Friday 8/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 8/18/23 August 18, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Hudson River; 4-Lottery Pick
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Hudson River has never been big on winning (2-for-19) but he finished in the frame in his last two when facing claiming company and, after a two month vacation, returns protected in this starter’s allowance middle distance turf event. The Bob Baffert-trained gelding should inherit an ideal ground-saving, pace-stalking trip and then have every chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. Lottery Pick was a race shape aided runner-up when rallying with the help of a torrid pace to finishing second in a first level allowance affair over the local lawn last month. Today’s pace flow may not be so kind, but the son of American Freedom usually gives his best and should make his presence felt again in the final furlong.

*

RACE 2: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 9-Tiff With Jimmy; 4-Paid in Gold
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Tiff With Jimmy is nicely drawn outside and can dictate her trip in this maiden $50,000 claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. This will be her first start in a seller (a warranted class drop based on her figures) for trainer Mark Glatt, who makes the switch to top rider Juan Hernandez and also puts back on the blinkers that she wore in her debut. Paid in Gold is faster on pure numbers than our top pick and is strictly the one to beat, her low profile connections notwithstanding. She’s a first-off-the-claim play for trainer Sergio Morfin (moderate stats with this angle), and if the daughter of Ransom the Moon runs back to either one of her last two races she’ll probably win. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 3: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Idessia
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Idessia has been knocking on the door and is overdue for a maiden win in this middle distance turf affair for fillies and mares. She’s been trouble-prone through most of her five race career but if she can leave cleanly and secure a second flight, ground-saving trip, the Phil D’Amato-trained daughter of Smiling Tiger should be able to produce the last run. Let’s make her a win play and rolling exotic single.

*

RACE 4: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Economical; 8-Touchdown Brown
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Economical looked good when easily disposing of a restricted (nw-2) $16,000 field last month and today moves up to the (nw-3) $20,000 level in a race that should be well within his capabilities. The Phil D’Amato-trained gelding has displayed steady improvement in his last three outings since joining this barn and another forward move is likely. Touchdown Brown is drawn comfortably outside and is the one to fear most. The Brian Koriner-trained son of Cairo Prince has back numbers that would bury this field, but those were earned a long time ago. This is his second start off a layoff, and the huge class drop makes his current condition difficult to assess.

*

RACE 5: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Harper’s Gallop; 3-Naughty Nadine
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 9-Shared Future.

Forecast: Harper’s Gallop was a clever winner at Santa Anita in June in a state-bred first level allowance event and returns to the $40,000 claiming ranks (a logical move) following a two month vacation. From her favorable 2-hole post, the veteran mare can secure her preferred pace-stalking trip and then have dead aim and every chance after straightening for home. Naughty Nadine tried conventional dirt for the first time at Pleasanton and hated it; she’s back on turf today and can be a strong factor throughout. She’s a fit on figures and is reunited with “win rider” A. Espinoza. We’ll try to get by in rolling exotic play using just these two.

*

RACE 6: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Rookie Mistake; 5-Jamming Eddy
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 9-Boldness.

Forecast: Rookie Mistake drops from $32,000 to $16,000 while seeking his proper level and may have found it based on recent speed figures earned when facing considerably tougher foes. However, he’s just 3-for-29 overall and winless since 2020, but he’s won over this track in the past and could easily perk up against this group. Jamming Eddy, a fading seventh in the same race our top pick exits, is another that very likely will display improvement in this league. The veteran Square Eddie gelding has a good stalking style and will be double tough with a repeat of his winning race at Los Alamitos in early July.

*

RACE 7: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Neige Blanche; 4-Queen Ofthe Temple
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Not only is Neige Blanche partial to the Del Mar turf course (two wins in four starts), she’s a prototype mini marathon specialist, having won three of four career outings over this unique 11 furlong distance. Successful in the Possibly Perfect Stakes at Santa Anita in June, she’s had a couple of months off but won this very same listed stakes two years using the same prep race. With a sharp series of healthy workouts in the interim, the Leonard Powell-trained import looks primed to fire another winning shot. Queen Ofthe Temple was beaten a neck by our top pick in the Possibly Perfect and is the one she’ll have to worry about the most again. The Dan Blacker-trained mare has just two wins on her resume (compared with 10 seconds and thirds) whereas ‘Blanche has been victorious in 10 of 22 career outings, so if these two hook up again in the final furlong we have a pretty good idea which one will find a way to prevail.

*

RACE 8: Post: 7:00 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Midnight Fury; 5-U R Pressed; 10-Habeas.
Backups/Savers/Underneath:

Forecast: Midnight Fury takes a nosedive from straight maiden to the maiden $20,000 level while obviously being culled from the stable, but if he can pass the vet during the morning exam he’ll be hard to beat based on anything close to his best race. U R Pressed has hit the board in his last three starts with gradually rising speed figures and will have a good chance to graduate if ‘Fury doesn’t make it the gate. Habeas is another sinking to the lowest maiden claiming level on this circuit and has credentials to make a run for it. He shows the route-to-sprint angle, has numbers that fit, and gets a bit of weight break with the switch to a seven pound bug boy.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/18/23 August 18, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 ET Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-White Chocolate; 6-Vivid Dreams
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Corey and Quinn; 4-Crushed Ice.

Forecast: White Chocolate flashed good ability in her only prior outing last December at Fair Ground when finishing third after a pace-pressing trip in a race that earned a decent speed figure. She returns with a healthy series of good workouts that should have her plenty fit for a winning effort off the bench, and from her cozy outside draw the daughter of City of Light should have every chance to pop the gate and pick a comfortable stalking position. Vivid Dreams was nosed out in a similar maiden sprint for older fillies and mares at Monmouth Park last month while finishing five lengths clear of the rest in what was her first outing since her debut the previous November. She attracts Irad Ortiz, Jr., so the Todd Pletcher-trained daughter of Arrogate seems sure to receive a ton of play on the tote.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:35 ET Grade: C
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-T Max; 5-Luna Loca; 4-Accel Rose
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: We’ll go three deep but with a very low degree of confidence in the second race, a low level ($14,000) restricted (nw-3) claiming sprint for fillies and mares. T Max, claimed for $30,000 at Ellis Park off a poor run at Ellis Park in mid-June, returns on the drop for trainer Linda Rice, as so many of her recent claims seem to do with the huge purses such as they are. The vets will go over her with a fine tooth comb in the morning, so there’s no guarantee she’ll make the race, but if she does, the daughter of Connect obviously is good enough to win at this level. However, at even money on the morning line, she offers no value. Her Linda Rice stablemate Luna Loca is in the same boat. Claimed for $40,000 two races back at Belmont Park and now entered at the bottom, the daughter of Malibu Moon was last of seven, beaten more than 21 lengths, at Belmont Park in early July and returns six weeks later as damaged goods, or so it appears. This is the kind of pattern that raises red flags with the state vet, so who knows if she actually makes it to the post? Accel Rose is fresh from a win at Monmouth Park, so while she may be on the slowish side, at least her pattern in healthy. The daughter of Accelerate earned a career top speed figure in that win so at 6-1 on the morning line should be included somewhere on your ticket for protection.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:09 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Dontmesswithtess; 4-Miss San Gabriel
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. We’ll pass if the race is moved to the main track. Dontmesswithtess may have moved a tad early when striking the front but then getting worn down late in a runner-up effort vs. similar at Belmont Park last month. With Irad Ortiz, Jr. staying aboard, the daughter of Creative Cause should be capable of producing the last run in this inner turf miler for starters allowance fillies and mares. Miss San Gabriel, first off a $50,000 claim by George Weaver and protected today, is a major player seeking her third straight win and a “must use.” The sophomore daughter of Temple City has rising speed figures with a likelihood of another forward move and most likely will employ the same gate-to-wire tactics that produced her two recent tallies. The projected pace flow looks favorable to her. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:39 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Rhiannon
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Stunningly.

Forecast: Rhiannon brought $550,00 at the 2020 Keeneland yearling sales and finally makes it to the races in this main track miler for maiden special weight fillies and mares. By Medaglia d’Oro from graded stakes winner Auntie Joy, the Chad Brown-trained filly has done everything in the morning like a high quality prospect and has been given a foundation that should have her plenty fit and ready for a winning performance first crack out of the box. There doesn’t appear to be a ton of speed signed on, so with an alert break it wouldn’t be surprising to see he on or near the lead from the get-go. This is a better than par race for the level, so the task won’t be easy, but she’ll offer a reasonable gamble at her morning line of 9/2.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:12 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Nobel; 5-Royal Spirit; 6-Catch That Party
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. We’ll pass if the race is moved to the main track. Nobel arrives fresh off the plane for new trainer Brendan Walsh in this entry level allowance middle distance turf affair and brings a resume from England that makes him a fit at this level on this circuit. He’s won on both grass and all weather overseas and has solid Timeform Ratings, but the concern is that his best races have come when he’s established the running and there’s no guarantee that he’ll be able to secure his preferred trip against this group. Royal Spirit has good, consistent recent form and projects to enjoy an ideal pace stalking trip. The son of Into Mischief shows a prior win over the local lawn and a nice recent breeze to tick him over following a runner-up effort in an off-the-turfer last month. Catch the Party produced a non-effort when far back in the same off-the-grass race that ‘Spirit exits but his turf form is strong and makes him a solid contender with anything close to his best race.

*

RACE 6: Post: 3:46 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Dancing Mischief; 1-Frozen Four.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. We’ll pass if the race is moved to the main track. Dancing Mischief and Frozen Four finished two-three in a similar state-bred maiden router over this course and distance earlier this month and are the main players in this modest affair. ‘Mischief ran the better of the two but had the benefit of a prior run, while ‘Four was making his debut and therefore might have a bit more room for improvement. They’re tough to separate, so we’ll include both in our rolling exotics.

*

RACE 7: Post: 4:20 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): Red Run; 5-Costa Terra
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 4-Speed Bias.

Forecast: Red Run faced considerably tougher competition in his last two starts, most recently finishing fourth in the Suburban S.-G2 last month and before that winding up third in the Brooklyn S.-G2. This drop to the two-other-than level could allow this Gun Runner colt to regain his winning form, though his overall record of 2-for-17 makes him a somewhat undependable. Costa Terra earned a career top speed figure when missing by a neck and finishing 11 lengths clear of the rest in an off-the-turf race here earlier this month. A repeat of that effort in this 9.5 furlong main track event makes him the one to fear most.

*

RACE 8: Post: 4:58 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-No Nay Mets

Backups/Savers/Underneath: 9-Fandom.

Forecast: This race was handicapped for turf only. We’ll pass if the race is moved to the main track. No Nay Mets demolished his outclassed foes in the Tyro Stakes at Monmouth Park last month and anything close to that performance will make him hard to beat. The George Weaver-trained colt is the logical favorite at 7/5 on the morning line, though he’ll probably have to work a little harder during the early stages of this race after enjoying a soft pace-setting trip last time out. Despite not offering much in the way of wagering value, we’ll give him the main push in rolling exotic play.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:34 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Prisoner
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Prisoner vans in from Monmouth Park where he recorded a career top speed figure in a four length score in a second level allowance sprint last month. Based on his numbers, he’s a strong fit at this $50,000 claiming level on this circuit, and with the versatility to win on the front end or from a second flight, stalking position, the son of Violence should be ready for another winning effort. At 7/2 on the morning line, he offers value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Rally Squirrel
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Rally Squirrel was shrewdly claimed by Tom Amoss for a meager $10,000 out of a 10-length main track romp at Ellis Park in mid-June, and this raise to the allowance ranks in his first start for his new connections following a two month layoff is a clear sign of confidence. Based on speed figures, he absolutely belongs at this level, which carries a massive $95,000 purse. With two prior wins on grass, the son of Mshawish should be capable of reproducing his best on this surface, but if the race is switched to the main track, all the better. At 5/2 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis August 18, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Yonkers Raceway has a 12-race card to begin the weekend. The feature goes in Race 7, a Pop-Up Fillies and Mares Final with a $40,000 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

2-Uptown Hanover (5/2)-Steps up after a nice rally on 8-4, Brennan will be in the bike again and has won 7 of 34 at Yonkers. The Cullipher trainee can be in the mix tonight. Might be able to get the top and not look back.
6-McMarkle Sparkle (9/2)-Ships back from M1 and lands in the same condition as its last win here on 7-14. Fits well at this level, could be overlooked and like the one above should be heard from with a good steer.

Race 10

1-Saranac Blue Chip (2-1)-Not liking the short price but should be a player versus this kind. This will be the 3rd start off a judge's scratch and best to not overlook.
4-Caughtinalandslide (3-1)-Faces better after rallying with a .56 back half to take a picture. Team Stratton trainee has been camera shy but will look for the upswing to continue.

Race 11

3-My Mind Is Madeup (4-1)-Came 2nd to the one below and could get a pocket trip again. Looks like the main player to snap the chalks 3 race win streak.
5-Toatsmygoats (9/5)-Has been handling this kind rather easily in the past 3 starts and left from post 7 in the last two. Likes to get on the point and play catch me if you can. Starts from a better post here and there is no reason to change a successful plan.

Race 12

1-Louie The Horse N (5-1)-The entire field has taken 14 pictures this year and Louis has one of them. Relying on being overlooked at the windows and the post draw making a significant difference. In the last 12 starts has never drawn the rail and had the 6-hole or worse 8 times.
3-Desire's Captain (20-1)-Has cashed checks versus $20k claimers and appears able to compete here. Looking for Stratton to work a cozy trip and have the veteran close to the leaders turning for the wire.
4-Macheasy A (9/2)-This 10-year-old still has good speed, and the Harmon barn is posting 21% winners over the past 30 days. Will look to fade the programs chalks #2 and #5 and hope to catch a price.

$1 Late Pick 4

2,6/1,4/3,5/1,3,4
Total Bet=$24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ellis Park Pick 5 Ticket | Friday, Aug. 18 August 18, 2023 | By Frank Carulli
ELLIS PARK PICK 5
Friday, Aug. 18
• $92,036 carry-over pool

Baytown Chatterbox’s 60-1 upset in last weekend’s Ellis Park Juvenile Stakes stumped Pick 5 players and triggered a $92,036 carry-over pool for the 50-cent wager this Friday, Aug. 18. But don’t think the sequence will be any easier to solve, with or without another 60-1 winner. Three of the five races drew full, 12-horse fields and another is set to go with 11 starters. Here’s a closer look and a suggested $72 play:

ElP 5th race (2:45 EST) -- MATURITY DATE’s multiple graded stakes-winning sire never raced on turf and her dam was outrun in her lone start on the grass. But trainer Chad Brown’s 21-for-87 record with debut 2-year-old fillies going a route of ground on turf the last three years takes precedent. FANCY LOOKER, even-paced from post 10 in a debut sprint, can use that experience to her advantage in a field with five first-time starters. Her graded stakes-winning dam had seven wire-to-wire victories in 10 starts on the lawn.

ElP 6th race (3:18 EST) -- CHARLOTTE’S APPROVAL, a $1 million sales purchase, shows three :47-and-change gate workouts over the track for her debut. Her dam, Curlin’s Approval, was 9-21, a $654k earner and a Grade II winner at this distance. Trainer Vickie Oliver seeks her fourth MSW winner at Ellis Park in the last 30 days with FLOORED, whose solid work tab at Keeneland mirrors that of the other three winners.

ElP 7th race (3:50 EST) -- SOLID COUNTRY GOLD rallied 4-wide in a pair of shorter grass allowances that produced two winners and six runners-up before he tackled the 1-1/4-mile distance last out. He waited for room at the quarter pole, found it while the top pair were in full flight and finished willingly for third. The margin was a bit deceiving because the favorite was carried out very wide by the runner-up; however, Alglophile, the 2-1 winner, came back to just miss in a blanket finish in a $200k turf stakes. Let’s make SOLID COUNTRY GOLD a solo play in the Pick 5.

ElP 8th race (4:22 EST) -- PUMPKIN SCONE and EVERGRANDE showed good speed and ran second, while SPELTERINI rallied for a pair of runner-up finishes in their most recent starts on the main track. All three hail from top barns and get a spot on the ticket. GATHER went a full second faster than all but three of the 41 horses who worked 4F July 28 at Keeneland, earning the final spot in this MSW sprint.

ElP 9th race (4:55 EST) -- The 12 entrants in the body of this $16,000 maiden claiming route are a combined 35/0-3-1 on turf. Taking little to chance and going nine-deep in the final leg.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
ElP 5th Race: 2, 8
ElP 6th Race: 1, 6
ElP 7th Race: 6
ElP 8th Race: 3, 5, 6, 8
ElP 9th Race: 1, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for SaratogaPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=sar0818zf.pdf&exp=08/20/2023&pds=SAR_-_08/18/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/18/2023;TRACK_CODE=SAR&SAP=FREEPICS)


Saratoga - Race 10

Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10) Wagers



Allowance • 1 1/16 Miles • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $95,000 • Post: 6:10P


(RAIL AT 27 FEET). INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SONIC SPEED: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the to p three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BE OF COURAGE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. RALLY SQUIRREL: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Master Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



8

SONIC SPEED

5/1


5/1




9

BE OF COURAGE

8/1


5/1




1

RALLY SQUIRREL

5/2


6/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

RALLY SQUIRREL

1


5/2

Front-runner

93


95


99.0


87.6


79.1




13

LITTLE MADDY BROWN

13


12/1

Front-runner

93


89


92.9


73.9


61.4




7

BORN DANCER

7


8/1

Front-runner

82


76


81.1


75.7


63.2




10

FACTUALLY CORRECT

10


12/1

Front-runner

83


82


73.0


65.4


50.4




11

CUT THE CORD

11


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

84


90


87.2


75.8


63.8




9

BE OF COURAGE

9


8/1

Stalker

92


90


108.1


85.3


73.8




14

ASYMMETRIC

14


2/1

Stalker

84


80


80.7


80.7


63.2




3

BOURBON CHASE

3


8/1

Stalker

83


77


71.6


77.0


61.5




8

SONIC SPEED

8


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

92


92


64.0


87.4


81.9




12

NEWPORT BRIDGE

12


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

88


86


59.7


59.7


40.2




2

THETHRILLOFVICTORY

2


8/1

Trailer

76


75


80.2


74.2


54.2




4

WHISTLER'S HONOR

4


4/1

Trailer

85


71


48.4


71.4


53.4




5

AMERICAN GRANT

5


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

82


81


77.6


76.9


54.9




6

EDDIE THE GREAT

6


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

89


81


66.4


78.2


63.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ElyPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=ely0818zf.pdf&exp=08/20/2023&pds=ELY_-_08/18/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/18/2023;TRACK_CODE=ELY&SAP=FREEPICS)


Ely - Race 5

$2 Win, Place, Show / $2 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $2 Trifecta ($1 Box)



Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 5:00P


QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND OLDER WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DANGEROUS DUDE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TWO SIXES UP: Horse ranks in the top three i n average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). ROTSI: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BRIMM EFFORT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.



6

DANGEROUS DUDE

5/1


4/1




4

TWO SIXES UP

8/1


6/1




8

ROTSI

20/1


7/1




3

BRIMM EFFORT

7/2


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

LADD E BOY

1


15/1

Slow

66


63


0.0


0.0


0.0




2

THE CARTEL LEADER

2


2/1

Slow

59


54


8.7


0.0


0.0




3

BRIMM EFFORT

3


7/2

Average

67


63


3.7


0.0


0.0




4

TWO SIXES UP

4


8/1

Average

73


68


5.2


0.0


0.0




5

MY CALIENTE CORONA

5


5/2

Slow

62


61


7.9


0.0


0.0




6

DANGEROUS DUDE

6


5/1

Average

76


71


3.6


0.0


0.0




7

KELLYS FIRST

7


10/1

Fast

56


53


3.4


0.0


0.0




8

ROTSI

8


20/1

Fast

69


65


3.5


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis Park All Turf Pick 3PURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=eqf0818zz.htm&exp=08/20/2023&pds=EQF_-_08/18/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/18/2023;TRACK_CODE=EQF&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 83

ELP - R9 - FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 LEFT POCKET MONEY 30/1




# 13 TEXCOCO 15/1




# 15 DRAMA CRITIC 7/2




I lean toward LEFT POCKET MONEY in here and could score at a price in here. Could best this group based on the Equibase speed fig - 81 - of his last affair. Has posted formidable Equibase speed figs in turf route races in the past. TEXCOCO - Strong average Speed Figures in turf route races make this equine a definite contender. Rodriguez has a winning percentage of 21 over the last 30 days. DRAMA CRITIC - He must be given a shot given the solid speed figs. With a decent 84 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=elp0818zm.htm&exp=08/20/2023&pds=ELP_-_08/18/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/18/2023;TRACK_CODE=ELP&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Ellis Park - Race #5 - Post: 1:45pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 FANCY LOOKER (ML=7/2)
#14 YOU'RE KITTEN ME (ML=5/1)


FANCY LOOKER - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. Last time out on the sod, this animal was solid. Anything close today, and this one should win. I like the case that this filly's last speed fig, 70, is tops in this bunch. She has the uppermost earnings per start. Take a long look at this thoroughbred. YOU'RE KITTEN ME - Hernandez was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. In this race here, this horse has garnered the highest speed rating at the distance, so I have to give her the edge. Came home fast last time around the track at Ellis Park. That type of move bodes well for her chances right here in this race. Finished out of the top three last out at Ellis Park, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 5/1 makes me think she's got a chance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MATURITY DATE (ML=5/2), #10 WINSOME BEAUTY (ML=9/2), #11 SISTINA CHAPEL (ML=8/1),

MATURITY DATE - Doesn't seem to be worth 5/2 today. Pass on her this time. WINSOME BEAUTY - This filly gave a less than rousing performance last time out. Mediocre speed figure in the last race at Ellis Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's event. SISTINA CHAPEL - Likely won't make much of a mark this time.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FANCY LOOKER - I'm wagering on this one today. An easier group is going to make a big difference. Will be tough today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #8 FANCY LOOKER on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [8,14]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=pen0818zm.htm&exp=08/20/2023&pds=PEN_-_08/18/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/18/2023;TRACK_CODE=PEN&SAP=FREEPICS)



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Penn National - Race #3 - Post: 6:58pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 86 Fort Indiantown Gap S.

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#12 SHE'S DANCING (ML=5/1)
#11 KLAYTON'S KANDY (ML=4/1)


SHE'S DANCING - I like to see fast workouts. This mare's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. I like the way this mare's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a thoroughbred coming into top form. A pony coming back this soon after a solid outing is a good omen. KLAYTON'S KANDY - This mare is in excellent physical condition right now. Ended up first last out and comes back promptly. Mare shipped to this track and won; now goes for two in a row. Lead horse at every call in last race at Penn National. Decent chance to repeat that effort right here. This mare might as well call Penn National home. Don't overlook how she races well over this racing venue.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ON THE SHORTLIST (ML=3/1), #6 FOXY JUNIOR (ML=8/1), #10 ANOINT (ML=8/1),

ON THE SHORTLIST - Hasn't been on the Penn National oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. FOXY JUNIOR - This filly raced very well on Jul 26th ending up first, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. ANOINT - Trying to beat this one this time at the price of 8/1.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #12 SHE'S DANCING to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [11,12]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

12 with 11 with [3,8,9] Total Cost: $3



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

12 with 11 with [2,3,6,8,9] with [2,3,6,8,9] Total Cost: $20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at WoodbinePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=wo0818zz.htm&exp=08/20/2023&pds=WO_-_08/18/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/18/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $40200 Class Rating: 83

INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 ROOKIE RADAR 6/1




# 5 BONGINO 3/1




# 1 BENLION 8/1




I think ROOKIE RADAR is a very good choice. Katryan has this gelding racing well and is a respectable selection based on the very good speed figures recorded in sprint races recently. Could best this group here, showing formidable numbers of late. I expect a competitive performance from this animal whose trainer has one of the strongest return on investment percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. BONGINO - Must be given a shot - I like the figs from the last outing. He has earned formidable figures under today's conditions and should fare well against this group. BENLION - Is worth a close look and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface lately.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - August 18
Aug. 17, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $45,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
2
Hudson Ridge
J J Hernandez


PLACE
3-1
1
Two Rivers Over
A Fresu


SHOW
5-2
4
Lottery Pick
U Rispoli


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Birth of Cool
J Bravo





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Afjan
J Valdivia Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Caisson
A Espinoza








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 TIFF WITH JIMMY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
9
Tiff With Jimmy
J J Hernandez


PLACE
6-1
6
Encolpion
T J Pereira


SHOW
7-2
2
Allocate
A Alsagoor


WILD CARD
3-1
4
Paid in Gold
E Payeras





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Sweet Mother Mary
M E Smith


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
5
Mahina
D Van Dyke








* EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #3 $82,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 CANDY ON TOP









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Candy On Top
U Rispoli


PLACE
4-1
6
Annies Hope
A Fresu


SHOW
2-1
2
Idessia
R Gonzalez


WILD CARD
12-1
4
Jersey Sunset
A Espinoza





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
10
Warrens Paradice
J J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
1
Yvetts Surprise
K J Desormeaux








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
8
Touchdown Brown
R A Vazquez


PLACE
4-1
4
Heir
A Espinoza


SHOW
5-2
3
Economical
A Fresu


WILD CARD
4-1
7
Santos to Wilson
V Espinoza





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Sai Con
J Torrealba


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Brutto
J Valdivia Jr.








* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #5 $35,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 HARPERS GALLOP









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Harpers Gallop
J J Hernandez


PLACE
5-2
6
Unfaithful Ways
H I Berrios


SHOW
6-1
5
Music Festival
A Aguilar


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Naughty Nadine
A Espinoza





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
9
Shared Future
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
La Deuxieme Etoile
M Gutierrez








* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX









RACE #6 $14,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
6
Rookie Mistake
A Aguilar


PLACE
6-1
4
Doo Wop Don
D A Herrera


SHOW
5-1
8
Tetsu
R A Vazquez


WILD CARD
4-1
11
Oil Can Knight
E Payeras





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Chasing Fame
A Alsagoor


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
9
Boldness
J Valdivia Jr.








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/8/11 BOX









RACE #7 $100,000 STAKES
1 3/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:30 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 CTT AND TOC STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Neige Blanche
D A Herrera


PLACE
3-1
4
Queen Ofthe Temple
J Bravo


SHOW
6-1
9
Sister Otoole
A Fresu


WILD CARD
6-1
3
Oakhurst
H I Berrios





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Symphony Perfect
J J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
7
Eylara
U Rispoli








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX



COMMENTS: NIEGE BLANCHE is by far the class of the field having won ten races in her career. QUEEN OFTHE TEMPLE just missed by a neck to our top pick last race. SISTER OTOOLE making second start after layoff. OAKHURST could add value to your exotics.










RACE #8 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
4
Brazen Bull
R A Vazquez


PLACE
4-1
5
U R Pressed
U Rispoli


SHOW
5-2
6
Midnight Fury
A Fresu


WILD CARD
5-1
10
Habeas
J Torrealba





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
11
East to Beast
D A Herrera


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Zee Carrot Eagle
A Espinoza








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Woodbine Tip Sheet - August 18
Aug. 17, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $7,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
4
Half to Reload
J L Campos


PLACE
2-1
6
Hip to Your Tricks
J Hoyte


SHOW
3-1
1
It Worked
D Fukumoto


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Quiet Speed
J Crawford





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Lucys Child
R Munger


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Rockland Express
S Vives








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #2 $14,000 CLAIMING
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Bet N Win
R W Walcott


PLACE
3-1
5
Bongino
L Salles


SHOW
10-1
3
Confusing
E Wilson


WILD CARD
6-1
7
Rookie Radar
S Ellis





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
10
Triggers Bay
S Vives


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
C R Hot Shot
J L Campos








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX









RACE #3 $7,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 LAKE SHORE DRIVE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Lake Shore Drive
R W Walcott


PLACE
5-2
8
Executive Chairman
K Kimura


SHOW
7-2
6
Alicias Kid
J Stein


WILD CARD
8-1
7
Might Bee Speedy
R Munger





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Royal Mahogany
S Vives


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Commander Tom
L Salles








* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX









RACE #4 $49,600 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:40 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 CRIMSON NIGHTS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Crimson Nights
S Chernetz


PLACE
3-1
6
My Assistant
R W Walcott


SHOW
9-2
8
Golden Suzie
J Anderson


WILD CARD
10-1
11
Sweet Bombolini
S Vives





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
9
War Vow
R Slevinsky


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Im a Bourbon Girl
E Wilson








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 6/8/11 BOX









RACE #5 $7,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:13 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 SPEEDY JOHNY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
7
Speedy Johny
J Crawford


PLACE
6-1
8
Grande Bella
L Salles


SHOW
7-2
4
Tamana
R Slevinsky


WILD CARD
4-1
3
Katchy Name
S Vives





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Northern Passage
J L Campos


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Celtic Revival
R Munger








* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX









RACE #6 $65,900 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
7
Super Sicily
L Salles


PLACE
4-1
6
Cherry Gardens
P Husbands


SHOW
8-1
9
Hurricane Gizmo
E Wilson


WILD CARD
10-1
2
Miss Moe
R M Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
3
Admissible
S Civaci


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Taylormoon
R Munger








* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX









RACE #7 $61,800 OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:17 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
4
Jab
S Chernetz


PLACE
3-1
5
Emerald Lake
R Munger


SHOW
6-1
7
Umneyaat
S Vives


WILD CARD
2-1
2
Halaga
K Kimura





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Retail Therapist
J Hoyte


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
Ashbury
R M Hernandez








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX









RACE #8 $36,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Finalist
E Flores


PLACE
4-1
6
Coleyville
K Kimura


SHOW
6-1
7
Stop the Humbug
D Carroll


WILD CARD
2-1
2
Sand Dancer
S Civaci





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Make No Mistake
S Vives


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Bet
J Stein








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX









RACE #9 $9,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:12 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
2
Souper Genius
A Vandermeersch


PLACE
5-2
1
Smokin Holiday
E Wilson


SHOW
6-1
3
River of Babylon
S Vives


WILD CARD
3-1
5
Mr. De
J Crawford





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
7
Its Me Mario
J Stein


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
Ignite the Storm
R W Walcott








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 18
Aug. 17, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 WHITE CHOCOLATE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
8
White Chocolate
L Saez


PLACE
7-2
3
Corey and Quinn
F Geroux


SHOW
7-2
6
Vivid Dreams
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
5-1
2
Spun Special
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Crushed Ice
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
1
La Girvina
J L Ortiz








* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #2 $14,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:35 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 LUNA LOCA









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Luna Loca
J L Ortiz


PLACE
1-1
6
T Max
J Lezcano


SHOW
10-1
2
Sweet as Sugar
J A Torres


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Accel Rose
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Simple Sugar
R Santana Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Racing Colors
D Brown








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:09 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 DONTMESSWITHTESS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Dontmesswithtess
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
2-1
4
Miss San Gabriel
M Franco


SHOW
6-1
8
Diamond Status
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
8-1
7
Western Lane
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1A
River Tay
K Davis


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
1
From Hello
K Davis








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX









RACE #4 $136,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:39 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
8
Revolving Credit
F Prat


PLACE
9-2
6
Rhiannon
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
3-1
1
Magical Song
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
2-1
4
Stunningly
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
2
Rayya Valentine
F Geroux


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Miss Our Hero
J Alvarado








* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #5 $149,500 ALLOWANCE
1 3/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:12 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Royal Spirit
J Lezcano


PLACE
3-1
6
Catch That Party
J L Ortiz


SHOW
6-1
8
Oglethorpe
L Saez


WILD CARD
5-2
7
Nobel
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-5
11
Paddington
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Danzigwiththestars
D Davis








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX









RACE #6 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Frozen Four
J Rosario


PLACE
6-1
4
A Knights Courage
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
2-1
3
Dancing Mischief
J Castellano


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Eric From Miami
R Santana Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Khadullah
J A Torres


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Savage Spirit
D Davis








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $156,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 3/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
4
Speed Bias
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
9-5
5
Costa Terra
J Lezcano


SHOW
5-2
2
Red Run
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
12-1
3
Bourbon Calling
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
6
Blue Devil
R Santana Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Portos
J Alvarado








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:58 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 SKIDMORE STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
7
No Nay Mets
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
4-1
2
Ship Cadet
M Franco


SHOW
8-1
8
Billy the Greek
L Saez


WILD CARD
5-1
9
Fandom
J R Velazquez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
10
Go Otto Go
F Geroux


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
12
El Grande O
J L Ortiz








* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX



COMMENTS: NO NAY METS has been dominant in the states so far and looks good here. SHIP CADET has been very consistent not missing the exacta yet in 3 starts. BILLY THE GREEK has potential and could add value. FAMDOM has speed from the outside.










RACE #9 $50,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:34 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Happy Farm
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
9-2
6
Thinkaboutit
D Davis


SHOW
5-1
3
Powerfully Built
R Silvera


WILD CARD
7-2
2
Prisoner
J A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Cees Get Degrees
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Seven Nation Army
F Prat








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #10 $95,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 6:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Whistlers Honor
F Prat


PLACE
5-1
8
Sonic Speed
T McCarthy


SHOW
5-2
1
Rally Squirrel
L Saez


WILD CARD
8-1
7
Born Dancer
K Carmouche





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Bourbon Chase
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
11
Cut the Cord
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ellis Park Tip Sheet - August 18
Aug. 17, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
6
Rungius
K J Asmussen


PLACE
10-1
5
Royal Air Force
C J Lanerie


SHOW
5-1
4
I Ninety Five
G Corrales


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Back to Reality
C Landeros





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Auto Dial
D Cohen


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Valuable Cargo
M Murrill








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #2 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 SWAGGISH









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Swaggish
K J Asmussen


PLACE
2-1
1
Uncle Berley
C A Emigh


SHOW
6-1
5
Notion
G Saez


WILD CARD
9-2
3
Lend It Tewmey
C Miller





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Eternally Grateful
G Corrales


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Mister Sharpie
W A Rodriguez








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
5
Black Diamond
C Landeros


PLACE
3-1
8
Mozlzil
G Corrales


SHOW
10-1
7
Company You Keep
W A Rodriguez


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Noble Gentleman
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
2
Succession Gold
B J Hernandez Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
4
Marcus Gift
C J Hernandez








* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX









RACE #4 $74,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 RAINDROPS ON ROSES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Raindrops On Roses
J Talamo


PLACE
2-1
6
Tiny Temper
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
6-1
4
Fine Cotton
J Graham


WILD CARD
7-2
1
Aint Broke
C A Torres





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Shoplifter
C J Lanerie


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Nomadic Pride
E Morales








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #5 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
8
Fancy Looker
G Corrales


PLACE
5-2
2
Maturity Date
R Bejarano


SHOW
8-1
5
Panthera
K J Asmussen


WILD CARD
8-1
11
Sistina Chapel
B J Hernandez Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
10
Winsome Beauty
C A Torres


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
Tonalite
M Garcia








* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/11 BOX









RACE #6 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Floored
M Garcia


PLACE
7-2
4
Courbe
R Bejarano


SHOW
3-1
1
Charlottesapproval
C A Torres


WILD CARD
12-1
3
Simply Striking
R Gutierrez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Pursuit of Liberty
G Corrales


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
The Big Banshee
M Chuan








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #7 $74,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/4 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 KING CURLIN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
7
King Curlin
C A Emigh


PLACE
2-1
6
Solid Country Gold
C A Torres


SHOW
3-1
1
Idratherbeblessed
C Landeros


WILD CARD
9-2
5
Quadra Island
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Roja Redemption
J Talamo


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Jedrek
J Graham








* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX









RACE #8 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Spelterini
C J Lanerie


PLACE
7-5
3
Pumpkin Scone
G Corrales


SHOW
8-1
11
Fast N Happy
B J Hernandez Jr.


WILD CARD
15-1
10
Wild Acclaim
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Evergrande
C A Torres


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
7
Sugar Boo
D Cannon








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/11 BOX, 3/10/11 BOX









RACE #9 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
4
Spuns Son
D Cannon


PLACE
8-1
8
Magical Thinking
T Heard


SHOW
2-1
7
Absolute Courage
K J Asmussen


WILD CARD
9-2
11
Prosecution
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
9
Hezmorethanready
J Gilligan


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
14
Hijack the Party
M Garcia








* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 7/8/11 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Del Mar Hotlist - August 18
Aug. 17, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (2) Hudson Ridge was second in a similar race last time and should handle this field. (4) Lottery Pick may be closing quickly at the end. (3) Birth of Cool could work out a good trip here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4.
3rd race – (4) Jersey Sunset tired late last time but adds Lasix and may not look back. (2) Idessia looks like the main threat. (5) Candy On Top is 0-for-15 but belongs in the exotics. (3) Kaylas Joy could be a factor here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.
5th race – (2) Harper’s Gallop has enough speed to lead throughout. (6) Unfaithful Ways will welcome the shorter distance. (1) La Deuxieme Etoile might wake up from the rail. (9) Shared Future should be very competitive at this level. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-9.
7th race – (8) Myfavoritedaughter (B) was a troubled second last time and can make amends here. (9) Sister Otoole ships in from New York and should relish the distance. (7) Eylara beat the top pick last time and cannot be ignored. (1) Symphony Perfect will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7-8-9. Doubles: 1-7-8-9 with 1-5-6-10.
8th race – (5) U R Pressed was no worse than third in his last three starts and graduates today. (6) Midnight Fury will appreciate a return to dirt. (1) South Coast Route drops to a level where he should be effective. (10) Habeas should perk up while returning to a sprint. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-10.


No.

Letter/Last race
Today’s race
Comment







(8)
Myfavoritedaughter
B, 7/27
7 DMR
Was a troubled second last time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saratoga Hotlist - August 18
Aug. 17, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race [Clm 14000B, 1 mi] – (6) T Max was claimed for $30,000 at Ellis Park by Linda Rice and now drops down. She won her first two starts last year in a maiden special weight and then an allowance, each time by five lengths. (5) Luna Loca was taken for $40,000 also by Rice at Belmont Park in May and now drops after a July start at that level. She is expected to be on the lead. (7) Simple Sugar has run well at this level several times. (2) Sweet as Sugar was second at this level in the late winter and spring at Aqueduct.
4th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (4) Stunningly has a pair of summer starts that showed big improvement as she finished second for Steve Asmussen. (3) Miss Our Hero will make her debut for Bill Mott. She is by Tapit and is out of a stakes winning mare who has three winners from three to start. (2) Rayya Valentine is the first foal out of a mare that earned more than $657,000 and won the UAE Oaks. (1) Magical Song is a royally bred daughter of top sire Tapit and the Champion Songbird. She moves from the barn of Brad Cox, where she made three starts and finished third in her debut at Keeneland in November, to that of Todd Pletcher.
6th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (3) Dancing Mischief (B) stretched out in distance, had to check, raced greenly, checked again, and then finished second at 4-1. (1) Frozen Four finished with good courage to get third in his first career start two weeks ago for the Clement barn. (5) Savage Spirit was sixth in his debut and now stretches out which is often a good move for turf horses. (10) Unaudited pressed the pace in his first start on the turf, had his back heels clipped, and finished sixth.
9th race [Clm 50000, 6F] – (1) Seven Nation Army (B) raced six wide while pressing the pace, finished second, and was claimed for $25,000 after that improved effort. (6) Thinkaboutit was a winner last time with a closing move for the $50,000 tag in his first start after getting claimed for $40,000. (2) Prisoner won 4 out of his last 7 starts including last time in a second-level allowance at Monmouth Park. (7) Cees Get Degrees was claimed for $50,000 from his most recent start which was at Saratoga. He has lots of early speed and is projected to be on the lead.
Best bets: Stunningly (4th); Dancing Mischief (6th). Best value: T Max (2nd); Seven Nation Army (9th).


No.
Name
Letter/
last race
Today's Race
Comments


(3)
Dancing Mischief
B on 8/3
6
Checked, rank, checked again, and finished second.


(1)
Seven Nation Army
B on 7/22
9
Raced six wide, finished second well ahead of the rest.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Grand River Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick! CompuBet 08/18 GRAND RIVER RCY

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 6- - PACE 08/18 GRAND RIVER RCY

3 D A Mcdreamy 5/2 518.51 100 60.0 75.0 1:57.0 Drury, Jonathan L 16

1 Chivalry Seelster 2/1 484.07 80 40.0 76.5 1:57.5 Moore, Tyler 17

8 B Sonny 8/1 483.15 80 31.7 70.0 1:57.7 Harris, J Bradley 28

2 Harborlite Ambrose 4/1 472.10 80 68.3 71.3 1:58.5 Sorrie, Austin 19

5 Vogue Blue Chip 6/1 463.30 80 13.3 76.7 1:58.9 Cullen, Tra

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Hoosier Park

CompuBet Free Pick! CompuBet 08/18 HOOSIER PARK

Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

Race#: 4- - PACE 08/18 HOOSIER PARK

5 Serious Miki 5/2 753.82 100 68.3 93.0 1:49.3 Putnam, Joey 18

3 My House 7/2 704.97 90 63.3 93.0 1:49.9 Wrenn, Ronnie Jr 29

2 Er Rocky 5/1 690.00 90 83.3 93.0 1:50.0 Luna, Marvin 11

8 Bet Mine 15/1 673.95 90 26.7 93.0 1:50.0 Wilfong, Kyle 18

7 Rockie Got Framed 6/1 667.60 90 70.0 93.0 1:50.7 Oosting, Michael 20

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 1


4
4
LOU VUITTON
5/2
Gingras, Yannick - 19
458.92


6
6
BETTOR STAY HUNGRY
6/1
Palone, Dave - 24
456.89


2
2
LOU'S WORLD
7/2
Mccarthy, Todd - 15
456.67


1
1
SOLAR SOLUTION
3/1
Kakaley, Matt - 11
450.70


5
5
WATERLOO
7/1
Dunn, Dexter - 19
432.77


3
3
LYONS ROCK
4/1
Tetrick, Tim - 30
415.19

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rocksprings

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 4


3
3
GLOBAL'S GLORY
3/1
Irvine, Don Jr - 25
271.62


2
2
GET THE CAVIAR
2/1
Clemens, Brady - 17
224.76


1
1
MJ'S MAJOR TOM
4/1
Woolums, Allen - 11
219.15


4
4
FINAL VICTORY
6/1
Clemens, Brady - 17
204.82

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga HarnessAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 8 - Post: 9:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 51 - Purse:$6000 - LEARN AND EARN PACING SERIES - 3RD LEG NON-WINNERS $3,500


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 1 KISSAPOTAMUS 6/1




# 2 MANHATTAN PROJECT 5/2




# 3 COURTLY PRINCE 4/1





Feel pretty confident putting mucho dinero down on KISSAPOTAMUS. This harness racer and Miller have some sort of connection going. In the money pct for this team is high. The knowledge group keenly points out that when Miller drives this contender, the odds of finishing top 3 go way up. Chances are greatly improved for nice horses coming from the 1 position at Saratoga Harness. MANHATTAN PROJECT - Great driver Hanners should find the pace of today's race to this filly's liking - could be a good wager. Look for Hanners and this horse to dominate today. Exemplary hitting the board stat for the driver/horse twosome. COURTLY PRINCE - Post 3 has been winning at a well above average percentage, suggesting great probability of success this time.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 3 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$16000 - FILLIES & MARES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 4 STARTS.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 6 IN THE MOOD 6/1




# 3 MS QUICK SAND 5/2




# 10 MOMENTARILY 3/1





IN THE MOOD is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the number crunching team. The knowledge group always likes a proven player. This horse's high winning clip is proof of that. This interesting entrant could get the score here beginning from the Woodbine Mohawk Park 6 post. MS QUICK SAND - This race could be controlled by this mare. Just one look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will prove that. Most definitely the class of the pack with an average rating of 87. A nice selection. MOMENTARILY - The handicapping team noted a strong effort out of this horse last time. Looking for a duplicate of that to dominate. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win stat.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: San Francisco/Atlanta Over 8.5 Runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4U
Friday Free Selection: Chicago White Sox/Colorado Rockies over 12 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 Sports
Friday's Free Play: Minnesota Twins -220

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Easy Money Sports
Free Friday Baseball Selection From Lee
TORONTO w/Berrios -147

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Friday Free Play
White Sox Kopech -120 MLB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood Anthony
Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Atlanta -205

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, August 18, 2023

NFLX

406. Atlanta Falcons -6.5 (4:30 PT / 7:30 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Roz Wins
ROZ FREE Selection FRIDAY, AUGUST 18, 2023

MLB

917. Rays -1.02 (6:38 PT / 9:38 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays
Your Free Pick: the Tampa Bay Rays +100 over LA Angels

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday :Take MILWAUKEE/TEXAS UNDER the total of 8.5 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Arthur Ralph
Free Play 98-66 run FRI Braves w/ Strider-220

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Friday: CHICAGO WHITE SOX (Kopech) -130 over Colorado

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from John Anthony Sports
John Anthony Free Selection for a FRIDAY

ATL BRAVES

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Chris Tudor
SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR FRIDAY!



NFL Cincinnati/Atlanta UNDER the total of 38.5 pts!

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: BALTIMORE/OAKLAND OVER the total of 8.5 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic Sports
Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: San Diego Padres -175

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play FRIDAY, AUGUST 18, 2023
FREE

MLB

910. Dodgers -1.40 (7:10 PT / 10:10 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye Sports
Friday's Free Pick: Calgary Stampeders +4 1/2 (CFL)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Friday: San Francisco Giants +175

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tony Sacco
Tony Sacco's Free Play for FRIDAY:

LA DODGERS (MLB)

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Scott Rickenbach

Rotation #206985: Romania Liga 1: Friday Free Pick OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs U Craiova 1948 @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a match-up of two red hot clubs. Both enter this match with confidence surging off B2B victories. Also, U Craiova 1948 is allowing an average of 1.8 goals per match this season but also has scored at least 1 goal in 4 of 5 matches on the campaign. They have scored 2.3 goals per match last 3 matches! As for Petro, they have also scored at least 1 goal in 4 of 5 matches but, prior to their clean sheet 2-0 win last week, they allowed an average of 1.5 goals per match their 4 prior matches this season. Petro has scored 2.5 goals per match last two matches and continues to roll at home in this one. Free Pick OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Petrolul Ploiesti

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Cubs-166

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Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Royals/Cubs under 9 -115

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Jeff Alexander

1* MLB - Royals/Cubs FREE Pick on Cubs -1.5, +115

Friday's Free MLB Pick is on the Chicago Cubs on the -1.5 run line at home against the Royals. Cubs are playing some really good baseball in the 2nd half and I think we are getting a pretty good price on them to win this game by 2 or more runs. Jameson Taillon doesn't have the best number for the season and was rocked at Toronto in his last start, but he had pitched well in each of his 5 previous starts. I like him to bounce back against a pretty bad Royals offense. I also like the Cubs offense in this one, despite the good numbers for Cole Ragans. Chicago has hit lefties hard this year. They are scoring 5.6 runs/game vs left-handed starters in 2023. Bet the Cubs -1.5, +115!

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Cubs-171

*All MLB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

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Cole Faxon

FREE PLAY on Bayern Munich-300

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Mystics-4 -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

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Brandon Lee

7* MLB Red Sox/Yankees Free Pick

PLAY ON BOSTON RED SOX -105

I'll take my chances with the Red Sox at basically a pick'em on the road against the Yankees. New York has hit rock bottom. The Yankees have lost 5 straight to fall under .500 at 60-61. They are now 6.5 games back of the last Wild Card spot and have to jump two teams to get there. Until NY shows us something, especially offensively, I think you have to continue to fade them. Yankees scored just 3 total runs in their last series vs Atlanta (shutout in each of the last two). They will be up against Boston's Brayan Bello, who has absolutely owned them. Bello has a 1.44 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in 3 career starts vs the Yankees (two this season). Give me the Red Sox -105!

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Tigers+135

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Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Tigers vs Guardians over 8 -110

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Sal Michaels

Free Play on Dream-2.5 -110

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Sean Murphy

Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on Milwaukee over Texas at 8:05 pm et on Friday.

The Brewers did not have a good time at all in Los Angeles as they were swept in a three-game series against the Dodgers. In that series their offense went ice cold but I do expect them to bounce back against Andrew Heaney and the Rangers on Friday. Heaney has been wildly inconsistent this season, sprinkling solid outings in among ugly ones. Last time out he faced only nine batters against the Giants, allowing five of them to reach base. Heaney checks in sporting a 4.78 FIP and 1.31 WHIP on the campaign. Note that he faced the Brewers twice last season and while he did strike out 20 batters in just 10 2/3 innings, he also allowed five earned runs on nine hits, including four home runs. The Rangers have won each of his last four starts - their longest such streak of the season. Even at the peak of Heaney's success with the Dodgers last year, they still only managed to win four straight times with him on the hill. In that case, his next start came against the Brewers and the Dodgers dropped a 5-3 decision. Brandon Woodruff will counter for Milwaukee. He's been sharp since returning from the I.L. earlier this month, allowing four earned runs on eight hits while striking out 14 and walking only one in 11 1/3 innings of work. In 22 2/3 innings this season, Woodruff has logged a 3.92 FIP and 0.84 WHIP. The bullpens are virtually a wash in this matchup. I do like the Brewers ability to close out games, noting they've converted 23 saves while blowing only 10 on the road this season. The Rangers have converted 15 saves while blowing nine at home. Take Milwaukee.

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Dan Kaiser

The Pittsburgh Pirates will go on the road to take on the Minneapolis Twins in an interleague battle. Pittsburgh will send Andre Jackson to the mound. He is 0-0 this season with a 5.47 ERA. It will be his second start of the season. Minnesota will go with Pablo Lopez on the mound. He is 8-6 with a 3.66 ERA in 24 starts. Pittsburgh has lost three of their last four games. In Lopez's last three starts, he is 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. The Pirates win just 42% of their road games. The Pirates have struggled to score, especially on the road, and will be going against a Twin's staff that ranks top 10 in the league in team ERA with 3.92. The Twins have won seven of their last 12 games and four of their last five home games. and 58% of their home games overall. Lopez has been almost unhittable and he should continue that against a weak Pirate's offense.

Play on Minnesota-1.5 -105

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Mike Williams

1* on Cardinals-140

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Winnipeg/Calgary under 47.5 -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Mike Lundin

MLB Free Pick August 18, 2023

The Orioles are 10-3 SU and 9-4 against the runline as road favorites. Oakland had lost five in a row prior to an 8-0 win in the final of a six-game road trip yesterday.

Oakland rookie right-hander Luis Medina has posted a 2.70 ERA over his last five starts, but he's still only 3-8 with a 5.31 ERA on the season. The Orioles counter with veteran righty Kyle Gibson who is 6-3 with a 3.80 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against the A's.

Bet this free pick on the Orioles -1.5 with 2% of your bankroll.

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Will Rogers

Free Play: Orioles/A's Over 8.5 -115

It is the A's and the O's today in Game One of Oakland's home series. These two teams have produced some big numbers this season. Their last three games have seen 15, 12 , and 20 runs. Gibson is off his worst start of the season, and while I doubt that he will be equally poor, he has been known to give up some runs. Medina has shown well in recent starts but his starts have been of very short duration this season, with just 7+ innings total in his last two starts. The A's have the worst bullpen in the league, allowing a good Orioles team potentially plenty of exposure to sub-par pitching. The O's are a very good road favorite, and off a pair of losses, will be determined to get back on track. Take today's match-up to go over a modest total.

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our Friday Free Play. The Dodgers snuck out a 1-0 win over Milwaukee Thursday to sweep the Brewers to make it 11 straight wins as they continue to dominate as the playoffs loom, going 15-1 over their last 16 games. Their division lead is now double digits over the Giants so it continues to be on cruise control. Miami won the series opener in Houston but dropped the final two games prior to the off day yesterday. The Marlins had won five of their previous six games before the two recent losses and they remain right in the Wild Card race as they are tied with the Cubs and Reds for the third spot. Sandy Alcantara has not been on the same level as last season but he has had some dominating performances of late. Over his last four starts, he has two complete games where he allowed just one run in each of those and also tossed eight shutout innings against Phillies. His WHIP is now 1.18 on the season. Tony Gonsolin started the season late and was lights out for a while with a 1.93 ERA through his first nine starts but over his last 10 starts, he has posted a 6.28 ERA. The Dodgers have gone 6-1 over his last seven starts, but he has benefitted from 9.3 rpg of support. Play (909) Miami Marlins

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Atletico San Luis +223