View Full Version : Sunday 5/7/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Can'tPickAWinner
05-01-2023, 10:40 PM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!
NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)
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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)
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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)
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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)
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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:42 AM
Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 5/7/23 May 7, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play
__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): She’s Got a Way; 2-Albayaader
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: She’s Got a Way just won a similar starter allowance sprint over the flat turf course from off the pace, doing so with a career top speed figure, and she seems like a logical pick to repeat given today’s extra furlong that compliments her late running style. She’ll be trying to turn the tables on the other main contender, Albayaader, who pulled off an 8-1 upset when beating our top selection over this course and distance in mid-February. Subsequently second in a hot race last month, the Irish-bred filly probably has further improvement in her but for now her speed figures are a little shy of what it will take to win today. Both should be included in rolling exotic play, with the main push going to She’s Got a Way.
*
RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Run for My Honey; 5-Back On the Street
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Run for My Honey, freshened since December, drops to her lowest level ever and has speed figures that are more than good enough to beat this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 field of fillies and mares. She’s primarily been a turf or all-weather performer but did finish third in her only prior dirt appearance, so we suspect the surface switch won’t be an issue. She’s projected to draft into a second flight, stalking position and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. Back On the Street was out of her element when unplaced facing $32,000 foes on turf last time out but under these easier conditions the daughter of Malibu Moon may regain her best form. Winless in six starts over the local dirt strip and just 1-for-19 in her career, the Ray Bell-trained mare hardly is one to trust, but in a below par race for the level she must be given a reasonable look.
*
RACE 3: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Mi Hermano Ramon; 2-Game Time
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Mi Hermano Ramon returns from Kentucky, where he finished a no excuse but respectable fourth (beaten three lengths, just behind yesterday’s American Turf S.-G2 winner Webslinger) while earning a career top speed figure in the Transylvania Stakes-G3 at Keeneland. Today, over a course we know he likes, the son of Creative Cause can return to winning form in this year’s edition of the Singletary Stakes. The Mark Glatt-trained colt projects to enjoy a perfect ground-saving, second flight journey before being given his cue at the head of the lane. Game Time has good form and rising speed figures and is arguably the one too fear most, though this nine furlong distance might be stretching his limit. Perhaps best as the controlling speed, the son of Not This Time may have to deal with other speed types, so we’ll include as a backup only while reserving the majority of the investment for Mi Hermano Ramon.
*
RACE 4: Post: 2:32 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Kiss My Kat
Backups/Savers: none.
Forecast: Kiss My Kat is raised from $12,500 to $20,000 in quest of her third straight win for new trainer Gary Stute following a claim, and based on the speed figure she earned in her most recent victory the daughter of Curlin to Mischief should easily handle this assignment. Furthermore, it will be surprising if she’s not claimed again. The rail is no concern – both of her last two victories were accomplished from the inside draw – so in a race in which she probably will go lower than her morning line of 8/5 we can use her a short-priced rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Reckless Spirit; 7-Coalinga Road
Backups/savers: 4-Tropical Terror.
Forecast: Here’s a spread race for first level allowance turf milers, with several possibilities to consider in a challenging handicapping puzzle. We’ll go three-deep in our rolling exotics and hope that’s sufficient to survive and advance. Reckless Spirit makes his second local start after finishing an excellent second in a similar affair in February in his first outing for high percentage grass trainer Phil D’Amato. The son of Tapit prefers to settle early and produce a late kick, and in a field with sufficient early pace to give him a fair shot the veteran gelding may be able to tag the speed close home. Coalinga Road is the ultimate grinder and probably needs to be within striking range of the early lead to have his best chance. First or second in 11 of 20 career starts, the Carla Gaines-trained son of Quality Road doesn’t always get there but usually at least lands in the frame. Tropical Terror shows the blinkers off angle that we always like for his first outing since last October. He has a history of firing huge off a layoff, and while he always has preferred to run second or third (10 times) rather than win (twice), the James Cassidy-trained gelding has numbers that could produce an upset at 10-1 on the morning line.
*
RACE 6: Post: 3:35 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): Andy Can U Hear Me; Cowboy Mike
Backups/savers: 2-Devil Be Me
Forecast: Andy Can U Hear Me is a good-looking and talented son of The Factor making his racing debut in this straight maiden California-bred sprint. Listed at 6-1 on the morning line, the Jeff Mullins-trained gelding has had some issues leaving the gate in his morning trials, but if he breaks running today he should be part of the pace throughout. Plenty fit based on his recent workouts, this sophomore looks like a live item and is worth a bit of gamble at a reasonable price. Cowboy Mike was expected to win his debut last month – he left at 4/5 – but failed to justify his heavy support when winding up third despite having every chance from the top of the lane to the wire. Perhaps he needed the race, so we’ll give him another chance and make him the one to beat for trainer Bob Baffert, whose second timers (20%) often produce a forward move. Devil Be Me earned a big figure when second in a maiden $50,000 state bred claimer in October of 2021 but then disappeared. He returns protected in a sign of confidence and has trained well enough to be fit and ready for new trainer Phil D’Amato.
*
RACE 7: Post: 4:11 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Mucho Del Oro; 5-Standing O
Backups/savers: 2-Harbored Memories
Forecast: Mucho Del Oro was virtually eased in the Turf Paradise Turf Stakes in February but after some time off returns in a realistic allowance optional claimer over a turf course than has seen him win four races from six starts, qualifying the veteran gelding as a true horse-for-course. This drop back in trip to six furlongs suits him wonderfully, and with a series of smart recent workouts that include a bullet :58 3/5 five furlong drill early last month the son of Mucho Macho Man seems ready for a major effort. Standing O is a lightly raced 5-year-old making his second start off a layoff following a solid third place effort at this level in a Hillside Turf Course affair in mid-March. A winner over this flat course and distance last summer, the Phil D’Amato-trained gelding is a versatile performer who can win on the front end or from far off the pace. He is reunited with “win” rider Umberto Rispoli and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Harbored Memories, away for nearly a year, returns with blinkers and form over the local lawn (first or second in five of six starts) that make him a solid contender despite the layoff. The works should have him plenty fit, he has a history of firing fresh, and jockey Jose Valdivia knows him well.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:37 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): Murray; 4-Lovesick Blues
Backups/savers: 7-Kingdom Heart
Forecast: Murray had a nightmarish trip when unplaced in his comeback in February but has trained like his old self since, so we’re expecting to see his best race in this entry-level allowance sprint for older horses. After breaking his maiden in his 2-year-old debut at Del Mar like a potential star, the Bob Baffert-trained colt has been in and out of training while racing just three times since, but perhaps this son of Street Sense is finally where he needs to be with regards to health and conditioning. Lovesick Blues was scratched out of a sprint stakes at Golden Gate Fields last Saturday (he breezed the following day) and shows up in this (theoretically) softer spot with a major chance based on speed figures earned in recent starter allowance races. A two-time winner over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Grazen has the proper closing style for this extended sprint distance, but loses recent win rider Juan Hernandez, who has opted for Murray. Kingdom Heart arrives from Turf Paradise following a runaway win against much lesser foes and will need to step it up to act against this group. Lightly raced and undefeated in his two previous sprint races on dirt, the Vladimir Cerin-trained colt is a 3-year-old colt tackling older foes but has a look of a nice sort and can at least hit the board.
*
RACE 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Tallis; 9-Numero Dix
Backups/savers: 10-Derecho Dandy
Forecast: The finale is a grass grab bag over a mile for starter optional claimers ($50,000) that requires significant coverage in rolling exotic play. We’ll triple the race but you should feel free to spread even deeper if you can afford to. Based on his Gulfstream Park form, Tallis offers some value in the straight pool at or near his morning line of 6-1 and is one of several that have credentials to win. The Bob Hess Jr.-trained shipper has good tactical speed, numbers that fit, and a favorable inside draw that will ensure a comfortable ground-saving, stalking journey under Kent Desormeaux. Numero Dix, off the track since October of 2021, returns as a first-time gelding and with blinkers on, and with a series of strong training track drills to have fit and ready the English-bred trained by Jeff Mullins could be a lot better this time around. The barn’s “go-to” rider Hector Berrios lands the call. Derecho Dandy gets the worst of the draw but if he can get over a secure a second flight, stalking trip without losing much ground he should be a strong factor throughout. He’s worth including on your ticket as a backup or a saver.
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:43 AM
Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis May 7, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park begins the week with a 15-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 11
3-Carolina Beach (3-1)-Beat this kind last week with a huge effort battling 1st over before pulling away. Will respect chances for a repeat and might get an easy lead off the gate this time.
5-One Last Laugh (9/2)-Can compete against this company with a good trip. Landing here looking for a solid price. Hoping Myers has the 6-year-old in striking range, so can pick up the pieces in the late going if the pace is hot.
Race 12
3-Kneedeep N Custard (3-1)-Comes off an even effort versus similar but was off 4 weeks between starts and was scratched sick on 4-16. Could get the lead off the gate and not look back if 100% tonight.
5-Nvrfearlloydishere (5/2)-Merriman doesn't need to land on the point to win but should be in striking range with this post draw. Raced well at this class from post 8 last time and will look for another strong try with post relief and a driver change.
Race 13
4-Just Bookem (8/5)-This veteran has gotten very camera shy this year and is only 1-15. Not crazy about the short price but with this post draw and with a good drop in class it's best to respect. Wrenn has the gate speed to use to be forwardly placed.
7-Lord Anthony (7/2)-The Meadows shipper has raced at Nfld only once, and it was against better. This will be the 5th start on Lasix and so far, it hasn't helped much. That could change here, can be a player versus this kind.
Race 14
5-Joggingtothebank (2-1)-Gets some needed class relief and should land on the point without using up much gas. Sugg can get control and steal a quarter which could lead to the 3rd win in 9 starts this year.
7-Best Time Hanover (6-1)-Fits with this kind and could surprise if Merriman works a sharp steer. Was dull in the last start but was off 20 days between races. Will look for better and hope the Oliverio trainee isn't over bet.
$1.00 Late Pick 4
3,5/3,5/4,7/5,7
Total Bet=$16
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:44 AM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Hawthorne - Race #3
Picks
Notes
#6 A P Blazing Green
He's always a bit dicey late, but he'll go third off the layoff today with a good outside draw to flash a little bit of pace. Hoping the presence of the rail runner keeps the price playable here. Solid lean as maybe the second choice?
#1 Dash to the Cash
He's supposed to win this based on his reliable form and baseline effort, but the price probably ends up on the short side as he heads into this 16th career start. Along too late again?
#2 Silver Chiller
He's in really light with these, and he might have something just a touch better to offer than what he showed last time out. Wouldn't surprise for a piece at what should be a bit better price than last time out.
Race Summary
A P Blazing Green has enough pace to get in the mix early on , and I'm hoping he's right up on a modest enough pace while getting the jump on the likely chalk.
Hawthorne - Race #6
Picks
Notes
#7 Omaha Red
Looks like they're temporarily done with the route experiments, and he should really appreciate getting back in with the locals after a finding some pretty decent groups in Louisiana and Arkansas. Capable.
#2 Uncashed
Not much to argue with on his form through three starts, and he has the kind of pace to get in the mix from the gate. That comeback was sharp, and he's going to be tough if he has anything better to offer today.
#5 Lookin for Bala
I wouldn't be shocked to see him take a step forward in this first start of his sophomore campaign, and he might get a decent run while pressing Uncashed early on. Think one of the top two will land this, but he wouldn't knock me out of my seat.
Race Summary
Omaha Red and Uncashed look tough to get past in here, but Omaha Red might have something better to offer as he gets back in with the locals. Also interested to see what #6 It's Bobs Business can do -- he rolled two Minnesota-bred groups last year but finds a couple heavier hitters here than he's used to.
Hawthorne - Race #7
Picks
Notes
#3 Quilting Party
The more recent form isn't much to write home about, but her form is darkened by a bunch of sprint tries, and her two-turn efforts have all been very good. Think she can handle these while stretching out second off the break.
#4 Makemebelieve
She was just behind the top choice in the two-back run, and she's another who might benefit from getting back around two turns here. Tactical type should get the right kind of trip.
#8 Aaliyah Ezri
She dipped in with conditioned claimers to score when last seen at Oaklawn in December, but she has historically been in a bit deep with this kind and might be better on the lawn. Tough call.
Race Summary
Quilting Party got the comeback race under her belt last time out, and now she moves back around two turns where she has done her best work. Lots to like today.
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:45 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=mnr0507zf.pdf&exp=05/09/2023&pds=MNR_-_05/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=05/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=MNR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Mountaineer Park - Race 7
$2 Daily Double (Races 7-8) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $18,800 • Post: 9:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES)(W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PUTTHEPASTBEHIND is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PUTTHEPASTBEHIND: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highes t average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND
4/5
3/2
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
5
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND
5
4/5
Front-runner
80
72
95.6
72.0
70.0
7
STORMIN ROCKET
7
7/2
Alternator/Stalker
71
70
68.2
62.2
57.7
3
TIMBERRY TIDDLER
3
9/2
Trailer
69
72
48.4
65.0
56.0
4
SLIPPERY WHEN WET
4
5/1
Trailer
69
61
47.4
61.8
54.8
6
PRETTY LOUD
6
20/1
Trailer
73
54
16.2
47.0
37.0
1
BIKO
1
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67
62
48.2
58.2
49.2
2
REGAL HOLIDAY
2
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
65
52
46.6
35.8
23.3
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:45 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=rp0507zf.pdf&exp=05/09/2023&pds=RP_-_05/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=05/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=RP&SAP=FREEPICS)
Remington Park - Race 1
WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Daily Double / Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 53 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 4:00P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.; , 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MISS CANDY DASH: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Sp eed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. WRANGLERS TRES: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +2 0.
6
MISS CANDY DASH
2/1
5/2
3
WRANGLERS TRES
6/1
5/2
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
HES ALWAYS UP
2
5/1
Average
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
WRANGLERS TRES
3
6/1
Fast
60
55
2.9
0.0
0.0
4
TOUCH OF ETHICS
4
4/1
Fast
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
SECRET SHAKER
5
10/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
6
MISS CANDY DASH
6
2/1
Fast
60
47
0.0
0.0
0.0
7
SOMEWAY
7
20/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
9
OUR QUICK CASH
9
15/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
10
HI HOPES
10
12/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Unknown Running Style: LIL MARFA GRACE (15/1) [Jockey: Hernandez-Gallardo J - Trainer: Goodnight James Kevin], A TRUE PATRIOT FMF (10/1) [Jockey: Romero Josh M - Trainer: Covarrubias Rodrigo].
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:46 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)PURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=la0507zz.htm&exp=05/09/2023&pds=LA_-_05/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=05/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=LA&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Handicap Stakes - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 90
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, MISS PRINCESS HANDICAP S. - GRADE 3 FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WEIGHT 126LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 6 SWEET TESS 2/1
# 3 SHE GOES UP 4/1
# 1 KOALITION 7/2
I lean toward SWEET TESS here. Could provide positive dividends based on respectable recent speed figures with an average of 85. Ought to be considered - I like the figures from the last contest. Reliable average Speed Figures in short races make this horse a solid choice. SHE GOES UP - Overall the speed figures of this equine look formidable in this contest. Recently Willoughby has provided risk takers with a very strong winning percentage with horses racing in short races. KOALITION - Is a very solid contender based on figures posted lately under today's conditions. Win percentage one of the strongest in this group of animals.
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:46 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=wo0507zm.htm&exp=05/09/2023&pds=WO_-_05/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=05/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 3:48pm - Optional Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $114,000 Class Rating: 95
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#1 BREAKING ALONE (ML=20/1)
#8 CONCEALED CARRY (ML=5/2)
#9 RONDURE (ML=3/1)
BREAKING ALONE - This is the only real presser in the race. Every now and then I take some time off, when I come back to the track I feel refreshed. I think it's the same with this gelding as he always seems to run well after a vacation. CONCEALED CARRY - Kimura was aboard this gelding last race out and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. This gelding was sharp enough to post a 'top two' workout recently. I think he's ready for today's event. RONDURE - The jockey/conditioner duo of Hernandez and Vassilieva has a strong return on investment together. Colt failed backers as the public choice in a $40,000 Optional Claiming race last time out. Was a good performance even though he finished second.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ON THIN ICE (ML=7/2), #4 KEEPING THE EDGE (ML=6/1), #5 BOHEMIAN BOY (ML=8/1),
ON THIN ICE - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. Tough to wager on him in this event. This horse didn't show any front speed in the last contest. Now he is trying a sprint. Tough chance at the shorter distance. KEEPING THE EDGE - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a sprint race to be worth the risk at modest odds in a sprint. BOHEMIAN BOY - Unlikely for this participant to make a winning move with no recent good showings in a short distance affair. A pattern of declining speed figures 98/92/85 for this pony.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #1 BREAKING ALONE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,8,9] with [1,8,9] with [1,4,5,8,9] with [1,4,5,8,9] Total Cost: $36
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:46 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=lrl0507zm.htm&exp=05/09/2023&pds=LRL_-_05/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=05/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=LRL&SAP=FREEPICS)
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 52
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#4 BESSIE BLUE (ML=6/1)
#6 LET'S MAKE A ZEEN (ML=10/1)
BESSIE BLUE - This filly has impressed last two times out posting strong speed figs. With a repeat performance, she'll probably be the victor. Was in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race at Colonial Downs last time out. That clash had a class number of 69 and she is moving down right here. A certain solid contender. This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very positive ROI, right at +999. The most recent speed figure of 60 is the best last race speed figure in the field. This horse's last 3 Equibase speed figures (63, 54, 60) are equal to or higher than today's class rating. That's what I'll take to the betting window. LET'S MAKE A ZEEN - This horse should be rocking and rolling in the stretch.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WATCH ME DISAPPEAR (ML=1/1), #7 I HAVE COURAGE (ML=4/1), #1 MUNNIS PRETTY (ML=9/2),
WATCH ME DISAPPEAR - Improbable for this one to make a winning move with no success lately in a sprint race. This mare finished outside the top 3 on Jun 11th and wasn't near the winner last out either. I HAVE COURAGE - I predict a setback for this animal in this event. MUNNIS PRETTY - Difficult to wager on this entrant this time around. Make her show you something in a sprint contest before you wager on her in a race of 6 furlongs. This filly finished out of the money on April 6th and wasn't even close last race out either.
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BESSIE BLUE - Despite finishing seventh in the last race, wasn't too far from the winner. Fits with this field.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #4 BESSIE BLUE to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:46 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa AnitaPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=sa0507zz.htm&exp=05/09/2023&pds=SA_-_05/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=05/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=SA&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $63000 Class Rating: 101
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 4 LOVESICK BLUES 3/1
# 7 KINGDOM HEART 4/1
# 2 MURRAY 5/2
LOVESICK BLUES looks to be a respectable contender. Hard to pass on this gelding with Rispoli in the saddle. Put up a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Vaunts reliable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses. KINGDOM HEART - With a strong jockey who has won at a very good 16 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. MURRAY - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Posted a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair.
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:47 AM
Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - May 7
May. 06, 2023
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track
RACE #1 $38,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 SHES GOT A WAY
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
5
Shes Got a Way
J J Hernandez
PLACE
5-2
2
Albayaader
U Rispoli
SHOW
4-1
7
Real Fire
T J Pereira
WILD CARD
4-1
4
Dendera
J Bravo
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
1
Bali Dancer
K Frey
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Ice Queen
H I Berrios
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
RACE #2 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
2
Blursday
R A Vazquez
PLACE
4-1
1
Spoiled Rotten
A Aguilar
SHOW
2-1
5
Back On the Street
K Frey
WILD CARD
5-2
4
Run for My Honey
K J Desormeaux
ALTERNATE 1
20-1
6
Its Saul Right
T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Parco
J Valdivia Jr.
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
1
Mi Hermano Ramon
U Rispoli
PLACE
6-1
5
Escape Artist
K J Desormeaux
SHOW
5-2
2
Game Time
J J Hernandez
WILD CARD
5-2
3
Wizard of Westwood
A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Eastbound
A Fresu
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
4
Malibu Coast
T J Pereira
* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 KISS MY KAT
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
8-5
1
Kiss My Kat
T J Pereira
PLACE
5-1
7
Big Bell
R A Vazquez
SHOW
3-1
3
Trojan Way
A Aguilar
WILD CARD
6-1
5
Careless Star
A Alsagoor
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
6
Never Sway
G Franco
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Teen Drama
A Cedillo
* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
RACE #5 $63,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:04 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 COALINGA ROAD
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
7
Coalinga Road
U Rispoli
PLACE
5-2
6
Reckless Spirit
J J Hernandez
SHOW
3-1
1
Silver Surfer
H I Berrios
WILD CARD
12-1
5
Subsidize
A Fresu
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
2
Anmer Hall
R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Tropical Terror
M E Smith
* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #6 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:35 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
4
Cowboy Mike
J J Hernandez
PLACE
3-1
2
Devil Be Me
G Franco
SHOW
6-1
12
Carols Comic
R A Vazquez
WILD CARD
12-1
5
Tom Horn
A Fresu
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Big Bet Jafinsafa
U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
9
Andy Can U Hear Me
H I Berrios
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/12 BOX, 2/5/12 BOX
RACE #7 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:06 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-1
7
One Flew South
M E Smith
PLACE
4-1
5
Standing O
U Rispoli
SHOW
8-1
9
Fast Buck
D A Herrera
WILD CARD
6-1
8
Mucho Del Oro
R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Harbored Memories
J Valdivia Jr.
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Dont Swear Dave
M Gutierrez
* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 5/8/9 BOX
RACE #8 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:37 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
4
Lovesick Blues
U Rispoli
PLACE
5-2
2
Murray
J J Hernandez
SHOW
6-1
3
Escape Route
A Fresu
WILD CARD
4-1
5
Disco Ball
D Van Dyke
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
8
Colt Fiction
T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 2
30-1
1
Kahuna Magic
J Bravo
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #9 $36,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:08 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
10
Derecho Dandy
J Bravo
PLACE
6-1
7
Thirty Four Coupe
U Rispoli
SHOW
5-1
9
Numero Dix
H I Berrios
WILD CARD
8-1
5
Nineeleventurbo
A Fresu
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
6
So Im Told
R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 2
20-1
3
Ko Samui
A Alsagoor
* EXACTA: 10-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:48 AM
Belmont Park Tip Sheet - May 7
May. 06, 2023
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 OPERATION TORCH
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
1
Operation Torch
J Rosario
PLACE
2-1
10
Paros
J L Ortiz
SHOW
5-2
3
Scramble
J Castellano
WILD CARD
3-1
7
Kalik
I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Kings Fortune
J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2
3-1
9
Warrior Richard
Rider TBA
* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 3/7/10 BOX
RACE #2 $14,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 MAJOR SPIN
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-5
6
Major Spin
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
2-1
5
Higher Quality
J L Ortiz
SHOW
5-1
2
Bingo John
M Franco
WILD CARD
4-1
3
Salute to America
J Castellano
ALTERNATE 1
15-1
1
Exxtop
J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
One More Score
G Huayas
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #3 $175,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
2
Consumer Spending
M Franco
PLACE
9-2
4
Contemporary Art
J L Ortiz
SHOW
5-2
3
Marketsegmentation
I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD
12-1
5
Kalifornia Queen
F Prat
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
7
Finest Work
J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Evvie Jets
E Cancel
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
RACE #4 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
3
Mondego
J Rosario
PLACE
8-1
2
Ride Up
J R Velazquez
SHOW
4-1
1
Bel Ami
M Franco
WILD CARD
10-1
4
Ferals Joy
J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 1
30-1
11
Sheriff Ronnie
K Gomez
ALTERNATE 2
5-1
5
Sgt. Pepper
I Ortiz Jr.
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
RACE #5 $12,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
5
Motion to Strike
J A Gomez
PLACE
6-1
6
The Sicarii
K Carmouche
SHOW
4-1
4
Gandy Dancing
J L Ortiz
WILD CARD
5-2
1A
Optic Way
O Hernandez Moreno
ALTERNATE 1
7-2
3
Printrack
G Huayas
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Zertz
E Cancel
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #6 $95,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:34 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
8
Frosted Oats
J Alvarado
PLACE
3-1
7
Expand the Map
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
12-1
2
Out of Sight
J A Vargas Jr.
WILD CARD
8-1
1
Wings Like Eagles
J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 1
5-1
15
Chasing Cara
Rider TBA
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Fortineno
J Rosario
* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
RACE #7 $32,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:08 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 ICY STARE DOWN
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
9-2
3
Icy Stare Down
J L Ortiz
PLACE
6-1
2
Diva Banker
M Franco
SHOW
3-1
6
Royal Meghan
I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD
5-1
4
Alpine Queen
G Huayas
ALTERNATE 1
5-2
5
Im Buzzy
E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2
9-2
7
Mon Petit Chou
J Castellano
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #8 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
4
Financial Advice
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
8-1
1
Libretto
J R Velazquez
SHOW
4-1
7
Highland Grace
J Castellano
WILD CARD
5-1
6
Prerequisite
F Prat
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Treasured Gem
J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
9
Volatility
M Franco
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
RACE #9 $150,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:12 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
8
Bubble Rock
J Rosario
PLACE
3-1
10
Star Devine
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
15-1
7
Hot Fudge
E Cancel
WILD CARD
5-1
2
Poppy Flower
J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
9
Yuugiri
F Prat
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Messidor
J Castellano
* EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/10 BOX, 2/7/10 BOX
Can'tPickAWinner
05-07-2023, 08:48 AM
Belmont Park Hotlist - May 7
May. 06, 2023
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race [OC 62k/N1X, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (1) Operation Torch broke his maiden in his second try against a full field at Keeneland for Shug McGaughey. (3) Scramble needed five tries to break his maiden and actually defeated the top choice in that race which happened in March. (7) Kalik got his first win in his first start of the year after trying twice as a 2-year-old for Chad Brown. (6) King’s Fortune was a debut winner for Todd Pletcher at Gulfstream Park in February in a race that was scheduled for the turf but was run on the Tapeta. He came back to run fourth in a stakes after a trouble trip.
2nd race [Clm 14000 N3L, 1 mi] – (6) Major Spin will drop down in claiming price after winning at the N2L level two races ago for $25,000 and then moved up to the N3L condition also for $25,000. (3) Salute to America had to steady off heels in his first try at today’s level after winning the N2L condition and like the top choice will drop in claiming price. (2) Bingo John was third in a similar spot last time in his first start after getting claimed. (5) Higher Quality came back from a layoff for Linda Rice and now drops down to the lowest price of his eight-race career.
3rd race – (6) Veronica Greene (A) had an impressive 2023 debut when he won for the second time on the grass for Chad Brown. (3) Marketsegmentation has only top three finishes in five starts for Brown with a stakes victory last time in Florida. (8) Surprisingly won the Endeavour (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs in February for Shug and then was third in the Hillsborough (G2). (1) Evvie Jets won the first turf stakes race of the year at Aqueduct with a front end effort in his first start of the year.
6th race [Alw 95000, 7F TURF] – (1) Wings Like Eagles (B) was able to improve her position in her last race even though she was bumped twice and then was keen under restraint. (7) Expand the Map has never run worse than second in six starts where she raced against some very good horses like Pizza Bianca and the aforementioned Hot List horse Veronica Greene. (6) Party On Girl will make her first start in America for Chad Brown after more than a year from her last race which was one of two victories in Great Britain. (3) Fortineno won her debut at Saratoga in 2021 for Christophe Clement as a heavy favorite and has been away since then.
Best bets: Operation Touch (1st); Major Spin (2nd). Best value: Veronica Greene (3rd); Wings Like Eagles (6th).
[B]No.
Name
Letter/
last race
Today's Race
Comments
(6)
Veronica Greene
A on 4/8
3
Impressive 2023 debut.
(12)
Corton Charlemagne
B on 3/10
4
Entered for Main Track Only.
(1)
Wings Like Eagles
B on 4/16
6
Got bumped twice, was keen under restraint, improved position.
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