Sunday 8/6/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mountaineer Tip Sheet - August 6
Aug. 05, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 61% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $35,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Dichotomy
E Paucar


PLACE
7-2
1
Fragrant
C Oliveros


SHOW
7-5
2
Yankee Dollar
A A Gallardo


WILD CARD
15-1
3
Mandy Green
G Rodriguez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Loopy
J A Leon


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
4
Tout Ensemble
G Whitacre








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX









RACE #2 $21,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:25 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 LIAMS LASS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
7
Liams Lass
C Oliveros


PLACE
4-5
9
Kendal Grace
L A Batista


SHOW
6-1
2
Oopsie Doopsie
G Rodriguez


WILD CARD
15-1
1
Machen Mayhem
A A Gallardo





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Donna Lirica
Y Aviles


ALTERNATE 2
30-1
8
Connect It
K Gonzalez








* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX









RACE #3 $35,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 ROYAL COUNTY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
2
Royal County
C Oliveros


PLACE
8-5
7
Secret Fix
L A Gonzalez


SHOW
9-2
6
J Ls Rockette
A Jimenez


WILD CARD
5-2
5
Poetic Verse
E E Perez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Miss Betty
A R Ramgeet


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Lovely Lisa
L A Batista








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX









RACE #4 $35,000 ALLOWANCE
4 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Kosher Cowboy
Y Aviles


PLACE
5-2
4
Primal Destiny
L A Batista


SHOW
2-1
6
Storm Boarder
G Rodriguez


WILD CARD
12-1
7
Alfie Solomons
N Vigil





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Youthinkthatsfunny
R Latchman


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Liberate
J Sanchez








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX









RACE #5 $35,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:40 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
30-1
7
Malibu Rock Star
C Oliveros


PLACE
5-2
9
Riptide Rock
G Rodriguez


SHOW
12-1
11
Forever Poe
J A Leon


WILD CARD
8-5
1
Accredit
L Machado





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
Shy Guy
E Paucar


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Obiwan
L A Batista








* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/9/11 BOX, 1/9/11 BOX









RACE #6 $35,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET



BEST BET: #10 MY BUDDY B









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
10
My Buddy B
C Oliveros


PLACE
3-1
9
Williston Way
L A Batista


SHOW
15-1
3
Storminunclejack
G Rodriguez


WILD CARD
7-2
1
Minister of Soul
H Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
5
Lake Radio
L A Gonzalez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Baytown Bear
T Heard








* EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/9/10 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX









RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
12
Best Actor
K Carmouche


PLACE
3-1
2
OConnor
T Conner


SHOW
10-1
10
King Ottoman
C A Torres


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Buck Moon
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
8
War Campaign
C J Lanerie


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
4
Surly Furious
A A Gallardo








* EXACTA: 12-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 2/6/10 BOX









RACE #8 $500,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
8
One in Vermillion
H Hernandez


PLACE
4-1
3
Tapits Conquest
K Carmouche


SHOW
6-1
2
Lord Miles
A Bocachica


WILD CARD
3-1
11
Raise Cain
L Machado





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
12
West Coast Cowboy
T Conner


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
4
Red Route One
C O Torres








* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/3/11 BOX









RACE #9 $21,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:40 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
2
Timberry Tiddler
G Rodriguez


PLACE
5-2
5
Devils Red
E Paucar


SHOW
10-1
6
Dont Cross Jack
Y Aviles


WILD CARD
8-1
7
Jackson Man
A Jimenez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Shosha
E Jurado


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
8
Wild Wine
A Williams








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 6
Aug. 05, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
8
Weigh the Risks
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
12-1
13
Dancing Spirit
F Geroux


SHOW
9-2
3
Later Darling
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
8-1
7
Floribunda
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Sands of War
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
1A
Dr. Ray D.
M Franco








* EXACTA: 8-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/8/13 BOX, 3/7/13 BOX









RACE #2 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Ways and Means
F Prat


PLACE
4-1
3
Value Area
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
15-1
4
Six Pack Senorita
J Rosario


WILD CARD
5-1
2
Calle Amada
J R Velazquez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
She Called
R Santana Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Bento
D Davis








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #3 $35,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 SHINFULL









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Shinfull
J L Ortiz


PLACE
4-1
3
U Should B Dancing
F Prat


SHOW
5-1
4
Miss Domina
M Franco


WILD CARD
12-1
9
Roja Ligera
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
2
Chromeplated Heart
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
5
Dufresne
D Davis








* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX









RACE #4 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
3
Whatlovelookslike
F Prat


PLACE
6-1
6
Federalist Papers
J L Ortiz


SHOW
9-2
5
Myriskyaffair
D Davis


WILD CARD
8-5
8
Know It All Audrey
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
7
Ever Summer
J Rosario


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
4
Talbeyah
I Ortiz Jr.








* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX









RACE #5 $12,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
3
Higher Quality
J Alvarado


PLACE
7-2
7
Hammerin Aamer
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
4-1
2
Souper Catch
M Franco


WILD CARD
3-1
1
Grumps Little Tots
J A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
1A
Durkins Call
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
4
Goldini
J Rosario








* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX









RACE #6 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Gypsy Tales
J L Ortiz


PLACE
6-1
5
Lady Moscato
J Rosario


SHOW
3-1
9
Before You Go Go
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Helcia
F Prat





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
Empire Island
R Santana Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Holiday Road
J Alvarado








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX









RACE #7 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
1
Addressable Market
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
6-1
12
Fancy Stax
F Prat


SHOW
9-2
13
Volatility
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
9-2
9
It Wasnt Me
F Geroux





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
4
Belleshazza
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Spirit and Fire
J L Ortiz








* EXACTA: 1-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX, 13-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/12/13 BOX, 9/12/13 BOX









RACE #8 $200,000 STAKES
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
10
Beckys Joker
J Castellano


PLACE
5-2
3
Here U Come Again
F Geroux


SHOW
9-2
4
Brightwork
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
9-2
9
Copper Em
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Saratoga Secret
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Princesa Celina
J L Ortiz








* EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/10 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX









RACE #9 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
3
Ruda
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-2
4
Pentagon
J Lezcano


SHOW
10-1
2
Cant Fool Me
M Franco


WILD CARD
2-1
1
Dontmesswithtess
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
9
April Antics
Rider TBA


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Miss Kristy
J Castellano








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #10 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 FORWARD MOVE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Forward Move
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-1
7
Barry the Builder
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
6-1
15
Bernardino
F Prat


WILD CARD
7-2
2
Stow On the Wold
F Prat





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
12
Zapruder
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
16
Thatsmyboxer
J A Torres








* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-15 BOX, 15-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/15 BOX, 2/7/15 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - August 6
Aug. 05, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
9
Ellie Moore
U Rispoli


PLACE
10-1
3
Poppys Joy
H I Berrios


SHOW
6-1
8
Avoir
A Fresu


WILD CARD
5-1
2
Pacific Rose
M Gutierrez





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
6
Petite Ange
G Franco


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
10
Next Right Thing
E A Ellingwood








* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX









RACE #2 $7,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:34 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 HANDRSDREAM









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
8
Handrsdream
U Rispoli


PLACE
6-1
13
Secret Touch
A Fresu


SHOW
5-1
3
Jalen Journey
A Ayuso


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Mike Operator
B Harvey





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Dr. Troutman
R Ramirez


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
12
Scary Fast Smile
A Aguilar








* EXACTA: 8-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/8/13 BOX, 1/3/13 BOX









RACE #3 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:07 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
5
Diamonds Danzing
G Franco


PLACE
4-1
1
Bajan Bashert
A Aguilar


SHOW
6-1
10
Jessebear
K J Desormeaux


WILD CARD
5-1
13
Grazen Touch
J Valdivia Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Hot Thirst Trap
H I Berrios


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Satoshi
U Rispoli








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX, 10-13 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/10 BOX, 1/10/13 BOX









RACE #4 $83,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:39 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 MICRO SHARE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
4
Micro Share
M E Smith


PLACE
8-1
5
Trouville
A Fresu


SHOW
3-1
2
Kuora
G Franco


WILD CARD
4-1
1
Liberal Lady
D A Herrera





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Magazine
A Espinoza


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Keen Lady
J Valdivia Jr.








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #5 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:09 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Nothing Like You
U Rispoli


PLACE
6-1
9
Greer My Dear
E A Maldonado


SHOW
6-1
6
Girl of My Dreams
M E Smith


WILD CARD
4-1
1
Bossy Bruin Gal
T J Pereira





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
7
Discrepancy
H I Berrios


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Autumn Chill
K J Desormeaux








* EXACTA: 4-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX









RACE #6 $28,000 CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:39 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 HOT BOX









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
9
Hot Box
M E Smith


PLACE
6-1
1
My Summer Dream
A Ayuso


SHOW
6-1
14
Chasin Munny
A Espinoza


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Inch
E A Maldonado





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
4
Took Charge
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
8
Barristan The Bold
R A Vazquez








* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-14 BOX, 14-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/9/14 BOX, 1/6/14 BOX









RACE #7 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:09 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Drivers Ed
R A Vazquez


PLACE
5-2
1
California Tiger
H I Berrios


SHOW
5-1
2
Mr. Disrespectful
A Aguilar


WILD CARD
10-1
9
Carols Comic
A Espinoza





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Logon to Win
D A Herrera


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Torquewrench
A Ayuso








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX









RACE #8 $82,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:39 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
10
Flame McGoon
D A Herrera


PLACE
4-1
12
Unwritten Code
T J Pereira


SHOW
3-1
2
Dont Ju Forget
R A Vazquez


WILD CARD
12-1
4
Scatchmejamin
H R Lopez





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
14
Stay and Scam
M Gutierrez


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
6
Organic
U Rispoli








* EXACTA: 10-12 BOX, 12-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 2/4/12 BOX









RACE #9 $125,000 STAKES
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:09 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
3
Pushiness
U Rispoli


PLACE
5-2
2
Grand Slam Smile
F T Alvarado


SHOW
6-1
6
Putt for Dough
M Gutierrez


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Fly a Fantasy
M E Smith





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
7
Crazy Hot
G Franco


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Its Saul Good
E A Maldonado








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:39 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
2
Agency
R A Vazquez


PLACE
2-1
5
Panic Alarm
U Rispoli


SHOW
8-1
8
Zalamo
M E Smith


WILD CARD
6-1
7
Henry Q
A Fresu





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
3
Maltese Falcon
J J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Smart Mo
J Bravo








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX









RACE #11 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:09 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
12
The Key Is Unity
R A Vazquez


PLACE
5-1
7
Hard Times
H I Berrios


SHOW
7-2
9
Mt. Zeror
A Alsagoor


WILD CARD
4-1
3
Snapp Daddy
K J Desormeaux





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
5
Whiskey Vision
E A Maldonado


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Bluegrass Ryder
R Gonzalez








* EXACTA: 12-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/9/12 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ellis Park Tip sheet - August 6
Aug. 05, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
9
Reprehend
J Talamo


PLACE
7-2
3
Tricolour
E Morales


SHOW
5-2
4
Mo Moves
J D Ramos


WILD CARD
15-1
5
Cambiaso
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
6
Good News Rocket
R Gutierrez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
1
Fightertown
J Gilligan








* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #2 $30,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 TREATY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
4
Treaty
F Arrieta


PLACE
8-1
8
Longshadow
K J Asmussen


SHOW
5-2
9
Coastal Defense
M Garcia


WILD CARD
10-1
7
Madison Luvs Duke
J Talamo





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
1
Lucky Boss
C A Emigh


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Liam the Brave
G Corrales








* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 SCATLIE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
6
Scatlie
D Cannon


PLACE
8-1
10
Snow Princess
J Graham


SHOW
6-1
5
Our Dotsie
R Bejarano


WILD CARD
4-1
2
Wild Iris
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
8
Fancy Caber Neigh
W A Rodriguez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
1
Caribbean Beauty
B J Hernandez Jr.








* EXACTA: 6-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX









RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
9
Shakin Loose
B J Hernandez Jr.


PLACE
8-1
5
Feel the Magic
J Graham


SHOW
6-1
2
Hedge the Risk
F Arrieta


WILD CARD
4-1
6
Gettysburg Address
M Chuan





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
10
Uncle Happy
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Remember the Fear
G Corrales








* EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #5 $78,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 SOMEBODYS PROBLEM









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
5
Somebodys Problem
M Murrill


PLACE
5-1
8
Kant Believe It
C J Hernandez


SHOW
10-1
2
Altered Shot
L Saez


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Jag Warrior
M Chuan





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
9
Devious Dame
M Garcia


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Fashion Rage
K J Asmussen








* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX









RACE #6 $200,000 STAKES
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
9
One Timer
E T Baird


PLACE
4-1
10
Bad Beat Brian
C A Emigh


SHOW
25-1
11
Pure Panic
W A Rodriguez


WILD CARD
10-1
8
Chiseler
C J Lanerie





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Charcoal
A Achard


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Let My People Go
R Bejarano








* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 9/10/11 BOX, 8/10/11 BOX









RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Henrietta Topham
J Graham


PLACE
15-1
7
Sinfiltre
F Arrieta


SHOW
15-1
3
Fancy Martini
C Landeros


WILD CARD
3-1
9
New Years Eve
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
8
Querobin Dourada
J Talamo


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
12
Takntothecleaners
E Morales








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX









RACE #8 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
2
Frontal Attack
G Corrales


PLACE
3-1
4
Safeen
L Saez


SHOW
9-2
1
Bling
R Bejarano


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Wonderfull Lady
V Cheminaud





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
7
Lily Poo
J Graham


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
5
Hang the Moon
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #9 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/4 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
11
Spooky Channel
J Graham


PLACE
7-2
4
Get Smokin
L Saez


SHOW
20-1
13
Vintage Print
A Beschizza


WILD CARD
8-1
8
Kitodan
F Arrieta





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
9
McLovin
A Achard


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
12
Camp Hope
B J Hernandez Jr.








* EXACTA: 11-4 BOX, 4-13 BOX, 13-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/11/13 BOX, 4/8/13 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - August 6
Aug. 05, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
5th race [Clm 12500, 1 mi] – (4) Goldini makes a significant drop in class which includes his win for $32,000 on the dirt three races back. He was claimed by Rudy Rodrigues at Aqueduct for $8,000, so the move down makes sense. (3) Higher Quality gets a pass for his last start in a Grade 3 at Monmouth Park when his prior two starts yielded a second and a win for claiming prices of $16,000 and $10,000. (5) Sprinklehead used his early speed to win twice in Kentucky for $20,000 and $10,000 when he was claimed. He is projected to be on the lead again. (7) Hammerin Aamer was a winner for $16,000 at Aqueduct in the winter and was claimed for $20,000 in May. The 9-year-old has 13 career victories.
8th race [Adirondack (G3), 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Hotlist - August 6
Aug. 05, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (3) Poppy’s Joy debuts for D’Amato and seems set for a big effort. (9) Ellie Moore cannot be ignored in her U.S. debut. (2) Pacific Rose seems well-meant here. (8) Avoir is working sharply for her debut. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-8-9.
3rd race – (1) Bajan Bashert had some trouble when third last time. Should work out a winning trip from the rail. (6) Satoshi is worth a long look in her debut. (3) Hot Thirst Trap also merits attention in her debut. (10) Jessebear rallied fast for third. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-10.
5th race – (4) Nothing Like You debuts for Baffert and looks best in this spot. (7) Discrepancy has some interesting credentials and could be a main threat. (6) Girl of My Dreams put in a strong gate work for this. (5) Autumn Chill seems capable of a better try here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-7..
7th race – (1) California Tiger missed by a nose last time and looks like the one to beat. (2) Mr. Disrespectful has plenty of speed and will be tough to catch. (9) Carol’s Comic belongs in the exotics. (4) Logon to Win was second in a claimer and could be competitive here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-9. Doubles: 1-2-4-9 with 1-2-9-10.
8th race – (2) Don’t Ju Forget moves back to turf after a beneficial comeback race on dirt and should be able to handle this field. (9) Gritty Girl disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (10) Flame McGoon is working smartly after a freshening. (1) Queen of Pompeii could be a factor on her best try. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-9-10.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeremy Plonk: Mountaineer WV Derby Day Pick 4 Analysis August 6, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk
Sunday night’s West Virginia Derby Day card at Mountaineer includes the Grade 3 West Virginia Governor’s Stakes among the late pick 4. I’ve got some highly narrowed opinions on the sequence for a focused ticket. First post is 5 pm ET and the featured pick 4 gets underway in Race 6 at 7:05 pm ET.

Let’s get to work.

Mountaineer | Race 6 | allowance

Outside pair look extremely strong here in #9 Williston Way (3-1 ML) and #10 My Buddy B (5-1 ML). Williston Way comes off back-to-back romping wins and jockey Luis Bautista is the meet’s top pilot in 6-furlong sprints in both wins (15) and win percentage (22%). My Buddy B is 5-for-7 lifetime sprinting, 3-for-4 at Mountaineer and hits a typically productive second-off-the-layoff spot in his form cycle.

Mountaineer | Race 7 | Grade 3 West Virginia Governor’s Stakes

While the far outside is no picnic here at 1-1/16 miles on dirt, #12 Best Actor (6-1 ML) should be ready to romp in his second start at age 4. Dueled a 4-5 favorite into submission June 30 at Ellis and would up second-best at a tough 7-furlong trip off a break. Superb route form at age 3 for trainer Brad Cox, who is 12-29 shipping horses to Mountaineer over the years. The threat would be speedy #6 Buck Moon, who relished the tight turns at Fonner and could clear those inside him easily here and slingshot out of the clubhouse turn with confidence onto the backstretch.

Mountaineer | Race 8 | Grade 3 West Virginia Derby

The Derby sets up as fleet-footed #8 One in Vermillion (4-1 ML) on a catch-me-if-you-can mission and #3 Tapit’s Conquest (4-1 ML) the expected presser to make him sweat late. Really like the company lines Tapit’s Conquest exits that are better-than-they seem. Should get a great trip from a fantastic draw and give Cox a chance to sweep both stakes.

Mountaineer | Race 9 | allowance

Play of the day is #5 Devil’s Red on the move to turf. Trainer Wallace Jenkins has a crazy 11-28 turf record at Mountaineer over the past 3 years, including a 13: 5-3-0 mark with those exiting dirt races like Devil’s Red. More than capable even if this race was to be washed off the turf and onto dirt. Single to close it out.

The Tickets
9,10 with 12,6 with 3,8 with 5 = $4 for $.50 play
9,10 with 12 with 3 with 5 for $1 additional tickets as the preferred play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 8/6/23 August 6, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 9-Ellie Moore
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The opener is a five furlong grass sprint for juvenile fillies that attracted 10 entrants, eight of which are making their racing debuts. Ellie Moore is one of the two that has a prior outing, and it was a good one in April at The Curragh in Ireland, where she finished in a dead heat for second (beaten a neck after a very slow start) and was assigned a fairly decent (60) Timeform rating. Hopefully, she’ll leave with her field today and if so the Phil D’Amato-trained daughter of Starspangledbanner will be difficult to beat, unless there’s a real good one that we’re not aware of waiting in the weeds.

*

RACE 2: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Handr’sdream; 3-Jalen Journey
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Handr’sdream plummets to the bottom and should be on or near the lead throughout in this extended sprint for $8,000 claiming older horses. A repeat of his highly rated win at Pleasanton two runs back beats this field, but the class drop from $20,000 to $8,000 clearly means he’s for sale. Jalen Journey is a New York shipper eligible for valuable ship-and-win money and at this level the veteran gelding must be respected. This will be his 39th career start (with 10 wins) and most of his best work have been done from off the pace, so at this extended sprint distance he should be heard from late.

*

RACE 3: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Diamonds Danzing
Backups/savers/Underneath: 1-Bajan Bashert; 1-Jessebear.

Forecast: Diamonds Danzing was very well-meant in her local debut at Santa Anita in mid-June but fell short when second to next out winner Big Pond in a fast race for the level while finishing more than six lengths clear of the rest. A repeat of that effort today in this maiden special weight sprint for older fillies and mares should be more than good enough. Additionally, she was stakes placed in her previous start in New Mexico last November and is deserving of her morning line price of 9/5.

*

RACE 4: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Micro Share; Kuora
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Micro Share earned a confidence building win at Pleasanton in late June and did so with a giant speed figure, by far a career top. Local workouts since that race have been excellent, so we’re expecting the Richard Mandella-trained filly to run at least as well today and perhaps even better. Always well regarded – she brought $450,000 at auction two years ago – the daughter of Upstart is the logical 8/5 morning line favorite. The one she should fear the most is the old pro from Peru, Kuora. She is seeking her third straight win while stretching out to a distance we know she can handle, so if our top pick fails to fire, this nine-time career winner may be able to extend her streak.

*

RACE 5: Post: 4:09 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Greer My Dear; 4-Nothing Like You; 8-Cheeky Gal

Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Bob Baffert has a first time starter in this maiden juvenile sprint, so that is where we and just about everybody else will start. Nothing Like You, a $190,000 OBS April sale purchase, breezed a furlong in a quick :10 flat in a good looking drill that helped boost her purchase price. Her dam was a multi stakes winner and produced South of France, a stakes winner in New York, so the daughter of Malibu Moon has a right to be a decent type. That said, her local works have been solid but not overwhelming and our impression is that she rates no better than the second level of 2-year-olds in the barn. Cheeky Gal was a $135,000 purchase in that same OBS April sale, where she previewed in :10 flat. However, we don’t consider her to be a particularly quick type. Our actual preference in the field is the Richard Mandella-trained Greer My Dear, who has trained well enough to be plenty fit and ready for a winning effort in a race containing no world beaters. The daughter of Medaglia d’Oro has breezed like a straightforward, professional type, and from her good outside draw she can load last and hopefully break first under top speed rider Edwin Maldonado. She is listed at 6-1 on the morning line and against this group we believe she’s better than that.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:39 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Took Charge; 9-Hot Box
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Took Charge was a strong runner-up in a starter allowance $25,000 turf sprint at Santa Anita in his most recent start and returns in a $32,000 seller, a proper placement for the hard knocking Take Charge Indy gelding. He is a strong fit on numbers, looks on paper to be the quickest of the quick, and he should really like this five furlong trip. Hot Box is the other committed speed in the field but must leave cleanly from his outside 9-hole draw. He’s been chasing tougher without much success of late but has a right to improve against this group, though we wonder if his best days are behind him.

*

RACE 7: Post: 5:09 PT Grade:
Main ticket (in order of preference): 10-Bigofromfresno; 1-California Tiger
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Driver’s Ed.

Forecast: Bigofromfeesno is a debuting gelding finally making it to the races at age four and is doing so while being protected in maiden special weight company when he just as well could have been entered at the bottom maiden claiming rung. A good sized son of Vronsky, the Dan Blacker-trained California-bred isn’t a quick sort but can turn it on late, and if doesn’t have too much to do from the quarter pole home he could easily outrun in morning line of 10-1. California Tiger was nosed out in a similar state-bred affair at Santa Anita in May in a much improved performance over his debut the previous month, and with a repeat of that effort today he will be tough to deny. A recent sharp five furlong drill over the Del Mar really caught the eye.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:39 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Don’t Ju Forget; 10-Flame McGoon
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Don’t Ju Forget, in her second start off a layoff, was sharp when second at Los Alamitos at this level last month in a race that produced a career top speed figure. Always most effective around one turn, the Peter Miller trained filly gets ideal conditions to settle in the second flight and then kick home when given her cue. Flame McGoon has been away since December, but the barn has solid stats with layoff runners and this California-bred daughter of Stanford has trained well enough to be fit and ready. Her prior outing over this course and distance resulted in a fast finishing third, and if she runs back to that race from last year the Mark Glatt-trained filly should be capable of posing a serious threat in the final furlong.

*

RACE 9: Post: 6:09 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Grand Slam Smile; 3-Pushiness
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Grand Slam Smile was a visually pleasing winner of the Fasig-Tipton Debutante Stakes in mid-June at Santa Anita after thoroughly impressing in her maiden win at Golden Gate Fields the previous month. She has trained in sharp style at her home base at Pleasanton while preparing for this year’s edition of the C.T.B.A Stakes so we suspect she’ll run as well if not even better today. The Smiling Tiger filly certainly is made of the right stuff. Pushiness won as expected in her debut, though there probably wasn’t a whole lot behind her. She’s always been well regarded and is the quickest of the quick. We’re expecting the winner will be one of these two, with preference on top to Grand Slam Smile.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:39 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Smart Mo
Backups/savers: 2-Agency.

Forecast: Let’s take a flyer with Smart Mo at 8-1 on the morning line in this year’s renewal of the La Jolla Handicap. This will be just his third career start, and his first on grass, but as a son of Mo Town he really should like it. Drawn nicely inside in a race that projects to have easy early fractions, the John Shirreffs-trained colt is fast on numbers and continues to impress in the morning. The well-regarded sophomore could easily be this good, so let’s make him a win play and a strong push in the various rolling exotics.

*

RACE 11: Post: 7:09 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-Hard Times; 3-Snap Daddy
Backups/savers: 9-Mt. Zeror; 12-The Key Is Unity.

Forecast: Hard Times vans down from Northern California after shaking off the rust when third in an abbreviated sprint against a bit tougher at Pleasanton. That race should tighten him up for this extend sprint, and against this group of bottom-rung ($20,000) maiden claimers the Andy Mathis-trained son of Goldencents appears to have found his friends. The addition of blinkers is another positive factor. Snap Daddy is a first time gelding and therefore eligible to leave his previous form behind. He takes a significant class drop from the maiden $50,000 ranks and has a closing style that should be effective at this seven furlong distance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/6/23 August 6, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Weigh the Risks
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Weigh the Risks was scratched recently from an off-the-turf maiden event so she makes her debut today in this middle distance inner grass course affair for juvenile fillies. The daughter of Mendelssohn has done everything in the morning like a quality prospect - View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/midnight-lute/steel-lute-outside-and-weigh-the-risks-worked-4-furlongs-in-48-63-at-saratoga-on-july-15th-2023/) - and should be fit and ready for a major effort in this contentious affair that contains several nice prospects. The Chad Brown barn hits at a powerful 24% with first time starters, so with Irad Ortiz, Jr., taking the call and at 7/2 on the morning line she’s a strong win play and rolling exotic single.
*

RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Ways and Means; 7-Bento; 8-Managing Mischief
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.
Forecast: Ways and Means has been fairly impressive in her preparation leading up to her debut and this daughter of Practical Joke looks live and extremely well meant in her debut. She’s a quick actioned, athletic juvenile filly and really caught the eye in a recent training track breeze - View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/ways-and-means/ways-and-means-worked-4-furlongs-in-49-98-at-saratoga-on-july-30th-2023/) - in which she came the final quarter mile on our watches in :23 4/5 without being asked. The Chad Brown-trained filly is a half-sister to stakes winners Highly Motivated and Surge Capacity and looks the part of a real good prospect. Bento is a first timer by Tapit from a graded stakes winning, graded stakes producing mare and was pleasing in a sharp local gate breeze - View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/tapit/bento-gray-and-film-academy-worked-4-furlongs-in-48-23-at-saratoga-on-july-19th-2023/) - last month. A $600,000 yearling purchase, the Mark Casse-trained filly should be fit enough to be competitive and definitely is worth including on your ticket. Managing Mischief has a nice gate breeze last week - View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/managing-mischief/managing-mischief-outside-and-americas-vow-worked-4-furlongs-at-saratoga-on-july-29th-2023/) that gave indication of some talent. From the first crop of the promising Into Mischief stallion Maximus Mischief, she’s a half-sister to the quick sprinter Static Fire and may be better than her morning line of 8-1 gives her credit for.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:20 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Shinfull; 3-U Should B Dancing; 4-Miss Domina
Backups/savers/Underneath: 2-Chromeplated Heart.

Forecast: Here’s a grass grab bag that requires considerable coverage in rolling exotic play. Shinfull makes a trainer change to Linda Rice and surfaces in a restricted (nw-3 turf sprint claimer for fillies and mares, so we’ll operate under the assumption that the New York-bred filly is set to produce a significant forward move. She’s run well over this course and distance in the past and switches to Jose Ortiz, positive factors that are reflected in her 3-1 morning line. She projects to be within striking range throughout and have her chance to tag the leaders close home. U Should Be Dancing is another dangerous class dropper that should improve against this level of competition. She generally prefers to finish second or third (9 times) rather than win (twice) but with some help up front she should make an impact in the final furlong. Miss Domina was overmatched when facing allowance foes last month but should go much better in this league. She has excellent previous form at the Spa and certainly has a right to be a player with this group.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Ever Summer; 5-Myriskyaffair; 1-Frivole
Backups/Savers/Underneath:

Forecast: Ever Summer was tagged right near the wire when second at 21-1 in a Grade 3 stakes at the mini-marathon 11 furlong distance at Delaware Park last time in a career top performance. Previously, she won a first level allowance event at this trip at Belmont Park and clearly has established herself as a prototype marathoner. She returns to the allowance ranks and offers an attractive wager at 4-1 on the morning line. Her uncoupled Christophe Clement-trained stablemate b>Myriskyaffair has beaten ‘Summer in the past and based on her current consistent form has a solid chance to do it again. She’s especially dangerous on the front end and could take this field a very long way if not respected. Frivole won her U.S. debut at Churchill Downs in promising fashion but then was disappointing when flattening out to wind up seventh as the favorite in her most recent appearance at this level at Delaware Park. Perhaps the soft condition of the course can be blamed, so let’s give the Graham Motion-trained French-bred filly another chance.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Souper Catch; 5-Sprinklehead; 3-Higher Quality.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Souper Catch finished a game second in a $10,000 seller over this track and distance last month and from his rail draw probably will be sent to establish the lead. He’s an admirable old timer with 17 career wins but his recent speed figures are just moderate. Maybe his winning spirit can carry him through. Sprinklehead may be a bit quicker than ‘Catch and if he can make the running he could get brave and never look back. A repeat of his race before last (or the one before that) could be good enough. Higher Quality was a voided claim for $16,000 two races back and completely overmatched in the Monmouth Cup-Ge3 (beaten 22 lengths) last time out. He has races that can win at this level, but his low percentage connections are hard to have confidence in.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Gypsy Tales 9-Before You Go Go
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Gypsy Tales missed by a nose in her debut at Ellis Park last month but earned a huge figure in defeat while winding up nine lengths clear of the third place finish. The Steve Asmussen-trained daughter of Munnings returns in four weeks showing three nice breezes over the Saratoga training track, so we’re expecting a similar performance if not better in this maiden juvenile sprint. It should take a pretty nice filly to beat her. Before You Go Go is bred to win right now (Mtole) and brought $310,000 at the Timonium May Sale after she impressed breezing a furlong in a swift :10 1/5. She also caught the eye in team gate drill last week - View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/before-you-go-go/before-you-go-go-outside-and-value-area-worked-4-furlongs-at-saratoga-on-july-31st-2023/) - and from her cozy outside draw could pop the gate and display dangerous early speed. Listed at 3-1 on the morning line, the Todd Pletcher-trained filly is a “must use” and the one to fear most.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Addressable Market; 9-It Wasn’t Me; 5-Get Respect
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Addressable Market< was beaten as the choice in a similar maiden $40,000 claiming turf router in mid-May, but she earned a career top number in her third career start and could produce another significant forward move after her nearly three month vacation. Her inside draw guarantees and second flight, ground saving trip, so in a soft affair we’ll prefer the Chad Brown-trained Irish-bred on top. It Wasn’t Me shows up in a seller after finishing a distant second in a maiden special weight affair at Horseshoe Indianapolis. On pure numbers, this is where she fits, and with just two starts on her resume the daughter of Blame has room to step forward. Get Respect stretches out in her second start off a layoff and is another trying maiden claimers for the first time. We like the blinkers off angle and suspect this Barclay Tagg-trained filly with employ gate to wire tactics.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Here U Come Again; 9-Copper Em
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Brightwork.

Forecast: This year’s renewal of the Adirondack S.-G3 for juvenile fillies may boil down to a pair of very impressive Ellis Park debut winners. Here U Come Again showed speed and class in her highly rated five furlong score last month, pressing the pace and then producing a strong second move when straightened for home to win with authority and with plenty left. Since arriving at the Spa, the Brad Cox-trained daughter of Liam’s Map has been impressive in the morning - View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/here-u-come-again/here-u-come-again-outside-and-it-wasnt-me-worked-4-furlongs-in-49-65-at-saratoga-on-july-y30th-2023/) - and should thoroughly enjoy this extended sprint distance. Copper Em left at nearly 16-1 in her debut at the Pea Patch in late June but blew away her rivals like an odds-on favorite. She also has looked very sharp in the a.m. since arriving at the Spa - View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/edified-(outside)-and-copper-em-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/edified-outside-and-copper-em-worked-5-furlongs-in-101-77-at-saratoga-on-july-23rd-2023/) - and actually may be a tad quicker than her chief rival. It may be significant, though, that Florent Geroux, who was aboard both fillies, opts for Here U Come Again.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Dontmesswithtess; 2-Ruda
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Pentagon.

Forecast: Dontmesswithtess may have moved too soon when worn down close home in a similar starter allowance turf router at Belmont Park last month, but she certainly ran a winning race in defeat after finishing early seven lengths clear of the rest. The Michael Maker-trained mare will get plenty of cover from her inside draw, and with a well-timed ride should be a major player late. The only concern is her dependability; she has failed to deliver the last four times she was sent to the post as the favorite. Ruda is lightly raced with room to improve and with numbers that put her in the hunt. The Monmouth Park shipper should be running on strongly late.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Myles; 3-Forward Move; 2-Stow On the Wold
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Myles has improving numbers, and in just his fourth career start the Creative Cause gelding should be capable of stepping forward again in this maiden claiming turf router for New York-bred runners. Freshened since mid-May, the Christophe Clement-trained 4-year-old has good tactical speed to ensure a trouble-free trip, and while he’ll need improvement in the speed figure department we suspect he has more upside than the other main players. Forward Move finished a respectable third in his debut facing straight maidens but today drops in for a price, somewhat suspiciously so given that he was originally purchased for $225,000 as a yearling. Sounds like they’re giving up on him pretty quickly. Stow On the Wold is another showing up in a seller for the first time, but having finished off the board in four of his first five starts the class drop seems justified. On numbers, he’s right there with the rest of them.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis August 6, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15-race program with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

3-Elliot Moose (3-1)-Makes the 3rd start for Rhoades, gets post relief and this time comes back in sequence. Could be sitting on a big try.
4-Elver Hanover (4-1)-Was bet and was used a couple of times in the last win. Now steps-up but this field could be had and gets a positive driver change in Davis Jr.
7-The Longest Yard (8-1)-Drew off at Batavia versus Open I company. Ships back and lands in a competitive level and has cashed checks versus better. The post helps the price and has enough gate speed to get a decent seat off the gate.

Race 12

3-One Last Laugh (2-1)-Beat Open Handicap company here back in April and hasn't taken a picture since. Drops and was off 4 weeks between the last 2 starts and now comes back in sequence. Gets a positive driver change in Davis Jr and looks like a player.
4-Honali (12-1)-Ships in from the Meadows and previously was facing better here. Should fit and has hit the board in 5 of 8 at Nfld with 3 pictures. Willing to take a swing at the morning line price.
9-Lancaster Hill (6-1)-Starts from the 2nd tier but when good can pass horses down the lane. The #1 or #2 could leave, if Day can land in decent seat this veteran could get sucked around and use one nice move down the lane to surprise.

Race 13

2-Turbo Hill (9/5)-Takes a big step up after drawing off by 5 lengths in a 150.4 with the trainer between the pipes. The Krieser barn has posted 29% winners over the last 30 days and now Davis Jr is at the controls. Not loving the short price but could double up.
3-Moved Bythe Spirit (2-1)-Chris Page takes over for Wrenn Jr and the Burke trainee steps up a notch. Comes off a sharp win, should be racing near the top of the stack and could battle #2 to the wire.

Race 14

3-Favorite Aunt (7/2)-Here's another Burke entry and this mare has won 2 of 3, and 4 of 11 at Nfld. Could get a pocket ride behind the one below and trip out.
4-Fashion Chocolate (2-1)-Comes off a win versus this kind and showed some guts doing it. Davis Jr sticks, he should be out and rolling to land on the point. Could get the lead without burning much gas and might be tough to catch.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,4,7/3,4,9/2,3/3,4
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Sunday's West Virginia Derby August 3, 2023 | By Jeremy Plonk
The Lead:
It's true: Put the word 'Derby' in front of me and I'll bite. Sunday's West Virginia Derby puts second-half sophomores in the spotlight for a half-million dollars at Mountaineer. The 1-1/8 miles test will be Race 8 on a 9-race card that also features the Grade 3 West Virginia Governor's Stakes in the preceding heat. This 14-horse affair, which includes a pair of also-eligibles, boasts runners from no less than 8 different venues last time out. Let's hit the crossroads.

​Field Depth:
LORD MILES is Grade 2 winner of the Wood Memorial and holds the field's signature score. RAISE CAIN is a Grade 3 winner. DREAMING OF KONA, ONE IN VERMILLION and RED ROUTE ONE are the field's listed stakes winners, the latter of which is Grade 1-placed. RED ROUTE ONE has kept the strongest company lines in the field, followed by RAISE CAIN and LORD MILES. Those 3 certainly have the class edge.

Pace:
DREAMING OF KONA should show early foot from the rail, but it's ONE IN VERMILLION who is the field's committed early speed. Wide-drawn WEST COAST COWBOY could be used harder early to avoid ground loss and contribute to what looks to be an average-to-modest pace for the class and distance. Deep closers will be against the race flow.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

1-DREAMING OF KONA: All 3 wins have come around 1 turn, and he's 0-for-3 around a pair of bends, much less never attempting a race this far. Lasix added will help, but 9F will stretch him.

2-LORD MILES: First Lasix for 59-1 Wood Memorial upsetter, who is sure to be an underlay price compared to his past form. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. won this race last year with Skippylongstocking, whose form felt a bit stronger than this. Bullet workout at Gulfstream before heading north and drawn very well.

3-TAPIT'S CONQUEST: The Brad Cox barn is 12-29 shipping to Mountaineer, but winless in 4 bids in the West Virginia Derby. Good second to top-class Arabian Lion in Pimlico's Sir Barton on Preakness Day, a race much stronger than it looks on paper. Determined Ellis allowance winner vs. $450K Asmussen who is well-regarded in preparation for this.

4-RED ROUTE ONE: Deep closer is devoid of any early speed and will need some pace help to deliver. Preakness fourth was blasted in the Belmont by 33+ lengths and diverted here vs. Haskell or Jim Dandy ... not a confident sign. No trainer has more WV Derby wins than Steve Asmussen's 5, so he does know which horses fit here. Prefer others.

5-LOOKA LOOKA: Recent $4,000 claim is wildly placed over his head.

6-MY MAN BIGGIE: Stakes-placed in Arizona and Colorado, this is a tough spot for his longest and biggest career test.

7-TIMESATAPPIN: Six straight losses at Thistledown don't inspire confidence for Mahoning Valley maiden breaker.

8-ONE IN VERMILLION: Speedball showed his Arizona form to be genuine when finishing just 4-1/2 lengths back in the Santa Anita Derby and then winning the Laz Barrera at Santa Anita. Tough-luck DQ loser in hard-fought Iowa Derby isn't one to back down. They will have to run him down to win.

9-GROVELAND: Added Lasix in Hawthorne allowance win and returns with it in this stakes reappearance. Grade 3 Sam F. Davis runner-up hit the sidelines after poor showing in the Tampa Bay Derby. Should be legged up after training on the Tapeta at Turfway all summer.

10-FARTLEK: Bombed in 3 straight at the $4,000 claiming level and totally overmatched.

11-RAISE CAIN: Had worst trip of all to this eye in the Kentucky Derby when eighth, a sneaky-good effort. Came back for decent runs in the Matt Winn and Indiana Derby, but admittedly expected more from this Grade 3 Gotham winner. Stronger closing kick in shorter races, making it questionable if he'll deliver a knockout punch at this 9F trip.

12-WEST COAST COWBOY: Third in February's Grade 3 Holy Bull, he didn't show much in the Florida Derby or Iowa Derby since that time. Longer-shot of the Saffie Joseph uncoupled pair in this race compared to Lord Miles. Top Penn National jockey Tyler Conner is a curious rider assignment, and he's got a tough task from this post.

13-RUSSIAN HAMMER (AE): Maiden claiming graduate from Hawthorne being asked a lot.

14-KNOCKOUT GUY (AE): 20-race local maiden would be without any chance if he draws in.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
TAPIT'S CONQUEST has a great draw, running style and recent company lines for success.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
GROVELAND should get a decent trip just behind the main speed and has only one poor race on his ledger.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$60 win TAPIT'S CONQUEST. $40 daily double BEST ACTOR to TAPIT'S CONQUEST in a Race 7-8 stakes sweep for Brad Cox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Del Mar - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#3 Pushiness
Nothing clever here for me, just guessing she's too fast and/or good for these right now off that debut run. I wouldn't argue too much with anyone standing against as the class and pace waters both get deeper today.


#6 Putt For Dough
Think she has a real claim on this one, especially if a contested early pace leaves several of them in tough late in the lane. She's a logical alternative.


#1 Fly a Fantasy
She might be just a little overlooked in here, but she might be able to work out a pretty cozy trip from the inside if a couple quicker fillies clear and cross her early. Think she's worth considering on the tickets, especially if you're standing against the chalk.


Race Summary
Pushiness is likely favored here off a super sharp debut, and I think that sort of effort would probably handle these. Putt For Dough and Fly a Fantasy look like the most reasonable ones to use if the shorter price isn't for you today.


Del Mar - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#8 Zalamo
He'll need better today than he showed last out, but he's probably sitting a touch better trip today if he can get away better and brings enough upside to jump in at a midrange price.


#5 Panic Alarm
He seems well meant in here while making his North American debut, and I'm not sure this is the deepest Grade III you're ever going to see here. Bet he's a good fit.


#3 Maltese Falcon
He hasn't been able to clear easier, but he stacks up nicely in here and just shared with stakes company last time out. Worry that the price will be a bit too short.


Race Summary
Zalamo had a rough start in his local debut last time out, and I'm hoping a better break will put him in a spot to avoid closing from way downtown today. Price should be ok.


Del Mar - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#7 Hard Times
He was a better fit when trying claimers for the first time last out, and now he runs second off the bench in what feels like another reasonable spot. Forward player can be tough today.


#9 Mt. Zeror
He moved up on the dirt in that second trip to post, and he's probably close to the pace again here while taking another step down the claiming ladder. No surprises here.


#1 La'och Aloysius
He has had plenty of chances and is tough to love too much on top, but he has occasionally shown a little chasing pace interest in these longer trips, so maybe he'll get a good break and hang around for a piece at a big number.


Race Summary
Worth giving a look to #12 The Key Is Unity if you need to get through this leg, as he has some appealing enough finishing form while still having questions to answer on the drop. Think Hard Times can be a pretty tough presence in the finale with some upside today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Louisiana Downs - Race 5

Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / .50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)



Claiming $7,500 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 5:57P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 6, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 6, 2023 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CHIKARA: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Pow er Rating. FLY CONDOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HARRIET'S DREAM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Hor se ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



11

CHIKARA

8/1


7/2




3

FLY CONDOR

4/1


6/1




1

HARRIET'S DREAM

5/1


8/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

HARRIET'S DREAM

1


5/1

Front-runner

81


79


87.6


74.2


67.2




5

HURRICANE TIZWAY

5


12/1

Front-runner

73


68


85.3


65.4


48.4




4

DARE TO WISH

4


8/1

Front-runner

70


77


81.2


60.6


44.6




6

THINKITASADONATION

6


9/2

Front-runner

75


71


74.4


75.6


66.1




3

FLY CONDOR

3


4/1

Stalker

78


82


77.2


78.0


67.5




7

TELLING THYME

7


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

83


69


61.8


75.2


62.2




9

TAY TAY'S BABY

9


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

88


74


54.3


64.6


54.1




11

CHIKARA

11


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

90


80


56.2


80.6


75.6




8

FETCHING

8


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

89


77


63.0


51.9


35.4




10

KEWPIE DOLL

10


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

75


55


59.6


42.8


27.3




2

PROUD VALENTINE

2


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

74


75


35.6


65.8


55.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Wyoming Downs - Race 7

$2 Quinella / $2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta ($.10 Box)



Claiming $7,500 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 3:35P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SCOTTY WHO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SCOTTY WHO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ALPINE HYPNOSIS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LOUIE ZAMPERINI: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



2

SCOTTY WHO

7/2


5/2




5

ALPINE HYPNOSIS

3/1


5/1




4

LOUIE ZAMPERINI

5/2


6/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

SCOTTY WHO

2


7/2

Alternator/Front-runner

82


78


0.0


71.6


66.1




5

ALPINE HYPNOSIS

5


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


74


29.3


65.1


60.6




4

LOUIE ZAMPERINI

4


5/2

Trailer

81


62


0.0


73.0


69.5




6

AFTER BURN

6


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

63


45


87.0


52.4


43.9




7

MUSKET POWDER

7


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

73


67


0.0


53.4


44.4




1

PRESS BRIEFING

1


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

88


86


0.0


41.2


30.2




3

COWBOY JOE

3


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

58


45


0.0


37.4


23.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Monmouth ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=mth0806zz.htm&exp=08/08/2023&pds=MTH_-_08/06/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/06/2023;TRACK_CODE=MTH&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 GOD STILL LOVES ME 8/1




# 1 CABRA CHICA 7/2




# 8 BAHAMA PEARL 6/1




I give the nod to GOD STILL LOVES ME for this race especially at a such a nice price. She looks respectable in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Martin have shown sharp results lately. CABRA CHICA - Must be carefully examined based on the very strong Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last race. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Castillosanche running at this distance are the most favorable in this group. BAHAMA PEARL - The Equibase speed fig of 70 from her last contest looks respectable in here. Rojas has recent return on investment figures which make this one a strong bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Emerald Downs - Race #4 - Post: 3:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,500 Class Rating: 79

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 MARY WALKER (ML=3/1)
#4 QUEENSBORO (ML=6/1)
#3 SCATALICIOUS (ML=4/1)


MARY WALKER - Lucarelli brings her back again. I recommend you stick with this live filly. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. QUEENSBORO - Filly's last morning work was second fastest of the day for the distance. A filly like this one, almost always on the board, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. This animal has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 55 to 62 to 79 in succession. SCATALICIOUS - I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a good effort within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RESERVOIR (ML=2/1), #2 WESTERN DREAM (ML=9/2),

RESERVOIR - I checked out this horse's past performances and she doesn't do well as the chalk and is likely to be favored today. On a downward sequence. Speed figs keep declining. WESTERN DREAM - In any event of 6 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in short distance events of late. This entrant ran a run-of-the-mill speed figure last out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat in today's event running that fig.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #6 MARY WALKER to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 41

FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 CLAUDANIA 20/1




# 8 ASTACIO QUEEN 4/1




# 4 TATICA TATICA 20/1




CLAUDANIA looks to be a strong contender and the potential return justifies the very dangerous nature of the long odds. Looks competitive against this field and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. In this field, this one is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint races. The price could be just right on this one. ASTACIO QUEEN - Should be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=mnr0806zm.htm&exp=08/08/2023&pds=MNR_-_08/06/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/06/2023;TRACK_CODE=MNR&SAP=FREEPICS)



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Mountaineer Park - Race #7 - Post: 7:40pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $200,000 Class Rating: 104 West Virginia Governor's S. (Grade 3)

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 BUCK MOON (ML=8/1)
#9 KEYSTONE FIELD (ML=12/1)
#1 MASQUEPARADE (ML=12/1)
#12 BEST ACTOR (ML=6/1)


BUCK MOON - You always have to be on the lookout for bankroll building jockey/trainer duos; we have one right here. No need to look any further. This racer has my dough. Way too much pace. The recent rating of 104 is the top last race speed rating in the field. KEYSTONE FIELD - Last out, finished fourth on a track listed as good at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Have to do better right here. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the PP lines, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle at different tracks. Getting a weight break of 7 pounds from last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis on July 8th. Should be helpful in this event. Maker, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix today. A positive sign. MASQUEPARADE - Have to give this horse a shot. Ran a good race last out within the last thirty days. Took a significant drop in class rating last time around the track at Horseshoe Indianapolis. Returning to a similar level in this event. Should perform well in this race. Look at this pattern of improvement. 86/90/97 are the last 3 Equibase speed figures. BEST ACTOR - When a horse finishes on the board as often as this colt does, you will usually want to use him in your exotic wagers. This horse likes to win at different racing venues. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per start (EPS). This entrant has the top in the bunch. I think he'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 O'CONNOR (CHI) (ML=3/1), #8 WAR CAMPAIGN (ML=5/1), #4 SURLY FURIOUS (ML=6/1),

O'CONNOR (CHI) - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition. WAR CAMPAIGN - I predict bad luck for this equine in this race. SURLY FURIOUS - Registered a mediocre speed rating last time out in the Karl Boyes on July 3rd. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #6 BUCK MOON on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,6,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip