Friday 7/21/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 7/21/23 July 21, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Next Revolt; 10-Settecento; 7-Universal Payday
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Far West

Forecast: It’s probably wise to go to school on opening day at Del Mar to see if any track biases may exist. The dirt strip can be anything, fast or slow, pro rail or rally wide. You really don’t know until you watch a few races and even then it could change midway, so be careful. Next Revolt is racing in good form and is a three-time winner over the local track, so we’re expecting he’ll fire another big shot. The veteran gelding employs an effective stalking style and should be able to accommodate any bias or race flow. Settecento drops a notch below his claim level for an outfit that can get aggressive down here. First or second in six of 14 career starts, the Doug O’Neill-trained gelding is a tad light on speed figures but projects to enjoy a comfortable second flight journey. Universal Payday is an interesting Florida invader seeking valuable ship-and-win purse money. He’s usually a day late and a dollar short but as a one-paced grinder should have a decent chance to at least hit the board.

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RACE 2: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Dr. Venkman5-Uncle Reg; 3-Bye Bye Ray
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-Central Dispatch

Forecast: Dr. Venkman has trained like a pretty nice colt for Mark Glatt and looks ready for a major effort first crack out of a box. A :59 4/5 gate work at Santa Anita seven days ago - View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/ghostzapper/dr-venkman-outside-lisas-nonno-middle-and-mimsy-worked-5-furlongs-at-santa-anita-park-on-july-14th-2023/) - caught the eye, so in an open fray let’s go with the fresh face from a barn whose debut runners often perform better than they work. Uncle Reg got beat by a pretty nice colt when a distant second in a fast, highly rated maiden sprint at Santa Anita in late May. He rushed up inside to set quick fractions but then proved no match late while managing to save second money despite being pretty much spent in the final sixteenth. We’re expecting the lightly raced son of Lea will be a bit fitter and stronger today and stick around longer. Bye Bye Ray displayed decent ability when second in a hot sprint at Oaklawn Park in February but was subsequently disappointing in a route race and was subsequently put away for several months. He arrives from his home base at Ruidoso Downs in New Mexico with a series of workouts that should have him plenty fit, and based on his best speed figure the once highly regarded son of Ransom the Moon should fit nicely in this circuit.

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RACE 3: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-North East Star ; 7-My Moon
Backups/savers/Underneath: 2-Sakura Flavor; 12-Strikingly

Forecast: North East Star did quite well to finish a willing third in a fast and productive grass dash after costing herself whatever chance she may have had with a slow start and a wide trip. It’s a bit concerning that it’s taken her two months to make it back to the races, but her recent training track drills have been solid - View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/almendares-(outside)-and-north-east-star-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/almendares-outside-and-north-east-star-worked-5-furlongs-in-100-20-at-santa-anita-park-on-july-1st-2023/) - so we’re expecting this Phil D’Amato-trained import to take a significant step forward while stretching out to a distance she’s sure to handle. Hopefully she leave with her field today and not have too much to do. My Moon is listed at 15-1 on the morning line and is better than that. She displayed good speed from the rail in her debut in a strong turf sprint last month before gradually weakening to wind fourth (beaten four lengths) while clearing needing the race, and today on the stretch out she might be quick enough to establish the running and take this field a very long way. The daughter of Malibu Moon doesn’t strike us as a speed crazy type, so we’re hoping that she can get the trip.

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RACE 4: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Tenth Street Don; 2-Salute to Wilson; 7-Careless Kitten
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 9-Curly Esa.

Forecast: This restricted (nw-3) $16,000 claiming sprint is something of a mess, so a spread strategy is required. Tenth Street Don took forever to break his maiden but now he’s seeking his third win in a row with rising speed figures and must be viewed as a strong contender. Additionally, his recent work tab is solid and strong, indicating that another forward move is likely. Santos to Wilson has been away since last October and returns at his lowest level ever. The Eric Kruljac-trained gelding has back numbers that can win and has been successful over the local main track in the past, but after a bullet half mile drill (:46 2/5) five days ago it appears the for sale sign is up. Yes, he can win, but we suspect his connections don’t think he’s a long term proposition. Careless Kitten always has preferred to run second (eight times) rather than win (twice), but he likes this main track and may be the most dangerous of the closing types.

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RACE 5: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Don’t Worry Boss
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Smile Baby Smile

Forecast: Don’t Worry Boss ran a winning race in her debut but settled for second money in a quick race for the level when finishing four lengths clear of the rest at Golden Gate Fields last month. The daughter of Clubhouse Ride should be tighter and tougher with that effort under her belt and goes for a barn that excels (23%, strong ROI) with the second time starter angle. A sharp series of drills over the Pleasanton dirt track since her race adds fuel to the fire, so at 3-1 on the morning line in a moderate California-bred sprint for juvenile fillies there should be plenty of wagering value to be found in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 6: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Liberty Forever; 12-Helladic
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Ambivalent; 10-King Apollo.

Forecast: Helladic appears to have the most early zip in the field and has run well over this course and distance in the past. He’s also a first time Lasix user and exits two stakes races that were clearly stronger than this first level allowance dash. Unfortunately, he drew the extreme outside 12 post position and will have to be sent hard to get over and secure a good forward position. Let’s just say that he’d better not miss the break. Liberty Forever is a perfect one-for-one over the local lawn and the works at San Luis Rey Downs give strong indication that the quick son of Dixie Chatter is fit and ready to fire a big shot in his first outing since November. He’s a bit faster on speed figures than Helladic and the Peter Miller barn has powerful layoff stats (24%) so when it boils right down to it, he may be a bit easier to trust. Gotta use them both on the main ticket, though.

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RACE 7: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 11-Deservedly; 8-Clooney
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Deservedly is hung way out in the 10-hole in this main track starter allowance miler and that will make his task quite difficult, but if he can get over a secure a decent stalking position the Mark Glatt-trained gelding still might be good enough to win it. Second with a career top speed figure in a similar affair at Santa Anita in late May, the son Nyquist shows a healthy and sharp work tab to have him primed for a major effort. No worse than second in his last four starts, the lightly raced 5-year-old probably has further improvement in him. Clooney, a distant third in the same race our top pick exits, probably can step forward a bit. He gets a break in the weights with the switch to bug boy Aguilar and is most effective when held up early and allowed to run late. If the main track is playing kind to his running style, his chances certainly will increase.

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RACE 8: Post: 5:38 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Mr Fisk
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-Classical Cat; 9-Conclude; 7-Agency

Forecast: Mr Fisk will be trying turf for the first time in this year’s edition of the Oceanside Stakes, but his female family is all grass, so we suspect this son of Arrogate will move up a ton with the switch in surface. An excellent runner-up to the Haskell-bound Geaux Rocket Ride in the Affirmed Stakes last time out, he has since worked brilliantly since - View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/arrogate/mr-fisk-outside-and-fast-and-shiny-worked-5-furlongs-in-58-60-at-santa-anita-park-on-july-14th-2023/) - while giving every indication that he’s prepared to produce another significant forward move. Listed at 8-1 on the morning line and with main track numbers that make him the one to beat, the Bob Baffert-trained sophomore offers an excellent gambling proposition in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 9: Post: 6:08 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Reiquist; 5-Sir Atticus; 2-Kingdom Heart
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-Del Mar Jerry.

Forecast: It’s hard to say how much Reiquist beat when he broke his maiden in late May in just his second career start, but he certainly did it the right way and the number came up strong. This could be a decent sort of colt for Tim Yakteen, so we’ll put him slightly on top in a much better than par race for the level. Likewise, we really liked the maiden win by Sir Atticus last month at Santa Anita and expect the son of Gormley to build on that favorable impression today. The John Shirreffs-trained colt didn’t break well but quickly got in gear to stalk the pace, responded wide into the lane, and then drew clear with authority while earning a speed figure 20 points better than his first start. Today’s extra half furlong shouldn’t be an issue, and his morning line of 5-1 is quite enticing. Kingdom Heart may be the quickest in the field and will take them as far as he can. Today’s extra half furlong makes his task a bit more difficult, but he still must be feared due to his role as the potential controlling speed.

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RACE 10: Post: 6:38 ET Grade: A-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Twist
Backups/savers: 7-Lure Him In.

Forecast: Twist was his own worst enemy (broke slowly, very rank early) when a sharp runner-up (and probably best) in his U.S. debut at Santa Anita last month and anything close to that performance today minus the self-caused trouble should be good enough to handle this second level allowance field over a mile on grass. Recent drills have been quite smooth and strong - View Workout Video (https://www.xbtv.com/video/twist-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/twist-worked-5-furlongs-in-100-40-at-santa-anita-park-on-july-15th-2023/) - and his inside post guarantees a ground-saving trip, so at 3-1 on the morning line we’ll make him a strong win play and rolling exotic single.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 7/21/23 July 21, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-Same Old Fears; 2-Shards
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: We have no video on workouts in Kentucky for Same Old Fears so we’re basically flying blind on the Wesley Ward-trained juvenile, but the raw times look good, so we suspect this son of Uncle Mo has enough ability to be a major player in a race that doesn’t appear to be particularly strong. The colt’s dam (Bombo Genesis) wasn’t much but her best foal to date (King of Miami) broke his maiden sprinting on grass in New York and was a listed stakes winner over a distance of ground at Canterbury Park, so that probably explains while this homebred colt is debuting on grass. Shards breezed like a rocket ship at the OBS March sale (a bullet quarter mile in :20 3/5) but had no visible mishap when fading to third at four and one-half furlongs in his debut as the favorite at Gulfstream Park last month. Maybe turf will help.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:44 ET Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Rosebug; 1-Braganza
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Rosebug shortens to six furlongs in this entry-level sprint for fillies and mares after weakening late under pressure when second in a similar affair at Belmont Park in mid-June. A game win at this distance two races back produced a career top speed figure, so if the Bill Mott-trained daughter of American Pharoah can duplicate that performance today she should be able to return to the winner’s circle. Braganza is lightly raced, fast on figures, seeks her third straight score, and is likely to do her best work from off a second flight, ground-saving position. This six furlong distance might be a tad sharp, but with clear sailing she should have every chance in the final stages.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:20 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Classic Mark; 5-Order of Magnitude
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Classic Mark won a starter’s allowance sloppy track affair at Belmont Park in his first start off the claim for Linda Rice 17 days ago and with that condition out of the way the son of Classic Empire returns to the claiming ranks while trying to steal another purse. Most class drops following a win can be viewed suspiciously, but not from this barn. Order of Magnitude brings from South Florida good recent form that charts very well at this level. The Carlos David-trained gelding has good tactical speed and is reunited with “win rider” Luis Saez.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Blazing Sevens; 2-Lost Ark
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: It’s pretty hard to pick against Preakness St.-G1 runner-up Blazing Sevens in this year’s renewal of the listed Curlin Stakes for 3-year-olds over nine furlongs on the main track. The Chad Brown-trained son of Good Magic is fast on figures, and his narrow defeat to National Treasure (with Derby winner Mage behind him) legitimizes his 4/5 morning line status. Lost Ark is intriguing. The son of Violence won his first two starts as a 2-year-old including the Sapling Stakes like a potential star, but then got exposed when finishing far back in both the Breeders’ Futurity (sixth, beaten 10 lengths) and the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile-G1 (eased, finished last). His winning return last month in an allowance race at Monmouth Park produced a career top speed figure, though at times during that four length romp the Todd Pletcher-trained colt appeared green and unfocused. If the light switch ever goes on, lookout.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-War Prince; 7-Sinaloa; 1-Bankingonachance
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Ripe for Mischief

Forecast: Here’s a messy maiden claiming turf sprint for older New York-bred runners in which no result would surprise. Best advice is to spread as deeply as your budget allows. War Prince has the route-to-sprint angle that always catches our eye, and his only prior one-turn outing wasn’t half bad (a closing third in an off-the-turf, wet track affair). He flattened out in a pair of subsequently outings over a distance of ground but under these conditions the Rob Atras-trained son of War Dancer could do some damage from off the pace at 6-1 on the morning line. Sinaloa was sluggish early and then flat out given a race while closing a gap late without threatening in his debut at this level last month. Jose Ortiz stays aboard, so we’re expecting a much more serious effort today. Bankingonachance received some play (6-1) in his debut when an even fourth in a similar affair in mid-June. Flavian Prat rides him back, and from his rail post the son of Central Banker should be given a chance to step forward.

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RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Royal Spirit; 9-Catch the Party
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 8-O Captain

Forecast: Royal Spirit tries his hand for the first time at a mini-marathon distance and we suspect he’ll enjoy it. A one-paced grinder in middle distance affairs, the son of Into Mischief always tries hard (first or second in seven of 16 career starts) and projects to inherit a good stalking position and then have every chance when the pressure is turned on. At 8-1 on the morning line, the Linda Rice-trained colt offers a reasonable gamble. Catch That Party is logically the one to beat. He shows excellent recent form with strong speed figures in New York-bred races that chart quite well in open company, and he’s proven over the course, having finished in the frame in five of six prior starts, including two wins,.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 11-Create Trouble; 6-Treaty Obligation
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Three of the main contenders in this seven furlong maiden special weight sprint for older horses exit the same race that was won by Mount Up at Belmont Park in mid-June. The field finished in a heap – 6-Treaty Obligation, who wound up third, had a bad trip and was best – but the overall impression was that the race itself was below standard. If you’re inclined to use something out of the race, we’d suggest Treaty Obligation, who was off slowly and was stuck in traffic much of the way before finding room late while staying on gamely. However, Kentucky shipper Create Trouble may be ready to win, and at 8-1 on the morning line, offers a legitimate price chance. The son of Into Mischief was tagged late when second over a wet track in a mile affair at Ellis Park, and with only slight forward move today could be set to seal the deal in his second start off a long layoff (barn has good stats with this angle). From his outside draw, jockey Tyler Gaffalione can pick his spot and move when he wants to.

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RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Artorius; 2-Speed Bias
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Artorius captured the Curlin Stakes over this track and distance last year, and though he hasn’t won in three starts since the Chad Brown-trained colt drops into the second level allowance ranks and should greatly appreciate the softer assignment. A respectable fourth with a strong figure in his comeback in the Salvatore Mile at Monmouth Park in mid-June, the son of Arrogate seems sure to improve with that tightener behind him and being reunited with “win rider” Irad Ortiz, Jr. There should be no excuses today at 5/2 on the morning line, which seems like a fair price. Speed Bias is the likely controlling speed and given that type of trip he could take this field a very long way. His tough beat (a nose) in the Pimlico Special-G2 two runs back will make him hard to beat today, and in his most recent outing (off the board the Stephen Foster-G1) he was simply out of his element. This group certainly isn’t.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Queen Picasso
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Luguria; 7-Utilization Rate

Forecast: Half of the 10 runner field in this year’s edition of Lake George Stakes-G3 for 3-year-old fillies is trained by Chad Brown. And there isn’t one of them that doesn’t have a chance. We’re guaranteed a nice price if we look elsewhere, so how about the unbeaten Queen Picasso? She broke her maiden two turning at Gulfstream Park in good style in March and then shortened to seven furlongs at Belmont Park in the Soaring Softly S.-G3 and came away in clever style after pressing the pace to register a sharp score with complete authority. From her inside draw in this inner turf miler the Christophe Clement-trained daughter of Kingman almost certainly will be the controlling speed, and if she can sneak away without undue pressure there’s a likelihood that she’ll never look back. At 6-1 on the morning line, a reasonable gamble is available. We must note that our top pick was cross entered in the Ontario Colleen S-G3 at Woodbine on Saturday and as of this writing it is unknown which race she will compete. If she runs tomorrow, we’ll elevate Luguria and Utilization Rate to the top line of the Lake George.

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RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-Prix de West; 1-Bourbon Chase; 9-All Good Here
Backups/savers: 8-Tony O; 12-Lt. Mitchell

Forecast: Prix de West finished nowhere in his debut sprinting on main track in April at Aqueduct, but he’s not a sprinter and probably not a dirt horse, either. So, let’s give him another chance in this below average middle distance turf affair for state-bred maidens. The son of Classic Empire appears to be training well since his race and under these conditions could leave his poor debut far behind. He’s 8-1 on the morning line and nothing in this race really should be lower than that. Bourbon Chase is a seven race maiden with six in-the-frame finishes, so while he might lack a winning punch the son of Practical Joke seems likely to be somewhere in the fray, especially from his good inside draw that assures a ground saving trip. This will be his first try on turf; who knows if he’ll like it? All Good Here finished a close second in a similar maiden grass affair at Belmont Park in late June and not much more will be needed today. It wasn’t much of a race, but with just three starts behind him the son of Palace Music has a right to continue to improve.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis July 21, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands begins the week with a 14-race card. The headliners are 2-year-old trotters competing in New York Sires Stakes action. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10 (10:05 PM EST)

2-Duke Of Walner (5/2)-This was Tetrick's pick over #6 and did put in a nice effort in his season debut. Beaten even money chalk could reward backers tonight with a smooth trip.
7-Hankins Hanover (7/2)-Comes off 2 big effort, the last ending with a picture. Could be bet down and looks like the one to beat despite leaving widest of all.

Race 11 (10:30 PM EST)

3-Congress Hill Eva (6-1)-This mare ships in from Philly and comes off a couple dull tries but fits with this kind. Can win if returns to the same form shown in 4 races here in May. This is a scattered bunch and should offer a price. Has hit the board in 6 of 12 at M1 with 1 win.
6-Baby Take A Vow (9/2)-Has been facing much better and is the only filly in the race but can compete against this group of older trotters. Should have enough gate speed to race near the top of the stack and could offer a square price.
9-Lady Ruth (7/2)-This is another dropper who should relish the company. Has won 26% of its starts over the last 2 years, will take a swing and hope TMac can find a live cover flow.

Race 12 (10:55 PM EST)

2-Donato Patriot K (6-1)-Didn't have much success back in May and June facing this kind at M1. But started outside both times and recent form has been good. Joe B could work a cozy trip from this post and have the price shot in the mix at the wire.
3-Iwon't Backdown AS (5/2)-Broke in the Graduate Final but had good tries in the previous 2 starts versus that kind. Should be a threat against this softer group and Tetrick can have this 4-year-old in play off the gate.

Race 13 (11:20 PM EST)

5-Watch Me Now N (3-1)-Burned cash at even money on 6-30 but was good the previous 2 starts at this level. Draws a nice post, gets a positive driver change in Todd McCarthy and has won 4 of 16 at M1. Using and will look for an improved effort.
6-Heavens Showgirl A (9/2)-Missed a month, changed barns, and now bumps up in class after posting a win. This mare banked some decent money in Canada last year and has posted 7 wins in 27 starts. Andrew McCarthy is between the pipes and should fit well in a battle of brothers.

0.50 Late Pick 4

2,7/3,6,9/2,3/5,6
Total Bet=$12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Pick 4 Ticket | Friday, July 21 July 21, 2023 | By Frank Carulli
SARATOGA PICK 4
Friday, July 21

With one eye on the weather forecast and another on a deep and talented lineup of entries, Saratoga Pick 4 players will have to keep their fingers crossed this Friday, July 21, as they dissect three turf races and an 11-horse Maiden Special Weight sprint that encompass the 50-cent wager. Here’s a closer look:

SAR 7th race (4:34 EST) -- With little separating those that have run, three first-time starters handled by Hall of Fame trainers and another by a four-time Eclipse Award winner, go deep in the first leg of the sequence and the only one scheduled for the main track. CREATE TROUBLE is my top choice off a strong seasonal debut at one mile when he posted faster middle fractions than a same-day, $80,000 allowance optional claiming race, only to get caught late.

SAR 8th race (5:10 EST) -- ARTORIOUS, a restricted stakes winner at this distance at Saratoga last year, made his seasonal debut in a one-mile Grade III stakes at Monmouth, dueling between rivals on the turn before he was passed by three rivals who were at least 4-wide at some point in the race. He finished a head behind Trademark, who posted a 96 Beyer next-out in winning a $100,000 stakes at Horseshoe Indianapolis. SPEED BIAS led the entire way in the Grade III Pimlico Special two back until he lost a bob at the wire to favored Rattle N Roll (8-19, $1.7 million), a four-time G-III winner who beat Speed Bias again in the G-I Stephen Foster. CURBSTONE and THE REDS are both proven allowance runners, three-time winners at 1-1/8 miles and good prices in today’s field.

SAR 9th race (5:44 EST) -- Mother Nature wreaked havoc on the Saratoga turf races during opening week and more rain is in the forecast this week. Trainer Chad Brown could have as many as five starters in the featured Grade III Lake George if it remains on the grass. With fingers crossed, use LIGURA and REVALITA on the Pick 4 ticket. LIGURA backed off the pace after an alert start, looked for running room mid-turn and closed with a 7-wide flourish to prevail in the $150,000 Wild Applause at one mile on the Belmont Park lawn. REVALITA rallied behind a pair of wire-to-wire longshot winners to finish in the money in the Grade II Wonder Again and Edgewood stakes, respectively, at longer distances on the grass.

SAR 10th race (6:18 EST) – LT. MITCHELL should be on or near the lead despite breaking from post 12 and can go a long way in a field that features only one runner-up finisher in 17 combined starts on turf. He backed off the early pace from the rail last out, waited for room at the top of the stretch, then steadied in traffic in mid-stretch while the top pair were in full flight. PRIX DE WEST took some money but was outrun in a debut 6F sprint that produced three next-out winners and two runners-up. The son of Classic Empire should appreciate the added ground and stepped it up with a :47.3 breezing workout for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott, whose runners fire fresh.

Suggested 50-cent Ticket
SAR 7th Race: 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11
SAR 8th Race: 1, 2, 3, 7
SAR 9th Race: 4, 5
SAR 10th Race: 7, 12
Cost for 50-Cent Ticket: $56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Del Mar - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#7 My Moon
Think there are a handful in here with a claim on the top spot here, and this filly might offer a decent enough price while stretching out at second asking. Could see her getting a nice trip wherever her rider wants to place her near the top.


#2 Sakura Flavor
Her last two have been pretty solid and established a baseline that makes her competitive with these. The draw should lead to a cozy trip while racing in behind the speed, and she makes sense for at least a piece of this.


#5 North East Star
She might have some upside in the second start of the season, and a cleaner getaway would really serve her well today to find a good spot. Thinking she's going to be at least a little overbet, but she makes sense.


Race Summary
My Moon ran fine in her debut when just flattening late, but she's probably tighter this time around and might trip out near the top while trying two turns.


Del Mar - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Classical Cat
He'll have to fire fresh off the December layoff, but there are a few forward players drawn out wide in this field, and that may put him in a great spot with some tactical pace behind the more committed frontrunners. Lots to like.


#10 Escape Artist
Nothing wrong with the form here, and he stacked up well with stakes company back in May at Santa Anita. He'll probably run just a touch early for position, but his speed is positional enough that he shouldn't have to hustle too hard.


#5 Ah Jeez
His first start back from Dubai went pretty well when beaten just a couple lengths at 34/1 in stakes company in Louisville, and he is versatile enough to adapt to the race flow, but I think his best chance would come from settling back a bit and trying to make one run in hopes the wide-drawn speed types will set an honest tempo.


Race Summary
Classical Cat gets a strong lean for me, so I'm hoping he's ready to roll off the layoff with a little bit of class in the past running lines and a potentially perfect trip waiting for him from the fence.


Del Mar - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#10 Tesoro
The overall page looks pretty messy, but that's mostly due to the six bad races on the page all coming in stakes company. His better recent turf form has come at Golden Gate, but that might help keep the price playable as he gets some class relief again today.


#1 Twist
Wouldn't be any surprise to see him land this off a good North American debut last month, but I worry he's a bit overbet against an interesting group. Could get a nice run if covered up.


#2 Astronomer
I'm really interested to see his comeback off the November 2021 break, as he went to the bench off a 30/1 stakes upset Breeders' Cup weekend and faced some decent players in that 2-year-old campaign. Think he's logical player if he's ready.


Race Summary
Tesoro was only beaten a couple lengths in a stakes spot over this course last year, and he might be a better fit with these than it looks like at first glance. Think he's one of a couple really intriguing players to watch in the finale.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Colonial Downs - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#7 FLY FLY AWAY (7-2)
Rode rail, failed to sustain bid in final sixteenth, drop could be the answer.


#3 BACKWOODS BOOGIE (8-1)
Steady numbers, stretches out, three-time runner-up on Colonial lawn.


#9 CELERITY (6-1)
Asmussen trainee rallied into slow pace to finish third, still winless since 2021.


Race Summary
FLY FLY AWAY is winless the last two years, but he gets class relief and could sit a perfect stalking trip after he was cooked in a fast pace as the beaten favorite. He rode the rail and made a good middle move the last time Gallardo was in the saddle. Bet to win and place.


Colonial Downs - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 BEACH HOUSE (4-1)
Parlayed speed into 3-for-6 record on Colonial grass, makes seasonal debut.


#8 EVER SO D’WILD (8-1)
Re-gained momentum after steadying but flattened out badly of soft turf.


#10 HOT CAROL (8-5)
Buried weak field at Mountaineer Park, tries turf for first time on class rise.


Race Summary
BEACH HOUSE resumes her lightly-raced career off a similar layoff to when she won last year. She won turf sprints on the front end the last three times Rocco Jr. was aboard. Bet to win and place.


Colonial Downs - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 HEAVY WEIGHT (5-1)
Running out of chances but should be in hunt at decent price nonetheless.


#6 NOT AS LUCKY AS US (5-2)
Followed moves of winners in last two dirt routes at notch above.


#4 OVER THE BORDER (8-5)
Settled for minor spoils in last three starts at Penn National.


Race Summary
HEAVY WEIGHT raced up close and held on for minor awards at three distances in his last five starts on the main track. He ranged up but flattened out from post 10 in a turf sprint last out. He’s 0-for-23 but will have every chance to contend in this field. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Fair Meadows - Race 12

$2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta



Maiden • 330 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 73 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 10:35


QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CAN RUN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COLONEL RUSSELL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FABULOUS AND FANCY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating.



7

CAN RUN

3/1


5/1




9

COLONEL RUSSELL

6/1


6/1




2

FABULOUS AND FANCY

4/1


6/1




1

DOS RR

12/1


8/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

DOS RR

1


12/1

Slow

66


63


8.0


0.0


0.0




2

FABULOUS AND FANCY

2


4/1

Fast

72


56


2.9


0.0


0.0




3

FIRST TRAIN B

3


8/1

Fast

67


45


0.0


0.0


0.0




4

MISS DASHING STREAK

4


7/2

Average

64


55


5.5


0.0


0.0




5

LADY APOLLITICAL

5


15/1

Slow

0


0


8.1


0.0


0.0




7

CAN RUN

7


3/1

Average

70


66


3.8


0.0


0.0




9

COLONEL RUSSELL

9


6/1

Fast

67


60


3.0


0.0


0.0




10

BLACK WALLSTREET

10


20/1

Slow

0


0


9.1


0.0


0.0







































Unknown Running Style: FASHION BLOOD (12/1) [Jockey: Benn Cordarelton J - Trainer: Chavira Luz], LITTLE CAPI (12/1) [Jockey: Samaniego Andrew R - Trainer: Clay Buddy Leon].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Camarero - Race 2

Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3



Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 3:10P


FOR NATIVE FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 6 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * GIL HUGO VERO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Ho rse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EL KID CASAS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MI NIETO MATIAS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse 's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MY FAVORITE J C: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



5

GIL HUGO VERO

8/5


5/1




7

EL KID CASAS

2/1


5/1




6

MI NIETO MATIAS

3/1


7/1




1

MY FAVORITE J C

5/1


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

EL KID CASAS

7


2/1

Front-runner

64


60


58.8


53.0


49.0




6

MI NIETO MATIAS

6


3/1

Front-runner

60


50


58.6


50.2


44.2




2

IL CORSARO

2


4/1

Front-runner

57


46


58.0


48.0


39.0




1

MY FAVORITE J C

1


5/1

Front-runner

63


52


52.4


49.6


42.6




3

GREY CAFE

3


7/2

Front-runner

26


26


40.6


24.0


14.5




5

GIL HUGO VERO

5


8/5

Alternator/Stalker

59


56


64.0


49.4


44.4




4

PROTOTIPO

4


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

49


46


19.9


1.9


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles TownPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ct0721zz.htm&exp=07/23/2023&pds=CT_-_07/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=CT&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $32700 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, WAIVER CLAIMING, RESTRICTED OR STATE BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 8 MUAD'DIB 3/5




# 4 HERO'S MAN 6/1




# 6 JUNGLE BEAST 8/1




MUAD'DIB looks solid to best this field. Runco has this gelding racing well and is a decent selection based on the very good Equibase Speed Figures put up in sprint races lately. This gelding with Bocachica in the saddle makes him a solid contender. With a respectable 92 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. HERO'S MAN - Wagerers get an edge when playing this trainer in a dirt sprint race. With Larrosa aboard him, this gelding should be able to break out sharply here. JUNGLE BEAST - Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this racer a solid choice. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=cnl0721zm.htm&exp=07/23/2023&pds=CNL_-_07/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=07/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=CNL&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Colonial Downs - Race #5 - Post: 3:39pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 CELERITY (ML=6/1)
#4 VINTNER (ML=10/1)
#7 FLY FLY AWAY (ML=7/2)
#2 CLOSER LOOK (ML=9/2)


CELERITY - The return on investment when Cheminaud and Asmussen team up is tremendous. This gelding notched a nice fig of 85 in his last affair. That speed fig should be high enough to prove victorious in today's event. Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. VINTNER - Yanez is solid in turf routes. This equine should have no alibis if he doesn't win. FLY FLY AWAY - This gelding should give a strong account of himself in today's race. CLOSER LOOK - Have to give this mount a long look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figures on the turf at this distance. This gelding is in first-rate physical condition right now. Ended up third in the last race and comes back soon. Recent speed ratings show strong pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 CITY PLAN (ML=3/1), #5 SOUND THE CHARGE (ML=8/1), #3 BACKWOODS BOOGIE (ML=8/1),

CITY PLAN - This mount gave a lackluster effort last time out finishing third. Can't expect a reversal of fortune in today's event. SOUND THE CHARGE - This mount just hasn't looked sharp recently. BACKWOODS BOOGIE - If today's race shapes up right, all the front runners will force a pretty mean pace duel early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to record a better fig than in the last race to battle in this turf route.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #9 CELERITY to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,7,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $54000 Class Rating: 81

FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, MD SIRED RACES OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500-50,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500, IF FOR $50,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $45,000 OR




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 HAPPY CLOUDS 9/5




# 3 LIQUIDATOR 8/5




# 5 HIDEWRIGHT AWAY 10/1




I lean toward HAPPY CLOUDS here. Must be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last race. Has performed soundly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 68 avg speed rating. This equine has a wonderful win percentage in dirt sprints. LIQUIDATOR - Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet here. With a strong 73 speed rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this competition. HIDEWRIGHT AWAY - Cash has a very strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Looks very good against this group and should be one of the early speedsters.

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Saratoga - Race #3 - Post: 2:20pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 BODOCK (ML=6/1)
#7 CLASSIC MARK (ML=9/5)


BODOCK - This colt has been claimed each of his last two starts. He figures to be tough in today's race. Horse has improved at least two Equibase speed fig points in last 2 races. I look for that trend to continue in this race. CLASSIC MARK - Rider and trainer do well when they join forces. Ortiz and Rice have been dependable together. Ortiz rode this thoroughbred for the initial time last time around the track and comes right back in this race. I like to play this handicapping angle, a horse coming back off a good outing within the last month.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 PORTOS (ML=5/2), #5 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE (ML=3/1), #4 EMPIRE RIDE (ML=8/1),

PORTOS - I cannot play this habitual non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled now and then. There may be a set back this time, after the strong effort last time out. ORDER OF MAGNITUDE - When looking at today's class rating, he will have to notch a better fig than last time around the track to compete in this dirt route. EMPIRE RIDE - Will be tough for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable contenders list.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #6 BODOCK to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - July 21
Jul. 20, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $14,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
7
Universal Payday
R A Vazquez


PLACE
3-1
8
Next Revolt
D A Herrera


SHOW
6-1
6
Good Juju
A Aguilar


WILD CARD
10-1
4
Big Buzz
G Franco





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Tembo
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Tone Feelin
K Frey








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX









RACE #2 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:34 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 DR. VENKMAN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Dr. Venkman
A Aguilar


PLACE
5-1
1
Central Dispatch
H I Berrios


SHOW
3-1
5
Uncle Reg
T J Pereira


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Bye Bye Ray
M E Smith





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
Park City
J Bravo


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
7
Dazzlemesilver
K J Desormeaux








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #3 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:06 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 NORTH EAST STAR









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
North East Star
U Rispoli


PLACE
6-1
1
Oak Street Beach
D Van Dyke


SHOW
4-1
2
Sakura Flavor
M E Smith


WILD CARD
6-1
6
La Peer
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
7
My Moon
J Valdivia Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Tea Tree Bay
A Espinoza








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:38 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 CARELESS KITTEN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
7
Careless Kitten
J Bravo


PLACE
4-1
8
Tenth Street Don
K Frey


SHOW
7-2
2
Santos to Wilson
H I Berrios


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Flint Stroll
R Diaz





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Sai Con
D A Herrera


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
11
Heir
A Espinoza








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX









RACE #5 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:08 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Smile Baby Smile
R A Vazquez


PLACE
5-1
5
Peppertini
A Aguilar


SHOW
3-1
8
Dont Worry Boss
E A Maldonado


WILD CARD
10-1
2
Sky Sailing
H I Berrios





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
10
Big Rainbow
D Van Dyke


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Talent for Gold
G Franco








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX









RACE #6 $83,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:38 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
10
King Apollo
K J Desormeaux


PLACE
7-2
4
Liberty Forever
R A Vazquez


SHOW
6-1
6
Ambivalent
M Gutierrez


WILD CARD
12-1
5
Sauls Call
A Cedillo





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
1
Hot Rod Rumble
K Frey


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
8
Rexford
R Gonzalez








* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/10 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #7 $43,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:08 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
7
Keen to Go
H I Berrios


PLACE
7-2
8
Clooney
A Aguilar


SHOW
5-1
5
Goldeneye
T J Pereira


WILD CARD
10-1
10
Thirty Four Coupe
U Rispoli





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
11
Deservedly
K J Desormeaux


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Two Rivers Over
J Bravo








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX









RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:38 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 OCEANSIDE STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
1
Classical Cat
U Rispoli


PLACE
7-2
10
Escape Artist
K J Desormeaux


SHOW
6-1
9
Conclude
H I Berrios


WILD CARD
12-1
8
Kid Azteca
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Zalamo
M E Smith


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Mr Fisk
J Bravo








* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/9/10 BOX, 8/9/10 BOX



COMMENTS: CLASSICAL CAT is a perfect 2 for 2 on the grass. ESCAPE ARTIST has speed from the outside and always is there at the end. CONCLUDE stretches out for the first time and is breed for it. KID AZTECA could add value to your exotics.










RACE #9 $83,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:08 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
5
Sir Atticus
M E Smith


PLACE
5-1
3
Hard to Figure
J Bravo


SHOW
7-2
7
Reiquist
R A Vazquez


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Kingdom Heart
U Rispoli





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1
Del Mar Jerry
K J Desormeaux


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
12
Tahoe Sunrise
V Espinoza








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX









RACE #10 $84,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:38 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
11
Yes This Time
U Rispoli


PLACE
6-1
4
Crosby Beach
K J Desormeaux


SHOW
3-1
1
Twist
H I Berrios


WILD CARD
12-1
2
Astronomer
J Bravo





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Lure Him In
R A Vazquez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
9
Flashiest
E A Maldonado








* EXACTA: 11-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/11 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - July 21
Jul. 20, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $38,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Anaita
S E Bermudez


PLACE
5-2
1
Sharons Grey Hope
M Pedroza Jr.


SHOW
4-1
2
Closer Tothe Truth
M Franklin


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Out of Promises
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
6
Belgian Blue
J Elliott


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Allie Maes Revenge
J Morales








* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX









RACE #2 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:41 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 COACH PETRO









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Coach Petro
O Mojica


PLACE
4-1
4
Channel Z
R A Prescott


SHOW
5-2
3
Real Fast
J D Ramos


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Faith Runner
E Esquivel





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Washingtons Union
A Achard


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Hilton Head
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:12 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
1-1
3
Blow Sum Smoke
M Pedroza Jr.


PLACE
5-2
5
Deep Dish
A Burgos


SHOW
6-1
1
Mama Lou
M Franklin


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Incredible Justice
F De La Cruz





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
2
Elusive Justice
S Sanjur


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
Haythere Jogeegirl
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX









RACE #4 $12,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 COSMIC STARDUST









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Cosmic Stardust
H Leahey


PLACE
5-2
2
Bayou Chrome
F De La Cruz


SHOW
5-1
8
My Favorite Uncle
A Achard


WILD CARD
6-1
9
Lolas Beau
J Elliott





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
5
Ghost Bike
O Mojica


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Zen Journey
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX









RACE #5 $36,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
8
Micki Valentine
S E Bermudez


PLACE
5-1
7
Noneofyourbusiness
E Esquivel


SHOW
5-2
5
Inspired Fire
J Morales


WILD CARD
12-1
6
Martz Rosey
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
10
Force Lucky
M Anderson


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
11
Miss Monarca
O Mojica








* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX









RACE #6 $38,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 SMOKIN RICHIE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
9
Smokin Richie
E T Baird


PLACE
7-2
10
Never Have I Ever
O Mojica


SHOW
6-1
5
Retained
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
3-1
6
Chess Master
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Shimmer Me Timbers
E E Perez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Tripulante
M Pedroza Jr.








* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/9/10 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX









RACE #7 $36,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
5
S J Mater
S E Bermudez


PLACE
7-2
3
No Manches
J Elliott


SHOW
8-1
4
Black White N Gold
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Tremor
M Pedroza Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
8
Dattts Life
H Leahey


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
9
Inclined
R A Prescott








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #8 $28,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
7
Epimythium
M Anderson


PLACE
5-1
3
Firewater Jake
R A Prescott


SHOW
6-1
1
Major Wager
M Pedroza Jr.


WILD CARD
12-1
5
Nicholas Jones
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
2
Race Craft
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
The Queens Jules
D Cannon








* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #9 $40,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
1
Star Wisher
M Pedroza Jr.


PLACE
12-1
4
Swift Temple
R A Prescott


SHOW
5-1
5
Stormy Wager
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
15-1
2
America Rules
E E Perez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
10
Wildcatjustice
S E Bermudez


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
6
Skippinjustice
J D Ramos








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #10 $18,500 ALLOWANCE
330 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Booray
M Munoz


PLACE
9-5
8
Good Time Stoli
G Vazquez-Gomez


SHOW
10-1
6
Hidden Prize
E Diaz


WILD CARD
9-2
5
Three X a Ladie
L D Martinez





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
3
Ec Prosperity
D Villamil Bocanegra


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
4
Sum Beach Sum Were
F Morin








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Tip Sheet - July 21
Jul. 20, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track


ACE #1 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
2
Shards
L Saez


PLACE
7-2
4
Every Four Years
M Franco


SHOW
5-2
7
Same Old Fears
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Billy the Greek
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Reverend Moon
J Rosario


ALTERNATE 2
5-2
9
Foxhole
I Ortiz Jr.








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX









RACE #2 $162,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 BRAGANZA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Braganza
L Saez


PLACE
9-5
3
Rosebug
J Alvarado


SHOW
7-2
6
Headland
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
9-2
5
Top Gun Girl
J R Velazquez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Edie Meeny Miny Mo
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Hey Mamaluke
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Order of Magnitude
L Saez


PLACE
9-5
7
Classic Mark
J L Ortiz


SHOW
5-2
3
Portos
J Alvarado


WILD CARD
8-1
4
Empire Ride
T McCarthy





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
2
Cumberland Blues
J Rosario


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
Bodock
R Santana Jr.








* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #4 $135,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $135,000 CURLIN STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
4
Scotland
J Alvarado


PLACE
4-5
3
Blazing Sevens
F Prat


SHOW
4-1
2
Lost Ark
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Perform
J L Ortiz





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
5
Il Miracolo
L Saez








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX



COMMENTS: SCOTLAND has shown talent now needs to show that he can get the distance and face better. BLAZING SEVENS is the class of the field but will be coming off the pace. LOST ARK second start off layoff and has plenty of talent. PERFORM is the only horse in the field with a win at this distance.










RACE #5 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 SINALOA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
7
Sinaloa
J L Ortiz


PLACE
4-1
3
Ripe for Mischief
L Saez


SHOW
6-1
8
War Prince
M Franco


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Academy Choice
K Davis





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
Bankingonachance
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
11
Vaunted
D Davis








* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX









RACE #6 $149,500 ALLOWANCE
1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
2
Danzigwiththestars
L Saez


PLACE
5-1
6
Irwin
J L Ortiz


SHOW
6-1
7
Good Medicine
F Prat


WILD CARD
7-2
9
Catch That Party
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
C Falls
R Santana Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Royal Spirit
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX









RACE #7 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
5
Abadin
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
4-1
9
Coalville
J L Ortiz


SHOW
6-1
2
Big Night Out
D Davis


WILD CARD
8-1
11
Create Trouble
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
6
Treaty Obligation
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Lucency
J R Velazquez








* EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/9/11 BOX









RACE #8 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Speed Bias
L Saez


PLACE
5-2
7
Artorius
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
9-2
6
Bright Future
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Curbstone
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Constitutionlawyer
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Kuchar
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX









RACE #9 $175,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $175,000 LAKE GEORGE STAKES GIII









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
7
Utilization Rate
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
5-1
3
Tax Implications
M Franco


SHOW
3-1
4
Liguria
F Prat


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Revalita
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Queen Picasso
J L Ortiz


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
Surge Capacity
J Rosario








* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX



COMMENTS: UTILIZATION RATE should get to the front early and was real impressive last time out. TAX IMPLICATIONS always there at the end. LIGURIA might be the one to beat but not willing to take low price. REVALITA still looking for the first win on turf but is always around at the end.










RACE #10 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
9
All Good Here
F Prat


PLACE
8-1
7
Prix de West
J Alvarado


SHOW
8-1
12
Lt. Mitchell
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
5-1
11
Stow On the Wold
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
1
Bourbon Chase
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Mission Hill
J Rosario








* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/9/12 BOX, 7/11/12 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Woodbine Tip Sheet - July 21
Jul. 20, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $36,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
2
Stormy Soul
R M Hernandez


PLACE
4-1
7
Maximus Momentus
L Salles


SHOW
3-1
5
Tricky Magician
S Vives


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Big Investment
J L Campos





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Racing in the Rain
E Wilson


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Sea Scout
J Crawford








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX









RACE #2 $7,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 MY SONG BABY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
6
My Song Baby
R W Walcott


PLACE
5-2
1
Video Vida
A Vandermeersch


SHOW
7-2
7
Unexpected Outcome
E Flores


WILD CARD
8-1
3
J M R Turek
S Jadoo





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Sing Dixie
S Chernetz


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
Its Me Mario
J Stein








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX









RACE #3 $111,600 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 ALPHA MEISTER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
4
Alpha Meister
D Carroll


PLACE
9-2
6
Kid Marvelous
K Kimura


SHOW
7-2
1
Towns Warrior
E Wilson


WILD CARD
3-1
7
Royal Quality
R M Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
The New Maybe
S Chernetz


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Star Redemption
L Contreras








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX









RACE #4 $41,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:40 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 JACK THE CAT









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Jack the Cat
K Kimura


PLACE
9-5
3
Solar
L Contreras


SHOW
8-1
4
H C Holiday
S P Husbands


WILD CARD
8-1
8
Reliability
J Hoyte





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Dixie Giant
D Moran


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
Native Prince
J L Campos








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX









RACE #5 $7,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:13 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Big Warden
J L Campos


PLACE
7-2
2
Tall Water
J Crawford


SHOW
2-1
3
Foresters Turn
E Flores


WILD CARD
10-1
4
Supremeaction
K Johnson





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Bokermin
R Munger


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Upstart Gentleman
D Bynoe








* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #6 $111,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Silent Reserve
E Flores


PLACE
10-1
4
Discreet Tune
S Civaci


SHOW
2-1
6
Napa Spirit
E Wilson


WILD CARD
9-2
7
Determined Fury
R M Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Abisko
P Husbands


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
Western Trouble
K Kimura








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX









RACE #7 $23,500 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:17 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Quiet Out East
R M Hernandez


PLACE
9-5
6
Kiddie Holiday
P Husbands


SHOW
6-1
4
Sand Dancer
S Civaci


WILD CARD
3-1
1
Lion Kingdom
O Moreno





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
2
Just Start Me Up
A Vandermeersch


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
7
Full Extreme
R W Walcott








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #8 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
7
Torys Holiday
S Civaci


PLACE
7-5
2
Mentoring
K Nicholls


SHOW
12-1
3
Palace Ring
A Vandermeersch


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Gizmos Mission
S Vives





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Dancin Deputy
J Stein


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Chunky Monkey
E Wilson








* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ellis Park Tip Sheet - July 21
Jul. 20, 2023




Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.






RACE #1 $16,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 NOTION









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Notion
G Saez


PLACE
2-1
6
Batukhan
C A Torres


SHOW
5-1
3
Tropic Storm
R Bejarano


WILD CARD
9-2
1
Cronus
K J Asmussen





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
2
Blame Shifter
C A Emigh


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
4
Navy Soul
W A Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #2 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
1
Ransam Paynter
C A Torres


PLACE
3-1
3
Mr. Commander
M Murrill


SHOW
9-5
6
King of Kentucky
K J Asmussen


WILD CARD
9-2
5
The Big Mozz
T C Stevens





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Cravensworth
Y Navas


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Redhill
W A Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 MENA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Mena
F Geroux


PLACE
4-1
3
Omex
M Chuan


SHOW
3-1
5
Pass the Hat
E Morales


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Phreddie Mac
C A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
7
Hey Joe Joe
B J Hernandez Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Lead Foot
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #4 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
3
Curlins Incharge
M Chuan


PLACE
10-1
4
Fightertown
J Gilligan


SHOW
3-1
2
Just a Photo
B J Hernandez Jr.


WILD CARD
8-1
8
Coal Boss
F Geroux





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Fightn Ready
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Sapelo Sound
G Saez








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX









RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 APOLLO RISING









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
7
Apollo Rising
G Corrales


PLACE
4-1
1
Single Ruler
D Cohen


SHOW
6-1
4
Seven Flat
R Bejarano


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Constitutional Law
F Arrieta





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Princely
C A Torres


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Jewelstown
M Murrill








* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX









RACE #6 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Timberlake
F Geroux


PLACE
6-1
4
Northern Flame
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
5-2
6
Can Group
R Gutierrez


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Card Trick
C A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
West Saratoga
R Bejarano


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
9
Black Diamond
C Landeros








* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Gregorys Pride
J Talamo


PLACE
4-1
6
Atras
C A Torres


SHOW
9-2
11
Willtorun
L Machado


WILD CARD
7-2
3
Field Day
B J Hernandez Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Tilted Towers
C A Emigh


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Bourbon Heist
Y Navas








* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/11 BOX, 3/6/11 BOX









RACE #8 $74,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Havildar
F Geroux


PLACE
6-1
3
Cant Hush This
M Chuan


SHOW
10-1
8
Redemption Time
R Gutierrez


WILD CARD
4-1
9
Family Man
C J Lanerie





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Shotshell
K J Asmussen


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Maasai Warrior
R Bejarano








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX









RACE #9 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
9
Under Advisement
D Cannon


PLACE
5-2
7
Sassy Walker
J Talamo


SHOW
8-1
6
Inventing Anna
F Geroux


WILD CARD
10-1
8
Islandinthestream
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
4
Evergrande
C A Torres


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Pure Country
R Bejarano








* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Hotlist - July 21
Jul. 20, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (8) Net Revolt already owns three wins at Del Mar and comes off a big score at Los Al. Gets the nod here. (4) Big Buzz looms a stretch threat in this field. (1) Tone Feelin should work out a good trip from the rail. (2) Far West is worth a look off the Miyadi claim. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-8. Doubles: 1-2-4-8 with 3-5-6-7.
2nd race – (3) Bye Bye Ray was second in his first two starts and then faded to ninth. Hasn’t raced in five months but seems ready for a strong showing here. (5) Uncle Reg was second last time and should be the main rival. (6) Dr. Venkman is an interesting first-time starter. (7) Dazzlemesilver was third in three of four starts and should be in the picture again. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6-7.
6th race – (4) Liberty Forever is speedy and returns to turf and may not look back in this field. (9) Chasin Munny adds blinkers and is worth a look. (8) Rexford was second last time and belongs in the exotics. (6) Ambivalent should be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-6-8-9.
8th race – (10) Escape Artist had a nice prep for this in an allowance race and seems primed for a big effort. (1) Classical Cat has the rail and seeks a third straight win but has not raced since December. (9) Conclude has plenty of speed and could be tough to catch here. (11) Panic Alarm could make some noise in his U.S. debut. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-9-10-11. Doubles: 1-9-10-11 with 1-3-5-7.
9th race – (3) Hard to Figure exits stakes company and should appreciate the class relief here. (1) Del Mar Jerry will appreciate the cutback to a sprint. (5) Sir Atticus was an impressive maiden winner and merits attention here. (7) Reiquist romped last time and cannot be ignored here. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - July 21
Jul. 20, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
5th race [NY, Md 40000, 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Friday, July 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Washington
New York
New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, July 21

https://i.imgur.com/ZJa3YmN.png

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, July 21

https://i.imgur.com/XxVgaUB.png

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHICAGO CUBS are 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) when playing on Friday in the current season.

COLORADO is 85-57 SU (22.3 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 55-36 SU (15.4 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) in July games in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 Under (11.6 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 65-88 SU (-31.8 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 14-1 Under (12.9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

NY METS are 19-43 SU (-28.3 Units) in an inter-league game in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 16-5 SU (10.5 Units) in road games when the money line is +125 to -125 in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 91-65 Under (19.5 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 17-44 SU (-31.4 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 94-104 SU (-20.4 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) revenging 6 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 40-82 SU (-50.2 Units) in home games as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, July 21

https://i.imgur.com/TQAviHE.png

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, July 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://i.imgur.com/9Kgdi3O.png

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 21

National League
St Louis (44-53) @ Cubs (45-51)
— Flaherty is 4-0, 3.24 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 1-3, 5.71 in nine starts at Wrigley.


— Cardinals are 9-2 in last eleven games.
— Cardinals are 22-27 on road.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-4


— Steele is 1-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
— He is 2-0, 3.00 in two starts vs St Louis this year.


— Cubs are 7-6 in their last 13 games.
— Chicago is 4-10 in last 14 home games.
— over 13-2 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-96
— record in first 5 innings: 41-42-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5.1


Colorado (37-59) @ Miami (53-45)
— Rockies haven’t named a starter.


— Colorado is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Colorado is 1-12 in its last 13 road tilts.
— under 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 32-50-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-3-x


— Garrett is 3-0, 3.26 in his last seven starts.
— Miami is 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-8
— He is 0-1, 3.29 in three starts vs Colorado.


— Miami is 0-6 since the All-Star break.
— Marlins are 30-18 at home.
— over 9-3-2 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-98
— record in first 5 innings: 43-35-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-2


San Francisco (54-43) @ Washington (38-58)
— Wood is 2-1, 3.71 in his last four games.
— Giants are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He is 6-5, 3.17 in 15 starts vs Cincinnati.


— Giants are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— San Francisco is 28-21 on road.
— under 14-3-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-95
— record in first 5 innings: 41-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 10-2-3.2


— Irvin is 1-1, 5.49 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 4-9 in his starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9-2
— He threw 6.1 scoreless IP in his one start vs San Francisco May 8.


— Nationals are 1-4 in last five games.
— Washington is 15-32 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 33-96
— record in first 5 innings: 35-50-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-x


Arizona (54-43) @ Cincinnati (52-46)
— Henry is 2-1, 2.20 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.


— Arizona is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— Arizona is 28-19 on the road.
— under 11-5-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-97
— record in first 5 innings: 42-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2-1


— Lively is 1-1, 2.79 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 4-5 in his starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-9
— record in first 5 innings: 35-4
— He 0-2, 9.22 in three starts vs Arizona.


— Reds are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Cincinnati is 25-26 at home.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 32-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 10.2-3-1


Atlanta (62-33) @ Milwaukee (54-43)
— Soroka is 2-1, 5.40 in four starts.
— Braves are 3-1 in his starts
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.


— Atlanta lost four of last five games.
— Braves are 30-14 on road.
— under 11-7 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-95
— record in first 5 innings: 56-26-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3.1-3


— Peralta is 1-1, 3.74 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 7-3 in his home starts.
— over 4-2 last six home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 3-1, 3.09 in four starts vs Atlanta.


— Brewers are 13-5 in their last 18 games.
— Milwaukee is 28-22 on the road.
— under 7-0 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 43-40-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-1


American League
Baltimore (59-37) @ Tampa Bay (60-40)
— Bradish is 4-1, 1.44 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 11-6 in his starts
— under 5-2-2 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— you’re reading armadillosports.com (http://armadillosports.com)
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
— He is 1-1, 7.98 in three starts vs Tampa Bay


— Orioles won 10 of last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 29-17 on road.
— over 15-7-3 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-96
— record in first 5 innings: 44-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-4.1-4


— Eflin is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 9-1 in his home starts
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— you’re reading armadillosports.com (http://armadillosports.com)
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 1-2, 4.74 in three starts vs Baltimore


— Tampa Bay lost 11 of its last 14 games.
— Rays are 35-16 at home.
— under 8-2-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 34-100
— record in first 5 innings: 55-35-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-3


Kansas City (28-70) @ Bronx (50-47)
— Marsh is 0-3, 6.00 in three starts.
— Royals are 0-3 in his starts
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.


— Royals are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— Royals are 13-34 on rad.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-98
— record in first 5 innings: 28-55-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-5


— Schmidt is 3-0, 4.41 in his last three starts.
— New York is 7-12 in his starts.
— under 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-5
— This is his first start vs Kansas City.


— New York is 2-9 in its last 11 games.
— Bronx is 28-23 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 26-96
— record in first 5 innings: 42-36-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-x


White Sox (41-57) @ Minnesota (50-48)
— Lynn is 2-0, 4.42 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 7-4 in his last eleven starts.
— over 10-4 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
— He is 2-2, 4.50 in nine starts vs Minnesota.


— Chicago is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
— White Sox are 20-32 on the road.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-98
— record in first 5 innings: 36-48-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-3.1


— Ryan is 0-2, 7.58 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 11-8 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
— He is 0-0, 1.80 in two starts vs Chicago.


— Twins are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— Minnesota is 26-22 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-3


Toronto (54-43) @ Seattle (48-48)
— Kikuchi is 1-1, 3.90 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 13-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
— He threw 6 shutout IP in his one start vs Seattle.


— Toronto won nine of last 12 games.
— Blue Jays are 27-23 on road.
— under 13-4-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-97
— record in first 5 innings: 39-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-3


— Miller is 3-0, 2.45 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 7-5 in his starts.
— under 8-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto


— Seattle is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Mariners are 27-24 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 44-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2


Houston (54-43) @ Oakland (27-72)
— Valdez is 0-1, 5.50 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 8-3 in his last 11 starts
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-6
— He is 2-0, 0.60 in two starts vs Oakland this year.


— Astros split their last ten games.
— Houston is 29-21 on road.
— over 4-3 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-97
— record in first 5 innings: 48-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-1.2


— Sears is 0-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 5-14 in his starts
— under 7-3-1 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— He is 0-0, 4.00 in two games (1 start) vs Houston.


— A’s are 2-9 in their last 11 games.
— Oakland is 14-37 at home.
— over 9-3 last dozen home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-99
— you’re reading armadillosports.com (http://armadillosports.com/)
— record in first 5 innings: 27-56-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.2-3


Interleague games
San Diego (46-51) @ Detroit (44-52)
— Lugo is 0-0, 4.15 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 2-8 in his last ten starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit


— Padres lost four of last six games.
— San Diego is 21-28 on road.
— over 11-5-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 45-40-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3


— Olson is 1-1, 2.92 in his last three starts.
— Tigers are 3-3 in his starts
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.


— Detroit is 6-3 in its last nine games.
— Tigers are 20-25 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 24-96
— record in first 5 innings: 34-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2


NY Mets (45-51) @ Boston (51-46)
— Senga is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 5-8 in his last 13 starts.
— under 11-2 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.


— Mets won three of last four games.
— Mets are 22-29 on road.
— under 14-6-3 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-96
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-1-4


— Paxton is 2-1, 4.32 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 5-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— He is 1-1, 4.30 in three starts vs New York.


— Red Sox won 11 of last 15 games.
— Boston is 26-22 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 36-49-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-4-x


Philadelphia (52-44) @ Cleveland (47-49)
— Suarez is 1-2, 6.19 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1-2 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5
— This is his first start vs Cleveland.


— Phillies are 26-12 in their last 38 games.
— Phillies are 26-25 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 28-96
— record in first 5 innings: 40-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-4-3


— Williams is 1-2, 4.76 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.


— Guardians are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Cleveland is 23-27 on the road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 28-96
— record in first 5 innings: 40-38-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-x


Los Angeles (55-40) @ Texas (58 -39)
— Gonsolin is 1-1, 5.75 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He gave up a run in 3 IP, in his one start vs Texas.


— Dodgers won nine of last 12 games.
— Dodgers are 26-24 on the road.
— over 12-5 last 167games
— scored run in first inning: 38-95
— record in first 5 innings: 46-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x


— Heaney is 1-2, 6.63 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 10-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 1-2, 5.67 in six starts vs Los Angeles.
— He pitched for the Dodgers last season.


— Texas is 6-0 since All-Star break.
— Rangers are 33-18 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 59-28-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4.2


Pittsburgh (42-54) @ LA Angels (49-48)
— Oviedo is 0-4, 4.83 in his last five starts.
— Pittsburgh lost his last seven starts.
— under 7-2-1 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.


— Pirates are 3-12 in their last 15 games.
— Pittsburgh is 19-28 on road.
— over 10-2-1 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-96
— record in first 5 innings: 35-45-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-3.1


— Ohtani is 0-2, 9.00 in his last two starts (10 IP).
— Angels are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Pirates.


— Angels are 4-1 in their last five games.
— Angels are 27-22 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 26-97
— record in first 5 innings: 41-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-x

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, July 21

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