Wednesday 7/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 7/19/23 July 19, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The Wednesday opener is the A. P. Smithwick Memorial Handicap, a Grade-1 event for hurdlers. We will pass the race.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Cloud Forest; 3-Happy Bob
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The two morning line favorites will get the bulk of the play in this maiden $40,000 main track miler. Cloud Forest (7/5) drops to his lowest level ever and seems well-spotted to earn his diploma in his seventh career start. He is superior on speed figures to Happy Bob (8/5), but the latter is a first-off-the-claim play for Linda Rice (a massive 27% with this angle), who took the Runhappy gelding for this price out of a moderate third place performance in a sprint at Belmont Park in late May and today attracts “go-to” rider Jose Ortiz. Improvement is almost assured. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that we’ll otherwise skip.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:19 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Maddie’s Grace
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Maddie’s Grace (6/5 on the morning line) broke her maiden sprinting on turf at Aqueduct in April while earning good figure and then stayed on willingly to be second in a solid performance at this level in mid-May at Belmont Park. A repeat of either one of those two races in this starter allowance abbreviated grass dash for fillies and mares will be good enough for a return to the winner’s circle. The switch to Irad Ortiz, Jr. certainly doesn’t hurt. A complete standout on speed figures, the daughter of Hard Spun is a logical short-priced, no value, rolling exotic single.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Back Ring Luck/2b-Musical Heart
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-Dontbelate

Forecast: Owner/trainer David Jacobson has two strong entrants in this bottom-rung $10,000 claiming main track miler but we suspect one will scratch. Back Ring Luck nosedives in class following a starter’s allowance win at Delaware Park and three races back he was out photo’d in a $50,000 seller at Belmont Park. With Irad Ortiz, Jr., taking the call, he’ll logically be odds-on if he can pass the pre-race vet. Stable mate Musical Heart clearly is off form, but he has won over the Saratoga main track in the past and is a former stakes winner now racing cheap. Against this group he might perk up. The other legit player in the race is Dontbelate, a winner of three of his last four starts but from a low percentage outfit and a voided claim out of a six length romp at this level in mid-May. Best advice is to tread lightly, or simply sit it out.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Excess Demand; 3-Run Smitty Run
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Excess Demand, a former $400,000 yearling buy, won a maiden claiming $10,000 event in his second career start in mid-May at Monmouth Park by nine lengths with a good number, but after being ambitiously raised to the $50,000 level in his most recent outing in which he displayed speed but faded readily he’s back facing cheap types in this main track restricted $16,000 claiming miler. The Chad Brown-trained son of Candy Ride projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking/prompting trip outside and then have his chance to kick on when asked for his best. Run Smitty Run has a look against this group off his easy five length maiden $40,000 win two races back at the Big A. He was a non-factor on turf in a restricted (nw-2) $30,000 seller last time out but with this class drop and a return to dirt he should be reasonably competitive.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Ilikefunsize; 7-Ginuccha
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Ilikefunsize was given too much to do after being knocked back at the start to trail her rivals but then put together an extended run to finish strongly behind Wine on Tap to finish an eager runner-up in an excellent debut effort last month at Belmont Park. The barn has superior stats with the second time starter angle (26%) so we’re expecting the Laurel Park-based daughter of Upstart to graduate in this restricted maiden special weight sprint for juvenile fillies. Hopefully, she can leave cleanly and secure a reasonable early position. Ginuccha is a sneaky first timer shipping in from Parx. The barn is powerful with debut runners (29%) and daughter of the promising first crop stallion Maximum Mischief lands Irad Ortiz, Jr., so we suspect she’ll turn up a live item.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Collaboration; 9-Im Just Kiddin
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Lisa’s Vision; 8-Toolcat

Forecast: This grass grab bag requires a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go four deep and hope that will be sufficient to survive and advance. Collaboration is a progressive filly with a pair of recent first place finishes (disqualified two races back) to rate top billing in this second level state-bred allowance affair. The Linda Rice-trained filly has good tactical speed and should be able to adjust to any pace scenario. Genuine and consistent and never off the board in five career grass outings, she is quite likely to fire another big shot today. Im Just Kiddin was awarded the win when crossing the wire second behind our top pick in late May and should be somewhere in the fray once again. She can be trouble prone and a tough ride, but if she can get some cover early and relax, the daughter of Justify has the ability to win.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Sixtythreecalibur
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Gerrymander

Forecast: Sixtythreecalibur exits a series of much stronger stakes races and has recent speed figures that are stronger than par for this three-other-than allowance condition. The Gun Runner filly will greatly appreciate the class relief in this main track miler for fillies and mares and projects to enjoy a comfortable second flight, stalking position. She’s the legitimate 8/5 morning line favorite and may go a bit lower.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Cadencia
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Anna Karenine; 8-Flatfooted

Forecast: Cadencia has the route-to-sprint angle that we like, and after being worn down late over a mile at Belmont Park last time out she shortens in trip and projects to enjoy a second flight, stalking position. She’s always been happier finishing second (seven times) than winning (twice) but that record might be nothing more than a function of being raced at distances longer than she really prefers. The abbreviated dash seems perfect for her style.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Mz Big Bucks
Backups/savers: 1-Red Moon

Forecast: Mz Big Bucks just wired a similar field over seven furlongs on turf at Belmont Park and today will try to do the same when stretching out to a two-turn mile for the first time. She easily projects as the controlling speed once again and her pedigree suggests today’s trip should be well within her range, so at 5/2 on the morning line the daughter of War Dancer looks like a logical win play and a main push in the various rolling exotics.

For a video analysis of this race, click this link: New York Stallion Series Stakes (https://www.xbtv.com/video/recent/preview-of-race-10-on-july-19th-2023/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Presque Isle Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 Honey Hauler
Cutback player meets a couple pace players who might set things up for a late rally here, and I like her reliable form over the local footing. Think she's got a late claim on this.


#2 Diamond Dust
He's one of the more capable forward players lined up in here, and he caught a pretty classy and tough winner last time out. Something similar keeps him in the mix, but I worry he might have some company up top in the early going.


#6 Sogno Di Campione
Nothing wrong with his form since arriving in the country, but he's at least a mild question over the local surface, and he is another who should be in that early battle. Wide draw gives him some benefit.


Race Summary
Honey Hauler is in really good form right now and cuts back while looking for a third straight score, and she isn't overmatched here while facing the boys.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#10 Night Ride
Nothing wrong with his recent local form, and I think his running style should leave him in a great spot to track the pace and get an early jump on the deeper finishers. Interesting riser at a square price?


#5 E Minor
He should be in a spot to get a similar tactical trip, and his form took a nice step in the right direction in that local debut. Wouldn't be a surprise here.


#1 Van
He ran a good one behind a tough and well-meant winner last time out, and he has that reliable finishing form that might be enough to get him along late for a piece of this again.


Race Summary
Night Ride woke up when getting some class relief with the locals, but I think he stacks up well enough with these while rising again, even if he loses Morales this time around.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#8 Marsac
He's not all that reliable late, but I think he might be able to stick around for a piece of this if he can find the front without taking too much heat. Wouldn't be a total shock at a nice number.


#10 Cathmoor
He's an honest enough kind of grinder, but I'm not totally sure how his recent sprint pace is going to transfer around two turns. He's there if that one-paced effort extends here.


#5 Side Tracked
He's supposed to be tough in here while cutting the price tag after trying a better group last out, and one of his better tries probably keeps him in the frame again. Dangerous.


Race Summary
Marsac has some pace appeal in a race without a ton of super serious early burn, and he has some chance to relax this field behind him and try to find something late. Price should be ok.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Penn National - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 OBJET D’ART (5-1)
Worked pair of 5F bullets from the gate for first start; dam was win-early type.


#4 WISE CHOICE (2-1)
Saved ground, bulled through opening in mid-stretch, good finish for second.


#7 WEST ABBOTT (5-2)
Sat decent trip, floated out for stretch drive, beaten fave against Wise Choice.


Race Summary
OBJET D’ART debuts on turf for a barn that is 6-24 with a positive ROI the last 30 days. Her dam, Item (5-20, $210k), was a first-out winner at Penn National, second-out stakes winner at Laurel Park and a two-time allowance victor at Parx, albeit all on the main track.


Penn National - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#2 TWIST OF FAITH (7-2)
Leads for as far as he goes in first long-distance test.


#3 MIDNIGHT STRIKES (5-2)
Finished last in heavily-bet return from a nine-month layoff, sheds blinks.


#6 SIR STEELE (3-2)
Piling up the checks at this level but has yet to cash in on a win.


Race Summary
TWIST OF FAITH could be long gone on the front end if he handles his first route assignment. He set the pace in a pair of higher-tagged sprints out of town last year but came up empty chasing the longshot winner in his second start back this season. His dam was a Maiden Special Weight and two-time allowance winner at one mile. Bet to win and place.


Penn National - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 ABHAR (3-1)
Carried his speed the distance for first win in two years, can do it again.


#1 INNUENDO (6-1)
Been coming up short in the stretch in route races, still winless on fast track.


#7 COFFEE WITH ALEX (5-2)
Romped on switch to Kreiser barn, runs for cheapest tag of career.


Race Summary
ABHAR opened a long lead and won geared down, finishing 2/5 of a second slower than a same-day sprint under these conditions. He’s clearly a different horse of late and can make good use of his speed in a repeat bid. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - July 19
Jul. 18, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 K JS LEGACY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
K Js Legacy
F De La Cruz


PLACE
5-1
1
Yolo Santiago
S Sanjur


SHOW
5-2
3
Neoking
A P Ulloa


WILD CARD
9-5
4
Jahez
R Mojica Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
5
Blazen Justice
J Morales


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Cant Say Elly Mae
R A Prescott








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #2 $15,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:01 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 RIVER ANT









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
River Ant
J D Ramos


PLACE
5-2
5
Bumpy
O Mojica


SHOW
8-1
4
Dulce Victoria
M Pedroza Jr.


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Sticker
R A Prescott





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
Conquered
W A Rodriguez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Passing Attraction
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $42,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
5
Mintchocolatechip
J D Ramos


PLACE
6-1
1
Climber
M Pedroza Jr.


SHOW
3-1
3
Botox Katie
S Sanjur


WILD CARD
4-1
6
Miss Luv Shack
F De La Cruz





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
Fashion Diva
H Leahey


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
No More Fake News
M Franklin








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #4 $43,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:03 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
4
Tay
A Burgos


PLACE
12-1
2
Bruster Justice
S Sanjur


SHOW
4-1
7
Wire the Cash
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
7-2
8
Bonne Chere
J Morales





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
1
One Way Ray
J D Ramos


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
5
Good Forever
M Pedroza Jr.








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX









RACE #5 $38,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Timeless Rose
M Pedroza Jr.


PLACE
5-2
11
Pretti Xtreme
M Pedroza Jr.


SHOW
6-1
4
Bumble of Love
R A Prescott


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Queridinha Leca
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
10
Good Penny
D Cannon


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
5
Covenant Lady
A P Ulloa








* EXACTA: 3-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/11 BOX, 1/4/11 BOX









RACE #6 $36,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
8
Doros Wish
S E Bermudez


PLACE
9-2
7
Tabeguache
M Pedroza Jr.


SHOW
12-1
3
Me and Chili
O Mojica


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Call of Honor
W A Rodriguez





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
6
Jrs Gift
J D Ramos


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
5
Dog Red
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #7 $32,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Ocean Pointe
J D Ramos


PLACE
10-1
11
Great Coolness
O Mojica


SHOW
7-2
1
Nerves of Steel
J Talamo


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Rockin Justice
A P Ulloa





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
14
Circle Back Jack
G Corrales


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Jacksons Gold
J Morales








* EXACTA: 2-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 1/6/11 BOX









RACE #8 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:07 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
5
Baytown Bama Girl
H Leahey


PLACE
9-2
6
Aim Higher
S Sanjur


SHOW
6-1
9
Tidbit
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
9-5
2
Dooblay
D Cohen





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
3
Catholic Gal
D Cannon


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
13
All the Glory
M Pedroza Jr.








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX









RACE #9 $17,000 MAIDEN
250 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:35 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
9
Apollitical Ocean
F Morin


PLACE
7-2
3
Fueled by Ivory
S Jackson


SHOW
20-1
2
Tw Love Speed Racer
J M Ruiz


WILD CARD
8-1
5
Mocha Corona
L D Martinez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
8
Divine Miss B
M Munoz


ALTERNATE 2
30-1
4
Miss Royally Jettin
R D Pina








* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - July 19
Jul. 18, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $150,000 STAKES
2 1/16 MILES ON THE HURDLE - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Freddy Flintshire
P Hendriks


PLACE
9-2
8
Welshman
G Watters


SHOW
8-1
6
West Newton
S Mulqueen


WILD CARD
4-1
3
Noah And The Ark
H Beswick





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
2
Redicean
R Dunne


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
4
Historic Heart
D Mullins








* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX









RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
2
Cloud Forest
J Lezcano


PLACE
8-5
3
Happy Bob
J L Ortiz


SHOW
12-1
5
Steady Progress
D Davis


WILD CARD
6-1
1A
Vigano
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
4
Union Tap
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
7
Memphis
I Ortiz Jr.








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
4
Golden Dagger
D Davis


PLACE
9-5
11
Sa Foradada
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
6-5
1
Maddies Grace
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
12-1
3
Flip My Id
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
7
Boss of All
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
5-2
10
Mursal
M Franco








* EXACTA: 4-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/11 BOX, 1/3/11 BOX









RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
1-1
2B
Musical Heart
F Geroux


PLACE
8-1
3
Bourbons Hope
J L Ortiz


SHOW
12-1
8
Souper Catch
K Carmouche


WILD CARD
15-1
6
Grumps Little Tots
E Greenidge





ALTERNATE 1
1-1
2
Back Ring Luck
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
5
Treasure Trove
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX









RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 EXCESS DEMAND









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
9
Excess Demand
F Prat


PLACE
6-1
2
Dees Speedstre
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
15-1
4
Ginnsu Warrior
G Huayas


WILD CARD
6-1
7
Rock the Weekend
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
8
Magical Ways
J L Ortiz


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
1
Little Frappucino
L Saez








* EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX









RACE #6 $83,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
9
Khozy Colby
J L Ortiz


PLACE
6-1
7
Ginuccha
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
7-2
3
Ilikefunsize
J Toledo


WILD CARD
4-1
2
Queens Martini
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
1
Lisas Palace
J Rosario


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Crazy Cami
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX









RACE #7 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET



BEST BET: #11 AMANDAS FOLLY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
11
Amandas Folly
J L Ortiz


PLACE
3-1
7
Collaboration
D Davis


SHOW
7-2
9
Im Just Kiddin
L Saez


WILD CARD
5-1
6
Golden Rocket
J A Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Lisas Vision
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
2
Masterof the Tunes
I Ortiz Jr.








* EXACTA: 11-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/9/11 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX









RACE #8 $162,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 GERRYMANDER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Gerrymander
J Rosario


PLACE
6-1
6
Favor
L Saez


SHOW
8-5
4
Sixtythreecaliber
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
9-2
3
Nostalgic
J Alvarado





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
1
Midnight Stroll
J Castellano








* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #9 $149,500 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
1
Miss Domina
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-1
8
Fleetfooted
J Castellano


SHOW
8-1
6
Little Mombo
F Geroux


WILD CARD
3-1
3
Cadencia
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1A
Cupids Heart
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
5-2
4
Anna Karenine
I Ortiz Jr.








* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX









RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
6
Little Linzee
K Davis


PLACE
5-2
3
Mz Big Bucks
J A Gomez


SHOW
2-1
1
Red Moon
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
6-1
9
Orange Freeze
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
4
Camp Akeela
T McCarthy


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Bernt Again
M Franco








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thistledown Tip Sheet - July 19
Jul. 18, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $7,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Not a Wild Brat
J A Bracho


PLACE
2-1
2
Star Mabee
L R Rivera


SHOW
7-2
3
Boogie Boogee
G Rodriguez


WILD CARD
9-2
5
Gails Dancer
A I Diaz





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Front Circle
F Salazar Becerra


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
City Signs
R Halledeen








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #2 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
6
Joshn
R Diaz


PLACE
6-1
7
Cantrunwithbigdogs
L R Rivera


SHOW
8-1
5
Cant Crashmyparty
E Barbaran


WILD CARD
5-2
4
My Buddy Micah
R Halledeen





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
1
Election Integrity
V R Fernandez


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Marks Buddy Jacin
A I Diaz








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX









RACE #3 $12,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 WARHORSE WEST









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Warhorse West
J Sanchez


PLACE
2-1
5
Misterchilliwilli
R Feliciano


SHOW
3-1
1
Armor Piercing
V Severino


WILD CARD
4-1
2
C J All the Way
A I Diaz





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Dominar
D Smith


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Turbo Power
E Paucar








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #4 $33,900 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Halo Effect
J Torrealba


PLACE
3-1
1
Vamonos Piacente
V Salazar Becerra


SHOW
8-1
2
Broken Jewel
F Salazar Becerra


WILD CARD
5-1
8
Snazzy
L R Rivera





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
3
My Two Jakes
V R Fernandez








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX









RACE #5 $28,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Wicked Warrior
R Feliciano


PLACE
5-1
4
Speighty War
A R Ramgeet


SHOW
2-1
7
Baytown Bear
G McEntee


WILD CARD
7-2
1
Good On Ya
L M Briceno





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Tragically Quewick
Y Yaranga


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Tomato Bill
J A Bracho








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX









RACE #6 $35,800 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 DEW IT WITH STYLE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Dew It With Style
R Feliciano


PLACE
4-1
2
Mandolin Breeze
T D Houghton


SHOW
3-1
6
Kat Trax
A I Diaz


WILD CARD
5-2
3
Secrets Untold
J Torrealba





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
1
Pistol Packin Bos
E Paucar








* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #7 $7,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
6
Getoutoftheharem
J Sanchez


PLACE
5-2
3
Titebluejeans
L R Rivera


SHOW
6-1
7
Dees Ky Wildcat
A I Diaz


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Ladybuggin
E Barbaran





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
2
Busybeing Fabulous
J Torrealba


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
5
Birdies Chantz
L A Batista








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX









RACE #8 $7,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 MR CLINE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Mr Cline
R Feliciano


PLACE
5-1
7
Murtagh
T D Houghton


SHOW
5-2
6
Fishing for Fun
A I Diaz


WILD CARD
9-2
3
Silver Matt
A Guerere





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Bad Little Beast
L M Briceno


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Grand Deal
J A Bracho








* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Delaware Park Tip Sheet - July 19
Jul. 18, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 72% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
1
Divine Promise
K Trotman


PLACE
2-1
3
Providing
J Rodriguez


SHOW
10-1
4
Destined to Dance
J F Hernandez


WILD CARD
4-1
2
Chasing Artemis
K Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
5
Bounty Killah
J Mendoza


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Touch of Madness
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #2 $35,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 BORRACHO









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
3
Borracho
J Rodriguez


PLACE
6-1
1
Chief Ron
J Hiraldo


SHOW
6-1
5
Jeopardy James
R E Mena


WILD CARD
8-5
8
Stage Left
A Cruz





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
John the Bear
C Cedeno


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Holy Synchronicity
J C Alvelo








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX









RACE #3 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 SULLIVAN STREET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
9
Sullivan Street
J Rodriguez


PLACE
6-1
1
Peace Fire
A Cruz


SHOW
8-1
3
Lady Lancer
A S Arroyo


WILD CARD
9-2
7
Best Worst Idea
J Hiraldo





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
12
Ariana Valentina
A A Marin


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Sks Heart
K Gomez








* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX









RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Jardani
J Rodriguez


PLACE
4-1
1
Stacks of Silver
A Concepcion


SHOW
2-1
3
Conspiracy Fact
C Cedeno


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Deep Faith
J Torres





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Mission Key
A A Marin


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
4
Winters Ghost
R E Mena








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #5 $38,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
7
Delta Charm
J Hiraldo


PLACE
3-2
2
Mo Traffic
J Rodriguez


SHOW
6-1
6
Irish Coco
M Rowland


WILD CARD
12-1
3
Cherished Wish
J Rose





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
10
Angie From Kulm
C J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Tipsy Girl
J Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #6 $28,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-2
7
Biogenic Babe
J Rodriguez


PLACE
8-1
5
Youre the One
J Alicea


SHOW
3-1
2
Sansa Ariel
A S Arroyo


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Touisset
R E Mena





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
My Cajun Lady
C Cedeno


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Blaze On
A Concepcion








* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #7 $38,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Systemic Risk
A Castillo


PLACE
5-1
5
Expect Ours
K Gomez


SHOW
8-1
7
Insightful
R E Mena


WILD CARD
9-2
9
Chloe Rose
K Trotman





ALTERNATE 1
3-2
3
Shinelikeadiamond
J Rodriguez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
Asue
A Cruz








* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX









RACE #8 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 SUTTON VALLEY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
8
Sutton Valley
A Crispin


PLACE
4-1
9
Superstitieux
J Alicea


SHOW
8-1
7
Seeing Red
J Rose


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Notion to Tapit
C Marquez





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
6
Trophy Room
C Cedeno


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Lost a Legend
A S Arroyo








* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - July 19
Jul. 17, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3rd race [Alw 50000, 5