Thursday 8/10/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 8/10/23 August 10, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Pink Ace
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Song of Shadows.

Forecast: Pink Ace earned a strong speed figure when stakes placed in her second career start at Oaklawn Park in April, but is eligible to this modest starter’s allowance ($40,000) six furlong affair for having won (and claimed) for this price in her debut the previous month. She’s eligible to valuable ship-and-win money in her California debut and has trained like she’s fit and ready for new conditioner Phil D’Amato. A bargain basement ($5,000 yearling purchase, the daughter of Aikenite appears to have a good share of quality and should simply completely outclass this field at a price lower than her morning line of 9/5.

*

RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Des Doights; 8-Nurcan; 4-Nesso’s Lastharrah
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none

Forecast: There are three entrants eligible for the lucrative ship-and-win bonus in this maiden $32,000 claiming sprint for two year olds and seem certain to receive the bulk of the action. Des Doights had a less than ideal trip when fourth in his debut in a maiden $40,000 dash at Ellis Park in his debut in mid-June and arrives for trainer Wesley Ward with a solid series of local drills that should have him primed for a winning effort in a soft spot. He’s 8/5 on the morning line and looks it on paper. Nurkan didn’t show a whole lot facing tougher maiden special weight foes at Keeneland last spring but he’s a first time gelding breaking from a cozy outside post and could be a better type this time around. Nesso’s Lastharrah was outfooted and no factor facing straight maidens at Gulfstream Park in his debut last month but with that effort behind him and this cross country ship to face maiden claimers the son of Sharp Azteca seems likely to improve and be competitive.

*

RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 10-Morning Addiction; 2-Pens Street; 1-Beachgrass
Backups/savers/Underneath: 8-Lucy L.

Forecast: Morning Addiction returned off a long layoff to obliterate a restricted (nw-2) $12,500 sprinting field at Pleasanton in late June and today drops to the bottom and stretces out to a mile in this $8,000 affair. Anything close to her best can win again, her outside draw notwithstanding, but she’s obviously for sale that indicates her connections believe her long term prospects are shaky. Pens Street closed a gap to be a non-threatening but decent third in a much tougher $16,000 seller over this track and distance last month. At this level – her lowest ever – her best could be good enough at 4-1 on the morning line. Beachgrass won a restricted $10,000 claimer at Pleasanton in good style last month and this drop in class to face open $8,000 foes is reasonable.

*

RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Impeachalot; 1-Gantry
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Capital Outlay; 8-Buraq’s Reflection.

Forecast: Impeachalot has trained fairly well – not great, but okay – leading up to his debut and this California-bred son of Sir Prancealot finds a soft spot this five furlong turf dash in which the known element looks ordinary. The barn has average stats with first timers (below average with everything else), so at 7/2 on the morning line he may be difficult to feel confident about, but we’ll put him on top basically by default. Gantry, another son of Sir Prancealot, should receive substantial backing as well. The Ryan Hanson-trained colt has a couple of good gate works on his resume, and we suspect that if he breaks cleanly from the rail he’ll have a strong say in the outcome.

*

RACE 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Dos Vicious
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Star Prospect; 6-Post Facto.

Forecast: Northern California invader Dos Vicios looks well-placed to regain his winning form in this $25,000 claiming main track miler restricted to 3-year-olds. A respectable third in an optional ($50,000) claimer at Pleasanton, the Smart Bid gelding is dropping sharply in class but remains well above the $12,500 level that produced his last two wins, so this is where he belongs. He has good tactical speed that should ensure a trouble-free trip and he’s always has been genuine and consistent (three wins, three placings, from nine career starts). Also, his numbers say he’s a fit at this level on this circuit.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Please Focus; 6-Silent Sunday; 4-Rolling On.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Please Focus is a quick turf sprinter taking a class drop to his proper level and will try to outrun this $50,000 claiming field restricted to 3-year-olds. Freshened since mid-June and a perfect one-for-one over this course, the Doug O’Neill-trained sophomore can deal with the early heat and then hold sway with his best effort. Silent Sunday makes his first start on grass – he’s bred for it – and has a right to produce a significant forward move. If he does, the Bay Area invader could make his presence felt late in a race that projects to have stronger than par early splits. Rolling On should be included in your ticket as well. He is a new arrival from Gulfstream Park, is eligible to ship-and-win money, and brings with him speed figures that can be dangerous at this level on this circuit.

*

RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Stay and Scam; 8-Evelyn’s Girl
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 1-She’s Bulletproof.

Forecast: Stay and Scam is lightly raced with upside that most of the others don’t have. A debut winner at Indiana Horseshoe and then missing in a photo in a similar allowance turf dash at Santa Anita in mid-June, the Doug O’Neill-trained daughter of Square Eddie returns to the main track, has worked nicely in the interim, and should produce another forward move. She’s 5/2 on the morning line and will offer good wagering value at or near that price. Evelyn’s Girl doesn’t win very often but usually gets a piece of it. Now in the Gary Stute barn following a $20,000 claim, the daughter of Shaman’s Ghost returns for the same price in this Cal-bred optional claimer, has run well over this track in the past, and with some help up front could be heard from late.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Cane Creek Road; 5-Chasin Munny
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The finale is a restricted $32,000 claimer over a mile that offers a volatile pace scenario that may greatly impact the race flow. Cane Creek Road is a dangerous class dropper but is a need-the-lead type and won’t be waiting around for anybody. If he can clear early without running off, he could take this field gate to wire. Chasin Munny is stretching out for the first time in his third start off the layoff. He is fast enough to impact the chances of Cane Creek Road, but is removing blinkers, so he may be held up early. The son of Munnings is unproven around two turns but if he’s ever going to get the trip it’ll most likely be in his first try. Tough race, play with caution.

*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/10/23 August 10, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Permed
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The Thursday opener appears to be one of the weaker maiden special weight juvenile turf sprints so far this season. We’ll focus on Permed, second in both of her previous starts, most recently with a fair to moderate performance when favored at Belmont Park last month. She adds blinkers for trainer Todd Pletcher and rates top billing by default, as the others with prior races don’t inspire the first timers don’t look like much.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.
Forecast: State bred maiden claiming older fillies and mares sprint six furlongs in today’s second race, another woefully weak affair in which nothing would surprise. Simply put, the race is inscrutable and is best left alone.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:19 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Born a Gambler; 1-Tallahatchiebridge
Backups/savers/Underneath: 3-More Than Work.

Forecast: Born a Gambler takes a realistic class drop after finding starter allowance foes a bit out of his range in his first start following a clever score for restricted (nw-2) $50,000 two runs back at Belmont Park. His numbers have been solid and consistent, so at this level the Michael Maker-trained gelding should have his chance to regain his winning form. Tallahatchiebridge has been away since February and shows up in a seller for the first time, not normally considered to be a healthy pattern but acceptable from Saffie Joseph, Jr., who has excellent stats with layoff runners and is usually fairly aggressive when spotting his runners. “Win Rider” Tyler Gaffalione returns, another positive factor. From his rail draw the son of Will Take George looks like a serious player at 7/2 on the morning line.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): Dust Devil; 1-Two Thirty Five
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Dust Devil moves up a notch following a $20,000 claim by trainer John Toscano, who has been strong with this maneuver from limited opportunities. First or second in his last three starts including a clever score last month over this track and distance, the veteran Tapiture gelding has benefitted from a nicely spaced schedule that should have him ready for another strong effort, though at 6/5 on the morning line there’s little wagering value to be found. <>Two Thirty Five is another making his first start since being haltered (out of the same race Dust Devil exits) and should be a dangerous pace factor from his inside draw. The new trainer (Robert Klesaris) has solid stats with the first-off-the-claim angle, and it wouldn’t take much improvement from the Stay Thirsty gelding, who was fourth after cutting out the fractions last time out, to be a major player throughout.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Miss d’Oro Cherie; 1-Snarky
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 8-Book of Wisdom.

Forecast: Miss d’Or Cherie smoked a quarter of a mile in 20 3/5 at the OBS April sale, the fastest for the distance at the entire sale. She’s done some very good work preparing for this race since arriving in New York and is clearly a filly with considerable promise. Drawn comfortably outside in this New York-bred juvenile sprint, the Christophe Clement-trained daughter of Bolt d’Oro looks extremely live at 7/2 on the morning line. Snarky is another first timer worth considering on your ticket. She was best of a team in a nice gate drill last month - see workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/pretty-up/pretty-up-outside-snarky-middle-and-lady-prospect-worked-4-furlongs-at-saratoga-on-july-22nd-2023/) - and is certain to be a factor if she leaves cleanly from the rail.


*

RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Walstib; 8-Khanate; 3-Le Dom Bro
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Restricted (must have sold or been bought back for $50,000 at auction) maiden 2-year-olds sprint six furlongs in this main track dash. Walstib is a first timer from the Ken McPeek barn with a decent series of drills that should have him have him ready in a race containing no apparent world beaters. A gate drill last month in :48 1/5 - see workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/elko-county/elko-county-bay-and-walstib-worked-4-furlongs-at-saratoga-on-july-13th-2023/) - while much the best of a team) really caught the eye but a subsequent scheduled start (July 20) never happened due to a late gate scratch, and he didn’t work back for 10 days. The son of Unified is one of several possibilities in an open fray. Khanate vans up from Monmouth Park, where he was prepared for this race with a series of useful drills that indicate at least some ability. The Todd Pletcher-trained colt lands Flavian Prat and looks to be player. Le Dom Bro has the benefit of a couple of prior runs in Florida, though he was disappointing in his last start (at even money) when a no excuse runner-up in a moderate affair. However, his speed figures are solid and make him a “must use” in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): -2-Olkovskha/1a-2-b-No Show Sammy Jo; 1-Idea Generation
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Alpha Belle; 5-My Lion.

Forecast: Olkovskha was somewhat victimized by a lack of pace when sixth of 10 in her U.S. debut at Belmont Park last month. She had decent form last year in France, so with any kind of forward move the Graham Motion-trained import should be highly competitive in this moderate first level allowance affair restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Stable mate No Show Sammy adds strength to the entry following a pleasing maiden score in her second career start in late June. Numbers wise, she’s a fit with these and with plenty of room to improve the English-bred filly could easily prove to be the best of the lot. Idea Generation is a one-paced grinding type who was a bit exposed when a well-beaten second as the favorite in a similar allowance turf affair at Belmont Park last month in her first start since November. This nine furlong distance should be more to her liking, so we’ll give the Chad Brown-trained colt a reasonable look at 4-1 on the morning line.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Magical Ways; 9-Pine Valley; 5-Moving Pictures
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Magical Ways plummets in class following a pair of disastrous runs in starter allowance company, so his current condition is questionable, but at this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 level the David Jacobson colt can wire the field at this extended sprint distance with a repeat of his third race back, a sharp maiden claiming score at the Big A last spring. Pine Valley is guaranteed an ideal trip from his comfortable outside draw and on his best day the Maclean’s Music gelding will be a major player while dropping to his lowest level ever. Moving Pictures returns to his claim level and is another that should improve with the class drop. He’s slower on numbers than our top pick but looks like the most dangerous of the late threats.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Unleash the Power; 11-Kingfish Stevens; 3-Front Man
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: There’s not much to work with here. Unleash the Power shows gradually rising speed figures and a decent runner-up effort in a similar starter allowance ($50,000) affair over the local lawn last month. The concern is his apparent lack of a winning punch, but the other main contenders appear to be in the same boat. Kingfish Stevens and Front Man, three-four finishers in the same race ‘Power exits, won’t need to improve much to step forward and win.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Kasimba; 7-Insanity It Seems
Backups/savers:

Forecast: Kasimba has finished second in all four career starts but may be ready to finally graduate after earning a career top speed figure when well clear of the rest in a turf sprint for maiden $40,000 at Belmont Park last month. The Kantharos gelding projects to be the quickest in the field and at this abbreviated sprint distance may be capable of sticking it out. Insanity It Seems won his only start at Monmouth a year ago July but had to give the purse back due to a bad test. The son of Tale of the Cat returns in a seller – not a sign of confidence – but trainer Wesley Ward hits at 25% with layoff runners so at this gelding’s stage of his career this is where the trainer thinks he belongs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Hawthorne - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 Fuente Ovejuna
She didn't sustain a middle move in that Horseshoe Indianapolis stakes try last time out, but I can see her finding a good spot from the fence while tucked in behind a few pace players.


#9 She Can't Sing
Her better lines keep her in the mix here, but she couldn't take advantage of a tactical edge on the winner last out in that short field and will certainly need better today. Decent fit.


#8 Katie M'Lady
Nothing wrong with her overall form and consistency, but I think she might meet just enough other pace in here to make things a bit tough for her. Wouldn't surprise.


Race Summary
Fuente Ovejuna might have a little appeal at a midrange price with this group, as she held her own against some decent groups in the races on her page and might trip out from the inside.


Hawthorne - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Go On Girl
She has to prove she can hang late at this level, but I think she gets a pretty favorable race flow on paper in here and might outrun her odds while in the mix throughout.


#5 Commissioner Gulch
She's the one to beat after a good first local effort at this level, but I'm not totally sold on her overall level of talent at this point. Underlay with a big chance.


#2 No Nap Needed
Fresh face has that working in her favor, and she has a couple snappy enough works on the page against the clock. Wouldn't have to be a star to share in what might not be the deepest local level.


Race Summary
Go On Girl should be an OK price in here with Commissioner Gulch likely to take some cash, and I'm hoping she can flash some pace and avoid taking too early a challenge.


Hawthorne - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Real News
His comeback effort looked like one he can build on after moving a bit and going one-paced late, and he is not far removed from some form with tougher that would make him a real handful in here, just probably not at the 12/1 ML price.


#10 Smokin Richie
Dangerous guy gets the best of the pace draws to prompt the other speed players, but I'm worried it's still going to be a lot of work to hustle early from this post and hang around late.


#8 Land Mark Deal
Think he has a chance to land this if the pace really heats up, as he has shown some solid finishing form when going short on the turf. I would probably want him on the tickets in a race with a few pace players drawn inside waiting for Smokin Richie to join them.


Race Summary
Real News goes second off the bench after making a mild move, and his tactical ability should serve him well and allow his rider to place him in just behind the splits and let those guys go at it early.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Penn National - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#6 COLBALOAF (5-1)
Duplicate of seasonal debut fits well, has won 4 of 7 on Penn National lawn.


#8 UNCONQUERED SPIRIT (5-2)
Good speed, proven at this level and distance, reunited with Mendoza.


#4 COOL COMEDIAN (10-1)
Missed in photo finishes at 6F and 1M, tries turf for new barn.


Race Summary
COLBALOAF, content to save ground and stalk the pace in his seasonal debut, steadied slightly in early stretch and finished willingly between rivals. He was overmatched in a follow-up allowance and out of his element sprinting at this level last out. Bet to win and place in a wide-open race.


Penn National - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#1 KATE’S GOLDEN DUDE (2
Fires fresh, summoned back-class to win 4 of last 8 by wide margins.


#3 JUMPMASTER (3-1)
Might have lost a step, but he gets pace to rally into at an inflated price.


#5 GRAND WISER (9-2)
Circled 4-wide on turn, couldn’t reach longshots as 4-race win streak ended.


Race Summary
KATE’S GOLDEN DUDE gave way chasing the appropriately-named Quick Tempo (11-29, $392k) last out, but he won four of his previous seven starts by a combined 19-1/2 lengths. He romped in both Penn National starts off similar rest to today’s race. Bet to win and place.


Penn National - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#9 CAJUN OCCASION (7-2)
Packs late kick, meets mostly elders, must avoid another wide trip.


#4 MUTTLEY (5-2)
Useful comeback at Monmouth, doesn’t back down from a duel, expect better.


#1 SUNSHINE HARRY (10-1)
Awakened with Lasix and blinkers in second start, tough task from rail.


Race Summary
CAJUN OCCASION rallied wide to finish second behind the odds-on winner at 5-1/2F two starts ago, then raced wide again when third at 6F. He steps up in class are draws farther outside but should get a decent set-up at a fair price. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=del0810zf.pdf&exp=08/12/2023&pds=DEL_-_08/10/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/10/2023;TRACK_CODE=DEL&SAP=FREEPICS)


Delaware Park - Race 5

$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / $1 Double / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-7) .50 LATE Pick 4 (Races 5-8)



Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 2:30P


(RAIL AT 30 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. POP SOCKS is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * MINTENON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TAKEOVER KASH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROLLERCOASTER MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



5

MINTENON

4/1


4/1




11

TAKEOVER KASH

8/1


5/1




1

ROLLERCOASTER MAN

6/1


7/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

POP SOCKS

3


12/1

Front-runner

66


48


74.9


58.8


40.8




1

ROLLERCOASTER MAN

1


6/1

Stalker

69


64


67.1


62.2


53.2




11

TAKEOVER KASH

11


8/1

Stalker

72


72


59.5


68.6


59.1




9

RUN FOR KARL

9


5/1

Stalker

62


55


57.7


58.6


44.1




5

MINTENON

5


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

72


76


84.3


66.2


61.7




10

BUSHWICK BRUISER

10


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

61


59


55.2


59.6


53.6




13

GRUNION

13


12/1

Trailer

59


47


46.5


44.6


31.1




12

FIRST SQUAD

12


10/1

Trailer

64


58


36.3


49.0


38.5




7

RIVER FULL

7


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

58


42


65.9


42.9


21.4




4

EL BUFFALO

4


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


65.6


47.0


29.5




14

FIFTH ELEMENT

14


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

59


43


51.1


45.2


22.7




2

DOUBLE O OTTO

2


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

59


62


26.5


38.9


30.4




8

LAST OF BAD BOYS

8


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


24.0


24.0


0.0







































Unknown Running Style: PAPA FUNNY (10/1) [Jockey: Batista Jose A - Trainer: Morici Diane D].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Colonial DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=cnl0810zf.pdf&exp=08/12/2023&pds=CNL_-_08/10/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/10/2023;TRACK_CODE=CNL&SAP=FREEPICS)


Colonial Downs - Race 2

$1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Early Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)



Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 73 • Purse: $75,000 • Post: 2:02P


FOR VA RESTRICTED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HIDDEN VASE: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with fir st time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. THURSDAY GIRL: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. STILL TEMPER: Jockey/Trainer combination return on inve stment is at least +20.



4

HIDDEN VASE

6/1


5/2




1

THURSDAY GIRL

4/1


7/1




12

EDEN'S GIGI

9/2


10/1




6

STILL TEMPER

10/1


10/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

VARIEGATE

2


30/1

Front-runner

0


0


108.1


16.1


11.1




5

STREETCORNER

5


5/1

Front-runner

0


0


95.7


37.9


34.9




3

CANDY DOLL

3


12/1

Trailer

0


0


37.0


41.7


39.7




7

BOSSY BOOTS

7


30/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


45.5


26.5


21.0







































Unknown Running Style: THURSDAY GIRL (4/1) [Jockey: Ruiz Jorge - Trainer: Delacour Arnaud], HIDDEN VASE (6/1) [Jockey: Gallardo Antonio A - Trainer: Danner Kelsey], STILL TEMPER (10/1) [Jockey: Cedeno Carol - Trainer: Stidham Michael], SHEILAHS WARCL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=tdn0810zm.htm&exp=08/12/2023&pds=TDN_-_08/10/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/10/2023;TRACK_CODE=TDN&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Thistledown - Race #6 - Post: 3:20pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 64

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 PRIVATE CONNIE (ML=2/1)


PRIVATE CONNIE - Taking a trip to a lower class rank; has the ability to make his presence felt. Hasn't run at today's trip recently but does have a speed figure garnered last time he tried this trip good enough to win. Lower weight of -7. In my opinion, a movement of five is important, so this gelding falls into this category.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF (ML=8/5), #2 CAPTURE MI (ML=7/2), #4 DOMI (ML=6/1),

KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF - This chalk horse may be out of form without any recent morning activity. CAPTURE MI - Don't think that this gelding has value at 7/2 this time out.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - PRIVATE CONNIE - Consider this. Finished fifth on a sloppy track last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 25 percent improvement in class.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #5 PRIVATE CONNIE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=evd0810zz.htm&exp=08/12/2023&pds=EVD_-_08/10/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/10/2023;TRACK_CODE=EVD&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 63

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 MIDNIGHT OIL 3/1




# 2 LOST GOLD 2/1




# 4 OUT MAKING TREBLE 7/2




I think MIDNIGHT OIL is a decent choice. His 58 average has this gelding with among the most favorable speed figures for this event. Posted a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Must be given consideration given the class of races run lately. LOST GOLD - Recorded a strong speed fig last time out. Has been running solidly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. OUT MAKING TREBLE - Ran a solid last race. He has been running soundly and the Equibase speed figs are among the best in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=pid0810zm.htm&exp=08/12/2023&pds=PID_-_08/10/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/10/2023;TRACK_CODE=PID&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Presque Isle Downs - Race #5 - Post: 4:48pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 DARK DAHLIA (ML=3/1)
#4 LEMON CURRY (ML=5/1)
#2 DREAM WARRIOR (ML=7/2)


DARK DAHLIA - Faced tougher last time out at Presque Isle Downs. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of top contenders. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough races since the vacation and should be fit. Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. The Brain taught me this angle. Watch for equines that show good zip, drop back, then run evenly with a closing kick. LEMON CURRY - The fact that this filly is entered right back into a race so quickly means she's fit and ready. Ran a winning race Jul 31st, but just couldn't beat the victor. This filly is in fine condition. Finished second on July 31st. That 72 fig this filly registered in her last race tells me she's a major player this time. DREAM WARRIOR - Stanley was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. Have to make this filly a serious competitor; she comes off a solid effort on July 25th. Bourke adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a significant improvement. Had a strong closing move last time out, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar effort today, and it's straight to the winner's circle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 EASTERN MARKET (ML=5/2), #6 VALIANT VICTORIA (ML=6/1), #3 GEARED UP (ML=8/1),

EASTERN MARKET - Not the proper 'spot' in this event. VALIANT VICTORIA - This racer ran a run-of-the-mill speed fig in the last race. She shouldn't run better and will likely lose in today's event running that fig. GEARED UP - The Brain always warns me to keep my distance from thoroughbreds in short distance contests that haven't finished in the money in sprint affairs lately.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #5 DARK DAHLIA on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

5 with [2,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe IndianapolisPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ind0810zz.htm&exp=08/12/2023&pds=IND_-_08/10/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/10/2023;TRACK_CODE=IND&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 79

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 BANDIDO DE AMORES 8/5




# 7 DANANG 7/2




# 2 MR MANNING 8/1




BANDIDO DE AMORES has a very good shot to take this race. Demonstrates the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 80 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the strongest in this group. I think having Mojica ride this gelding is a smart selection. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 91 - of his last outing. DANANG - Tough to pass on this gelding with Bermudez in the saddle. Recorded a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. MR MANNING - He looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Could provide positive gains based on formidable recent Speed Figures with an average of 70.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - August 10
Aug. 09, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $43,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 CAMP BASHORS CANDY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Camp Bashors Candy
J Bravo


PLACE
5-2
6
House of Magic
E A Maldonado


SHOW
3-1
4
Song of Shadows
T J Pereira


WILD CARD
10-1
5
Quicklikeabunny
D A Herrera





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
1
Blonde Bombshell
A Espinoza








* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #2 $32,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
6
Des Doigts
M E Smith


PLACE
5-1
4
Nessos Lastharrah
A Ayuso


SHOW
6-1
7
Veritas Aequitas
E A Maldonado


WILD CARD
5-2
5
Pleaseusetheportal
A Fresu





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Rojo Pequeno
R Gonzalez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Southern Slang
D Van Dyke








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX









RACE #3 $7,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
10
Morning Addiction
E A Maldonado


PLACE
4-1
2
Pens Street
A Ayuso


SHOW
4-1
3
Agreetodisagree
R Gonzalez


WILD CARD
12-1
6
Jacrodras Devil
A Alsagoor





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
5
Roses R Blue
B Harvey


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
Lucy L
R A Vazquez








* EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #4 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #11 MR. CHIVAS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
11
Mr. Chivas
T J Pereira


PLACE
4-1
4
Capital Outlay
E A Maldonado


SHOW
8-1
9
Buraqs Reflection
A Ayuso


WILD CARD
5-1
1
Gantry
E A Ellingwood





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
10
Gentlemens Club
A Fresu


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Special Club
A Fresu








* EXACTA: 11-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/9/11 BOX, 1/4/9 BOX









RACE #5 $22,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
6
Post Facto
T J Pereira


PLACE
5-1
3
Thirsty Pappy
A Aguilar


SHOW
6-1
4
Nauvoo
R A Vazquez


WILD CARD
10-1
7
Goldenspa
U Rispoli





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Star Prospect
A Fresu


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
2
Dos Vicios
E A Maldonado








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #6 $45,000 CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 PLEASE FOCUS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Please Focus
M Gutierrez


PLACE
6-1
1
Castleknock
A Alsagoor


SHOW
8-1
9
Rachels Coach
E A Maldonado


WILD CARD
4-1
4
Rolling On
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
8
Cruzin Man
A Ayuso


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
Silent Sunday
K J Desormeaux








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/4/9 BOX









RACE #7 $83,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Stay and Scam
M Gutierrez


PLACE
3-1
1
Shes Bulletproof
A Fresu


SHOW
3-1
8
Everlys Girl
A Espinoza


WILD CARD
8-1
4
Trouble N Paradise
E Payeras





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Fried Asparagus
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Flymetothemoonbaby
G Franco








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX









RACE #8 $32,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
8
Cane Creek Road
A Fresu


PLACE
4-1
6
Our Silver Oak
J Bravo


SHOW
10-1
5
Chasin Munny
A Aguilar


WILD CARD
6-1
9
Dominant Soul
J Valdivia Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
7
Derecho Dandy
U Rispoli


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
Mongolian Wind
R A Vazquez








* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - August 10
Aug. 09, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.


ACE #1 $36,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
7
Dattts Life
O Mojica


PLACE
3-1
3
Shagbark
F De La Cruz


SHOW
9-2
5
Bachman
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
4-1
2
Captains Best
S E Bermudez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Discreet Justice
S Sanjur


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Cinco de Oros
H Leahey








* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #2 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:40 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
B Adman
J D Ramos


PLACE
4-1
6
Balsa
E Esquivel


SHOW
8-1
2
Golden Reign
W A Rodriguez


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Urso Graydar
S E Bermudez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Cabernet Kid
A Burgos








* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #3 $17,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:11 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
7
Silver Moon Road
S E Bermudez


PLACE
4-1
2
Trikitraki
F De La Cruz


SHOW
8-1
1
Im Wide Awake
J Morales


WILD CARD
5-1
6
Flowerpecker
R A Prescott





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Gormleys Got Game
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
4
Limit Up
T Canuto








* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #4 $41,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 CIERRA EMPIRE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Cierra Empire
F De La Cruz


PLACE
7-2
10
Tizzy Justice
J D Ramos


SHOW
9-2
6
Sheza Nut
S E Bermudez


WILD CARD
10-1
7
Skys Image
O Mojica





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
9
West Coast Justice
E E Perez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
1
Noras Star
M Anderson








* EXACTA: 2-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/10 BOX, 6/7/10 BOX









RACE #5 $15,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
1
Valine
A P Ulloa


PLACE
8-1
3
Queen D
A Burgos


SHOW
2-1
5
Dishin It Out
J D Ramos


WILD CARD
10-1
8
Janes a Diva
R A Prescott





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Major Grace
M Anderson


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Julee Forever
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX









RACE #6 $12,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:47 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 THE MOTTO









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
9
The Motto
S E Bermudez


PLACE
6-1
6
Clovertowne
S Sanjur


SHOW
7-2
2
Ruffled Waters
R A Prescott


WILD CARD
15-1
5
Majestic Mr. Jones
M Anderson





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
10
Applegate
W A Rodriguez


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Southern Breeze
A Gomez








* EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #7 $6,250 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:19 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
2
Mr Manning
M Franklin


PLACE
8-5
6
Bandido de Amores
O Mojica


SHOW
5-1
5
Compass Point
E E Perez


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Danang
S E Bermudez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
4
Sacred Sky
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Malibu Classic
J Morales








* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX









RACE #8 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
1
Partake
A Achard


PLACE
9-5
2
Taamuq
E Esquivel


SHOW
6-1
4
Mo Sense
D Cannon


WILD CARD
3-1
5
Queen Carina
W A Rodriguez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
8
Strange Joy
O Mojica


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
3
Nativity
E Morales








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #9 $35,000 STAKES
350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 STONE LAKE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
8
Stone Lake
L D Martinez


PLACE
4-1
6
Encores Bright Image
G Vazquez-Gomez


SHOW
3-1
4
Hh C J Shake
E N Esqueda


WILD CARD
15-1
5
El Fulano
M Munoz





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Hooked On Jordan
E Diaz


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Ajk Forgiven
J M Ruiz








* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 10
Aug. 09, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 PERMED









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Permed
L Saez


PLACE
2-1
3
Bundchen
J Rosario


SHOW
5-1
6
Honey Dijon
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
4-1
4
Into Stars
F Prat





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
9
Bobby Jean
Rider TBA


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Luz Divina
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #2 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
6
Strange Fruit
J A Torres


PLACE
12-1
2
Magnolia Wind
R Gutierrez


SHOW
2-1
1
Knockzcatoffzfence
R Santana Jr.


WILD CARD
7-2
4
Montauk Mystique
T McCarthy





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
7
Phinneys Harbor
K Davis


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
5
Cause Im Elegant
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #3 $35,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
12-1
5
Splendid Summer
R Gutierrez


PLACE
12-1
12
Our Country
F Prat


SHOW
9-2
2
Born a Gambler
M Franco


WILD CARD
7-2
1
Tallahatchiebridge
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
9
Provision
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Spettro
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 5-12 BOX, 12-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/12 BOX, 1/2/12 BOX









RACE #4 $25,000 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
5
Dust Devil
R Silvera


PLACE
3-1
1
Two Thirty Five
T McCarthy


SHOW
5-1
7
Truculent
L Saez


WILD CARD
15-1
4
Datesfreedom
R Gutierrez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Rocco Strong
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Maximum Impact
J A Torres








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX









RACE #5 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
8
Book of Wisdom
J Alvarado


PLACE
9-2
5
Recency
T Gaffalione


SHOW
9-2
1
Snarky
F Prat


WILD CARD
10-1
7
Pretty Up
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
9
Miss dOr Cherie
M Franco


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
My Mane Squeeze
R Silvera








* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX









RACE #6 $83,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Le Dom Bro
T Gaffalione


PLACE
9-2
8
Khanate
F Prat


SHOW
3-1
1
Walstib
J Alvarado


WILD CARD
8-1
9
First Trumpet
J Lezcano





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
1A
Stunnem
J R Leparoux


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
Always Dialed
J Rosario








* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX









RACE #7 $149,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 IDEA GENERATION









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
1
Idea Generation
F Prat


PLACE
9-2
8
Root Cause
J Rosario


SHOW
7-2
2
Olkovskha
T McCarthy


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Alpha Bella
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1A
Virtual Reality
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
10
Be My Sunshine
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX









RACE #8 $16,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 MOVING PICTURES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Moving Pictures
R Gutierrez


PLACE
9-2
9
Pine Valley
J A Torres


SHOW
2-1
2
Magical Ways
M Franco


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Sounds Spooky
N Alvarado





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
With Know Name
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
1
Ginnsu Warrior
E Greenidge








* EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX









RACE #9 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
9
Unleash the Power
L Saez


PLACE
9-2
11
Kingfish Stevens
J Castellano


SHOW
8-1
3
Front Man
J Alvarado


WILD CARD
9-5
13
South Street
J Lezcano





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Deputy Connect
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
10
Sonic Speed
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 9-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/9/11 BOX, 3/11/13 BOX









RACE #10 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
6
Kasimba
L Saez


PLACE
8-5
13
Ride Up
D Davis


SHOW
7-2
11
Pay Zone
M Franco


WILD CARD
7-2
8
Liquid Addiction
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
The Compas Man
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
7
Insanity It Seems
J R Velazquez








* EXACTA: 6-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/11/13 BOX, 8/11/13 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thistledown Tip Sheet - August 10
Aug. 09, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $7,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 LUNCHATTHELIZARD









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
3
Lunchatthelizard
L R Rivera


PLACE
5-2
5
Fast as Fast Can B
D J Haldar


SHOW
5-1
1
Afleet O Me
A Hernandez-Lopez


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Turbo Power
E Paucar





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
2
Oxbows Ride
V R Fernandez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Orleans Storm
R Mejias








* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX









RACE #2 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Cantrunwithbigdogs
L R Rivera


PLACE
7-2
2
Cant Crashmyparty
E Barbaran


SHOW
8-1
4
Marks Buddy Jacin
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
4-1
1
Bad Boy Boogie
H Berrios





ALTERNATE 1
2-1
5
Nikao
D J Haldar


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Fiercely Brave
R Diaz








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #3 $50,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 VILLAGE CAT









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Village Cat
F Salazar Becerra


PLACE
5-2
5
Kettle Kiss
R Feliciano


SHOW
3-1
4
Go Girl
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
4-1
2
In Troubled Waters
G Rodriguez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Chillville
R Mejias


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Beautiful Lass
V Severino








* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #4 $7,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
6
Star Mabee
L R Rivera


PLACE
8-1
4
Lady Abril
L A Batista


SHOW
4-1
2
Sheza Fine Justice
J Panaijo


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Appealing Senorita
E Paucar





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
1
A Smile a Day
F Salazar Becerra


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Chloes Angel
V R Fernandez








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
8
Our Buckwheat
C Keiser


PLACE
7-2
2
Matthews Patriot
L A Gonzalez


SHOW
5-2
1
Excitement
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Oklahoma Joe
J A Bracho





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
4
Lone Boy
F Salazar Becerra


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Animo Roberto
V Severino








* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #6 $7,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
1
Knightly Mischief
L R Rivera


PLACE
6-1
4
Domi
E Paucar


SHOW
7-2
2
Capture Mi
L A Batista


WILD CARD
2-1
5
Private Connie
L R Rivera Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
6
Krazy Hawk
T D Houghton


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Drinksonthebeach
D J Haldar








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #7 $50,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
3
Dew It With Style
A I Diaz


PLACE
2-1
7
Secrets Untold
L R Rivera Jr.


SHOW
4-1
5
Express Fashion
E Barbaran


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Fabulous Clown
J S Toledo





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
1
Better Half
G Rodriguez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Kiss Valentina
J A Bracho








* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX









RACE #8 $29,700 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 TYRONA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
6
Tyrona
L A Gonzalez


PLACE
7-2
5
Twilight Vision
F Salazar Becerra


SHOW
6-1
2
Ms. the Law
J A Bracho


WILD CARD
9-2
1
Always Mischievous
A Guerere





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
4
Chai Tea
L R Rivera


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Datttsafancyfox
L R Rivera Jr.








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - August 10
Aug. 09, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race [NY, Md 30000, 6F] – (4) Montauk Mystique will make the drop from maiden special weight to maiden claimer for Mike Miceli who has had some luck with this move. (5) Cause I’m Elegant makes her third start following a layoff for David Donk. (6) Strange Fruit has a few past races in claimers that are good enough to win in this field. (7) Phinneys Harbor had her best race in her debut on a fast dirt track at Aqueduct in March and since then was on the turf twice and a muddy surface. She has shown early speed in all four of her starts.
4th race [Clm 25000, 1 1/8 mi] – (5) Dust Devil has a win and two seconds in his last three starts which were in $20,000, 25,000, and 32,000 claimers where she was claimed twice. (7) Truculent was winner last time for $16,000 and is a past winner at the nine-furlong distance. (1) Two Thirty Five had two big speed figures in his last two starts and is likely to be part of the early pace. (2) My Friends Beer was claimed three times recently with two wins at today’s level and is the one with early speed.
6th race [R, Md Sp Wt, 6F] – (1) Walstib (A) was fractious before what was supposed to be her debut at Saratoga, had to be scratched, and at that point was bet heavily to be 2-1. (3) Le Dom Bro had a pair of starts at Gulfstream Park in open races where he finished second twice and ships north to find this race which is restricted to 2-year-olds that sold for $50,000 or less. (8) Khanate will make his first start for Todd Pletcher and Calumet Farms. (9) First Trumpet gets blinkers on for his second start.
8th race [Clm 16000 N2L, 7F] – (5) Moving Pictures was third in a N2L claimer for a $25,000 tag for Rudy Rodriguez who has been picking winning spots for his horses at Saratoga. (2) Magical Ways was a maiden winner for a $40,000 price three races back and then was in over his head in two starter allowances. (9) Pine Valley is projected to be on the lead which is a familiar spot that has yielded a pair of thirds at Parx at the $25,000 level. (4) With Know Name gets blinkers on and Lasix for the first time in his 2023 debut. Last year he won a $40,000 maiden claimer and then tried a NY-bred stakes race.
Best bets: Dust Devil (4th); Moving Pictures 8th). Best value: Montauk Mystique (2nd); Walstib (6th).


No.
Name
Letter/
last race
Today's Race
Comments


(1)
Walstib
A on 7/20
6
Fractious pre-race, late scratch at 2-1 before attempted debut.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Hotlist - August 10
Aug. 09, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (2) Pink Ace makes his first start since moving to D’Amato’s barn and looks best here. (3) Camp Bashors Candy won her debut and looks like the main rival. (6) House of Magic could be tough to catch here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6. Doubles: 2-3-6 with 1-5-6-7.
2nd race – (6) Des Doigts was fourth in his debut at Ellis Park and should prevail here for a lower claiming tag. (7) Veritas Aequitas seems ready for a big effort in his debut. (5) Pleaseusetheportal adds blinkers as he drops into a claimer. (1) Southern Slang might be a contender from the rail. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-7.
5th race – (6) Post Facto is back in a claimer and should be able to handle this field while returning to dirt. (7) Goldenspa might respond to the stretchout in distance. (9) Circle the Moon won nicely against maidens and seems ready for winners. (10) Trusty Rusty will welcome a switch to dirt. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-9-10. Doubles: 6-7-9-10 with 1-2-4-5.
6th race – (2) Acquired Class returns to a sprint and should be set for a solid effort at this class level. (1) Castleknock has speed from the rail and may not look back. (5) Please Focus could hang on for a share of the purse. (4) Rolling On may work out a good trip in this field. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.
8th race – (8) Cane Creek Road returns to a claimer and should be hard to catch. (7) Derecho Dandy might wake up in this spot. (1) Light Fury will be helped by a ground-saving trip. (3) New York Dreams is working sharply after a freshening. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-8.