Friday 7/7/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis July 7, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park begins the weekend with a 14-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:45 PM EST)

3-Topville Alexander (9/2)-Not feeling much love for the 2 program chalks #2 & #6, so will swing for a square price. The race might set up nicely for this 4-year-old as there isn't much gate speed. Macomber could land on the point or get a pocket ride.
4-Shady Lane Luck (5-1)-Was handled conservatively as a chalk in the 1st start for the new connections. Stayed inside and finally shook free coming up the rail in the late going. Looked like a winner but was passed by 2 others at the wire. Thinking there is a more aggressive steer coming.

Race 12 (10:06 PM EST)

3-It's Corona Time (4-1)-Came a good 2nd after taking the early lead off the gate. May have met a beatable field and the team Macomber entry should be racing near the stop of the stack.
7-Fortunada (5/2)-Similar profile to the one above and has the gate speed to land on the point or in the 2-hole. Either trip can work for a picture.

Race 13 (10:27 PM EST)

1-De Los Cielos Deo (4-1)-Was in tall cotton versus Open company in last and was not in the hunt at all. Tetrick sticks and should have no excuse for a better showing against this kind.
2-General Idea (5-1)-Oosting downed the $75k claimers on 6-2 and then Tyler George shipped the 6-year-old to ScD for a 5th place finish on 6-24. Gets Oosting back as Tetrick stays with the other George entry and this looks like a spot to cash the top check.
6-Sure Thing Herman (5/2)-Has performed well racing with Open company and should appreciate the class relief. Best to respect this 10-time winner in 30 HoP races.

Race 14 (10:48 PM EST)

2-Town Gossip (4-1)-The last 3 starts have been dull and hasn't raced since 6-9. Has been facing better since being claimed for $50k back in April. The Perry Smith barn has posted 28% winner over the last 30 days and Oosting, his top call driver gets the assignment.
6-ER Rocky (5/2)-Drops to a more competitive level and wasn't driven like a 27-1 shot last time. Wilfong pulled to come first over and got the lead from an even money chalk. But at the end of the day finished a length behind the favorite and was a beaten 3rd to a well-meant winner. This looks like a spot for a picture with a smooth trip.

0.50 Late Pick 4

3,4/3,7/1,2,6/2,6
Total Bet=$12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli: Thoroughbred daily picks for Friday, July 7, 2023 July 6, 2023 | By Frank Carulli
Gulfstream Park, race 1

#1 HOLIDAY FANTASY (6-1) – Saved ground in mid-pack, lacked kick, returns as gelding.

#3 DONTONIO (2-1) – Has plenty of long-distance experience, gets needed class relief.

#4 NETWORKING (5-2) – Slowed by the pace in short field for $25k, three thirds prior.



HOLIDAY FANTASY ran evenly on the class drop to this level in his first start on the all-weather track. The race winner repeated in a $12,500/nw2 route as the favorite. He returns from a 10-week layoff in a new barn and as a first-time gelding. Bet to win and place.



Gulfstream Park, race 6

#3 MAJOR KING (3-1) – Ran 1-2 in four of five starts with Vasquez, lacked room in the slop last out.

#9 THE RED MAN (6-1) – Can use his speed well from the outside, question of readiness off layoff.

#1 SUPER CURIOSO (7-2) – Much improved in second start as gelding, takes class drop off claim.



MAJOR KING secured inside position while close to a moderate backstretch pace but was slowed by traffic on the turn. He regrouped to finish a willing second behind the rail-skimming 25-1 winner on a sloppy track. Bet to win and place.



Gulfstream Park, race 8

#1 SOLAIR (8-1) – Much the best when claimed in April, live longshot if she can duplicate it.

#6 LEXINATOR (6-1) – Circled the turn, drew off to easy win with second-time blinkers.

#4 DRINKS ON ME (5-2) – Won six of last 10 starts, seven as the favorite, enters new barn.



SOLAIR, idle three months since she was claimed out of a $12,500 victory, is too good to pass up at a tempting morning-line price. She bobbled at the break, lost momentum in traffic on the turn, ran down the pace-setting favorite and galloped out farther in front. Play a 1,6 with 1,4,6,8 with ALL trifecta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prairie Meadows Pick 4 Ticket | Friday, July 7 July 6, 2023 | By Frank Carulli
PRAIRIE MEADOWS PICK 4
Friday, July 7

Call it the Big House on the Prairie this Friday night. Prairie Meadows will host four $100,000 stakes -- including the Iowa Distaff and Iowa Sprint – as part of a 50-cent late Pick 4 wager. Here’s a closer look at the action:

PrM 6th race (9:11 EST) -- BUTTERBEAN follows a similar path into the Iowa Distaff as she did in winning the Grade III Iowa Oaks a year ago. She rallied from last-to-first in her prep race over the track and repeated the move in the Oaks with Glenn Corbett aboard. Roll the clock forward and she circled the field to win the $50,000 Jack Bishop to prep at tonight’s 1-1/16-mile distance. While she is the one to beat, her late-running style is compromised by a projected soft pace. That benefits COASTAL CHARM, who raced up-close and held clear stretch leads in 5 of 6 route races this year, winning three times to prove a blockbuster $30,000 claim. ICE ORCHID also looms a front-end threat from the rail. She was eased in the stretch when last seen in March, but the multiple Grade III-placed 4-year-old appears primed for her return off a series of bullet workouts.

PrM 7th race (9:40 EST) -- The seven entrants in the Iowa Sprint are a combined 28-79 at 6F with average earnings of $170,000 at the distance. STROBE won his first four 6F races by a total of 21-3/4 lengths before the streak was ended by SKELLY is the Grade III Count Fleet at Oaklawn Park. He was ‘slowly getting to the winner’ but settled for second best behind a rival who was winning for the fifth consecutive time with an average 100 Beyer speed figure. Also note that Cogburn, the seventh-place finisher in the Count Fleet, came back to win two turf sprint stakes and Candy Man Rocket, who finished last in the Count Fleet, won the Grade III Runhappy at Belmont next out. All said, STROBE is a solo play in the Pick 4 despite carrying 126 pounds for the first time.

PrM 8th race (10:09 EST) -- CROWN IMPERIAL accelerated quickly at the quarter pole, wandered slightly in early stretch, but straightened out to run past the even-money leader and gallop out farther in front in her debut. KISS awakened in her second start, setting the pace and repelling a bid from a favored first-time starter to prevail against Kentucky-breds at Ellis Park. TX WOMEN FOR ARTS disappointed in her debut off a pair of fast gate works, then beat a weak field from post 12 in a turf-to-dirt sprint. She is an obvious contender in the Prairie Gold Lassie but not worth a short price in the Pick 4 sequence.

PrM 9th race (10:38 EST) – Half of the 12 entrants in the Saylorville arrive from different tracks around the country, three come off stakes wins at the 6F distance and five earned the top speed figures of their career last out. FIRE ON TIME earned favoritism with a runner-up finish to champion Echo Zulu in the Grade III Winning Colors at Churchill Downs, but there’s so many live alternatives, hit the ‘ALL’ button in the Pick 4.

Suggested 50-cent Ticket
PrM 6th Race: 1, 4
PrM 7th Race: 7
PrM 8th Race: 2, 7
PrM 9th Race: ALL
Cost for 50-Cent Ticket: $24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Emerald Downs - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#6 Cocoa Cents
She might be one of the quicker ones early in here, and she's got fairly reliable form that generally came with a bit better. She can be tough here.


#7 Heat Seeking Leta
She was really flat last out when failing to stay late, but she's capable of something better while getting down in class in a pretty serious way for this.


#8 Low Dose
She made some sense last time out when settling for second after showing the way, and she's drawn well to show the way or prompt the top choice if that one wants to roll a bit early.


Race Summary
Cocoa Cents has some appeal from up on the splits, and her mild pressing gear should serve her well in this spot.


Emerald Downs - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 Ted's Candy Girl
She took her time graduating, but she got over the top with a wide run last time out and should be just tactical enough to work out a trip without falling out the back early.


#3 La Popis
She's probably supposed to be right there with one of her baseline tries, and she goes third off the bench while maybe in line for a good spying trip.


#1 Camden High
She has super reliable form that has led to a string of underneath shares, and I could be drawn here if the price were just playable enough. Makes a lot of sense in the gimmicks.


Race Summary
Ted's Candy Girl has a little mid-range price appeal while stepping up for the new team, and she has occasional tactical pace in a race without a ton of early heat lined up.


Emerald Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#4 Cash's Cat
I'd want a fair price to land here, but I think he has a little claim on this one while rising in claiming price for the new operation. Stretchout forward player might really like it if she can find the front.


#1 The Golden Egg
He has the kind of honest form with better that's supposed to make him pretty tough tonight, but I think the price is going to reflect that as he finds his easiest spot yet. Thinking he's right there throughout.


#5 Street Mogul
He was a bit flat at 4/5 in his local debut last out, but he's not meeting a particularly deep field here, and he might be able to turn a one-paced plugging trip into a piece of this.


Race Summary
Cash's Cat can make some noise from either on the engine or in a good pressing spot while stretching out, and I think she might enjoy the longer trip and more leisurely tempo today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 HOLIDAY FANTASY (6-1)
Saved ground in mid-pack, lacked kick, returns as gelding.


#3 DONTONIO (2-1)
Has plenty of long-distance experience, gets needed class relief.


#4 NETWORKING (5-2) – Sl
#4 NETWORKING (5-2) – Slowed by the pace in short field for $25k, three thirds prior.


Race Summary
HOLIDAY FANTASY ran evenly on the class drop to this level in his first start on the all-weather track. The race winner repeated in a $12,500/nw2 route as the favorite. He returns from a 10-week layoff in a new barn and as a first-time gelding. Bet to win and place.


Gulfstream Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#3 MAJOR KING (3-1)
Ran 1-2 in four of five starts with Vasquez, lacked room in the slop last out.


#9 THE RED MAN (6-1)
Can use his speed well from the outside, question of readiness off layoff.


#1 SUPER CURIOSO (7-2)
Much improved in second start as gelding, takes class drop off claim.


Race Summary
MAJOR KING secured inside position while close to a moderate backstretch pace but was slowed by traffic on the turn. He regrouped to finish a willing second behind the rail-skimming 25-1 winner on a sloppy track. Bet to win and place.


Gulfstream Park - Race #0


Picks
Notes


#1 SOLAIR (8-1)
Much the best when claimed in April, live longshot if she can duplicate it.


#6 LEXINATOR (6-1)
Circled the turn, drew off to easy win with second-time blinkers.


#4 DRINKS ON ME (5-2)
Won six of last 10 starts, seven as the favorite, enters new barn.


Race Summary
SOLAIR, idle three months since she was claimed out of a $12,500 victory, is too good to pass up at a tempting morning-line price. She bobbled at the break, lost momentum in traffic on the turn, ran down the pace-setting favorite and galloped out farther in front. Play a 1,6 with 1,4,6,8 with ALL trifecta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - July 7
Jul. 06, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $15,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
3
Dulce Victoria
J Morales


PLACE
4-1
2
Fair Folly
O Mojica


SHOW
3-1
6
Glorious Justice
A Burgos


WILD CARD
8-1
7
Red Rosebush
R Barrios





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Night Livin
S Sanjur


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Corima
J D Ramos








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX









RACE #2 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:41 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Glen Airy
F De La Cruz


PLACE
9-5
2
Fujin
J D Ramos


SHOW
6-1
4
Tricolour
A Burgos


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Gunner Bay
D Cohen





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
6
St. Elmo
O Mojica


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Conrad the Red
R A Prescott








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #3 $25,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:12 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 VARTON









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Varton
J D Ramos


PLACE
4-1
4
Keen Ice Sight
F De La Cruz


SHOW
6-1
3
Delightful Breeze
A Ortiz


WILD CARD
3-1
6
Cadeau de Paix
C J Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Awesome Lawson
E E Perez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Forever Home
M Pedroza Jr.








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #4 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 GETTLEMAN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Gettleman
J D Ramos


PLACE
8-5
8
Smokey Mandate
A Burgos


SHOW
6-1
6
Highest Rated
A Achard


WILD CARD
9-2
5
Cable Boss
G Saez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
7
Air Marshal
S E Bermudez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Close Talker
F De La Cruz








* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX









RACE #5 $41,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
5
Tizzy Jojo
J D Ramos


PLACE
6-1
1
Anjaway
M Franklin


SHOW
8-1
2
Forever Blessed
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
4-1
4
Mygaljustice
J Morales





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Tryinforjustice
H Leahey


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Lilmiss Sassypants
S Sanjur








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #6 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 RICHIES GAL









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
9
Richies Gal
E T Baird


PLACE
5-2
7
Ladle
F De La Cruz


SHOW
5-1
8
Tidbit
C J Hernandez


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Designated
H Leahey





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
3
Gone With the Wyn
J K Court


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
Green Grace
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX









RACE #7 $36,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-5
4
Mizztify Doll
M Pedroza Jr.


PLACE
9-2
1
Nixa
S E Bermudez


SHOW
12-1
8
Cv Wicked Notional
E E Perez


WILD CARD
15-1
6
Explosive Skies
A Burgos





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Always Blossom
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
3
Mysteriousjustice
O Mojica








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX









RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 WILLIAM GARRETT STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
3
Carotari
A Achard


PLACE
8-5
8
Nobals
E T Baird


SHOW
12-1
2
Major Wager
S Sanjur


WILD CARD
8-1
5
Charcoal
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
6
Just Might
C J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Diamond City
M Pedroza Jr.








* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX



COMMENTS: CAROTARI always seems to be in the mix and has speed to get good position. NOBALS is the speed and class of the field but has other speed to deal with. MAJOR WAGER could be the benefit of all the speed in the race. CHARCOAL does very well at this distance on the turf.










RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 CLARKSVILLE STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
11
Little Jewel
G Saez


PLACE
5-2
10
Oeuvre
O Mojica


SHOW
10-1
12
Miners Queen
S Sanjur


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Love and Money
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Goin Good
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Bout Time
C A Emigh








* EXACTA: 11-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX, 12-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 10/11/12 BOX, 1/10/12 BOX



COMMENTS: LITTLE JEWEL loves this distance on the turf and gets some class relief. OEUVRE has the most career wins in the field by far and has speed. MINERS QUEEN has speed from the outside and has won two of three races at this distance at this track. LOVE AND MONEY could add value to your exotics.










RACE #10 $35,000 STAKES
350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
7
Jess Go Blue
D Villamil Bocanegra


PLACE
7-2
3
Beach Blast
J D Marquez


SHOW
3-1
1
Carters Law
G Rodriguez


WILD CARD
8-1
5
Encores Bright Image
H Macias





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Stone Lake
L D Martinez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
9
Hh C J Shake
C G Esqueda








* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monmouth Park Tip Sheet - July 7
Jul. 06, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
7
Nice Baby
J A Vargas Jr.


PLACE
7-2
8
Tickle My Fancy
J Rendon


SHOW
3-1
6
Mrs Whistler
P Lopez


WILD CARD
6-1
3
Delightful Dixie
M Rowland





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Never
R R Maragh


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Lady Thor
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX









RACE #2 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
4
Will Be Now
L R Rivera Jr.


PLACE
3-2
6
Welcometomyworld
J A Gomez


SHOW
9-2
2
Holy Skull
S Marin


WILD CARD
4-1
1
Elika
J Torres





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
3
Nanasquan
M Iorio


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
La de Peluche
C Olivero








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #3 $18,000 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:56 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 INITFORTHELOVE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
7
Initforthelove
S Marin


PLACE
3-1
8
The Peninsula
I Castillo


SHOW
9-2
3
King of Dreams
C Olivero


WILD CARD
4-1
2
Arties Angel
P Lopez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Enforcer
A A Rodriguez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Corkman
N Juarez








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX









RACE #4 $57,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 LIFE ON THE NILE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Life On the Nile
N Juarez


PLACE
6-5
2
Crupi
P Lopez


SHOW
5-1
4
Sheriff Ronnie
J C Ferrer


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Kaw Liga
J Rendon





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
6
Occasional Moon
J D Acosta


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
1
Cowboy Jim
R R Maragh








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #5 $60,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:52 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
4
Ikigai
J A Vargas Jr.


PLACE
7-2
6
Mamba On Three
J Rendon


SHOW
2-1
1
Silardi
P Lopez


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Full Disclosure
I Castillo





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
8
Admiral Abe
S Gonzalez


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
10
Wild Mule
N Juarez








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #6 $10,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 MAXIMUS MIDANI









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
3
Maximus Midani
S Marin


PLACE
3-1
4
Musical Heart
I Castillo


SHOW
7-2
6
Sailor Speed
J A Gomez


WILD CARD
5-1
2
Lil Commissioner
J Rendon





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
1
Major Kong
N Juarez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
5
Honor the Fleet
C E Rojas








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $60,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:48 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Megacity
P Lopez


PLACE
9-2
7
Clear Vision
N Juarez


SHOW
6-1
8
Montauk Summer
J A Gomez


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Dominate Themoment
A A Rodriguez





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
5
Kingmax
I Castillo


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
10
Castle Chaos
J Rendon








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX









RACE #8 $71,875 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
6
Carats Forever
S Marin


PLACE
5-1
5
Toot Your Horn
J Rendon


SHOW
6-1
4
Kates Cuban Kiss
A Hernandez


WILD CARD
9-2
1
Baby Cakes
I Castillo





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
7
Fools Collide
J C Ferrer


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
2
Twyla
F Gonzalez Jr.








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - July 7
Jul. 06, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
2
Jimmythetooth
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
7-5
7
El Grande O
J L Ortiz


SHOW
8-1
4
Perliano
J Rosario


WILD CARD
6-1
8
Skylers Starship
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
6
Specialagentjonson
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Sebastianthe First
G Huayas








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX









RACE #2 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Shes Fire
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-2
4
Permed
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
6-1
8
Sea Dancer
F Prat


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Smooth Waves
R Silvera





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Goats On a Tree
T McCarthy


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Dr. Ray D.
D Davis








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX









RACE #3 $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:09 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 SECURITY CODE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Security Code
J Lezcano


PLACE
9-2
4
Silver Fist
R Silvera


SHOW
2-1
3
Fancy Joke
T McCarthy


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Vallelujah
J A Davis





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
1
Happy Sophia
J Alvarado


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
1A
Ok Honey
G Huayas








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #4 $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:38 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 SHADOW DRAGON









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Shadow Dragon
J L Ortiz


PLACE
2-1
1
Olympic Dreams
T McCarthy


SHOW
5-1
3
Market Alert
J Rosario


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Sundaeswithsandy
K Carmouche





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
6
Prince of Pharoahs
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Big Bobby
J Alvarado








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #5 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:09 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Nobilis
D Davis


PLACE
9-2
4
Chalky Cat
J A Torres


SHOW
5-2
8
Thank You Jon
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
7-2
3
Seize the City
K Davis





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
7
Twirling Vine
J Alvarado


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Lookin to Win
R Silvera








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX









RACE #6 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:41 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Paros
J L Ortiz


PLACE
8-5
10
Guntown
Rider TBA


SHOW
9-2
5
Senbei
J Rosario


WILD CARD
3-1
6
Maxwell Esquire
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Bring Me a Check
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
9
Pine Knoll
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/10 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX









RACE #7 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/4 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:13 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 FLY RIGHT









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
4
Fly Right
J Castellano


PLACE
3-1
2
Headline News
J L Ortiz


SHOW
8-5
7
Truly Quality
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Nostalgic One
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Swore
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
9
Locke and Key
D Davis








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX









RACE #8 $25,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:47 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
1
Devils Cay
J L Ortiz


PLACE
12-1
2
Ginnsu Warrior
J A Torres


SHOW
3-1
6
Pressure
R Silvera


WILD CARD
8-1
7
Copper Chalice
J Laprida





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
8
Moving Pictures
T McCarthy


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
9
Playingwithmatches
D Davis








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX









RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:19 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 DWYER STAKES G III









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Nagirroc
F Prat


PLACE
9-5
5
Major Dude
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
5-2
2
Talk of the Nation
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
15-1
7
Activist Investing
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
More Than Looks
J R Velazquez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Amstrong
J Castellano








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX



COMMENTS: NAGIRROC gets better each race and should get a nice trip here. MAJOR DUDE is the deserving favorite as the class of the field. TALK TO THE NATION steps up in class but has the talent to win here. ACTIVIST INVESTING could add value to your exotics.










RACE #10 $75,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:51 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
3
Diamond Status
J L Ortiz


PLACE
2-1
6
Financial Advice
F Prat


SHOW
5-1
8
Volatility
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
10-1
7
Cant Keep Me Down
R Silvera





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
10
Whiskey Lullaby
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
12
Party At Grants
J L Ortiz








* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ellis Park Tip Sheet - July 7
Jul. 06, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $10,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 ROUNDER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Rounder
F Arrieta


PLACE
5-2
8
River in Egypt
Y Navas


SHOW
6-1
5
Soft Pants
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Levy
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
9
Paid in Full
M Michel


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Beocca
J L Castanon








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX









RACE #2 $50,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Dr. Perry
B J Hernandez Jr.


PLACE
2-1
7
Sinners Sin
R Bejarano


SHOW
6-1
3
Western Ghent
M Chuan


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Lupos Legacy
F Arrieta





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Isocline
A Beschizza


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Badgeball
T Gaffalione








* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 ZADORSKY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
7
Zadorsky
F Arrieta


PLACE
9-2
8
Gypsy Tales
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
3-1
6
Deboisblanc
F Geroux


WILD CARD
12-1
4
Saltwater Taffy
L Machado





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Joke Master
C A Torres


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Foolish Front Fifi
R Miranda








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX









RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Owens Pleasure
A Beschizza


PLACE
9-5
2
Violent Point
C A Torres


SHOW
6-1
3
Duplicitous
M Murrill


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Donya Know It
F Geroux





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
1
Stanley Market
Y Navas


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Abitibi
G Corrales








* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #5 $74,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
7
Hay Stack
T Gaffalione


PLACE
5-1
8
Shes On the Rocks
G Corrales


SHOW
3-1
3
Bling
R Bejarano


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Klimts Muse
L Machado





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Sand and Sea
R Gutierrez


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Puffin
J Talamo








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX









RACE #6 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 HERE U COME AGAIN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
9
Here U Come Again
F Geroux


PLACE
5-1
8
Sweet Mimi
C A Torres


SHOW
6-1
3
Teardrop Tiara
B J Hernandez Jr.


WILD CARD
9-2
2
Hot Beach
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Pinotslilgirl
J Gilligan


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Midnight Angel
I Ayala








* EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX









RACE #7 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
6
Endpoint
G Corrales


PLACE
7-2
5
Decanted
C A Torres


SHOW
5-1
8
Peek
B J Hernandez Jr.


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Augustus Blue
J Talamo





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
4
St. Johns
D Cannon


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
7
Timetomakemischief
A Beschizza








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX









RACE #8 $74,000 ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
Padma
C J Lanerie


PLACE
7-2
4
Check Engine Light
C A Torres


SHOW
10-1
5
Miss Arlington
F Arrieta


WILD CARD
5-1
9
Garden Belle
T Heard





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Jokes On Blue
F Geroux


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
Red Hot Jeanie
J Talamo








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX









RACE #9 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
6
Fixitwithforward
J Talamo


PLACE
9-2
7
Booster Shot
F Arrieta


SHOW
5-1
2
Cosmic Storm
C A Torres


WILD CARD
10-1
3
Storm Strategy
W A Rodriguez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
4
Scotch No Rocks
A Beschizza


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Midnight Channel
R Gutierrez








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Hotlist - July 7
Jul. 06, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 5F TURF] – (7) El Grande O (B) moved to the turf for his second start and battled down the stretch getting bumped nearing the wire and finished second well ahead of the rest of the field. (2) Jimmythetooth puts blinkers on and gets Irad Ortiz to ride after running third behind the top choice in his debut. (8) Skyler’s Starship is out of a mare that earned $312,000 racing and was stakes placed as a 2-year-old. She has produced 1 winner from two that raced. (4) Perliano is from the first crop of the speedy Mitole.
4th race [NY, OC 45k/N2X, 1 mi] – (1) Olympic Dreams was second by a head in a NY-bred stakes race earning the best speed figure of his career. (6) Prince of Pharoahs gets a rider change to Irad and has past wins at this level so now runs for the claiming option. He won an open-company allowance for Rick Dutrow off the claim of $45,000. (2) Shadow Dragon won the first-level allowance last month and ran second in the Holy Bull (G3) on the Derby trail. (5) Sundaeswithsandy set the pace and missed the win by a head at this condition and is projected to be on the lead.
5th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ellis Park Hotlist - July 7
Jul. 06, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race – (4) Lupo’s Legacy was hurt by a stumbling start and a wide trip last time. Deserves a second chance here. (1) Badgeball gets Gaffalione and will benefit from a rail trip. (5) Dr. Perry was third last time and cannot be ignored. (7) Sinner’s Sin drops in class and should be a factor. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-7. Doubles: 1-4-5-7 with 6-7-8-9.
3rd race – (7) Zadorsky missed by a neck in her debut and make amends here. (8) Gypsy Tales seems set for a big try in her debut. (6) Deboisblanc was third in her debut and could move forward. (9) Alamo could turn in a memorable performance. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-8-9.
5th race – (7) Hay Stack didn’t fire in her first try against winners and could rebound here. (8) She’s On the Rocks exits stakes company and should be the main rival. (3) Bling belongs in the exotics after a third in a stakes. (4) Sand and Sea should be a threat in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-7-8. Doubles: 3-4-7-8 with 1-2-3-9.
6th race – (9) Here U Come Again debuts for Cox and looks best here. (3) Teardrop Tiara looms a major threat in her debut. (2) Hot Beach could sizzle in this spot. (1) Pinotslilgirl has speed and the rail and could last for a share. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-9.
9th race – (7) Booster Shot is worth a long look off the Hartman claim and a switch to turf. (2) Cosmic Storm will benefit from a class drop. (5) Midnight Channel may perk up in a claimer. (11) Hezmorethanready has a tough post but fits with this group. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-7-11.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=rui0707zf.pdf&exp=07/09/2023&pds=RUI_-_07/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=RUI&SAP=FREEPICS)


Ruidoso Downs - Race 6

Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Leg of .50 Pick 3



Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 77 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 3:10P


QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2023 ZIA QUARTER HORSE FUTURITY. WEIGHT: 124 LBS. LATE NOMINATIONS OF $15,000 (INCLUDES ALL FEES) WILL BE ACCEPTED UNTIL TIME OF ENTRY INTO TRIALS. THE TEN FASTEST TIMES FROM THE TRIALS WILL QUALIFY FOR THE FINAL. THERE WILL BE NO ALSO ELIGIBLE LIST FOR THE FINALS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MEIOMI NOIR: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. KJ DADDYSGOTTHEBLUES: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackM aster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BIGG WOOD DEE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. RED LETTR REVELATION: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.



7

MEIOMI NOIR

9/2


4/1




10

KJ DADDYSGOTTHEBLUES

15/1


7/1




2

BIGG WOOD DEE

5/1


8/1




1

RED LETTR REVELATION

5/2


8/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

RED LETTR REVELATION

1


5/2

Fast

67


65


1.0


0.0


0.0




2

BIGG WOOD DEE

2


5/1

Fast

80


62


1.9


0.0


0.0




3

JM SPECIAL RYON

3


7/2

Average

65


66


4.0


0.0


0.0




4

JET BLACK DOME

4


30/1

Slow

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




5

COLD FEETT

5


10/1

Average

0


0


4.9


0.0


0.0




6

BIG POSIES CARTEL

6


20/1

Average

0


0


4.4


0.0


0.0




7

MEIOMI NOIR

7


9/2

Fast

79


74


2.7


0.0


0.0




8

DADDYS PRIZED DOLL

8


15/1

Fast/Trouble-prone

0


0


1.9


0.0


0.0




9

PATRIOT ACE

9


8/1

Average/Trouble-prone

80


60


4.9


0.0


0.0




10

KJ DADDYSGOTTHEBLUES

10


15/1

Average/Trouble-prone

83


63


3.9


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for PleasantonPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=pln0707zf.pdf&exp=07/09/2023&pds=PLN_-_07/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=PLN&SAP=FREEPICS)


Pleasanton - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $1 Pick 4 (50-cent min.)(Races 4-5-6-7)



Maiden Special • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 3:14P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST THREE STARTS PREFERRED.)(IF A CAL-BRED WINS THIS RACE, THE OWNER WILL RECEIVE A $10,000 INCENTIVE AWARD DIRECTLY FROM THE CALIFORNIA THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS' ASSOCIATION.).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Trailer. GIANT KID is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GIANT KID: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GADDING: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



1

GIANT KID

8/1


9/5




6

GADDING

5/1


6/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

ADAPTED MEMORY

4


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

68


66


64.9


64.9


57.4




6

GADDING

6


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

79


69


61.5


61.5


57.0




5

RAFANELLI

5


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

75


57


54.0


54.0


48.5




1

GIANT KID

1


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

84


73


71.1


67.3


63.8




3

MAGAZINE

3


2/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


49.0


49.0


40.5




2

GRASPY

2


10/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


38.9


38.9


28.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=ctm0707zm.htm&exp=07/09/2023&pds=CTM_-_07/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=CTM&SAP=FREEPICS)



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Century Mile - Race #6 - Post: 8:45pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA (ML=2/1)
#2 HERMANITA ALEX (ML=6/1)


MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA - Zenteno rode this horse for the initial time in the last race and comes right back today. Not much speed in this race other than this racer. This horse collects a lot of dough per race. Tops in this clash. Have to give this filly a shot. Ran a good effort last race out within the last month or so. This filly garnered a good speed fig of 64 in her last affair. That figure should be high enough to triumph this time around. HERMANITA ALEX - The jock/conditioner tandem of Rizo and Frey has a strong ROI together. It looks like Rizo had to 'know' this filly on May 26th when riding her for the initial time. Back on board again today. Taking a big class drop in class rating points from her May 26th race at Century Mile. Based on that data, I will give this horse the advantage.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BRYNN'S DREAM (ML=5/2), #1 GOLDIE SOCKS (ML=4/1), #5 VIOLET CITY (ML=8/1),

BRYNN'S DREAM - The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable challenger. GOLDIE SOCKS - Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance race to be worth it at minimal odds in a sprint. This filly finished outside the top 3 on May 26th and wasn't near the winner in the last race either. VIOLET CITY - Awfully hard to wager on this horse when she hasn't been showing any signs of life recently.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA - Performance last out was strong, even though it was only good for a place effort. Was well clear of the show horse. My statistics say only a slight improvement is needed today to move up one and into the winner's circle.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #4 MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA to win if you can get odds of 6/5 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at WoodbinePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=wo0707zz.htm&exp=07/09/2023&pds=WO_-_07/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 1 LB.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



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# 1 LOVE THE GAME 4/1




# 6 IT WORKED 20/1




# 9 SWATH 3/1




LOVE THE GAME looks to be a respectable contender. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. Must be given consideration - I like the figs from the last race. Could provide positive gains based on strong recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 74. IT WORKED - Has been moving admirably and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Will make a strong showing versus this field. SWATH - Has been running soundly lately and will almost certainly be close to the front end early on. Look for a strong outing with the class drop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Emerald DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=emd0707zz.htm&exp=07/09/2023&pds=EMD_-_07/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=EMD&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



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# 6 PLAYOFF BOUND 2/1




# 5 BEL RAGAZZO 7/2




# 4 ARTHUR SPOONER 6/1




My selection in this race is PLAYOFF BOUND. Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races make this equine a contender. Ought to come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the lead recently. With a very strong 84 speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. BEL RAGAZZO - Could beat this group given the 81 speed figure earned in his last outing. He has posted solid figs under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this group of horses in this race. ARTHUR SPOONER - Is a strong contender based on numbers recorded recently under today's conditions. Earning some nice profits in dirt route events.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=elp0707zm.htm&exp=07/09/2023&pds=ELP_-_07/07/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/07/2023;TRACK_CODE=ELP&SAP=FREEPICS)



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Ellis Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:13pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 VIOLENT POINT (ML=9/5)
#7 ABITIBI (ML=10/1)


VIOLENT POINT - Have to make this mare a strong challenger; she comes off a strong effort on June 16th. She must like the track here. She just won over the track after shipping in. Earnings per race is something that I feel can be a very valuable handicapping factor. This animal is ranked at the very top in this field. ABITIBI - Finished out of the money last out at Mountaineer Park, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 10/1 makes me think she's got a chance. Sub-par effort last time out at Mountaineer Park was due to the off-going (she ended up fourth). Expect better today on a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 OWEN'S PLEASURE (ML=7/2), #1 STANLEY MARKET (ML=9/2), #5 DONYA KNOW IT (ML=5/1),

OWEN'S PLEASURE - Recorded a mediocre speed rating in the last race in a $16,000 Claiming race on Jun 16th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that rating. STANLEY MARKET - A bit of a lackluster outing when this filly finished fourth. Today's event is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance event in the last sixty days. Not the best of omens. DONYA KNOW IT - Not probable that this animal will finish better than she did last time out of the box when placing fourth.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - VIOLENT POINT - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this mare. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 94 on June 16th.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #2 VIOLENT POINT on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:

None