View Full Version : Friday 9/30/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Can'tPickAWinner
09-26-2022, 10:39 PM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!
NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)
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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)
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College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)
NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)
NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 08:31 AM
Friday’s games
National League
Philadelphia (83-72) @ Washington (54-101)
— Falter is 1-1, 5.02 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 10-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 0-1, 9.35 in four games (1 start) vs Chicago.
— Syndergaard is 1-1, 6.06 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 1-2, 5.67 in five starts vs Chicago.
— Phillies lost their last five games.
— They lead Milwaukee by half-game for last playoff spot.
— Philly is 36-38 on road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 39-155
— record in first 5 innings: 63-67-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-2
— Fedde is 0-2, 7.62 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-15-2
— He is 2-6, 6.19 in 11 starts vs Philly.
— bullpen game
— Washington is 3-7 in its last 10 games.
— Nationals are 25-52 at home.
— under 10-2-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-155
— record in first 5 innings: 40-93-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x
Cincinnati (60-96) @ Chicago (70-86)
— Ashcroft is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
— Cincinnati is 10-7 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— He is 0-2, 11.42 in two starts vs Chicago TY.
— Reds are 9-19 in last 27 games.
— Cincinnati is 29-49 on road.
— under 13-5-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-156
— record in first 5 innings: 50-79-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x
— Sampson is 2-0, 1.13 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 9-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-2
— He is 0-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Cincinnati TY.
— Cubs are 12-4 in their last 16 games.
— Cubs are 34-44 at home.
— under 15-5 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-156
— record in first 5 innings: 64-68-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4
NY Mets (98-58) @ Atlanta (97-59)
— deGrom is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 6-4 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He is 1-1, 3.65 in two starts vs Atlanta TY.
— Mets won nine of last 12 games.
— Mets are 47-31 on road.
— over 17-8 last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 52-156
— record in first 5 innings: 83-45-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.2-x
— Mets lead Atlanta by game in NL East race.
— Fried is 0-2, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 19-10 in his starts
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-29
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-4
— He is 2-2, 3.00 in four starts vs New York TY.
— Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Atlanta is 52-26 at home.
— under 12-6 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-156
— record in first 5 innings: 86-52-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4.1-x
Miami (65-91) @ Milwaukee (83-73)
— Alcantara is 2-0, 1.06 in his last two starts.
— Miami is 10-6 in his last 16 starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-7-11
— He is 2-0, 2.63 in three starts vs Milwaukee.
— Miami is 24-52 in its last 76 games.
— Marlins are 33-45 on road.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-155
— record in first 5 innings: 58-68-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-5
— Burnes is 2-2, 3.67 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-6
— He is 0-1, 3.68 in two starts vs Miami.
— Brewers are 12-8 in last 20 games.
— Milwaukee is 43-32 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 49-156
— record in first 5 innings: 69-57-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-4
— They trail Phillies by half-game for last Wild Card slot.
Pittsburgh (59-97) @ St Louis (90-66)
— Oviedo is 2-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
— He pitched in 14 games for St Louis earlier this year.
— Pittsburgh is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against his old team.
— Pirates won four of last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 27-51 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-156
— record in first 5 innings: 49-78-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1-x
— Flaherty is 1-1, 4.71 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— He is 0-0, 7.88 in two starts vs Pittsburgh TY.
— Cardinals are 3-6 in last nine games.
— St Louis is 51-27 at home.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-156
— record in first 5 innings: 67-63-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x
Colorado (65-91) @ Los Angeles (108-48)
— Kuhl is 0-3, 6.75 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 1-8 in his last nine starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 11-26
— record in first 5 innings: 5-15-6
— He is 1-1, 3.55 in two starts vs Los Angeles TY.
— Colorado is 8-12 in its last 20 games.
— Rockies are 24-51 on road.
— under 19-11-1 last 31 games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-153
— record in first 5 innings: 41-87-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2
— Kershaw is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 8-2 in his last 10 starts
— over 5-3-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-4
— He is 0-2, 10.61 in two starts vs Colorado TY.
— Dodgers are 5-4 in last nine games.
— Los Angeles is 54-21 at home.
— under 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-156
— record in first 5 innings: 88-36-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-5
Arizona (72-84) @ San Francisco (78-78)
— Kelly is 2-2, 3.94 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-6
— He is 3-0, 1.51 in five starts vs San Francisco TY.
— Diamondbacks are 7-15 in last 22 games.
— Arizona is 32-43 on road.
— under 12-5 last 17
— scored run in first inning: 43-156
— record in first 5 innings: 67-52-37
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-x
— Cobb is 1-1, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 3-9 in his last 12 starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-26
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-9
— He is 1-2, 5.09 in four starts vs Arizona TY.
— Giants are 13-5 in their last 18 games.
— San Francisco is 42-36 at home.
— under 16-5 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-156
— record in first 5 innings: 62-67-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-8-3
American League
Baltimore (80-76) @ Bronx (96-59)
— Lyles is 2-2, 5.13 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
— over 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-2
— He is 1-2, 5.46 in five starts vs New York TY.
— Orioles lost last three games.
— Baltimore is 36-43 on road.
— under 26-16-1 last 43 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-156
— record in first 5 innings: 59-73-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-4
— German is 1-1, 3.00 in his last six starts.
— New York is 6-6 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-1
— He is 6-0, 2.28 in eight games (6 starts) vs Baltimore.
— New York is 17-5 in its last 22 games.
— New York is 56-22 at home.
— over 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 53-155
— record in first 5 innings: 78-47-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-2.2-x
Boston (75-81) @ Toronto (87-69)
— Pivetta is 1-1, 5.31 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 11-15-5
— He is 0-1, 5.52 in three starts vs Toronto TY.
— Red Sox are 8-13 in their last 21 games.
— Boston is 35-43 on road.
— over 6-3-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-156
— record in first 5 innings: 62-63-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-4
— Manoah is 3-0, 1.03 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 8-10 in his last 18 starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-7
— He is 2-0, 1.80 in three starts vs Boston TY.
— Blue Jays are 19-11 in their last 30 games.
— Toronto is 44-34 at home.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-156
— record in first 5 innings: 61-59-36
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.2-5.1
— Toronto clinched a playoff spot last night, is still playing for home field in first round.
Kansas City (63-93) @ Cleveland (88-68)
— Singer is 3-0, 0.45 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— under 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 14-5-4
— He is 0-0, 4.85 in two starts vs Cleveland TY.
— Kansas City is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
— Royals are 24-51 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 42-156
— record in first 5 innings: 59-75-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-3.1
— Civale is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-5
— He is 0-0, 4.35 in two starts vs Kansas City TY.
— Guardians are 20-4 in their last 24 games.
— Cleveland is 42-33 at home.
— under 30-17-2 last 48 games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-156
— record in first 5 innings: 64-62-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3
Minnesota (76-80) @ Detroit (63-92)
— Ryan is 2-0, 1.45 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 10-6 in his last 16 starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-4
— He is 3-0, 1.53 in three starts vs Detroit TY.
— Minnesota is 7-13 in its last 20 games.
— Twins are 30-45 on road.
— under 11-6-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-156
— record in first 5 innings: 77-57-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-4.1-4
— Alexander is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Tigers are 3-12 in his starts.
— under 10-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 8-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11
— He is 1-2, 3.41 in five starts vs Minnesota.
— Tigers are 8-1 in their last nine games.
— Detroit is 34-45 at home.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 32-155
— record in first 5 innings: 53-82-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-8-2.1
Tampa Bay (85-71) @ Houston (102-54)
— Rasmussen is 0-3, 4.96 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 17-9 in his starts.
— under 8-1-1 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 17-6-3
— He is 1-1, 3.27 in two starts vs Houston.
— Tampa Bay is 1-4 in its last five games.
— Rays are 34-41 on road.
— under 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 44-156
— record in first 5 innings: 74-55-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-6.1-2
— Valdez is 2-0, 3.98 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— over 7-3-2 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 16-7-7
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.
— Astros are 7-3 in last ten games.
— Houston is 51-24 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 55-156
— record in first 5 innings: 93-39-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-x
Texas (66-89) @ LA Angels (70-86)
— Otto is 0-1, 4.81 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 6-3 in his last nine starts
— under 10-5 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 7-13-8
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Anaheim TY.
— Rangers are 8-20 in last 28 games.
— Texas is 34-44 on road.
— over 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-155
— record in first 5 innings: 55-70-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-1-5
— Detmers is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 2-4 in his last six starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-6
— He is 0-1, 6.75 in four starts vs Texas TY.
— Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Angels are 37-41 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 46-156
— record in first 5 innings: 72-60-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-1
A’s (56-100) @ Seattle (85-70)
— Waldichuk is 1-2, 7.15 in five starts.
— A’s are 1-4 in his starts.
— over 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.
— A’s are 11-23 in last 34 games.
— Oakland is 30-49 on road.
— over 15-8 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-156
— record in first 5 innings: 50-79-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-4
— Gilbert is 3-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 5-1 in his last six starts
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-31
— record in first 5 innings: 16-12-3
— He is 1-0, 5.73 in two starts vs Oakland TY.
— Mariners are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— Seattle is 41-33 at home.
— under 21-11-1 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 52-155
— record in first 5 innings: 66-67-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-6
Interleague game
White Sox (77-79) @ San Diego (86-70)
— Martin is 0-1, 3.00 in his last two starts.
— White Sox are 2-5 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.
— White Sox lost eight of last nine games.
— Chicago is 42-36 on road.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 38-156
— record in first 5 innings: 61-77-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-4
— Darvish is 6-0, 1.80 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 18-11 in his starts.
— under 7-3 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 22-3-4
— He is 3-1, 3.43 in six starts vs Chicago.
— Padres won eight of last 12 games.
— San Diego is 41-34 at home.
— under 11-4 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-156
— record in first 5 innings: 73-52-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-5
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 09:01 AM
Belmont Park Tip Sheet - September 30 September 29, 2022
BELMONT AT THE BIG A TIPS - FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money % of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
6
Order of Magnitude
F Prat
PLACE
3-1
5
North Pole
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
8-5
7
Abundant Honor
J L Ortiz
WILD CARD
10-1
4
Fazaro
J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Super Quality
D Davis
ALTERNATE 2
20-1
2
Sharpoon
M J Luzzi
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
RACE #2 $110,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
3
Mischievous Dream
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
9-2
4
Strong Odor
J Castellano
SHOW
2-1
7
Mail Order
J Lezcano
WILD CARD
4-1
2
Lia Marina
J Rosario
ALTERNATE 1
3-1
8
Customerexperience
J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Stop War
K Carmouche
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
RACE #3 $77,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:02 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 SUCCULENT
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
6
Succulent
D Davis
PLACE
5-2
7
Photon
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
6-1
2
Lem Me Drink
L Saez
WILD CARD
6-1
5
Latest Edition
J Castellano
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Tara Dancer
J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Bavarian Creme
K Carmouche
* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
RACE #4 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:31 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 ACTUALIZE
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
4
Actualize
J Rosario
PLACE
7-2
2
Necromancer
J Castellano
SHOW
9-5
6
Upper Level
J A Gomez
WILD CARD
8-1
3
Sainthoodforbrian
K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Grand Again
L A Rodriguez Castro
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Dorsoduro
L Saez
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #5 $110,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
4
Senbei
M Franco
PLACE
9-5
1
Saint Selby
K Carmouche
SHOW
6-1
5
Synthesis
I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD
4-1
6
Happy Farm
D Davis
ALTERNATE 1
9-2
2
Stage Left
E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Swiftsure
J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #6 $77,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 3:35 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
2
Fancypants Juliana
L Saez
PLACE
9-2
10
Moonage Daydream
F Prat
SHOW
5-1
9
Leadership Ability
M Franco
WILD CARD
10-1
1
Bad Samaritan
D Davis
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Galatrona
J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
Dance With Me Babe
K Carmouche
* EXACTA: 2-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/9/10 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX
RACE #7 $125,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:09 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 HETTINGER STAKES
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
2
Make Mischief
D Davis
PLACE
5-2
4
Marvelous Maude
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
8-1
9
Finest Work
M Franco
WILD CARD
9-2
7
Runaway Rumour
F Prat
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Ice Princess
L Saez
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
Pure Bode
J Lezcano
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX
COMMENTS: MAKE MISCHIEF debuts on turf and breeding suggests she will like it. MARVELOUS MAUDE her best race in her career came at this distance. FINEST WORK has won four of seven career races on the turf. RUNAWAY RUMOUR always seems to be coming at the end to try and get a piece.
RACE #8 $40,000 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:41 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
5
American Tattoo
L Saez
PLACE
7-2
3
Winter Pool
K Carmouche
SHOW
3-1
2
Locally Owned
I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD
6-1
7
Two Thirty Five
D Davis
ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Truculent
J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Pioneer Spirit
T McCarthy
* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
RACE #9 $105,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:13 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
1
Diamond Hands
L Saez
PLACE
4-1
3
Parnac
J Rosario
SHOW
3-1
5
Marketsegmentation
I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD
8-1
4
Salimah
F Prat
ALTERNATE 1
15-1
8
Unruly Julie
E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
10
Ensemble
M Franco
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 11:14 AM
Belmont at the Big A Hotlist - September 30 September 29, 2022
Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Friday, September 30, 2022
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race [Md 40000, 1 mi] – (3) Super Quality was claimed two races back, tried a maiden special weight, and now goes from turf to dirt as a new gelding. He is projected to be on the lead. (5) North Pole was also claimed two starts ago but he came back to just miss the win after having the lead in the stretch. (4) Fazaro moves from turf to dirt where he has a pair of seconds and gets blinkers on. (6) Order of Magnitude drops into a maiden claimer for the first time in his second start of the year.
3rd race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 mi TURF] – (5) Latest Edition (B) had the lead last time but lost to a Hot List horse and finished second well ahead of the rest of the field. (6) Succulent won his last start but was disqualified and placed third after floating out in the stretch. She was second in her prior turf race at Saratoga. (4) Tara Dancer went from a third in her debut to a NY-bred stakes races and now drops back down. (2) Lem Me Drink set the pace last time, faded to fourth, and cuts back a furlong now.
4th race [Md 40000, 6F] – (4) Actualize is projected to be the pacesetter as he drops in a maiden claimer for the first time and comes back after just two weeks. (6) Upper Level moves from turf to dirt with a good debut on the main track in June at Belmont Park. He also has early speed. (5) Grand Again has changed barns after running second at Keeneland in his first start in October. He is now a gelding. (2) Necromancer hit the board twice at Aqueduct during the winter.
9th race [Alw 105000 N1X, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (1) Diamond Hands (C) lost head bob to a Hot List winner at Saratoga after setting the pace when heavily bet from 13-1 to 7-1. (4) Salimah (B) returned from a seven month layoff at the Spa and was rank under restraint while racing wide the entire race. (3) Parnac was second in her second start of the year for Christophe Clement. (5) Marketsegmentation was a winner in her debut for Chad Brown in December at the Big A beating a horse that came back to win her next start.
Best bets: Actualize (4th); Diamond Hands (9th). Best value: Super Quality (1st); Latest Edition (3rd).
No.
Name
Letter/
last race
Today's Race
Comments
(3)
Latest Edition
B on 8/12
3
Had the lead but lost by a neck while well ahead of the rest.
(14)
Highway Harmony
A on 8/12
6
Second on Also Eligible list.
(1)
Diamond Hands
C on 8/12
9
Lost a head bob to a Hot List horse at Saratoga.
(4)
Salimah
B on 8/27
9
She was rank under restraint and wide all the way.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:36 PM
Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - September 30 September 29, 2022
CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
3
Candy Kick
B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE
7-2
2
Backstreet Affair
M Murrill
SHOW
5-2
4
Landed Gentry
T Gaffalione
WILD CARD
7-2
6
Junellia
F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Our Lady Nelson
I Wiseman
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Open Says Me
A Beschizza
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #2 $50,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
1
Malibu S S
E Morales
PLACE
5-2
3
Prayforpeace
D Cohen
SHOW
2-1
6
Zippin Gigi
B J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD
9-2
5
Blue Kentucky
J Graham
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Waita Minute Hayes
C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Doctor Nash
J Rocco Jr.
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #3 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 AIR COMBAT
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
2
Air Combat
R Santana Jr.
PLACE
3-1
4
Seal Beach
G Corrales
SHOW
8-5
1
Dr. Perry
T Gaffalione
WILD CARD
6-1
6
Trashtalkinyankee
F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
You Vee Cee
D Cohen
ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
New Years Fever
E Morales
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 LOUELLA STREET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
7
Louella Street
E Morales
PLACE
5-1
5
Eclipsed
F Arrieta
SHOW
3-1
8
Forever Home
A Beschizza
WILD CARD
7-2
4
Sweet Annabella
J Rocco Jr.
ALTERNATE 1
9-2
1
Sis Boom Bob
R Miranda
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Green Bananas
J R Leparoux
* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
9-2
8
Tell Me When
G Corrales
PLACE
3-1
6
Nomadic Pride
E Morales
SHOW
7-2
2
Black Forest
M Garcia
WILD CARD
4-1
1
Malibu Toast
F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1
9-2
5
Valiant Praise
C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Rocket City
T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
RACE #6 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 ELEVEN CENTRAL
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
7
Eleven Central
G Corrales
PLACE
4-1
5
Roderick
T Gaffalione
SHOW
6-1
1
Major General
R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD
4-1
4
Claytnthelionheart
J R Leparoux
ALTERNATE 1
3-1
2
Digital
C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Palazzi
A Beschizza
* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #7 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-1
7
Saucy Secret
J Rocco Jr.
PLACE
3-1
4
Justifying
T Gaffalione
SHOW
4-1
9
Queen of Chill
F Geroux
WILD CARD
10-1
1
Gavinera
B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1
7-2
8
Two Minute Drill
F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Miss Quest
R Bejarano
* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/9 BOX, 1/4/9 BOX
RACE #8 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
4
Decision Maker
F Geroux
PLACE
2-1
3
Alejandro
B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW
3-1
2
Scarlet Fusion
T Gaffalione
WILD CARD
8-1
5
Search Engine
E Morales
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Uninvited Guest
J Rocco Jr.
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Common Bond
R Bejarano
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #9 $150,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
3
How Did He Do That
R Santana Jr.
PLACE
5-1
5
Fight Fiercely
R Bejarano
SHOW
3-1
8
Day Trade
F Geroux
WILD CARD
10-1
10
Mamba Forever
B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Dont Let Go
G Saez
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
King Me
F Peterson
* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:37 PM
Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 30 September 29, 2022
Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Friday, Sept. 30, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race – (5) Blue Kentucky returns to dirt and should turn in a sharp effort. (1) Malibu S S figures to be a threat with a ground-saving trip. (6) Zippin Gigi could be tough to catch in this spot. (4) Waita Minute Hayes should improve against claimers. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5. Exactas: 1-5 with 4-6 and 4-6 with 1-5. Doubles: 1-4-5-6 with 1-2-4.
3rd race – (1) Dr. Perry has the rail and Gaffalione and that may be a winning combination. (2) Air Combat will be well-suited by the six-furlong distance. (4) Seal Beach has put in some promising works and may wake up here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.
5th race – (6) Nomadic Pride put in a sharp, bullet work for her debut and may lead throughout. (1) Malibu Toast is another firster who may be a keen runner. (7) Rye Munny can make her presence felt here. (5) Valiant Praise should be a factor back on dirt. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-7.
7th race – (4) Justifying had a troubled trip when well-bet in her debut. Deserves a second chance here. (9) Queen of Chill has been acting like a solid runner in morning drills. (2) American Odalisque is worth a look in this field. (1) Gavinera could come out running for McPeek. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-9.
8th race – (3) Alejandro was like a fish out of water on turf and should rebound here on dirt. (4) Decision Maker is also a threat while moving from turf to dirt. (5) Search Engine belongs in the exotics. (2) Scarlet Fusion seems primed for a strong effort here. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:39 PM
Woodbine Tip Sheet - September 30 September 29, 2022
WOODBINE TIPS - FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
8-5
6
Laraque
S Jones
PLACE
4-1
3
Stealth Mission
K Kimura
SHOW
6-1
4
Stolen Money
K Nicholls
WILD CARD
5-2
1
All Time Classic
L Salles
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
2
Unbridled Inferno
N Hein
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
5
Three Mile Limit
O Moreno
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
RACE #2 $9,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:39 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 WILLIAMS CAUSE
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
9-2
9
Williams Cause
S Jones
PLACE
7-2
3
Free Shipping
K Kimura
SHOW
3-1
4
Kodiak Mamba
E Wilson
WILD CARD
8-1
8
Settebello
S Chernetz
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Pot Committed
L Salles
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
10
Social Justice
S R Bahen
* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
RACE #3 $35,700 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:08 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-5
2
Epilogue
S Chernetz
PLACE
6-1
4
War Giant
J Stein
SHOW
5-2
6
Moon Over Montana
K Kimura
WILD CARD
4-1
7
Danis Victory
S Civaci
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Society Joe
N Hein
ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Mesa Skyline
K Johnson
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #4 $60,300 OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:37 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 NONNOS LITTLE BOY
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
8
Nonnos Little Boy
R M Hernandez
PLACE
4-1
3
Citrus Boy
G Boulanger
SHOW
7-2
6
Repeat the Heat
S Civaci
WILD CARD
8-1
7
Infamous Covert
J Crawford
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
Giant One
D Moran
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
9
Classy Whisper
K Kimura
* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
RACE #5 $101,200 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:11 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SILVER MAGNATIZED
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
4
Silver Magnatized
R M Hernandez
PLACE
3-1
1
Gal Wonder
J Stein
SHOW
5-2
5
She Makes a Point
D Carroll
WILD CARD
6-1
6
Amazin Queen
D Fukumoto
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Vivid Vixen
E Flores
ALTERNATE 2
9-2
3
Lady Brew
D Moran
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #6 $64,300 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
5
Where Is Essa
J Stein
PLACE
2-1
6
Mr. De
K Kimura
SHOW
6-1
8
Uptown Lights
C Husbands
WILD CARD
12-1
3
Chunky Monkey
S Jones
ALTERNATE 1
3-1
2
Raise a Profit
L Salles
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Cerebro
E Flores
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
RACE #7 $101,200 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:16 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
4
Midway Mischief
S Jones
PLACE
2-1
7
Nikolaou
K Kimura
SHOW
4-1
3
Taranto Titan
D Moran
WILD CARD
8-1
2
Blast in the Snow
P Husbands
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Cupids Dude
R M Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Tapthespeedofsound
D Carroll
* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
RACE #8 $60,300 OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
4
Pemberley
K Kimura
PLACE
5-2
1
Bequia
L Contreras
SHOW
3-1
2
Who Says
L Salles
WILD CARD
9-2
6
Buttered Toast
S Chernetz
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Keep It Neat
D Moran
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Jolene Jolene
J L Campos
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
RACE #9 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:21 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-1
11
Magic Spin
S Jones
PLACE
5-2
9
Mystic Point
K Kimura
SHOW
6-1
10
Red Zeppelin
S Civaci
WILD CARD
8-1
1
Jack Slye
A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
6
Hardware Gap
E Flores
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Mia and Me
D Fukumoto
* EXACTA: 11-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/10/11 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:41 PM
KRIST PICKS
BELMONT AT THE BIG A - FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2022 // POST TIME - 1:00 P.M. EST
Thursday, 29 September 2022 00:00 | Author: Administrator | PDF Print E-mail
- DAILY SELECTIONS FOR SEPTEMBER 30 -
RACE 1: 3 - SUPER QUALITY 6-1
5 - NORTH POLE 3-1
7 - ABUNDANT HONOR 8-5
RACE 2: 5 - STOP WAR 8-1
2 - LIA MARINA 4-1
6 - THE IMPORTANT ONE 6-1
RACE 3: 7 - PHOTON 5-2
5 - LATEST EDITION 6-1
4 - TARA DANCER 6-1
RACE 4: 1 - GENESIS ONE 12-1 - LONGSHOT
4 - ACTUALIZE 2-1
2 - NECROMANCER 7-2
RACE 5: 1 - SAINT SELBY 9-5
6 - HAPPY FARM 4-1
2 - STAGE LEFT 9-2
RACE 6: 12 - MA MI JO DREAMS 12-1
10 - MOONAGE DAYDREAM 9-2
11 - SLOW DOWN SUMMER 8-1
RACE 7: 9 - FINEST WORK 8-1
2 - MAKE MISCHIEF 3-1
7 - RUNAWAY RUMOUR 9-2
RACE 8: 7 - TWO THIRTY FIVE 6-1 - BEST BET
5 - AMERICAN TATTOO 7-2
3 - WINTER POOL 7-2
RACE 9: 8 - UNRULY JULIE 15-1
3 - PARNAC 4-1
5 - MARKETSEGMENTATION 3-1
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:41 PM
Friday’s Moonee Valley racing tips & quaddie | September 30, 2022
September 29, 2022 8:29 am.
James Herbert
What Moonee Valley Races
Where Moonee Valley Racing Club – Feehan Ave, Moonee Ponds VIC 3039
When Friday, September 30, 2022
First Race 5:15pm AEST
Visit Ladbrokes
Racing returns to Moonee Valley on Friday night, this time for a massive 10-race program in near-perfect conditions. All the talk coming out of Moir Stakes Night on September 23 was the evident on-speed bias throughout the meeting, and with the rail coming out 7m on a track rated a Soft 6, it could be a similar story this week. The night of racing is set to get underway at 5:15pm AEST, with the last race set to go at 9:45pm.
Moonee Valley Best Bet: Savannah Cloud
The Phillip Stokes-trained Savannah Cloud is as honest a horse as you could hope for, finishing no worse than third in seven of his last eight starts. The five-year-old gelding resumed from a near six-month spell with a narrow defeat at Geelong on September 4 when forced to travel wide without cover up on speed. Having drawn barrier one for this assignment, getting caught wide will not be an issue; instead he draws to gain a gun run in transit throughout. He has a win over subsequent Sandown Stakes winner Gentleman Roy from earlier in the year, as well as not being far off the Group 1-quality Yonce back in March as well. He draws to get every favour in the run, and considering he has a win and two minor placings from three starts at Moonee Valley, Savannah Cloud looks a clear best bet of the night.
Best Bet
Race 2 – silks#5 Savannah Cloud (1)
5yo Gelding | T: Phillip Stokes | J: Zac Spain (57.5kg)
$4 with Unibet
Next Best at Moonee Valley: Viviane
With a win and a narrow runner-up result to her name in her two starts this campaign, the Mathew Ellerton-trained Viviane has returned in fine fettle and looks to be one of the better bets of the night. The four-year-old mare has won three times and finished second on two other occasions in her last five starts, suggesting she comes to this BM70 in red-hot form. Considering she already has a win to her name when third-up from a spell, she looks hard to beat. All three of those recent wins came at 1000m, and from barrier four we expect Craig Williams to take up the running and have Viviane set a tempo that her rivals will not be able to match.
Next Best
Race 8 – silks#3 Viviane (4)
4yo Mare | T: Mathew Ellerton | J: Craig Williams (60.5kg)
$2.45 with Neds
Best Value at Moonee Valley: Look Sharpish
The Leon & Troy Corstens-trained Look Sharpish has a strong affiliation with The Valley having won on two occasions from four starts, including at the 2040m which she steps out at on Friday. She won at this track and trip three runs ago back in March when settling at the rear of the field and hitting the line strongly late on. She resumed with a midfield finish on the Pakenham synthetic on August 26 but did enough to suggest she was worth following when stepping out to a more reasonable distance. If Damien Oliver can have her within a couple of lengths of her rivals at the top of the straight, then Look Sharpish will be hard to hold out. Online Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)s are giving us around $4.60 for the win, and that is overs.
Best Value
Race 4 – silks#7 Look Sharpish (6)
6yo Mare | T: Leon & Troy Corstens | J: Damien Oliver (55kg)
$4.60 with Bet365
Friday quaddie tips for The Valley
Moonee Valley quadrella selections
Friday, September 30, 2022
4-5-8-10
3-9
7-8-11
6-7-8-9-10
Investment: $180 for 100%
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:42 PM
What You Need to Know - Santa Anita | Friday, September 30, 2022
by Jeff Siegel
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play
__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Naismith; 3-Lil Bro Coop
Backups/savers: 1-Kawasaki
Forecast: Naismith exits a fast, highly rated straight maiden affair and seems certain to greatly appreciate this return to the high priced maiden claiming ranks. He’s not one to trust – none of these are – but if allowed to display his natural early speed the Richard Mandella-trained colt could get loose on the lead and become very brave. On pure numbers he’s tops in the field. Lil Bro Coop wasted a perfect trip when third in a similar affair at Del Mar last month but based strictly on figures he’s a major player in a soft field. Winless in six starts over the local lawn, the son of War Envoy appears to lack a winning punch but if our top pick fails to fire he’s the logical alternative. Kawazaki is worth tossing in as a saver. He’s assured a ground-saving trip from the rail, and if the addition of blinkers could produce a forward move in what will be just his fourth career start.
Notable Workouts:
Lil Bro Coop (Sept. 16, 4f, :51.3h TT). Grade: B-
In blinkers, slow drill but was just breezing along, final three furlongs in :37.3, never asked. In good shape and probably has some improvement in him.
View Workout Video
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RACE 2: Post: 1:28 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Darling Donna
Backups/savers: 1-Crimson Rose
Forecast: Darling Donna takes a significant class drop from starter allowance $50,000 company to this restricted (nw-2) $32,000 seller, and from her cozy outside draw the Vladimir Cerin-trained filly should have every chance to regain her winning form. A repeat of her nine length maiden claiming romp two races back will be more than sufficient, so she’ll get the main punch, but on a ticket or two you may want to consider Crimson Rose as a back-up. She’s reasonably competitive on numbers and the switch to top rider Juan Hernandez has to be considered a plus.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Bulletproof One; 5-Freedom Flyer
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Ex-classer Bulletproof One, a multiple stakes winner with earnings just shy of $40,000, returns off a 13-month layoff while being risked for a tag ($80,000) for the first time, not really a sign of confidence, although a case could be made that this is where she realistically belongs. Her work tab at San Luis Rey Downs seems a little light, but the barn has superior stats (22% with a strong ROI) with comebackers, so despite the mixed signals we’ll put her on top. Freedom Flyer has been two-turning most of the career, but this route-to-spring angle generally is quite effective over this course and distance, so we’re expecting the daughter of Constitution to have a say in the matter from off the pace. Numbers-wise she’s a good fit with these.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:31 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Conundrum; 3-Party Town
Backups/Savers: none
Forecast: Conundrum was out of his element when facing first-level allowance foes earlier this month at Del Mar but this realistic class drop to the restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claiming ranks should get him back on track. From his cozy outside draw over the extended sprint distance of seven furlongs that has proven to be his favorite trip (two wins from three starts), the Super Saver gelding may be a short price worth taking. Party Town projects as the controlling speed and finished a respectable third under these conditions at Del Mar in his most recent start. This will be his third start in his current form cycle, so improvement is likely. Toss him in on a ticket or two as a saver in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:01 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-A Little Bit Crazy; 5-Candy On Top; 4-Finnley’s Kitten
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Here’s an inscrutable maiden special weight turf miler for state-bred fillies, with none of the main contenders in this six-runner affair appearing trustworthy. A Little Bit Crazy has been trouble prone in her four race career (most of it self-caused) but from her outside draw she should be able to fold over and secure a reasonable spot outside in the clear and then have every chance from there. Never worse than fourth but already a twice-beaten favorite, the Jonathan Wong-trained filly has tactical speed but might be most effective if held up early and produced late. Her speed figures are lower than par for this level, but the other main players are pretty slow, too. Candy On Top is a one-paced grinder with six prior outings but at she did early a career top number – moderate as it was – when finishing third in a similar affair at Del Mar in late August. With another slight forward, move, she’ll be right there. Finnley’s Kitten should be forwardly placed, perhaps even on the lead, and if she can make the running without undue pressure the daughter of Kitten’s Joy may get brave and be hard to catch. This is her seconds start off a layoff (barn has strong stats with this angle), so she deserves a serious look.
Notable Workouts:
Finnley’s Kitten (Sept. 25, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.3h TT). Grade: B
Did okay under light late coaxing but swapped back to her left lead approaching the wire while finishing in full stride in solo half mile training track drill for V. Cerin. Prefers turf and has a bit of room to improve.
View Workout Video
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RACE 6: Post: 3:31 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Whiskey Blue; 4-Awesome Pamela
Backups/savers: 3-Starship Sky; 8-Liberalism
Forecast: Here’s another race that requires considerable coverage in rolling exotic play. Whiskey Blue galloped out better than the line will show in her recent fifth place finish sprint at this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 level, and if she’s ever going to be successful around two-turns, it’ll most likely be in her first try. The daughter of Maclean’s Music doesn’t quite have the speed to be effective sprinting but over a mile in a race without much pace she is likely to be forwardly placed and have every chance against a field of one-paced grinders. A recent bullet half mile workout (:47 2/5, fastest of 60) catches the eye, so let’s go for a price and put here on top. Awesome Pamela has a prior win and has never finished off the board in three prior starts over the Santa Anita main track, so her lack of tactical speed notwithstanding the Black Heap-trained mare must be considered a major player. Her speed figures are average at best but at least she should be finishing from the quarter pole home. Starship Sky and Liberalism may be worth including on your ticket as well, at least as backups. The former is 1-for-25 during her career but at least her sole victory came over the local main strip, while the latter has never routed but, like our top pick, may step forward in her first try over a distance of ground.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:01 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-First Peace; 2-Kid Azteca
Backups/savers: 4-Dr. Soulfire
Forecast: First Peace exits a killer race – the one that Speed Boat Beach set a track record at Del Mar – and under the circumstances actually didn’t run badly in despite winding up sixth, beaten almost 14 lengths. With the switch to grass for his second career start and facing an infinitely easier assignment, the Mark Glatt-trained colt seems certain to improve a bunch, especially if she leaves clean from the rail. The barn’s second time starters usually step forward, so at 4-1 on the morning line there’s some wagering value available. Kid Azteca is the likely choice and one to beat. Back sprinting after failing to see out the trip when a weakening fourth over a mile in his most recent start, the Peter Miller-trained colt retains top rider Juan Hernandez and should be able to settle into a second flight, stalking position and then have every chance from the quarter pole to the wire. As a backup, Dr. Soulfire is worth some consideration. The son of West Coast exits two tougher maiden sprints, tries grass, and continues to show some spark in his morning trials. He might be a late factor with the switch to top turf rider Umberto Rispoli.
Notable Workouts:
Dr. Soulfire (Sept. 23, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.3h). Grade: B-
Went off quickly in company with Fore Flag (4f, :49h) and was much best while traveling out to the seven furlong pole under mild coaxing only (workmate asked, couldn’t keep up) while coming the final three eighths in :24.3 and :37.1 on our watches. Okay drill for son of West Coast; has a right to improve over a distance of ground.
View Workout Video
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RACE 8: Post: 4:31 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Redline; 6-Traegar
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Redline seems under valued at even money on the morning line and his late-running style probably works best in extended sprints but he’s fast on figures, continues to work well for John Sadler, and should be able to handle this first-level allowance assignment. The barn’s “go-to” rider Juan Hernandez picks up the call. Traegar is much slower on numbers than the favorite but with just two lifetime starts the son of Congrats has plenty of room for further improvement. He’s drawn perfectly outside and can dictate the pace flow throughout. In a race that probably is best left alone, you can use both in rolling exotic play with the main push going to Redline.
Notable Workouts:
Redline (Sept. 16, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.3h). Grade: B
Maybe a tad second best but did well enough inside Hawker (same time) for J. Sadler, :24.1 and :48.3, neither one asked much. Late-running sprinter has first level allowance conditions available with form that suggests he likes this main track.
View Workout Video
Traegar (Sept. 24, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.1h). Grade: B-
Not the best of movers (egg-beater action) but went okay in solo five furlong drill for M. Glatt, final half mile in :24.1 and :49.1, ridden some in the final furlong. Might be the type that runs better than he works; comes off solid maiden sprint win at Del Mar and will get tested on the raise.
View Workout Video
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RACE 9: Post: 5:01 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Curly Esa; 3-Kazuhiko; 1-National Generaux
Backups/savers: 2-Tokamak
Forecast: Let’s take another stab with the sprinter-stretching-out angle (see today’s sixth race) in this maiden claiming turf miler for older horses. Curly Esa remains a maiden after eight outings, but this will be his first try around two turns, so it’s possible that he’ll leave his previous form behind by establishing the pace and then getting brave. The barn hasn’t won a race all year (zero-for-23) but based on his sprint figures the son of Munnings has a legitimate price chance. Kazuhiko is an 11-race maiden but has hit the board on six occasions and may be the most dangerous of the closing types. National Generaux earned a much improved speed figure when fourth in straight maiden company at Del Mar in mid-August and not much better will be needed today to put him right there. If you feel you need to spread deeper, consider Tokamak, if for no other reason that he sports the popular blinkers off angle while also facing maiden claimers for the first time.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:42 PM
Laurel Park Late Pick 4 Analysis Friday, September 30, 2022
by Frank Carulli
The Maryland racing scene shifts back to Laurel Park, with the popular Late Pick 4 encompassing three route races and a 5-1/2F turf allowance this Friday, Sept. 30. Here’s a look at the action:
LRL 6th race (3:14 EST) -- BOSS LOGIC ‘surged clear in mid-stretch’ to put away the pesky 2-to-1 second favorite and win off the claim by Ness. He ran 1/5 of a second faster than a $15,000/nw3 claiming race on the same card. He met hard-hitting Silent Malice (9-39, $251k) and stablemate The King Cheek ($308k) in his prior two starts. CLOSER LOOK faded from up close to the pace in his last three starts, but he could be better suited to the off-the-pace tactics that produced an allowance runner-up finish at Laurel Park to start the year. In that race, he bid to a clear lead but settled for second behind Treasure Trove, who was embarking on a $111k season.
LRL 7th race (3:44 EST) -- MIT MAZEL is working steadily for her return from a six-month layoff. She has carried her speed to an 8/3-3-1 record at the distance, good for $101k in earnings. She could face front-end pressure, so use CHAMPAGNE TOAST as a backup if the pace collapses. She swung 5-wide entering the stretch and got up to finish second behind stakes winner Trolley Ride (10-37, $407k) in her last start on dirt.
LRL 8th race (4:15 EST) -- The eight Maryland-bred fillies and mares entered in this 5-1/2F turf allowance last won at six different venues – two on the Laurel Park and Colonial Downs lawn, two others in turf-to-dirt races at Pimlico and Delaware Park and the final two on the Laurel Park and Timonium main tracks. More than half the field finished first or second within their last two starts. It adds up to an ‘ALL’ punch in the Pick 4.
LRL 9th race (4:45 EST) – ABSENTEE made a last-to-first move in a route race dominated by closers at Park, but the 2-3-4 finishers in that race arrived in excellent form and are a combined 6-18 since March. BUMPERDOO rallied for three wins and a second in his last four starts, all going long distance, and is the one to beat in here. WALK AWAY JOE, in tight on the final turn, finished third after his rider claimed an objection against the winning favorite last out.
Suggested 50-cent Ticket
LRL 6th Race: 3, 5
LRL 7th Race: 1, 3
LRL 8th Race: ALL
LRL 9th Race: 2, 3, 5
COST: $48
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:45 PM
Friday’s Horse Racing Tips: Ascot, September 30th
Stephen Harris Horse Racing Expert
Today’s Horse Racing Tips – September 30th
There are 6 meetings in Britain and Ireland on Friday, with good quality flat racing dominating from Ascot, with the 1m6f listed contest at 3.45pm very much the highlight as some classy stayers are declared over the stamina sapping trip. Supporting all-weather cards at Newcastle and Dundalk will keep the Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)s and punters busy, while jumps fans are in for a busy afternoon as the autumn arrives, with competitive low level cards at Fontwell, Hexham and Gowran Park.
Today’s Daily Nap
Sweet William
Ascot 3:10 (UK time)
John and Thady Gosden have maintained an excellent strike rate throughout the season, and this unexposed 3-y-o went straight into the notebook on his debut at Kempton 18 days ago. He missed the break completely and was soon in a poor position racing greenly in rear there, but began to get the hang of things turning for home and ran on really strongly for a closing second under mainly hand-riding. There is sure to be loads of improvement in the tank with that run under his belt, and he is fancied to get off the mark at Ascot on Friday.
Odds: NA
Today’s Value Angle
Perfect Alibi
Ascot 3:45 (UK time)
William Haggas’s progressive stayer has thrived from the front this summer, winning twice at Newbury and showing an excellent attitude for pressure in the process. She pulled well clear of the rest when finding only the smart Hoo Ya Mal too strong last month at Goodwood, and another attacking ride from Tom Marquand should make her hard to pass on the decent ground.
Odds: NA
Odds are best odds available as at 2am September 30th 2022. Odds may now differ.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:45 PM
Marketwise Picks
A Winning Day at the Races!
Free Picks & Plays
September 30th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Super Quality 6-1 16
#7 Abundant Honor 8-5 16
#5 North Pole 3-1 15
#4 Fazaro 10-1 14
Race 2:
#3 Mischievous Dream 3-1 32
#2 Lia Marina 4-1 31
#7 Mail Order 2-1 30
#5 Stop War 8-1 30
Race 3:
#7 Photon 5-2 17
#5 Latest Edition 6-1 16
#6 Succulent 3-1 15
#2 Lem Me Drink 6-1 14
Race 4:
#4 Actualize 2-1 18
#5 Grand Again 8-1 16
#3 Sainthoodforbrian 8-1 15
#6 Upper Level 9-5 15
Race 5:
#2 Stage Left 9-2 34
#6 Happy Farm 4-1 33
#1 Saint Selby 9-5 32
#4 Senbei 3-1 31
Race 6:
#4 Galatrona 8-1 17
#10 Moonage Daydream 9-2 16
#2 Fancypants Juliana 7-2 16
#3 Follow the Fed 12-1 15
Race 7:
#7 Runaway Rumour 9-2 34
#4 Marvelous Maude 5-2 33
#1 Classic Lady 6-1 32
#2 Make Mischief 3-1 32
Race 8:
#4 Pioneer Spirit 10-1 32
#3 Winter Pool 7-2 31
#2 Locally Owned 3-1 30
#5 American Tattoo (ARG) 7-2 30
Race 9:
#3 Parnac (FR) 4-1 32
#1 Diamond Hands 4-1 32
#5 Marketsegmentation 3-1 32
#8 Unruly Julie 15-1 31
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,7,5,4
Race 2: 3,2,7
Race 3: 7,5,6
Race 4: 4,5,3,6
Race 5: 2,6
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,2,7,5
Race 3: 7,5,6,2
Race 4: 4,5,3,6
Race 5: 2,6,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 4: 4,5,3,6
Race 5: 2,6,1
Race 6: 4,10,2
Race 7: 7,4
Race 8: 4,3
Race 9: 3
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 2,6,1
Race 6: 4,10,2,3
Race 7: 7,4,1
Race 8: 4,3,2
Race 9: 3,1
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 4,10,2,3
Race 7: 7,4,1,2
Race 8: 4,3,2
Race 9: 3,1,5
$.50 Ticket: $72
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:46 PM
TimeformUS horses in focus for Friday, Sept. 30
David Aragona
RACE 2: LIA MARINA (#2)
Mail Order (#7) is the horse to beat even though she finished behind a rival that she meets again here in her last start. This Mott trainee completely blew the start last time, as she hit the gate and broke over a length slowly. To make matters worse, she then quickly rushed up to take the lead, exerting far too energy in the opening quarter. She ultimately paid the price in fading to third. This time the start isn’t as critical with her drawing the outside post position. She also should appreciate the stretch-out to 6 furlongs. That said, she is a horse who has one standout speed figure and will be a short price. I do prefer her to Mischievous Dream (#3), who just picked by second by default last time in a race that may not be as strong as the speed figures indicates. I’ve never been the biggest fan of her and believe she would have to improve. The other Clement runner also needs to take a step forward, but at least Lia Marina (#2) has significant upside. She was never going to be competitive with the talented Spendarella last time, and she was game to win that stakes two back over some horses who have since improved. She started out her career as a sprinter, so this seems like a natural spot to bring her back off the layoff. I also view it as a sign of confidence that Clement had originally entered her in the Pebbles Stakes a few weeks ago before scratching in favor of this race. Strong Odor (#4) had some trouble in her last race at Gulfstream and is another that I could use underneath in her return from the layoff.
:: Get TimeformUS PPs for these races at Aqueduct
RACE 6: GALATRONA (#4)
Showemyourheels (#13) would alter the complexion of this race if she got in off the AE list, because I do think she’d be the horse to beat. She arguably ran the best race of anyone exiting that common July 28 affair at Saratoga, as she got squeezed back at the start and rallied well through traffic for fourth. Like others in here, she’s been entered a few times since then, but keeps getting stuck on the AE list. Fancypants Juliana (#2) and Moonage Daydream (#10) also ran well in that July 28 affair and can improve, but I think there are some other new faces that are a little more intriguing. Ma Mi Jo Dreams (#12) switches surfaces following a dirt debut in which she flashed brief speed and faded. Freud is obviously a strong turf influence, and the dam is a half-sister to a few multiple turf winners, including stakes-placed Amazing Anne and Deciphering Dreams, who were both sired by Freud. Furthermore, Rick Schosberg is 5 for 25 (20%, $4.58 ROI) with maiden second-time starters over 5 years. My top pick is first-time starter Galatrona (#4). Get Stormy isn’t the best debut influence, but he is an underrated turf sire. The dam has produced 6 winners from as many foals to race, 3 of which are turf sprint winners. The best of those is 3-time turf winner Fontanafredda, who is a three-quarter sister. H. James Bond often gives his debut runners a start, but this filly has shown some speed in the mornings feels live with Joel Rosario being tapped to ride.
RACE 7: FINEST WORK (#9)
I’ll be interested to see how the public approaches Make Mischief (#2), who is a real wild card in this lineup as she makes her turf debut in the 21st start of her career. If she merely transfers her dirt form to grass, she’ll be awfully tough for this group to handle. Into Mischief wins with an excellent 14% of his turf route starters, and all 4 of the dam’s other foals to race are turf winners. However, she’s going to take money off her dirt speed figures and those types are often bad bets. Marvelous Maude (#4) might be the horse to beat as she drops back in against New York-bred company. I won’t hold the last-place finish in the Flower Bowl against her, as that was Plan B once the Yaddo was rained off the turf. She’s moved forward with nearly every start, and will be tough if able to build on that open N1X victory from earlier in the Saratoga meet. I think the 9 furlongs suits her, but I don’t love the likely price as Irad Ortiz rides for Chad Brown. Finest Work (#9) finished just behind that filly when they met in that July 30 affair, but I thought she ran just as well in defeat. She had to briefly pause when attempting to rally between horses in the stretch and was finishing well late. She’s been in excellent form all year for George Weaver and seems to be handling any added distance they throw at her. I’m hoping Manny Franco can work out a stalking trip. I would also use Runaway Rumour (#7) if the price is fair. She has lost 10 races in a row since winning the first 3 starts of her career, but I thought her last race represented a significant step in the right direction. She just barely lost to Vigilante’s Way, who is superior to any runner she meets in this lineup. I also like the rider switch to Prat.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:46 PM
Rick Lee's Picks Lone Star Park
Friday, September 30, 2022
Lee’s Lock
Race 12
(#2) Two Seven has finished second in
three consecutive races against slightly
better, and she is proven at 400 yards.
Best Bet
Race 3
(#2) Ghost Bear is a stake winning five-
year-old, who is returning to his best
distance, and recent works are sharp.
Best Longshot
Race 2
(#10) Wl Casanova was narrowly
defeated when last seen at today’s class
level, and he’s faced better recently.
10-Cent Superfecta of the Day
The key to hitting a big superfecta is to
find a strong contender who is in a large
and contentious field, such as Kiss My
Shazoom in the ninth.
10 cent Superfecta numbers:
7/2,5,6,9,12/2,5,6,9,12/2,5,6,9,12=$6
Race Selections
1st Race:
(#2) Saint Silkie Aa
(#1) Dimond Gem Aa
(#6) Wma Country Star A
(#4) Wma Grand Finale A
2nd Race:
(#10) Wl Casanova*
(#1) Rjr Spotted Apple
(#6) Pfr Corona N Lime
(#2) Vp Country Smoke
3rd Race:
(#2) Ghost Bear*
(#7) Hodgepodge Hocks
(#4) Im Jess Dashing
(#3) Easter Fools
4th Race:
(#4) Jess the Leader
(#3) Lethal Viper
(#2) Downrite Handsome
(#5) Td Tres Seis
5th Race:
(#4) Dyamites Luck
(#7) Dixie Moon Jagger
(#3) B Tuff Lbh
(#2) Coronas Make Me Wild
6th Race:
(#8) Gorjus Temptress
(#1) Rfire Spirit
(#7) Moonin the Ace
(#4) Orient Xpress
7th Race:
(#4) Dash of Revenant
(#8) Hez Cloned
(#6) Essential Kiss
(#7) Hip National
8th Race:
(#4) Rusted Good
(#5) Leadgend
(#9) Jetsson
(#3) Mr Hemp Perry
9th Race:
(#7) Kiss My Shazoom*
(#2) Mighty B Faster
(#6) The Lad Can Dash
(#5) Lil Southern Sister
10th Race:
(#6) Check Coltons Wagon
(#1) Dancers Pass
(#2) Sheza Jet Too
(#8) Courageous Sue
11th Race:
(#6) Truffle
(#8) Kj Flying Spirit
(#5) War Revenant
(#9) Kas Hes Revenant
12th Race:
(#2) Two Seven*
(#8) Ojd Shez Gon Rogue
(#10) Louisianafamouseagle
(#9) Watchthedirtfly
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:46 PM
The Hare Wins - Randy Hare
THE HARE WINS
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30
Race 1 Maiden 5-1/2 Furlongs
# 5 – Legacy Slew Caught sloppy track in first start this year & should improve here
# 6 – Tiny Fortune Posted some good workouts for her debut
# 3 – Midnight Bachata Well bred filly should do well in this group
# 2 – Da Coach’s Wife 6 of 9 in the $$ this year
$1 Exacta Box: 5-6-3 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
$.50 Pick 5: 5-6-3 / 2-5-1 / 7-5 / 4-8 / 7-3-9 Cost: $54.00 Pick the winners of races 1-5.
Race 2 Maiden About 7-1/2 Furlongs (turf)
# 2 – He’s a Prince Did well in his last start on the turf
# 5 – Benissimo 2nd in first start on the RP turf
# 1 – Air Force Angel Runs well on the turf
# 7 – Morolicious Tries the turf after 2nd in last start
$1 Exacta Box: 2-5-1 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
$.50 Pick 4: 2-5-1 / 7-5 / 4-8 / 7-3-9 Cost: $18.00 Pick the winners of races 2-5.
Race 3 Maiden 6 Furlongs
# 7 – Sunny San Leon 3 rd in debut behind 2 next start winners & 1 was a stakes winner
# 5 – Rule Em All Solid 2 nd in her debut
# 1 – Leopard Bait Finished 1 length behind the #5 in first RP start
# 2 – Roses Are Gray Wide trip in her debut
$1 Exacta Box: 7-5-1 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
$.50 Kick Off Pick 3: 7-5 / 4-8 / 7-3-9 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 3, 4, 5.
Race 4 Maiden 5-1/2 Furlongs
# 4 – Tonto d’Oro First timer from the mighty Trout barn has some sharp workouts
# 8 – Red Dirt Rich Missed by a nose coming out of the 12 hole in last start
# 2 – Ghost Hero Slow start & wide trip in his last dash still finished 4th
# 5 – Eakly Improved as the favorite in last start
$1 Exacta Box: 4-8-2 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
$.50 Pick 3: 4-8 / 7-3-9 / 8-9-11 Cost: $9.00 Pick the winners of races 4, 5, 6.
Race 5 Maiden 6-1/2 Furlongs
# 7 – Amos Moses Hart Gotta like his work tab and connections
# 3 – Kentucky Bourbon Stakes placed maiden should like this distance
# 9 – Cunning 3rd in his last start& fired bullet workout since then
# 8 – Gold N Silver Tried the turf last start but was 2nd on the dirt in May
$1 Exacta Box: 7-3-9 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
$.50 Pick 3: 7-3-9 / 8-9-11 / 3-5 Cost: $9.00 Pick the winners of races 5, 6, 7.
Race 6 Allowance About 7-1/2 Furlongs (turf)
# 8 – Sellaczar Just finished 2 nd @ this level
# 9 – Endless Romance Takes the next step up after winning her last start
# 11 – Optimistic Cowgirl She’s 5 of 6 in the $$ on the turf
# 4 – Red Hot Moon Comes off nice win @ this distance on the turf
$1 Exacta Box: 8-9-11 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2nd in any order.
$.50 Pick 3: 8-9-11 / 3-5 / 4-3 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 6, 7, 8.
$.50 Primetime Pick 4: 8-9-11 / 3-5 / 4-3 / 8-5-4-9 Cost: $24.00 Pick the winners of races 6-9.
Race 7 Maiden 5-1/2 Furlongs
# 3 – Misswish Had bit of trouble in debut fought to finish closing 3 rd
# 5 – Im the Bigger Bear Has improved with every start
# 7 – Hot Tamalli She is quick & the one to catch
# 12 – Doudoudouwanadance Solid work tab for
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:47 PM
Top Shot - Jerry Shottenkirk
Remington Park Selections
Friday, September 30
1 st Race
5 LEGACY SLEW
6 TINY FORTUNE
7 GOSPEL MOLLY
2 DA COACH’S WIFE
2 nd Race
5 BENISSIMO
4 GOLD PRIZE
2 HE’S A PRINCE
6 PRIME CODE
3 rd Race
1 LEOPARD BAIT
5 RULE EM ALL
2 ROSES ARE GRAY
7 SUNNY SAN LEON
4 th Race
4 TONTO D’ORO
5 EAKLY
2 GHOST HERO
8 RED DIRT RICH
5 th Race
3 KENTUCKY BOURBON
7 AMOS MOSES HART
9 CUNNING
1 SHOTGUN UP
6 th Race
1 COLORS OF THE WIND
11 OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL
9 ENDLESS ROMANCE
5 MISSYINTOMISCHIEF
7 th Race
3 MISSWISH
7 HOT TAMALLI
6 GYPSY ROSE
5 IM THE BIGGER BEAR
8 th Race
4 SALT CREEK KID
7 WILLY SPECIAL CATS
8 ZIP TIE
6 CUATRO MADRES
9 th Race
8 STREET TAPPER
12 PROUD VALENTINE
5 ROSIE JANE
9 IRISH BIZ
TODAY’S BEST BET
SALT CREEK KID (8 th
)
PICK FIVE
(Races 1-5)
5-6 with 5-4-2 with 1-5 with 4-5 with 3-7-9 ($36)
PREMIER PICK FOUR
(Races 2-5)
5-4-2 with 1-5-2 with 4-5 with 3-7-9 ($27)
PRIMETIME PICK FOUR
(Races 6-9)
1-11-9 with 3-7-6-5 with 4-7 with 8-12-5 ($36)
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:47 PM
Rich's Pitches - Richard Linihan
Remington Park
RICH'S PITCHESBY RICHARD LINIHAN
RACE 1
#7 Gospel Molly
#3 Midnight Bachata
#5 Legacy Slew
#6 Tiny Fortune
RACE 2
#2 He’s a Prince
#4 Gold Prize
#1 Air Force Angel
#5 Benissimo
RACE 3
#7 Sunny San Leon
#5 Rule Em All
#1 Leopard Bait
#6 Della Luce
RACE 4
#8 Red Dirt Rich
#4 Tonto d’Oro
#5 Eakly
#7 Briggsey
RACE 5
#8 Gold N Silver
#3 Kentucky Bourbon
#9 Cunning
#7 Amos Moses Hart
RACE 6
#8 Stellaczar
#11 Optimistic Cowgirl
#4 Red Hot Moon
#5 Missyintomischief
RACE 7
#12 Doudoudouwanadance
#11 Youneedtocalmdown
#3 Misswish
#5 Im the Bigger Bear
RACE 8
#4 Salt Creek Kid
#3 Pop’s Biscuit
#5 Lava Bomb
#8 Zip Tie
RACE 9
#5 Rosie Jane
#9 Irish Biz
#8 Street Tapper
#1 Including Elli
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:47 PM
Rocket Picks ��: Belmont at the Big A, Santa Anita Park Park, and Churchill Downs for September 30, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman
It’s time for another great Friday of racing! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont at the Big A for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Churchill Downs and Santa Anita Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s GO!
Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont at the Big A:
Belmont at the Big A September 30, 2022
Race 6: Maiden Special Weight
#9 Leadership Ability debuts in this spot for Chad Brown, who usually has them ready to roll for their debut efforts. This horse has been working steadily leading up to the race. #2 Fancypants Juliana was third on debut and should move forward off of that race. Luis Saez is back aboard again today.
Race 7: John Hettinger Stakes
freestar
#4 Marvelous Maude drops down in class after taking on graded stakes runners last time out at Saratoga. This is a solid class level for her. #7 Runaway Rumour also will drop down to New York bred stakes company today, while getting Prat aboard, which is a good sign.
Race 8: Claiming
#3 Winter Pool runs first off of the claim for Duggan in this spot after running well against similar horses last time out. If he improves today he has a good shot. #2 Locally Owned runs first off of the claim as well after winning at a lower level last time out at Saratoga.
Race 9: Allowance
#1 Diamond Hands was a nose away from victory last time out at the same level at Saratoga. This is her second race for Pletcher, which could lead to improvement. #5 Marketsegmentation goes for two in a row today; however, has not started since December of last year. We will see if Brown has her ready to run off of this long layoff.
THE TICKET
$.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 2,9,10,11 / 4,7 / 2,3,5,7 / 1,3,5 – $48
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:47 PM
Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Friday, September 30
By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail
Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Friday's meetings at Newcastle, Ascot, Fontwell and Hexham.
NEWCASTLE
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
4.40 Finery
5.15 Lupset Flossy Pop
5.45 Wasdale
6.15 Melburnian (nb)
6.45 Wan’em
7.15 Canagat (nap)
7.45 Melfet
8.15 Rory
GIMCRACK
4.40 Finery
5.15 How Exciting
5.45 Wasdale
6.15 Rozalia
6.45 Wan’em
7.15 Mr Coco Bean
7.45 Melfet
8.15 Melody King
ASCOT
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
2.00 Young Fire
2.35 Aggagio
3.10 Suffrajet
3.45 Secret State
4.20 Lethal Nymph
4.55 Al Marmar
GIMCRACK
2.00 Stone Soldier
2.35 Whitehaven
3.10 Sweet William
3.45 Secret State (nap)
4.20 Thunder Legend (nb)
4.55 Raising Sand
Newmarket – 3.10 Sweet William (nb); 3.45 Secret State (nap).
HEXHAM
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.50 Golden Robin
2.25 Fringill Dike
3.00 Thatbeatsbanagher
3.35 Dr Sanderson
4.10 Saint Arvans
4.45 Abington Park
5.20 Going Mobile
GIMCRACK
1.50 Makety
2.25 Fringill Dike
3.00 Thatbeatsbanagher
3.35 Captain Tom Cat
4.10 Saint Arvans
4.45 Abington Park
5.20 Going Mobile
Northerner – 4.10 Minella Plus (nap); 5.20 Going Mobile (nb).
FONTWELL
ROBIN GOODFELLOW
1.40 Toad Of Toad Hall
2.15 Soul Icon
2.50 Bahtiyar
3.25 Mr Freedom
4.00 The Golden Rebel
4.35 Princess T
5.10 Blaze A Trail
GIMCRACK
1.40 D’jango
2.15 Soul Icon
2.50 Bobby Socks
3.25 Mr Freedom
4.00 Up The Straight
4.35 Princess T
5.10 Blaze A Trail
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:48 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park
PURCHASE
Delaware Park - Race 3
$1 Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-5) .50 Pick 5 (Races 3-7 *15% takeout*)
Maiden Special • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 76 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 1:30P
(PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. PREFERENCE TO THOSE HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * BATTUTA D'ORO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. IN GOD'S TIME: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). DUKE OF GLOUCESTER: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. NARCISO DALI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COLLECTION DAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
14
BATTUTA D'ORO
15/1
9/2
6
IN GOD'S TIME
8/1
6/1
8
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER
6/1
8/1
2
NARCISO DALI
12/1
10/1
12
COLLECTION DAY
5/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
12
COLLECTION DAY
12
5/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
40.8
60.7
52.7
2
NARCISO DALI
1
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
72
66
38.9
19.9
11.4
8
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER
8
6/1
Trailer
73
59
56.9
55.0
49.0
3
GETTIN'DOWNONIT
2
10/1
Trailer
67
56
37.9
58.8
47.8
14
BATTUTA D'ORO
14
15/1
Trailer
73
73
27.4
64.9
59.9
7
ARTICO
7
7/2
Trailer
71
70
0.0
0.0
0.0
1A
STELLAR LUTE
15
15/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
9.5
27.5
11.0
9
BATTLEOFLEXINGTON
9
20/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
0.0
25.6
6.6
4
WORD FOR WORD
3
6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
26.5
4.7
0.0
13
JEBY
13
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Unknown Running Style: HOP AND SCOTCH (12/1) [Jockey: Mena Raul E - Trainer: Contessa Gary C], UNCAPTURED STORM (15/1) [Jockey: Arroyo Angel S - Trainer: Shuman Mark], IN GOD'S TIME (8/1) [Jockey: Sanchez Mychel J - Trainer: Stidham Michael], CRIPPLE
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:48 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs
PURCHASE
Churchill Downs - Race 7
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Optional Claiming $80,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 96 • Purse: $134,000 • Post: 7:54P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $26,600 TWICE OVER A MILE SINCE JULY 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $23,400 OVER A MILE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $80,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $62,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Trailer. DESIGNER READY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MISTY VEIL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DESIGNER READY: Horse's win percen tage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SALUTE THE FLAG: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
MISTY VEIL
2/1
4/1
6
DESIGNER READY
5/1
6/1
5
SALUTE THE FLAG
5/2
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
MISTY VEIL
2
2/1
Front-runner
98
90
97.2
85.2
82.7
4
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)
4
10/1
Front-runner
89
80
79.3
82.6
73.6
3
SMARMY
3
6/1
Front-runner
85
77
76.9
81.1
72.6
5
SALUTE THE FLAG
5
5/2
Alternator/Stalker
93
85
76.6
85.8
79.8
1
MICROCAP
1
3/1
Alternator/Stalker
93
87
74.4
67.2
60.2
6
DESIGNER READY
6
5/1
Trailer
93
87
71.6
83.6
75.6
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:48 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $41000 Class Rating: 65
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 EULALIA 5/1
# 3 SKYS IMAGE 5/2
# 8 LIEUTENANT KITTY 9/2
I lean toward EULALIA here. Is a definite contender - given the 65 Equibase speed fig from her most recent race. SKYS IMAGE - Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 54 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the best in this group. Duran has her trained soundly to break promptly out of the gate. LIEUTENANT KITTY - The speed figure of 63 from her most recent affair looks formidable in here. Looks very good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt route races recently.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:49 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE
Bar
Thistledown - Race #5 - Post: 2:50pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,900 Class Rating: 50
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#4 IN TROUBLED WATERS (ML=8/1)
#6 HALO EFFECT (ML=7/2)
#5 KAT TRAX (ML=5/1)
IN TROUBLED WATERS - When this rider and handler combine forces you have to take a look. Correa and Faulkner have been fantastic together. The latest speed figure of 8 is the best last race speed rating in the bunch. HALO EFFECT - This jockey and handler have a fabulous winning percent when they join forces. The Sep 12th race at Belterra Park was at a class level of (56). Dropping down in class ranks considerably, so she should be in a good place. Got an unlucky trip her 1st time out. Hitting the track today, should do better if she stays out of trouble. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the 2nd time using it, like we have with this horse. KAT TRAX - I like that this first-timer has been working over the Thistledown oval and makes her debut here today. With no past performance lines, one of the variables I look at are trainer stats, and Gorham has a +53 pct ROI clip with first-time-starters. A strong handicapping angle is getting Lasix for the first time. Gorham gives it to this one for this event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KETTLE KISS (ML=2/1), #7 POLLY PRISSY PANTS (ML=5/2),
KETTLE KISS - This horse's sire hasn't done too well with first-timers. POLLY PRISSY PANTS - Not the proper 'placement' in this contest.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - IN TROUBLED WATERS - The TrackMaster Power Rating tells me that this fine animal looks good versus the rest of this field. I'm making a bet.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 IN TROUBLED WATERS on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[4,5,6] with [4,5,6] with [3,4,5,6,7] with [3,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:49 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Allowance - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $33900 Class Rating: 70
FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR WAIVER CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 ALL CAPS 2/1
# 8 DIXIE YODELER 5/2
# 2 CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT 3/1
ALL CAPS has a strong shot to take this race. Jockey's recent return on investment numbers make this filly a good wager. With a quite good 71 speed figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this outing. Has to be given a chance versus this group displaying decent numbers lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 61 under similar conditions. DIXIE YODELER - Recently Brown has provided risk takers with a very good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Could beat this group of horses in this race given the 70 Equibase Speed Fig put up in her last outing. CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT - Has performed very well lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 61 avg speed rating. Has a sharp record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to consider this filly.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:49 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE
Bar
Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:24pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 81
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#3 WINTER PRINCESS (ML=7/2)
#1 KICK OUT THE JAMS (ML=4/1)
WINTER PRINCESS - She has the highest earnings per race entered. Check out this animal. This filly is in first-rate condition right now. Ended up third last time around the track and comes back promptly. Came home fast last out at Presque Isle Downs. That type of move bodes well for her chances in this race. KICK OUT THE JAMS - I like to see fast morning drills. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. This filly is in nice physical condition, having run a strong race on Sep 20th, finishing third. A repeat of that most recent performance on September 20th where she garnered a speed rating of 79 looks strong enough to score in this event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 COOL FRONT (ML=5/2), #4 STARSHIP MACYS (ML=3/1), #6 TEAM HOT LINE (ML=8/1),
COOL FRONT - The result of fifth in the last race shows me that this animal may be tailing off. STARSHIP MACYS - On a downward cycle. Speed figures keep declining. When examining today's class rating, she will have to record a much better speed fig than last time out to compete in this dirt route. TEAM HOT LINE - The move down the stretch drive on Sep 7th indicated to me that this horse will have a tough go of it versus this field of tougher competition. Mediocre speed rating last time around the track at Presque Isle Downs at 1 mile. Don't feel this questionable contender will improve too much in today's race.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - KICK OUT THE JAMS - This filly is stepping up with each race. She has shown a notable points increase in her speed ratings over her last two races.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #3 WINTER PRINCESS on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:49 PM
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont At The Big A
PURCHASE
09/29/22, BAQ, Race 2, 1.30 ET
09/29/22,BAQ,2,6F [Turf] 1:07:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $95,000. OUTER TURF (UP TO $16,530 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 7 Java Buzz 5/2 Prat F Rice Linda SE 88 32.95 1.77/$1
099.4980 6 Rocket's Red Glare 6/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Rice Linda JFC 88 32.95 1.77/$1
097.9711 8 Psychic Income 2/1 Rider TBA Handal Raymond WL 67 29.85 1.92/$1
096.2158 1 Captain Quick 15/1 Juarez N Milne Joan 88 32.95 1.77/$1
095.9161 2 Chucka Moon 8/1 Ortiz J L Hennig Mark A. 88 32.95 1.77/$1
095.7009 3 Smoke and Heat(b-) 3/1 Franco M Falcone. Jr. Robert N. T 110 32.73 1.57/$1
094.7801 5 Theregoesmymiracle 20/1 Rodriguez Castro L A Seyler Douglas J. 88 32.95 1.77/$1
090.1415 4 Union Lights 15/1 Rosario J Nevin Michelle 31 51.61 3.12/$1
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 11.11, ROI 0.20/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5020
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:49 PM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Charles Town - Race #6
Picks Notes
#6 Midnight Brass Think she's going to find a great spot just behind a couple forward players, and she gets the slight edge in a top-heavy race.
#4 Mackenzie's Music She's a big threat with sharp pace, but I worry that the filly outside might keep her honest enough that she doesn't get a breather. Vulnerable late?
#5 Cedar's Wish She's probably just a thorn in Mackenzie's side, but she owns a couple races that would be interesting here if she does end up proving best of the pace.
Race Summary Midnight Brass and Mackenzie's Music both figure to command some action here, but the former might be able to work out just a bit better trip here from off the pace.
Charles Town - Race #7
Picks Notes
#3 Mr Chance Romance He should really appreciate getting back around one turn after tracking the pace and fading going two turns last out, and I'm hoping she can get back to something like her debut run here.
#2 Unison He hasn't done much wrong through three starts, and he finally broke through with an easy graduation score last out. Wouldn't be a surprise, but I wonder if the top choice has a higher ceiling.
#7 Road Party He's another with a few pretty sharp running lines to his credit, but he has done all his work around two turns here, and he will probably have to finish from further off it tonight.
Race Summary Mr Chance Romance cuts back to the trip at which he turned in a couple nice efforts to open his career, and I'm willing to give him a pass on that last one.
Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Great Devotion Her local debut wasn't bad last time out, and I don't really trust some of the sharper forward players. She's not as exposed as most of these with just four starts under her belt, and she might be along to land this from midpack.
#7 Ballymena She's an obvious player, but her she has always had a tendency to settle for underneath shares after looming late, and I could easily see her doing the same thing here. Capable player.
#8 Jess For Kicks She is another who has already had her share of chances, and I figure she's much more likely underneath again here. That said, she's better than she showed last out and might be able to turn some tables from that spot.
Race Summary Great Devotion turned in an okay try when facing the locals for the first time, and I wouldn't be surprised to see her sustain her run a bit better this time around.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:50 PM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Golden Gate - Race #1
Picks Notes
#4 WART (3-1) Yet to show same zip leading to debut, plunges for 33 percent barn with MSW-to-claimer angle.
#6 MIQUEAS (5-2) Slowed by pace two back, chased 1-to-5 favorite in follow-up sprint try.
#2 SUN AND SURF (3-2) By 16 percent first-out sire, from 24 percent first-out barn.
Race Summary WART takes a magnified drop out of MSW company for his third start. He showed speed in the mornings at Emerald Downs but didn’t show it in a heavily-bet debut. Then he took back off the pace and lost contact with a pair of longshots making their debut at Golden Gate. He appears an all-or-nothing type, so play 4-2 and 4-6 exactas.
Golden Gate - Race #5
Picks Notes
#3 U S READY (3-1) Ran away from lesser rivals in short field but like the way she did it.
#5 DEISE DELIGHT (3-2) Piling up the checks, ran third in lone main-track try behind proven starter allowance foe.
#7 SMILING THUNDER (6-1) Broke better but failed to sustain rally off the claim, will be running late.
Race Summary U S READY takes a confident class hike after an easy debut victory. She only met three rivals but looked good shaking a duel with the favorite, accelerating at the top of the stretch and drawing clear late. Bet to win and place.
Golden Gate - Race #8
Picks Notes
#5 BOLD ARTICLE (7-2) Proven miler, loves Golden Gate, one of many with a chance in here.
#3 HERE COMES RALPHIE (9-2) Upstaged series of runner-up finishes with back-to-back victories.
#1 WORK TO LIVE (8-1) Takes magnified class drop from the rail, but lone win was in 4-horse field.
Race Summary BOLD ARTICLE has four wins at one mile this year on the Golden Gate main track and the tactical speed necessary to adapt in an evenly-matched $20,000 claiming race. She gave way chasing Starship Endeavor, who came back with a wire-to-wire win at this level. Bet to win and place.
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 01:50 PM
Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis
September 30, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park begins the weekend with a 13-race card. The feature comes in Race 10, an Open Pace with a $22,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 10
2-Goldie's Legacy (7/2)-Cullipher 4-year-old steps-up and comes back in sequence after a sharp score on 9-24. Set a lifetime mark on 8-5 of 148.1 at HoP versus this kind. Might be overlooked and should come with a big try at a fair price.
6-Tellmeaboutit (3-1)-Fits better here than with Bulldog and others as was the case in the HoP Pacing Classic. Set a new lifetime mark of 147.4 in the previous HoP start on 8-19 and could be sitting on another big try.
Race 11
2-Odds On Hong Kong (12-1)-Was put away in mid-July and returned to race in August and September on smaller ovals. This Wrenn trainee has only 1 win but has finished 2nd in 9 of 17 starts. Had a race time of 150 back in June here and could spice up what appears to be a chalky sequence.
5-Yourwishisgranted (3-1)-Started from post 11 in last, the 3/5 chalk got on the point and was given too much respect. Did rally some off dull cover but after a 57.1 middle half there was no chance. Will look for a different set-up this time.
8-Big Law (5/2)-Banked over $104k in 2021 but has only 1 win in more starts this year and has earned less than $52k. Faces easier and this could be an opportunity to book an overdue win. Best to respect chances, has faced the toughest competition of any in this field.
Race 12
3-Little Rocket Man (6/5)-Local favorite has burned some money this year and has looked a bit off since being an injured scratch on 9-2. Might have showed some flashes of getting back into the groove with a 53.1 back half and a 25.2 last quarter on 9-23. The three horses who finished ahead are not in this group. May have found a beatable field and should be a tiny price.
Race 13
4-Northern Cadilac (3-1)-Looked like a winner coming through on the rail down the lane but hung the last 1/16th. Drops and gets a new set of hands as Peter Wrenn will be steering. This is the 4th start off the bench and only the 5th race this year. Might be ready for a winning effort in what has been a difficult season.
6-Millennial (12-1)-Looking for a price and this Sweet Lou 5-year-old could offer a nice return. Hawthorne shipper beat #5 there and cashed a check versus Open company in Stickney. Should fit well with this crew, hopefully will fly under the radar, and would use in gimmicks. This 5-year-old has toiled on the fair circuit and in 2022 has taken 9 pictures in 15 starts, so knows how to win.
0.50 Late Pick 4
2,6/2,5,8/3/4,6
Total $6
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 05:43 PM
Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - September 30 September 29, 2022
SANTA ANITA TIPS - FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 LIL BRO COOP
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
3
Lil Bro Coop
R Curatolo
PLACE
5-2
4
Naismith
J J Hernandez
SHOW
7-2
1
Kawazaki
R A Vazquez
WILD CARD
5-1
7
The Key Is Unity
H I Berrios
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Batukhan
D Van Dyke
ALTERNATE 2
5-1
2
Percolate
U Rispoli
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #2 $28,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:28 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 CRIMSON ROSE
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
1
Crimson Rose
J J Hernandez
PLACE
8-5
6
Darling Donna
R A Vazquez
SHOW
4-1
3
Spanish Channel
E A Maldonado
WILD CARD
4-1
4
Never Sway
A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Shemakescents
T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Anna Volante
K Frey
* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #3 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 FREEDOM FLYER
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
5
Freedom Flyer
J J Hernandez
PLACE
3-1
6
Stella Noir
R Curatolo
SHOW
9-5
3
Bulletproof One
R A Vazquez
WILD CARD
7-2
4
Sterling Crest
J Bravo
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Outside the Law
T Baze
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $18,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:31 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-5
6
Conundrum
J Bravo
PLACE
4-1
5
Butkus
R A Vazquez
SHOW
6-1
3
Party Town
T J Pereira
WILD CARD
7-2
4
Shady Empire
A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1
I Know Cash Flow
A Alsagoor
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Comradery
E Payeras
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
RACE #5 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
5
Candy On Top
J J Hernandez
PLACE
7-2
4
Finnleys Kitten
H I Berrios
SHOW
5-2
6
A Little Bit Crazy
U Rispoli
WILD CARD
7-2
2
Magic Game
J Bravo
ALTERNATE 1
3-1
1
La Deuxieme Etoile
M Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Smart Monique
K Frey
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #6 $12,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:31 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
8
Liberalism
R Curatolo
PLACE
5-1
7
Smilin Evie
R A Vazquez
SHOW
7-2
4
Awesome Pamela
A Cedillo
WILD CARD
3-1
3
Starship Sky
E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Whiskey Blue
K Frey
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
Beignet
V Espinoza
* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
RACE #7 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
3
Russells Hustle
H I Berrios
PLACE
2-1
2
Kid Azteca
J J Hernandez
SHOW
5-1
7
Gaelic Nation
R A Vazquez
WILD CARD
4-1
1
First Peace
M E Smith
ALTERNATE 1
5-1
4
Dr. Soulfire
U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
8
Buffett
K Frey
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
RACE #8 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:31 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
1-1
2
Redline
J J Hernandez
PLACE
4-1
4
Tio Magico
R A Vazquez
SHOW
4-1
6
Traegar
M E Smith
WILD CARD
6-1
1
Ill Stand Taller
M Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Speight and Malice
A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Its My House
R Ramirez
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #9 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
2
Tokamak
K Frey
PLACE
4-1
5
Crypto Munny
U Rispoli
SHOW
3-1
3
Kazuhiko
E A Maldonado
WILD CARD
7-2
1
National Generaux
D Van Dyke
ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Curly Esa
T Baze
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Laoch Aloysius
V Espinoza
* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
Can'tPickAWinner
09-30-2022, 07:05 PM
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