Wednesday 12/13/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mahoning Valley - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#7 Light Up My Life
She's got the right style to be tough in here while always in touch with whatever pace develops, and she's fast enough to have a go for it if nothing else materializes. Lots to like.


#4 Lori's Eyes
She doesn't always finish her races with enough punch to score, but she also rarely quits hard, and that kind of grinding ability can play pretty well over the local surface. Think she's one of the ones.


#11 Moon Party
Nothing to write home about in those recent starts, but she has turned in a handful of races this year that might be good enough for a piece at a price if she can find some of that better form again.


Race Summary
Light Up My Life and Lori's Eyes look like the right two in here, and I'll try to get Moon Party in the mix today in hopes that she'll start hinting at better form today after some dull recent tries.


Mahoning Valley - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Excitement
I don't think the price is going to be much here, but he's probably supposed to handle this group without a ton of trouble. He was second-best behind a super sharp winner last time out and has won his last three non-stakes tries very easily. He'll win this if he holds form.


#1 Oklahoma Joe
He has some dangerous pace from the fence while at least gives him a chance to run these off their feet, but he was no match for the top choice when they met in October. Possible alternative.


#4 Hoppy Gilmore
Would have liked to see just a touch more late punch last out, but that was a decent effort on the rise to meet this kind, and something similar keeps him in the frame for a piece.


Race Summary
Excitement has been landing shares in stakes company and has had little issue dispatching anyone who has come his way in his three non-stakes races this year -- don't see why today should be any different.


Mahoning Valley - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#10 B Sassi
Think she's the back end of a chalky late double, but there isn't a ton of pace lined up in here and she draws perfectly to force the issue from the break. Mild concern about her modest finishing ability, but I'm hoping she's started to put these away by the eighth pole.


#8 Cowgirls Humor
The barn has done some OK work in the past with longshot runners in this type of spot, and while the last one wasn't anything special, it was still a pretty serious improvement over those first two duds. Let's say that was one step in the right direction -- another would put her in the frame at a price.


#7 My Daniela
She has some upside in the second career start, but she didn't show a lot of acceleration at any point in there and might need better than that kind of even run today to land this. Consider if you're trying to beat the chalk.


Race Summary
B Sassi should get the run of the race from out here today, and I'll try to get Cowgirls Humor into the second or third spot with her to make this one interesting.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Penn National - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 CITY RAGE (5-2)
Perfectly spotted for score, dueled and tired against sharp winner last out.


#4 STYNER (3-1)
Second at Saratoga, Parx and Finger Lakes, troubled fave at Aqueduct in latest.


#7 DYNAMITE KARMA (6-1)
Won on class drop to improve to 3-7 at PN, starts for new barn.


Race Summary
CITY RAGE remained eligible for this “non-winners in three months” condition despite a runaway turf-to-dirt win for a $10,000 tag two starts back. He then set the pace while carrying 124 pounds and finished third behind hard-hitting winner Doinittherightway (7-13, $184k), a next-out repeat winner. Bet to win and place and play 3-4 and 3-7 exactas.


Penn National - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#6 KOKOPELLI GIRL (6-1)
Works say ‘all set’ to win at first asking in Carrasco’s only scheduled mount on card.


#9 BACK FORTY (5-2)
Closed with a rush for second as debut fave, ran second in follow-up stakes.


#2 DUELA DENT (9-2)
Led by city block with blinkers on but faltered at Laurel Park at same distance.


Race Summary
KOKOPELLI GIRL has been turning heads in the morning at Fair Hill Training Center, reeling off three consecutive bullet workouts. Her dam finished second in her debut, ran 1-2 in 20 of 45 starts and was a multiple stakes winner competing mostly at small tracks in Arizona. Bet to win and place.


Penn National - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#4 NORTHWOODS (6-1)
A win and a second to repeat fave in three starts after year layoff.


#1 PREDICTED (2-1)
Steady form, only $100k earner in field, 0ut-kicked by 32-1 longshot at Aqueduct.


#3 ON THE RIM (10-1)
Exits fast heat, winless at this distance, can land minor awards.


Race Summary
NORTHWOODS ranged up 4-wide for the stretch drive but settled for second behind winning favorite If We Get Lucky, who came back to win again in 1:10.4 in the same spot last week. He’s in good form and offers good enough value for a win and place bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=tp1213zf.pdf&exp=12/15/2023&pds=TP_-_12/13/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/13/2023;TRACK_CODE=TP&SAP=FREEPICS)


Turfway Park - Race 3

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)



Claiming $8,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 6:55P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $7,000 1 LB. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CLEAR FOR ACTION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JOB SEC URITY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RANDELLO: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COMMAND CENTRAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COUNTY COURT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



3

CLEAR FOR ACTION

9/2


5/1




11

JOB SECURITY

3/1


6/1




5

RANDELLO

8/1


7/1




1

COMMAND CENTRAL

15/1


9/1




8

COUNTY COURT

5/1


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

CLEAR FOR ACTION

3


9/2

Front-runner

99


95


76.3


76.0


66.0




5

RANDELLO

5


8/1

Front-runner

92


80


68.0


77.2


66.2




1

COMMAND CENTRAL

1


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

91


87


74.8


73.6


68.6




11

JOB SECURITY

11


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

89


92


67.2


76.6


69.1




8

COUNTY COURT

8


5/1

Trailer

90


90


81.8


71.6


62.1




6

GREG'S HONOR

6


7/2

Trailer

91


84


77.0


79.0


71.0




4

WIRE THE CASH

4


10/1

Trailer

85


82


63.6


71.2


55.7




2

JERICHO EXPRESS

2


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

91


79


62.2


66.2


51.2




10

NOT SO EASY

10


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

88


83


52.6


66.8


53.8




9

INDOCUMENTADO

9


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

97


82


43.7


61.0


49.0




7

ELI

7


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


66


37.0


65.4


44.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=rp1213zf.pdf&exp=12/15/2023&pds=RP_-_12/13/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/13/2023;TRACK_CODE=RP&SAP=FREEPICS)


Remington Park - Race 7

WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum)



Claiming $10,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 9:55P


FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.





Contenders




Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BOLD EXCAPER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PANDEMIC CAT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BOLD EXCAPER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. FORTY STRANGERS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SMARTY BALL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SWO RD OF GOLD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



2

PANDEMIC CAT

4/1


6/1




6

BOLD EXCAPER

15/1


6/1




7

FORTY STRANGERS

8/1


7/1




1

SMARTY BALL

7/2


9/1




5

SWORD OF GOLD

5/2


9/1




































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

BOLD EXCAPER

6


15/1

Alternator/Front-runner

60


58


48.8


54.0


43.5




2

PANDEMIC CAT

2


4/1

Stalker

77


63


51.3


52.8


45.8




7

FORTY STRANGERS

7


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

75


71


36.0


44.8


38.3




5

SWORD OF GOLD

5


5/2

Trailer

62


65


30.2


59.2


51.7




1

SMARTY BALL

1


7/2

Trailer

63


61


14.9


62.0


59.0




3

EXOTIC'S BEAR

3


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

73


53


51.2


31.6


21.6




4

MAJESTIC LOVER

4


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

56


56


36.0


42.8


29.3




8

TUFF MANDATE

8


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

64


62


19.5


34.4


20.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=tam1213zm.htm&exp=12/15/2023&pds=TAM_-_12/13/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/13/2023;TRACK_CODE=TAM&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:20pm - SO - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 HE'S IN CHARGE (ML=5/1)
#8 GRAINGER COUNTY (ML=10/1)


HE'S IN CHARGE - On Nov 22nd this gelding shipped in to win and looks good right back. Using this jock/trainer combination is a good choice. This gelding is in good physical condition. Ended up first on November 22nd. Ranked numero uno in earnings per race. Another notice that this animal has the class to take this race. GRAINGER COUNTY - It looks like the speed horses may duel each other into the ground. When the real running starts this gelding should be rolling down the lane. I just may give this one a good shot. Should improve off last race where he did run out of the money, but was within 5 lengths at the end.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FLIPPING FISH (ML=9/5), #1 WELL CONNECTED (ML=5/2), #9 HENRY'S WORLD (ML=8/1),

FLIPPING FISH - This mount hasn't been on the track since November 20th. Not even any morning activity. WELL CONNECTED - Notched a mediocre rating last race out in a Starter Allowance race on Oct 17th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that figure. HENRY'S WORLD - Speed figures of 92/83/79 are going the wrong way. Recorded a mediocre speed rating last time around the track in a $6,250 Claiming race on Nov 24th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that number.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - HE'S IN CHARGE - My historical calculations say it usually takes a thoroughbred at least 2 races after a layoff to get back into condition. That's just what we have here, so I have a good feeling for this horse.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #5 HE'S IN CHARGE on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race CoursePURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=mvr1213zz.htm&exp=12/15/2023&pds=MVR_-_12/13/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/13/2023;TRACK_CODE=MVR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24300 Class Rating: 67

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 ECHOLITE 5/1




# 9 WAR VOW 3/1




# 2 ISLANDINTHESTREAM 4/1




ECHOLITE figures to be the bet in here. Posted a very strong speed fig last time out. Has run admirably when racing a dirt route race. It's a good signal that Reed is using Oliveros on this entrant. WAR VOW - Is a contender - given the 59 speed figure from her most recent race. Demonstrates the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 62 speed figure which is one of the top in this group of animals. ISLANDINTHESTREAM - She has to be given a shot given the competitive speed figs. The average class rating of 51 makes this one hard to beat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=evd1213zz.htm&exp=12/15/2023&pds=EVD_-_12/13/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/13/2023;TRACK_CODE=EVD&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 MR HAPPY EAGLE 7/2




# 1 SAN LORENZO PEGASUS 2/1




# 5 WON MY HEART 9/2




MR HAPPY EAGLE looks to be a quite good contender. Has to be given a chance - I like the figs from the last race. SAN LORENZO PEGASUS - Have to assume this racer will do well again this time out. Could best this group of horses in this race here, showing very good figures of late. WON MY HEART - Look for a strong attempt with the class drop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=pen1213zm.htm&exp=12/15/2023&pds=PEN_-_12/13/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/13/2023;TRACK_CODE=PEN&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,100 Class Rating: 81

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 ONCE A GIANT (ML=8/1)
#6 TRIBAL NOTION (ML=4/1)


ONCE A GIANT - This gelding is in good form. Ended up third on Nov 29th. TRIBAL NOTION - I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a campaigner coming into top form. This gelding is in fine condition. Ended up second on December 1st.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CITY RAGE (ML=5/2), #4 STYNER (ML=3/1), #7 DYNAMITE KARMA (ML=6/1),

CITY RAGE - This favorite hasn't been to the track in awhile. No works since last race. STYNER - 3/1 odds isn't enough for this one when examining the most recent outings. DYNAMITE KARMA - Somewhat easily forgotten speed rating in the last race at Penn National at 1 mile. Don't believe this horse will improve too much today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#8 ONCE A GIANT to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach
Dec 13 '23, 12:45 PM in 5h
Soccer | Manchester City vs Crvena Zvezda

Play on: [B]Crvena Zvezda +1

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Hunter Price
Dec 13 '23, 2:30 PM in 6h
Soccer | Zurich vs Winterthur

Play on: Winterthur +263 at YouWager

1* Free Pick on Winterthur

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Steve Janus
Dec 13 '23, 3:00 PM in 7h
Soccer | Feyenoord vs Celtic

Play on: Feyenoord +118 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on Feyenoord

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Info Plays
Dec 13 '23, 7:30 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | Texas-San Antonio vs Arkansas-Little Rock

Play on: [B]UNDER 164

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Sean Murphy
Dec 13 '23, 7:40 PM in 12h
NBA | Hornets vs Heat

Play on: [B]Hornets +8

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ProSportsPicks
Dec 13 '23, 8:10 PM in 12h
NBA | Pacers vs Bucks

Play on: [B]Bucks -6

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Bobby Conn
Dec 13 '23, 10:00 PM in 14h
NCAA-B | Utah State vs Santa Clara

Play on: [B]Santa Clara +3

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Black Widow
Dec 13 '23, 10:00 PM in 14h
NCAA-B | Utah State vs Santa Clara

Play on: [B]Santa Clara +3