Thursday 11/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=ls1116zf.pdf&exp=11/18/2023&pds=LS_-_11/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=LS&SAP=FREEPICS)


Lone Star Park - Race 5

Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 6 (Races 5-6-7-8-9-10)


Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 69 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 7:57P


QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SEPARATIST CORONA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MP BAD HABITS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed F igure at the distance/surface. HEZA CLOSET DRINKER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FIERROS SIS: Horse ranks in the top three in avera ge Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



8

SEPARATIST CORONA

5/2


4/1




6

MP BAD HABITS

3/1


6/1




1

HEZA CLOSET DRINKER

4/1


7/1




3

FIERROS SIS

12/1


10/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

HEZA CLOSET DRINKER

1


4/1

Average

73


58


0.0


0.0


0.0




2

LIGHT MY CANDY

2


20/1

Slow

0


0


8.1


0.0


0.0




3

FIERROS SIS

3


12/1

Average

67


57


5.2


0.0


0.0




4

JR MITEY EFFORT

4


10/1

Slow

0


0


7.0


0.0


0.0




5

HEZA FAST DYNASTY

5


15/1

Fast

63


53


2.8


0.0


0.0




6

MP BAD HABITS

6


3/1

Average

68


59


3.7


0.0


0.0




8

SEPARATIST CORONA

8


5/2

Slow

74


70


6.4


0.0


0.0




9

SHES BLACKS BLOOD

9


20/1

Slow

0


0


6.8


0.0


0.0




11

BP WAGON SIX

11


5/1

Average

0


0


4.4


0.0


0.0




12

INSEPERABLE JESSIE

12


30/1

Slow

0


0


9.2


0.0


0.0































Unknown Running Style: ZEVIS CARTEL EFFORT (8/1) [Jockey: Vega Jose - Trainer: Sanchez Jr Jorge Luis], HEROIC (10/1) [Jockey: Urieta Jr Victor M - Trainer: Diaz Jr Juan].

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=evd1116zf.pdf&exp=11/18/2023&pds=EVD_-_11/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=EVD&SAP=FREEPICS)


Evangeline Downs - Race 4

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)


Optional Claiming $15,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $11,500 • Post: 6:50P


QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SHES JESS SO SPECIAL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CASH FOR WILLIE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SHEZA BELL PERRY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. DIAMONDONATRAIN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. VG IMTHEB OSS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.



7

SHES JESS SO SPECIAL

5/2


4/1




2

CASH FOR WILLIE

15/1


7/1




1

SHEZA BELL PERRY

2/1


8/1




8

DIAMONDONATRAIN

10/1


9/1




5

VG IMTHEBOSS

12/1


10/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

SHEZA BELL PERRY

1


2/1

Fast

82


76


3.1


0.0


0.0




3

DENZELL

3


6/1

Slow

80


82


7.1


0.0


0.0




4

CORONA BLUES

4


9/2

Fast

81


73


3.1


0.0


0.0




5

VG IMTHEBOSS

5


12/1

Average

84


80


3.8


0.0


0.0




6

MR COMMANDER

6


8/1

Fast

68


65


3.3


0.0


0.0




7

SHES JESS SO SPECIAL

7


5/2

Average

91


91


3.8


0.0


0.0




8

DIAMONDONATRAIN

8


10/1

Average

80


77


5.2


0.0


0.0































Unknown Running Style: CASH FOR WILLIE (15/1) [Jockey: Alvarez Arturo - Trainer: Carrizales Jose].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=ct1116zm.htm&exp=11/18/2023&pds=CT_-_11/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=CT&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,800 Class Rating: 61

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 I'M A TOTAL DIVA (ML=5/1)
#1 WISHING FOR SPRING (ML=8/1)


I'M A TOTAL DIVA - I am keen on that most recent outing on October 26th at Charles Town where she ran second. WISHING FOR SPRING - The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. Peltroche drops her in this affair conditioned properly and ready to go. Peltroche has this filly in the right spot. Smart move here since this horse won a $5,000 Claiming race not too long ago. The addition of the 'hood' should keep her mind on business today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SING A LULLABYE (ML=4/5), #6 EMBERLY (ML=9/2),

SING A LULLABYE - This probable favorite ran on October 21st and hasn't had a blow out since. EMBERLY - Not easy to wager on this runner today. Make her show you something in a short distance race before you bet on her in a race of 4 1/2 furlongs. Awfully difficult to invest in this less than sharp equine when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness lately.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 I'M A TOTAL DIVA to win if we can get at least 8/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race CoursePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=mvr1116zz.htm&exp=11/18/2023&pds=MVR_-_11/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=MVR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 ANIPPE 2/1




# 4 MAUREENLOVESFRANK 8/1




# 1 GRAY ROYALITY 8/5




ANIPPE is the best bet in this race. With one of the most respectable jockeys in terms of returns at the window, don't count this filly out. Will almost certainly come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved swiftly to the front end recently. Recorded a formidable Equibase Speed Figure last time out. MAUREENLOVESFRANK - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt route races in this field. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept. GRAY ROYALITY - This mare looks very good in this contest since Farrior has a very strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. Could beat this group given the 82 speed figure earned in her last outing.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race TrackPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=cmr1116zz.htm&exp=11/18/2023&pds=CMR_-_11/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=CMR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 71

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. 3# A CLASF.$4,000 Y DEBTS ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 END ALL GET ALL 4/1




# 2 SUPER WICKED CHARM 2/1




# 4 DIVINING STAR 3/1




I think END ALL GET ALL is a solid choice. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figs (70 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Tough to pass on this gelding with Figueroa in the saddle. The Equibase Speed Fig of 58 from his last race looks competitive in here. SUPER WICKED CHARM - Ought to be given consideration - I like the numbers from the last race. He has been racing soundly recently while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures. DIVINING STAR - Had one of the most respectable Equibase speed figs of this group in his last contest. Overall the speed figs of this pony look solid in this affair.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=pen1116zm.htm&exp=11/18/2023&pds=PEN_-_11/16/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/16/2023;TRACK_CODE=PEN&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:55pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,400 Class Rating: 65

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 MAKOTO (ML=6/1)
#2 DOUBLE O OTTO (ML=5/2)


MAKOTO - Faced tougher last time out at Delaware Park. Based on class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this animal on my list of contenders. DOUBLE O OTTO - Taking a big drop in class rating points from his Oct 25th race at Delaware Park. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge. Don't look any further. This horse has my money. Way too much speed. You have to really like that latest race fig, 62, which is the best last race speed rating of this group. This gelding is tops in earnings per race. Check out this horse in the post parade.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 I'M NOT A BABY (ML=3/1), #5 DISCREETLY THRIFTY (ML=7/2), #4 DON'T QUESTION ME (ML=9/2),

I'M NOT A BABY - Not likely that the fig he registered on October 25th will be good enough in this contest. DISCREETLY THRIFTY - The finish of fourth in the last affair shows me that this animal may be going off form. DON'T QUESTION ME - Any speed rating acquired on the soft turf must be taken with a grain of salt. Could be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MAKOTO - This is a great longshot angle. Play the top-rated TrackMaster power-rated horse if he has a morning line of at least 5-1.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #1 MAKOTO to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles TownAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10800 Class Rating: 59

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. NO WVB CLAUSE.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 DEVIN ON EARTH 9/5




# 10 MASHUA 6/1




# 8 TOUGH ENOUGH 7/2




I think DEVIN ON EARTH is a respectable choice. As of late Farrior has provided players with a strong winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Ought to compete very well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group. Always seems to be right there at the wire. MASHUA - With one of the best jockeys in terms of profits at the window, don't count this filly out. With a very good 62 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this outing. TOUGH ENOUGH - With a formidable 58 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved rapidly to the lead recently.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 4

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)


Optional Claiming $40,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 3:19P


FOR INDIANA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ACE REPORTER is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ACE REPORTER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race wit hin the last 30 days. IMAGE RUN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RILEYS REDEMPTION: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



1

ACE REPORTER

7/5


7/2




4

IMAGE RUN

9/5


4/1




5

RILEYS REDEMPTION

6/1


6/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

ACE REPORTER

1


7/5

Front-runner

78


91


82.2


80.2


74.7




4

IMAGE RUN

4


9/5

Front-runner

85


88


78.0


75.8


69.3




5

RILEYS REDEMPTION

5


6/1

Alternator/Front-runner

81


78


75.8


69.4


64.4




3

MINTCHOCOLATECHIP

3


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

80


74


53.6


67.4


60.9




6

BUOY

6


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

77


73


52.4


59.0


49.5




2

BOTOX KATIE

2


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

77


75


42.6


68.6


60.1

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 7:39pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,200 Class Rating: 80

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 CLOUD STORAGE (ML=6/1)
#8 TRIZZEL TRAZZEL (ML=10/1)


CLOUD STORAGE - Taking a trip to a lower class level; has the class to make her presence felt. TRIZZEL TRAZZEL - Rider jumped on this filly's back for the initial time on Oct 14th. Should be in tune with the horse even better today. This filly has been training well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SWEET SERENADE (ML=2/1), #9 UMNEYAAT (ML=3/1), #2 VERY SAVVY (ML=8/1),

SWEET SERENADE - Difficult to bet on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no value to taking the chance. Today's contest is 7 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance clash in the last couple of months. Not the greatest of signs. UMNEYAAT - Doesn't seem to have enough good aspects to justify the reward. VERY SAVVY - No victories for this racer at Woodbine.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #1 CLOUD STORAGE to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Churchill Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:00pm - Maiden Special - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 TREBLE CLEF (ML=9/2)
#4 ALEXANDER HELIOS (ML=5/2)
#2 TIZ WICKED STRONG (ML=5/1)


TREBLE CLEF - Mott brings him right back. I advocate you stay with this hot colt. This colt recorded a strong speed rating of 93 in his last race. That speed rating should be strong enough to win this time. Ranks number one in (EPS) earnings per start. A strong performance in this race can add to the lifetime bankroll. ALEXANDER HELIOS - A campaigner coming back this soon after a strong race is a good signal. You have to consider the solid works of late. Last raced at Keeneland with a poor draw. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today. TIZ WICKED STRONG - The jock and conditioner combination have a positive ROI when they partner up. This thoroughbred has increased his speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is important to note.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BEN FRANKLIN (ML=7/2), #6 ICE TIME (ML=4/1), #7 BEARINGS (ML=6/1),

BEN FRANKLIN - This horse hasn't shown much in the last pair of contests. ICE TIME - If you keep choosing these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed most of the time. Not probable that the speed rating he garnered on September 28th will be enough in this clash.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #5 TREBLE CLEF to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[2,4,5] with [2,4,5] with [1,2,4,5,6] with [1,2,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36



SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:

Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 13


2
2
SIR CHARLES OF SKY
12/1
Stafford, Art Jr - 16
557.81


3
3
MAJOR BETTS
12/1
Davis, Allan - 11
540.95


5
5
ON THE CARDS N
6/1
Morgan, Anthony - 18
539.28


6
6
SOMETHING BETTOR A
9/2
Allard, Simon - 7
537.51


8
8
HEINIKIN BYTHEBAY
7/2
Tetrick, Tim - 23
530.10


9
9
DECLAN SEELSTER
10/1
Mccarthy, Andrew - 15
518.34


1
1
STAG PARTY
8/1
Miller, David - 5
514.24


4
4
VIRGO
12/1
Callahan, Corey - 14
511.09


7
7
MACK
5/2
Teague, Montrell - 12
508.35

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 1 - Post: 6:15 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$8500 - N/W 4


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 2 CLASSY LASSY 8/5




# 5 FIX-IT-UP 6/1




# 4 HELP ME HELP YOU 7/2





We've got a gut feel CLASSY LASSY is going to get the win. May provide us a victory based on great recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an avg of 77. The number crunching team noted a very compelling performance out of this horse last time. Looking for a repeat effort of that to win. Looks like a strong choice in this bunch and her positive winning percentage says she has the determination to dominate for this one. FIX-IT-UP - He has very good class ratings, averaging 79. Should be considered for a bet for this race. Bender has been real tough the last 30 days, winning at a really good 19 percent. HELP ME HELP YOU - The brain trust will always throw in a interesting entrant from the 4 post here at Hoosier Park, always worth a look. Positive thought - going to post well enough to contend in this race.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 11


1
1
JIMMY CHILL
4/1
Myers, Hunter - 14
420.03


8
8
IVY STUD
3/1
Lems, Chris - 6
409.92


4
4
MR PINK PIE
12/1
Walters, Justin - 6
400.24


3
3
GUMBOLAYA
20/1
Killeen, Jack - 6
394.08


5
5
GLAZOG
5/1
Brown, Brady - 8
388.81


6
6
OH HOT JAM
9/2
Merriman, Aaron - 15
362.97


2
2
SMOKIN GUNSLINGER
5/1
Indof, Jeremy - 11
356.86


9
9
DRAGONLICIOUS
20/1
Dodson, James - 5
334.92


7
7
MAGIC CHIP
20/1
Smith, Branden - 8
323.80

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau CarletonAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 6 - Post: 5:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$7000 - N/W $900. PER START LAST 10 STARTS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 6 MAJOR HILL 2/1




# 5 MAKE IT COME TRUE 10/1




# 9 IMA DUDE 4/1





MAJOR HILL is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the knowledge group. Many harness players know speed is of the utmost importance. This contender has credentials with a 82 average number. He has good class figures, averaging 84. Worth considering for a bet in this event. Could dominate this field, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 77 - from his most recent effort. MAKE IT COME TRUE - Don't count out this fine animal, especially with Gagnon as the trainer. In the money percentage is terrific. Drawing the 5 slot at this track has lead to an above average win clip. IMA DUDE - He has been squaring off well and the speed ratings are among the top in the field of starters. This entrant has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 81 avg class ranking. Should play well here.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Harrah's Philadelphia

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


6
6
SECRET GARDEN
3/1
Ahle, Johnathan - 9
472.26


7
7
FLIPPIN AWESOME
8/1
Pelling, Jack - 10
449.59


3
3
UTE BLUE CHIP
7/1
Miller, Marcus - 7
445.78


4
4
WON'T BACK DOWN
9/2
Miller, David - 17
436.21


2
2
QUICK MENU
7/2
Boyd, Braxten - 11
430.23


8
8
INDIANAS QUEST GB
5/1
Allard, Simon - 17
413.24


1
1
SANDRADIMPLES
8/1
Beyer, Troy - 7
410.34


5
5
LUNAR BEACH
20/1
Horsey, Ceba - 0
403.09

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 10 - Post: 10:47 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$11000 - FILLIES & MARES, CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 TO $18,000 FOR NW $30,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 4 BADDITUDE 2/1




# 2 SEA SAND 8/1




# 8 P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH 10/1





We've got a vibe BADDITUDE is going to get the triumph. Many expert selectors know speed is is such an important factor. This standardbred has credentials with a 72 avg figure. Seems to have a really good class edge based on the opponents she has raced against. Running sharply, achieved a huge TrackMaster Speed Rating in her most recent gathering (64). SEA SAND - Feel the need for speed, this entrant has been turning in some top notch speed figs averaging around 72. This entrant looks very good considering the high class stats. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics. P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH - Had one of the strongest TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the field of starters in her last competition. I'd recommend using in your bets. This contender will be greatly helped with Macdonald steering. 21 percent winners this last month.

[ConleyPicks]

BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS

Mahoning Valley - Race #1
PICKS NOTES
#4 When in Rome He has had a lot of chances and is short on excuses at this point, but he has a legitimate one when finding trouble in the comeback race. Factor in some improvement second off the break and I think he's supposed to handle these.
#5 Wilderzar Same scenario here as far as having had his chances already, but he's honest enough with this kind and seems in line to land another share if he holds that form again. Reasonable alternative.
#2 Question Mark Dropper was never really involved in the debut run, but he's down in class out of that special weight spot and might offer something a bit more competitive today.
Race Summary Top two are both horses who have had a bunch of chances at this level, but When in Rome actually rolled home here last season in a similar enough spot before getting DQ'ed for a positive test, and more importantly he stepped up well with winners a couple times before that test came back. I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt for the comeback -- wouldn't be surprised if he drilled these.

Mahoning Valley - Race #7
PICKS NOTES
#9 Lucky Penny Rose I think there might be just enough speed lined up to at least keep things honest up top, and I wonder if a patient, one-run finishing rid might give her a chance to land this at a decent price.
#4 Diva Power Stretchout player is the likely committed pace after rattling off three easy sprint wins in which she right up top the entire way, but I think she might take enough challenges along the way to find the stretch run taxing today.
#6 Aunt Bee She won a couple stakes races here last year, including this one, but she was in a LOT better form heading into the season then than she is right now. I don't know...but I don't think she's for me today.
Race Summary #8 Lofty Cowtown is another who has some appeal depending on the price, but Lucky Penny Rose might get a fair enough setup to see if she can settle and finish against this better group. She's still a question on class right now, so demand a midrange price.

Mahoning Valley - Race #8
PICKS NOTES
#9 Blue Nomore Not totally sure here, but I do know that there are a couple runners down inside who are almost sure to take some cash, and I think the both might be in tricky positions early with some company. This guy was no threat in the debut run, but I think he can move forward off that and might be among those finishing best late. Upside at an OK number?
#1 Gunner Gabriel Debuter gets the fence for the first try, but the barn wins at about 24% with this type locally and might have him ready enough to go. Would tread with care if the price gets short, though -- that nice stat comes along with a noticeable negative ROI.
#2 Dial Direct He already has a bit of proven tactical speed and should be right in the mix again early on with these, but the price surely gets short while dropping back in with friends, and I'm not 100% sold on exactly how much he wants to finish off a race just yet. Obvious threat, but the barn is about 13% with a big negative ROI in these races.
Race Summary Blue Nomore got past a couple horses and made what I would call a mild move before staying on at one pace in the debut try, and I'm hoping that ability to finish will work in his favor today if a couple of these hook up with the likely chalk early.

[ConleyPicks]

FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS

Laurel Park - Race #3
PICKS NOTES
#1 SAVOY (12-1) Late-running longshot gets pace to run at, looks to pad $222k bankroll for new barn.
#4 JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT (4-1) Arrives after pair of easy wins at Delaware in his last three go-rounds.
#8 NOTTOWAY (2-1) Won 3 of his last 5 starts at 5-1/2F – all as the short-priced favorite.
Race Summary SAVOY lacked speed and got up for second behind the 6-to-5 and 5-to-1 winners at 6F, then unwound too late on the cutback to today’s distance. He projects an ideal trip in a speed-laden field and offers plenty of value for a win and place bet.

Laurel Park - Race #4
PICKS NOTES
#12 SWAN LAKE (3-1) Good speed, good spot, good company lines, early position will be the key.
#8 GHOSTLY PRINCE (9-5) Rallied for a win and two seconds at three New York tracks recently.
#1 GRAND PICK (5-1) Won 4 of last 9 route attempts but tries the lawn for the first time.
Race Summary SWAN LAKE, a three-time turf winner facing mostly nw/3 types, has enough speed to get position from post 12 and factor throughout. He met the likes of stakes winner Smithwick’s Spice (9-35, $445k) and multiple stakes-placed There Are No Words (4-17, $306k) recently. Bet to win and place.

Laurel Park - Race #7
PICKS NOTES
#7 SALOON (5-1) In top form, can continue it off Farrior claim at distance which he romped twice.
#8 TAKE A HINT (4-1) Maintained ultra-consistent form as a gelding, never offers much price.
#9 AMITY ROAD (7-2) Didn’t carry-over Monmouth form on return to town, deserves another chance.
Race Summary SALOON was a troubled start from winning his third consecutive race on the class rise. He jumps right into the allowance ranks for a high percentage claim barn and offers more betting value. Play a 7-ALL exacta.

[ConleyPicks]

TALKING HORSES
Thursday November 16, 2023
AQUEDUCT

Andy Serling
Race 1 5 - 4 - 1 - 2
Race 2 7 - 3 - 8 - 1
Race 3 3 - 5 - 1 - 4
Race 4 1 - 2 - 1A - 8 - 4
Race 5 8 - 11 - 9 - 10
Race 6 1 - 6 - 4 - 2
Race 7 3 - 7 - 9 - 4
Race 8 7 - 5 - 2 - 8
Race 9 9 - 12 - 4 - 11

Sara Elbadwi
Race 1 1 - 5 - 4 - 2
Race 2 8 - 3 - 1 - 5
Race 3 3 - 5 - 4 - 1
Race 4 7 - 6 - 8 - 5
Race 5 12 - 11 - 8 - 2
Race 6 6 - 4 - 2 - 1
Race 7 7 - 10 - 4 - 3
Race 8 7 - 5 - 6 - 8
Race 9 5 - 9 - 4 - 11

[ConleyPicks]

Picks & Plays for Thursday, November 16
by David Aragona

AQUEDUCT

Visit TimeformUS to view this card’s Highlight Horse and get PPs.

PICKS

Race 1: 5 - 1 - 2 - 4
Race 2: 2 - 5 - 1 - 8
Race 3: 5 - 3 - 4 - 1
Race 4: 4 - 8 - 1 - 2
Race 5: 9 - 12 - 11 - 2
Race 6: 1 - 4 - 2 - 6
Race 7: 7 - 4 - 1 - 10
Race 8: 8 - 7 - 5 - 6
Race 9: 12 - 9 - 4 - 11

FAIR VALUE PLAYS
(Fair Value: These are the odds at which I could reasonably bet each of the horses listed. Wagering decisions should be based on the actual odds. The best value option will not necessarily be the top pick.)


RACE 2

It’s hard to trust anyone in this $30k conditioned claimer. The horses who look most immediately appealing are the three favorites, and I won’t be surprised when they’re successful here. They just all want to be forwardly placed, and it does feel like this pace has the potential to heat up. I don’t trust Three Zero (#3) on a fast track. He was a “last time” horse when he nearly got it done switching back to dirt, but that was a soft spot where the pace was moderate. It’s hard to see him getting away with a similar trip with Camm’ Duke (#7) in here. Face Abbario (#1) and Mudville Nine (#5) are a little more appealing to me. The former has run well in his limited dirt sprint starts, but Michelle Nevin is getting him from a pretty potent trainer, so I wonder if he’ll hold his form. Mudville Nine didn’t have a major excuse last time, but he has at least taken a step forward for Rob Atras and seems somewhat reliable. My top pick is Buckortwo (#2). Some may be inclined to label this a turf horse running on the wrong surface. However, he actually ran surprisingly well in his lone dirt attempt at Saratoga in August. Though he was beaten 11 lengths, that was a much tougher field and he was right in the mix at the quarter pole before fading going a distance that is obviously too far for him. While he does have more of a turf pedigree overall, full-siblings Dancing Buck and Mz Big Bucks have both won on dirt. He’s been in a few wrong spots recently, but he’s actually been in decent form. Now he receives needed class relief, and he should get the right trip from just off the pace.

Fair Value:
#2 BUCKORTWO, at 4-1 or greater


RACE 3

I’ll be interested to see how the public bets this race with limited form on which to base opinions. I could envision Ekwanok (#4) taking money by default. She’s run some competitive speed figures and was staying on pretty well going 6 furlongs two back before encountering a tougher field last time. Yet I’m not convinced that she necessarily has to get better with added distance, and others appear to have more upside. The interesting new face to consider is Practical Royalty (#3), a second time starter for Linda Rice. She feels like the classic Rice runner who was just getting some experience on the wrong surface in her debut. She showed tactical speed that day before fading after a wide trip. She’s likely to do better here with that experience under her belt, and she’s certainly bred for these conditions as a half-sister to Grade 1-winning dirt router Meltanonin. I just wouldn’t want to take too short a price on a horse who still has some things to prove. My top pick is Munny Grab (#5). I just view her as the most likely winner of this race based on her overall progression. She ran like a horse who needed her debut going shorter, and she took a step forward last time going 7 furlongs. She was never beating the superior winner that day, but she did finish gamely after having to awkwardly alter course in upper stretch. Her dam was a dirt route winner who was stakes-placed, so the distance isn’t supposed to be an issue. Over 5 years, Horacio De Paz is 9 for 30 (30%, $2.44 ROI) with horses stretching out to a dirt route for the first time.

Fair Value:
#5 MUNNY GRAB, at 2-1 or greater


RACE 4

My primary opinion in this $35k conditioned claimer is that I didn’t want to settle for a short price on the Rudy Rodriguez entry of Howzyourcashflow (#1) and Chasing Daylight (#1A). It’s pretty obvious that both runners have a chance to win, and I prefer the upside of Howzyourcashflow. Yet they’re going to be bet down as a coupled pair, ensuring poor value. They also both want to be forwardly placed and it does appear that there’s plenty of pace signed on. The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, which could also work against Jolly Miss Jill (#2). She did win from a stalking position last time, but did so from an outside post position. The rail draw doesn’t seem ideal for her, and she’s another who figures to be a short price as she makes her first start off the claim for Rob Atras. I wanted to get a little more creative with some horses who might rally from off the pace. The most obvious closer is Amity Island (#8), who was rallying for second behind Jolly Miss Jill last time. She actually got a fair pace setup that day, but just ran out of ground going 7 furlongs. The stretch-out to a mile figures to suit her, and she’s also making her second start off a layoff for a new trainer. She has prior races that put her in the mix, and she might be rounding back into form. My top pick is the Parx shipper Moonboots (#4). The one-mile distance is a bit of a question mark for this filly, but she might have more success stretching out around one turn. She had no issues getting 7 furlongs last time, rallying for second behind a horse who has won 4 of her last 7 starts. She made a nice middle move up the rail two back before flattening out around two turns. Unlike most of these, she’s been facing allowance horses, and this will mark just the second time she’s ever raced for a claiming tag. Carla Morgan doesn’t send many horses to New York, but she did win a race at Saratoga back in 2017 with a 13-1 shot.

Fair Value:
#4 MOONBOOTS, at 9-1 or greater
#8 AMITY ISLAND, at 8-1 or greater


RACE 5

This $14k conditioned claimer is one of the most confusing races on the card. There are a few runners with back class, but they’re generally coming off poor efforts. That includes Khafre (#11), who might go favored based on his overall resume of superior performances. However, it’s been a while since he’s put forth a competitive effort, and his last dirt race back in June was abysmal. He did appear to take a step in the right direction on turf last time, but it’s unclear if that will translate to this surface. Then you have the pair of Linda Rice runners, who are both difficult to read. Ski Patrol (#10) appears to be in better form off his win last time, but I wonder if he’s a turf horse who just handled a sloppy, sealed track. Harrowed dirt could be a bigger hurdle for him, and this is also a tougher spot despite the lower claiming tag. Commerce Comet (#8) seems like the Rice runner that could offer greater appeal. She has great stats with this kind of dropdown off the claim. However, he lands in a race where there’s other speed to deal with, and the only race that really makes him a standout here is a victory against soft competition at Horseshoe Indy two back. I considered a couple of alternatives, who are basically polar opposites. Big Save (#12) has some class questions to answer after winning a $6,250 claimer two back. However, he seems like a 3-year-old who’s improving for Wayne Potts. He was closing well up the inside last time and seems likely to put forth another strong effort in his third start off the layoff. He might not be good enough but least he seems to be heading in the right direction. My top pick is Counterfeitcurrency (#9), who obviously fits on class but appears to be in terrible form. The good news for him is that this class relief might be even more pronounced than it appears at first glance. He faced a deceptively strong field of $20k open claimers last time. I wish he had done a little more running in that spot, but now he’s taking the blinkers off and dropping. Going back through his starts prior to that, he faced group after group of runners who are superior to the field he’s meeting here. Derek Ryan can win with prices on this circuit, and the horse is supposed to get a decent pace setup.

Fair Value:
#9 COUNTERFEITCURRENCY, at 8-1 or greater
#12 BIG SAVE, at 8-1 or greater


RACE 7

I’m not trying to beat Be of Courage (#7), who is just getting logical class relief as he moves back into New York-bred company. He’s been stuck at this N1X allowance level for quite some time, but his performances have gradually been improving over the past several months. He just missed when closing into a moderate pace at Saratoga on Aug. 27. He was then unlucky in his most recent start at this level on Sep. 17, encountering traffic while trying to rally up the rail in a race dominated by the leaders. The connections then got too ambitious trying a pair of tougher open company races. He actually outran his odds both times, putting in an especially encouraging effort last time, just missing second behind the stakes-quality Redistricting. A repeat of that 109 TimeformUS Speed Figure will make him awfully tough for this field to beat. He also might be a bigger price than his form merits, due to the lower profile connections. One of his main rivals is Lord Flintshire (#10), but he’s tough to trust as a win candidate, having finished second on 8 occasions, including in 3 of his last 4 starts. He just seems to have trouble finding the winner’s circle despite maintaining solid form. Furthermore, he got very good trips in each of his last two starts, and now he’s drawn outside. Shinsun (#4) is another who has settled for minor awards recently, but at least he has a little more upside as a lightly raced sort. He was closing just ahead of Be of Courage when they met at this level on Sep. 17, and finished well to get up for third in a race that didn’t’ feature much pace. His lack of early speed just often leaves him with too much to do, so he’s dependent on them going quickly up front. Lt. Mitchell (#1) is the one new face at this level that I would consider. He beat a weaker field of maidens last time at Saratoga, but he had shown more ability in prior starts. He possesses dangerous tactical speed from the rail, and Linda Rice has a knack for keeping horses like this in good form once they start having success.

Fair Value:
#7 BE OF COURAGE, at 5-2 or greater


RACE 9

Chad Brown holds a pretty strong hand in this maiden finale, sending out the likely favorite and an interesting alternative.Right to Win (#4) figures to attract plenty of support after showing some progression from race-to-race this spring into summer. He’s kept good company, and seems capable of another step forward as he returns from a layoff. It is worth noting that this extended break since his last race wasn’t planned – he’s been entered and rained off the turf multiple times. I just thought Take Me to Jimmy (#9) was a little more interesting at what should be a better price. Heavily supported in both starts as a 2-year-old, he broke slowly and made a premature move on debut before hitting his best stride too late in a forwardly-dominated race in his second start. He’s been off for a long time, but Chad Brown is 23 for 70 (31%, $2.10 ROI) off 300-600 day layoffs in turf routes over the past 5 years. They’re the two horses to beat, but I was intrigued by a runner trying this surface for the first time. Champagne Juan (#12) showed some promise when gamely staying on for second in his debut on dirt before putting in a dull effort off the layoff last time. Yet his pedigree suggests he’s just needed the turf all along. Justify is proving to be a strong turf influence, getting 16% turf winners in a 165-runner sample. The dam achieved all of her success on turf and was Grade 1-placed routing on that surface. Her only winning foal is a turf winner. Physically, this horse has the loping, bounding stride of one that should appreciate the surface switch. Christophe Clement does well with first time turfers overall, but he has much better stats in sprints than he does in routes. That said, this horse is supposed to be a fair price. He has to work out a trip from the outside post position, but least the rails are out on the inner turf, and there’s a long run to the clubhouse turn.

Fair Value:
#12 CHAMPAGNE JUAN, at 6-1 or greater

[ConleyPicks]

SCOTT SHAPIRO
EXPERT SELECTIONS

November 16, 2023
Double-check listed numbers against program numbers before wagering. Selections subject to change on race day due to scratches, off the turf, etc. For the most up to the minute information follow Scott on Twitter @ScottShap34.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

RACE 1
1:00 PM
Selections: 2-4-6-1-3

2 MAN ON THE MOON Has two-turn speed, but likely to sit just off on turnback
4 BEST OF GREELEY Looks to make it 3 in row in 1st start off claim for Morse
6 INDIAN GULCH Runs this group down in lane if pace is contentious

RACE 2
1:30 PM
Selections: 1/6-5-2

1 ALTERED SHOT Takes them gate to wire on class drop under Saez
6 FASHION RAGE Freshened up by Asmussen; completes exacta much like on 8/6
5 MEGAN'S CLARA Has run some of her best races in the Ville

RACE 3
2:00 PM
Selections: 4/6-2-1

4 ALEXANDER HELIOS Ran too good to lose in last; finally breaks thru for maiden score
6 ICE TIME Likely to pass tiring rivals like he did on 9/28
2 TIZ WICKED STRONG Lacks early zip, but has proven to appreciate more ground

RACE 4
2:30 PM
Selections: 3-5-2-9

3 YES TO CHAMPAGNE Goes 2 sprints to route for Wilkes; ran into solid winners in 1st 2 tries
5 NEOM BEACH Likely to be involved early on stretch out for Asmussen
2 FUNDAMENTALLY Took little public support in 1st two starts; but benefits from surface switch

RACE 5
3:01 PM
Selections: 3-4-6/1-5-2

3 HURRY HURRY Finds favorable spot after strong performance at KEE last month
4 LUNA VIEJA Could be tough to catch if able to control tempo again
6 INEXORABLE Stretches back out for Asmussen, has earned 2 of his 3 wins at CD

RACE 6
3:31 PM
Selections: 3-4-7-1-2

3 ICICLES Makes 3rd start of form cycle for hot Ennis barn
4 ITSABLINGTHING Freshened up after wide voyage on day when inside was place to be
7 CRUSHED ICE Drops into restricted MSW ranks after poor effort vs better at KEE

RACE 7
4:01 PM
Selections: 10/9-4-6-1-3-2

10 POBLANO Works out perfect stalking trip after strong 2nd at KEE last month
9 TOWER BRIDGE Makes 1st start for barn that thrives w/new additions to their stable
4 NEW BEAT Will appreciate getting back to two turns

RACE 8
4:33 PM
Selections: 4-6-11-7

4 HIGH CLASS Benfits most from move from turf to dirt
6 LADY GOLDSTART Tries fast main track for 1st time this year in initial try for Maker
11 TALES OF HOME Draws in off AE list for Stewart

RACE 9
5:05 PM
Selections: 4-8-12-9-7-10-1

4 MYDIXIELANDDELIGHT Barn ran 2nd w debut MCL in Wed finale; attracts Saez in 1st start
8 SWEET MIMI Skimmed rail in last, but was outfinished by Walsh FTS
12 CONTROLLED TEMPER Looks to get back to debut where she ran an 80 BRIS

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - November 16
Nov. 15, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $85,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
5
Paris Style
J Alvarado


PLACE
12-1
3
Tooshay
T McCarthy


SHOW
5-2
2
Dreaming of Mo
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
8-5
4
African Waters
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Allegedly
K Davis








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #2 $30,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Three Zero
J A Gomez


PLACE
7-2
5
Mudville Nine
M Franco


SHOW
7-2
1
Face Abarrio
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
12-1
6
Will Be Famous
M Olver





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
8
Playingwithmatches
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
2
Buckortwo
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 MUNNY GRAB









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
5
Munny Grab
L R Rivera Jr.


PLACE
2-1
4
Ekwanok
K Carmouche


SHOW
10-1
8
Poseidons Mist
E Ruiz


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Miss Bourbon
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
6
Scarlets Dream
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Saving Memories
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX









RACE #4 $35,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:46 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 HOWZYOURCASHFLOW









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
1
Howzyourcashflow
L R Rivera Jr.


PLACE
5-2
2
Jolly Miss Jill
K Carmouche


SHOW
9-2
6
Vintage
D Davis


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Angelas Party Girl
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
8-5
1A
Chasing Daylight
M Franco


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Diamond Collector
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX









RACE #5 $14,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
8
Commerce Comet
M Franco


PLACE
6-1
2
Tommy Gun
J A Gomez


SHOW
3-1
11
Khafre
K Carmouche


WILD CARD
6-1
10
Ski Patrol
J Lezcano





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
12
Big Save
T McCarthy


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
9
Counterfeitcurency
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/8/11 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX









RACE #6 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:44 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 FORTUNES NEPHEW









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Fortunes Nephew
K Carmouche


PLACE
8-1
3
Scherzando
J Castellano


SHOW
3-1
2
Beary Funny
M Franco


WILD CARD
5-2
4
Clever Forever
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1
Caldo Candy
L R Rivera Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
8
Twirling Vine
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #7 $75,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
9
Rocket and Roll
J Rosario


PLACE
4-1
10
Lord Flintshire
J Castellano


SHOW
3-1
7
Be of Courage
R Silvera


WILD CARD
20-1
5
Courageoous Oh La
N Alvarado





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
15
Bourbon Chase
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
16
Leo and Royal
Rider TBA








* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX









RACE #8 $80,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:42 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
8
Majestic Return
K Carmouche


PLACE
9-2
6
Tempermental
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
15-1
1
Carbon
E Cancel


WILD CARD
2-1
7
Timely Conquest
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Cousin Kristi
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
9
Fontanafredda
M Franco








* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX









RACE #9 $85,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
11
War Officer
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-2
4
Right to Win
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
20-1
10
One Bite
A Adorno


WILD CARD
5-1
9
Take Me to Jimmy
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Heart N Soul
J R Velazquez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Nostalgic One
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 11-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/10/11 BOX, 4/9/10 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 16
Nov. 15, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $52,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 TIGER MOON









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
5
Tiger Moon
J R Leparoux


PLACE
7-2
6
Indian Gulch
F Arrieta


SHOW
5-1
4
Best of Greeley
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
9-2
2
Man On the Moon
J Talamo





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1
Secret Pocket
D Cannon


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
P H Factor
R Bejarano








* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #2 $62,500 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
5
Megans Clara
T Gaffalione


PLACE
2-1
1
Altered Shot
L Saez


SHOW
4-1
6
Fashion Rage
K J Asmussen


WILD CARD
9-2
2
Dealing Justice
F Arrieta





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Need Some Money
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Backyard Money
G Saez








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #3 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 ALEXANDER HELIOS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Alexander Helios
T Gaffalione


PLACE
7-2
1
Ben Franklin
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
6-1
7
Bearings
M Garcia


WILD CARD
4-1
6
Ice Time
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
2
Tiz Wicked Strong
A Beschizza


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
3
Game Keeper
K J Asmussen








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX









RACE #4 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
14
Whimsically
F Arrieta


PLACE
5-2
5
Neom Beach
L Saez


SHOW
3-1
11
Luz Divina
L Saez


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Fantastical
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
10
On the Nile
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Kiss Blue
J R Leparoux








* EXACTA: 14-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/11/14 BOX, 1/5/11 BOX









RACE #5 $72,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:01 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
6
Inexorable
K J Asmussen


PLACE
5-1
1
St. Elmo
G Corrales


SHOW
5-1
4
Luna Vieja
E Morales


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Whats Up Doc
G Ashton





ALTERNATE 1
9-5
3
Hurry Hurry
L Machado


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Southern Crush
R Bejarano








* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX









RACE #6 $92,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:31 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Icicles
E Morales


PLACE
4-1
4
Itsablingthing
F Peterson


SHOW
7-2
1
Vicki Rose
R Bejarano


WILD CARD
10-1
5
Ladan
J Elliott





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
7
Crushed Ice
R Santana Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Market Profile
B J Hernandez Jr.








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX









RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET



BEST BET: #10 POBLANO









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
10
Poblano
T Gaffalione


PLACE
4-1
6
Pigalle
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
7-2
1
Flashy Lass
M Chuan


WILD CARD
12-1
3
Lexa
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
5
Dear Lady
F Arrieta


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Her Ladyship
M Garcia








* EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/6/10 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #8 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:33 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Lady Goldstart
T Gaffalione


PLACE
4-1
4
High Class
L Saez


SHOW
4-1
3
American Starlet
G Corrales


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Current Climate
A Achard





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Lauras Charm
J Talamo


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
11
Tales of Home
T Gaffalione








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX









RACE #9 $100,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
12
Controlled Temper
T Gaffalione


PLACE
3-1
8
Sweet Mimi
F Geroux


SHOW
12-1
13
Youre Forever
J R Leparoux


WILD CARD
4-1
7
Sister Ella
K J Asmussen





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
4
Mydixielanddelight
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Spiritual Lady
R Santana Jr.








* EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-13 BOX, 13-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 8/12/13 BOX, 7/8/13 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Horseshoe Indianapolis Tip Sheet - November 16
Nov. 15, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $38,500 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
3
Salty Sue
F De La Cruz


PLACE
7-5
1
Dabney
S E Bermudez


SHOW
6-1
6
Abra Abra
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
9-2
2
Lucky Linda W
R A Prescott





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
4
Ten Lil Victories
A Burgos


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Comp
J Morales








* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #2 $7,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:19 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
1
Sight to Behold
R A Prescott


PLACE
2-1
2
Brisbane Road
A Burgos


SHOW
3-1
6
Maggie E
A Centeno


WILD CARD
20-1
5
Cangua
J Morales





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Baseball Pegge
S E Bermudez


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
4
Absconder
M Burnham








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:49 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
El Cerrito
M Pedroza Jr.


PLACE
5-2
6
Lieutenant Jack
A Jimenez


SHOW
7-2
8
Jay Bird
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Pure Cane Sugar
A Lezcano





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
4
Showdown Justice
A Pusac


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Classy Ghost
J D Ramos








* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX









RACE #4 $42,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:19 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
1
Ace Reporter
S E Bermudez


PLACE
9-5
4
Image Run
E Esquivel


SHOW
6-1
5
Rileys Redemption
O Mojica


WILD CARD
15-1
2
Botox Katie
G Terraza





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Buoy
M Franklin


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
3
Mintchocolatechip
J D Ramos








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #5 $34,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 JUST BE QUIET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
2
Just Be Quiet
E E Perez


PLACE
8-1
10
Stephanieswarrior
A Lezcano


SHOW
7-2
9
El Kown
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
12-1
11
Our Girl Flint
J D Ramos





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
7
Seau nTap
R A Prescott


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
12
Perfect Manhattan
A Pusac








* EXACTA: 2-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/9/10 BOX, 9/10/11 BOX









RACE #6 $38,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
12-1
8
Monumentaljustice
A Pusac


PLACE
10-1
11
Rocket Docket
M Anderson


SHOW
4-1
6
Humble Warrior
S E Bermudez


WILD CARD
7-2
4
Jacks Summer
O Mojica





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
2
Devils Gotta Go
E Esquivel


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Sargent Hulka
A Burgos








* EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/8/11 BOX, 4/6/11 BOX









RACE #7 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:51 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 PHILIP SNOW









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
4
Philip Snow
J D Ramos


PLACE
2-1
5
Turbonator
F De La Cruz


SHOW
10-1
2
San Ronin
O Villarreal


WILD CARD
15-1
8
Gray Mike
A Burgos





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Big Anchor
S E Bermudez


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
9
Glorified Winner
M Burnham








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX









RACE #8 $38,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:22 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-1
4
Silver Sterling
S E Bermudez


PLACE
7-2
8
Kingsbury Road
E E Perez


SHOW
5-2
1
Tree of Liberty
J D Ramos


WILD CARD
6-1
7
Concentration
M Pedroza Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
3
Unbridled Slope
F De La Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
6
Castille
R A Prescott








* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX









RACE #9 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:52 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
7
Explosive Skies
S E Bermudez


PLACE
8-1
4
Out of Promises
G Romero


SHOW
5-2
2
Brody Mo
F De La Cruz


WILD CARD
9-2
1
Empire Sunrise
M Pedroza Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Mean Elenita
M Burnham


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Icey Angel
J Morales








* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #10 $5,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:22 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 ROCKIN JUSTICE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
9
Rockin Justice
A P Ulloa


PLACE
8-1
1
Cambiaso
G Terraza


SHOW
8-1
4
Johnnys Moment
O Mojica


WILD CARD
5-1
7
Simon Peter
S E Bermudez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Celerity
J D Ramos


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
3
Smokin Hot
E Esquivel








* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/9 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX









RACE #11 $5,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:51 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-5
3
No Joking Matter
M Burnham


PLACE
8-1
2
Angelsndisguise
F De La Cruz


SHOW
15-1
1
Allie Maes Revenge
E E Perez


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Mygaljustice
J Figueroa





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Santiva Diva
J Morales


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
4
Lilmiss Sassypants
S E Bermudez








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX









RACE #12 $17,000 MAIDEN
350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:19 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
9
Hf Pick Six
R D Pina


PLACE
12-1
10
Zoomin Lil Twist
G Vazquez-Gomez


SHOW
6-1
11
Mg to Fancy Macho
L D Martinez


WILD CARD
10-1
7
Aprollific Jess
M Munoz





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
3
Credible
L D Martinez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
A Little Bit Alexis
J M Ruiz








* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 9/10/11 BOX, 7/10/11 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Power Play of the Day

Charles Town

Race #2 #2 Sing a Lullabye 4/5

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Air Force -16 over Lindenwood

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4UThursday Free Selection: Wright State Raiders/Indiana Hoosiers over 149 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 SportsThursday's Free Play: Missouri Tigers - 1

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye SportsThursday's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins - 155

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Thursday: Texas-Arlinton Mavericks + 15

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday
Wake Forest (CBB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tim DonaghyFree Play for Thursday is on the Nets/Heat Over

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the Liberty Flames -2 over Furman

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday :Take WICHITA ST (CBB) -5 over Coastal Carolina

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
Indiana -11 CBB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Teyas SportsFREE PICK 11/16/23 CFB MINNESOTA +1 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Kenny Towers





Your Free Pick for Thursday - Golden St (NBA) +2.5


Played & Documented!
2023-24 Freeplay Record - 20-19-1

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take CBB Auburn -14.5

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY:HOUSTON (CBB) -18.5 over Towson St

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic SportsThursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Liberty Flames - 2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Golden Dragon
Thursday Free Play
Virginia -20 CBB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Arthur RalphFree play 1298-868 run THURS NY Islanders + 110

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Thursday: OKLAHOMA ST -2 over St Bonaventure (CBB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony's Free Selection for Thursday: Take the LSU TIGERS (NCAAB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR THURSDAY!
CFB PITTSBURGH -3 over Boston College

[ConleyPicks]

Sal Michaels

Free Play on St. John's-3

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Blue Jackets+112

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Golden Knights-190

[ConleyPicks]

Brandon Lee

7* NBA Nets/Heat Free Pick

PLAY ON: Heat -3.5

I'll take my chances with the Heat only laying 3.5 at home against the Nets. Miami has really turned this thing around after a slow start. Heat are riding a 6-game win streak and have covered in 3 of their last 4. The one they didn't, they won by 6 as a 6.5-point favorite. Brooklyn has been an ATS machine, going 9-1 ATS to start the season. I just think the books have finally started to adjust. Note they were a 6.5-point road dog at Miami back on Nov. 1. They ended up winning outright 109-105, but that also makes me like the Heat more, as they will want revenge. Too much value here with Miami to pass up. Give me the Heat -3.5!

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on Bengals+3.5

[ConleyPicks]

Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Ravens-3 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

[ConleyPicks]

Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Bengals+3.5

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the NEBRASKA OMAHA MAVERICKS+1.5 for our Thursday Free Play. William & Mary is expected to finish in the bottom half of the CAA after going 7-11 last season and putting up a 13-20 overall record which actually was not bad considering the Tribe won 12 games combined the previous two seasons. Most of its wins were in home games, as they went 11-5 compared to its away record of 1-14 where they are already 0-1. There is experience on the roster but they are still very young and they have a tough travel spot here going to Colorado Springs in this early season tournament. Nebraska-Omaha finished last in the Summit League last season at 4-14 while going 9-23 overall. The Mavericks were one of the youngest teams in the country and they bring back four starters as well as their top six scorers so the chemistry is there. They are off to a 1-2 start with losses to TCU and North Texas but covered both of those and while those were as big dogs, they take a step down in competition here. This is the most experienced Omaha team in four years and last year was still considered a success after 10 wins the previous two seasons combined and they are only going to get better. Play (726) Nebraska Omaha Mavericks

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Canucks+105

[ConleyPicks]

AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY Flames-112

Here's a great situational play. Vancouver has a game at home vs. the Islanders on Wednesday (as of writing), while the Flames return home off a 2-1 road win at Montreal. Calgary catches Vancouver on the second game of the back-to-back and we think that at this price, the hungry home side is definitely worthy of a "second look;" consider Calgary on Thursday night!

AAA Sports

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Islanders+105

No analysis provided.

[ConleyPicks]

ProSportsPicks

PSP's Data Driven 1* NBA Free Pick: Thunder-140

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Favorite. Oklahoma City are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Golden State are 1-4 in their last 5 games played in November.

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Blues-175

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

[ConleyPicks]

Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 11-16-23

Montana State @ California (11:00 PM EST)
Play On: California -12 1/2

The Montana State Bobcats travel to California to take on the Golden Bears on Thursday night. Montana State is 1-1 overall this year while California comes in with a 2-1 overall record on the season. Montana State is 1-8 SU last 9 games against PAC 12 opponents. California is 11-2 SU last 13 games against the Big Sky conference. California went 3-29 last year but they are much better this season while Montana State is not as good as they were last year. My Rocketman line for this game has California winning by 29 points. We'll recommend a small play on California tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky