Wednesday 8/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/16/23 August 16, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Saratoga Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 1-Denver’s Alley
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Bernietakescharge.

Forecast: The known element in this state-bred juvenile filly maiden turf route is thoroughly unimpressive, so let’s try a fresh face with credentials to be better than her 10-1 morning line. Denver’s Alley has done some decent work leading up to this race and appears to be a willing type, at the very least. Her final times haven’t been flashy, but she’s done everything in hand while finishing with something left, so in a below par race for the level the daughter of Algorithms should be at least competitive and perhaps good enough to pull off a surprise.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:44 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Thestral
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Thestral seems to be the best of a bad lot and rates top billing by default in this maiden claiming main track affair for fillies and mares. The Midwest invader has been facing straight maiden foes of late and actually finished third in such a race last winter at Turfway Park that earned a speed figure good enough to beat this group. We’re expecting her to inherit a soft pace stalking trip outside and then have her chance from there, but at 9/5 on the morning line she really won’t offer much wagering value at a price shorter than that.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:20 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Timed Out; 6-Vitaemi
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Timed Out is a Finger Lakes shipper with numbers that can win at this level, so let’s go with veteran mare who has finished first or second in 11 of 18 career starts. She’s a fairly versatile type that can win on the front end if the situation presents itself or from a second flight, stalking position. With Irad Ortiz, Jr., taking the call, she should be a live item on the tote. Vitaemi is another old timer (12 wins from 61 starts) that can win a race like this based on her present form. The David Jacobson-trained mare stretches out from a sprint and seems likely to be the controlling speed. If not pressured early, she could roll all the way to the wire.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:53 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Three Girls; Maddie’s Grace; 5-World Traveler
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Explosive Exchange.

Forecast: Three Girls looked sharp breaking her maiden in a $40,000 event last month over this course and distance and could score right back with a similar effort in this starter’s allowance event for fillies and mares. It was her first start since last December, so a forward move is possible for her new connections. Based on her last race, she appears to prefer stalking tactics, but she does have enough early zip to make the lead in a field lacking in front running types. Maddie’s Grace has a look off her best race but had no visible excuse when failing as the odds-on favorite in a similar local dash last month. Perhaps she didn’t care for the give in the ground but may do better on a firm surface. World Traveler, in from Monmouth Park, may be the most dangerous of the late runners and has speed figures that put herl in the picture.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): Shinsun; 10-Unleash the Power; 7-Jarreau
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Front Man.

Forecast: This starter’s allowance nine furlong turf event is borderline inscrutable. Best advice is to spread as deeply as your budget allows. Shinsun is lightly raced with room to improve that most of the others don’t have. Second in a similar affair at Belmont Park in his last start in early July, the Barclay Tagg-trained gelding lacks tactical speed but can turn it on late, so with just a little bit of help up front he could produce a successful late bid. Unleash the Power draws the disadvantageous outside draw but has hit the board in his last three starts and really won’t have to improve much to win. However, you should be aware that he doesn’t always give it to you when the pressure is turned on close home. Jarreau hasn’t won since who knows when, but he is exiting a series of tougher races on the Kentucky circuit and lands Iran Ortiz, Jr. With numbers that fit, the Michael Maker-trained gelding could perk up against this group.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Cupid’s Heart; 8-Portage; 4-Cuz Ur Pretty
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Cupid’s Heart was four lengths clear of the rest in a fast, highly rated race at this level last month and if he doesn’t regress off what was a hard, taxing effort the Bruce Levine-trained filly should beat this field. That race was at seven furlongs, this one’s at six, but the daughter of Cupid might actually prefer this distance, having won two of three previous outings at this trip. Portage is drawn just outside of our top pick and may be the one to fear most. She earned a big number in her recent maiden score here last month, and with just four career starts on her resume the daughter of Tonalist has plenty of room for further advancement. Based on her Finger Lakes form, Cuz Ur Pretty may be the quickest of the lot and could take some catching if she can get away with a softish opening quarter. She’s clearly facing tougher foes on this circuit but as a first time Lasix user and with speed figure that fit, the daughter of Sharp Azteca is a “must use” in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:36 ET Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-South Street
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: South Street drops well below his claim level – as many in the Linda Rice claiming corps often do – so there’s always a question of condition, but if this gelding shows up with this best stuff he’ll handle this $25,000 claiming group. An okay third in a much tougher starter allowance ($50,000) over a mile on the local main track six days ago, the son of Quality Road returns on short rest and stretches out to nine furlongs, but at even money on the morning line he won’t be offering any wagering value. Basically, he’s a rolling exotic single by default.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Silver Skillet; 7-Orange Freeze
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Silver Skillet moves into state-bred stakes company after a clever win over the local lawn last month when facing first level allowance fillies and mares. The Christophe Clement-trained daughter of Liam’s Map can be tough as the controlling speed or in a stalk and pounce position, and with speed figures that continue to rise with each start this lightly raced sophomore should be capable of handling the class hike in stride. Joel Rosario stays aboard and knows her well. Orange Freeze is another facing tougher after graduating for maiden $40,000 two races back (and claimed by her present connections) and then winning a New York Stallion Stakes here last month. She’s not quite as fast on figures as our top pick but with another forward move she’ll be a legitimate threat to win her third straight. She’s a deep closer and will be especially dangerous if the pace comes up faster than par.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Red Butterfly
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Mo Damorninggrouch.

Forecast: Red Butterfly threw a fit in the gate and then ran below her true form when fourth in a similar maiden ($40,000) claiming sprint over this course and distance last month but a repeat of her race before last – a solid runner-up at Belmont Park – probably will be good enough to earn her diploma. None of these are dependable, and that includes our top pick, so if you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead.

*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Hawthorne - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Border Patrol
He has so far found the waters a touch too deep in New York, but he probably still has some upside on the grass. Doesn't hurt that he has shown a flash of pace while meeting a group with almost zero proven speed. Gone into the lane?


#7 Even the Wind
He's probably the one to beat on overall form right now, but his tendency to settle for underneath pieces doesn't inspire a ton of confidence. Interested to see how the prices shake out between this guy and his stablemate inside.


#6 Dapper Dude
The previous connections had absolute rock bottom expectations for this guy despite being out of a talented and productive dam and having a New York pedigree that could have been lucrative if he was any good at all. The new team took a chance on him and protects him here.


Race Summary
Top three bring together a couple of capable players from the Block barn and a runner who debuted on the cheap for that same team and now races for new connections. Border Patrol might be playable enough even if he gets bet below the ML price.


Hawthorne - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#7 Rietta
There are a lot of fun players lined up in this juvenile sprint, and this one races with a big turf pedigree out of a super productive Illinois female family. She might be a real handful going a mile down the road, but I bet she can win here. As always, get a look at her on the tote and track.


#5 Moms Channel
She chased and settled underneath in the debut run, but she can probably handle the move to the grass just fine, and even a small move forward off that first try would make her tough.


#4 Miss Saint
There are a few fresh faces in here from the Block, Harty, and Robertson barns that probably merit a look ahead of this one, but I like that she took a step forward in that second career start, and she might not be out of her league here if she has more upside today. For a piece?


Race Summary
Rietta brings a consistent and appealing tab to this first trip to post, and she's bred to do good work pretty much anywhere they run here, but this family has been tough on any turf courses they've found in Illinois over the last decade.


Hawthorne - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#4 Bizzee Channel
Think this one runs through a handful of older-timers who have all seen better days, and this guy comes back fresh to find the softest spot he has seen in some time. Rested today, he has shown some ability to press and finish that might give him a perfect first-over trip.


#8 Captivating Moon
He's still an honest enough finisher even if he's never getting back to his best, and he might get a decent enough setup to rally late today. Wouldn't argue with anyone giving him a chance today.


#1 Sailing Solo
His baseline keeps him in the frame today, but he's meeting some other pace in what would be just his fifth start in the last three calendar years, and the best form on his page came when he got good and ran three times in 10 weeks in 2020. Obvious player who wouldn't surprise, but I don't see all the best signs and wouldn't be at all excited to take another uninspiring price.


Race Summary
I think #6 Midnight Escape might have some sneaky appeal in here, too, in a fun race. Bizzee Channel has plenty of room to bounce back after a string of mostly dull races, as he's not meeting anyone like Set Piece, Spooky Channel, or Two Emmys today -- all horses in his company lines last year. Thinking if anything wakes him up right now, it'll be getting back in with Rivelli who has had some time to get him right.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Penn National - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 JOHNNY WITT (3-1)
Can carry speed closer toward $250k in earnings at this distance.


#2 YES IT’S ROO (8-1)
Steps up off the claim while in top form, price attached.


#3 JOKER BOY (5-2)
Claimed at Santa Anita in May, worked at Saratoga, vet scratch here July 7.


Race Summary
JOHNNY WITT pressed hard-hitting Pictor (17-40, $325k) early, then slipped through inside to beat him for his sixth win at 6F. He hasn’t raced since he was claimed out of that race five weeks ago but he runs well fresh and can make good use of his speed tonight as the light-weight in the field. Bet to win and place.


Penn National - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#9 GINETTES ON FIRE (6-1)
Meets elders, duplicate of turf route victory fits well for solid connections.


#1 SASSY MARTINI (9-2)
Finished second for higher tags twice in June on Penn National lawn.


#4 COMPLETE (5-2)
Made ‘strong bid’ at winning stablemate but came up empty late at 7-1/2F.


Race Summary
GINETTES ON FIRE drew away in the final furlong of a maiden win three starts back for $32,000 at Tampa, ran into trouble in a deep $40,000 claimer on the Monmouth lawn two back, now enters a barn in the midst of a 5-for-14 run the last month. Bet to win and place.


Penn National - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#5 ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT (4-1)
Plagued by bad starts, gets class relief, meets mostly nw/4 types.


#8 COFFEE WITH ALEX (8-5)
Romped in first two starts for Kreiser, with and without blinkers.


#4 HEALY’S HOPE (6-1)
Five seconds in 11 starts this year as long winless drought continued.


Race Summary
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT overcame a bumpy start to set a clear pace, only to come up short in the final eighth of a mile. He’s well-spotted to get back on the winning track and pad his six-figure Penn National bankroll. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ThistledownPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=tdn0816zf.pdf&exp=08/18/2023&pds=TDN_-_08/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=TDN&SAP=FREEPICS)


Thistledown - Race 6

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.10 Superfecta



SO $20,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $27,400 • Post: 3:20P


FOR REGISTERED OHIO FOALS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JUNE 16 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * HENRY MAC: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VISUAL MISSION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RECKLESS L J: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SEND ME ON: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



3

HENRY MAC

2/1


5/1




5

VISUAL MISSION

6/1


6/1




2

RECKLESS L J

5/2


7/1




6

SEND ME ON

9/2


7/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

RECKLESS L J

2


5/2

Stalker

80


82


80.6


67.3


59.3




3

HENRY MAC

3


2/1

Stalker

86


84


69.8


77.6


75.1




5

VISUAL MISSION

5


6/1

Trailer

85


76


72.8


74.8


69.3




6

SEND ME ON

6


9/2

Trailer

84


84


47.2


72.4


66.9




1

RAVEN MOON

1


7/2

Alternator/Non-contender

78


68


71.1


69.8


60.8




4

OAKEN

4


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

73


72


62.0


66.8


55.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=asd0816zf.pdf&exp=08/18/2023&pds=ASD_-_08/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=ASD&SAP=FREEPICS)


Assiniboia Downs - Race 7

$1 CLASSIC HI-5 / .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR



Claiming $3,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 10:05


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 16. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000 (RACES WON FOR LESS ARE NOT CONSIDERED FOR ELIGIBILITY PURPOSES).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. ENJAY'S BRASS is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ENJAY'S BRASS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TAPITURE WAY: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. KNOW WHA T I MINA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MERMAID KISSES: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. WHAT UP NOW J T: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



5

ENJAY'S BRASS

6/1


5/1




3

TAPITURE WAY

4/1


6/1




6

KNOW WHAT I MINA

9/5


7/1




8

MERMAID KISSES

20/1


8/1




1

WHAT UP NOW J T

5/2


10/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

KNOW WHAT I MINA

6


9/5

Front-runner

66


60


79.2


52.0


45.5




4

SOME WOULD SAY

4


10/1

Front-runner

57


53


63.7


35.6


24.6




3

TAPITURE WAY

3


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

69


60


54.8


50.8


45.8




8

MERMAID KISSES

8


20/1

Stalker

75


75


71.5


51.0


41.5




1

WHAT UP NOW J T

1


5/2

Stalker

57


57


56.6


53.8


47.8




5

ENJAY'S BRASS

5


6/1

Alternator/Trailer

76


75


56.6


52.6


46.1




9

LADY SUNSET

9


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

71


65


65.2


41.8


29.8




2

HEY HEY RUN AWAY

2


50/1

Alternator/Non-contender

60


62


58.4


36.2


22.2




7

VALLENTAY

7


40/1

Alternator/Non-contender

65


56


37.2


34.2


19.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe IndianapolisPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ind0816zz.htm&exp=08/18/2023&pds=IND_-_08/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=IND&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - SO - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $27,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 8 LAMPLIGHTER JACK 2/1




# 4 BLESS THE KITTEN 5/1




# 1 NERVES OF STEEL 3/1




LAMPLIGHTER JACK is my choice. Might best this field here, showing respectable figs of late. This animal enters today's race on Lasix. Could best this field based on the speed rating - 90 - of his last race. BLESS THE KITTEN - Has to be given consideration here if only for the respectable speed rating earned in the last competition. His 93 average has this gelding with among the most respectable Speed Figures in this contest. NERVES OF STEEL - Has been moving admirably and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance. Should definitely be given a chance in this contest if only for the respectable speed rating earned in the last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=del0816zm.htm&exp=08/18/2023&pds=DEL_-_08/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=DEL&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Delaware Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 TOUCH CODE (ML=6/1)
#6 WOOTDAREITIS (ML=8/1)
#4 JEST ABOVE (ML=3/1)
#2 MEAN TWEETS (ML=2/1)


TOUCH CODE - I wouldn't worry too much about the vacation; this gelding is ready to run today. Was in a $10,000 Claiming race at Oaklawn Park last time around the track. That event had a class rating of 87 and he is moving down in this field. A certain contender. Earnings per start is something that I think can be an important factor. This horse is ranked numero uno in this group. WOOTDAREITIS - It looks like Alicea had to learn about this gelding on July 27th when riding him for the first time. Back aboard again today. This gelding's last speed rating is high enough to score here, I'll bet on him back again in today's event. JEST ABOVE - Popular angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. This horse is live today. Entered a $7,500 Claiming race at Parx Racing last time around the track and raced on a track listed as good finishing fifth. Will do better right here. MEAN TWEETS - Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. This gelding recorded a strong figure of 62 in his last race. That speed rating should be high enough to win this time out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FATHER GLADO (ML=4/1), #3 DUCK DUCKY GOOSE (ML=8/1),

FATHER GLADO - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. DUCK DUCKY GOOSE - Didn't hit the board on June 10th at Parx Racing. Followed it up with another lackluster outing. The Brain always warns me to stay away from ponies in sprint affairs that haven't hit the board in short distance contests recently. Unlikely that the speed rating he garnered on Jul 17th will be good enough in this clash.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #7 TOUCH CODE to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Retama ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ret0816zz.htm&exp=08/18/2023&pds=RET_-_08/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=RET&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 78

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 10 STABBY JOE 5/2




# 5 MR CANAS 6/1




# 1 RIOS ROYAL ROSE 15/1




I think about STABBY JOE here. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in short races recently. He has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the most favorable in this group of horses in this race. Has to be considered - I like the figures from the last contest. MR CANAS - Should compete soundly in the pace battle which bodes well with this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=pen0816zm.htm&exp=08/18/2023&pds=PEN_-_08/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=PEN&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:29pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,400 Class Rating: 79

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 COMPLETE (ML=5/2)
#6 LADY BREXIT (ML=8/1)


COMPLETE - Taking a trip down in class ranks; has the class ability to make her presence felt. Average class rating is tops in this group. I think that is a big advantage for a grass race. LADY BREXIT - I undeniably see favorable signs for this mount right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SASSY MARTINI (ML=9/2), #11 TEACHER DRAMA (ML=5/1), #9 GINETTES ON FIRE (ML=6/1),

SASSY MARTINI - Recent decreasing speed ratings of 72/58/36 give an indication that this animal may be going off form. TEACHER DRAMA - On a downward sequence. Equibase speed figures keep lessening. The lack of drills has to make one concerned despite the strong performance in the last event. Don't feel this mount will do much running today. That last speed fig was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. GINETTES ON FIRE - Recent declining speed figures of 72/47/44 give a sign that this equine may be going off form.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #4 COMPLETE to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

4 with 6 with [1,2,7] Total Cost: $3



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - August 16
Aug. 15, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $15,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
9
Elusive Warrior
E Morales


PLACE
2-1
4
He B Ready
J D Ramos


SHOW
15-1
3
Do Ya Wanna Dance
S Sanjur


WILD CARD
7-2
2
Brentspence
A Burgos





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
8
Overthetopjustice
S E Bermudez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
Sticker
R A Prescott








* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #2 $20,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:04 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
He Takes Charge
J D Ramos


PLACE
4-1
7
Mulberry Street
M A Perez


SHOW
7-2
4
Nordic Light
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Inherent Powers
M Franklin





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Bluemoon Justice
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Dropped Anchor
A P Ulloa








* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #3 $36,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:38 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 GIADA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
1
Giada
E Esquivel


PLACE
5-2
4
Jazzy Lady
J D Ramos


SHOW
6-1
2
Sad Cafe
E Morales


WILD CARD
4-1
6
Skylerville
A Burgos





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
5
Selina Kyle
L Machado


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Night Kiss
R A Prescott








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #4 $28,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
River Redemption
S Sanjur


PLACE
7-2
2
Summer Assault
J D Ramos


SHOW
5-1
8
Graceful Kitten
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
3-1
7
Race Craft
A Burgos





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Major Sparks
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Firewater Jake
R A Prescott








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX









RACE #5 $12,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Favorable Return
J Morales


PLACE
6-5
1
Action Seeker
O Mojica


SHOW
4-1
4
A Lot Like Lute
S Sanjur


WILD CARD
10-1
5
Hastings Sunrise
S E Bermudez





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
2
Domhnall
M Franklin


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Fire Bryan
A Burgos








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX









RACE #6 $31,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
3
Cadet Corps
E Esquivel


PLACE
3-1
1
Nerves of Steel
J Talamo


SHOW
5-1
4
Bless the Kitten
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
8-1
6
The Queens Jules
D Cannon





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Arties Rumor
R A Prescott


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Red Flag Alert
A Burgos








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:53 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
3
Bella Francesca
R Arrieta


PLACE
5-2
8
Hard Truth Wins
S E Bermudez


SHOW
5-1
9
I Made It
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
8-1
4
One Finale
R Aragon





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
1
Sky My Lady
J D Ramos


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
10
Juicy Justice
A P Ulloa








* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX









RACE #8 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:23 PM ET



BEST BET: #11 SCENIC JUSTICE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
11
Scenic Justice
J D Ramos


PLACE
6-1
6
Epic the Legend
F De La Cruz


SHOW
9-2
7
Porkyismyname
E E Perez


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Sargent Hulka
A Burgos





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
12
Nine Pointer
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Star Review
J Morales








* EXACTA: 11-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/11 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX









RACE #9 $21,000 ALLOWANCE
0 ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:53 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 INVITED









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
1
Invited
L D Martinez


PLACE
5-1
5
Country Celebration
M Munoz


SHOW
4-1
9
Ajk Enthusiasm
J M Ruiz


WILD CARD
5-2
2
Bv Seleect Beach
G Laurianis





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Gv Diamante
H Macias


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
7
Miri V
D Villamil Bocanegra








* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 16
Aug. 15, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
2
Bernietakescharge
K Davis


PLACE
9-2
5
Run for Your Honey
D Davis


SHOW
3-1
6
Once an Eagle
F Prat


WILD CARD
5-1
9
Grab the Glory
J L Ortiz





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
8
Alittlebitnaughty
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1A
Speights Dance
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX









RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Dark Princess
J L Ortiz


PLACE
6-1
3
Graceful
D Davis


SHOW
9-5
6
Thestral
J Rosario


WILD CARD
3-1
2
Dont Tell Amy
J A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Tres Chic
J R Leparoux


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
4
Tooshay
K Davis








* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
1
Suspended Campaign
J L Ortiz


PLACE
4-1
7
Its Cold in Dehere
L Saez


SHOW
9-2
6
Vitaemi
M Franco


WILD CARD
7-2
2
Timed Out
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Vegas Weekend
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Greatest Love
J A Torres








* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX









RACE #4 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
8
Three Girls
R Santana Jr.


PLACE
5-1
10
Proud Foot
J L Ortiz


SHOW
6-1
9
Saratoga Gaze
F Prat


WILD CARD
4-1
7
Maddies Grace
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
5
World Traveler
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Explosive Exchange
J Rosario








* EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 8/9/10 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX









RACE #5 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
10
Unleash the Power
L Saez


PLACE
6-1
5
Front Man
J Alvarado


SHOW
10-1
1
Splendid Summer
M Franco


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Jarreau
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
4
Shinsun
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Lord Flintshire
J Castellano








* EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/10 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX









RACE #6 $149,500 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 CUPIDS HEART









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
7
Cupids Heart
F Prat


PLACE
7-2
8
Portage
J Lezcano


SHOW
9-2
4
Cuz Ur Pretty
L Saez


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Sa Foradada
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
5
Three Rivers
J Alvarado


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Mursal
M Franco








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX









RACE #7 $25,000 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
1-1
7
South Street
J L Ortiz


PLACE
8-1
9
Happy Bob
F Prat


SHOW
4-1
3
Freeze Pop
R Santana Jr.


WILD CARD
20-1
6
Boys Code
K Davis





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
4
Break the Ice
J A Gomez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
8
Achilles Heel
J A Torres








* EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX









RACE #8 $125,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Silver Skillet
J Rosario


PLACE
5-1
7
Orange Freeze
F Prat


SHOW
9-5
10
Amandas Folly
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Kosuke
J L Ortiz





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
8
Collaboration
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
3
Im Just Kiddin
L Saez








* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX









RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 MO DAMORNINGGROUCH









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
6
Mo Damorninggrouch
J A Gomez


PLACE
7-2
4
Red Butterfly
R Santana Jr.


SHOW
2-1
11
Marleys Ghost
J Lezcano


WILD CARD
6-1
5
True Martini
J L Ortiz





ALTERNATE 1
2-1
2
Showemyourheels
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
1A
Pauciloquent
J Alvarado








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/11 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thistledown Tip Sheet - August 16
Aug. 15, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 74% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 DEBDURITE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
4
Debdurite
A I Diaz


PLACE
5-2
1
Shell Fire
L R Rivera Jr.


SHOW
9-2
2
Rosas Way
V R Fernandez


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Algorix
V Severino





ALTERNATE 1
9-5
3
Its Fate
R Feliciano


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Skidstream
G Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #2 $16,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Larsa
L A Batista


PLACE
2-1
5
Boogie Boogee
G Rodriguez


SHOW
9-5
1A
Perfectingtheview
A I Diaz


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Diva Power
R Halledeen





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
6
Bossy Lady
L R Rivera


ALTERNATE 2
9-5
1
Sarah Jane
L R Rivera Jr.








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
Mambo Dancer
R Feliciano


PLACE
5-2
6
Carols Royalty
H L Rosario Jr.


SHOW
4-1
4
Black Butte
A I Diaz


WILD CARD
3-1
5
Cascabria
D J Haldar





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
1
La Muneca
A Bracho


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Sweet Belen
L A Batista








* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #4 $31,400 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 FIT TO FLY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
1
Fit to Fly
G Corrales


PLACE
5-1
2
Speighty War
A R Ramgeet


SHOW
5-2
6
American Prince
L R Rivera


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Agnellos Dream
E Barbaran





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
3
Doctor Wu
V Severino


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
Lucky Nineteen
R Diaz








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #5 $20,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 RAISON KARTER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Raison Karter
J A Bracho


PLACE
4-1
1
Auger
G Rodriguez


SHOW
3-1
5
Bourbon Wisdom
F Salazar Becerra


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Lauda Speed
L A Batista





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
2
Auld Lange Syne
J S Toledo


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Lexatoga
A I Diaz








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX









RACE #6 $27,400 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
Henry Mac
L R Rivera


PLACE
5-2
2
Reckless L J
H Berrios


SHOW
9-2
6
Send Me On
E Barbaran


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Visual Mission
A I Diaz





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
1
Raven Moon
E Paucar


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Oaken
A Guerere








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #7 $12,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Happilea
L R Rivera Jr.


PLACE
6-1
5
Rock On Kitten
F Salazar Becerra


SHOW
5-1
1
Montauk Cove
L A Batista


WILD CARD
2-1
2
Lazarus Project
R Halledeen





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
More Than Good
Y Aviles


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
4
Wile E Peyote
E Barbaran








* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #8 $32,500 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Johns Rock
B Tapara


PLACE
4-1
7
Comply
L R Rivera


SHOW
6-1
2
Good On Ya
R Mejias


WILD CARD
2-1
4
Dream Keeper
J A Bracho





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
So Dialed In
L R Rivera Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Night Time Ruler
F Salazar Becerra








* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Delaware Park Tip Sheet - August 16
Aug. 15, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 73% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-2
3
Rebel Joke
A Concepcion


PLACE
9-5
5
Tuna N Stamps
E Ignacio


SHOW
4-1
6
Unxpected Tiger
A S Arroyo


WILD CARD
8-1
4
Morales Little Kid
A Crispin





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Union Park
D Haddock


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Sun of Silver
C Marquez








* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 MEAN TWEETS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Mean Tweets
J Mendoza


PLACE
4-1
5
Father Glado
J Rodriguez


SHOW
3-1
4
Jest Above
J Correa


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Wootdareitis
J Alicea





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Touch Code
K Gomez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
I Am It
K Trotman








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
10-1
4
Im Your Papi
J Alicea


PLACE
8-5
3
Papa Jimmy
D Centeno


SHOW
5-2
5
Hessosubtle
L A Rodriguez Castro


WILD CARD
4-1
2
Code Name Brody
K Trotman





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Starship Gotham
F Gonzalez Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Power
D L Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #4 $38,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
6
Inchon
W Humphrey


PLACE
3-1
8
Orange Juice
C Cedeno


SHOW
9-2
5
Nightscape
J Rodriguez


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Taporical
J Mendoza





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Drinkin N Dreaming
D Centeno


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Hoya
A S Arroyo








* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX









RACE #5 $28,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 TIPSY GIRL









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Tipsy Girl
J Rodriguez


PLACE
9-5
1
Mo Traffic
J A Batista


SHOW
8-1
6
Penny Polka
A S Arroyo


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Touisset
D Centeno





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Ritabook
R E Mena


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
Jesss Gypsy Girl
S Marin








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX









RACE #6 $31,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 PARKERNESS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
8
Parkerness
J Rodriguez


PLACE
7-2
4
Mission Man
J Ruiz


SHOW
6-1
9
King of Song
J Toledo


WILD CARD
5-1
6
Wrecking Ball
S Marin





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Rush Center
J Laprida


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Coronova
C Cedeno








* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX









RACE #7 $38,500 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
St Andrews
K Gomez


PLACE
8-1
1
Stacks of Silver
A Concepcion


SHOW
3-1
6
Aint Wasting Time
R E Mena


WILD CARD
8-1
4
Greyzer
A A Marin





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
7
Awesome Launch
L A Rodriguez Castro


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Bretts World
D Haddock








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #8 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Appendage
A Crispin


PLACE
9-2
7
Estilo Favorito
E Villasmil


SHOW
7-2
2
Seax
J Mendoza


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Cape Cod Summer
K Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
My Big Drama
R E Mena


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Vegas Playboy
J Rose








* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - August 16
Aug. 14, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (6) Once an Eagle (A) was the 3-1 favorite in her debut at Saratoga just 2 weeks ago and was unable to do much running because she was stuck in traffic the entire race. (2) Bernietakescharge comes out of the same race as the Hot List horse when he moved from eighth to finish third. (4) Bossy Jeans had a less than ideal trip in her first start which was in June at Horseshoe Indiana and Irad gets the mount. (8) Alittlebitnaughty will debut for Danny Gargan as a $350,000 yearling purchase.
2nd race [Md 40000, 1 mi] – (6) Thestral will drop back to a maiden claimer and ship up from Indiana where she made her turf debut. Her first three starts were on the dirt and include a close second at Keeneland. (1) Dark Princess was third two races back when she raced at this level the only time. (2) Don’t Tell Amy tried the turf last time and that did not work out so she now makes another drop in class. (3) Graceful has some races scattered in her PPs that make her a contender in this small field.
4th race [Alw 50000s, 5

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Grand River RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 9 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$6200 - N/W $3,000 LAST 3 OR $5,400 LAST 5


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 2 MAHONE SEELSTER 8/5




# 4 LUNE DUHARAS 5/2




# 5 BASTIANO 3/1





The selection for this race is MAHONE SEELSTER. This entrant may have some hidden form, a win would be a pleasant surprise. Can't gloss over based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been fantastic (82 avg) these days. Good for a win play just off the exemplary prior class figures. Have to like this standardbred. LUNE DUHARAS - Certainly should be given a look based on the really good speed figure earned in the last outing. With one of the best drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this mare out of the contest. BASTIANO - Good for a win play just off the exemplary prior class numbers. Have to like this harness racer. That 70 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the most recent outing puts this nice horse in the mix in this one.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Hoosier Park

CompuBet Free Pick! CompuBet 08/16 HOOSIER PARK

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 2- - PACE 08/16 HOOSIER PARK

4 Ever Common Cents 7/5 601.69 100 88.3 87.1 1:55.1 Miller, Lewayne 15

2 Track'n Field 5/2 549.35 90 61.7 68.0 1:55.5 Oosting, Michael 20

3 Brooklets Sonic 15/1 548.91 60 X 40.0 89.0 1:54.9 Bates, Brandon 17

6 Another Image 9/2 524.35 70 >21 61.7 IM 76.9 1:55.7 Putnam, Joey 18

7 Miss Hula Dancer 6/1 516.42 90 46.7 80.3 1:56.3 Tetrick, Trace 29

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


1
1
ROSE RUN WHITNEY
3/1
Merriman, Aaron - 16
518.18


7
7
SPICY NUGGET
7/2
Indof, Jeremy - 11
516.42


5
5
TAXI OUT S
20/1
Monti, Drew - 8
514.48


8
8
KEYSTONE CHAOS
9/1
Zendt, Brian - 8
511.44


2
2
STICKLER HANOVER
9/1
Brown, Brady - 8
497.01


3
3
STAY CLOSE
4/1
Macdonald, Anthony - 19
490.41


4
4
SAY YOU DO
6/1
Wilder, Mike - 18
474.24


6
6
THE PRINCE
6/1
Wrenn, Ronnie Jr - 26
457.92

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at The Meadows

CompuBet Free Pick! CompuBet 08/16 THE MEADOWS

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 10- - PACE 08/16 THE MEADOWS

8 Premier Delainey 5/2 645.97 100 28.3 80.0 1:52.8 Merriman, Aaron 25

4 Sportytino 15/1 606.56 80 38.3 75.0 1:54.5 Killeen, Jack 14

5 Delilah De Vie 6/1 602.94 90 21.7 74.0 1:54.8 Walters, Justin 12

2 Tout Da Lou 10/1 588.28 90 26.7 77.0 1:54.1 Wilder, Mike 24

7 Tiamogonedancen 4/1 583.76 90 76.7 75.0 1:54.4 Wrenn, Ronnie Jr 29

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 8


1
1
AMERICAN STOCK
3/1
Merton, Michael - 22
400.38


3
3
ALWAYS AVA
9/2
Merton, Thomas - 7
372.38


5
5
RUFFLEMANIA
4/1
Taggart, Jim Jr - 18
364.64


6
6
GEORGE HANOVER
7/2
Parker, Brandon - 14
356.11


2
2
TOMMY THREE STICKS
5/2
Dibenedetto, Kyle - 6
354.58


7
7
SRIRACHA HEAT
10/1
Merton, Gregory - 26
350.04


4
4
MESSIAH
8/1
Harp, Rick - 3
312.61

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's PhiladelphiaAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 5 - Post: 1:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$11700 - 2 YEAR OLD COLTS AND GELDINGS NON WINNERS 2PM RACE LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 5 BOLD SPIRIT 5/2




# 4 TRUMPS NEWS 20/1




# 2 THE BLUE EASY 5/1





BOLD SPIRIT sure does look ready to dominate. Had one of the most compelling TrackMaster SRs of the group of horses in his last gathering. Must use in your plays. Substantial driver-handler numbers make this contender a very compelling choice. Very likely will be putting cash down in this event. Not many folks know, but the 5 hole here at Harrah's Philadelphia has been great for a much better than average win rate. TRUMPS NEWS - This colt has been competing versus some of the most competitive company in this group of horses lately. Allard and De Pinto have a competitive working relationship. Amazing results from their contests. THE BLUE EASY - Has been running strongly lately and his style of running should result in a strong performance. The brain trust happens to know that when you put Ahle and Le Blanc together very good results happen frequently.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Tampa Bay w/Civale -120 over San Francisco

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4U
Wednesday Free Selection: Milwaukee Brewers/Los Angeles Dodgers under 8 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 Sports
Wednesday's Free Play: Oakland Athletics +160

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Easy Money Sports
Free Wednesday Baseball Selection From Lee
BOSTON w/Paxton -150

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Wednesday Free Play
San Diego Snell -157

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 8/16/2023 MLB TAMPA BAY -113

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood Anthony
Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Boston -160

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, August 16, 2023

MLB

915. Houston Astros (Verlander v Luzardo) (3:40 PT / 6:40 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Roz Wins
ROZ FREE Selection WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 16, 2023

915. Astros -1.28 (3:40 PT / 6:40 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays
Your Free Pick: the Oakland/St Louis Game OVER 9.5 Runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday :Take BOSTON/WASHINGTON UNDER the total of 9.5 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Arthur Ralph
Free Play 98-643 run WED Twins w/ Madea -190

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Wednesday: DETROIT/MINNESOTA OVER the total of 8.5 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Chris Tudor
SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR WEDNESDAY!



MLB Philadelphia/Toronto OVER the total of 8 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: CLEVELAND/CINCINNATI OVER the total of 10 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Boston Red Sox -170

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 16, 2023
FREE

MLB

929. Orioles +1.48 (5:40 PT / 8:40 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye Sports
Wednesday's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +200

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from The Last Call
Wednesday's Free Play: (911) Seattle Mariners -200

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Wednesday: Texas Rangers -180

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Reds-147

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Williams

1* on Marlins+106

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Reds-147

[ConleyPicks]

Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Houston Astros -106

The Houston Astros are 6-3 in their last nine games overall and have scored at least 6 runs in all six victories. The Miami Marlins are 10-19 in their last 29 games overall and feeling the pressure of trying to make the postseason.

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound over the Marlins tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result. Justin Verlander is 7-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in 18 starts this season and now motivated after getting traded back to Houston.

Jesus Luzardo is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA and 2.101 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs, 5 homers and 28 base runners in 13 1/3 innings. Luzardo is 1-1 with a 5.32 ERA in four career starts against Houston. Bet the Astros Wednesday.

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Reds-159

*All MLB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

[ConleyPicks]

AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY Cincinnati Reds-147.

We feel that Andrew Abbot (7-3, 2.95 ERA) and the revenge-minded home side are well worth the price of admission in this spot after falling 3-0 in yesterday's series opener. Note that the Reds are 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Cleveland counters with Noah Syndergaard (1-1, 3.71), who we feel is in over his head here in this difficult road venue; consider Cincinnati!

AAA Sports

[ConleyPicks]

Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Red Sox-146

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

[ConleyPicks]

Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Red Sox/Nationals Under 9 +100

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our Wednesday Free Play. Toronto won the opener of this series last night 2-1 behind another solid outing from Yusei Kikuchi to make it two straight wins. The Blue Jays remain in the third Wild Card spot but look to be overpriced tonight in a very good pitching battle. The Phillies have dropped three straight games following a 6-1 run as the offense has been completely shut down, scoring just two runs during the recent skid. Philadelphia is still in the top Wild Card spot in the National League, one game up on the Giants. Aaron Nola has not been the dominant pitcher we are used to seeing but after allowing five runs in two straight games, he allowed just one run over five innings last time out. Despite a 4.49 ERA, he still possesses a potent 1.14 WHIP across 24 starts. Kevin Gausman is coming off one of his best starts of the season as he shut out the Guardians over seven innings while allowing only four hits and no walls. Despite a 2.71 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 11 home starts, Toronto is just 6-5 in those games. Here, we play on National League road teams hitting between .255 and .269 and batting .200 or worse over their last three games going up against an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better. This situation is 37-20 (64.9 percent) since 1997. Play (923) Philadelphia Phillies

[ConleyPicks]

Jeff Alexander

1* MLB - Phillies/Blue Jays FREE Pick on Blue Jays -140

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick is on the Toronto Blue Jays as a -140 home favorite against the Philadelphia Phillies. I like the price with Toronto in this one. Blue Jays will have Kevin Gausman on the mound. He's got a 3.04 ERA in 23 starts, 2.71 ERA in 11 home starts and a 2.08 ERA over his last 3 outings. Philadelphia will counter with Aaron Nola, who has been a major disappointment in 2023. Nola is 9-8 with a 4.49 ERA in 24 starts. He's got a 5.15 ERA in 14 road starts and a 6.60 ERA over his last 3 outings. Bet the Blue Jays -140!

[ConleyPicks]

Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Phillies vs Blue Jays over 8 +101

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on Rangers-175

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Angels+175

[ConleyPicks]

Cole Faxon

FREE PLAY on White Sox+165

[ConleyPicks]

Sean Murphy

Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Baltimore over San Diego at 8:40 pm et on Wednesday.

The Padres jumped all over the Orioles last night, scoring seven runs in the first two innings en route to a 10-3 victory. That evened this series at one game apiece. I expect the Orioles to bounce back in Wednesday's series finale. Dean Kremer will take the ball for Baltimore. He's not a household name by any means but the right-hander has been quietly effective since getting off to a rocky start to the season back in April. Kremer was tagged for four earned runs or more in five of his six April outings. Since then, he's allowed more than three earned runs just three times over his last 18 starts. He'll be starting on full rest (five days) after allowing just 8-of-29 batters to reach base in a seven-inning outing against the Astros last Thursday. Note that the O's enter this contest having come away victorious in each of Kremer's last seven starts. Blake Snell will counter for the Padres. San Diego has won each of his last four outings. Much like Kremer, Snell got off to a poor start this season before settling down. My concern here is that we've seen some cracks in his armor recently as he has allowed five earned runs in 11 innings over his last two outings. Prior to that he had given up just two earned runs combined over his previous six starts. Over his last three starts, Snell has allowed 22-of-68 batters to reach base. If you have a tendency to put baserunners on, as Snell does, the O's do have a lineup capable of making you pay. Thanks to last night's lopsided result, the O's were able to keep their key bullpen arms idle, including closer Felix Bautista. There's not a lot separating these two relief corps, although it's worth noting that the Padres 'pen has logged a lofty 5.70 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over the last seven games while Baltimore relievers posted a 3.65 ERA and 1.38 WHIP over the same stretch. Take Baltimore.

[ConleyPicks]

Brandon Lee

7* MLB Orioles/Padres Free Pick

PLAY ON BALTIMORE ORIOLES +158

I'll take my chances with the Orioles as a +158 road dog against the Padres. Baltimore has the best record in the AL and second best record overall (3.5 back of the Braves) at 74-46. No way should they be this big of a dog on Wednesday, especially with a decent starter going in Dean Kremer. While Kremer's 4.50 ERA and 1.318 WHIP aren't great, Orioles are 18-6 when he's on the mound, 7-3 in his 10 road starts and winners in each of his last 7 starts. Baltimore is also playing the better baseball. Even with yesterday's blowout win, Padres are 2-7 in their last 9. Orioles are 8-4 in their last 12. Give me Baltimore +158!

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Brewers/Dodgers under 8.5 -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*