PDA

View Full Version : Thursday 8/3/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc



Can'tPickAWinner
07-31-2023, 09:12 PM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:07 AM
Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 8/3/23 August 3, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Dark Vintage; 4-Rastaman Vibe; 5-Eisenhower
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Murphy Boy.

Forecast: Here’s a tough maiden turf sprint to kick off the Wednesday program. Dark Vintage probably isn’t any world beater, but he does have the benefit of a prior outing and looks like the logical top pick for trainer Wesley Ward. The Irish-bred colt flashed speed in his debut in New York before weakening late to finish third and should be tighter and fitter today for a barn that hits at a powerful 24% with second time starters. Rastaman Vibe and Eisenhower have done some decent work leading up to their debuts and should be competitive at the very least. Both are by sires who excel with turf runners, so they may even be better than the dirt track drills indicate.

*

RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Austonian
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-Winning Idea.

Forecast: Austonian shows up in a maiden ($50,000) claimer for the first time and also is a first time gelding, so there are at least two strong reasons to believe that the son of Smiling Tiger is ready to step forward and graduate. Back sprinting and with a solid recent series of drills, the Brian Koriner-trained sophomore doesn’t really have a whole to beat according to his decided edge in the speed figure department. He’s 9/5 on the morning line and that looks like a proper price in a soft abbreviated sprint.

*

RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Brother Reid; 9-Table for Two; 4-Thirsty Pappy; 7-Overrule.
Backups/savers/Underneath: 2-Cali Bay; 5-Battle Call.

Forecast: This grass grab bag requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Spread as deeply as your budget allows. Brother Reid lacks tactical speed and needs as much help up front and he can get, but the Vladimir Cerin-trained gelding likes this turf course and just missed by a head at 28-1 in a similar affair at Santa Anita in mid-June. There should be sufficient pace signed on to compliment his style, so we’ll take a mild shot at or near his morning line of 5-1. Table for Two is a fit on numbers and is a versatile type that can be dangerous on any surface. His best puts him right there. Thirsty Pappy drops into a restricted (nw-2 $32,000 seller for the first time and should greatly appreciate the easier competition. He’s a one paced grinder with a projected mid-race trip and could easily outrun his 15-1 morning line price. Toss him in. Overrule is another exiting a tough affair and should be highly competitive based on his maiden claiming $50,000 score at Santa Anita two runs back. He’s probably most effective as the controlling speed, but there’s no guarantee he’ll be handed the early lead without having to work for it.

*

RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Big Novel
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none

Forecast: Though a tad disappointing when failing to seal the deal as the 4/5 favorite, Big Novel finished a solid runner-up in a downhill turf sprint in late June in her first outing off a layoff, should build on that performance today, and can be just as effective on dirt and over a distance of ground. The John Sadler-trained filly has consistent recent speed figures and is multiple stakes placed over the Del Mar main track, so as the morning line 8/5 favorite, the daughter of Mr. Big should have no excuses in this state bred, first level allowance main track miler. In a race that should have moderate early fractions, she projects to be on or near the lead throughout.

*

RACE 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Itzel
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Itzel is the quickest in the field and should be able to clear the pack early and roll all the way to the wire in this abbreviated turf dash for first level allowance fillies and mares. The lightly raced daughter of Mo Town earned a career top speed figure when second as the favorite in a similar affair over six furlongs at Santa Anita in mid-June and should greatly appreciate today’s shorter (by a furlong) trip. At 5/2 on the morning line, she’s a solid play in the straight pool and in the various rolling exotics.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference) : 3-Sheza Girly Girl
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Del Mar course specialist Sheza Girly Girl returns to her claim and level and looks capable of regaining her winning form in this state-bred allowance optional $20,000 claiming main track sprint. The veteran mare shows three wins from five career starts over the Del Mar main track and although her recent form is below her best she did earn a strong speed figure when third in a similar affair at Los Alamitos in her most recent outing. Her morning line of 4-1 seems about right, so let’s take a stand and make her a win play and rolling exotic single in what appears to be a fairly wide open heat.

*

RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Jack Sixpack; 5-Tiz Plus
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Jack Sixpack has been sprinting of late, but he can be just as effective around two turns, especially in races in which he projects as the controlling speed. A perfect one-for-one over the Del Mar grass course, the son of Bluegrass Cat catches a field that he can control from gate to wire according our pace projections and given that type of trip the Phil D’Amato-trained gelding will offer excellent wagering value at 4-1 on the morning line. Tiz Plus shows the blinkers off angle that we like and has numbers that make him competitive. However, he’s winless since 2019, making him a tad hard to trust.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Princess Tenko; 1-Electric Glide
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Lt’s Choice.

Forecast: Let’s try to get by using a couple of middle priced horse in the finale. Princess Tenko is a Gulfstream Park invader seeking valuable ship-and-win purse money and to make things easier the daughter of Good Magic plummets to the bottom-rung maiden $20,000 claiming ranks. She’s hit the board just once in four career starts but has earned speed figures that are more than good enough to handle this modest assignment. She’s listed at 4-1 on the morning line and is a strong play at or near that price. Electric Glide is slower on numbers than our top pick but represents inside speed and seems certain to establish the running and have every chance from there. This is a group she should be able to act with at 6-1 on the morning line.

*

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:07 AM
Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/3/23 August 3, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-B D Saints; 3-Cold Plunge
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Get Spooled; 5-Dancing Mischief

Forecast: There are many question marks and unknowns for the player to deal with in the Thursday opener, a maiden special weight turf route for New York-bred juveniles. Tread lightly. B D Saints has the benefit of a prior run, removes blinkers, and goes for a barn whose maidens usually improve with experience. The Ellis Park shipper seems as good as any. Cold Plunge from Delaware Park for a barn that does with debut runners and as a son of Point of Entry certainly is bred for grass. With the presence of Irad Ortiz, Jr. in the saddle, he could turn up a live item.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:44 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Union Lights; 4-Invisible War
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Union Lights has solid recent numbers and takes a logical class drop to the restricted (nw-3) $16,000 level that looks like a winning move. He’s been a bit of a money burner of later but his last outing, a good runner-up while well clear of the rest, may be good enough to win if repeated today. Invasion War drops below his claim level, adds blinkers, and has several back speed figures that are better than par for this level. He lacks a true style – he’s not a speed horse and not really a closer, either – but against this group he’s a major player.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:20 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Implementation; 1a-Inevtabl Connection
Backups/savers/Underneath: none

Forecast: Implementation is a first-off-the-($30,000) claim play for Saffie Joseph, Jr. (strong 21% with this angle) and, in a sign of confidence, is protected in starter’s allowance company in his first outing since April. The son of Constitution seeks his third straight and score and has numbers that are good enough to extend the streak. As a prototype late running sprinter with a prior win over this six and one-half furlong trip, he should have every chance to produce a winning late kick. Inevtabl Connection might find this extended sprint distance a bit taxing but if he can shake loose early from his comfortable outside post under Irad Ortiz, Jr., the son of Connect could be hard to catch.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Its Cold in Dehere; 5-Run Devil
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Its Cold in Dehere drops from $20,000 to $12,500 in his first start off a Linda Rice claim – you see that a lot – so the question isn’t whether she’s good enough to win, but rather if she’s sound enough to pass the morning vet check (you see that a lot, too). First or second in21 of 44 career starts, she’ll be hard to beat if feeling up to it. Run Devil is another huge class drop – she’s plummeting from the $40,000 ranks after being haltered for $20,000 two races back – and is another whose current condition must be questioned, but not her ability to win at this level based on her previous form. Clearly, this is a race to treat with caution.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Timbuktu; 5-Gem Mint Ten; 9-One Headlight.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none

Forecast: Timbuktu looked sharp winning a starters allowance $50,000 affair at Belmont Park last month while earning a career top speed figures and a repeat of that outing today makes him tough right back in this state-bred first level allowance turf router. The son of Munnings shows a prior win over local lawn and projects to enjoy a comfortable second flight, ground saving trip from his favorable rail draw. Gem Mint Ten is a fit on numbers and will appreciate this class drop from state-bred stakes company and the stretch out in trip. One Headlight is lightly raced and improving and never worse than second in three career starts. He’s stepping up from a maiden win but has plenty of room for further improvement and given his connections is sure to receive plenty of play.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Destiny Star; 1-Khozy Colby; 10-Tempting Lady
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 8-Hidden Class.

Forecast: This maiden special weight sprint for juvenile state-bred fillies is a typical grass grab bag with several first timers that are almost impossible to classify. Best advice is to include as many as your budget allows in rolling exotic play. Destiny Star, from the first crop of Catholic Boy, appears to have done some good working leading up to her racing debut and seems as good as any. Bred for grass on both sides of her pedigree, she hails from a barn that has competent stats with debut runners and a series of solid workout that should have her plenty fit. Khozy Colby has the benefit of two solid efforts under her belt, both good runner-up efforts on dirt – and if she can duplicate either one of those races on grass the daughter of Khozan will be quite formidable. Tempting Lady okay breezing a furlong in :10 2/5 at the Timonium Sale and seems better than her 15-1 morning line might indicate. She’s a price chance worth tossing in.
*

RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-I’mhavingamoment; 7-Tempermental
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Security Code.

Forecast: I’mhavingamoment earned a career top figure when beating non-winners of two allowance state bred competition at Belmont Park last month in clever fashion and moves into the second level allowance ranks with a second flight, stalking style that works well at this extended sprint distance. A bullet half mile drill since raced (:47 4/5, fastest of 63) indicates that further improvement is likely, so at 5/2 on the morning line we’ll put her on top. Tempermental, a $32,000 Chris Englehart claim (a strong 21% with this angle), switches to the main track and won his most recent dirt start back in March. She has numbers that fit and should be heard from in the final furlong.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Pipeline
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Pipeline makes his first start since the Breeders’ Cup Mile at Keeneland last November and will greatly appreciate the softer assignment (no Cody’s Wish) in this second level allowance main track miler. In the frame in all three of his previous starts over the Saratoga main track, the lightly raced 5-year-old son of Speightstown shows a relatively light recent work tab but hails from a barn that is lethal with comebackers (30%) and simply should outclass this field. However, at 3/5 on the morning line, there’s little wagering value to be found.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-War Like Goddess
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: War Like Goddess was victimized by a poor trip and creepy-crawler pace and never was a factor at 3/5 in the New York Stakes-G1 at Belmont Park in early June. Toss the race out. The high class daughter of English Channel, a winner of three of four races over the Saratoga lawn including the past two editions of the Glens Falls Stakes-G1, is guaranteed a ground-saving trip from the rail and should be along in plenty of time with anything remotely close to her best race. She is the 3/5 morning line favorite and looks it on paper.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Sinaloa
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: We’re going to give Sinaloa one more chance after the Linda Rice-trained gelding failed to land a blow when well-backed in an off-the-turf sprint at this level two weeks ago. He’s a late runner with some ability and should show his best stuff under these conditions. He gets Irad Ortiz, Jr., and blinkers, so there should be no excuses today. War Prince turns back to a sprint and may be most comfortable at this trip. Freshened since early June, the son of War Dancer will be doing his best work late and offers some value at 6-1 on the morning line.

*

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:08 AM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Del Mar - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#12 Developing the Way
He'll need some scratch help if he's going to get into the field today, but I think he has some appeal on the move to the turf if he heads to post. Interesting at a midrange price.


#6 Stormy Victory
He has a little versatility that might serve him well in this group, and his Gulfstream form is in line with some of the better ones in here. Always considering the shippers first time with an incentive to fire.


#3 Brother Reid
The overall form here makes a lot of sense, but he lacks early speed and has a tendency to show up late -- if at all. His best stuff might do, but I would want a fair number to see if he can back that last one up.


Race Summary
Developing the Way may not run today, but I think he has some appeal while getting on the local footing if he draws a few scratches and gets to run. Think Stormy Victory is the right one in the main body here.


Del Mar - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Taishan
Not much to write home about on the form over the past year, but he's getting into an easier condition here has at least some room to improve today against this group. Price might be right.


#7 Jack Sixpack
He has some ability to relax just a touch and still finish, and that might keep him in a really nice spot while tracking the early splits without getting drawn into any battles.


#6 Soulmate
He might have the right kind of finishing style for this race, as there are a couple potential forward players who may at least ensure the pacesetters don't get any breathers. Capable.


Race Summary
Taishan has been in with some pretty decent groups over the last year, and it shows on his form. He'll need a reversal today, but maybe the softer spot gives him that room.


Del Mar - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#6 Cherry Chaos
She drops while in some of her better form, and she owns the kind of committed route pace that should ensure she's right up on the engine in a race without a ton of serious speed. Dirt is still a question, but she gets a route trip on the main for the first time today.


#10 Violet Crown
Really like her versatility, as she figures to utilize a touch of her tactical pace to keep in a good tracking spot early today. In the mix with any upside in the second start off the bench.


#12 Midnight Silence
She has been landing shares since dropping to this level, but she has pressing pace from a wide draw, and I worry she's going to have to hustle a touch and might get caught wide if she's not fast enough.


Race Summary
Cherry Chaos should try to have a go for it, and that might play well in a pretty cheap spot. Her dirt form is a big question, but now might be the right time to think she can improve on her past main-track tries after a couple good runs with better.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:08 AM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 MASAKADO (3-1)
Well-prepped from gate for barn that is hot with debuting 2-year-olds.


#7 UNDER THE OVERPASS (9-5)
Bid 3-wide on turn, no match for 6-1 pace setter at Monmouth.


#5 FORCE OF JUSTICE (9-2)
Stepped it up for final workout, led long way in 5-1/2F debut.


Race Summary
Trainer Cathal Lynch has two chances to build on a 6-for-19 streak with first-time starters. MASAKADO, whose dam was unraced, still gets the winning nod off a steady work tab out of town. Play a 2-ALL exacta.


Laurel Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 I HAVE COURAGE (2-1)
Floated widest in lane, returns to claim level, can use speed well.


#6 CHASING ARTEMIS (15-1)
Sustained a 4-wide rally at 6F to win off 10-month layoff.


#4 TOP MULE (5-1)
Carried out top one and faltered, runs for cheapest tag yet with second-time Lasix.


Race Summary
I HAVE COURAGE was 3-wide until she was carried wider at the top of the stretch. She finished willingly but leveled off late in a higher-tagged sprint. She could be on the lead a long way with a tactical change today. Bet to win and place.


Laurel Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 HOT LOOKIN ROYAL (10-1)
In top form, projects ideal trip, lone turf try was okay.


#8 LADY JEAN (4-1)
Piling up the checks on Laurel lawn but won only once in last two years.


#3 EXPECT OURS (7-2)
Carried speed to finish 1-2 in 10 turf sprints at various venues.


Race Summary
Try to beat morning-line favorite CANADIAN GINGER in her three-peat attempt. She avoided an early bumping match that plagued several rivals and will be undervalued. HOT LOOKIN ROYAL is also looking for three straight at a much better price. She was in good position in her lone turf try at one mile but came up short in the stretch in a race dominated by deep closers. Bet to win and place.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:09 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles TownPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=ct0803zf.pdf&exp=08/05/2023&pds=CT_-_08/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=CT&SAP=FREEPICS)


Charles Town - Race 3

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 3-4) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Pick 6 (Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)



Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 47 • Purse: $10,800 • Post: 7:57P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * TIPSY TOURIST: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days is at least 18. TALENTED CORINNA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



7

TIPSY TOURIST

2/1


3/1




6

TALENTED CORINNA

7/5


7/2




2

FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR

5/1


8/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

TIPSY TOURIST

7


2/1

Stalker

56


48


49.0


41.8


37.8




6

TALENTED CORINNA

6


7/5

Alternator/Stalker

49


42


49.4


35.8


32.8




2

FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR

2


5/1

Alternator/Trailer

39


37


32.2


38.2


30.2




1

MIDSUMMER NIGHTS

1


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

58


54


40.0


22.6


16.1




5

EVERYDAYISAGIFT

5


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


37.3


20.5


9.5




4

DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS

4


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


26.6


16.6


6.6




3

LADY IN WAITING

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:09 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Retama ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=ret0803zf.pdf&exp=08/05/2023&pds=RET_-_08/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=RET&SAP=FREEPICS)


Retama Park - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Double (Races 7-8)(12% Takeout) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)(12% Takeout)(.50 Cent Minimum)



Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 58 • Purse: $10,500 • Post: 8:57P


QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * THE PURCHASE POWER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



6

THE PURCHASE POWER

7/2


7/5




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

TERRIFY

1


10/1

Average/Trouble-prone

0


0


5.8


0.0


0.0




2

RUNNIN LEGEND

2


25/1

Slow/Trouble-prone

0


0


9.5


0.0


0.0




3

APOLLITICAL DIAMOND

3


9/2

Slow

0


0


6.8


0.0


0.0




4

DIVA STONE FDD

4


8/1

Average

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




5

TRIPLE SPECIAL MISS

5


4/1

Slow

0


0


7.0


0.0


0.0




6

THE PURCHASE POWER

6


7/2

Slow

66


63


6.3


0.0


0.0




7

LA CARLOTA TOXICA

7


5/1

Average

50


50


0.0


0.0


0.0




8

ITS TOO LATE NOW

8


25/1

Slow

0


0


9.6


0.0


0.0




9

TELLRIP TRAINSTATION

9


12/1

Slow

0


0


7.5


0.0


0.0




10

VP FIRST DOWN STREAK

10


8/1

Slow

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:09 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Del MarPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=dmr0803zz.htm&exp=08/05/2023&pds=DMR_-_08/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=DMR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $83000 Class Rating: 94

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 ELEUTHERA 5/2




# 4 DON'T GET PICKLED 6/1




# 2 MADIHA 4/1




I think ELEUTHERA is a decent choice. She has to be given a chance given the quite good speed figures. Will probably be one of the early speedsters of the pack going into the halfway point of the contest. Posted a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. DON'T GET PICKLED - There is a decent chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. Has posted solid speed figures in dirt route races in the past. MADIHA - Strong average Equibase speed figs in dirt route races make this pony a definite contender. Dollase has a very strong winning percentage with horses moving in dirt route races.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:10 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=haw0803zm.htm&exp=08/05/2023&pds=HAW_-_08/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=HAW&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Hawthorne - Race #4 - Post: 3:51pm - SO - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 SAMARITA (ML=4/1)
#3 STOPSHOPPINGAMY (ML=5/2)


SAMARITA - This filly is in fine physical condition, having run a strong race on July 26th, finishing first. We have lots of early speed with this mount. She could wire this field. When Tavares and Rodriguez join forces on horses the ROI has been fabulous at +110. Trainer, Rodriguez, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. STOPSHOPPINGAMY - Was in a $40,000 Optional Claiming race at Hawthorne last time around the track. That event had a class figure of 89 and she is moving down right here in this race. A certain solid contender. Hernandez, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in this race. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LONG TALL WOMAN (ML=3/1), #1 BLOODY MARY MORNIN (ML=6/1),

LONG TALL WOMAN - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the class figure of today's event. Mark this entrant as a likely underlay. BLOODY MARY MORNIN - 6/1 is not offering enough value for any mount in a sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint affair of late.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SAMARITA - Coming off her last race with the top speed figure of 77 at Hawthorne. She is the filly to beat today.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 SAMARITA to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:10 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at WoodbinePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=wo0803zz.htm&exp=08/05/2023&pds=WO_-_08/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - SO - 6.5f on the Turf. Purse: $41000 Class Rating: 81

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 WICKED MIAH 20/1




# 7 BILLYJANE 10/1




# 8 JILLI MARIE 15/1




My choice in this race is WICKED MIAH and is a strong value bet given the line at 20/1. Looks very strong for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in turf sprint races lately. Should hit the board without a doubt. Should be given a chance - I like the figs from the last race. BILLYJANE - Has a very solid shot in this race if you like back class. Looks strong for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid figs in turf sprint races recently. JILLI MARIE - She has decent class ratings, averaging 89, and has to be considered in this race. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Vassilieva have shown solid results recently.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:10 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=sr0803zm.htm&exp=08/05/2023&pds=SR_-_08/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=SR&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Santa Rosa - Race #2 - Post: 2:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 JULIET'S KITCHEN (ML=9/2)
#4 ZIPPIDY DU DAD (ML=5/2)


JULIET'S KITCHEN - The return on investment when Pena and Ramos team up is outstanding. I know the barn is serious today. The filly gets Lasix for the first time. ZIPPIDY DU DAD - Jockey hops back aboard after getting to know the race horse by riding last time out. That's always a big time angle. Using this rider/trainer combination is a good choice. This filly should improve after adding Lasix in the last race and getting it again today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 STANDFORGRIT (ML=3/1), #2 SELSAE (ML=4/1), #3 PRINCESS HEKAWI (ML=5/1),

STANDFORGRIT - This entrant likes to land in the top three, but doesn't usually finish first. Leave out of the top spot. Finished second in her most recent performance with a disappointing speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group. SELSAE - The fifth place result in the last event was not that great. PRINCESS HEKAWI - Curlin to Mischief has a none too stellar winning percentage of 4 with horse's on the grass.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#6 JULIET'S KITCHEN to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Skip

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:11 AM
Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - August 3
Aug. 02, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 SUPER LUXE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Super Luxe
J D Ramos


PLACE
3-1
7
Fancy
J Talamo


SHOW
4-1
3
Hard to Please
S E Bermudez


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Surely Shirley
E Esquivel





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Image of Love
D Cohen


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
8
Brisbane Road
M Franklin








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX









RACE #2 $41,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:41 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
1
Halo Love
S E Bermudez


PLACE
8-5
5
Butchs Best
G Saez


SHOW
5-2
7
Mariachi Justice
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
10-1
2
Rock the Red
E E Perez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
4
Daddys Dream
R A Prescott


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
C. Js Storm
J Morales








* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX









RACE #3 $32,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:12 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
8
Magnificent Mile
E Esquivel


PLACE
3-1
5
Holiday House
J D Ramos


SHOW
6-1
1
On K P
A Lezcano


WILD CARD
9-2
2
Summer in Malibu
A Achard





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
3
Circle Back Jack
S Sanjur


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
7
Davids Tuition
L Machado








* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #4 $41,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
6
Tiz Bayou
S E Bermudez


PLACE
5-1
2
Evil Intentions
R A Prescott


SHOW
7-2
8
Juradicial
J D Ramos


WILD CARD
5-2
3
Girls Are Tuffer
M Franklin





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Forever Blessed
E Esquivel


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Mygaljustice
J Morales








* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX









RACE #5 $36,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
2
Take Charge Gent
E Esquivel


PLACE
6-1
3
Rockin Justice
A P Ulloa


SHOW
9-5
10
Call of Honor
J D Ramos


WILD CARD
5-2
4
Degree of Risk
S E Bermudez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
9
Leave It to Kitten
A Burgos


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
7
Epimythium
D Cannon








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 3/4/10 BOX









RACE #6 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 FOREVER LASTING









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Forever Lasting
F De La Cruz


PLACE
4-1
8
Cha Cha Larry
O Mojica


SHOW
12-1
7
Sir Ronaldo
H Leahey


WILD CARD
9-2
10
Star Review
J Morales





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
Forever Friends
F Arrieta


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Secrets Image
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 7/8/10 BOX









RACE #7 $5,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Mr Manning
R A Prescott


PLACE
7-2
6
Royal Consort
E Esquivel


SHOW
6-1
5
Gormleys Got Game
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
9-2
1
Muni Muni Slew
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Jackson Strong
S Sanjur


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
Maters N Taters
H Leahey








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX









RACE #8 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
3
Sambalover
A Achard


PLACE
4-1
1
Richiesderbystrike
D Cannon


SHOW
7-2
4
Commodore
J Talamo


WILD CARD
9-2
11
Fidget
E Esquivel





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
7
Value Engineer
J D Ramos


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
10
Innocent Man
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/11 BOX









RACE #9 $45,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 NOBODY LISTENS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
2
Nobody Listens
J D Ramos


PLACE
5-2
6
Latigo
O Mojica


SHOW
10-1
3
Hungarian Princess
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
4-1
1
Classic Max
R A Prescott





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
5
Spoke
S E Bermudez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Scottys On Edge
G Saez








* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #10 $34,000 STAKES
350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Lethal Wagon
F Morin


PLACE
9-5
7
Sweeet Caroline
L D Martinez


SHOW
9-2
5
Dance Hawl Gal
R D Pina


WILD CARD
8-1
4
Priddy Fabulous
O Macias





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
8
Themagicdragonlady
D Mitchell


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Mocha Corona
F Quintero








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:12 AM
Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 3
Aug. 02, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
B D Saints
F Prat


PLACE
6-1
5
Dancing Mischief
J Castellano


SHOW
7-2
3
Cold Plunge
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
9-2
8
Frozen Four
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
7
Scoop the Pot
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Get Spooled
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX









RACE #2 $14,000 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
5
Cumberland Blues
J Rosario


PLACE
5-2
4
Invisible War
L Saez


SHOW
3-1
6
Union Lights
J A Gomez


WILD CARD
10-1
1A
Cheeky Tico
M Olver





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
3
Blu Grotto
T McCarthy


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
Bert Bert Bert
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #1A INEVTABL CONECTION









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1A
Inevtabl Conection
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
6-5
6
Implementation
F Prat


SHOW
5-1
5
Playingwithmatches
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
20-1
4
Lord Gatling
R R Maragh





ALTERNATE 1
2-1
1
Sainthoodforbrian
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Jesters Song
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #4 $12,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
1
Suspended Campaign
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
5-2
8
Its Cold in Dehere
J Lezcano


SHOW
10-1
4
Greatest Love
A Castillo


WILD CARD
20-1
6
Trade Secret
R R Maragh





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
R Tenderoni
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
5
Run Devil
M Franco








* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX









RACE #5 $95,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
14
Cut the Cord
K Carmouche


PLACE
5-2
1
Timbuktu
L Saez


SHOW
4-1
2
Lets Go Big Blue
J Lezcano


WILD CARD
2-1
9
One Headlight
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
12
Whistlers Honor
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
5
Gem Mint Ten
D Davis








* EXACTA: 14-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/14 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX









RACE #6 $83,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Khozy Colby
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
6-1
9
Leslies Loot
J Castellano


SHOW
15-1
2B
Happy Baytown
T Heard


WILD CARD
5-1
12
Lady Prospect
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Stuck On You
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
4
Destiny Star
J R Velazquez








* EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/9 BOX, 2/9/12 BOX









RACE #7 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Security Code
J Lezcano


PLACE
5-2
4
Imhavingamoment
J Alvarado


SHOW
6-1
7
Tempermental
J Rosario


WILD CARD
8-1
8
Cinderellas Cause
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
5
Silver Fist
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Ribots Valentine
K Davis








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX









RACE #8 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-5
2
Pipeline
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
15-1
3
Mystic Night
R Santana Jr.


SHOW
7-2
4
Galt
J Castellano


WILD CARD
5-1
1
Guntown
J Lezcano





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
6
Ruggs
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Bold Endeavor
M Franco








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/2 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-5
1
War Like Goddess
J Rosario


PLACE
8-1
2
Virginia Joy
F Prat


SHOW
5-1
3
Amazing Grace
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
7-2
4
McKulick
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
5
Sopran Basilea
M Franco


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
7
Vergara
J R Velazquez








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #10 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 RIPE FOR MISCHIEF









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
9
Ripe for Mischief
L Saez


PLACE
7-2
1
Bankingonachance
F Prat


SHOW
10-1
3
Academy Choice
K Davis


WILD CARD
5-2
6
Sinaloa
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
War Prince
M Franco


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
P Money
J A Torres








* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:12 AM
Thistledown Tip Sheet - August 3
Aug. 02, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Viski Jones
E Barbaran


PLACE
7-2
6
Auld Lange Syne
L A Batista


SHOW
6-1
1
Giles
Y Yaranga


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Say Hey Kid
J S Toledo





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
4
Noble Behavior
L M Briceno


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
3
Karamel Corn
H Berrios








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #2 $7,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
My Dancing Queen
G Rodriguez


PLACE
6-1
4
Jump Into Sanity
T D Houghton


SHOW
8-1
6
Unescorted
E Barbaran


WILD CARD
5-1
1
Turbie
L R Rivera





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
5
Da Journeygirl
A I Diaz


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
2
Passingthemistery
D J Haldar








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #3 $12,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 RECKLESS L J









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
5
Reckless L J
L R Rivera


PLACE
8-1
6
Classic Mo
G Rodriguez


SHOW
2-1
4
Nebulosa
F Salazar Becerra


WILD CARD
6-1
3
Show Sliding Home
A I Diaz





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
1
Sweet Lemon Drop
E Paucar


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
Rosco P. Coltrane
L A Batista








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #4 $16,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 CLIFTONS BALLERINA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Cliftons Ballerina
J S Toledo


PLACE
3-1
2
Danza Magic
A I Diaz


SHOW
7-2
1
The Devils Dream
L R Rivera


WILD CARD
8-1
5
Twerk
E Barbaran





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
4
Out for Fun
F Salazar Becerra


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
3
Prophetess
V R Fernandez








* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #5 $29,700 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
6
Cyclone
L A Gonzalez


PLACE
4-1
1
Star Entertainer
A I Diaz


SHOW
5-2
3
Centsofwander
H Berrios


WILD CARD
8-1
2
R Cardinal Prince
F Salazar Becerra





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Scratchoff
R Feliciano


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
4
Boss Bear
G Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX









RACE #6 $12,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
5
Whiskey Roan
L A Batista


PLACE
6-1
4
My Two Aunt Joans
F Salazar Becerra


SHOW
10-1
3
Master of War
J S Toledo


WILD CARD
5-2
7
Not Yet Charlie
V R Fernandez





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
6
Jacks Advantage
E Barbaran


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Across the Aisle
G Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #7 $28,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Holy Saint
L M Briceno


PLACE
2-1
3
Susies Kid
T D Houghton


SHOW
8-1
2
Lucky Streak
E Barbaran


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Mutiny
D J Haldar





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
6
Dark Timber
L A Batista


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
1
Brother Skye
Y Yaranga








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #8 $35,800 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 MAP TO MY HEART









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Map to My Heart
C Keiser


PLACE
7-2
7
Stealth Mode
R Bowen


SHOW
5-2
6
Serger
L R Rivera


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Dominiques Night
A I Diaz





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
5
The Kids Prayer
T D Houghton


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Margarita Cinco
F Salazar Becerra








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:13 AM
Delaware Park Tip Sheet - August 3
Aug. 02, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 73% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 FIRST RULE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
First Rule
A Crispin


PLACE
6-1
7
Saponara
E Ruiz


SHOW
2-1
5
Apache
J Hiraldo


WILD CARD
3-1
2
Doinittherightway
A S Arroyo





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Pylon
A Castillo


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Kefi
K Trotman








* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX









RACE #2 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 WILD ALEX









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
2
Wild Alex
J Rose


PLACE
5-2
4
Chica Chuck
J Rodriguez


SHOW
8-1
5
Taporical
J Hiraldo


WILD CARD
7-2
3
Luis Alberto
A S Arroyo





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Honest Rogue
A Blanco


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Lee Alejandro
J Alicea








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #3 $7,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
8
Luckbealadytonight
J Hiraldo


PLACE
8-1
4
Reiterate
A Bowman


SHOW
7-2
5
Nothins Free
P Lopez


WILD CARD
5-2
6
Epicurean
J Rodriguez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Cup of Life
F Gonzalez Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Some Is Nine
G Whitacre








* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #4 $40,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
4
Berks
J Rodriguez


PLACE
5-2
5
Irish Cork
F Pennington


SHOW
9-5
1
Mischief Afoot
C Cedeno


WILD CARD
8-1
2
No Sabe Nada
K Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Wish for Peace
R Chiappe


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Helium
P Lopez








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #5 $38,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
8
Mo Bills
D Centeno


PLACE
4-1
2
Rugelach
J Rodriguez


SHOW
7-2
11
Treasured Gem
J Rodriguez


WILD CARD
20-1
10
Gun Runnin Gal
R Silvera





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
4
Blonde Samaritan
A Crispin


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
9
Graceful Union
K Gomez








* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/8/11 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX









RACE #6 $22,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Grand Macallan
J Rodriguez


PLACE
9-5
1
Alpha Whiskey
K Gomez


SHOW
8-1
6
Bright Forecast
J Mendoza


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Touchdown Montage
J Rose





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
5
The Great Gazoo
D Centeno


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Texas Ted
F Pennington








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $38,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 SEVIER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
3
Sevier
J Rodriguez


PLACE
5-2
7
Mystery Mo
K Gomez


SHOW
7-2
1
Brother Brad
E Ignacio


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Award Nominated
F Pennington





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
9
Onlygodcanjudgeme
D Centeno


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Coronova
A Crispin








* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX









RACE #8 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
6
Super Quality
C Cedeno


PLACE
5-1
2
Another Lulu
J Mendoza


SHOW
5-2
4
Call Me Maestro
J Hiraldo


WILD CARD
12-1
8
Edward Madden
A Blanco





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Jokemeister
W Vasquez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Notion to Tapit
G Whitacre








* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:13 AM
Del Mar Hotlist - August 3
Aug. 02, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (5) Eisenhower has a great pedigree for turf and should win at first asking. (3) Murphy Boy seems set for a big effort in her debut. (2) Dark Vintage showed speed when third in his debut and cannot be ignored. (1) Ziskey could be a contender in this field. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-5.
3rd race – (2) Cali Bay takes a class drop after hitting the rail last time. Should rebound with a better try here. (3) Brother Reid flew home for second and may be the one to fear. (8) Relaxed Artist had a rough trip last time and can be a contender. (4) Thirsty Pappy will appreciate a return to turf. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-8.
5th race – (6) M Is for Magic lacked room when second last time and can make amends here. (1) Denim in Gold may shine in a return to turf. (4) Linda’s Gift returns from a layoff for Mandella and cannot be ignored. (8) Itzel could be tough to catch here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-8.
7th race – (2) Taishan was bumped at the start and finished seventh. Drops to a level where he should prevail. (5) Tiz Plus had a useful comeback race and figures to move forward here. (10) Subsidize gets back on turf and cannot be ignored. (3) Burnin Turf could wake up here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-10. Doubles: 2-3-5-10 with 2-3-8-11.
8th race – (8) Princess Tenko returns to a claimer and should prove best in this spot. (11) Midnight Silence will be dangerous if she can overcome the outside post. (2) Shambala Girl adds blinkers and may wake up. (3) Miss Joanie could be a contender in this field. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-8-11.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-03-2023, 06:13 AM
Saratoga Hotlist - August 3
Aug. 02, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race [Clm 14000B, 1 1/8 mi] – (6) Union Lights was second last time for a $25,000 tag and now drops down to a price at which he was a winner in May at Belmont Park. (4) Invisible War will get blinkers on for his second start after getting taken for $35,000. (1A) Cheeky Tico tried blinkers last time and they were no help so they come off as he drops down from a $25,000 race. (2) Bert Bert Bert was a winner of his N2L condition for $25,000 two starts back.
4th race [Clm 12500, 1 mi] – (1) Suspended Campaign was claimed in December for $32,000 and then hit the board four times in allowance races for a hot trainer in Rudy Rodriguez. (5) Run Devil was claimed two races back for $20,000 and then stepped up in class and returns from a June layoff. (4) Greatest Love was taken for $12,500 two races back and that was a level at which she was very successful. Blinkers come off and she moves back to this price where she is a win contender. (8) Its Cold in Dehere was picked up in June by Linda Rice for $20,000 at Belmont and she goes for the win immediately.
9th race [Glens Falls (G2), 1