View Full Version : Friday 4/7/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Can'tPickAWinner
04-03-2023, 11:55 PM
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Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 06:57 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles TownPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=ct0407zf.pdf&exp=04/09/2023&pds=CT_-_04/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=04/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=CT&SAP=FREEPICS)
Charles Town - Race 1
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (1-2) / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Claiming $15,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $21,800 • Post: 7:00P
FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. TWO ROOM SCHOOL is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * RED HOT TODDY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Powe r Rating. HILLBILLY ROCK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. STROLLINGINTHEWIND: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. S S ALASKAN CRUZ: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thi rd or fourth start after a layoff. CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer.
7
RED HOT TODDY
9/5
4/1
6
HILLBILLY ROCK
15/1
7/1
5
STROLLINGINTHEWIND
10/1
8/1
3
S S ALASKAN CRUZ
9/2
9/1
1
CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE
3/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
8
TWO ROOM SCHOOL
8
15/1
Front-runner
58
55
42.6
43.2
33.2
4
NICE BUT NAUGHTY
4
12/1
Stalker
53
51
54.2
47.0
34.5
1
CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE
1
3/1
Stalker
62
50
51.0
53.8
45.8
7
RED HOT TODDY
7
9/5
Alternator/Stalker
71
64
52.6
60.6
56.6
3
S S ALASKAN CRUZ
3
9/2
Trailer
64
58
34.0
50.6
40.6
6
HILLBILLY ROCK
6
15/1
Alternator/Trailer
65
63
41.6
49.8
44.3
5
STROLLINGINTHEWIND
5
10/1
Alternator/Trailer
62
58
33.4
53.0
44.0
2
ORANGEBURG
2
4/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58
54
60.6
47.6
36.1
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 06:58 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=gp0407zf.pdf&exp=04/09/2023&pds=GP_-_04/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=04/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=GP&SAP=FREEPICS)
Gulfstream Park - Race 5
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 2:42P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. IF NO THREE-YEAR-OLDS ARE ENTERED, OLDER WEIGHT WILL REVERT TO 122 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TORETTO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TORETTO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a lay off. BRIT'S CANDYMAN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDEN SODA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) i s at least 50. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
5
TORETTO
5/1
7/2
3
BRIT'S CANDYMAN
8/1
9/2
2
GOLDEN SODA
4/1
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
GOLDEN SODA
2
4/1
Front-runner
90
81
64.6
76.8
66.3
5
TORETTO
5
5/1
Alternator/Front-runner
92
90
90.0
83.0
78.0
3
BRIT'S CANDYMAN
3
8/1
Alternator/Front-runner
98
93
89.6
78.3
71.3
8
NEOPHYTE
8
5/2
Alternator/Stalker
85
86
74.2
81.0
76.0
1
BANKER'S HOURS
1
7/2
Alternator/Stalker
83
86
58.8
81.0
73.0
6
NEVER SATISFIED
6
9/2
Trailer
88
79
56.2
77.2
69.7
4
FORTY FLASH
4
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
85
79
73.4
69.0
57.0
7
STRONG AGAIN
7
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75
78
58.0
52.8
38.3
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 06:58 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=aqu0407zm.htm&exp=04/09/2023&pds=AQU_-_04/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=04/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=AQU&SAP=FREEPICS)
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Aqueduct - Race #3 - Post: 2:24pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 69
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#2 BRAVO REGINA (ML=7/2)
BRAVO REGINA - This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +939. Jockey hops up on board after getting to know the race horse by riding in the last race. That's always a good to see. Getting a break of 5 pounds from last race at Aqueduct. She should make the most of this advantage.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 APRIL ANTICS (ML=9/5), #4 IN TRAFFIC (ML=5/2), #6 RICELLE (ML=4/1),
APRIL ANTICS - This runner has not tallied a victory here today in 10 starts. Little chance she wins today. This mare is always in the mix, but just doesn't finish on top. Difficult to play her on the top end. IN TRAFFIC - The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this racer as a vulnerable competitor. RICELLE - Hasn't been close at all recently. Garnered a common speed figure last race out in a $16,000 Claiming race on March 26th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 BRAVO REGINA is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 06:58 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=evd0407zz.htm&exp=04/09/2023&pds=EVD_-_04/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=04/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=EVD&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 68
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 7, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 7, 2022. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 7, 2023 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 9 FINNLEYS ENCORE 5/1
# 3 KIND WAYS 10/1
# 1 GEE GEE 12/1
FINNLEYS ENCORE has a respectable shot to take this race. This animal has a wonderful winning percentage in dirt sprints. Is a contender - given the 64 speed rating from her most recent race. KIND WAYS - The average class rating of 58 makes this horse difficult to beat. Reliable average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this racer a solid contender. GEE GEE - Could provide positive returns based on strong recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 66. Wagerers using horses with this jockey and handler duo have done strongly recently.
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 06:59 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=kee0407zm.htm&exp=04/09/2023&pds=KEE_-_04/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=04/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=KEE&SAP=FREEPICS)
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Keeneland - Race #2 - Post: 1:32pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 85
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#15 AFTERNOON TEA (ML=6/1)
#8 BEACH WALKN (ML=10/1)
#11 UPPER CASE (ML=8/1)
AFTERNOON TEA - Prat rode this horse for the first time last out and comes right back in today's race. This horse's last race was at Oaklawn Park. Finished third, but had a pretty good chunk of the win pool. Could be dangerous right here. It is my opinion that fillys run better the second time they get Lasix. Brisset puts this filly on it for the 2nd time today, so give this one a look. BEACH WALKN - The jockey/trainer duo of Machado and Colebrook has a strong return on investment together. Filly ran well at big odds when she made her initial start March 2nd. Machado was aboard this filly in the last race and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. I look for a solid chance of improvement right here with the addition of Lasix for the 2nd time. This animal is at the top in earnings per start (EPS). She looks sharp in today's event. UPPER CASE - Corrales was aboard this filly in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 FORENOON (ML=4/1), #2 CONTRIVE (ML=9/2), #3 MISSILE (ML=5/1),
FORENOON - Generally I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint races in order to support her. A rallier like this one needs a speed duel to set things up and she isn't likely to get one this time around. CONTRIVE - I'm predicting a less than stellar go of it out of her this time out. MISSILE - Trying to beat this thoroughbred this time out at the reward of 5/1.
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - AFTERNOON TEA - Analysis shows this filly's last speed number of 80 is as good as any. Don't overlook this filly in your gambling.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #15 AFTERNOON TEA to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,11,15]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [8,11,15] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[8,11,15] with [8,11,15] with [7,8,9,11,15] with [7,8,9,11,15] Total Cost: $36
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 06:59 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa AnitaPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=sa0407zz.htm&exp=04/09/2023&pds=SA_-_04/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=04/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=SA&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 103
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $100,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $100,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 6 RED FLAG 5/1
# 5 SUNRISE JOURNEY 3/1
# 3 HOWBEIT 2/1
I've got to go with RED FLAG. Recently Bravo has been sizzling which may give the edge to this horse. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this field in his last race. Displays strong speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. SUNRISE JOURNEY - Recently Barocio has provided wagerers with a strong winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Looks very good against this field and ought to be one of the leaders. HOWBEIT - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this horse look formidable in this race. Formidable venture today on Lasix.
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:36 PM
1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – 76ers +10
2. Gameday Network MLB – Padres +110
3. Sports Action 365 MLB – Dodgers -1.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Celtics -2.5
5. VegasSI MLB – Guardians -125
6. Sam Casey NBA – Warriors -8.5
7. Henry Brown Sports MLB – Mets -1.5
8. Winning Big Sports MLB – Phillies -1.5
9. Lou Panelli NBA – Bucks over 227
10. Platinum Info Club MLB – Yankees -130
11. William E. Stockton MLB – Giants -1.5
12. Vincent Pioli NBA – 76ers +10
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Pirates over 8.5
14. SCORE NBA – Wizards over 218
15. Tony Campone MLB – Blue Jays +110
16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Guardians -125
17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Brewers -160
18. VIP Action NBA – Pistons +7
19. South Beach Sports MLB – Giants -1.5
20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Magic over 217
21. NY Players Club MLB – Giants -1.5
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Bulls +11
23. LV Private CEO Club MLB – Phillies -1.5
24. Michigan Sports NBA – Lakers -8.5
25. National Consensus Report MLB – Astros +115
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:42 PM
Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
NBA
BROOKLYN NETS ‑10.5
0
0
0
Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES ‑125
0
0
0
Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS/MILWAUKEE BREWERS u8.5
0
0
0
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:43 PM
Kenny Walker
Apr 07 '23, 6:40 PM in 57m
MLB | A's vs Rays
Play on: Rays -230 at Ace
Free Pick on Rays
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:44 PM
Will Rogers
Apr 07 '23, 6:40 PM in 57m
MLB | A's vs Rays
Play on: [B]Rays -1
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:44 PM
Cole Faxon
Apr 07 '23, 6:40 PM in 57m
MLB | A's vs Rays
Play on: Rays -237 at BetVegas
FREE PLAY on Rays
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:44 PM
John Martin
Apr 07 '23, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Pistons vs Pacers
Play on: OVER 232 -110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pistons/Pacers OVER 232
There won't be much defense being played between the Pistons and Pacers tonight. The Pistons rank 28th in defensive efficiency while the Pacers rank 26th. The Pistons have allowed at least 118 points in seven of their last eight games overall. The Pacers have allowed at least 114 points in 16 consecutive games. The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Indiana. Give me the OVER.
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:44 PM
Dave Price
Apr 07 '23, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Pistons vs Pacers
Play on: Pistons +7 -110 at YouWager
Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on Detroit Pistons +7
The Key: The Detroit Pistons are already locked into the worst record in the NBA. That gives them no reason to tank these last 2 games. The Pacers have pretty much quit on their season and wouldn't be doing themselves any favor by winning these last 2 games. They are sitting 3 of their best players and are just 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. If anything, the Pistons will be the hungrier team here to get a win. I like the price we are getting on them as a result. Take Detroit.
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:45 PM
Sean Murphy
Apr 07 '23, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Heat vs Wizards
Play on: [B]Wizards +5
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:45 PM
AAA Sports
Apr 07 '23, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Rockets vs Hornets
Play on: Rockets -2 -110 at linepros
1* FREE PLAY Houston.
Here's a rare end of season opportunity for the lowly Rockets to earn a victory. Houston is off a big home win over Denver, denying the Nuggets top spot in the West for at least another game. While Houston has won two of its last three, the Hornets enter having lost three straight. Houston is playing well, and actually has a size advantage; consider the Rockets on Friday night!
AAA Sports
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:45 PM
Bobby Conn
Apr 07 '23, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | Padres vs Braves
Play on: Padres +115 at Ace
1* Free Play on Padres
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:45 PM
Rocky Atkinson
Apr 07 '23, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Magic vs Nets
Play on: [B]Nets -10
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:45 PM
Ricky Tran
Apr 07 '23, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Magic vs Nets
Play on: [B]Nets -10
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:46 PM
ASA
Apr 07 '23, 8:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Knicks vs Pelicans
Play on: [B]Pelicans -8
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:46 PM
Jeff Alexander
Apr 07 '23, 8:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Knicks vs Pelicans
Play on: [B]Pelicans -8
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:46 PM
ProSportsPicks
Apr 07 '23, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Nationals vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -114 at SC Consensus
PSP's Data Driven 1* MLB Free Pick.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:47 PM
Nick Parsons
Apr 07 '23, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Nationals vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -115 at circa
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Rockies.
Washington is 1-6, and Colorado is 3-4 after winning the opener of this four-game series by a score of 1-0 last night.
I had a play on the Rockies in that one, part of a 3-0 Thursday card. I think they offer good value here to keep that momentum rolling.
Mackenzie Gore earned a win over the Braves Sunday, allowing one run over 5.1 innings, but I say regression is now in order here in this difficult road venue.
Jose Urena got smashed by the Padres in his opener, but with that awkward outing out of the way, I see him settling down here in this favorable matchup.
Colorado has dominated Gore in the past, posting a .474/.545/.947 slash line over 19 at-bats.
The Nats bullpen is shaky at best as well.
Colorado owns the superior line-up and I think it is indeed worthy of a second look here on Friday night.
Consider the ROCKIES.
Good luck, NP
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:47 PM
Hunter Price
Apr 07 '23, 9:15 PM in 3h
Fighting | Renan Ferreira vs Rizvan Kuniev
Play on: Rizvan Kuniev -210 at William Hill
1* Free Pick on Rizvan Kuniev
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:47 PM
Jack Jones
Apr 07 '23, 9:38 PM in 3h
MLB | TOR vs LAA
Play on: OVER 9 -119
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Blue Jays/Angels OVER 9
Two of the best lineups in the American League square off in this series between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays. The Angels are scoring 5.5 runs per game this season while the Blue Jays are hitting .291 and scoring 4.7 runs per game thus far.
Chris Bassitt had a rough spring allowing 11 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. It carried over into his first regular season start as he allowed 9 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Cardinals.
Patrick Sandoval shut down the A's in his first start, allowing one earned run in 5 innings in a 13-1 Angels victory, but that's not saying much. He allowed 5 earned runs in 3 innings in his lone career start against Toronto last season.
The weather will help us cash this OVER ticket. Forecasts are calling for temps in the 60's in Los Angeles tonight with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Los Angeles. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:48 PM
Marc Lawrence
Apr 07 '23, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Warriors vs Kings
Play on: [B]Kings +9
Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2023, 05:48 PM
Jimmy Boyd
Apr 07 '23, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Warriors vs Kings
Play on: [B]Warriors -8
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