Saturday 5/27/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 5/27/23 May 27, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Secrets Told; 3-Princess Adaleigh
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Secrets Told has never been one to trust (20 career starts, two wins, 12 seconds and thirds) but her numbers are solid for this level, she’s won over this turf course in the past, and her recent third place finish in the Camelia Urso Stakes at Golden Gate Fields was better than looked (slow start, moved up willingly, stayed on well). The John Sadler-trained filly returns to the second level allowance ranks and should inherit a comfortable pace stalking position and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. Princess Adaleigh ran very well when losing a toughie in a downhill dash at this level last month and should be equally effective over the flat course. The daughter of Goldencents is lightly raced with plenty of room to improve and projects to be on or near the lead throughout. We’re expecting the winner to be one or the other and will use both in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-She’s My Niece
Backups/savers: 6-Becky’s Dream.

Forecast: This maiden juvenile filly sprint attracted just six entrants of only modest ability, so a little will go a long way. She’s My Niece received a ton of action (even money) in her debut but performed well below expectations when a non-threatening fourth after a slow start and a wide trip. With that bit of experience behind her and the addition of blinkers, the daughter of Hard Spun should produce a significant forward move. Against this group she’s likely to be a very short price once again. Becky’s Dream makes her debut following a series of decent workouts and is comfortably drawn outside. The daughter of City of Lights was a giveaway yearling purchase ($15,000 by a stallion that stands for $60,000), but she’s probably the one to fear most by default. We’ll have tickets including both in rolling exotic play in a race that probably is best left alone.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:08 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Classymademoiselle
Backups/savers: 5-Run for My Honey.

Forecast: Classymademoiselle drops to her lowest level ever in this modest restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming main track miler for fillies and mares and should have no excuses from a good inside draw that will allow her to secure a ground-saving, pace pressing trip. Beaten nine lengths when a distant second as the favorite in a $32,000 seller earlier this month after a rugged start, the daughter of Malibu Moon deserves another chance against this below average group, though at 9/5 on the morning line she won’t be offering much wagering value. Run for My Honey, a one-paced, grinding type, stretches out again after finishing a fair fourth sprinting at this level three weeks ago in her first outing since December. She’s hit the board in 10 of 15 starts and seems like a logical exacta partner with our top pick.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Chaos Theory; 1-Kanderel
Backups/Savers: none.

Forecast: We’ll try to survive and advance using two old pros in this $25,000 turf sprint for older horses. Ex-stakes performer Chaos Theory was successful at this level over this course in January, and after being in a tad too tough when facing tougher starter allowance foes in his last pair returns to the claiming ranks while being guaranteed clear sailing from his outside draw. The son of Curlin projects to enjoy a good stalking trip and then be able to kick on when called upon. Kanderel came to life when finishing second under these conditions last time out, and as one who does his best work from off the pace the Candy Ride gelding should appreciate today’s extended sprint trip. With some help up front, he seems certain to be heard from close home.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:14 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Lunatic
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: On pure form, Lunatic is a total standout in this $12,500 claiming sprint for fillies and mares, but after being waiver protected in her recent comeback win in a restricted (nw-3) $20,000 in early April and having been a voided claim last year, the price drop may be a cause for suspicion. On the other hand, this placement seems perfectly logical for a barn that generally manages its stock properly. The genuine and consistent mare has finished first or second in seven of 12 career outings with two of those wins over the Santa Anita main track, so if she has at least one good one left the Peter Miller-trained daughter of Mshawish should be able to take care of business at a short price.



RACE 6: Post: 3:44 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Katonah; 3-Show Time; 2-Motown Music.
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Katonah has hit the board in his last two starts – both highly rated races for the level – and not much more will be needed to win this first-level allowance main track miler for older horses. The Doug O’Neill-trained gelding has plenty of speed when allowed to display it, and from his outside post seven (of seven) he might best respond to aggressive tactics in order to get over and secure his preferred pace pressing trip. Show Time is another may prefer to be forwardly placed, though his maiden win last summer at Los Alamitos was accomplished using patient tactics. In a race that projects to have better than average early fractions, the son of Into Mischief might be one of the few in here that can produce a late kick if held up early. Motown Music has won four of 12 in his career, with two of those victories coming over the local main track including a waiver protected $50,000 claiming score in late March. He’s highly competitive on speed figures and will be making his second start off a layoff for a barn that has strong stats with this angle. In a difficult race in which nothing would surprise, we’ll hope to get by using all three in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:14 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Whatmakessammyrun
Backups/savers: 3-Fast Buck; 2-Lovesick Blues

Forecast: Whatmakessammyrun won the Siren Lure Stakes over this course and distance last month, and a similar performance today should be good enough for a repeat score. A prototype late-running turf sprinter, the son of We Miss Artie projects to settle in the second flight and then have every chance to produce another winning late kick. For protection, we’ll also include Fast Buck and Lovesick Blues on a backup ticket. The former is sure to be the controlling speed, and if able to shake loose midway without being pressured he could get brave and take this group a long way. ‘Blues is in sharp form and may be running on late if the early pace comes up quicker than expected.

*

RACE 8: Post: 4:44 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Spirit of Makena
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: There is a six pound shift in weights between Spirit of Makena and Forbidden Kingdom following the former’s length and one-half victory in the San Carlos Stakes-G3 over this track and distance in mid-March, so it is tempting to believe the result might be reversed in this year’s renewal of the Triple Bend Stakes-G2. Maybe, maybe not. ‘Makena will enjoy the same pace-stalking trip that he did last time and with just four career starts probably has plenty of room for further development, even at age five. The son of Ghostzapper continues to impress in the morning (‘Kingdom, not so much) so we’ll go with the theory that what we saw in the San Carlos is what we’ll see in the Triple Bend. At 8/5 on the morning line, we’ll make the George Papaprodromou-trained horse a rolling exotic single.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:14 PT Grade: A-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Paid in Gold
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Paid in Gold shows the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern and looks ready to graduate in this maiden $50,000 claiming turf miler for fillies and mares. The daughter of Ransom the Moon finished a willing third with a less than ideal trip in a fast (and productive) grass sprint last month, has trained very well since, and has the pedigree to improve considerably over a distance of ground. She has displayed sprint-type early speed, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see her in an ideal pace-pressing early position, if not on the lead altogether. The barn hits at a superb 27% with the sprint-to-route angle and switches to one of its “go-to” riders, Kyle Frey, so at 7/2 on the morning line she’s a strong win play and rolling exotic single.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis May 27, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has a 13-race card with the headliners being 3-year-olds competing in the New Jersey Sire Stake Finals that have a $240,000 purse. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Get Answers (4-1)-Was used off the gate in last, paced hard to the wire and lost by a neck to #7. Gingras will follow the same plan of staying inside and this time won't have to work as hard to be on the point or in the pocket.
4-Canadian Ballet (12-1)-My take is we haven't seen the best from this filly. Gets a new set of hands in Sears. He can work a nice stalking trip and could be in the mix if minds its manners.
7-Two Pistol Annie (8/5)-Is a perfect 2 for 2 since shipping in from Ontario. Annie is versatile, likes to win and has captured 7 of 12 lifetime. This is the one to beat but the post draw could pose a challenge.

Race 7

4-Raptors Flight N (3-1)-This 10-year-old is in fine form winning 2 straight. The handy veteran could be used off the gate and should benefit from another efficient trip.
5-I'm Burlington N (7/2)-The big horse doesn't look like a thing of beauty on the track. Can be a handful locked on the left line and can't start with his nose right on the gate. But once rolling can pass foes, get the top and this time might finish off the mile.

Race 8

6-Voukefalas (2/5)-The M1 record for this sophomore is (7-4-1-2) after winning 2 starts coming off the bench. Has looked the part of a top 3-year-old in both efforts, will be a tiny price again and it should be picture time with a clean trip.

Race 9

2-P L Ozzy (3-1)-Could get the top this week and not look back with the morning line choice stuck with post 9. Raced well last time in the slop, which was the 1st race since shipping back from Philly and had missed a start.
8-Tam Major A (2-1)-Has good gate speed and might be able to get a close-up seat despite being assigned the outside post. Should be tough to beat if things go smoothly off the gate.

0.50 Early Pick 4

1,4,7/4,5/6/2,8
Total Bet=$6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Triple Bend Stakes at Santa Anita | Saturday May 27, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk
The Lead:
With the Breeders' Cup back at Santa Anita this fall, Saturday's 7-furlong Triple Bend Stakes has major Sprint division implications. The Triple Bend is part of a massive Memorial Day Weekend in Arcadia, which features the Grade 1 Hollywood Gold Cup on Monday as well as a mandatory Rainbow 6 payout on the holiday Monday program. Any player taking down the Rainbow 6 on Saturday or Sunday with a single ticket is guaranteed a payout of $1 million.

Players betting on the Xpressbet and 1/ST BET platforms can take advantage of a $5,000 late pick 4 hit-and-split on Saturday at Santa Anita.

​Field Depth:
CZ ROCKET and FORBIDDEN KINGDOM are both Grade 2 winners and Grade 1-placed. HOWBEIT also is a Grade 2 winner, while SPIRIT OF MAKENA has won at the Grade 3 level.

Pace:
FORBIDDEN KINGDOM has made the lead in all 10 career starts and is dedicated to the front. SPIRIT OF MAKENA and POSITIVITY figure to be closest to him early. This looks like a fair pace for all running styles and not overwhelming up front.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

1-MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH: Route speed probably won't cut it vs. these elite sprinters, so this recent $50,000 claim will be up against the pressure and quality of the field from the rail. It's been a while, but trainer Craig Dollase knows his way around a good sprinter.

2-DESMOND DOSS: 7-year-old fights Father Time as 15 straight winners of the Triple Bend have been age 5 or less. This Cal-bred loves Santa Anita with a 5: 3-2-0 local mark and should be doing his best running late. But he'll need a meltdown to have his best chance.

3-POSITIVITY: Trainer Doug O'Neill won the Triple Bend in 2004 and 2017. This son of Paynter could be stuck in a no lead, no pass situation against these quality front-runners, though he exits a productive third in the Kona Gold. That race's runner-up, Anarchist, came back to win Woodbine's Grade 3 Jacques Cartier for Josie Carroll.

4-FORBIDDEN KINGDOM: Pure speedster was second-best in the San Carlos when run down by Spirit of Makena but I'm not sure that was top pilot Juan Hernandez's best work. He allowed his rival to get alongside him before straightening out in the stretch instead of trying to kick clear when cutting the corner. Forbidden Kingdom didn't give way, just sort of lost the momentum and they galloped out evenly. This colt was giving 4 pounds that day, and now gets 2 pounds from the same rival -- a 6-pound shift. Trainer Richard Mandella has 3 wins in the race, but the way back machine dates to 1982, 1983 and 1994.

5-HOWBEIT: Claimed for $100,000 last out off of Mark Glatt, this 6-year-old is trying to reclaim the form that saw him win a nose photo in last October's Santa Anita Sprint Championship. He's been gelded since that April 7 start and is one of two starters in this race for last year's winning trainer George Papaprodromou. Recent works don't give any obvious indication of improvement, so we'll see.

6-SPIRIT OF MAKENA: Newcomer to the local sprint stakes scene won the San Carlos over this track and trip in March when chasing down Forbidden Kingdom. Same jockey-trainer combo of Joe Bravo and George Papaprodromou that won last year's Triple Bend with American Theorem. Ghostzapper 5YO is a head away from perfection through 4 starts. Bravo was in the bike, as they say, pedaling hard on the farm turn last time and it took this one a while to get going after Forbidden Kingdom. Curious if he can repeat that and win with the 6-pound weight shift back toward his rival.

7-C Z ROCKET: The 2020 and 2022 Breeders' Cup Sprint runner-up needs no apologies for his 12-for-38 lifetime ledger and more than $2 million banked. But he is 1-for-his-last-13 and hasn't won a stakes race in 2 years and a month. Add in a lifetime 1-for-5 record on top at Santa Anita on dirt and it's fair to fear him but place him in the underneath slots.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
FORBIDDEN KINGDOM will be free-wheeling up top and even if he backs up, feels very secure to stick on the ticket.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
DESMOND DOSS could pass tired horses for a small share of the superfecta.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$60 exacta FORBIDDEN KINGDOM over SPIRT OF MAKENA. $40 exacta FORBIDDEN KINGDOM over C Z ROCKET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Santa Anita - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Fast Buck
He still has a little proving to do on class, but he might be fast enough to control the tempo while getting back into stakes company, as there aren't a whole lot of serious early burners lined up today.


#2 Lovesick Blues
His dirt form has been a bit better overall in his lifetime, but he has been an honest enough finisher on the turf to think he can maybe pick up a piece late. Would've maybe had him on top with a more appealing race shape.


#7 Burnin Turf
He was a good third in this race last year, and he's fast enough to keep the top choice in his sights in the early going. Wouldn't surprise with one of his better tries.


Race Summary
Fast Buck might get the right kind of race flow to be able to handle a stakes group today, as he seems most committed to the front end in here and might be able to show pace and hold.


Santa Anita - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#7 C Z Rocket
He has some appeal in this second start back after the trip to Dubai, and he was up against it the whole way in a three-horse field last out when hustled along to try to keep pace with the lone speed winner. Better setup today.


#6 Spirit of Makena
Forward player has the pace to be in the mix early on, but he also has the ability to sit just a touch off the early splits, giving his rider a couple options if an early battle develops. The one to beat.


#1 Midnight Mammoth
He's route pace cutting back today, but he's probably fast enough to find a decent tactical spot with these, and he turned in a pretty solid try last out when stepping up into Grade II company. Interesting enough.


Race Summary
C Z Rocket might not be in his very best form right now, but he has a big excuse for finishing second last out and might get the right setup for the first time in awhile to settle back and rally like he does on his best day.


Santa Anita - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#7 Paid in Gold
Think she's going to find a really good spot near the top in this one, as the pace doesn't seem likely to be too quick, and she's in the mix here if she has any kind of move forward in her while getting around two turns.


#1 Precocious Times
Finisher proved a good fit with similar last time out, but she's sure to get bet again and might give the jump away to a capable player or two into the far turn. Her baseline makes her tough, but I think the other listed pair both have a claim on this.


#2 Picture of a Lady
Considered her on top after another decent effort going short on the turf, and she'll get around two turns for the first time for the new team, perhaps landing her a good tactical spot at this longer trip.


Race Summary
Paid in Gold adds ground today with a little pace in a race that otherwise seems to lack it, and she really took a nice step forward when getting on the turf for the first time last out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Pimlico - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 CHARGE TO VICTORY (2-1)
Troubled third against better, stands 6-for-23 at this distance.


#5 BAHAMA CHANNEL (6-1)
Lacked room for an eighth of a mile when second two starts back.


#2 BACKATYA (4-1)
Yet to finish in the money in six starts as a gelding, gets needed class relief.


Race Summary
CHARGE TO VICTORY, bumped at the start and fanned 6-wide turning for home, finished third on the class drop for a higher tag than today. The $210k earner is in a good spot to end a nine-month winless drought. Bet to win and place.


Pimlico - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#7 CAJUN DREAM (2-1)
Much the best in latest, draws favorably in class-rising repeat bid off the claim.


#5 DART (9-2)
Projects ideal stalking trip at proven level, won at this distance two back.


#1 GENERAL NOOZ (6-1)
Won off similar rest to begin his 3-year-old season, draws difficult post.


Race Summary
CAJUN DREAM awakened on a barn switch in his first start for a claiming tag, eagerly widening his lead in the stretch. He was claimed and can handle the class hike for his new connections with a duplicate effort. Bet to win and place and play 7-1 and 7-5 exactas.


Pimlico - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#2 TEMPT (10-1)
Good turf bloodlines, good connections, good works, tempting price in her first start.


#4 QUEEN JELLY BEAN (7-2)
Flashed speed against speedy winner in her debut at Park.


#1 ELLYMARIE (6-1)
Working bullets at Pimlico; sire was multiple graded stakes-winning router on dirt.


Race Summary
TEMPT has kept a strong, busy work tab at Pimlico to prepare for her debut. Her dam was a second-out winner on the Laurel Park lawn and a one-mile stakes winner on the Belmont turf later in her career. She’s worth a win and place bet, especially if she attracts some betting attention.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | May 27, 2023
May. 26, 2023


Race 10 at Churchill Downs | Saturday May 27 | Post Time 5:26 PM Eastern
Keertana Stakes | Purse $225,000 | One Mile and One-Half on Turf | Fillies and Mares, Four Year Olds and Upward
Miss Yearwood (5) ran six times on dirt to start her career, winning once, but since moving exclusively to grass has won two of five times. Her best effort on the lawn wasn’t one of those but was when she finished third, beaten just a length, last summer in the 11 furlong Jockey Club Oaks Invitational at Saratoga, won by McKulick, a top turf runner who would be the odds-on favorite in this race. Miss Yearwood took nearly six months off after that and needed a race in her March 4 comeback, also at a mile, which is too short for her best. Stretching out to a mile and one-half for the Orchid Stakes on April 1, she ran poorly but just 25 days later returned to top form, also at this 12 furlong turf trip, putting in a visually impressive later rally from seventh and last to win by three lengths in the end. Landeros has been up for her last two wins as well as her third place effort in the Jockey Club Oaks and I expect Miss Yearwood to run as well or better than she did four weeks ago, earning her first stakes win in the process, posting the mild upset as she opens at 6 to 1.
Viburnum (12) opens at double the odds of Miss Yearwood, 12 to 1, so must be considered for any and all wagers we make involving this race as well. She has finished first or second in nine of 19 career starts on grass, and she has won at 12 furlongs. That win was in the Via Borghese Stakes in December, which was scheduled for turf but run on the all-weather course at Gulfstream Park. She also ran poorly in the Orchid in April, and unlike Miss Yearwood, Viburnum has not run since then. Adam Beschizza has ridden her well in the past, particularly last summer at Kentucky Downs when she won at a mile and five-sixteenths, and if this gal runs as she did in the Via Borghese, she’s going to surprise a few bettors and reward us with a nice profit.
Sparkle Blue (10) and Lovely Princess (7) are two more horses to consider as contenders. Sparkle Blue was returning from four and one-half moths off three weeks ago when finishing sixth of seven in the Modesty Stakes. Two before that, she won the Grade 3 Valley View Stakes so she fits at this level and in spite of never having run at this 12 furlong trip she has the pedigree for it. The win last October came in her second start off a layoff so improvement off her May 5 start can be expected. Lovely Princess is also making her second start after a layoff, this one for five months. The effort before the layoff wasn’t bad when fourth of 10 in the tougher Grade 1 Mrs. Revere Stakes on the Churchill Downs turf and before that she won with a nice rally from seventh of 11. She won that comeback race last month in an allowance field and appears capable of handling the step up in class and running competitively right back.
Bets:
Win Bets: I feel strongly both Miss Yearwood (5) and Viburnum (12) can be bet to win. I’ll bet Miss Yearwood at odds of 3 to 1 or more and Viburnum at odds of 4 to 1 or more.
In this situation we should set a goal of how much we want to win and bet according to that goal and the odds. For example, if we wanted to win $120 dollars and if Miss Yearwood had odds of 6 to 1, we would bet $20 (for a $140 return and a $120 profit). Similarly if Viburnum had odds of 12 to 1, we would bet $10 (for a $130 return and a $120 profit).
Exacta and Trifecta: Box Miss Yearwood (5), Viburnum (12), Sparkle Blue (10) and Lovely Princess (7).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 27
May. 26, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (7) Shezz Koldazice was claimed off a win and can win at fist asking for Asmussen. (3) Good Penny could shine in this field. (1) Waters of Merom should be watched off the Amoss claim. (2) Music Amore could be tough to catch in this field. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7. Exactas: 3-7 over 1-2 and 1-2 over 3-7.
2nd race – (1) Bali Dreamin (C) dropped from 3-1 to 2-1 and was claimed by Wong. Merits top billing. (8) Ball Gown was second last time and should be the main threat. (7) Coexist was claimed out of a winning effort and merits attention. (5) Magna Massa will be helped by the shorter distance. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-7-8. Doubles: 1-5-7-8 with 1-2-3-8.
5th race – (5) Happy Soul had a useful 2023 debut and should move forward in this spot. (2) Love and Money won her last and figures to be the one to fear. (3) Sharp Hero should welcome the cutback in distance. (6) Nota Bene will be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-6.
7th race – (8) Corsini put in an improved effort last time and could take another step forward here. (6) Forever After All has been second five times and can complete the exacta once again. (1) Domina might improve with Lasix. (5) Toffee was a game second in a claimer and cannot be discounted here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-8.
10th race – (10) Sparkle Blue should be well-suited by the distance. (5) Miss Yearwood won at this distance and should be the key contender. (4) Sinfiltre looks like the one to reel in. (7) Lovely Princess won her last and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-7-10.


No.

Letter/Last race
Today’s race
Comment







(1)
Bali Dreamin
C, 5/20
2 CD
Can move forward off the Wong claim

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Hotlist - May 27
May. 26, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3rd race [Mdn 75000, 1 mi TURF] – (2) Variable Cost (A) was taken up sharply in his debut for Chad Brown, rallied for second well ahead of the others, and was claimed for $40,000. (1) Broken Spur set the pace in his last three starts, two were on the turf last year and then on the Gulfstream Park Tapeta in March, and now drops in for a tag. (7) Mischievous Angel was a $600,000 yearling purchase and will make his first start for Brown. (3) Yorkshire Prince ran for a tag for the first time and also moved onto the turf and responded with a narrow loss for the top spot.
4th race [OC 62k/N1X, 1 mi] – (5) Winters Lion will drop out of three stakes races on the grass after an open length victory in a maiden special weight at Oaklawn Park. (6) Smooth Flyin Mike was a debut winner at Tampa Bay Downs as the 8-5 favorite and then was second in an allowance versus winners at Parx Racing. (2) Thunderian has three top-three finishes since joining the Jacobson barn. (3) Warrior Richard improved his speed figures in all seven starts including a win in claimer for $32,000.
5th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (3) Zappera was fourth in her first start for Todd Pletcher after a hole closed on the rail and she rallied when she moved to the outside. (6) Utilization Rate is projected to be on the lead as she was in her last start when she finished second beaten by only a neck for the top spot. (4) Doral gets blinkers on following a troubled trip at Keeneland for Bill Mott. She was second by a neck in her first two starts at Gulfstream. (1) Mirabella was third in her 2023 debut when she switched to the turf for Pletcher in Florida.
7th race [Soaring Softly (G3), 7F TURF] – (1) Lady Beth won her debut by four lengths on the Tapeta at Gulfstream at 3-1 and now cuts back in distance as she moves onto the grass for Chad Brown. (2) Love Appeals has three starts on the turf this year for the Clement barn. Her first two starts were at Gulfstream where she won at first asking and then tried a stakes race and finished fourth. (3) American Apple is the only stakes winner in field taking the Matron (G3) at Aqueduct last year which led to a sixth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint. She will ship up to Belmont Park after a pair of stakes races in Kentucky in her two starts of the year that led to a fourth and then a second. (4) Queen Picasso was a debut winner at Gulfstream at 7-1 going two turns.
Best bets: Winters Lion (4th); Lady Beth (7th). Best value: Variable Cost (3rd); Zappera (5th).
SaturdayPick 3 Special --
The Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 3-5

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Belterra Park - Race 2

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)



Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 12:55


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 27, 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Trailer. PELLETIER is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PELLETIER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LIVE IT UP: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" desi gnation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AND I KNOW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. YES I'S A MILLER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



1

PELLETIER

3/1


3/1




4

LIVE IT UP

4/1


8/1




3

AND I KNOW

9/5


8/1




2

YES I'S A MILLER

7/2


10/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

LIVE IT UP

4


4/1

Front-runner

77


74


63.4


62.0


55.0




2

YES I'S A MILLER

2


7/2

Alternator/Front-runner

76


69


48.2


63.0


58.0




3

AND I KNOW

3


9/5

Alternator/Stalker

75


70


51.1


64.9


59.4




1

PELLETIER

1


3/1

Trailer

82


70


70.6


68.6


66.1




5

LOOKIN ROYAL

5


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

62


63


59.7


54.0


46.0

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Pimlico - Race 9

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &10 cent SUPERFECTA



Maiden Claiming $45,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3-5 • CR: 57 • Purse: $44,000 • Post: 4:37P


(RAIL AT 10 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $45,000, IF FOR $36,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. MD-BRED AND/OR MD-SIRED HORSES MAY WAIVE CLAIMING PRICE IN THIS RACE. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Stalker. PALACSINTA is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PALACSINTA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



6

PALACSINTA

9/2


2/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

QUEEN JELLY BEAN

4


7/2

Front-runner

0


0


82.5


50.2


45.2




7

CAMI RACHELLE

7


20/1

Front-runner

47


35


54.0


30.6


22.1




9

LOVE KNOT

9


8/1

Front-runner

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




6

PALACSINTA

6


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


88.2


54.0


50.0




3

SUPER MONEY

3


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

46


32


41.2


28.2


17.7




5

LADY THOR

5


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


18.7


25.0


16.5




11

NO SHARING

11


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


0.0


19.9


8.9







































Unknown Running Style: ELLYMARIE (6/1) [Jockey: Carrasco Victor R - Trainer: Walters Henry], TEMPT (10/1) [Jockey: Karamanos Horacio - Trainer: Vera Miguel], ZOLATONE (3/1) [Jockey: Toledo Jevian - Trainer: Russell Brittany T], CATCH THE KITTEN (15/1

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 91

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000 (MAIDEN RACES, CLAIMING RACES AND STARTERS RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 PRESKITT 8/1




# 5 OUR LYLA GRACE 5/2




# 3 MISS BELLA 7/2




PRESKITT looks to be a very good contender and could score at a price in here. This filly looks like a play at a price. Must be given a chance given the class of races run as of late. Is a very strong contender based on figs recorded lately under today's conditions. OUR LYLA GRACE - She has been racing well recently while recording solid speed figures. Trainer has solid win rate (30 percent) at this distance and surface. MISS BELLA - Wagerers should take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of horses in this race. Has been running admirably lately and will almost certainly be up near the front end early on.

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https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race #4 - Post: 8:54pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 66

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 HALLIE'S RAINBOW (ML=7/2)
#2 BLAME TERI (ML=4/1)
#1 BACKSTAGE BAMBI (ML=3/1)


HALLIE'S RAINBOW - This rider and conditioner have a high winning percentage together. This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. The 62 most recent race speed rating looks sound in the TrackMaster PPs. Entered last at Hawthorne in a race with a class rating of 75. Dropping considerably in class rating today puts her in a solid position today. BLAME TERI - This filly is in good form. Ran first on May 2nd. The jockey and conditioner combination have a favorable return on investment when they partner up. Jockey hops back on after getting to know the horse by riding last out. That's always a good sign. Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I believe can be a key selection factor. This horse is ranked number one in this group. I look for a chance at a big improvement today with the addition of Lasix for the second time. BACKSTAGE BAMBI - This mare is in excellent physical condition right now. Ran first in the last race and comes back rapidly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FRANKEL BABY (ML=9/2), #6 LITTLE ACCOUNT (ML=6/1), #3 JAMAICAN TRAFFIC (ML=6/1),

FRANKEL BABY - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint events in order to bet on her. LITTLE ACCOUNT - Equibase speed figures tell a story of declining form. JAMAICAN TRAFFIC - You believe this equine is going to win just because she's always close. Just doesn't get the job done regularly.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #4 HALLIE'S RAINBOW on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [1,2]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,4] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

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https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 LIEUTENANT STAN (ML=5/2)
#6 MEXICOFFEE (ML=3/1)
#9 JAY'S DELIGHT (ML=6/1)


LIEUTENANT STAN - This colt is in superb physical condition right now. Finished third in the last race and comes back quickly. Jaramillo rode this racer for the first time last time around the track and comes right back in this race. This thoroughbred earns a lot of cash per race. I believe he can add to the lifetime total right here. Casse is hoping to get a little more out of this colt by adding blinkers today. MEXICOFFEE - When Loza gives Rios a leg up on any magnificent animal, you know that with their winning percentage you have much more than a fighting chance. Ran last out against much better company at Gulfstream Park. The move down in the class scale should suit him well. JAY'S DELIGHT - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the ability to make his presence felt. Widely used handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a nice one here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DOUBLE DOWN DENNIS (ML=6/1), #11 GREAT KOSTAS (ML=8/1),

DOUBLE DOWN DENNIS - Don't believe this questionable contender has what it takes to win in today's event. GREAT KOSTAS - Finished third in his most recent effort with a substandard fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #1 LIEUTENANT STAN to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,6,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

None

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 55

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,000. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 STUBBORN LOVE 9/2




# 8 VALENTINO ROSSA 6/1




# 4 WICKED WIZZY 5/2




I have to support STUBBORN LOVE here. Looks to have a decent class edge based on the most recent company kept. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look quite good in this race. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This one ranks at the top in this field of horses. VALENTINO ROSSA - Could beat this group of horses given the 56 speed fig garnered in her last outing. Should best this field here, showing competitive figures of late. WICKED WIZZY - Has performed admirably recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 61 avg speed rating. Has decent Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race.