Friday 4/28/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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College Basketball
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NBA
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NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 5 Analysis April 28, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
This is closing night at Cal Expo so there will be mandatory payouts. The 0.20 Pick 5 kicks-off the 8-race card. The sequence has a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

5-Peanutbettornjelly (3-1)-This will be the 3rd start off the bench, raced on the point in last and faded in the late going. The race is a real taffy pull and will fade the tepid program chalk #7. This mare faces younger and could seal the deal tonight.
6-The Last Waltz (10-1)-Came off a sick scratch and cashed a 3rd place check just besting the one above. That wasn't a bad effort and could be better in this spot at a decent price.
8-Mightyman (9/2)-Was bet down in last and made-up ground down the stretch to just get up at the wire. The 4-year-old is only 1-17 but could challenge again with a good steer and should offer a fair price.
9-Bollinger (5-1)-Plano will be back with his 2nd straight steer and that could help. Was beaten in the late going by the one above. The 0-22 record is cause for pause but can compete here and should be a better price than last time as well. Could land in a good early seat and look to roll by down the lane

Race 2

5-Three Grand (1/2)-Should be able to beat this crew, was used early in last and didn't have enough pop down the lane. Did finish willingly and drops in with others who are winless in 2023. Hopefully, Mullet provides a good steer and doesn't step on the gas too hard early on. Short field should help, and no excuses allowed.

Race 3

3-Handsome Harvey (8/5)-Has been racing well and his nemesis Officer Jim is not in this field. Plano should be on the point at the top of the stretch or within reach of the leaders. Closed in .27 after racing near the top in a 150.4 mile, and with a clean trip Harvey should have his way with this crew.

Race 4

4-Down On It (8-1)-Needs the perfect trip to win but at this price is worth a swing as Kennedy could provide a sharp steer. Has hit the board in 10 of 14 races here and should be in the hunt at the wire.
6-Johnny Ringo (5/2)-Plano sticks looking for another picture after beating similar last week. This Tremblay trainee has been in sharp form over the last month. Will look for another top effort and has the gate speed to land on the point or in the 2-hole off the gate.

Race 5

1-Princessofthedawn (2-1)-Plano made it look like the freshman were playing the seniors last week as this gal drew off by 6 lengths. Could use another well-timed move and double up at a small price.
2-Senga Nightmare (5/2)-Was no match for the one above last time but was used twice during the 1st quarter to land on the point. Went off at 1/5 and Grundy drove this mare aggressively and that took its toll down the lane. This time, may look for a cozy pocket trip like Plano had, and then get some revenge down the lane at a much better price.

0.20 Pick 5

5,6,8,9/5/3/4,6/1,2
Total=$3.20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know for Santa Anita - 4/28/23 April 28, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Katerini
Backups/savers: 4-Travel Smart

Forecast: Katerini returns to sprinting and drops to a realistic spot in this restricted (nw-2) $32,000 claiming extended grass dash for fillies and mares. A repeat of her fast maiden claiming score over the local lawn three races back would be good enough to win, especially with a projected pace stalking trip that she should enjoy. We like her on top but will also include in our rolling exotics Travel Smart , waiver protected in her first start since last July for a barn that has solid stats with comebackers and with good previous form over the Santa Anita turf course.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Lulu Lemon Drop; 6-Side By Side
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: This maiden optional claiming main track sprint for older fillies and mares came up unusually soft. Lulu Lemon Drop has had a couple of runs facing much stronger open maiden competition on grass and should find this group well within her capabilities. She displayed excellent speed before weakening in her debut in a hot race last month and then finished an even sixth after a slow start in her most recent outing in another fast affair that produced a better than par speed figure for this level. If she can duplicate that form on dirt, the Peter Miller-trained sophomore filly should be able to handle this assignment under top jockey Juan Hernandez. Side By Side is another returning to dirt and dropping in class, and if she can run back to her best race last summer at Del Mar (second in a maiden $50,000 affair) she’ll be a major contender throughout. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics, with preference on top to Lulu Lemon Drop.

*

RACE 3: Post: 1:59 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Meckleburg
Backups/savers: 2-Hudson Ridge

Forecast: Mecklenburg surely will inherit the role as the controlling speed from his inside post in this turf miler for $40,000 claiming older horses, and at this level following a significant drop in class the Irish-bred gelding should be hard to catch. He’s won over this course and distance at this level in the past, so the Jeff Mullins-trained veteran seems the solid pick. Hudson Ridge was once a decent prospect but has been winless since June of 2021, so this drop into a seller is warranted and, in fact, long overdue. On pure numbers he’s a fit, and both of his career victories were accomplished over the local lawn, but he’s always been a one-paced grinder and not one to trust. We’ll toss him on a ticket or two as a backup, while preferring Mecklenburg on top.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:29 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Sonofinch; 1-Divine Rascal
Backups/Savers: none.

Forecast: Away since last June and plummeting to the $16,000 level in his start for a tag, Sonofafinch must have issues, but if he shows up with anything close to his best the lightly raced gelding should outrun this modest group. This will be his first try on conventional dirt but there shouldn’t be any reason why the Jonathan Wong-trained Bay area shipper won’t handle the surface. The work tab, while not flashy, should have him plenty fit for a stable that hits a respectable 18% with returnees, and last year he came off a similar layoff to win, so we know he can fire fresh. Divine Rascal projects to display good speed from his rail post and is a “must use” on your ticket based on his solid runner-up effort in a similar spot two runs back. The Jorge Periban-trained gelding was pitched too high in his first start off the claim last time out but seems likely to return to good form today. Preference on top goes to Sonofafinch but both should be included in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Grand Tiger; 9-Barely Functional
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: With eight of the 10 likely starters in this state-bred turf sprint making their racing debuts without the benefit of a single breeze on turf, this race is borderline inscrutable. Grand Tiger finally makes it to the post at age four, so he’s clearly had his share of problems, but the son of Smiling Tiger has displayed an immense amount of speed in his most recent series of drills and could wind up being something in a nothing race. If he leaves cleanly from the gate, he’s likely to be the quickest of the quick. Barely Functional has the benefit of two prior outings and produced an excellent debut performance over the local turf course when second in a fast, highly rated sprint won by the talented Boss Sully last month. Badly overmatched in the Echo Eddie Stakes on dirt in his next outing, the son of Mrazek returns to reality, and if that poor experience three weeks ago didn’t mess him up, the Antonio Garcia-trained sophomore will be a strong factor throughout. Both should be included in rolling exotic play, with preference on top to Grand Tiger.

*

RACE 6: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Nickel Nickel Nine; 6-Don’ttestyourluck; 10-Buck Owens
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Anything goes in this bottom-rung maiden $20,000 claimer over a mile on the main track for older horses. Best advice is to use as many as your budget allows; small ticket players can consider the three runners listed above. Nickel Nickel Nine was a $12,500 claim at Golden Gate Fields two weeks ago and vans down to try his luck on this circuit for new trainer Jonathan Wong, who boasts a powerful 28% with this angle. On pure numbers, he’s highly competitive despite the change in venue and raise in claiming price, and from the rail the 15-race maiden should have every chance to take full advantage of a ground-saving trip. Donttestyourluck just finished a close second in a similar affair earlier this month and anything close that type of performance should make him the one to beat. His speed figure, a career top, was solid for the level. Buck Owens must overcome the 10 hole but this sharp drop in class could be the ticket for a considerable forward move. He makes a pivotal switch to leading rider Juan Hernandez and likely will drop back early and then take hold from the quarter pole home.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Eleuthera; 6-True Patriot; 5-Golden Again
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Here’s another messy affair, this one a first-level state-bred allowance turf miler for fillies and mares. Eleuthera has been knocking on the door at this level and shows a prior win over this course and distance when beating maidens last year. She’s been sparingly raced of late but off her best effort the daughter of Square Eddie looks good enough to handle this group. True Patriot has solid form at this level over the local lawn and really won’t have to improve much to win. She’s a bit one-paced to truly trust, but with the switch to top rider Juan Hernandez she must be considered a major player. Golden Again was more than three lengths clear or the rest when a good runner-up under these conditions in late March. She’s relatively lightly raced (just eight starts) and may have a bit more improvement in her.

*

RACE 8: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): Eda; 4-Teddy’s Barino
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: She has won off layoffs twice in the past (including her debut), so we’re going to assume that Eda is fit and ready to return a winner in this open allowance sprint for older fillies and mares. The daughter of Munnings is a Grade-1 winner seeking her fifth straight victory, and her recent work tab indicates she has retained all of her speed. The rail is no bargain but if she leaves cleanly the Bob Baffert-trained four-year-old should be able to secure a decent ground-saving position and then have her chance when the pressure is turned on. Teddy’s Barino doesn’t have the resume that our top pick owns but she actually has faster speed figures and always has been thoroughly genuine and consistent, with six wins from 10 career starts. Effective at any distance, the daughter of Grazen got away with crawling splits in her most recent win but she can turn on the jets when necessary and projects to be on or near the lead throughout. We’ll give Eda the slight edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Battle Call
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Battle Call, claimed out of his first start last year for $75,000 by his present connections, makes his first start in more than a year in this extended turf sprint and has trained quite well for his comeback while taking the critical class drop from straight maiden (at Oaklawn Park) to maiden $50,000 claiming. The John Sadler-trained four-year-old also is a first-time gelding and has two-turn speed figures from last year that should be more than sufficient to win this race. Furthermore, as a son of Hard Spun, he should actually be better on grass than dirt, and perhaps better sprinting than routing, too, so it all adds up to a win play and rolling exotic single.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Keeneland - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 Sahlabiya
She's probably going to take some cash here, but she chased a good winner last out who came back to beat allowance company here this meet, and I think she'll hit hard in this spot.


#12 Tawaret
She didn't have the easiest of runs overall in her debut try at Gulfstream last month, but she has some upside with that race under her belt, and I wouldn't be shocked to see her move up a bit today.


#5 Determined Gold
She underachieved toward the end of her campaign last season, but she ran the best race of her career over the local turf course and might be able to fire a fresh shot today.


Race Summary
Sahlabiya owns pretty solid turf form and has some room to step forward in the second start off the bench with a flattering running line on her page last out. Look out.


Keeneland - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#9 Mo Hope
Price player has a little bit of hope at this elongated sprint trip, and he's coming back out of a maiden race I really liked back in January. Overlooked in what feels like a really good race for the level?


#3 Castlewarden
Wouldn't be any surprise to see him roll this group after turning in a sharp debut run last month at Fair Grounds, but I worry he's overbet while facing some decent company today.


#1 Run for Reagan
Think there may still be a little upside here after an effort behind a runaway winner who was coming out of a really tough Fair Grounds special weight. Wouldn't be surprised to see him make some noise today if he behaves a bit better before the race.


Race Summary
Mo Hope still needs better in what really feels like a deep spot, but I like what he has done so far and think his form might just a touch better than it looks at first glance. One of the more appealing price swings of the week for me.


Keeneland - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#9 Itzos
He gets the slight edge in the finale as he gets Lasix and tries turf for the first time, and he took a little step forward last time out when making his second stakes start. Think the class relief gives him a claim on this.


#7 Dunedin
Finisher got around two turns for the first time pretty nicely last time out, and he was racing off a six-month break in that one. Think he's a real danger here with some logical improvement second off the break.


#3 Turf King
He turned in a really nice debut effort at Gulfstream, and he should be in line for a really good spying trip while he lets the speedier players sort themselves out. He was flattered by Pletcher's #8 Fearless Soldier who was right back to graduate after being fourth behind this guy on debut. Overbet and capable?


Race Summary
Really fun race to close out the meet, and I went back and forth between about six or seven of them along the way. #11 Wico, #6 Laver, and #5 More Than Looks all seem worth a look. I like that the barn kept him in stakes company last out despite the flat two-back run, and he rewarded them with an improved try. Lasix helps him get over the top today?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Golden Gate - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#7 HOT CHICKS ONLY (9-2)
Took the money and ran to visually strong debut sprint victory.


#5 CHUCKANUT BAY (5-1)
Earned $60k as 2yo, rallied from far back for third in seasonal debut.


#3 IRISH ROYALTY (7-2)
Held on to become second two-race winner in field, claimed by France.


Race Summary
HOT CHICKS ONLY “displayed a good turn of foot” when rallying 4-wide on the turn, led in early stretch, then held off the fast-closing favorite to prevail in his first start. He can do it again for a barn in the midst of a 9-for-42 run with repeat winners. Bet to win and place.


Golden Gate - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#4 AUSTRIAN NAVY (4-1)
In top form, unproven on lawn like most of field.


#7 MAGICAL LADY (5-1)
Horror trip in latest, still ran third, enters new barn.


#5 DANCING CRANE (10-1)
Poor recent form but 9/2-3-2 turf mark looks good against 0-19 rivals.


Race Summary
AUSTRIAN NAVY tracked a fast pace and was out-kicked in her bid for four wins in a row. But her current form suggests she handle the transition to the grass better than her 0-3 record indicates. Bet to win and place.


Golden Gate - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 SERIOUS SECRET (10-1)
Rewarded loyal backers in third start, longshot play today on class rise.


#4 MATCHLESS (5-2)
Rallied to win 3 of her last 5 starts, projects similar trip today.


#6 YODERANDO (8-1)
Back with own kind, must correct slow-starting habit that is forming.


Race Summary
SERIOUS SECRET found the class drop to her liking, wiring a field of bottom-level maidens at 6F. But she set a faster half-mile pace than a MSW and $5,000/nw2 sprint on the same day, earning a playback at 10-1 on the morning line. Play a 1-ALL exacta and bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - April 28
Apr. 27, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $32,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 KATERINI









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Katerini
U Rispoli


PLACE
6-1
7
Gritty Girl
H I Berrios


SHOW
10-1
8
Back On the Street
K Frey


WILD CARD
3-1
4
Travel Smart
J J Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
2
Dolly May
R A Vazquez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
1
Inner Beauty
A Aguilar








* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX









RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Anybodys Choice
J Valdivia Jr.


PLACE
4-1
2
Money Baby
E A Maldonado


SHOW
5-2
5
Lulu Lemon Drop
J J Hernandez


WILD CARD
3-1
6
Side by Side
A Aguilar





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
7
Chrome Dessert
U Rispoli


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
4
Our Kentucky Rose
T J Pereira








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $35,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:59 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 RIJEKA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Rijeka
R A Vazquez


PLACE
5-2
2
Hudson Ridge
J J Hernandez


SHOW
2-1
1
Mecklenburg
R Gonzalez


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Rip City
E A Maldonado





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Spirit Maker
H I Berrios


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Neptunes Storm
R Ramirez








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #4 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:29 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 DIVINE RASCAL









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Divine Rascal
T J Pereira


PLACE
2-1
6
Sonofafinch
R A Vazquez


SHOW
5-1
5
Krixus Flash
K Frey


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Curly Esa
D A Herrera





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Quick Intro
A Aguilar


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
2
Big Splash
G Franco








* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #5 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Moon Ice
J J Hernandez


PLACE
12-1
8
Titos With a Twist
R A Vazquez


SHOW
3-1
9
Barely Funtional
M Gutierrez


WILD CARD
5-2
4
Grand Tiger
U Rispoli





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
11
Tizz a Good Thing
U Rispoli


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
10
California Tiger
H I Berrios








* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/8/9 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX









RACE #6 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
8
Take Charge Curly
G Franco


PLACE
3-1
6
Donttestyourluck
A Aguilar


SHOW
8-1
4
Kreacher
A Alsagoor


WILD CARD
7-2
1
Nickel Nickel Nine
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
9
Ballroom Prince
E A Ellingwood


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
10
Buck Owens
J J Hernandez








* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
True Patriot
J J Hernandez


PLACE
5-2
3
Eleuthera
M Gutierrez


SHOW
3-1
2
Sunshine Babe
K J Desormeaux


WILD CARD
10-1
4
Shezmisbehaving
K Frey





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Golden Again
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Ghostem
E A Maldonado








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #8 $71,000 ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
4
Teddys Barino
M E Smith


PLACE
8-5
1
Eda
J J Hernandez


SHOW
4-1
5
Violent Runner
E A Maldonado


WILD CARD
5-1
6
Heels Up
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Half Past Twelve
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Kristis Tiger
K Frey








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX









RACE #9 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Battle Call
E A Ellingwood


PLACE
4-1
7
Overrule
J J Hernandez


SHOW
7-2
2
Warrior Road
H I Berrios


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Heartbreak Kid
T J Pereira





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
9
Carpe Bellum
R A Vazquez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
10
Snapp Daddy
A Fresu








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - April 28
Apr. 27, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Tiz Sweet Candy
E Medellin


PLACE
4-1
8
Miss Arkansas
C Bailey


SHOW
3-1
9
Lexington Diamond
C A Torres


WILD CARD
5-1
7
Elmos Secret
R Zimmerman





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
2
Cee Minus
W De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
I Got a Name
M Garcia








* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/8/9 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX









RACE #2 $6,250 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:42 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
1-1
9
Empire Pass
R Zimmerman


PLACE
8-1
8
Careless Heiress
F Arrieta


SHOW
4-1
5
Distorted Secrets
K Harr


WILD CARD
12-1
6
Emerald Princess
K R Jordan





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
3
Doritas Heart
K J Asmussen


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Gps Amazing Grace
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/8/9 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX









RACE #3 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:14 PM ET



BEST BET: #10 BLOW TORCH









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
10
Blow Torch
C A Torres


PLACE
5-1
3
Title Shot
F Arrieta


SHOW
9-2
4
Drifter
G Saez


WILD CARD
12-1
5
Atras
A Pusac





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Lapis Lazuli
M Garcia


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
6
Wesleyan
R Zimmerman








* EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/10 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #4 $32,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Acehigh Royal
C A Torres


PLACE
4-1
2
Grapnel
K J Asmussen


SHOW
8-5
8
American Xperiment
I Castillo


WILD CARD
10-1
9
Stellar Tap
K R Jordan





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
7
St Andrews
R Zimmerman


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
Citrus Bay
N Juarez








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX









RACE #5 $35,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 RUNNINTHESTREETS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Runninthestreets
K R Jordan


PLACE
7-2
6
Delta Moon
A Pusac


SHOW
9-2
7
Magnolia Mae
C A Torres


WILD CARD
12-1
10
Grandma Belle
W De La Cruz





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
9
Cashmere Baby
C Bailey


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Kokomo Starlet
K Harr








* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 6/7/10 BOX









RACE #6 $55,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 DARK AFTERNOON









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Dark Afternoon
N Juarez


PLACE
2-1
6
Cactus
F Arrieta


SHOW
5-1
4
Juilliard
T Baze


WILD CARD
4-1
2
Missin Curfew
C A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Dixie Fury
G Saez


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Runtoday
R Zimmerman








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $28,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
4
Mystifier
M Garcia


PLACE
5-2
7
Little Frappucino
K J Asmussen


SHOW
9-2
5
Seaside Boy
W De La Cruz


WILD CARD
10-1
8
Cole Spur
N Juarez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Kiss Principal
C A Torres


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
10
Point Blank
K Harr








* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX









RACE #8 $104,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:54 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
9
Jubella
R Zimmerman


PLACE
12-1
8
I Feel the Need
C Bailey


SHOW
8-1
7
Squillions
G Saez


WILD CARD
3-1
1
Lets Duet
C A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
2
Big Bad Diva
K R Jordan


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Lady Commander
J K Court








* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX









RACE #9 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
2
Go West
F Arrieta


PLACE
7-5
3
Doctor Oscar
A Quinonez


SHOW
9-2
1
Full Authority
J K Court


WILD CARD
8-1
5
Ruggs
C A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
4
League of Legends
M Garcia


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
6
Deflater
K Harr








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #10 $8,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:06 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Lady Astrid
K Harr


PLACE
3-1
5
Tapit Right
R Zimmerman


SHOW
10-1
10
Tailorbeswift
M Murrill


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Hissy Missy
G Saez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
My Dams Atitude
W De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Blow Sum Smoke
M Garcia








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Tip Sheet - April 28
Apr. 27, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $75,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Pachanga Loca
W A Rodriguez


PLACE
9-5
7
Beautiful and Bold
R Gutierrez


SHOW
3-1
5
Huntleigh
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
4-1
3
Tituba
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
2
Need Some Money
R Bejarano


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Flamand
J Graham








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX









RACE #2 $80,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 BEYOND OSCAR









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Beyond Oscar
L Saez


PLACE
9-5
1
Bundchen
J Rosario


SHOW
6-1
4
Donate Life
R Gutierrez


WILD CARD
12-1
12
American Tsunami
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Liams Message
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Hollywoodboulevard
F Geroux








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/12 BOX









RACE #3 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
4
Viewers Discretion
G Corrales


PLACE
2-1
5
Dee Dee B
W A Rodriguez


SHOW
8-1
7
Replenish
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
4-1
9
Catherine Blaze
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
2
Impeccable Taste
F Peterson


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Jackies Love
I Ayala








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX









RACE #4 $50,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 ARDANWOOD









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Ardanwood
J Loveberry


PLACE
9-5
2
Malibu Mike
V Cheminaud


SHOW
9-2
1
Flute Master
W A Rodriguez


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Freeze Pop
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
Oddsontony
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
Mayfield Strong
J Graham








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX









RACE #5 $130,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
3
We the People
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
9-2
4
Hero Status
J L Ortiz


SHOW
7-2
2
Business Model
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
8-1
6
The Reds
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Britains Kitten
J R Leparoux


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Dash Attack
D Cohen








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #6 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 3/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
6
Penumbras Maker
W A Rodriguez


PLACE
5-2
8
Sahlabiya
T Gaffalione


SHOW
7-2
12
Tawaret
J Rosario


WILD CARD
6-1
9
Pure Country
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
10
Seldom Seen
J R Velazquez


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
13
Vagaries
G Corrales








* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-12 BOX, 12-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/8/12 BOX, 8/9/12 BOX









RACE #7 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Bad Boy Frank
J R Leparoux


PLACE
6-1
2
Dark Vector
L Saez


SHOW
5-2
3
Castlewarden
F Geroux


WILD CARD
8-1
4
Pilote Comete
L Machado





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Loyal Company
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
10
Gold Ghost
J R Velazquez








* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #8 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/2 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 BEWITCH STAKES G III









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-5
4
War Like Goddess
J Rosario


PLACE
9-2
2
Temple City Terror
J L Ortiz


SHOW
3-1
5
Personal Best
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
20-1
3
Ensemble
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Sopran Basilea
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
50-1
1
Chaton Rouge
J Gilligan








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX



COMMENTS: WAR LIKE GODDESS all she does is win and she loves the track and distance. TEMPLE CITY TERROR has the same running style as the heavy favorite. PERSONAL BEST could be closer to the pace but still likes to close. ENSEMBLE could add value to your exotics.










RACE #9 $110,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
1
A La Carte
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
4-1
6
Bourbon Heist
Y Navas


SHOW
6-1
2
Debate
J R Velazquez


WILD CARD
7-2
4
Overbore
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
5
O P Firecracker
F Geroux


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Triple Elvis
J Rocco Jr.








* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #10 $110,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 TURF KING









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
Turf King
T Gaffalione


PLACE
5-1
7
Dunedin
L Saez


SHOW
8-1
8
Fearless Soldier
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
10-1
5
More Than Looks
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
11
Wico
J R Velazquez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Midnight Rising
L Machado








* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - April 28
Apr. 27, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $12,500 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 ALL FOOLS DAY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
All Fools Day
R D Allen Jr.


PLACE
9-2
6
Magical Jaime
A A Rodriguez


SHOW
9-5
2
Just Plain Ornery
A Santos


WILD CARD
4-1
3
Assert Dominance
G Garcia





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
4
Chief Cheetah
J C Ferrer


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
1
Thejigisup
J Alicea








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #2 $28,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:48 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
5
Sogno Di Campione
M Meneses


PLACE
4-1
4
My Man Vito
A A Gallardo


SHOW
7-2
6
Machismo
S Camacho


WILD CARD
3-1
2
Morgan Point
J A Batista





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Hammer Lane
M Martin


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Happy Cajun
A Santos








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:17 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 MAGICAL ADVENTURE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Magical Adventure
D Centeno


PLACE
6-1
5
Delta Ridge
M Meneses


SHOW
5-2
7
Eden Paradise
K Mendez


WILD CARD
10-1
8
Fast N Steady
H R Diaz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
9
Angels Magic
L Sosa


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Food Bank Helper
A A Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX









RACE #4 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:48 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
Libertalia
R D Allen Jr.


PLACE
6-1
4
Cozys Palace
A A Rodriguez


SHOW
9-2
7
Rain of Blessing
A S Arroyo


WILD CARD
6-1
6
J J Monet
R Mitchell





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
5
Vimisofa
L Sosa


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Show Me Love
L Sanchez








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX









RACE #5 $27,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 JAWBREAK









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Jawbreak
L Sosa


PLACE
7-5
4
Mintenon
J A Batista


SHOW
6-1
7
All Our Munny
R D Allen Jr.


WILD CARD
9-2
6
Scarab
H R Diaz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
1
Diamondhard Stone
M Martin


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
3
Fast Fixer
R Mitchell








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX









RACE #6 $8,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Hollywood Honey
S Camacho


PLACE
1-1
2
Chem Major
H R Diaz Jr.


SHOW
4-1
4
Bella Romance
J A Batista


WILD CARD
9-2
1
Final Episode
A S Arroyo





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
I Said Hey
M Allen


ALTERNATE 2
30-1
5
Deesse
J Alicea








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #7 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
The Bearrish One
D Centeno


PLACE
2-1
9
Bialystock
L Sosa


SHOW
6-1
4
Hello Sucker
J A Batista


WILD CARD
5-1
6
El Buffalo
S Camacho





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Saga
J C Ferrer


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Red October
J Alicea








* EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX









RACE #8 $27,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:58 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Burn the Breeze
L Sanchez


PLACE
7-5
2
Plentitude
S Camacho


SHOW
7-2
6
Hard to Please
L Sosa


WILD CARD
10-1
4
Juliannas Ruby
M Meneses





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Romping
J C Ferrer


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
Longing for Mints
D Centeno








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #9 $10,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:32 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
7
Bourbon Brown
R D Allen Jr.


PLACE
3-1
3
Just Praise
S Camacho


SHOW
4-1
5
Anvil
H R Diaz Jr.


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Holy Meister
J L Alonso





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Major Deal
M Strandberg


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
Colors
R E Mena








* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Hotlist - April 28
Apr. 27, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race [Md 40000, 7F] – (3) Dolce Sera was second in a maiden special weight two races back at the seven-furlong distance and now drops into this maiden claimer. (2) Balentina is projected to be on the lead, gets blinkers on for the first time, and tries the claiming ranks in her third start. (7) Herecomes Scarlett tried the turf last time, did not run well, and returns to the main track where she was second at this level. (1) Nobleandgreenough will make her debut for the hot barn of Rob Atras who is winning at a 29% clip this year.
2nd race [NY, OC 45k/N2X, 6F TURF] – (3) Moonage Daydream broke her maiden last year against NY-breds, won an open company stakes, and debuted this year in a Grade 3 at Gulfstream Park. She will get first-time Lasix in this return to state-bred racing. (2) Derrynane was stakes-placed several times last year and now makes her first start of the year. (6) Road to Remember lost by a head at this level in November and now makes her 2023 debut. (4) Shinfull has been racing during the winter and gets back to her preferred surface on the grass.
3rd race [OC50k/SAL50k, 7F] – (3) Maggie T won at this level going a mile in her first start after getting claimed by Linda Rice. (6) Attached was last seen in September winning a $40,000 maiden claimer in the first start of her career. (2) Blowthruyelowlites ships up from Laurel Park after winning a $20,000 open claimer. Trainer Brittany Russell does well in New York and now that the Maryland track is temporarily closed, she may send horses to Aqueduct more often. (5) Aeron Warrior broke his maiden for a $40,000 tag by more than 10 lengths.
4th race [Clm 30000 N2L, 1 1/6 mi TURF] – (4) Smokin’ Hot Kitty broke her maiden on the turf last year at Saratoga for a $40,000 tag and then was second in a spot similar to this race. After two allowance efforts she drops back down. (3) Snow Loves a Fight missed a win by a neck in her first start of the year at Gulfstream for $20,000. (6) Always Laughing was second by a nose in her only turf race and since then has three excellent performances on the Tapeta at Turfway Park. (5) Anileate broke her maiden for $40,000 at Laurel last fall and moves back to the grass.
Best bets: Moonage Daydream (2nd); Smokin Hot Kitty (4th). Best value: Dolce Sera (1st); Maggie T (3rd).


No.
Name
Letter/
last race
Today's Race
Comments


***
No Hot List
Horses
on
this Friday card at Aqueduct ***

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Hotlist - April 28
Apr. 27, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (5) Huntleigh should get a nice set-up in a race loaded with speed. (3) Tituba will appreciate a return to turf. (4) Flamand might handle the stretchout to two turns. (2) Need Some Money might provide just that in this field. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5. Exactas: 3-5 with 2-4 and 2-4 with 3-5. Doubles: 3-5-6-8 with 1-2-7-12.
2nd race – (1) Bundchen seems ideally placed in this turf spot by Ward. (2) Beyond Oscar has a nice pedigree for turf. (7) Hollywoodboulevard should handle the switch to turf. (12) American Tsunami is worth a look in this field. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-7-12.
5th race – (3) We the People moves to Pletcher’s barn and seems set for a big effort. (2) Business Model exits a stakes and should be a main threat. (1) Dash Attack will be closing from the rail. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3. Doubles: 1-2-3 with 2-4-5-8.
6th race – (8) Sahlabiya (C) dropped from 3-1 to 2-1 and wound up second. Makes amends here. (4) Camelot Beauty flopped in her debut but should welcome a race on turf. (5) Determined Gold returns from a layoff and could make her presence felt. (2) Chiromante can be a threat in this spot. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-8.
10th race – (3) Turf King won his debut on Tapeta and should move forward on turf. (7) Dunedin was third in a stakes and will be main contender here. (8) Fearless Soldier won his debut at Gulfstream and cannot be overlooked. (2) Midnight Rising could sneak into the picture at the end. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-7-8.


No.

Letter/Last race
Today’s race
Comment







(8)
Sahlabiya
C, 3/12
6 Kee
Settled for second last time

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Tampa Bay Downs - Race 9

Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) / Super High 5



Claiming $10,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 4:32P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND FORTY YARDS.).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * JUST PRAISE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HOLY MEISTER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BOURBON BROWN: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MAJOR DEAL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or tu rf) is at least 50. ANVIL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.



3

JUST PRAISE

3/1


9/2




1

HOLY MEISTER

6/1


5/1




7

BOURBON BROWN

9/2


10/1




2

MAJOR DEAL

8/1


10/1




5

ANVIL

4/1


10/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

BOURBON BROWN

7


9/2

Front-runner

77


76


94.4


65.8


57.8




5

ANVIL

5


4/1

Front-runner

78


74


90.8


67.8


56.3




8

COLORS

8


12/1

Front-runner

75


73


74.9


56.9


43.9




4

DISTORTED TIMES

4


20/1

Front-runner

69


69


71.8


58.6


50.1




10

BEST CHANCE YET

10


6/1

Front-runner

81


76


70.1


70.1


59.6




9

RUN LEA RUN

9


8/1

Stalker

73


68


70.2


61.6


48.1




3

JUST PRAISE

3


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


81


76.8


61.6


55.6




6

POSEIDONS MYTH

6


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

75


66


55.5


62.0


53.0




1

HOLY MEISTER

1


6/1

Trailer

89


95


93.9


61.6


48.6




2

MAJOR DEAL

2


8/1

Trailer

62


54


49.3


63.5


48.0

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Belterra Park - Race 3

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)



Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 58 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 1:25P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Trailer. PARTY NEXT DOOR is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PARTY NEXT DOOR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. FINAL SURGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.



5

PARTY NEXT DOOR

9/5


7/5




2

FINAL SURGE

7/2


9/2




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

LITTLE JUDY B

3


5/1

Front-runner

0


0


54.3


36.5


29.0




6

SHEZADADDYSGIRL

6


6/1

Front-runner

0


0


50.2


22.8


12.8




2

FINAL SURGE

2


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

68


58


53.1


55.0


49.5




5

PARTY NEXT DOOR

5


9/5

Alternator/Trailer

73


61


61.7


57.2


55.2




1

PINKY TUSCADERO

1


4/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


35.8


40.0


34.0




4

PRINCESS TONI

4


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


47.8


23.4


12.4

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Stakes - 12.0f on the Turf. Purse: $300000 Class Rating: 106

BEWITCH S. KEE - R8 - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 PERSONAL BEST 3/1




# 4 WAR LIKE GODDESS 3/5




# 6 SOPRAN BASILEA (IRE) 8/1




PERSONAL BEST looks respectable to best this field. Has to be used in the exotic wagers. Strong average speed figures in turf route races make this horse a solid choice. Recently Ortiz has been sizzling which may give the edge to this filly. WAR LIKE GODDESS - Her 101 average has this mare with among the top Equibase Speed Figures in this race. Ought to be carefully examined in this event if only for the quite good Equibase speed fig put up in the last contest. SOPRAN BASILEA (IRE) - Her 97 average has this mare with among the top Speed Figures for this event. When Motion uses Saez there's a good chance for sizeable profits.

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https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:11pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 PAPA KATZ (ML=8/1)
#3 CAPTURETHELAUGHTER (ML=5/1)
#4 COURAGEOUS COPPER (ML=9/2)
#1 UNDALAY (ML=3/1)


PAPA KATZ - Pimentel rode this mount for the initial time last time out and comes right back this time around. I like to play this angle, a campaigner coming back off a good race within the last month or so. CAPTURETHELAUGHTER - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a nice outing last time around the track within the last thirty days. COURAGEOUS COPPER - Coming off a fourth place finish at Gulfstream Park, some may skip this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has respectable odds today. A strong handicapping angle is first-time Lasix. Lightner gives it to this one for this clash. UNDALAY - This speedball is cutting back in distance today. Should increase his chances of winning. This thoroughbred coming off a nice contest in the last month or so is a serious competitor in my humble opinion. Is ranked uppermost in earnings per race entered. A dominant try in this event will boost that bankroll. This colt's last speed fig earned on Apr 16th is tops in last race speed ratings.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BADBADBOBBY (ML=7/2), #5 GLORIOUS BUSINESS (ML=4/1), #7 MORETHANICANHANDLE (ML=8/1),

BADBADBOBBY - Hard to take this steed at these odds after the finish (fifth) in the last affair. This gelding garnered a speed figure in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. GLORIOUS BUSINESS - No good results for this entrant in a short distance race over the last 60 days tells me that this colt is in a thorny spot MORETHANICANHANDLE - Hasn't been close at all lately. Finished fifth in his most recent effort with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - CAPTURETHELAUGHTER - Watch out for this horse. My data would suggest that he will sit chilly for most of the race, then with a slight urging from Morales, will take the lead coming home.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #6 PAPA KATZ to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/1 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,6] Box [4,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Pass

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28900 Class Rating: 94

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR PENNSYLVANIA BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 COLONEL BOWMAN 2/1




# 1 MARTINKELLY 5/1




# 5 GRAB THE GOLD 9/2




I give the nod to COLONEL BOWMAN here. Is difficult not to examine based on speed figures which have been very good - 88 avg - of late. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. Ought to be given a shot in here if only for the formidable speed figure recorded in the last contest. MARTINKELLY - Should be given a shot for this race if only for the decent speed fig garnered in the last outing. GRAB THE GOLD - With Aguilar aboard him, this gelding will almost certainly be able to break out early for this event. Earned a solid Equibase speed fig last time out.

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https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Oaklawn Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:18pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 DELTA MOON (ML=7/2)


DELTA MOON - Chleborad drops her down to this level. You don't need too much more data to think this horse should run well at this level. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp try in the last 30 days is a contender in my opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RUNNINTHESTREETS (ML=5/2), #7 MAGNOLIA MAE (ML=9/2), #9 CASHMERE BABY (ML=8/1),

RUNNINTHESTREETS - Hasn't been on the Oaklawn Park oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. MAGNOLIA MAE - Tough to like the downward spiraling flow (54/49/39) of speed ratings. Hasn't been close to winning at all lately. CASHMERE BABY - Improbable for this entrant to do much running with no recent success in a sprint event. Hard to take this runner at the odds after the finish (seventh) in the last race. Will be hard for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the questionable contenders list.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DELTA MOON - Has been racing regularly since a layoff. According to my calculations, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this animal today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#6 DELTA MOON is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

6 with 3



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None