Sunday 11/26/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for AqueductPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=aqu1126zf.pdf&exp=11/28/2023&pds=AQU_-_11/26/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/26/2023;TRACK_CODE=AQU&SAP=FREEPICS)


Aqueduct - Race 4

Exacta ($1), Quinella ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 4 &5 Pick 3 ($1) (4-6), Pick 6 ($1) (4-9)


Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $39,000 • Post: 1:46P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. PRINCE JAMES is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CHUCK WILLIS (IRE): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation o r an "L" designation. PRINCE JAMES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. HEIR PORT: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well i n the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BOURBON'S HOPE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse's average winning distance is w ithin half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).



6

CHUCK WILLIS (IRE)

9/2


9/2




2

PRINCE JAMES

5/2


6/1




4

HEIR PORT

8/5


6/1




1

BOURBON'S HOPE

6/1


8/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

CHUCK WILLIS (IRE)

6


9/2

Front-runner

95


85


96.7


74.9


71.9




4

HEIR PORT

4


8/5

Front-runner

94


83


95.2


86.4


81.4




1

BOURBON'S HOPE

1


6/1

Front-runner

93


80


89.2


81.2


72.2




2

PRINCE JAMES

2


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

90


82


72.6


79.8


72.8




3

AEQUOR

3


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

89


87


46.2


77.0


69.5




5

RALLY SQUIRREL

5


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

93


95


37.9


68.3


58.3

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate FieldsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=gg1126zf.pdf&exp=11/28/2023&pds=GG_-_11/26/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/26/2023;TRACK_CODE=GG&SAP=FREEPICS)


Golden Gate Fields - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $2 Rolling Double/ $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $1 Rolling Super High Five $0.50 Late Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8)


SO $8,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $15,500 • Post: 2:11P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $3,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. DICK BEST is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DICK BEST: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CHIEF JACKSON: Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SEA OF LIBERTY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. IMPLICITLY: Horse ha s run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



5

DICK BEST

8/5


5/1




3

CHIEF JACKSON

3/1


6/1




6

SEA OF LIBERTY

4/1


7/1




1

IMPLICITLY

6/1


8/1































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

DICK BEST

5


8/5

Front-runner

96


96


72.6


73.5


67.5




6

SEA OF LIBERTY

6


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

95


84


78.4


87.6


82.1




4

KO SAMUI (IRE)

4


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

88


90


73.1


76.3


67.8




1

IMPLICITLY

1


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

93


93


72.2


78.2


72.7




3

CHIEF JACKSON

3


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

96


94


66.2


84.4


80.4




2

LOVE OF THE SPORT

2


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

86


75


80.2


72.4


58.9




7

CALI CONQUEST

7


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

83


75


69.4


73.6


61.1

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=lrl1126zm.htm&exp=11/28/2023&pds=LRL_-_11/26/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/26/2023;TRACK_CODE=LRL&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #7 - Post: 3:27pm - SO - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 ROYAL WHISPER (ML=15/1)
#10 KINGDOM QUEEN (ML=5/1)
#3 ANONYMOUSLY (ML=7/2)


ROYAL WHISPER - This rider and handler have a profitable return on investment when they unite. Ranked at the top in earnings per race entered. Another notice that this horse is the class of the race. KINGDOM QUEEN - This filly is in good condition, having run a strong race on Nov 8th, finishing first. This horse has shown the ability to win at multiple tracks. Making the move from Penn National for today's event, I have to believe she's ready to run. This filly's last rating earned on November 8th is uppermost in last race speed figures. ANONYMOUSLY - Won her last after shipping in. I like her again. This mare is entered right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. Have to make this mare a contender; she comes off a sharp outing on November 18th. This horse's record for this distance is great.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 MY FLICKER (ML=2/1), #8 OUR LIBERTY BELLE (ML=6/1),

MY FLICKER - The Brain tells me to keep away from horses in short distance contests that haven't finished in the money in sprint races recently. OUR LIBERTY BELLE - This equine hasn't been in the money in either of her last couple of efforts.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #2 ROYAL WHISPER to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3,10] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[2,3,10] with [2,3,10] with [1,2,3,5,10] with [1,2,3,5,10] Total Cost: $36

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)PURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=la1126zz.htm&exp=11/28/2023&pds=LA_-_11/26/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/26/2023;TRACK_CODE=LA&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 90

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT: 126, LBS. HORSES WHICH QUALIFY TO THE FINALS OF THIS RACE MUST REMAIN ON THE GROUNDS UNTIL 48 HOURS AFTER THE FINALS HAVE RUN.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 GOOD WAGON SA 2/1




# 1 AINT HE TEMPTING 9/2




# 4 FUTURE VERSION 4/1




GOOD WAGON SA is the most respectable wager in this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this equine look very good in this race. I like Peinado on this gelding to give him a respectable chance to hit the wire first. With a very good 98 speed figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this affair. AINT HE TEMPTING - He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Should be carefully examined for this event if only for the very strong speed fig put up in the last affair. FUTURE VERSION - This jockey and handler team has produced some sharp return on investment numbers at this track. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Flores running at this distance are the top in this group.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race TrackPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=cmr1126zz.htm&exp=11/28/2023&pds=CMR_-_11/26/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/26/2023;TRACK_CODE=CMR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 55

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. 2# A CLASF.$8,000 ALLOWED 2 LBS. 4# A CLASF. INFERIOR Y DEBTS ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 GHOST FORCE 2/1




# 3 ALICIA EMILIA 20/1




# 4 PICK ONE REMI 5/2




GHOST FORCE looks to be a very good contender. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in here. Solid jockey and conditioner combo winning 24 percent of their races working together. PICK ONE REMI - I like the jockey on this mare - quite good chance to win the contest.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=dmr1126zm.htm&exp=11/28/2023&pds=DMR_-_11/26/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/26/2023;TRACK_CODE=DMR&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Del Mar - Race #5 - Post: 2:25pm - Optional Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $63,000 Class Rating: 103

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 KING APOLLO (ML=5/1)
#4 PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) (ML=12/1)
#9 CANE CREEK ROAD (ML=4/1)
#7 MISTER ICEMAN (ML=7/2)
#8 INCH (ML=6/1)


KING APOLLO - This gelding should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle. Look for this one to go straight to the winner's circle at some respectable odds in this race. Ran seventh in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish line. PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) - I'm focusing on the class of this mount, and this one is the 'classiest' of the bunch. In this race here, this thoroughbred has clearly shown signs that he likes the turf. His speed figures are the highest in the field for this distance/surface. This gelding has run well at major foreign tracks, and ships in for today's race. Could be tough to beat. CANE CREEK ROAD - I think the shorter distance will help this gelding stay the trip. May be extremely hard to beat this mount on the grass today. Last out scored a nice turf number, the highest of any of these animals. You have to like that most recent race speed rating, 108, which is the highest latest race speed figure of this field. Ran a fast time for the last quarter on October 15th at Santa Anita. Anything close right here should get the job done. MISTER ICEMAN - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a solid effort in the last race within the last month or so. Ran a speedy time for the last quarter on November 5th at Santa Anita. Anything close right here in this race should get the job done. INCH - Had a dominant closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar effort today, and it's straight to the winner's circle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SAWASDEE (ML=5/1), #10 SILARDI (ML=6/1), #6 PAT'S PADDOCK PICK (ML=8/1),

SAWASDEE - He's in all probability going to get cooked on the front end. Garnered a mediocre speed figure last time around the track in a $40,000 Optional Claiming race on Sep 10th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that fig. SILARDI - Pace makes the race. Tough for this speedball to be able to manage the suicidal fractions from the rest of this bunch. PAT'S PADDOCK PICK - Probably hasn't had enough racing experience to beat the veterans today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #5 KING APOLLO on top if we're getting at least 5/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

[4,5,9] with [4,5,7,8,9] with [4,5,7,8,9] Total Cost: $36



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[4,5] with [4,5,9] with [4,5,7,8,9] with [4,5,7,8,9] Total Cost: $24

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 6

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7


Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 48 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:00P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 26 OR WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. 3# A CLASF.$4,000 Y DEBTS ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE$4,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GOTHIC MAJESTIC is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * LITTLE BELITA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackM aster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. WITH CAUSE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Ho rse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



3

LITTLE BELITA

5/1


2/1




1

WITH CAUSE

2/1


4/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

GOTHIC MAJESTIC

5


5/2

Front-runner

50


45


50.0


14.6


3.1




1

WITH CAUSE

1


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

68


47


66.6


40.4


37.9




3

LITTLE BELITA

3


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

76


65


50.2


46.4


42.9




4

MISS ANUBIS

4


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

47


32


48.2


31.9


23.4




7

APPEALING LALIBELA

7


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


48.4


31.6


20.1




6

QUEEN KRISTAL

6


3/1

Alternator/Non-contender

56


49


47.0


31.4


23.4




2

QUERELLA

2


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

58


31


36.2


32.0


23.0

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,700 Class Rating: 58

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 CANTHO (ML=8/1)
#2 WORK N FLIRT (ML=5/2)


CANTHO - Great chance for this pony. Solid late speed and should have good position. This jock and conditioner's equines have been generating a profitable return on investment. The November 10th event at Woodbine was at a class level of (63). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points significantly, so she should be in a good place. This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle. WORK N FLIRT - Taking a class drop in class rating points from her November 19th race at Mountaineer Park. Based on that data point, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. Trainer, Silva, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WHISPER ME A SONG (ML=3/1), #5 LEAPIN LEVA (ML=6/1), #7 WANT TO GO DANCING (ML=6/1),

WHISPER ME A SONG - 57/51/43, are the lessening Equibase speed figs for this runner. Finished second in her most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch. LEAPIN LEVA - Don't feel this mount will make an impact today. That last speed rating was mediocre when compared with today's class rating. WANT TO GO DANCING - Didn't end up on the board on October 12th at Woodbine. Followed it up with another lackluster try. This mare earned a speed rating in her last event which probably isn't good enough today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #8 CANTHO on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Allowance - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $64500 Class Rating: 72

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 FS MAXX VELOCITY 7/2




# 2 HYNSON 9/5




# 3 BREAKIN THE RULZ 8/1




I like FS MAXX VELOCITY here. Honesto has him trained soundly to break speedily out of the starting gate. Posted a very strong speed figure last time out. HYNSON - Will probably be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the outing. Ran a sharp last race. BREAKIN THE RULZ - Has run admirably when racing a longer quarter horse race.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at WoodbineAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $54500 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $23,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 CANADIAN PHAROAH 5/2




# 2 CUPID'S CLAWS 4/1




# 10 A THREAD OF BLUE 6/1




CANADIAN PHAROAH is the best bet in this race. Should be given a shot based on the very strong speed figure recorded in the last outing. Has performed well as of late in route races, posting a nifty 89 avg speed rating. CUPID'S CLAWS - With a nice Equibase class figure average of 100, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. Strong rider with conditioner figures make this horse a strong selection. A THREAD OF BLUE - Could provide positive profits based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 92. Has a strong shot in this competition if you like back class.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Aqueduct - Race #4 - Post: 1:46pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $39,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) (ML=9/2)


CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) - Jockey hops back aboard after getting to know the horse by riding last time around the track. That's always a good indicator. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp contest in the last month or so is a solid contender in my book. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 HEIR PORT (ML=8/5), #2 PRINCE JAMES (ML=5/2), #3 AEQUOR (ML=4/1),

HEIR PORT - Tough to play any racer in a short distance race at 8/5 when he hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last two months. I usually try to beat these types of chalks off the long layoff. Improbable that the speed figure he earned on July 14th will be good enough in this affair. PRINCE JAMES - I cannot play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job executed from time to time. Don't feel this horse will make a winning move today. That last speed rating was disappointing when compared with today's class figure. AEQUOR - This gelding finished outside the top 3 on Sep 15th and wasn't near the winner in the last race either.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) - Put a bet on this gelding. Tops in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #6 CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cal-Expo

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 8


6
6
REAGAN BLUE CHIP
7/5
Kennedy, James - 22
484.22


4
4
HE GRINS AGAIN
5/2
Plano, Luke - 21
481.19


5
5
FREWIL DAKOTA SVEN
5/2
Svendsen, Lemoyne - 16
474.69


2
2
MIKI'S MAGIC RIDE
8/1
Pacheco, Jessie - 10
457.27


1
1
IMPRESSIVE ART
15/1
Kennedy, Mark - 0
411.04


3
3
IMMA TANK
15/1
Cutting, Jacob - 14
397.22

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 9 - Post: 9:59 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$4800 - HORSES & GELDINGS - CLAIMING $7000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 2 ART OF FIRE 6/1




# 3 BARRYS SHELBY 5/2




# 6 SPORTS NATION 3/1





ART OF FIRE will have you running to the cashier's window in this contest. Win stat for this driver-handler is a sparkling 24 percent - tremendous likelihood. BARRYS SHELBY - Coulter and Gassien have a competitive working relationship. Terrific results from their races. SPORTS NATION - Many race players know speed is is key. This entrant has credentials with a 69 avg rating. This standardbred looks tough considering the high class ratings. Not a good idea to throw out of any exotics.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 1


1
1
HOLTON
1/1
Oldford, Stephen - 25
514.57


3
3
MR HOUDINI
7/1
Sherman, Don - 15
483.50


2
2
MAGIC MVP
10/1
Harmon, Lauren - 7
479.60


5
5
ANOTHER BREATH
4/1
Rhodes, Floyd - 9
462.35


7
7
DONTYOUSAYIT
20/1
Johnson, Christina - 7
450.61


6
6
GOLDEN GENES
12/1
Ferrari, Larry - 15
436.56


9
9
IMPRESSIVE CHIEF
20/1
Rhoades, Braiden - 3
420.12


8
8
BRIGOTTO
20/1
Beachy, Henry - 11
387.23


4
4
URSIS DES CAILLONS
20/1
Baird, Jacob - 5
377.05

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cumberland RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 8 - Post: 1:34 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$5500 - NW $4,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 7 NORTHERN SKYWAY 9/2




# 1 MISTER MUSCLE 7/2




# 5 INQUIRING MIND 6/1





Hard not to favor NORTHERN SKYWAY as the top contender for this one. Feel the need for speed, this interesting entrant has been turning in some excellent speed figures averaging around 80. Comes into this race with respectable TrackMaster class ratings in relationship to the bunch - could be worth a shot. That 75 speed figure clocked in the most recent contest puts this harness racer in the mix today. MISTER MUSCLE - Many smart handicappers will recognize the outstanding speed rating in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this grouping. Very high winning percentage makes this solid standardbred an excellent play to take home the dough. INQUIRING MIND - Have to make Cushing the wager here if only for the last thirty days win percentage. Big probability for the win. This entrant looks tough considering the high class figures. Don't toss out of any exotics.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-ExpoAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 5 - Post: 6:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$8800 - OPEN POST POSITIONS DRAWN IN GROUPS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 5 DYLAN THE GREAT 7/2




# 9 MANDEVILLE 5/2




# 1 TEACHMEHOWTOTORY 12/1





DYLAN THE GREAT will not be denied the trip to the winner's circle in this contest. He's competing in good form, recording very promising TrackMaster speed figs. An excellent play. The 84 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct advantage in the field. Post 5 has been winning at an above average stat, suggesting formidable probability of success in this one. MANDEVILLE - That 78 speed rating clocked in the most recent gathering puts this race horse in the mix today. This interesting entrant and Plano have some sort of connection going. In the money percentage for this tandem is high. TEACHMEHOWTOTORY - Cannot put a finger on it, but support this mare for a wager.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 10


5
5
ELEGANT DULUPIN FR
7/2
Dobson, Billy - 14
498.25


1
1
J-S JASPER
3/1
Athearn, Matthew - 10
484.63


3
3
SECRET RULE
4/1
Cross, Brian - 6
466.95


8
8
CRUISING IN STYLE
6/1
Beckwith, Brett - 16
450.97


2
2
KIPPER WHIPR SNIPR
8/1
Cushing, Mitchell - 11
436.63


7
7
POKER PLAY
12/1
Devaux, Jim - 20
425.94


4
4
CHERRY RED
10/1
Randall, Jay - 18
418.72


6
6
BROOKROAD MASTER
5/1
Long, Chris - 10
375.20

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau CarletonAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 9 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$5200 - N/W $200.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 4 JK ELLEM ENOH 4/1




# 6 ROCKNROLL NATION 3/1




# 5 BIG PETES STYLE 6/1





If you want a great play here, feast your eyes on JK ELLEM ENOH. The consortium noted a very strong contest out of this horse last time. Hoping for a duplicate of that to take the whole enchilada. The driver/horse combination figures point out that this duet are solid in the money finishers when working their magic together. Most likely think these two have a good thing going. Vaillancourt sending the horse out means a respectable chance to get the score. ROCKNROLL NATION - Has good TrackMaster Speed Ratings and unquestionably has to be considered for a bet this time. The handicapping team noted a very promising contest out of this fine animal last time. Looking for a repeat of that to dominate. BIG PETES STYLE - With very good win stats, Gagnon should have this gelding in excellent position to win the affair. The handicapping team noted a strong affair out of this nice horse last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to score.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cumberland Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 5


5
5
GUSSY'S DRAGON
4/1
Harrington, Andrew - 11
366.61


4
4
EINHORN IS FINKLE
7/1
Ranger, Bruce - 21
346.14


8
8
AGE IS A NUMBER
8/1
Watson, Wallace - 11
343.96


6
6
EASTERIFFIC
5/1
Graffam, Nicholas - 15
329.43


3
3
REST ASSURED
5/2
Stevenson, Michael - 9
323.58


2
2
AIR FORCE GRAD
15/1
Wilson, Steven - 7
321.61


1
1
FINEVINEOFSUNSHINE
7/2
Ingraham, David - 10
304.40


7
7
DEUCES FOR CHARITY
18/1
Lee, Dalton - 6
295.87

[ConleyPicks]

TALKING HORSES
Sunday November 26, 2023
AQUEDUCT
Andy Serling
Race 1 3 - 2 - 5 - 1
Race 2 6 - 3 - 4 - 2
Race 3 4 - 2 - 3 - 6
Race 4 4 - 3 - 6 - 2
Race 5 3 - 2 - 6 - 1
Race 6 5 - 4 - 1 - 2
Race 7 7 - 1/1A - 3 - 8
Race 8 2 - 5 - 7 - 6
Race 9 4 - 7 - 5 - 1

[ConleyPicks]

Picks & Plays for Sunday, November 26
by David Aragona

AQUEDUCT

Visit TimeformUS to view this card’s Highlight Horse and get PPs.

PICKS

Race 1: 2 - 3 - 5 - 1
Race 2: 5 - 2 - 4 - 6
Race 3: 1 - 4 - 3 - 2
Race 4: 6 - 5 - 4 - 2
Race 5: 6 - 3 - 8 - 2
Race 6: 5 - 4 - 6 - 2
Race 7: 7 - 1/1A - 3 - 6
Race 8: 8 - 7 - 5 - 2
Race 9: 1 - 7 - 4 - 8

FAIR VALUE PLAYS
(Fair Value: These are the odds at which I could reasonably bet each of the horses listed. Wagering decisions should be based on the actual odds. The best value option will not necessarily be the top pick.)


RACE 3

Lookin At Roses (#2) figures to be heavily supported in this spot as he bids for his sixth victory of the season. He’s been very consistent, especially from a speed figure perspective. However, he’s primarily done his best running out of town at Parx and Delaware. He did take his show on the road to earn a victory over this course and distance in September, but he was beating a weaker field that day. I think this is a tougher test for him and didn’t want to settle for a short price. If Portos (#3) is able to repeat his last race, he’s going to be a handful for this field. He didn’t finish that far behind the improving 3-year-old Signator or classy older rivals like Costa Terr and Little Demon. He obviously relishes this distance, and appears to be rounding back into form for Wayne Potts. Sundaeswithsandy (#4) is coming off a couple of disappointing results, but he didn’t get the right trip last time. He is a horse who sometimes breaks a step slowly, and Luis Rivera was unable to get him forward after that. The horse raced keenly in traffic early, but never gave up despite having to adapt to a new running style. I think he can get this distance if he’s able to make the lead, but that’s no guarantee here. My top pick is Higher Quality (#1). This horse has been a bit of an overachiever for the connections. Claimed for just $10k, he won a starter allowance race at Pimlico in September, and nearly took down to a $25k claimer with a very game effort two back. He looks a little cheaper than these on the basis of those efforts, but I thought he put in a strong effort when moved up in class last time. That race was dominated by a pair of tougher rivals, but he was closing stoutly though the late stages to get up for third despite going a distance that is short for him. I like him stretching back out to 1 1/8 miles, and he’s usually a fair price.

Fair Value:
#1 HIGHER QUALITY, at 6-1 or greater


RACE 4

I have some doubts about the favorite Heir Port (#4) as he returns from a layoff for Rudy Rodriguez. He was involved in a competitive pace last time at Saratoga in what was a tougher spot at this level. That 111 TimeformUS Speed Figure makes him very much the horse to beat here, but he’s been off since his claim was voided that day. He is coming back with the claiming tag waived, but now he has other speed to deal with both inside and outside of him. I’m not thrilled with others who could take money, such as Prince James (#2), who has been a disappointment lately, or Aequor (#3), who is coming off an inexplicable poor effort. Therefore I want to give a look to a couple of horses drawn towards the outside. Chuck Willis (#6) is logical off his last race. I know he looks like more of a turf and synthetic runner, but we did see a son of Kodiac win on the dirt yesterday, and these horses with superior form sometimes handle dirt when dropped in class. In that Nov. 3 affair, he was chasing a pretty fast pace, dueling with Printrack, who has really improved in recent months. Despite that taxing scenario, Chuck Willis actually battled on gamely for third. Now he’s dropping into a much softer spot, and he’s drawn well outside of his other pace rivals. I also think Rally Squirrel (#5) is intriguing as perhaps the biggest price in the field. I know he was facing weaker last time, but it was a step in the right direction for a horse who had run competitive speed figures on dirt previously. He got a very tentative ride from Eric Cancel that day, never asked for much through the stretch and basically getting geared down in the final eighth of a mile despite finding himself in a contending position. This horse probably has some issues, but there’s more talent here than it might appear at first glance.

Fair Value:
#6 CHUCK WILLIS, at 3-1 or greater
#5 RALLY SQUIRREL, at 12-1 or greater


RACE 6

If you have confidence that Kitten’s Appeal (#4) will return to her dirt sprint form from earlier this season prior to the layoff, she is very much the horse to beat in this spot. She barely lost to Hot Fudge back in January, and that filly went on to do some nice things in the first half of this season. She was then chasing an honest pace in February in a race won by a deep closer. I won’t hold the turf effort against her where she also got off to a poor start. Bruce Levine is 5 for 24 (21%, $1.25 ROI) off 150 to 300 day layoffs on dirt over 5 years, primarily doing well with short prices. I respect her form, but I didn’t want to take a short price considering the time away. Virtual Reality (#1) could take money as she returns to dirt for Chad Brown. Yet I’m just not convinced that she’s quite good enough to compete at this level. She didn’t beat the strongest field when she broke her maiden in her only dirt sprint attempt earlier this year, and she took a while to get going that day. She subsequently settled for second in a couple of weak races at this level up at Saratoga perform improving a bit on turf last time. She doesn’t strike me as a horse who would appreciate going shorter on dirt, and I’m also concerned she’s going to get outrun in the early stages. A new face to consider is Desert Dalliance (#6), who makes her first start off a trainer switch to Rudy Rodriguez. The barn doesn’t have the best stats with this move, but she has run some competitive speed figures on occasion. She won going 9 furlongs over this surface last sprint, but showed herself to be proficient sprinting this distance two back at Parx. Her inconsistency is a concern, but she’s capable on her best day. My top pick is Mongolian Panther (#5). She is obviously coming off a disappointing effort, where she finished behind two of today’s rivals on Nov. 5. Yet she didn’t get the best trip that day, as she was keen while racing in tight quarters along the rail early. Isaac Castillo, in trying to get her to settled, wrangled her back off the pace just as the leaders started to sprint for home. She was trying to accelerate late, but the pace had been slow, and the leaders had too much left in the tank. Her form prior to that clearly makes her the horse to beat in this spot. She ran well chasing the fast pace set by Portage two back going a distance that is probably too far for her anyway. A repeat of her 108 TimeformUS Speed Figure going this distance at Saratoga in August would clearly put her in the winner’s circle against this group.

Fair Value:
#5 MONGOLIAN PANTHER, at 2-1 or greater


RACE 8

It's hard to knock the recent form of likely favorite Swiftsure (#7). He was commanding winner against claimers at Saratoga, and that gave his connections confidence to step him up to a mile. It now seems clear that he should have been focusing on longer distances all along. He won that first route attempt in early October, and subsequently showed that improvement was no fluke by finishing a competitive fifth against a tough field in the G2 Forty Niner. On all of those occasions, he made use of his early speed, and he figures to get things his own way up front again here without any other confirmed frontrunners signed on. I’m not against him, but he figures to be a short price now that his form is exposed. Among his main rivals is Unbridled Bomber (#5), who will turn back to a mile for the first time since early in the season. Both of his efforts going this distance were strong, as he won an allowance race by 9 lengths with a career-best speed figure in April before finishing a decent fourth in the Westchester. My concern is that he had to work harder than expected for that victory last time despite getting a good trip sitting on top of a slow pace. I’m a fan of this horse, but I thought others might offer better value here. I am pretty intrigued by the horse who nearly defeated Unbridled Bomber last time. Daydreaming Boy (#8) nearly pulled off that minor upset when sweeping to the lead past the quarter pole. He appeared to have the race in the bag, but got a bit leg-weary in the last sixteenth. Despite the loss, that race was just further confirmation that this horse is in great form right now. He really improved with the stretch-out in distance at Parx this summer, and has carried that form into the fall. I really like this slight turnback for him, since he clearly has the turn of foot to win going a mile. He looks like a horse who is pace dependent, but he has been more forward on occasions, and Trevor McCarthy should have some options from this outside draw.

Fair Value:
#8 DAYDREAMING BOY, at 6-1 or greater


RACE 9

Goddess of Fire (#7) will obviously win this race if she gets back to her better efforts off the layoff. She’s multiple graded stakes placed, even earning a Grade 1 placing behind stablemate Nest in the Alabama last year. However, her season did end on a sour note in the Cotillion, and we didn’t see her for over a year after that. She’s missed nearly her entire 4-year-old season, and now returns getting significant class relief in this N1X allowance affair. She’s talented on her best day, but she’s a little hard to trust coming off the layoff. Todd Pletcher is just 13 for 68 (19%, $0.93 ROI) off 300 to 600 day layoffs on dirt over 5 years, and 4 for 28 (14%, $0.54 ROI) in dirt routes within that sample. Her main rival appears to be Coppa Girl (#4), who also comes off a poor effort. Yet she doesn’t have as long a layoff to deal with, having last raced at Saratoga this summer. She ran very well on this circuit two back when just missing behind Into Happiness. Her best effort won’t beat Goddess of Fire’s top races, but she has fewer questions to answer as she attempts to bounce back for a dangerous barn. I’m more interested in a horse with more early speed. Dame Cinco (#1) looks overmatched from a class standpoint as she moves up second off the claim for Rick Dutrow. This was one of the first horses Dutrow claimed upon his return to training in April, and it took him a long time to get her back to the races. Her last race was probably just a prep, since she was only going 6 furlongs with the claiming tag waived. She should have gotten something out of that effort, and now she moves up into a more ambitious spot despite losing that return. I like her betting back out to a mile, where she has run some of the best races of her career. Manny Franco figures to make use of her speed from this inside post position, and I think she’s a serious threat to take them all the way.

Fair Value:
#1 DAME CINCO, at 5-1 or greater

[ConleyPicks]

SCOTT SHAPIRO
EXPERT SELECTIONS
Scott Shapiro is the Senior Racing Analyst for Churchill Downs and the Kentucky Derby. He fell in love with thoroughbred racing when his father took him to Garden State Park in 1985 to see Kentucky Derby winner Spend A Buck race in the Jersey Derby instead of the Preakness Stakes. Scott graduated from the University of Wisconsin in 1996 and is an avid NFL and PGA fan. His favorite horses are A.P. Indy, Fly So Free, Captain Bodgit, Victory Gallop, and Ghostzapper.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

November 26, 2023
Double-check listed numbers against program numbers before wagering. Selections subject to change on race day due to scratches, off the turf, etc. For the most up to the minute information follow Scott on Twitter @ScottShap34.

Bet now at TwinSpires >

RACE 1
1:00 PM
Selections: 11-4-2-1-5
11 DON'T STOP Drops in to realistic spot after two tries vs MSW foes
4 PALHACO Was off slow on debut in a race won by longshot speed runner
2 MASTER OF DISGUISE Has had his chances, but has hit board in 3 of 5

RACE 2
1:28 PM
Selections: 1-9-2-3
1 AARALYN Had an impossibly wide voyage in last; moves inside & attracts Tyler
9 PROMISEMEANEMPIRE Should benefit from move to outside post
2 UP ON THE EDGE Ran into McPeek buzzsaw in last; will break thru soon but 2-1 too short

RACE 3
1:56 PM
Selections: 5-4-2-10-12
5 LAGYNOS Relaxed professionally along inside in 1st two turn trip on 11/9
4 ASPENITE Could find himself loose on lead with scratches of other speeds
2 FOOTPRINT Brings best dirt form into race but could be pace compromised

RACE 4
2:24 PM
Selections: 7-10-1/2-6-9
7 DENIM AND PEARLS Showed grit in debut score; relishes the added ground
10 LOOKSTER Likely to get favorable stalking trip in search of 2 in a row
1 TARIFA Was awesome on debut despite less than ideal trip, but concerned about rail draw

RACE 5
2:53PM
Selections: 4-12-3-6-9-8
4 JUST A COED Got hammered on debut despite rail draw in race that fell apart late
12 PERFECT SHOT Has progressed nicely thru 2 starts; should love two turns
3 SHILOH'S MISTRESS Makes 2nd try for barn that is 3 for 10 at fall meet w/ 4 2nds

RACE 6
3:21 PM
Selections: 11-13-4-12
11 SPEAK UP Was best of off pace runners last out in race won by run-off speed
13 PIN UP BETTY Encountered much stronger in his recent start at CD over slop
4 WILLOWY Exits same race as Speak Up where he chased pace & faded

RACE 7
3:49 PM
Selections: 10-8/5-2-1
10 THE PROCESS Won when hammered on debut; freshened up for 8 furlong test
8 MYSTIK DAN Has huge shot if able to avoid getting caught up in early tussle
5 INFORMED PATRIOT Drops back into ALW ranks; might get overbet but in w/ shot nonetheless

RACE 8
4:18 PM
Selections: 6-7/5-9-1-11
6 LAT LONG Comes in fully rested & ready to put forth career best effort
7 TRACK PHANTOM Ran huge in defeat over slop; stretches out to 2 turns
5 D DAY SKY Moved fwd on move to main track; has shown serious ability in AM

RACE 9
4:48 PM
Selections: 9-6/2-8
9 BOOTH Was dominant on front end on debut; can he avoid early duel
6 NORMANDY HERO Is likeliest to relax early & take advantage of contentious pace
2 AGOO Has done little wrong, but did take advantage of favorable track profile in last

RACE 10
5:18 PM
Selections: 7-8-2/5-6-3
7 WEST SUNSET Has shown versatility thus far; takes advantage of lack of early zip
8 THORPEDO ANNA Has been awesome thus far, but could regress in 3rd start in month
2 INTRICATE Gets class test here, but was extremely professional in start #2

RACE 11
5:48 PM
Selections: 1-7-6-2-3
1 AWESOME ROAD Failed to fire in 1st stakes try, but gets some class relief today
7 RISK IT Freshened up after chasing scorching early pace in Iroquois S.
6 STRETCH RIDE Has fooled the public in back to back starts; aims to make it 3 straight

RACE 12
6:18 PM
Selections: 10-1-4/2
10 SHARP TUNE Was more dominant than running line suggests in 10/29 score
1 YOUALMOSTHADME Is clear one to beat, but could get caught up in early battle
4 HALINA'S FORTE Tries winners for 1st time for barn that is 6 for 15 at fall meet

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar Bottom Line
By Brad Free
Brad Free has been handicapper, reporter and columnist for
Daily Racing Form since 1992. A native of Southern California,
Free previously covered horse racing for the Pasadena StarNews, The National and The Racing Times. Free wrote the
popular DRF text “Handicapping 101,” worked as a broadcaster
for TVG and Santa Anita, and has served as track linemaker

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2023 BEST BET: RACE 9, NATION

First race
Bred to win early, KOPION debuts with a series of works that suggest
she can fire first out. Sired by Omaha Beach, whose debut juvenile
progeny have won at a 26-percent rate, KOPION was produced by a
mare whose eight runners include six debut winners including stakes
winners Ami’s Flatter, Amis Gizmo and Aragorn Ami. All systems go
for trainer Richard Mandella and Flavien Prat, who teamed to win with
4 of their last 8 dirt first-time starters. SHE’S A TEMPEST finished a
creditable second in her debut, a race won by the odds-on favorite.
‘TEMPEST should be forwardly placed with a license to improve second
out. CRITICISM ran better in her debut than her modest 56 Beyer. She
was five- and four-wide throughout and finished nearly three lengths
clear of third. She moves up slightly in class from restricted maiden to
maiden special-weight, and is the only starter who has raced at this six
and one-half furlong distance.

second race
Consistent multi-surface sprinter DISKO TRIBUTE can win this $32k
claiming sprint based on sharp form in Northern California. He finished
second last out behind a 4-for-6 pro who routinely earns 90-plus
figures. ‘TRIBUTE won his only start over the Del Mar surface last year,
and can give high-percent No Cal trainer Reid France the first DMR win
of his career. ESTABLISHED tailed off his last two starts, but a return
to DMR could turn him around. He ran well both starts on this track
in summer, and figures for an up-front trip. LAMBEAU returns from
a layoff with a series of sharp works. Although he has run better in
routes than sprints, this is the first time he has raced for a claim tag.
SANTOS TO WILSON, 2-for-4 over the DMR track, moves up a notch
off a runner-up finish from which he was claimed for $25k by Vann
Belvoir, who is 5-for-13 first-off-the-claim with So Cal dirt sprinters the
past five years according to Formulator.

third race
ANGELCENTS and PHENOM face a possibly challenging pace scenario in
this $25k claiming turf sprint. Both are front-runners; they could compromise each other. Nonetheless, the call is ANGELCENTS, who might be
quicker. An eight-time winner from 18 starts, the speedster returns to the
claiming ranks and is reunited with Kyle Frey, who rode her to a pair of gateto-wire wins this spring. PHENOM also has speed, dropping from $50k
claiming, and drawn outside where she might have the option of pressing/
stalking rather than going head and head with ANGELCENTS. If the top
pair run each other into the ground, the race could fall apart in favor of
longshot late-runner A NEW PEACE. She was claimed from a $12.5k claiming dirt win last out, she has won on turf, and should be running late from
a midpack position. She should start at a hint of a price. NU PI LAMBDA,
1-for-27, also will be running in the lane.

Fourth race
Five-start maiden CALIFORNIA TIGER and second-time starter JOHN
DUNBAR top this Cal-bred maiden-50. ‘TIGER ran the best race of his career
last out, runner-up with an above-par speed figure while finishing more
than five lengths clear of third. He is likely to get first run over his main
rival. However, the runner-up debut by JOHN DUNBAR also was very good.
He was sent hard from the inside post to chase the pace from fourth, was
in a tight spot turning for home, split horses late, rallied between runners
and missed by only a half-length. Excellent debut. Now he moves to the
outside post, with a race under his belt, and an additional half-furlong in
this six-furlong sprint. Close call between the top pair. CAROL’S COMIC
is an 18-start maiden with 10 in-the-money finishes. He will be chugging
along late. EL REY DORADO drops from Cal-bred MSW to Cal-bred maiden
-50 for his first start in nearly three months. Upsetter?

FiFth race
This deep N1X sprint could go a number of ways. Gradually improving 3yo
MISTER ICEMAN gets the call based on his better-than-looked fifth last
out at Santa Anita. He was shuffled and lost position on the turn, blocked
most of the stretch, and missed by only a length and a half without a fair
chance. He ran well both turf sprints at DMR in summer (runner-up, sixth
with trouble). KING APOLLO has been stuck at this N1X level most of the
year without a win, but he almost always shows up. His last seven tries at
the level produced four seconds and a third. ‘APOLLO is a late-runner; there
is enough pace to flatter his closing style. He is trained by Kristin Mulhall,
who also entered front-runner SAWASDEE. The latter wired Cal-bred allowance rivals on this course in summer,
he will contest the pace. SILARDI also has speed while habitual slow starter PRINCE LANCELOT was gelded
since his most recent start. He will rally late. This field is deep

sixth race
DEVIL MOON drops in class, returns to dirt, and is drawn outside main rival
K P KWEST in this N3L claiming sprint. Six and one-half furlongs might be a
reach for ‘MOON, but he could get a good trip pressing his main rival from the
outside. Of course, K P KWEST could be long gone. He ran super finishing
second at this level last out. He was hounded through fast splits, shook off two
pace rivals who finished nowhere, then got collared by a closer while finishing
more than three lengths clear of third. Excellent try by the gelding, who could
be long gone running back at the same class level. The same question applies
to ‘KWEST as the top choice: can he stay six and a half? ELEVADO return to a
sprint and will be running from off the pace. He likes the DMR track

seventh race
IDESSIA is on a roll, seeking her third straight in this N1X turf mile following
maiden and Cal-bred allowance wins. Her last was her best yet. She ran faster
each successive quarter-mile, finished in :23.14 and won going away. Sharp gray
filly can handle open company. LAKOTA SPIRIT also enters in peak form, runnerup by a
head last out in an off-turf allowance, and runner-up two back behind
subsequent (two starts later) G3 winner Linda’s Gift. JENSCO is probably the
one to catch. First-time long, speed to make the lead, she could clear and get
brave. TIERGARTEN won three of her last five starts while moving up the ladder.
KLEEN KARMA is a three-time winner over the DMR turf, including a N1X win two
summers ago. She entered for the optional $40k claim tag.

eighth race
NEWGRANGE, multiple graded winner, can win this G3 dirt route if he improves
from his promising comeback. He dueled through a blazing pace, hung tough
into the lane and tired while making his first start in seven months. The fractions should be slower in this nine-furlong race, NEWGRANGE figures for a good
trip setting or pressing the pace outside the front-runner in post 2. SKINNER
drops from a pair of G1 races and is the best late threat. However, this stakes
race is usually won by horses with speed. Eight of the nine Native Diver winners
either wired the field, or pressed from second position. Conversely, SKINNER is
a deep closer. Second choice, nonetheless. MR FISK is an improving 3yo who
ran the best race of his career on this track in summer when he dead-heated in
a stakes for 3yos. ARROWTHEGREAT is the aforementioned allowance-caliber
front-runner in post 2. A gate-to-wire winner both routes (MSW and N1X), he will
attempt an ambitious class hike while in sharp form.

ninth race
Second-time starter NATION can win this maiden turf route based on his
promising runner-up debut at Keeneland in which he had plenty of self-caused
trouble. He was rank and green early, lost ground throughout, rallied five-wide
into the lane, and ran his final quarter-mile in a strong :22.47. With only minor
improvement second out, NATION should be tough. SEA OF CORTEZ stretches
out from a promising U.S. debut in which he missed by a neck at six furlongs.
He broke slow both starts, but has enough speed to establish a forward position
regardless. KHANTARO D’ORO is an eight-start maiden, but likely to improve
second start back after a decent pace-pressing sixth-place comeback.

[ConleyPicks]

BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS

Del Mar - Race #5
PICKS NOTES
#8 Inch He's certainly a bit of a question on class, but he ran well over this course twice this summer and has the kind of style that might leave him in a really dreamy spot today while not being totally outrun early.
#10 Silardi He draws well to flash pace and prompt the other forward players drawn further inside, and he still has a high enough ceiling to handle this kind of group with his better stuff.
#5 King Apollo He caught a sharp winner in that last one and has some pretty honest finishing form on his page, but he does settle for a lot of underneath slices and might do so again today.
Race Summary Inch is a reliable closer, but he occasionally finds himself in more of a midpack spot, and that might benefit him today if he can settle in and close.

Del Mar - Race #8
PICKS NOTES
#2 Arrowthegreat He's in for a class test today while rising off the graduation run and first-level allowance tally, but I like the way he's heading while stepping up. Forward threat.
#7 Mr Fisk Wouldn't be a shock to see him land this, and he's got a couple excuses on class and/or trip for a couple of the clunkers on his page. Capable.
#6 Skinner He has typically been a too-little-too-late nibbling finisher, but he's coming out of much tougher spots and might be able to get past these late on recent class.
Race Summary #5 Newgrange has a claim on this too, but I think Arrowthegreat is the more appealing option right near the top.

Del Mar - Race #9
PICKS NOTES
#2 Khantaro d'Oro He couldn't hang in the final yards of the comeback race, but he's probably better off with that race under his belt after 21 months away, and it has been a couple years since he was able to put multiple races together. Expecting better.
#7 Nation Think he's one of the ones in here after a wide trip last out, but he finished up nicely in that first start and probably has some upside today. Similar effort keeps him there either way.
#8 Caribbean King Positional pace makes some sense in here with a few decent winners in the recent company lines, and he figures to be in another good spot into the far turn. Lacking the final gear again?
Race Summary Khantaro d'Oro ran a pretty good race last time around and was still trying to reach out nicely late -- he just got tired. Take that at face value and build in some upside after the first start in close to two years....and he ends up looking about as good as any in here.

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - November 26
Nov. 25, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 70% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 MONTAUK MYSTIQUE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
5
Montauk Mystique
D Davis


PLACE
6-1
1
Strange Fruit
E Ruiz


SHOW
5-2
3
Practical Miss
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
5-1
4
Debbie Darling
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
6
Lady Fortuna
L J Luzzi


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
2
Good Morning Kiss
J Lezcano








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #2 $55,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
3
Antenna
J Lezcano


PLACE
5-2
4
Tavin
T McCarthy


SHOW
3-1
5
Progeny
M Franco


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Classic Diva
L R Rivera Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
3-1
2
Low Society
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
6
Lika Rolling Stone
J Castellano








* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX









RACE #3 $47,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
2
Lookin At Roses
J Castellano


PLACE
5-2
4
Sundaeswithsandy
M Franco


SHOW
3-1
3
Portos
T McCarthy


WILD CARD
10-1
1
Higher Quality
L R Rivera Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
6
Optic Way
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
5
Iron Works
E Cancel








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #4 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:46 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Prince James
L J Luzzi


PLACE
8-5
4
Heir Port
L R Rivera Jr.


SHOW
9-2
6
Chuck Willis
I Castillo


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Bourbons Hope
J A Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
3
Aequor
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
5
Rally Squirrel
E Cancel








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #5 $35,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
7
Fight Fiercely
R Silvera


PLACE
7-2
6
Winning Connection
T McCarthy


SHOW
3-1
3
Big Bobby
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
6-1
1
Street Swagg
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
2
Anthracite
J A Gomez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
Counterfeitcurency
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #6 $90,000 ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:44 PM ET



BEST BET: #5 MONGOLIAN PANTHER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
5
Mongolian Panther
I Castillo


PLACE
3-1
1
Virtual Reality
M Franco


SHOW
5-1
2
Wicked Sight
T McCarthy


WILD CARD
5-2
4
Kittens Appeal
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Caragate
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
6
Desert Dalliance
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX









RACE #7 $25,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:14 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 TWO REDHEADS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
1
Two Redheads
J Lezcano


PLACE
2-1
7
Monroe
M Franco


SHOW
10-1
4
Anileate
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
15-1
2
Alterina
K Davis





ALTERNATE 1
8-5
1A
Shigeko
R Silvera


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
8
Rocket Ruthie
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX









RACE #8 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:42 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
7
Swiftsure
M Franco


PLACE
4-1
2
Sheriff Bianco
J Lezcano


SHOW
12-1
1
Divine Armor
I Castillo


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Unbridled Bomber
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
4
Adero
A Adorno


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
Daydreaming Boy
T McCarthy








* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #9 $90,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-1
8
Sweet Mystery
T McCarthy


PLACE
8-1
1
Dame Cinco
M Franco


SHOW
6-5
7
Goddess of Fire
J Lezcano


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Aint Broke
E Cancel





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Hazardous Humor
D Davis


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
4
Coppa Girl
J Castellano








* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 26
Nov. 25, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
14
Sharp Shot
A Concepcion


PLACE
3-1
2
Master of Disguise
E Morales


SHOW
4-1
9
Summer in Aiken
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
20-1
8
The Rush Is On
F Peterson





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
13
Mirage
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
4
Palhaco
B J Hernandez Jr.








* EXACTA: 14-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/9/14 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX









RACE #2 $92,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Up On the Edge
A Achard


PLACE
5-2
9
Promisemeanempire
F Arrieta


SHOW
3-1
3
Roselee May
G Corrales


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Aaralyn
T Gaffalione





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
4
You Proof
B J Hernandez Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
7
Cheyenne Moon
A Beschizza








* EXACTA: 2-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX









RACE #3 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:56 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
3
Methodology
F Geroux


PLACE
4-1
9
Devil Blue Dress
M Chuan


SHOW
3-1
7
Mighty Madison
M Garcia


WILD CARD
7-2
2
Dear Lady
F Arrieta





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
5
Malibu Smart
A Concepcion


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
8
H. T. Xena
A Beschizza








* EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX









RACE #4 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
12
Pharoahs Wine
M Chuan


PLACE
9-2
6
Celtic Charm
T Gaffalione


SHOW
8-1
10
Reagans Flame
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Copper Em
J Rosario





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
2
Sistina Chapel
J R Leparoux


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
11
Aprils Diamante
A Concepcion








* EXACTA: 12-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/10/12 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX









RACE #5 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 EMPERADOR









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Emperador
J Graham


PLACE
7-2
5
River Boy
G Saez


SHOW
3-1
8
Stand for Freedom
K J Asmussen


WILD CARD
12-1
7
Bolshie
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Tropic Storm
G Ashton


ALTERNATE 2
9-2
4
Must Be Love
E Morales








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX









RACE #6 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:21 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
6
Charge Account
A Achard


PLACE
4-1
3
Donya Know It
E Asmussen


SHOW
6-1
7
She Dazzle
A Beschizza


WILD CARD
7-2
10
La V.
K J Asmussen





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
1
Elia
J Elliott


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
11
Cactus Flower
M Burnham








* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 3/7/10 BOX









RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 ARRO SMASH









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Arro Smash
G Corrales


PLACE
6-1
10
Bourbon Resolve
L Saez


SHOW
5-1
8
Spend Benjamins
R Bejarano


WILD CARD
4-1
1
Forced Ranking
A Cedillo





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
4
Zambezi
K J Asmussen


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
7
Juilliard
M Garcia








* EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/8/10 BOX, 1/8/10 BOX









RACE #8 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
4
Bowstreet
G Corrales


PLACE
6-1
2
Vesture
J R Leparoux


SHOW
10-1
11
Redeposit
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
9-2
8
Box Office
F Geroux





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
7
Riverwalk
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
15
Dimatic
J Rosario








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/11 BOX, 2/8/11 BOX









RACE #9 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 WICO









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
7
Wico
J R Velazquez


PLACE
7-2
2
Promise Me a Ride
A Concepcion


SHOW
9-2
6
Denington
C J Lanerie


WILD CARD
12-1
4
Bromley
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
3
Briterdayzahead
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
8
Curly Jack
E Morales








* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #10 $141,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Giant Mischief
T Gaffalione


PLACE
5-1
2
Osbourne
J R Leparoux


SHOW
3-1
8
Traegar
L Saez


WILD CARD
5-1
3
Kupuna
R Gutierrez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
9
Minnesota Ready
C J Lanerie


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Payne
K J Asmussen








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX









RACE #11 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:48 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 COMMONWEALTH TURF STAKES GRADE III









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
1
Northern Invader
J L Ortiz


PLACE
10-1
11
Santorini
A Achard


SHOW
12-1
12
Lincoln Highway
L Saez


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Runaway Storm
C J Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
15-1
13
Clydes Got a Gun
O Mojica


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
8
Bal a Kazoo
E E Perez








* EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/11/12 BOX, 5/11/12 BOX



COMMENTS: NORTHERN INVADER won two of three on grass including the top last race speed figure and a bullet workout since. SANTORINIs resume says he should be as good or a lot better in the second start off the sidelines. LINCOLN HIGHWAY is a consistent performer with a high floor and low ceiling that will be closing. RUNAWAY STORM will try to get out front and go gate to wire.










RACE #12 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:18 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
6
Bourbon to Blame
J R Leparoux


PLACE
6-1
7
Fast N Happy
E Morales


SHOW
15-1
15
Reactive
L Saez


WILD CARD
10-1
13
Toffee
M Garcia





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
8
Missile
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
12
Lisas Nonno
A Cedillo








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-15 BOX, 15-13 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/15 BOX, 7/13/15 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar Tipsheet - November 26
Nov. 25, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
3
Shes a Tempest
T J Pereira


PLACE
6-5
6
Kopion
F Prat


SHOW
4-1
5
Criticism
A Fresu


WILD CARD
5-1
2
Ultimate Authority
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Toulouse Detrac
D A Herrera


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
4
Discrepancy
J Torrealba








* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #2 $28,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:58 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
4
Disko Tribute
G Franco


PLACE
5-2
6
Established
A Fresu


SHOW
5-2
1
Santos to Wilson
F Prat


WILD CARD
6-1
3
Jamming Eddy
R A Vazquez





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
5
Lambeau
J J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
2
Impossible Task
K Frey








* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #3 $22,500 CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:27 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 PHENOM









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
8
Phenom
J J Hernandez


PLACE
5-2
4
Angelcents
K Frey


SHOW
8-1
5
A New Peace
A Ayuso


WILD CARD
15-1
6
Nu Pi Lambda
G Franco





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Dancing Soul
A Aguilar


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
1
Shes Resilient
M Gutierrez








* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX









RACE #4 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:56 PM ET



BEST BET: #6 CALIFORNIA TIGER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
6
California Tiger
H I Berrios


PLACE
2-1
7
John Dunbar
A Aguilar


SHOW
5-1
3
Carols Comic
T Baze


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Big Drinker
A Fresu





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
5
El Rey Dorado
K Frey


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
4
Sure Prospect
J Valdivia Jr.








* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX









RACE #5 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
3
Sawasdee
A Alsagoor


PLACE
6-1
10
Silardi
V Espinoza


SHOW
4-1
9
Cane Creek Road
A Fresu


WILD CARD
7-2
7
Mister Iceman
F Prat





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
8
Inch
T Baze


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
5
King Apollo
G Franco








* EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/9/10 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX









RACE #6 $20,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
5
Devil Moon
F Prat


PLACE
5-2
4
K P Kwest
T Baze


SHOW
8-1
6
Play Chicken
A Fresu


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Elevado
A Aguilar





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
3
Top of My Game
J Torrealba


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
1
Tenth Street Don
K Frey








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #7 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 TIERGARTEN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
3
Tiergarten
G Franco


PLACE
7-2
7
Idessia
R Gonzalez


SHOW
30-1
4
Ankyrah
T Baze


WILD CARD
8-1
10
Myfavoritedaughter
A Fresu





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Kleen Karma
D A Herrera


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
11
Cast Member
R A Vazquez








* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX









RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 NATIVE DIVER STAKES GRADE III









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
7
Mr Fisk
J J Hernandez


PLACE
5-2
5
Newgrange
E A Maldonado


SHOW
6-1
2
Arrowthegreat
V Espinoza


WILD CARD
4-1
6
Skinner
M E Smith





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
1
Visitant
F Prat


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Celestial Moon
A Fresu








* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX



COMMENTS: MR FISK has a big win and a close second in a pair on Del Mar dirt. NEWGRANGE is the most accomplished horse in the field with high level early pace and occasional stakes level late pace. ARROWTHEGREAT won two in a row and upped the tempo in his last. SKINNER ran the highest last race speed figure but struggles to find the winners circle.










RACE #9 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
8
Caribbean King
J J Hernandez


PLACE
5-2
7
Nation
F Prat


SHOW
6-1
9
Player B
K Frey


WILD CARD
6-1
11
Ghost Coast
H I Berrios





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
2
Khantaro dOro
A Fresu


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
6
Sea of Cortez
T J Pereira








* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 7/9/11 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Central Florida -11 over Stetson

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4UEarly Sunday Free Selection: New England Patriots/New York Giants under 34

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Free play from #1 SportsEarly Sunday's Free Play: Texas Longhorns - 16

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Free play from Hawkeye SportsEarly Sunday's Free Pick: Louisville Cardinals - 7 1/2

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Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Early Sunday: Florida Atlantic Owls - 2 1/2

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Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play for SUNDAY
PENN (NCAAB)

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Free play from Jim FeistJim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, November 26, 2023
FREE
NFL
254. Colts -2.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Roz WinsROZ FREE Selection SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2023
NFL
264. Cardinals +2.5 (1:05 PT / 4:05 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the Orlando Magic -6 over Charlotte

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday :Take CLEVELAND/DENVER UNDER the total of 37

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Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Sunday Free Play
Air Force -2' CBB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Kenny Towers





Your Free Pick for Sunday - Atlanta +1.5 (NFL)


Played & Documented!
2023-24 Freeplay Record - 23-24-2

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Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take CBB Texas A&M Pk

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: PITTSBURGH/CINCINNATI OVER the total of 36.5

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Free play from Atlantic SportsEarly Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Milwaukee Bucks - 13

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Free play from Sharp BettorSharpBettor FREE Play SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 2023

FREE
NFL
262. Falcons +1.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Sunday: NEW ENGLAND -4.5 over NY Giants (NFL)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony's Free Selection for Sunday: Take the YALE (NCAAB)

[ConleyPicks]

Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Bodo Glimt +235 (Soccer)

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Williams

1* on Patriots-4

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Steelers/Bengals NFL Free Pick

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 6-4 straight up and against the spread despite being outgained in every single game. They rank 28th in total offense and 27th in total defense, and it's almost nothing short of a miracle that they're in contention for postseason football considering all the metrics.

They've caught a lucky break here (again) as they won't have to face Bengals franchise quarterback Joe Burrow who will miss the rest of the season due to a right wrist injury, but I think Cincy will rally around backup QB Jake Browning.

And ... It's not like Pittsburgh is well off on the QB position either. Kenny Pickett has a QB rating of 36.1, which is the fourth-worst mark among qualified quarterbacks (minimum of 20 action plays per team game).

2* FREE PICK ON THE CINCINNATI BENGALS+2.5

[ConleyPicks]

Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Jaguars-1 -102

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

[ConleyPicks]

Dave Price

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Houston Texans +2

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Houston Texans as home underdogs to the Jacksonville Jaguars. This is a must-win game for the Texans if they want to win the division so there will be no letdown here despite winning 3 consecutive games. They trail the Jaguars by one game for the division lead, and those last 3 wins were impressive because they dominated the box score in all 3. They had 496 yards on the Bucs and outgained them by 164 yards. They had 544 yards on the Bengals and outgained them by 164 yards. They had 419 yards on the Cardinals and outgained them by 100 yards. CJ Stroud is a heavy favorite to win Rookie of the Year averaging 296.2 PYPG with 17 TD and only 5 INT on the season. The Jaguars have a great run D but their weakness is against the pass, making this a great matchup for the Texans. Take Houston.

[ConleyPicks]

John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Bucs/Colts OVER 44.5

The Indianapolis Colts are an OVER team. They score 24.2 points per game and allow 24.8 points per game on the season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost a couple starters against the 49ers last week in CB Jamel Dean and LB Lavonte David which are two of their better players on defense. They gave up 27 points and 420 yards to the 49ers two weeks after giving up 39 points and 496 yards to the Texans. I think Baker Mayfield is going to try to have to keep up with the Colts in more of a shootout in this one. They did put up 37 points on the Texans in that defeat. Weather will be perfect inside the dome in Indianapolis. Give me the OVER.

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Virginia Tech+140

No analysis provided.

[ConleyPicks]

Brandon Lee

7* NFL Steelers/Bengals Free Pick

PLAY ON: Steelers/Bengals UNDER 36.5

I'm on the UNDER 36.5 in Sunday's AFC North matchup that has the Joe Burrow less Bengals visiting the Steelers. I don't see there being anywhere close to enough offensive fire-power for these two teams to eclipse this low total. Cincinnati's offense is nothing without Burrow and is facing a stingy Steelers defense. Bengals have struggled defensively at times in 2023, but shouldn't have much trouble limiting Kenny Pickett and this Steelers attack. I don't think a change in OC is going to do a lot as long as Pickett is still QB1. Conditions for this game should also heavily favor the under with cross winds over 10+ mph and 100% chance of precipitation. Give me the UNDER 36.5!

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS+2.5 +100 for our Sunday Free Play. The Colts have won two straight games and coming off their bye week to move to 5-5 and remain in the playoff picture. The defense stepped up in those two games as they allowed only 19 points total but faced two of the worst quarterbacks in the league in Bryce Young and Mac Jones, No. 31 and No. 25 respectively in QBR. Their own offense did nothing as they managed an average of just 231 ypg and they take a step in defense this week. Quarterback Gardner Minshew has made five starts since taking over and has not been very good with a 6:6 TD:INT ratio with only one passer rating above .500 so they will try and run the ball here without much success. The Colts are the No. 6 ranked team in the Luck Ratings. Tampa Bay has lost five of its last six games but four of those teams have winning records with current playoff positions and at 4-6, it is very much alive in the NFC South. The Buccaneers have played a schedule ranked No. 10 and while going 0-4 against the top tens power ranked teams, they are 0-4 against all other teams. The offense has been up and down and quarterback Baker Mayfield has not been bad as he has his best passer rating since 2020-21 and this is with no semblance of a running game. Defensively, they have allowed 20 points or less six times and the strength is stopping the run as Tampa Bay is No. 2 in defensive rushing EPA. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Play (253) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

[ConleyPicks]

ASA

#257/258 ASA PLAY ON Under 36.5 Points -109 – Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers, Sunday at 1 PM ET - The defenses are easily the 2 best units on the field in this game. Carolina’s defense ranks 9th in total defense and 6th in YPP allowed. The Titans rank 22nd in total defense but that trumps these putrid offenses which rank 27th and 31st in total offense. Carolina’s offense has been bad all season averaging 4.4 YPP (dead last in the NFL) and they’ve been held to 15 points or less in 4 straight games. The Titans offense, since switching their starting QB to rookie Will Levis, they’ve averaged only 16 PPG. The Titans scored 28 points in Levis first start and now that teams have film on the rookie they’ve scored a total of 36 points his last 3 games. In their last 3 games since his first start the Titans have only averaged 261 total YPG. Carolina over their last 3 has a tally of just 225 total YPG. Tennessee has averaged just 4.8 YPP during that 3 game stretch and the Panthers are putting up only 3.6 YPP their last 3 games. Tennessee is the 2nd slowest paced team in the NFL (seconds per play) and they average only 56 offensive snaps per game, lowest in the NFL. Carolina is middle of the pack in pace so we don’t expect a fast paced offensive game. These 2 teams have combined to play 20 games this season and only 6 have gone Over the total. We project neither team to reach 20 points here which gives us a high probability this game stays Under the total.

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Butler vs Boise State under 147

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on Cardinals+3 -115

[ConleyPicks]

Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on DEN-114

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Denver are 4-1 in their last 5 games.

- Cleveland are 2-11 in their last 13 games against Denver.

- Cleveland are 1-7 in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

[ConleyPicks]

Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Los Angeles Rams ML -120

My 25* play on the Rams +2 cashed last week. I grabbed them as an underdog early in the week when the Matthew Stafford news broke that he would return. That made all the difference because they closed as 2.5-point favorites and won by 1. There were actually four games in the NFL last week where the books got middled, which is the most I can ever remember seeing in one week.

You could have had the Steelers +4 early in the week and the Browns PK later in the week and they went off as 2.5-point favorites and won by 3. You could have had the Cardinals +6 or the Texans -4 last week and the Texans won by 5. You could have had the 49ers -10 or the Buccaneers +13.5 at close and the 49ers won by 13. Numbers matter folks, especially in the NFL.

I think the Rams are a 'buy low' type of team in the 2nd half of the season after their 3-6 start. They are about as healthy as they have been all season, but unfortunately Cooper Kupp went down last week. They came back on the Seahawks without him and have actually been very good without him this season, but it's still a blow not having him.

The Cardinals have a ton of injuries on defense and are a terrible defensive team as it is. They just lost their green dot in LB Kyzir White in last week's loss to the Texans where they gave up 419 yards and should have lost by more, but CJ Stroud threw three interceptions inside Arizona's 25-yard line. They allow 25.8 points per game on the season, including 27.0 points per game at home where they have almost zero home-field advantage.

The Rams have by far the superior stop unit. They got a couple key players back on defense coming out of their bye week and held the Seahawks to 16 points and 291 total yards. They held Josh Dobbs and the Cardinals to 9 points in a 26-9 victory earlier this season. I think they can hold Kyler Murray and this current Arizona offense in check as well.

The Rams just own the Cardinals, going 12-2 SU & 11-2-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. These games haven't even been close as all 12 wins have come by 7 points or more. The Rams have a lot more to play for at this point as they are trying to get back in playoff contention. They are also the healthier, fresher team after having a bye two weeks ago. The Cardinals are one of the few teams that haven't even had a bye yet and are starting to run out of gas.

The Rams get their stud RB Kyren Williams back from injury and he has been one of the more underrated backs in the league. He averages 4.7 yards per carry and is also a threat to catch balls out of the backfield to give Stafford another weapon. Williams rushed for 158 yards on 20 carries in that first meeting with the Cardinals on October 15th, and he is in line for another big game in his return. Bet the Rams on the Money Line Sunday.

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rams-2.5

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

[ConleyPicks]

Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Chiefs vs Raiders under 43.5

[ConleyPicks]

Rob Vinciletti

Sunday card has the AFC TOTAL of the Year headlining along with an Executive Level Tier 1 side and 2 more best bets. There is a rare 6* NHL 15-0 System side and an NBA Blowout side.

The NFL Comp play is on Philadelphia-2.5 -120 at 4:25 eastern. The Eagles have a big home advantage and despite a big Super Bowl revenge win over KC we will back the Eagles here as Home favorites of 3 or less that have a .880 or higher Win percentage and total of 40 or more are a perfect 9-0 since 1990 in week 8 or later. The Bills are banged up in the secondary and will have a tough time stopping the vaunted Eagle attack. The Bills will also be hard pressed to get a run game going against this front and if forced to throw most of the day that could lead to the turnovers that have haunted them. Look for the Eagles to emerge with the win. On Sunday Rob has a Big card up with his AFC Total of the Year and an Executive Level TIER 1 Side along with 2 more top plays. There is an NBA Blowout System and a rare 6* 15-0 NHL System play. Jump on now and End the week bog. For the NFL Comp play. Go with the Eagles -3. Rob V-

[ConleyPicks]

Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Sunday 11-26-23

Charlotte @ Orlando (6:10 PM EST)
Play On: Charlotte +7 1/2

The Charlotte Hornets travel to Orlando to take on the Magic on Sunday night. Charlotte is 5-9 overall this year while Orlando comes in with an 11-5 overall record on the season. Charlotte is 5-1 SU and ATS last 3 years when playing with 3 or more days rest. Charlotte is 10-3 SU last 13 games when playing at Orlando. Charlotte is 3-1 SU when playing at Orlando the past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on Charlotte tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Iowa State+1.5 -115

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Ravens-3