Tuesday 2/7/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday Myths: Is Golden Gate's Synthetic Tougher to Handicap?

February 6, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk

Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

As with typical synthetic surfaces, Golden Gate Fields’ results are more unpredictable than other venues racing on dirt.

Background:

It’s El Camino Real Derby Day on Saturday at Northern California’s Golden Gate Fields, drawing many horseplayers to GGF that don’t routinely play the track and its Tapeta surface. Since their proliferation nearly 20 years ago, synthetic surfaces continue to be a lightning rod for handicappers who either embrace or repulse the challenge. Is Golden Gate’s racing less predictable than traditional dirt tracks?

Data Points:

I fired up the Betmix database to look at racing at Golden Gate on the Tapeta and compared to all other tracks in the timeframe since the start of 2020. Given an average field size at Golden Gate smaller than the national average, I looked only at 6 and 7-horse fields to make a more direct comparison.


//


In fields of 6 and 7 horses, favorites win 36.7% at Golden Gate Fields on the main track.

In fields of 6 and 7 horses, favorites win 39.5% at other venues on the main track.


//


In fields of 6 and 7 horses, the average win odds at Golden Gate Fields is 4.2-to-1 on the main track.

In fields of 6 and 7 horses, the average win odds at other venues is 4.1-to-1 on the main track.


//


In fields of 6 and 7 horses, horses 8-1 or higher win 4.6% at Golden Gate Fields on the main track.

In fields of 6 and 7 horses, horses 8-1 or higher win 4.4% at other venues on the main track.


Bottom line:

In all 3 areas compared, the idea that finding a winner at Golden Gate Fields is more difficult than other places is true to some extent. Most significantly is that 2.8% lower strike rate for GGF favorites. The average win odds and propensity for longshot winners are only very slightly in favor of the argument that GGF’s Tapeta makes for a more difficult challenge.

What may make it feel like such a tougher handicapping challenge is the direct comparison with main track races at GGF sister track Santa Anita. There, it’s 42% winning favorites, an average win odds of 3.7-to-1 and just a 3.5% win rate for horses 8-1 or more when comparing over similar 6 and 7-horse field sizes.

Additional details:
You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, run the percentages for other synthetic tracks like Woodbine and Turfway Park.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Mahoning Valley Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #6 A Late One 10-1 P Matejka Y Yaranga
2 #1A Orbaline 7-5 E Sullivan L E Perez
3 #5 The Coachman 5-2 J P Bernardini L A Batista
4 #1 Frontliner 3-1 G L Johnson M Cedillo
5 #9 Crossed Up 10-1 R Zielinski L E Perez
6 #6 Icon 5-2 P Rone L R Rivera
7 #1A Lauda Speed 3-1 E Sullivan L E Perez
8 #2 To Win 5-2 J DaCosta A I Diaz
9 #2 Enchantedly 6-5 B Waltz J A Bracho

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Parx Racing Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #1 Fast Intentions 7-2 M V Pino M J Sanchez
2 #1 Cold Walker 8-5 J C Servis J A Torres
3 #2 Passionate Dream 2-1 S A Lake F Pennington
4 #5 Can't Complain 5-2 G Preciado M J Sanchez
5 #8 Boca Royalty 5-2 J G Guerrero A Wolfsont
6 #2 Strong Breeze 2-1 R B Abrams R Silvera
7 #1 Tatum 7-2 D Velazquez A Adorno
8 #5 Plamen 2-1 J Ness F Pennington
9 #2 Moon Dog 2-1 E Padilla-Preciado J Laprida
10 #2 Lady Zeta 12-1 S L Crowell G Huayas
11 #7 Princess Lean 2-1 J C Avila J Torres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Sunland Park Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #8 El Rafa Q 6-1 F Quiroz E P Gomez
2 #4 Undo the Right 5-2 C T Lambert E P Gomez
3 #7 Pass It Around 3-1 G Green M A Perez
4 #7 Ms. Lea 2-1 L C Rojero O Ceballos
5 #6 Little Samurai 3-1 S Armstrong L A Fuentes
6 #9 Mask Off 3-1 M Valdez-Cabral, Jr. E P Gomez
7 #2 American Solo 3-1 D Cappellucci A J Juarez, Jr.
8 #8 Prairie Warrior 2-1 J H Marr L R Rodriguez
9 #9 Fifty Pesos 8-1 S Gonzalez F Amparan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Dudes Turf Paradise Picks

Race Pick Odds Trainer Jockey
1 #2 Paynt the Kitty 5-2 J P Silva A Williams
2 #6 Chesterette 2-1 B G Hone H Hernandez
3 #5 Red Venus 4-1 M J Vitali H Hernandez
4 #6 Discernment 2-1 R Diodoro E Lara
5 #5 Coastal Run 9-2 J P Silva F H Da Silva
6 #8 The Golden Egg 3-1 C Essex A M Cruz
7 #8 Race Home 5-1 J R Brown A Marti
8 #1 Gold Rush Candy 3-1 J R Evans L Contreras

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday’s Kembla Grange racing tips & quaddie | 7/2/2023
February 6, 2023 8:25 am.
Ciaran Jackman

What Kembla Grange Races
Where Kembla Grange Racecourse – Princes Highway, Kembla Grange NSW 2526
When Tuesday, February 7, 2023
First Race 1:15pm AEDT

Visit Ladbrokes

The Illawarra Turf Club will host a very competitive seven-race card at Kembla Grange Racecourse this Tuesday. The track is currently rated a Good 4, but with rain forecast throughout the day on Tuesday, we could see the track deteriorate into the Soft range by the end of the day. The rail will be in the +8m position from the 1100m mark to the winning post and in the +6m position for the remainder of the circuit.

The first race at Kembla Grange will jump at 1:15pm AEDT.
Best Bet at Kembla Grange: Dancing Alone

The second race of the day will feature three last start winners, with two of them winning their debut in fine style. One of those debutant winners was Dancing Alone from the Bryce Heys yard, who was heavily backed into an odds-on quote and duly saluted for the punters, running away with an easy 1.2 length victory. This daughter of I Am Invincible was a very expensive purchase at the Inglis Sales, as she was sold for $1.4 million back in 2021, so the expectations will be high during the early stages of her career. However, all she can do is win, and that is exactly what she did at Canberra over 1000m on January 20. Alysha Collett rode this filly on debut and she will stick with her on Tuesday to continue her affiliation with what looks to be a very smart three-year-old. This filly looks to have a lot of ability and now that she has put her maiden behind her, we expect her to go on with it and record back-to-back wins second-up on Tuesday.
Best Bet

Race 2 – Silks#5 Dancing Alone (1)

3yo Filly | T: Bryce Heys | J: Alysha Collett (55kg)

$2.90 with Bet365
Next Best at Kembla Grange: Grand Crusader

In the very next race we will be siding with the Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes-trained Grand Crusader, who will be returning from a four-month spell with the benefit of a nice trial win at Rosehill over 900m on January 27. This four-year-old gelding has only had the two race starts for his career, recording a third and a fourth at those two starts, with both of those races turning out to be very good form races. This son of Counterattack looks to have returned a better horse after his first preparation, with his trial showing that he can jump and lead, which should be exactly what we see on Tuesday when he jumps from barrier one. Brenton Avdulla trialled this gelding and he has chosen to stick with him first-up which fills us with confidence and indicates that he will be there to win. With only two other speed influences, which are drawn outside of him, we should see Avdulla push for the lead and hold the fence. If he gets control of the race, he should go very close to breaking his maiden.
Next Best

Race 3 – #1 Grand Crusader (1)

4yo Gelding | T: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes | J: Brenton Avdulla (58kg)

$3.60 with Neds
Best Value at Kembla Grange: Martini Crusader

The penultimate race will feature our value play of the day, with the Stephen O’Halloran-trained Martini Crusader hitting this race at Kembla Grange second-up after running second first-up at Gosford on January 25. This son of Pride Of Dubai recorded his only race win when second-up and at 1400m, so Tuesday’s race looks to be ideal for him to break his run of outs and record a second victory of his career. Even if the rain does come and the track starts to soften by the end of the day, it shouldn’t hamper this geldings chances as he has only missed the placings once from six starts on a Soft track. Rachel King will stick after riding this guy first-up and if she can have him settle one off the rail and just worse than midfield, he will be rattling down the outside to stake his claim in the concluding stages.
Best Value

Race 6 – #7 Martini Crusader (8)

4yo Gelding | T: Stephen O’Halloran | J: Rachel King (58.5kg)

$9 with Palmerbet
Tuesday quaddie tips for Kembla Grange races
Kembla Grange quadrella selections

Tuesday, February 7, 2023

1-3-6
5-7-10-12
2-4-7
1-2-7

Investment: $108 for 100%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday’s Horse Racing Tips: Taunton, February 7th
Stephen Harris Horse Racing Expert

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – February 7th

There are 3 meetings in Britain on Tuesday, with low grade NH cards at Market Rasen and Taunton likely to attract the bulk of the betting action. Rapidly drying ground is likely at both tracks, with a mild and bright weather forecast for the next week across the country. All-weather fans have the evening fixture at Wolverhampton to study, with the floodlights coming on at 5.30pm.

Today’s Daily Nap

Holetown Hero

Taunton 2:00 (UK time)

Paul Nicholls unexposed novice got off the mark over hurdles over two miles here in December, relishing the good ground for the first time and cruising clear hard held under a typically confident ride from Harry Cobden. The penalty now makes life harder, but the step up to 2m3f will suit and he remains with plenty of scope to improve after just 3 runs over hurdles.

Odds: NA
Today’s Value Angle

Half Dozen

Taunton 2:30 (UK time)

Paul Nicholls has a terrific record at his local tracks, and this progressive 6-y-o proved a completely different proposition pitched into handicap company at Hereford last week (barely off the bridle to win a true run race on the soft ground). This sharper course is more about speed on decent ground (under the penalty for that rout), but he is a very strong traveller and should have little difficulty following up if the quick turnaround is not a negative.

Odds: NA

Odds are best odds available as at 2am February 7th 2023. Odds may now differ.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Tuesday Picks – February 7th
Andrew Mount

Andrew heads to the afternoon jumps meeting at Taunton for two stats-based selections on Tuesday, February 7th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
TAUNTON 3.00
LE CAMELEON (system – seasonal preference)

LE CAMELEON surprised me by making a winning reappearance at Warwick in early October as the Jane Williams yard was badly out of form at the time. He was only seventh at Chepstow’s Welsh National meeting in late December but might have needed a confidence booster on the back of a Fontwell fall earlier that month. He often comes good at this time of year, recording form figures of 61211FF141 (5-10) from January to March for a profit of

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mahoning Valley - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 Milwaukee Cat Think she has a little price chance from the fence in here, as one of her better running lines would keep her in the frame with these late, and she has some clear upside in the second start off the bench.
#6 Lady Abril Forward player doesn't typically pass many horses, but she's fast enough to be in a good spot early on and might be able to grind along at one pace to threaten late.
#4 War Moon She'd need to bring something similar to that last one if she's going to land this one on the rise, but that was a sharp run that might fit well here if she can hold form.
Race Summary Milwaukee Cat isn't all that consistent, but she can move forward second off the break for a barn that has been having a really nice go of things here in the last few weeks. Price should be right.

Mahoning Valley - Race #8
Picks Notes
#1 Blame it on Eddie Riser steps up at the right time after a string of really good tries dating back to November, and his better running lines look competitive with this group. Hoping he settles from the fence and gets a well-timed launch to his late rally.
#2 To Win He's probably the one to beat, and I wouldn't argue too much with anyone taking a fairly decisive stand with this guy. That said, he tends to land a lot of underneath shares and may get bet a bit again today.
#9 Blood Moon Forward player should be right up on the splits while getting back around two turns, and he might be the one to reel in as they head into the far turn.
Race Summary I feel like a handful of these might be trying to make the same move at the same time, and that might leave things open for someone to get a 'last laugh' run, and I wonder if that might be from Blame it on Eddie after an inside trip. #6 Across the Aisle might be useful on tickets that get deep enough for a second level.

Mahoning Valley - Race #9
Picks Notes
#2 Enchantedly She's not going to offer much of a price here, but she has come back in good form off the break in her last two starts, and she should be in a perfect spot to prompt the pace while getting around two turns. Tough here.
#8 Chorist I don't think she's out of the question if the top choice can't land this, as she's a pretty reliable local router who steps up off the claim -- never a bad sign for me.
#4 Wildcat Dream She's back around two turns after a modest sprint try, and she should be able to flash some pace while stretching back out. Seems capable for a piece.
Race Summary Enchantedly has shown better pace since returning from the layoff, and she should be in a perfect spot to control the escalation of the tempo into the far turn if Wildcat Dream wants to have a go on the engine early.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Turf Paradise - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 SWEET LADY LANA (2-1) Takes some catching in dream spot, alert break is the key.
#2 PAYNT THE KITTY (5-2) Finished third in 3 of last 4 starts despite racing wide.
#1 R HAPPY PLACE (8-1) Can be close-up from the rail in second start since September.
Race Summary SWEET LADY LANA dueled 4-wide and finished between the two favorites in a fast race at this level. She holds a decided tactical advantage from a favorable post if she avoids recurring slow starts. Bet on her to win for the first time in 12 go-rounds at Turf Paradise.

Turf Paradise - Race #4
Picks Notes
#6 DISCERNMENT (2-1) Powered clear for new barn that keeps ‘em sharp, taken to repeat.
#1 MS PARKSIDE (3-1) Sandwiched pair of easy wins around pair of troubled trips.
#2 GO GO SADIE (7-2) Lightly-raced 4yo seeks her third winning rally in a row.
Race Summary DISCERNMENT earned her top speed figure in a romp off the claim by Diodoro. She projects a good trip from just off the pace on the cutback to a short sprint. Bet to win and place and play 6-1 and 6-2 exactas.

Turf Paradise - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 POVERTY BAY (6-1) Good try in crowded 6-1/2F sprint, tries to upstage series of seconds at 6F.
#1 GOLD RUSH CANDY (3-1) Worked in 1:00.2 for first TuP start on switch from Baffert to Evans barn.
#4 TOIL AND TROUBLE (6-1) Steady check-getter showed some late interest as the beaten fave.
Race Summary POVERTY BAY stalked the 7-1 winner in the 3-path from post 12 and was within a length of the lead most of the way in a longer sprint. He led and held second in his four prior starts at 6F. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf ParadisePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=tup0207zf.pdf&exp=02/09/2023&pds=TUP_-_02/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=02/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=TUP&SAP=FREEPICS)


Turf Paradise - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)



Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $16,200 • Post: 2:25P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 7, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (MAIDEN OR CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * A ROZE AND WINE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN : Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COASTAL RUN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. MISSCZECH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DOZO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



4

A ROZE AND WINE

5/1


5/1




2

AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN

8/1


5/1




5

COASTAL RUN

9/2


9/1




8

MISSCZECH

7/2


9/1




1

DOZO

3/1


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

HEART ON THE RUN

3


6/1

Front-runner

78


74


92.8


70.4


59.4




1

DOZO

1


3/1

Front-runner

82


64


84.8


63.2


55.2




4

A ROZE AND WINE

4


5/1

Front-runner

93


91


84.7


51.8


48.3




8

MISSCZECH

8


7/2

Front-runner

85


71


83.8


67.4


60.4




5

COASTAL RUN

5


9/2

Front-runner

79


77


77.6


63.6


53.1




6

CAPITAL HEAT

6


8/1

Alternator/Front-runner

90


86


0.0


0.0


0.0




7

RODEO ROSE

7


6/1

Stalker

79


70


64.6


68.2


57.7




2

AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN

2


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

85


77


64.2


78.0


75.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx RacingPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=prx0207zf.pdf&exp=02/09/2023&pds=PRX_-_02/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=02/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=PRX&SAP=FREEPICS)


Parx Racing - Race 5

Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta



Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 1:43P


(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. BOCA ROYALTY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AFLEET DIVA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. F IELD LETTERS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SHOW SOME SKIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BOCA ROYALTY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



6

AFLEET DIVA

7/2


4/1




2

FIELD LETTERS

5/1


6/1




7

SHOW SOME SKIN

4/1


7/1




8

BOCA ROYALTY

5/2


8/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

AFLEET DIVA

6


7/2

Front-runner

82


80


81.6


59.6


54.1




3

HEY IT'S TATI

3


15/1

Front-runner

68


65


70.4


47.4


37.4




2

FIELD LETTERS

2


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

75


67


52.4


63.6


54.1




7

SHOW SOME SKIN

7


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

73


60


46.0


63.2


58.7




8

BOCA ROYALTY

8


5/2

Trailer

68


62


36.6


59.6


52.6




5

GAVICHI

5


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


58


58.4


46.8


39.3




1

SALLY O'PRADO

1


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

72


63


34.4


33.0


18.0




4

DIAL A LADY

4


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

64


54


33.0


36.4


25.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
PURCHASE
Turf Paradise - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)


Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $16,200 • Post: 2:25P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 7, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (MAIDEN OR CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * A ROZE AND WINE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN : Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COASTAL RUN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. MISSCZECH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DOZO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
4
A ROZE AND WINE
5/1

5/1
2
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN
8/1

5/1
5
COASTAL RUN
9/2

9/1
8
MISSCZECH
7/2

9/1
1
DOZO
3/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
HEART ON THE RUN
3

6/1
Front-runner
78

74

92.8

70.4

59.4
1
DOZO
1

3/1
Front-runner
82

64

84.8

63.2

55.2
4
A ROZE AND WINE
4

5/1
Front-runner
93

91

84.7

51.8

48.3
8
MISSCZECH
8

7/2
Front-runner
85

71

83.8

67.4

60.4
5
COASTAL RUN
5

9/2
Front-runner
79

77

77.6

63.6

53.1
6
CAPITAL HEAT
6

8/1
Alternator/Front-runner
90

86

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
RODEO ROSE
7

6/1
Stalker
79

70

64.6

68.2

57.7
2
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN
2

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
85

77

64.2

78.0

75.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx RacingPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=prx0207zz.htm&exp=02/09/2023&pds=PRX_-_02/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=02/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=PRX&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 7. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 TOMATER GATOR 3/1




# 2 STRONG BREEZE 2/1




# 6 BIRCHMOUNT RD 7/2




TOMATER GATOR is the strongest bet in this race. Have to sense that this horse will run well again today. Should be considered - I like the figs from the last contest. Is a sharp contender based on figs garnered lately under today's conditions. STRONG BREEZE - Could provide positive returns based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 70. With Silvera getting the mount, watch out for this pony. BIRCHMOUNT RD - Has to be carefully examined against this field displaying very good figures recently and an average speed rating of 72 under similar conditions. Looks strong versus this group of horses in this race and will almost certainly be one of the leaders.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=mvr0207zm.htm&exp=02/09/2023&pds=MVR_-_02/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=02/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=MVR&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:37pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,500 Class Rating: 62

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 CROSSED UP (ML=10/1)
#7 GLIMMERGLASS (ML=5/1)


CROSSED UP - Ran a less than stellar race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour last time around the track. Racing on a non-sloppy track puts this filly at the top of my list of contenders. GLIMMERGLASS - Filly's last work was second fastest of the day for the distance. Don't throw this horse out due to her last clash at Mahoning Valley Race Cour where she finished sixth on the mud. Should improve this time around. Getting a break of 7 lbs from last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. She should make the most of this advantage. She has the uppermost earnings per start. Take a good look at this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 APPEALING SENORITA (ML=3/1), #3 CLIFTONS BALLERINA (ML=7/2), #6 LADY ABRIL (ML=4/1),

APPEALING SENORITA - While Equibase's speed ratings are great, I would seriously discount the high one from the January 18th on a track listed as good. Some horses just run well on the off going. Had a tough stretch drive on January 4th and followed it up with another one. Probably won't see her doing it this time around. CLIFTONS BALLERINA - Hasn't been coming close at all recently. The pace scenario just isn't too promising for this speed merchant. Many other ponies would have to scratch to upgrade her chances. LADY ABRIL - The pace scenario just isn't too promising for this early speedster. Many other ponies would have to scratch to promote her efforts.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - GLIMMERGLASS - Despite finishing sixth last time around the track, wasn't too far from the winner. Fits with this field.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#9 CROSSED UP is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=sun0207zz.htm&exp=02/09/2023&pds=SUN_-_02/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=02/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=SUN&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15400 Class Rating: 78

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 7, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 JUST CALL ME KEN 8/1




# 8 THIRSTY JUNIOR 4/1




# 9 MASK OFF 3/1




JUST CALL ME KEN is the most respectable bet in this contest and could score at a price in here. Don't let this gelding slip past you. Could prove victorious at boxcar odds. The average class rating alone makes this horse a contender. Sound average Equibase Speed Figs in dirt sprint races make this equine a solid choice. THIRSTY JUNIOR - He has been running strongly recently while recording very solid Equibase Speed Figs. Ran a strong last race. MASK OFF - Gomez and Valdezcabral are a powerful pair for dividends. Valdezcabral has him trained soundly to break sharply out of the starting gate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=tup0207zm.htm&exp=02/09/2023&pds=TUP_-_02/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=02/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=TUP&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turf Paradise - Race #6 - Post: 2:55pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,400 Class Rating: 63

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 THE GOLDEN EGG (ML=3/1)


THE GOLDEN EGG - After the event aboard this horse on January 5th, the rider is going to 'know' the gelding much better. This gelding finished well ahead of the 3rd horse on Jan 5th. Those horses tend to run well next time out. Cruz should have him moving big on the turn. The 71 recent race speed rating looks mighty good on paper.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LEFT THE BAR (ML=4/1), #4 BRIGHT MIND (ML=5/1), #10 HE'S INIT TO WINIT (ML=6/1),

LEFT THE BAR - I'm foreseeing a lackluster effort out of him in today's event. BRIGHT MIND - I just don't possess a good sensation about this less than sharp equine in this event. HE'S INIT TO WINIT - Doesn't appear to have enough positive qualities to bear out the price.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - THE GOLDEN EGG - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top racer in earnings per start. This horse looks good to me so I'm making a bet on him.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #8 THE GOLDEN EGG to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

8 with [2,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

8 with [2,3] with [1,2,3,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

8 with [1,2,3] with [1,2,3,5,10] with [1,2,3,5,10] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Monday, February 6th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
TURF PARADISE
RACE #7
TIME: 5:25 PM EST
PICK: BET #5 Destiny One 5/1 odds to win @ Bovada (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)! Free Winners for Tuesday, February 7th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
FREE NBA PICKS
Bulls @ Grizzlies
TIME: 8:00 PM EST
PICK: Bet UNDER 235.5 @ BOVADA (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GeNe_S1w7rqVWNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday February 7th, 2023 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE NBA PICKS
Hawks @ Pelicans
TIME: 7:30 PM EST
PICKS: BET UNDER 237 @ BOVADA – CLICK HERE to Get $750 BONUS! (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfWxwoo7HvwvmNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Lakers -6.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Suns -5.5
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Knicks -1.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Bulls +8
5. VegasSI NBA – Hawks +1.5
6. Sam Casey CBB – NC St +7.5
7. Henry Brown Sports CBB – Colorado St +1
8. Winning Big Sports CBB – NC Greensboro over 127.5
9. Lou Panelli CBB – North Carolina pk
10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Miami Ohio under 148.5
11. William E. Stockton NBA – Knicks -1.5
12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Lakers -6.5
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Suns -5.5
14. SCORE NBA – Hawks +1.5
15. Tony Campone NBA – Timberwolves over 235.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Michigan St -3
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Delaware +5
18. VIP Action CBB – Kentucky -5.5
19. South Beach Sports CBB – Drake -3.5
20. LV Sports Commission CBB – North Carolina pk
21. NY Players Club NBA – Lakers -6.5
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Hawks +1.5
23. LV Private CEO Club NBA – Knicks -1.5
24. Michigan Sports NBA – Timberwolves over 235.5
25. National Consensus Report NBA – Suns -5.5