Friday 9/22/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis September 22, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park kicks off the weekend with a 15-race card featuring Grand Circuit action. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 12. The sequence will have a $20,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12

1-Ponda Warrior (10-1)-This 4-year-old isn't in the same league as Bythemissal yet, but has been racing really well. Willing to include because of the chalk drawing outside. Wilfong should work a nice trip from here and be in reach of the leader turning for the wire.
9-Bythemissal (8/5)-Many will single this Burke trainee who deserves the fanfare and has a 147.2 mark at Hoosier. Does have a win over this oval but it's a long stretch and sometimes this surface is difficult for those shipping in. If Gingras works a smooth trip, this should be the picture taker.

Race 13

4-Venerate (4-1)-Has had excuses in the last 2 starts and now comes back to Hoosier Park where the Melander trainee has hit the board in all 3 starts and has posted 2 wins. Will look for a big try with this post draw on an oval of past success.
7-It's Academic (5/2)-Will toss the last start as the Burke trainee was hung the mile in the slop at Yonkers. The six-year-old has 1 win and 3 second place finishes in 4 starts in Anderson. Likes to race near the top of the stack and should be a major player.

Race 14

4-Walkin On Sunshine (3-1)-Comes off a big race to finish 2nd at 19-1. Was able to pass the 1/5 chalk down the land and then was nipped at the wire by a 2/1 shot. Jay Cross was aggressive off the gate and the two that finished in the tight photo are not in this race.
6-Dixie Dream (9/2)-Was facing the same class as the one above and cashed a 3rd place check. Should fit well with this crew and could roll by down the lane if the pace is lively.

Race 15

3-Isitlikeitlooks (3-1)-Makes the 4th start off the bench and has needed more down the lane. Looking for better, comes back in sequence and may have met a beatable field.
5-Art It Is (4-1)-Has been camera shy after a big freshman campaign. Found the Hoosier Cup foes too tough, now drops to a spot to shine. De Long should work a good trip and be forwardly placed throughout.
6-RJ Rocks (9/2)-Does fit with this group, has the gate speed to leave and get on the point. If Macomber can work that trip, chances for a win go up at a square price.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,9/4,7/4,6/3,5,6
Total Bet=$12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Pick 4 Ticket | Friday, Sept. 22 September 22, 2023 | By Frank Carulli
CHURCHILL DOWNS PICK 4
Friday, Sept. 22

Fueled by 16-1 and 7-1 winners, the Late Pick 4 at Churchill Downs paid $1,892 for a 50-cent wager last Friday. It could be more of the same this week with nine or 10 entries in each leg. Here’s a closer look:

CD 7th race (3:50 P.M. EST) -- Going 4-deep on the ticket in a difficult opening leg with seven first-time starters. TIME SONG raced 4-wide behind the dueling leaders and ‘stayed on’ to finish a distant third, but the debut favorite won the race and it timed 1-3/5 seconds faster than the split division. SWEET AS SIN’S sire ranks in the Top 20 in progeny earnings this year, with 88 winners at an average distance that matches today’s race; his dam has produced 21 percent winners and a 60-percent in-the-money mark. DRAGOON GUARD is firing bullet workouts for the high-percentage Brad Cox barn; however, his dam, Filimbi (7-18, $670k), was multiple Grade I-placed while racing almost exclusively on turf. MILITARY CRUISER gets a spot on the ticket at 20-1 off a :47.2 gate work September 6. His sire, Catalina Cruiser, was 3-for-3 in Grade II stakes in long sprints. OTTO THE CONQUERER finished a game second in his 7F debut at Ellis Park, but save for winner Liberal Arts – stakes placed in his next start – the race produced a 7/0-0-1 follow-up slate with an average 46 Beyer.

CD 8th race (4:22 P.M. EST) -- GILCREASE was in range of the leaders but tired in the stretch at one mile. He returns to a preferred distance and is a must use at 8-1 on the morning line after the race yielded a stakes winner, two stakes-placed routers and an allowance victor. MULLIKIN deserves another chance after he ‘missed the break’ by at least a length, raced 5-wide most of the way and gave way in the stretch as the odds-on favorite.

CD 9th race (4:55 P.M. EST) -- ARABIAN PRINCE closed with a rush to miss in a photo-finish the last time he ran 5-1/2F. He deserves a long look in here, but at 0-13 on turf and winless the last two years, the safer play is to go deep in this wide open turf sprint with more than half the field arriving from different tracks.

CD 10th race (5:26 P.M. EST) -- SISTER MAHA set the early pace, vied inside on the turn and gave way as the favorite at 7F. She finished between two next-out MSW winners and behind an allowance runner-up. She tired again after she broke inward at the start and set the pace in a useful one-mile turf test last out. METHODOLOGY, forced out by inner rivals at the start, recovered with a ‘sustained stride’ to finish second to the odds-on pace setter at this distance.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
CD 7th Race: 2, 4, 5, 6
CD 8th Race: 3, 8
CD 9th Race: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
CD 10th Race: 6, 8
Cost: $64

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#9 Boss on the Run
She showed some pace and stuck around well enough behind an easy winner in that debut run, and she probably has some upside on the move to the turf while making the second start.


#8 Honor Cat
Forward player hasn't been able to find quite enough in the final yards to get home, but she also hasn't been super far off it through two starts and might be a good fit with the locals.


#6 Karson Kay
She showed a little late enthusiasm in the Prairie Meadows debut, and I wouldn't be shocked to see her take a step forward while moving to the turf and getting some more ground.


Race Summary
Boss on the Run should be quick enough to find a good spot here while stretching out around two turns, and I think she might move up enough to handle the step up in class.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 DUKE’S GONNA TAPIT (1
Exits fast debut heat, barn is 3-13 recently with class droppers.


#3 FLUFFY (8-1)
Bumped at break, rallied 6-wide to finish second, goes back to main track.


#6 BABY SASSICAIA (5-2)
No factor in MSW debut for D’Angelo, breezed a :48 bullet since then.


Race Summary
Taking a price shot on DUKE’S GONNA TAPIT, who brushed the gate, raced 5-wide much of the way and finished in mid-pack in a fast MSW sprint won by a 4-to-5 first-time starter. She changes riders for a barn that shows a positive R.O.I. the last 30 days. Bet to win and place.


Gulfstream Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#4 LA RUSIA (9-2)
Right set-up, right price but 6-year-old doesn’t win often.


#2 MORNING COLORS (5-2)
Good first gear, first or second in 6 of 13 at GP, gets in light-weighted.


#8 ANOTHERDAYGONEBY (6-1)
Has tactical speed, good recent form and a win off similar rest.


Race Summary
LA RUSIA, a good fit at the $10,000 claiming level, fits well in this spot, too, on the class drop. She should sit an ideal stalking trip in a speed-laden field and lures Jaramillo to ride. Bet to win and place.


Gulfstream Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 CANTARO (5-1)
Wide trip, wide run in well-backed debut at this level, gets Reyes.


#7 ONE FAST DREAM (7-5)
Dueled long way for minor awards in two starts as a gelding.


#4 MOTOWN PUNK (3-1)
Hit gate, just missed in same spot with blinkers on for first time.


Race Summary
CANTARO, 4-wide until he drew even with the leaders at the top of the stretch, stayed on well despite wandering a bit in the final sixteenth. He couldn’t match strides with the odds-on winner but earned the top spot on a 2/4,7/ALL trifecta ticket.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=del0922zf.pdf&exp=09/24/2023&pds=DEL_-_09/22/2023&var=RACE_DATE=09/22/2023;TRACK_CODE=DEL&SAP=FREEPICS)


Delaware Park - Race 4

$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / $1 Double / .50 Pick 3 (Races 4-6) .50 LATE Pick 5 (Races 4-8 *15% takeout*)



Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 2:00P


(PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT NOT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BELIEVE IN LOV: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TOUGH ENOUGH: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. PINK SUNSET: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LEGGS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ALLIE'S HALO: Today is a spri nt and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



12

BELIEVE IN LOV

6/1


6/1




6

TOUGH ENOUGH

15/1


6/1




7

PINK SUNSET

20/1


7/1




13

LEGGS

3/1


7/1




9

ALLIE'S HALO

20/1


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

TOUGH ENOUGH

6


15/1

Front-runner

70


69


96.7


34.1


22.6




13

LEGGS

13


3/1

Front-runner

0


0


73.9


55.9


43.9




4

STEPH'S TOP NICK

4


4/1

Front-runner

70


35


19.0


33.2


29.2




2

HOPEFUL CURE

2


8/1

Front-runner

69


67


0.0


0.0


0.0




14

SOUR PATCH GIRL

14


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


65.8


44.2


30.2




12

BELIEVE IN LOV

12


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


53.6


52.9


44.9




9

ALLIE'S HALO

9


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

55


18


27.5


47.4


36.9




1

IVY WAY

1


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

62


40


61.6


48.3


26.8




7

PINK SUNSET

7


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


36.5


49.0


39.5




5

SEA IMAGE

5


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


25.6


15.2


0.0




10

DIVA OF SEVILLE

10


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

50


29


0.0


0.0


0.0







































Unknown Running Style: PARENT TRAPPE (12/1) [Jockey: Mendoza Jhonatan - Trainer: Mullin Michael S], BEAUTY IN MOTION (5/1) [Jockey: Gomez Kevin - Trainer: Russell Brittany T], FLASHY FIG (IRE) (8/1) [Jockey: Sanchez Mychel J - Trainer: Hendriks Richa

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=btp0922zf.pdf&exp=09/24/2023&pds=BTP_-_09/22/2023&var=RACE_DATE=09/22/2023;TRACK_CODE=BTP&SAP=FREEPICS)


Belterra Park - Race 3

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)



Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 53 • Purse: $23,700 • Post: 1:05P


FOR ACCREDITED OHIO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TWISTED JUSTICE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TWISTED JUSTICE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



4

TWISTED JUSTICE

9/5


9/5




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

TWISTED JUSTICE

4


9/5

Front-runner

56


38


57.8


36.0


33.5




3

SHE IS DYNAMIC

3


3/1

Stalker

55


30


35.1


28.4


23.9




2

DANZANITEAWAY

2


4/1

Trailer

56


24


15.2


22.8


17.3




5

PRIDE AND ATTITUDE

5


9/2

Alternator/Trailer

55


24


2.8


22.8


15.8







































Unknown Running Style: NATIONAL DIAMOND (7/2) [Jockey: Lebron Victor - Trainer: Hamm Timothy E], MOBIL DREAM STAR (5/1) [Jockey: Lagunes Gabriel - Trainer: Wilson Jr David].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=wo0922zm.htm&exp=09/24/2023&pds=WO_-_09/22/2023&var=RACE_DATE=09/22/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Woodbine - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,700 Class Rating: 64

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 TWIXTER (ML=9/5)
#2 MANETKA (ML=2/1)


TWIXTER - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier field than last time out at Woodbine. Maiden is switching to the dirt, and may not have liked the turf last out. Has a good chance to be a winner for the first-time. MANETKA - That 59 fig this gelding garnered in his last event tells me he's a major player this time. Getting a break of 5 lbs from last race at Woodbine. He should make the most of this advantage.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CHAIRMAN LAYLA (ML=7/2), #3 KINZHAL (ML=6/1), #4 LITTLE DOMI (ML=8/1),

KINZHAL - Tough for anyone who saw this racer in his last clash to wager on him today. LITTLE DOMI - 8/1 is just too low of a price to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back efforts.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - TWIXTER - This gelding beat the class rating of this race two races back with a figure of 67. He should be high in your gambling considerations today.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #5 TWIXTER on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont at the Big APURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=baq0922zz.htm&exp=09/24/2023&pds=BAQ_-_09/22/2023&var=RACE_DATE=09/22/2023;TRACK_CODE=BAQ&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $39000 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 TALKIN PHAROAH 9/5




# 7 JESTER'S SONG 5/1




# 3 KUPP 3/1




TALKIN PHAROAH is the top wager in this race. Trainer boasts strong win numbers at this distance and surface. Looks very good to be on or close to the lead at the first call. Have to bet on this gelding with the strong earnings per start in dirt sprint events. JESTER'S SONG - Overall the speed figures of this horse look respectable in this affair. Lezcano has a winning percentage of 15 over the last 30 days. KUPP - David has this gelding running well and is a very good choice based on the quite good Equibase speed figs put up in sprint races lately. Has been travelling well in races of this distance, going 2 out of 7 under similar conditions.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=prm0922zm.htm&exp=09/24/2023&pds=PRM_-_09/22/2023&var=RACE_DATE=09/22/2023;TRACK_CODE=PRM&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Prairie Meadows - Race #5 - Post: 7:42pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,500 Class Rating: 56

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 X RAY VISION (ML=4/1)


X RAY VISION - Not much speed in this race other than this horse. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough races since the vacation and should be fit. The addition of blinks usually means that a trainer wants a campaigner to show more zip or to keep her attention focused.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 NO COST (ML=2/1), #4 KONA KINLEY (ML=3/1), #3 PISTOLPACKINGAL (ML=9/2),

NO COST - August 28th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. This filly garnered a speed figure in her last contest which likely isn't good enough in today's race. KONA KINLEY - Can't wager on this mount in today's sprint of 5 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race recently. PISTOLPACKINGAL - M/L odds of 9/2 make this mount a pass by my criteria.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 X RAY VISION is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

7 with 4



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at MeadowlandsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=med0922zz.htm&exp=09/24/2023&pds=MED_-_09/22/2023&var=RACE_DATE=09/22/2023;TRACK_CODE=MED&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 78

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $25,000 1 LB.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 LADY FIREFOOT 5/2




# 3 MOONSHINING 5/1




# 9 WILL BE FAMOUS 10/1




I give my vote to LADY FIREFOOT here. Should be considered as she drops to compete against this softer field of horses. Jockey's recent ROI numbers make this mare a very good bet. Her 76 average has this mare with among the strongest speed figures in this event. MOONSHINING - Put up a respectable speed fig last time out. WILL BE FAMOUS - Don't overlook this filly in your propositions - very dangerous with Luzzi aboard. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 69 - of her last effort.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Los Alamitos Tip Sheet - September 22
Sep. 21, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track


RACE #1 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 DORINES WILD CAT









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Dorines Wild Cat
J Torrealba


PLACE
2-1
4
Midnight Silence
J Valdivia Jr.


SHOW
7-2
2
Fast Investment
T J Pereira


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Geejaytee
A Alsagoor





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
6
Boginskaya
K Frey


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Round in Circles
E Payeras








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #2 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 QUIET SECRETARY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Quiet Secretary
A Ayuso


PLACE
2-1
5
Awesome Taylor
J Torrealba


SHOW
4-1
4
Tropicana Girl
D A Herrera


WILD CARD
6-1
3
Roman Empress
K Frey





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Vegan
E Payeras


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Drizella
E Hernandez








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #3 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:06 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 LIGHTING AND REIGN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Lighting and Reign
M Gutierrez


PLACE
5-2
2
Sassitude
H I Berrios


SHOW
9-2
4
Capo Sorella
J Torrealba


WILD CARD
4-1
6
Miss Pixy Stix
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
5
Wok Dont Run
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Hurricane Hottie
E Payeras








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #4 $25,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:40 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
4
Blameless
E Payeras


PLACE
9-5
2
High Heater
R A Vazquez


SHOW
5-2
1
Departure
K Frey


WILD CARD
9-2
5
Heir
J Torrealba





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
My Indy
A Ayuso








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:13 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Modera
T J Pereira


PLACE
7-2
2
R Girls Werth It
J Torrealba


SHOW
3-1
4
Just a Little Luck
D A Herrera


WILD CARD
5-1
5
Ila Veiw Too
E Payeras





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
6
Mango Moon
R A Vazquez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
3
House of Targaryen
J Couton








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #6 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
4
Moon Ice
J Torrealba


PLACE
7-2
7
Logon to Win
D A Herrera


SHOW
2-1
1
Duty First
H I Berrios


WILD CARD
10-1
2
Smiling Ruler
G Franco





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
3
Cribbage Board
K Frey


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
The Last One Perk
J Matias








* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX









RACE #7 $28,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:19 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
3
Lovesick Blues
T J Pereira


PLACE
8-1
4
Principe Carlo
R A Vazquez


SHOW
8-5
5
Moose Mitchell
M Gutierrez


WILD CARD
6-1
1
See Through It
E Payeras





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Perfectionistic
H I Berrios


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Swift as I Am
J Torrealba








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX









RACE #8 $45,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:52 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
4
Hey Demps
J Torrealba


PLACE
3-1
3
Seahawk Mary
A Alsagoor


SHOW
9-2
5
Illhaveanotherkiss
R A Vazquez


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Magic Secret
T J Pereira





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Ryders Candy
K Frey


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
2
Just Is
H I Berrios








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - September 22
Sep. 21, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 44% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $14,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 CUMBERLAND BLUES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Cumberland Blues
J Rosario


PLACE
5-1
5
Union Lights
D Davis


SHOW
2-1
2
Brooklyn Diamonds
J Lezcano


WILD CARD
8-1
6
King of Chaos
F Prat





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
7
Blu Grotto
L R Rivera Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1A
Cheeky Tico
M Olver








* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
6
Talkin Pharoah
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-1
7
Jesters Song
J Lezcano


SHOW
7-2
2
Rock the Weekend
J Castellano


WILD CARD
3-1
3
Kupp
L R Rivera Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
High Strike
M Franco


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Charger
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX









RACE #3 $105,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 BRING ME A CHECK









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Bring Me a Check
J L Ortiz


PLACE
8-1
4
Todays Flavor
J Castellano


SHOW
9-2
5
High Front
F Prat


WILD CARD
2-1
3
Nothing Better
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
7
Sosua Summer
J Rosario


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
Ikigai
J A Vargas Jr.








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #4 $14,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:39 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
5
High School Crush
E Ruiz


PLACE
4-1
3
Just a Nyquist
A Castillo


SHOW
7-2
1
Memento Mi
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
2-1
9
Roja Ligera
J A Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Boss Lady Kim
M Olver


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Simple Sugar
J A Davis








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX









RACE #5 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:11 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 BAD LARRY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Bad Larry
M Franco


PLACE
10-1
3
War Prince
K Carmouche


SHOW
3-1
10
Blue Plate Special
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
6-1
8
Prix de West
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
11
Woodside Warrior
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
9
Dream Canteen
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 3/8/10 BOX









RACE #6 $100,000 ALLOWANCE
1 3/16 MILES ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
8
Shes Mo Bubbly
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
9-2
4
Pentagon
J Lezcano


SHOW
7-2
6
Avenue Niel
J Rosario


WILD CARD
5-1
7
Biloxi Blues
J R Velazquez





ALTERNATE 1
5-2
9
Ichiban
J L Ortiz


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
1
Virtual Reality
M Franco








* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX









RACE #7 $65,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:17 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Proud Foot
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-2
3
Mursal
M Franco


SHOW
6-1
1
Freudian
M Rowland


WILD CARD
9-2
6
Diamond Collector
J Lezcano





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
7
Jolly Miss Jill
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
5
Bon Adieu
L R Rivera Jr.








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #8 $125,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 SPUNGIE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
5
Spungie
J Rosario


PLACE
9-5
2
New Ginya
D Davis


SHOW
5-2
1
Whatlovelookslike
F Prat


WILD CARD
9-2
3
Runaway Rumour
J Lezcano





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
9
Bustin Bay
Rider TBA


ALTERNATE 2
5-2
10
Know It All Audrey
I Ortiz Jr.








* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX



COMMENTS: SPUNGIE making second start since layoff and gets Rosario. NEW GINYA beat some of these last time out. WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE has speed from the rail. RUNAWAY RUMOUR will be around at the end.










RACE #9 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 5:21 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
8
Irish Gent
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
6-1
4
Ridgewood Runner
K Carmouche


SHOW
7-2
5
Reverend Moon
J Rosario


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Apollo Ten
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1
Feltrinelli
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
1A
Astraeus
K Davis








* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - September 22
Sep. 21, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 70% of the time at this track.


RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
6
Own the Field
E Morales


PLACE
7-2
3
Gucci Boy
F Arrieta


SHOW
6-1
9
Bluff City
D Cannon


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Triple Option
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Timetomakemischief
A Beschizza


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
8
Mo Moves
L Machado








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/9 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX









RACE #2 $66,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 SOLIDIFY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Solidify
Y Navas


PLACE
9-5
2
Blue Kentucky
L Machado


SHOW
5-2
4
Bourbon Spirit
G Corrales


WILD CARD
10-1
3
Classy Socks
C J Lanerie





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Soaring Bird
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Hemp Heaven
J K Court








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #3 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
5
Almanzo
M Chuan


PLACE
2-1
3
Camp Daddy
F Arrieta


SHOW
6-1
4
Stonevicious
W A Rodriguez


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Schmoozin
A Beschizza





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
8
Roman Giant
K J Asmussen


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Run Run Rapidash
J Loveberry








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #4 $150,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
9
Chryso Alogo
T Gaffalione


PLACE
5-2
6
Flotation Station
K J Asmussen


SHOW
10-1
3
Runnin Munnin
R Gutierrez


WILD CARD
9-2
1
Rivetage
B J Hernandez Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
This Time Blue
F Arrieta


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
10
Burgundy Royale
G Saez








* EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/9 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Muazarah
R Bejarano


PLACE
3-1
8
Informed Patriot
T Gaffalione


SHOW
5-1
2
Top Gun Rocket
J Alvarado


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Golden Buck
L Machado





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
9
Masmak
F Geroux


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Goulds Gold
J R Leparoux








* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX









RACE #6 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 ICE ORCHID









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Ice Orchid
R Santana Jr.


PLACE
8-5
6
Chop Chop
F Geroux


SHOW
3-1
4
Skratch Kat
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Music Street
D Cannon





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Selina Kyle
L Machado


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
2
Jag Warrior
M Chuan








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Dragoon Guard
F Geroux


PLACE
9-2
4
Time Song
D Cannon


SHOW
3-1
1
Otto the Conqueror
K J Asmussen


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Sweet as Sin
F Arrieta





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Bourbons Fault
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
9
Stormin Love
B J Hernandez Jr.








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #8 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 MULLIKIN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Mullikin
T Gaffalione


PLACE
5-1
4
Favorite Outlaw
F Arrieta


SHOW
5-1
7
Track Mate
C J Lanerie


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Stud Lovin
F Geroux





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Gilcrease
J R Leparoux


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
9
Easy Action
R Santana Jr.








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX









RACE #9 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
6
Kigali
M Garcia


PLACE
5-2
5
Hideki
R Bejarano


SHOW
7-2
1
All I Want Is You
V Cheminaud


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Custom Bobbys
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Arabian Prince
R Gutierrez


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
7
Overbore
L Machado








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #10 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:26 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
8
Sister Maha
T Gaffalione


PLACE
5-2
6
Methodology
F Geroux


SHOW
8-1
3
Leaflet
J Talamo


WILD CARD
12-1
7
Nocturne Court
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
4
Happy Charger
C J Lanerie


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
10
Musical Mischief
J A Torres








* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/8 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Hotlist - September 22
Sep. 21, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race [Clm 14000 N3L, 1 mi] – (7) Blu Grotto returns from a July layoff and was claimed for $25,000 when third two starts back. His best races were at Aqueduct where he ran well enough to win against this field. (3) Cumberland Blues was claimed last month at Saratoga for $14,000 by Rick Dutrow and won both times at Aqueduct. (5) Union Lights was also claimed for $14,000 at Saratoga and the blinkers come off. (1) Bert Bert Bert and (1A) Cheeky Tico form an entry for Oscar Barrera that should get a piece of the trifecta.
6th race [Alw 100000 N1X, 1 3/16 mi TURF] – (6) Avenue Niel (B) got jostled at the start of her first American race, rallied from last to get the lead, and eventually finished third. (1) Virtual Reality and (1A) Tangential make a Chad Brown entry and both of them are win contenders. (8) She’s Mo Bubbly had a 10 length maiden victory at Saratoga in a race that was meant for the turf. She also had two good turf races. (7) Biloxi Blues broke her maiden a Colonial Downs last month for Shug McGaughey following a four month layoff.
7th race [Alw 50000s, 1 mi] – (3) Mursal made two starts at this level since being claimed by Rick Dutrow from a four length N3L victory. (7) Jolly Miss Jill was claimed from Linda Rice after a win for $25,000 and then set the pace and finished third in a starter allowance at Saratoga. (1) Freudian has three career victories and two were at the Big A. She had a troubled trip last time after a pair of seconds. (5) Bon Adieu was claimed from her maiden win three weeks ago at the Spa for $30,000.
8th race [NY, John Hettinger, 1 1/8 mi TURF] – (5) Spungie (A) was checked on the inside in the Yaddo and ran on well to finish second clear of the rest of the field. In that same race (2) New Ginya (A) got a perfect trip when she surged to the lead from last and won by almost four lengths. (3) Runaway Rumour was third in the Yaddo and changes to the barn of Linda Rice. (1) Whatlovelookslike had three wins in a row from spring to summer including a NY-bred stakes race at Belmont Park.
Best bets: Avenue Niel (6th); Mursal (7th). Best value: Blu Grotto (1st); Spungie (8th).


No.
Name
Letter/
last race
Today's Race
Comments


(1A)
Colonel Bowman
A on 8/11
3
Entered for Main Track Only.


(6)
Avenue Niel
B on 7/26
6
Jostled at the start, went from last to the lead, finished third.


(2)
New Ginya
A on 8/27
8
Went from last to first quickly and drew off.


(5)
Spungie
A on 8/27
8
Had to check inside and then was a clear second.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 22
Sep. 21, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race – (2) Blue Kentucky has been second or third in his last three starts and looks best here. (4) Bourbon Spirit won easily last time and looks like the one to fear. (1) Solidify will welcome a return to turf. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.
4th race – (6) Flotation Station was third in two MSW starts and should prevail in a claimer. (1) Rivetag will find the going easier in a claimer. (9) Chryso Alogo was fourth in her debut and cannot be ignored. (4) This Time Blue is worth a look in his debut. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-9. Doubles: 1-4-6-9 with 4-5-8-9.
5th race – (4) Muazarah was third in his debut for Pletcher and seems poised for a winning try. (8) Informed Patriot showed speed in his first start and may not look back here. (9) Masmak could be a threat in his debut. (5) Lat Long might be a live one in his debut. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-8-9.
7th race – (1) Otto the Conqueror was a game second in his debut and should post a maiden win today. (7) Title Contender is working like a main contender in this spot. (8) Bourbon’s Fault has looked sharp in work for his debut. (4) Time Song can move forward off a third in his first start. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-8.
10th race – (8) Sister Maha gets back on dirt and looks like the most likely winner. (6) Methodology was a distant second and looms as the major threat. (2) Misintention seems well-meant here. (3) Leaflet should be a factor in the stretch. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-8.