Monday 11/21/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike WynnFree Pick: NBA Indiana -7 over Orlando

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Free play from Totals4UMonday's Free Selection: Georgia Bulldogs/St Joseph's Hawks over 144

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Free play from #1 SportsMonday's Free Play: St Joseph's Hawks + 4 1/2

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Free play from Huddle Up SportsMonday Free Play
Oklahoma City -2' NBA

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Free play from Kenny TowersYour Free Pick for Monday - Bost/Chic OVER 216 1/2

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Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take CBB Wright St -3

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Free play from Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: the UL Monroe Warhawks +13 over Louisiana Tech

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Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Monday : Take SOUTH FLORIDA (CBB) +14 1/2 over UAB

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Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Monday: Take MISSISSIPPI ST (CBB) -4 over Marquette

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Free play from John Anthony SportsYour John Anthony Free Selection for a MONDAY

NO PELICANS NBA

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Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR MONDAY
NHL St.Louis/Anaheim OVER the total of 6 goals.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: MINNESOTA (CBB) Pick'em over Cal Baptist

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Free play from Atlantic SportsMonday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Minnesota Golden Gophers pick 'em

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Free play from Hawkeye SportsMonday's Free Pick: New Jersey Devils -150

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Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Monday: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4

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Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play for MONDAY:
UT JAZZ (NBA)

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price1* Free Pick on Wales +241

[ConleyPicks]

Ricky TranRicky's 1* play on WALES.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
Key Trends:
- USA has failed to score in three of their last five matches.
- Wales has scored in four of their last five matches.
- The last meeting between these teams was a scoreless draw in 2020.
Verdict: This match could easily end in a draw.

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Western Illinois -2 -110
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

[ConleyPicks]

Rob VincilettiMassive Monday included Rare 6* Highest rated NBA Dog, MNF Power Total, NHL Perfect totals system and a Late night Undefeated NCAAB System. Comp Play below


At 6:30 eastern the NCAAB Comp Play is on Mercer plus the points over Florida St. To the database for the Monday dig and wee see that Game 5 home favorites like the Seminoles that are 0-4 on the year are 1-4 Straight up and 0-5 to the spread if tonights opponent scored more than 53 points in their last game since 2013. Mercer is 2-2 but could easily be 4-0 losing 2 road games by 2 points each and both to better teams than they will see here. They bounced Wichita last out and average 88 points per game. The Bears have covered 4 straight on Mondays and 6 of 7 vs .400 or less opponents. Now to the Mess in Tallahasse. FSU has failed to cover 9 of 10 off a spread loss and the last 4 at home. They are off to their worst start since 1959. Mercer has a much better RPI Rank despite similar Strength of schedules. Look for Mercer to emerge with a cover tonight. On Monday a huge card is up with a Rare Highest Rated NBA Side, the MNF Total, the NHL Perfect totals system and a Late night Undefeated College Hoops play. Jump on now as we come off another big day and start the week fast. For the Early NCAAB Comp play. Make it Mercer Plus the Points. Rob V-

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny WalkerFree Pick on Flyers+194

[ConleyPicks]

AAA Sports1* FREE PLAY New Jersey-145


I think the 15-3 Devils are worth the price of admission in this spot. The Oilers are 10-8, but off a 4-3 OT home win over Vegas, I think they'll struggle here in the opener of this Eastern road swing. Edmonton is averaging 3.56 GPG, but it's allowing 3.56 as well. New Jersey is averaging 3.78 GPG, and it's allowing 2.33. The Devils return home off a 5-1 win at Ottawa. New Jersey beat Edmonton 4-3 at the start of the month, and I expect a repeat performance now here at home; consider the Devils on Monday night!
AAA Sports

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus1* Free Sharp Play on Maple Leafs -175

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Jesse SchuleThis is a free play on NO-4 1/2


The Warriors won on the road for the first time this season at Houston last night, but they failed to cover against the last place team in the Southwest. They play on the road again tonight in the second game of a back to back at New Orleans. The last time the Warriors played on back to back nights, they lost 114-105 to the Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center on November 4th. Steve Kerr rested all of his starters that night, so you have to wonder how many minutes the veterans will play here in this spot. Adding fuel to the fire, Zion WIlliamson is expected to return tonight, so the Smoothie King Center should be rocking!
GL,
Jesse Schule

[ConleyPicks]

Jimmy Boyd1* Free Pick on 49ers/Cardinals under 43 -110


All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

[ConleyPicks]

Info Plays1* FREE INFO PLAY on 49ers -8 -110

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Timothy Black1* Best Bet on St. Joe's +4 -110

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Bobby Conn1* Free Play on Georgia -3 -110

[ConleyPicks]

Sean MurphyMonday NHL Free play. My selection is on Vegas over Vancouver at 10:35 pm et on Monday.


The Canucks enter this game off consecutive wins but I look for that streak to be short-lived as they host the Golden Knights on Monday. Vegas suffered a 4-3 overtime loss in Edmonton on Saturday which puts it in a winning situation where it has gone 20-8 when playing on the road after allowing four or more goals in its previous game over the last three seasons, outscoring opponents by 1.2 goals on average in that spot. Note that Vancouver's longest winning streak this season has been just two games, previously losing its next contest by a 5-2 score against New Jersey (also on home ice). Take Vegas.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 7

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE(Races 7-8)


Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 3:09P


FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TIVOLI GARDENS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TEACHER DRAMA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SALOON GIRL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. A DAB WILL DO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



3

TIVOLI GARDENS

2/1


9/2




6

TEACHER DRAMA

12/1


6/1




2

SALOON GIRL

4/1


7/1




7

A DAB WILL DO

8/1


10/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

TIVOLI GARDENS

3


2/1

Front-runner

75


69


80.7


66.3


58.3




2

SALOON GIRL

2


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

75


65


65.2


62.2


56.2




7

A DAB WILL DO

7


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

68


59


62.6


64.3


56.8




6

TEACHER DRAMA

6


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

74


74


60.6


67.4


58.9




5

SARATOGA KISSES

5


3/1

Trailer

76


58


72.5


59.0


54.5




4

STAY HOME MAMA

4


10/1

Trailer

69


53


53.8


58.4


45.9




8

VITANZA

8


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

61


64


78.4


33.2


17.7




1

ALICIA'S WAY

1


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

67


64


51.0


59.6


51.6

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race CourseAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25900 Class Rating: 73

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 ST. LOUIE ARCH 10/1




# 3 MO NIGHEAN DONN 9/2




# 6 SCARRAZANO 7/2




ST. LOUIE ARCH is the top wager in this affair especially at a long price. She has posted respectable numbers under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group of animals. MO NIGHEAN DONN - Looks solid to be up on the front end at the first call. With a strong 69 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. SCARRAZANO - She has been moving admirably recently while recording solid Equibase Speed Figs. Has to be given consideration for this race if only for the very good Equibase Speed Fig recorded in the last race.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16250 Class Rating: 76

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 SHAME ON BEA 8/5




# 3 SATURNCLOUD 10/1




# 1 SUPERBLEA 8/1




SHAME ON BEA looks to be a competitive contender. Lambert has one of the top winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Should compete well in the pace contest which bodes well with this group. Ought to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last race. SATURNCLOUD - Has garnered reliable Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. With a respectable 77 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. SUPERBLEA - Could beat this group given the 76 speed rating posted in her last outing.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Laurel Park

11/21/22, LRL, Race 4, 1.40 ET
11/21/22,LRL,4,1M [Dirt] 1:34:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
7
Dunder Boss
3/1
Toledo J
Russell Brittany T.
SFC
102
30.39
1.16/$1


098.7922
8
Waverley
6/1
Karamanos H
Bailes W. Robert

102
30.39
1.16/$1


097.3940
9
Bode's Heritage(b+)
5/2
Ruiz J
Delacour Arnaud
T
136
38.97
1.13/$1


097.2082
2
Jackie's Quest
6/1
Barbosa J
Capuano Gary
W
58
51.72
1.42/$1


095.6261
1
One Clear Moment
12/1
Rodriguez J
Gorham Michael E.
J
51
41.18
1.46/$1


095.3374
6
Fearless Mae
10/1
Mendoza J
Martin. Jr. Clyde W.

102
30.39
1.16/$1


095.1695
3
Blonde Samaritan
10/1
Crispin A
Ramirez Jose A.
E
102
30.39
1.16/$1


094.8417
4
Wicked Kitten
8/1
Ortiz Y O
Allen. III A. Ferris
L
51
41.18
1.46/$1


093.4368
5
Thencomemorning(b-)
15/1
Humphrey W
Doran Carl

102
30.39
1.16/$1


093.0075
10
Grass Cutter
30/1
Rodriguez W A
Robb John J.

102
30.39
1.16/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.84, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2078
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 9

WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)


Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 102 • Purse: $40,000 • Post: 6:14P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 21, 2022 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE MAY 21, 2022 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2021-2022).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PALUXY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at l east 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. NEWSCASTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HELLO HOT ROD: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NUMBER ONE DUDE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.



7

PALUXY

4/1


5/1




1

NEWSCASTER

3/1


5/1




3

HELLO HOT ROD

2/1


6/1




2

NUMBER ONE DUDE

9/2


8/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

GOLD MONEY

4


15/1

Front-runner

100


98


102.2


79.0


69.5




1

NEWSCASTER

1


3/1

Front-runner

103


100


100.5


94.3


89.3




6

MAN IN THE CAN

6


5/1

Front-runner

98


87


84.6


78.6


68.1




3

HELLO HOT ROD

3


2/1

Front-runner

101


100


80.4


86.4


78.9




2

NUMBER ONE DUDE

2


9/2

Stalker

94


89


63.2


90.8


83.3




7

PALUXY

7


4/1

Trailer

98


92


69.2


91.4


84.4




5

DRIFTING WEST

5


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

95


87


76.0


84.6


77.1

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:10pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,400 Class Rating: 80

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 TIZ WONDERFULLY (ML=6/1)


TIZ WONDERFULLY - Changes tracks from last out at Arapahoe Park to here. Multiple wins on different tracks tell me this one likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. This animal is number one in earnings per race. She looks strong in today's affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SWEET HONOR (ML=7/2), #4 DIXIE RED (ML=9/2), #3 ABBIE'S WAY (ML=5/1),

SWEET HONOR - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests of late. Not likely to see her doing it this time either. DIXIE RED - Not easy to play any thoroughbred in a short distance race at 9/2 when she hasn't shown any positive results in sprints in the last couple of months. Unlikely that the speed rating she registered on Oct 23rd will be good enough in this event. ABBIE'S WAY - I'd like to see more preferred recent outings with oddsmaker's morning line of 5/1. Quite unimpressive fig last out at Turf Paradise at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this questionable contender will improve too much today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #8 TIZ WONDERFULLY to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Remington Park - Race #1 - Post: 2:30pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 GUILTY AFFAIR (ML=9/2)


GUILTY AFFAIR - Always watch out for the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Generally, I don't play a thoroughbred off workouts alone, but when I see a colt work at the same distance or longer than a race he's entered in, I become interested. Going on Lasix for the first time. While a familiar handicapping angle, it's still quite important when deciding on your contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 FIND NEW ROADS (ML=2/1), #6 MESSAGE DISCIPLINE (ML=5/2), #3 MIDNIGHT MONEY (ML=4/1),

FIND NEW ROADS - In any contest of 5 1/2 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in sprint contests recently. MESSAGE DISCIPLINE - In this circumstance, this runner's inability to make up any ground in the last race is definitely troubling. MIDNIGHT MONEY - Lackluster win percentage (4) with first-time-starters for this sire, Midnight Storm.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - GUILTY AFFAIR - Races today over a familiar track. He's worked over the Remington Park track multiple times coming into this event. As a first timer, this has to improve his chances.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#2 GUILTY AFFAIR is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


5
5
ALL LIES
8/1
Porter, Trae - 8
447.62


6
6
SWANS CASH PRISE
6/1
Copeland, Vince - 13
429.84


4
4
GOO'S YOUR DADDY
5/2
Callahan, Corey - 15
429.21


1
1
PINE ROCKET
12/1
Morgan, Anthony - 14
422.45


2
2
RHETT
9/2
Kirby, Victor - 11
407.97


7
7
JUST PUMP IT
12/1
Stafford, Art Jr - 15
390.20


3
3
SNOW BURST
7/2
Davis, Allan - 13
383.21


8
8
ROLLING IN CLOVER
10/1
Foster, Russell - 8
326.60

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 11 - Post: 11:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$13000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 TO $20,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 6 ROYAL RENEGADE 6/1




# 8 REAL WICKED 5/1




# 7 UNIQUE BEACH 9/2





All signs point to ROYAL RENEGADE for the selection. Feel the need for speed, this contender has been turning in some excellent speed figs averaging around 81. He has nice class rankings, averaging 84. Should be considered for a bet for this race. Talk about a dynamic duo, Roy and Lester have some of the best driver/handler markings at the track. REAL WICKED - Achieved a 78 TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. A duplicate outing here should get the win here. With McNair in the race bike, watch out for this nice horse to get the ultimate prize. UNIQUE BEACH - The panel of smart guys has Macdonald on its list of drivers who are winning with a flourish these days. Last 30 days win percent is stellar. Many top players will recognize the stellar speed rating in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this group of horses.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 7 - Post: 8:52 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$9800 - NON WINNERS 4 PARI-MUTUEL RACES. AE: N/W 7 PM RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 5 CAPTAIN BUTLER 5/2




# 3 AND I QUOTE 9/1




# 7 WRECKING CREW 7/2





If you want a competitive play for this race, feast your eyes on CAPTAIN BUTLER. Could beat this field of horses, just look at the speed rating - 75 - from his most recent event. Well above average winning percent makes this standardbred an excellent contender to take home the dough. More wins than normal have been recorded by harness racers lining up behind the 5 post at Northfield Park. AND I QUOTE - Sometimes you just have to go with an instinct, favor this one's chances. Might be there at a favorable price tag. Quite possibly one to keep in your exotics. WRECKING CREW - Have to make Merriman the bet here if only for the last thirty days win stat. Big chance for the trip to the winner's circle. The brain trust knows that speed is King in harness racing. This fine animal will unlock our way to a nice victory.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 8


3
3
NANDOLO N
3/1
Bartlett, Jason - 27
572.84


5
5
BUDDY HILL
5/1
Kakaley, Matt - 18
561.69


1
1
SEMI TOUGH
4/1
Brennan, George - 15
554.91


4
4
COVERED BRIDGE
5/1
Stratton, Jordan - 17
549.25


2
2
OAKWOODNITOWNIT IR
5/1
Gingras, Yannick - 17
542.45


7
7
LEONIDAS A
9/2
Siegelman, Austin - 10
540.86


6
6
ODDS ON CAPITALISM
8/1
Buter, Tyler - 10
498.04

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Serby
Arizona Cardinals

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis


Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 2

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)



Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 3:01P


FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * DANANG: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MR MANNIN G: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TUFFER THAN TUFF: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TOPPING: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. TOUCHOFCH ILIPEPPER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.



8

DANANG

6/1


9/2




2

MR MANNING

4/1


6/1




5

TUFFER THAN TUFF

2/1


8/1




7

TOPPING

8/1


9/1




3

TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER

12/1


10/1


















P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER

3


12/1

Front-runner

82


82


85.0


65.6


53.6




2

MR MANNING

2


4/1

Front-runner

88


82


83.2


72.2


67.7




4

SACRED SKY

4


6/1

Front-runner

82


80


81.4


65.0


56.5




7

TOPPING

7


8/1

Front-runner

83


81


73.6


72.6


62.6




5

TUFFER THAN TUFF

5


2/1

Front-runner

87


81


69.2


73.8


65.8




1

METALLIC MAN

1


5/1

Alternator/Front-runner

71


74


58.2


59.4


46.4




8

DANANG

8


6/1

Trailer

89


68


47.0


79.2


75.7




6

BLUEMOON JUSTICE

6


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


63


51.6


65.4


54.9

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 73

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 WAY TO FIRE 6/1




# 6 SQUARE FOOTAGE 3/1




# 4 SWEET LADY LANA 5/1




WAY TO FIRE has a decent shot to take this race. Is difficult not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been very strong - 66 avg - of late. Could best this field based on the speed fig - 56 - of her last race. With a sound 63 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. SQUARE FOOTAGE - With Lopez uptop her, this filly will almost certainly be able to break out early for this event. Trainers don't bring horses back this soon without any reason. SWEET LADY LANA - Should be given consideration in this event if only for the very strong speed fig earned in the last contest. Handler boasts strong win numbers at this distance and surface.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Zia Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:21pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,250 Class Rating: 76

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 SUPERBLEA (ML=8/1)
#2 PEGGY B FAST (ML=2/1)
#6 DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV (ML=9/2)
#3 SATURNCLOUD (ML=10/1)


SUPERBLEA - I really like that most recent outing on November 8th at Zia Park where she ran second. This rider/handler duo has been producing a very favorable ROI, right at +227. In the last race, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. What that tells me is she can close well, and should be right there at the finish line this time. PEGGY B FAST - I like this mare. Has the highest earnings per start (EPS) in here. She must like the track here. Shipped in to finish first on Oct 10th and she looks tough once again. This thoroughbred has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 34 to 69 to 73 in succession. DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV - This horse's last race was out at Remington Park in a race with a class figure of 87. Dropping a significant amount in class figure today puts her in a solid position in this race. SATURNCLOUD - Taking a big drop in class figure points from her October 23rd race at Los Alamitos (Quarter Hor. Based on that info, I will give this thoroughbred the edge. Last two Equibase speed figures (77, 77) were solid. Anything close to that right here in this race and this one may win easily. You'll be generating profits right and left by turning your cash onto this rider/handler combination. I just may give this one a good shot. Should improve off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SHAME ON BEA (ML=8/5),

SHAME ON BEA - Can't bet on this racer in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race recently. I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SUPERBLEA - Steady improvement in her speed ratings, 76 last race and 71 two races back. This steed is going to be tough against these thoroughbreds.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #1 SUPERBLEA on the nose if you can get odds of 9/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,6] Box [1,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 2:06pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,900 Class Rating: 73

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 SCARRAZANO (ML=7/2)
#5 CANDY ISLAND (ML=6/1)
#4 CONTESSINA (ML=6/1)


SCARRAZANO - I sense a ding-dong battle developing here. If that happens, this filly will be in perfect stalking position to run down the leaders. Oliveros and Inirio have had terrific success together over the last year. This filly is in fine condition, having run a nice race on November 2nd, finishing second. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is great. Inirio drops her in this affair ready to win. This filly's last speed figure notched on November 2nd is utmost in last race speed figures. CANDY ISLAND - This fine animal should be thundering down the lane. CONTESSINA - Filly finished first her last race here on Nov 7th as a shipper. I think she looks like a winner once again. This pony coming off a strong try in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my book. This horse wins a lot of money per race around the track. Tops in this clash.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FORTUNE BOUND (ML=5/2), #1 YEARS AGO (ML=4/1), #3 MO NIGHEAN DONN (ML=9/2),

FORTUNE BOUND - 5/2 odds isn't enough for this thoroughbred when examining the most recent efforts. YEARS AGO - When looking at today's class figure, she will have to earn a better speed figure than last time out to vie in this dirt route. MO NIGHEAN DONN - Doesn't appear to be worth 9/2 today. Pass on her this time.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #6 SCARRAZANO to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,5,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12600 Class Rating: 71

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 BEACH BOY AL 4/5




# 1A COUSIN GREG 5/2




# 1 TRISAETUM 5/2




BEACH BOY AL is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Has to be carefully examined against this group of animals displaying quite good figs as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 70 under similar conditions. As of late Worrie has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. Has solid early speed and will almost certainly fare solidly against this field. COUSIN GREG - Risk takers using horses with this rider and trainer combo have done admirably lately. Looks competitive against this group of animals and will most likely be one of the front-runners. TRISAETUM - He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most competitive in this field. Could beat this field given the 62 speed figure earned in his last outing.

[ConleyPicks]

NFL Trends SF/ARZ

SF ATS Trends
49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.


49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.

49ers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Monday games.


49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.


49ers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 11.


49ers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.


49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

ARZ ATS Trends
Cardinals are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.


Cardinals are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.


Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.


Cardinals are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.


Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.


Cardinals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11.


Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC West.

SF O/U Trends
Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.


Under is 7-1 in 49ers last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.


Under is 6-1 in 49ers last 7 games following a straight up win.


Under is 10-2 in 49ers last 12 games on grass.


Under is 7-2 in 49ers last 9 vs. NFC.


Under is 13-4 in 49ers last 17 games overall.


Under is 6-2 in 49ers last 8 games following a ATS loss.


Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.


Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games in November.

ARZ O/U Trends
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games overall.


Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. NFC.


Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 Monday games.


Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games in November.


Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following a straight up win.


Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games in Week 11.







Head-To-Head Trends
49ers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.


Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.


Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.


Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

[ConleyPicks]

FIFA World Cup Tips

Senegal v Netherlands
Tip: Draw 1-1
O/U 2.5 Tip: Under
Senegal has went Under 2.5 L4 games
Netherlands has went 4-0-1 in L5 games
Senegal has went 2-2-1 in L5 games

USA v Wales
Tip: Draw 1-1
O/U 2.5 Tip: Under
USA has went Under 2.5 L4 games
Wales has went 0-4-1 in L5 games
USA has went 1-1-3 in L5 games