Wednesday 8/23/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 8/23/23 August 23, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Saratoga
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: XZ
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Pass/No Play
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The Wednesday opener is carded for hurdlers. We will pass the first race.

*

RACE 2: Post: 1:46 ET Grade: X
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Perfect Munnings
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Perfect Munnings exits a series of state-bred stakes races and shows up for the first time in a $25,000 seller. Now in the Linda Rice barn, the son of Munnings is a stakes winner and multiple stakes placed in an 11 race career that has produced four wins and earnings of more than $280,000, but today is being tossed away in the trash heap as if to indicate his racing days might be numbered. He’ll beat this field if he has at least one good one left and if he can pass the morning vet exam. At even money on the morning line, he’ll offer no wagering value, so this might be another race that is best left alone.

*

RACE 3: Post: 2:19 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Bring Me a Check; 3-High Front
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Bring Me a Check is a genuine and consistent turf sprinter now in the Patrick Reynolds barn following an $80,000 claim out of a third place finish (beaten a head) over this course and distance last month. The veteran gelding employs an ideal stalking style that should provide him with every chance to seal the deal in the final furlong in this three-other-than-affair that contains several professional, tough as nails runners. Tyler Gaffalione stays aboard for a trainer who generally does well with the first-off-the-claim angle, so at 9/2 on the morning line the son of Fast Anna gets a slight edge on top. High Front invades from Minnesota following a swift stakes score sprinting on grass that produced a career top number. In the frame in six of seven career starts, the son of Summer Front moves to the Christophe Clement barn for his Saratoga debut and with another forward move could be quite capable of handling this tougher assignment. He’s a versatile type that can win on the front end or from off the pace, so Irad Ortiz, Jr. can access the pace flow and then choose his strategy. At 2-1 on the morning line, the 4-year-old gelding is the likely choice and one to beat.

*

RACE 4: Post: 2:52 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): Slapintheface; 1-Mission Hill
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Slapintheface produced a significant forward move when second at 15-1 in a maiden turf router at Belmont Park in his second career start. Almost three months since that outing, the son of Oscar Performance closed against slow splits to be beaten less than a length, and with another bit of improvement today the Anthony Dutrow-trained gelding should be able to earn his diploma. Mission Hill lands the good rail and is guaranteed an ideal ground saving, trouble-free trip. Like our top pick, he displayed improvement in his second career start when a solid runner-up in an off-the-turfer here last month, and if he can step forward again on grass the son of Street Boss should have a say in the matter. However, based on speed figures, he’s got some catching up to do to outrun our top pick.

*

RACE 5: Post: 3:26 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Red Moon; 1-April Antics
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 7-Charge Nurse.

Forecast: Red Moon exits a couple of New York stallion series stakes races on grass, most recently a distant fourth as the favorite over the local lawn last month. She drops into the allowance ranks, switches to dirt, and seems sure to improve under these conditions. She lacks tactical speed but should be able to produce enough of a late kick to tag the leaders close home. April Antics is just 2-for-25 in her career but has hit the board on 12 occasions so she at least figures for a piece of it. The daughter of Emcee has recent numbers that are reasonably competitive and has won or placed in each of her six starts. Toss her in somewhere.

*

RACE 6: Post: 4:00 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Mischief Joke; 8-B D Saints
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 2-Benzodini.

Forecast: Mischief Joke has finished in the money in all four career starts and quite simply is overdue for a win. The son of Practical Joke has the proper style for this extended sprint distance, shows gradually improving speed figures, and switches to Irad Ortiz, Jr., though at 9/5 on the morning line and liable to go lower there won’t be a lot of wagering value to be found. B D Saints is intriguing and is most likely the one to beat. He shows the route-to-sprint and turf-to-dirt angles, is re-equipped with blinkers, and retains Flavian Prat after encountering what the DRF chart referred to as an “horrific journey” when fourth last time out. He’s relatively slow on numbers but seems certain to be better than shown, so we’ll include him on our ticket.
*

RACE 7: Post: 4:34 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Pioneering Spirit; 8-Sy Dog
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 3-Burning Bright; 6-Tawny Port.

Forecast: Pioneering Spirit has suddenly turned into a win machine for trainer Linda Rice and appears reasonably spotted to extend his streak to five in this year’s renewal of the John’s Call Stakes over the marathon distance of a mile and five eighths. The son of American Pharoah just won an 11 furlong affair over the local lawn in thoroughly convincing fashion while giving an indication that today’s longer trip won’t be any issue at all. He’s listed at 5/2 on the morning line and would offer good value at that price if you can get it. Sy Dog will be trying a marathon trip for the first time and probably will enjoy this type of race. Lightly raced with just eight career starts, the Irish-bred colt has solid middle distance speed figures and a one-paced grinding style that should work well under these conditions.

*

RACE 8: Post: 5:10 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Rockstar Red; 11-Strapped; 10-Mufrih
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Rockstar Red was a distant third when facing tougher maiden $75,000 foes in an off-the-turf, sloppy track affair last month and returns to his claim level today in his second outing since being haltered by Linda Rice. Flavian Prat stays aboard, and against this group the son of Frosted should be capable of producing the last run. His morning line of 7/2 seems reasonable. Strapped tries grass for the first timed, and as a son of Candy Ride should handle the surface switch just fine. This will be his first start for a tag, and on pure numbers the Todd Pletcher-trained colt has a reasonable look. Mufrih is a South Florida invader in the Saffie Joseph, Jr. barn with form at Gulfstream Park that charts well with these. The son of Kitten’s Joy is making his third start since being claimed for $25,000 and remains above his purchase price in a sign of confidence.

*

RACE 9: Post: 5:44 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Radio Red; 1-Straight Arrow; 4-Aggregation
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Amundson.

Forecast: Radio Red, freshened since May, returns in this state bred, second level allowance extended sprint with numbers than can win and recent workouts that should have him plenty fit. He won off a similar layoff two runs back with a career top speed figure, one that if repeated today surely would make him hard to beat. The Danny Gargan-trained sophomore retains Joe Rosario and employs a stalking style that is ideally suited for this seven furlong distance. Straight Arrow moves up a notch after winning over this track and distance earlier this month with career top speed figure. He has displayed improvement in each of his three starts and certainly can be expected to step forward again. With a trouble free trip from the rail, the Arrogate gelding should be right there at 8-1 on the morning line. Aggregation makes his first start start in more than three months. The Chad Brown-trained first time gelding could easily be a better type this time around and broke his maiden at this distance by more than six lengths last year.

*

RACE 10: Post: 6:18 ET Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 11-Accept the Outcome; 8-Negra Gata
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Love Miami Love.

Forecast: Accept the Outcome, freshened since mid-June, returns for a tag today and looks to have found her friends. The Chad Brown-trained daughter of No Nay Never brough more than $233,000 overseas as a yearling but in just her fourth career start she is being culled from the stable after failing to live up to expectations. On numbers, she’s better than these, so let’s put the Chad Brown-trained filly on top and hope to get close to her morning line of 7/2. Negra Gata is another dropping into a seller for the first time with every right to improve. A decent runner-up at Laurel Park in her last outing, the Tale of the Cat filly should be within striking range throughout.

*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Hawthorne - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 Ian Glass
He has been competitive with some of these players in recent races, and I think he can bounce back here after probably getting discouraged early in that last one when chasing a runaway winner who poured it on into the lane. Perfectly timed pressing trip?


#1 Exprompt
His turf sprint form is really reliable, and he might wind up in a really cozy spot from the inside draw. Think he'll get bet a bit.


#5 Upbeat Melody
He's capable of better than the two-back run against some of these, but he has always done his best work on the front end, so I imagine you'll have a pretty good idea about his chances here about a quarter mile out.


Race Summary
Ian Glass should be right up near the splits in a race without a ton of committed pace, and he might be able to prompt and get first run in a race where some of the other logical players might be rolling late.


Hawthorne - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 Blow Torch
He's a really good fit in this kind of spot after racing for $12,500 earlier this year, and he should find a really good spot just in behind the leaders as they sort themselves out. Spying run might get him home.


#6 W W Hotshot
He's supposed to be tough in here with a really good set of recent company lines on his page, and he's back with Becker with some starter potential over the next year. The one to beat.


#8 Enjoy the Music
The overall form is compelling, but he has been running up the score on synthetic footing this year in Kentucky and Pennsylvania and has not been seen on the dirt since running fourth against $7,500 claimers at Mahoning back in late 2021. Obviously at his best on different footing, but he can win this.


Race Summary
Blow Torch should be able to find a really good spot in here while never too far off the splits, but I think the pace may be just fair enough that settling off it a touch gives him the edge.


Hawthorne - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#5 Bali Baby
She wasn't completely embarrassed against some of these last time out when a slow start and some trouble probably kept her from showing her very best, and she should offer another midrange price to take a chance today.


#2 Good Mongolia
I expected a little bit better from her last out, but I think she's a decent enough fit with this group and might be able to land a piece with another even-running effort.


#6 She's Wandaful
She was super sharp on the engine last time out at 9/1, but she seems likely to have some company today, and I don't really trust her to repeat every bit of that anyway. Not impossible on the drop, but also probably not today as far as I'm concerned.


Race Summary
Bali Baby and Good Mongolia have a little price appeal in the finale, and I wouldn't feel like I was in the worst spot in the world if I was alive to just those two on a couple stretch tickets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Penn National - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 SACHMO (6-1)
Recovered from early mishap but came up empty in the stretch against similar foes.


#6 SILK WAR (7-2)
Finished in the money on five grass courses in seven starts, can stalk and pounce.


#9 SAKETUMI (5-2)
Moves outside off ground-saving trip as fave, but gets ample pace to run at.


Race Summary
The top three finishers from a 1-mile, 70-yard turf race reunite at a longer distance, including 40-1 upsetter FED CHAIR, who draws the rail. SACHMO finished fifth, but he was clearly bothered by a drifting rival into the first turn, then ranged up boldly 3-wide into the stretch before flattening out. He’s worth a win and place bet at an inflated price.


Penn National - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#9 KAZ’ ROSE (7-2)
Gate works indicate readiness for debut, barn’s babies are waking up early.


#1 GOLDEN EXPRESS (4-1)
Works back to April at Florida training center, barn on 4-11 run with firsters.


#6 LETTERFROMTHEQUEEN (10-1)
Stable’s most recent MSW starter at PN ran second at 8-1 first out.


Race Summary
KAZ’ ROSE is well-prepped from the gate and working fast as she meets all but one first-time starter. The barn won with 3 of its last 4 debut runners, including two 2-year-olds. Bet to win and place and play a 1-6-9 exacta box.


Penn National - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#7 SHANGHAI CANDY (8-1)
Kreiser-trained claim on the class hike at a price? You bet!!


#6 MAGIC SPIN (7-2)
Won 4 of 8 at this distance, from on and off the pace, since arrival.


#5 CAERUS (3-1)
Gets needed class relief, reunited with trainer who has good layoff percentage.


Race Summary
SHANGHAI CANDY is simply too good to pass up at a price off the Kreiser claim. He’s winless this year and at Penn National, but he gets plenty of pace to rally into on the cutback to a sprint. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=cby0823zf.pdf&exp=08/25/2023&pds=CBY_-_08/23/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/23/2023;TRACK_CODE=CBY&SAP=FREEPICS)


Canterbury Park - Race 8

Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta



Maiden • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 66 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 8:35P


QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MN-BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JJS BLUE MOON: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rat ing. STEVIE B: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LUPITO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



6

JJS BLUE MOON

3/1


7/2




5

STEVIE B

9/5


4/1




7

LUPITO

2/1


6/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

APOLLITICAL JIMMY

1


10/1

Average

0


0


4.8


0.0


0.0




2

IRISH LADEE

2


15/1

Slow

0


0


8.2


0.0


0.0




3

TRAVELIN TRXIE

3


10/1

Slow

0


0


7.6


0.0


0.0




5

STEVIE B

5


9/5

Slow

66


57


6.1


0.0


0.0




6

JJS BLUE MOON

6


3/1

Fast

67


59


3.5


0.0


0.0




7

LUPITO

7


2/1

Slow

61


54


6.5


0.0


0.0







































Unknown Running Style: MARYS CASHY (12/1) [Jockey: Ramirez Alexis E - Trainer: Wilson Mark M].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=pid0823zf.pdf&exp=08/25/2023&pds=PID_-_08/23/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/23/2023;TRACK_CODE=PID&SAP=FREEPICS)


Presque Isle Downs - Race 7

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double



Allowance • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $32,000 • Post: 5:42P


(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR PA. RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MARLEY LUCK: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest avera ge Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. WROTE IN STONE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MILITARY DRILL: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUTHUSTLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



5

MARLEY LUCK

5/2


9/2




6

WROTE IN STONE

4/1


5/1




2

MILITARY DRILL

8/1


9/1




7

OUTHUSTLE

4/1


10/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

WROTE IN STONE

6


4/1

Front-runner

91


87


95.4


81.2


71.7




5

MARLEY LUCK

5


5/2

Front-runner

89


93


84.0


85.6


81.1




7

OUTHUSTLE

7


4/1

Stalker

74


81


92.3


77.8


70.3




4

RAINBOW'S PRIDE

4


8/1

Stalker

82


79


78.2


76.0


65.5




3

TIMELY PROSPECT

3


8/1

Stalker

82


83


63.5


74.0


63.0




8

PUTTHEBLAMEONME

8


5/1

Stalker

80


80


52.1


64.5


54.5




2

MILITARY DRILL

2


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

83


80


69.2


80.0


71.0




9

COMMODORE BARRY

9


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

86


80


62.8


75.6


61.1




1

TONY SMALL

1


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

93


80


48.0


72.4


60.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ajax DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ajx0823zz.htm&exp=08/25/2023&pds=AJX_-_08/23/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/23/2023;TRACK_CODE=AJX&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 53

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ONTARIO SIRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 DM PAID IN ADVANCE 5/2




# 4 BAR EF RUSHFURRCANDY 3/1




# 2 RUN AWAY SUGARMAN 5/1




I think DM PAID IN ADVANCE is a very strong choice. Looks very good against this group of animals and will most likely be one of the front-runners. This field of horses is much less demanding than the last one she was up against. BAR EF RUSHFURRCANDY - Could beat this group of horses in this race given the 55 speed fig recorded in her last outing. Bell has a winning percentage of 25 over the last 30 days.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=btp0823zm.htm&exp=08/25/2023&pds=BTP_-_08/23/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/23/2023;TRACK_CODE=BTP&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belterra Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:10pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 HOLDONTOYOURTIARA (ML=2/1)


HOLDONTOYOURTIARA - Entered last at Belterra Park in a race with a class number of 79. Dropping considerably in class figure in today's event puts her in a solid position in this race. This mare's last speed fig is high enough to score here, I'll bet on her back again this time out. Mare is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HIGH SPEED (ML=7/2), #2 SHEZA HOOT (ML=4/1), #3 ANCIENT BROWN (ML=9/2),

HIGH SPEED - This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. This filly hasn't had any recent success in short distance races. Not easy to bet on her in this race. SHEZA HOOT - Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance race to be worth it at modest odds in a sprint. Finished fifth in her most recent effort with a somewhat easily forgotten rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. ANCIENT BROWN - Notched a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last time around the track in a $5,000 Claiming race on July 21st. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HOLDONTOYOURTIARA - Steady improvement in her speed ratings, 68 last race and 55 two races back. This mount is going to be tough against these ponies.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#6 HOLDONTOYOURTIARA is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=mnr0823zz.htm&exp=08/25/2023&pds=MNR_-_08/23/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/23/2023;TRACK_CODE=MNR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $12400 Class Rating: 74

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 23 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,500




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 SONG OF INDY 5/2




# 5 GIRO KATE 3/1




# 3 IMMACULATE HEART 5/1




SONG OF INDY looks solid to best this field. She has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this group of horses in this race. Is difficult not to examine given the company run in lately. At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this group. GIRO KATE - Ran a sharp last race. The twosome of Yaranga/Langley has one of the best return on investment percentages in this group. IMMACULATE HEART - Gonzalez has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 33 percent clip. Looks decent to be up near the lead at the first call.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=tdn0823zm.htm&exp=08/25/2023&pds=TDN_-_08/23/2023&var=RACE_DATE=08/23/2023;TRACK_CODE=TDN&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Thistledown - Race #6 - Post: 3:20pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,800 Class Rating: 57

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 LADY ITCH (ML=4/1)


LADY ITCH - I think this mare is coming into top form. My expertise says this is the only stalker in the race. I like that recent race on Aug 1st at Thistledown where she ran second.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RATATAT (ML=9/5), #1 BEAUTIFUL LASS (ML=2/1), #5 MANDOLIN BREEZE (ML=7/2),

RATATAT - Not a perfect 'placement' in this event. BEAUTIFUL LASS - You believe this equine is going to win just because she's always close. Just doesn't get the job done regularly. Finished third last time. Would have to perk up to be on the board in today's race. MANDOLIN BREEZE - Exhibited clues of physical problems in the event on August 1st at Thistledown. This racer likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually finish first. Don't put in the top spot. Don't believe this horse will do much running today. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's class figure.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LADY ITCH - I'm making a bet on this one today. An easier level of competition is going to make a big difference. Will be strong today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 LADY ITCH is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Grand River Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick! CompuBet 08/23 GRAND RIVER RCY
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 4- - TROT 08/23 GRAND RIVER RCY
4 Cassius Hanover 8/5 511.33 100 100.0 76.0 1:57.4 Ryan, Jason D 21
6 Meadowview Lilly 3/1 446.36 70 63.3 69.0 1:59.7 Etsell, Mark G 14
7 Peso Hanover 6/1 428.61 70 10.0 77.1 1:59.4 Cullen, Travis A 28
1 Cadillac 9/2 420.47 70 15.0 72.0 1:59.8 Henry, Travis J 24
2 Thunderously 5/2 405.00 80 48.3 69.0 2:00.5 Hudon, Steven 14

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at The Meadows



CompuBet Free Pick!


CompuBet 08/23 THE MEADOWS
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 7- - PACE 08/23 THE MEADOWS
4 Wakemeshakeme 2/1 683.78 100 MUD 85.0 83.2 1:52.4 Palone, Dave 29
2 Bellacache 9/2 644.60 70 91.7 80.2 1:54.2 Merriman, Aaron 25
1 Premier Delainey 8/1 641.36 80 51.7 80.0 B/F 1:52.8 Indof, Jeremy 17
7 Mainline Charmer 9/1 636.26 80 20.0 83.0 1:53.3 Myers, Hunter 19
6 Slick Artist A 6/1 621.33 90 45.0 84.0 1:52.5 Zendt, Brian 14

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Scioto DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 4 - Post: 4:32 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$10000 - HORSES AND GELDINGS NON WINNERS OF $5,000 IN THE LAST 4 PM STARTS AE: WINNERS OF BASE CLASS NW2500 LAST START


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 9 BORNTOBESHAMELESS 8/1




# 10 BETTOR OF THE WEST 3/1




# 6 BIG LAW 5/1





Hey, listen up! BORNTOBESHAMELESS is the smart wager if you like to win and look at those fair morning line odds. That 85 TrackMaster speed fig clocked in the most recent gathering puts this fine animal in the mix here. You have to back a horse that wins a lot, very attractive win percentage. BETTOR OF THE WEST - Many horse players know speed is is key. This race horse has credentials with a 93 avg figure. Enters this contest with nice TrackMaster class rankings as compared to the group - take a good look. BIG LAW - This harness racer will be greatly helped with Noble controlling. 20 percent winners the past month.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Hoosier Park

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


5
5
FLIGHT NUMBER ONE
2/1
De Long, John - 16
507.50


4
4
BROOKVIEW EL ZORRO
5/1
Bender, Atlee - 10
492.23


1
1
PONDA MARSHALL
12/1
Tetrick, Trace - 22
469.57


10
10
IRA WHO
15/1
Bontrager, Daryl - 16
444.78


6
6
TOPVILLE SEBASTIAN
7/2
Putnam, Joey - 11
437.31


8
8
DASHING DANNY
9/2
Wilfong, Kyle - 11
415.14


2
2
SURFER DUDE
30/1
Yoder, James - 9
409.28


3
3
UNCLE ARCHIE
15/1
Rideout, Doug - 8
404.79


9
9
GOLDEN DAN
20/1
Oosting, Michael - 13
399.49


11
11
MOUNDS FOR ALL
20/1
Bates, Brandon - 12
355.81


7
7
SWANOUTTASEVEN
30/1
Ferguson, Brad - 5
325.26

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Track on 2

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 6


7
7
SILVERTIP
5/1
Giesbrecht, Philip - 9
355.99


5
5
RAREBUILT
4/1
Gillis, Logan - 13
330.58


1
1
HF DEVAN JAMES
3/1
Hoerdt, Kelly O - 6
323.92


8
8
CASANOVA
7/2
Hennessy, Michael R - 12
312.93


3
3
OSCAR POWER
9/2
Chappell, Doug - 19
287.26


9
9
PORTAJ
5/1
Miller, Thomas Michael - 12
244.02


2
2
HF ET CALL HOME
8/1
Jacoby, Tyson G - 3
234.02


4
4
KEEP IT DIRTY
8/1
Hudon, John W - 1
227.80


6
6
EL QUACKO
6/1
Schneider, Richard F - 0
197.12

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Washington/NY Yankees Under 9 Runs

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Free play from Totals4UWednesday Free Selection: Toronto Blue Jays/Baltimore Orioles over 8 1/2

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Free play from #1 SportsWednesday's Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays - 270

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Free play from Easy Money Sports
Free Wednesday Baseball Selection From Lee
SAN FRANCISCO w/Cobb +123

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Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Wednesday Free Play
Ohtani -161

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Free play from Teyas SportsFREE PICK 8/23/23 MLB MILWAUKEE -134

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Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take St Louis -120

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Free play from Jim FeistJim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednsday, August 23, 2023
MLB
966. Houston Astros -1.15 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)

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Free play from Roz WinsROZ FREE Selection WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 23, 2023
MLB
955. Marlins +1.15 (1:10 PT / 4:10 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the San Diego Padres -120 over Miami

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Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday :Take NY METS/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 9.5 runs

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Arthur RalphFree Play 101-67 run WED: Dodgers w/ Kershaw-200

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Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Wednesday: NY YANKEES (Severino) -130 over Washington

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR WEDNESDAY!

MLB Miami/San Diego OVER the total of 8 runs!

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Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: SAN FRANCISCO/PHILADELPHIA UNDER the total of 9 runs

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Free play from Atlantic SportsWednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: New York Mets +175

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Free play from Sharp BettorSharpBettor FREE Play WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 23, 2023
FREE
MLB
966. Astros -1.05 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye SportsWednesday's Free Pick: Washington Nationals +110

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Free play from The Last CallWednesday's Free Play: (971) Cincinnati Reds + 145 Game 1 of Double Header

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Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Wednesday: New York Mets +180

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Scott Rickenbach

Rotation #224209: Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg: Wednesday Free Pick Galatasaray Goal Line Pick -130 @ Molde @ 3 ET - The fact this match is in Norway is giving us value with the much stronger club. Yes, Molde is at home for this match but Galatasaray is a strong club and Molde is taking a very big step in level of class of opponent in this one. That being said, the added value of the goal line available at a pick'em here is a big bonus as well. If this match ends in a draw we would get a push on our bet and that is well worth the -130 price here the way I see it. There is just a disparity between the talent level of these clubs and the home pitch price baked into this line is not given enough credit to that disparity. Also, Molde just faced a club from the tiny Faroe Islands. This is a much different kettle of fish to try to fry and it will not work out so well for the club from Norway. Consider the road club goal line in this one. Free Pick GATASARAY Goal Line Pick -130

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on A's+119

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our Wednesday Free Play. San Francisco is stuck in a 3-11 run but it is still in the Wild Card hunt as no team is taking charge with five teams separated by one game vying for two spots and the Giants are a half-game behind the Cubs and Diamondbacks. Philadelphia is part of that mix as it sits atop the Wild Card standings, three and a half games ahead of the Cubs and Diamondbacks. Despite the pair of wins to open this series, the Phillies have not been playing great as they are 4-5 over their last nine games. It has been a rough stretch for Alex Cobb as he has struggled over the last month. He has posted a 6.54 ERA over his last six starts after coming into those games with a 2.82 ERA in his first 17 starts. He looks to get his command back for the stretch run. After tossing a no-hitter against Washington, Michael Lorenzen followed that up with another start against the Nationals and was lit up for six earned runs over 3.1 innings. While we cannot expect another horrible performance like that, it is not out of the question as he has allowed five runs or more seven times. Play (953) San Francisco Giants

[ConleyPicks]

John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami Marlins +119

The San Diego Padres are 5-11 in their last 16 games overall yet have been favored in 14 of those 16 games. They are now favored again when they shouldn't be against a Miami Marlins team that is actually in contention for a playoff spot. Sandy Alcantara has been his usual dominant self over his last 10 starts while allowing one earned run or fewer in five of them. Seth Lugo is 0-1 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in his last three starts for the Padres. Alcantara is 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in four previous starts against the Padres. Give me the Marlins.

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Padres-116

*All MLB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Lundin

MLB Free Pick August 23, 2023

The Rays have scored six runs or more in five straight games and in eight of their last 10. They've scored a total of 30 runs in their last two games alone, and here they'll get to tee off versus Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber who has a 5.52 ERA on the season. The Rockies have also been swinging hot bats of late, averaging 8.6 R/9 over their last five games.

Bet this free pick on the OVER with 2% of your bankroll.

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rockies/Rays under 8.5 -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on FC Cincinnati+223

[ConleyPicks]

Cole Faxon

FREE PLAY on FC Cincinnati+177

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Yankees-124

[ConleyPicks]

Dave Price

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Baltimore Orioles +124

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Baltimore Orioles tonight. They will bounce back from a loss to the Blue Jays in extra innings last night. Kevin Gausman is coming off one of his worst starts of the season for the Blue Jays, yielding 7 runs, 5 earned, and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Phillies. Gausman is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Orioles, and the Blue Jays have lost both of his starts against them in 2023. Take Baltimore.

[ConleyPicks]

Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Nationals/Yankees OVER 8.5

The Washington Nationals have scored at least 8 runs in four of their last 10 games overall and are seeing the ball well right now. The New York Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season and should get their bats going tonight.

The Nationals will stay hot at the plate against Luis Severino, who has been one of the worst starters in all of baseball this season. Severino is 2-7 with a 7.67 ERA and 1.842 WHIP in 14 starts this season, allowing 56 earned runs and 19 homers in 65 2/3 innings. Severino is 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.382 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 1/3 innings.

Lefty Mackenzie Gore is 6-9 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.378 WHIP in 24 starts this season. Gore has been at his worst on the road, going 4-5 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.369 WHIP in 13 starts away from home while allowing 13 homers in 68 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

[ConleyPicks]

Jeff Alexander

1* MLB - Nationals/Yankees FREE Pick on Nationals +128

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick is on the Washington Nationals as a +128 road dog against the New York Yankees. New York has been a dumpster fire of late. Yankees have lost 9 in a row, including yesterday's loss to the Nationals as a -175 favorite. Value isn't as good today, but I got a hard time believing it will be Luis Severino that snaps this skid for New York. Severino has a horrific 13.50 ERA and 2.383 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's 2-7 with a 7.67 ERA and 1.842 WHIP in 14 starts overall. In his last 3 starts, he's allowed 20 hits (5 HR) and walked 7 in a mere 11 1/3 innings. Washington has Mackenzie Gore on the mound, who is tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings in his last start vs Boston. Washington has also been playing better ball of late. Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 games. Bet the Nationals +128!

[ConleyPicks]

Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Nationals vs Yankees under 9 -109

[ConleyPicks]

Tim Michael

T.M. Selection: Washington Nationals - Spread

Proj Starters - Mackenzie Gore (6-9, 4.38 ERA) vs. Luis Severino (2-8, 7.98 ERA)

I like the Washington Nationals to win this game against the New York Yankees on Wednesday. Normally after having lost nine games in a row, I'd lean towards the teams that's lost that many. However, the Yankees are at a state where they simply need a change. They keep throwing out the same lineup every day thinking it's going to fix on it's own. It's not working and it'll continue not to. Washington has very talented young guys that will eat them alive in this series. I've got the Bats winning this outright, but I'll gladly take the extra points.

T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Nats.

Line: +1.5, -163

Line Parameter: play until +1.5, -180..

[ConleyPicks]

Brandon Lee

7* MLB Guardians/Dodgers Free Pick

PLAY ON LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (-125)

I'll take my chances with the Dodgers on the -1.5 run line at Cleveland. Even with last night's 3-8 loss to the Guardians, LA is a red-hot 17-3 over their last 20 games. They haven't lost back-to-back games in almost a month. The numbers look solid for Cleveland starter Xzavion Curry, who has a 3.60 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 6 starts. However, the advanced numbers show he's been a bit lucky so far, as he's got a 4.15 FIP and 5.20 xFIP. I could see the Dodgers offense putting up a decent number here, especially with the wind blowing out. LA will also have Clayton Kershaw on the mound. He's 11-4 with a 2.48 ERA in 18 starts. He's got a 1.12 ERA and 0.625 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Dodgers -1.5 (-125)!

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Astros+105

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Club America -255

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Sparks-8 -114

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.