Thursday 1/5/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for AqueductPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=aqu0105zf.pdf&exp=01/07/2023&pds=AQU_-_01/05/2023&var=RACE_DATE=01/05/2023;TRACK_CODE=AQU&SAP=FREEPICS)


Aqueduct - Race 7

Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 7 &8



Optional Claiming $80,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 101 • Purse: $88,000 • Post: 3:45P


(UP TO $15,312 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER SINCE JULY 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $80,000 (ALLOWANCE HORSES PREFERRED)(1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * FOUETTE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Toda y is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. PIECE OF MY HEART: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SECRET LOVE: Horse ra nks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EASY TO BLESS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



5

FOUETTE

7/2


9/2




7

PIECE OF MY HEART

2/1


5/1




1

SECRET LOVE

5/2


7/1




2

EASY TO BLESS

6/1


10/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

THISTLEFIELD

3


15/1

Front-runner

84


79


93.8


66.4


54.4




5

FOUETTE

5


7/2

Front-runner

104


101


80.2


97.2


92.2




6

SHORT SUMMER DRESS

6


10/1

Front-runner

100


90


79.8


87.2


77.7




1

SECRET LOVE

1


5/2

Stalker

103


99


81.2


93.2


86.7




4

COREY

4


6/1

Stalker

98


89


75.6


88.6


77.6




2

EASY TO BLESS

2


6/1

Stalker

107


97


72.4


84.2


78.2




7

PIECE OF MY HEART

7


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

102


104


64.0


98.4


92.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Delta Downs - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 7-8) ($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)



SO $8,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 7:43P


FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022 OR CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 5 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * LOVETHATCAUSE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest av erage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CREEKMORE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PARLAY PETE: Horse's average winning distance i s within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). FLASHING ANGELBABY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



5

LOVETHATCAUSE

3/1


9/2




4

CREEKMORE

5/1


5/1




8

PARLAY PETE

4/1


8/1




3

FLASHING ANGELBABY

9/2


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




8

PARLAY PETE

8


4/1

Front-runner

85


85


79.4


79.6


70.6




3

FLASHING ANGELBABY

3


9/2

Front-runner

86


83


72.8


76.7


66.2




4

CREEKMORE

4


5/1

Alternator/Front-runner

93


81


90.8


78.2


72.2




7

PLATINUM EQUITY

7


6/1

Alternator/Front-runner

82


77


58.0


66.4


58.4




5

LOVETHATCAUSE

5


3/1

Stalker

89


86


67.2


84.8


80.3




1

HOT LE ROY

1


8/1

Trailer

82


83


42.0


71.4


57.9




2

HARDCORE FOLKLORE

2


6/1

Alternator/Trailer

87


88


46.5


74.7


67.2




6

BET AGAIN

6


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

88


81


58.2


67.8


56.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13300 Class Rating: 66

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 DYLADDIE 6/1




# 11 LADY WHISTLEDOWN 7/2




# 7 MY JUBA 3/1




DYLADDIE is my choice. Looks very good for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races recently. Always difficult to beat Hurley and Latchman working together, winning 20 percent of their races. LADY WHISTLEDOWN - She has solid class ratings, averaging 71, and has to be given a chance in this event. Has performed admirably lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 57 avg Equibase Speed Figure. MY JUBA - Has garnered solid Equibase speed figs in dirt sprint races in the past. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Hurley running at this distance are the top in this field.

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https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Fair Grounds - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 PURSUIT L'HARMONIE (ML=3/1)
#6 VISIONISTA (ML=6/1)


PURSUIT L'HARMONIE - Atop this horse on December 2nd and Rodriguez is back again in the irons in this race. Jockey and conditioner do well when they work together. Rodriguez and Camejo have been consistent together. Just look at her last figure, 59. That one fits well in this group. This horse has the early speed, and no one may be able to keep up with her. This horse's last race was at Fair Grounds in a race with an Equibase class figure of 79. Dropping drastically in Equibase class figure this time around puts her in a solid position in this race. VISIONISTA - Got some betting action in maiden outing on Dec 23rd at Fair Grounds, but finished second. Has a shot in this field. This filly is in first-rate form right now. Ended up second last time around the track and comes back quickly. Expect better today as this filly gets Lasix for the second time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ENTITLEMENT (ML=5/2), #7 KYLE BEAUTY (ML=7/2), #4 YOCKEY BETTERFLY (ML=8/1),

ENTITLEMENT - The favorite is suspect here with the lack of morning drills. The speed fig last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this animal as a questionable contender. KYLE BEAUTY - I'm forecasting a lackluster effort out of her this time around. YOCKEY BETTERFLY - This racer will probably be at the back of the pack as this field crosses the finish line.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#5 PURSUIT L'HARMONIE to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:15pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 NEVER (IRE) (ML=8/1)
#4 FELINE (ML=3/1)
#1 STAKE A CLAIM (ML=4/1)


NEVER (IRE) - I'm anticipating this race horse to run a good race this time out. FELINE - This filly is in excellent form right now. Ended up second in the last race and comes back promptly. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback. She has the top earnings per race. Take a long look at this horse. STAKE A CLAIM - I like to play this handicapping theory, a pony coming back off a solid race within the last month. Last raced at Gulfstream Park carrying 7 pounds more. The lower impost in this event should serve her well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MUSICAL DESIGN (ML=5/2), #8 RED TIARA (ML=5/1), #5 LITA (ML=6/1),

MUSICAL DESIGN - This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two efforts. RED TIARA - This animal hasn't been in the money in either of her last couple of races. Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint races recently. Not likely to see her doing it in today's event either. Not probable that this runner will be at her best this time around off the long turnout. Maybe next time out. LITA - This vulnerable equine didn't go to the lead and didn't close ground in the lane last time she ran. Improbable for this steed to do much in today's event. The very long layoff is a troublesome sign.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #2 NEVER (IRE) on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,4] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,2,4] with [1,2,4] with [1,2,4,5,8] with [1,2,4,5,8] Total Cost: $36



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21600 Class Rating: 72

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 5. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 5/2




# 3 CAT'S RHYTHM 3/1




# 6 NORTHERN JOURNEY 5/1




HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE supports the wager in here. Has solid speed figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. This mare obviously likes the distance, going 6 out of 33 in her races lately. Has to be given a chance here if only for the very good speed figure put up in the last affair. CAT'S RHYTHM - Her 66 average has this mare with among the top Equibase Speed Figures in this race. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this group in her last contest. NORTHERN JOURNEY - She should be given consideration given the formidable speed figs. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Aviles ought to have this mare in excellent position to win the contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds
PURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=fg0105zf.pdf&exp=01/07/2023&pds=FG_-_01/05/2023&var=RACE_DATE=01/05/2023;TRACK_CODE=FG&SAP=FREEPICS)

01/05/23, FG, Race 3, 2.15 CT
01/05/23,FG,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $50,000 (includes up to $8,000 Other Sources). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000 In Their Last 3 Starts).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
5
Pursuit l'Harmonie
3/1
Rodriguez J L
Camejo Jose M.
JTWL
70
28.57
1.69/$1


097.7050
7
Kyle Beauty
7/2
Loveberry J
Faucheux Ron


102
37.25
1.40/$1


097.6114
6
Visionista
6/1
Murrill M
Rodriguez Eduardo
FC
102
37.25
1.40/$1


097.4232
2
Entitlement
5/2
Pedroza. Jr. M
David. Jr. Sam B.
SE
70
28.57
1.69/$1


095.2256
4
Yockey Betterfly
8/1
Graham J
Balderas Alfonso


102
37.25
1.40/$1


093.9461
1
Beulah K
8/1
Castillo A
Snodderly Rhonda


102
37.25
1.40/$1


091.6728
3
Dat Guitar
10/1
Albert T S
DeRousselle Peter P.


70
28.57
1.69/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.49, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.2950
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Finish Turf Last 1 (M)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - January 5
Jan. 04, 2023




Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track.






RACE #1 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Nordic Light
M Franklin


PLACE
3-1
1
Lead Actor
L Machado


SHOW
7-2
9
B G Lee
G Corrales


WILD CARD
5-1
8
Command Central
C Landeros





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Over Calendared
D J Haldar


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Tigerito
J McKee








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX









RACE #2 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
9
Connelmaura
G Corrales


PLACE
3-1
2
Happysecret
F Peterson


SHOW
8-1
1
Smooth Like Ice
L Machado


WILD CARD
7-2
4
Captive Star
C Landeros





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
5
One Stormy Lady
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
8
Twelve Sharp
V Cheminaud








* EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/9 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Inherent Powers
F De La Cruz


PLACE
8-1
1
Valley Vista
E Esquivel


SHOW
6-1
9
Barstow
W A Rodriguez


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Chief Howcome
P W Ouzts





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Dudley
I Ayala


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
11
Pull Me Back
T Canuto








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/9 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX









RACE #4 $7,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
11
Yellow Creek Road
L Machado


PLACE
7-2
2
Mrs. Nushi
G Corrales


SHOW
3-1
12
Arlynes Crown
J Elliott


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Jumakan Bourbon
A Burgos





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
13
Sea Monster
G Corrales


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
9
Green Bananas
C Orm








* EXACTA: 11-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX, 12-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/11/12 BOX, 1/2/12 BOX









RACE #5 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 MIRANDA RIGHTS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Miranda Rights
V Cheminaud


PLACE
7-2
1
Donegal Arrow
C Landeros


SHOW
6-1
7
Accident
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Noted Talent
A Achard





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
8
Ravens Nest
L Machado


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
9
Connect Me
G Corrales








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX









RACE #6 $76,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 BALI BELLE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Bali Belle
E Esquivel


PLACE
5-2
3
Maybe Later
G Corrales


SHOW
5-1
6
Tap Dancing Lady
D J Haldar


WILD CARD
10-1
1
Legerity
J McKee





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Crystal Ship
W A Rodriguez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Heavenly Hellos
F De La Cruz








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #7 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
11
Abitibi
G Corrales


PLACE
20-1
1
Je Suis Rapide
V Lebron


SHOW
6-1
8
Quick Conversation
L Machado


WILD CARD
9-2
6
Charlee O
J E Felix





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
9
Wicked Wonder
W A Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 11-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/8/11 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX









RACE #8 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 MISS LIZZY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
9
Miss Lizzy
A Lezcano


PLACE
4-1
5
Miss J D
A Achard


SHOW
5-1
4
Three Sport Coats
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
9-2
6
Chica Chula
A Beckman





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
13
Ms. the Law
M Franklin


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Bobbie Sox
W A Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - January 5
Jan. 04, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
1
Bet On Bourbon
J L Rodriguez


PLACE
3-1
3
Resposado
J Graham


SHOW
5-1
2
Enough Heart
T S Albert


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Eyeseemoney
J Loveberry





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
The Missing Piece
B Culp


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Spectacular Izzy
E Nieves








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #2 $30,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 JOANS WAY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
6
Joans Way
R Gutierrez


PLACE
5-2
3
Shaniah
J Loveberry


SHOW
6-1
4
Miss G G
F Geroux


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Ma Cherie
B Culp





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
1
Sweet Beauty
D L Parker


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
5
Dream Streak
C J Hernandez








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #3 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Pursuit lHarmonie
J L Rodriguez


PLACE
5-2
2
Entitlement
M Pedroza Jr.


SHOW
6-1
6
Visionista
M Murrill


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Kyle Beauty
J Loveberry





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Yockey Betterfly
J Graham


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Beulah K
A Castillo








* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX









RACE #4 $30,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
3
Lightning Struck
J Graham


PLACE
8-1
1
Alebrije
M Pedroza Jr.


SHOW
2-1
4
Summer Splash
C J Hernandez


WILD CARD
5-2
6
Tango Charlie
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
2
Sierra Hotel
J Loveberry


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
5
Kennesaw
M Murrill








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #5 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Overthought
J Graham


PLACE
5-2
3
Counter Offer
M Pedroza Jr.


SHOW
6-1
8
The Gray Blur
B Culp


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Sermononthemount
E Nieves





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Color Fast
J Riquelme


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
4
Tio Blas
S Barandela








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX









RACE #6 $52,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
3
Scarlettsblackjack
J L Rodriguez


PLACE
3-1
4
Hooray Austin
R Gutierrez


SHOW
9-2
7
Gravy Hound
J Graham


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Gwildcat
G Melancon





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Bootsies Galaxy
C J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
1A
Binding Agreement
E Nieves








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX









RACE #7 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET



BEST BET: #12 FUJIN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
12
Fujin
D L Parker


PLACE
7-2
3
Willakenzie
F Geroux


SHOW
9-2
1
Dual Monarchy
J Graham


WILD CARD
9-2
6
Sir
B J Hernandez Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
8
Sam Stormy
R Gutierrez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
9
Myredwhiteandblue
J Loveberry








* EXACTA: 12-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/12 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #8 $51,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 SUNDAY BREEZE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
8
Sunday Breeze
D L Parker


PLACE
6-1
4
Bouldering
R Gutierrez


SHOW
9-2
6
Tambourine Star
D Cohen


WILD CARD
7-2
9
Duvee
M Pedroza Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Runninginthemoney
J Graham


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Commander Scott
J Riquelme








* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - January 5
Jan. 04, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 BOINTHEBACK









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
7
Your Mission
K Carmouche


PLACE
6-1
1
Reunion Tour
M Olver


SHOW
5-2
2
Midnight Express
J Lezcano


WILD CARD
12-1
3
Tiza Brown
A Castillo





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Uncle Bruce
O Hernandez Moreno








* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX









RACE #2 $16,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
2
Melting Snow
K Carmouche


PLACE
5-2
5
Vegas Weekend
M Franco


SHOW
8-1
4
Prairie Fire
A Adorno


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Viradia
A S Worrie





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Greatest Love
R R Maragh


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
New York Banker
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:47 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Motion to Strike
J A Gomez


PLACE
8-5
4
Gandy Dancing
K Carmouche


SHOW
5-2
1
Double Shot
M Franco


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Acalteque
E Fuentes





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
1A
Bustin the Rules
M Olver


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
First Deputy
G Huayas








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #4 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:16 PM ET



BEST BET: #10 SECOND AND REED









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
10
Second and Reed
E Cancel


PLACE
9-2
6
Basic Truth
J A Gomez


SHOW
6-1
3
Metamorphoses
G Huayas


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Charlies Medal
J A Davis





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Saratoga Strong
M Olver


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
Dannys a Cowboy
L A Rodriguez Castro








* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/10 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #5 $82,000 ALLOWANCE
1 3/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
7
Tonal Impact
K Carmouche


PLACE
4-1
1
Anejo
J Lezcano


SHOW
6-1
2
Bold Victory
M Franco


WILD CARD
5-2
4
Gasoline
E Cancel





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
5
Royal Tryst
J Laprida


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Vasariano
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #6 $72,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:16 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
2
Mason Mania
J Lezcano


PLACE
1-1
1
Simply
J A Vargas Jr.


SHOW
9-2
7
Rias Angel
E Cancel


WILD CARD
12-1
4
Royal Suspect
R R Maragh





ALTERNATE 1
1-1
1A
Ouster
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
6
Son of an Ex
J R Martinez








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX









RACE #7 $88,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Secret Love
K Carmouche


PLACE
2-1
7
Piece of My Heart
J Lezcano


SHOW
7-2
5
Fouette
J A Vargas Jr.


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Easy to Bless
J A Davis





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
6
Short Summer Dress
M Franco


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Thistlefield
A Adorno








* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX









RACE #8 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 CHIARA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
9
Chiara
H K Harkie


PLACE
4-1
8
Bonana Fanna Foe
J A Davis


SHOW
9-2
2
Treat Street
K Carmouche


WILD CARD
10-1
1
Tonight We Love
J A Vargas Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
5
Try It Again
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Warsalm
A S Worrie








* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/8/9 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Park Hotlist - January 5
Jan. 04, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (10) Morgan’s Bluff rallied for second in her last try on turf and gets the nod here. (5) Artifact makes her debut on turf and seems well-bred for it. (4) Take It South might wake up in a claimer. (1) Breaking Bullet could control the early pace from the rail. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-10.
3rd race – (7) Mandy Green (A) missed by a neck in a sharp try and should make amends here. (3) Zisisit comes off a solid maiden win and merits attention. (2) Maria’s Revenge would benefit from a quick pace. (6) Chess Not Checkers fits in with this group. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7. Exactas: 3-7 over 2-6 and 2-6 over 3-7. Doubles: 2-3-6-7 with 1-3-4-7.
4th race – (1) Ana’s Gun was a solid second in her debut and should graduate here. (3) Mija rallied for second last time and may improve on Lasix. (7) Undoubtedly certainly figures to be a factor here. (4) Mutola might be a factor in her debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3. Exactas: 1-3 over 4-7 and 4-7 over 1-3.
6th race – (2) Elusive Mischief should appreciate the distance and the move to Tapeta and handle this field. (1) Crack Shot may benefit from a rail trip. (7) He’s in Charge could respond with a better try while running on Tapeta. (5) Charmed will be a contender on his best try. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-7.
8th race – (1) Collaborate drops in class and should be tough to beat at this shorter distance. (9) Celestial Glaze should be closing quickly at the end and might be the main threat. (6) Create Again may take a step forward off the Walder claim. (10) Ludington will welcome a dry track. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-9-10.


No.

Letter/Last race
Today’s race
Comment







(7)
Mandy Green
A, 12/9
3 GP
Missed by a neck last time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Hotlist - January 5
Jan. 04, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
4th race [Md 20000, 1 mi] – (10) Second and Reed makes a big drop down to this lowest maiden claiming level after running ok in his first three starts at Aqueduct and gets Lasix for the first time. (6) Basic Truth got bumped hard at the break of his debut race and could get loose on the lead in here. (7) Excalibrate set the pace in a few of his prior races and shows up as a new gelding after an October layoff. (5) Saratoga Strong gets Lasix and blinkers after his debut three weeks ago.
5th race [Alw 82000 N1X, 1 3/16 mi] – (2) Bold Victory had wide trips in his last two starts and should appreciate the added distance. (7) Tonal Impact is riding a four-race winning streak with speed figures jumping up during that time. He was claimed three times during that sequence with a starter allowance score most recently. (6) Vasariano makes his second start at the Big A for trainer Norman Cash who runs his horses frequently. He was fourth last time at this level. (4) Gasoline came back from a layoff for Todd Pletcher and could get to the lead.
6th race [NY, Alw 72000 N1X, 1 1/8 mi] – (2) Mason Mania (B) had a rough start which put him at the back of a large field forcing him to rally which is not his preferred style and still managed to finish third. [(1) Simply / (1A) Ouster]are both contenders to win this state-bred allowance. (7) Ria’s Angel returns to NY-bred company for the hot Linda Rice barn who claimed him two races back and then got a win. (8) Dr. Marbooz changed barns recently and moved to race at Aqueduct from Finger Lakes.
8th race [NY, Md 25000, 6F] – (8) Bonana Fanna Foe (B) got pinched back at the start, rallied from last to third, and gets blinkers on. (9) Chiara moved from turf to dirt and finished second behind a horse that came back to win her next start. (7) Menily gets blinkers on and makes a big drop from maiden special weight to this lowest level claimer at Aqueduct. (5) Try It Again has not run since 2021 but faced two fields that were filled with winning horses.
Best bets: Second and Reed (4th); Bonana Fanna Foe (8th). Best value: Bold Victory (5th); Mason Mania (6th)


No.
Name
Letter/
last race
Today's Race
Comments


(2)
Mason Mania
B on 12/9
6
Had a rough start and rallied up for third.


(8)
Banana Fanna Foe
B on 12/8
8
Got pinched back at start, prefers to press pace, finished third.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Thursday, January 5
Posted on January 4, 2023 by David Aragona

RACE 5: ANEJO (#1)

Tonal Impact (#7) will be tough for this field to handle if he runs back to his last effort when he beat a starter allowance field by nearly 5 lengths. That was his fourth victory in a row while continuing to move up the class ladder, and he earned his highest speed figure first off the claim for the Linda Rice barn. This horse seemed to love the demanding 9 furlongs at Aqueduct, as he launched a sweeping move to the lead around the far turn before drawing off with authority. Therefore, this slight stretch-out to 1 3/16 miles shouldn’t bother him at all. I much prefer him to main rival Gasoline (#4), who is coming off a disappointing performance at this level in December. It’s hard to find an excuse for that loss as the even-money favorite, and his form has generally been getting more unreliable since a promising start to his career. My top pick is Anejo (#1). This New York-bred ran well on this circuit over the summer, finishing a good second at this level to Saint Tapit, before winning his last state-bred condition in September with a rail-skimming run. Since then he’s ventured back out into open company in Kentucky, but he hasn’t found the right circumstances. He got a poor trip two back when hung out wide every step of the way against a very strong field. And I won’t hold his synthetic race against him, as he’s proven to be better on dirt. I think he can handle this distance given the right trip and he should be a fair price.

RACE 6: SON OF AN EX (#6)

The Windylea Farm entry figures to go off at a very short price here, and both halves can surely win this race. However, I’m not confident enough in either of their chances to swallow their expected slim odds. Many may consider Simply (#1)the stronger half of this pair off his solid runner-up finish at this level last time. He arguably had a slightly tougher trip than winner Full Moon Fever, who saved more ground that day. He appears to be in solid form, but his lack of early speed is always a concern. I actually prefer Ouster (#1A) of the two Windylea runners. He’s excelled on turf recently, but he handled dirt without issue early in his career. I think the key to his recent success has been the stretch-out in distance, as he’s always looked like a horse that would relish more ground. Mark Hennig also tends to do very well with runners for this owner. He’s dangerous, but I wanted to look for some better value with one of the alternatives. Mason Mania (#2)may appreciate added ground, and Ria’s Angel (#7) is in solid form, but I couldn’t really get behind either one of them. My top pick is Son of an Ex (#6), who may be the best price of any of these contender. The Randi Persaud barn has been in the midst of a strong run at Aqueduct, going 10 for 64 over the past 4 months. Notably, Persaud is 10 for 42 (24%, $4.45 ROI) with horses that went off at odds of 20-1 or less during that time period, and 5 for 12 (42%, $6.03 ROI) with such runners over the past 3 weeks. Son of an Ex finished off the board in his return, but he was facing a much tougher open company field that day. The pace of that race was also pretty slow, so he had little chance to make a late impact. I think he’ll fare better here on the class drop, and he should be a decent price with a low-profile rider named.

RACE 7: SHORT SUMMER DRESS (#6)

With the report from Dave Grening that one of the Linda Rice runners, Fouette (#5), will likely scratch from this spot, Rice’s other entrant Piece of My Heart (#7) figures to vie for favoritism. From a speed figure standpoint, this 6-year-old mare is the horse to beat, but she’s awfully tough to endorse as a win candidate, especially at a short price. She’s lost 17 consecutive starts despite being in many races that she seemingly had a chance to win over the past couple of seasons. She’s been in strong form since the claim by Rice over the summer, but we saw her major character flaw on display last time, as she just failed to catch stablemate Fouette in the lane. Her main rival in the wagering figures to be Secret Love (#1), who move sup in class following a win at the N2X level last time. This New York-bred was steadily improving in the second half of last season, but she is meeting a tougher field than the one she defeated last time. That was also a race where a few key rivals had trouble at the start. I want to go in a different direction. Some may consider Easy to Bless (#2)in her second start off the layoff after she made a brief middle move in a starter allowance race last month. Yet I’m most interested in another runner from that affair. Short Summer Dress (#6) could get overlooked here after finishing fourth in that Dec. 11 affair, even though she defeated Easy to Bless that day. She got a strange trip, as she was advancing into contention on the turn before seeming to lose focus, drifting out while tentatively ridden to the quarter pole. She lost position, but then seemed to reengage one the field straightened away in the lane, coming on again to just miss third. Perhaps she can run a more professional race with blinkers added, and she figures to get the right trip, especially after the scratch of Fouette. I know it appears that she’s been off form for Joseph Lee, but I don’t think she’s run nearly as bad as it might appear and believe she can rebound here at a price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick 5 Play for Fair Grounds Thursday, Jan. 5: Strategic Opinion
Kevin Kilroy

Having a strategic opinion can be reason enough to play a Pick 5. An example of a strategic opinion is singling in a spot where other players psychologically have a hard time singling, i.e. the first and last legs.

I have a single in the opening leg with #3 Lightning Struck (9-2), who will likely go off as the bettor’s third choice. Strategically, this frees up my bankroll to spread in other legs where I like the favorites but also have trip excuses for some lively prices. Another way of attacking this if you don’t like Lightning Stuck as much as I do would be to use a few others in that leg and drop off the favorites in Race 5 (3,6) and Race 8 (6,9).
Race Horses
R4

3
R5

3, 5, 6, 8, 9
R6

2,3
R7

3,5
R8

3, 5, 6, 8, 9

50-cent Pick 5 = $50
Race 4: Dirt, 6 furlongs, Clm 30000B, 4-year-olds and up

Tom Amoss and Eduardo Rodriguez have two runners in here. Alebrije is back at Fair Grounds. Each of those could win, but give me #3 Lightning Struck (9-2) all day. Steve Asmussen’s runner looked legit last time pressing outside and taking over in the turn. He’s stepping up in class, but the Thoro-Graph pattern projects he’s got a 30% chance of running a new top.
Race 5: Dirt, 1 1/16 miles, Clm 5000B, 4-year-olds and up

#3 Counter Offer (5-2) has shown consistent form, and a repeat effort here puts him in contention. Blinkers on and a drop in class, so it is reasonable to expect an improvement. #5 Sermononthemount (6-1) had a tough start taking hits from both sides out of the gate then ran way wide on a day the rail was the place to be. #6 Overthought (5-2) ran well at this level, winning two back, then moved up in class and got a reality check. James Graham getting back up is a good sign. #8 The Gray Blur (6-1) won when stretching out last time. John Hirdes keeps him at this distance and if he can maintain form similar to that of Hirdes runner Max Pandowdy on Sunday running his second route after a sprint, then he could beat these. #9 Mishko (12-1) makes his first start for Sarah Delany but his third start in the form cycle. Live longshot.
Race 6: Dirt, 6 furlongs, OC 20k/N2X, 4-year-old and up statebreds

Really nice combination of works for #2 G’wildcat (8-1) since being claimed by Keith Bourgeois. The Thoro-Graph pattern suggests he’s sitting on a new top, and the price will be right. #3 Scarlettsblackjack (5-2) lost to Prizeless last out, possibly the hottest horse at Delta, and Mexican Wonder Boy, who won a nice race at Saratoga last summer. He tried to rate behind some serious speed and threw in the towel. He will be on the lead today and should be tough to catch.
Race 7: Turf, about 1 1/8 miles, Md Sp Wt 50k, 3-year-olds

Stonestreet's #3 Willakenzie (5-2), out of the two-year-old debut and Golden Rod S. winner Road to Victory, worked sharp coming into this. He should have the precocity and definitely has the connections to win at first asking going long on the turf. The full sibling to graded-stakes winner Magical Feeling, #5 Fortune (4-1) gets back to business on the turf after facing Michael Stidham’s stand-out colt Phileas Fogg, who ran huge. Two races back, he had a tough trip and should be rounding into form second off the layoff.
Race 8: Dirt, 1 mile 70 yards, Alw 51000N1X, 4-year-old and up statebreds

Admittedly, I’ve been chasing #3 Scoring Drive (15-1), but hear me out. Two turns on the dirt makes sense pedigree-wise, and seeing the form cycle, which began in April of 2022, the third start is where he makes that big step forward, which he’d need to do to win this. Blame the recent wide trips and wet tracks, and #5 Runninginthemoney (8-1) makes sense. As I overheard Graham tell the railbirds the other day, “If I’m up, then the horse can win.” Tough start for #6 Tambourine Star (9-2) last out, and then he had to chase down the loose rail speedster Gold Punch on a rail/speed favoring day. Questionable ride by Colby Hernandez last time on #8 Sunday Breeze (5-1) who broke sharp and got stuck wide. When asked late, this runner showed a lot trying to chase down a loose leader on a speed-favoring day. Now seeing that bullet work, I wouldn’t argue with you about singling that one. But there are just too many good excuses for other prices in here to ignore, as with #9 Duvee (7-2), who got pressured into sprinter-esque fractions last out. Looks like he’ll be able to set moderate fractions in here, and that could make the difference.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes
#11 Hunter's Drive He gets the edge at what should be a decent price if he's able to draw in here, as he's only run short on the turf and might like this type of longer trip. He's the one I want if he gets in.
#3 Willakenzie He goes first out for a team that is tough with this type, and he's not meeting a whole lot of imposing form on paper from those with experience. Wouldn't be a surprise.
#12 Fujin Think he's got a chance on either surface if he's able to draw in here, and a more leisurely route tempo might really work in his favor.
Race Summary Will have to see how this all shakes out after scratches with only eight of them permitted to go on the grass, and I'd prefer Hunter's Drive if he gets in. Willakenzie won't have to be the best maiden we've seen from the Cox barn in order to land this at first asking from the main body of the field.

Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks Notes
#7 Commander Scott He has historically had a bit of trouble here, running up a winless slate from 10 local tries, but I think he has a lot of room to bounce back off that last one. He was held up and tapping on the brakes throughout before going empty quickly. Better draw today off the fence should help him find a perfect tactical trip. Solid mid-range price lean to close the card.
#8 Sunday Breeze He proved he was a good fit with the locals with a better effort last out against statebred company, and his baseline effort keeps him in the mix here.
#4 Bouldering He'll return as a first-time gelding off the bench, and he was last seen getting put up for his maiden win here last season. He should get the right trip here, but I worry that he might be vulnerable in the final yards off the layoff.
Race Summary Commander Scott gets a call back from me here after finishing last with similar in his most recent start, as he can get a cleaner go today while not stuck inside, and a more free-flowing trip might give him a chance to land this at a price.

Fair Grounds - Race #3
Picks Notes
#4 Yockey Butterfly Think this debuter will get overlooked, but the barn has connected with a couple price winners in similar spots over the last couple seasons here from limited starters. Take a look on the tote and track, but maybe she's got a sneaky chance here.
#2 Entitlement She took a nice step forward in that second career start when trying the local footing for the first time, and she looks like a logical threat to get past these late.
#5 Pursuit l'Harmonie She came forward nicely with an improved effort when trying maidens for the first time after debuting in stakes company here opening weekend, and I think she has a claim on this one from close range even if I have some questions about the race she exits.
Race Summary Yockey Butterfly goes first time out in a spot where I've got some concerns about the logical players, and she's a fresh face for a barn that has done some sneaky work with similar types over the last few years.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#8 FIGHT (2-1) Had aim on victory at eighth pole, settled for second in race dominated by closers.
#2 CAPTURETHELAUGHTER (9-2) Contended in pair of route races for lower price, lures Irad Ortiz Jr.
#5 NAVAL OFFICER (9-5) Bid inside of Flight but leveled off at 5F on the class drop to this level.
Race Summary FIGHT ran much improved off the claim, stalking a fast pace while 5-wide, gaining steadily from the turn to the finish, but settling for second behind the 6-wide winner. He stretches out to a long sprint for his second start after six weeks away. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#7 HES IN CHARGE (7-2) Chased sharp rival, back-pedaled in return, merits second look.
#2 ELUSIVE MISCHIEF (3-1) Multiple stakes-placed turf sprinter raced only four times in 2022.
#6 GET SET (9-2) Steady check-getter got up to finish second behind troubled winner.
Race Summary HE’S IN CHARGE gave way chasing a rapid pace off a six-month layoff when dropped in for the cheapest price of his career. But his 4-for-13 record stacks up well in this field and he was claimed by Samantha Dobles. The horse that he chased, Living Water (13/3-3-3, $114k), is trained by Elizabeth Dobles and returned with an easy wire-to-wire score in a $25,000 claiming race. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#3 WORLDS ON HIGH (7-2) Well-traveled 5yo finished second in 4 of 6 on turf at various distances.
#5 GYPSY KITTEN (30-1) Lived up to hype in debut, claimed, dam was multiple stakes winner on dirt.
#4 AMERICAN DIAMOND (5-2) Looks good on paper, gets pace to run at, question of readiness.
Race Summary WORLDS ON HIGH ran second on three turf courses – and at three distances -- in his last five starts, the latest against a front-end winning favorite. He’s a decent value play against morning-line favorite AMERICAN DIAMOND, who hasn’t raced merits a year, and third choice RUGGED UNION, who carried his speed to victory by repelling an 0-for-22 rival. Play a 3-ALL exacta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct racetrack - thursday, january 05, 2023 // post time - 12:50 p.m. Est

- daily selections for january 05 -

race 1: 7 - your mission 8-5
4 - phoebe's frosty 8-1
5 - bointheback 4-1

race 2: 4 - prairie fire 8-1
6 - greatest love 6-1
5 - vegas weekend 5-2

race 3: 3 - acalteque 8-1
6 - motion to strike 4-1
2 - first deputy 6-1

race 4: 5 - saratoga strong 6-1
9 - hoochie coo 15-1
2 - dromoland 5-1

race 5: 1 - anejo 4-1 - best bet
7 - tonal impact 7-5
5 - royal tryst 12-1

race 6: 4 - royal suspectt 12-1 - longshot
8 - dr. Marbooz 12-1
7 - ria's angel 9-2

race 7: 3 - thistlefield 15-1
5 - fouette 7-2
7 - piece of my heart 2-1

race 8: 4 - sarah's pride 30-1
8 - bonana fanna foe 4-1
9 - chiara 5-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Thursday, January 5th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #7
TIME: 9:49 PM EST
PICK: BET #5 College Kid 4/1 odds to win @ Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Jazz -7
2. Gameday Network NBA – Grizzlies -7
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Clippers +5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Jazz under 230.5
5. VegasSI NBA – Celtics -3
6. Sam Casey CBB – UC Davis +2
7. Henry Brown Sports CBB – Portland St under 152.5
8. Winning Big Sports CBB – No. Colorado +2.5
9. Lou Panelli CBB – UL – Monroe +4.5
10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Wisc Green Bay over 136.5
11. William E. Stockton CBB – Purdue +1.5
12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Florida International +5
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Georgia Southern +7.5
14. SCORE CBB – Appalachian St -5.5
15. Tony Campone CBB – Rutgers -4.5
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Grizzlies -7
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Celtics -3
18. VIP Action NBA – Clippers +5
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Jazz -7
20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Celtics under 231.5
gtbets CLICK HERE to Open a Sportsbook Account at GT BETS and Get a 50% EXCLUSIVE Bonus Upto $500 FREE!
Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
21. NY Players Club CBB – Hofstra -10.5
22. Fred Callahan CBB – Rutgers -4.5
23. LV Private CEO Club CBB – Towson over 125
24. Michigan Sports CBB – Southern Utah pk
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Portland St under 152.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels
Jan 05 '23, 7:00 PM in 36m
NCAA-B | Stony Brook vs Monmouth

Play on: [B]Monmouth +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow
Jan 05 '23, 7:00 PM in 36m
NCAA-B | UAB vs Florida Atlantic

Play on: [B]UAB +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price
Jan 05 '23, 7:00 PM in 36m
NCAA-B | SMU vs Houston

Play on: [B]SMU +20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AAA Sports
Jan 05 '23, 7:07 PM in 43m
NHL | Coyotes vs Flyers

Play on: Flyers -140 at SC Consensus

1* FREE PLAY Philadelphia.
The Coyotes come in off two straight road losses. What else is new though? Arizona is only 6-15-1-2 away from friendly confines this year. The Flyers come in red hot after three straight wins. They return home to keep the drive alive and they also play with the added incentive of revenge after falling 5-4 at Arizona in December. All things considered, I say a decent mid-sized price in a game that should be a lop-sided destruction; consider Philadelphia on Thursday!
AAA Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins
Jan 05 '23, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Georgia State vs Louisiana-Monroe

Play on: [B]Georgia State -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee
Jan 05 '23, 7:30 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Mavs

Play on: [B]Celtics -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson
Jan 05 '23, 7:30 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Mavs

Play on: [B]Celtics -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays
Jan 05 '23, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Southern Miss vs UL - Lafayette

Play on: [B]UNDER 146

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price
Jan 05 '23, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Arkansas State vs South Alabama

Play on: [B]Arkansas State +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus
Jan 05 '23, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Southern Utah vs Tarleton St

Play on: [B]UNDER 149

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin
Jan 05 '23, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Jazz vs Rockets

Play on: Jazz -6 -110 at circa

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Utah Jazz -6
The Utah Jazz have lost five consecutive games against some stiff competition. They will be motivated to get back in the win column tonight. They are rested playing just their second game in five days. The same cannot be said for the Houston Rockets, who will be playing the second of a back-to-back after a 108-119 loss in New Orleans last night. The Rockets will also be playing their 7th game in 11 days. The Rockets aren't playing any better than the Jazz going 1-10 SU & 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games overall with six losses by double-digits. Give me the Jazz.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams
Jan 05 '23, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Portland State vs Eastern Washington

Play on: [B]Portland State +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
Jan 05 '23, 10:00 PM in 3h
NBA | Clippers vs Nuggets

Play on: Clippers +5 -110 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Los Angeles Clippers +5
The Los Angeles Clippers are 11-5 SU & 10-6 ATS with Kawhi Leonard this season. He makes all the difference for this team. In fact, they have only lost by more than 6 points once in those 16 games with Kawhi, so they have been competitive in all but one game.
The Clippers come into this game highly motivated for a victory after going 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS in their last three games overall. They also come in rested and ready to go after having the past two days off. Paul George is questionable, but I like the Clippers either way tonight at this number, and if he plays it's only going to go down.
It's time to 'sell high' on the Denver Nuggets after going 10-3 SU in their last 13 games overall. But they are coming off a 13-point loss at Minnesota while losing outright as favorites. The Clippers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall and were playing well before this three-game skid.
Plays on road teams (LA Clippers) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive upset losses as favorites as 39-17 (69.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Clippers Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan
Jan 05 '23, 10:00 PM in 3h
NBA | Clippers vs Nuggets

Play on: Clippers +5 -110 at linepros

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets
3% 6-Unit Best Bet on the LA Clippers plus the points
5% MAX Best Bet goes Thursday night in the NBA
I have amassed a 39-13 ATS 75% record with his top-rated 5% MAX best bets across all sports and spanning the past 3 years. This season he has won both NBA 5% MAX Bets and a 6-1 ATS current win streak.
Betting on road teams that are coming off a double-digit home loss and avenging a same-season loss to the current opponent has earned a highly profitable 99-54-2 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. If in the previous loss to this foe, they shot better than 50% from the field, our road team has gone 8-2 ATS for 80% winners over the past five seasons and a still impressive 17-6 ATS for 74% over the past 10 seasons.
The Nuggets defeated the Clippers 114-104 and were priced as 3.5-point favorites on November 25. In that game, the Clippers shot 54.4% from the field, 50% from beyond the arc, and a horrid 56% (19-for-34) from the charity stripe.
Betting on road teams avenging a same-season loss and coming off two consecutive upset losses has earned a highly profitable 21-10 ATS mark good for 68% winners over the past five seasons. Bet on the LA Clippers plus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart
Jan 05 '23, 10:00 PM in 3h
NBA | Clippers vs Nuggets

Play on: [B]Nuggets -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru
Jan 05 '23, 10:07 PM in 3h
NHL | Penguins vs Golden Knights

Play on: UNDER 6 +105

Free Total Annihilator On Penguins vs Golden Knights under 6 +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker
Jan 05 '23, 10:07 PM in 3h
NHL | Penguins vs Golden Knights

Play on: Penguins +105 at circa

Free Pick on Penguins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy
Jan 05 '23, 10:07 PM in 3h
NHL | Avalanche vs Canucks

Play on: Avalanche -143 at circa

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Colorado over Vancouver at 10:05 pm et on Thursday.
Both of these teams enter this game riding losing streaks, the Avs reaching four games and the Canucks three. I have far more confidence in Colorado to bounce back. The Avalanche are 10-7 on the road this season while the Canucks check in 7-11 on home ice. Interestingly, Vancouver has taken each of the last two meetings in this series. You can be sure the Avs have had this rematch circled on the calendar since dropping a 4-3 decision on home ice back in late November. Here, we'll note that Colorado is 16-7 (+3.9 net games) when seeking revenge for a home loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. The Avs are also 18-10 (+2.4 net games) when coming off a one-goal loss over the same stretch. Take Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon
Jan 05 '23, 10:07 PM in 3h
NHL | Avalanche vs Canucks

Play on: Canucks +140 at Ace

FREE PLAY on Canucks +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn
Jan 05 '23, 10:07 PM in 3h
NHL | Avalanche vs Canucks

Play on: Avalanche -143 at circa

1* Free Play on Avalanche -143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
NCAA Basketball
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TROJANS +11.5
1
1
-10


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)

No pick yet
1
1
-50


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
NCAA Basketball
MONTANA GRIZZLIES/NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS u140.5
0
1
-110


Insider Sports Report (http://www.insidersportsreport.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)
NCAA Basketball
WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS +2.5
0
2
-220


Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
NCAA Basketball
GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS ‑2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: CBB San Diego +5 Hawaii

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, January 5, 2023
College Basketball
842. Loyola Marymount +1 (8 PT / 11 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY[COLOR=#008000][COLOR=#000000]:[B] WESTERN KENTUCKY +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U
Thursday Free Selection: Washington State/Arizona State over 130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ FREE Selection THURSDAY, JANUARY 5, 2023
FREE
CBK
820. Iowa -1.5 (6 PT / 9 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: UAB Blazers + 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Thursday's Free Play: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + 3 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays
[LIST]
[FONT=arial black][COLOR=#000000]Your Free Pick:[COLOR=#ff0000][COLOR=#0000ff] [COLOR=#800000]the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play THURSDAY, JANUARY 5, 2023

FREE
CBK
825. Hawaii -6.5 (7 PT / 10 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports [CENTER][B] Free Thursday College Basketball Selection From Lee
[B] PEPPERDINE -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take JAMES MADISON -13 over Texas St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Thursday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Kings + 140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
Gonzaga -11 CBB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

FreePlay THURS: Utah NBA -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 1/5/2023 CBB BYU -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line [LEFT]Your FREE WINNER for Thursday: HOFSTRA -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: UAB Blazers + 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers [B]Your Free Pick for Thursday - Ut/Hstn OVER 232

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports John Anthony Free Selection for a Thursday

HOU ROCKETS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday:
IOWA (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take UMass Lowell -13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR THURSDAY
NHL New Jersey/St.Louis OVER the total of 6.5 goals