Sunday 12/3/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)PURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=la1203zf.pdf&exp=12/05/2023&pds=LA_-_12/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=LA&SAP=FREEPICS)


Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick Four Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)


Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 85 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 7:41P


QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BUDDER OFF FRIENDS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FELDZPAR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface. JESS DYNASTY B: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. FOREVER DYNASTY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. KISS ME FLYIN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating.



1

BUDDER OFF FRIENDS

2/1


6/1




5

FELDZPAR

5/2


7/1




4

JESS DYNASTY B

8/1


7/1




6

FOREVER DYNASTY

7/2


7/1




2

KISS ME FLYIN

7/2


8/1































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

BUDDER OFF FRIENDS

1


2/1

Average

88


89


5.4


0.0


0.0




2

KISS ME FLYIN

2


7/2

Average

85


82


6.0


0.0


0.0




3

PRINCESA ROCK

3


10/1

Average

82


69


0.0


0.0


0.0




4

JESS DYNASTY B

4


8/1

Fast

84


82


3.4


0.0


0.0




5

FELDZPAR

5


5/2

Average

88


85


4.2


0.0


0.0




6

FOREVER DYNASTY

6


7/2

Average

85


79


4.3


0.0


0.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=lrl1203zf.pdf&exp=12/05/2023&pds=LRL_-_12/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=LRL&SAP=FREEPICS)


Laurel Park - Race 1

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5)


Maiden Claiming $30,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 65 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 12:25


(PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000, IF FOR $24,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SUMMERSTATEOFMIND is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUMMERSTATEOFMIND: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SILVERBULLETTWENTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FORMAL AFFAIR: Hor se has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



3

SUMMERSTATEOFMIND

7/2


7/2




1A

SILVERBULLETTWENTY

5/2


5/1




7

BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH

5/1


9/1




8

FORMAL AFFAIR

2/1


9/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH

7


5/1

Front-runner

68


58


71.8


52.6


46.6




4

AVES MAKIN' WAVES

3


20/1

Front-runner

62


44


63.6


43.8


32.3




8

FORMAL AFFAIR

8


2/1

Alternator/Front-runner

68


58


70.2


54.3


49.3




3

SUMMERSTATEOFMIND

2


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

68


56


75.5


55.6


52.1




1A

SILVERBULLETTWENTY

10


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

66


55


61.4


52.9


45.9




5

DOUBLE NICKEL

5


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


56.9


45.5


35.0




2

TIZAWINNER

1


10/1

Trailer

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




1

KICK STARTNESS

4


5/2

Alternator/Non-contender

66


49


66.3


41.3


28.8




9

SIN PERMISO

9


50/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


15.2


19.0


2.5































Unknown Running Style: RESTLESS (20/1) [Jockey: Toledo Jevian - Trainer: Iannotti IV Thomas].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=dmr1203zm.htm&exp=12/05/2023&pds=DMR_-_12/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=DMR&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Del Mar - Race #8 - Post: 3:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 CONQUEST CELSIUS (ML=8/1)
#4 BOSSY BRUIN GAL (ML=5/2)


CONQUEST CELSIUS - This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. This horse brings in a lot of money per race around the track. I believe she can add to the lifetime total in this event. BOSSY BRUIN GAL - I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp race within the last month. Atop this thoroughbred on Nov 18th and Torrealba is right back in the irons today. Filly's last workout should have her fit for today's race. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. O'Neill drops her in this event conditioned properly and ready to go.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 DREAMING OF HOPE (ML=3/1), #5 MISS WORLD PEACE (ML=5/1), #9 CAPO SORELLA (ML=5/1),

DREAMING OF HOPE - Not probable for this entrant to do much running with no success lately in a short distance event. MISS WORLD PEACE - Not a good enough price on this thoroughbred at the likely odds of 5/1. CAPO SORELLA - Don't think this questionable contender will do much running today. That last speed fig was pedestrian when compared with today's Equibase class figure.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #7 CONQUEST CELSIUS to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at WoodbinePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=wo1203zz.htm&exp=12/05/2023&pds=WO_-_12/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 12.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $150000 Class Rating: 106

VALEDICTORY S. - GRADE 3 FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 WAR COURT 20/1




# 8 WIN FOR THE MONEY 5/1




# 12 PALAZZI 4/1




WAR COURT looks to be a very good contender especially at 20/1. Has been running soundly lately and will most likely be up on the front end early on. WIN FOR THE MONEY - Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 102 speed figure which is one of the best in this field. There is a competitive chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. PALAZZI - This entrant has been constatntly racing well lately. Sharp jockey with trainer figures make this horse a strong betting selection.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at AqueductPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=aqu1203zz.htm&exp=12/05/2023&pds=AQU_-_12/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=AQU&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 83

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 BOLD LOOKER 5/2




# 7 UNCLE WATER FLOW 8/1




# 1 DADS GOOD RUNNER 6/1




My pick here is BOLD LOOKER. Looks competitive for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in dirt route races lately. Ran a strong last race. He has decent class ratings, averaging 95, and has to be carefully examined in here. UNCLE WATER FLOW - Has earned sound speed figures in dirt route races in the past. Is tough not to examine given the company run in as of late. DADS GOOD RUNNER - Looks competitive to be up on the front end at the first call. Have to love when any racer makes a quick turnaround.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=mnr1203zm.htm&exp=12/05/2023&pds=MNR_-_12/03/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/03/2023;TRACK_CODE=MNR&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 MISS LINDYSUE (ML=6/1)


MISS LINDYSUE - This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +40. Sub-par try last race out at Mountaineer Park was due to the off-going (she ended up fourth). Will most certainly do better right here without the slop.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MISS SHADY (ML=3/5), #5 SHE HAD A SECRET (ML=4/1), #3 MOONLIGHT TANGO (ML=8/1),

MISS SHADY - The chalk horse is suspect here with the lack of works. You think this horse is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish on top regularly. SHE HAD A SECRET - Awfully difficult to wager on this horse when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. The Brain cautions me to stay away from thoroughbreds in short distance contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance contests recently. MOONLIGHT TANGO - This filly hasn't had any in the money efforts in sprint affairs in the last couple months.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #2 MISS LINDYSUE to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race TrackAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 53

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 MAKART 2/1




# 4 LITTLE JUNIOR V. 3/1




# 3 JAQUE MATE COCO 10/1




MAKART is tough to overlook as the wager in here. He has been running strongly and the speed figs are among the most respectable in this field. Lisboa has a sharp winning percentage with horses moving in dirt route races. This horse must be given a shot just off the earnings per start in dirt route races alone. LITTLE JUNIOR V. - Should finish in the top three without any problem. The Equibase class rating of today's affair is much lower than his last race. JAQUE MATE COCO - A solid 64 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group of horses in this race. Last time out, this gelding ran against a tougher crew.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 7

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta Daily Double


Optional Claiming $50,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 105 • Purse: $54,000 • Post: 3:45P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 5 AND 1/2 FURLONGS.).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PLANE TALK is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PLANE TALK: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MY PAL MATTIE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed F igure at the distance/surface.



3

PLANE TALK

8/1


3/1




13

MY PAL MATTIE

6/1


6/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

PLANE TALK

3


8/1

Front-runner

110


109


118.2


100.2


93.7




13

MY PAL MATTIE

13


6/1

Front-runner

103


97


98.6


98.6


83.6




9

INTO THE SUNRISE

9


5/1

Front-runner

101


97


93.2


88.0


78.5




4

ROBO

4


12/1

Front-runner

100


92


90.6


90.6


73.6




14

BERTIE'S GALAXY

14


8/1

Front-runner

100


98


86.3


92.9


68.4




10

SWING SHIFT

10


30/1

Front-runner

94


78


85.3


85.3


60.3




15

UPHOLD THE LAW

15


7/2

Alternator/Front-runner

98


100


88.9


89.9


77.4




2

DOWAGIAC CHIEF

2


8/1

Alternator/Front-runner

93


97


84.4


93.9


72.9




11

CHISELER

11


8/1

Stalker

91


94


89.6


91.0


73.5




7

CORTESE

7


12/1

Stalker

90


93


84.4


86.2


61.2




5

MISTER MMMMM

5


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

104


99


97.6


97.0


93.0




6

B D VALESKI

6


10/1

Trailer

103


105


65.6


96.2


84.7




8

FIELD DAY

8


7/2

Alternator/Non-contender

96


84


90.3


90.8


81.3




12

CALL ME MIDNIGHT

12


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

107


94


59.4


89.6


70.1




1

MIDNIGHT ESCAPE

1


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

98


93


18.0


69.2


54.7

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at LaurelAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $48000 Class Rating: 85

FOR RESTRICTED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOR MD BRED OR MD SIRED HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED/STATE SIRED/RESTRICTED OR STATE CERTIFIED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, OR STARTER AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER,




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 ANGEL ART 8/1




# 5 DEEDS OF LOVE 3/1




# 6 GENIEINABRIDLE 2/1




My selection in this race is ANGEL ART and could score at a price in here. I like the jockey on this filly - competitive chance to win the contest. Ought to be given a shot for this race if only for the respectable speed figure posted in the last contest. This filly has a strong win percentage in dirt sprint races. DEEDS OF LOVE - Ran a strong last race. Must be given consideration given the class of races run lately. GENIEINABRIDLE - This filly has posted some nice finishes in her last few starts. Can't overlook the connections here, a 16 winning percentage, one of the best at getting into the winner's circle.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-ExpoAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 4 - Post: 5:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$6000 - NON-WINNERS OF $4,501


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 1 ITSONLYROCKNROLL A 9/2




# 5 ALBERGO HANOVER 5/1




# 4 DANCIN LANCE 8/5





ITSONLYROCKNROLL A could be our best wagering option in this race. Might be there at a decent price tag. More than likely one to keep in your exotics. Quite possibly the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 80. A nice contender. Should be considered here if only for the really good TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the most recent competition. ALBERGO HANOVER - Post 5 has been winning at a better than expected percentage, suggesting competitive probability of success today. Has the perfect running style to dominate this bunch, according to the pace stats. DANCIN LANCE - Cutting will be looking to score here, has been hot as a pistol recently. Win percent this last month is a sparkling 24. Worth taking a close look at here based on the numbers in the TrackMaster SR department alone.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's PhiladelphiaAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 4 - Post: 1:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$7200 - CLAIMING $10,000 PA PREFERRED


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 5 DANCING JOE 7/2




# 4 DONT GET SHOCKED 2/1




# 8 JOLLITY 7/2





DANCING JOE looks great to best this field. This race could very well be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage speed fig will prove that. This standardbred has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 83 average class rating. Should play well for this race. Not many folks know, but the 5 post here at Harrah's Philadelphia has been amazing for a better than expected win rate. DONT GET SHOCKED - Have to lean toward a fine animal coming out of the Harrah's Philadelphia 4 post. The win clip is exemplary, way above normal. The consortium knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This horse will unlock our way to a nice victory. JOLLITY - Had one of the most respectable TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the grouping in his last competition. A good idea to use in your wagers. Mosher knows this race horse well. Fantastic in the money results when starting with one another.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rideau Carleton

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 9


4
4
CANDID CAMERON
2/1
Pouliot, Stephane - 13
446.68


10
AE
BS TYRRIFIC
N/A
Gagnon, Jimmy - 14
431.75


1
1
TWOMACSONEMACH
8/1
Shepherd, Robert H - 20
427.10


5
5
WHITEMOUNTAINCAMMY
12/1
Auger, Marie-Claude - 6
406.98


9
9
AMERICAN COLT N
10/1
Audet, Denis - 20
400.32


2
2
SPORT A LUCKY STAR
4/1
Roy, William - 7
383.33


7
7
STOCK
15/1
Berube, Pascal - 19
376.14


3
3
CANADIAN EDITION
3/1
Robinson, Robert C - 5
368.92


8
8
MISTER BIG TOP
6/1
Gilchrist, Jason L - 3
359.60


6
6
SENORITA I AM
5/2
Brosseau, Stephane - 14
336.19

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cumberland Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 11


3
3
INUKCHUK CHUCK
5/1
Graffam, Nicholas - 15
420.02


1
1
STARLIT THISWANMAN
4/1
Case, Walter Jr - 14
416.88


4
4
OSPREY DELTA
3/1
Stevenson, Michael - 9
411.92


6
6
FOXY TROTTIN STICK
6/1
Switzer, Kevin Jr - 19
411.14


5
5
VALYRIAN STEEL
5/2
Campbell, W. Drew - 18
403.03


2
2
GUINNESS
4/1
Ingraham, David - 11
388.17

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 13 - Post: 10:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$14000 - $10,000 GUARANTEED POOL NON WINNERS $10,000 IN LAST 4 STARTS. AE: CLAIMING $40,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 4 CAROLINA BEACH 7/2




# 6 DANCIN DRAGON 3/1




# 9 BETTOR THAN SPRING 15/1





CAROLINA BEACH sure does look ready to end up in the winner's circle. Gelding has one of the most favorable win percents in the race and that could be the deciding factor when they cross the wire. Some drivers just ride better with certain solid standardbreds. That seems to be the case here with Irvine. A really strong play. Seymour has been able to get this interesting entrant to perform when sending to the post. Keep in mind for your exotics. DANCIN DRAGON - Is a clear-cut win contender given the 90 speed figure from his most recent contest. Talk about a dynamic duo, Wrenn and Bendis have some of the best driver/trainer figures at the track. BETTOR THAN SPRING - Talk about a dynamic duo, Myers and Kreiser have some of the best driver-trainer rankings at the track. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win pct.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 10


2
2
ER SOPHIA
5/2
Dobson, Billy - 15
486.25


1
1
J-S JASPER
4/1
Athearn, Matthew - 10
482.72


6
6
SWEET SOFIE T
6/1
Devaux, Jim - 20
459.60


3
3
WHY U BUGGING
3/1
Stark, John Jr - 18
456.04


4
4
MR FRENCH
10/1
Randall, Jay - 18
440.01


7
7
JOEY PRO
12/1
Beckwith, Brett - 16
434.74


5
5
POKER PLAY
9/2
Cushing, Mitchell - 11
431.06

[ConleyPicks]

TALKING HORSES
Sunday December 3, 2023
AQUEDUCT

Acacia Courtney
Race 1 4-5-3-1
Race 2 2-1-3-4
Race 3 4-1-2-5
Race 4 7-1A-2-6
Race 5 7-6-4-1
Race 6 4-2-6-3
Race 7 7-4-8-6
Race 8 2-5-8-3
Race 9 7-8-11-2

Sara Elbadwi
Race 1 3 - 5 - 4 - 2
Race 2 4 - 2 - 1 - 6
Race 3 2 - 4 - 1 - 5
Race 4 1A - 7 - 2 - 3
Race 5 1 - 7 - 6 - 2
Race 6 4 - 3 - 2 - 8
Race 7 7 - 2 - 6 - 8
Race 8 3 - 8 - 2 - 5
Race 9 12 - 7 - 8 - 11

[ConleyPicks]

Picks & Plays for Sunday, December 3
by David Aragona

AQUEDUCT

Visit TimeformUS to view this card’s Highlight Horse and get PPs.

PICKS

Race 1: 5 - 4 - 3 - 2
Race 2: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4
Race 3: 4 - 1 - 5 - 2
Race 4: 8 - 2 - 1A - 4
Race 5: 7 - 1 - 6 - 4
Race 6: 6 - 4 - 3 - 8
Race 7: 4 - 7 - 8 - 3
Race 8: 5 - 3 - 8 - 2
Race 9: 2 - 1A - 7 - 8

FAIR VALUE PLAYS
(Fair Value: These are the odds at which I could reasonably bet each of the horses listed. Wagering decisions should be based on the actual odds. The best value option will not necessarily be the top pick.)


RACE 4

I don’t have a major knock against Howzyourcashflow (#1A) other than the fact that she’s part of an entry, and coupled pairs like this where I much prefer one half to the other are typically poor wagering value. From a form standpoint, this filly is clearly the one to beat. She’s already won at this level, but is able to continue competing for this claiming condition though the end of the year because she’s a 3-year-old. She’s also drawn well outside in a race that features some pace inside of her. She couldn’t quite finish going a mile last time when beaten by a stablemate, and I like her returning to a dirt sprint, where she’s undefeated. She’s not exactly interesting from a price standpoint, but she figures to run well. That said, I do think the margin between she and Everlys Girl (#2) might have been closer on Oct. 22 had that filly been able to get outside of kickback a bit earlier. She didn’t look the most comfortable traveling behind horses and was trying gamely through the lane, even after her rider dropped the crop in upper stretch. Now she makes her first start off the claim for Michelle Nevin and James Riccio. My top pick is Dufresne (#8). This filly’s form has been generally poor since she returned for her 4-year-old campaign, but I thought she finally showed some signs of life last time when dropped in class. She displayed improved early speed, opening up on the far turn before tiring a bit late going 7 furlongs. The pace was fast, so she had a right to come back to the field. She’s facing a slightly tougher group this time, but I don’t mind her cutting back to 6 furlongs, and the Oscar Barrera barn has been sending out live runners this month.

Fair Value:
#8 DUFRESNE, at 7-1 or greater


RACE 5

If I had confidence that all of these horses were going to run to their best form Bold Looker (#4) would be an easy selection. He’s generally faced better horses and has earned superior speed figures on every surface he’s tried. He also seems to relish longer distances, having even run competitively going as far as 1 1/4 miles on synthetic earlier this year. His last race isn’t as bad as it looks, since he was outrun early and was finishing fastest of all late. However, he was a voided claim that day, and now resurfaces 3 months later for a different barn. Presumably, he was a private purchase, so it’s not a great sign to now see him back in for the same bottom level. I would use him, but he’s hard to fully trust at what could be a short price. Another thing working against that horse is the general lack of pace in this race. That’s also a concern for South Street (#6), but at least he showed some improved tactical speed last time when chasing home the improved Kingdom at this level. He’s fairly logical now that Orlando Noda has him headed in the right direction, and he’s handled this distance in the past even though his recent efforts going this far are poor. I’m just more interested in a couple of alternatives at prices. One of those is Dads Good Runner (#1), who figures to get an aggressive ride from the inside under Katie Davis. Without much speed signed on, this horse should be forwardly placed considering that he’s led in much shorter events. The distance is obviously a question, but he seemed to improve with the stretch-out to a mile recently, and he is a son of solid dirt route influence Gun Runner. My top pick is Uncle Water Flow (#7). He’s another who lacks some early speed, but he did show the ability to be more forwardly placed two back. Last time he was outrun chasing a quicker pace, and he was disadvantaged around the far turn when having to angle so wide to make his move. He was finishing well towards the end, and I like him stretching back out to 9 furlongs. He ran well going this distance a year ago, and finally seems to be rounding back into form for Tony Dutrow.

Fair Value:
#7 UNCLE WATER FLOW, at 5-1 or greater
#1 DADS GOOD RUNNER, at 6-1 or greater


RACE 6

It’s pretty obvious that Un Ojo (#4) will be tough to beat as he drops in class out of a strong effort against much tougher company in the Empire Classic. It’s easy to throw out his turf race two back, since he just doesn’t handle that surface. He’s otherwise improved as a 4-year-old, as he was competitive with the in-form Olympic Dreams back at Saratoga and then didn’t get the best trip at Pimlico subsequently. If he can repeat that last effort going this distance in the Empire Classic he’s going to be a handful at a likely short price. Most people looking for alternatives will probably consider Exit Right (#8) and Prince of Pharoahs (#3). The former has been a win machine out of town for Jamie Ness, maintaining consistent form despite a busy schedule. Yet he wasn’t quite as successful when he shipped to Aqueduct twice earlier this year, and I wonder if he produce his best effort in this spot. Prince of Pharoahs goes out for a barn that’s been quite dangerous over the past month, but I’ve never been confident about him going this demanding 9-furlong distance. I want to go a different direction with a bigger price. Bossmakinbossmoves (#6) might look inferior at first glance, but I think he’s subtly been rounding back into form this year for David Duggan. The drop in for the $16k tag three back seemed to wake him up, as he got engaged in the late stages. He then carried that form into tougher spots, making up some ground in the stretch two back and then again hitting his best stride too late last time. A mile has always been a little short for him, so I like him stretching back out to 9 furlongs with Kendrick Carmouche, who got some experience with him last time. It also helps that this barn has been hot so far at the meet.

Fair Value:
#6 BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES, at 7-1 or greater


RACE 8

The Thunder Rumble division of the New York Stallion Series is topped by open stakes winner Today’s Flavor (#8). This gelding earned that premier victory in the off the turf Belmont Turf Sprint back in October, lead throughout as he fended off some seasoned rivals who can excel on either surface. He subsequently disappointed in the Hudson when dropped back in against New York-breds, but he was catching a very fast rival in Rotknee, who dueled him through some swift early fractions. Today’s flavor couldn’t withstand the pressure and faded badly. He faces other speed again here, but the difference today is that now he’s drawn outside of his pace rivals, so he should get a more comfortable trip. I still have some concerns about him seeing out 7 furlongs after getting early pressure, but he’s the horse to beat. I prefer his main rival Barese (#5). This colt’s 4-year-old form looks inconsistent compared to prior seasons, but he’s been in some tough spots and now might be returning to the right distance. Even though he’s won around two turns, I’ve never loved him going 9 furlongs, so the Empire Classic was always going to be an ambitious spot for him. He also didn’t get the right trip that day, as he was hustled along early and made a premature move down the backstretch. He then got caught behind a tiring rival on the far turn and was shuffled out of position, costing him any chance. He had appeared to be getting back on track prior to that. Now he cuts back to a distance that should suit him, and he’s supposed to get a fair pace up front. I also want to use some other horses who can rally from just off the pace. Callaloo (#2) found himself on the lead last time, but he doesn’t need to be that aggressive. He’s been steadily improving over the past year, and his recent TimeformUS Speed Figures suggest he’s capable of stepping up to this level. General Banker (#3) is another who should be picking up pieces late, and he figures to be a square price in here off a set of modest speed figures. Yet he probably needed his return from the layoff last time and won anyway against a softer field. I expect him to move forward with that start under his best, and the 7-furlong distance is ideal for him.

Fair Value:
#5 BARESE, at 2-1 or greater


RACE 9

It will be important to note whether Mangia (#1A) draws into this field from the AE list, since she raced competitive in a maiden special weight race on debut. That wasn’t the toughest spot for the level, but it was likely a stronger race than this one. David Donk rarely has horses cranked up to win first time out, so she makes sense on the drop if he participates. Among those in the main body of the race, I’m not thrilled with those who have already competed at this maiden claiming level, since this is more of a competitive race for the level than many are exiting. Mysaria (#7) faced a much better field on debut, where she actually had some decent position in the opening furlong before greenly losing position in the slop. She showed vastly improved early speed, but wasn’t able to sustain it through the late stages in a slow race for the level. Tim Hills is 7 for 38 (18%, $3.19 ROI) with MSW to MCL dropdowns over the past 5 years. I’m just a little more interested in another dropdown. Mia Nipotina (#2) was running on with some good late interest in her debut after lagging well behind early. It might seem like she regressed in her second start, but she was facing a much tougher field that day. That race was won by Dolomite, who returned to finish third against open company in the Grade 2 Demoiselle on Saturday. Furthermore, that’s a race out of which multiple horses have since improved their speed figures by around 15 points or more. She’s getting logical class relief for a barn that did send out a big price winner a little earlier in the meet, and also receives a rider upgrade to Eric Cancel.

Fair Value:
#2 MIA NIPOTINA, at 6-1 or greater

[ConleyPicks]

Gulfstream Hotlist - December 3
Dec. 01, 2023

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (10) Marceau closed sharply in his turf debut and gets top billing here. (11) Homer Jones seems bred to go long and score here. (2) Falfurrias may perk up on turf. (1) Will of a Warrior debuts for Brown and should be a factor. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-10-11.

3rd race – (1) Riding Pretty exits a Grade 2 stakes and has a class edge here. (3) Flakes will appreciate a return to dirt. (6) Rosie’s Halo will be a threat on her best try. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6.

6th race – (5) King James deserves a long look while moving over to Tapeta. (6) Famous Gent should move forward on Tapeta. (8) Competitive Saint seeks a third straight win and cannot be ignored. (1) Amor Lejano fits in nicely and will be helped by a ground-saving trip. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-8.

8th race – (6) Heathcliff makes his first start since moving to Joseph’s barn and merits close attention. (1) Pure Class was second in all three starts and can complete the exacta. (3) Valued Cajun rallied for second in his debut and cannot be overlooked. (5) Smokin Jack Flash was a promising third last time and will be a main contender. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-6.

10th race – (2) Twilight Gleaming was a competitive fourth in a Grade 2 stakes last time and is the one to beat. (7) Opening Buzz can be a factor on his best try. (9) Leave No Trace will be tougher at this distance. (4) Hit the Woah can work out a good trip in this field. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-7-9.

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Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Virginia Tech -11 over Louisville

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Free play from Totals4UEarly Sunday's Free Selection: Los Angeles Chargers/New England Patriots under 39

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Free play from #1 SportsEarly Sunday's Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils - 1

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Free play from Hawkeye SportsEarly Sunday's Free Pick: Chicago Blackhawks + 240

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Free play from The Last CallSunday's Early Free Play: (818) Canisius - 5

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Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Early Sunday: Miami Dolphins - 9 1/2

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Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play Sunday
LA KINGS (NHL)

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Free play from Jim FeistJim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, December 3, 2023
FREE
NFL
12/03 01:25 PM PT / 4:25 PM ET
NFL (469) CLEVELAND BROWNS VS (470) LOS ANGELES RAMS
Take: UNDER
Reason: The Cleveland Browns head West to take on the LA Rams from Sofi Stadium. The Browns had to go out and sign a one-time Super Bowl as they brought in Joe Flacco. Flacco has been named the starter for today's contest. QB Deshaun Watson remains out with a shoulder injury as does RB Nick Chubb, both of whom will miss the remainder of the season. How much Flacco has left in the tank will remain to be seen, especially since he hasn't played this year. The Browns had their 3-game win streak snapped last week at Denver, 12-29. The offense scored just 12 last week and 13 the previous week vs Pittsburgh. The Browns are still in the playoff race as they are tied for 2nd place in the AFC North with Pittsburgh at 7-4, both 2.5-games back of Baltimore. The Browns average just 21.7 ppg while allowing 19 ppg. They also average 320.6 ypg while allowing 247.9 ypg. The LA Rams can climb back to the .500 mark with a win here today. They are 5-6 and in 3rd place in the NFC West. They average 21.1 ppg while allowing 21.3 ppg. They also average 340.6 ypg while allowing 331.2 ypg. The Rams have won two straight games over Seattle and last week at Arizona, 37-14, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Rams had one of their best offensive games with 228 yards rushing and 229 yards passing. I am not sold on Flacco taking over at QB here for the Browns. With no game experience this year and not exactly much results when he did last play, I can't imagine the Browns giving him a lot of the playbook here today. Take the UNDER

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Free play from Roz WinsROZ FREE Selection SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3, 2023
NFL
460. Buccaneers -3.5 (1:05 PT / 4:05 ET)

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Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the Colorado Buffaloes -16 over Pepperdine

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Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Sunday :Take DENVER/HOUSTON UNDER the total of 47.5

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Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Sunday Free Play
Arizona/Pittsburgh under 41

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Free play from Teyas SportsFREE PICK 12/3/23 NFL WASHINGTON UNDER 49 1/2

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Free play from Kenny Towers





Your Free Pick for Sunday - Mia/Wash OVER 49.5


Played & Documented!
2023-24 Freeplay Record - 26-28-2

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Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take CBB Portland U -4.5

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Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: ATLANTA/NY JETS OVER the total of 33.5

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Free play from Atlantic SportsEarly Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Tulane Green Wave - 2 1/2

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Free play from Sharp BettorSharpBettor FREE Play SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3, 2023

FREE
NFL
467. 49ers -3 (1:25 PT / 4:25 ET)

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Free play from Golden Dragon
Sunday Free Play
Atlanta -2 NFL

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Free play from Arthur RalphFree play 1307-875 run SUN Carolina + 5 1/2

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Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Sunday: NEW ENGLAND +5.5 over LA Chargers

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Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony's Free Selection for Sunday: Take the Broncos/Texans Over

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Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR SUNDAY
NHL Chicago/Minnesota OVER the total of 6 goals

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Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Broncos/Texans NFL Free Pick

The Denver Broncos are heading to Houston riding a five-game winning streak, including impressive wins over Kansas City and Buffalo.

I doubt they can keep playing at this level for much longer though, and here they'll face a Houston team that was on a roll before a 24-21 home loss to Jacksonville last week. Now they get a chance to bounce back at home right away.

The Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.

The Broncos are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.

2* FREE PICK ON THE HOUSTON TEXANS-3

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Lions/Saints over 47

All plays are made using sophistmachine-learningearning models.

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Houston Texans -3

The Houston Texans have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games with each of their last three ATS losses coming by a combined 3 points. They have had some pretty poor luck on the covering front, otherwise they would be closer to 4-1 ATS in their last five games. I think they are undervalued this week as only 3-point home favorites over the Broncos as a result.

They missed two FG's last week including the potential game-tying FG off the crossbar in their 24-21 home loss to the Jaguars as 1-point dogs. They had three turnovers inside the Arizona 25-yard line in their 21-16 win as 5.5-point favorites the week prior. They took a knee instead of kicking the XP to seal the game in a 39-37 win over the Bucs as 2.5-point favorites.

CJ Stroud and this Houston offense are humming right now. The Texans average 375 yards per game and 6.0 yards per play this season behind a passing game that averages 276 passing yards per game. Stroud is completing 63.7% of his passes for 3,266 yards with a 19-to-5 TD/INT ratio while averaging 8.4 per attempt. He is loaded with receivers on the outside, and both Tank Dell and Noah Brown returned to practice on Thursday. They haven't had each of their top four receivers available since Week 1, making what Stroud has done even more impressive. They should have all four this week.

While it's a good time to 'buy low' on the Texans after failing to cover four of their last five, it's a good time to 'sell high' on the Denver Broncos after going 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with four of those wins coming at home. Turnover luck and home-field advantage is the sole reason for Denver's recent run. They are +13 in turnovers during this five-game winning streak, which is unsustainable.

Three of Denver's five wins have come by a combined 5 points during their winning streak. They have had 44 points off turnovers during this streak. They have forced 14 fumbles this season and recovered 12, which is also unsustainable. I don't think this Denver defense is as good as it is getting credit for, and the offense has still been held to just 23.0 points per game during this winning streak despite all those points off turnovers. Russell Wilson cannot keep up with CJ Stroud and company in this one.

Houston has the much better season-long stats. The Texans average 6.0 yards per play and allow 5.6 yards per play while outgaining opponents by 27 yards per game and 0.4 per play. Denver averages 5.5 yards per play and allows 6.3 yards per play while getting outgained by 87 yards per game and 0.8 per play. Bet the Texans Sunday.

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Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Sunday 12-3-23

St Peters +5 1/2 -112

The St Peters Peacocks travel to Canisius to take on the Golden Griffins on Sunday afternoon. St Peters is 2-4 overall this year while Canisius comes in with a 5-3 overall record on the season. Both teams are 1-0 so far in conference play this year. Canisius is 1-6 SU last 7 games when playing in December. My Rocketman line for this game is St Peters to win outright by 1.5 points. We'll recommend a small play on St Peters today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Dave Price

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Detroit Lions -4

The Key: The Detroit Lions have the rest edge after playing last Thursday on Thanksgiving. They also come into this game pissed off after giving the game away to the Green Bay Packers with 3 costly turnovers. Now they take on a reeling Saints team that could be very short-handed on Sunday after suffering more injuries in their 24-15 loss to the Falcons last week. They could be without their top 3 receivers on Michael Thomas, Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave. Both Shaheed (thigh) and Olave (concussion) left the Atlanta game and are doubtful to play this week. They were already without their best CB in Marshon Lattimore, and now they could be without their best defensive lineman in Cameron Jordan, who suffered an ankle injury against Atlanta and hasn't practiced yet this week. The Saints aren't going to be able to score enough points in this one to keep up with Detroit's high-powered offense. They were held to 5 FG against a bad Atlanta defense last week, and this suspect Detroit defense will get enough stops as well. The Lions are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. New Orleans is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 home games. Take Detroit.

[ConleyPicks]

Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Lions vs Saints over 47

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Ray Monohan

UNDER 47.5 Broncos/Texans

On Sunday, the Broncos (6-5, 2-2 AWAY, 4-6-1 ATS) are set to face off against the Texans (6-5, 4-2 HOME, 5-6 ATS) at NRG Stadium, with the game scheduled to kick off at 1pm ET CBS for TV. The Texans were initially favored by -3 points, and the Over/Under (O/U) for the game was set at 46.5 points. Stats: Denver allowing 21PPG (14th), Houston 25PPG (29th), Scoring: DVR 22PPG (13th), HOU 23PPG (10th). Both are bottom 20 in the Red Zone, so that's a WIN. Both like to run the ball (Top 18 in attempts), and both Denver is exceptional running. 115YPG (12th). Last game out the Broncos kept their hot streak alive with a 29-12 W over the Browns at home. Call me crazy but I'm actually buying what Russell is selling. Maybe the Broncs have the run game to thank. The Perine/Williams combo seems like a match made in heaven as a 1-2 punch, the more they run, the more the clock moves, which I'm a fan of, when I have a play on an UNDER posted. I also haven't been overly impressed with the Broncos RUN D, I mean they're serviceable, but are you starting them in FFL? I'm not, so, having said that, I think Singletary can have himself a game this week too. Houston will use the run to set up play-action, we know that. The DVR pass rush is all world currently. These guys are really getting home, but the RUN-D isn't all world yet. The Texans are one of the surprise teams this year, but I'm not convinced yet. They were good, but not good enough to take out the Jags on Sunday and lost 24-21. The Broncos will have a gameplan ready for Dell and Stroud, there's plenty of film on these guys now, and I don't foresee too many surprises. Past matchups: 9/18/22 Denver 16, Houston 9. Since 2007 8 matchups, Denver leads 5-3. Some trends, UNDER is 4-0 in Broncs L4 following an ATS win. We've seen the TOTAL hit the UNDER in 5 of Denver's L6, and all of their recent five matchups vs. AFC South teams. Last one, UNDER is 8-1 L9 for the Broncs vs. a team with a winning home record. For Houston the UNDER has hit in 6 of their L8, plus in 4 of 5 vs. the Broncos recently. In Houston's L5 games vs. Denver at home the UNDER has hit 4x. You know what to do! Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 5* FREE NFL O/U Play

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Cole Faxon

FREE PLAY on Falcons-2 -109

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Jeff Alexander

1* NFL - Falcons/Jets FREE PICK on Jets +2.5 -112

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on St. Peter's +5.5

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Alex Smart

Steelers are not the kind of team that just blows past opponents, which makes backing a Cardinals side that are 9-1 ATS away in AFC North contests, and 4-0-1 ATS in games before a Bye week a viable betting opportunity. I know with new offensive coordinator , Canada is supposed to be a god send for the Steelers, and last weeks yards explosion gave the Steel city fan base hope, but their are still glaring weaknesses with this Steel City attack and regression must be expected here this week ,even against a Arizona D that sometimes looks like it sleep walking. To many points favoring the Steelers. Advantage Arizona.

ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Tomlin is 9-19 ATS vs. sub par teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season as the coach of PITTSBURGH.

Play on Arizona+7 -115 to cover

[ConleyPicks]

Rob Vinciletti

Sunday card has the NFC Game of the year and a TIER 1 Play headlining along with SUNDAY NIGHT Football and College Hoops.. NFL Comp play below

The NFL Comp play is on the NY. Jets plus the point or to at 1 eastern. The Jets apply to a solid system that has home dogs of less than 3 at 9-2 straight up since 1990 if they are off 3 straight losses in a game where the total is less that 40 and they are taking on a team like Atlanta that comes in off a home win scoring 21 or more and these teams are perfect in non conference games. The Jets have covered the last 8 in the 2nd of 3 straight at home and the last 5 after playing the Dolphins. Atlanta is a terrible road team losing 12 of 14 away and failing to cover 14 of 15 in non divisional games. Look for NY to take this one. On Sunday a powerful card is up and led by the 2023 NFC Game of the Year and an Executive Level TIER 1 Play. There is also Sunday Night Football and Hoops. Jump on ow as Rob ends the week big. For the NFL Comp play. Go with the Jets. Rob V-

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Sal Michaels

Free Play on Western Illinois PK -109

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Chattanooga+3.5

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Bucs-3.5 -105

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Dan Kaiser

Tampa Bay is just 4-7, but are 7-4 ATS in their 11 games played. Carolina has yet to win a game on the road this season going 0-6. The Panthers are 1-8-2 against the spread. The Panthers have fired coaches and have problems on both sides of the ball and have several key players on the injured list. I think the Buccaneers will make Carolina one dimensional and the Panthers do not have the weapons to overcome.

Play on Tampa Bay-3 -120 This is a free play.

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ProSportsPicks

PSP's Data Driven NFL Free Pick: Panthers+4.5 -115

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.

Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Carolina Panthers. Tampa Bay are 1-6 in their last 7 games. Tampa Bay are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in December.

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Carolina Panthers +5.5

The Carolina Panthers fired head coach Frank Reich and promoted their special teams coordinator. By all accounts players love him and liked the offense much better when it was run by Thomas Brown, who is taking back over the play calling. I think we get a one game bump from the Panthers here and they put forth one of their best efforts of the season for their interim head coach. We saw the Panthers play well down the stretch last season once Matt Rhule was fired and Steve Wilks took over. The Bucs shouldn't be favored by 5.5 over anyone in the NFL. Baker Mayfield is banged up, and the defense could be missing several key players in LB Lavonte David, LB Devin White and CB Jamel Dean who all missed practice on Thursday. This Tampa Bay defense has been shredded in recent weeks allowing 39 points and 496 yards to Houston, 27 points and 420 yards to the 49ers and 27 points and 394 yards to the Colts. The Bucs have failed to score more than 20 points in six of their last seven games overall, and it's going to be tough for them to cover if they can't score. The Panthers actually have a pretty good defense that has allowed 17 or fewer offensive points in four of their last five games. Give me the Panthers.

[ConleyPicks]

Stephen Nover

Free Play: Panthers/Bucs Over 36.5

Baker Mayfield comes across as obnoxious and unlikeable. At least he does to me. He's never justified himself to be worth the No. 1 overall pick in the 2018 draft becoming more journeyman than star. The Buccaneers are Mayfield's fourth NFL team in the last three years.

But I have to give Mayfield credit for grit and producing some underrated numbers this season. He has 17 touchdown passes and thrown for 199 or more yards in his last eight games.

Now Mayfield gets to face Carolina's 30th-ranked defense at home. So I expect the Buccaneers to produce their share of points. The key is will Carolina keep up? I believe they will making this a higher scoring game than the oddsmaker has envisioned with this low total.

This will be Carolina's first game under interim coach Chris Tabor. He's the Panthers' special teams coach. This is what Tabor was quoted as saying about his coaching style: "I'm going to coach loose and I'm gonna coach to have fun because that's the only way I know in order to be successful."

Now that Frank Reich is gone, it's time for the Panthers to take the training wheels of Bryce Young. The Panthers don't have a very good offensive line. They lack speedy weapons and their ground attack leaves much to be desired. Still, Young definitely can have success against this opponent.

Tampa Bay ranks second-to-last in pass defense. The Buccaneers also have ruled out important players on defense. Out are cornerback Jamel Dean and their two best linebackers, Lavonte David and Devin White.

If you discount their 20-6 victory against a bad Tennessee offense three weeks ago, the Buccaneers are giving up an average of 31 points in their last three games.

I've also wagered Adam Thielen Over 58 1/2 receiving yards on a prop bet. The still reliable Thielen is Young's go-to guy. He's caught 77 passes - 31 percent of the Panthers' receptions - while averaging 66.1 receiving yards a game.

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Williams

1* on Eagles+3

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Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on SF-148

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- San Francisco are 16-4 in their last 20 games.

- San Francisco are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in December.

- San Francisco are 8-3 in their last 11 games on the road.

Verdict: The Value is on the road favorite.

[ConleyPicks]

Sean Murphy

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Philadelphia at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday.

The Eagles were involved in a wild, high-scoring shootout against the Bills last Sunday but I expect a different story to unfold as they host the 49ers this week. Coaxing a high-scoring affair out of the 49ers has proven difficult over the last six games. In fact, San Francisco's highest-scoring game over that stretch produced just 48 points in a home loss against the Bengals - its worst defensive effort of the season by far. I don't think the two defenses are being given enough credit in this matchup. The Niners defense has completely manhandled the opposition since its bye week, allowing a grand total of just 30 points in three games. We saw what the Eagles defense is capable of two weeks ago as it confused the Chiefs offense all night long, allowing only 17 points, on the road no less. San Francisco's offense always has that big-play potential, but when playing with a lead, as it projects to do here as a road favorite, it tends to get a little conservative and run-heavy. The Eagles defensive strength is up front, creating a strength-on-strength matchup in that regard. Note that the 'under' is 21-6 in the Eagles last 27 games following a contest where both teams scored 30 or more points, as is the case here. Take the under.

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Predators+105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Blue Jackets+1.5 -104

No analysis provided.

[ConleyPicks]

AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY LA-130

Colorado is tired. It's 15-6 overall, but it's off B2B extra-time road losses, including a 4-3 shootout loss vs. the Ducks just last night. With a home rematch vs. Anaheim on Tuesday, can anyone say "letdown" spot here vs. the well-rested and revenge-minded Kings, who fell 5-2 here to the Avs at the start of October; a great situational play here on LA, so consider the Kings here on Sunday night!

AAA Sports

[ConleyPicks]

Brandon Lee

8* NFL Chiefs/Packers Free Pick

PLAY ON: Chiefs -5.5 -115

I like the spot here with Kansas City and the price has come down to where there's enough value that this warrants a small bet. You never want to overreact to what you saw the previous week, but I want to buy low on this Chiefs offense after their strong showing in last week's win over the Raiders. For really the first time all season, Mahomes was trying to consistently get the ball to rookie wideout Rashee Rice. He had the best game by a Chiefs WR in who knows how long with 8 catches for 107 yards and a score. I think they found something with Rice and could end up being the spark that turns the page for an offense that has really not been anywhere close to what we expected. That's a scary thing for the rest of the NFL, because this Chiefs defense is REALLY good at all 3 levels. With how much Green Bay struggles to run the ball, a lot is going to be asked of Jordan Love in this game. I think he struggles against a very talented KC secondary and strong pass rush. Give me the Chiefs -5.5!