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Jon White: Florida Derby, Arkansas Derby, Jeff Ruby Steaks Picks March 30, 2022 | By Jon White
A pair of Grade I races on the 2022 Kentucky Derby trail will be run this Saturday (April 2).

At Gulfstream Park, 11 are entered in the Grade I, $1 million Florida Derby.

At Oaklawn Park, the Grade I, $1.25 million Arkansas Derby has enticed a field of nine.

The Florida Derby and Arkansas Derby both will be contested at 1 1/8 miles. They each have 100-40-20-10 qualifying points up for grabs toward a spot in the starting gate for the 148th running of the 1 1/4-mile Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 7.

The Grade III, $600,000 Jeff Ruby Steaks at Turfway Park is also this Saturday. To be decided at 1 1/8 miles on a synthetic surface, it likewise offers 100-40-20-10 qualifying points toward the Kentucky Derby.

FLORIDA DERBY SELECTIONS

The Florida Derby has attracted three horses on my current Kentucky Derby Top 10. They are No. 4 Classic Causeway, No. 5 Simplification and No. 6 White Abarrio.

Among those taking on my three Top 10ers is scintillating 8 1/2-length maiden winner Charge It.

Grade II winner and Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile runner-up Pappacap will be trying to rebound after a clunker when eighth in Fair Grounds’ Grade II Risen Star Stakes.

My selections for the Florida Derby are below:

1. Classic Causeway
2. Simplification
3. White Abarrio
4. Charge It

I will not be surprised if any of those four is posing for pictures in the winner’s circle this Saturday.

Classic Causeway is coming back just three weeks following his front-running 2 1/2-length victory in the Grade II Tampa Bay Derby on March 12. This is a quick return to the races by today’s standards. But I think two things help mitigate his relatively brief time between starts.

First, Classic Causeway seemed to have plenty of gas left in the tank at the finish of the Tampa Bay Derby. As I wrote in my recap of that race for Xpressbet.com, I loved the way he looked while galloping out and returning to the winner’s circle. It appeared to me that the race took very little out of him, as if it was not much more than a workout. Lynch noticed that, too.

On the radio program “Thoroughbred Los Angeles” the next morning, Classic Causeway’s trainer, Brian Lynch, said to Mike Willman: “The gallop out was fantastic, as was the way he came back to the winner’s circle.”

Second, the impression that the Tampa Bay Derby was not a taxing race for Classic Causeway seemed to be validated by his workout last Saturday at the Palm Meadows training center. His time for the four-furlong drill, according to Equibase, was :47.45. It ranked as the second-fastest of 95 works at the distance that morning. The only faster work was the :47.05 clocking credited to Pillbox, an unraced 3-year-old We Miss Artie filly.

Daily Racing Form’s Mike Welsch wrote that the DRF had an even faster :46.60 clocking for Classic Causeway, which would have made it a bullet drill.

Classic Causeway is two for two this year. In his 2022 debut, he won the Grade III Sam F. Davis Stakes in emphatic fashion by 3 3/4 lengths at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 12. The Kentucky-bred Giant’s Causeway colt originally was to run next in Keeneland’s Grade I Blue Grass Stakes on April 9, but then the decision was made to redirect him to the Florida Derby after his marvelous workout last Saturday.

According to Lynch, “a combination of reasons” has brought Classic Causeway to the Florida Derby.

“First of all, he came out of his last race so well,” Lynch told Welsch. “His work [last Saturday morning] showed us that. And logistically, it seems like the right thing to do. The [Florida Derby] is right down the road rather having to send him to Kentucky where there are some concerns about the weather at this time of year, which could cause us to possibly miss some training. He’s had a good winter in Florida, so we might as well play out the string down here right to the end.”

Another reason I’ve made Classic Causeway my top pick in the Florida Derby is he again will have Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard. Ortiz has ridden him four times. They do seem to make a good team (four starts, three wins, one third).

What happens if Classic Causeway either goes too fast early or is asked to come from off the pace Saturday? The only time he sat off the early pace, he got beat. That’s when he finished second to Smile Happy in the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs last Nov. 27.

I believe that Classic Causeway, if need be, can succeed if not being part of the pace. But it is something that he still needs to prove that he can do.

My primary concern regarding Classic Causeway in the Florida Derby is he has not yet posted a Beyer Speed Figure higher than 90, which he recorded when he kicked off his racing career with a 6 1/4-length maiden win at Saratoga last summer. His four subsequent Beyers have all been lower -- 73, then 84, then 84, then 88, then 84 in the Tampa Bay Derby.

Simplification, White Abarrio and Charge It have all Beyered higher than Classic Causeway.

I did come very close to making Simplification my top pick in the Florida Derby. I like him a lot. The Florida-bred Not This Time colt comes off a 3 1/4-length win in Gulfstream’s Grade II Fountain of Youth Stakes on March 5. He was credited with a 96 Beyer Speed Figure for that sparkling performance.

Simplification, much like Essential Quality last year, has been adaptable to various pace scenarios. He has been versatile in being able to win as a front-runner and from well off the pace.

Antonio Sano trains Simplification.

The Florida Derby affords Simplification a chance for revenge after he finished second, 4 1/2 lengths behind White Abarrio, in Gulfstream’s Grade III Holy Bull Stakes on Feb. 5. After the Holy Bull, it was announced that White Abarrio would skip the Fountain of Youth and go directly to the Florida Derby.

I actually came away from the Holy Bull more impressed with Simplification than White Abarrio.

White Abarrio had an ideal stalking trip in the Holy Bull, whereas Simplification had to overcome a bad start that prevented him from setting the pace, as most people had expected him to do. But after Simplification found himself seventh early, he nevertheless rallied to finish second, albeit well behind White Abarrio.

I do have much respect for White Abarrio. After all, the only blemish he has in four lifetime starts came when he finished third to Smile Happy and Classic Causeway in the Kentucky Jockey Club. White Abarrio’s effort that day was far from a disgrace in that he raced third early, dropped back to fifth, then came back on to get third.

Saffie Joseph Jr. trains White Abarrio, a Kentucky-bred Race Day colt.

How good is Charge It? It appears the sky is the limit off his 8 1/2-length victory in a Gulfstream maiden race when he completed one mile in a strong 1:35 and change on Feb. 12. He recorded a 93 Beyer Speed Figure in his maiden win, a huge leap from the 83 he received in a narrow defeat when unveiled in a one-mile maiden race at that same track in early January.

Even with just two races under his belt, Charge It is scary Saturday. That’s not only because his maiden graduation was so impressive, but also because he has such a wonderful pedigree.

Owned and bred by Mandy Pope (Whisper Hill Farm) and trained by Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher, Charge It is a son of premier sire Tapit and the Indian Charlie mare I’ll Take Charge. I’ll Take Charge’s dam is multiple Grade I winner Take Charge Lady, an earner of $2,480,377.

Pope bought I’ll Take Charge as a yearling for $2.2 million at Keeneland in 2013. I’ll Take Charge won only one of five career starts, but she is a half-sister to Take Charge Indy and Will Take Charge.

Take Charge Indy, an earner of $1,103,496, won the 2012 Florida Derby.

Will Take Charge earned $3,824,648 and the 2013 Eclipse Award as champion 3-year-old male.

I’ll Take Charge also is a half-sister to Charming, dam of Take Charge Brandi and Omaha Beach. Take Charge Brandi, who banked $1,692,126, won the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies in 2014. Omaha Beach earned $1,651,800 in a career highlighted by Grade I victories in the 2019 Arkansas Derby, 2019 Santa Anita Sprint Championship and 2019 Malibu Stakes.

ARKANSAS DERBY SELECTIONS

This one is easy for me. I am wholeheartedly on the Secret Oath bandwagon. Not only is she my top pick in the Arkansas Derby, the Kentucky-bred Arrogate filly ranks No. 3 on my current Kentucky Derby Top 10. No other Arkansas Derby entrant is on my Top 10.

Secret Oath has been stellar at Oaklawn, reeling off three straight victories by a combined 23 lengths for Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas.

My selections for the Florida Derby are below:

1. Secret Oath
2. We the People
3. Doppelganger
4. Cyberknife

The highly regarded We the People is two for two. In a pair of starts at Oaklawn this year, the Kentucky-bred Constitution colt has won by 5 3/4 lengths and five lengths for trainer Rodolphe Brisset.

Doppelganger, now trained by Tim Yakteen, won by 3 1/2 lengths at first asking last Dec. 11 at Los Alamitos when with Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert. The Kentucky-bred Into Mischief colt then ran in two Grade II races at Santa Anita for Baffert, finishing fourth in the Jan. 29 San Vicente Stakes and second in the March 5 San Felipe Stakes. Forbidden Kingdom won both the San Vicente and San Felipe.

Cyberknife, conditioned by Brad Cox, should not be taken lightly. He is coming off a win in a Fair Grounds allowance/optional claiming contest on Feb. 19. The Kentucky-bred Gun Runner colt seems to possess a lot of talent, but he sometimes has acted goofy during a race, seemingly due to immaturity. It’s encouraging that Cyberknife looked more focused on the task at hand when he prevailed by three lengths in that Feb. 19 race.

JEFF RUBY STEAKS SELECTIONS

The Jeff Ruby Steaks has drawn a field of 13, including one also eligible.

My selections for the Jeff Ruby Steaks are below:

1. Tiz the Bomb
2. Royal Spirit
3. Blackadder
4. Stolen Base

I once considered Tiz the Bomb to be a Kentucky Derby contender. Now he is only a lukewarm choice on my part to win the Jeff Ruby. Trained by Kenny McPeek, the Kentucky-bred Hit It a Bomb colt is coming off a win in Turfway’s John Battaglia Memorial. It is important that he already has won on that synthetic oval.

Royal Spirit, whose five career starts thus far have all come on the turf, hails from the powerful Pletcher barn. The Kentucky-bred Into Mischief colt finished a close second in the Grade III Kitten’s Joy Stakes at Gulfstream Park last time out on Feb. 5. Grass runners often do well when racing on a synthetic surface.

Blackadder, now trained by Brisset after having been conditioned by Baffert, had the misfortune to get post 12 for Saturday’s race. Still, the Kentucky-bred Quality Road colt belongs on the list of contenders after winning the Grade III El Camino Real Derby on synthetic footing Feb. 12 at Golden Gate Fields.

Stolen Base lost by only a neck when the runner-up to Tiz the Bomb in the Battaglia. Mike Maker trains Stolen Base, a Kentucky-bred Bodemeister colt. Stolen Base will be racing with blinkers for the first time Saturday.

By the way, as I’ve written before, the Jeff Ruby Steaks is a cute play on words. (Technically, it’s the Jeff Ruby Steaks Stakes, but who says or writes that?)

Probably no race in the world has had more different names than this one. The following is what I once found in terms of various names for what began in 1972 as the Spiral Stakes at Latonia (before the track changed its name to Turfway Park in 1986):

1972-1981 Spiral Stakes
1982-1983 Jim Beam Spiral Stakes
1984-1998 Jim Beam Stakes
1999 Galleryfurniture.com Stakes
2000-2001 Turfway Spiral Stakes
2002 Lane’s End Spiral Stakes
2003-2010 Lane’s End Stakes
2011-2012 Vinery Racing Spiral Stakes
2013-2016 Horseshoe Casino Cincinnati Racing Spiral Stakes
2017-2022 Jeff Ruby Steaks

MY KENTUCKY DERBY TOP 10

Messier continues to hold the top spot on my Kentucky Derby Top 10, but only just barely over Epicenter, who makes a giant leap to No. 2 after being No. 9 last week.

As you probably know, there was important Messier news last Thursday (March 24). Messier, Doppelganger and McLaren Vale all were transferred from Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert to his erstwhile assistant, Tim Yakteen, in order for the three colts to become eligible to earn qualifying points toward the Kentucky Derby. This also is why Blackadder has been switched from Baffert to Brisset.

Churchill Downs has banned Baffert from racing at that track for a two-year period. Horses trained by him also are ineligible to earn Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks points. This stems from last year’s Kentucky Derby in which Medina Spirit finished first but tested positive for traces of betamethasone, a medication that is legal to use but not on race day.

On Feb. 21, the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission announced that the three stewards overseeing the 2021 Kentucky Derby had issued a ruling stating that Medina Spirit was disqualified and all purse money forfeited because of the medication violation.

Baffert and his legal team are continuing to fight the disqualification.

Messier makes his next start in the Grade I, $1 million Runhappy Santa Anita Derby at 1 1/8 miles on April 9. The Kentucky-bred Empire Maker colt has not raced since his 15-length tour de force in Santa Anita’s Grade III Robert B. Lewis Stakes at 1 1/16 miles on Feb. 6, a performance that produced a 103 Beyer Speed Figure.

Last Sunday at Santa Anita, Messier had what Yakteen termed “a lights out” workout, six furlongs in 1:11.60. It was the fastest by nearly three seconds (approximately 15 lengths) of the five workouts at that distance on the main track Sunday at Santa Anita.

This is a link to view Messier’s Sunday drill on XBTV.com: https://www.xbtv.com/video/messier-worked-6-furlongs-in-1/messier-worked-6-furlongs-in-111-40-at-santa-anita-park-on-march-27th-2022/

When I watched the video, what made this truly “a lights out” drill in my eyes was how smoothly, how effortlessly Messier stepped six furlongs in such a crisp time.

“We had Johnny [Velazquez] work him and he’ll ride him in the Santa Anita Derby,” Yakteen was quoted as saying in Ed Golden’s Santa Anita stable notes. Velazquez “gave us a thumbs up. The horse looked great, although he ended up with some unexpected company. We almost had a little training race out there.”

Messier’s last three workouts all have been nothing less than terrific.

As for Epicenter, I wrote this last week: “Should Epicenter win the Louisiana Derby, his stock with me would rise if he were to do so from off the pace this time. It would prove that he can stalk and win. He has yet to do that.”

Well, Epicenter did indeed stalk and win the 1 3/16-mile Louisiana Derby by 2 1/2 lengths as the even-money favorite. Consequently, yes, his stock with me has risen, as evidenced by his ascendancy to No. 2 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10.

What especially made Epicenter’s ability to rate off the pace and win so significant is the probable presence of speedster Forbidden Kingdom in the Kentucky Derby. Other than Forbidden Kingdom, everyone else better be able to be effective coming from off the pace because I don’t see anybody outrunning him early if he’s in the race.

Epicenter’s Louisiana Derby victory also was praiseworthy inasmuch as he registered a career-best 102 Beyer Speed Figure.

Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen is the winningest trainer of all time. He had 9,689 victories to his credit through Tuesday. But he is 0 for 26 in the Kentucky Derby. Epicenter gives Asmussen an excellent chance to finally win the 1 1/4-mile classic. And don’t forget that Asmussen also trains Morello, who is undefeated in three career starts and headed to Aqueduct’s Grade II Wood Memorial on April 9.

After the Louisiana Derby, there is absolutely nothing I don’t like about Epicenter, which is why the Kentucky-bred Not This Time colt very nearly took over the top spot on my Top 10 this week.

Epicenter, appropriately, has become the Kentucky Derby future book favorite in Las Vegas at both Circa and Caesars Sportsbook at William Hill Nevada, according to horseracingnation.com’s Ron Flatter.

It’s also appropriate that Daily Racing Form’s Marty McGee has cut Epicenter’s price from 8-1 last week to 7-2 favoritism this week in DRF’s Derby Watch. What is not appropriate, in my estimation, is McGee listing Messier at 10-1, which makes him a co-fifth choice. Messier is the second favorite in Las Vegas. To make Messier a co-fifth choice is ridiculous. (McGee, like the DRF’s Marcus Hersh, is not shy to bash other people’s morning-line odds.)

My Kentucky Derby Top 10 for this week is below:

1. Messier
2. Epicenter
3. Secret Oath
4. Classic Causeway
5. Simplification
6. White Abarrio
7. Morello
8. Smile Happy
9. Emmanuel
10. Forbidden Kingdom

1/ST BET analyst and handicapper Jeff Siegel’s “main players” this week in his Triple Crown rankings are: 1. Epicenter, 2. Messier, 3. Smile Happy, 4. Simplification, 5. White Abarrio, 6. Classic Causeway, 7. Secret Oath, 8. Forbidden Kingdom, 9. Early Voting, 10. Emmanuel, 11. Morello, 12. Charge It, 13. Zandon, 14. Mo Dongegal, 15. Zozos, 16. In Due Time.

BUBBLING UNDER MY TOP 10 (IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER)

Charge It
Crown Pride
Cyberknife
Early Voting
Ethereal Road
In Due Time
Mo Donegal
Pappacap
Pioneer of Medina
Un Ojo
We the People
Zandon
Zozos

HOW MANY STRIKES DOES EPICENTER HAVE?

Once a 3-year-old makes his or her final start before the first Saturday in May, I can determine their number of strikes in the Derby Strikes System (DSS) that I developed back in 1999.

The DSS originally consisted of nine categories. When a horse did not qualify in one of the nine categories, the horse received a strike.

As I noted last week, various “rules” for the Kentucky Derby once were very popular. A “Derby rule” meant that a horse needed to have done this or that, or not done this or that, in order to win the Kentucky Derby. However, through the years, many of the so-called “Derby rules” were broken. This caused their popularity to wane.

I think what has distinguished my Derby Strikes System from any one “Derby rule” is the DSS is more comprehensive. The DSS consists of a multitude of factors that attempt to ascertain the chances a horse has to win the Kentucky Derby from BOTH tactical and historical perspectives. It is the merger of the TACTICAL with the HISTORICAL that might well make the DSS better than any single “Derby rule.”

A number of the categories in my DSS are tied to a Kentucky Derby being run on the first Saturday in May. As a result, when the race was switched from May 2 to Sept. 5 in 2020 due to COVID-19, it rendered my DSS unworkable for that particular year.

As it was originally constructed back in 1999, the DSS seemed to work well through the years. Because of that, I resisted making any changes.

But when the DSS returned last year after the Kentucky Derby reverted to its traditional date of being run on the first Saturday in May, I decided that the time had come to make a logical and appropriate tweak. This tweak was in reaction to this major change in the sport: Horses just do not race nearly as much as they did when the DSS was introduced in 1999.

One of the original categories was that a horse needed to have made at least six lifetime starts prior to the Kentucky Derby. It is abundantly clear that this no longer is relevant. Therefore, I eliminated the category dealing with lifetime starts, reducing the DSS to eight categories.

The eight categories are listed toward the end of this column/blog/article.

According to the DSS, a horse with zero strikes or only one strike has a much better chance to win the Kentucky Derby than a horse with two strikes or more. According to the DSS as now constituted and excluding the Kentucky Derby of 2020 when the race was run in September, 83% of the Kentucky Derby winners (40 out of 48) have had zero strikes or one strike going back to 1973.

The seven Kentucky Derby winners with two strikes were Cannonade (1974), Ferdinand (1986), Sea Hero (1993), Funny Cide (2003), Giacomo (2005), Justify (2018) and Country House (2019).

Only one horse, Mine That Bird in 2009, has had more than two strikes. He had four.

As for Epicenter, he will go into the Kentucky Derby with zero strikes.

Japan’s Crown Pride, winner of last Saturday’s Group II UAE Derby, likewise has zero strikes. I think he could be dangerous in the Kentucky Derby, especially considering the tremendous success Japanese-based runners have been enjoying on the world stage lately.

Slow Down Andy, who was plucky to grind out a half-length win in last Sunday’s Grade III Sunland Park Derby at 1 1/8 miles, has one strike (Category 6).

Though Slow Down Andy is in good shape stakes-wise with just one, even trainer Doug O’Neill has acknowledged that the California-bred Nyquist colt will need to do better in order to win the Kentucky Derby.

Slow Down Andy recorded a modest 86 Beyer Speed Figure for his triumph at Sunland. He also seemed to take his name seriously in terms of the manner in which he came home that day from a time standpoint.

The Sunland Park Derby was “a race that was very fast early [1:09.54 for six furlongs], very slow late [final three furlongs in a glacial :40.62],” wrote Daily Racing Form’s Jay Privman.

O’Neill has won the Kentucky Derby twice, first with I’ll Have Another in 2012, then with Nyquist in 2016.

Zozos, who finished second in last Saturday’s Louisiana Derby, has two strikes (Categories 2 and 7).

Pioneer of Medina, third in the Louisiana Derby, also has two strikes (Categories 2 and 4).

WINNER’S STRIKES GOING BACK TO 1973

Again, because stakes races in this country were not graded until 1973, the Derby Strikes System can’t go further back than that year. The reason, as mentioned earlier, is two of my eight categories deal with graded stakes races.

Maximum Security finished first in the 2019 Kentucky Derby. He had zero strikes. But the stewards disqualified Maximum Security and placed him 17th for committing a foul when he veered out sharply nearing the five-sixteenths marker to cause interference to War of Will, Bodexpress and Long Range Toddy. Country House was declared the winner of the 2019 Kentucky Derby.

Medina Spirit finished first in the 2021 Kentucky Derby. He had zero strikes. But as mentioned earlier, in terms of the 2021 Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit now is recognized as the winner following Medina Spirit’s disqualification.

Based on the Derby Strikes System and its eight categories, the strikes for each Kentucky Derby winner going back to 1973 are below:

2021 Mandaloun (1 strike) Category 4*
2020 race run in September
2019 Country House (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 3**
2018 Justify (2 strikes) Categories 1 and 7
2017 Always Dreaming (1 strike) Category 1
2016 Nyquist (0 strikes)
2015 American Pharoah (0 strikes)
2014 California Chrome (0 strikes)
2013 Orb (0 strikes)
2012 I’ll Have Another (0 strikes)
2011 Animal Kingdom (0 strikes)
2010 Super Saver (1 strike) Category 4
2009 Mine That Bird (4 strikes) Categories 1, 4, 5 and 9
2008 Big Brown (0 strikes)
2007 Street Sense (0 strikes)
2006 Barbaro (0 strikes)
2005 Giacomo (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 5
2004 Smarty Jones (0 strikes)
2003 Funny Cide (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 8
2002 War Emblem (0 strikes)
2001 Monarchos (0 strikes)
2000 Fusaichi Pegasus (1 strike) Category 6
1999 Charismatic (1 strike) Category 5
1998 Real Quiet (0 strikes)
1997 Silver Charm (1 strike) Category 4
1996 Grindstone (0 strikes)
1995 Thunder Gulch (0 strikes)
1994 Go for Gin (0 strikes)
1993 Sea Hero (2 strikes) Categories 3 and 5
1992 Lil E. Tee (0 strikes)
1991 Strike the Gold (0 strikes)
1990 Unbridled (1 strike) Category 3
1989 Sunday Silence (0 strikes)
1988 Winning Colors (0 strikes)
1987 Alysheba (1 strike) Category 2
1986 Ferdinand (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 4
1985 Spend a Buck (0 strikes)
1984 Swale (0 strikes)
1983 Sunny’s Halo (1 strike) Category 1
1982 Gato Del Sol (1 strike) Category 3
1981 Genuine Risk (1 strike) Category 1
1980 Pleasant Colony (0 strikes)
1979 Spectacular Bid (0 strikes)
1978 Affirmed (0 strikes)
1977 Seattle Slew (0 strikes)
1976 Bold Forbes (0 strikes)
1975 Foolish Pleasure (0 strikes)
1974 Cannonade (2 strikes) Categories 3 and 4
1973 Secretariat (0 strikes)

*Medina Spirit (0 strikes) finished first but was disqualified and all purse money forfeited

**Maximum Security (0 strikes) finished first but was disqualified and placed 17th

MY DERBY STRIKES SYSTEM’S CATEGORIES

What are the eight categories in my Derby Strikes System? They are listed below:

1. THE GRADED STAKES CATEGORY. (The horse ran in a graded stakes race before March 31.) This points out horses who have competed against tough competition prior to March 31 rather than at the last minute in April, enabling the horse to be properly battle-tested. (Exceptions: Going back to the introduction of graded stakes races in the U.S. in 1973, only Genuine Risk in 1980, Sunny’s Halo in 1983, Mine That Bird in 2009 and Always Dreaming in 2017 have won the Kentucky Derby without running in a graded stakes race at 2 or early at 3 before March 31.)

2. THE WIN IN A GRADED STAKES CATEGORY. (The horse has won a graded stakes race.) This points out horses who have shown they have the class to win a graded stakes race. (Exceptions: Ferdinand in 1986, Alysheba in 1987, Funny Cide in 2003 and Giacomo in 2005 are the only exceptions going back to the introduction of U.S. graded stakes races in 1973; Alysheba in 1987 did finish first in the Blue Grass, only to be disqualified and placed third.)

3. THE EIGHTH POLE CATEGORY. (In either of his or her last two starts before the Kentucky Derby, the horse was either first or second with a furlong to go.) This points out horses who were running strongly at the eighth pole, usually in races at 1 1/16 or 1 1/8 miles. By running strongly at the same point in the Kentucky Derby, a horse would be in a prime position to win the roses. Keep in mind that 53 of the last 56 Kentucky Derby winners through 2021 have been first or second with a furlong to run. Since Decidedly won the Derby in 1962 when he was third with a furlong to go, the only three Kentucky Derby winners who were not first or second with a furlong to run were Animal Kingdom, third with a furlong remaining in 2011 when only a half-length from being second; Giacomo, sixth with a furlong to go in 2005; and Grindstone, fourth with a furlong to run in 1996. (Exceptions: Going back to 1955, the Kentucky Derby winners who weren’t either first or second a furlong from the finish in his or her last two starts have been Tim Tam in 1958, Carry Back in 1961, Cannonade in 1974, Gato Del Sol in 1982, Unbridled in 1990 and Sea Hero in 1993, with Canonero II in 1971 unknown.)

4. THE GAMENESS CATEGORY. (The horse’s finish position in both of his or her last two races before the Kentucky Derby was no worse than his or her running position at the eighth pole.) This points out horses who don’t like to get passed in the final furlong. (Exceptions: Going back to 1955, the exceptions have been Venetian Way in 1960, Cannonade in 1974, Foolish Pleasure in 1975, Ferdinand in 1986, Silver Charm in 1997, Mine That Bird in 2009, Super Saver in 2010 and Mandaloun in 2021, with Canonero II in 1971 unknown.)

5. THE DISTANCE FOUNDATION CATEGORY. (The horse has finished at least third in a 1 1/8-mile race or longer before the Kentucky Derby.) This points out horses who have the proper foundation and/or stamina for the Kentucky Derby distance. (Exceptions: Going back to 1955, the only exceptions have been Kauai King in 1966, Sea Hero in 1993, Charismatic in 1999, Giacomo in 2005 and Mine That Bird in 2009.)

6. THE NO ADDING OR REMOVING BLINKERS CATEGORY. (The horse has not added blinkers or had blinkers removed in his or her final start at 3 before the Kentucky Derby.) This seems to point out that, if a horse is good enough to win the Kentucky Derby, the trainer is not searching for answers so late in the game. (Going back to 1973, no horse has added blinkers or had blinkers removed in his or her last start at 3 before winning the Kentucky Derby.)

7. THE RACED AS A 2-YEAR-OLD CATEGORY. (The horse made at least one start as a 2-year-old.) (Exceptions: Apollo in 1882 and Justify in 2018. Going back to 1937, horses unraced as a 2-year-old now are a combined 1 for 65 in the Kentucky Derby through 2021. During this period, the only horses to finish second or third in the Kentucky Derby without having raced at 2 were Hampden, who finished third in 1946; Coaltown, second in 1948; Agitate, third in 1974; Reinvested, third in 1982; Strodes Creek, second in 1994; Curlin, third in 2007; Bodemeister, second in 2012; and Battle of Midway, third in 2017.)

8. THE NOT A GELDING CATEGORY. (The horse is not a gelding.) (Exceptions: Funny Cide in 2003 and Mine That Bird in 2009 are the only geldings to win the Kentucky Derby since Clyde Van Dusen in 1929.)

NTRA TOP THROUGHBRED POLL

Following his win in the Group I Dubai World Cup for Baffert, Country Grammer ascends to the top of this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll. Dropping to No. 3 is Life Is Good, who was No. 1 last week. Life Is Good finished fourth in the $12 million Dubai event.

The Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll is below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 300 Country Grammer (20)
2. 272 Letruska (4)
3. 267 Life Is Good (4)
4. 239 Hot Rod Charlie
5. 195 Express Train (5)
6. 124 Flightline (1)
7. 78 Ce Ce
8. 74 Olympiad (1)
9. 69 Speaker’s Corner
10. 61 Mandaloun

NTRA TOP THREE-YEAR-OLD POLL

In the wake of Epicenter’s Louisiana Derby victory, he strengthened his position at the top of the NTRA Top Three-Year-Old Poll. He received 25 first-place votes this week, including mine. Epicenter received nine first-place votes last week.

The Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Three-Year-Old Poll is below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 333 Epicenter (25)
2. 266 Forbidden Kingdom (4)
3. 227 Classic Causeway
4. 218 Messier (4)
5. 196 Simplification
6. 159 Smile Happy
7. 123 White Abarrio
8. 121 Secret Oath (2)
9. 77 Morello
10. 37 Un Ojo

Why do I have Messier ranked No. 1 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 but voted for Epicenter at No. 1 in the NTRA Poll? Good question.

My Kentucky Derby Top 10 is how I rank the horses in terms of who is the most likely winner of that race. My NTRA rankings are based primarily on achievement. I look at Epicenter at having achieved more than Messier.

Let’s take a look at the Top 10 in the NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll from the last week in March a decade ago:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 466 Game On Dude (21)
2. 464 Havre de Grace (22)
3. 410 Mucho Macho Man
4. 241 Ron the Greek
5. 197 Awesome Feather (1)
6. 186 Hymn Book
7. 157 Royal Delta
8. 148 Union Rags
9. 121 Acclamation (1)
10. 103 Caleb’s Possee

Now lets take a look at the Top 10 in the NTRA Top Three-Year-Old Poll from the last week in March a decade ago:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 528 Union Rags (47)
2. 429 Creative Cause (4)
3. 398 Hansen (2)
4. 334 El Padrino (1)
5. 221 Alpha (1)
6. 213 Gemologist
7. 182 Secret Circle
8. 165 I’ll Have Another
9. 143 Bodemeister
10. 70 Mark Valeski

My Kentucky Derby Top 10 from the last week on March a decade ago:

1. Creative Cause
2. Union Rags
3. El Padrino
4. I’ll Have Another
5. Hansen
6. Secret Circle
7. Gemologist
8. Alpha
9. Bodemeister
10. Daddy Nose Best

My final Top 10 prior to the 2012 Kentucky Derby:

1. I’ll Have Another
2. Daddy Nose Best
3. Creative Cause
4. Union Rags
5. El Padrino
6. Dullahan
7. Bodemeister
8. Alpha
9. Hansen
10. Take Charge Indy

I’ll Have Another became the first -- and still only-- to Kentucky Derby winner to start from post 19. He topped my final Top 10 and was my pick to win, returning $32.60 for each $2 win wager. I did not bet any money on 15-1 I’ll Have Another on race day. On March 3, I did put $200 on I’ll Have Another in Pool Two of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW). When Pool Two closed the next day, I’ll Have Another’s price was 23-1. After I’ll Have Another’s 1 1/2-length Kentucky Derby victory, I collected $4,620 for my KDFW bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis April 2, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park has an 11-race program scheduled for tonight. The headliner comes in Race 10 when eight pacers compete in the Mega Bowl, which has a $26,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 8, and that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

3-Southwind Caeser (6-1)-Raced from the back in the 1st start off the bench and came the 2nd half in .57 with a 26.1 last quarter to finish 3rd. That was the 1st race since 12-4 and now bumps up. Winner in 4 of 15 here should be handled more aggressively and hopefully won't be over bet.
6-Triathlon As (3-1)-This mare comes off an efficient win versus easier in the 1st start since 1-30. One of only 2 mares in the field will need her best at this level. But likes this oval, hitting the board in 18 of 34 starts with 10 pictures.
7-Brookview Bolt (5/2)-Gets some class relief and is another who like Hoosier finishing in the money in 20 of 27 with 12 wins. Had been racing at MVR and could be ready to reward connections in the 1st the start of the meet.

Race 9

3-Pick Me Upper (3-1)-Broke at 8/5 versus this kind and was knocked out from the start. Should be forwardly placed and the price could be better tonight. If #6 doesn't have his fast ball this 5-year-old could trip out.
6-Swingforthefences (4/5)-Ended last year on fire and came off the bench versus this kind to snag a victory. Looks the part of an odds-on chalk after an easy win in last.

Race 10

2-Threeofthebest A (8/5)-Got on the engine and didn't look back in last. Could be even better here in its 2nd start since 2-24.
5-Major Nemesis (9/5)-Beaten chalk finished a neck short of #2 and looks like a main player again in a chalky contest.

Race 11

1-State Of Wiggles (6-1)-Was stuck with post 9 in HoP debut and raced from the back of the pack. Paced the 2nd half in .57 and returns in 7-days this time rather than 17-days. Should offer a solid price and could be sitting on a big try.
7-Friskie Jolie (2-1)-Beat the $10k claimers in last from the 2nd tier and was claimed. Makes its 1st start for the Stohler barn and De Long steers. Using and hoping the price isn't too short. Will respect chances for an encore and can beat this field with a big try.
8-Shecaughtthekaty (3-1)-Beaten odds-on favorite makes the 2nd start for the Leonard barn. Looking for an improved effort and should be a much better price.

0.50 Late Pick 4

3,6,7/3,6/2,5/1,7,8
Total Bet=18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 4-2-22

April 2, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 2-Beef Winslow; 6-Migration

Forecast: The Saturday opener boils down to two main contenders in this maiden turf miler for older horses. Beef Winslow shows rising speed figures with each outing, and with three sprints underneath him he should be ready for another forward move in his first start around two turns. From a good inside draw, the D. O’Neill-trained colt likely will be on or near the lead throughout. His pedigree and workouts (see below) suggests he’ll improve as the distances increase, so the son Honor Code has much in his favor while offering good value at 7/2 on the morning line. Migration finally made it to the races at age four in a turf sprint last month and overcome some early self-caused trouble to finish with some interest to be fifth while clearing in need of the outing. The R. Mandella barn has strong stats with the second-time starter angle (24%), so we’re expecting a significant amount of improvement with that debut run behind him. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play, with the main punch going to Beef Winslow.

Notable Workouts:

Beef Winslow (March 20, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02h TT). Grade: B+
Just galloping along early, picked it up entering the lane and finished in a rally while never really being asked, splits of :25.4, :38 flat and 1:01.4, plenty left in the tank. Should be better routing than sprinting based on this drill.
View Workout Video


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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 1-Lookin for Revenge; 2-Unbroken Star

Forecast: Lookin for Revenge (TOC=7/2; ML=6-1) seems certain to be the controlling speed from his inside post in this $16,000 claiming miler for older horses and given that type of trip the T. Yakteen-trained gelding should be able to take full advantage of the situation. First or second in six of 12 starts, the son of I Want Revenge is better than his last race shows and looks quite playable at or near his morning line of 6-1. Unbroken Star (TOC=3-1; ML=9/5) was a voided claim for $20,000 two races back and then was a one-paced, non-threatening third at the 6/5 favorite in a $25,000 seller last time out, so his current condition is a bit of a mystery, but this drop this class drop following a six week vacation could perk him up. The M. Puype-trained gelding shows a healthy series of four recent workouts, and in a race without much pace he projects to draft into a pace-stalking trip and have every chance from there.

Notable Workouts:

Lookin for Revenge (March 26, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.1h). Grade: B-
Maybe a tad second best but wasn’t ever really asked much while even with Dutch Bus (same time) for T. Yakteen, splits of :23 flat and :48 flat on our watches, solid maintenance drill. Most effective on the front end going long, freshened since mid-February, seems in good enough shape.
View Workout Video


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RACE 3: Post: 2:03 PT Grade: A-
Single: 5-Sumter

Forecast: Sumter (TOC=4/5; ML=6/5) made his sophomore debut in the Pasadena S. in mid-February and left his juvenile form far behind with a pace-pressing score that produced a vastly improved speed figure. He has trained in spectacular fashion since, so we’re expecting another forward move in this year’s renewal of the listed Singletary Stakes. Whether or not he’s the controlling speed or relegated to a stalker’s role (behind Durante), the R. Mandella-trained colt should handle this assignment and then go on to bigger and better things.

Notable Workouts:

Balnikhov (March 21, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h TT). Grade: B
In a three horse training track team drill with Going Global (5f, :59.3h TT) and Almanera (5f, 1:00.3h TT) and did well, sitting second early and then responding to light late coaxing to wind up second best behind the rallying ‘Global and ahead clear of the pacesetter Almanera, splits of :23.1 and :47.4 for the final half mile. Looks like a useful sort for P. D’Amato, won three of his last four starts in useful company in France on all-weather surfaces.
View Workout Video

Sumter (March 20, Santa Anita, 4f, :48h). Grade: A
Even but best inside Astute (same time) while going faster and farther than given, under wraps every step of the way, splits of :23 flat and :46.4 to the wire before continuing out to the seven furlong pole in :59 flat, looking exceptional. Handles dirt fine but is bred for grass and probably will be kept on the lawn for now. Top miler in the making.
View Workout Video


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RACE 4: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference: 3-Bella Renella; 6-Circulodeganadoras

Forecast: Bella Renella (TOC=3/5; ML=8/5) seeks her third straight win but was a voided claim after her most recent score, so her current condition is suspect. If she shows up with anything close to her best race, the daughter of Clubhouse Ride will win again while facing similar low-level claiming fillies and mares. Regular pilot T. Baze stays aboard, knows her well, and should have the D. O’Neill-trained mare settled in the second flight and then have dead aim from the top of the lane to the wire. Furthermore, this extended sprint distance is perfect for her style. Circulodegandadoras (TOC=6-1; ML=5/2) isn’t as fast on speed figures as our top pick but is the likely controlling speed and will be formidable given that type of trip. First or second in 18 of 38 career starts, the always genuine and consistent daughter of Marino Marini shows the popular route-to-sprint angle in addition to a weight break with the switch to bug boy D. Herrera. If Bella Renella doesn’t fire her best shot, she’s the logical alternative.


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RACE 5: Post: 3:10 PT Grade: B+
Single: 1-Gold Phoenix

Forecast: Gold Phoenix (TOC=2-1); ML=9/5) has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern while displaying fast, rising speed figures to go along with a lovely inside draw. The lightly-raced gelding lacks tactical speed but should enjoy an ideal mid-pack ground-saving trip and then have every chance to seal the deal when given his cue from the quarter pole home. It would be nice if he broke with his field today - something that he didn’t do in his first two local outings - to allow for a more favorable early position. At 9/5 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.


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RACE 6: Post: 3:50 PT Grade: X
Single: 1-Shaaz

Forecast: Even in victory (via disqualification), Shaaz (TOC=4/5; ML=8/5) ran below expectations when remaining unbeaten in a first-level allowance sprint in early February, crossing the wire second (behind Disco Ball) before getting promoted to the top after being floated out through the stretch. His Beyer number came up 16 points less than what he had earned in his debut, but today, in his first try around two turns from a good rail post in a race that will allow him a role as the controlling speed, the son of Uncle Mo has found ideal conditions to remain perfect. A recent solo seven furlong drill (see below) should have him plenty fit for his first start in two months, so at 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, the B. Baffert-trained colt – a $1.1 million purchase in the 2020 Timonium 2-year-old in training sale – seems a logical, short-priced, rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Shaaz (March 26, Santa Anita, 7f, 1:25.2h). Grade: B+
Solo main track drill for B. Baffert, splits of :11.4, :23.3, :35.1, :47 flat, 1:12 flat and 1:25.1 out to the seven furlong pole, never really asked much, strong work for unbeaten (in two starts) son of Uncle. Should have no difficulty stretching out based on this drill.
View Workout Video


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RACE 7: Post: 4:25 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 9-Hail Freedom; 8-Big Flame

Forecast: Hail Freedom (TOC=6/5; ML=5/2) is clearly the one to beat in this state-bred, first-level, allowance Hillside Turf sprint but he’s always preferred to run second or third (eight times) rather that win (once), so he’s not entirely trustworthy, especially since he just failed at even money against a similar field over the flat course last month. Re-equipped with blinkers after two prior strong outings wearing the hood, the D. O’Neill-trained colt should be prominent throughout in a field that doesn’t have a whole lot of early speed signed on, so from his cozy outside draw, the son of Box Score seems likely to dictate the pace flow. Simply stated, there should be no excuses today. Big Flame (TOC=8-1; ML=5-1) goes as a first-off-the-claim by S. Miyadi for $25,000 and is protected in a sign of confidence. The barn’s stats with this angle are outstanding (20% with a flat-bet profit), and with rising speed figures and a recent win over the local lawn (flat course), the son of Mr. Big certainly would appear to have plenty of room for further improvement. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play, with a slight preference on top to Hail Freedom.


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RACE 8: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 7-Lady T; 2-Family Affair; 4-Secret Fix

Forecast: Let’s prefer the fillies with experience in this maiden main track sprint that marks the debut of Karin With an I, a Curlin filly from Beholder, who seems sure to attract money based strictly on her pedigree, if nothing else. We think she might be okay down the road, but she doesn’t strike us as a sprinter and must leave from the rail, so we’ll watch her for future reference. Lady T couldn’t stay with future stakes star Ganadora in her seasonal bow in mid-February when winding up a distant second in a fast, highly-rated and productive race while six lengths clear of the rest. This looks like a significantly easier task for the first-time-Lasix, stakes placed daughter of Into Mischief, so let’s go with the J. Shirriffs-trained filly slightly on top. Family Affair failed to run to her press clippings when fifth (beaten nine lengths) in her debut, but a messed up start proved costly, so we’ll give her another chance. She gets Lasix and blinkers and seems quite likely to be the controlling speed, assuming that she breaks. Also worth tossing in, at least as a saver or a back-up, is Secret Fix, a four-year-old making just her third career start and with numbers that are competitive. The S. Ruis-trained daughter of Secret Circle likely will settle into a stalking position and then have her chance to make an impact when the pressure is turned on.

Notable Workouts:

Karin With an I (March 19, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3hg). Grade: B
Okay gate drill for R. Mandella in company inside Chris Fix (same time), splits of :24.2, :36 flat, :48.1 and 1:00.3, mild urging only and finishing with something left. Curlin filly from Beholder is good-sized with some scope but doesn’t strike us as a win-early, sprint type. Probably will need some experience before showing her best but definitely has some ability.
View Workout Video


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RACE 9: Post: 5:32 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 3-Woodbine Way; 9-Equilove; 1-Taming the Tigress

Forecast: The nightcap is a fairly competitive allowance optional claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. Woodbine Way (TOC=5-1; ML=7/2) is an intriguing Eastern shipper making her first start since October and seems well-spotted for a major effort for new trainer L. Powell. A quick filly who when last seen pulverized a starter’s allowance field at Belmont Park with a monster number, the daughter of Tourist has looked quite good in a series of local training track breezes that should have her plenty fit, so at 7/2 on the morning line, she’ll offer reasonably wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play. Equilove (TOC=2-1; ML=4-1), a winner in a similar affair in mid-February and with a series of extra sharp workouts in the interim for P. D’Amato, is a strong contender as well and looks fairly priced at 4-1 on the morning line. She has a good stalking style and should have her sights set on Woodbine Way as the field approaches the head of the lane. Taming the Tigress (TOC=9/2; ML=5-1) is a late-running sprinter with a reasonable chance if the early pace comes up faster than par. First or second in three of four career starts over the Santa Anita turf course, the daughter of Smiling Tiger is assured a ground-saving trip from the rail, and if she can secure a clear path from the top of the lane to the wire she could have a strong impact late.

Notable Workouts:

Woodbine Way (March 16, Santa Anita, 4f, :49h TT). Grade: B+
Came through the lane in a breeze in easy half mile training track move, final quarter mile on our watches in :23.4, quite nice. Bouncy, light on her feet, looks to have plenty of speed, and should do quite well on this circuit for L. Powell.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Gulfstream Park | Saturday, April 2, 2022 April 2, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk
Florida Derby Day at Gulfstream Park features up to a $10 money-back special on each race if your win bets with 1/ST BET or Xpressbet finish second or third. To assist your handicapping, top selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Race 1: #9 Mystery Bank (5-2) // 23%W

Race 2: #3 Richy (3-1) // 21%W

Race 3: #4 Song of Innocence (20-1) // 29%W

Race 4: #5 Quality G (9-5) // 31%W

Race 5: #8 Red Danger (5-2) // 32%W

Race 6: #4 Fearless (4-5) // 25%W

Race 7: #8 Il Malocchio (12-1) // 32%W

Race 8: #8 Frippet (3-1) // 31%W

Race 9: #3 Gufo (9-5) // 31%W

Race 10: #6 Shivaree (12-1) // 31%W

Race 11: #1 Mischievous Kiss (2-1) // 21%W

Race 12: #7 Kathleen O. (4-5) // 25%W

Race 13: #7 Phantom Currency (3-1) // 22%W

Race 14: #6 Charge It (7-2) // 33%W

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#10 CHOREOGRAPHER
Looked like winner in deep stretch, only to be denied.


#5 PRIVILEGE
Romped in back-to-back starts at Flamboro, now 17-for-72.


#3 RIVER DALI
Set pace and finished ahead of several rivals that he meets again.


Race Summary
Choreographer saved ground, swung 3-wide for the stretch drive, appeared to have the drifting leader at his measure but finished second. He draws post 10 tonight but can win with a clean trip. Play a 3-5-10 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#3 NO BETTOR JOY
Money poured in, stretch traffic cost him victory.


#4 GOING FAST
No factor but didn’t lose ground through a 1:23.3 third-quarter split.


#6 FLYINGEVENBETTOR N
Can make maximum use of his speed in this spot.


Race Summary
No Bettor Joy was bet from 6-1 to 8-5 last week and ran a winning-type race, but he was blocked with run in the stretch, split rivals late for second and galloped out strongly. He meets better rivals tonight but the price Is right for a win and place wager.


Meadowlands - Race #13


Picks
Notes


#4 GOOD ROCKIN
Visually sharp front-end victory, can handle class rise.


#3 WAIMAC ATTACK N
Win and a third from post 10 in amateur races recently, gets Hall of Famer to drive tonight.


#2 MEET THE CREEPER
Ran second at this level three back, draws favorable post.


Race Summary
Good Rockin tired on the lead at this level in the slop two starts ago, but he turned back challenges and drew off under minimal urging for a wire-to-wire win last week as the favorite. Look for him to repeat in the Hello Spring Series tonight. Play 3-2, 3-4 and 3-5 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Oaklawn Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#8 Hearty Constitution
This is a big step up off the maiden win, but I like how she did it that day, and she's bred to handle the added ground. There is a decent bit of pace in here, so I'm hoping her slight rating ability will transfer around two turns. Price intrigue.


#5 Eda
Invader will be tough from right up top for Baffert, but as mentioned above, there might be just enough pace in here to annoy her in the early going. Obvious player.


#9 Bubble Rock
She figures for a good trip here with enough tactical speed to overcome this draw by the time they hit the first turn. She's got a little class to her, and she wouldn't surprise.


Race Summary
Hearty Constitution is worth a look here while rising and stretching out, as I think she's going to be able to find a pretty sweet trip while tracking an honest pace. The price should be right for a small swing.


Oaklawn Park - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#8 Macron
He didn't miss by much with similar last time out, and he has shown some versatility that might work in his favor. Love how reliable the recent form is.


#5 Gar Hole
He'll get a bit of a class test here while moving outside Arkansas-bred company, but he is in some really good form after rattling off four wins in a row by big margins. Capable here.


#1 Storm the Court
He can probably be tough here while getting into a much easier spot off a long string of graded stakes tries, but it has been a really long time since he won a race, and I could see him getting a tricky trip form the fence.


Race Summary
Macron can run from just about anywhere, making him dangerous as he can adapt to the pace, and he has been in really sharp form all meet.


Oaklawn Park - Race #12


Picks
Notes


#3 Barber Road
He has been knocking on the door with similar in the races leading up to this, and he might offer a decent enough mid-range price against this group. Think another sixteenth won't hurt the cause.


#6 Secret Oath
Filly has been pretty special against the girls here locally, and he's trying the Derby trail off another romping win last time out. Easy to root for.


#9 We the People
Can't really argue with anything he has done through two easy wins over the local course, and he should be in line for another great trip while sitting close to the splits.


Race Summary
Barber Road is one of many here with chances, and he should be a playable enough price while looking to get over the top today. Filly Secret Oath gets her test today after laughing off the local 3yo fillies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Nahill’s opinions for Gulfstream Park on Saturday, April 2 (Races 9-14)

RACE 9: 3-5-2-7

RACE 10: 6-4-1-3

RACE 11: 2-1-8-6 (BEST BET)

RACE 12: 7-5-2-3

RACE 13: 5-7-3-4

RACE 14: 2-5-3-6-8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Nahill’s Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, April 2

FIRST RACE: 6-4-2-3

SECOND RACE: 4-5-2-1

THIRD RACE: 5-4-2-1

FOURTH RACE: 3-1-6-7

FIFTH RACE: 1-10-7-9

SIXTH RACE: 1-2-4-3

SEVENTH RACE: 3-9-8-1

EIGHTH RACE: 2-7-1-3 (BEST BET)

NINTH RACE: 3-9-1-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Picks: Sharp's I'm Fine the pick on April 2
By J.N. Campbell


Aqueduct Racetrack Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-1-5
Race 2: 6-5-3-4
Race 3: 5-1-6-4
Race 4: 4-2-5-6
Race 5: 5-6-3-7
Race 6: 1-4-5-2
Race 7: 3-6-1-5
Race 8: 3-5-2-1
Race 9: 2-4-9-7
**Most Likely: I'm Fine #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Irresistible Girl #5 (Race 5)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 3: I’m Fine #5, 2/1):

The good folks at Highlander Training Center own this mare by Blame … They switched conditioners last year, making the move from Jeremiah Englehart over to Joe Sharp. Her new trainer brought her down from NYRA to the Fair Grounds, and she tried a number of different races both on the dirt and the turf. Running against non-state bred company like that gave her some good experience, and now she returns to the North ready to take on the locals once again. She should find this spot much easier. I always like it when Sharp comes to NYRA because most bettors overlook him.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #5



Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 5: Irresistible Girl #5, 9/2):

A former member of Brad Cox’s and Rich Schosberg’s barns, this filly by Tapiture was picked up by Ray Handal last year. She was on-the-shelf until early February, when she returned to the work tab. Handal is particularly efficient at bringing runners back into form, and you know when you wager on his stock, that they will be well-prepped. This mare of Handal’s gets Dylan Davis, and his superb riding abilities. Her price will probably be impacted by that fact, but I am banking on the layoff to drive many a bettor away. Yet, another nice find on this Saturday card …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #5 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 6: Dirt, 1 Mile, OC62.5kn2x, 3+):

Instead of breaking down the Excelsior S. (Race 8), which has a very short field (w/a pair of Todd Pletcher runners), I think this action is much better. The 1-turn affair is a pretty evenly matched affair, and you could make a case for any of these 6 entries. The favorite might end up being Chad Brown’s Sound Money #4. A colt by Flatter, this 4-yr-old was just beat at the wire last time out in a similar contest. Kendrick Carmouche did everything right, except win. When a horse hits-the-board 6/8 times in his career, that makes him a logical choice, but I am not sure that his price is going to be even remotely an overlay. I am not against this Klaravich investment, but I much prefer the form of Bill Mott’s Secret Rules #1. This gelding by Secret Circle was bred by Hill ‘n’ Dale, and is making his 3rd start in the current form cycle. That bodes well for a score, and Mott is going with the young/talented Jose Gomez. I think this Mott runner will have a much better time of it than his last 2 races. Let’s use the rest of the field underneath these 2 picks, and try to cash a nice Trifecta ticket!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Wheel, 1 w 4 w 2/3/5/6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VILLANOVA (30 - 7) vs. KANSAS (32 - 6) - 4/2/2022, 6:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 425-352 ATS (+37.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 425-352 ATS (+37.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 178-125 ATS (+40.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 177-124 ATS (+40.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 138-102 ATS (+25.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 114-83 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA (28 - 9) vs. DUKE (32 - 6) - 4/2/2022, 8:49 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 96-62 ATS (+27.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 4-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 3-3 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VILLANOVA WILDCATS VS. KANSAS JAYHAWKS

The Villanova Wildcats and the Kansas Jayhawks will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Caesars Superdome.

Oddsmakers opened the Wildcats as -3.5-point favorites versus the Jayhawks, while the game's total opened at 131.5.

Kansas was a 76-50 winner in its last match at home against Hurricanes. They covered the -5.5-point spread as favorites.

Villanova was a 50-44 winner in its last match at home against Cougars. They covered the +3-point spread as underdogs.

Villanova:
Team record: 30-7 SU,20-15-2 ATS
Current Streak: won 9 straight games.
Villanova is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Villanova is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Villanova's last 6 games when playing Kansas

Kansas:
Team record: 32-6 SU,19-19 ATS
Current Streak: won 9 straight games.
Kansas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
Kansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing Villanova

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
Kansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing Villanova

Villanova Wildcats
Villanova is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Villanova is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Villanova's last 6 games when playing Kansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS VS. DUKE BLUE DEVILS

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Duke Blue Devils will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Caesars Superdome.

Oddsmakers opened the Blue Devils as -3.5-point favorites versus the Tar Heels, while the game's total opened at 150.5.

In their last action, Duke was a 78-69 winner at home against Razorbacks. They covered the -4.5-point spread as favorites.

North Carolina was a 69-49 winner in its last match at home against Peacocks. They covered the -8.5-point spread as favorites.

North Carolina:
Team record: 28-9 SU,20-16-1 ATS
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
North Carolina is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Duke
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Duke

Duke:
Team record: 32-6 SU,20-15-3 ATS
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
Duke is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games when playing North Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Duke Blue Devils
Duke is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games when playing North Carolina

North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Duke
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Duke

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VILLANOVA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better in the current season.

N CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Saturday, April 2

Kansas vs Villanova
— Kansas (32-6) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #129
— Continuity: #46
— Kansas won its last nine games.
— Jayhawks are shooting 53.8% inside arc (#38)
— Kansas has #27 eFG% defense.
— Jayhawks are 15-2 outside Big X this season
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #296
— Kansas is 3-0 vs Big East teams TY, winning by 20-7-5 points.

— Villanova (30-7) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #35
— Villanova won nine in row, 14 of last 15 games.
— Wildcats have #39 eFG% defense in country.
— 2nd-leading scorer Moore (achilles) is out this week.
— Villanova lost 57-36 at Baylor of Big X back in December.
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #323

— Last seven times only one #1-seed made the Final Four; the #1-seed went 5-2 in national semi-final, won four national titles. Kansas is the #1-seed here.

North Carolina vs Duke
— North Carolina (28-9) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #215
— Continuity: #97
— North Carolina won 16 of its last 19 games.
— Tar Heels shoot 36.1% on arc (#51)
— North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tar Heels are 16-6 this season vs their ACC rivals.
— North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #344

— Duke (32-6) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #347
— Continuity: #231
— Duke won 18 of its last 21 games.
— Blue Devils are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#8)
— Duke has #47 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke scored 79.8 ppg in first four tourney games.
— Blue Devils are 18-5 against their ACC rivals.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #314

— Duke won 87-67 at Chapel Hill; then UNC won 94-81 at Duke.
— This is first time these rivals have met in NCAA Tournament.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kansas has won nine straight games.
Villanova has won 1H in seven straight NCAA Tournament games.
Kansas has seen 134 or more total points in six straight games when facing a Top 10 AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
Villanova has given up 65 points or less in eight straight games.


Duke has won 18 of its last 19 games when facing a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
The last six meetings have produced 154 total points or more.
UNC has scored 73 points or less in six straight games when playing on a neutral court at night.
UNC has lost 1H in 14 of its last 16 games when facing an AP-ranked school.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FLORIDA (46-15-0-6, 98 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (24-38-0-5, 53 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 38-69 ATS (+109.2 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 50-14 ATS (+23.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-0 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)


PITTSBURGH (41-19-0-9, 91 pts.) at COLORADO (48-15-0-5, 101 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 59-66 ATS (-53.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)


LOS ANGELES (37-23-0-10, 84 pts.) at WINNIPEG (33-27-0-9, 75 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 5-19 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 37-33 ATS (+71.1 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-7 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)


MONTREAL (18-39-0-11, 47 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (43-18-0-6, 92 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 18-50 ATS (+102.3 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 21-21 ATS (+52.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 10-1 (+8.7 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 10-1-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)


TORONTO (43-19-0-5, 91 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (21-35-0-11, 53 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 97-130 ATS (-71.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 38-30 ATS (-24.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-7 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-6 ATS (+26.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 18-4 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-46 ATS (-107.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-28 ATS (+8.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-20 ATS (+33.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-46 ATS (+80.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)


COLUMBUS (32-32-1-3, 68 pts.) at BOSTON (41-21-1-4, 87 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 5-24 ATS (+39.5 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-2 ATS (+10.5 Units) on Saturday games this season.
COLUMBUS is 32-35 ATS (+82.7 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 14-7 ATS (+23.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BOSTON is 339-273 ATS (-149.8 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 22-22 ATS (-16.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-24 ATS (-22.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 262-191 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BOSTON is 124-92 ATS (-61.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 2-0 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 2-0-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)


MINNESOTA (41-20-0-5, 87 pts.) at CAROLINA (45-15-0-8, 98 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 21-6 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CAROLINA is 44-69 ATS (-30.3 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)


ST LOUIS (37-21-0-9, 83 pts.) at CALGARY (40-19-0-8, 88 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 12-26 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-2 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 70-74 ATS (+177.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 319-309 ATS (+658.1 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
CALGARY is 45-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-25 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)


DALLAS (38-25-0-3, 79 pts.) at SAN JOSE (29-31-0-7, 65 pts.) - 4/2/2022, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 16-29 ATS (-15.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 146-153 ATS (+331.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 2-0-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FLORIDA PANTHERS VS. NEW JERSEY DEVILS

The fans at Prudential Center will be treated to a game between the Florida Panthers and the New Jersey Devils when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Panthers as -250-moneyline favorites versus the Devils, while the game's total opened at 6.5.

New Jersey was a 8-1 loser in its last match on the road against the Bruins. They lost as +200 underdogs, while the total score of 9 made winners of OVER bettors.

Florida won its last outing, a 4-0 result against the Blackhawks on March 31. Bettors who backed the Panthers at -320 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (4) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Florida:
Team record: 44-15-6 SU
Florida is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road

New Jersey:
Team record: 24-37-5 SU
New Jersey is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
New Jersey is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games

Next up:
Florida at Buffalo Sunday, April 3
New Jersey home to New York Sunday, April 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
New Jersey is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games
New Jersey is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games at home
New Jersey is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Florida
New Jersey is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Florida
New Jersey is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Florida

Florida Panthers
Florida is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Florida is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Florida is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Florida is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against New Jersey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITTSBURGH PENGUINS VS. COLORADO AVALANCHE

The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Colorado Avalanche will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Ball Arena.

Oddsmakers opened the Avalanche as -159-moneyline favorites versus the Penguins, while the game's total opened at 6.

Colorado was a 4-2 winner in its last match at home against the Sharks. They won as favorites, while the total score of 6 made winners of UNDER bettors.

The Penguins were a 4-3 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Wild. That made winners of bettors who got Pittsburgh at +114 on the moneyline, while the total score (7) was good news for OVER bettors.

Pittsburgh:
Team record: 40-17-10 SU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games on the road

Colorado:
Team record: 46-14-6 SU
Colorado is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

Next up:
Pittsburgh home to Colorado Tuesday, April 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Colorado is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Pittsburgh
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Penguins
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Pittsburgh is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Colorado
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LOS ANGELES KINGS VS. WINNIPEG JETS

The Los Angeles Kings and the Winnipeg Jets will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Canada Life Centre.

Oddsmakers opened the Kings as -105-moneyline favorites versus the Jets, while the game's total opened at 6.

Winnipeg was a 7-3 loser in its last match on the road against the Maple Leafs. They lost as +209 underdogs, while the total score of 10 made winners of OVER bettors.

The Kings were a 3-2 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Flames. That made winners of bettors who got Los Angeles at +269 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for UNDER bettors.

Los Angeles:
Team record: 36-23-9 SU
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road

Winnipeg:
Team record: 32-25-10 SU
Winnipeg is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 18 games

Next up:
Los Angeles home to Calgary Monday, April 4
Winnipeg home to Detroit Wednesday, April 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 18 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Winnipeg's last 23 games at home
Winnipeg is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Los Angeles is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS VS. BOSTON BRUINS

The Columbus Blue Jackets and the Boston Bruins will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at TD Garden.

Oddsmakers opened the Bruins as -312-moneyline favorites versus the Blue Jackets, while the game's total opened at 6.

In their last action, Boston was a 8-1 winner at home against the Devils. Bettors on Boston at -224 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (9) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

In their last action, Columbus was a 5-2 loser on the road against the Islanders. Bettors on New York at -191 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (7) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

Columbus:
Team record: 32-29-5 SU
Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
Columbus is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games

Boston:
Team record: 41-19-5 SU
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
Boston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games at home

Next up:
Columbus home to Boston Monday, April 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Boston Bruins
Boston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus

Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games
Columbus is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MINNESOTA WILD VS. CAROLINA HURRICANES

The Minnesota Wild and the Carolina Hurricanes will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at PNC Arena.

Oddsmakers opened the Hurricanes as -164-moneyline favorites versus the Wild, while the game's total opened at 5.5.

The Hurricanes were a 4-0 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Canadiens. That made winners of bettors who got Carolina at -392 on the moneyline, while the total score (4) was good news for UNDER bettors.

In their last action, Minnesota was a 4-3 loser at home against the Penguins. Bettors on Pittsburgh at +114 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (7) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

Minnesota:
Team record: 40-20-4 SU
Current Streak: won 6 straight games.
Minnesota is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

Carolina:
Team record: 44-15-7 SU
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games

Next up:
Minnesota at Washington Sunday, April 3
Carolina at Buffalo Tuesday, April 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 11 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Carolina
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS. PHILADELPHIA FLYERS

The fans at Wells Fargo Center will be treated to a game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Philadelphia Flyers when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Maple Leafs as -275-moneyline favorites versus the Flyers, while the game's total opened at 6.5.

The Flyers were a 4-1 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Wild. That made winners of bettors who got Minnesota at -314 on the moneyline, while the total score (5) was good news for UNDER bettors.

The Maple Leafs were a 7-3 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Jets. That made winners of bettors who got Toronto at -234 on the moneyline, while the total score (10) was good news for OVER bettors.

Toronto:
Team record: 41-19-5 SU
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road

Philadelphia:
Team record: 21-34-11 SU
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Toronto at Tampa Bay Monday, April 4
Philadelphia at New York Sunday, April 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MONTREAL CANADIENS VS. TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

The division rival Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning are set to renew hostilities on Saturday when they meet at Amalie Arena.

Oddsmakers opened the Lightning as -549-moneyline favorites versus the Canadiens, while the game's total opened at 5.5.

In their last action, Tampa Bay was a 5-2 winner at home against the Blackhawks. Bettors on Tampa Bay at -358 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (7) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

In their last action, Montreal was a 4-0 loser on the road against the Hurricanes. Bettors on Carolina at -392 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (4) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

Montreal:
Team record: 18-37-11 SU
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games

Tampa Bay:
Team record: 41-18-6 SU
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games

Next up:
Montreal home to Ottawa Tuesday, April 5
Tampa Bay home to Toronto Monday, April 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ST. LOUIS BLUES VS. CALGARY FLAMES

The fans at Scotiabank Saddledome will be treated to a game between the St. Louis Blues and the Calgary Flames when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Flames as -208-moneyline favorites versus the Blues, while the game's total opened at 6.5.

In their last action, Calgary was a 3-2 loser at home against the Kings. Bettors on Los Angeles at +269 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.

In their last action, St. Louis was a 6-5 loser on the road against the Oilers. Bettors on Edmonton at -175 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (11) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

St. Louis:
Team record: 36-20-9 SU
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games

Calgary:
Team record: 40-17-8 SU
Calgary is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Calgary is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
St. Louis home to Arizona Monday, April 4
Calgary at Los Angeles Monday, April 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Calgary Flames
Calgary is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Calgary is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DALLAS STARS VS. SAN JOSE SHARKS

The Dallas Stars and the San Jose Sharks will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at SAP Center at San Jose.

Oddsmakers opened the Stars as -143-moneyline favorites versus the Sharks, while the game's total opened at 5.5.

San Jose was a 4-2 loser in its last match on the road against the Avalanche. They lost as +280 underdogs, while the total score of 6 made winners of UNDER bettors.

Dallas was a 3-2 winner in its last match on the road against the Ducks. They won as -171 underdogs, while the total score of 5 made winners of UNDER bettors.

Dallas:
Team record: 36-25-3 SU
Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games

San Jose:
Team record: 29-28-8 SU
San Jose is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Jose is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas

Next up:
Dallas at Seattle Sunday, April 3
San Jose home to Edmonton Tuesday, April 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Jose is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Jose's last 17 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Dallas
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing San Jose
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEW JERSEY is 9-34 ATS (-27.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

COLORADO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 16-1 ATS (14.3 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the current season.

TORONTO is 3-6 ATS (-16.4 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year.

COLUMBUS are 11-6 ATS (9.8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year.

MINNESOTA is 2-7 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year.

CALGARY is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Saturday, April 2
Trend Report

Florida @ New Jersey
Florida
Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Florida

Pittsburgh @ Colorado
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

Los Angeles @ Winnipeg
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Columbus @ Boston
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Minnesota @ Carolina
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Carolina
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 11 games at home

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

Montreal @ Tampa Bay
Montreal
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Montreal

St. Louis @ Calgary
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
Calgary
Calgary is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Calgary is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

Dallas @ San Jose
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Penguins are 17-7 in the past 24 road games.
Penguins are 19-7 in the past 26 vs. Central Division games.
Avalanche are 47-9 in the past 56 home games.
Avalanche is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams.
Avalanche is 43-13 in the past 56 games as a favorite.
OVER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for the Penguins.
UNDER is 8-3-1 in the past 12 road games for the Penguins.
UNDER is 3-1-1 in the past five as a road underdog for the Penguins.
UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for the Avalanche.
UNDER is 11-1-1 in the past 13 vs. winning teams for the Avalanche.
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five as a favorite for the Avalanche.


Wild are 7-1 in the past eight games overall.
Wild are 2-5 in the past seven road games.
Wild are 1-5 in the past six as an underdog.
Wild are 14-3 in the past 17 vs. Metropolitan Division teams.
Wild are 5-2 in the past seven vs. Eastern Conference teams.
Hurricanes are 37-15 in the past 52 home games.
Hurricanes are 38-15 in the past 53 as a favorite.
Hurricanes are 26-9 in the past 35 vs. Central Division teams.
UNDER is 6-1-1 in the past eight games overall for the Wild.
UNDER is 3-1-1 in the past five vs. Eastern Conference teams for the Wild.
UNDER is 5-2-1 in the past eight as an underdog for the Wild.
OVER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for the Hurricanes.
UNDER is 38-18-3 in the past 59 home games for the Hurricanes.
UNDER is 19-9-2 in the past 30 vs. Western Conference for the Hurricanes.
The Wild are 1-4 in the past five meetings.
The Wild are 0-4 in the past four trips to Carolina.
The favorite is 16-5 in the past 21 meetings.
The OVER is 7-1 in the past eight meetings.


Blues are 4-1 in the past five as a road underdog.
Blues are 13-4 in the past 17 vs. Western Conference teams.
Blues are 7-2 in the past nine vs. Pacific Division teams.
Blues are 0-4 in the past four playing on no rest.
Flames are 20-8 in the past 28 games overall.
Flames are 17-6 in the past 23 home games.
Flames are 20-7 in the past 27 as a favorite.
Flames are 15-6 in the past 21 as a home favorite.
Flames are 8-0 in the past eight games on a Saturday.
Flames are 9-4 in the past 13 vs. winning teams.
OVER is 6-1 in the past seven games for the Blues.
OVER is 5-0 in the past five road games for the Blues.
OVER is 6-2 in the past eight on no rest for the Blues.
UNDER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for the Flames.
UNDER is 3-1-1 in the past five vs. Central Division teams for the Flames.
Blues are 5-1 in the past six meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHARLOTTE (40 - 37) at PHILADELPHIA (46 - 30) - 4/2/2022, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CLEVELAND (42 - 35) at NEW YORK (34 - 43) - 4/2/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 62-81 ATS (-27.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 83-69 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


BROOKLYN (40 - 37) at ATLANTA (40 - 37) - 4/2/2022, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BROOKLYN is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 67-48 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 33-43 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIAMI (49 - 28) at CHICAGO (45 - 32) - 4/2/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games this season.
CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CHICAGO is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 42-33 ATS (+5.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.
CHICAGO is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UTAH (46 - 31) at GOLDEN STATE (48 - 29) - 4/2/2022, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 32-44 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 147-113 ATS (+22.7 Units) in April games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHARLOTTE HORNETS VS. PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

The Charlotte Hornets and the Philadelphia 76ers will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Wells Fargo Center.

Oddsmakers opened the 76ers as -8-point favorites versus the Hornets, while the game's total opened at 232.

Last time out for Philadelphia, they were a 102-94 loser as they battled the Pistons on the road. The 76ers failed to cover in the match as a -9.5-point favorite, while 196 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

In their last action, Charlotte was a 125-114 winner on the road against the Knicks. They covered the -2.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (239) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Charlotte:
Team record: 39-37 SU,41-33-2 ATS
Charlotte is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Charlotte is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games

Philadelphia:
Team record: 46-28 SU,36-37-1 ATS
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Charlotte at Miami Tuesday, April 5
Philadelphia at Cleveland Sunday, April 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Charlotte is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Charlotte is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS. NEW YORK KNICKS

The New York Knicks will be trying to extend a winning streak on Saturday when they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers at Madison Square Garden.

Oddsmakers opened the Cavaliers as -2-point favorites versus the Knicks, while the game's total opened at 214.5.

In their last action, New York was a 125-114 loser at home against the Hornets. They failed to cover the +2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (239) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Last time out for Cleveland, they were a 131-107 loser as they battled the Hawks on the road. The Cavaliers failed to cover in the match as a +6.5-point underdog, while 238 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Cleveland:
Team record: 42-33 SU,40-32-3 ATS
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games

New York:
Team record: 34-42 SU,36-40 ATS
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
New York is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Next up:
Cleveland home to Philadelphia Sunday, April 3
New York at Orlando Sunday, April 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

New York Knicks
New York is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
New York is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 11 games at home
New York is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
New York is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cleveland
New York is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
New York is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New York
Cleveland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing New York
Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BROOKLYN NETS VS. ATLANTA HAWKS

The fans at State Farm Arena will be treated to a game between the Brooklyn Nets and the Atlanta Hawks when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Nets as -1.5-point favorites versus the Hawks, while the game's total opened at 243.5.

The Hawks were a 131-107 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Cavaliers. They covered the -6.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (238) made winners of OVER bettors.

Last time out for Brooklyn, they were a 120-119 loser as they battled the Bucks at home. The Nets failed to cover in the match as a -2-point favorite, while 239 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Brooklyn:
Team record: 39-36 SU,30-42-3 ATS
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

Atlanta:
Team record: 38-37 SU,32-43 ATS
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games

Next up:
Brooklyn home to Houston Tuesday, April 5
Atlanta at Toronto Tuesday, April 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games at home
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 13 games at home
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Atlanta is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Brooklyn
Atlanta is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 12 games on the road
Brooklyn is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Brooklyn is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Brooklyn is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIAMI HEAT VS. CHICAGO BULLS

The fans at United Center will be treated to a game between the Miami Heat and the Chicago Bulls when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers opened the Heat as -1.5-point favorites versus the Bulls, while the game's total opened at 220.

In their last action, Chicago was a 135-130 winner at home against the Clippers. They covered the -2-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (265) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 106-98 winner as they battled the Celtics on the road. The Heat covered in the match as a +5-point underdog, while 204 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Miami:
Team record: 48-28 SU,41-34-1 ATS
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Chicago:
Team record: 43-32 SU,39-35-1 ATS
Chicago is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Miami at Toronto Sunday, April 3
Chicago home to Milwaukee Tuesday, April 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami Heat
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UTAH JAZZ VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

The Golden State Warriors will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Saturday when they take on the Utah Jazz at Chase Center.

Oddsmakers opened the Jazz as -1.5-point favorites versus the Warriors, while the game's total opened at 219.5.

Golden State lost its last outing, a 107-103 result against the Suns on March 30. The Warriors covered in that game as a +5-point underdog, while the 210 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Last time out for Utah, they were a 122-109 winner as they battled the Lakers at home. The Jazz failed to cover in the match as a -13.5-point favorite, while 231 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Utah:
Team record: 45-30 SU,31-42-2 ATS
Current Streak: lost 4 straight games.
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 16 games

Golden State:
Team record: 48-28 SU,36-36-4 ATS
Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Golden State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games

Next up:
Utah home to Memphis Tuesday, April 5
Golden State at Sacramento Sunday, April 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Golden State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Golden State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Golden State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games at home
Golden State is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Utah
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing Utah
Golden State is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Utah
Golden State is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

Utah Jazz
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 16 games
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games on the road
Utah is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games when playing Golden State
Utah is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEW YORK is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

CHICAGO is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Saturday, April 2
Trend Report

Charlotte @ Philadelphia
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Cleveland @ New York
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland

Brooklyn @ Atlanta
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Brooklyn is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Miami @ Chicago
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Utah @ Golden State
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Nets' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Hawks' games
The Nets are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 matchups against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last nine matchups between Brooklyn and Atlanta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Florida Derby, Arkansas Derby, Jeff Ruby

April 1, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

A three-region Triple Crown trail Saturday is on tap at Gulfstream Park for the Florida Derby, Oaklawn for the Arkansas Derby and Turfway for the Jeff Ruby. To assist your handicapping, key stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Gulfstream Park // Race 14 // 6:38 pm ET // G1 $1,000,000 Florida Derby // 1-1/8 miles

#6 Charge It (7-2) // 32%W
#7 White Abarrio (3-1) // 15%W
#3 Simplification (5-2) // 13%W
#8 Cajun’s Magic (30-1) // 9%W
#2 Classic Causeway (7-2) // 7%W
#5 Pappacap (10-1) // 5%W
#1 Strike Hard (20-1) // 5%W
#4 King of Truth (50-1) // 4%W
#9 O Captain (20-1) // 3%W
#10 Clapton (30-1) // 3%W
#11 Steal Sunshine (30-1) // 4%W

Turfway Park// Race 12 // 6:23 pm ET // G3 $600,000 Jeff Ruby // 1-1/8 miles

#7 Tiz the Bomb (2-1) // 28%W
#5 Tawny Port (6-1) // 15%W
#1 Royal Spirit (10-1) // 10%W
#6 Great Escape (15-1) // 9%W
#2 Stolen Base (7-2) // 7%W
#9 Dowgiac Chief (8-1) // 7%W
#13 Swing Shift (15-1) // 5%W
#8 Red Run (6-1) // 3%W
#3 Cabo Spirit (12-1) // 3%W
#4 Rich Strike (20-1) // 3%W
#10 Optigogo (30-1) // 3%W
#11 Constitutionlawyer (50-1) // 3%W
#12 Blackadder (15-1) // 3%W *expected to scratch*

Oaklawn Park// Race 12 // 7:35 pm ET // G1 $1,250,000 Arkansas Derby // 1-1/8 miles

#9 We the People (7-2) // 33%W
#5 Un Ojo (6-1) // 22%W
#6 Secret Oath (5-2) // 12%W
#4 Doppelganger (3-1) // 9%W
#3 Barber Road (8-1) // 8%W
#8 Cyberknife (8-1) // 5%W
#2 Chasing Time (12-1) // 4%W
#1 Kavod (15-1) // 4%W
#7 Ben Diesel (15-1) // 4%W

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Ghostzapper at Gulfstream | Saturday, April 2

March 30, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:

Among 10 stakes on the Florida Derby Day card at Gulfstream Park is this highly interesting 1-1/8 miles contest in the Classic division. The G3 $100,000 Ghostzapper will go as Race 6 on the program. Horseplayers with Xpressbet and 1/ST BET can enjoy up to a $10 money-back special on win bets on the entire Saturday card at Gulfstream if your selection finishes second or third. The 14-race program also features $750,000-guaranteed pools in the late pick 4 and pick 5.

​Field Depth:

Local G2 winners GREATEST HONOUR and FEARLESS are the most credentialed members of this 7-horse cast. CAPOCOSTELLO was a G1 winner in Panama. TWELVE VOLT MAN and CARLOS L are listed stakes winners. No doubt FEARLESS has held the strongest company lines with GREATEST HONOUR a clear second in that regard.

Pace:

LAUGHING BOY and CARLOS L in posts 2-3 figure to have the most early foot. TWELVE VOLT MAN could be hustled from the outer draw with some natural foot. The early pace does not appear to be overly taxing.

Our Eyes:

FEARLESS has been second-best in his last 2 local starts to rising star Speaker's Corner in the G3 Hooper and G2 Gulfstream Park Mile. Both of those were 1-turn events and he'll stretch back out around 2 bends on Saturday at the tail end of a taxing meet. To run him back for $100K almost seems like an afterthought with quality races on the horizon in Kentucky and New York. He's absolutely the horse to beat, but this soft placement raises some doubt to taking a very short price -- particularly at a distance in which he's 3: 0-1-0 lifetime.

GREATEST HONOUR looked like a bona fide Kentucky Derby prospect when he won the Holy Bull and Fountain of Youth here last winter. But he disappointed in the Florida Derby as the 4-5 favorite and went to the sidelines for 350 days before reappearing last month at Tampa bay Downs. GREATEST HONOUR was lackluster in his G3 Challenger Stakes return and a modest workout tab at Payson Park since doesn't give any hint that he's storming back to form just yet. The 1-1/8 miles is a big ask with little underneath him in the past year in terms of foundation. At 118 pounds, he gets in 6 lighter than FEARLESS and that could help.

Those 2 dominate the betting in all likelihood, but there's a feeling of vulnerability to this eye.

COMMANDEER was blow out in the G1 Pegasus World Cup, but has been working very well for veteran Jimmy Toner since then. His autumn allowance win over LAUGHING BOY at Churchill Downs could put him in the mix here at his best. Tyler Gaffalione has had a strong meet and takes over for the first time on COMMANDEER. As for LAUGHING BOY, he'll have a pace advantage perhaps and a fantastic post draw in the 2-hole. It has been a demoralizing meet for Kenny McPeek's barn, winning only 1 race coming into closing week and having a shedrow of Triple Crown hopefuls struggle to make their way. Julien Leparoux is an underrated rider on speed horses and if he gives LAUGHING BOY his head and lets him run, he could take them a long way.

CARLOS L has been away since May and makes his first start at Gulfstream for Marcial Navarro, who lures Joel Rosario to the saddle. This one likely presses the pace of LAUGHING BOY and is a winner from 6-1/2 furlongs to 1-1/2 miles. Another interesting riding pairing comes with Irad Ortiz Jr. hopping aboard CAPOCOSTELLO for the firs ttime. The Panamanian import was no match in allowance company Jan. 15 in his US debut, but the winner that day (Olympiad) has come back to win 2 graded stakes since.

Claiming Crown Jewel winner TWELVE VOLT MAN has won over the course and distance at the meet. This will be a class test for the Constitution gelding trained by Saffie Joseph Jr.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
FEARLESS has been in the exacta in 4 straight races over this track since November.​

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
COMMANDEER was 18-1 in winning an allowance 2 starts back and untouched at 106-1 in the Pegasus World Cup. He'll be let go at an intermediate price here and I like his chances.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$70 win COMMANDEER. $25 exacta COMMANDEER over FEARLESS. $5 exacta COMMANDEER over LAUGHING BOY.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeremy Plonk: Florida Derby Post Draw Rapid Reaction | Wednesday,

March 30, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Saturday’s $1 million Curlin Florida Derby – the most productive Kentucky Derby prep all-time with 24 alumni to wear the roses – will feature a field of 11 as drawn today at Gulfstream Park. The Florida Derby tops a 10-stakes card that gets underway at 11:30 am ET. The fourth major 3-year-old stakes of the Championship Meet re-matches the winners from the previous three events, Simplification (Mucho Macho Man, Fountain of Youth) and White Abarrio (Holy Bull).

Horseplayers who utilize the 1/ST BET and Xpressbet betting platforms for Florida Derby Day can take advantage of to a $10 money-back guarantee on win bets that finish second or third on the entire Gulfstream Park card. For more coverage of the Florida Derby, visit Florida Derby Picks by 1/ST BET (https://news.1st.com/blog/florida-derby-picks).

Pace figures to be a major component to this 1-1/8 miles test. Classic Causeway led the entire way in his pair of victories this year over 1-1/16 miles at Tampa Bay Downs. He’s as fast as any Derby prospect the first 50 yards as we’ve seen in some time, and from post 2 he’ll be expected to be in front again. White Abarrio tallied the Holy Bull while pressing in second before pouncing. From post 7, he’ll have the expected major pace players to his inside, Classic Causeway and stretch-out maiden winner Charge It for six-time Florida Derby winner Todd Pletcher. Pace-versatile Simplification leaves from post 3 and is a difficult evaluation in terms of intent and style. In a “post draw winners & losers” conversation, one could argue White Abarrio got the best of the prospective trips from his starting spot. Inside speed is always good routing at Gulfstream, so post 2 for Classic Causeway could also be a boon.
The late pick four and pick five both will have $750,000-guaranteed pools. Also note the Rainbow 6 pool will have a mandatory payout on Sunday’s final day of the Championship Meet.

The Florida Derby will be televised live on CNBC from 6-7 pm ET.

//

2022 Curlin Florida Derby // Gulfstream Park // Saturday, April 2, 2022

1 Strike Hard // Matthew Williams // Junior Alvarado // 20-1 ML
2 Classic Causeway // Brian Lynch // Irad Ortiz Jr. // 7-2 ML
3 Simplification // Antonio Sano // Jose Ortiz // 5-2 ML
4 King of Truth // Amador Sanchez // Jose Morelos // 50-1 ML
5 Pappacap // Mark Casse // Edwin Gonzalez // 10-1 ML
6 Charge It // Todd Pletcher // Luis Saez // 7-2 ML
7 White Abarrio // Saffie Joseph Jr. // Tyler Gaffalione // 3-1 ML
8 Cajun’s Magic // Michael Yates // Jesus Rios // 30-1 ML
9 O Captain // Gustavo Delgado // Joel Rosario // 20-1 ML
10 Clapton // Juan Alvarado // Emisael Jaramillo // 30-1 ML
11 Steal Sunshine // Bobby Dibona // Leonel Reyes // 30-1 ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2022 Florida Derby: Meet the Contenders

March 29, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

We introduce you to the potential field for Saturday's $1 million Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park. The official entry and draw will take place on Wednesday, so check back for our Florida Derby Post Draw Rapid Reaction then.

Simplification
Dancing all 4 dances in the Florida Derby series, the Mucho Macho Man and Fountain of Youth winner gets his re-match with Holy Bull conqueror White Abarrio. He's shown the ability to race on and off the pace.

White Abarrio
Winner of the Holy Bull Stakes in his only start of 2022, he's a perfect 3-for-3 lifetime at Gulfstream Park. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. has been the local circuit's top trainer in recent years and seeks his first Florida Derby score.

Pappacap
Last year's Best Pal winner and Breeders' Cup Juvenile runner-up at Del Mar bids to snap a 5-race losing streak. His Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse looks to add his first Florida Derby trophy to his collection.

Charge It
Six-time Florida Derby-winning trainer Todd Pletcher can pad his record win total in this race if class riser Charge It can build off his impressive February 12 maiden breaker in his second start. Expect this one to be an early pace force.

Classic Causeway
Front-running winner of the Sam F. Davis and Tampa Bay Derby on the Gulf Coast, this speedster has been one of the winter's most impressive sophomores. He competes Saturday on a rather quick, 3-week turnaround by today's standards.

O Captain
87-1 third-place finisher behind Simplification in the Fountain of Youth, he won't sneak up on anyone this time. Trainer Gustavo Delgado has orchestrated 21-1 (Majesto) and 71-1 (Bodexpress) runner-up finishes in the Florida Derby past.

Shipsational
Second and third behind Florida Derby foe Classic Causeway in the Tampa Bay Derby and Sam F. Davis, this New York-bred will need to make up about 2-4 lengths on his rival to turn the tables. He's maternal grandson of 1995 Florida Derby winner Thunder Gulch.

Cajun's Magic
The veteran of last year's Florida Sires Stakes series mustered a fifth-place effort in the Holy Bull Stakes in his lone start this season. That marked the first time in his 6 lifetime races, all at Gulfstream Park, that he missed the exacta.

Strike Hard
Second as the 4-5 favorite in the Mucho Macho Man Stakes to Simplification and fourth in the Sam F. Davis to Classic Causeway, his connections come into the Florida Derby seeking redemption. He could give Matthew Williams his first graded stakes winner in his fourth full year of training.

Steal Sunshine
Longshot son of 2014 Florida Derby winner Constitution has yet to attempt a stakes race. His lone victory in 4 starts came in maiden optional claiming company in December.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 2, 2022
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

Saturday’s horse racing picks are all drawn from stakes races across three tracks—Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Turfway Park.

More importantly, the dozen stakes races I assess here include six qualifying races for either the Kentucky Oaks or the 2022 Kentucky Derby (one of each at each of the three tracks, since you asked).

So let’s not waste any more time. Oh, one last thing: You can review the full card of Saturday’s horse races for all three tracks at one of our recommended online racebooks.

Good luck!
My Saturday Picks for Gulfstream Park
Race three — Orchid Stakes (Grade III)

This is a $150,000 purse, 1-1/2 miles run on the turf course for fillies and mares four years old and upward. I’m betting on the third-favored (at 3/1) Beautiful Lover, piloted by top jockey Joel Rosario.

This six-year-old mare finished eleven of her 17 career starts in the money, winning five, including La Prevoyante Stakes (Grade III) here at Gulfstream in January. Even in this talented field of seven, she’s a standout.

Longtime Breeders’ Cup veteran Christophe Clement trains Beautiful Lover for Moyglare Stud Farm, Ltd.
Race six — Ghostzapper Stakes (Grade III)

This is a $100,000 purse, 1-1/8 miles race on the dirt track for four-year-olds and upward. I’m sticking with the 4/5 morning line favorite, Fearless, ridden by Luis Saez.

This six-year-old bay gelding moneyed eleven of his 13 career starts, winning five, including the Harlan’s Holiday Stakes (Grade III) in December.

Since then, he finished second in both the Fred W. Hooper Stakes (Grade III) in January and the Gulfstream Park Mile Stakes (Grade II) in March. He’s got this.

Multiple Belmont Stakes and Kentucky Derby winner Todd A. Pletcher trains Fearless for Repole Stable.
Race nine — Pan American Stakes (Grade II)

This is a $200,000 purse, 1-1/2 miles race on the turf course for four-year-olds and upward. My money’s on the third-favored (at 5/2) Temple, with Jose L. Ortiz in the irons.

This six-year-old gelding finished in the money 22 of his 34 career starts, winning seven.

Granted, Abaan—the 8/5 favorite in this race—made Temple accept a second-place finish in the W. L. McKnight Stakes (Grade III) in January.
But Temple quickly returned the favor with a win in the Mac Diarmida Stakes (Grade II) in March. Abaan finished that one in fourth place. Sad emoji.

Longtime horse racing veteran Michael J. Maker trains Temple for owners Paradise Farms Corp. and David Staudacher.
Race twelve — Gulfstream Park Oaks (Grade II)

This is a $250,000 purse, 1-1/16 miles dirt track run for three-year-old fillies. This is a qualifying race on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks, and awards Road points to the top four finishers (100-40-20-10).

I have to back the 4/5 morning-line favorite, Kathleen O., with top jockey Javier Castellano aboard.

This filly won all three of her career starts, including her initial maiden attempt last November at Aqueduct, as well as the Cash Run Stakes (Black Type) in January and the Davona Dale Stakes (Grade II) in March here at Gulfstream.

Horse racing legend Claude R. “Shug” McGaughey III trains Kathleen O. for Winngate Stables, LLC.
Race thirteen — Appleton Stakes (Grade III)

This is a $100,000 purse, one-mile turf run for four-year-olds and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on the second-favored (at 7/2) English Bee, ridden by Luis Saez.

This six-year-old finished 112 of his 25 career starts in the money, winning five. Yes, he doesn’t have the greatest record, but the 3/1 morning-line favorite in this race, Phantom Currency, hasn’t run professionally since February 2021.
I wouldn’t blame you for putting a two-spot down on Phantom Currency, but I don’t think you’ll be happy. Better to bet on the more likely English Bee.

Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup veteran H. Graham Motion trains English Bee for owner-breeder Calumet Farm.
Race fourteen — Florida Derby (Grade I)

This is a $1,000,000 purse, 1-18 miles dirt track race for three-year-olds. This is a qualifying race on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, and awards Road points to the top four finishers (100-40-20-10).

Of the five most-likely-to-succeed entries in this horse race (according to the morning-line), four are already on the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard.

One of those is my pick for the win: The 5/2 morning-line favorite, Simplification, piloted by Jose L. Ortiz.

This bay colt finished in the money five of his six career starts, winning three, including the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes (Grade II) last month and the Mucho Macho Man Stakes (Listed) in January.

He also finished second in the Holy Bull Stakes (Grade III) in February. In this solid field of 11, I like his chances best.

Antonio Sano trains Simplification for owner Tami Bobo.
Saturday’s Picks for Oaklawn Park
Race nine — Oaklawn Mile Stakes (Grade III)

This is a $400,000 purse, one-mile dirt track race for four-year-olds and upward. While this ten-horse field has plenty of successful entries, few of them have performed well at the stakes level.

The best exception to that is the 5/2 morning-line favorite, Cezanne, with the top jockey Flavien Prat aboard.

This five-year-old bay moneyed five of his six career starts, winning four, including the Kona Gold Stakes (Grade III) last April and the San Carlos Stakes (Grade II) in March 2022.

Horse Racing Hall of Famer Bob Baffert trains Cezanne for owners Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor, Derrick Smith, and St. Elias Stable.
Race ten — Fantasy Stakes (Grade III)

This is a $600,000 purse, 1-1/16 miles dirt track race for three-year-old fillies. The Fantasy Stakes is a qualifying race on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks, and awards Road points to the top four finishers (100-40-20-10).

This is my no-brainer pick of the day: 2/1 morning-line favorite, Eda, with John R. Velazquez in the irons.

This filly finished five of her six career starts in the money, winning four, including the Starlet Stakes (Grade I) last December at Los Alamitos and the Santa Ysabel Stakes (Grade III) at Santa Anita in March.

Oh, and she also won the Anoakia Stakes (Black Type) at Santa Anita last October, and the Desi Arnaz Stakes (Listed) at Del Mar in November.
Does Eda know how to place one hoof ahead of the other in a rapid, businesslike manner? I submit that she does.

Bob Baffert trains Eda for Baoma Corporation.
Race twelve — Arkansas Derby (Grade I)

This is a $1,250,000 purse, 1-1/8 mile dirt track run for three-year-olds. This is a qualifying race on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, and awards Road points to the top four finishers (100-40-20-10).

I’m betting my money on the fourth-favored (at 6/1) Un Ojo, piloted by veteran jockey Ramon A. Vazquez.

This bay gelding moneyed four of his six career starts, winning two, including his most recent—the Rebel Stakes (Grade II) here at Oaklawn in late February.

He notably finished second at Aqueduct in both the Withers Stakes (Grade III) in early February and the New York Stallion Series Stakes (Black Type) in December.

Ricky Courville trains Un Ojo for owners Cypress Creek Equine LLC and Whispering Oaks Farm LLC.
Saturday Horse Racing Picks for Turfway Park
Race ten —Kentucky Cup Classic Stakes

This is a $250,000 purse, 1-1/8 miles run on the all-weather track for four-year-olds and upward. I’m backing the 2/1 morning-line favorite, Visitant, ridden by veteran jockey Deshawn L. Parker.

This six-year-old bay finished in the money 13 of his s16 career starts, winning nine, including his to most recent races—the Forego Stakes (Black Type) in February and the Big Daddy Stakes (Black Type) in March.
Incidentally, Visitant also made it to the winner’s circle in last year’s Kentucky Cup Classic. Can he do it again? Magic 8-Ball says “Yes.”

Regularly ranked among the top trainers in North America for the past twenty years, William E. Morey trains Visitant for owner-breeder Williamson Racing LLC.
Race eleven — Bourbonette Oaks

This is a $250,000 purse, 1-1/16 miles race on the all-weather track for three-year-old fillies. This is a qualifying race on the Road to the Kentucky Oaks, and awards Road points to the top four finishers (50-20-10-5).

I’m backing the 5/1 second-favorite, Mrs. Barbara, piloted by Rafael Manuel Hernandez.

This dark bay filly finished four of her seven career starts in the money, winning two, including the Mazarine Stakes (Grade III) at Woodbine last November.

She notably finished fourth in both the Natalma Stakes (Grade I) last September at Woodbine and the Florida Oaks (Grade III) last month at Tampa Bay Downs.

Thoroughbred racing Hall of Famer Mark E. Casse trains Mrs. Barbara for Spruce Stable.
Race twelve — Jeff Ruby Steaks Stakes (Grade III)

This is a $600,000 purse, 1-1/8 miles run on the all-weather track for three-year-olds. This is a qualifying race on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, and awards Road points to the top four finishers (100-40-20-10).

Against a better set of competitors than this race presents, I wouldn’t have a lot of confidence in the performance of 2/1 favorite Tiz the Bomb, even with Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. in the irons, who rode the bay colt to victory in last October’s Bourbon Stakes (Grade II) at Keeneland.

But of this 13-horse field, the three-year-old has the most impressive record: Five money finishes in even career starts, four of them wins. It also helps that he won his most recent race—the John Battaglia Memorial Stakes (Black Type) last month here at Turfway, ridden by a relatively inexperienced jockey, Alex Achard.

Inexperienced or not, Achard helped Tiz the Bomb earn the ten points that has him currently at #26 on the R2KD leaderboard.
A win here won’t jump Tiz the Bomb to the top of the leaderboard, but he’ll be breathing the same rarified air as the other top ten Derby hopefuls.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Picks: Arkansas Derby Day LP5 ticket on April 2
By J.N. Campbell


Oaklawn Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 6-3-7-4
Race 2: 5-2-4-7
Race 3: 8-6-4-5
Race 4: 6-2-8-4
Race 5: 2-4-5-1
Race 6: 7-4-1-8
Race 7: 6-4-5-8
Race 8: 9-5-10-1
Race 9: 6-4-9-8
Race 10: 9-7-6-5
Race 11: 5-6-8-1
Race 12: 6-3-1-9
Race 13: 12-6-8-9
**Most Likely: Secret Oath #6 (Race 12)**
**Best Value: Silver Prospector #6 (Race 9)**

LATE PICK 5…

LEG 1: (Race 9: Dirt, 1 Mile, Oaklawn Mile (G3), $400k, 4+)

On this beautiful Super Saturday at glorious Oaklawn Park, we have one of my favorite races of the Meet. The OP Mile $400k normally brings together a great group of older males, and this is a banner moment because the race is finally a “graded” race … Huzzah! It’s about bloody time! This time around we have layoff runners … class risers … class droppers … horse-for-the-courses … and of course, if that weren’t enough, a Bob Baffert entry … oh my! Speaking of the beleaguered HOF conditioner, he sends Cezanne #4 into Hot Springs off a win in the San Carlos (G2) last time out at Santa Anita. In 6 career starts, this will be the son of Curlin’s 1st attempt to race outside of California. Regular rider Flavien Prat is in-town (he will be shifting his tack to NYRA soon), and he is going to make this field keep up with him in the end. If Baffert’s charge shipped well, then he could be the one to beat. I do not like the idea of “keying” this one because it is clear that others in here have a great shot to score too. When it comes to a top pick, I am quite partial to Steve Asmussen’s Silver Prospector #6. This pro is by Declaration of War, and every time he takes to the track, he really gives it his best. I know he hasn’t won in sometime, but he is in-form right now, which makes him very dangerous. I was surprised to see Jose Lezcano come in from Aqueduct, and that is an interesting decision. He is going to be a good price, after running 2nd to Olympiad last time down at the Fair Grounds in the Mineshaft (G3). Others that are worth considering include, Brad Cox’s Fulsome #8, Chris Hartman’s Necker Island #9, and Mike McCarthy’s Law Professor #10. This is an eclectic mix of experience and style … Including a Juddmonte runner making his debut ’22 … a good form, OP winner last out at the OC80k … and finally, a well-bred son of Constitution making a surface switch with Johnny V aboard, all offer diversity and make sense. Let’s move on …

Selections: 4/6/8/9/10 (5-Deep)



LEG 2: (Race 10: Dirt, 1 1/16th, Fantasy S. (G3), $600k, 3F)

The filly version of the “Derby” is up next, and KYOaks “Points” are available, plus a major purse. I am very much against Bob Baffert’s ace that ships in from Southern California. Eda #5 is going to be a short price because bettors will see that she comes to OP with a 4-race-win-streak. I don’t see her winning here because her rivals this time will be much tougher to handle. I actually like both of Brad Cox’s entries … Mariah’s Fortune #6 and Bubble Rock #9. The former, from Steve Landers Racing, is a well-bred filly by Classic Empire who ran nicely in the slop at Oaklawn 2 races back. Even though she failed to get to the winner’s circle at the Fair Grounds in an OC50kn1x back on 18 Feb., she has some dangerous early speed. As for the latter Cox-ian, it will be interesting to see the Shortleaf homebred make the switch from turf/AW to dirt. She won the Cincy Trophy at Turfway last time out, and I think she is very talented. Cox has a way of spotting that is just second-to-none, and I would not count this one out at all. The services of Ricardo Santana are being utilized to the fullest too. One other entry that deserves to be included is from Rudy Brisset’s keep. Yuugiri #7 is a daughter of Shackleford, and she competed against Secret Oath and Ice Orchid in the Grade 3 Honeybee S. back on 26 Feb. I like her early gait, and with Florent Geroux aboard, she should be very competitive in this race. The choice to go 3-deep helps us save some cash because what is coming is going to be very difficult. Wait till you see the finale!

Selections: 6/7/9 (3-Deep)



LEG 3: (Race 11: Dirt, 6F, AOC50kn2x, 4+)

We are taking a brief respite from the stakes action, and bringing you a tough OC50kn2x contest. We have a local celeb that is entered, in a gelding by Bernardini … Johnny Oritz’s Gar Hole #5. You have to understand what a big deal this is … Arkansas bred runners rarely make the jump into open company, and this is the chance for the Shortleaf homebred to show his mettle. Arky breds, represent! With 4 wins to his credit, and the riding ability of Ricardo Santana, I would expect this one to be pretty game for his open company bow. Just in case something happens to his detriment, I also like the Jimmy DiVito entry, Absolute Chaos #6. He might not look like much, but with Mineshaft at his fetlock, he could be a nice price at 10/1 .. or higher. I like DiVito runners because they run like the dickens, and are usually overlays. He can flat out train … Let’s go 2-deep in this spot, and head to the highlight of the day with our head held high.

Selections: 5/6 (2-Deep)



LEG 4: (Race 12: Dirt, 1 1/8th, Arkansas Derby (G1), $1.25 million, 3)

It’s on … the Arkansas Derby, a G1 race with major KYD148 “Points” (100-40-20-10) has arrived. The storyline could include a one-eyed wonder, a former Baffert runner, or a young upstart, but at the end of the day, it is about the filly … D. Wayne Lukas’ Secret Oath #6. The legendary conditioner with HOF credentials is looking to turn the tables on the boys this year, and it is nothing short of pure, unadulterated excitement. This is just what horse racing needs. A filly by now-deceased Arrogate, her speed figs are above par, and then some. Lukas is once again … ala Gary Stevens and Winning Colors … going with a jockey that needs a big break. Luis Contreras is just the man for the job, and the hard scrabble rider from Mexico City is looking to make a splash in what could be the race of the year. I think he wins aboard the filly, and that makes this pick a “Single” for me. My prediction … no one can hold a candle to Lukas’ Secret Oath #6.

Selections: 6 (Single)



LEG 5: (Race 13: Dirt, 6F, OC20kn1x, 4+, Arky Breds)

We end up with Arky-types … and that is the way this is going to go … We must go as deep as possible, and that means pushing the envelope as far as possible. I think I can afford 6 in this spot, and that should get us home! My top selection in this race is Tammy Hornsby’s Goodnight Archie #12. This gelding by Archaracharch has experience at this class level, and has run against the likes of Gar Hole … that is enough for me. The best news is that one of the best riders in the colony gets aboard for the 1st time .., Fran Arrieta … At 10/1, this could be one of the plays of the day. I want to use this one, but let’s also think about the merits of Carl Deville’s You Vee Cee #2, Norm Ashauer’s Super Geek #6, Ron Westermann’s Bellamys Roan #7, Tim Martin’s Data Storm #8, and Randy Morse’s Mahomey #9. That should do the trick, and help us cash this ticket … what a day it is going to be!

Selections: 2/6/7/8/9/12 (6-Deep)

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Ticket: 4-6-8-9-10 / 6-7-9 / 5-6 / 6 / 2-6-7-8-9-12

.50 P5 TICKET COST: $90.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Quick Picks for April 2, 2022

Aqueduct Racetrack (NYRA)
Race #1- #1 NOBODYRIDESFORFREE; #2 MONTAUK POINT; #4 BURGEE
Race #2- #3 MISTER WINSTON; #2 COACH BAHE; #6 JERUSALEM GATES
Race #3- #5 I’M FINE; #6 GIRL OF TOSCONOVA; #3 VOICE OF SPRING
Race #4- #4 TRUE EMPRESS; #5 COUSIN KRISTI; #2 MO NIGHEAN DONN
Race #5- #5 IRRESISTIBLE GIRL; #4 MIDMON; #6 SABREEN
Race #6- #4 SOUND MONEY; #6 LIL COMMISSIONER; #1 SECRET RULES
Race #7- #5 DREAM BIGGER; #6 SUMMER BOURBON; #7 NOT A TRICK
Race #8- #3 FIRST CONSTITUTION; #5 FOREWARNED; #2 UNTREATED
Race #9- #7 RIA’S ANGEL; #9 MISCHIEF MOGUL; #2 VINCENT


Charles Town Racing
Race #1- #5 HANDS DOWN; #1 RUN RABBIT; #7 EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR
Race #2- #4 DUDE AND JUMPER; #3 FLASH OF DAY; #5 ANGUSONIC
Race #3- #5 SONDE ST BLUES; #6 ROOF TOP BAR; #4 THE DON OF SQUAN
Race #4- #3 FRENCH NOUGET; #6 LIFE IN FLASH; #4 JUST A BIT SASSY
Race #5- #4 CHINA CAT; #6 MORALITY CLAUSE; #2 SHERIFF’S KID
Race #6- #6 JAXJAXXORJACKS; #5 CROSSTHEBAY; #7 MASTER THIS
Race #7- #3 DOOR BUSTER; #1 MADY ROSE; #6 BOUNDTOBEBAD
Race #8- #3 TWILIGHT YEARS; #8 SECRET SWIRL; #5 QUIET JUSTICE


Golden Gate Fields
Race #1- #5 THISONESFORBARRY; #4 SHARP CURVE; #6 SASSY EINSTEIN
Race #2- #6 SUNSET DRAGUNN; #1 COLORMEMONEY; #4 TRIBAL STORM
Race #3- #5 FIT FOR TOM; #7 TIME TO SMILE; #3 NITE SALE
Race #4- #3 LOVELY COLLEEN; #6 PRESKITT; #2 CIELO DIAMANTE
Race #5- #7 CHIEF WILD EAGLE; #8 MITAD DEL MUNDO; #5 CAT GAMER
Race #6- #8 SHANGHAI MIST; #1 KISS RIDE GOODBYE; #7 CAN'THELPFALLIN
Race #7- #2 ASSIGNATION; #1 SEEMS LOGICAL; #7 ROSE PRINCESS
Race #8- #9 DUDE IT’S A PARTY; #4 MILEYS BLUECAT; #5 WINTER FALCON
Race #9- #1 PHANTOM INDIAN; #8 LAST INNING; #6 ZAKKIYYAH


Gulfstream Park
Race #1- #3 DOUBLE TOUGH TIGER; #4 BENEFACTOR; #6 LONG BEACH KID
Race #2- #5 MAI TY ONE ON; #1 HANDSOME PRINCE; #12 FAMOUS GENT
Race #3- #7 FAMILY WAY; #6 BEAUTIFUL LOVER; #2 HARAJUKU
Race #4- #2 MY ROMEO LIMA; #5 QUALITY G; #1 ALLEGORICAL
Race #5- #8 RED DANGER; #7 WICKED FAST; #4 GRAPHIC DETAIL
Race #6- #4 FEARLESS; #6 GREATEST HONOUR; #1 COMMANDEER
Race #7- #8 IL MALOCCHIO; #3 STOLEN HOLIDAY; #4 CRYSTAL CLIFFS
Race #8- #8 FRIPPET; #2 INVENTING; #5 TACHLIS
Race #9- #3 GUFO; #5 ABAAN; #6 TEMPLE
Race #10- #9 COLLABORATE; #1 FORTIN HILL; #4 WEYBURN
Race #11- #1 MISCHIEVOUS KISS; #2 BEECHNUT TROPHY; #9 MY PHILLY TWIRL
Race #12- #7 KATHLEEN O.; #5 GODDESS OF FIRE; #1 CANCEL THIS
Race #13- #6 SAFE CONDUCT; #3 WOLFIE’S DYNAGHOST; #7 PHANTOM CURRENCY
Race #14- #2 CLASSIC CAUSEWAY; #5 PAPPACAP; #7 WHITE ABARRIO


Hawthorne Race Course
Race #1- #4 INSIDE THE CIRCLE; #3 CINDY’S G MAN; #5 DREAM ATTACK
Race #2- #5 CHINA STAR; #1 BELLS OF JOY; #2 CHICKADEE
Race #3- #4 FROOME; #3 TOUGH AINT ENOUGH; #1 ON K P
Race #4- #6 AUTUMN ASPEN; #2 WAY TOO SMARTE; #5 FANCIFIED
Race #5- #7 DELIGHTFUL BREEZE; #5 KHOZYS CROWN; #4 SAMARITA
Race #6- #1 DIVE DEEP; #10 MORETHANSOULTITLE; #3 MARCO’S DREAM
Race #7- #3 BAILESTON LASSIE; #7 HONEY MUG; #10 GO STORMIN GIRL
Race #8- #8 W W KAN DO; #9 CONTRACTION; #5 REMEMBER THE MAINE


Laurel Park
Race #1- #4 GUNHAND; #6 KNOWHOWIKNOW; #3 RUN ON THE TRAIL
Race #2- #8 WHENIGETTOHEAVEN; #6 GORUN; #4 LUCKY HERB
Race #3- #2 ALL FOR LOVE; #6 WORLD OF FOOLS; #5 FREE SQUARE
Race #4- #3 BEYOND THE VICTORY; #6 IRISH RIVIERA; #1 CARIBBEAN
Race #5- #1 BLISS THIS; #7 HE ROLLS; #2 PATRIOTIC PARTY
Race #6- #8 MADAME CLAUDE; #4 IMAGINE THE MOJO; #6 CHICA RABIOSA
Race #7- #6 BULL SHARK; #3 CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY; #4 PASCAL CHANT
Race #8- #1A D’ RAPPER; #4 DOUBLEOSEVEN; #1 THUNDERSHOOK
Race #9- #5 TORCH CARRIER; #6 ELLIE BE DANCING; #2 LAMBEAU LADY


Mahoning Valley Race Course
Race #1- #4 BOB’S CALLING; #1 WINKING AT THEDUDE; #6 HE’S THE SOUPERWON
Race #2- #1 CAPITAN FOFO; #4 MY MAE DAY; #2 FRITTONS GOLD
Race #3- #3 POOLSIDE COCKTAILS; #4 ORBIT BOUND; #6 SUNSET AT MALLORY
Race #4- #2 DANA’S CONQUEST; #4 GRAN CHEMIN; #7 HERO’S DAUGHTER
Race #5- #4 INTENTIONAL WALK; #5 HIGH POWERED; #1 COME SEE ABOUT IT
Race #6- #2 DADDYS LITTLE FLAG; #9 GAIL’S DANCER; #3 PERFECTINGTHEVIEW
Race #7- #5 STORMY BELLA; #4 BOUDOIR BURLESQUE; #2 ROSE KNOWS
Race #8- #3 BAD KARMA; #1 MALICED; #5 BACKSPLASH
Race #9- #2 MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS; #4 GIV'EM THE BIZ; #5 UOTTALIKEIT


Oaklawn Park
Race #1- #3 STARRININMYDREAMS; #1 SALOW; #7 MANHATTAN UP
Race #2- #4 MEAN JAKEY; #5 LUDWIG; #7 SPEED BIAS
Race #3- #6 LIFE IS HARD; #8 ALEJANDRO; #2 GOSPEL WAY
Race #4- #5 TITLE READY; #3 BACKGROUND; #6 WELLS BAYOU
Race #5- #2 FRANK’S ROCKETTE; #5 LI'L TOOTSIE; #6 JOY’S ROCKET
Race #6- #4 PLAUSIBLE DENILE; #1 QUICK TO BLAME; #3 BLAME ELI
Race #7- #5 SIANARA; #8 WELL SPENT; #6 SWEET TEA
Race #8- #5 DRENA’S STAR; #7 WOBBERJOD; #2 BANDIT POINT
Race #9- #4 CEZANNE; #8 FULSOME; #9 NECKER ISLAND
Race #10- #5 EDA; #9 BUBBLE ROCK; #7 YUUGIRI
Race #11- #1 STORM THE COURT; #5 GAR HOLE; #8 MACRON
Race #12- #9 WE THE PEOPLE; #6 SECRET OATH; #2 CHASING TIME
Race #13- #13 BLAME J D; #9 MAHOMEY; #8 DATA STORM


Sam Houston Race Park
Race #1- #9 KISSOUUR; #4 SAND CANYON JS; #7 QUICK RAE AA
Race #2- #3 KIMBELL’S STRATEGY; #5 TEXAS TIDELANDS; #4 MS. LINA
Race #3- #6 INTIMIDATION; #2 PERFECT ONE; #3 HELLUVA LIFE
Race #4- #8 EMPTY NET; #2 LISTEN UP; #3 RUMPUS
Race #5- #3 EXPECT THE BOSS; #8 KELLEY SAID READY; #2 COLD NIGHT AIR
Race #6- #1 GASTOWN; #2 FASHION MERIT; #11 SET THE PACE
Race #7- #5 BEST OF GREELEY; #1 GIVEMETWENTY; #4 GOOD SCOUT
Race #8- #7 AUSTIN CITY GIRL; #3 CATCHUSIFYOUCAN; #2 CARIOQUINHA
Race #9- #1 AMERICAN ENIGMA; #9 LUMBERJACK LESLIE; #8 AMANTE DE SARA


Santa Anita Park
Race #1- #3 NINEELEVENTURBO; #2 BEEF WINSLOW; #5 LAFORGIA
Race #2- #1 LOOKIN FOR REVENGE; #2 UNBROKEN STAR; #4 CLAIM OF PASSION
Race #3- #4 BALNIKHOV; #3 DURANTE; #1 ALMANERA
Race #4- #3 BELLA RENELLA; #1 HOT ON THE TRAIL; #6 CIRCULODEGANADORAS
Race #5- #1 GOLD PHOENIX; #10 ONE FAST BRO; #7 WILDER THAN MOST
Race #6- #4 DARK VADER; #1 SHAAZ; #6 CHARLITO
Race #7- #9 HAIL FREEDOM; #2 FRANKLIN ONE STAR; #4 ROCKY GIBRALTAR
Race #8- #7 LADY T; #4 SECRET FIX; #6 MY KENTUCKY GIRL
Race #9- #9 EQUILOVE; #10 KALON; #3 WOODBINE WAY


Sunland Park
Race #1- #2 HOT MECHANIC; #10 W R ACES UP; #4 MOONSHINERS DOLL
Race #2- #3 REVANA; #8 MAGABY; #10 JESSIES BLUE TOO
Race #3- #5 SIZZLIN CHICK CORONA; #7 FEATURE THIS DREAM; #11 TORO O NADA
Race #4- #12 CARTEL DRUNK PLAYBOY; #5 MASTERDIAMONDCARTEL; #2 LADYS DIAMOND
Race #5- #8 MI MOONFLASH; #3 FAMOUS JULIA; #5 JESS AGREE
Race #6- #9 BETTER BELIEVE; #6 SHAME ON SAM; #7 BYE BYE HEATH
Race #7- #5 CHARITY WATER; #7 LA DIAMANT; #4 ROX FROM NAVARONE
Race #8- #7 GRACEANNE; #5 DIXIE JEN; #4 BELLA Y SOFIA
Race #9- #1 DISCOVERY N SIGHT; #7 BEAR CLAW; #11 B R KIDD ROCK
Race #10- #5 ILOVEHER; #6 NATION OF LAWS; #10 REDHAIRNBLAKLEATHR
Race #11- #5 ZESTFUL; #4 MINE THAT STAR; #8 SHERIFF BROWN
Race #12- #4 MCTHANKS; #7 DECK HUMOR; #8 HIT A NOTE


Tampa Bay Downs
Race #1- #3 THATS ALL SHEWROTE; #6 SENA THE DUCHESS; #4 GOLDLINER
Race #2- #7 WHITEROSE SPIRIT; #2 SUWANNEE CHICK; #5 ONLY GIRL
Race #3- #10 LUDO; #1 HE'SSOSUBTLE; #12 MACHINEGUNPREACHER
Race #4- #2 J’S SILKY; #5 D DAWG; #7 MISS MARGARET ANN
Race #5- #5 NATIVE HAWK; #6 CREEKMORE; #7 FORTUNATE FRIENDS
Race #6- #8 MUSIC AMORE; #10 LATIN NIKKITA; #5 I’M BUZZY
Race #7- #1 INTERNET OF THINGS; #5 SOBERANO; #4 COUNTY COURT
Race #8- #2 EXAMINER; #7 CANDY COVE; #1 VALIANT VIRTUE
Race #9- #3 WILLY BOI; #8 DOUGIE D ORO; #2 HIDE THE DEMON
Race #10- #1 GIVE ME TWO STEPS; #3 HERECOMESTHEHAMMER; #5 ICY STORM


Turfway Park
Race #1- #9 TREASURE HUNTING; #5 FAST FELIX; #12 BOURBON TALKING
Race #2- #3 MY LILY MAE; #1A QUARIA BRAVA; #4 BEACH KITTEN
Race #3- #2 POLKA POLENTA; #4 SPLITSECONDSONNY; #10 MS TEMPTATION
Race #4- #8 LUCKY DEVIL; #2 MUCHO MOJO; #12 SUCCEED
Race #5- #5 NILE RIVER QUEEN; #13 WILLING; #3 DIAMONDS N DENIM
Race #6- #11 ENID; #1 INCORRIGIBLE; #12 CELERITY
Race #7- #1 CRAZY BEAUTIFUL; #7 SKYGAZE; #4 BREEZE RIDER
Race #8- #12 ERASE; #1 GRAEL; #3 BODOCK
Race #9- #2 HIGHER STANDARD; #7 ROTKNEE; #1 NOBALS
Race #10- #2 VISITANT; #10 CROSS BORDER; #8 AMERICAN THEOREM
Race #11- #7 MRS. BARBARA; #8 SANDSTONE; #10 NORTH COUNTY
Race #12- #7 TIZ THE BOMB; #5 TAWNY PORT; #1 ROYAL SPIRIT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocket Picks ��: Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Aqueduct for April 2, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

The massive week of racing continues today with the Florida Derby and Arkansas Derby! For the free pick 4, we will head to Oaklawn Park for the late sequence on the card! We will also have full card selections for Gulfstream Park and Aqueduct for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s go!

Oaklawn Park April 2, 2022

Race 10: Fantasy Stakes (G2)

With #4 Magic Circle it is hard to gauge what she can do as she ships in from Aqueduct and changes trainers to Steve Asmussen. She won a stakes 2 starts back and was third in another last time out. If her price floats up, then she’s worth a shot. #1 Dream Lith runs second off of the layoff today, which should help her chances, plus the pace should set up well for her.

Race 11: Allowance Optional Claiming

#5 Gar Hole has been a favorite at Oaklawn Park all year long, but must face open company today. #2 Happymac could be a challenger at a price as he rounds into form for Asmussen.

Race 12: Arkansas Derby (G1)

#9 We the People is an impressive 2 for 2 coming into this race. #6 Secret Oath could be something special after 3 straight dominant efforts at the meet. This is a step up in class for sure, but she looks ready for the challenge.

Race 13: Allowance Optional Claiming

#3 Chicken Hawk has solid Oaklawn Park connections, and should be competitive at this level. #7 Bellamys Roan is a deserving favorite; however, these state bred races can get a little crazy.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 10-13) 1,4,7,8,9 / 5 / 4,6,8,9 / 2,3,7,12 – $40

Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Oaklawn Park:

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Interstate Racing Tips – April 2nd

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – April 2nd

RSN927

Sky Racecaller Darren Flindell covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at the Randwick for Day 1 of The Championships featuring the Group 1 Doncaster Mile and TJ Smith Stakes on Saturday the 2nd of April.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 9
Weather: Overcast
Penetrometer: 6.17
Darren Flindell Randwick Tips

Randwick, 2nd April 2022

Race 1 Selections: 10,9,5,4
Race 2 Selections: 3,2,10,1
Race 3 Selections: 12,7,1,6
Race 4 Selections: 2,4,6,11
Race 5 Selections: 6,2,8,4
Race 6 Selections: 10,12,13,8
Race 7 Selections: 15,5,8,16
Race 8 Selections: 2,6,1,3
Race 9 Selections: 16,20,2,3
Race 10 Selections: 12,7,5,3

Best Bet

Race 2 – 3. Straight Arron

Sky Race caller Josh Fleming covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at Eagle Farm on Saturday the 2nd of April.

Rail Position: +1m Entire Course
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 5.73
Josh Fleming Eagle Farm Tips

Eagle Farm, 2nd April 2022

Race 1 Selections: 9,2,4,5
Race 2 Selections: 3,6,1,4
Race 3 Selections: 11,9,8,13
Race 4 Selections: 6,16,14,5
Race 5 Selections: 5,1,2,4
Race 6 Selections: 12,3,11,7
Race 7 Selections: 9,1,3,6
Race 8 Selections: 5,1,2,3
Race 9 Selections: 16,11,8,9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Great Britain-Ireland Preview: April 2 Spot Plays
Alastair Bull

Cheltenham may have come and gone, but there’s still plenty of top-level jumps racing to come in Britain and Ireland, starting this weekend with the Scottish Grand National at Ayr. There is also a bet-back offer on all races at Newbury on Saturday.

Meanwhile, the flat season is just getting started, with a couple of Classic trials in Ireland on Saturday.

Let’s have a look at some spot plays for the weekend in Britain and Ireland (all times U.S. Eastern Daylight Time).
Ayr, Race 3, 9:25 a.m.: Scottish Champion Hurdle (G2), 2 miles

Last year’s first two, #1 Milkwood and #7 Anna Bunina, return but without the same form; Milkwood hasn’t raced since October. The one to beat is probably #2 West Cork, who ran a great race for fifth to State Man in the County Handicap Hurdle (G3) at Cheltenham March 18 and should find this much easier. #3 Onemorefortheroad may be the biggest threat.

$10 win/$30 place: #2 West Cork

Leopardstown, Race 2, 9:35 a.m.: Red Rocks 2,000 Guineas Trial (Listed), 7 furlongs, three-year-old colts and geldings

Not a gathering of high-profile candidates for the 2,000 Guineas, with the leading two contenders, #1 Dr Zempf and #3 Glounthaune, rated around the 33-1 mark in many markets. Dr Zempf has the higher rating after finishing second in the Phoenix S. (G1) in Ireland last year. But he could be suspect at 7 furlongs, whereas Killavullan S. (G3) winner Glounthaune, considered good enough to run in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1) last season (finishing 12th of 13) may have more stamina. Vertem Futurity sixth #5 Mctigue looks the best of the others.

$10 win: #3 Glounthaune
$1 trifecta: 3 with 1, 5 with all

Newbury, Race 4, 9:45 a.m.: NH Mares’ Novices' Hurdle (G2), 2 9/16 miles, novice mares

A highly-competitive handicap hurdle, where a couple of horses that last took on Cheltenham winner Love Envoi (#1 Speech Bubble, #2 Nina The Terrier) face horses still finding their way in handicaps. Perhaps the one to follow is #6 Corey’s Courage, who remains unbeaten over hurdles and hasn’t really been tested yet.

$10 win/$30 place: #6 Corey’s Courage

Ayr, Race 4, 10 a.m.: Future Champion Novices’ Chase (G2), 2 9/16 miles, novices

Just five horses are contesting this race, but all look to have some chance. Perhaps the best at the weights is #3 Do Your Job; beaten by Arkle Chase (G1) winner Edwardstone twice this season, he improved when taken back to handicap company at Newcastle last start. #1 Minella Drama looks the best of the others.

$20 win: #3 Do Your Job

Leopardstown, Race 3, 10:10 a.m.: Priory Belle 1,000 Guineas Trial (G3), 7 furlongs, three-year-old fillies

Unlike the 2,000 Guineas trial, this contains some horses well up in the 1,000 Guineas market. #8 Sacred Bridge is the best-performed, having won four in Ireland, including the Round Tower S. (G3) Aug. 27, prior to failing as favorite in the Cheveley Park S. (G1) in England. But the filly highest up in the British 1,000 Guineas market is the Aidan O’Brien-trained #4 Contarelli Chapel. She looked outstanding on debut but required knee surgery after failing at Naas May 21. This is her first run since, but a win would be required to justify her lofty market position.

$10 win/$30 place: #4 Contarelli Chapel

Ayr, Race 5, 10:35 a.m.: Scottish Grand National (G3), 4 miles

Unsurprisingly, this is an open event. But the one to follow might be #7 Win My Wings, who unlike most of his rivals has had recent experience around the four-mile trip, winning at Newcastle Feb. 26. He should give a good account of himself.

$20 win and place: #7 Win My Wings

Leopardstown, Race 4, 10:45 a.m.: Ballysax Stakes (G3), 1 1/4 miles, three-year-olds

This has been an important stepping stone for staying horses, having been won by Derby winners Galileo, High Chaparral, and Harzand. Whether any of this year’s runners will match them is hard to know, but very few are well-backed in Epsom Derby markets. The best-regarded is #6 Piz Badile, whose only two starts produced a maiden victory and a second in the Eyrefield S. (G3) to tomorrow’s race rival #1 Duke De Sessa, who gives away three pounds here. Perhaps the one to watch may be #5 Manu Et Corde, who found only Derby favorite Luxembourg too good in the Beresford S. (G2) in September last year.

$10 win/$30 place: #5 Manu Et Corde

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Saturday, April 2
By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

NEWBURY

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.00 Surtitle

1.35 Punctuation

2.10 Indy Five

2.45 Holly Hartingo (nap)

3.20 Monsieur Lecoq

3.55 Barton Knoll

4.30 Leave Of Absence

GIMCRACK

1.00 Surtitle

1.35 Surrey Quest

2.10 First Figaro

2.45 Good Look Charm

3.20 Doukarov

3.55 Dorking Lad

4.30 Boom Boom


LINGFIELD

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.55 Scarborough Castle

2.30 Elsals

3.05 Valentinka

3.40 Strong Power

4.15 Marion’s Boy

4.50 Schwartz

5.20 Jeremiah Johnson

5.50 Dark Kris

GIMCRACK

1.55 Miss Sligo

2.30 Elsals (nb)

3.05 Dubai Lady

3.40 Strong Power

4.15 Menai Bridge

4.50 Schwartz

5.20 Jeremiah Johnson

5.50 Dark Kris

Newmarket – 3.05 Dubai Lady (nb); 3.40 Existent (nap).


AYR

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.15 Dubai Days

1.50 Dusart

2.25 Milkwood (nb)

3.00 Do Your Job

3.35 Fantastikas

4.10 Bass Rock

4.45 Floating Rock

5.15 Magic Wave

GIMCRACK

1.15 Some Reign

1.50 Dusart

2.25 Onemorefortheroad

3.00 Minella Drama

3.35 Major Dundee (nap)

4.10 Aurora Thunder

4.45 Getareason

5.15 Idem

Northerner – 1.50 Sounds Russian (nap); 5.15 Magic Wave (nb).


WOLVERHAMPTON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.30 Surrey Territories

6.00 Mashaaer

6.30 Pope Gregory

7.00 Fly To Glory

7.30 Chase The Dollar

8.00 Amazing Amaya

8.30 Man Of Riddles

GIMCRACK

5.30 Captain Kane

6.00 Eshtora

6.30 Cashel

7.00 Fly To Glory

7.30 Chase The Dollar

8.00 Blissful Song

8.30 Second Kingdom


CHEPSTOW

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.08 Hermes Boy

1.42 Huntsmans Jog

2.17 Noble Savage

2.52 Post No Bills

3.27 Ballinsker

4.02 File Illico

4.37 Port Or Starboard

5.07 Ginny’s Destiny

GIMCRACK

1.08 Tarahumara

1.42 Premiumaccess

2.17 Shadow Walker

2.52 Post No Bills

3.27 Discko Des Plages

4.02 Siroco Jo

4.37 Halifax

5.07 I Am Rocco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Jury: Bets and fades for April 2

The TwinSpires Jury, consisting of James Scully, Kellie Reilly, and Vance Hanson, are back with thoughts on this weekend's stakes action, highlighted by a trio of Kentucky Derby (G1) qualifiers at Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Turfway Park.
What is your best bet?

James Scully: Secret Oath and Simplification are top picks in the Arkansas Derby (G1) and Florida Derby (G1), respectively, but the morning-line favorites won't offer much value for straight wagers. #5 Tawny Port, listed at 6-1 in the Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), offers wagering appeal in his second stakes attempt. A nice winner in his first two starts on Turfway's Tapeta, Tawny Port rallied past rivals for fifth when shipping for the Feb. 19 Risen Star (G2) at Fair Grounds, a very respectable performance given the depth of the field — Slow Down Andy won the Sunland Derby (G3) after finishing sixth. That experience should greatly benefit Tawny Port, who looks poised to run well from off the pace Saturday.

Kellie Reilly: I'm hopeful that #4 Crystal Cliffs (9-2) can achieve her much-deserved stakes breakthrough in the Sand Springs S. at Gulfstream Park. The French import has been on my radar since she missed by a head to future Grade 1 winner Harvey's Lil Goil in the 2020 Regret (G3). Crystal Cliffs has raced only twice since, again just denied in last spring's Dahlia S. at Laurel and rallying for third in the Eatontown (G3). Although she's resuming from a nine-month layoff, she has a history of firing fresh for Graham Motion, who wins at a 20% clip off extended breaks. There should be a sensible pace set-up, and pedigree suggests that Crystal Cliffs can handle a rain-affected course.

Vance Hanson: I'm not sure why #6 Shad Nation (6-1) failed to fire as a heavy favorite in her stakes debut last fall in the Chelsey Flower S. at Belmont. But rather than pursue an entry-level allowance somewhere, trainer Christophe Clement evidently has no qualms bringing her back in the Sanibel Island S. at Gulfstream on Saturday. Although an even fifth in the Chelsey Flower, Shad Nation's relative class is perhaps better judged by her debut victory at Belmont on Oct. 9. Who did she beat to the wire? Gun Boat and Spicer, who finished second and third, respectively, both came back to graduate in their next outings. Gun Boat subsequently ran third in the Wait a While S. at Gulfstream, while Spicer was most recently second by a head in the Florida Oaks (G3). Shad Nation figures to have more to give, and at a square price.

Who is the horse to fade?

JS: Last seen finishing third at odds-on in the Golden Rod (G2), #8 Sandstone (5-2) has never raced on turf or synthetics, and she's returning from a 126-day layoff against stakes-proven foes in the Bourbonette Oaks at Turfway Park. Her best performance came when leading wire-to-wire in the Rags to Riches S. last October, but it's difficult to envision a similar trip in Saturday's 12-horse field, and Sandstone is eligible to need a race as the favorite.

KR: #9 Bubble Rock (3-1) has the vibe of an underlay in the Fantasy (G3). After winning the Cincinnati Trophy convincingly on Turfway Park's Tapeta, the next step for the turf/synthetic performer would presumably have been the Bourbonette Oaks. Instead, she pops up for a dirt debut at Oaklawn Park. Bubble Rock is already a Grade 3 winner from last season's Matron (G3) on turf, so it's not just a case of pursuing a graded title. I'm tempted to view this as placement more for the owner — she is a homebred for Arkansan John Ed Anthony's Shortleaf Stable. The Brad Cox trainee could make a seamless transition to dirt, but she's a short price while stepping up into a wide-open Kentucky Oaks (G1) points race.

VH: Neither the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) nor the Sam F. Davis (G3) was very compelling from a depth perspective. Given that, #2 Classic Causeway (7-2) is a fade for me in the Florida Derby. Although visually impressive winning both, it was easy for him to pick off such low-hanging fruit, especially after setting a moderate pace in the Tampa Bay Derby. Re-routed to the Florida Derby after connections originally declared next week's Blue Grass (G1) as his final Kentucky Derby prep, the Gulfstream fixture will determine whether he is truly up to Derby standard. Count me still skeptical.

What else is worth noting?

JS: #4 Martini Blu, listed at 10-1 in Saturday's eighth race at Oaklawn Park, is a longshot of interest. Connections tried the debut maiden winner in the 2021 Smarty Jones S. second time out, but Martini Blu exited a fifth with an injury. He came back from an 11-month layoff with front wraps in early January, finishing fifth, and improved four weeks later after Mac Robertson removed the bandages, finishing third in a deep allowance. Most of these rivals don't like to win — the top four choices on the morning line all look vulnerable — and Martini Blu can take advantage with a strong showing from just off the pace.

KS: I'm intrigued by #11 Tartufo (30-1) in the Kentucky Cup Classic. The lightly-raced five-year-old is tackling some seasoned veterans in this stakes debut, but he's won two straight for Carlo Vaccarezza at Turfway and Gulfstream. Most of all, Tartufo's pedigree telegraphs class on this kind of surface. He's a Creative Cause half-brother to Washington Bridge, a Grade 2 winner on the old Cushion Track at Hollywood. Elsewhere, past Derby trail alumni #4 Weyburn (10-1) (in the Sir Shackleton S. at Gulfstream) and #5 Roadster (5-1) (in the Oaklawn Mile) are launching comebacks on Saturday. Weyburn, the 2021 Gotham (G3) hero who nearly upset Mandaloun in the Pegasus S. at Monmouth, reverts to one turn for new trainer Brendan Walsh. Roadster hasn't scored since the 2019 Santa Anita Derby (G1); indeed, he's been a money-burner, and the Oaklawn Mile is a tough spot to turn things around. Roadster has benefited from another throat surgery, according to trainer Mike Stidham, so perhaps we'll see an improved effort.

VH: Along with many others, I'm intrigued by the filly Secret Oath's presence in the Arkansas Derby. Without her, there was a distinct possibility the race could have had a second dull renewal in succession. Regardless of whether she succeeds or fails, she adds plenty of pre-race luster to it, and she stands a solid chance of winning. Depending on her performance, she could possibly forsake a shot at the Kentucky Oaks to run in the Kentucky Derby itself. We haven't had a filly with a legitimate chance at winning in the Derby in a long time, but if anyone knows how to produce such a candidate it's D. Wayne Lukas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2022 Arkansas Derby Cheatsheet
By TwinSpires Editorial Team, Sponsored Content
April 1, 2022

By Vance Hanson

1. KAVOD (15-1) – All-or-nothing type has a solid foundation with 12 starts behind him, but after weakening in shorter races like the Southwest (G3) and Rebel (G2), his presence in a longer race like this is hard to understand; well-drawn and will attempt to take these as far as he can, but would be surprised to see stamina unseen before suddenly kick in.

2. CHASING TIME (12-1) – Raced within striking range in the Rebel before flattening out in the final quarter-mile; although not a completely discouraging effort, that wasn’t an overly strong edition of the race, so a big step forward needed here; for what it’s worth, Asmussen obviously retains some faith, and worth noting his two latest Arkansas Derby (G1) winners – Creator (11-1) and Super Stock (12-1) – surprised at double-digit prices.

3. BARBER ROAD (8-1) – Hard knocker has fallen a tad short in the three earlier local Derby preps; on the plus side, he’s more than likely to give an honest effort again in this spot; on the downside, losses to Dash Attack and Newgrange (both of whom are mostly off the Derby radar) and the unheralded Un Ojo suggests his ceiling presently isn’t as high as a couple others in the field; gut feeling is that minor share again the best-case scenario.

4. DOPPELGANGER (3-1) – Former Baffert charge now representing new barn in order to qualify for the Kentucky Derby (G1); simply outrun by the brilliant Forbidden Kingdom in the San Vicente (G2) and San Felipe (G2), the latter of which lacked much in the way of depth; seemingly fits better in this spot, it appears additional ground won’t hurt his chances, and blinkers off perhaps a good move given he wasn’t showing much speed anyway wearing them; logical threat.

5. UN OJO (6-1) – Has outrun expectations in his last three starts, including pulling off a 75-1 shocker in the Rebel; the main knock is that race came up much softer this season than it has in the recent past, and speed figures suggest he needs to improve another several more lengths to pull off a milder upset this go around; obviously won’t be the generous price he has been lately, but sure to outstay quite a few.

6. SECRET OATH (5-2) – Although a filly facing the boys here, no question she fits from a speed figure perspective; has looked awesome all winter, and stepping outside her division for a crack at this isn’t going to affect her Kentucky Oaks (G1) status one iota; barn knows what it takes for a filly to transcend her division at this time of year, having done it with Winning Colors, Serena’s Song, and Althea, the latter the 1984 Arkansas Derby heroine; looks a solid win prospect on paper despite prior inexperience in open company.

7. BEN DIESEL (15-1) – No apparent excuse for the dud in the Rebel following an improved effort in the Southwest; interim works suggest he might be coming into this race in better spirits, but fact remains he’s gone unplaced in three of four Derby qualifiers despite receiving generally good support; has given the impression thus far at being a cut or two below what is needed to win a race of this caliber.

8. CYBERKNIFE (8-1) – Took a big step forward last time in figuring out the mental aspect of the game, which had hindered him in several prior races; looked much more professional dominating allowance foes on the Risen Star Day undercard, thus earning a second shot in stakes company following a disappointing try in the Lecomte (G3); arguably less exposed than some who have been through the local prep mill all winter; a win threat with mild improvement, but backers should expect an off-price far less than the ML here.

9. WE THE PEOPLE (7-2) – After two convincing victories to start his career, including in a two-turn allowance, he takes a deserved step up in class here; certainly has the pedigree to succeed at the highest level — sire needs no introduction, and he descends from Grade 1-winning sprinter Harmony Lodge, a half-sister to Arkansas Derby winner Graeme Hall; relative inexperience is the main drawback; he debuted less than two months ago, and now faces much more seasoned rivals; that makes him somewhat unappetizing at the expected price, but the potential is certainly there for him to make an impact here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Racetrack Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-1-5
Race 2: 6-5-3-4
Race 3: 5-1-6-4
Race 4: 4-2-5-6
Race 5: 5-6-3-7
Race 6: 1-4-5-2
Race 7: 3-6-1-5
Race 8: 3-5-2-1
Race 9: 2-4-9-7
**Most Likely: I'm Fine #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Irresistible Girl #5 (Race 5)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Charles Town Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-3-1
Race 2: 3-2-1-5
Race 3: 5-3-7-6
Race 4: 7-5-4-1
Race 5: 4-5-2-6
Race 6: 6-7-4-1
Race 7: 3-7-1-4
Race 8: 5-2-8-9
**Most Likely Winner: Sonde St Blues #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Quiet Justice #5 (Race 8)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fonner Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 5-2-1-3
Race 2: 3-1-6-7
Race 3: 7-6-5-2
Race 4: 4-1-6-7
Race 5: 8-6-1-3
Race 6: 4-3-2-6
Race 7: 5-9-2-1
Race 8: 8-1-4-2
Race 9: 10-4-2-5
Race 10: 3-8-5-9
**Most Likely Winner: Dazzl'n Mischief #7 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Just Splendid #3 (Race 2)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 6-9-1-7
Race 2: 5-3-4-8
Race 3: 2-3-6-7
Race 4: 9-4-5-2
Race 5: 5-8-2-3
Race 6: 4-7-2-5
Race 7: 5-3-1-4
Race 8: 8-2-11-4
Race 9: 4-3-5-6
Race 10: 2-9-1-6
Race 11: 8-6-2-1
Race 12: 5-7-4-2
Race 13: 9-1-2-7
Race 14: 7-2-3-6
**Most Likely: White Abarrio #7 (Race 14)**
**Best Value: Tide Of The Sea #4 (Race 9)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Laurel Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 1-6-4-5
Race 2: 8-9-4-1
Race 3: 1-2-5-3
Race 4: 1-5-2-4
Race 5: 1-9-5-10
Race 6: 3-1-7-6
Race 7: 7-3-4-2
Race 8: 1-6-3-2
Race 9: 2-1-5-6
**Most Likely Winner: Whenigettoheaven #8 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Cabra Chica #3 (Race 6)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mahoning Valley Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 5-4-1-2
Race 2: 4-1-5-2
Race 3: 3-6-4-1
Race 4: 4-2-7-6
Race 5: 1-2-6-4
Race 6: 8-4-9-1
Race 7: 3-4-5-6
Race 8: 1-6-3-4
Race 9: 4-3-7-1
**Most Likely Winner: Gran Chemin #4 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Reys Pina Colada #8 (Race 6)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 6-3-7-4
Race 2: 5-2-4-7
Race 3: 8-6-4-5
Race 4: 6-2-8-4
Race 5: 2-4-5-1
Race 6: 7-4-1-8
Race 7: 6-4-5-8
Race 8: 9-5-10-1
Race 9: 6-4-9-8
Race 10: 9-7-6-5
Race 11: 5-6-8-1
Race 12: 6-3-1-9
Race 13: 12-6-8-9
**Most Likely: Secret Oath #6 (Race 12)**
**Best Value: Silver Prospector #6 (Race 9)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Houston Race Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 2-7-3-6
Race 2: 3-5-7-4
Race 3: 6-4-3-5
Race 4: 3-8-12-4
Race 5: 3-8-1-2
Race 6: 7-1-12-5
Race 7: 7-6-5-1
Race 8: 4-2-8-1
Race 9: 8-1-6-10
**Most Likely: Intimidation #6 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Rumpus #3 (Race 4)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-4-8
Race 2: 4-5-2-1
Race 3: 5-4-1-3
Race 4: 6-3-1-4
Race 5: 1-12-11-2
Race 6: 1-4-2-5
Race 7: 9-3-2-6
Race 8: 7-1-3-2
Race 9: 9-3-10-7
**Most Likely Winner: Sumter (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Migration (Race 1)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-6-5
Race 2: 5-2-1-4
Race 3: 9-10-1-8
Race 4: 6-5-1-2
Race 5: 1-5-6-3
Race 6: 2-8-10-5
Race 7: 4-5-7-1
Race 8: 1-2-3-4
Race 9: 6-3-1-2
Race 10: 6-5-3-2
**Most Likely Winner: Only Girl (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Candy Crushem (Race 5)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Turfway Park Picks - Saturday, April 2, 2022

Race 1: 6-9-12-1
Race 2: 6-8-11-3
Race 3: 4-9-2-12
Race 4: 11-1-5-8
Race 5: 2-1-7-6
Race 6: 11-2-3-9
Race 7: 6-1-7-4
Race 8: 12-1-6-9
Race 9: 4-2-7-1
Race 10: 1-12-2-5
Race 11: 10-8-7-2
Race 12: 11-2-8-1
**Most Likely: North Country #10 (Race 11)**
**Best Value: Invader #1 (Race 10)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - April 2SANTA ANITA TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 02, 2022





Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.







RACE #1 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

6-1

6

Migration

M E Smith



PLACE

7-2

2

Beef Winslow

J J Hernandez



SHOW

4-1

4

Flintmore

V Espinoza



WILD CARD

5-1

8

Birth of Cool

M Gutierrez







ALTERNATE 1

15-1

3

Nineeleventurbo

R Curatolo



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

9

Tuskegee Cat

A Cedillo













* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX















RACE #2 $14,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-5

2

Unbroken Star

T Baze



PLACE

5-2

5

Mongolian Legend

D A Herrera



SHOW

2-1

4

Claim of Passion

A Cedillo



WILD CARD

5-1

3

Tembo

K Frey







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

1

Lookin for Revenge

J J Hernandez













* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX















RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:03 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 SINGLETARY STAKES















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

6-5

5

Sumter

M E Smith



PLACE

4-1

2

Handy Dandy

R Curatolo



SHOW

9-5

4

Balnikhov

J J Hernandez



WILD CARD

6-1

3

Durante

D A Herrera







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

1

Almanera

A Cedillo













* EXACTA: 2,4,5 Box



* TRIFECTA: 2,4,5 Box





COMMENTS: SUMTER is a nose away from three wins in a row. HANDY DANDY has two wins a second and third in four at the distance track and surface. BALNIKHOV won some big races in France. Now he will try the US for the first time. DURANTE or ALMANERA take your pick.














RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:36 PM ET




BEST BET: #3 BELLA RENELLA















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

8-5

3

Bella Renella

T Baze



PLACE

5-2

6

Circulodeganadoras

D A Herrera



SHOW

4-1

7

Discernment

E Payeras



WILD CARD

5-1

4

Time for Ebby

R Ramirez







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

1

Hot On the Trail

R Curatolo



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

5

Truly Fabulous

J Pyfer













* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX















RACE #5 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:10 PM ET




BEST BET: #2 AIR FORCE RED















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

12-1

2

Air Force Red

D A Herrera



PLACE

9-5

1

Gold Phoenix

K Frey



SHOW

6-1

12

Nerves of Steel

M E Smith



WILD CARD

6-1

4

Carmelitas Man

J J Hernandez







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

7

Wilder Than Most

T Baze



ALTERNATE 2

5-1

10

One Fast Bro

R Curatolo













* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/2/12 BOX, 1/4/12 BOX















RACE #6 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:50 PM ET




BEST BET: #1 SHAAZ















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

8-5

1

Shaaz

M E Smith



PLACE

5-2

4

Dark Vader

T Baze



SHOW

5-2

5

Soy Tapatio

D A Herrera



WILD CARD

8-1

3

Wicked Trick

R Curatolo







ALTERNATE 1

10-1

6

Charlito

J Pyfer



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

2

Vittorio

J J Hernandez













* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX















RACE #7 $69,000 ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-2

9

Hail Freedom

M E Smith



PLACE

6-1

4

Rocky Gibraltar

J J Hernandez



SHOW

5-1

8

Big Flame

R Curatolo



WILD CARD

6-1

3

Really Big News

T Baze







ALTERNATE 1

4-1

6

Caerulean

M Gutierrez



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

7

Divine Rascal

R Gonzalez













* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX















RACE #8 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:00 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-2

7

Lady T

V Espinoza



PLACE

3-1

1

Karin With an I

J J Hernandez



SHOW

8-1

4

Secret Fix

R Curatolo



WILD CARD

12-1

5

American Heights

T Baze







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

3

M Is for Magic

A Cedillo



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

8

One Silk Stocking

K Frey













* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX















RACE #9 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:32 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

4-1

9

Equilove

V Espinoza



PLACE

5-1

1

Taming the Tigress

R Curatolo



SHOW

8-1

2

Red Diamond

J Valdivia Jr.



WILD CARD

7-2

3

Woodbine Way

A Cedillo







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

10

Kalon

J J Hernandez



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

8

Nu Pi Lambda

T Baze













* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/2/9 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - April 2TURFWAY PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 02, 2022





Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 61% of the time at this track.







RACE #1 $62,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET




BEST BET: #12 BOURBON TALKING















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

4-1

12

Bourbon Talking

G Lagunes



PLACE

5-1

5

Fast Felix

E Esquivel



SHOW

5-1

9

Treasure Hunting

J Graham



WILD CARD

7-2

6

Blue Devil

E A Maldonado







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

1

Division Street

J Rocco Jr.



ALTERNATE 2

8-1

2

My Buddy B

J Talamo













* EXACTA: 12-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 5/9/12 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX















RACE #2 $62,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:13 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

7-2

3

My Lily Mae

A Beckman



PLACE

6-1

6

Byzantine

A Beschizza



SHOW

6-1

12

Lady Love Me

J McKee



WILD CARD

5-2

11

Idiomatic

M Franco







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

8

Paris Kentucky

V Cheminaud



ALTERNATE 2

20-1

4

Beach Kitten

J Riquelme













* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 3/6/12 BOX, 6/11/12 BOX















RACE #3 $64,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-1

9

Golden Voice

G Corrales



PLACE

4-1

4

Splitsecondsonny

M Franco



SHOW

6-1

12

Tiltingatwindmills

S Leon



WILD CARD

7-2

2

Polka Polenta

E Esquivel







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

13

Jazzy Lady

R Bejarano



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

7

Thefabulous Moolah

K Kimura













* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX, 12-2 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/9/12 BOX, 2/4/12 BOX















RACE #4 $62,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET




BEST BET: #11 LESLIE CHOW















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-1

11

Leslie Chow

G Corrales



PLACE

7-2

8

Lucky Devil

M Franklin



SHOW

4-1

5

Arronautic

M Franco



WILD CARD

12-1

4

Jrs Gift

T Canuto







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

1

Presumptive Closer

J Talamo



ALTERNATE 2

15-1

12

Succeed

J McKee













* EXACTA: 11-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 5/8/11 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX















RACE #5 $62,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:43 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-2

6

Fracing Nasty

S Leon



PLACE

7-2

10

Next Tuesday

S Gonzalez



SHOW

12-1

8

Jumakan Bourbon

K Kimura



WILD CARD

9-2

5

Nile River Queen

E Esquivel







ALTERNATE 1

7-2

14

Traverse

D Cannon



ALTERNATE 2

8-1

1

First Sip

B J Hernandez Jr.













* EXACTA: 6-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 6/8/10 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX















RACE #6 $64,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:13 PM ET




BEST BET: #11 ENID















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

11

Enid

G Corrales



PLACE

30-1

10

Gun Rush

J Padron-Barcenas



SHOW

4-1

2

Greener Pastures

K Kimura



WILD CARD

12-1

5

Polar Wind

J D Ramos







ALTERNATE 1

10-1

9

Bugle Barry

F Peterson



ALTERNATE 2

3-1

3

Cryo

R Bejarano













* EXACTA: 11-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2/10/11 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX















RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 LATONIA STAKES















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

4

Breeze Rider

E T Baird



PLACE

3-1

7

Skygaze

C Landeros



SHOW

5-2

1

Crazy Beautiful

B J Hernandez Jr.



WILD CARD

20-1

3

Barista

R Bejarano







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

2

Alydiva

K Kimura



ALTERNATE 2

15-1

5

Wait for Nairobi

E Morales













* EXACTA: 1,3,4,7 Box



* TRIFECTA: 1,4,7/1,3,4,7/1,2,3,4,7





COMMENTS: BREEZE RIDER won six of her last eight races. SKYGAZE is undefeated in two at Turfway Park. CRAZY BEAUTIFUL should be better in her second stat off the bench. BARISTA has been working well for this spot.














RACE #8 $200,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:13 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 RUSHAWAY STAKES















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-1

12

Erase

J Talamo



PLACE

7-2

1

Grael

A Beschizza



SHOW

20-1

6

Slim Slow Slider

S Gonzalez



WILD CARD

6-1

4

Win for the Money

K Kimura







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

14

Tyson

C Landeros



ALTERNATE 2

15-1

2

Droppin Gs

M Franklin













* EXACTA: 1,4,6,12 Box



* TRIFECTA: 1,6,12/1,4,6,12/1,4,6,12,14





COMMENTS: ERASE tied for the top last race speed figure with better fractions despite adding distance. GRAEL is the other to tie for the highest speed figure and likely gets better in his second start after a layoff. SLIM SLOW SLIDER won his last with substantial late pace improvement. WIN FOR THE MONEY ran two seconds faster in his last race.














RACE #9 $200,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:43 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 ANIMAL KINGDOM STAKES















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-1

1

Nobals

G Corrales



PLACE

3-1

7

Rotknee

M Franco



SHOW

15-1

8

Stonevicious

C J Hernandez



WILD CARD

2-1

4

Hoist the Gold

B J Hernandez Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

5-2

2

Higher Standard

J Graham



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

5

Determined Kingdom

V R Carrasco













* EXACTA: 1,4,7,8 Box



* TRIFECTA: 1,7,8/1,4,7,8/1,2,4,7,8





COMMENTS: NOBALS has three wins and a second in four on synthetic surfaces. ROTKNEE won his last three and they were not close. STONEVICIOUS is just a half length from winning both of his races at Turfway. HOIST THE GOLD ran the highest last race speed figure and could be better in his third start after a break.














RACE #10 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:13 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 KENTUCKY CUP CLASSIC STAKES















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

2

Visitant

D L Parker



PLACE

7-2

12

Beatbox

R Bejarano



SHOW

7-2

10

Cross Border

G Corrales



WILD CARD

8-1

1

Invader

J Graham







ALTERNATE 1

30-1

11

Tartufo

E A Maldonado



ALTERNATE 2

30-1

4

Tiberius Mercurius

C Landeros













* EXACTA: 1,2,10,12 Box



* TRIFECTA: 2,10,12/1,2,10,12/1,2,10,11,12





COMMENTS: VISITANT has six wins and a third in seven at Turfway. BEATBOX is undefeated in three at Turfway and each was a little better than the last. CROSS BORDER is dropping in class and should be rolling late. INVADER is another horse for the course with three wins in four at Turfway and no wins in six starts elsewhere.














RACE #11 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:43 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 BOURBONETTE OAKS















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

12-1

2

Lets Be Clear

M Franco



PLACE

5-2

8

Sandstone

B J Hernandez Jr.



SHOW

6-1

3

Tap Dancing Lady

A Jimenez



WILD CARD

20-1

5

Schlofmitz

G Corrales







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

11

Catiche

K Kimura



ALTERNATE 2

5-1

10

North County

A Beschizza













* EXACTA: 2,3,5,8 Box



* TRIFECTA: 2,3,8/2,3,5,8/2,3,5,8,11





COMMENTS: LETS BE CLEAR has solid improvement across the board in her last race. SANDSTONE tied for the highest last race speed figure and drops in class. TAP DANCING LADY has some of the best late kick and could move forward in her third start off the bench. SCHLOFMITZ won her last two and her last was one three seconds faster at the 6 furlong mark.














RACE #12 $600,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:23 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600,000 JEFF RUBY STEAKS STAKES GRADE III















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

7

Tiz the Bomb

B J Hernandez Jr.



PLACE

6-1

5

Tawny Port

M Franco



SHOW

7-2

2

Stolen Base

G Corrales



WILD CARD

8-1

9

Dowagiac Chief

J Graham







ALTERNATE 1

15-1

13

Swing Shift

G Corrales



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

1

Royal Spirit

C Landeros













* EXACTA: 2,5,7,9 Box



* TRIFECTA: 2,5,7/2,5,7,9/2,5,7,9,13





COMMENTS: TIZ THE BOMB tied for the top last race speed figure in his first at Turfway. TWANY PORT is undefeated in two at Turfway. STOLEN BASE is making his third start after a layoff and will be charging at the end. DOWAGIAC CHIEF is an all or nothing horse with three wins in eight races and nothing else.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - April 2

TAMPA BAY TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 02, 2022



Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.





RACE #1 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:08 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 THATS ALL SHEWROTE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
Thats All Shewrote
A Santos


PLACE
5-2
6
Sena the Duchess
W A Garcia


SHOW
5-1
5
Bunny Princess
L Sosa


WILD CARD
7-2
2
Looking for Love
A Valdes





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Goldliner
J Bisono


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Luna Amarilla
M R Scaldaferri








* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX










RACE #2 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
5
Only Girl
P Morales


PLACE
5-2
2
Suwannee Chick
S Spanabel


SHOW
10-1
1
Tindari
J A Batista


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Js Star Jet
S Camacho





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
3
Tipharah
M Rowland


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
It Is What It Is
F De La Cruz








* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX










RACE #3 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:06 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
10
Ludo
E Chaves


PLACE
7-2
5
Great Junior
O Hernandez


SHOW
9-2
9
Bennys Fiddle
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Hessosubtle
W A Garcia





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
12
Machinegunpreacher
P Morales


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Lying Jeff
D Chavez








* EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/9/10 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX










RACE #4 $8,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Csilla
J C Ferrer


PLACE
7-2
2
Js Silky
S Camacho


SHOW
3-1
5
D Dawg
P Morales


WILD CARD
4-1
6
Catirusia
F De La Cruz





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
Henni Penny
J A Batista


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Royal Athena
V Bush








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX










RACE #5 $16,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:06 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 NATIVE HAWK









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Native Hawk
J A Batista


PLACE
5-2
6
Creekmore
F De La Cruz


SHOW
4-1
3
Codetowin
P Morales


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Candy Crushem
S Camacho





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Fortunate Friends
R Feliciano


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
4
Berhanu
M Rowland








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX










RACE #6 $30,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
2
Katies a Lady
A Santos


PLACE
8-1
9
Water Witch
S Camacho


SHOW
4-1
8
Music Amore
P Morales


WILD CARD
3-1
10
Latin Nikkita
A Quinonez





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
12
Mirth n Merriment
J C Ferrer


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Ready to Film
D Centeno








* EXACTA: 2-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/8/9 BOX, 8/9/10 BOX










RACE #7 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:06 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
County Court
W A Garcia


PLACE
9-2
7
Mighty Ghost
A Quinonez


SHOW
2-1
5
Soberano
A Santos


WILD CARD
5-1
1
Internet of Things
J L Castanon





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Fade Away
M Rowland


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
8
Bodie Cody
J E Lopez








* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX










RACE #8 $20,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Valiant Virtue
M Rowland


PLACE
9-2
3
Ride Em
A Santos


SHOW
12-1
6
Onlyamatteroftime
S Camacho


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Blame Bishop
M Arroyo





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
2
Examiner
J A Batista


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Candy Cove
A Quinonez








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX










RACE #9 $31,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:09 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 ASTRONAUT OSCAR









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
4
Astronaut Oscar
A Quinonez


PLACE
2-1
3
Willy Boi
C Sutherland


SHOW
7-2
8
Dougie D Oro
R Feliciano


WILD CARD
12-1
5
Gran Runner
S Camacho





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
Brewmeister
P Morales


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
7
Hes Smokin Now
R Alvarado Jr.








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX










RACE #10 $8,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:39 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Starship Oreo
M Rowland


PLACE
3-1
1
Give Me Two Steps
J A Batista


SHOW
6-1
2
Stayin Or Strayin
S Camacho


WILD CARD
6-1
3
Herecomesthehammer
A Santos





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
8
Nip of Bourbon
E Chaves


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
5
Icy Storm
J L Alonso








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - April 2OAKLAWN PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 02, 2022





Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.







RACE #1 $107,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET




BEST BET: #4 SANTOS DUMONT















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

4-1

4

Santos Dumont

F Arrieta



PLACE

5-2

6

Shortlist

F Geroux



SHOW

9-2

7

Manhattan Up

D Cohen



WILD CARD

2-1

3

Starrininmydreams

J R Velazquez







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

1

Salow

R Santana Jr.



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

5

Sermononthemount

J Graham













* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX















RACE #2 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:42 PM ET




BEST BET: #4 MEAN JAKEY















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

4

Mean Jakey

J Lezcano



PLACE

6-1

2

Overtaxed

D Cabrera



SHOW

7-2

7

Speed Bias

F Geroux



WILD CARD

9-2

5

Ludwig

M Garcia







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

8

Spankster

J K Court



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

3

Kunshan Bridge

T J Pereira













* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX















RACE #3 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:14 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-2

6

Life Is Hard

T J Pereira



PLACE

9-2

5

Hidden Promise

D Cabrera



SHOW

3-1

8

Alejandro

J Lezcano



WILD CARD

6-1

1

Caerus

R Santana Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

4

Space Odessey

R A Vazquez



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

7

Restoring Hope

M Garcia













* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX















RACE #4 $108,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:46 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

6-1

8

Twilight Blue

F Arrieta



PLACE

5-2

2

Gun It

F Prat



SHOW

9-2

3

Background

G Franco



WILD CARD

7-2

5

Title Ready

J R Velazquez







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

6

Wells Bayou

F Geroux



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

4

Fact Finding

D Cohen













* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX















RACE #5 $200,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:19 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 CAROUSEL STAKES















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

8-5

2

Franks Rockette

F Prat



PLACE

5-1

4

Acting Out

M Garcia



SHOW

3-1

5

Lil Tootsie

J Graham



WILD CARD

2-1

6

Joys Rocket

J Lezcano







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

3

Novel Squall

D Cabrera



ALTERNATE 2

8-1

1

Wildwoods Beauty

F Arrieta













* EXACTA: 2,4,5,6 Box



* TRIFECTA: 2,4,5/2,4,5,6/2,3,4,5,6





COMMENTS: FRANKS ROCKETTE should be able to handle this group but has fallen just a little bit short in her last three races following a layoff. ACTING OUT won her last and should be better in her second off the bench. LIL TOOTSIE could improve in her second start off the bench and popped a strong her best late pace number in her last. JOYS ROCKET typically takes a major step forward in her second start off after off the sidelines and her last was good enough.














RACE #6 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:52 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

7-2

4

Plausible Denile

J R Velazquez



PLACE

5-2

1

Quick to Blame

F Geroux



SHOW

4-1

7

Western River

R Santana Jr.



WILD CARD

8-1

6

Riders Special

D Cabrera







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

3

Blame Eli

T J Pereira



ALTERNATE 2

5-1

5

King Ottoman

J Lezcano













* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX















RACE #7 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:25 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

7-2

8

Well Spent

D Cohen



PLACE

5-2

1

Pharoahs Heart

J Lezcano



SHOW

6-1

4

Mun Luv

R A Vazquez



WILD CARD

6-1

6

Sweet Tea

G Saez







ALTERNATE 1

9-2

5

Sianara

R Santana Jr.



ALTERNATE 2

8-1

9

Im the Boss of Me

F Arrieta













* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX















RACE #8 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-2

7

Wobberjod

D Cabrera



PLACE

4-1

5

Drenas Star

D Cohen



SHOW

8-1

10

Incorruptible

R Gutierrez



WILD CARD

3-1

8

Breaking News

F Arrieta







ALTERNATE 1

7-2

9

A C Expressway

F Geroux



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

3

Tango Charlie

J K Court













* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX















RACE #9 $400,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:40 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400,000 OAKLAWN MILE STAKES GRADE III















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

4-1

8

Fulsome

F Geroux



PLACE

5-2

4

Cezanne

F Prat



SHOW

8-1

1

Runnin Ray

M Garcia



WILD CARD

6-1

9

Necker Island

M Murrill







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

3

Market Analysis

L Contreras



ALTERNATE 2

8-1

6

Silver Prospector

J Lezcano













* EXACTA: 1,4,8,9 Box



* TRIFECTA: 1,4,8/1,4,8,9/1,3,4,8,9





COMMENTS: FULSOME won his only race at Oaklawn with ease and has three wins in five races on a fast track. CEZANNE should be near his best in the third start after a layoff and has a bullet work in his last. RUNNIN RAY ran much better fractions and internal numbers for the first half mile of his last effort. NECKER ISLANDs jockey and trainer combo have won 13 of 28 together.














RACE #10 $600,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:16 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600,000 FANTASY STAKES GRADE III















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

5

Eda

J R Velazquez



PLACE

12-1

8

Heartyconstitution

M Garcia



SHOW

10-1

6

Mariahs Fortune

F Prat



WILD CARD

4-1

7

Yuugiri

F Geroux







ALTERNATE 1

3-1

9

Bubble Rock

R Santana Jr.



ALTERNATE 2

15-1

2

Beguine

F Arrieta













* EXACTA: 5,6,7,8 Box



* TRIFECTA: 5,6,8/5,6,7,8/5,6,7,8,9





COMMENTS: EDA in a nose and a head from winning six of seven races. HEARTYCONSTITUTION is going to try a route for the first time. Her late pace numbers suggest she will handle it just fine. MARIAHS FORTUNE has a win and a second at the distance. YUUGIRI should improve in her second start after a layoff.














RACE #11 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:56 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

7-2

5

Gar Hole

R Santana Jr.



PLACE

7-2

8

Macron

J Lezcano



SHOW

8-1

11

Supremacy

F Geroux



WILD CARD

3-1

1

Storm the Court

F Prat







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

9

Edge to Edge

F Arrieta



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

10

One Fast Cat

L Contreras













* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 5/8/11 BOX, 1/8/11 BOX















RACE #12 $1,250,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:35 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1.25 M ARKANSAS DERBY GRADE I















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

7-2

9

We the People

F Prat



PLACE

8-1

3

Barber Road

R Gutierrez



SHOW

5-2

6

Secret Oath

L Contreras



WILD CARD

15-1

1

Kavod

M Murrill







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

2

Chasing Time

J Lezcano



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

5

Un Ojo

R A Vazquez













* EXACTA: 1,3,6,9 Box



* TRIFECTA: 3,6,9/1,3,6,9/1,2,3,6,9





COMMENTS: WE THE PEOPLE will be forwardly placed against a lot of patient horses and might not have to go that fast. SECRET OATH likes to run midpack like almost every other in here. Traffic and pace are concerning. BARBER ROAD has won on the lead in the past but can also get it done from behind. KAVOD could be lone speed and get away with easy fractions and be hard to catch.














RACE #13 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:10 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

4-1

9

Mahomey

J R Velazquez



PLACE

6-1

4

Ima Bling Cat

R Gutierrez



SHOW

5-1

3

Chicken Hawk

J Lezcano



WILD CARD

3-1

7

Bellamys Roan

G Franco







ALTERNATE 1

7-2

14

Mrs. Beans

D Cabrera



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

11

Macho Rocco

M Garcia













* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - April 2AQUEDUCT TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 02, 2022





Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.







RACE #1 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

1-1

2

Montauk Point

D Davis



PLACE

6-1

1

Nobodyridesforfree

T McCarthy



SHOW

7-2

3

Strapped

E Cancel



WILD CARD

8-1

4

Burgee

J A Vargas Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

5-2

5

Principe dOro

K Carmouche













* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX















RACE #2 $16,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:52 PM ET




BEST BET: #1 TOTAL EFFORT















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-2

1

Total Effort

J A Gomez



PLACE

7-5

6

Jerusalem Gates

T McCarthy



SHOW

8-1

4

Ocean Deep

O Hernandez Moreno



WILD CARD

7-2

5

Mr. Fidget

D Davis







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

3

Mister Winston

L A Rodriguez Castro



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

2

Coach Bahe

J A Davis













* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX















RACE #3 $72,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:22 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-1

6

Girl of Tosconova

J A Vargas Jr.



PLACE

4-1

4

Mia Bea Star

S Camacho Jr.



SHOW

3-1

1

Raffinity

D Davis



WILD CARD

2-1

5

Im Fine

E Cancel







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

2

Freddymo Factor

J A Gomez



ALTERNATE 2

8-1

3

Voice of Spring

T McCarthy













* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX















RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

8-5

4

True Empress

E Cancel



PLACE

9-2

5

Cousin Kristi

T McCarthy



SHOW

2-1

6

Liberty Flame

R E Mena



WILD CARD

10-1

3

Steppin Hawk

L A Rodriguez Castro







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

1

Impazible Dream

J A Davis



ALTERNATE 2

5-1

2

Mo Nighean Donn

L Cardenas













* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX















RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:28 PM ET




BEST BET: #6 SABREEN















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-5

6

Sabreen

T McCarthy



PLACE

9-2

5

Irresistible Girl

D Davis



SHOW

8-1

3

Appreciate

J A Gomez



WILD CARD

3-1

7

Bella Domenica

L Cardenas







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

1

Stormi Cat Lady

H K Harkie



ALTERNATE 2

20-1

4

Midmon

J A Davis













* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX















RACE #6 $84,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:03 PM ET




BEST BET: #4 SOUND MONEY















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

4

Sound Money

K Carmouche



PLACE

7-2

6

Lil Commissioner

D Davis



SHOW

5-1

2

Little Menace

E Cancel



WILD CARD

5-2

3

Captain Bombastic

T McCarthy







ALTERNATE 1

9-2

1

Secret Rules

J A Gomez



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

5

Sibelius

R E Mena













* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX















RACE #7 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-1

5

Dream Bigger

T McCarthy



PLACE

7-2

1

Deputy Flag

J A Gomez



SHOW

5-1

6

Summer Bourbon

D Davis



WILD CARD

4-1

4

Tale of Mist

J A Vargas Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

3

High Command

J A Davis



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

8

Banyan Breeze

S Camacho Jr.













* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX















RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:13 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 EXCELSIOR STAKES















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

1-1

3

First Constitution

K Carmouche



PLACE

7-5

2

Untreated

T McCarthy



SHOW

5-1

5

Forewarned

D Haddock



WILD CARD

10-1

4

Son of an Ex

S Camacho Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

1

Splicethemainbrace

A Adorno













* EXACTA: 2,3,5 Box



* TRIFECTA: 2,3,5 Box





COMMENTS: FIRST CONSTITUTION ran the highest last race speed figure and has some really good works since. UNTREATED is two for two at Aqueduct. FOREWARNED showed across the board improvement in his last. SON OF AN EX or SPLICETHEMAINBRACE take your pick.














RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-2

7

Rias Angel

T McCarthy



PLACE

6-1

1

On the Hill

H K Harkie



SHOW

10-1

5

Hesgottashortfuse

J A Vargas Jr.



WILD CARD

2-1

9

Mischief Mogul

K Carmouche







ALTERNATE 1

5-1

2

Vincent

J A Gomez



ALTERNATE 2

8-1

4

Kingstown

D Davis













* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Derby Prep Hotlists - April 2 April 1, 2022

Keeneland Select Derby Prep Hotlists
Saturday, April 2, 2022
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

The $1,250,000 Arkansas Derby (G1) – Oaklawn Park - Race 12

The Arkansas Derby (G1) drew a field of nine including the filly Secret Oath who will take on the boys for the first time. The field will vie for a purse of $1.25 million and a share of the Derby qualifying points of 100-40-20-10 to the top four finishers.
(6) Secret Oath has found the right field to tackle the Kentucky Derby trail as a filly. It is a field that has only a few stakes wins between them. Trainer D. Wayne Lukas is a Hall of Famer for many reasons with one of them being the victory of the filly Winning Colors in the Derby. Secret Oath is in fine form right now using an impressive turn of foot to win a pair of stakes races at Oaklawn by open lengths. (9) We the People is unbeaten in two starts for Brad Cox and is the up and coming 3-year-old in this field where most of the others have had plenty of chances on the Derby trail already. His speed figures are better than most. (4) Doppelganger is now eligible for Derby points since being moved from Bob Baffert to his former assistant trainer Tim Yakteen. The blinkers come off following his second-place finish behind Forbidden Kingdom in the San Felipe (G2). (3) Barber Road ran in all three of Oaklawn’s Derby trail points races and has a pair of seconds and a third. Most recently he used a late rally to finish a half-length behind the winner in the Rebel (G2). Betting strategy: Win: 6. Exacta box: 3, 4, 6, 9. Trifecta box: 3, 4, 6, 9.

The $1 million Curlin Florida Derby Presented by Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms at Xalapa (G1), Gulfstream Park, Race 14
14th race – (2) Classic Causeway has emerged as a major Kentucky Derby contender. With his keen early speed and an inside post he may not look back here on a speed-favoring track. (3) Simplification looked good winning the Florida Derby by more than three lengths and should be the main rival in a well-matched field. (7) White Abarrio has enough early speed to challenge the top pick and will be dangerous here on his best try. (9) O Captain drew a bad post but has some late kick and should be passing horses in the stretch. With Joel Rosario aboard, he could figure in the exotics at this distance. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta and trifecta box: 2-3-7-9.
The $600,000 Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), Turfway Park, Race 12
12th race – (7) Tiz the Bomb does his best running on turf and synthetics and already owns a stakes win over the course. Seems well-spotted to make it two in a row here. (12) Blackadder makes his first start away from Bob Baffert and should be formidable despite the outside post. Like the top pick he was a stakes winner on synthetics in his last start. (1) Royal Spirit has yet to race on synthetics but has speed and has raced well enough on turf to be a factor from the rail. (2) Stolen Base was a neck behind the top pick last time and figures to be a main threat once again in this field. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta and trifecta box: 1-2-7-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Hotlist - April 2 April 1, 2022

Today’s Gulfstream Park Hot List races to watch
Saturday, April 2, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3rd race – (6) Beautiful Lover vied for the lead last time and tired in the stretch. A return to her usual running style should produce a winning effort. (2) Harajuku gets some added ground here and should relish it. (7) Family Way was a game second last time, beating the top two picks, and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7.
6th race – (4) Fearless finally gets away from Speaker’s Corner and should prove best in this field. (6) Greatest Honour should benefit from his first race in a year and turn in a better effort here. (2) Laughing Boy has a nice turn of early speed and could hang around to the very end. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6.
9th race – (5) Abaan (B) got away to an awful start last time which took away his trademark early speed. Can handle these with a clean trip. (3) Gufo is a multiple Grade 1 winner making his 2022 debut and merits plenty of attention. (6) Temple is in sharp form right now and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6.
12th race – (7) Kathleen O. is undefeated after three starts and should be well-suited by the stretchout to two turns and the added distance. (5) Goddess of Fire was second in a Grade 2 stakes at Fair Grounds last time and looks like the one to fear. (1) Cancel This will benefit from a rail trip. (4) Running Legacy may appreciate the switch to dirt. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-7. Exactas: 5-7 over 1-4 and 1-4 over 5-7. Doubles: 1-4-5-7 with 2-3-5-9. Pick 3: 1-4-5-7 with 2-3-5-9 with 2-3-7-9.
13th race – (5) Gray’s Fable has not raced since August but hails from a barn that does well with layoffs and gets the nod here. (9) English Bee usually brings home a check and is dangerous here. (2) Scarlett Sky should be a threat in the final furlong. (3) Wolfie’s Dynaghost should welcome a return to turf. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-9. Doubles: 2-3-5-9 with 2-3-7-9.


No.


Letter/Last race

Today’s race


Comment













(5)

Abaan

B, 3/5

9 GP

Broke poorly last time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Hotlist - April 2 April 1, 2022

Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, April 2, 2022 at Aqueduct
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
4th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 6F] – (4) True Empress (C) had the lead but got passed by a first-time starter to finish second after getting bet down from 3-1 to 9-5. (6) Liberty Flame was second in her debut at Belmont Park in October last year as a 2-year-old and now she returns with Lasix for her second start. (3) Steppin’ Hawk has been close to getting that first win in three tries this year for a low-profile trainer. (2) Mo Nighean Donn is a daughter of Laoban that makes her first career start for David Donk.
5th race [Clm 16000 N2L, 6F] – (6) Sabreen set the pace and then finished second at this same level after breaking her maiden in her prior start for Steve Asmussen. (1) Stormi Cat Lady was a late-running second for trainer Gustavo Rodriguez. (7) Bella Domenica has been off since August and now drops to an appropriate level to contend for her second victory. (3) Appreciate has a trio of third-place finishes at this N2L level, all at Aqueduct.
6th race [OC 62k/N2X, 1 mi] – (4) Sound Money (A) got off to a slow start, had to rush up to the lead, and then got caught late to finish third. (3) Captain Bombastic (D) was bet down from 7-1 to 5-1, pressed a very fast pace which was costly and he faded to fourth just a length behind the winner. (6) Lil Commissioner has been racing against better horses and now comes back from a couple of months off and runs for a tag. (2) Little Menace was claimed from three recent starts including his last race which he won for a $40,000 tag.
9th race [NY, Md 40000, 6F] – (2) Vincent (B) had the lead in his debut and finished second. In his next start he was unruly before the race when dumped his rider and then broke through the gate losing any chance on that day. He does get a rider change after getting claimed from that bad day. (7) Ria’s Angel drops back down to this level at which he was second in his debut race back in January at Aqueduct. (1) On the Hill was second when he dropped from a maiden special weight to the $25,000 level and now moves to a spot in between. (3) Tonalistic debuted back in May at Delaware Park against open company.

Best bets: True Empress (4th); Sabreen (5th). Best value: Sound Money (6th); Vincent (9th).
Saturday Pick 3 Special --
The Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 4 – 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | April 2, 2022 April 1, 2022

Race 12 at Turfway Park | Saturday April 2 | Post Time 6:23 PM Eastern
Jeff Ruby Steaks – Grade 3 | Purse $600,000 | One Mile and One Eighth | Three Year Olds

Four weeks ago in the precursor to this race, the John Battaglia Memorial Stakes, Tiz the Bomb (7) prevailed by a neck over Stolen Base (3). Although 10 new shooters emerge for this race, the result may be no different because both colts are making their third starts off layoffs since last year and continue to improve. That’s not to say there’s no profit opportunity in the field as there will be quite a few horses going off at odds of 10/1 or more which can have a say in the outcome and make for profitable exotic wagers.
Stolen Base (2) will get slight preference over Tiz the Bomb (7) this time around, he adds blinkers. Whereas Tiz the Bomb made a nice move on the turn to go from fourth to a neck in front with an eighth of a mile to run, Stolen Base was making up ground with every stride in the final yards. The extra eighth of a mile as well as new blinkers to perhaps help him to race closer in the early stages are two reasons I think he can turn the tables on Tiz the Bomb. Tiz the Bomb had a stellar two year old campaign culminating with a 12th to second rally in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. He tried dirt for his three year old debut and only proved he hated it when seventh, but on the all-weather surface for the first time last month Tiz the Bomb returned to his top turf form from last year. With two strong workouts since raced he should run well and we will absolutely use him on exacta and trifecta tickets played but he will be a poor win bet anywhere near his 2 to 1 starting odds.
Next we have two horses with potential in Tawny Port (5) and Blackadder (12). Tawny Port showed a LOT of promise first time out winning at a mile at Turfway Park, a very tough question to ask a first time starter. He rallied from 11th of 12 to do that and showed it to be no fluke when coming back five weeks later to win again. Like Tiz the Bomb, he tried dirt last out (in the Risen Star Stakes) and it only proved he doesn’t like the surface. He’s worked very well since then and with continued improvement since his January 7 local win he could post the mild upset, opening at 6 to 1. Blackadder opens at 15/1 which is odd considering he is the ONLY horse in the field to have won on all-weather at this nine furlong trip. He rallied from seventh to win the El Camino Real Derby in February, his second win in a row around two turns, and he continues to improve. He is one of the recently transferred horses from the Baffert barn so he can earn Road to the Derby points here when previously he could not.
For the trifecta, I’ll toss in Rich Strike (4), Red Run (8) and Constitutionlawyer (11), the latter opening at 50 to 1. Rich Strike rallied from 11th to fourth in the Battaglia and was just a half-length from third, so has a shot to pass a lot of horses in the late stages. Red Rum won the Texas Turf Mile Stakes at the end of January and is bred to run on this surface BUT Asmussen has a low 1 for 44 record over the last five years in all-weather routes. Constitutionlawyer broke his maiden at this nine furlong trip on dirt rather easily one before last in New York then ran 11th in the Withers. His dam produced an all-weather winner and his sire (Constitution) has had a LOT of nine furlong stakes winners as three year olds the past few years, such as Tiz the Law, so he cannot be totally counted out. I will probably make a token $2 across the board on him so as not to be kicking myself late if something happens and he wins and pays $100.
Win bets:
Stolen Base (2) should be bet to win at odds of 5 to 2 or higher.
Tawny Port (5) should be bet to win at odds of 7 to 2 or higher.
Blackadder (12) can be considered for a win bet at odds of 5 to 1 or higher.
A win/place bet for at least a token amount like $2 may be considered for Constitutionlawyer (11) at odds of 15 to 1 or higher.
Trifectas: (which are preferred over exactas since the top key horses are low odds)
Stolen Base (2) over Tawny Port (5), Tiz the Bomb (7) and Blackadder (12) over Rich Strike (4), Tawny Port (5), Tiz the Bomb (7), Red Run (8), Constitutionlawyer (11) and Blackadder (12).
Tiz the Bomb (7) over Stolen Base (2), Tawny Port (5), and Blackadder (12) over Rich Strike (4), Tawny Port (5), Tiz the Bomb (7), Red Run (8), Constitutionlawyer (11) and Blackadder (12).
Exactas: (just $1 or $2 is okay here)
Tawny Port (5) and Blackadder (12) over Rich Strike (4), Tawny Port (5), Blackadder (12), Stolen Base (2), Red Run (8), Constitutionlawyer (11) and Tiz the Bomb (7). (This is to take advantage of the higher odds on Tawny Port and Blackadder)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)! Free Winners for Saturday, April 2nd 2022 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
LAUREL PARK
RACE #7
TIME: 3:48 PM EST
PICK: BET #3 Championship Alley 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Hornets +5.5


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Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
NBA – Bulls +2


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
NBA – Cavaliers +1


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
NBA – Nets under 242


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
NBA – Warriors +2


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PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
NBA – Nets -2.5


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Henry Brown Sports (https://www.henrybrownsports.com/)
NBA – Hornets under 227


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Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
NBA – Warriors over 217.5


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Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
NBA – Cavaliers over 219


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NBA – Nets -2.5


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William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Bulls +2


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Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
NBA – Cavaliers +1


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Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Warriors +2


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Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
NBA – Nets under 242


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NBA – Bulls over 216


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VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
NBA – Warriors over 217.5


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South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
NBA – Bulls +2


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Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
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NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
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Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
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Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
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NBA – Hornets under 227


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Nets -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach
Apr 02 '22, 12:35 PM in 21m
NHL | Panthers vs Devils

Play on: OVER 7 -100

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Saturday NHL Free Pick OVER 7 in New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers @ 12:35 ET - The Devils off an 8-1 loss which was the 16th time last 24 games in which a New Jersey game has totaled 7 or more goals. Now the Devils are back on home ice after getting destroyed at Boston and I do expect New Jersey to score better here but the Devils problems will be at the other end of the ice in this one. NJ will be unable to stop the highest scoring team in the league. Indeed, the Panthers are in town and enter this game off a rare shutout win. Florida scored 4 goals which is normal for them as that is their average but the shutout was a rarity and certainly unlikely to be repeated. The Panthers entered that game with 19 of their last 25 games having totaled 7 or more goals. More of the same expected here. Free Pick OVER 7 in New Jersey Devils

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus
Apr 02 '22, 12:35 PM in 21m
NHL | Panthers vs Devils

Play on: Devils +205 at Ace

1* Free Sharp Play on Devils +205

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Marc Lawrence
Apr 02 '22, 12:40 PM in 26m
NBA | Hornets vs 76ers

Play on: [B]76ers -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Timothy Black
Apr 02 '22, 1:05 PM in 51m
MLB | Pirates vs Red Sox

Play on: Red Sox -175 at Caesars

1* Best Bet on Red Sox -175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels
Apr 02 '22, 1:05 PM in 51m
MLB | Pirates vs Red Sox

Play on: Red Sox -190 at Caesars

Free Play on Red Sox -190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander
Apr 02 '22, 1:10 PM in 56m
NBA | Cavs vs Knicks

Play on: [B]Cavs +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy
Apr 02 '22, 3:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Penguins vs Avalanche

Play on: Avalanche -135 at SC Consensus

Saturday NHL Free play. My selection is on Colorado over Pittsburgh at 3:05 pm et on Saturday.
The Penguins pulled out an overtime win in Minnesota two nights ago but have certainly been a little uneven lately, going 2-3 over their last five games overall. The Avalanche, meanwhile, are coming off consecutive wins and check in 7-2 over their last nine contests. Of course, Colorado has been dominant on home ice this season, going 27-7 while outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.6 goals. Note that the Avs have averaged 4.1 goals per game and outscored opponents by 1.3 goals on average after winning two of their last three games this season (26-game sample size). These two teams will meet again in Pittsburgh in three nights. I look for the Avs to make the most of the home half of this two-game set. Take Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon
Apr 02 '22, 6:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Cardinals vs Astros

Play on: Cardinals +115 at William Hill

FREE PLAY on Cardinals +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams
Apr 02 '22, 6:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Cardinals vs Astros

Play on: Cardinals +120 at William Hill

1* on Cardinals +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price
Apr 02 '22, 6:09 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Villanova vs Kansas

Play on: [B]Villanova +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker
Apr 02 '22, 7:05 PM in 6h
NHL | Canadiens vs Lightning

Play on: Canadiens +295 at Ace

Free Pick on Canadiens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow
Apr 02 '22, 7:05 PM in 6h
NHL | Canadiens vs Lightning

Play on: [B]UNDER 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
Apr 02 '22, 7:40 PM in 7h
NBA | Nets vs Hawks

Play on: [B]Hawks +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin
Apr 02 '22, 7:40 PM in 7h
NBA | Nets vs Hawks

Play on: [B]OVER 241

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee
Apr 02 '22, 7:40 PM in 7h
NBA | Nets vs Hawks

Play on: Nets -1 -105 at linepros

FREE PICK: Brooklyn Nets -1
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 525
I will gladly take my chances with the Nets at essentially a pick'em at Atlanta. I get the Nes just lost at home to the Bucks and the Hawks have won and covered 4 straight, but I don't know how you don't back Brooklyn in this game.
It's pretty much a given that both of these teams will be playing in the play-in games. It's all about seeding. The Nets, Hawks and Hornets are all tied for the 8th-10th spots. Huge difference between getting the No. 8 seed compared to the No. 9 or No.10. The No. 8 seed can lose their first game against the No. 7 seed and still host the winner of the 9/10 game. Give me Durant/Irving in a game like this. Give me the Nets -1!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson
Apr 02 '22, 7:40 PM in 7h
NBA | Nets vs Hawks

Play on: [B]Nets -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
Apr 02 '22, 8:10 PM in 7h
NBA | Heat vs Bulls

Play on: Heat -2 -110 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Miami Heat -2
The Miami Heat have put their differences aside and have put together two straight impressive performances as they are motivated to try and hang on to the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. After crushing the Kings 123-100 at home, they went on the road and upset the Celtics 106-98 as 5-point underdogs.
Now the Heat come in rested and ready to go after having the last two days off. They will be taking on a tired Chicago Bulls team that will be playing their 8th game in 13 days. The Bulls are coming off an OT win over the Clippers in which they basically never led the entire way until overtime.
The Heat absolutely own the Bulls. They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their three meetings with Chicago this season with their last two victories coming by 13 and 26 points. They won't be taking them lightly tonight with the top seed in the East at stake.
The Heat are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Chicago is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games as an underdog. The Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last five trips to Chicago. Bet the Heat Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn
Apr 02 '22, 8:10 PM in 7h
NBA | Heat vs Bulls

Play on: Heat -2 -110 at circa

1* Free Play on Heat -2 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer
Apr 02 '22, 8:40 PM in 8h
NBA | Jazz vs Warriors

Play on: Warriors +2 -110 at circa

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 4/2:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday is with the Golden State Warriors plus the points versus the Utah Jazz. Golden State (48-29) has lost four in a row after their 107-103 loss to Phoenix as a 4.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Warriors are home underdogs often — and in their last 7 situations where they were getting the points at home, they covered the point spread all 7 times. Golden State has also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Utah (46-31) snapped a five-game losing streak with their 122-109 win against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 13.5-point favorite on Thursday. The Jazz have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win. They are also 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on the road. Take Golden State plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price
Apr 02 '22, 8:49 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Duke

Play on: North Carolina +4 -110 at Caesars

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on North Carolina +4
The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels are 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They beat Marquette by 32, upset Baylor after nearly blowing a 25-point lead, upset UCLA and crushed St. Peter's by 20. They also won by 13 at Duke in the regular season finale. This team is playing too well to be a 4-point underdog to Duke. This line is shaded towards Duke because of it being Coach K's last season. It should be much closer to a pick 'em. I like the price we are getting on the Tar Heels in this Final 4 showdown. Take North Carolina.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru
Apr 02 '22, 8:49 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Duke

Play on: OVER 151 -110

Free Total Annihilator On North Carolina vs Duke over 151 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins
Apr 02 '22, 9:10 PM in 8h
MLB | White Sox vs Diamondbacks

Play on: Diamondbacks +130 at circa

1 Dimer on Diamondbacks +130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park



04/02/22, OP, Race 1, 12.10 CT
04/02/22,OP,1,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $107,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since January 2, 2022 Allowed 3 lbs. A Race Since December 2, 2021 Allowed 6 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
4
Santos Dumont
4/1
Arrieta F
Hartman Chris A.
TSFEL
140
35.00
1.32/$1


095.3403
7
Manhattan Up
9/2
Cohen D
Diodoro Robertino
W
55
41.82
1.84/$1


092.6950
5
Sermononthemount
10/1
Graham J
Amoss Thomas M.


188
35.11
1.21/$1


091.8891
3
Starrininmydreams(b+)
2/1
Velazquez J R
Stewart Dallas


188
35.11
1.21/$1


090.9785
6
Shortlist
5/2
Geroux F
Van Berg Thomas L.
J
188
35.11
1.21/$1


088.8381
2
Reconvene
8/1
Franco G
Hollendorfer Jerry


188
35.11
1.21/$1


082.5336
1
Salow
12/1
Santana. Jr. R
Brennan Terry J.
C
188
35.11
1.21/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 30.09, ROI 1.25/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.6597
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 HOT ON THE TRAIL 6/1




# 6 CIRCULODEGANADORAS 5/2




# 7 DISCERNMENT 4/1




HOT ON THE TRAIL has a very strong shot to take this race. Recently Ruiz has provided players with a very good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Is tough not to look at given the company run in recently. Has to be given consideration versus this field displaying competitive figs as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 74 under similar conditions. CIRCULODEGANADORAS - Wong has a strong 24 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Ought to compete admirably in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. DISCERNMENT - Has to be considered versus this group of horses displaying quite good numbers lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 78 under similar conditions. Has formidable early pace and ought to fare well versus this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18700 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 15/1




# 4 PASCAL CHANT 3/1




# 6 BULL SHARK 9/2




I've got to go with GRUMPELSTILTSKIN and is a very good value-based bet given the 15/1 line. With a strong return on investment of +4 this trainer has shown very good results with entries running at this distance and surface. Could best this group based on the speed rating - 69 - of his last affair. PASCAL CHANT - He looks formidable in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Should be considered based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last race. BULL SHARK - Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 78. Should go to the lead and may never look back.