Tuesday 10/11/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB playoffs (best-of-5 series this round)
Tuesday’s games

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Suarez is 10-7, 3.65 in 29 starts this year.
He is 6-3, 3.20 in 16 road starts.
He’s never pitched in a playoff game.
He is 1-2, 3.21 in five starts vs Atlanta.

Phillies swept the St Louis series, giving up three runs in two games.
Phillies are 68-46 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 42-41 on the road this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.
They finally gave interim manager Thomson a 2-year contract Monday.

Fried was 14-7, 2.48 in 30 starts this year.
He is 8-4, 2.42 in 18 home starts.
He is 2-3, 4.06 in 17 playoff games (9 starts).
He is 0-1, 3.13 in four starts vs Philly TY.

Atlanta went 8-3 in their last 11 games.
Braves are 55-26 at home- they haven’t played since Wednesday.
Atlanta is in playoffs for 5th year in a row- they won World Series last year.
Braves are 37-17 vs lefty starters.

Phillies are 8-11 against the Braves TY, 3-6 in Atlanta.

Seattle @ Houston
Gilbert was 13-6, 3.20 in 32 starts this year.
He is 8-1, 3.16 in 18 road starts.
He’s never pitched in a playoff game.
He is 2-2, 4.15 in seven starts vs Houston.

Mariners are 9-2 in their last 11 games.
Seattle is 46-37 on the road this year.
Mariners are in the playoffs for first time since 2001.

Verlander was 18-4, 1.75 in 28 starts this year.
He is 10-1, 1.64 in 15 home starts.
He is 14-11, 3.40 in 30 playoff starts.
He is 5-1, 2.34 in six starts vs Seattle TY.

Houston is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Astros are 55-26 at home.
Houston is in playoffs for 6th year in row- they were in World Series three of last five years.

Seattle is 7-12 against Astros this year, 3-7 in Houston.

Cleveland @ New York
Quantrill was 15-5, 3.38 in 32 starts this year.
He is 6-5, 3.53 in 13 road starts
He faced 2 batters (one out, one walk) in a 2020 playoff game.
He is 0-0, 3.38 in four games (10.2 IP, 1 start) vs New York.

Cleveland is 25-6 in their last 31 games.
Guardians are 46-35 on road.
Cleveland is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Cole was 13-8, 3.50 in 33 starts this year.
He is 5-5, 3.20 in 16 home starts.
He is 8-5, 2.93 in 14 playoff starts.
He is 5-2, 3.15 in eight starts vs Cleveland.

New York is 24-6 in their last 30 games.
New York is 57-24 at home.
New York is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Cleveland is 1-5 vs New York this year, 0-3 in this ballpark.

San Diego @ Los Angeles
Clevinger is 7-7, 4.33 in 22 starts this year.
He is 4-4, 5.46 in 13 road starts.
He is 0-0, 4.15 in eight playoff games (2 starts).
He is 0-2, 9.69 in three starts vs Los Angeles TY.

Padres won Wild Card series in three games.
San Diego won Game 3 in New York Sunday night.
San Diego is 47-37 on the road this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Urias is 17-7, 2.16 in 31 starts this year.
He is 6-3, 2.43 in 14 home starts.
He is 7-3, 3.52 in 22 playoff games (5 starts).
He is 3-0, 1.50 in four starts vs San Diego TY.

Dodgers finished 22 games ahead of San Diego in NL West.
Dodgers are 57-24 at home.
Dodgers are in playoffs for 10th year in a row- they won 2020 World Series.

San Diego is 5-14 vs Los Angeles this year, 2-8 at Chavez Ravine.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,200 Class Rating: 66

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 NINJA KITTEN (ML=5/1)
#2 TETON THAI (ML=10/1)


NINJA KITTEN - I like when a thoroughbred has dropped in class at least five class points like this one did in the last race and then runs against a similar field right back. Andrade must've found the right level. TETON THAI - You have to consider the solid works of late.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STORMY NILE (ML=5/2), #8 DEVILISH TRUTH (ML=7/2), #5 CALL TONY (ML=4/1),

STORMY NILE - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests recently. Not probable to see her doing it in today's event either. 5/2 odds isn't enough for this horse when scrutinizing the most recent showings. DEVILISH TRUTH - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been looking good in short distance races lately. On a downward cycle. Speed ratings keep dropping. CALL TONY - Can't bet on this vulnerable equine in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance event recently. Pedestrian speed figure last race out at Presque Isle Downs at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this questionable contender will improve too much in today's race.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #4 NINJA KITTEN on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe IndianapolisAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 COUNTRY JEWEL 10/1




# 10 SAKONNA 7/2




# 8 INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 6/1




COUNTRY JEWEL looks competitive to best this group and is a formidable value bet given the line at 10/1. The big drop in class can only help this one this time out. May go off at a nice price and has some positives going for her. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this field. SAKONNA - Her 70 average has this filly with among the top Equibase speed figs in this event. The Equibase speed fig of 75 from her most recent contest looks respectable in here. INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU - Achard has one of the most favorable rider ROI's on the grounds, returning to players +34 percent. Looks very good against this group and will most likely be one of the early speedsters.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $37500 Class Rating: 93

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER IN 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 MR PAYTIENCE 3/1




# 2 CLAVICHORD 4/1




# 5 COMPETITIVE IDEA 3/5




MR PAYTIENCE looks respectable to best this field. Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Speed Figures (93 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Will most likely compete strongly in the early speed battle which bodes well with this field. Ran a sharp last race. CLAVICHORD - Fuentes has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 38 percent rate. Jockey's recent return on investment figs make this gelding a good wager. COMPETITIVE IDEA - Cappellucci has a strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the halfway point of the race.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 6

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 6-7) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 6-7-8)


Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $12,600 • Post: 3:35P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES FOR $4,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CALL ME CARMELITA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIME'S ON MY SIDE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ANSELMI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CALL ME CARMELITA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. REMOANE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. SPEED TALKS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rati ng.



7

TIME'S ON MY SIDE

5/2


6/1




4

ANSELMI

6/1


7/1




8

CALL ME CARMELITA

15/1


7/1




1

REMOANE

7/2


8/1




3

SPEED TALKS

2/1


8/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




8

CALL ME CARMELITA

8


15/1

Front-runner

72


50


85.6


39.4


28.4




4

ANSELMI

4


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

71


67


50.2


46.0


38.0




3

SPEED TALKS

3


2/1

Trailer

66


57


52.2


57.0


51.5




1

REMOANE

1


7/2

Alternator/Trailer

69


60


54.2


54.0


44.0




7

TIME'S ON MY SIDE

7


5/2

Alternator/Trailer

72


64


46.4


55.8


53.8




5

LA CAFETERA

5


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

63


61


23.0


57.4


48.4




2

DISCO PARTY

2


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

68


56


12.0


31.8


16.3




6

DO WHAT IT TAKES

6


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


67


31.6


45.0


35.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

Presque Isle Downs - Race 6

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 6-7-8)


Allowance • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $37,500 • Post: 3:45P


FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A PA. RESTRICTED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES) (LIMITED TO10 STARTERS).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SAKETUMI: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). FIGHTIN PHIL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SKYDIVING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



7

YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY

5/2


9/2




4

SAKETUMI

7/2


6/1




3

FIGHTIN PHIL

15/1


7/1




6

SKYDIVING

9/2


9/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

SAKETUMI

4


7/2

Front-runner

82


73


89.8


71.4


67.9




3

FIGHTIN PHIL

3


15/1

Alternator/Front-runner

83


72


72.3


66.4


55.9




7

YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY

7


5/2

Stalker

83


79


54.6


72.2


67.2




1

SACHMO

1


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

87


77


51.6


51.6


42.1




6

SKYDIVING

6


9/2

Alternator/Trailer

75


74


47.0


68.0


61.0




5

T REX

5


4/1

Alternator/Trailer

76


80


38.0


48.5


40.0




2

PAID THE PREACHER

2


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


64


54.3


59.5


47.0




8

BISHI

8


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

73


67


48.7


52.3


38.3

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 CALL FITZROY (ML=8/1)
#6 MASTER OF WAR (ML=8/1)


CALL FITZROY - You always have to be on the prowl for profit making rider/trainer combos; we have one right here. MASTER OF WAR - You have to really like that most recent race rating, 75, which is the highest most recent race speed figure of this group. Classic handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Today could be the day. 31-50-75 are last 3 speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KING'S HOUSE (ML=8/5), #1 MANOLETE (ML=2/1), #4 WEEKEND IN COURT (ML=7/2),

KING'S HOUSE - Hasn't been on the Parx Racing oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. MANOLETE - In any event of 6 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in sprint races of late. This animal hasn't been around in either of his last two races. Unlikely that the speed fig he recorded on September 5th will be enough in this event. WEEKEND IN COURT - Hard to put your cash on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as frequently as this one does. The Brain tells me to keep my distance from thoroughbreds in sprint affairs that haven't hit the board in short distance events recently.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #5 CALL FITZROY on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[ConleyPicks]

andicapped by Compubet Standard at Dayton Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick! CompuBet 10/11 DAYTON RACEWAY
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 7- - PACE 10/11 DAYTON RACEWAY
6 Hypnotic Dan 3/1 602.22 100 83.3 79.0 1:53.4 Smith, Jeremy 17
8 Ilovemywoody 12/1 568.91 80 40.0 81.0 1:54.2 Beattie, Jason 13
4 Luvnmysharkaway 5/2 563.79 80 50.0 81.0 1:53.7 Miller, Brett 22
10 Ready To Rumble N 7/2 563.75 70 >21 55.0 80.0 1:53.7 Page, Chris 27
9 Pine Master 15/1 560.93 80 51.7 81.0 1:53.9 Smith, Trevor 18

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 11 - Post: 3:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$7300 - NW $750 PS L5 OF PS IN 2022 $12000 PC LS AE: NW 11 PM LT AE: $12500 CLM WA J CHINDANO JR 5 OVER 7


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 1 SAUVIGNON BLUECHIP 6/1




# 2 MACHLICIOUS 4/1




# 6 BLATANTLY BEST 5/2





The pick in this race is SAUVIGNON BLUECHIP. Can't gloss over based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (84 avg) most recently. Definitely the class of the pack with an average rating of 79. A nice pick. Looks like a strong pick in this race and his positive winning percentage says he has the raw talent to dominate in this contest. MACHLICIOUS - If effort in the last contest is any indication, this nice horse will have a very formidable shot this time. High last race speed figure. Top driver/handler combination, with one of the best return on investment percentages in this field of starters. BLATANTLY BEST - Don't count out this fine animal, especially with Taggart as the trainer. In the money percentage is excellent. Recorded a 79 speed rating last time out. A duplicate effort here should get the victory for this one.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 8


5
5
VELOCITY MCSWEETS
8/1
Kakaley, Matt - 17
496.97


8
8
JOSSIE JAMES A
5/1
Bartlett, Jason - 26
495.01


4
4
CALLMEQUEENBEE A
5/1
Boyd, Braxten - 9
485.22


1
1
MILLWOOD BONNIE N
5/2
Brennan, George - 16
473.17


2
2
ASHTINI
8/1
Holland, Brent - 9
467.34


7
7
LOOKATMYART
6/1
Buter, Tyler - 11
466.75


3
3
PAIGE'S GIRL
5/1
Marohn, Jim Jr - 8
463.35


6
6
DIAMONDTOOTHGERTIE
15/1
Bongiorno, Joe - 13
450.94

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Harrington Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick! CompuBet 10/11 HARRINGTON
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 5- - PACE 10/11 HARRINGTON
1 Misty Coast 7/5 558.50 100 MUD 116.7 69.0 1:56.9 Stafford, Art Jr 24
5 Ezycure 2/1 523.22 80 MUD 108.3 66.3 1:58.1 Teague, Montrell 27
2 Direct Mist 3/1 522.84 90 MUD 91.7 65.0 1:57.2 Porter, Trae 19
6 Hold My Wine 20/1 473.86 80 88.3 69.1 1:58.9 Cole, Mike 22
7 Ren Marvalous 20/1 439.36 90 MUD 75.0 69.5 1:59.5 Wolfenden, Ross 20

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Pocono Downs

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


2
2
SECRET RULE
5/2
Kakaley, Matt - 21
449.24


6
6
KING TUT HANOVER
4/1
Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 18
446.56


1
1
A ONE A
12/1
Schadel, Todd - 7
390.79


7
7
DONATELLO HANOVER
10/1
Jackson, Tom - 6
374.53


3
3
TAKE SHAPE
6/1
Boyd, Braxten - 11
356.50


5
5
MR FIREWORKS
9/2
Paquet, Fern Jr - 3
339.41


4
4
CIRCUIT PARTY
15/1
Simons, Mike - 6
335.24


8
8
HOLY BEING
3/1
Miller, Marcus - 14
330.90

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rosecroft RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 6 - Post: 8:55 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$10250 - MARYLAND PREFERRED NW 4 PM RACES OR $45,000 LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 6 GOONESS GRACIOUS 7/2




# 5 SHE'S MY PIX 5/2




# 4 BACKSTROM 9/2





GOONESS GRACIOUS will have you running to the cashier's window this time. The consortium noted a substantial affair out of this harness racer last time. Hoping for a duplicate of that to score. Foster has been blazing hot the last 30 days, winning at a respectable 20 percent. Drawing the 6 hole at this track has lead to a much higher than average win percent. SHE'S MY PIX - Drawing the 5 slot at this track has lead to a well above average win percentage. Her 77 avg has this filly among the most favorable TrackMaster Speed Ratings in here. BACKSTROM - Look for Gray and this horse to take the whole enchilada in this contest. Tremendous in the money percentage for the trainer/horse combination. Recorded a 74 TrackMaster speed fig last out. A duplicate affair here should get the victory this time.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike WynnFree Pick: NHL Tampa Bay -105 over NY Rangers

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4UTuesday's Free Selection: Las Vegas Golden Knights/Los Angeles Kings over 6

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 SportsTuesday's Free Play: Tampa Bay Lightning even

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

Take NY Rangers -115

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Jim FeistJim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, October 11, 2022
NHL
66. NY Rangers -1.15 (4:35 PM PT / 7:35 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Roz WinsROZ FREE Selection TUESDAY, OCTOBER 11, 2022
FREE
MLB
921. Phi/Atl OVER 7 (10:07 PT / 1:07 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: NHL Vegas/LA Kings Over 6 Goals

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada SharpshooterYour free winner for Tuesday : Take SAN DIEGO/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 6 1/2 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Arthur RalphFreePlay 83-38 18-5 run TUES Indians w/ Quantril+190

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam LineYour FREE WINNER for Tuesday: Take PHILADELPHIA/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 7 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: TAMPA BAY/NY RANGERS OVER the total of 5 1/2 goals

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic SportsTuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Las Vegas Golden Knights + 105

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Sharp BettorSharpBettor FREE Play MONDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2022
FREE
MLB
928. Astros -1.5 Runs (12:37 PT / 3:37 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye SportsTuesday's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning/NY Rangers under 5 1/2 goals

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Tuesday: Las Vegas Golden Knights even

[ConleyPicks]

Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 10-11-22
Philadelphia @ Atlanta (1:05 PM EST)
Play On: Atlanta -1.5 +115 (Suarez/Fried) Listed


The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Atlanta to take on the Braves in Game One of this NL Division Series. Philadelphia is 89-75 overall this year while Atlanta comes in with a 101-61 overall record on the season.
Ranger Suarez gets the start for the Phillies and he has pitched well overall this year but he is 1-2 with a 4.80 ERA his last 3 starts. Max Fried is 14-7 with a 2.48 ERA overall this year, 8-4 with a 2.42 ERA at home this season and 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA his last 3 starts.
Atlanta is 37-17 this year against left handed starters scoring 5.4 runs per game. They are a solid 55-26 at home this year including 42-12 last 54. Atlanta is 6-1 this year at home when the total is 7 or less. Atlanta is 19-9 last 3 years in playoff games. Atlanta is 7-1 last 8 playoff home games.
Philadelphia is 6-13 last 19 road games when the total is 7 to 8 1/2.
Philadelphia is 2-5 last 7 meetings overall vs Atlanta. Philadelphia is 17-36 last 53 meetings in Atlanta. We'll recommend a small play on Atlanta on the Run line today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Mariners +200

[ConleyPicks]

Calvin King

[1%] Free Play on Dodgers under 7

[ConleyPicks]

Frank Sawyer

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 10/11:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Tuesday afternoon is with the Atlanta Braves with the money-line versus the Philadelphia Phillies listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Ranger Suarez. Atlanta (101-61) hosts the first two games of this National League Divisional Series at Truist Park where they have won 36 of their last 51 games. In winning the World Series last year, the Braves won 11 of their last 15 games in the playoffs. Philadelphia (89-75) advanced to the NLDS with their 2-0 win at St. Louis on Saturday. The Phillies stay on the road where they have lost 13 of their last 19 road games with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. They have also lost 6 of their last 8 games when listed as a money-line underdog from +175 to +250. Take Atlanta with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

[ConleyPicks]

Catskill Steve's monticello Picks

R1: 5-3-2-1
R2: 3-2-7-4
R3: 5-2-6-7
R4: 1-5-3-2
R5: 5-3-2-4
R6: 4-5-1-6
R7: 6-2-1-3
R8: 4-6-7-1
R9: 2-3-4-1
R10: 6-4-3-2
R11: 6-4-5-1
R12: 4-1-2-3

Preferred Play Of The Day

[ConleyPicks]

The Professors Picks
The meadows

R1
3 – ROCK ME CRISTAL – Just got caught late last week
2 – ANNIE WAY POSSIBLE – Makes the trip here for a reason
1/1A (ENTRY) – Both have been racing well lately
4 – DOROTHYS LEGACY – Not her kind of trip last week

R2
1 – ALWAYS ROSIE – First-time starter was well-prepped with 3 qualifiers
5 – TSM DAISY DANCE T – Finished 4th here a few weeks ago, good mile
7 – VELOCITY IMPETUOUS – Should improve, had missed a month prior to last start
6 – DANDY’S STARLETTE – 4-time winner this summer in Illinois

R3
2 – GOLD STONES – Dominant performance in this class last week
3 – FIRST GUNNER – Bounced back with a good mile last time
6 – MALE MAN – Upset winner last week, will challenge again
4 – PENANCE – Proven winner in this class

R4
7 – ELM GROVE NELLIE – Can repeat despite post
5 – GATORS BEN WINNING – Second last time, rallied late
3 – LILLY VON SHTUPP – Tough trip last start, needs easier route
4 – MEAN IRENE – Won in this class 2 starts ago

R5
7 – MIDNIGHT COOKIE – Just missed last week, raced well
4 – EVITA – Gate speed always makes this one a factor
3 – MENSA – Shuffled last week, rallied late
2 – WHAT A PITTSTOP – Much better post today

R6
6 – ONE EYED WANDA – Gets class drop and a better post
4 – TWILIGHT BLUE CHIP – Sharp, will challenge for another win
3 – LAZY DAY HANOVER – A sleeper in here, don’t overlook her
1 – RED DAWN – Bounced back after a break with a good mile last week

R7
2 – DON’T U WANNA STAY – Solid third last week from an outside post
5 – TOBINS CHOCOLATE – Both local starts have been very good
8 – DT PETLOT – Game effort last time, parked for the mile
3 – MARY PUFFINS – Passed several horses coming home last week

R8
6 – BLUE IVY – Last week’s winner, can repeat
5 – CORAL REEF HANOVER – Shows some fast miles in Ohio
2 – ROCK IT OUT – Broke while in contention last start
4 – CONTINUALOU – Proven winner in this class, another contender here

R9
4 – SOUTHWIND AUSSI – Tough trip last week, gets class drop today
2 – SHADY MADAM – Three-wide in final turn, only lost by a length last time
6 – SOMETHING REEL – Parked last week, ignore that mile
7 – LOVE IS HILL – 1-for-1 in Warren Stable

R10
6 – NEVADA ROCK – Third in local debut, can win today
1 – SAUCY DANCER – Back-to-back second place finishes
4 – CUTTING HUMOR – Needs stronger final quarter here
3 – CHEDDARONTHESIDE – A good closer, will be passing horses late

R11
2 – ODDS ON CHEDDAR – Newcomer should fit well in this level
5 – ROSE RUN TONI – Makes third start back after layoff, should be ready
7 – DONTINVITEMEIN – Moves from claimer after another win
8 – LIFEISBUTADREAM – Post works against her today

R12
2 – PRANCING QUEEN – Joins new barn this week
6 – AMELIAS COURAGE A – In good form right now
4 – IRISH DAYDREAM – Returns after a month off, looked good in qualifier
9 – JUST ZIP IT – Up in class and gets the worst post today

R13
3 – DWIGHT HANOVER – Gets class drop from Keystone Classic
5 – GREEN MAGIC – Wide trip last start, likely to use gate speed here
7 – KING KENNY – Has the speed but is risky due to breaks
4 – DECHAMBO – Also has speed but comes off a break last week
10 – POSE A THREAT – Solid second last week, will need a trip here

[ConleyPicks]

Lake's Lucky Picks
Finger Lakes

RACE 1
6 TRA LAD NEW FACE HAS CREDENTIALS TO WIN
2 TRIGGER PULL CONSIDER IN SHARP CURRENT FORM
4 FATHER WALSH MOVES UP AFTER WIRING EASIER

RACE 2
2 PASCAL WILL BE A PLAYER AT THIS REDUCED LEVEL
3 DISTORTED LIMITS NOT BADLY BEATEN VS BETTER FOES
1 MY INSPIRATION COULD MAKE SOME NOISE FROM THE INSIDE

RACE 3
2 WARRIORS REVENGE HAS BEEN A WIN MACHINE THIS YEAR
1E GUTIERREZ ENTRY HAVE TO BE USED IN TRIS AND SUPERS
3 NOBLE ENDEAVOR LATE RALLY FOR A SHARE

RACE 4
4 QUIET TYPE MAKES LOCAL DEBUT AT REDUCED LEVEL
1 MIDNIGHT MINDSET SHOULD HOLD ON FOR SHARE
3 BAD BRETH BEST EFFORT WAS ONLY F.L. START

RACE 5
5 BECKY’S MISSION MAY HAVE FOUND WINNING SPOT
2 BEAUTIFUL BANKS CAN BE A FACTOR OFF MAIDEN SCORE
1 FLATTERY’S MUSIC TOUGHER TASK AFTER DOMINATING

RACE 6
4 ANSELMI WOKE UP LAST TIME WITH GOOD EFFORT
5 LA CAFETERA EXTRA ONE-HALF FURLONG HELPS
3 SPEED TALKS TOUGH TO LEAVE OUT IN PRESENT FORM

RACE 7
2 STARTED WITH STARS RAN SOLID 2ND IN WELL GRADED RACE
5 EUDAIMONIA 1ST EFFORT VS WINNERS WAS PROMISING
1 LILLIA PRANCES LIGHTLY RACE FILLY HAS SOME UPSIDE

RACE 8
2 FLOWER MOON CAN’T IGNORE SIGNIFICANT PLUNGE
3 WORK IT OUT MAY ADD VALUE TO NUMBER IF FIRES BEST
1 PLEASEDONTBOUNCE JUST NEEDS SOME RACING LUCK

PLAY OF THE DAY: RACE 3 #2
BIG SPLASH-NICE PRICE!: RACE 8 #3

[ConleyPicks]

Sugar Selections by Track Announcer Shannon Doyle
Western Fair Raceway
RACE 1:
3 PINK MONSTER she can handle these
7 TYMAL SPECTRUM an outside chance
6 FLAMIN TERROR is one to think about








RACE 2:
1 TYMAL HOUDINI likely needed a start
3 CLOUD NINE HANOVER Exactor factor
8 POLLAR HALL expect more this time








RACE 3:
2 INKSLINGER he's meeting easier now
8 ALADDIN DU LAC one to think about
6 MIKRON worth a look for third here








RACE 4:
5 DOWS UP he just jogged in his latest
1 THERSOMETHINGGOINON top 2 play
4 INKED IN PINK to be best of the rest








RACE 5:
6 FROWNIES MIRCALE is ready to pop
8 SQUADRON SEELSTER Exactor play
4 BELECHICK could factor with a trip








RACE 6:
1 HES SPORTY he's hard to go against
3 MASON STREET must mind manners
4 LIBERTY ROYAL solid third in debut








RACE 7:
1 SHANGHAI JAMES it's go time here
5 PLAY N BAD is a top 2 player again
2 ICONIC SEESLTER back with friends








RACE 8:
8 WASAGA brutal posts in last 3 tries
2 CENTURY ISABELLA rock solid form
4 BIG LADY J fitting in OK with these








RACE 9:
4 ROCKABILLYCOCKSHUT doubles up
5 LILI GL always in the hunt; beware
6 TEARINGUPTHECREDIT top 3 threat








RACE 10:
6 IDEAL JET should be airborne here
4 EASY FLYER he's one to think about
1 MO BETTOR can be best of the rest








RACE 11:
1 MAINTENANCE MAN needed a start
2 MAXIMUS POWER expect more here
5 BETTORS VICTORY top 3 possibility











One Best:
4 ROCKABILLYCOCKSHUT (RACE 9)


Value Play:
8 WASAGA (RACE 8)

[ConleyPicks]

Yonkers Raceway Picks DRF HARNESS

Race 1: NW7500 in last 5 starts Pace
(5) SOHO CHELSEA A finally paid some dividends from that $40K claim a couple of months back with a hard-earned win. Veteran is classy enough to repeat against a bit better and the price should be decent with his inside rivals attracting plenty of attention. (2) SANTAFE'S COACH was outfinished chasing a rated pace last out but the Lachance trainee can always be counted on for a share from spots such as this. (3) ROCKINMYSHOE was much better in his second local start.
[DRF HARNESS (https://www1.drf.com/HarnessEye/MainMenu.do): Get Harness Eye PPs for this card (https://www1.drf.com/HarnessEye/MainMenu.do)]
Race 2: 2-4YO NW2 races or $28,229 lifetime Pace
(2) ROCKYTOP OH OH went on a major speed mission last week and ran out of steam late. That could have him tighter for his second local start. (4) RB is hard to gauge but his two races at Northville are definitely competitive time-wise. (1) AUSSIE HANOVER is just 1 for 19 lifetime which doesn't inspire much confidence on top but he should be in line for a good trip; Brennan drives again.
[DRF BETS (https://bets.drf.com/): Wager on tonight's Yonkers card at DRF Bets.com! (https://bets.drf.com/)]
Race 3: NW20000 in last 5 starts Pace
(2) PRETTY HANDSOME woke up two back with a solid second-place finish and he faces softer here from a good post; top billing. (1) PYRO hasn't been at his sharpest recently but he was used hard early on last week; Dube will likely be cutting this mile and if so he's more than capable of hanging on. (4) GENIUS MAN enjoyed a live trip and pulled off the upset last week; he's capable of repeating with a similar setup.
Race 4: F&M $50,000 Claiming Pace
It pains me to default to (4) ITS MESMERISE N because of the barn change to Dowse but it's a live angle in a race where it's hard to make a serious case for anyone else. (2) CHUPPAH ON dropped to this level last week and fired to the top from the eight hole but came up flat late; mare will be a player again. (6) LAURIE LEE failed as the chalk last out but she will be a better price tonight and can be a late threat.
Race 5: NW5000 in last 5 starts Pace
(1) FIZZING N had no real excuse to falter in the late stages last week but he gets a chance to redeem himself tonight. (3) HURRIKANEKINGJAMES was claimed last out by DiDomenico and drops into a softer spot tonight; don't expect long odds like the morning line suggests. (4) ROCKIN JUKEBOX sat pocketed to the top one last week and also had no excuse; hard to endorse on top but at least the leading driver gets in the bike tonight.
Race 6: 3-5YO NW4 races or $50,000 lifetime Pace
(3) DP REALORDEAL has been razor-sharp since arriving from Indiana and he gets away from BB Lucky Boy tonight, who schooled him in two straight. His time to shine tonight. (4) BETTOR ROLL ON A rolled right past the tired leader in a nice U.S. debut and he can have more to offer. (1) LENDA HAND MAN returns locally for Jenn Bongiorno and Joe is back driving; 3YO has been good recently.
Race 7: NW8991 in last 5 starts Pace
(3) HUGHIE JUNIOR N cruised versus similar last out at Freehold with Siegelman driving and he gets the call again on the Harris trainee. (2) SHANWAY N gets both class and post relief which makes him an obvious player. (4) FULLBACK was a peculiar claim in my opinion two back for the Dowse barn and he broke with the trainer in the bike first out. Bartlett drives tonight and we'll see if he goes forward.
Sign up for our FREE DRF Harness Digest Newsletter (https://registration.drf.com/newsletter?type=harness)
Race 8: F&M $50,000 Claiming Pace
(5) VELOCITY MCSWEETS basically toured the track last week but the Travis Alexander trainee had been showing good early speed in all prior efforts and looks like a good spot for Kakaley to get aggressive off the gate. (1) MILLWOOD BONNIE N goes second-time out for DiDomenico and lands in a very live spot. (3) PAIGE'S GIRL put in a good effort at a price last out and just missed; Lance Hudson trainee looks like a contender.
Race 9: NW22876 in last 5 starts Pace
Tough race in the finale. (2) WESTERN JOE comes in off a sick scratch and missed three weeks overall but he is clearly classiest and the good draw gives Marohn options. It would be no surprise to see the millionaire show up with a live effort. (3) ALWAYS AND AGAIN had to back off to a three hole last week and was not heard from again; if Bartlett gets an easy lead he could be trouble. (6) WINDSUN RICKY is a longshot with some speed and an aggressive driver in Holland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Tuesday, October 11th 2022
By Reggie Garrett

We are covering 4 tracks on Tuesday, October 11th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, Parx, Presque Isle Downs and more. Good luck and enjoy!


Horseshoe Indianapolis – 2:30 ET
Race 1: 3 C J All the Way
Race 2: 4 Little Mighty Man
Race 3: 1 Second Exchange
Race 4: 9 Shrimpie
Race 5: 8 She Wants More
Race 6: 8 Cycologist
Race 7: 1 Always Blossom
Race 8: 10 Killer Bee
Race 9: 3 Menina Do Samba Pz

Mountaineer – 7:00 ET
Race 1: 3 Cheeky Chaps
Race 2: 1 Cornice Traverse
Race 3: 9 Cloontia
Race 4: 7 My Zip Zip
Race 5: 2 Its Big
Race 6: 4 Soul of Discretion
Race 7: 7 Afleet Moment
Race 8: 10 Wedding Chapel


Parx – 12:55 ET
Race 1: 1 Manolete
Race 2: 5 Halligirl
Race 3: 4 Silver Edge
Race 4: 7 So Swell
Race 5: 3 A Bit Bad N Boujee
Race 6: 1 Bucks Are Moving
Race 7: 3 Thistle
Race 8: 11 Creative Copy
Race 9: 5 Rejected Again
Race 10: 3 Obstinate
Race 11: 2 Gavichi

Presque Isle Downs – 1:30 ET
Race 1: 6 Asplunder
Race 2: 1 Yadi
Race 3: 2 Classy Halo
Race 4: 1 Don’t Dare Me
Race 5: 9 Bahamian Park
Race 6: 4 Saketumi
Race 7: 7 Flawless Bourbon
Race 8: 4 Mulsanne

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday’s Horse Racing Tips: Leicester, October 11th
Stephen Harris Horse Racing Expert

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – October 11th

There are 5 meetings in Britain and Ireland on Tuesday, with jumping beginning to dominate as the Autumn weather arrives. Hereford, Huntingdon and Punchestown stage the three jumps fixtures, while for flat fans there is some low grade action from Leicester and Newcastle (AW).

Today’s Daily Nap

Romantic Sunlight

Leicester 3:05 (UK time)

William Stone’s filly had been progressing nicely until failing to stay 1m1f at Wolverhampton last time out under an overly forceful ride, and she can bounce back to her best at Leicester on Tuesday. She has Hollie Doyle taking over in the saddle, and ran really well over seven furlongs here in July on fast ground (finishing strongly to take second behind Kiss and Cuddle).

Odds: NA
Today’s Value Angle

Sea of Charm

Leicester 1:55 (UK time)

Harry Dunlop’s filly has only won 1 of her 21 career starts, often looking a tricky ride and taking a while to get motivated, but she has been running really well in defeat recently and
the long Leicester straight should play to her strengths. She has the assistance of the promising apprentice Rose Dawes in the saddle, and can pick these off late with the likelihood
of a very strong pace to aim at (usually get racing too far out in these contests).

Odds: NA

Odds are best odds available as at 2am October 11th 2022. Odds may now differ.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 11th October 2022

by Racing and Sports

Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for October 11.

Australian thoroughbred Tab meetings are today held at Newcastle, Echuca and Goulburn.

NEWCASTLE: RACE 8 @ 5:50 PM

SO DAZZLING (13) returns to Sydney after she broke her maiden with a determined win over 1800m at Flemington on September 18. Destined for better things and look for her motoring late. MIRACLE SPIN (7) is improving with racing and was doing his best work on the line when fourth over 1500m at Goulburn on September 23. Capable of taking a hand in the finish. SKY ACE (2) is starting to hit his straps now he's jumped out in trip. This tougher but latest runs have been full of merit.
SELECTIONS: So Dazzling to repeat the dose.

ECHUCA: RACE 2 @ 2:00 PM

INSURGENCE (3) switched from a top Sydney barn and first-up was only beaten 2L at Benalla for the new barn. The NSW provincial form prior stacks right up and he will take beating. NO RAIN NO FLOWERS (9) is speedy and has been threatening. Draws low and will give a sight. BATTLE TALENT (1) resumes and is a stablemate to the top selection. Is likely to have come on and keep safe. KING OF SWING (4) also resumes and draws the rail. Has shown enough to consider.
SELECTIONS: Backing Insurgence to win.

GOULBURN: RACE 2 @ 2:25 PM

GREAT WEEK (7) will come over to the speed and improved again beaten 1.2L at Goulburn at 1500m. The one to beat on that effort. Tipping he'll manage a wet surface. MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN (3) belted home to place second at Canberra first up in heavy conditions. The longer trip suits. He'll have to fan wide again on turning but fitter looks capable of finishing over them. GUARD (8) just missed the placings on the Moruya heavy running his best race. Owen sticking is a plus and he's in the mix at odds given a good ride, LITTLE MIST (9) is an improver from the Olive barn and should get the run of the race. Has the winkers applied first time. CHILEAN EXPRESS (5) will be gassed over to the speed and the 2kg claim assists. On a 7-day return and always puts in.
SELECTIONS: Backing Great Week to win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Interstate Racing Tips – October 11th

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – October 11th

RSN927

Sky Racecaller Dale Walker covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at the Goulburn on Tuesday the 11th of October.

Rail Position: +10m 700m-380m, Cutaway Applies, +7m Remainder
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 9
Weather: Fine
Dale Walker Goulburn Tips

Goulburn, 11th October 2022

Race 1 Selections: 6,7,5,4
Race 2 Selections: 7,3,12,10
Race 3 Selections: 6,11,3,13
Race 4 Selections: 6,5,3,2
Race 5 Selections:3,6,4,5
Race 6 Selections: 9,10,11,12
Race 7 Selections: 1,13,8,4

Sky Racecaller Mitchell Manners covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at the Newcastle on Tuesday the 11th of October.

Rail Position: +7m Entire
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 9
Weather: Overcast
Mitchell Manners Newcastle Tips

Newcastle, 11th October 2022

Race 1 Selections: 7,4,6,2
Race 2 Selections:7,5,8,3
Race 3 Selections: 9,4,1,3
Race 4 Selections:3,5,9,10
Race 5 Selections:6,2,1,3
Race 6 Selections:4,13,1,8
Race 7 Selections:6,1,4,13
Race 8 Selections:13,2,7,4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Echuca racing tips & quaddie numbers | Tuesday, October 11
October 10, 2022 5:08 pm.
Nathan Keven

What Echuca Races
Where Echuca Racecourse – Cr Scott Rd and Murray Valley Hwy, Echuca VIC 3564
When Tuesday, October 11, 2022
First Race 1:30pm AEDT

Visit Ladbrokes

Echuca Racecourse is the host of the standalone Victorian race-card for Tuesday. We are currently rated on a Soft 6 track, with near p[erfect drying conditions forecast in the lead-up to race-day. The rail is set in the true position, so it’ll be more about the testing conditions than any kind of on speed or swooping bias.

The first race is scheduled to kick us off at 1:30pm AEDT.
Best Bet at Echuca: Amabutho

This is the day for Amabutho. This gelding by Zululand comes here ready to peak third-up after running into some quality horses and tragic barrier draws. First-up he was defeated by Artzino at Sandown over 1500m on September 7 by 6.2 lengths, however this form doesn’t look as bad at second glance. Artzino was then second behind now Victoria Derby favourite Mr Maestro since, while our galloper drew a horrible barrier last start in maiden company at Geelong. It was a total forgive and finally gets to a suitable trip. The 2100m here looks perfect and the conditions will suit Amabutho very nicely, particularly from barrier-two. Alana Kelly will not let our boy get too far out of his ground on this occasion and look to get the leaders-back throughout, Amabutho should get every chance to break his maiden status for the Patrick Kearney team.
Next Best

Race 4 – silks#10 Amabutho (2)

3yo Gelding | T: Patrick Kearney | J: Alana Kelly (57kg)

$2.20 with Neds
Next Best Bet at Echuca: Love School

Our each-way play on the card comes in the form of Love School. This mare by All American has been unfortunate to miss the winner’s enclosure so far in her four starts, finding the frame in three of those runs. She comes here first-up for the Lee & Shannon Hope stable and has been well found in the market for her previous assignments, starting price profile of $2.80, $2.10, and $5 with online Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)s indicates to us that this mare hasn’t been too far off the mark, and the fact we’re getting $5 and better in some places is absurd to us. Love School comes off a 149-day spell and a fantastic effort at Bendigo on a bottomless heavy 10 track. Conditions should improve as the day goes on, as should the chances for Tahlia Hope’s mount, and with a more tactical ride than what she received last time, Love School looks over the odds come Tuesday afternoon.
Next Best

Race 3 – silks#9 Love School (4)

4yo Mare | T: Lee Hope | J: Tahlia Hope (57.5kg)

$5.50 with Palmerbet
Tuesday quaddie numbers for Echuca
Echuca quadrella selections

Tuesday, October 11, 2022

1-2
1-4-7-12
1-3-4-9
4-5-7-8

Investment: $128 for 100%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Newcastle betting tips & quaddie numbers | Tuesday, October 11
October 10, 2022 4:52 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What Newcastle Races
Where Newcastle Racecourse – 100 Darling St, Broadmeadow NSW 2292
When Tuesday, October 11, 2022
First Race 1:35pm AEDT
Ladbrokes Logo

Visit Ladbrokes

Newcastle racecourse will host an eight-race provincial program on Tuesday afternoon. The track is currently rated a Heavy 9 after New South Wales have copped a deluge of rain over the last week. The rail will be in the 7m position for the entire circuit when the first race kicks off at 1:35pm AEDT.
Best Bet at Newcastle – So Dazzling

Our best bet of the day will come up in the lucky last, as we will be siding with the John Sargent-trained So Dazzling over 1880m. This lightly raced three-year-old filly has only had two starts for her career where she has finished fifth and first, with her only win coming at Flemington over 1800m in the Oaks Preview on September 18. After winning that race, this daughter of So You Think has punched her ticket into the VRC Oaks during the Victorian Spring Carnival. William Pike will take the ride on this girl today where she is dropping in grade from a Set Weights metropolitan race to a provincial Benchmark 64. If she gets any luck in running from barrier 15, she will be very, very hard to beat.
Best Bet

Race 8 – Silk #13 So Dazzling (15)

3yo Filly | T: John Sargent | J: William Pike (56.5kg)

$3.50 with Ladbrokes
Next Best at Newcastle – Floating

The Matthew Smith-trained Floating will be our next best bet in race six over 1300m. This four-year-old gelding really caught the eye with a very nice second behind Sir Kerm at this track over 1200m on a Heavy 9 on September 24. This son of Puissance De Lune will love the rain-affected track on Tuesday with the track rated a Heavy 9 and he will definitely relish the extra distance that he receives going up to the 1300m. Keagan Latham will stick with this guy where he will be go back from his wide draw, barrier 19. Look for him to flying home late and powering over the top of them in the concluding stages.
Next Best

Race 6 – Silk #4 Floating (19)

4yo Gelding | T: Matthew Smith | J: Keagan Latham (59kg)

$3.30 with Ladbrokes
Best Value at Newcastle – Centre Bounce

Our best value bet comes up in the second race of the day where the Matthew Dunn-trained Centre Bounce will debut over 900m. This three-year-old filly has had plenty of trials to further her education, with the trials ranging from 796m to 1030m. Her last trial over 1030m at Rosehill on October 4 was her best trial by far, leading from start to finish. This daughter of Star Turn led easily in that trial, Reagan Bayliss gave her a squeeze and loosened the reigns and she lengthened nicely to win the trial by half a length. Bayliss jumps back on board again today, so hopefully from barrier two she should jump and lead and be very hard to get past.
Best Value

Race 2 – Silk #8 Centre Bounce (2)

3yo Filly | T: Matthew Dunn | J: Regan Bayliss (57kg)

$8.50 with Neds
Tuesday quaddie picks for Newcastle
Newcastle quadrella selections

Tuesday, October 11, 2022

1-2-3
1-4-13
1-6-7-11-13
2-3-13

Investment: $135 for 100%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Tuesday, October 11

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Tuesday's meetings at Newcastle, Huntingdon, Leicester and Hereford.

NEWCASTLE

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.02 Floating Rock

5.32 Selecto

6.02 Wonderful Times

6.35 Award Dancer

7.05 Exquisitely

7.35 Chuck Taylor

8.05 Lezardrieu

GIMCRACK

5.02 Misscarlett

5.32 Selecto

6.02 Dungeon

6.35 Millionaire Waltz (nap)

7.05 Grandad Bob

7.35 Wasdale

8.05 Atomise

Northerner – 5.32 Going Underground (nap); 8.05 Rhythm (nb).


HUNTINGDON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

2.02 Kingston Sunflower

2.37 Mullenbeg

3.12 Thundersockssundae

3.47 Leopolds Rock

4.22 Dindin (nb)

4.57 Presenting Yeats

GIMCRACK

2.02 Turpin Gold

2.37 Mullenbeg

3.12 Thundersockssundae

3.47 Geometrical

4.22 Lord Sparky

4.57 Presenting Yeats



LEICESTER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.55 Junkanoo

2.30 Highbank

3.05 Camacho Star

3.40 Magical Sunset

4.15 Desert Cat

4.50 Shining Blue (nap)

5.20 Lady Eros

GIMCRACK

1.55 Sea Of Charm

2.30 Highbank

3.05 Camacho Star

3.40 Beautiful Aisling (nb)

4.15 Emerald Lady

4.50 Auditor

5.20 Lady Eros

Newmarket – 4.50 Audience (nb); 5.20 Lady Eros (nap)


HEREFORD

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.00 Dazzling Glory

1.35 Times Are Blue

2.10 Iceman Dennis

2.45 Jen’s Boy

3.20 Ayr Of Elegance

3.55 Simply Red

4.30 Ranco

GIMCRACK

1.00 Dazzling Glory

1.35 Times Are Blue

2.10 Iceman Dennis

2.45 Ernesto

3.20 Whatsdastory

3.55 Molliana

4.30 Ranco

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6
Picks Notes
#7 Youmustbea Weasley Demand a better price this time around than that absolutely bonkers 4/5 he offered in that last one, but I think he's going to get a fair setup to try to rally past these late.
#4 Saketumi The form is there for him to be competitive with this group, but I worry that Paid the Preacher is quicker early, and this guy has needed the lead for his best to this point in his career. Think he'll be a good fit with the locals.
#2 Paid the Preacher He's not very reliable late, but he is probably best of the early pace here while getting back around two turns. Hangs around for a piece with these?
Race Summary Youmustbea Weasley typically runs his race, and there are a couple of decent forward players lined up in here who might set things up for him to come from off the splits.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7
Picks Notes
#8 Flight to Paradise He didn't have the cleanest go of it in that last one, and I think he's worth another look at this level. Price should be right to see if he can come calling late.
#7 Flawless Bourbon He's got some pace while moving back around two turns, and he was a good fit with similar a few starts back when leading the way before settling for second. Wouldn't be surprised to see him bounce back here.
#3 Quality Run We'll see how he likes the new footing and the local competition, but he's bringing solid form with him from Iowa and might wind up finding a really nice trip from midpack.
Race Summary Flight to Paradise should be an okay price after a couple modest tries with similar in recent starts, but he had some trouble last time out and might be in position to show better -- I like that he stays at this level.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Ishka Barha She had little chance after ending up far behind after a tough break, but I am willing to forgive that last try in hopes that she can get back to something more like that two-back run -- I'd be happy to be sitting here at a nice number.
#8 Lucy's Girl She has never been close, but she does own a little pace in a race without a whole lot of early burn and maybe this class drop, coupled with a decent race flow over the new footing, will be what she needs to play at a price.
#2 Lisa Marie She was nowhere at 4/5 last time out, but she owns some back races that would obviously make her tough in a bad bunch. Let's see if she comes alive again here for the new team.
Race Summary Two of the likely chalks in here have combined for 24 career losses, so I'm going to take someone a bit fresher in the face. Ishka Barha has not been reliable, but I think the two-back run might do the trick if she gets back to it today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Parx - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 KING’S HOUSE (8-5) Buried lesser, better than his last go-round under these conditions.
#4 WEEKEND IN COURT (7-2) Shortens up, runs late, 0-17 this year, but can rally for share.
#1 MANOLETE (5-2) Took step back at Monmouth, but was 5/1-1-2 in prior sprints on Parx dirt.
Race Summary KINGS HOUSE broke out and drifted out when second to a repeat winner at Delaware, then he won going away in an easier condition on his return to Parx. He did little under these conditions in the spring but is a better horse now. Bet to win and place and play a 3-4-ALL trifecta.

Parx - Race #4
Picks Notes
#2 CATALON (4-1) Plagued by slow starts out west, need not be much to break maiden in first start locally.
#3 ORB’S PARTY GIRL (10- Contended for a half-mile in last four before fading, now tries long sprint.
#6 ROLIN AND CONTROLIN (2-1) Gave way chasing odds-on winner at Monmouth, gets class relief.
Race Summary CATALON was steered outward after a slow start at Santa Anita and finished last. She arrives off a cross-country journey for a high-percentage barn with maiden claimers taking a drop in class. Play a 2-ALL exacta.

Parx - Race #5
Picks Notes
#4 IZA ONE (7-2) Often plays the bridesmaid, could upstage to a victory, needs some pace flow.
#1 LULI’S DANCER (9-5) Earned her keep on the turf, recent workout encouraging for return to main track.
#7 WENDY’S FINE WINE (5- Steady check-getter against better, use underneath in all gimmick wagers.
Race Summary IZA ONE rallied wide for minor awards behind short-priced winners twice in July. She was ‘sluggish’ and didn’t factor last out, but is worth a play at a better price to end a long winless drought. Bet to win and place.