1) // 9%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 8 // 3:50 pm ET // allowance // 1-1/8 miles

#3 Boss Logic (3-1) // 24%W
#2 The Angry Man (7-2) // 22%W
#6 Up Against It (8-1) // 12%W
#7 Royal Number (5-1) // 12%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 9 // 4:22 pm ET // claiming // 1-1/16 miles

#2 Laddie Liam (5-2) // 23%W
#8 My Sacred Place (8-1) // 19%W
#5 Amen Corner (6-1) // 16%W
#3 Mice and Men (30-1) // 16%W

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:09 PM
Gulfstream 5 Facts | Dec. 14-19, 2021

December 14, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Wednesday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$16,181 // Super High 5 // Wednesday

Feature Race(s):

$200,000 Grade 2 Fort Lauderdale // turf routers // Saturday

$150,000 Grade 3 Harlan’s Holiday // dirt routers // Saturday

$100,000 Grade 3 Suwanee River // turf fillies and mares // Saturday

$100,000 Grade 3 Sugar Swirl // dirt sprint fillies and mares // Saturday

$100,000 Rampart // dirt miler fillies and mares // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Last 3 Purse (29%, +$22.40)

Lifetime Earnings (30%, -$2.80)

Avg. E2 (Early) Pace (29%, -$6.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 14: 7-0-1 (50%, $2.11 ROI) // 3-3 with Tyler Gaffalione

T: Todd Pletcher // last week 5: 3-0-0 (60%, $1.16 ROI) // all 3 wins 7-5 or less // 3-4 with Luis Saez

T: Kent Sweezey // last week 8: 2-0-1 (25%, $2.67 ROI) // $8 and $50 maiden claiming winners both with Paco Lopez

J: Paco Lopez // last week 18: 5-3-3 (28%, $2.03 ROI) // 12-46 last 2 weeks // 2 wins with Gustavo Delgado and Kent Sweezey

J: Luis Saez // last week 25: 6-3-6 (24%, $0.76 ROI) // 4-12 on favorites // 6 wins 3-1 or less + $16 score

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:09 PM
Fair Grounds Picks & Betting Analysis for December 16
By J.N. Campbell


FAIR GROUNDS Picks
16th December 2021

Race 1 : 2-6-3-1
Race 2 : 5-4-6-1
Race 3 : 3-6-5-2
Race 4 : 5-2-6-1
Race 5 : 3-6-2-4
Race 6 : 6-1-3-4
Race 7 : 7-5-2-8
Race 8 : 6-8-2-7
Race 9 : 2-9-4-3
View Today's FAIR GROUNDS Entries

The Fair Grounds returns for their 150th Anniversary with cards that are sure to excite every horseplayer in the land!

At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the action! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned!

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Thursday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Horse Racing Picks
Tvg Sitetakeover 992x300

Most Likely Winner: (Race 3: Harbor Knight #3, 5/2):

One of the leading Louisiana-based trainers in the state has this 5-yr-old gelding back in action at the Fair Grounds. Ron Faucheux has solid numbers, and you know when you back one of his charges, they have a great chance to score. Last out in a claiming game race, the son of Harborage ended up 2nd, but the significant moment in that race was the furious rally that he mustered. With a bit of rating early, I think he should be in an excellent striking position towards the top of the lane. This one is a bet at anything over 5/2 on the tote.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #3



Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Jo Dee’s Angel (BC) #6, 6/1):

Lately, trainer Greg Tracy has been red-hot over at Delta Downs. He also has runners at the Fair Grounds, and I like the look of this one by Second in Command. Getting drawn to the outside gate will help get him clear of any traffic. Earlier this year, Tracy’s runner was plying his trade up at Canterbury Park. A series of solid efforts at a higher level make this one enticing as the gelding gets back at it. In for a tag ($25k), the best news is that Jareth Loveberry gets the call, and after a sensational season up at Arlington, we know he has skills to ride in grass sprints. I am hoping this one is going to be above 6/1 on the tote. Let’s go!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #6 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Dirt, 6F, OC40k, 3+):

A group of 8 sprinters make up this field, and it looks like a pretty evenly matched field. Trainer Vickie Foley has what I consider to be a pretty tepid favorite in Coltonator #5. I am concerned that this 5-yr-old by Congrats was such a short price in an OC62.5k race back at Churchill in mid-November. That was a mess of a day under the Twin Spires, and maybe that is why the gelding failed to get the job done … He has a solid record at the Fair Grounds (8/2-2-1), so maybe that is why the odds are so low. With Brian Hernandez in the irons, it makes sense that Foley’s charge might be well-bet. I want to use this runner, but I am pretty keen on the other Hernandez jockey who is entered in this race. Colby H. gets Tom Amoss’ Isolate #7, and this one makes much more sense to me at odds of 7/2. Not only does the colt by Mark Valeski have better odds, but Amoss is going to send him out with a race under his belt. See, his last contest on 21 Nov. was the colt’s 1st with his new trainer. Before that, he was under the care of Kathy Ritvo. Down at Gulfstream (and once up @AQU), this one never missed the board in 5 career starts. The 3-yr-old should be fit enough to get the job done. It’s Hernandez vs. Hernandez … the Thursday ice-cold Exacta!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 7 w 5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:10 PM
Aqueduct Picks & Betting Analysis for December 16
By J.N. Campbell


AQUEDUCT Picks
16th December 2021

Race 1 : 2-3-1-7
Race 2 : 6-3-2-5
Race 3 : 8-6-2-3
Race 4 : 4-5-1-8
Race 5 : 6-2-8-11
Race 6 : 5-4-1-8
Race 7 : 4-1-5-2
Race 8 : 11-8-10-3
View Today's AQUEDUCT Entries

NYRA's Aqueduct Racetrack heads into their Winter Meet, and even though the weather will be a challenge, that does not mean the racing will be less so!

At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the action! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned!

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Thursday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Horse Racing Picks
Tvg Sitetakeover 992x300

Most Likely Winner: (Race 4: Therisastormbrewin #4, 2/1):

Here is a gelding by Broken Vow that was claimed many a time in 2021. Linda Rice to Michelle Nevin, and those in-between ... all tried to get this one to the winner’s circle … to no avail. Now, Rob Atras will attempt the feat, and I think he has a good chance. This is an accomplished conditioner, and his numbers speak to it. With Kendrick Carmouche in the saddle, what must happen is this 5-yr-old has to break well, get loose on the lead, and perhaps he can control the fractions enough to get home in the end. Ever since his last win (AQU-26 Mar), he has been up against it. Maybe this time, at odds of 2/1 or higher, he can win the day for Atras …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #4



Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Opt #5, 10/1):

This 5-yr-old gelding by Will Take Charge has extensive experience against OC45k state bred company on the NYRA grass courses. But this time of year, the Ribaudo Barn likes to make the switch to the MT @AQU. Last year at this time, the runner went turf to dirt, and finished 2nd in a couple of MT route races. Coming into this level makes a ton of sense, and Trevor McCarthy gets the opportunity to ride. His numbers during the Meet are not stellar, but he can notch a win aboard this one. My sense is that the gelding is fit enough. My question is … will his odds remain around 10/1. I am not so sure … best to tote watch, and make an appraisal then. Let’s say this, if he is above 5/1 by post time—that’s a bet.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #5 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Dirt, 7F, AOC80k, 2):

The focal point on this Thursday card is a tough AOC match—6 will go. All of these runners entered here have experience, and there is not one that has the look of a 1st time starter. The central query is can anyone beat the couple entry … Life Is Great #1 and Hagler #1A? Based on their form, even if one scratches, they look formidable. Both are coming off wins at the MSW80k/90k level. The Klesaris and Rudy Rod. Barns will look to be dueling for the lead at the break. Of course, I want to try and beat both of them with an ice-cold Exacta … taking advantage of those bettors that want to capitalize on the 2 for 1 special. For my money, I am particularly interested in Bill Morey’s Florida Gator #4. This gelding is going to be a square price, around 8/1, gets the services of Carmouche, and has a great leg kick. By Lea, and thus First Samurai, I am hoping that Morey has him ready to fire after that last race at Churchill Downs. Welcome back to NYRA … go get ‘em Gator! Let’s play this runner over the coupled entry … that could turn into an Exacta to load up on!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 4 w 1/1A

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:10 PM
Daily Horse Racing Tips – Aqueduct – 16th December 2021
By Spotlight Racing Group

Aqueduct
NAP Fast Break (1:19 Aqueduct)
Next Best Perceived (3:08 Aqueduct)
Other Forgotten Mission (2:38 Aqueduct)
Break and gone

Race 2 at Aqueduct is a $50,000 Claiming contest over six furlongs on the dirt surface and it’s the horse in stall six, Fast Break, who can strike for Orlando Noda and his team.

This five-year-old son of Uncle Mo consistently runs his race as he’s only finished out of the first three on three occasions from thirteen starts which include three victories, two of which were here at Aqueduct, with his Maiden Special Weight win being over course and distance.

Coming between those two was an Allowance victory at Pimlico back in April but it’s his win here last time out that really catches the eye.

Over a seven-furlong trip, he was four wide, and even five wide, coming into the turn but when he was given a shake of the reins by Irad Ortiz Jr. he stretched clear to win by an impressive six and a quarter lengths, which was quite something considering he done much more running than his rivals during the race.

That effort was convincing on the eye and connections are dropping him back to six furlongs for this, but that shouldn’t be a problem especially as he’s drawn away from the rail and he should be able to stalk the pace from there, so all looks set for a big run under Irad’s brother Jose Ortiz.
TVG
Claim Your $300 Risk-Free Win Bet
The $300 Risk Free Bet is only open to new TVG account holders in TVG Participating States, age 21+ and 4NJBets account holders who are residents of New Jersey. Void where prohibited by law. To qualify for the Promotion, sign up for a new TVG account using any of the following promo codes: RISKFREE300 between 4/19/21 and 12/31/21. Full T&C Apply. Visit site
Perceived back in action

Linda Rice’s Perceived is lightly raced for a five-year-old which tells me that he’s had his issues off the track but he has plenty of ability and has been freshened up for this $45,000 mile Claiming event, Race 6.

After three failed attempts to break his maiden, this gelding then reeled off back-to-back victories over this course and distance, albeit the two wins did come a year apart, but he’s shown a liking for this track and his six and a quarter length victory in this grade back in January was an impressive one.

He ran well on a few occasions after that win and has since been off the track since May, so he comes into this off a seven-month break, but he has won off of a lay off before so that isn’t a concern and I doubt we’ve seen the best of him yet so from an inside draw in stall two he should go close.
TVG
Claim Your $300 Risk-Free Win Bet
The $300 Risk Free Bet is only open to new TVG account holders in TVG Participating States, age 21+ and 4NJBets account holders who are residents of New Jersey. Void where prohibited by law. To qualify for the Promotion, sign up for a new TVG account using any of the following promo codes: RISKFREE300 between 4/19/21 and 12/31/21. Full T&C Apply. Visit site
Mission accomplished!

The $28,000 Claimer over six furlongs at Aqueduct, which is Race 5 on the card, is an open looking race in which there’s plenty of value to be had and one colt who looks to be overpriced is Forgotten Mission, who broke his maiden at Monmouth Park three starts back and could quite easily hit the board here.

This colt had been finishing just out of the frame in Maiden Claiming races before making all of the running over an extended five furlongs in a Maiden Special Weight and he could get an uncontested lead here from stall five.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:10 PM
Best Horse Racing Bets for Thursday, December 16, 2021
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

I chose my races from Aqueduct Racetrack, Fair Grounds Race Course, and Turfway Park for my Thursday picks, which turned out to be an epic day for underdog wagers.

Among the long-odds moneymakers, I did find a single morning-line favorite that merited a bet—but even that race revealed a 50/1 longshot worth a value show ticket.

Don’t take my word for it, though. Make your own SWAGs with a review of the full race-cards at all three tracks at one of our top horseracing wagering sites.

Good luck!
Thursday’s Picks for Aqueduct Racetrack

We’ll begin with race two, a six-furlong claiming race on the main track for three-year-olds and upward. My money’s on the 7/2 second-favored Fast Break, ridden by Jose L. Ortiz.

This five-year-old gelding finished in the money nine of his 13 career starts, winning three, but his 2021 record is what convinces me: Five money finishes in eight starts, two of them wins. That’s the best you’ll find in this nine-horse field.

Orlando Noda trains Fast Break for Sunny Jim Fitzsimmons Racing.

Race six is a one-mile claiming run for three-year-olds and upward that have never won three races. I like the fourth-favored (at 6/1) Perceived, with Jose Lezcano in the irons.
This five-year-old gelding finished five of his nine career starts in the money, winning two. He’s posted consistently high-speed figures throughout his career.

Ranked among the top 100 trainers in both wins and earnings for thirteen consecutive years, Linda Rice trains Perceived for D.J. Stable LLC.

Race seven is a seven-furlong allowance optional claiming race for two-year-olds. The morning line seems to think this race is a lock for the 1/1A coupled entry, but I‘m betting my two dollars on the 8/1 underdog, Florida Gator, with veteran jockey Kendrick Carmouche aboard.

This gelding moneyed all three of his career starts, winning one. He ran third in his initial maiden run (he actually finished first but was DQ’d down to third after the hard bump of a competitor in the upper stretch), graduated in his second, and came from behind to finish second in a starter allowance race at Churchill Downs just last month.

Regularly ranked in the top 100 for wins, earnings, or both, twenty-year racing veteran William E. Morey trains Florida Gator for owners James Redekop and Stefan Ferrario. Morey put Carmouche in the irons for Florida Gator’s graduation victory.
My Thursday Picks for Fair Grounds Race Course

We’re starting on the turf course with race four, a one mile claiming run for fillies and mares three years old and upward that have never won three races. I like one of the three 9/2 underdogs in this seven-horse race—Carson’s Princess, piloted by Jose Riquelme.

This three-year-old filly finished eight of her 11 career starts in the money, winning two—both of which were in 2021, which edges her to the top of the statistics in this field.

Shane Wilson—who’s having the winningest year of his twenty-plus years in the racing business—trains Carson’s Princess for owner Phyllis L. Presswood.

Race six is a 5-1/2 furlong claiming run on the turf for three-year-olds and upward. I’m buying a win ticket on the 4/1 second-favored Denver City, ridden by Mitchell Murrill.
This five-year-old gelding moneyed six of his eight career starts, winning five—a five-win streak that lasted from last December until he finished fourth in the Remington Park Turf Sprint Stakes (Black Type) this past September.

Thirty-year racing veteran Chris A. Hartman trains Denver City for owner-breeder James W. Rogers.

We move back to the main track for race seven, a six-furlong allowance optional claiming race for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting on the 5/1 underdog, Vice Versa, with Juan P. Vargas in the irons.

This five-year-old gelding is the statistical standout in this eight-horse field, finishing in the money for 14 of his 23 career starts, eight of those wins. In 2021 he’s maintained his stats, finishing six of his ten starts in the money, winning three.

Shane Wilson trains Vice Versa for owner Wayne T. Davis. Wilson has tapped Vargas to saddle Vice Versa for his last four races.
Thursday Picks for Turfway Park

Let’s start on the all-weather track with race three, a six-furlong claiming run for three-year-olds and upward that have never won three races. I like the 5/1 underdog, Z U At the Races, with veteran jockey John McKee aboard.

This three-year-old gelding moneyed eight of his 18 career starts, winning two, but it’s his 2021 record that impresses me: Six money finishes in 11 starts, two of them wins. That makes him the statistical leader of this ten-horse pack.

James M. Watkins—who professionally is having a very good year—trains Z U At the Races for owners Dennis Pohl and Lawrence J. Gavilsky II.

Race six is a one-mile allowance optional claiming race on the all-weather track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m buying a win ticket on the 6/1 fourth-favored Takntothecleaners, ridden by Rodney A. Prescott.
This three-year-old filly finished four of her five career starts in the money, winning three. Her only non-money finish was a disappointing sixth place in the Kentucky Downs TVG Preview Dueling Grounds Oaks (Black Type) at Ellis Park in August.

Ethan W. West trains Takntothecleaners for owner Michael Hernon. West has put Prescott in the irons for all three of Takntothecleaners’ victories.

Race seven is a 6-1/2 furlong allowance race on the all-weather track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I agree with the morning line: buy a win ticket on Tiz Splendid News, piloted by veteran jockey Gerardo Corrales.

This three-year-old filly moneyed five of her six career starts, winning one. She notably finished second in the Trapeze Stakes (Black Type) last December at Remington Park. In this lackluster field of 14, she’s the star.

Breeders’ Cup veteran Wesley A. Ward trains Tiz Splendid News for Well Glory 81, Inc.

Incidentally, the 50/1 longshot in this race, Margaret Drive, is worth a look. The three-year-old filly is jockeyed this race by Samuel E. Bermudez, and she’s trained by Sharon Simon for owner Inocencio Quezada.

Normally, her record would be nothing to write home about, but in this race, that record isn’t all that horrible when compared to those of the rest of this field: five money finishes in 17 career starts, one of them a win. Yeah, I know. Still, worth a value show bet.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:11 PM
INTERSTATE RACING TIPS – DECEMBER 16TH

RSN927

With no Victorian Racing today, there’s still a raft of RSN Form Analysts bringing you all the daily racing tips across Australia.

There’s tips on all the meetings in Queensland and NSW for Thursday the 16th of December.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.
Paul Francis Corowa Tips

Rail Position: True
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine

Corowa, 16th December 2021

Race 1 Selections: 1,8,3,7
Race 2 Selections:3,7,2,8
Race 3 Selections: 7,6,4,9
Race 4 Selections:2,1,4,6
Race 5 Selections:5,6,1,4
Race 6 Selections:1,2,11,8
Race 7 Selections:14,3,10,1
Howard Walter Dalby Tips

Rail Position: +2.5m 600m-300m; True Remainder
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine

Dalby, 16th December 2021

Race 1 Selections:6,9,1,2
Race 2 Selections:5,1,3,2
Race 3 Selections: 10,9,2,6
Race 4 Selections:4,11,9,1
Race 5 Selections:3,5,4,7
Race 6 Selections:8,4,2,3
Race 7 Selections:10,11,5,6
Race 8 Selections:3,2,6,14
Best Bet

Race 7 Number 10 Dulcie Tie
Best Value

Race 5 Number 3 In Force
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 3,4,5,7
Quaddie 2: 2,3,4,8
Quaddie 3: 10,11
Quaddie 4: 2,3,6
Play Of The Day

Win and Place bets in Race 7 Number’s 10 & 11
Shayne Montgomery Hawkebury Tips

Rail Position: True
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 5
Weather: Fine

Hawkesbury, 16th December 2021

Race 1 Selections:2,8,9,4
Race 2 Selections:5,6,3,1
Race 3 Selections: 6,4,5,1
Race 4 Selections:3,5,2,9
Race 5 Selections:3,2,7,8
Race 6 Selections:5,8,7,6
Race 7 Selections:3,2,8,1
Best Bet

Race 6 Number 5-SHORT SHORTS

SHORT SHORTS was produced on debut at Newcastle last start when her inexperience was obvious but she was still far too good within this distance range. Winkers have been added to her gear for today and she’s an untapped filly who can already further progress.
Next Best

Race 4 Number 3-FAMOUS PEDRILLE

FAMOUS PEDRILLE struck traffic problems when he tackled 1200m at Newcastle last start but he refused to shirk his task in defeat. He has scope to improve here, attempting this distance for the first time and making his Hawkesbury debut. This roomy circuit should greatly suit him.
Best Value

Race 2 Number 5 Hayami
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:2,3,5,9
Quaddie 2:2,3,7,8
Quaddie 3:5,6,7,8
Quaddie 4:1,2,3,8
Play Of The Day

Race 4 Number 3-FAMOUS PEDRILLE all up Race 6 Number 5-SHORT SHORTS

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:11 PM
TimeformUS horses in focus for Thursday, Dec. 16, 2021
David AragonaDec 15, 2021


RACE 2: ARISTOCRATIC (#2)

Mi Tres Por Ciento is the horse to beat as he makes his first start off the claim for Linda Rice. His performances from this meet last year would absolutely crush this field, but there are some question marks surrounding him based on his recent form. He just hasn’t looked like quite the same horse since returning from a layoff in July, and needed an additional 3 months after that start before returning this fall. He was claimed for $40k by Linda Rice at Keeneland, but now drops to $25k after another 7 weeks on the shelf. He can obviously win, but I’m skeptical at a short price. I don’t want a fellow short price like Fast Break, who woke up for Rob Atras last month and is now claimed off that barn. The same goes for Baby I’m Perfect, who got a great trip to win going 7 furlongs last time out, but is unproven going this short. I instead want to look for some better options at more enticing prices. I would use Rejected Again, who gets needed class relief after facing tougher foes at the N1X allowance level. His form has declined recently, but he may not have appreciated turf or a sloppy track in his last two starts. My top pick is Aristocratic. I know his recent performances don’t quite measure up to those of the favorites, but he’s had valid excuses. He spent much of the year in the barn of a trainer who just doesn’t win on this circuit, ridden by a jockey who often gets way too aggressive. He was claimed by the sharp Gustavo Rodriguez barn last time and put in a better effort, rating on the front end before getting run down by a sharp foe late. He’s since been claimed by Charlton Baker, who doesn’t have great statistics with this move but generally does a good job with the horses who come into his care. He’s the primary speed form the inside and has plenty of prior races over this strip that would make him tough.

:: Get TimeformUS PPs for these races at Aqueduct

RACE 4: IT’S MANDATORY (#1)

The two likely favorites Therisastormbrewin and Profusion both come off good efforts. Therisastormbrewin drops slightly in class after checking in third at the $35k conditioned claiming level last time. He dueled for the lead that day and was negatively affected when drifting down to a dead rail in the stretch. That said, he was also competing over a muddy track, which he seems to prefer to fast going. He also figures to face pace pressure once again, as speedy rivals Spectatorless and A Colt Named Susie will also be looking for the lead. Profusion has improved in his last two starts going a mile, but he caught a very weak N2L field last time and is moving up in class of the claim for Linda Rice. The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace so I want to give a long look to some closers. The most logical of those is Mandatory Payout, who moves up in class after being protected off the layoff last time. Yet I’m more interested in his similarly named foe It’s Mandatory. This Jeffrey Englehart trainee has spent much of his career racing on turf, but he’s clearly a better dirt horse and his overall form looks stronger once you parse out the grass races. He beat a decent group at Finger Lakes two back, and then ran better than it appears at Parx last time. That was a decent field and he did well to close for fourth after being badly compromised by a very slow pace. I like that he picks up Dylan Davis for his NYRA debut, and I’m not too concerned that he’s part of an entry since stablemate Jaa Mode doesn’t figure to attract much support.



RACE 8: CONVERTIBLE FREEZE (#11)

Workingman’s Dude is the one to beat after twice checking in third at this level. He had legitimate trouble in his career debut, but rebounded nicely in his second start, showing improved early speed before fading. He again performed well last time, taken off the pace by Jose Lezcano before rallying in the stretch. That was going 7 furlongs so he just has to stretch out an additional eighth of a mile here, and he looks like one that should handle the distance. I have more faith in him getting the mile than Devious Banker, who arguably owns the best dirt races in this field. He was a solid third on debut behind the superior Who Hoo Thats Me, and then was compromised by a two-wide trip against a rail bias on Oct. 22. A repeat of those efforts makes him a major player in this spot, and he goes out for the underrated Cleveland Johnson barn. However, he has more of a sprint pedigree and I’m somewhat skeptical of him handling a mile. My top pick is Convertible Freeze. This colt ran like one who badly needed the experience in his only dirt start, as he was off slowly and just looked unfocused racing at the back of the pack. He has subsequently improved in two turf starts, but I’m not sure that he’s necessarily a turf horse. He was making a move two back when he got guided into traffic in the stretch. And last time he was ridden pretty conservatively, not angled into the clear to hit his best stride until it was too late. I like him switching back to dirt, as progeny of Connect have combined to win 8 of 36 (22%) dirt route attempts. Brad Cox also has solid numbers with maidens going from turf to dirt routes.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:11 PM
Today's Horse Racing Tips: Thursday December 16th
Stephen Harris bettingexpert Racing editor

Today’s Racing Tips – December 16th

There are five race meetings in Britain and Ireland on Thursday, with some competitive jumps action from Exeter, Fos Las and Naas. There are four handicaps on the card at Exeter, where easy ground should mean the field sizes are huge (at a track that usually does very well for runners). All-weather fans can enjoy the new surface at Southwell in the afternoon, and a twilight meeting at Chelmsford starting at 4pm.
SELECTION Track Time (UK) Horse ODDS
DAILY NAP Exeter 12:30PM Gris Gris Top 4.50
VALUE ANGLE Exter 1:40M Classic Ben 21.0

Best odds available as at 4pm December 15th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Today’s Daily Nap

Gris Gris

Exeter, 12:30PM

Michael Scudamore’s maiden hurdler has shaped well under positive rides in two runs so far over hurdles at Ffos Las, possibly overdoing things from the front last time when very heavily backed. He will be suited by a drop back to two miles at Exeter on Thursday, and can put his experience to good use under Richie McClernon.
Today’s Value Angle

Classic Ben

Exeter, 1:40PM

Stuart Edmunds useful handicapper ran a blinder over this course and distance last November in a huge field, and seems sure to be fully fit for this first run in 327 days. Soft ground suits him ideally, and he is very well treated now after not progressing from that effort last season.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:12 PM
Robin Goodfellow's Racing Tips: Best bets for Thursday, December 16
By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

EXETER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.00 Marmalaid

12.30 Great Ocean

1.05 Guernesey (nap)

1.40 No Rematch

2.15 Maskada

2.45 Tip Top Mountain

3.15 World Trip

GIMCRACK

12.00 My Silver Lining

12.30 Great Ocean

1.05 Champagne Court

1.40 Arian

2.15 Maskada (nap)

2.45 Tip Top Mountain

3.15 Flow With Eve


FFOS LAS

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.10 Be The Difference

12.40 Fine Casting

1.15 Ashfield Paddy

1.50 Dalamoi

2.25 Coquelicot

2.55 Danilo D’Airy

3.25 Blue Hop

GIMCRACK

12.10 Be The Difference

12.40 Fine Casting

1.15 Ashfield Paddy (nb)

1.50 Lydford Lad

2.25 Coquelicot

2.55 One Fer Mamma

3.25 Vengeance

Northerner – 12.10 Be The Difference (nap)

SOUTHWELL

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.22 Ubahha

12.56 Lucky Man

1.31 Stroxx

2.06 Gorgeous General

2.36 Carausius

3.06 Vertice

3.40 Poet

4.15 Politics

GIMCRACK

12.22 Show Me A Sunset

12.56 Lucky Man

1.31 Stroxx

2.06 Red Allure

2.36 Carausius

3.06 Fleursals

3.40 Poet

4.15 Politics

Northerner – 12.56 Firebomb (nb)

CHELMSFORD CITY

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

4.00 Yonafis

4.30 Percy Jones

5.00 Jabbar

5.30 Sky Power

6.00 Bascule (nb)

6.35 Internationalangel

7.05 Brunel Charm

GIMCRACK

4.00 Yonafis

4.30 Percy Jones

5.00 Jabbar

5.30 Sky Power

6.00 Bascule

6.35 Internationalangel

7.05 Le Reveur

Newmarket – 4.00 Yonafis (nap); 6.35 Internationalangel (nb).

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:12 PM
Harness Racing: Power Plays and Horses to Watch for Dec. 16-18
Frank Cotolo

As our year-end report nears there are plenty of races that are still ready to be recorded in the 2021 betting record book, so stay with us for suggested contenders in selected features for any wager available. And—the never-ending TwinSpires H2W (horses-to-watch list) continues as those Mohawk Miles search for longshots in any class.

MOHAWK MILES
Thursday / Dec. 16

Each week we highlight some probable longshots from Mohawk Park in this features section. If they do not win at first crack, we add them to the H2W the following week as a bet-back while adding new possibilities to this Mohawk Miles section.

In Race 4–A decent qualifier brings Twin B Beachdreams back into action and he appears ready to make the scene.
In Race 7–Magics Wizard made up a lot of ground with his grinding style and could pay off well hitting anywhere on the board.

POWER PLAYS
Thursday / Dec. 16
Philly
Races 12, 13, 14

The late Pick 3 offers a good chance to end the day with a score. Here are our contenders we hope you consider when building your ticket.

Race 12
Clearly, morning line (ML) favorite Searching For You must be included, though starting the Pick 3 (P3) with a dead-on favorite doesn’t kill any tickets if it comes in. OK, use him, but not as a single. The outsider inside your ticket should be MB Matters. He picked up checks—including three wins and six seconds—this season, his first (did not race at two). His foes have dipped to this condition with a poor season behind them. A win here leaves you with little competition to win a good priced P3.

Race 13
Two stalkers can upset the public’s probable choice here. From the outside in, Protostar was gallant last week racing on the outside and just missed. Leaving from post 9 here he may have a clearer shot late. Also, Create lost the lead after a brief mid-race duel but held for second and offers a lot to the P4. Either of these two wrecks more tickets and lifts the probable P4 price.

Race 14
We go a bit deeper in leg 3, using Brigadoon, who has been waiting on the H2W list after scratching at Freehold. Drops into this, which is a good sign. Hes Rockin Ralphie is forgiven for his last race, a horrible trip expected at 99-1. He drops here to where he almost won for a new trainer. You could leave out the ML favorite, McNeil Z Tam, since a win by him would reduce the payoff—that is your call, because if this ticket hits otherwise, you have a lot of extra cash for the holidays.

H2W LIST

Cal Expo
12/17/21, +Cabbies Delight R6; +Senseless Beauty R8
12/19/21, +Dream Chasin R2; +Major Mac R5; +Changing Colors R5; +Cals Hope R5

Charlottetown
12/18/21, Santa Monica R1; Evening Maelstrom R4

Dayton
12/17/21, +Deer Run Billy R5
12/18/21, TJs Indy Pacer R2; Run Oneover R6

Freehold
12/17/21, Lime Twist R2; +Gypsy Leather R9

Meadowlands
12/17/21, +Deedenuto A R12
12/18/21, +Cool Blues Man R3

Meadows
12/16/21, The Funk R1
12/17/21, +Louie R6

Northfield
12/18/21, HP Xanadu R11; Delight Kate R12; Diva Dali R15

Northville
12/17/21, Man Of Fire R1; +Libbys Idea R7
12/18/21, +Bound To Score R4; Tellem R4

Philly
12/16/21, Vinnie De Vie R9
12/17/21, +Lionhead R4; +Last Gunfighter R7

Yonkers
12/16/21, +Circle Of Life AS R4; Tempus Seelster R6; Sweet Sally Sue R9
12/17/21, +Casino Bags Anso R5; +Hunting AS R12

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:13 PM
What You Need to Know - December 16, 2021

December 16, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s “What Your Need to Know”
December 16, 2021

FAIR GROUNDS:

EIGHTH RACE – Although the trouble line makes no mention of it, Shishito was jostled and pinched back at the start in her debut in mid-October and actually did well to finish second while almost nine lengths clear of the rest in a highly-rated race two-turn all-weather affair at Presque Isle Downs. She seems certain to benefit from the outing, and as a daughter of Wooten Bassett from a mare by Monjeu figures to move up a ton with the switch to grass in this maiden event for juvenile fillies. She’s also a first-time Lasix user for hot trainer Michael Stidham, and with a healthy recent local work pattern and sporting the top speed figure in the field, she looks quite playable in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics at 5/2 on the morning line.

*

GULFSTREAM PARK:

TENTH RACE – We’ve been able to view a series of workouts on xbtv.com dating back to July at Saratoga by Avow and believe she has enough natural talent to win a maiden special weight sprint for juvenile fillies, even though we suspect she won’t show her best form until given a chance over a distance of ground. A $300,000 yearling from the first crop of Arrogate, she’s from the good middle distance stakes winning grass mare Peace Preserver, so while she’s probably not a quick type, trainer Todd Pletcher barn has been scorching hot during the early days of the Gulfstream Park championship season and has given this filly the proper foundation a be fit and ready. After proving much the best in a team drill gate drill six days ago at Palm Beach Downs without being asked, and at this extended sprint distance that will allow here to settle early and take hold late, we’re expecting a winning effort and therefore recommend a play at or near her morning line of 2-1.

*

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:13 PM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fair Grounds - Race #6
Picks Notes
#6 Jo Dee's Angel Love that this guy has shown some speed and versatility, as he can run from a touch off the pace as well. This level might be a really good fit for him out of those allowance races at Canterbury, and the fact that he's in for a tag is no real concern, considering they twice offered him up for $15,000 earlier this year.
#5 Denver City Pace should appreciate getting back on the grass after that dud last time out, and he's down in class for this one, too. Pace player will likely have company early, but he's in the mix with something like his previous turf tries.
#1 Chimney Rock He is a very likely winner here while racing against a softer group than he has been accustomed to seeing in most of his career, but I just couldn't line up behind something like the 2/1 ML price when there are some others with decent form in here.
Race Summary Jo Dee's Angel gets the edge from what might be a perfect spying position just behind a couple of pace players. He has been very tough when in for a tag in the past and might offer a playable enough price.

Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes
#7 Isolate He has some tactical pace that might give him the jump on a couple of logical players who may be racing from just a bit further off it, and he has kept some pretty decent company in the past. Dangerous.
#8 Verb He's quick enough to get in the mix early from the wide draw, but he has really lacked that final finishing gear in nearly all of his recent starts. Easy enough to see him prompting, bidding, and settling for a piece.
#5 Coltonator He's a pretty reliable finisher, but he has been stuck at this level for some time and has not frequently been a serious threat late. His best stuff is obviously good enough to land this, but I wouldn't want an underlaid price.
Race Summary Isolate is capable of something better than he showed in that last one, and he might find himself in a perfect spot to prompt the leaders turning for home. Expecting an improved try.

Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 My Sweetness She showed some finishing interest in her debut on the turf, but she faded late when trying the dirt last out. She's probably going to end up being better than that on the main track, but she returns with Lasix for the move back to the lawn. Tough if she builds on the first turf try.
#7 Shishito She moved nicely into the pace on the synthetic at Presque Isle Downs, and she gets Lasix while trying the turf in this second start. Have to think she's going to like the footing.
#6 Dreamworker He'll head right to the turf after a modest debut try when routing on the main track at Churchill, but he has a pretty fun pedigree for the grass try with Animal Kingdom on top of a Scat Daddy mare.
Race Summary My Sweetness and Dreamworker might be the right ones to use to try to beat Shishito if she gets overbet for tough connections, but My Sweetness has fewer questions to answer on the turf, having turned in a useful effort on the Keeneland lawn in October.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:14 PM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
Picks Notes
#7 A MILLION CHUCKLES Filly's best race fits with these, big price attached.
#2 MR BLUMETTI Set pace, faded out of money against sharp winner.
#6 SCIROCCO BIG JOHN Ran third when hoppled first time, gets Tetrick.
Race Summary Taking a longshot stab on A Million Chuckles, who finished a distant second behind the 1-to-5 favorite here in early November, then broke stride in a well-bet, follow-up trot. Her rivals are a combined 6-106 this year. Play a 7-ALL exacta.

Dayton Raceway - Race #3
Picks Notes
#2 HAL N SAMMY Lacked running room, finished evenly, gets class relief.
#9 TOXIC ROCK Set pressured pace, tired as fave, starts from post 9.
#7 MYKONOS Part of blanket finish in slow-paced race at Oak Grove.
Race Summary Hal N Sammy saved ground in mid-pack from a second-tier starting spot while the 1-to-2 favorite controlled the pace. He couldn't find a way out from being trapped until mid-stretch, so expect a contending effort today from an inner post on the class drop. Play 2-7 and 2-9 exactas.

Dover Downs - Race #3
Picks Notes
#4 TECHTOPIA HANOVER Can use speed well, tries to upstage in-money finishes.
#1 BIPBOPNALLIE Rallied for three seconds in last four starts, moves inside.
#6 CAN WE DANCE Chased the odds-on favorite, held third.
Race Summary Techtopia Hanover, a $105k earner and 31 of 48 in the money, tries to break through at this level. He gets Lasix and can make good use of his speed today. Play 4-1, 4-6 and 4-8 exactas.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:14 PM
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 Guardsman Pass Favorably placed in his distance dirt race after trying the turf; capable of running down his rivals here.
#4 Kingsten's Gold Drops out of maiden special weights and make his first attempt at two turns; was fifth in both starts and has a good chance to move up.
#2 Claimjumper Tried maiden specials last out and fits better at this level; has speed and could improve here.
Race Summary Guardsman Pass lacked speed in his last two and likely will show more early energy in this spot; solid player today.

Remington Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#1 Texas Prado Drew outside in his last two and didn't reach contention; gets the rail today and can benefit from the ground-saving run.
#2 Mean Cannon Was third in his latest and takes a class drop, which could help him hang on better in the closing yards.
#6 Graydar's Dream Pummeled maiden claimers by nearly 10 lengths last out and can be tough on the front end again.
Race Summary Texas Prado can benefit from an inside run and will be tracking a fast pace; late danger in this one.

Remington Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#12 Give It Everything Has been a top-notch sprinter here with easy wins over solid company in his last two; capable of a third straight win.
#6 Mister Mmmmm Has won two of his three local starts and was an easy winner over allowance runners in fast time; good on the front end.
#7 Red N Wild Got a perfect trip last out and cruised to an easy win; loves the track and could get another good trip from just off the pace.
Race Summary Give It Everything can adjust to any pace and can get a good run from the outside; has the talent to get his third local score.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:14 PM
Laurel Park Selections for December 16, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Dec 15th, 2021 11:21pm PST

Laurel Park Selections for December 16, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

It’s a horse racing day on Thursday, but isn’t that every day if you are grinding the ponies? Christmas Day doesn’t have any racing in North America.

Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

That might be the only day even when there isn’t horse racing. Even when everything was shutting down at the start of the pandemic, there was always at least one or two race tracks offering action.

BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127) has ten racecourses planned on Thursday afternoon and evening. There’s a small stakes race at Turf Paradise for $60,000 today. That’s not much of a stakes race, but big for Turf Paradise.

Our first look on Thursday is at Laurel Park in Maryland. Laurel Park has nine races for a $294,000 pool this afternoon. Head below for our free Laurel Park picks for December 16, 2021.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 1
(1) Stay In
+600 (6/1)
(2) Zen Pi
+300 (3/1)
(3) Visual Artist
+1200 (12/1)
(4) Rising Perry
+450 (9/2)
(5) Spitball
+600 (6/1)
(6) Chambo
+600 (6/1)
(7) Spotted Bull
+350 (7/2)
(8) Bardolino
+1200 (12/1)
(9) Bourbon And Ice
+3000 (30/1)

Post Time: 12:25 p.m. EST
Distance: 6 Furlongs
Purse:$23,000

The first race at Laurel Park is for a $23,000 purse covering 6 furlongs. Spotted Bull and Zen Pi have to be in contention in this one.

Spotted Bull is 4 for 18 in his career, and finished 1st, 5th, 2nd, 6th in his previous four attempts. He most recently won on September 10.

Spotted Bull beat Semper Fi by a neck for a $38,295 purse. That was an impressive attempt, but then hasn’t been back to the winner’s circle.

He placed 2nd behind Twitty City by a neck in a $25,000 race on October 6, and then 6th on October 23 for a $28,000 purse. Down to $23,000, he should hang in there.

Zen Pi is a two-time winner through 20 outings. He’s finished 1st, 5th, 2nd, 4th, 2nd in his last five attempts.

In his latest race, Zen Pi placed behind Algebraic by a half-length in a $25,300 assignment on November 25. This was after finishing 4th in a $29,325 event on November 4.

At this price, it’s a sharp play on Zen Pi to win this one.
The Bet
(2) ZEN PI
+300
Place Bet Now!
Race 3
(1) Mailman’s a Flyer
+160 (8/5)
(2) Tenax
+450 (9/2)
(3) Pickin Sea Glass
+800 (8/1)
(4) Hello Amigo
+600 (6/1)
(5) Rahmer
+2000 (20/1)
(6) Summum Noor
+1500 (15/1)
(7) Trigz Too
+1200 (12/1)
(8) Vanhoofer
+500 (5/1)
(9) Uncommon Valor
+1200 (12/1)
(10) Dune Dune
+5000 (50/1)

Post Time: 1:22 p.m. EST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs
Purse:$39,000

Race 3 is a $39,000 event covering 5 ½ furlongs. Tenax and Mailman’s a Flyer should have a say in the stretch in this one.

Tenax has finished 7th, 4th in two attempts in his career, and is showing improvement. This gelding will have to continue to show improvement to get into the winner’s circle.

In his most recent attempt, Tenax was 4th for a $42,315 purse after going 7th on debut August 21. That was a tough go for Tenax in a $46,410 race.

Mailman’s a Flyer made his debut on November 4. He looked good at Laurel Park, placing 2nd behind Asking for a Baskin by ¾ lengths in a $49,450 assignment.

That was impressive for a first-time runner in that class. The same form will yield a win in this $39,000 event.
The Bet
(1) MAILMAN’S A FLYER
+160
Place Bet Now!
Race 6
(1) Mending
+300 (3/1)
(2) Hufflepuff
+600 (6/1)
(3) Special Freedom
+1200 (12/1)
(4) Bourbon Wildcat
+1500 (15/1)
(5) Miranda’s Desmond
+500 (5/1)
(6) Mattitude
+350 (7/2)
(7) Be Good
+3000 (30/1)
(8) Magical Luna
+1000 (10/1)
(9) Response Time
+500 (5/1)
(10) Millie Child
+3000 (30/1)

Post Time: 2:49 p.m. EST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs
Purse:$40,000

Race 6 covers 5 ½ furlongs in a $40,000 assignment. Response Time and Mending should be there at the wire.

Response Time has a win on May 14, but has gone winless in six races since then. In his last attempt, Response Time placed 2nd behind Mundle of Joy by 2 ¾ lengths for a $54,000 prize on October 31.

He’s finished 4th, 9th, 2nd in his last three. If Response Time runs how he did on September 30, then he’s not going to get close. However, in the same form as his last outing on Halloween, then he’ll have a big chance.

Mending is 2 for 10 in her career, and has gone 3rd, 4th, 1st in her last three. She finished 4th on November 12 in a $30,080 assignment, and then responded with a winning run.

Mending defeated Who Knows What by 5 ¼ lengths for a $36,480 prize. The filly finished 4th prior to that one in a similar class, so improvement was noted.

This should be a competitive event, with Mending having a good chance of going in Friday from the inside rail.
The Bet
(1) MENDING
+300

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:14 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
PURCHASE
Delta Downs - Race 5

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 5-6)($1 min.) /Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Pick 5 (.50 min.) (Races 5-9)


Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 56 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 2:47P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
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Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. STREAMER is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STREAMER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SURE BABY: Today is a spr int, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. FASHION MERIT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the hor se's third or fourth start after a layoff. CRIDER CHASE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1
STREAMER
5/2

5/1
2
SURE BABY
4/1

6/1
4
FASHION MERIT
4/1

8/1
6
CRIDER CHASE
12/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
FASHION MERIT
4

4/1
Front-runner
57

48

52.2

44.2

38.7
2
SURE BABY
2

4/1
Front-runner
62

53

36.2

47.0

39.0
6
CRIDER CHASE
6

12/1
Stalker
59

49

72.0

45.0

39.5
7
MARAMA
7

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
53

51

64.8

36.4

27.9
1
STREAMER
1

5/2
Alternator/Trailer
58

60

34.6

49.2

44.2
9
INTERATIFWITHLEU
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
51

53

42.7

25.5

9.0
3
KIKI KAT
3

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
38

33

39.6

24.6

11.1
5
SMACKFIRE
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
54

50

39.2

38.0

25.5
8
MISS PRONOUNCE
8

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
52

49

35.4

36.6

23.1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:15 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13200 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 J P'S SONG 7/2

# 8 KUKULKAN 9/2

# 7 DISTANT THUNDER 3/1

I think J P'S SONG is a very good choice. This gelding has been consistently racing well in his latest outings. Solid average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a solid contender. Jockey's recent ROI figures make this gelding a strong bet. KUKULKAN - He has earned very good figures under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this field. Bettors should probably feel comfortable with this choice given Hiraldo's recent returns at the window. DISTANT THUNDER - He has to be given consideration given the very good speed figures. Has decent early pace and will probably fare soundly versus this group.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:16 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 73

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 SHEZA TOASTED GLIMPS 2/1

# 4 MOMS CORONA 5/2

# 1 CARTELS MAGIC SHOW 3/1

I lean toward SHEZA TOASTED GLIMPS here. She has been travelling soundly as of late while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures. Recorded a formidable speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. She has solid class ratings, averaging 72, and has to be considered in here. MOMS CORONA - Has formidable early speed and will most likely fare admirably versus this field. Ran a very solid last race. CARTELS MAGIC SHOW - Simien has this gelding running well and is a solid choice based on the very good speed figs garnered in short races as of late. He has a decent distance/surface win record - 1 / 6.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:16 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,300 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 FORT YORK (ML=8/1)
#1 JU JU GUY (ML=6/1)
#3 GAGE HAS A GRAY (ML=7/2)


FORT YORK - Scriver should be able to place this gelding right behind the front runners. Ideally, Scriver will rate behind the leaders, then strike on the turn. You probably should disregard that last race at Grants Pass on a track listed as good where he finished outside the top 3. Should do well today with the benefit of a fast track. JU JU GUY - Last out, this one was in a race at Arizona Downs in a race with a class figure of 93. Dropping considerably in class rating this time out puts him in a solid position today. GAGE HAS A GRAY - Ran last time out against a better group of horses at Turf Paradise. The move down the ladder based on class should suit him well. That recent bullet 34.8 work shows that this gelding is ready for a top performance today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 AUTISM SIBLINGS (ML=2/1), #6 OBSTRUCTED VIEW (ML=3/1), #5 WESTERN SMOKE (ML=5/1),

AUTISM SIBLINGS - This colt earned a speed figure in his last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event. OBSTRUCTED VIEW - If you keep choosing these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed most every time. Will be hard for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list. WESTERN SMOKE - In the last event this racer finished sixth. Doesn't bode well for his chances in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 FORT YORK is going to be the play if we are getting 4/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,3,4] with [1,3,4] with [1,2,3,4,6] with [1,2,3,4,6] Total Cost: $36

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 04:16 PM
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE

12/16/21, GP, Race 5, 2.26 ET
12/16/21,GP,5,1M 70Y [Dirt About] 1:42:01 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 1 Drum and Drummer 8/1 Saez L Dini Michael JW 373 34.85 1.28/$1
097.6899 3 Call of Honor 10/1 Leparoux J R Sisterson Jack L 373 34.85 1.28/$1
096.7966 4 Sweeney's Cat 12/1 Panici L Bates Larry F 373 34.85 1.28/$1
096.4192 6 Astroturf 5/1 Arroyo A S Sweezey J. Kent E 373 34.85 1.28/$1
096.1615 9 K. K. Ichikawa 9/2 Sutherland C Trombetta Michael J. 373 34.85 1.28/$1
095.5311 8 Not So Easy 4/1 Vasquez M A O'Connell Kathleen T 373 34.85 1.28/$1
095.4826 7 Skywalking 3/1 Reyes L Sano Antonio C 373 34.85 1.28/$1
093.9894 2 Lord Darnley 30/1 Boraco D Garcia Pedro R. 373 34.85 1.28/$1
093.8516 5 Golden Tone(b+) 6/1 Alvarado J Cibelli Jane 373 34.85 1.28/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 0.83/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3101
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Lasix No Change

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 05:09 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park



Lone Star Park - Race 7

WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.20 Jackpot 6 Shooter (Races 7-12)



Claiming $10,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $10,948 • Post: 8:53P


QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * PATORANADO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SHAKE ON DOWN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MISS KITT KAT: Quarter Horse has a Fas t Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. THE ERUPTION: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. PAINTED LIL PERRY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.



5

PATORANADO

20/1


9/2




6

SHAKE ON DOWN

9/2


7/1




1

MISS KITT KAT

3/1


7/1




10

THE ERUPTION

4/1


8/1




8

PAINTED LIL PERRY

5/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

MISS KITT KAT

1


3/1

Fast

77


68


3.1


0.0


0.0




2

AGAPIE

2


12/1

Slow

65


60


6.4


0.0


0.0




3

RUNNING FOR RAIN

3


30/1

Average

60


60


4.6


0.0


0.0




4

NOTTY GIRL

4


15/1

Fast

58


60


2.5


0.0


0.0




5

PATORANADO

5


20/1

Slow

85


76


6.7


0.0


0.0




6

SHAKE ON DOWN

6


9/2

Average

73


73


5.0


0.0


0.0




7

MOMAS DEALING

7


20/1

Slow

65


61


6.6


0.0


0.0




8

PAINTED LIL PERRY

8


5/1

Fast

75


69


1.5


0.0


0.0




9

LEADING THE GAME

9


7/2

Fast

73


66


3.2


0.0


0.0




10

THE ERUPTION

10


4/1

Average

71


72


5.6


0.0


0.0

Bankroll19
12-16-2021, 05:29 PM
PickersMx
NFL Free Pick

https://www.pickersmx.com/so/13Nt4Xdog?languageTag=en

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 06:59 PM
1.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
NBA
Indiana over 209.5
1-2 (-120)
3-1 (+190)


2.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
CBB
Duke -21.5
2-1 (+90)
4-2 (+180)


3.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
NBA
Indiana -10
1-1 (-10)
3-2 (+80)


4.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)


3-0 (+300)
4-3 (+70)


5.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
CBB
UT-Arlington +7.5
1-2 (-120)
2-3-1 (-130)


6.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
CBB
Dartmouth +13.5
1-2 (-120)
3-4 (-140)


7.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
NFL
Chargers over 52
2-1 (+90)
3-4 (-140)


8.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
NFL
Chargers +3
2-1 (+90)
2-5 (-350)


9.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
CBB
Stetson +5.5
1-1 (-10)
0-2 (-220) *

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:01 PM
Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Pistons +10
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
NBA – Suns -8
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
NBA – 76ers under 214
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
CBB – Texas-Arlington +7.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CBB – Appalachian St over 138.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
CBB – Rice -16
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
CBB – NC Greensboro +2.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
CBB – Stetson +5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
CBB – Tulsa over 130
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CBB – McNeese St +14.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Pistons +10
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
NBA – Suns -8
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – 76ers under 214
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
CBB – Drake -16
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
CBB – Chicago St +3
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
CBB – Duke -22
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
CBB – Dartmouth +13.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
CBB – Rice -16
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
CBB – NC Greensboro under 137
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
CBB – Drake -16
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
NBA – Suns -8
Line @ BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=11786&AffUrlID=1617&LandingPageID=14)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
NBA – Pistons over 210
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
NBA – 76ers +1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
NBA – Suns under 214
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Pistons +10
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:08 PM
Stephen Nover Dec 16 '21, 7:00 PM

NCAA-B | Appalachian State vs Duke
Play on: Appalachian State +22 -115 at linepros

Duke often is overvalued on the betting line. I find that to be the case here.
This is just the Blue Devils' second game of the month. It's also their last game before they begin ACC play. It's an easy opponent, too, for Duke. All of these factors may prevent the Blue Devils from reaching a peak level performance.
Appalachian State is capable. The 6-5 Mountaineers rank 18th in the nation in defensive scoring, holding opponents to 58 points. Their guard-oriented lineup plays tough perimeter defense. Appalachian State rates seventh in the country in defensive 3-point percentage.
The Mountaineers also have a good bench. This could be crucial if Duke should build up a big lead and the point spread determination comes down to garbage time.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:08 PM
Brandon Lee Dec 16 '21, 7:00 PM

NCAA-B | Appalachian State vs Duke
Play on: Duke -21½ -104 at pinnacle

FREE PICK: Duke Blue Devils -21.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 752
I don't love laying a huge number with a team like Duke, but I got to sprinkle some on the Blue Devils at -21.5 against the Mountaineers. I just don't see how App State is going to keep this close.
This Blue Devils offense is doing whatever they want to teams. They come in averaging 85.3 ppg against teams that on average only give up 68.1 ppg. They also hold teams well on their average, as they give up just 65.0 ppg to teams that on average score 74.8 ppg.
App State is a solid defensive team, but they don't have the size or speed to slow down this Duke offense. I think they only way they keep this close is if they shoot lights out. Shooting isn't exactly a strength of this Mountaineers team. They are scoring just 61.0 pp on 40.1% shooting away from home. Give me the Blue Devils -21.5!

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:09 PM
Kenny Walker Dec 16 '21, 7:08 PM

NHL | Red Wings vs Hurricanes
Play on: Red Wings +165 at William Hill

Free Pick on Red Wings

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:09 PM
Will Rogers Dec 16 '21, 7:08 PM

NHL | Senators vs Lightning
Play on: OVER 5½ -119

Rogers is on fire in the NHL at 8-2 L10. Recently the Senators are looking like champs rather than the chumps they have been for much of the season, with some fine young players rounding into form. With a suspect defense, they have been winning by outscoring opposing teams. The Lightning will be highly motivated by ther recent shutout loss against the Sens, and will be out for blood tonight. Tampa Bay has some firepower available, and will be sure to use it tonight. This game might be closer than expected but you can definitely count on the total going over.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:09 PM
Black Widow Dec 16 '21, 7:08 PM

NHL | Kings vs Panthers
Play on: Kings +180 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Kings +180

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:10 PM
Timothy Black Dec 16 '21, 7:08 PM

NHL | Red Wings vs Hurricanes
Play on: Red Wings +1½ -145 at William Hill

1* Best Bet on Red Wings +1½ -145

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:10 PM
Sean Murphy Dec 16 '21, 7:08 PM

NHL | Kings vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers -203 at linepros

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Florida over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.
We won with the Lightning over the Kings on Tuesday and I'll once again fade Los Angeles on Thursday as it continues its road trip in Sunrise. The Panthers are coming off an ugly home loss to the lowly Senators two nights ago. Keep in mind, they were essentially 'punting' that game by starting backup Spencer Knight in goal. They've had very little success with Knight between the pipes this season. The Kings managed to push the Lightning to overtime on Tuesday, largely due to goaltender Jonathan Quick standing on his head for stretches in that contest. I'm not sure they'll be so fortunate here. Note that the Kings are now just 4-7 on the road this season where they average only 2.3 goals per game. By contrast, the Panthers are an incredible 14-2 on home ice, outscoring opponents by 1.4 goals on average. Also note that the Florida is a perfect 6-0 the last six times it has come off a home loss by two goals or more, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.1 goal in that situation. Take Florida.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:10 PM
Jeff Alexander Dec 16 '21, 7:10 PM

NBA | Pistons vs Pacers
Play on: Pacers -10 -110 at SC Consensus

1* NBA - Pistons/Pacers FREE PICK on Pacers -10
Thursday's Free NBA Pick is on the Indiana Pacers as a 10-point home favorite against the Pistons. I think a lot of people had Indiana last night against a depleted Bucks team and were burned by them. It makes it really hard for those same people to fire right back with that same team as a double-digit favorite. I just feel like it's the perfect spot for the Pacers to rebound against an awful Pistons team. Bet Indiana -10!

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:11 PM
John Martin Dec 16 '21, 7:10 PM

NBA | Pistons vs Pacers
Play on: Pistons +10½ -110 at BetVegas

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Detroit Pistons +10.5
The Detroit Pistons have had the last three days off so they should be primed for a big effort tonight against the Indiana Pacers. This is a Pacers team that will be playing the second of a back-to-back after a loss in Milwaukee last night. The Pacers will also be playing their third game in four days after losing at home to the Warriors on Monday. They won't be nearly as hungry to face the Pistons as they were to face the Warriors and Bucks. Detroit is 22-10 ATS in its last 32 games off three or more consecutive losses. Indiana is 8-18-1 ATS in its last 27 home games against a team with a losing road record. Detroit is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Give me the Pistons.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:11 PM
Jack Jones Dec 16 '21, 7:40 PM

NBA | 76ers vs Nets
Play on: 76ers +1½ -110 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Philadelphia 76ers +1.5
The Brooklyn Nets will be missing James Harden, LaMarcus Aldridge, Paul Millsap, Bruce Brown, De'Andre Bembry and James Johnson due to COVID tonight. They were already without Joe Harris. They should not be favored over the Philadelphia 76ers Thursday.
This line has been adjusted too much for the 2nd of a back-to-back situation the 76ers are on. Even if Joel Embiid doesn't play tonight, the 76ers are still are the better team with the Nets missing all these guys. If Embiid does play it would just be a bonus as he is listed as questionable.
Brooklyn is 0-7 ATS in home games after winning five or six of its last seven games this season. Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog. The Nets are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games. Brooklyn is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite. Bet the 76ers Thursday.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:11 PM
Cole Faxon Dec 16 '21, 8:00 PM

NCAA-B | Texas-Arlington vs Oral Roberts
Play on: Oral Roberts -6½ -110 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Oral Roberts -6½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:12 PM
Totals Guru Dec 16 '21, 8:08 PM

NHL | Sabres vs Wild
Play on: UNDER 6 -105

Free Total Annihilator On Sabres vs Wild under 6 -105

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:12 PM
Ben Burns Dec 16 '21, 8:08 PM

NHL | Sabres vs Wild
Play on: Wild -1½ -115 at SC Consensus

The Wild wore down at the end of their recent road trip. They've had a few days off now though and they're back home. They're also stepping down in class to host the lowly Sabres. Note that Buffalo is a dismal 1-10 against teams with a winning record. Not only do the Wild have home ice advantage, but they're also far healthier than their guests. While the Sabres are 3-9 on the road, the Wild are 10-2 at home. They're outscoring teams by a 4.6 to 2.9 average score here. They should win this one by more than one. Consider Minnesota on the puck-line.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:12 PM
Mike Williams Dec 16 '21, 8:20 PM

NFL | Chiefs vs Chargers
Play on: Chiefs -3 -109 at pinnacle

1* on Chiefs -3 -109

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:13 PM
Hunter Price Dec 16 '21, 8:20 PM

NFL | Chiefs vs Chargers
Play on: OVER 52 -110

1* Free Pick on Chiefs vs Chargers over 52 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:13 PM
Info Plays Dec 16 '21, 8:20 PM

NFL | Chiefs vs Chargers
Play on: Chiefs -3 -110 at Caesars

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Chiefs -3 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:13 PM
Jimmy Boyd Dec 16 '21, 8:20 PM

NFL | Chiefs vs Chargers
Play on: OVER 52 -110

1* Free Pick on Chiefs/Chargers over 52 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:13 PM
Bobby Conn Dec 16 '21, 8:20 PM

NFL | Chiefs vs Chargers
Play on: Chargers +3 -105 at BetVegas

1* Free Play on Chargers +3 -105

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:14 PM
Dustin Hawkins Dec 16 '21, 9:08 PM

NHL | Blue Jackets vs Oilers
Play on: OVER 6 -120

1 Dimer on Blue Jackets vs Oilers over 6 -120

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:14 PM
Dave Price Dec 16 '21, 9:10 PM

NBA | Wizards vs Suns
Play on: Wizards +8 +100 at pinnacle

Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Washington Wizards +8
The Key: The Washington Wizards are catching too many points tonight. They have gone 1-6 SU & 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall but were never more than a 7-point dog in any of those games. Now they are catching 8 points against a Phoenix Suns team that is playing without their best player in Devin Booker. The Suns have struggled to get margin let alone win games without Booker. They have won just 2 of their last 8 games by more than 8 points. The Wizards are 28-11-2 ATS in their last 41 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day. Take Washington.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:14 PM
Rocky Atkinson Dec 16 '21, 10:00 PM

NCAA-B | Dartmouth vs Stanford
Play on: Stanford -13 -115 at BetVegas

My Free plays are now 93-66 last 159!
My premium members and I have been blessed!
67% in NBA this year!
67% in CBB this year!
61% CFB this year!
70% in NFL this year!
60% NHL This year!
Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 12-16-21
Dartmouth @ Stanford (10:00 PM EST)
Play On: Stanford -13
The Dartmouth Big Green travel to Stanford to take on the Cardinal on Thursday night. Dartmouth is 3-5 SU overall this year while Stanford comes in with a 5-3 SU overall record on the season. All 5 of Stanford's wins have come at home this year. Dartmouth is 0-4-1 ATS last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Dartmouth is 1-3-1 ATS last 5 games after a SU loss. Stanford is 29-11 ATS last 40 games as a home favorite of 12 1/2 to 15 points. My Rocketman line for this game is Stanford to win by 19.5 points. We'll recommend a small play on Stanford tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:15 PM
Sal Michaels Dec 16 '21, 10:38 PM

NHL | Canucks vs Sharks
Play on: Canucks +115 at William Hill

Free Play on Canucks +115

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:15 PM
Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Oral Roberts -8 over UT Arlington

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:16 PM
Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: WASHINGTON/PHOENIX OVER the total of 216½

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:16 PM
Totals4U

Thursday's Free Selection: Chicago State Cougars/IUPUI Jaguars under 121

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:16 PM
#1 Sports

Thursday's Free Play: Drake Bulldogs - 15 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:16 PM
Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the Duke Blue Devils -21 over Appalachian St

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:16 PM
Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Thursday : Take TULSA -14 over Alcorn St

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:17 PM
Golden Dragon

Thursday Free Play Stanford -13' CBB

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:17 PM
Hawkeye Sports

Thursday's Free Pick: Philadelphia Flyers - 140

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:17 PM
Huddle Up Sports

Thursday Free Oral Roberts -8 College BB

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:17 PM
Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 12/16 RICE OVER 151

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:18 PM
Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Thursday: NEW YORK/HOUSTON UNDER the total of 216

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:18 PM
High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Thursday: Charleston Cougars - 4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:18 PM
Kenny Towers

Your Free Pick for Thursday: Det/Ind OVER 210

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:18 PM
Tony Sacco

Free Play for Thursday: Drake (CBB) -15½

Can'tPickAWinner
12-16-2021, 07:18 PM
Hollywood Anthony

Your Free Play Take Tennessee St -1