Friday 11/17/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for AqueductPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=aqu1117zf.pdf&exp=11/19/2023&pds=AQU_-_11/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=AQU&SAP=FREEPICS)


Aqueduct - Race 7

Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 7 &8, Pick 3 ($1) (7-9)


Optional Claiming $80,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 106 • Purse: $95,000 • Post: 3:14P


(UP TO $16,530 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON $60,000 IN 2023 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $80,000 (ALLOWANCE HORSES PREFERRED)(1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * NOVA RAGS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GUN I T: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SCARAMOUCHE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest T rackMaster Power Rating. KINETIC SKY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



6

GUN IT

5/2


9/2




5

NOVA RAGS

9/5


9/2




2

SCARAMOUCHE

12/1


7/1




4

KINETIC SKY

7/2


9/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

SCARAMOUCHE

2


12/1

Stalker

102


96


90.6


91.4


81.4




5

NOVA RAGS

6


9/5

Stalker

107


105


79.8


103.6


99.1




6

GUN IT

7


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

107


111


83.0


99.0


93.0




4

KINETIC SKY

5


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

108


103


68.5


92.8


84.8




3

BABY YODA

3


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

107


92


75.8


83.4


74.4




1

CHEWING GUM

1


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

108


98


56.8


91.6


82.6




1A

SYNTHESIS

4


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

102


98


49.8


85.0


76.5

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=ded1117zf.pdf&exp=11/19/2023&pds=DED_-_11/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=DED&SAP=FREEPICS)


Delta Downs - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 7-8) ($1 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)


Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 7:56P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. OURPERFECTPRINCESS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OURPERFECTPRINCESS: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HURRICANE TIZWAY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.



2

OURPERFECTPRINCESS

3/1


5/2




4

HURRICANE TIZWAY

5/1


7/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




8

ITSNOTMYJOB

8


10/1

Front-runner

78


67


69.6


50.2


40.2




4

HURRICANE TIZWAY

4


5/1

Front-runner

81


81


58.8


50.0


43.0




2

OURPERFECTPRINCESS

2


3/1

Alternator/Front-runner

75


67


84.0


64.6


62.1




6

DONNAS FINAL WORD

6


6/1

Stalker

68


72


73.0


63.4


53.4




7

BIND ON EARTH

7


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

67


60


63.2


59.4


48.9




3

LIL MISS DE BUY

3


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

73


59


40.2


55.6


46.1




5

BUILDING HOME

5


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

73


62


66.4


51.2


41.2




9

STELLA'S SURPRISE

9


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

67


56


41.8


46.2


34.2




1

POINT OF VICTORY

1


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

72


67


33.2


45.0


28.0

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles TownPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ct1117zz.htm&exp=11/19/2023&pds=CT_-_11/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=CT&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - SA - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18600 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE NOVEMBER 17, 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17 ALLOWED 4 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 RIDICULOUS 1/1




# 5 EKATI'S VERVE 6/1




# 3 CAPE LOOKOUT 12/1




RIDICULOUS is my choice. Should be carefully examined here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone. This pony has a excellent win percent in dirt sprints. Has to be given a chance - I like the figures from the last affair. EKATI'S VERVE - When Mancilla uses Cruz there's a good chance for sizeable profits. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of respectable win percentage - 16 percent - at this distance & surface. CAPE LOOKOUT - He has earned respectable figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ls1117zz.htm&exp=11/19/2023&pds=LS_-_11/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=LS&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 78

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 MC KISS MY CASH 3/1




# 6 FUN NFANCY DANCER 20/1




# 7 ANDRETTY 2/1




MC KISS MY CASH is the most favorable bet in this race. Looks solid to be on or close to the front end at the first call. He has very good class ratings, averaging 85, and has to be given a chance here. Has to be considered in here if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. ANDRETTY - Looks competitive for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid numbers in short races recently. Looks very strong against this group of horses in this race and should be one of the front-runners.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=lrl1117zm.htm&exp=11/19/2023&pds=LRL_-_11/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=LRL&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #4 - Post: 1:54pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $54,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 WAR MASTER (ML=5/2)
#3 THEDINGOATEYOBABY (ML=9/5)
#1A SPEEDYNESS (ML=5/2)


WAR MASTER - Stand by this pony. Coming off the pace, I think he'll be in a great spot to bury them in the stretch. This gelding is in nice form. Ran first on Nov 1st. This animal wins a lot of money per race around the track. At the top in this contest. THEDINGOATEYOBABY - I like the fact that this colt's last speed rating, 88, is tops in this bunch. The improved speed ratings over the last 3 races is solid. Russell drops him in this race ready to win. SPEEDYNESS - Ness brings him back again. I recommend you stay with this hot gelding.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 KING'S RIVER (ML=9/2), #10 NOTION OF LOVE (ML=8/1),

KING'S RIVER - Ran well to finish second on October 29th, but hasn't had even a workout since then. NOTION OF LOVE - Registered a quite unimpressive fig last out in a $45,000 Maiden Claiming race on Oct 29th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that number.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 Entry is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

1 with 3 with [2,4,6] Total Cost: $3



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

1 with 3 with [2,4,5,6,9] with [2,4,5,6,9] Total Cost: $20



** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=gp1117zm.htm&exp=11/19/2023&pds=GP_-_11/17/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/17/2023;TRACK_CODE=GP&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 12:38pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 MEGAN MAKIN MONEY (ML=9/5)
#2 AVE FENIX (ML=20/1)


MEGAN MAKIN MONEY - This filly has been claimed each of her last two starts. She figures to be tough in today's event. Leader at every call in last race at Gulfstream Park. Pretty good chance to repeat that effort in this event. This filly is in nice physical condition, having run a strong race on Nov 3rd, finishing first. This filly is certainly on the improve with speed figures of 67, 78, 82 last 3 out. AVE FENIX - This horse should be motoring down the homestretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 GREEK MOJO (ML=8/5), #3 SHE'S SO BEARRISH (ML=9/2), #6 ALHAAN (ML=8/1),

GREEK MOJO - I don't normally play a chalk horse that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. SHE'S SO BEARRISH - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to back her. Tough to put any money on this filly on the top end. Likes to end up on the board though. ALHAAN - Registered a substandard rating in the last race in a $15,000 Maiden Claiming race on September 20th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that number.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MEGAN MAKIN MONEY - This filly is tops in the bunch in earnings per start. I'm betting on this one.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 MEGAN MAKIN MONEY to win if you can get at least 6/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - SA - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17 ALLOWED 4 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 CARPE HORSESHOE 6/5




# 4 SHESAHEATWAVE 5/1




# 6 JULIARD HONOR 7/2




CARPE HORSESHOE has a very good shot to take this race. She has been racing well recently while recording very solid speed figures. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this mare. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 83 - of her last effort. SHESAHEATWAVE - Should be given consideration here if only for the very good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last contest. Is a strong contender based on numbers garnered lately under today's conditions. JULIARD HONOR - Has a sharp shot in this contest if you like back class. Looks decent versus this field and should be one of the leaders.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 90

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD QUARTER HORSES WHICH WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE 2023 EVD FUTURITY. $600 TO ENTER TRIALS. ALL PAYMENTS MUST BE ON ACCOUNT WITH THE HORSEMEN'S BOOKKEEPER PRIOR TO 10:30 A.M. MORNING OF ENTRIES. SUPPLEMENTAL PAYMENTS OF $5,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY WHICH MUST BE PAID TO HORSEMEN'S BOOKKEEPER - CASH OR




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 CORNER POCKET 123 8/5




# 8 DANKESHAYNE 5/2




# 3 POWER BY BLACK 6/1




I lean toward CORNER POCKET 123 here. Has earned sound Equibase Speed Figures in short races in the past. Should be carefully examined in here if only for the very good Equibase speed fig posted in the last contest. Could provide positive profits based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 80. DANKESHAYNE - A solid 85 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group of horses in this race. Has strong Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this contest. POWER BY BLACK - Could best this group based on the speed fig - 76 - of his last affair. Win percentage with this jock and trainer combo - 19 percent - strong.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Woodbine - Race #5 - Post: 3:03pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,400 Class Rating: 81

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 BET N WIN (ML=8/1)
#3 MIA AND ME (ML=3/1)


BET N WIN - Last event at Woodbine on October 29th was a big class drop for this horse. Facing similar foes today. He should do well this time out. MIA AND ME - This horse could be tough this race, especially since Kimura rode last race out and now should be acquainted with this one. Took a drop in class last race out, running against the same type today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SEA TO AIR (ML=5/2), #4 STRONGER TOGETHER (ML=7/2), #6 ARAMOS (ML=6/1),

SEA TO AIR - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance contests in order to wager on him. STRONGER TOGETHER - This horse doesn't have a winner's disposition. Always finishes near the winner. Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint affairs in order to bet on him. This horse doesn't win here at Woodbine. He needs some alternative track to show his best. This questionable contender ran a substandard speed figure last time around the track. He shouldn't run much better and will probably get beat in today's event running that number. ARAMOS - Unlikely that this less than sharp equine can snag this sprint after displaying no early speed in that last route contest. A bit of a lackluster performance when this gelding finished sixth.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #5 BET N WIN to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

Del Mar - Race 1

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Place Pick All / 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Early Pick 5 / $2 WPS Parlay


Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 12:30


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FAST INVESTMENT is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * VULIN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating . Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EXCLUSIVE JONI: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BOGINS KAYA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



2

VULIN

2/5


7/2




4

EXCLUSIVE JONI

6/5


4/1




5

BOGINSKAYA

3/1


9/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

FAST INVESTMENT

3


5/1

Alternator/Front-runner

0


0


57.7


46.6


37.6




2

VULIN

2


2/5

Stalker

73


71


55.3


67.8


65.3




4

EXCLUSIVE JONI

4


6/5

Alternator/Stalker

73


66


57.5


63.0


58.0




5

BOGINSKAYA

5


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

68


57


51.3


54.3


48.3




6

BEST YEAR EVER

6


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


75.8


41.7


33.2




1

ROUND IN CIRCLES

1


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


64.4


37.5


28.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 3

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 3-4) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 3-4-5)


Claiming $16,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $27,000 • Post: 1:24P


(RAIL AT 87 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 4 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACEON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE AND ONE HALF FURLONGS)





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MEETMEATTHEBEACH: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten da ys. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MOMENTOUS MISS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LADY MOSLER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. LADY ENSIGN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).



2

MEETMEATTHEBEACH

10/1


5/1




16

MOMENTOUS MISS

7/2


6/1




14

LADY MOSLER

8/1


6/1




13

LADY ENSIGN

5/2


9/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




14

LADY MOSLER

14


8/1

Front-runner

74


72


95.8


69.2


59.2




12

SASSY ANNIE

12


12/1

Front-runner

55


61


73.3


61.1


41.1




6

FIVECOMMATWO

6


8/1

Front-runner

73


66


67.3


63.5


49.0




16

MOMENTOUS MISS

16


7/2

Stalker

80


74


70.6


73.5


69.0




13

LADY ENSIGN

13


5/2

Stalker

77


72


67.6


68.1


52.1




15

SKY BUY

15


5/1

Stalker

61


63


59.6


67.3


46.3




2

MEETMEATTHEBEACH

2


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

79


79


69.2


75.0


64.0




7

RATIFIED

7


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

69


67


66.4


62.6


49.6




3

MELIPONINI BEE

3


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

66


65


59.2


71.0


60.0




4

DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD

4


10/1

Trailer

75


72


3.8


55.0


44.0




9

CANDY ARCADE

9


6/1

Alternator/Trailer

69


63


58.8


63.4


49.9




11

PENNY POLKA

11


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

56


57


69.4


42.6


15.6




10

BIZZY BIZZY

10


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

54


53


56.2


51.2


24.2




1

POLICE WOMAN

1


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

74


64


55.8


62.4


45.4




5

DON DIVA

5


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

62


54


36.4


55.4


28.9




8

PROSPECTIVE CANDY

8


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


28.9


57.0


31.5

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


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Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 1:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 SEEYAMIA (ML=5/1)
#3 SILVER MATY (ML=6/1)


SEEYAMIA - She has the highest earnings per start (EPS). Give the once over to this thoroughbred. SILVER MATY - Finished fourth at Golden Gate Fields last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 6/1 right here, she looks like a possible contender. Rounding her way back into form. Each of her finish positions is getting better in her recent starts. Pena and Ramos perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +42 ROI for a jockey and trainer. This animal has increased her speed figs in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is extremely important.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LITTLE LADY LOU (ML=8/5), #7 STEPHANIE'S CANDY (ML=5/2), #1 TREE HUGGER (ML=6/1),

STEPHANIE'S CANDY - The fourth place finish position in the last race was not the greatest. No good results for this horse in a short distance race over the last 60 days tells me that this filly is in a thorny circumstance TREE HUGGER - This filly hasn't had any promising efforts in sprint contests in the last two months.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #2 SEEYAMIA on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Freehold Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 9


5
5
ODDS ON BOCA RATON
9/2
Smith, Steve - 8
436.48


4
4
DREAM CHASIN
3/1
Miller, Tyler - 13
411.77


2
2
FINAL JUSTICE
7/2
Marohn, Jim Jr - 25
407.67


3
3
WHYDONTUKISSTHIS
5/2
Siegelman, Austin - 17
406.95


6
6
PAN STREET USA
25/1
Ginsburg, Vincent - 15
402.34


1
1
BOOMERANG COWBOY
6/1
Herschberger, Mark - 9
380.78


7
7
WILDMAN
25/1
Bilach, Richard - 7
375.39


8
8
WHATA TWIST
15/1
Abbatiello, Eric - 8
358.47

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 2


1
1
EASY RIDER
6/1
Brown, Brady - 8
463.88


4
4
MUSCLE ENVY
7/1
Wrenn, Ronnie Jr - 27
441.28


3
3
SMOKINHOTIRISHGIRL
2/1
Macdonald, Anthony - 19
433.89


5
5
SHOW THE WILL
20/1
Mcneight, Robert - 3
425.97


7
7
NORTHERN MAGENTA
3/1
Merriman, Aaron - 15
412.76


6
6
KANNECTS BENEDICT
8/1
Indof, Jeremy - 11
410.73


8
8
HOLLAND HALL
20/1
Brocklehurst, Bryce - 3
410.67


2
2
HOT STUFF NIKI
8/1
Monti, Drew - 8
404.31


9
9
DYNAMITE LOVER
20/1
Zendt, Brian - 7
371.24

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at MeadowlandsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 13 - Post: 11:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$12500 - FILLIES & MARES N/W $7,500


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



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# 9 LAURIE LEE 8/1




# 2 TRUE BLUE HANOVER 6/1




# 5 CHEVRONS BYPASS N 12/1





We've got an instinct LAURIE LEE is going to get the win and the potential dividend justifies the long odds. Her 85 average has this mare among the most solid TrackMaster Speed Ratings this time. Certainly did like this mare's last race. Ran a strong 88 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. TRUE BLUE HANOVER - This filly getting the trip to the winner's circle wouldn't be impossible, a chance. CHEVRONS BYPASS N - This solid standardbred looks strong considering the high class rankings. Don't throw out of any exotics. Bang-up driver-trainer rankings make this standardbred a very promising choice. Most likely will be putting some profits down today.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century MileAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 3 - Post: 7:03 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 64 - Purse:$8900 - FILLIES & MARES NW 2001 LAST 3 STARTS AE: CLAIMING 15,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



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# 3 MOONSTRUCK 2/1




# 5 ELECTRIC AMADEUS 4/1




# 2 YOU PROMYST 6/1





MOONSTRUCK is the clear stand out play in the eyes of the handicapping group. The knowledge group knows that speed is King in harness racing. This fine animal will unlock our way to a nice triumph. With a 68 average class rating, this harness racer has one of the most favorable class advantages in the group. This entrant earned a very good TrackMaster speed fig last time out. Looks fit to come right back. ELECTRIC AMADEUS - Could unquestionably defeat this field of horses given the 60 TrackMaster SR recorded in her last contest. Miller and Brooking Lutz have a nice working relationship. Fantastic results from their races. YOU PROMYST - Had one of the most solid speed ratings of the pack in her last race. A good idea to use in your bets. Filly and trainer go together like Sonny and Cher. They finish in the money 85 percent of their races.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 14 - Post: 10:48 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 92 - Purse:$16000 - OPEN 3 ****$10,000 GUAR. HOOSIER HIGH 5 POOL**** NO. 10 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER OFF TIME 10:52


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



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# 2 GOLDIE'S LEGACY 8/1




# 5 IM SIR BLAKE A 3/1




# 7 THIS KIT ROCKS 20/1





After thorough analysis by the handicapping group, GOLDIE'S LEGACY comes out as the top selection and the potential dividend justifies the long odds. This nice horse may have some hidden form, a win would be a pleasant surprise. IM SIR BLAKE A - Is a clear-cut win contender given the 96 speed figure from his most recent race. We're not going to pass on this gelding given one of the most compelling driver-conditioner percentages around. THIS KIT ROCKS - Overall statistics look very nice. Can't throw him out of the picture. The 93 average class rating may give this gelding a distinct edge in the bunch.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 8


7
7
MCMARKLE SPARKLE
20/1
Bongiorno, Joe - 20
528.72


5
5
GOT THE GOLD
8/1
Holland, Brent - 11
527.32


1
1
TWO PROUD
5/2
Kakaley, Matt - 18
524.44


2
2
MAN DONTFORGET ME
9/2
Di Nozzi, Robert - 0
523.72


4
4
SILENT CROSSING
12/1
Buter, Tyler - 11
514.65


6
6
TWIN B SUNKISSED
7/2
Brennan, George - 17
510.29


3
3
OAXACAN DREAM N
6/1
Marohn, Jim Jr - 11
495.17


8
8
DELITFULCATHERIN N
5/1
Stratton, Jordan - 13
488.26

[ConleyPicks]

BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS

Fair Grounds - Race #4
PICKS NOTES
#5 A G's Gem Nothing from her in the Delta debut run earlier this month, but the barn sent a lot of livewires out here last year, especially at the start (more on that below). Maybe better today with a better break?
#9 Jackson D He was in the mix until midstretch with an open maiden claiming group at Churchill in the debut, and he gets a good draw to be the prompting pace from out here.
#10 Ells Get a look at him on the track and tote, but he strikes me as the type who might be ready enough to roll at first asking. Wouldn't be a shock.
Race Summary Opening Day at my favorite meet of the year, and I look forward to tracking some tough trips and potential price players in this space. A couple notes and stats (courtesy of Betmix) that are going to influence some of those decisions: 1.) There is still some work to be done at Churchill Downs, so the earliest weeks of the season tilt toward Louisiana-bred action. The first few weeks last year saw some serious action out of Patricia West's barn, solid strike rates with negative ROIs from Cox, Calhoun and Camejo, and surprisingly slow starts from Asmussen (1-13), Sharp (1-16), and Govea (2-22). 2.) The turf course had a...unique season. Turf racing didn't start until several weeks into the season and was only in limited use through almost the entire meet — very few races, eight horses max, temp rail always out at an extremely wide setting, and the only good part of the course was the very widest part. It led to a lot of races that are wild to watch back, with five or six jocks all angling out to be the lucky one racing in something like the 25 path. I'm going to be patient and forgiving with horses who fired duds on the lawn here last year. 3.) Jareth Loveberry's work over this turf course has been incredible the last few years. The ROI is on a completely different level from everyone else. Keep that in mind, but don't forget another angle I lean on alot here and will continue to consider-- for your betting dollar and mine, the numbers don't lie: nobody rides routes on this turf course better than Brian Hernandez Jr.

Fair Grounds - Race #7
PICKS NOTES
#2 Modern Sound She hasn't stacked up quite as well in those Kentucky follow-up starts after a useful Hawthorne debut, but I am not sure this is going to be the deepest race for the level we're going to see all season. Midrange price upside?
#5 Lola's Light Considered her on top, but I think she's worth a look either way. The pedigree is there to be better than she showed at first asking, and it's not a bad thing to return with Lasix after a stopping effort like that..
#11 Mia Marcela Expected her to stay a bit better in that second career start, but she folded up late in that one. The move to turf gives her some hope to move up, but she seems potentially dicey late either way.
Race Summary Modern Sound and Lola's Light both need much better than they showed in their most recent respective efforts, but I think they'll offer the right kinds of prices to see if that upside exists.

Fair Grounds - Race #9
PICKS NOTES
#13 Accommodate Eva I worry she might be a bit overbet in here after trying Grade I company just a few weeks ago, but her better stuff would make her a real handful today, and there's obviously nothing like Just F Y I lining up against her today.
#5 Diamond Deal I like that she has carried decent form across three different racing surfaces so far as she now tries a fourth, and she has a little bit of ability to rate and finish that should serve her well from just in behind more committed pace.
#3 Lightofmaine She moved forward nicely in that last one, and she can be in the frame right back with these if she has another step up in her. Consider.
Race Summary Accommodate Eva might be the right one in here while getting major class relief, but I think you can make a case for a few of them in here if she gets wildly overbet.

[ConleyPicks]

FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS

Gulfstream Park - Race #1
PICKS NOTES
#2 COPANELLO BAY (4-1) Blew the turn, burst on the scene late for second, today’s Best Bet.
#5 GABAGOOL (9-2) Monmouth invader drops from MSW ranks, gets blinkers as first-time gelding.
#6 GARY’S FLYING LION (6 Sped off with commanding stretch lead, caught late in five-horse field.
Race Summary COPANELLO BAY was unhurried on the backstretch, dropped out of contention when he blew the turn, then emerged widest in the stretch to finish second to the even-money runaway. He is a strong play if he maintains a straight course today. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #2
PICKS NOTES
#3 SHE’S SO BEARISH (9-2 Good fit at this level, adds blinkers, could return quick claim dividend.
#7 GREEK MOJO (8-5) Led until stretch despite trouble at 6F, returns on similar rest at 5-1/2F.
#5 MEGAN MAKIN MONEY (9-5) Finally carried her speed to maiden victory, enters new barn.
Race Summary SHE’S SO BEARISH was in a prime stalking spot but was out-kicked by the deep closers as the favorite last out. She bid 5-wide in her prior two starts to finish in the money at this level with Morelos aboard. Play 3-5 and 3-7 exactas.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
PICKS NOTES
#4 HARRY’S ONTHEBEACH (7 Has done best running in Barboza barn in short sprints.
#8 FAST FIXER (3-1) New stablemate of ‘Harry’ won 3 of his last 5 starts, draws favorable post.
#5 THE GREAT CEASAR (6-1) Stablemate of top pair was hard-ridden on turn and caught odds-on fave.
Race Summary Trainer Victory Barboza Jr. has a triple threat in this nw/3 sprint, so box them in a 4-5-8 exacta. The versatile HARRY’S ONTHEBEACH gets the top call after he tested a repeat winner from on and off the pace, settling for second best both times.

[ConleyPicks]

ALKING HORSES
Friday November 17, 2023
AQUEDUCT

Andy Serling
Race 1 7 - 6 - 3 - 2
Race 2 8 - 5 - 6 - 7
Race 3 8 - 1A/1 - 5 - 4
Race 4 4 - 1 - 5 - 7
Race 5 8 - 1 - 6 - 4
Race 6 3 - 7 - 8 - 4
Race 7 2 - 4 - 5 - 6
Race 8 1 - 12 - 8 - 4
Race 9 6 - 7 - 2 - 1/1A

[ConleyPicks]

Picks & Plays for Friday, November 17
by David Aragona

AQUEDUCT

PICKS

Race 1: 7 - 2 - 5 - 3
Race 2: 1 - 8 - 5 - 6
Race 3: 8 - 1A - 3 - 5
Race 4: 7 - 1 - 5 - 9
Race 5: 4 - 5 - 1 - 2
Race 6: 7 - 3 - 8 - 5
Race 7: 3 - 6 - 4 - 5
Race 8: 4 - 8 - 1 - 12
Race 9: 1 - 10 - 7 - 2

FAIR VALUE PLAYS
(Fair Value: These are the odds at which I could reasonably bet each of the horses listed. Wagering decisions should be based on the actual odds. The best value option will not necessarily be the top pick.)


RACE 3

It’s pretty obvious that Emaraaty (#1A) is the class of this field, having run many races that should put him in the winner’s circle at this level. It’s just hard to trust him to actually get the job done considering the way he hung last time. He looked like a sure winner approaching the eighth pole, as he ranged up alongside the leaders with momentum. Yet he stalled just as he hit the front, and refused to put those two away, somehow managing to finish behind two rivals. It’s not like he’s a horse with a great deal of upside now as an 8-year-old, so I don’t want to take a short price on him to improve up on that result here. The problem with this race is that it came up fairly weak for the level. I find it difficult to build a case for anyone other than his stablemate. Fortunately, Running Bee (#8) is a suitable alternative. This horse needed his first start as a 2-year-old, but improved quickly when he returned last year. He ran into a very promising rival off the layoff and then impressively won his next start at Saratoga with a respectable speed figure. I won’t hold the Kentucky Downs race against him, since that was a bog (a 4 on the TimeformUS Condition Rating scale is far worse than “good”). He won his seasonal finale at Keeneland in impressive fashion before going to the sidelines. He’s been off for a long time, but Chad Brown has fantastic stats with these types. He’s 14 for 45 (31%, $2.21 ROI) with 4-year-old and up runners off 250 to 500 day layoffs in turf routes over 5 years.

Fair Value:
#8 RUNNING BEE, at 2-1 or greater


RACE 5

I can’t take a short price on Quiet Wisdom (#1), who has burned money in all three of his starts. He ran well on debut, chasing a fast rival around the track. However, he failed to finish off his second race despite having dead aim at the leaders in upper stretch. He then was very disappointing as the heavy favorite in the slop last time, getting outdueled by a seemingly inferior rival. He is a half-brother to dirt router Curlin’s Wisdom, but this colt is by Into Mischief, and I’m not convinced that he’s going to relish the mile distance based on his prior performances. Among his main rivals is intriguing first time starter Judge Rules (#8), a homebred for Barry Schwartz going out for Christophe Clement, who does well with these types. By Tapit out of the Grade 1-winning mare Princess Violet, he’s bred to be a good one. Yet it’s not easy to win going a mile on debut, and I prefer others with experience. Vin Santo (#5) is somewhat interesting getting on dirt for the first time. He really doesn’t have much of a turf pedigree, though we’re still learning about Vino Rosso as a sire. His dam is a half-sister to Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming as well as dirt sprinter Hot Dixie Chick. He didn’t run well last time, but he had shown ability in his two prior starts, and now he’s getting a significant rider upgrade to Kendrick Carmouche. My top pick is Prophetic (#4). He just feels like a horse who is supposed to improve with experience and distance. He didn’t take that much money on debut, and had to be hard ridden around the far turn. Yet he kept responding to pressure through the lane and was making up ground on Quiet Wisdom across the wire. He’s bred to appreciate added ground, being by good dirt route sire Lookin at Lucky and a full-brother to G2 Louisiana Derby winner Wells Bayou. I expect a step forward here and he figures to be a square price.

Fair Value:
#4 PROPHETIC, at 4-1 or greater
#5 VIN SANTO, at 7-1 or greater


RACE 7

The two horses drawn in the outside stalls of the starting gate figure to attract the most support in this high-level optional claimer. Gun It (#6) defeated main rival Nova Rags (#5) when they met in a similar race back in June at Belmont. Nova Rags chased uncharacteristically close up to the pace before Gun It overhauled him in the late stages, winning for just the fourth time in 36 lifetime starts. Neither one of these horses has been a win machine, with even Nova Rags settling for minor awards more often than not as he’s ascended the allowance ranks. They both make sense in this spot, and I do somewhat prefer Gun It’s recency. He ran well in his return from the layoff in October, closing strongly up the rail. Yet he still failed to change leads, as is often the case with him. Some might consider Kinetic Sky (#4) to be the main rival as he attempts to get back on track for trainer Richard Dutrow. His form since the claim has been heading in the wrong direction after he ran so well in his first start for the new barn. Yet he faced a strong field in his return from a 3-month layoff two back, and then might not have appreciated a 6-day turnaround. He’s now had more time between starts, and it's a good sign that there’s no drop in for a tag. I want to go in a different direction with Bill Mott’s other horse in the race. Baby Yoda (#3) is another horse who appears to be off form, but I can make some excuses for his recent starts. He’s had some trouble getting out of the gate recently, which caused him to race out of position while wide every step of the way in the Russell Road two back. Then last time he again broke a step slowly and got caught behind a slow pace in a race dominated up front. He actually tried to make a run before flattening out, and might have been more effective over a shorter distances. He’s concentrated on one-mile races for much of the last year, but I actually like this slight turnback for him. I expect Joel Rosario to give him a more aggressive ride if he can get him out of the gate cleanly, and I believe he still has the talent to beat a group like this.

Fair Value:
#3 BABY YODA, at 7-2 or greater


RACE 8

I don’t have major knocks against the likely favorites in this Autumn Days. Danse Macabre (#12) is somewhat disadvantaged by her outside post position, especially for a horse who got such a good trip and pace setup when she won the Glen Cove in her last start. She’s still a contender, but I would give slight preference to Poppy Flower (#8) between the morning line favorites. She’s coming off a minor layoff, but she had been entered and rained off the turf since her last race. I won’t hold her loss to Roses for Debra against her, and she had run well enough to win here when closing to victory in the Intercontinental two back. Six furlongs suits her, and there’s pace in her to set up her late run. All That Magic (#1) is another who deserves to take money given her solid turf record. I won’t be hard on her for losing the Turf Monster two back when she was one of many horses who failed to handle the boggy conditions at Parx. She won as an overlay last time at Keeneland, showing a new dimension to rally from well off the pace. That versatility should serve her well here, especially with a speedball like Lady Milagro drawn just outside of her. My top pick is Loon Cry (#4), who figures to be a slightly better price. She looks a little slow on speed figures and is coming back on relatively short rest. Yet she only had to run for about a furlong last time, quickly running by the entire field once Jose Ortiz asked her for run before swiftly getting reined in before the finish. She made that run into a slow pace, proving far more superior than the half-length margin would suggest. She was also unlucky to lose at the same level two back when given too much ground to make up. She has to avoid getting too far back this time, but she possesses a terrific late burst of speed, and I think her underrated allowance form will translate well to this level.

Fair Value:
#4 LOON CRY, at 9-2 or greater

[ConleyPicks]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 17
Nov. 15, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (3) Mahomebred tired in the slop and may not look back on a dry track. (6) Wiki Leo adds blinkers and drops in class. (1) Markswoman exits a sharp maiden win. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6. Doubles: 1-3-6 with 1-4-6.

2nd race – (6) April Clover returns to the main track and merits top billing. (1) Fessy will be dangerous from the rail. (4) Too Fast for You may wake up at this level. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.

5th race – (6) Furious Anger (B) had a troubled trip around two turns and should welcome a return to a sprint. (4) Dazzlemesilver ships in from California and looks like the main threat. (5) Perfect Upstart will be well-suited by a sprint. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6.

7th race – (2) Ghazaaly was second in his last two races in California and looks best here. (3) Cant Be Doin That didn’t fire off a nine-month layoff. Should be more competitive here. (4) Dai Vernon merits attention in his first start for Mott. (5) Tejas should be closing quickly at the end. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.

9th race – (4) Highland Falls closed nicely for third and can work out a winning trip here. (2) Redeemer looks like the main threat. (8) Just Battle belongs in the exotics. (9) Ten Days Later should respond to a return to dirt. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-8-9.

No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
(6) Furious Anger B, 10/21 5 CD Had a troubled trip last time

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - November 17
Nov. 16, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $85,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 STOLEN MAGIC









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Stolen Magic
J Lezcano


PLACE
3-1
3
Wajda
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
5-1
6
Sardis
M Franco


WILD CARD
6-1
4
Corporate Power
J L Ortiz





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Bonus Move
J R Velazquez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Livehappy
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #2 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 WATCH HILL









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Watch Hill
M Franco


PLACE
5-2
8
Aula
R Silvera


SHOW
4-1
2
Munny for Nuthin
D Davis


WILD CARD
3-1
5
Dudley Dickerson
K Carmouche





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Waflr
T McCarthy


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Silent Running
L R Rivera Jr.








* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX









RACE #3 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Dripping Gold
J Lezcano


PLACE
8-5
1A
Emaraaty
M Franco


SHOW
3-1
8
Running Bee
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Carpenters Call
J Alvarado





ALTERNATE 1
8-5
1
Ocala Dream
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
10
Midnight Trouble
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX









RACE #4 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Hatch
D Davis


PLACE
5-2
1
Bad Larry
M Franco


SHOW
5-1
7
Legendary Lore
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
10-1
4
Flash Kiss
J A Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
2
Built to Last
E Cancel


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
Gun Maestro
S Uske








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX









RACE #5 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 QUIET WISDOM









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
1
Quiet Wisdom
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
6-1
4
Prophetic
D Davis


SHOW
9-2
2
Brick Ambush
J Alvarado


WILD CARD
3-1
8
Judge Rules
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Vin Santo
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Mamas Middie
M Franco








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX









RACE #6 $120,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:44 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $120,000 TEPIN STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
5
Brocknardini
I Ortiz Jr.


PLACE
5-2
3
Memorialize
M Franco


SHOW
9-2
7
Voter Registration
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
7-2
8
Gold Lightning
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
2-1
10
Most of All
J Alvarado


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
4
Awesome Czech
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX



COMMENTS: BROCKNARDINI has been impressive throw that middle start out where everything went wrong. MEMORIALIZE comes out of a graded race and will be coming late. VOTER REGISTRATION on debut will be a player pay attention to the tote. GOLD LIGHTNING needs to be played in your exotics.










RACE #7 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Gun It
J L Ortiz


PLACE
7-2
4
Kinetic Sky
I Ortiz Jr.


SHOW
9-5
5
Nova Rags
J Alvarado


WILD CARD
9-2
3
Baby Yoda
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1A
Synthesis
I Castillo


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Chewing Gum
M Franco








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 4:42 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 AUTUMN DAYS STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
12
Danse Macabre
A Beschizza


PLACE
9-2
1
All That Magic
K Carmouche


SHOW
6-1
4
Loon Cry
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
3-1
8
Poppy Flower
J L Ortiz





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Sterling Silver
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
14
Hot Fudge
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 12-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/12 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX



COMMENTS: DANSE MACABRE has been in the exacta in eight of nine starts. ALL THAT MAGIC has all that speed from the rail. LOON CRY will be coming late and has hit the board in all nine career starts. POPPY FLOWER another consistent horse that will be around at the end.










RACE #9 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
2
Starts Now
E Cancel


PLACE
5-1
5
Voleuse
J Rosario


SHOW
7-2
7
Shelly
M Franco


WILD CARD
10-1
3
Sainte Chapelle
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
North End Lady
J Alvarado


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
10
Lady Laoban
J R Velazquez








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 17
Nov. 16, 2023











Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.






RACE #1 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 WIKI LIO









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Wiki Lio
G Corrales


PLACE
3-1
3
Mahomebred
F Arrieta


SHOW
2-1
1
Markswoman
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
7-2
2
Insightful Miss
D Cannon





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Long Black Veil
L Machado


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Zero Click
R Bejarano








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX









RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
4
Too Fast for You
L Saez


PLACE
9-2
3
Baytown Angel
E Morales


SHOW
5-2
6
April Clover
R Santana Jr.


WILD CARD
4-1
5
Wisco Disco
G Ashton





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
1
Fessy
F Geroux


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
Lucky Lesson
A Lezcano








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX









RACE #3 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Adiva
L Saez


PLACE
3-1
3
Nursekringledances
J R Leparoux


SHOW
4-1
1
Shes So Malice
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Perceptive
R Bejarano





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Wild Acclaim
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
7
Dont Cross Boudica
J McKee








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #4 $12,500 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 SENOR JOBIM









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Senor Jobim
K J Asmussen


PLACE
5-1
4
Boise
G Saez


SHOW
3-1
7
Populist
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
8-1
2
Commander Carl
L Machado





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Improbable Story
D Cannon


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
5
Cathedral Beach
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX









RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:01 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
6
Furious Anger
M Garcia


PLACE
7-5
4
Dazzlemesilver
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
6-1
5
Perfect Upstart
J Elliott


WILD CARD
10-1
2
Added Mischief
D Cannon





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Accident
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Naughtyson
A Calleja








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #6 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:31 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
6
Isa Lei
L Saez


PLACE
5-1
5
Queen Lexi
L Machado


SHOW
7-2
4
Noto
F Geroux


WILD CARD
10-1
3
Lindsey
B J Hernandez Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
Shes Splendid
C J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
7
Miwoman
K J Asmussen








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 DAI VERNON









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Dai Vernon
L Saez


PLACE
4-1
1
You Aint Poppn
R Santana Jr.


SHOW
3-1
2
Ghazaaly
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
7-2
6
Single Dot Yaht
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
5
Tejas
L Machado


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Redemption Time
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #8 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:33 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
1
Zoombie
L Machado


PLACE
6-5
4
Outadore
G Corrales


SHOW
5-1
6
Just Say When
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Go West
F Arrieta





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
7
Excess Magic
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
12
Artemus Citylimits
T Gaffalione








* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #9 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Redeemer
T Gaffalione


PLACE
5-1
3
Smile Mon
M Chuan


SHOW
2-1
4
Highland Falls
F Geroux


WILD CARD
6-1
8
Just Battle
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
9
Ten Days Later
B J Hernandez Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
J Js Joker
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - November 17
Nov. 16, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-5
2
Vulin
T Baze


PLACE
6-5
4
Exclusive Joni
E A Maldonado


SHOW
5-1
3
Fast Investment
A Alsagoor


WILD CARD
3-1
5
Boginskaya
K Frey





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
6
Best Year Ever
G Franco


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
1
Round in Circles
A Escobedo








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX









RACE #2 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:58 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 ANTONSEN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Antonsen
J J Hernandez


PLACE
6-5
4
Man O Rose
E A Maldonado


SHOW
6-1
5
Rhythem On Stage
A Fresu


WILD CARD
3-1
2
Grand Tiger
J Valdivia Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
1
More Try
M Gutierrez








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #3 $32,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:28 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
1-1
4
La Paloma Blanca
F Prat


PLACE
4-1
5
Yolo Calls
E A Maldonado


SHOW
5-2
3
Sweet Mother Mary
A Fresu


WILD CARD
5-1
2
American Heights
A Aguilar





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Blonde Bombshell
K Frey








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX









RACE #4 $22,500 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:58 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 KATERINI









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Katerini
F Prat


PLACE
4-1
3
Issa Court
U Rispoli


SHOW
5-2
1
Quaria Thunder
A Fresu


WILD CARD
3-1
5
Rose Barton
E A Maldonado





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
4
Unfaithful Ways
J Torrealba


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
On Purpose
T J Pereira








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #5 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:28 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 EXCEL CALCULATOR









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Excel Calculator
J J Hernandez


PLACE
4-1
2
Mixto
A Fresu


SHOW
8-5
4
Bad Sneakers
F Prat


WILD CARD
4-1
5
Pioneer Prince
M E Smith





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Ship and Scam
M Gutierrez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
6
Mauna Kea Bound
E A Maldonado








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX









RACE #6 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:58 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Clements Ride
F Prat


PLACE
3-1
2
Shady Tiger
J J Hernandez


SHOW
8-1
6
Monsieur
E Garcia


WILD CARD
5-2
8
Immelmann
K Frey





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
9
Stagger Lee
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
10
Smiling Jojo
R A Vazquez








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX









RACE #7 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:28 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
1
Sir Atticus
M E Smith


PLACE
3-1
2
Positivity
A Fresu


SHOW
9-5
4
Fort Bragg
J J Hernandez


WILD CARD
5-1
3
C Z Rocket
F Prat





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
6
Classic Car Wash
U Rispoli


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Radical Right
R A Vazquez








* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX









RACE #8 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:58 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
8
Talklessworkmore
K Frey


PLACE
3-1
5
Bigofromfresno
U Rispoli


SHOW
5-1
3
Fore Flag
T J Pereira


WILD CARD
6-1
10
Big Coupe
D A Herrera





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
11
Luka Grazie
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
1
Silent Heat
F Prat








* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Illinois -28 over Valparaiso

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4UFriday Free Selection: New York Knicks/Washington Wizards over 227 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 SportsFriday's Free Play: Penn State Nittany Lions - 13 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye SportsFriday's Free Pick: Kent State Golden Flashes - 13

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Friday: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles + 19

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play for Friday
NY KNICKS (NBA)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tim DonaghyFree Play for Friday is on the Rockets/Clippers Over

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the Wisconsin Badgers -19 over Robert Morris

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday :Take MARYLAND (CBB) +6 over Villanova

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Friday Free Play
Florida -7' CBB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Kenny Towers





Your Free Pick for Friday - Toronto (NHL) -120


Played & Documented!
2023-24 Freeplay Record - 21-19-1

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Eastern Washington +12.5

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY:PENN ST (CBB) -13.5 over Morehead St

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic SportsFriday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Michigan Wolverines - 15

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Golden Dragon
Friday Free Play
Phialdelphia +1' NBA

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Friday: ARKANSAS -15.5 over NC-Greensboro (CBB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony's Free Selection for Friday: Take the Lakers

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR FRIDAY!
CFB Colorado/Washington St OVER the total of 62.5 pts

[ConleyPicks]

Scott Rickenbach

Rotation #235846: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage: Friday Free Pick UNDER 2 +100 in Finland vs Northern Ireland @ Noon ET - Finland can no longer qualify for a top two spot in their group and Northern Ireland is already eliminated altogether. Also, Finland is already certain of at least a playoff place because of their solid UEFA Nations League performance. That said, I expect we could see a rather drab affair here and Northern Ireland, though they have struggled, rarely get blown out. They have allowed just 9 goals in 8 matches. Look for a very tight match here where a 1-0 final would not be a surprise at all. Free Pick UNDER 2 +100 in Finland

[ConleyPicks]

Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Greece-248 (Soccer)

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Davidson-7.5

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Davidson-7.5

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Elon PK

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

[ConleyPicks]

ProSportsPicks

1* on UTSA -15