View Full Version : Friday 10/20/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Can'tPickAWinner
10-16-2023, 10:47 PM
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ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:17 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for CamareroPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=cmr1020zf.pdf&exp=10/22/2023&pds=CMR_-_10/20/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/20/2023;TRACK_CODE=CMR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Camarero - Race 6
Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7
Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:00P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON FOUR RACES SINCE OCTOBER 20 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 5 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * UNCLE GREGORY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse rank s in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MY UNCLE TITAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. QUAKE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance /surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. RED FOG: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
5
UNCLE GREGORY
10/1
5/1
8
MY UNCLE TITAN
2/1
5/1
4
QUAKE
5/1
6/1
9
RED FOG
7/2
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
QUAKE
4
5/1
Front-runner
72
65
77.5
62.7
52.2
5
UNCLE GREGORY
5
10/1
Front-runner
75
68
77.4
65.4
59.4
7
OUR NOBLE ORTEGA
7
4/1
Stalker
72
64
68.2
46.8
36.3
10
PURE OF HEART
10
3/1
Stalker
61
55
49.0
40.8
26.8
8
MY UNCLE TITAN
8
2/1
Alternator/Stalker
75
74
71.2
62.6
57.6
1
POLVO DEL SAHARA
1
15/1
Trailer
71
71
49.0
51.4
38.9
3
KNIEVEL
3
10/1
Alternator/Trailer
77
66
68.0
57.8
47.3
9
RED FOG
9
7/2
Alternator/Trailer
75
70
64.2
62.0
55.0
6
STANFORD (IRE)
6
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
70
65
63.8
47.2
31.2
2
GRACIAN
2
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
45
32
48.8
37.2
21.7
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:17 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=sa1020zf.pdf&exp=10/22/2023&pds=SA_-_10/20/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/20/2023;TRACK_CODE=SA&SAP=FREEPICS)
Santa Anita Park - Race 3
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $32,000 • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 2:03P
(RAIL AT 30 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. AVENTAPP is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AVENTAPP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BOSS LADY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yar ds if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
6
AVENTAPP
2/1
2/1
2
BOSS LADY
2/1
5/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
AVENTAPP
5
2/1
Front-runner
94
91
92.6
88.8
83.8
2
BOSS LADY
2
2/1
Front-runner
87
91
87.4
78.2
72.2
5
RED DIAMOND
4
5/2
Trailer
98
93
55.7
85.0
80.0
1
VIOLET STORM
1
4/1
Trailer
86
86
32.2
65.4
58.9
3
CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE)
3
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
95
94
59.1
77.8
70.8
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:17 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=wo1020zm.htm&exp=10/22/2023&pds=WO_-_10/20/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/20/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 4:02pm - SO - 7.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 92
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#5 HICKSY (ML=10/1)
#1 GUILDSMAN (FR) (ML=5/2)
#3 DOT'S VISION (ML=12/1)
HICKSY - I cannot ignore the fact that this gelding is working extremely well. When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This horse has the highest average class in the entire group. GUILDSMAN (FR) - Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a strong outing on Sep 23rd. Drexler has a very solid win percent in turf sprints. This gelding should be fit and ready to go. This horse earns a lot of money per start. I believe he can increase that bankroll in this race. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should run well today. DOT'S VISION - Humber brings him back again. I suggest you stick with this strong gelding. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LAPOCHKA (ML=4/1), #10 C C'S KINGDOM (ML=6/1), #2 LION KINGDOM (ML=8/1),
LAPOCHKA - No favorable outcomes for this runner in a short distance contest over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a thorny situation C C'S KINGDOM - Not normally the kind of animal one plays off of any sort of extended vacation. Finished seventh in his most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this field. LION KINGDOM - I find it hard to play this pony this time. Make him show you something in a sprint event before you play him in a race of 7 furlongs.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #5 HICKSY to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,3,5] with [1,3,5] with [1,3,5,8,10] with [1,3,5,8,10] Total Cost: $36
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:17 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=rp1020zz.htm&exp=10/22/2023&pds=RP_-_10/20/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/20/2023;TRACK_CODE=RP&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - SA - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 76
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BRED FOALS. FOR HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2022-2023. NO NOMINATIONFEE. $300 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $300 ADDITIONAL TO START. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY FOR A FEE OF
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 3 HUNNY HUSH 5/1
# 4 CANADA CANDY 5/2
# 5 LA MORENA 6/1
HUNNY HUSH is the top wager in this race. Looks strong to be on the front end at the first call. Posted a decent Equibase Speed Fig last time out. The drastic drop in company can only help this entrant this time around. CANADA CANDY - Trainer boasts strong win numbers at this distance and surface. Difficult to pass on this mare with Elliott in the irons. LA MORENA - Has some encouraging handicapping angles which make this entrant a play. Last time out, this mare was up against a rougher crew.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:17 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=lrl1020zm.htm&exp=10/22/2023&pds=LRL_-_10/20/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/20/2023;TRACK_CODE=LRL&SAP=FREEPICS)
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Laurel - Race #5 - Post: 2:29pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 80
Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#6 SOUPER ROYAL MOON (ML=8/1)
#1 SEICHE (ML=9/5)
#8 GALATIANS (ML=5/2)
#4 SPACE ODESSEY (ML=10/1)
#1A SHANE'S JEWEL (ML=9/5)
SOUPER ROYAL MOON - Lots of positive 'vibes' connected with this pony and his connections. SEICHE - Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I feel can be a vital handicapping aspect. This horse is ranked at the very top in this bunch. GALATIANS - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is up against an easier bunch than last time out at Pimlico. SPACE ODESSEY - Atop this horse on Sep 10th and Torres is right back in the irons in today's race. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least 5 class pts like this one did last race out. I believe he'll be competitive at this level. SHANE'S JEWEL - This thoroughbred coming off a good try in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my book.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 UP AGAINST IT (ML=5/1), #3 UNEQUIVOCAL (ML=6/1),
UP AGAINST IT - Doubtful that the speed fig he garnered on August 26th will be enough in this clash. UNEQUIVOCAL - Difficult to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 SOUPER ROYAL MOON to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:18 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ls1020zz.htm&exp=10/22/2023&pds=LS_-_10/20/2023&var=RACE_DATE=10/20/2023;TRACK_CODE=LS&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 550y on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 69
QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 4 HANDIN OUT CANDY 2/1
# 6 ZEF LUCKY SEIS 8/1
# 10 JESS SEIS TRES 5/2
HANDIN OUT CANDY gets the edge as the bet in here. Looks very good for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in longer quarter horse races lately. With a strong 61 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this outing. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the best class numbers of this group of animals. ZEF LUCKY SEIS - The Equibase Speed Figure of 69 from his most recent race looks very good in here. JESS SEIS TRES - Ought to be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:18 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont at the Big AAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $38000 Class Rating: 71
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif
# 12 ALOTTA JAYS 10/1
# 3 SUN AND WIND 4/1
# 10 NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE 12/1
I think ALOTTA JAYS is a very strong selection and is a competitive value bet given the line at 10/1. Displays reliable Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses in this race. The equipment change of blinkers going on today should make a difference. The speed figure of 61 from her last affair looks quite good in here. SUN AND WIND - She should definitely be given a chance given the respectable speed numbers. Looks very good versus this group of horses in this race and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. NOTAFRAIDTOCHARGE - Ought to be given consideration in this race if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last contest.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:18 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Keeneland - Race #3 - Post: 2:04pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $47,000 Class Rating: 70
Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#12 YULETIDE GALLOP (ML=4/1)
#11 IN THE NUMBERS (ML=7/2)
YULETIDE GALLOP - This colt's last speed fig garnered on Sep 17th is number one in last race speed figures. IN THE NUMBERS - First time starter here. An overlooked stat is the breeding, especially the dam. Dam's foals have won 50 percent of the time as first time starters.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 TAPITBOY (ML=9/2), #10 JIMMY THE HAT (ML=6/1), #13 WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE (ML=8/1),
TAPITBOY - Hard to bet this racer the way he ran inconsistently last out. Finished second in his most recent effort with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group. JIMMY THE HAT - Don't figure that this horse is worth 6/1 in this race. WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE - Can't play this mount in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race of late. This horse ran a run-of-the-mill rating last time out. He shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's event running that number.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#12 YULETIDE GALLOP is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [11,12]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
12 with 11 with [2,3,13] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:18 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine
Woodbine - Race 6
Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 0.20 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)/ $1 Swinger
SO $15,000 • 7 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 4:02P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HICKSY: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has a TrackMaster " +" designation or an "L" designation. GUILDSMAN (FR): Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DOT'S VISION: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. LION KINGDOM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race w ithin the last 30 days.
5
HICKSY
10/1
9/2
1
GUILDSMAN (FR)
5/2
6/1
3
DOT'S VISION
12/1
7/1
2
LION KINGDOM
8/1
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
10
C C'S KINGDOM
10
6/1
Front-runner
90
84
97.6
52.1
35.6
14
CONFUSING
14
20/1
Front-runner
74
79
95.8
67.2
42.2
7
KING ALFREDO
7
20/1
Alternator/Front-runner
84
86
89.9
83.6
65.1
3
DOT'S VISION
3
12/1
Stalker
89
94
85.8
84.4
73.4
5
HICKSY
5
10/1
Stalker
94
91
85.3
87.2
83.2
1
GUILDSMAN (FR)
1
5/2
Stalker
91
90
72.3
86.4
77.4
8
STEAK AND CHEESE
8
15/1
Stalker
91
87
39.3
85.7
76.2
13
SUNSPEAR
13
30/1
Alternator/Stalker
99
85
78.5
83.7
66.7
6
BLUE MAX
6
20/1
Alternator/Stalker
87
89
65.8
78.8
68.8
11
READY HERO
11
12/1
Trailer
89
89
56.4
83.6
65.6
2
LION KINGDOM
2
8/1
Trailer
93
80
35.1
89.1
81.6
4
LAPOCHKA
4
4/1
Trailer
93
81
34.2
85.0
76.0
9
SYNCHROMESH
9
30/1
Trailer
83
76
16.4
71.8
45.8
12
SOUPER RIVER
12
15/1
Alternator/Trailer
88
87
23.7
48.3
26.8
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:19 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
Equibase Special - Race 1
Leg 1 of the Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 88 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 3:08P
KEE - R5 - (RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $75,000).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SMOKEY SMOKEY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. OY VEY: A first time starter with a trainer that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). SPIRIT'S MISCHIEF: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. IN A JAM: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the di stance/surface. BRENNAN'S HONOR: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). HIGGINSVILLE: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts).
7
SMOKEY SMOKEY
8/1
5/1
12
OY VEY
9/2
8/1
11
SPIRIT'S MISCHIEF
7/2
10/1
6
IN A JAM
6/1
10/1
1
BRENNAN'S HONOR
6/1
10/1
16
HIGGINSVILLE
8/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
IN A JAM
6
6/1
Front-runner
76
67
98.0
63.9
55.4
11
SPIRIT'S MISCHIEF
11
7/2
Front-runner
85
63
72.0
59.7
55.2
8
RUNNIN' ROCKET
8
10/1
Front-runner
0
0
71.1
50.5
37.5
7
SMOKEY SMOKEY
7
8/1
Front-runner
81
75
67.3
75.8
73.3
5
MUAZARAH
5
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
75
65
72.6
64.9
59.4
10
IZZIT MIDNIGHT
10
30/1
Alternator/Stalker
67
62
58.1
45.2
29.7
2
GOTTA KEEP HIM
2
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
0
0
54.8
58.1
48.1
15
DRIP D'ORO
15
15/1
Alternator/Stalker
71
59
46.5
55.9
41.9
4
NON FUNGIBLE
4
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
58.8
8.5
0.0
13
GOOD POINT
13
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
52.1
31.3
12.8
Unknown Running Style: BRENNAN'S HONOR (6/1) [Jockey: Garcia Martin - Trainer: Arnold II George R], CAMILAS WARRIOR (50/1) [Jockey: Padron-Barcenas J - Trainer: Chavez Manuel], CHESTNUT CREED (15/1) [Jockey: Asmussen Keith J - Trainer: Asmussen Steve
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:19 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 550y on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 69
QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
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# 4 HANDIN OUT CANDY 2/1
# 6 ZEF LUCKY SEIS 8/1
# 10 JESS SEIS TRES 5/2
HANDIN OUT CANDY gets the edge as the bet in here. Looks very good for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in longer quarter horse races lately. With a strong 61 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this outing. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the best class numbers of this group of animals. ZEF LUCKY SEIS - The Equibase Speed Figure of 69 from his most recent race looks very good in here. JESS SEIS TRES - Ought to be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:19 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif
Delaware Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 77
Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg
#5 PLAYERA (ML=8/1)
#4 ROSY APPLE (ML=8/1)
PLAYERA - This horse could be tough today, especially since Villalobos rode last out and now should be better acquainted with this one. This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +520. She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. Have to make this mare a contender; she comes off a nice outing on Oct 7th. This mare is rounding her way back into shape. Should run well today. ROSY APPLE - I expect this horse to shock some people this time out.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BETWEEN DREAMS (ML=8/5), #6 GLEAMING BRUTALITY (ML=2/1), #2 PARISIAN VIBE (ML=3/1),
BETWEEN DREAMS - This entrant hasn't been on the track since September 20th. Not even any drills. GLEAMING BRUTALITY - Run-of-the-mill speed figure last out at Delaware Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's race. PARISIAN VIBE - Usually I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint events in order to bet on her. Has been defeated as the chalk twice in a row. A repeat is probably in store. When examining today's class figure, she will have to garner a better speed rating than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #5 PLAYERA to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:19 AM
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 3 - Post: 1:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$4000 - F& M WITH A TMR OF 68.50
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 1 PANTY LINE 9/5
# 3 LAZARUS GIRL 7/2
# 4 EA MUSHU 5/2
PANTY LINE looks nice to best this field of horses. Sometimes you just have to go with a feeling, favor this one's chances. Selectors at Freehold Raceway will notice this interesting entrant's pace ratings are among the most compelling in the field of starters. Many bettors will recognize the amazing TrackMaster SR in the last affair. Stacks up against any horse in this field. LAZARUS GIRL - Horse fits well here and trainer's really strong ROI for harness racers who move up in class make this one a real really good play. This entrant and Reid have some sort of connection going. In the money percentage for this match is high. EA MUSHU - Can't pass over based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (73 avg) within the recent past. Enters this race with great TrackMaster class stats relative to the field - could be worth a shot.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:20 AM
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's PhiladelphiaAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 7 - Post: 2:25 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$20000 - NW $16,000 LAST 5 STARTS AE; MARES NW $20,000 LAST 5 STARTS AE:HIGHER MONEY EARNERS MAY ENTER FOR OUTSIDE POSTS #8 ALDEBARAN ZEUS A: FIRST TIME LASIX
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 8 ALDEBARAN ZEUS A 5/2
# 6 JL CRUZE 7/1
# 2 KENZIESKY HANOVER 5/1
All signs point to ALDEBARAN ZEUS A for the contender. Worth serious consideration here based on the markings in the speed figure department alone. This horse has room to improve, especially with first time Lasix. This harness racer has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 97 average class rating. Should play well today. JL CRUZE - The handicapping team saw this horse's name on a t-shirt. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small bet. KENZIESKY HANOVER - Had one of the most solid speed figures of the group of horses in her last race. I'd recommend using in your wagers. Win pct for this driver-conditioner is a sparkling 24 percent - excellent chance.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:20 AM
Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park
P#
PP
HORSE NAME
M/L
DRIVER - WIN%
POINTS
RACE 3
3
3
SILENT LUCIDITY
3/1
Jones, Tyler S - 7
474.35
2
2
DAKOTA SHADOW
6/1
Filion, Sylvain R - 13
468.99
1
1
STILTON GOLD
8/1
Borth, Tyler J - 8
466.56
5
5
ONTOP RAINSTORM
10/1
Hudon, Phillippe - 6
456.35
6
6
INTENSE LADY
10/1
Young, Scott R - 9
440.23
4
4
WILDCAT HERA
5/1
Henry, Trevor S - 11
427.79
7
7
PAM
5/2
Jamieson, Jody C - 10
419.38
8
8
HOT COE COE
4/1
Henry, Travis J - 17
0.00
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:20 AM
Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway
P#
PP
HORSE NAME
M/L
DRIVER - WIN%
POINTS
RACE 5
2
2
JODY
9/5
Brennan, George - 17
517.96
3
3
WESTBEACH
4/1
Beyer, Troy - 7
491.13
5
5
SHEIKH YABOOTY N
10/1
Lachance, Pat - 10
477.78
4
4
IRON MISTRESS
6/1
Marohn, Jim Jr - 11
469.29
1
1
ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX
10/1
Dube, Daniel - 10
465.38
6
6
SUGAR BRITCHES
9/2
Siegelman, Austin - 10
456.41
7
7
AMERICAN TICKET
20/1
Chindano, Joseph Jr - 3
454.28
8
8
CAPTAIN'S STAR
12/1
Holland, Brent - 12
439.10
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:20 AM
Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway
P#
PP
HORSE NAME
M/L
DRIVER - WIN%
POINTS
RACE 12
5
5
WINNING TICKET
5/2
Widger, Sam - 17
580.87
6
6
DAYSON
2/1
Page, Chris - 17
541.38
7
7
WILDFIRE SEELSTER
4/1
Noble, Dan - 17
533.22
4
4
SKYWAY KON MAN
10/1
Hanners, Austin - 7
507.38
2
2
DONTFORGETMASTER
15/1
Smith, Trevor - 7
498.68
8
8
YO MISTER
9/1
Miller, Brett - 14
498.43
3
3
PLATINUM AS
5/1
Smith, Tyler - 14
498.18
1
1
THE NEXT TRIUMPH
12/1
Kauffman, Kayne - 8
433.28
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:20 AM
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The MeadowsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 7 - Post: 2:51 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$8500 - CLAIM $10,000 W/A MORNING LINE: 8-3-4-7-5 A.MERRIMAN - #1 OR 7 J.INDOF - #4 OR 6; D.PALONE - #8 OR 9
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 8 MARTY MONKHOUSER A 2/1
# 4 KINGSTONS BAD BOY 5/1
# 7 SO ROCKIN RAVI 6/1
After thorough analysis by the consortium, MARTY MONKHOUSER A comes out as the top contender. Could dominate this group of animals, just look at the TrackMaster SR - 79 - from his last event. Talk about a dynamic duo, Palone and Yoder have some of the best driver-trainer markings at the track. Palone will be looking to take the whole enchilada in this contest, has been en fuego recently. Win clip the past month is a sparkling 27. KINGSTONS BAD BOY - More wins than is normal have been recorded by nice horses lining up behind the 4 position at The Meadows. SO ROCKIN RAVI - Considered a solid bet based solely on his high score statistic. This trainer, and the driver Merriman, go together like a hand in a glove. Their results together are outstanding.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:21 AM
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 1 - Post: 6:15 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$13000 - **THE GARDEN STATE PARK** HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR BASE CLAIMING PRICE OF $22,500 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST ST AE: CLAIMING PRICE $22,500
CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 3 GAMBLIN MO 3/1
# 1 ODDS ON ALPHA MALE 2/1
# 6 GULLFAXI 5/2
GAMBLIN MO surely figures to be the nice horse to beat here. His 89 average has this gelding among the finest TrackMaster SRs today. Most likely the class of the group with an average rating of 90. A nice pick. ODDS ON ALPHA MALE - Take a look at this nice horse's average speed rating of 86 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a formidable bet. Many smart handicappers back this gelding on the driver-trainer ratings alone. GULLFAXI - Had one of the most competitive speed ratings of the group of animals in his last race. I'd recommend using in your bets. A competitive play in here as he has one of the highest winning percents in the group as well as terrific credentials all around.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:21 AM
Handicappers' Consensus for Friday, October 20KEENELAND
Scott Hazelton
Tom Leach
Jeremy Plonk
Caton Bredar
Kim Nelson
1
6 Priddis
3 Vitaemi
7 Ghostly Night
7 Ghostly Night
3 Vitaemi
6 Priddis
3 Vitaemi
7 Ghostly Night
1 Donya Know It
7 Ghostly Night
3 Vitaemi
1 Donya Know It
3 Vitaemi
1 Donya Know It
7 Ghostly Night
2
2 Shes a Secret
6 Ball Gown
8 Tamara's Way
2 Shes a Secret
3 Mahomebred
7 Mended We Stand
6 Ball Gown
5 Liturgia
8 Tamara's Way
2 Shes a Secret
6 Ball Gown
3 Mahomebred
6 Ball Gown
2 Shes a Secret
5 Liturgia
3
12 Yuletide Gallop
2 Notorious Sixohtwo
5 My Brother Charlie
12 Yuletide Gallop
10 Jimmy the Hat
4 Sting Music
12 Yuletide Gallop
8 Tapitboy
2 Notorious Sixohtwo
5 My Brother Charlie
8 Tapitboy
2 Notorious Sixohtwo
8 Tapitboy
11 In the Numbers
2 Notorious Sixohtwo
4
4 Hocus
6 Camp Daddy
2 Goodasiwonswas
4 Hocus
5 Magnificent Mile
6 Camp Daddy
6 Camp Daddy
5 Magnificent Mile
1 O'Conner Sunset
4 Hocus
6 Camp Daddy
2 Goodasiwonswas
2 Goodasiwonswas
6 Camp Daddy
4 Hocus
5
7 Smokey Smokey
2 Gotta Keep Him
11 Spirit's Mischief
12 Oy Vey
2 Gotta Keep Him
5 Muazarah
5 Muazarah
11 Spirit's Mischief
1 Brennan's Honor
1 Brennan's Honor
7 Smokey Smokey
6 In a Jam
6 In a Jam
11 Spirit's Mischief
1 Brennan's Honor
6
3 Tiger Moon
7 Bear Oak
1 Nordic Light
7 Bear Oak
4 Nepal Up
3 Tiger Moon
7 Bear Oak
4 Nepal Up
3 Tiger Moon
3 Tiger Moon
7 Bear Oak
5 Commander Carl
7 Bear Oak
3 Tiger Moon
4 Nepal Up
7
2 Redifined
10 Shootoutthelights
1 Twirling Savi
1 Twirling Savi
10 Shootoutthelights
9 Four Dawn
3 Sol Hope
10 Shootoutthelights
2 Redifined
10 Shootoutthelights
7 Laura's Charm
1 Twirling Savi
10 Shootoutthelights
2 Redifined
3 Sol Hope
8
8 Raging Sea
3 Poblano
4 Let's Duet
3 Poblano
8 Raging Sea
6 Surely Shirley
8 Raging Sea
10 Sabra Tuff
2 Forever After All
8 Raging Sea
7 Eivissa
3 Poblano
8 Raging Sea
6 Surely Shirley
3 Poblano
9
8 Strong Quality
7 Easter (FR)
1 Tatanka
8 Strong Quality
7 Easter (FR)
13 War Campaign
7 Easter (FR)
10 Kingmax (IRE)
8 Strong Quality
7 Easter (FR)
11 Forever Souper
8 Strong Quality
8 Strong Quality
6 Alex Joon
7 Easter (FR)
10
11 Captivated Drama
9 Mahoney Road
4 Dual Monarchy
11 Captivated Drama
4 Dual Monarchy
9 Mahoney Road
11 Captivated Drama
7 Libertango
4 Dual Monarchy
9 Mahoney Road
4 Dual Monarchy
11 Captivated Drama
4 Dual Monarchy
7 Libertango
11 Captivated Drama
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:23 AM
Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - October 20
Oct. 19, 2023
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 QUINTECENTS
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
3
Quintecents
R A Vazquez
PLACE
8-5
1
Crypto Man
A Fresu
SHOW
3-1
6
Player B
T J Pereira
WILD CARD
4-1
7
Hard Times
T Baze
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Shadow Creek
V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Nobel Gary
K Frey
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
5
Just Is
H I Berrios
PLACE
3-1
6
Rosie Ann Rules
A Aguilar
SHOW
3-1
3
Come Join the Band
R A Vazquez
WILD CARD
5-2
1
Eltonsingsanother
A Fresu
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
Chevy Girl
A Escobedo
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
One Smokin Moon
T Baze
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
RACE #3 $32,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:03 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 AVENTAPP
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
2-1
6
Aventapp
A Fresu
PLACE
5-2
5
Red Diamond
J L Verenzuela
SHOW
2-1
2
Boss Lady
T J Pereira
WILD CARD
4-1
1
Violet Storm
A Aguilar
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Corporal Violette
K Frey
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
RACE #4 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
9-5
5
Barbera
D A Herrera
PLACE
8-5
4
Sugar Sugar
T J Pereira
SHOW
9-5
2
Hot Rod Mama
A Alsagoor
WILD CARD
9-2
3
Rose Girl
J D Lopez
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
RACE #5 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:04 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-1
4
Christinas Candy
J Torrealba
PLACE
3-1
1
Port Ellen
R Gonzalez
SHOW
5-2
3
Princess Midnight
K Frey
WILD CARD
6-1
8
Mahina
U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 1
5-1
2
Viewers Discretion
D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Nicely Curved
R A Vazquez
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
RACE #6 $36,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:34 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SUPER ENTICING
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
4
Super Enticing
D A Herrera
PLACE
5-2
5
Misty Muppet
A Ayuso
SHOW
3-1
6
Beau Soleil
T Baze
WILD CARD
4-1
3
Satellite Heart
U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
Dorie Miller
T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
Dreaming of Hope
A Fresu
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #7 $71,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:04 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
5
Unconquerable Keen
J Bravo
PLACE
4-1
6
See Through It
E Payeras
SHOW
2-1
4
Turn On The Jets
A Fresu
WILD CARD
4-1
3
Sharp Aza Tack
T Baze
ALTERNATE 1
4-1
2
Sumter
U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Barristan The Bold
R A Vazquez
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #8 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:34 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
5
Last Call Paul
T J Pereira
PLACE
4-1
2
Private Gem
J Torrealba
SHOW
3-1
1
Halo Uncle
A Aguilar
WILD CARD
5-2
3
Mr Big Bucks
A Alsagoor
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Thirsty Lov
H I Berrios
ALTERNATE 2
5-1
8
Grazen Boy
T Baze
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
RACE #9 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:04 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-1
5
Cocktail Cutie
M Gutierrez
PLACE
5-2
4
Asada Fries
H I Berrios
SHOW
4-1
2
O K Rose
R Gonzalez
WILD CARD
6-1
1
Wailea Sunset
J Bravo
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Kitzkaty
A Fresu
ALTERNATE 2
4-1
9
Lady Lithesome
U Rispoli
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:23 AM
Belmont Park Tip Sheet - October 20
Oct. 19, 2023
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 58% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
1-2
2
Growth Capital
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
3-1
7
Torigo
K Carmouche
SHOW
6-1
1
Jamestown
D Davis
WILD CARD
1-1
8
New York Strong
I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1
9-2
9
Treble Clef
Rider TBA
ALTERNATE 2
1-2
2B
Right to Win
M Franco
* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
RACE #2 $12,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:08 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 QUEEN ARELLA
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
3
Queen Arella
I Castillo
PLACE
9-2
2
Miss Domina
M Franco
SHOW
3-1
1
Meraviglioso
I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD
5-1
4
Alpine Queen
L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 1
7-2
7
Beautiful Karen
E Ruiz
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Diva Banker
J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
RACE #3 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 1:40 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ICY FLAVOR
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
1
Icy Flavor
M Franco
PLACE
6-1
2
Kreesa
J A Gomez
SHOW
2-1
6
Ortus
D Davis
WILD CARD
10-1
5
Courageoous Oh La
N Alvarado
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Sandrone
L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
11
Thank You Jon
J Castellano
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #4 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:12 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-1
2
Style Points
D Davis
PLACE
7-2
6
Belle Gambe
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
8-1
4
True Myth
J L Ortiz
WILD CARD
6-1
1
Just Jules
J Alvarado
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
8
Channel Loop
R Silvera
ALTERNATE 2
5-1
10
Dynamic Pricing
M Franco
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #5 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:44 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 ELLA SPEED
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
9-2
1
Ella Speed
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
8-1
2
Lets Connect
K Carmouche
SHOW
5-1
11
Princess Becca
J L Ortiz
WILD CARD
4-1
3
Sun and Wind
M Franco
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Bornforgreatness
D Davis
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
9
Santagata
J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 2/3/11 BOX
RACE #6 $150,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 3:16 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 KNICKERBOCKER STAKES (GIII)
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-1
4
St Anthony
J Castellano
PLACE
4-1
5
Rockemperor
M Franco
SHOW
3-1
7
Siege of Boston
J Ruiz
WILD CARD
7-2
8
Pioneering Spirit
J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 1
9-2
6
Master Piece
I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
King Cause
K Carmouche
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX
COMMENTS: ST ANTHONY could be the speed of the field. ROCKEMPEROR has the highest last out speed number. SIEGE OF BOSTON has been the most consistent horse in the field. PIONEERING SPIRIT will be flying late.
RACE #7 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
4-5
10
Quiet Wisdom
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
8-1
3
Prophetic
D Davis
SHOW
9-2
4
Perliano
M Franco
WILD CARD
12-1
7
Bumper
K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Podere
J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
Blue Marble
J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/10 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
RACE #8 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-1
4
Mamas Gold
R R Maragh
PLACE
5-2
1
Bourbon Chase
I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW
4-1
3
Uncle Marty
J L Ortiz
WILD CARD
7-2
7
Amedeus Music
M Franco
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Boys Code
J A Davis
ALTERNATE 2
5-1
2
Jackson Heights
J Castellano
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 4:54 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
4
Iguazu
I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE
5-1
3
Wish List
T McCarthy
SHOW
5-2
9
Spun Special
J Castellano
WILD CARD
6-1
7
Words of Praise
M Franco
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
1
Keep It Sexy
R Silvera
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
2
Negra Gata
J L Ortiz
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:23 AM
Keeneland Tip Sheet - October 20
Oct. 19, 2023
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
1
Donya Know It
J A Torres
PLACE
9-5
3
Vitaemi
T Gaffalione
SHOW
7-2
6
Priddis
C J Hernandez
WILD CARD
4-1
7
Ghostly Night
L Saez
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
4
Caltha
E Esquivel
ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
L. A. Star
W A Rodriguez
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
2
Shes a Secret
E Morales
PLACE
4-1
3
Mahomebred
F Arrieta
SHOW
5-2
6
Ball Gown
K J Asmussen
WILD CARD
8-1
5
Liturgia
Y Navas
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Mended We Stand
R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
Tamaras Way
G Corrales
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #3 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-1
10
Jimmy the Hat
F Prat
PLACE
8-1
5
My Brother Charlie
J K Court
SHOW
9-2
8
Tapitboy
J Graham
WILD CARD
7-2
11
In the Numbers
T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
1
One Red Cent
W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2
12-1
4
Sting Music
B J Hernandez Jr.
* EXACTA: 10-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/10 BOX, 5/8/11 BOX
RACE #4 $52,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 CAMP DADDY
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
6
Camp Daddy
T Gaffalione
PLACE
4-1
4
Hocus
D Cannon
SHOW
2-1
2
Goodasiwonswas
C Miller
WILD CARD
12-1
3
Classy Socks
C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Husker Butch
A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Magnificent Mile
E Esquivel
* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
RACE #5 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-1
6
In a Jam
T Gaffalione
PLACE
8-1
7
Smokey Smokey
R Santana Jr.
SHOW
7-2
11
Spirits Mischief
G Corrales
WILD CARD
10-1
8
Runnin Rocket
J Graham
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Muazarah
L Saez
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Brennans Honor
M Garcia
* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/11 BOX, 7/8/11 BOX
RACE #6 $44,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 TIGER MOON
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
3-1
3
Tiger Moon
J R Leparoux
PLACE
4-1
4
Nepal Up
R Bejarano
SHOW
2-1
7
Bear Oak
R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD
10-1
2
Call Me Gusto
G Corrales
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Nordic Light
F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
9
Carillo
L A Gonzalez
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
RACE #7 $120,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
9-5
10
Shootoutthelights
J R Velazquez
PLACE
20-1
6
Royal County
C Oliveros
SHOW
7-2
2
Redifined
J R Leparoux
WILD CARD
12-1
5
Covenant Lady
A P Ulloa
ALTERNATE 1
8-1
7
Lauras Charm
T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Sol Hope
C J Lanerie
* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/10 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $110,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
6-5
8
Raging Sea
F Prat
PLACE
6-1
10
Sabra Tuff
R Gutierrez
SHOW
8-1
2
Forever After All
C J Lanerie
WILD CARD
7-2
3
Poblano
T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1
10-1
6
Surely Shirley
F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Lavish Habits
J Talamo
* EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/10 BOX, 2/3/10 BOX
RACE #9 $130,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
5-2
7
Easter
F Prat
PLACE
7-2
8
Strong Quality
F Geroux
SHOW
12-1
2
Xavey Dave
J Rocco Jr.
WILD CARD
5-1
4
Main Event
L Saez
ALTERNATE 1
12-1
1
Tatanka
T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2
10-1
11
Forever Souper
J R Velazquez
* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
RACE #10 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET
PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY
WIN
7-2
11
Captivated Drama
R Santana Jr.
PLACE
4-1
9
Mahoney Road
R Bejarano
SHOW
5-2
4
Dual Monarchy
T Gaffalione
WILD CARD
12-1
8
Hi Yah
A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Libertango
W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2
15-1
10
Thankgodngreyhound
C J Lanerie
* EXACTA: 11-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/9/11 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:24 AM
BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS
Remington Park - Race #8
PICKS NOTES
#3 Tommyhawk Hoping the price is right here, because he might be too cheap for these, but he's a pretty honest finisher in a race with a lot of spotty form. Wondering if the move back to the dirt gives him room to bounce back today.
#5 Connors Outlaw He should get the right kind of trip near the top, and I really like that he can relax just a touch and press if needed in a race with some potential speed drawn inside and outside of him. Capable.
#6 Pomeroy Haze He was flat at 6/5 last time around, but he should be close enough to spy the pace throughout in this one and might have something better to offer -- he'll need it to turn three lengths on Connors Outlaw.
Race Summary Tommyhawk has generally done his better work on slightly easier Oklahoma tracks, but he's an honest finisher who might have a little extra punch in him while cutting back off the turf run -- and be fair, is this really the deepest edition of this race we've ever seen? Some VERY good horses have run in this race in the past.
Remington Park - Race #9
PICKS NOTES
#6 Number One Dude His better stuff keeps him right there tonight, and I like that he seems to have at least some ability to get past horses, because there are a couple pace players I'm confident will be moving in the wrong direction late -- maybe including the likely chalk. Hoping for second choice appeal on the board.
#2 Ghost Hero I think he's supposed to win this on overall form that includes some good efforts with open company, but I worry that the price is going to be really short, and he might have a couple of cheaper thorns in his side on the pace front. On the other hand, he might drill these.
#5 That's Something The recent form isn't all that compelling, and I don't see a ton of reason for upside today outside of hoping for a big step forward in the third start off the break. That said, he should be in the right spot if the pace starts to struggle.
Race Summary Number One Dude has reliable form and has always done good work on the main track here, and he should be able to keep tabs on the pace players throughout.
Remington Park - Race #10
PICKS NOTES
#10 Justa Irish Lad I would have liked to see him kick on with something just a touch better in the lane last out, but he was hemmed in and on hold an awful long time on the fence. Wonder if he gets a bit freer run today and takes advantage of it at a decent price?
#7 Dark Afternoon He has never gone a route run, but this shorter two-turn trip might be in his scope with a couple of decent seven-furlong tries on his page on the main. His turf sprint form is pretty tough to argue with.
#3 Kodaline Felt a little torn here. This guy has been such a fun finisher to watch locally in those recent races, and he's a gutsy horse when engaged late. On form, he's intriguing, but on turf? Not so much. Foreign Policy offspring are simply dreadful on the grass, and I'm not sure we're going to get a price that's interesting enough to take the gamble on whether he's individually talented enough to overcome that.
Race Summary Justa Irish Lad should offer a midrange price with this group where Dark Afternoon probably takes some cash and Kodaline might attract some dollars on form with a massive surface question to answer.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:24 AM
FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS
Gulfstream Park - Race #1
PICKS NOTES
#2 SHARP PIPPA (9-2) Second to odds-on winner, good record at distance, ran well fresh in the July.
#5 BURN THE BREEZE (8-5) Earned top speed fig for twice this price in latest, picks up 9 pounds.
#3 TOODALOO Y’ALL (2-1) Off 11 months, ran second for $25k to Tribute, who’s 0-for-8 since then.
Race Summary SHARP PIPPA was ‘held up’ on the inside early, swung 3-wide for the stretch drive and finished second behind the 1-to-5 favorite. She finished in the money in all three 6F starts at this level and offers good value. Bet to win and place.
Gulfstream Park - Race #5
PICKS NOTES
#1 CAROLINA TRAFFIC (8-1) Good try off eight-month layoff, draws rail again, shortens up to 5-1/2F.
#5 SERGEANT SINATRA (3-1) Didn’t lose a step as a gelding, ran second again, enters new barn.
#8 COPANELLO BAY (15-1) Showed pulse in debut sprint, worked fast for return, use in gimmicks.
Race Summary CAROLINA TRAFFIC recovered quickly from a hopped start, sparred on the front end with the 7-5 favorite and tired in the lane as the trip-sitting winner passed by. He looms an upset possibility in his second start since January and second time at this level. Bet to win and place and play a 1-5-8-11 exacta box.
Gulfstream Park - Race #0
PICKS NOTES
#7 CLASSIFY (2-1) Time away hasn’t slowed down his workout times, tries long sprint in second start.
#3 DON’T ANSWER (5-1) Piling up the checks, takes blinkers off, added ground the question.
#6 AUSTONIAN (5-2) Dueled through turn, ran second at 6-1/2F, arrives after claim at Del Mar.
Race Summary CLASSIFY continues to turn heads in the morning after he ‘floated’ as the beaten favorite at 6F in his heavily bet debut three months ago. The race winner, Danzig Chips, ran second in a $20,000 optional claiming race in his last start. Bet to win and place.
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:25 AM
Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: NHL Tampa Bay -140 over Vancouver
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:25 AM
Free play from Totals4UFriday Free Selection: Calgary/Columbus over 6 1/2
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:25 AM
Free play from #1 SportsFriday's Free Play: Columbus Blue Jackets + 120
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:26 AM
Free play from Kenny Towers
Your Free Pick for Friday - New Jersey (NHL) -120
Played & Documented!
2023-24 Freeplay Record - 9-9
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:26 AM
Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday :Take PHILADELPHIA/ARIZONA OVER the total of 9.5 runs
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:27 AM
Free play from Arthur RalphFree play 1282-857 run FRI NJ Devils -120
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:27 AM
Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Friday: SMU/TEMPLE UNDER the total of 54.5
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:27 AM
Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony Free Selection for FRIDAY: NY ISLANDERS (NHL)
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:27 AM
Free play from Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: PHILADELPHIA/ARIZONA OVER the total of 9.5 runs
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:28 AM
Free play from Atlantic SportsFriday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: New Jersey Devils - 120
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:29 AM
Free play from Hawkeye SportsFriday's Free Pick: New Jersey Devils - 120
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:29 AM
Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Friday: BC Lions - 8 1/2
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:31 AM
Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on Jagiellonia Bialystok+120 (Soccer)
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:31 AM
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on RC Lens-120 (Soccer)
ConleyPicks
10-20-2023, 07:31 AM
Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Ipswich Town -200 (Soccer)
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