Saturday 6/11/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CINCINNATI (20 - 37) at ST LOUIS (32 - 26) - 2:15 PM
HUNTER GREENE (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 3-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 122-99 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 91-80 (+8.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 29-15 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 19-6 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 116-64 (+31.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 90-46 (+30.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 120-58 (+34.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 165-149 (-43.2 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)
HUNTER GREENE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GREENE is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 8.11 and a WHIP of 2.402.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)
ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 10-16 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.44 and a WHIP of 1.412.
His team's record is 15-17 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-17. (-6.1 units)

MILWAUKEE (33 - 26) at WASHINGTON (21 - 38) - 4:05 PM
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 1-7 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-32 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-14 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 86-135 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-64 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 201-251 (-68.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
CORBIN is 17-37 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-2 (+0.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
ERIC LAUER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LAUER is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)
PAT CORBIN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CORBIN is 3-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.516.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.1 units)

ARIZONA (28 - 31) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 29) - 4:05 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 29-71 (-36.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-36 (-21.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-40 (-24.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-29 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
BUMGARNER is 0-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-11 (-8.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-52 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MADISON BUMGARNER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BUMGARNER is 6-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.081.
His team's record is 7-7 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.7 units)
ZACK WHEELER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WHEELER is 4-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.6 units)

PITTSBURGH (24 - 31) at ATLANTA (31 - 27) - 4:10 PM
ZACH THOMPSON (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 22-18 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-21 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MORTON is 41-54 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)
ZACH THOMPSON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
THOMPSON is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.909.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
CHARLIE MORTON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

LA DODGERS (37 - 20) at SAN FRANCISCO (30 - 26) - 7:15 PM
JULIO URIAS (L) vs. JARLIN GARCIA (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)
JULIO URIAS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
URIAS is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.160.
His team's record is 8-8 (-6.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-5. (+4.3 units)
JARLIN GARCIA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
GARCIA is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
COLORADO (25 - 32) at SAN DIEGO (35 - 22) - 10:10 PM
RYAN FELTNER (R) vs. MACKENZIE GORE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
RYAN FELTNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.
MACKENZIE GORE vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

TEXAS (26 - 30) at CHI WHITE SOX (26 - 29) - 2:10 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 43-95 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 46-88 (-28.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PEREZ is 8-1 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MARTIN PEREZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PEREZ is 3-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)
LUCAS GIOLITO vs. TEXAS since 1997
GIOLITO is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.147.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

TAMPA BAY (34 - 23) at MINNESOTA (33 - 26) - 2:10 PM
SHANE BAZ (R) vs. CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
SHANE BAZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

TORONTO (33 - 23) at DETROIT (23 - 33) - 4:10 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. BEAU BRIESKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
GAUSMAN is 36-48 (-21.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 100-118 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 56-54 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 48-53 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 65-81 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 47-59 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 29-9 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GAUSMAN is 10-1 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
GAUSMAN is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.2 units)
BEAU BRIESKE vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

OAKLAND (20 - 39) at CLEVELAND (27 - 26) - 4:10 PM
FRANKIE MONTAS (R) vs. ZACH PLESAC (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 60-77 (-21.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 40-68 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTAS is 2-10 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-0 (+4.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
FRANKIE MONTAS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MONTAS is 1-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.327.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)
ZACH PLESAC vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PLESAC is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

BALTIMORE (24 - 34) at KANSAS CITY (19 - 37) - 4:10 PM
TYLER WELLS (R) vs. DANIEL LYNCH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 23-58 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
TYLER WELLS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WELLS is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
DANIEL LYNCH vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LYNCH is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 2.180.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BOSTON (30 - 28) at SEATTLE (26 - 31) - 10:10 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. GEORGE KIRBY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)
MICHAEL WACHA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WACHA is 0-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 8.27 and a WHIP of 2.225.
His team's record is 2-3 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)
GEORGE KIRBY vs. BOSTON since 1997
KIRBY is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MIAMI (25 - 30) at HOUSTON (36 - 21) - 4:10 PM
BRAXTON GARRETT (L) vs. FRAMBER VALDEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 35-72 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-25 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 5-22 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-14 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-22 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BRAXTON GARRETT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

CHICAGO CUBS (23 - 33) at NY YANKEES (41 - 16) - 7:15 PM
MATT SWARMER (R) vs. JORDAN MONTGOMERY (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MATT SWARMER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.
JORDAN MONTGOMERY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MONTGOMERY is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.049.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

NY METS (38 - 21) at LA ANGELS (28 - 31) - 10:07 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. MICHAEL LORENZEN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CARLOS CARRASCO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CARRASCO is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 0.877.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)
MICHAEL LORENZEN vs. NY METS since 1997
LORENZEN is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.764.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NY RANGERS (62-31-0-8, 132 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (62-28-0-8, 132 pts.) - 6/11/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 307-288 ATS (+641.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 62-39 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 17-12 ATS (+29.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
NY RANGERS are 42-27 ATS (+8.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
NY RANGERS are 113-84 ATS (+24.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 33-26 ATS (+61.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY RANGERS are 21-15 ATS (+37.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 6-4 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 6-4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LAS VEGAS (10 - 2) at LOS ANGELES (5 - 7) - 6/11/2022, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 138-176 ATS (-55.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 4-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 6-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HAMILTON (0-0) at SASKATCHEWAN (0-0) - 6/11/2022, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


EDMONTON (0-0) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (0-0) - 6/11/2022, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games
Chi White Sox is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Chi White Sox is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

Texas Rangers
Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Minnesota Twins
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Washington Nationals
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Milwaukee
Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Washington is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Washington
Milwaukee is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Washington
Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Arizona
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Philadelphia is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Arizona's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Arizona is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Atlanta is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 18 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland
Cleveland is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland

Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 18 games when playing Cleveland
Oakland is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Houston Astros
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games at home
Houston is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Miami
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami Marlins
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Houston
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
Kansas City is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Kansas City's last 21 games
Kansas City is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Kansas City is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games at home
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Kansas City is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Kansas City is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Baltimore is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games at home
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Dodgers is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 13 games when playing Chi Cubs
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games when playing NY Yankees
Chi Cubs is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
LA Angels is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games
LA Angels is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
LA Angels is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

New York Mets
NY Mets is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
NY Mets is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Mets's last 17 games
NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Seattle's last 19 games when playing Boston
Seattle is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing at home against Boston

Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Boston's last 19 games when playing Seattle
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB INJURIES
Last Updated: June 11, 2022 6:09 55 AM

ARI
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/02/22 P Humberto Castellanos Elbow 15-day IL (06/01)
05/18/22 P Keynan Middleton Elbow 15-day IL (05/17)
05/16/22 SS Nick Ahmed Shoulder 60-day IL (05/16)
05/08/22 C Carson Kelly Oblique 10-day IL (05/08)
04/10/22 P Luke Weaver Elbow 10-day IL (04/10)

ATL
Date Pos Player Injury Status
05/28/22 P Mike Soroka Achilles is out indefinitely
05/16/22 P Tyler Matzek Shoulder 15-day IL (05/14)
05/11/22 C Manny Pina Wrist 60-day IL (04/28); is out for season
04/25/22 RF Eddie Rosario Eye 10-day IL (04/25)
04/06/22 P Luke Jackson Arm 60-day IL (04/03)

BAL
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/04/22 SS Chris Owings Bereavement List is out indefinitely
05/26/22 P Alexander Wells Elbow 60-day IL (04/29)
05/21/22 P Travis Lakins Elbow 15-day IL (05/12)
05/17/22 P Matt Harvey Suspension 60-game suspension (04/29)
05/04/22 P Chris Ellis Shoulder 60-day IL (04/25); is out for season
04/23/22 P John Means Elbow 60-day IL (04/13); is out for season

BOS
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/09/22 CF Enrique Hernandez Hip 10-day IL (06/08)
06/01/22 P Matt Barnes Shoulder 15-day IL (05/31)
06/01/22 P Hansel Robles Back 15-day IL (05/25)
04/20/22 SS Jonathan Arauz Quarantine IL (05/06)
04/07/22 P Josh Taylor Back 60-day IL (04/04)
04/04/22 P Chris Sale Ribs 60-day IL (04/04)

CIN
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 CF Albert Almora Jr. Shoulder is "?" Saturday vs St. Louis Cardinals
06/10/22 CF Nick Senzel Back is "?" Saturday vs St. Louis Cardinals
06/09/22 C Tyler Stephenson Thumb 10-day IL (06/09)
06/06/22 3B Mike Moustakas Undisclosed 10-day IL (06/06)
06/05/22 P Vladimir Gutierrez Forearm 15-day IL (06/05)
06/01/22 RF Tyler Naquin Quad 10-day IL (06/01)
05/25/22 P Connor Overton Back 60-day IL (05/19)
05/23/22 2B Donovan Solano Hamstring 60-day IL (05/23)
05/12/22 P Lucas Sims Back 15-day IL (05/11)
05/07/22 P Nick Lodolo Biceps is out indefinitely
05/04/22 2B Jonathan India Hamstring 10-day IL (04/30)
05/01/22 DH Jake Fraley Knee 10-day IL (05/01)
04/17/22 - Daniel Duarte Elbow 60-day IL (04/17)

CLE
Date Pos Player Injury Status
05/26/22 DH Franmil Reyes Undisclosed 10-day IL (05/26)
05/26/22 P Aaron Civale Side 15-day IL (05/26)

COL
Date Pos Player Injury Status
05/25/22 LF Kris Bryant Back 10-day IL (05/23)
04/06/22 P Ryan Rolison Shoulder 60-day IL (04/04)
04/06/22 P Peter Lambert Forearm 10-day IL (04/04)

CUB
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 P Marcus Stroman Shoulder 15-day IL (06/07)
06/02/22 - Manuel Rodriguez Elbow 60-day IL (06/01)
06/01/22 Drew Smyly Oblique 15-day IL (05/31)
05/30/22 RF Seiya Suzuki Finger 10-day IL (05/27)
05/12/22 P Sean Newcomb Ankle 15-day IL (05/08)
05/10/22 CF Michael Hermosillo Quad 10-day IL (05/08)
05/04/22 P Ethan Roberts Shoulder 60-day IL (04/30)
03/14/22 P Adbert Alzolay Shoulder is out indefinitely

CWS
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/03/22 P Vince Velasquez Groin 15-day IL (05/31)
05/31/22 SS Tim Anderson Groin 10-day IL (05/31)
05/26/22 - Joe Kelly Hamstring 15-day IL (05/26)
05/09/22 - Aaron Bummer Knee 15-day IL (05/07)
04/24/22 LF Eloy Jimenez Hamstring 10-day IL (04/24)
04/07/22 P Lance Lynn Knee 60-day IL (04/07)
04/07/22 P Garrett Crochet Elbow 60-day IL (04/04)
04/07/22 P Ryan Burr Shoulder 10-day IL (04/04)
04/07/22 DH Yermin Mercedes Undisclosed 10-day IL (04/04)

DET
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 CF Daz Cameron COVID-19 IL (06/10)
06/07/22 3B Jeimer Candelario Shoulder 10-day IL (06/06)
05/22/22 P Eduardo Rodriguez Ribs 15-day IL (05/18)
05/18/22 LF Victor Reyes Quad 10-day IL (05/16)
05/14/22 P Michael Pineda Finger 10-day IL (05/14)
05/04/22 P Tyler Alexander Elbow 10-day IL (04/30)
04/24/22 P Kyle Funkhouser Shoulder 60-day IL (04/06)
04/20/22 P Matt Manning Shoulder 10-day IL (04/17)
04/15/22 P Casey Mize Elbow 60-day IL (04/15)
04/06/22 C Jake Rogers Elbow 60-day IL (04/06)
04/06/22 P Jose Cisnero Shoulder 60-day IL (04/06)
04/06/22 P Spencer Turnbull Elbow 60-day IL (04/06)
04/02/22 RF Riley Greene Foot is out indefinitely

HOU
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/08/22 P Hector Neris Elbow 15-day IL (06/07)
06/04/22 P Blake Taylor Elbow 10-day IL (06/04)
05/17/22 P Jake Odorizzi Leg 10-day IL (05/16)
04/07/22 CF Jake Meyers Shoulder 10-day IL (04/04)
04/07/22 P Lance McCullers Jr Forearm 60-day IL (04/04)
04/07/22 1B Taylor Jones Back 10-day IL (04/20)

KAN
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/01/22 P Gabe Speier Undisclosed 10-day IL (05/30)
06/01/22 P Brad Peacock Undisclosed 10-day IL (05/30)
05/30/22 P Zack Greinke Hip 15-day IL (05/30)
05/26/22 - Amir Garrett Undisclosed 10-day IL (05/26)
05/10/22 CF Edward Olivares Quad 10-day IL (05/10)
05/04/22 C Cam Gallagher Hamstring 10-day IL (05/03)
05/01/22 SS Adalberto Mondesi ACL 60-day IL (05/01)

LAA
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 CF Mike Trout Groin is "?" Saturday vs New York Mets
06/05/22 RF Taylor Ward Hamstring 10-day IL (06/04)
05/21/22 P Griffin Canning Back is out indefinitely
05/18/22 SS David Fletcher Groin 60-day IL (05/10)
05/03/22 P Austin Warren Nose 10-day IL (05/03)
05/01/22 - Archie Bradley Abdominal 10-day IL (05/01)

LAD
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/03/22 3B Edwin Rios Hamstring 10-day IL (06/03)
06/02/22 CF Kevin Pillar Shoulder 60-day IL (06/02)
05/18/22 P Tommy Kahnle Forearm 60-day IL (05/18)
05/18/22 P Blake Treinen Shoulder 60-day IL (04/22)
05/15/22 P Victor Gonzalez Undisclosed 60-day IL (05/15)
05/13/22 P Clayton Kershaw Pelvis 15-day IL (05/09)
04/20/22 P Andrew Heaney Shoulder 10-day IL (04/20)
04/15/22 P Trevor Bauer Suspension is out indefinitely

MIA
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/01/22 3B Brian Anderson Back 10-day IL (05/28)
06/01/22 3B Joey Wendle Hamstring 10-day IL (05/31)
05/29/22 P Cody Poteet Elbow 15-day IL (05/29)
05/27/22 P Sixto Sanchez Shoulder 10-day IL (04/01)
05/26/22 P Anthony Bender Back 15-day IL (05/26)
05/18/22 P Jesus Luzardo Forearm 15-day IL (05/12)
04/21/22 P Paul Campbell Elbow 60-day IL (04/18)
04/08/22 SS Jose Devers Shoulder 10-day IL (04/08)
04/06/22 P Sean Guenther Arm 60-day IL (04/04)

MIL
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 2B Kolten Wong Calf is "?" Saturday vs Washington Nationals
06/08/22 P Trevor Gott Groin 15-day IL (06/06)
06/03/22 3B Michael Brosseau Ankle 10-day IL (06/03)
06/01/22 P Angel Perdomo Elbow 15-day IL (05/28)
06/01/22 P Justin Topa Undisclosed 60-day IL (06/01)
05/30/22 P Brandon Woodruff Ankle 15-day IL (05/28)
05/22/22 P Freddy Peralta Side 15-day IL (05/22)
05/17/22 - Jean Carlos Mejia Suspension 80-game suspension
05/16/22 - Jandel Gustave Hamstring 15-day IL (05/15)
05/01/22 P Jake Cousins Elbow 60-day IL (05/01)
04/15/22 C Pedro Severino Suspension 80-game suspension

MIN
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 SS Royce Lewis ACL 10-day IL (05/29); is out for season
06/07/22 CF Kyle Garlick Hamstring 10-day IL (06/04)
06/06/22 P Bailey Ober Groin 15-day IL (06/02)
06/02/22 P Sonny Gray Pectoral 15-day IL (05/30)
06/01/22 P Danny Coulombe Hip 15-day IL (05/28)
05/25/22 P Joe Ryan COVID-19 IL (05/25)
05/21/22 P Josh Winder Shoulder 10-day IL (05/21)
05/12/22 P Chris Paddack Elbow 60-day IL (05/09)
05/12/22 - Jhon Romero Biceps 60-day IL (05/11)
05/02/22 1B Miguel Sano Knee 60-day IL (05/01)
04/12/22 P Jorge Alcala Elbow 10-day IL (04/11)

NYM
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 RF Starling Marte Quad is "?" Saturday vs Los Angeles Angels
06/01/22 RF Travis Jankowski Finger 10-day IL (05/26)
05/21/22 P Max Scherzer Oblique 15-day IL (05/19)
05/15/22 P Trevor May Triceps 60-day IL (05/04)
05/13/22 C James McCann Wrist 10-day IL (05/13)
05/10/22 P Jacob deGrom Shoulder 60-day IL (04/01)
05/01/22 P Sean Reid-Foley Elbow 60-day IL (05/01)
04/07/22 P Jake Reed Oblique 10-day IL (04/07)
04/04/22 P Joey Lucchesi Elbow 60-day IL (04/04)

NYY
Date Pos Player Injury Status
05/25/22 P Jonathan Loaisiga Shoulder 15-day IL (05/23)
05/24/22 P Aroldis Chapman Achilles 15-day IL (05/24)
05/21/22 P Chad Green Elbow 60-day IL (05/21)
05/20/22 P Luis Gil Elbow is out indefinitely
04/04/22 P Domingo German Shoulder 60-day IL (04/04)

OAK
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 LF Chad Pinder Neck is "?" Saturday vs Cleveland Guardians
06/01/22 CF Skye Bolt Hamstring 60-day IL (05/29)
05/20/22 P Daulton Jefferies Arm 60-day IL (05/19)
05/07/22 RF Stephen Piscotty Calf 10-day IL (05/07)
04/08/22 P Brent Honeywell Jr. Elbow 60-day IL (04/08)
04/08/22 P Deolis Guerra Forearm 60-day IL (04/08)

PHI
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/07/22 3B Johan Camargo Knee 10-day IL (06/06)
06/07/22 P Zack Wheeler Paternity List is out indefinitely
06/05/22 SS Nick Maton Shoulder 10-day IL (06/04)
05/31/22 2B Jean Segura Finger 10-day IL (06/01)
04/15/22 P Corey Knebel Undisclosed 10-day IL (04/12)
04/15/22 P Sam Coonrod Shoulder 60-day IL (04/15)

PIT
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/07/22 P Dillon Peters Back 15-day IL (06/07)
06/04/22 2B Josh VanMeter Hand 10-day IL (06/04)
05/29/22 LF Ben Gamel Hamstring 10-day IL (05/29)
05/27/22 DH Yoshitomo Tsutsugo Undisclosed 10-day IL (05/27)
05/25/22 P Heath Hembree Calf 15-day IL (05/21)
05/18/22 C Roberto Perez Hamstring 60-day IL (05/07); is out for season
05/10/22 CF Jake Marisnick Thumb 10-day IL (05/10)
04/27/22 SS Kevin Newman Groin 10-day IL (04/27)
04/27/22 P Anthony Banda Illness 10-day IL (04/27)
04/11/22 P Duane Underwood Hamstring 10-day IL (04/08)
04/07/22 CF Greg Allen Undisclosed 60-day IL (04/07)

SDG
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/07/22 - Robert Suarez Knee 15-day IL (06/07)
06/03/22 Wil Myers Knee 10-day IL (06/03)
05/09/22 1B Matt Beaty Shoulder 15-day IL (05/08)
04/22/22 P Pierce Johnson Tendonitis 10-day IL (04/22)
04/13/22 P Austin Adams Forearm 60-day IL (04/13)
03/14/22 RF Fernando Tatis Jr. Wrist is out indefinitely

SEA
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/01/22 Kyle Lewis Concussion 7-day IL (05/29)
05/18/22 P Erik Swanson Elbow 15-day IL (05/14)
05/07/22 C Tom Murphy Shoulder 10-day IL (05/07)
05/06/22 P Matt Festa Elbow 15-day IL (05/06)
05/02/22 LF Mitch Haniger Ankle 10-day IL (04/30)
04/29/22 1B Evan White Groin 60-day IL (04/29)
04/14/22 P Casey Sadler Shoulder 60-day IL (04/14)

SFO
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 2B Tommy La Stella Rest is not in the starting lineup Friday vs Los Angeles Dodgers
06/07/22 P Alex Cobb Neck 15-day IL (06/04)
05/24/22 1B Brandon Belt Knee 10-day IL (05/22)
05/20/22 RF LaMonte Wade Jr. Knee 10-day IL (05/20)
04/22/22 CF Steven Duggar Oblique 60-day IL (04/21)
04/22/22 P Anthony DeSclafani Ankle 60-day IL (04/22)

STL
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/05/22 LF Corey Dickerson Calf 10-day IL (06/05)
05/26/22 P Jordan Hicks Forearm 15-day IL (05/26)
05/23/22 P Alex Reyes Shoulder is out indefinitely
05/23/22 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day IL (05/23)
04/23/22 P Drew VerHagen Hip 10-day IL (04/22)
04/04/22 P Jack Flaherty Shoulder 60-day IL (04/04)

TAM
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 C Mike Zunino Shoulder 10-day IL (06/10)
06/09/22 P Shane Baz Elbow 60-day IL (04/16); expected to start Saturday vs Minnesota Twins
06/09/22 P Andrew Kittredge Elbow 15-day IL (06/09)
06/04/22 P J.P. Feyereisen Shoulder 15-day IL (06/04)
05/31/22 SS Wander Franco Quad 10-day IL (05/31)
05/18/22 2B Brandon Lowe Back 10-day IL (05/16)
05/04/22 P Phoenix Sanders Back 10-day IL (05/03)
04/22/22 P Chris Mazza Back 60-day IL (04/22)
04/13/22 - JT Chargois Oblique 10-day IL (04/09)
04/13/22 P Luis Patino Oblique 60-day IL (04/13)
04/08/22 P Nick Anderson Elbow 60-day IL (04/08)
04/04/22 P Tyler Glasnow Elbow 60-day IL (04/04)

TEX
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/10/22 P Glenn Otto COVID-19 IL (06/10)
06/10/22 C Mitch Garver COVID-19 IL (06/10)
06/08/22 P Brett Martin Undisclosed 10-day IL (06/07)
06/04/22 2B Josh Smith Shoulder 10-day IL (06/04)
05/04/22 P Albert Abreu Ankle 10-day IL (05/03)

TOR
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/07/22 C Danny Jansen Finger 10-day IL (06/07)
06/06/22 P Nate Pearson Mononucleosis 60-day IL (04/07)
06/02/22 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Forearm 15-day IL (06/02)
05/18/22 P Tim Mayza Forearm 10-day IL (05/15)
04/28/22 P Ryan Borucki Finger 10-day IL (04/27)

WAS
Date Pos Player Injury Status
06/08/22 P Victor Arano Knee 15-day IL (06/06)
06/04/22 P Josh Rogers Shoulder 15-day IL (06/04)
06/03/22 Dee Strange-Gordon Paternity List is out indefinitely
06/01/22 SS Alcides Escobar Hamstring 10-day IL (06/01)
05/11/22 P Mason Thompson Biceps 60-day IL (05/11)
05/04/22 P Anibal Sanchez Neck 60-day IL (04/08)
05/04/22 P Sean Doolittle Elbow 60-day IL (04/20)
04/21/22 - Hunter Harvey Shoulder 10-day IL (04/21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEXAS are 16-35 SU (-22.5 Units) in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 119-164 SU (-61.4 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 356-358 SU (-37.8 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 125-156 SU (-46.6 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 5-19 SU (-17.2 Units) in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 30-14 Over (14.6 Units) when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 146-234 SU (-111.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

DETROIT is 19-7 SU (11.3 Units) in home games as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 71-64 SU (0.6 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 16-6 SU (9.4 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

HOUSTON is 18-34 SU (-19.4 Units) when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 154-129 SU (12.1 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 17-8 SU (11.1 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 25-18 SU (8.6 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 146-234 SU (-111.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

SEATTLE is 100-74 Over (18.6 Units) in night games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Saturday, June 11
Trend Report

Texas @ Chi White Sox
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
Texas is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Chi White Sox is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Milwaukee @ Washington
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Philadelphia
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Atlanta
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Oakland @ Cleveland
Oakland
Oakland is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Toronto @ Detroit
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Miami @ Houston
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

Baltimore @ Kansas City
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Colorado @ San Diego
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Chi Cubs @ NY Yankees
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Chi Cubs is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

NY Mets @ LA Angels
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Colorado @ San Diego
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Boston @ Seattle
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Boston's last 19 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Seattle's last 19 games when playing Boston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEW YORK RANGERS VS. TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

The New York Rangers and the Tampa Bay Lightning will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Amalie Arena.

Oddsmakers opened the Lightning as -152-moneyline favorites versus the Rangers, while the game's total opened at 5.5.

The Lightning were a 3-1 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Rangers. That made winners of bettors who got Tampa Bay at -118 on the moneyline, while the total score (4) was good news for UNDER bettors.

New York:
Team record: 62-31-8 SU
Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.

Tampa Bay:
Team record: 62-28-8 SU
Current Streak: won 3 straight games.

Next up:
New York home to Tampa Bay Tuesday, June 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jody Demling

$5 EXACTA 6 with 1,3,5,8 ($20)
$2 EXACTA 5 with 1,3,6,8 ($8)
$5 TRIFECTA 6 with 5 with 1,3,8 ($15)
$5 TRIFECTA 6 with 1,3,8 with 5 ($15)
$1 SUPERFECTA 6 with 5 with 1,3,8 with ALL ($15)
$1 SUPERFECTA 6 with 1,3,8 with 5 with ALL ($15)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg

$50 Win 8 ($50)
$10 Exacta 8 with 4,6 ($20)
$5 Exacta box 4,6,8 ($30)

Total: $100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Manhattan Stakes at Belmont | Saturday, June 11

June 7, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
The traditional lead-in race to the Belmont Stakes once again has lured a superb cast of elder turf stars. The Grade 1 Manhattan at a mile and one-quarter will be Race 10 on the 13-race card. Given the smaller field sizes in many of the key undercard stakes on Saturday, the Manhattan will be prime real estate for bettors with 10 quality entries.

​Field Depth:
Grade 1 winners here include 2020 US turf champion CHANNEL MAKER, as well as GUFO, IN LOVE, ROCKEMPEROR, TRIBHUVAN, HIGHLAND CHIEF and SANTIN. That's 7 existing Grade 1 winners in a field of 10. TOKYO GOLD is US Grade 1-placed and an Italian Group 2 winner. L'EMPERATOR is a Grade 2 winner, while ADHAMA is a Group 3 winner and Grade 1-placed. There's no weak links here and no decided class edges.

Pace:
TRIBHUVAN is one of the tried-and-true pacemakers in the elder turf division in America. He'll be contending for the lead with CHANNEL MAKER likely content to sit second if able. It's less clear how it lines up from there, but the pace should be fair with those quality front-runners.

Our Eyes:
TRIBHUVAN got clear and loose in this race last year, only to be collared by stablemate Domestic Spending with GUFO 1-1/4 lengths back in third. CHANNEL MAKER was not in this race a year ago, but his presence Saturday makes it even more likely that TRIBHUVAN will have a difficult time sealing the deal. Certainly GUFO could take advantage of the more improved set-up, as could TRIBHUVAN's Chad Brown stablemate ADHAMO, who could play the role of Domestic Spending in the sequel. Those two seem the most likely beneficiaries.

SANTIN is pace versatile and is peak form right now after his win on Kentucky Derby Day, which shows he can handle a crowd and some pomp and circumstance pre-race. He's yet to run in New York, but seems to fire similarly no matter where he's traveled for a Brendan Walsh barn that's been really dialed in of late. I loved him on Derby Day at 7-1 and there's a reasonable show he will be a similarly attractive price again.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
GUFO is 15-16 in the trifecta lifetime, including this same race in 2021.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
TOKYO GOLD is a fresh face who has come a long way back to Belmont after solid efforts here as a 3-year-old.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
Let's hit with laser focus. $25 trifecta part-wheel SANTIN, GUFO with SANTIN, GUFO and ADHAMO with SANTIN, GUFO and ADHAMO ($100).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Stakes: Jeremy Plonk's Post Draw Reaction

June 7, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike drew post 4 of 8 at today’s ceremony to announce the lineup for Saturday’s $1.5 million Belmont Stakes. The final jewel in the 2022 Triple Crown is set for a single lap around the mile and one-half oval on Long Island. Peter Pan Stakes winner We the People has been installed the 2-1 morning line favorite by NYRA oddsmaker David Aragona, and starts from the rail.

Bettors playing the Belmont Stakes with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can take advantage of up to a $10 money-back special in the main event race – if your win bet finishes second or third. Multi-race bettors with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet also can benefit with a series of pick four and pick five hit-and-split promotions Friday and Saturday totaling $20,000.

We the People looks to be potential lone speed in the Belmont Stakes, having won the local Peter Pan in wire-to-wire fashion and matched up against a series of horses who have shown late-running tendencies in prior races. He’ll leave from post 1 under Flavien Prat. Look for Skippylongstocking (post 2) to be the other potential early speed, or perhaps Golden Glider (post 7), who pressed the pace in the Blue Grass. A slower pace Saturday could compromise the late rally displayed by Rich Strike in Louisville, so tactics in the Belmont will be key. Trainer Eric Reed said after the post draw that Rich Strike won’t change tactics; he’ll take back and make one run.
Saturday’s 13-race program that begins at 11:20 am ET with the Belmont Stakes post time set for 6:44 pm ET as Race 11. Early bird wagering for the entire Friday card is available Friday on both 1/ST BET and Xpressbet.

Belmont Park // Race 11 // 154th Grade 1 $1.5 million Belmont Stakes// 1-1/2 miles

1. We the People // Rodolphe Brisset // Flavien Prat // 2-1
2. Skippylongstocking // Saffie Joseph Jr. // Manny Franco // 20-1
3. Nest // Todd Pletcher // Jose Ortiz // 8-1
4. Rich Strike // Eric Reed // Sonny Leon // 7-2
5. Creative Minister // Kenny McPeek // Brian Hernandez Jr. // 6-1
6. Mo Donegal // Todd Pletcher // Irad Ortiz Jr. // 5-2
7. Golden Glider // Mark Casse // Dylan Davis // 20-1
8. Barber Road // John Ortiz // Joel Rosario // 10-1

For more Belmont Stakes in-depth coverage visit 1st.com/guide and download the free 1/ST BET and Xpressbet Belmont Stakes Wager Guide, available Thursday. Also check out Belmont Stakes Picks & Wagering Guide by 1/ST BET (https://news.1st.com/blog/belmont-stakes-picks) for our complete coverage of the final jewel, including contender profiles, blogs, videos and more.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday Myths: Do Closers Fire Best in Belmont?

June 6, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

The mile and one-half distance of the Belmont Stakes gives deep closers their best chance in the Triple Crown.

Background:

Late-running Kentucky and Preakness runners often are earmarked by handicappers and horsemen as potential Belmont Stakes successes. But does the longer distance equate to success?

Data Points:

This week I utilized the official race charts for the last 10 Belmont Stakes at 1-1/2 miles to see where the winners were placed with a half-mile left to run. I did not include 2020 when the race was conducted at just 1-1/8 miles.

//

-1/2 length | Essential Quality (2021)
-3 3/4 length | Sir Winston (2019)
+2 length | Justify (2018)
-2 length | Tapwrit (2017)
-3 1/2 length | Creator (2016)
+1 1/2 length | American Pharoah (2015)
-1 length | Tonalist (2014)
- 1/2 length | Palace Malice (2013)
-3 1/2 length | Union Rags (2012)
-1 length | Ruler On Ice (2011)

Bottom line:

None of the last 10 Belmont winners was farther than 3-3/4 lengths off the lead with a half-mile yet to run. Six of those 10 were within a length of the lead, in fact, or in front. The average winner was 1-1/4 lengths off the lead at that 1-mile point of the race. The idea that deep closers are bigger threats in the Belmont is adamantly false in the last decade of the Belmont Stakes.

Additional details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, check out the distance pedigree ratings for contenders and how they’ve fared in the Belmont Stakes.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White: Belmont Stakes Picks and Analysis

June 8, 2022 | By Jon White

According to a poll conducted by Rolling Stone magazine last year, the readers selected “Take on Me” by Aha (I love that song and the accompanying video) as their favorite so-called one-hit wonder.

“Tell anybody in Europe that A-ha are one-hit wonders and they’ll look at you like you’re crazy,” Rolling Stone’s Andy Greene wrote. “Over there -- and especially in their native Norway -- A-ha scored hit after hit and were massively popular. They even played at the Lillehammer Olympics in 1994. In America, however they are the band with the cool animated video and the singer with the insanely high range.”

“I have no doubt that the video made the song a hit,” said keyboardist Magne Furuholmen. “The song has a super catchy riff, but it is a song that you have to hear a few times. And I don’t think it would’ve been given the time of day without the enormous impact of the video.”

Most people seem to believe that Rich Strike, he of the astonishing Kentucky Derby victory at odds of 80-1, is going to turn out to be an equine one-hit wonder.

“I see Rich Strike as a massive bet against in the Belmont Stakes,” New York racing analyst Andy Serling said recently.

A lot of people agree with Serling. On May 7, Rich Strike won the big enchilada in American racing, the Grade I Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs. Nevertheless, he is only the third choice at 7-2 on David Aragona’s morning line for the 154th running of the $1.5 million Belmont Stakes, which will be run Saturday (June 11) at Belmont Park.

We the People has been pegged as the 2-1 favorite on the Belmont Stakes morning line. Mo Donegal is the 5-2 second choice.

The Belmont, which serves as the Triple Crown’s final jewel, has attracted a field of eight. The moment it was announced shortly after the Kentucky Derby that Rich Strike would not be running in the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course on May 21, any chance of there being a 2022 Triple Crown winner went down the drain.

Rich Strike’s Preakness absence rubbed many people the wrong way. It reignited the debate as to whether the Triple Crown should be changed from its current configuration of the 1 1/4-mile Kentucky Derby being held on the first Saturday in May, the 1 3/16-mile Preakness two weeks later, then the 1 1/2-mile Belmont three weeks after the Preakness.

NBC’s Randy Moss and many others think that Rich Strike passing on the Preakness is an example of why there should be more time than two weeks between the Kentucky Derby and Preakness. Because horses don’t race as frequently as they once did, the Preakness would entice a stronger field if, as many propose, the Preakness was moved to early June, with the Belmont then changed to early July.

I expressed my view on this last week.

“To the powers that be, I say please let it be. Do not fiddle with the Triple Crown,” I wrote last week.

“Moss has noted that if the Triple Crown were to be stretched out beyond its current five-week format, it might even be more difficult to sweep the series because of the likelihood that the fields for the Preakness and Belmont would be stronger. It is a valid point.”

According to Moss, the current Triple Crown spacing does not need to be preserved. That’s because it has undergone changes through the decades in this regard.

“People say, ‘It’s always been that way,’ Moss said last week during an interview with the Thoroughbred Daily News. “No, it’s been that way since 1960, which was the year that it changed to the current two-week, three-week format. But in the 1940s, when there were four Triple Crown winners, Whirlaway, Assault, Count Fleet and Citation, all four of them had four weeks between the Preakness and Belmont…It’s not as if this current spacing that we’ve had for the last 62 years was handed down in stone tablets or anything like that.”

The Triple Crown spacing certainly wasn’t handed down in stone tablets, but the spacing for the last 62 years is what most of us have known, with the exception of the pandemic-induced radical change in spacing in 2020. In 2020, the Belmont not only was moved later to June 20, its distance was shortened to 1 1/8 miles. It was the first time in history that the Belmont kicked off the Triple Crown series. The Kentucky Derby, run at its usual distance of 1 1/4 miles, was shifted from the first Saturday in May to the first Saturday in September. And the Preakness, contested at its normal distance of 1 3/16 miles, was shifted from May 16 to Oct. 3.

“Do you think that if a horse had swept the Triple Crown as it was constructed in 2020 that the feat would be held in the same regard as Secretariat, Seattle Slew, Affirmed, American Pharoah and Justify? No way,” I wrote last week.

I agree that the fields for the Preakness and Belmont would likely be better if the Triple Crown was stretched out to eight weeks from the current five-week format. But as I wrote last week, “the premise that moving the Preakness and Belmont to later dates would likely produce better fields is an acknowledgement that the two races then would be fundamentally different than they currently are, the operative word being different. In other words, it no longer would be the same Triple Crown as when it was won by Secretariat in 1973, Seattle Slew in 1977, Affirmed in 1978, American Pharoah in 2015 and Justify in 2018.”

I went on to write that “when it comes to the Triple Crown, my vote is to leave it alone. But of course my vote counts for absolutely nothing.”

One person who sees eye to eye with me concerning the Triple Crown spacing is the great race-caller Dave Johnson, who has co-hosted with Bill Finley a SiriusXM radio show on racing called “Down the Stretch” for the past 16 years. The name of the show obviously stems from Johnson’s famous catch phrase, “And down the stretch they come!”

“It can’t change, and it shouldn’t change,” Johnson said in a recent interview with Amanda Duckworth for Thoroughbred Racing Commentary. “People still get involved with the Triple Crown. The national media is all over the Derby and what happens after. I would hate to see that change.

“It captures the whole country for these five weeks, especially if there is a Triple Crown on the line, but even if there isn’t. People came up to me in my building, on the street, in my diner -- people I never thought had watched a race -- and they wanted to tell me about the longshot [Rich Strike] who won the Derby this year. I loved it. If they change it, it’s going to become diminished, and it is going to become an afterthought.”

While people peppered Johnson “about the longshot who won the Derby this year,” it brings up a key question regarding this year’s Belmont. Was Rich Strike’s Kentucky Derby victory a fluke?

Maybe it was. Maybe it wasn’t. Considering Serling said that he sees “Rich Strike as a massive bet against in the Belmont Stakes,” it’s clear that Serling believes the colt’s Kentucky Derby win was a fluke. My feeling is it quite possibly was not a fluke. Does that mean Rich Strike is my top pick in the Belmont? Yes, it does, though I must say that I came very close to making We the People my top pick due to his apparent pace advantage.

My selections for this year’s Belmont Stakes are below:

1. Rich Strike (7-2 morning line)
2. We the People (2-1)
3. Mo Donegal (5-2)
4. Creative Minister (6-1)

IS THIS SIMILAR TO CHARISMATIC?

Sometimes a horseplayer can get better odds than they probably should when a horse starts next following a big upset. A prime example of this occurred in 1999.

Charismatic won the 1999 Kentucky Derby at 31-1. Many considered it to be a fluke. I did not, which is why I backed Charismatic monetarily in the Preakness. Because there were so many skeptics, Charismatic’s odds in the Preakness were 8-1. I felt that was an inflated price. I bet $200 to win on him. He won the Preakness, paying $18.80 for each $2 win wager or, in my case, $1,880 for my $200 win wager.

The main reason I did not regard Charismatic’s Kentucky Derby victory to be a fluke was the Beyer Speed Figure he recorded two weeks earlier when he won the Blue Grass Stakes. In 13 starts before the Blue Grass, Charismatic’s top Beyer had been a 95. All 13 starts had been in California.

Sent to Kentucky, Charismatic took a giant leap to a 108 Beyer Speed Figure in the Blue Grass. He verified that figure by duplicating it in the Kentucky Derby. Charismatic was credited with a 107 Beyer in the Preakness. Even though he went wrong toward the end of the Belmont when he finished third, he recorded another 107 in that race, which proved to be his last.

The point is that Charismatic failed to go higher than a 95 Beyer in his first 13 starts, but he then blossomed into a consistent triple-digit runner, posting figures of 108, 108, 107 and 107.

Rich Strike’s best Beyer Speed Figure in his first seven races was an 84. He then jumped to a 103 in the Kentucky Derby.

I’m looking at Rich Strike’s 103 as possibly -- I repeat, possibly -- being an indication that he (like Charismatic beginning with the Lexington) has blossomed into a consistent triple-digit runner.

Sure, Rich Strike benefited from the insanely fast early pace in the Kentucky Derby. But he was the one who got the job done, not Mo Donegal or any of the other come-from-behinders.

The opening-quarter of :21.78 was the fastest in the 148-year history of the Kentucky Derby. While the first half-mile was not the fastest in Derby history, it was a blazing :45.36.

“This is a historically fast, suicidal, radioactive Kentucky Derby pace,” NBC commentator Moss said shortly after the race.

Anybody close to that first quarter of :21.78 got burned. Indeed, check out where the first seven horses at the first quarter all were at the finish:

Position at First 1/4 Finish

1 20
2 13
3 10
4 15
5 18
6 12
7 17

Now check out where the first seven horses across the finish line were at the first quarter:

Finish Position at First Quarter

1 17
2 8
3 13
4 15
5 19
6 20
7 14
8 9
9 16

Looking at the left column in the table immediately above, it shows that the winner, Rich Strike, was 17th at the first quarter. Runner-up Epicnter was eighth at the first quarter, etc. That table shows that Rich Strike managed to outkick Epicenter and those who finished third through ninth (Zandon, Simplification, Mo Donegal, Barber Road, Tawny Port, Smile Happy and Tiz the Bomb).

A RIDE FOR THE AGES

As you probably know, Sonny Leon’s ride on Rich Strike in the Kentucky Derby was a masterpiece. Leon again will be Rich Strike’s pilot in the Belmont.

Rich Strike became only the second horse in the history of the race to win from post 20. From the other 16 starters to leave from post 20, the only other to win was Big Brown in 2008.

There are those who are of the opinion that Mo Donegal might have won if his trip had been similar to Rich Strike’s. They say that while Rich Strike saved ground while skimming the rail into the lane, Mo Donegal was fanned out “10 wide leaving the second turn and was making up ground too late,” according to the Equibase chart comments.

Because Mo Donegal had come into the stretch so wide, my guess was his trip must have been measured longer than Rich Strike’s. But according to Trakus, Rich Strike’s Kentucky Derby trip of 6,765 feet was 23 feet (approximately 2 1/2 lengths) farther than Mo Donegal’s.

When watching the overhead drone shot of the Kentucky Derby’s stretch run, you can see that Rich Strike was really motoring late when he overtook Epicenter and Zandon. This is one of the reasons I believe Rich Strike’s performance that day was the real deal. Granted, Epicenter and Zandon both were weakening somewhat, but it’s not as if Rich Strike lumbered past a couple of totally exhausted rivals.

The official Equibase chart lists the final time of the Kentucky Derby as 2:02.61. According to Daily Racing Form’s Formulator, which is an extremely useful tool for horseplayers that I highly recommend, Rich Strike ran his final quarter in :24.83 or :24 4/5 in fifths. That’s an excellent final quarter in a 1 1/4-mile race.

As I noted in my Kentucky Derby recap for Xpressbet.com, when it comes to final quarters in the Kentucky Derby, the king is, without question, the legendary Secretariat.

In the book “Big Red of Meadow Stable: Secretariat, the Making of a Champion,” William Nack wrote that Secretariat, who rallied from far back to win by 2 1/2 lengths, ran his “final quarter-mile in :23.”

Secretariat “raced every quarter-mile in the Kentucky Derby faster than the preceding quarter,” Nack added. “His final splits were :25 1/5, :24, :23 4/5, :23 1/5 and :23. No one could remember when a horse had ever done that over a distance of a mile and a quarter. Secretariat literally ran faster from start to finish.”

Nack pointed out in his book that Secretariat was just the third horse in Kentucky Derby history to that point to have ever run the final quarter faster than :24. The other two were Whirlaway in 1941 and Proud Clarion in 1967. Whirlaway and Proud Clarion both ran their final quarter in :23 and change.

While Rich Strike did not run his final quarter in :23 and change, doing it in :24 and change certainly is to be commended.

TRAINING ELICITS POSITIVE REVIEWS

Another possible clue that Rich Strike is better than many people may realize is the way he trained up to the Kentucky Derby and, most especially, how he has trained since that race.

Rich Strike drilled four furlongs in :48.00 at Keeneland on April 16. It was the 10th-best of 106 works at the distance that morning. That was followed by a strong :59.60 move at Churchill Down on April 27.

One reason Rich Strike did not receive more support from horseplayers on the first Saturday in May despite those two fine workouts was he did not get into the Kentucky Derby from the also-eligible list until the morning before the race, thanks to Ethereal Road being withdrawn.

Rich Strike has had two splendid workouts after winning the roses. The Kentucky-bred Keen Ice colt worked four furlongs in :47.20 at Churchill Downs on May 21. It was seventh-best of 138 works at the distance that morning. Rich Strike then worked five furlongs in a bullet :59.00 between races at Churchill on May 30.

Daily Racing Form’s Mike Welsch, who is as sharp as they come when evaluating workouts, has given a great big thumbs up with respect to Rich Strike’s workouts and overall training for the Belmont.

“Any notion that Rich Strike has emptied the tank with his monster performance a month earlier at Churchill Downs may have been finally dismissed once and for all here Tuesday morning,” Welsch wrote. “The Kentucky Derby winner turned in an eye-catching two-mile gallop over the main track following the renovation break.

“From his sharp workout prior to leaving Churchill Downs eight days earlier to this morning’s long and spirited gallop, Rich Strike has given every indication he should be sitting on another strong effort in the finale of this year’s Triple Crown.”

PACE SCENARIO A POSITIVE FOR WE THE PEOPLE

Rich Strike was 17 lengths off the early pace in the Kentucky Derby. Will he be way back like that again in the Belmont? If he is, he almost certainly won’t win, not when the early pace in the Belmont figures to be considerably slower than it was in the Derby.

But if the Belmont pace is moderate, I expect to see Rich Strike closer early than he was in the Derby. Trainer Eric Reed seems to be expecting the same thing being a distinct possibility.

As I said earlier, I was very tempted to make We the People my top pick in the Belmont due to having an apparent pace advantage.

“The likelihood that We the People will be loose on the lead Saturday, over a track at which he just scored a front-running victory in the Peter Pan, propelled We the People to the morning-line favorite over the likes of Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike and six others,” Daily Racing Form’s Jay Privman wrote.

Flavien Prat was aboard We the People in the 1 1/8-mile Peter Pan. Prat again rides the Kentucky-bred Constitution colt in the Belmont.

In the Peter Pan, We the People seized the lead at once and went on to win in isolated grandeur by 10 1/4 lengths on a wet track listed in the chart as good. It would appear that some sort of wet surface, should that be the case, would enhance his chances in the Belmont.

We the People has won three of four lifetime starts. His lone defeat came when he was washy, did not break alertly, raced wide and finished seventh in the Grade I Arkansas Derby on April 2.

While the Belmont will be the first time that We the People has been asked to race farther than 1 1/8 miles, his pedigree suggests he could win at Saturday’s longer trip. His sire is Constitution, who is by Tapit, sire of a record-equaling four Belmont Stakes winners (Tonalist in 2014, Creator in 2016, Tapwrit in 2017 and Essential Quality in 2021). We the People’s dam, Letchworth, is a daughter of Tiznow, who had the class and stamina to become the only two-time winner of the 1 1/4-mile Breeders’ Cup Classic.

The 103 Beyer that We the People received for his Peter Pan victory is the highest figure in the Belmont Stakes field, a bit better than Rich Strike’s 101 in the Kentucky Derby. The only other triple-digit Beyer achieved by a Belmont Stakes starter is Creative Minister’s 100 for when he finished third to Early Voting and Epicenter in the Preakness.

This is another reason I like Rich Strike in the Belmont. The bar is not exactly set high Beyer-wise. Mo Donegal, who without question is a contender, has yet to record a Beyer bigger than the 96 he got for winning the Grade II Wood Memorial and for finishing fifth in the Kentucky Derby.

The lack of a Beyer Speed Figure higher than a 92 is one of the reasons I’m not on the Nest bandwagon. Her trainer, Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher, who also conditions Mo Donegal, has said he believes that Nest will appreciate the distance of Saturday’s Test of the Champion.

Nest is a filly. Pletcher won the 2007 Belmont with a filly, Rags to Riches, who I’ve said a jillion times should be in the Hall of Fame, though I’ve come to grips with the realization she’s probably never going to be enshrined.

I loved Rags to Riches in the Belmont, even though she was going up against Preakness hero Curlin, who would end up being voted a pair of Horse of the Year titles.

Let’s use the time machine for a small portion of what I wrote about the 2007 Belmont Stakes for Xpressbet.com:

“Can’t you picture it? Trainer Todd Pletcher is currently zero for 28 in Triple Crown races. What a story if Pletcher gets his first victory in a Triple Crown event with a filly in the Belmont.

“How about this scenario? Saturday afternoon, Rags to Riches proves she’s great by becoming the first filly to win the Belmont Stakes in more than 100 years. Then, that same evening, we can watch a movie about probably the greatest filly of all time. ESPN Original Entertainment is scheduled to premiere ‘Ruffian’ Saturday night at 9 p.m. ET on ABC.

“Rags to Riches is a filly with a ton of talent who is bred to relish 1 1/2 miles.

“Not only is Rags to Riches by Belmont winner A.P. Indy and a half-sister to Belmont winner Jazil, she is a granddaughter of Belmont winner Seattle Slew. And Rags to Riches’ sire is a grandson of Belmont winner Secretariat.

“Seattle Slew, the sire of A.P. Indy, took the Belmont in 1977 to become the sport’s first -- and still only -- undefeated Triple Crown winner. Seattle Slew also sired Belmont winner Swale.

“I’m sure I don’t have to tell you what Secretariat did in the 1973 Belmont. Secretariat also sired a Belmont winner in Risen Star.

“Additionally, Steve Haskin of The Blood-Horse pointed out this week that Rags to Riches’ broodmare sire, Deputy Minister, sired a Belmont Stakes winner in Touch Gold.

“With the blood of so many Belmont winners coursing through Rags to Riches’ veins, it could bode well for the filly this Saturday.

“I have great respect for Curlin, particularly in light of what we have seen from him in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness. But, after giving the matter much thought, I have come to the conclusion that Rags to Riches is going to become the first filly to win the Belmont Stakes in 102 years.”

That’s exactly what Rags to Riches did. Despite stumbling at the start and racing wide, Rags to Riches prevailed by a head. Curlin had to settle for second. I bet $1,000 to win on Rags to Riches. She returned $10.60 for each $2 win wager.

PENULTIMATE NTRA TOP THREE-YEAR-OLD POLL

Next week, following the outcome of the Belmont Stakes, will be the final NTRA Top Three-Year-Old Poll of 2022.

Epicenter has a slim lead in the poll this week over Early Voting after these two had been tied at the top for the past two weeks. Neither is entered in the Belmont Stakes.

Four horses entered in the Belmont are on the Top 10 in this week’s poll. Rich Strike ranks the highest at No. 3, while Mo Donegal is No. 7, Creative Minister is No. 8 and Nest is No. 10.

This week’s Top 10 on the NTRA Top Three-Year-Old Poll is below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 271 Epicenter (11)
2. 269 Early Voting (10)
3. 215 Rich Strike (8)
4. 208 Zandon
5. 164 Jack Christopher (1)
6. 131 Secret Oath
7. 121 Mo Donegal
8. 58 Creative Minister
9. 48 Simplification
10. 35 Nest

The Top 10 on the NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll this week is below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 261 Country Grammer (18)
2. 253 Letruska (9)
3. 203 Life Is Good (3)
4. 170 Speaker’s Corner
5. 164 Hot Rod Charlie
6. 149 Olympiad
7. 135 Jackie’s Warrior
8. 72 Golden Pal
9. 57 Express Train
10. 49 Flightline

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Delaware Park picks and horses to watch: June 11
Joe Parisi

Delaware Park has an eight-race card on tap this afternoon, Post time for the opener is 12:30 p.m., and we’ve got Delaware Park picks.

Race #1 Picks: 1-2-4-5

Race #2 Picks: 2-4-5-3

Race #3 Picks: 3-4-1-2

Race #4 Picks: 6-7-3-5

Race #5 Picks: 11-12-1-7

Race #6 Picks: 5-3-7-9

Race #7 Picks: 3-7-5-4

This third-level allowance/optional claimer has been taken off the turf and will be run at one mile on the main track. Either way – turf or dirt – looks to be OK with top choice #3 Indian Lake (4-1). The Jamie Ness trainee had no answers for American Patrol last out, but that looks like something a lot of horses will say by the end of the year. Prior he was a good second at Laurel versus similar. The surface switch allows #7 Scar (6-1) to draw in, and while he’s been off since October – and his last wasn’t great – prior form suggests he fits with these. He seems to do his best work when engaged early, and in a compact field and breaking from the outer post, he should be able to find a good spot. Let’s see if a two-month breather gets #5 Bobby G (10-1) back to his better form. He’d been busy before that while keeping good company. #4 Kendama (6-1) will try the main track for the first time today. His breeding suggests that shouldn’t be a problem, but making his first start in almost 18 months around two turns may be, though the work tab looks fine.

Race #8 picks: 8-7-1-2

In this $32,000 claiming race for N2L at 5

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Top Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 11, 2022
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

The only track we’re visiting for my Saturday horse racing picks this week is Belmont Park—where (in case you hadn’t heard) they’re running the third jewel of the Triple Crown of thoroughbred horse racing, the Belmont Stakes.

And that’s not all. Along with the 154th Belmont Stakes (race eleven), Belmont has eight more stakes races on the card—and I have winners picked in all of them.

Before you head on down to the good parts, be sure to check out the full race card at Belmont Park at one of our horse race betting sites.

Good luck!
My Saturday Horse Racing Picks for Belmont Park
Race three — Acorn Stakes (Grade I)

This is a $500,000 purse, one-mile dirt track run for three-year-old fillies. I’m not as impressed with Echo Zulu’s performance as the morning-line appears to be, so I’m backing the second-favored entry (at 6/5) in this short field of five— Matareya, ridden by Flavien Prat.

This bay filly finished in the money six of her seven career starts, winning four. Better still, she’s won all three of her 2022 races, including the Beaumont Stakes (Grade III) at Keeneland in April and the Eight Belles Stakes (Grade II) at Churchill Downs just last month.

Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup veteran Brad H. Cox trains Matareya for owner-breeder Godolphin, LLC.

Incidentally, you may want to buy a value show ticket on the 20/1 longshot in this race: Inventing, piloted by Irad Ortiz, Jr.

Trained by Todd A. Pletcher for owners Repole Stable and Woodford Racing, LLC, Inventing has yet to break her maiden, but she’s posted some good speed figures for her first two attempts.
Race four — Just a Game Stakes (Grade I)

This is a $500,000 purse, one-mile run on the turf course for fillies and mares four years old and upward. My money’s on the second-favorite (at 6/5)—Regal Glory, with Jose L. Ortiz in the irons.

Compared to the rest of this five-horse field, this six-year-old mare has the best of it: 15 money finishes in 18 career starts, eleven of them wins.

That includes her last three runs—the Matriarch Stakes (Grade I) at Del Mar last November, the Pegasus World Cup Filly and Mare Turf Invitational Stakes (Grade III) at Gulfstream Park in January, and the Jenny Wiley Stakes (Grade I) at Keeneland in April.
Regal Glory posted triple digit speed figures in all three races. As the philosopher said, can do.

Chad C. Brown—who trains the top three prospects in this race—handles Regal Glory for owner Peter M. Brant.
Race five — Brooklyn Stakes (Grade II)

This is a $400,000 purse, 1-1/2 miles dirt track run for four-year-olds and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on one of the second-favored entries (there are two horses at 3/1 in this race): Fearless, with Luis Saez aboard.

This six-year-old bay gelding finished 13 of his 15 career starts in the money, winning six. Those wins include the Harlan’s Holiday Stakes (Grade III) last December, and the Ghostzapper Stakes (Grade III) in April—both at Gulfstream Park.
Fearless hasn’t finished out of the money in his last nine races—eight of which were stakes-level matches. He’s got this.

Thoroughbred horse racing Hall of Famer Todd A. Pletcher trains Fearless for Repole Stable.
Race six — Woody Stephens Stakes (Grade I)

This is a $400,000 purse, seven-furlong dirt track run for three-year-olds. I see no reason to disagree with the morning line for this race, so my bet’s on the 1/2 favorite, Jack Christopher, piloted by Jose L. Ortiz.

This chestnut colt won all three of his career starts, starting with his initial maiden attempt last August, then moving on the Champagne Stakes (Grade I) in October here at Belmont Park, then on to the Pat Day Mile Stakes (Grade II) at Churchill Downs last month.

Chad C. Brown trains Jack Christopher for owners Jim Bakke, Gerald Isbister, Coolmore Stud, and Peter M. Brant.
Race seven — Ogden Phipps Stakes (Grade I)

This is a $500,000 purse, 1-1/16 miles dirt track run for fillies and mares four years old and upward. This may be one of the tightest races of the day, but I’m still betting on the 6/5 morning-line favorite, Letruska, ridden by Jose L. Ortiz.
After spending her first professional year winning all the races in Mexico (okay, maybe an exaggeration, but just barely, but she ran six for six down there), the Kentucky native moved back to the States and continued her winning streak.

For the record, the six-year-old bay mare moneyed 21 of her 25 career starts, winning 19. Will she win this race? I wouldn’t bet against her.

Already a legendary trainer in Mexico, Fausto Gutierrez trains Letruska for owner-breeder St. George Stable LLC.
Race eight — Jaipur Stakes (Grade I)

This is the $400,000 purse, six -furlong run on the turf course for three-year-olds and upward. I like the 5/2 favorite, Arrest Me Red, with Irad Ortiz, Jr. aboard.

This four-year-old colt finished in the money seven of his nine career starts, winning six. Those wins include the Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational Stakes (Grade III) last October, the Turf Sprint Championship Stakes (Listed) at Aqueduct in November, and the Twin Spires Turf Sprint Stakes (Grade II) just last month at Churchill Downs.

Longtime Breeders’ Cup veteran Wesley A. Ward trains Arrest Me Red for Lael Stables.
Race nine — Metropolitan Handicap (Grade I)

This is a $1,000,000 purse, one-mile takes race on the dirt track for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting on the second-favored (at 8/5) Speaker’s Corner, with Junior Alvarado in the irons.

This four-year-old bay colt finished in the money eight of his nine career starts, winning six. His three most recent races all resulted in wins, including the Fred W. Hooper Stakes (Grade III) at Gulfstream in January, the Gulfstream Park Mile Stakes (Grade II) in March, and the Carter Handicap (Grade I) at Aqueduct in April.

Hall of Famer and longtime horse racing veteran William I. Mott trains Speaker’s Corner for owner-breeder Godolphin, LLC.

Incidentally, I know that 50/1 longshot—Informative—looks juicy, but resist the temptation.
Race ten — Manhattan Stakes (Grade I)

This is a $750,000 purse, 1-1/4 miles turf course run for four-year-olds and upward. I’m betting on the 3/1 morning-line favorite: Gufo, piloted by Joel Rosario.
Versus a more evenly matched field of competitors, I’m not certain this five-year-old chestnut would make it to the winner’s circle, but against this particular ten-horse field, I believe he has the best of it.

For the record, Gufo moneyed 15 of his 16 career starts, winning eight, including the Pan American Stakes (Grade II) at Gulfstream in April.

Thirty-year horse racing veteran Christophe Clement trains Gufo for Otter Bend Stables, LLC.
Race eleven — Belmont Stakes (Grade I)

This is a $1,500,000 purse, 1-1/2 miles dirt track race for three-year-olds. I’m sticking by my guns and buying a win ticket on the same horse I’ve been touting for weeks—the 7/2 (third-favored) Rich Strike, ridden by Sonny Leon.

Rich Strike surprised everybody earlier this year by winning the Kentucky Derby at the second-longest odds ever in the Derby’s 148 years—80/1.
Frankly, his stats are pretty unimpressive: Five money finishes in eight starts, two of those wins (his maiden and the Kentucky Derby). But I’m not willing to bet against him.

And I’m not betting the favorite (at 2/1) We the People. Despite his gobsmacking ten-length win in the Peter Pan Stakes (Grade III), he performed quite poorly (7th place) in the more predictive Arkansas Derby (Grade I).

By the way: If you want to fill your place and show slots, then go with Mo Donegal to place, and Nest—the lone filly in this race—to show.

Longtime horse racing veteran Eric R. Reed trains Rich Strike for RED TR-Racing, LLC.

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Belmont Stakes Day Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-7-4
Race 2: 3-1/1A-7-6
Race 3: 4-5-2-1
Race 4: 2-3-4-1
Race 5: 3-1-2-5
Race 6: 1-3-6-4
Race 7: 1-5-3-4
Race 8: 8-6-5-4
Race 9: 2-1-3-4
Race 10: 8-4-2-1
Race 11: 1-3-4-8
Race 12: 8-4-7-12
Race 13: 5-4-12-3
**Most Likely: We The People #1 (Race 11)**
**Best Value: Scuttlebuzz #8 (Race 8)**

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Belterra Park Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 1-5-3-4
Race 2: 2-1-4-5
Race 3: 1-4-2-3
Race 4: 1/1A-7-2-3
Race 5: 9-2-7-6
Race 6: 6-1-4-3
Race 7: 1/1A-3-2-5
Race 8: 8-5-2-6
**Most Likely Winner: Hidden Scroll (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Candy Curl (Race 3)**

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Churchill Downs Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-2-6
Race 2: 6-1-3-2
Race 3: 2-7-6-3
Race 4: 1-9-3-8
Race 5: 5-3-4-1
Race 6: 4-6-3-5
Race 7: 6-1-4-9
Race 8: 5-12-10-9
Race 9: 1-6-3-7
Race 10: 7-4-2-6
Race 11: 10-7-4-9
**Most Likely: Montgomery Park #2 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Captain Fantastic #5 (Race 5)**

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Delaware Park Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 2-6-1-3
Race 2: 1-6-2-3
Race 3: 3-6-7-1
Race 4: 3-1/1A-5-4
Race 5: 7-5-1-9
Race 6: 2-6-5-3
Race 7: 7-1-9-10
Race 8: 7-1-5-6
**Most Likely: Miss Corey (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Reel Well (Race 7)**

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Gulfstream Park Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 3-7-11-9
Race 2: 6-11-8-2
Race 3: 3-2-1-4
Race 4: 8-12-1-5
Race 5: 9-4-6-2
Race 6: 12-1-4-8
Race 7: 9-7-3-4
Race 8: 1-6-9-8
Race 9: 5-9-1-4
Race 10: 1-7-5-6
Race 11: 1-2-5-4
Race 12: 6-5-7-8
Race 13: 7-3-5-4
Race 14: 10-4-5-2
**Most Likely Winner: Tapsasional (Race 11)**
**Best Value: Bravo Zulu (Race 3)**

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Lone Star Park Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 1-4-2-7
Race 2: 4-2-7-5
Race 3: 4-6-1-3
Race 4: 8-4-3-6
Race 5: 4-6-5-1
Race 6: 7-5-6-1
Race 7: 6-8-7-5
Race 8: 3-9-6-4
Race 9: 2-6-4-7
Race 10: 5-8-3-10
**Most Likely: Federal Hill #4 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Chaka #8 (Race 4)**

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Monmouth Park Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 6-3-8-4
Race 2: 3-4-5-2
Race 3: 1-7-3-4
Race 4: 2-6-1-3
Race 5: 7-8-1-5
Race 6: 4-1-2-5
Race 7: 6-4-1-3
Race 8: 6-5-1-4
Race 9: 9-1-11-7
Race 10: 5-3-1-2
**Most Likely Winner: Akemi (Race 10)**
**Best Value: Tindari (Race 4)**

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Santa Anita Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-3-6
Race 2: 3-2-5-4
Race 3: 2-6-5-1
Race 4: 2-8-7-3
Race 5: 4-3-2-1
Race 6: 4-3-2-1
Race 7: 2-5-3-1
Race 8: 9-5-3-4
Race 9: 3-4-2-5
Race 10: 10-11-3-5
**Most Likely: Parnelli (Race 9)**
**Best Value: Airkita (Race 10)**

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Woodbine Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 4-8-2-1
Race 2: 6-3-8-1
Race 3: 2-6-4-5
Race 4: 8-2-4-7
Race 5: 4-1-5-3
Race 6: 3-8-7-6
Race 7: 5-8-2-4
Race 8: 2-5-7-3
Race 9: 2-4-3-6
Race 10: 1-9-7-6
**Most Likely Winner: Framed (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Super Dormy (Race 5)**

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Canterbury Park Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-5-6
Race 2: 5-2-1-3
Race 3: 2-6-3-1
Race 4: 4-6-5-2
Race 5: 1-2-5-7
Race 6: 1-6-4-3
Race 7: 1-4-7-2
Race 8: 7-5-2-1
Race 9: 3-5-2-1
**Most Likely Winner: Blame Bishop #5 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Mizzana #1 (Race 5)**

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Charles Town Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 4-3-2-5
Race 2: 4-1-6-7
Race 3: 1-4-7-5
Race 4: 4-1-2-7
Race 5: 1-6-9-5
Race 6: 2-5-4-7
Race 7: 5-4-3-9
Race 8: 7-8-5-2
**Most Likely Winner: Tiz The Reason #4 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Candy Corner #1 (Race 3)**

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Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 1-2-4-5
Race 2: 1-3-4-6
Race 3: 6-5-3-1
Race 4: 6-4-2-1
Race 5: 4-7-3-1
Race 6: 8-1-2-4
Race 7: 7-6-9-1
Race 8: 2-1-4-5
Race 9: 3-1-5-9
**Most Likely Winner: Two Last Words #2 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Leave It To Kitten #1 (Race 2)**

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Laurel Park Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-3-6
Race 2: 6-4-8-9
Race 3: 7-2-1-4
Race 4: 8-1-3-5
Race 5: 3-2-4-7
Race 6: 7-10-6-1
Race 7: 1-6-7-4
Race 8: 9-10-7-6
Race 9: 1-2-5-6
Race 10: 7-9-1-2
**Most Likely Winner: Five Star Phil #4 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Bizzy Bizzy #8 (Race 4)**

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Rocket Picks ��: Churchill Downs, Santa Anita, and Belmont Park for June 11, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

It’s Belmont Stakes Day! The Triple Crown comes to an end today, so let’s send it out in style. For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont Park for the late MIDDLE Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Santa Anita and Churchill Downs for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s go!

Below is our free middle Pick 4 for Belmont Park:

Belmont Park June 11, 2022

Race 4: Just A Game Stakes (G1)

#3 Speak of the Devil might have been the single most impressive horse at Churchill Downs over the Kentucky Derby weekend. She made short work of the Churchill Downs Distaff Mile Stakes, swooping from last and winning in stylish fashion by almost 3 lengths. #2 Regal Glory has been brilliant in 2 starts this year, winning the Pegasus Filly and Mare Turf before taking home the Jenny Wiley Stakes at Keeneland last time out.

Race 5: Brooklyn Stakes (G2)

#7 Fearless should be tough in this spot if he liked the extended distance. #1 Lone Rock is the best horse in the country at this distance, which obviously makes him the one to beat.

Race 6: Woody Stephens Stakes (G1)

#1 Jack Christopher was back in action last time out, making his first start as a 3-year-old, looking nearly exactly like he did as a 2-year-old. He should run even better today, with this being his second start off of the layoff, while 7-furlongs should suit him perfectly. #3 Wit came back a winner last time out in the Bay Shore Stakes, and should move forward off of that effort if he continues to break well from the gate.

Race 7: Ogden Phipps Stakes (G1)

#1 Letruska is back to win her second straight Ogden Phipps. She continues to be a win machine after kicking off her season with 2 easy victories, including the Apple Blossom Handicap at Oaklawn Park last time out. #3 Malathaat looked great in her 4-year-old debut last time out and should be set up well for this race.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 4-7) 2,3,4 / 1,2,3,7 / 1 / 1,3,4 – $18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Picks: Pick 6 Pool the target on Belmont Stakes Day
By J.N. Campbell


Belmont Stakes Day Picks - Saturday, June 11, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-7-4
Race 2: 3-1/1A-7-6
Race 3: 4-5-2-1
Race 4: 2-3-4-1
Race 5: 3-1-2-5
Race 6: 1-3-6-4
Race 7: 1-5-3-4
Race 8: 8-6-5-4
Race 9: 2-1-3-4
Race 10: 8-4-2-1
Race 11: 1-3-4-8
Race 12: 8-4-7-12
Race 13: 5-4-12-3
**Most Likely: We The People #1 (Race 11)**
**Best Value: Scuttlebuzz #8 (Race 8)**

All-STAKES PICK 6 …

LEG 1: (Race 6: Dirt, 7F, Woody Stephens S. (G1), $400k, 3)

There is nothing more gratifying than handicapping a card that is loaded … top to bottom … with Grade 1 races. This is one of the best wagering opportunities outside of the Breeders’ Cup, and it is time to reap the benefits of what heralds a massive pool. Playing the Pick 6 on Belmont Stakes Day, in others words, is a must. As we commence the ‘capping, this G1 has a small field, but it has a major player in Chad Brown’s Jack Christopher #1. The Munnings colt is a “deserving favorite” after he won impressively on the KYD148 undercard at Churchill Downs. That was significant because it was his ’22 debut … not seen since this past fall due to an injury. Missing the BC Juvenile (G1) and the entire Derby Trail was a disappointment, but he is on the rise now. I do not see anyone that can match his talent, and that includes Todd Pletcher’s Wit #3. Brown is on a hot streak right now, and when that happens, he can be very difficult to beat. Jose Ortiz was aboard last year, piloted “Jack” in the Pat Day, and will handle the duties in the “Woody.” I think this is a “Single” without question.

Selections: 1 (Single)



LEG 2: (Race 7: Dirt, 1 1/16th, Ogden Phipps S. (G1), $500k, F&M 4+)

Debaters, pundits, and the lot could make a strong case for the “Phipps” being the toughest race to handicap on the entire Belmont card. You literally could make a strong case for any of these runners. Of course, when it comes to a top selection, I am partial to Fausto Gutierrez’s Super Saver mare, Letruska #1. The “Queen of the Track,” just continues her march towards what amounts to a HOF career. She came back after an Eclipse Award-winning year in ’21, and has already won a pair of races … namely the Apple Blossom (G1) @OP. Jose Ortiz is riding well, and he understands the assignment here: make the lead and control the pace. I think if this 6-yr-old can keep rivals like Todd Pletcher’s Malathaat #3 and Chad Brown’s Search Results #5 at bay, then she has a chance to outlast them all. Gutierrez has managed his top runner’s work tab well, and that is why I think she is a “Single.” This is her race …

Selections: 1 (Single)



LEG 3: (Race 8: Turf, 6F, Jaipur S. (G1), $400k, 3+)

Here is another mountain to climb, but not in the same way as the previous race. Picking a turf sprint winner is like trying to find a microscopic needle in a haystack the size of Everest. But … we will try … This year’s Jaipur S. has a myriad of storylines. Bill Mott’s Casa Creed #4, the defending champ, returns to the U.S. after doing some classy running in Saudi Arabia and Dubai. Regular rider Luis Saez gets the call once again, and this son of Jimmy Creed is going to be slammed at the windows. I doubt that he will be 9/2 when this one goes off. Using him is a must though … he can win. When it comes to my top selection, I am pretty interested in a pair of longer-priced entries. It doesn’t seem like Paulo Lobo’s Greyes Creek #6 is in very good form, but I like his potential odds (which could be as high as 30/1). Ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, who comes to ride from Churchill, the former Chad Brown barnmember could be heard from late in the game. Count on double-digit odds for sure … The other horse that is a rising star is Rudy Rodriguez's Scuttlebuzz #8. Javier Castellano is riding on the grass in sprints particularly well right now. This son of The Factor won the Elusive Quality S. $100k last out, and he clearly likes this turf course. If I could get 6/1, then that constitutes a square price in my book. Others that I want to include on this ticket include, Wesley Ward’s Arrest Me Red #5, Mark Casse’s Filo Di Arianna #9, and Phil D’Amato’s Gregorian Chant #13. What a race this one is going to be … hoping for a juicy boxcar price that will elicit the famous phrase … Bombs away!

Selections: 4/5/6/8/9/13 (6-Deep)



LEG 4: (Race 9: Dirt, Mile, Metropolitan H. (G1), $1 million, 3+)

The titan match-up of the entire weekend is not in the Phipps or even the Belmont Stakes. This year’s Met Mile (G1) is like an Ali-Frazier … McEnroe-Borg … Bird-Magic … moment! We have Bill Mott’s steady-Eddie, Speaker’s Corner #2 going up against the young, inexperienced speed demon trained by John Sadler named Flightline #1. Certainly, the presence of BC Sprint Champion Aloha West #3 should be duly noted, but it is Mott v. Sadler that is going to move the turnstiles, and raise the binoculars. It makes sense to include both of these players, since either has the ability to win this $1M contest. My head bob though goes to Mott’s son of Street Sense. He is a much more seasoned professional than his rival, and Junior Alvarado knows how to manage his speed. Not only can he match wits with Sadler’s ace, but I like very much how he can sustain his speed. Maintaining an energy, marshalling even more when it counts … that is the mark of a versatile runner. The odds will be particularly interesting to watch … my guess is that Flightline, a well-bred son of Tapit, will be the race time favorite, hovering around 4/5. What a match race, with no disrespect meant for the other competitors.

Selections: 1/2 (2-Deep)



LEG 5: (Race 10: Turf, 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2022 Belmont Stakes Picks, Predictions, Odds

Anthony Stabile

VegasInsider horse racing expert Anthony Stabile will be providing his Free Picks and Finish Predictions for key races throughout the prep season and he's focusing on one race for Saturday, June 11, 2022 -- the 2022 Belmont Stakes.
Belmont Stakes Resources

Date: Saturday, June 11, 2022
TV Time: NBC, 5:00 p.m. ET
Race: 13
Distance-Length: Dirt, 1 1/2 Miles
Furlongs: 12
Qualification: Three-year-olds Thoroughbreds
Track: Belmont Park
Location: Elmont, New York
Odds: Belmont Stakes Odds

Belmont Stakes Picks
IF I'M RIGHT...

(3) Nest
(6) Mo Donegal
(1) We The People

SUGGESTED BETS..

EXACTA 3 over 1, 6, 8
TRIFECTA BOX 1, 3, 6, 8

1) WE THE PEOPLE (2-1)

Jockey: FLAVIEN PRAT (Belmont Wins: 0)
Trainer: RODOLPHE BRISSET (Belmont Wins: 0)

PROS

Won the local prep for this race in gate to wire fashion for his third win from just four career starts with his lone defeat coming when unable to control the pace. He appears to be the quickest of this field early and worked sharply over the track last weekend so a clean break from this inside post should once again allow him to dictate the tempo of the race. When he’s on his game he has shown that he just keeps on running.

CONS

Like all of today’s Belmont Stakes runners he has yet to try this 12 furlong distance so maybe that unknown is a bit of a chink in his armor and his big effort in the Peter Pan came over a wet/sealed racetrack that could very well have played a big factor in the outcome. Set as the morning line favorite he is certainly going to take plenty of wagering support.
2) SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING (20-1)

Jockey: MANNY FRANCO (Belmont Wins: 1)
Trainer: SAFFIE JOSEPH, JR. (Belmont Wins: 0)

PROS

Wasn’t very far off of a couple of today’s rivals when competing in high quality spots this spring. His off the pace style suggests that he’ll appreciate the stretch out in distance. His speed figures have been on the improve of late and he’s the longest shot on the board so his backers will be rewarded if he’s able to clunk up late and surprise.

CONS

He has yet to run as fast as several of the contenders and he hasn’t won above the preliminary allowance condition. He will need to run the race of his life in his 11th career start to prove any type of factor.
3) NEST (8-1)

Jockey: JOSE ORTIZ (Belmont Wins: 1)
Trainer: TODD PLETCHER (Belmont Wins: 3)

PROS

Filly has been quite good against her own sex this year, running a big second most recently to Secret Oath in the Kentucky Oaks early last month. She boasts a running style that fits the traditional winning profile of this race as she is tactical enough to secure a spot within a few lengths of the leaders early and her pedigree suggests this increased distance will be right up her alley. She broke her maiden impressively first time out over this track. He trainer was the last to saddle a female Belmont Stakes winner in 2007 with Rags to Riches.

CONS

While she’s been very good in doing what she’s been asked against her own sex, she’s still a bit slow on the figure scale compared to some of the runners she’s going to face in here and will need to take a step forward.
4) RICH STRIKE (7-2)

Jockey: SONNY LEON (Belmont Wins: 0)
Trainer: ERIC REED (Belmont Wins: 0)

PROS

Took a huge step forward at a distance he figured to love in Kentucky, earning a speed figure far and away above anything he’d run before. He wants to run all day which suits him well here and the way he’s been working since the big Kentucky Derby upset suggests he may well be able to position himself a lot closer to the front runners today. The extra time off garnered by skipping the Preakness Stakes has him entering the Test of the Champion as a fresh colt, similar to the break he had prior to taking the first jewel of the Triple Crown.

CONS

Horses are rarely effective attempting to rally from well out of it in this race and he did get a torrid early pace in front of him last time which won’t be the case again today. While he’s shown he’s more than capable of taking advantage and picking up the pieces the longer he goes, he’s going to have to earn the repeat under less favorable conditions.

5) CREATIVE MINISTER (6-1)

Jockey: BRIAN HERNANDEZ, JR. (Belmont Wins: 0)
Trainer: KENNETH MCPEEK (Belmont Wins: 1)

PROS

Enters this on the improved following a solid third place finish in the Preakness stakes behind a couple of runners who do not return today. He’s gotten better as the distances have increased and could well take to today’s added ground. Gray colt is tactical enough to track the likely pacesetter We the People and that could give him the important advantage of getting first run on the latecomers.

CONS

He does return just 3 weeks off the fastest effort of his brief career and maybe that’s enough to keep him from offering his best at the 12 furlong marathon he’ll attempt here.
6) MO DONEGAL (5-2)

Jockey: IRAD ORTIZ, JR. (Belmont Wins: 1)
Trainer: TODD PLETCHER (Belmont Wins: 3)

PROS

He got off to a slow start from the inside draw in the Kentucky Derby and was quickly buried, but he showed a lot of run to pass a bunch of horses and was getting closer as the wire approached. Expect he’ll be able to sit a much better trip in this smaller field and the added ground appears as if it will pose little trouble. Returning to his base should help as well as he did break his maiden over this track last fall. Bypassing the Preakness Stakes, he’s had plenty of time to recover from the 2 fastest races of his career. His late kick may prove to be the one they will all have to fear late.

CONS

Brings an attractive package to the gate but the one thing that could potentially impact him is the lack of pace in front of him.
7) GOLDEN GLIDER (20-1)

Jockey: DYLAN DAVIS (Belmont Wins: 0)
Trainer: MARK CASSE (Belmont Wins: 1)

PROS

He ran a decent second when well behind rival We the People in the Peter Pan here last month. Colt does possess some tactical foot and maybe that helps him sit a decent spot close to the pace early.

CONS

He has yet to run particularly fast and will need to improve significantly to have a say in the outcome at a likely big price here.
8) BARBER ROAD (10-1)

Jockey: JOHN ORTIZ (Belmont Wins: 2)
Trainer: JOEL ROSARIO (Belmont Wins: 0)

PROS

He was far from disgraced while taking the long way around the oval when last sighted in the Kentucky Derby and now he’ll have his blinkers removed. He’s been improving from a speed figure standpoint and though he’s yet to win a stake, he has picked up a handful of minor awards in stakes heats, including one in the Arkansas Derby. He gets a huge rider switch to Joel Rosario and the price will be very right.

CONS

The equipment change doesn’t usually spur an increase in early interest and that’s what this guy will need to show today. He’s another who hasn’t run very fast.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BROWER IN THE BIKE – JUNE 11

By Dave Brower, Meadowlands Handicapper — Early Double Analysis — June 11, 2022

Race 1

1 OUR THIRD ROCK – He’s had several tries here, with only one good one that I can see. I also see that record the past two seasons. So, don’t even think of putting him on top. Maybe underneath, because he drew rail with John C.

2 BRONSONS DELIGHT – Looks like the one to beat tonight. He was good again, from an impossible spot last week. The post relief is immense and hopefully, he’ll be better than he was on May 28. If so, he should finally get a win here.

3 BYTHEWAY HANOVER – As totally expected, he went from awesome to empty again. Talk abought a nightmare for the bettors! How do you figure out this horse? Simply put, you can’t. You just have to guess. Very inconsistent.

4 TEXICAN N – 14YO warhorse goes to the gate for former colleague Danny Figs!!! Nice to see him take a shot and hop in the sulky here. For wagering purposes, I do think his horst will be hard-pressed to make an impact. You never know.

5 SUNSHINE’S FINEST – IF you don’t like #2, this is a decent alternative. Poor horse and pilot haven’t had anything go their way in a long time. So, they are long overdue and this could be the spot, from the ideal midpack post. Must use.

6 BRAZEN BRAZILIAN – Really don’t know what to do with this guy tonight. He’s had some races in the past that would put him right there, but is he sharp now? It’s a legitimate question. That Yonkers line looks awful. Needs bounce back.

7 MV OK PALACIO BR – Here’s another viable closing threat, but I tend to stay away from the big-time closers while it’s still daylight out. The races go so much faster. It’s hard for them to make up ground. Will just hope they mix it up.

8 COLD DECKED – Managed to pick up a check from post 10 last week, so that’s a good thing. But, this post isn’t all that better! There are plenty of other closers in here, and they drew inside the Deck. That doesn’t help.

9 WAVES OF FIRE A – Yarock takes over on this veteran, and he’s going to look this field over and know that he HAS to leave. He won’t be sweeping these from last. So, might as well take a shot and send. Maybe get a trip after that?

DRIVER CHOICES: None

Top Contenders 2-5-9-7

Race 2

1 ALL ABOUT THE HUNT – Nice colt here! One of two sons of Huntsville for the Burke Brigade. Did not race at two, so he probably was immature or not ready. The progression in qualifiers has been strong. He looks ready to me now! Stevie Smith with a Burke pickup! He has driven winners for this barn before.

2 CAPTAINGIDDYUPNGO – Did a decent job of chasing #1 in that last qualifier, but I didn’t see him as a true match on that particular morning. Of course, races at night can be a lot different. Gets a better post. Tony a birthday boy this wk.

3 STONEBRIDGE REEF – This will probably be the favorite, and I can’t argue with that. He’s race ready, with three starts under his belt already. That field on May 21was WAY too tough. This is more like it. Decent speed at Philly.

4 RIVER NESS – Tossed in a clunker against #3 last month, but something probably wasn’t right. Not sure what happened in first qualifier, but he looked much better in the second. I guess I’ll take a good long look at him on track.

5 GOTAFOOLISHDESIRE – Looks like the longshot in here that appears overmatched. He will have tough time vs. these.

6 GROOVY MAN – Perhaps the key to the race? Because he’s got some good early speed. He’s also by Huntsville, so let’s call this the Huntsville Open! Will just need to find a little more mile track stamina. Pilot will make that happen.

DRIVER CHOICES: None

Top Contenders 3-1-6-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2022 Belmont Stakes Cheatsheet
By TwinSpires Editorial Team, Sponsored Content

By Vance Hanson (TwinSpires)

1. WE THE PEOPLE (2-1) – Triple Crown series newcomer was made the early favorite for this based not only because of his emphatic victory in the Peter Pan (G3), but also the possibility he might reproduce that favorable trip (even going an extra three furlongs) as the potential lone speed from an inside draw; late-developer was so well thought of that connections tossed him in the Arkansas Derby (G1) third out, and he might have made a bigger impact against that group if he not gotten worked up so much in the preliminaries; his form has otherwise been excellent; unless the slop flattered him last out and/or more pressure is applied him, he looks the one they’ll have to reel in.

2. SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING (20-1) – Mo Donegal and Early Voting in their own ways flattered their Wood Memorial (G2) form, but this colt didn’t take much of a step forward at all in the Preakness (G1), finishing farther behind Early Voting than he had at Aqueduct; fairly well-exposed at this point with 10 starts behind him, he’ll naturally have to improve significantly to make an impact against these as one of the field’s longest prices.

3. NEST (8-1) – Barn knows what it takes to beat the boys in this race as they sent out Rags to Riches to edge Curlin in this back in 2007, ending a century-long drought for fillies; the difference is that Rags to Riches won the Kentucky Oaks (G1) decisively and her effort compared favorably with those of the first two legs of that year’s Triple Crown; this daughter of Curlin lost the Oaks and was simply second best that day, and this year’s edition wasn’t as fast (Secret Oath subsequently lost the Preakness by a fair margin); those are the obstacles this filly will have to overcome, though connections certainly feel she’ll give a good account; has several lengths to find, though, and best case scenario might be equaling the effort of My Flag, who ran third in 1996.

4. RICH STRIKE (7-2) – Produced the biggest upset in modern Kentucky Derby (G1) history with a ground-saving run from the back, aided in part by a ridiculously fast pace unlikely to be replicated here; purposely sidestepped the Preakness to aim for this, and connections have long emphasized his preference for gaps between starts, so we should have a horse ready to run to his ability again; what that really is and will be is a bit hard to say as that effort five weeks ago was such an outlier; he might simply be a lover of Churchill – both his wins have been there; the misconception that since this race is so long that it must be favorable to deep closers is generally a false one, so circumstances are sure to be more challenging for him at a far, far shorter price this time.

5. CREATIVE MINISTER (6-1) – Continues to be asked a lot at such an early point in his career, but since debuting three months ago he’s accepted the challenges well; interestingly the only horse in the field to have competed on both the Derby and Preakness cards, he earned a $150,000 supplement to the Preakness after an impressive allowance in Louisville; he got his money back when third best behind Early Voting and Epicenter, a good showing considering his relative lack of experience; wouldn’t put it past him running another good one as he’s handled the *****s of frequent competition so far, and barn had success in this race 20 years ago.

6. MO DONEGAL (5-2) – A slow start and the decision to take him wide for the stretch run cost him in the Derby as Rich Strike, who raced alongside him a good deal early, saved much more ground when making his winning rally; Essential Quality last year and several other Derby alumni recently have won the Belmont after skipping the Preakness, including Pletcher trainees Palace Malice and Tapwrit; his Wood Memorial win was flattered by Early Voting’s score at Pimlico, and he was an obvious go-to Belmont horse to latch on to after his run at Churchill; perhaps will be a touch overbet as he wasn’t, unlike Essential Quality, arguably best at Churchill, but otherwise a logical candidate.

7. GOLDEN GLIDER (20-1) – Relative class was pretty much determined from his prep runs at Tampa and Keeneland – this wasn’t a potential Kentucky Derby upsetter (though the same was said about Rich Strike!); at least his run in the Peter Pan resulted in a better placing, but again he wasn’t in the same league as the winner, and he just barely scraped home second best in a photo; must improve a number of lengths still to have a chance in this deeper spot.

8. BARBER ROAD (10-1) – Earned a reputation over the winter as a hard-knocking type who was fairly reliable at getting a piece of the purse at nice odds; the Oaklawn road to the Kentucky Derby was not highly rated, however, thus his huge price at Churchill Downs; but even there he lived up to his reputation with a better-than-expected sixth-place finish; surely the pace meltdown helped contribute to that, and as noted that pace scenario will be virtually impossible to recreate here; shades come off, and as usual he’s best used underneath in vertical exotics rather than as a win prospect.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Piassek's Plays: Tempting Trio for Belmont Stakes Day
by John Piassek

Belmont Park, Race 5, $400,000 Brooklyn Stakes, post time 1:47 p.m. ET
weekend TV schedule

#1 Lone Rock: A field of seven older horses will race 1 1/2 miles on the dirt main track in this one. Lone Rock has established himself as the country's top long-distance horse over the past year. One of his most high-profile wins came in last year's Brooklyn, when he won by 11 lengths in a dominant performance. Since then, he's won five stakes races, with four of them coming at 1 1/2 miles or longer. He has lots of early speed and a perfect draw for his running style. If he breaks cleanly, he can protect rail position and open up a long, lonely lead. From there, he'll coast to another Brooklyn Stakes win.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$5 to win on 1

$5 exacta: 1 with 3

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$10 to win on 1

$9 exacta: 1 with 3

$2 trifecta: 1 with 3 with 2, 4, 7 ($6 total)

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$20 to win on 1

$18 exacta: 1 with 3

$4 trifecta: 1 with 3 with 2, 4, 7 ($12 total)

Belmont Park, Race 11, $1.5 million Belmont Stakes Presented by NYRA Bets, post time 6:44 p.m. ET

Click image to purchase shirt.

#1 We the People: This year's "Test of the Champion" drew a field of eight as we bring down the curtain on this year's Triple Crown series. We the People attracted plenty of buzz after his last start, when he won the Peter Pan Stakes by 10 1/4 lengths in a dominant gate-to-wire effort. Some have said that he won't get as easy a trip in the Belmont; however, I'm not sure that's the case. There's no one else in here who has much early speed. As such, We the People should be able to get to the front and set a very leisurely early pace. If he can turn down the fractions enough, no one will be able to catch up and he'll cruise down the stretch. He's the slight morning-line favorite, so I'm not expecting a great price on him. However, I see him as the most likely winner and I'm anticipating a repeat of his Peter Pan performance.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$6 to win on 1

$4 exacta: 1 with 5

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$18 to win on 1

$7 exacta: 1 with 5

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$35 to win on 1

$15 exacta: 1 with 5

Belmont Park, Race 13, post time 8:05 p.m. ET

#4 Shamalamadingdong: The finale on the card is a New York-bred allowance race at six furlongs on the grass. Nine of the 12 horses in the main body of the field have already lost a race at this level, and only one has both won on grass and never lost against winners. That's Shamalamadingdong, who races for Christophe Clement and Joel Rosario. She broke her maiden in her second career grass start and first start of the year last out, stalking the pace and drawing off to win handily. She's shown great tactical speed and has lots of room for improvement in the second start of her 3-year-old season. At a 6-1 morning line, she's very likely to make a great bet.

Strategy on a $10 Budget

$7 to win on 4

$3 exacta: 4 with 12

Strategy on a $25 Budget

$15 to win on 4

$10 exacta: 4 with 12

Strategy on a $50 Budget

$28 to win on 4

$15 exacta: 4 with 12

$1 trifecta: 4 with 12 with 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 9, 11 ($7 total)

Year-To-Date Statistics

45 starts: 8 wins, 7 seconds, 7 thirds

$10 Budget Plays: $450 bet, $368.20 returned

$25 Budget Plays: $1,125 bet, $1,030.95 returned

$50 Budget Plays: $2,250 bet, $2,073.14 returned

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Neil Greenberg

Trifecta betting strategy

1 with 2, 3, 5, 6 with 2, 3, 5, 6 for $6
3 with 2, 5, 6 with 2, 5, 6 for $3
2, 5, 6 with 3 with 2, 5, 6 for $3
2, 5, 6 with 2, 5, 6 with 3 for $3

Superfecta betting strategy

1 with 2, 3, 5, 6 with 2, 3, 5, 6 with ALL for $6
3 with 2, 6 with 1, 2, 5, 6 with ALL for $3
2 with 3 with 5, 6 with ALL for $1
2 with 5 with 3 with ALL for 50 cents

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Drape

Rich Strike
Mo Donegal
We the People

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jake Rill

Mo Donegal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Melissa Hoppert

Mo Donegal
Creative Minister
We the People

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pickwise

Mo Donegal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Fallica

$2 exacta box 2-5-6-7-8 ($40)
$2 exacta 5/all ($14)
$2 exacta 8/all ($14)
$2 exacta 5/1-2-6-7-8 ($10)
$1 exacta all/5 ($7)
$1 exacta all/8 ($7)
$1 exacta 1-2-6-7-8/5 ($5)
$1 trifecta 5/all/all ($42)
$1 trifecta all/5/all ($42)
$1 trifecta all/all/5 ($42)
$1 trifecta 8/all/all ($42)
$1 trifecta all/8/all ($42)
$1 trifecta all/all/8 ($42)
$10 win-place 5, 8 ($40)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay Ginsbach

Mo Donegal
Nest
Golden Glider

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Strausberg

Exacta Box - Mo Donegal and Nest.
Trifecta Box - Mo Donegal, Nest, and We The People.
Superfecta Box - Mo Donegal, Nest, We The People and Creative Minister

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes

#6 Mo Donegal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Burgos

Rich Strike

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EDDIE OLCZYK’S

$52 WIN: WE THE PEOPLE
$10 EXACTA PART-WHEEL: WE THEPEOPLE over MO DONEGAL,CREATIVE CAUSE,BARBER ROAD ($30)
$2 TRIFECTA KEY: WE THE PEOPLE over MO DONEGAL, CREATIVE CAUSE and BARBER ROAD ($12)
$1 TRIFECTA KEY: MO DONEGAL,CREATIVE CAUSE, BARBER ROAD withWE THE PEOPLE with MO DONEGAL,CREATIVE CAUSE, BARBER ROAD ($6)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ashley Mailloux

MO DONEGAL
CREATIVE MINISTER
RICH STRIKE
WE THE PEOPLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel

$60 Win: RICH STRIKE ($60)
$5 Exacta Box: RICH STRIKE, MO DONEGAL, NEST ($30)
$5 Exacta Box: RICH STRIKE, WE THE PEOPLE ($10)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeremy Plonk

$60 Exacta: MO DONEGAL over RICH STRIKE
$40 Exacta: MO DONEGAL over NEST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Naomi Tukker

CREATIVE MINISTER
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING
MO DONEGAL
WE THE PEOPLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michelle Yu

MO DONEGAL
RICH STRIKE
WE THE PEOPLE
NEST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millie Ball

WE THE PEOPLE
MO DONEGAL
BARBER ROAD
NEST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Quigley

CREATIVE MINISTER
WE THE PEOPLE
BARBER ROAD
MO DONEGAL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ron Nicoletti

WE THE PEOPLE
MO DONEGAL
CREATIVE MINISTER
NEST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Dinerman

MO DONEGAL
WE THE PEOPLE
NEST
BARBER ROAD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau

WE THE PEOPLE
RICH STRIKE
MO DONEGAL
CREATIVE MINISTER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Peter Lurie

WE THE PEOPLE
MO DONEGAL
NEST
RICH STRIKE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 11, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Tonight, Northfield Park has a big 15-race card with the headliner coming in Race 11, the Battle of Lake Erie with a $200,000 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 also starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Sectionline Bigry (10-1)-Has hit the board in 5 of 9 starts at Nfld and is in fine form. Hoosier shipper has big gate speed and is worth a swing at this price. Miller should get a good early seat and remain in striking range throughout.
4-Ocean Rock (3-1)-Classy 5-year-old like this oval hitting the board in 6 of 7 starts with 4 wins. Beat Open company at ScD in a sharp win in last. Noble should have the pedal down and could get on the point and not look back.

Race 12

1-Carolina Beach (4-1)-Merriman's choice deserves respect versus this group. This veteran has cashed many checks here over the years and this post draw won't hurt chances for another picture.
2-Dancin Dragon (5-1)-Joe B gets the assignment as Merriman stuck with the one above. Will need a top try to best this kind but has very good gate speed and a driver who knows how to race on the point.
8-Bernie (8-1)-This could be the best horse in the field and the post makes the price. Has hit the board in 18 of 19 this year, all at Nfld and fits well here. Has the gate speed to land in a good seat and then it will be up to Hall to provide a sharp steer.

Race 13

2-Adorabella (5-1)-Myers should leave and race near the top, might benefit from a 2-hole trip. Looking for a strong try from this 9-time winner in 2022.
8-Ellagator (10-1)-Here is another who is quick off the gate and a driver in Davis Jr. who is aggressive. Could blast out and get on the engine and be tough to catch at a square price.

Race 14

1-Fiftyshadesofbliss (9/2)-Going to fade the 9/5 program choice #3 who is 0-20 this year. This race is not formful, but this mare had a decent effort in her last start from the 9-hole coming off a sick scratch. Comes back in sequence and looking for Irvine to stay in the hunt at a solid price.
6-Santafe's MJ (7-1)-Gets the services of Davis Jr. and he knows well. Tries hard and could down this field at a nice price with the right trip.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

1,4/1,2,8/2,8/1,6
Total Bet=$24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 6-11-22

June 11, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 3-Smokin Cheena; 5-Vegas Magic

Forecast: Let’s focus on the filly with a good race over the track, Smokin Cheena, in this five-furlong dash for 2-year-olds. A strong runner-up in a fairly quick race last month, the state-bred daughter of Smokem has every reason to step forward for a barn that has decent stats with the second-time starter angle, so unless there is a good thing among the newcomers, she seems fairly solid. Vegas Magic has trained the best of the debut runners and is worth including in rolling exotic play. The daughter of Good Magic probably won’t show her best stuff until the distances increase, but the D. O’Neill-trained filly could make some noise from off the pace. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.

Notable Workouts:

Lt’s Choice (June 4, 5f, 1:01.1hg). Grade: C+
Ridden most of the way in team gate drill inside for K. Desormeaux while second best with Bear Mountain (same time, a length in front when eased up after five furlongs) and Honey’s Hope (5f, 1:03.4hg), splits of :24.1, :36 flat, :48.2 and 1:01.2 on our watches, moderate drill under the circumstances. Let’s see one first.
View Workout Video

She’s So Fancy (June 1, Santa Anita, 3f, :35.2hg). Grade: C+
Walked out of the gate, then rushed up to blow past an unidentified break-and-easer while displaying good zip for a juvenile, splits of :25.1, :37 flat and :49.3 for a full half mile on our watches, much slower than given (clockers didn’t account for slow break, most likely picked her up at the 5/8ths pole and tagged on :13 seconds). Stanford filly has talent but needs to leave with her field and that may be problematic in her upcoming debut.
View Workout Video

Vegas Magic (June 5, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3hg). Grade: B-
Went slower than given but looked okay for D. O’Neill while much best over Roenick (5f, 1:02.1hg, off slowly, three lengths back when eased up), splits of :26 flat, :38 flat, :50 flat and 1:02.2 on our watches before galloping out to the wire in 1:15.4. Wasn’t asked at all early and picked up with some energy when let run in the final stages. Good Magic filly probably will be a distance type down the road.
View Workout Video


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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: X
Single: 2-With This Vow

Forecast: With This Vow (TOC=3/5; ML=9/5) should beat this field but there is a question about her ability to step up and handle this nine-furlong distance. The pace projects to be soft, so if she can establish the running without pressure she might be able to hang on. We’ll put her on top in this five-runner affair but at 9/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower she probably won’t be offering much wagering value.


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RACE 3: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: B+
Single: 6-Priano

Forecast: Priano (TOC=95; ML=5/2) was eased in a turf sprint in January and hasn’t been out since, so we’ll assume there was a reason for the poor performance. The son of Tiznow lands the cozy outside post, shows a healthy, steady series of workouts, and will be tough if he can repeat his Los Alamitos debut win from last December. The M. Glatt-trained colt is reunited with A. Cedillo and projects to be on or near the lead throughout, so at 5/2 on the morning line he’s a gamble in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.


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RACE 4: Post: 2:33 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference: 8-Angelcents; 2-Dancing Crane

Forecast: Angelcents (TOC=3-1; ML=5/2) specializes in these five-furlong turf sprints (she’s four-for-seven). Away since November, the daughter of Goldencents can fire fresh and if she’s anywhere close to her best she’ll most likely daylight this field. Dancing Cane (TOC=7/5; ML=3-1) can stalk and pounce if necessary and that’s the likely strategy for the M. Glatt-trained daughter of Tapiture, who just won a first-level race over the local lawn last month with a gate-to-wire trip. She’s the one the analytics prefer. We’re expecting the winner to be one of these two, with preference on top to Angelcents.

Notable Workouts:

Angelcents (April 9, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.4h). Grade: B
Haven’t seen her in the a.m. for a couple of months but back in April she appeared to have all of her speed, tearing off from the pole and then finishing on her own courage, final three furlongs in :11.1 and :36.2 while leaving Joe Don Looney (4f, :50.2h) far behind. Five-furlong specialist is very tough to catch when she’s on her game.
View Workout Video


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RACE 5: Post: 3:15 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Gerlach’s; 4-Big Hand; 2-Gold Rush County

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this extended main track sprint for state-bred first-level allowance older horses. Gerlach’s (TOC=7/5; ML=5/2) seems properly spotted to extend his winning streak to three. He has the ideal second flight, stalking style for this six and one-half furlong distance, and while his numbers are just average he is a genuine and consistent sort and likely to fire another big shot. Big Hand (TOC=5-1; ML=3-1) gets off the rail and is better than his last race shows. A repeat of his clever maiden win two races back puts him right there. Gold Rush Candy (TOC=6-1; ML=4-1) has trained well for his comeback, and while he’s tackling older today he may have upside that the others don’t. The lightly raced son of Danzing Candy returns with Lasix and always has been fairly well regarded.

Notable Workouts:

Gold Rush Candy (May 26, Santa Anita, 5f, :59hg). Grade: B
Decent gate drill for S. McCarthy while even but slightly best with Mastering (same time), splits of :24.1, :35.2, :47 flat and :59.3 on our watches, a few ticks slower than given but without need of undue urging. Seems to be coming back well after breaking his maiden in his second start last summer at Del Mar before being stopped on. Eligible to state-bred non-winners of two.
View Workout Video


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RACE 6: Post: 4:20 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 2-Connie Swingle; 1-Rose Dawson

Forecast: Connie Swingle (TOC=4/5; ML=5/2) was a thoroughly convincing winner over this course and distance last month and seems likely to score right back in this open allowance sprint for sophomore fillies. She has excellent tactical speed, can quicken when set down, and is likely to go lower than her morning line of 5/2. Her Phil D’Amato-trained stable mate, Rose Dawson (TOC=6-1; ML=3-1), is undefeated in two starts but hasn’t been out since winning the Cal Cup Oaks in January, so it’s possible she’s using this race as a tightener for a stretch-out. She did win sprinting in her debut, so she has to be respected. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with Connie Swingle the logical top pick.

Notable Workouts: 5

Rose Dawson (June 5, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B-
In blinkers, late changing leads but did okay inside Ma France (same time), slow early, decent late without being asked much, final quarter mile in :24.2. Deep-closing daughter of Grazen is unbeaten in two starts including the Cal Cup Oaks in January, has never really been much of a worker.
View Workout Video

Blushing (June 3, Santa Anita, 4f, :49h). Grade: C+
Pulled early and was getting out on the turn, then was quite erratic through the lane while being asked, splits of :24 flat and :49 flat to the wire before being allowed to gallop out to the seven-furlong pole in 1:02 and change. Was unbeaten in two starts in the French provinces last year but probably needs racing and experience on this much circuit.
View Workout Video


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RACE 7: Post: 4:55 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 1-Hooper; 3-High Connection

Forecast: We’ll zero in on the two S. McCarthy entrants in this year’s edition of the Affirmed S.-G3, with preference on top to recent maiden winner Hooper (TOC=4-1; ML=4-1. A fast, highly rated sprint winner last month, the son of Declaration of War should not have any difficultly with the stretch-out around two turns and we suspect he’ll have his best chance if sent from the rail to establish the running. We’re going to assume that leading rider J. Hernandez had his pick, and it may be significant that he jumps off Hooper to pilot High Connection (TOC=5/2; ML=2-1). Though disappointing as the 3/5 favorite in a first-level allowance miler last time out (a slow break cost him), the son of Connect continues to impress in the a.m. and should be given a chance to make amends.

Notable Workouts:

Hopper (June 4, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B-
Solo five furlong move, breezing to the top in :24 flat and :36 flat, was mostly in hand through the lane although nudged just a little late to finish up in 1:01 flat on our watches, slower than given but decent enough (always has been more willing when in company). Dam was a world class 12-furlong performer in her day (preferred the lead) so we suspect this colt will handle a distance of ground just fine using pace-pressing tactics.
View Workout Video

Doppelganger (June 4, Santa Anita, 5f, :59h). Grade: B+
In company with Newgrange (5f, :59.4h) and left that one five lengths behind in the final furlong, drawing away in sharp style while being ridden through the lane, splits of :23.3, :35 flat and :59 flat, quite not while flashing improvement over recent disappointing races. May be ready to perk up a bit, workmate was disappointing while losing his steam noticeably in the closing stages.
View Workout Video

High Connection (June 4, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B
In blinkers, nice work without being asked much, final half mile in :23.3 and :47.3 for S. McCarthy. Disappointed at 3/5 in first-level allowance race after a runaway maiden sprint win. Probably will improve but needs to verify his initial (very favorable) impression next time out.
View Workout Video

Newgrange (June 4, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.4h). Grade: C+
See Doppelganger, above,
View Workout Video


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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 2-Fenestra; 3-Barristan The Bold

Forecast: Front-running Fenestra (TOC=7/5; ML=4-1) lost a toughie when nosed out in a similar turf sprint for starter allowance company and today he’ll have to negotiate an extra half furlong, but the V. Cerin-trained colt projects as the controlling speed once again and should be tough to catch with even the slightest amount of improvement. In the frame in six of seven career stats, the lightly raced six-year-old gelding is solid on numbers and the preferred pick on top. Barristan The Bold (TOC=3-1; ML=4-1) is a course specialist (three wins) and is the most dangerous of the closers. Fourth when beaten less than a length in the same race Fenestra exits, the English-bred gelding will be bearing down late, and with clear sailing could be tough to contain. Both should be used in rolling exotics play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Fenestra on top.


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RACE 9: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 4-Affable; 5-Bold Endeavor; 2-Arkaan

Forecast: Here’s a spread affair for second-level allowance middle distance performers on dirt. Affable (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) was in too steep in the Shear Mile behind Royal Ship but even being beaten almost eight lengths the son of Flatter earned a career top speed figure. The M. Glatt-trained colt projects to enjoy a pace-stalking trip and have every chance from there. Glatt’s other starter, Bold Endeavor (TOC=7/2; ML=5-1), was rusty in his comeback when a distant fourth behind Defunded, who came out of the race to finish an excellent second in the Santa Anita Handicap-F1. He should be tighter and sharper today, so a forward move can be expected. b>Arkaan (TOC=4-1; ML=4-1) stretches out after a couple of sprints on grass and seems sure to employ front-running strategy. It’s questionable whether he really wants to run this far, but if not policed he could get brave.


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RACE 10: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: B
Single: 5-True Patriot

Forecast: True Patriot turned in a pleasing performance when second over this turf course in a similar maiden state-bred sprint for fillies and mares last month. She had a dream run from off the pace but kept to her task while grinding away to the wire, and with that race under her belt and today’s extra half-furlong to work with the daughter of Clubhouse Ride appears ready to win. Let’s take a stand and make her a straight play and rolling exotic single at or near her morning line of 4-1.

Notable Workouts:

I’ll Take the Soup (May 15, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4hg). Grade: C+
Went slower than given and wasn’t impressive while proving best over Seven Exes (5f, 1:02hg), splits of :24.3, :36.2, :48.1 and 1:02 flat, rough changing leads entering the lane and losing his steam while winding up a couple of lengths clear of workmate. Square Eddie filly is a down the road through we suspect she can do a bit better on grass.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #4
Picks Notes
#1 Hey Ma She ran okay here last year when racing for more than three times the price, and she might be able to fire fresh after tailing off at Turfway in December. Might have to be aggressive from the fence.
#4 Victoria's Doll She caught a runaway winner in the debut try, but she's definitely not exposed with only that one start under her belt, as many of these have had their share of chances. Very tough with any improvement.
#3 New China She's another logical player as she drops back into the maiden claiming ranks after trying much better on the turf last time out. The team took her out of the debut, tried to get something better out of her, and now here she is right back in a very logical spot.
Race Summary With most eyes on Belmont today, here are a few potential plays that might fly under the radar. Hey Ma might get a little overlooked as something like the third choice behind the other listed pair, and I think she might like this kind of level with the locals.

Hawthorne - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Remember the Maine Pretty interested in this one after the mild rally with allowance company last out, as he wasn't too far off these in the two-back run and figures to benefit from a solid pace today.
#4 Omar Attack Think he gets a similar setup to the top choice, and he proved a really good fit with this kind of company last out. Looks like one of the obvious players.
#3 Red Hot Devil He benefits if this comes over to the dirt, as he would probably be the inside pace with a chance to run all the other forward players off their feet.
Race Summary Remember the Maine looks interesting at what should be a mid-range price, as he's run well on the grass in the past and looks likely to get a pretty good race flow to work with today.

Hawthorne - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 Chipofftheoldblock Overall he looks a touch cheap for these, but that two-back effort behind Jackie's Warrior was really sharp, and I think he might be able to get the right kind of first-jump trip today.
#10 What's Up Dude Think he might be able to settle off the splits and hope some of the pace starts coming back, and his very best stuff keeps him in the frame today.
#9 Isolate He should be in the picture early with his pace, but I worry that he might get a touch outrun early, leaving to have to try to finish from off the splits.
Race Summary Lots of respect for #2 Kneedeepinsnow, but he doesn't always back up his big efforts, and he figures to take some cash here. Chipofftheoldblock would be interesting at anything like his 8/1 ML price, as he looks in line for an advantageous trip and has shown some solid talent in the past.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Northfield Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#6 CAMPUS QUEEN Parlayed perfect trip into easy victory, steps up in class.
#2 JANS LEGACY Useful try with first-time Lasix from second-tier starting spot last out.
#4 BEARCREEKHONEY Failed as the odds-on favorite in 3 of her last 5 starts.
Race Summary Campus Queen worked out a perfect trip from post 8, bid 3-wide past the dueling leaders on the backstretch and held safe to win for the 22nd time in 96 starts. Play a 6/2,4/ALL trifecta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#2 TWIN B HEART THROB Rallied for big upset in 1:51.3 two back, versatility a plus.
#8 JOELSYY HANOVER No match for top one, but running style suits this spot.
#7 ROCKAWAY BAY Also projects ideal trip from off the pace, use underneath in gimmicks.
Race Summary Twin B Heart Throb sprung a 23-1 upset two starts back and, just as important, showed a passing gear that could come in handy again with several front-end types surrounding him. Bet to win and place.

Scioto Downs - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 BETTOR OF THE WEST Can handle class rise with move forward off last pair.
#5 HAVEFAITHINME N No threat in 1:49.3 on drop out of open company, seeks 40th win.
#4 CHIEF MATE Usually makes middle move, will have to time it right today.
Race Summary Bettor of the West blazed through a :55.1 middle half two back and just missed in a photo finish, then he rallied first-over for third in a slower-paced race. He was heavily bet in both starts and could reward his loyal backers today. Play 3-4 and 3-5 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Stakes Free Picks, Predictions and Preview (6/11/22)
numberFire Racing

Race 3 – Acorn Stakes (Gr 1)

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1 - Dream Lith - Won twice as a two-year-old, including the Grade 2 Golden Rod Stakes at Churchill Downs but has struggled in graded company this year.

2 - Inventing - Runner-up in maidens at Gulfstream and Belmont on both her starts, the latter over this trip. Needs a huge amount of improvement.

3 - Divine Huntress - Won twice in minor company over the winter and has contested Grade 2/3 events since, running her best race when fourth to Interstatedaydream in the Black-Eyed Susan at Pimlico last time. Needs to find more on the top two.

4 - Matareya - Was successful in only one of her four races last year, but has won all three so far this year, the Grade 3 Beaumont Stakes at Keeneland and the Grade 2 Eight Belles Stakes at Churchill Downs on her last two. She justified short odds for her last win after edging ahead of Pretty Birdie in the final furlong. The step back up to a mile should be in her favor.

5 - Echo Zulu - Had won her first five starts, including the Spinaway, Frizette and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies at Del Mar last year, and the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks in March, but suffered her first defeat in the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs last time. She was prominent throughout in a strongly-run race there and did well to hang on for fourth, but had a hard race. This drop back from 9f should suit her, but she has to give weight away all round.

Verdict:
Matareya is taken to make use of the 3 lbs she receives from Echo Zulu and extend her winning sequence. These two stand out, while Divine Huntress looks best of the others.
Race 4 – Longines Just A Game Stakes (Gr 1)

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1 - Leggs Galore - Is in good form and has been successful on all three of her starts this year, including the Grade 2 Buena Vista Stakes and the listed Mizdirection Stakes, both at Santa Anita, on her most recent outings, but this will be her first attempt at Grade 1 company.

2 - Regal Glory - Was only fourth in this race last year, but is a better performer now and has won her last three starts, including the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley at Keeneland, where she put up her best effort to beat Shantisara by a length last time.

3 - Speak of The Devil - Trained last year in France, and she made an eye-catching US debut in the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile at Churchill Downs, beating two of her rivals here, In Italian and Wakanaka. Difficult to see either of those reversing the form this time.

4 - In Italian - Won three successive races, including the Grade 3 Honey Fox Stakes at Gulfstream, before finding Speak of The Devil too good in the Distaff Turf Mile at Churchill Downs last time.

5 - Wakanaka - Last year’s Italian 1000 Guineas winner, has been placed in the Grade 3 Honey Fox Stakes at Gulfstream (second behind In Italian) and the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile at Churchill Downs (third to Speak of The Devil and In Italian) on her last two starts. Hard to see her turning that form around.

Verdict:
Trainer Chad Brown’s attempt at a fifth successive win in this race came unstuck last year, but he’s three-handed again this time (all owned by Peter Brant) and Speak of The Devil should get the better of her stable-companion Regal Glory, with the same combination’s In Italian third best.

Race 6 – Woody Stephens Stakes (Gr 1)

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1 - Jack Christopher - Has won all three of his races, including the Champagne Stakes at Belmont last October and the Grade 2 Pat Day Mile at Churchill Downs in May, the latter by nearly four lengths from Pappacap. He’s open to further improvement and is difficult to oppose despite the drop in trip here (had already taken Pappacap’s measure at the furlong pole last time).

2 - Pappacap - Second to Corniche in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, and was almost back to that form when runner-up to Jack Christopher in the Grade 2 Pat Day Mile at Churchill Downs last time. Has nearly four lengths to make up on that winner here, but could close the gap over this furlong shorter trip.

3 - Wit - Has been in the first three in all his five races, including when placed in two Grade 1s as a two-year-old, and made a winning reappearance in the Grade 3 Bay Shore Stakes at Aqueduct, where he gained the verdict only on the nod from Highly Respected, but he did well to catch that rival. More required here though.

4 - Morello - Has run only at Aqueduct, winning his first three starts, the latest the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes by four and a half lengths. Was slowly into his stride, never got involved, and was beaten a long way when favorite for the Grade 2 Wood Memorial last time. Plenty to prove now.

5 - Chasing Time - Won an optional claimer at Oaklawn in January, but has had his limitations exposed in graded company over trips between 6f and 9f since, third in the Grade 3 Chick Lang Stakes at Pimlico last time. Wears first-time blinkers here.

6 - Provocateur - Much improved on his last two outings, winning a listed race at Gulfstream in March and finishing a good second to Senbei in a similar event at Belmont last time. A step back up in trip here shouldn’t be a problem, but the big jump in class is more of a worry.

Verdict
Trainers Todd Pletcher and Steve Asmussen both run two in this race, but they may have to play second fiddle to Chad Brown’s Jack Christopher, who is seeking to extend his unbeaten record to four. Pappacap may have to settle for second again, while Wit looks best of the others.
Race 7 - Ogden Phipps (Gr.1)

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1 - Letruska - Bold front-running mare with a fantastic strike rate. Met defeat just twice in 2021 whilst winning four Grade 1 contests, including this. Has won both starts this season, including the Apple Blossom Handicap at Oaklawn Park last time. Looks like the obvious starting point for win purposes.

2 - Bonny South - Won the Doubledogdare at Keeneland last year before running second to Letruska in this. Rounded out her season with a trio of creditable placed efforts. Chased home Malathaat in the latest renewal of the Doubledogdare on her return. Strong pace is required for her run style and is in receipt of weight all round.

3 - Malathaat - Seven wins from nine starts. Beat Search Results and Clairiere in last year’s Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs, whilst also adding the Ashland and Alabama to her haul. Returned with success over Bonny South in the Doubledogdare at Keeneland in April. A tough filly who will very much appreciate a good test at this distance.

4 - Clairiere - Has developed into a very smart filly, winning the Rachel Alexandra at Fair Grounds in 2021 and later adding the Cotillion at Parx before a close fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff. Cozy winner of an allowance at former track on return before chasing home Letruska in the Apple Blossom Handicap. Is another who sits off the pace.

5 - Search Results - Won the Acorn on this card last year after running Malathaat close in last year’s Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs. Disappointed on return but got back on track when winning the Ruffian on a muddy track here last month. May attempt to give Letruska a bit more of a challenge on the pace.

Verdict:
While this may lack quantity, it certainly has quality in spades. Letruska could get loose on the front end and narrowly gets the verdict, though that’s not to say she won’t have these snapping at her heels should she underperform. Bonny South gets a notable weight concession and will be finishing strongly from off the pace, whilst Malathaat can see out the 1-2-3.

Race 8 - Jaipur (Gr.1)

Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

1 - Change of Control - Won four times last season, including twice in Grade 3 company. Has hit the board on each of her four starts this season, beaten just a neck on the latest in Unbridled Sidney at Churchill Downs last month. Has plenty of miles on the clock but should give her running.

2 - Omaha City - A two-time winner who has dipped his toe into graded races before with a second to Royal Ascot-bound Golden Pal in last year’s Quick Call at Saratoga his best finish. Has plenty on his plate.

3 - True Valour (IRE) - Hasn’t had much racing of late but is a smart sort at best. Ran creditably in the Al Quoz Sprint at Meydan in March 2021 but missed the rest of the year. Returned with a battling success in the King T. Leatherbury Stakes at Laurel Park in April. Wouldn’t be a surprise if he outran his odds.

4 - Casa Creed - Done most of his racing over 1m but landed last year’s running of this when dropping back to sprinting, beating Chewing Gum by 2 lengths. Sent to the Middle East earlier in the year and won the Turf Sprint Cup in Saudi Arabia before a creditable fifth in the Al Quoz Sprint at Meydan. Has some good recent workouts and should be thereabouts.

5 - Arrest Me Red - Hasn’t looked back since joining Wesley Ward, winning all but one of his last five starts. Beat several of today’s rivals when adding the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs to his haul on latest outing. Has won all three starts at this distance, including last year’s Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational, and looks the one to beat.

6 - Greyes Creek - Lightly raced for age. Rattled off a hat-trick routing in 2020 for Chad Brown. Ran only once since finishing down the field in this last year and this requires a marked step forward on their reappearance effort.

7 - Whatmakessammyrun - Won his only start here as a juvenile. Had some wide posts to overcome the last twice, the latest when finishing towards the rear behind in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs last month. Has left Mark Glatt and is hard to make a case for.

8 - Scuttlebuzz - Comes here chasing the 4-timer.Won the Elusive Quality here with a career-best performance on latest outing, one of three-course successes. In great heart but will need some luck given his run style.

9 - Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) - Won first three starts when trained in Brazil in 2019, including a pair of graded successes. Wasn’t seen again until last summer under the care of Mark Casse, winning an allowance at Woodbine. Absent again until April when well beaten in the Shakertown at Keeneland. A bit to prove now.

10 - Smokin' Jay - A three-time winner last year. Ran a good second in Jim McKay Turf Sprint at Pimlico on return. Can be relied upon to run his race, though this is a deeper event than he usually contests.

11 - Chasing Artie - Tasted success on three occasions when trained by Wesley Ward last season before moving to Saffie Joseph. Won an allowance optional claimer at Gulfstream in April but had excuses when stumbling badly at the start in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs next time. Will be hoping to get back on track.

12 - Gear Jockey - Only has the four victories on his record sheet for one of his talent. Has been a little disappointing overall this season, but he’s heading back in the right direction on the speed figures. Fourth behind Arrest Me Red and Gregorian Chant in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs last time. May well make his presence felt back under Lezcano.

13 - Gregorian Chant (GB) - Has a positive strike rate, adding a seventh career success in an allowance optional claimer at Santa Anita on this year’s return. Finished well for third after racing behind from the inside post in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs last time. May well only be battling for minor money again.

Verdict:
Arrest Me Red is progressing in leaps and bounds and can land a Grade 1 at the first attempt here. Gear Jockey is improving by the run this year and can chase the selection home if back to his best. Casa Creed is working well and can round out the places if backing that up after a two-month absence.
Race 9 - Met Mile (Gr.1)

Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

1 - Flightline - Could hardly have made a better impression by winning all his three starts by a combined total of nearly 38 lengths. Had a setback that has kept him off the track since winning the Malibu at Santa Anita in December, though absences haven’t been an obstacle in the past. Stretches out to 1m and is the one to beat.

2 - Speaker's Corner - Completed the hat-trick in the Carter Handicap at Aqueduct last time, adding to wins at Gulfstream in the Hooper and Gulfstream Park Mile earlier in the year. Those races are working out well and it’s hard not to be impressed by his 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Picks for June 11, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Jun 11th, 2022 2:51am PDT

Santa Anita Park Picks for June 11, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

Belmont Stakes Day has arrived at Belmont Park, but this isn’t the only horse racing on the docket. There’s plenty of action elsewhere, and we’ll see what we can do with it on Saturday.

That said, the stakes racing is quiet at other locations. The biggest stakes race outside of Belmont Park is the $100,000 Lady’s Secret Stakes at Monmouth Park.
Santa Anita and Belmont
We are playing two tracks on Saturday at Belmont Park and Santa Anita Park. Of course, we have the Belmont Stakes pick and more selections from Belmont this afternoon.

Santa Anita Park has ten races worth $609,000 in California. Five are on the dirt, and five are on the turf. Head below for our best Santa Anita Park picks on June 11, 2022.
Rank
Betting Site
Bonus Bet Now
1FantasyDraft Logo FantasyDraft

FantasyDraft
Free Entry up to $4 Go to Site
Race 3
(1) Suzie Qzz Brother
+400 (4/1)
(2) Condumdrum
+160 (8/5)
(3) Do Not Swipe Left
+1500 (15/1)
(4) River Tiber
+400 (4/1)
(5) Superman Shaq
+500 (5/1)
(6) Priano
+250 (5/2)

Post Time:2:01 p.m. PST

Distance:6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Stakes Saturday Key Horses
The Pony Conductor

Race 1: #4 Safalow’s Mission (5/1), #7 Win for Gold (2/1)

Race 2: #1A Bright Future (2/1) / #1 Power Agenda (2/1)

Race 3: #3 Devine Huntress (12/1)

Race 4: #3 Speak of the Devil (1/1)

Race 5: #3 Warrant (3/1)

Race 6: #1 Jack Christopher (1/2)

Race 7: #3 Malathaat (5/2)

Race 8: #11 Chasing Artie (15/1), #9 Filo Di Arianna (20/1), #12 Gear Jockey (6/1), #13 Gregorian Chant (8/1)

Race 9: #1 Flightline (3/5), #4 Happy Saver (8/1)

Race 10: #5 In Love (15/1), #3 Tokyo Gold (30/1), #8 Highland Chief (6/1), #6 Rockemperor (10/1)

Belmont Stakes Race 11: *Pony of the Day #3 Nest (8/1)

#1 We the People (2/1), #2 Skippylongstocking (20/1)

Race 12: #4 Just Like This (8/1), #9 Cheeky Tico (15/1), #12 North Carolina (9/5)

Race 13: #1 Solib (8/1), #13 Theodora Grace (10/1), #12 Palace Gossip (3/1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Nahill’s Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, June 11

FIRST RACE: 5-3-2-6

SECOND: 2-5-3-4

THIRD: 6-2-4-5

FOURTH: 3-8-2-7

FIFTH: 5-6-4-7

SIXTH: 2-1-4-6

SEVENTH: 1-2-5-6

EIGHTH: 9-3-2-1

NINTH: 1-3-4-5 (BEST BET)

10TH: 5-6-11-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Nahill’s Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, June 11 (Races 5-13)

FIFTH RACE: 7-3-1-2

SIXTH RACE: 4-1-3-2

SEVENTH RACE: 1-3-5-2

EIGHTH RACE: 8-4-12-13

NINTH RACE: 2-1-3-4

10TH RACE: 4-2-8-3 (BEST BET)

11TH RACE: 5-1-4-8

12TH RACE: 6-8-12-11

13TH RACE: 12-11-6-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 1

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)



Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 57 • Purse: $26,400 • Post: 12:25


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MAMA CHUY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAMA CHUY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MY D'VALENTINE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



1

MAMA CHUY

5/2


2/1




2

MY D'VALENTINE

6/1


6/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

MAMA CHUY

1


5/2

Front-runner

0


0


62.6


51.2


46.7




2

MY D'VALENTINE

2


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

67


59


32.2


44.4


39.4




6

BELLAVALENCIA

6


3/1

Alternator/Trailer

60


51


32.4


41.9


36.9




4

ROMA MONA

4


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

65


48


58.1


38.3


31.3




5

MISS ENCISO

5


7/2

Alternator/Non-contender

54


29


26.9


23.5


12.5




3

MALIBU SKY

3


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


4.3


16.8


8.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - June 11CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, JUNE 11, 2022





Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.







RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET




BEST BET: #3 DUAL THREAT















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

8-5

3

Dual Threat

J Graham



PLACE

4-1

6

Commander Compton

F Geroux



SHOW

4-1

5

Calipari

R Santana Jr.



WILD CARD

5-1

2

Arrow Strike

R Bejarano







ALTERNATE 1

3-1

1

Marvelousmoondance

C J Lanerie



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

4

Bright Spark

M Murrill













* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX















RACE #2 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-1

4

Irish Hokie

M Garcia



PLACE

7-2

6

J. E.s Handmedown

R Bejarano



SHOW

5-2

3

Established

F Arrieta



WILD CARD

6-1

2

Caramelito

A Beschizza







ALTERNATE 1

3-1

1

In Sky We Trust

J Rocco Jr.



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

5

Estilo Varonil

R Santana Jr.













* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX















RACE #3 $10,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-1

1

Diamond Lydiamarie

G Corrales



PLACE

2-1

2

Montgomery Park

F Arrieta



SHOW

9-5

6

Aidanike

R Bejarano



WILD CARD

10-1

3

Field Daisey

C Landeros







ALTERNATE 1

4-1

7

Beauty Day

R Diaz



ALTERNATE 2

15-1

5

Her Giant

J K Court













* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX















RACE #4 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET




BEST BET: #3 AL QAHIRA















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-2

3

Al Qahira

J Graham



PLACE

10-1

10

Blissful

V Cheminaud



SHOW

2-1

1

Eminent Victor

R Santana Jr.



WILD CARD

6-1

9

Whenthedawnbreaks

F Geroux







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

5

Fannie and Freddie

C J Hernandez



ALTERNATE 2

2-1

1A

Schlofmitz

G Corrales













* EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX















RACE #5 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

4-1

5

Captain Fantastic

G Corrales



PLACE

3-1

8

Terawatt

R Bejarano



SHOW

7-2

3

Drop Anchor

R Santana Jr.



WILD CARD

5-1

1

Can Man Do

F Arrieta







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

2

Ingersoll

R Diaz



ALTERNATE 2

7-2

7

Speed Boat

C J Hernandez













* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX















RACE #6 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET




BEST BET: #4 SALUTE THE FLAG















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-2

4

Salute the Flag

M Murrill



PLACE

3-1

5

Take Charge Lorin

J K Court



SHOW

9-5

6

Nosilverspoonshere

C J Lanerie



WILD CARD

12-1

2

Jazzy Lady

F Geroux







ALTERNATE 1

7-2

3

Richebourg

E Morales



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

1

Sunny Isle Beach

J R Leparoux













* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX















RACE #7 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-2

8

Onyourmarkgetsetgo

F Peterson



PLACE

3-1

4

Ox Doc

R Diaz



SHOW

7-2

6

Mumayaz

F Arrieta



WILD CARD

6-1

5

Scotch No Rocks

M Murrill







ALTERNATE 1

4-1

1

Per Diem

J K Court



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

7

Honorable Vow

C Miller













* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX















RACE #8 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

7-2

1

More Than Vows

G Franco



PLACE

4-1

12

Little Blaze

R Bejarano



SHOW

5-1

10

Run Up the Score

R Santana Jr.



WILD CARD

10-1

8

Twentytwenty Hoax

M Murrill







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

5

Dial Toni

R Gutierrez



ALTERNATE 2

3-1

9

American Pyramid

J Gilligan













* EXACTA: 1-12 BOX, 12-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/10/12 BOX, 8/10/12 BOX















RACE #9 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-1

7

Razor Glass

J Graham



PLACE

5-2

4

Kaelys Sister

R Santana Jr.



SHOW

4-1

6

Gerri B

A Beschizza



WILD CARD

6-1

3

Connie K

J K Court







ALTERNATE 1

3-1

1

Liberty M D

J R Leparoux



ALTERNATE 2

12-1

8

Jungle Juice

E Morales













* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX















RACE #10 $160,000 STAKES
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:26 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

2

Just Might

R Bejarano



PLACE

7-5

4

Carotari

F Geroux



SHOW

8-1

5

Johnny Unleashed

G Corrales



WILD CARD

9-2

7

Smokin Jay

A Beschizza







ALTERNATE 1

15-1

9

Charcoal

J Talamo



ALTERNATE 2

20-1

1

Major Wager

E Morales













* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX















RACE #11 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:58 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

5-1

5

Lend It Tewmey

C Miller



PLACE

5-1

7

Ready to Answer

F Geroux



SHOW

4-1

10

Mr Sippi

M Murrill



WILD CARD

10-1

6

Jura

D Cannon







ALTERNATE 1

12-1

2

Overtaxed

R Bejarano



ALTERNATE 2

3-1

4

Stayed in for Half

R Santana Jr.













* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 6/7/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - June 11BELMONT PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, JUNE 11, 2022





Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.







RACE #1 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:20 AM ET




BEST BET: #7 WIN FOR GOLD















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

7

Win for Gold

K Carmouche



PLACE

7-2

6

Tapn de Bank

J R Velazquez



SHOW

5-1

4

Safalows Mission

J Lezcano



WILD CARD

10-1

3

My Last Mission

L Rodriguez Castro







ALTERNATE 1

20-1

1

Vincent

S Leon



ALTERNATE 2

3-1

8

Unique Unions

M Franco













* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX















RACE #2 $92,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:55 AM ET




BEST BET: #1A BRIGHT FUTURE















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

1A

Bright Future

I Ortiz Jr.



PLACE

10-1

2

Uncle Moonlight

K Carmouche



SHOW

4-1

6

Three Jokers

L Saez



WILD CARD

9-2

8

Higher Quality

M Franco







ALTERNATE 1

7-2

3

Set Sail

J Rosario



ALTERNATE 2

6-1

4

Strong Quality

J L Ortiz













* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX















RACE #3 $500,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:33 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K ACORN STAKES G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-5

5

Echo Zulu

J Rosario



PLACE

6-5

4

Matareya

F Prat



SHOW

12-1

3

Divine Huntress

L Saez



WILD CARD

20-1

2

Inventing

I Ortiz Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

15-1

1

Dream Lith

R A Vazquez













* EXACTA: 5/3,4



* TRIFECTA: 4,5/4,5/1,2,3





COMMENTS: ECHO ZULU usually gets her way when she gets the lead, going four for four when she has the lead at the first call. She will likely be in charge from the get go. MATAREYA is coming off a win where she ran much better fractions than in the previous start, winning the GII Eight Belles Stakes. DIVINE HUNTRESS is making her third start off the bench after significantly improving her early pace numbers in the Black Eyed Susan. INVENTING has not won a race in her two starts but finished second in both by less than a length with speed figures almost on the level.














RACE #4 $500,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:08 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K JUST A GAME STAKES G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-2

4

In Italian

I Ortiz Jr.



PLACE

1-1

3

Speak of the Devil

F Prat



SHOW

6-5

2

Regal Glory

J Ortiz



WILD CARD

12-1

1

Leggs Galore

R Gonzalez







ALTERNATE 1

15-1

5

Wakanaka

J Rosario













* EXACTA: 3,4/1,2,3,4



* TRIFECTA: 1,2,3,4/3,4/1,2,3,4





COMMENTS: IN ITALIAN should improve noticeably in her second start following a layoff. She has early speed and cuts back in distance today, which should work to her advantage. SPEAK OF THE DEVIL ran past the top choice last in her last as the favorite. She has a few nice workouts since, including a bullet, suggesting she will be sharp. REGAL GLORY ran the top, last race speed figure and is the most versatile horse in the field, capable of winning from the front, middle or back. LEGGS GALORE could steal this wire to wire if she can get the lead without too much pressure.














RACE #5 $400,000 STAKES
1 1/2 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:47 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400K BROOKLYN STAKES G2















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

1

Lone Rock

R Vazquez



PLACE

3-1

3

Warrant

F Prat



SHOW

9-2

5

First Constitution

J Lezcano



WILD CARD

3-1

7

Fearless

L Saez







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

2

Max Player

J L Ortiz



ALTERNATE 2

20-1

6

Locally Owned

D Davis













* EXACTA: 1,3,5,7 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 1,3,5/1,3,5,7/1,2,3,5,7





COMMENTS: LONE ROCK is a master at the distance with five wins and a second in six efforts. WARRANT missed as the favorite last out in his only race that did not end in the money. Trainer Brad Cox rebounds at 30 percent the next time out with fallen favorites. FIRST CONSTITUTION will try to get to the front and take the field wire to wire like he has in two of his last three races. FEARLESS has a strong late pace edge over this group. If they burn up the early fractions, he will take advantage.














RACE #6 $400,000 STAKES
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:22 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400K WOODY STEPHENS STAKES G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

1-2

1

Jack Christopher

J Ortiz



PLACE

15-1

6

Provocateur

L Saez



SHOW

7-2

3

Wit

I Ortiz Jr.



WILD CARD

9-2

4

Morello

J Rosario







ALTERNATE 1

10-1

2

Pappacap

F Prat



ALTERNATE 2

20-1

5

Chasing Time

T Gaffalione













* EXACTA: 1/3,4,6



* TRIFECTA: 1/3,4,6/2,3,4,6





COMMENTS: We hate to ever say this, but JACK CHRISTOPHER looks like the most obvious winner on the Saturday card. PROVOCATEUR is likely to chase the leader and might be able to stay there with some of the best late pace figures in the field. WIT has been off since early April and has been working well for this spot. He faced the top pick before but finished a distance third. MORELLO won his first three races and was the Wood Memorial favorite but hit the gate at the start and never recovered. His first three starts would make him a contender.














RACE #7 $500,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K ODGEN PHIPPS STAKES G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

6-5

1

Letruska

J Ortiz



PLACE

5-2

3

Malathaat

J Velazquez



SHOW

9-2

5

Search Results

I Ortiz Jr.



WILD CARD

3-1

4

Clairiere

J Rosario







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

2

Bonny South

F Prat













* EXACTA: 1/3,4,5



* TRIFECTA: 1/3,4,5/2,3,4,5





COMMENTS: When LETRUSKA gets the lead, she wins. She will get the lead at a distance where she has seven wins and a second in eight races. MALATHAAT is a half length and a head away from going nine for nine to start her career, including a win at Belmont. SEARCH RESULTS tried Belmont Park twice and ended in the winners circle both times. CLAIRERE is the top closer in the field and hit the board in eight of eight at the distance. The concern is a short field where she might not get the pace she needs.














RACE #8 $400,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400K JAIPUR STAKES G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-2

4

Casa Creed

L Saez



PLACE

5-2

5

Arrest Me Red

I Ortiz Jr.



SHOW

6-1

8

Scuttlebuzz

J Castellano



WILD CARD

12-1

3

True Valour

F Lynch







ALTERNATE 1

20-1

7

Whatmakessammyrun

F Prat



ALTERNATE 2

15-1

1

Change of Control

M Franco













* EXACTA: 3,4,5,8 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4,5,8/3,4,5,8/3,4,5,7,8





COMMENTS: Bettors might overlook CASA CREED as he raced in Dubai in his last two start, finishing fifth in his last. However, the horses he lost to would likely be the favorites here. ARREST ME RED ran the highest, last race speed figure and his resume says to expect more in the second start after a layoff. SCUTTLEBUZZ loves the distance with an uppercase L, taking home the top prize in six of eight with a pair of close seconds. TRUE VALOR smoked his way through the opening half mile to win his first after more than a year on the sidelines. He is probably the one to catch.














RACE #9 $1,000,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:43 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M HILL N DALE METROPOLITAN HANDICAP G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

8-5

2

Speakers Corner

J Alvarado



PLACE

3-5

1

Flightline

F Prat



SHOW

8-1

4

Happy Saver

I Ortiz Jr.



WILD CARD

6-1

3

Aloha West

J L Ortiz







ALTERNATE 1

50-1

5

Informative

D Haddock













* EXACTA: 1,2/1,2,3,4



* TRIFECTA: 1,2/1,2/ALL





COMMENTS: There has to be an upset somewhere with all these short fields. We give SPEAKERS CORNER a shot to finish ahead of the heavy favorite FLIGHTLINE. It will be the first time outside of California for FLIGHTLINE whereas SPEAKERS CORNER is two for two at Belmont Park. HAPPY SAVER is another that likes the Belmont track with three wins and a second in four outings. ALOHA WESTs chances rise if the track is wet as he won both efforts on an off track. It is supposed to rain a lot.














RACE #10 $750,000 STAKES
1 1/4 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:38 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750K MANHATTAN STAKES G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

8-1

10

Channel Maker

L Saez



PLACE

7-2

9

Santin

T Gaffalione



SHOW

3-1

2

Gufo

J Rosario



WILD CARD

8-1

7

Tribhuvan

M Franco







ALTERNATE 1

6-1

8

Highland Chief

T McCarthy



ALTERNATE 2

15-1

1

LImperator

E Cancel













* EXACTA: 2,7,9,10 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 2,9,10/2,7,9,10/2,7,8,9,10





COMMENTS: Pace makes the race and if jockey Luis Saez does not lose track of time, CHANNEL MAKER could control the tempo from beginning to end. SANTIN is a steadily improving colt that should sit off the leaders and fire at the end. GUFO is making his third start after a layoff. His past performances say the third race should be the best of the cycle. TRIBHUVAN needs the lead to win whereas CHANNEL MAKER does not. If he gets the lead and holds it into the stretch, he will be hard to pass.














RACE #11 $1,500,000 STAKES
1 1/2 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:44 PM ET




** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1.5 M BELMONT STAKES G1















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

2-1

1

We the People

F Prat



PLACE

6-1

5

Creative Minister

B Hernandez Jr.



SHOW

8-1

3

Nest

J L Ortiz



WILD CARD

5-2

6

Mo Donegal

I Ortiz Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

7-2

4

Rich Strike

S Leon



ALTERNATE 2

20-1

2

Skippylongstocking

M Franco













* EXACTA: 1,5/1,3,4,5,6



* TRIFECTA: 1,5/1,3,5,6/1,3,4,5,6





COMMENTS: Again, pace is likely to dictate the winner in the Belmont Stakes and WE THE PEOPLE should get out to the lead with comfortable fractions. The distance is the only question. CREATIVE MINISTER finished behind EPICENTER and EARLY VOTING in the Preakness, either would be the likely favorite here. NEST will try to do what SECRET OATH could not do and beat all the boys. Her speed numbers say maybe, but it will be a tough task. MO DONEGAL gets the nod over fellow closer and Kentucky Derby champ RICH STRIKE because MO DONEGAL has a win at Belmont and Belmont is not Churchill Downs.














RACE #12 $75,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:29 PM ET




BEST BET: #12 NORTH CAROLINA















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

9-5

12

North Carolina

J Lezcano



PLACE

2-1

8

Als Rocket

I Ortiz Jr.



SHOW

5-1

7

Flokis Flight

J L Ortiz



WILD CARD

15-1

9

Cheeky Tico

L Saez







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

5

Zuzudini

R TBA



ALTERNATE 2

5-1

3

Strike Price

F Prat













* EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 7/8/12 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX















RACE #13 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:05 PM ET















PICK ORDER

M/L

P#

HORSE NAME

JOCKEY















WIN

3-1

12

Palace Gossip

F Prat



PLACE

6-1

4

Shamalamadingdong

J Rosario



SHOW

5-1

6

Fontanafredda

L Saez



WILD CARD

10-1

2

Flip My Id

I Ortiz Jr.







ALTERNATE 1

8-1

1

Solib

J Lezcano



ALTERNATE 2

10-1

10

Act of Congress

J Castellano













* EXACTA: 12-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX



* TRIFECTA: 4/6/12 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Stakes FULLCARD Hotlist - June 11 June 10, 2022

Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, June 11, 2021 at Belmont Park
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt8
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – [NY, Alw 80000 N1X, 6F] - (7) Win for Gold (C) took a lot of late money as a longshot and dropped from 23-1 to 15-1. He finished second in an allowance behind an impressive winner from the Chad Brown barn after a debut victory. (8) Unique Unions was second in NY Stallion Series stakes race with a stalking trip that work well in this field that is loaded with speed. (4) Safalow’s Mission moved from turf to dirt and got his maiden victory after closing from third. (6) Tap’n de Bank got his first career win following a September layoff in his second start for Brad Cox.
2nd race – [Alw 92000 N1X, 1 mi] - (6) Three Jokers won his way through his NY-bred conditions, finished second in a pair of state-bred stakes, and then moved to open company where he recently missed the win by a half-length. (1A) Bright Future drew off to win his debut at Gulfstream Park going a one-turn mile for Todd Pletcher at odds of 4-1. (4) Strong Quality spent the winter at Fair Grounds for Mark Casse where he broke his maiden in his second try and then was second in his first try in allowance company. (3) Set Sail shipped to New York for the Peter Pan (G3) but did not seem to like the wet track. He is now in the barn of Bill Mott who brings him right back in a much softer spot.
3rd race – [Acorn (G1), 1 mi] – (5) Echo Zulu tasted defeat for the first time in the Kentucky Oaks (G1) when she did not get to lead in the early going and finished fourth. Now she cuts back to a one-turn mile which may be her ideal race. Last year, she won the Frizette (G1) at Belmont which was run at the same distance. (4) Matareya won her last three starts for Brad Cox which came in 2022 and included the recent Eight Belles (G1) at Churchill Downs. (3) Divine Huntress had two big wins at Parx when she broke her maiden and then won an allowance. She moved to the barn of Graham Motion and has been racing in graded stakes. (2) Inventing was second in her first two starts for the Pletcher barn and Irad Ortiz stays on board.
4th race – [Just A Game (G1), 1 mi TURF] – (3) Speak of the Devil won her American debut for Chad Brown in the Distaff Turf Mile (G2) at Churchill after racing in France. (2) Regal Glory has three wins in a row for Brown with a pair of Grade 1s and a Grade 3 at three different tracks on both coasts. She has 11 wins from 18 career starts. (4) In Italian is the speedy winner of 3 out of 5 career starts also for the Brown barn. She was second last time behind the top choice. (5) Wakanaka was a Group 3 winner in Italy last year before moving to the barn of Bill Mott. In her three American starts she ran behind each of the top three in this field.
5th race – [Brooklyn (G2), 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 11 June 10, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Saturday, June 11, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (3) Dual Threat was fourth against better company and should prove best here. (5) Calipari might prefer a dry track. (6) Commander Compton should be helped by a switch to Florent. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6. Doubles: 3-5-6 with 1-3-6.
2nd race – (6) J.E.’s Handmedown returns to a claimer and can handle this group. (1) In Sky We Trust was a good third last time and may be the main rival. (3) Established should be competitive at this level. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6.
4th race – The (1) entry of Eminent Victor and Schlofmitz is the standout in this field. (9) Whenthedawnbreaks should pose a big threat in the stretch. (3) Al Qahira is worth a look after a maiden win. (12) Fancy Martini has some ability but must overcome a bad post if she draws in. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-9-12.
6th race – (4) Salute the Flag (B) finished a game second in her debut against winners and should make amends here. (2) Jazzy Lady was second in her last two starts and should be the main foe. (1) Sunny Isle Beach should be a threat from the rail. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.
10th race – (4) Carotari seeks a fourth straight win and should notch it here. (5) Johnny Unleashed disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (6) Oceanic had a rough trip last time and merits a second chance here. (7) Smokin’ Jay was second to the top pick and should not be ignored. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-7.


No.


Letter/Last race

Today’s race


Comment













(4)

Salute the Flag

B, 5/21

6 CD

Was a game second last time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | June 11, 2022 June 10, 2022

Race 8 at Belmont Park | Saturday June 11 | Post Time 3:53 PM Eastern
Jaipur Stakes – Grade 1 | Purse $400,000 | Six Furlongs on Turf | Three Year Olds and Upward

Top Contenders: With a possible 13 horse field if there are no scratches, this year’s Jaipur Stakes is going to be an incredible race to watch and wager on. Seven of the 13 enter the race off in-the-money finishes and a couple others encountered trouble in their most recent starts so might have also been included in that count. Separating them has been a difficult task, but I think four of the 13 have bigger shots to succeed than the rest and a couple of those open at 12 to 1 while my top choice opens at 6 to 1.
Scuttlebuzz (8) is that top pick, not only as he enters the race off a win on the course in a stakes but because that effort came on the heels of nearly five months off. Going back to last September, he’s won four of five, the last two under Castellano, who rides back. He won without Lasix last time out so there’s no concern there and he’s only been worse than second one time in six starts on the Belmont grass. He closed powerfully while five wide and still was drawing away in the Elusive Quality Stakes last month and he’s won six of eight career starts at this six furlong turf trip, accounting for all but one of his career wins. We would not get this kind of value except for the depth and size of the field and we must grab it with gusto as Scuttlebuzz is the likely winner of this race by repeating or improving on his last effort.
That being said, two horses who come out of the Turf Sprint Stakes on Derby day figure to make a lot of noise. Those are Chasing Artie (11) and Arrest Me Red (5). Also exiting that race are Gear Jockey (12) and Gregorian Chant (13), who for reasons mentioned later is are contenders for exacta bets but not win contenders.
Of the pair, Chasing Artie (11) opens at 15 to 1 odds impossible to pass up because he was ELIMINATED at the start when stumbling badly to get away last of 13 in an extremely tough field. Still, although with little chance he rallied from 12th of 13, 13 lengths back with three furlongs to run and was beaten just four lengths at the end. Subtracting that effort, he’s a perfect four-for-four on turf including two stakes races. John Velazquez rode Chasing Artie just once, a winning race at five furlongs on turf and the horse has tactical speed to can go for the lead or sit off the pace. If he breaks well, he’s highly likely to run a lot better than his high odds suggest he will.
Arrest Me Red (5) won the Turf Sprint on Derby day, as the 5 to 2 favorite, and did so gamely after pressing the pace in the five path early then drawing off late. He also won the Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational last October, both wins coming under Irad Ortiz, Jr., who rides here. He is making his third start off the layoff since last year so has a one race edge over Scuttlebuzz, plus was flattered when Turf Sprint runner-up Bran shipped to California to win a stakes race recently. He’s a perfect three-for-three at the trip which can’t be knocked but I prefer Scuttlebuzz’s six for eight record and 6 to 1 starting odds to that of Arrest Me Red so he’s not as good a win bet in my opinion. Just the same, Arrest Me Red is a MUST to use on any exacta or trifecta tickets we play.
Last among the quartet which could make us a lot of money in this race is True Valour (3), who like Chasing Artie opens at double digit odds, 12 to 1 in this case. He’s another who recently returned from a layoff, winning the King T. Leatherbury Stakes at five and one-half furlongs on turf near the end of April and following 13 months off. He’s earned over a half-million dollars and was stakes placed in the Joe Hernandez Stakes at Santa Anita just before the layoff. Fergal Lynch rode True Valour for the first time in that last race and rides back and although the horse led from start to finish that day he’s shown time and again in his other five wins on turf he does not need the lead to win.
Other horses I could not argue with anyone over if they asked my opinion are; Change of Control (1), who missed by a neck in the Unbridled Sydney Stakes last month; 2021 Jaipur Stakes winner Casa Creed (4), who lost three times after that and twice this year in Saudi Arabia and Dubai but who is working well; Filo Di Arianna (9); Smokin' Jay (10), who finished second in a stakes on Preakness day as well as Turf Sprint third and fourth place finishers, respectively, Gear Jockey (12) and Gregorian Chant (13).
Win bets:
Scuttlebuzz (8) should be considered for a win wager at odds of 5 to 2 or more.
Because of their high odds, Chasing Artie (11) and True Valour (3) can be considered for win bets, for smaller amounts as compared to Scuttlebuzz, at odds of 5 to 1 or more.
Exactas:
Scuttlebuzz (8) over ALL
Chasing Artie (11) over ALL as well as the opposite, which is ALL over Chasing Artie (11).
These bets can be made for smaller amounts as compared to those with Scuttlebuzz because of higher odds on Chasing Artie.
Arrest Me Red (5) over Change of Control (1), True Valour (3), Casa Creed (4), Filo Di Arianna (9), Smokin’ Jay (10), Gear Jockey (12), Gregorian Chant (13).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Energy Downs 307 Racing



Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race 7

$2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta



Stakes • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 82 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:42P


COWBOY STATE OPEN DERBY - FOR THOROUGHBRED THREE YEAR OLDS . $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. PREFERENCE BY TOTAL EARNINGS. FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO TEN (10) STARTERS. $10,000 ADDED (PLUS FEES). SATURDAY JUNE 11, 2022. WEIGHT: 126.LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. THE BIG SHOW is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THE BIG SHOW: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



4

THE BIG SHOW

2/1


1/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

THE BIG SHOW

4


2/1

Front-runner

85


81


77.0


75.8


73.8




5

MALIBU ROSE

5


4/1

Stalker

59


62


54.3


52.0


43.0




2

DANCING COSSACK

2


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

67


65


51.4


51.4


46.4




3

FLUSHING FLASH

3


7/2

Alternator/Non-contender

60


25


30.4


31.2


21.2




1

ARBUCKLE OUTLAW

1


3/1

Alternator/Non-contender

60


67


30.0


49.6


42.6




6

THE BONDSMAN

6


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

54


44


20.0


39.4


30.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 6:15pm - Stakes - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 103 Albany S.

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 ULTIMATE BANGO (ML=7/2)
#7 PERFECTIONISTIC (ML=10/1)
#9 PSYCHO DAR (ML=6/1)


ULTIMATE BANGO - In this race here, this fine animal has garnered the highest speed rating at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. Gelding scored his last race here on April 30th as a shipper. I think he looks like a winner once again. Taking this jockey/conditioner combination is a smart choice. He got a decent speed rating the last time he tried this trip. PERFECTIONISTIC - Mathis has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be wary of the longer priced half. PSYCHO DAR - Calvario has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware the longer priced half. Ayuso knows this horse pretty well. Strong win percentage of 67 when horse and jock team up.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 GIVE ME THE LUTE (ML=2/1), #2 WAR GAMES (ML=5/1), #5 CAROLINA MIA (ML=8/1),

GIVE ME THE LUTE - This questionable contender showed very little last time out finishing sixth. Don't see any hint of any improvement in today's race. WAR GAMES - A bit of a less than stellar effort when this gelding finished ninth. This gelding hasn't had any positive efforts in short distance affairs in the last couple months. This gelding garnered a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race. CAROLINA MIA - Earned a common speed rating last out in an Allowance race on May 20th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that rating.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #4 ULTIMATE BANGO to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,7,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [4,7,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[4,7,9] with [4,7,9] with [4,5,6,7,9] with [4,5,6,7,9] Total Cost: $36



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

[4,7,9] with [4,7,9] with [4,6,7,9] with [1,4,5,6,7,9] with [1,4,5,6,7,9] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $14400 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 11, 2022 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 LITTLE DUTCH GIRL 8/1




# 2 GRATZ PARK 5/2




# 1 MY DIOR 10/1




LITTLE DUTCH GIRL is the best wager in this competition particularly if the morning line of 8/1 holds. Could best this group of horses in this race here, showing very strong figs of late. This pony is prominent in this group of horses in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Has longshot possibilities and could win at a juicy mutuel. GRATZ PARK - Has respectable Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Posted a reliable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. MY DIOR - Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in turf route races recently. Must be given consideration - I like the numbers from the last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Saturday, June 11th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
SANTA ANITA PARK
RACE #7
TIME: 7:55 PM EST
PICK: BET #3 High Connection 2/1 odds to win @ Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
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Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
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MLB – Angels +120


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
NHL – Lightning -1.5


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
NHL – Lightning over 5


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Yankees -1.5


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Astros -1.5


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Athletics +115


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Padres GM2 -1.5


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Royals +100


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
NHL – Lightning -1.5


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NHL – Lightning over 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BATTAGLIA ( Paid Play ) :

Belmont
Race 11 The Belmont Stakes

Selections 1-4-6 Rating

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Vernon Croy

Rangers / Lightning Over 5.5 + 125

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Ross Benjamin

MLB

NY Mets (-135) - play run line if reaches -145 or higher

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Chip Chirimbes

MLB

Milwaukee Brewers (-140) - play run line (-1') if reaches -150 or higher

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Direct

MLB
Pirates - Braves over 9

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VegasInsider (Joe Osborne and Mark Madsen)

UFC
Glover Texeira ML (+170)
Valentina Shevchenko to win inside the distance (+110)
Weili Zhang ML (-165)

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Toronto/Detroit Over 7

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: BOSTON/SEATTLE UNDER the total of 8

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Totals4U

Saturday's Free Selection: Oakland Athletics/Cleveland Guardians under 7 1/2

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#1 Sports

Saturday's Free Play: Houston Astros - 220

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Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the Baltimore/Kansas City Game OVER 9

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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Saturday : Take NY METS/LA ANGELS UNDER the total of 8

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Huddle Up Sports

Saturday Free Play Washington Corbin +145