Tuesday 10/17/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Presque Isle Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#4 Hector
The other serious pace he's meeting seems a bit cheaper, and I think he's got a shot to turn away the other forward players and find enough to win right back. Runner up from the graduation run was back to score -- by a neck -- at 1/5 in the follow up


#2 Ms. Tart
Not going to hold the flat GI try against her at 58/1, as she's probably going to produce something more like a reasonable second-out run here today. Tough but likely overbet.


#3 Ninja Star
He's probably going to be in line for a good trip spying the speed, and he makes a lot of sense if he can bounce back to something like the good local try here in August.


Race Summary
Fun race with stakes droppers from Woodbine, Gulfstream, and Kentucky Downs. Hector is a local riser facing winners for the first time, but he might be fast enough to control this from the start.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#7 Determined Gold
She comes out of a four-horse race in which she didn't turn in a huge effort, but she has a little bit of ability to get past horses, and that might serve her well with confirmed pace to her inside.


#6 Vaccina
She's dangerous on the front end, but she's running into a stretchout player and another route speed type in here, so I wonder if she's going to get to relax much today. Will probably try to put them away into the lane again.


#1 Lovely Ever After
She's capable of something a little bit better than she showed last time out, but she's often along too late and hasn't offered many appealing prices on her page. Possible, but not for me.


Race Summary
Determined Gold might land a great run in here while a couple forward players get to work early, and I think the price will get a bit better this time around, too.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Shaken and Shimmy
He has already had some chances at this level, but I think his running style fits the likely race flow today, and the runner up in his last was back to roll home in the next start. Think he makes some sense.


#2 Disaster Recovery
He has never been in this cheap, but I'm not all that thrilled about the plunge off the fading effort last time out, and I think there might be enough pace lined up in here to keep him honest. I don't know...


#11 Twist of Faith
He's another player in here who can flash a little bit of speed, but I'm worried about how hard he might have to work to find a prompting spot from out here early. Obvious player on class.


Race Summary
Shaken and Shimmy took a nice step forward last time out and might get a decent setup while tracking in behind the pace players. Price might be right with a couple droppers likely to command cash.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Parx - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#11 POWER AGENDA (10-1)
Good try in latest, gets in light, has done the least wrong of these.


#5 HANEY BOYS (2-1)
Has speed, ran second in his last three starts, cuts back to short sprint.


#1 SAILOR’S RETURN (5-1)
Won going away on drop to this level in first start at Parx.


Race Summary
POWER AGENDA improved in his second start as a gelding, has enough speed to get good forward position from the outside and is 2-for-9 in a field that is a combined 23-for-301. Bet to win and place.


Parx - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 BLAZING RED (8-1)
Dead game in debut victory, gets Lasix, value remains in deep field.


#4 MASK PATROL (5-1)
First or second in last four sprints at Parx, versatility comes in handy.


#1 UNCLE JAKE (5-2)
Shook duel in route race at quarter pole, got caught by the favorite.


Race Summary
BLAZING RED survived a long three-way duel that included the even-money favorite and sprung a 17-1 debut upset. He posted a bullet 4F workout since that race and offers value while getting Lasix today. Bet to win and place.


Parx - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#3 ELOQUIST (9-2)
Brief bid into soft pace, could sustain move with livelier pace for new barn.


#4 RICH’S WAY (5-1)
Changed tactics, closed with a rush to win, same move works well in here.


#5 TOPS THE CHART (7-2)
Been keeping quality company, ran 1-2 in 9 of 14 on main track.


Race Summary
ELOQUIST bid near the half-mile marker but continued evenly while chasing the top pair. He has some big back numbers to summon in his first start off the Ness claim. Bet to win and place and play a 3-4-5 exacta box.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort EriePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=fe1017zf.pdf&exp=10/19/2023&pds=FE_-_10/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=FE&SAP=FREEPICS)


Fort Erie - Race 3

WPS, Exactor, 20 Cent Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)



Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 1:56P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (*PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. STORMING LADY is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STORMING LADY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JUNGLE GODDESS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



2

STORMING LADY

8/5


2/1




1

JUNGLE GODDESS

5/2


7/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

JUNGLE GODDESS

1


5/2

Front-runner

70


67


90.2


55.8


47.3




7

REIGN BY REIN

7


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

72


68


72.4


63.8


57.3




2

STORMING LADY

2


8/5

Alternator/Stalker

82


78


74.2


82.6


80.6




4

SWEET FINALE

4


9/2

Trailer

70


62


45.4


62.4


56.4




6

BETTABE SWIFT

6


15/1

Trailer

70


58


39.6


51.8


42.8




3

EASY ACCESS

3


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


56


77.6


44.8


31.8




5

PACENZA

5


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


62


55.2


53.6


44.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger LakesPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=fl1017zf.pdf&exp=10/19/2023&pds=FL_-_10/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=FL&SAP=FREEPICS)


Finger Lakes - Race 2

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 2-3) * Pick 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 2-3-4)



Claiming $11,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $17,200 • Post: 1:44P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $9,000 2 LBS.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DEVILLY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SHEZANARCTICQUEEN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MADDIE'S SURPRISE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BUSTINROXY: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse i s carrying at least 120 lbs.



2

DEVILLY

2/1


9/2




4

SHEZANARCTICQUEEN

7/2


5/1




3

MADDIE'S SURPRISE

5/2


6/1




6

BUSTINROXY

5/1


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

BUSTINROXY

6


5/1

Front-runner

54


56


83.2


48.2


39.7




4

SHEZANARCTICQUEEN

4


7/2

Front-runner

62


60


54.2


55.0


49.0




2

DEVILLY

2


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

78


69


45.8


57.0


51.5




3

MADDIE'S SURPRISE

3


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

57


64


44.0


56.2


53.2




1

STORMY'S IN STYLE

1


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

52


50


63.6


42.8


31.8




5

JESSICA'S RACE

5


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

58


48


19.8


43.6


36.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=mnr1017zz.htm&exp=10/19/2023&pds=MNR_-_10/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=MNR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7700 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 SPY TOWN 5/1




# 7 GIZMO'S MISSION 2/1




# 9 CIRCLE INDY 8/1




I've got to go with SPY TOWN. Ought to come out very strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the lead recently. Garnered a strong Equibase Speed Fig last time out. A solid 70 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge against this field. GIZMO'S MISSION - Have to think this entrant will run well following the quick major improvement. A solid 72 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=fan1017zm.htm&exp=10/19/2023&pds=FAN_-_10/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=FAN&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race #7 - Post: 3:48pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 MOMENT (ML=8/1)
#7 LAND MARK DEAL (ML=3/1)
#9 GLOBAL EMPIRE (ML=6/1)


MOMENT - The jock and conditioner combination have a profitable ROI when they combine forces. Looking at this gelding's running lines, I see he's almost always in the money. The rest of the bunch may trail this racer all the way around the track. Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be beneficial. LAND MARK DEAL - Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a nice outing on September 30th. I like this horse. Should be familiar with this class level since he ran against the same type last race out at FanDuel Horse Racing. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I believe can be a valuable factor. This horse is ranked numero uno in this bunch. GLOBAL EMPIRE - Clearly didn't like the surface of the last clash as much as two starts back on the dirt. Watch out today for a return to a sharp race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 KING DOODLE (ML=7/2), #2 TWO COOKIE RULE (ML=4/1), #8 NAMESAKE (ML=9/2),

KING DOODLE - Doesn't look to be worth 7/2 this time. Pass on him this time. TWO COOKIE RULE - Tough to put your dough on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this one does. Recent deteriorating Equibase speed figures of 74/70/63 give a sign that this horse may be going off form. NAMESAKE - This stretch-runner should have a rough go of it to be along with the paucity of early speed in this race.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #5 MOMENT on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

5 with [7,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [5,7,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[5,7,9] with [5,7,9] with [5,6,7,8,9] with [5,6,7,8,9] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe IndianapolisPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ind1017zz.htm&exp=10/19/2023&pds=IND_-_10/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=IND&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 MAGGIE E 5/2




# 9 PINK ROBE 20/1




# 7 BRISBANE ROAD 12/1




MAGGIE E is my choice. Rodriguez has a win percentage of 15 over the last 30 days. Has very good speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this event. Is a contender - given the 66 speed figure from her most recent race. PINK ROBE - Jockey's recent ROI figures make this filly a strong bet. BRISBANE ROAD - She has respectable class ratings, averaging 74, and has to be given consideration for this event. Ramos will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out early for this event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=prx1017zm.htm&exp=10/19/2023&pds=PRX_-_10/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=PRX&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #7 - Post: 3:22pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 WINDSOR GOLD (ML=6/1)
#6 MCCRAKENS GHOST (ML=7/2)
#8 CLASSIC UNION (ML=6/1)
#2 MARGIN OF AIR (ML=6/1)


WINDSOR GOLD - Wolfsont and Demasi perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +41 return on investment for a jock and trainer. Looking at the past performances on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long look at this thoroughbred. This gelding is at the top in earnings per start. Give the once over to this thoroughbred in the saddling ring. MCCRAKENS GHOST - This gelding shows a classic pattern of layoff, two sprints, and stretching to a route today. After the race aboard this horse on September 20th, the rider is going to know the gelding much better. Gelding will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance. CLASSIC UNION - In the last race, finished seventh on a sloppy track at Parx Racing. Should do better in today's race. MARGIN OF AIR - Rivera and Rodriguez perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +59 return on investment for a jockey and conditioner. Multiple wins in this horse's life, all at Parx Racing. Could add another win right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BESTSUGARDADDYEVER (ML=4/1), #9 GAME SEVEN (ML=5/1), #1 GUN COLLECTOR (ML=6/1),

BESTSUGARDADDYEVER - Pedestrian speed figure last time around the track at Penn National at 1 1/16 miles. Don't feel this runner will improve too much today. GAME SEVEN - Granted the last race was good, finishing third. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. GUN COLLECTOR - 74/66/49, are the deteriorating speed ratings for this runner.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MARGIN OF AIR - This race horse is meeting a much easier field than in the last event on September 12th. Worth a bet today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #7 WINDSOR GOLD to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

7 with [2,6,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

7 with [2,6,8] with [2,6,8] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

7 with [2,6,8] with [2,6,8] with [2,6,8] Total Cost: $6

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse RacingAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 70

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 READTHETRANSCRIPT 9/2




# 6 ORBITAL STARR 4/1




# 9 MADE TO FIT 5/1




I have to support READTHETRANSCRIPT here. Shows solid Equibase speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. Might go off at a big price and has some positives going for him. Likely to see a sound attempt with the class drop. ORBITAL STARR - Has to be given a chance against this group of animals displaying formidable figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 60 under similar conditions. The speed figure of 54 from his most recent affair looks strong in here. MADE TO FIT - This gelding has a strong win percent in dirt sprint races. Looks competitive to be close to the lead at the first call.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

Presque Isle Downs - Race 4

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 4-5-6) Pick 5 (min .50 cent) Races (4-5-6-7-8)


Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up• CR: 72 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 4:21P


(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2022 - 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ELIA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ELIA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. STAND BY YOU: Horse has the highest TrackM aster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. UP IN ARMS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



1

ELIA

4/1


3/1




3

STAND BY YOU

5/2


7/2




5

UP IN ARMS

9/2


10/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

ELIA

1


4/1

Front-runner

71


66


76.0


57.6


52.6




2

WINDY CITY GIRL

2


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

72


59


58.6


56.7


48.7




5

UP IN ARMS

5


9/2

Trailer

74


72


63.8


58.8


50.3




8

AMAZON LIZZIE

8


10/1

Trailer

69


50


50.8


50.0


38.0




3

STAND BY YOU

3


5/2

Trailer

85


73


25.4


67.0


64.5




4

LIGHT HEARTED

4


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

65


51


57.0


48.8


36.3




6

BINGO STAR

6


7/2

Alternator/Non-contender

60


55


35.1


36.0


24.5




7

CLASSY HALO

7


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

89


86


27.6


47.2


36.7

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $12800 Class Rating: 64

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 MC SHES FLYING 12/1




# 2 GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLIE 3/1




# 10 FM THE BIG SHOW 8/1




I think MC SHES FLYING is a decent selection especially at such a decent 12/1. Is a contender - given the 56 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race.GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLIE - Will probably compete admirably in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group of animals. FM THE BIG SHOW - Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 3

WPS, Exactor, 20 Cent Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 1:56P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (*PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. STORMING LADY is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STORMING LADY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JUNGLE GODDESS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



2

STORMING LADY

8/5


2/1




1

JUNGLE GODDESS

5/2


7/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

JUNGLE GODDESS

1


5/2

Front-runner

70


67


90.2


55.8


47.3




7

REIGN BY REIN

7


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

72


68


72.4


63.8


57.3




2

STORMING LADY

2


8/5

Alternator/Stalker

82


78


74.2


82.6


80.6




4

SWEET FINALE

4


9/2

Trailer

70


62


45.4


62.4


56.4




6

BETTABE SWIFT

6


15/1

Trailer

70


58


39.6


51.8


42.8




3

EASY ACCESS

3


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


56


77.6


44.8


31.8




5

PACENZA

5


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


62


55.2


53.6


44.1

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #7 - Post: 3:22pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 WINDSOR GOLD (ML=6/1)
#6 MCCRAKENS GHOST (ML=7/2)
#8 CLASSIC UNION (ML=6/1)
#2 MARGIN OF AIR (ML=6/1)


WINDSOR GOLD - Wolfsont and Demasi perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +41 return on investment for a jock and trainer. Looking at the past performances on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long look at this thoroughbred. This gelding is at the top in earnings per start. Give the once over to this thoroughbred in the saddling ring. MCCRAKENS GHOST - This gelding shows a classic pattern of layoff, two sprints, and stretching to a route today. After the race aboard this horse on September 20th, the rider is going to know the gelding much better. Gelding will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance. CLASSIC UNION - In the last race, finished seventh on a sloppy track at Parx Racing. Should do better in today's race. MARGIN OF AIR - Rivera and Rodriguez perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +59 return on investment for a jockey and conditioner. Multiple wins in this horse's life, all at Parx Racing. Could add another win right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BESTSUGARDADDYEVER (ML=4/1), #9 GAME SEVEN (ML=5/1), #1 GUN COLLECTOR (ML=6/1),

BESTSUGARDADDYEVER - Pedestrian speed figure last time around the track at Penn National at 1 1/16 miles. Don't feel this runner will improve too much today.GAME SEVEN - Granted the last race was good, finishing third. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. GUN COLLECTOR - 74/66/49, are the deteriorating speed ratings for this runner.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MARGIN OF AIR - This race horse is meeting a much easier field than in the last event on September 12th. Worth a bet today.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #7 WINDSOR GOLD to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

7 with [2,6,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

7 with [2,6,8] with [2,6,8] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

7 with [2,6,8] with [2,6,8] with [2,6,8] Total Cost: $6

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


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Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 53

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 VICTOR STORY (ML=7/2)
#1 NURSE KATIE (ML=15/1)


VICTOR STORY - Jock jumped on this mare's back for the first attempt on October 2nd. Should be in tune with the animal even better today. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a sharp race is a good sign. The October 2nd clash at Mountaineer Park was at a class level of (62). Dropping down the class scale a significant amount, so she should be in a good spot. She has the highest (EPS) earnings per start. Take a good look at this animal. Have to like the way Jensen has raced this mare back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. NURSE KATIE - Ran in the last race against a better group of horses at Mountaineer Park. The move down in the class scale should suit her well. Mare is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a big performance today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 DEVILISH MAGIC (ML=2/1), #6 BELLA BASORA (ML=5/2), #5 SUGAR BRITCHES (ML=3/1),

DEVILISH MAGIC - This morning-line choice ran on September 19th and hasn't had a blow out since then. Don't think this less than sharp equine will make an impact today. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class rating. BELLA BASORA - Equibase speed figures of 53/40/36 are pointed the wrong direction. Where is the speed? None to be found in here to set things up for this mount. Improbable that the fig she garnered on October 4th will hold up in this affair. SUGAR BRITCHES - This stretch-runner looks to have little chance without a speed battle up front.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #2 VICTOR STORY to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cumberland Run

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 10


3
3
MY UNCLE CUZ
5/2
Harmon, Don - 14
463.94


5
5
FLAMING ROADS
7/2
Macdonald, John - 21
452.86


1
1
HURRIKANE WILLIE G
3/1
Minor, Dewayne - 3
441.36


6
6
IDEAL JESSE
9/1
Yoder, James - 15
419.64


2
2
STEVIE RAY
7/1
Fonseca, Josert - 15
417.76


7
7
NARANJO
8/1
Tharps, Devon - 11
415.00


8
8
ADAGIO DE LA TOUR
12/1
Curtin, Pat - 4
396.73


4
4
AQUA'S BUD
10/1
Hall, Tony - 15
335.63

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 11 - Post: 7:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$11000 - N/W 2


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



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# 5 KRYSTALS JEWEL 8/1




# 4 HERMES HILL 5/2




# 6 WHAT'S THE TALK 6/1





KRYSTALS JEWEL is the clear stand out bet in the eyes of the group especially at 8/1. Not many knocks against this fine animal, let's give her a shot. Sometimes you just have to go with a gut feel, think about this one's chances. You have to lean toward a horse that wins regularly, very impressive win percentage. HERMES HILL - Many harness players know speed is of the utmost importance. This harness racer has credentials with a 75 avg number. Enters this outing with competitive TrackMaster class ratings as compared to the race - take a good look.WHAT'S THE TALK - Is a bang-up choice given the 73 speed rating from his most recent competition.

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pocono DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 3 - Post: 1:36 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$15500 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $25,000-30,000 POST POSITION BY PRICE POCONO DOWNS T BUTER 1 OVER 5 & 7 M KAKALEY 8 OVER 2


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



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# 4 CAN'T SAY NO 5/2




# 7 C YOU AGAIN DK 10/1




# 8 EVIL GUY 4/1





CAN'T SAY NO appears to be our best wagering option in this competition. Worth a look here looking at the numbers in the TrackMaster Speed Rating department alone. Should be given a look based on the good TrackMaster SR achieved in the last race. Boyd and Wine have a formidable working relationship. Exemplary results from their races. C YOU AGAIN DK - Can't forget based on speed ratings which have been exemplary (87 avg) recently. With the equipment change - second time hoppled - there is a good chance for a speed improvement in today's race. EVIL GUY - Might be there at a reasonable price tag. Definitely one to keep in your exotics. This entrant will have to be a wager, based on the superb driver-trainer win percent.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rosecroft Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


6
6
CERTIFY
7/2
Ahle, Johnathan - 16
534.16


4
4
SHAKE N BAKE
8/1
Wagner, John - 11
516.04


9
9
JUDGE BOB
5/2
Roberts, Jonathan - 23
509.70


5
5
FUNNYFUNNYRIDDLE
6/1
O'Neil, Hugh - 8
483.09


7
7
OVERSERVED
4/1
Foster, Russell - 18
468.99


2
2
EXPLOSIVE DRAMA
12/1
Walters, Justin - 11
461.86


3
3
JAMMIN JACK
3/1
Milby, Frank - 10
452.62


8
8
TOUCH OF WHITE
10/1
Moyer, Jared - 9
432.70


1
1
WHISKEYINMYWATER
10/1
Plante, Roger Jr - 13
419.35

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


3
3
GETTINGYOURSEALEGS
3/1
Page, Chris - 17
535.89


2
2
TEQUILA AND ICE
5/1
Kauffman, Kayne - 8
503.27


10
10
EA BUTTERMILK BILL
8/1
Widger, Sam - 15
489.02


6
6
TRIFECTA
6/1
Nisonger, Jeff - 11
477.99


1
1
SURE THING CAPTAIN
4/1
Smith, Tyler - 14
475.15


4
4
WESTERN NOB
8/1
Smith, Jeremy - 22
457.42


7
7
ROSE RUN YANNICK
15/1
Smith, Trevor - 7
441.95


8
8
DOO WOP BOBBY
8/1
Miller, Brett - 13
437.43


9
9
HE'S A TOMKAT
15/1
Hanners, Austin - 7
436.04


5
5
JOHNNY FREIGHT
5/1
Sutton, Josh - 12
418.65

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 3


1
1
CRAZY BAD K
5/2
Devaux, Jim - 16
453.27


4
4
IN THE NIGHT
3/1
Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 13
434.41


6
6
FREE EXCHANGE
4/1
Taggart, Jim Jr - 19
412.55


7
7
PRETTY GORGEOUS
10/1
Chindano, Joseph Jr - 16
391.76


5
5
THE GRACE CARD
9/2
Parker, Brandon - 13
373.20


3
3
BRENDA'S GOT IT
7/2
Merton, Thomas - 6
371.50


2
2
LIZZIANA
8/1
Moeykens, Adam - 6
353.08

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrington RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 9 - Post: 6:46 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$7000 - F & M NW $5,001 LAST 5 STARTS MARES THAT RACED FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR MORE LAST START N/E DELAWARE OWNED OR BRED WINNERS THIS CLASS OR HIGHER LAST START N/E HARRINGTON RACE CONDITIONS DRIVER CHOICES: JIM MORAND 1 OVER 6


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 4 BETH DUTTON 8/5




# 5 CINDER'S BABY 7/2




# 2 SOMARA 6/1





Hard not to back BETH DUTTON as the top pick in this race. Has very good TrackMaster Speed Ratings and positively has to be considered for a bet this time. The 79 average class rating may give this mare a distinct advantage in the grouping. Had one of the best speed figures of the group of animals in her last outing. A good idea to use in your plays. CINDER'S BABY - Feel the need for speed, this solid standardbred has been turning in some terrific speed figs averaging around 75. Been battling with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 78). SOMARA - Composite pace ratings show this horse has what it takes to score in this race.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rosecroft RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 13 - Post: 11:15 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$8500 - MARYLAND PREFERRED FILLIES & MARES WINNERS OF 3 PM RACES OR $20,000 LIFETIME BUT NOT MORE THAN 5 PM RACES LIFETIME ROSECROFT TRACKMAN SELECTION: 6-8-2-1 DRIVER CHOICES F. MILBY - 9 OVER 1


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 9 PHOENIX RISING 3/1




# 7 ALLLRIGHTY THEN 8/1




# 6 LADY HARBRO 5/2





The consensus today is that PHOENIX RISING is the one to beat. Worth a close look here based on the ratings in the TrackMaster SR department alone. A respectable class horse shouldn't be be forgotten. With an avg class rating of 74 all signs point to this one being the winner. With a really good 74 speed rating last time out, will more than likely be a factor in this race. ALLLRIGHTY THEN - This filly has been racing against some of the most competitive company in this field of starters recently. LADY HARBRO - Some trainers just fit better with certain contenders. That seems to be the case right here with Sapienza. A really strong wager. Racing very well, earned a strong speed rating in her last race (76).

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Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: NHL Buffalo -110 over Tampa Bay

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Free play from Totals4UTuesday Free Selection: Arizona Coyotes/New York Islanders under 6

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Free play from #1 SportsTuesday's Free Play: Vegas Golden Knights - 115

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Free play from Easy Money Sports
Free Tuesday Hockey Selection From Lee
Buffalo Sabres -110

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Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Tuesday Free Play
Arizona/Philadelphia under the total MLB

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Free play from Kenny TowersYour Free Pick for Tuesday - Take Col/Sea OVER 6.5 goals


Played & Documented!
2023-24 Freeplay Record - 8-9

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Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take NHL Minnesota -145

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Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the Vegas Knights -115 over Dallas

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Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday :Take ARIZONA/PHILADELPHIA UNDER the total

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Free play from Arthur RalphFree play 1279-857 run TUES NHL Tampa + 105

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Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Tuesday: WESTERN KENTUCKY/JACKSONVILLE ST UNDER the total of 60.5

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Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony Free Selection for Tuesday
MTSU/LIBERTY OVER (NCAAF)

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Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR TUESDAY!
CFB LIBERTY -14.5 OVER Middle Tennessee

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Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: SOUTH ALABAMA/SOUTHERN MISS OVER the total of 53.5

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Free play from Atlantic SportsTuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Colorado Avalanche - 145

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Free play from Hawkeye SportsTuesday's Free Pick: Nashville Predators + 120

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Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Tuesday: Minnesota Wild - 145

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Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play for TUESDAY
Western Kentucky/Jax State UNDER

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Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on England-150 (Soccer)

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Middle Tennessee State/Liberty Over 54.5 -115

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Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Wild/Canadiens under 6.5 -120

No analysis provided.

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Western Kentucky-7

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Alex Smart

South Alabama should win this game vs visiting Southern Miss, but according to my projections this line has been over done. I now South Alabama looks ferocious after disposing of Oklahoma State as DD road dogs earlier this season, and their recent annihilation of LA Monroe by a 55-7 victory, but Im now expecting regression as was the case in their last home game losing a 34-30 decision to MAC opponent Central Michigan. Note: These schools are just 100 miles apart so we can expect the rivalry card to come to play here and hard fought battle must not be discounted.

S ALABAMA is 9-22 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game which was the case in a 55-7 win vs LA Monroe.

Free Play on Southern Miss+18.5 to cover

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Will Rogers

Free Play: Southern Miss/South Alabama Under 51.5 -109

For good reason, this game has the lowest total on the Tuesday football board. The Golden Eagles are off a 17-13 loss versus ODU. The Jaguars have held two of their past four opponents to just seven points. Last year's game finished with 47 points. The 2021 game had only 38. Another defensive-natured contest can be expected.

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Islanders-175

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Bucks vs Thunder over 226.5

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Golden Knights-105

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Golden Knights-102