Thursday 12/21/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn NationalPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=pen1221zf.pdf&exp=12/23/2023&pds=PEN_-_12/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=PEN&SAP=FREEPICS)


Penn National - Race 7

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $13,600 • Post: 8:55P


(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BEAR OR BULL: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses comin g off a layoff is at least 25. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NECCO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face. COMMANDING: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



6

BEAR OR BULL

5/2


7/2




9

NECCO

5/1


6/1




8

COMMANDING

10/1


7/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




11

GEM DANCER

11


15/1

Front-runner

50


33


65.4


35.4


16.4




8

COMMANDING

8


10/1

Front-runner

65


54


60.5


42.4


33.9




1

THEWIPERSONTHEBUS

1


15/1

Front-runner

47


45


58.8


43.4


31.4




9

NECCO

9


5/1

Alternator/Front-runner

60


54


60.8


46.2


38.7




10

BEJUCO

10


6/1

Alternator/Front-runner

54


50


44.2


46.4


37.9




2

WATERMELON CRUSH

2


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

47


47


42.6


44.0


33.5




6

BEAR OR BULL

6


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

61


57


41.3


54.3


48.8




3

HE AROSE

3


8/1

Trailer

57


46


0.0


40.4


25.9




4

SYLVIA I AM

4


6/1

Alternator/Trailer

53


48


9.6


41.0


28.5




5

LOUIE'S HEAT

5


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


50.2


32.2


18.7




7

PRALINESALLSHOOKUP

7


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

57


45


22.8


29.6


11.6

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair GroundsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=fg1221zf.pdf&exp=12/23/2023&pds=FG_-_12/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=FG&SAP=FREEPICS)


Fair Grounds - Race 8

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta Daily Double


Allowance • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $53,000 • Post: 4:15P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, ITWILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTH.).





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE): Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dist ance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CLEVER JOKE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SAKE (FR): Horse has run a Good R ace within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BEST PERFORMER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.



5

BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)

12/1


5/1




8

CLEVER JOKE

8/1


6/1




9

SAKE (FR)

4/1


7/1




6

BEST PERFORMER

7/2


7/1































P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




12

BELLA PALOMA

12


12/1

Front-runner

73


71


90.1


40.8


14.8




14

BELGIAN BLUE

14


8/1

Front-runner

77


81


44.6


44.6


28.1




6

BEST PERFORMER

6


7/2

Stalker

85


92


88.6


83.6


77.1




1

NOW YUS CANT LEAVE

1


8/1

Stalker

87


83


78.6


81.0


67.0




2

UNION DOLLY

2


6/1

Stalker

86


83


66.6


67.2


55.7




16

THEROANRUNNER

16


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

82


84


84.6


79.8


63.3




10

SWEET ALYSSA

10


12/1

Trailer

88


83


71.6


77.4


64.4




15

THESTRAL

15


7/2

Trailer

87


82


67.3


44.6


25.6




11

SHE TOLD YOU SO

11


10/1

Trailer

67


72


65.4


66.4


38.4




7

LAST OF THE NILE

7


20/1

Trailer

78


69


63.9


68.2


42.2




9

SAKE (FR)

9


4/1

Alternator/Trailer

90


85


77.6


83.4


74.4




5

BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)

5


12/1

Alternator/Trailer

96


86


71.4


85.6


78.1




8

CLEVER JOKE

8


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

93


92


65.4


83.6


75.6




3

PAINT ME PERFECT

3


5/1

Alternator/Trailer

84


86


65.4


78.8


62.3




13

SOUPER EXPLOSIVE

13


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

82


78


73.0


27.5


8.5




4

CATHERINE BLAZE

4


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


69


64.9


60.2


31.7

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=tp1221zz.htm&exp=12/23/2023&pds=TP_-_12/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=TP&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $10,500 1 LB.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 CASANOVA KITTEN 10/1




# 11 JARETH 3/1




# 4 RIVZONAROLL 6/1




CASANOVA KITTEN has a strong shot to take this contest especially at 10/1. Players should feel comfortable with this selection given Correa's recent profits at the window. He has very good class ratings, averaging 94, and has to be given a chance here. Has run soundly when running a dirt sprint race. JARETH - Has to be used in the exotic wagers. Should best this group here, showing very good figs of late. RIVZONAROLL - Has been running admirably lately and will almost certainly be up near the front end early on. Should be given a shot based on the competitive speed fig posted in the last outing.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race TrackPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=cmr1221zz.htm&exp=12/23/2023&pds=CMR_-_12/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=CMR&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 6 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 MISS ARIA 2/1




# 6 ROMANTIC MELODY 7/2




# 4 ARTIFICIAL INTELL 3/1




MISS ARIA looks quite good to best this field. Vargas has her trained quite well to break quickly out of the gate. Ran a solid last race. The average class rating alone makes this horse a contender. ROMANTIC MELODY - Recorded a formidable speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. ARTIFICIAL INTELL - Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field lately. She has been travelling admirably lately while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=gp1221zm.htm&exp=12/23/2023&pds=GP_-_12/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=GP&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:06pm - SO - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $37,000 Class Rating: 100

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 THE DISTRACTOR (ML=4/1)
#1 SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) (ML=7/2)
#4 LIGHTNING TONES (ML=5/1)


THE DISTRACTOR - I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a return to racing. SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) - Horse shipped to this track and won; now goes for two in a row. I think this horse is very ready right now. I like the fact that Stormfelt brings him back to a race so quickly. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a strong outing within the last thirty days. LIGHTNING TONES - The race may set up nicely for this magnificent animal's late kick and he's probably the best closer in the field. This gelding is in good form. Ran first on November 24th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SIR OLLIE (ML=2/1), #2 AMERICAN PURE (ML=5/2),

SIR OLLIE - No good results for this horse in a short distance event over the last 60 days tells me that this horse is in a tough circumstance AMERICAN PURE - No accomplishments for this runner in a short distance race over the last 60 days tells me that this colt is in a formidable situation Don't believe this horse will make an impact in today's race. That last speed fig was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class figure.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #6 THE DISTRACTOR on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=mvr1221zm.htm&exp=12/23/2023&pds=MVR_-_12/21/2023&var=RACE_DATE=12/21/2023;TRACK_CODE=MVR&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 4:02pm - Stakes - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 72 Bobbie Bricker Memorial S.

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 BETTER HALF (ML=15/1)
#1 IN TROUBLED WATERS (ML=10/1)
#5 AUNT BEE (ML=2/1)
#4 MOBIL CHIC (ML=15/1)
#7 LUCKY PENNY ROSE (ML=6/1)


BETTER HALF - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. I like to invest in this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a good contest within the last month. IN TROUBLED WATERS - This horse coming off a solid effort in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my humble opinion. You have to bet this horse at a location she likes. There's nothing like being comfortable out on the track when it's time to race. This filly gets a weight break of -5 lbs from last race. This should help in this field. AUNT BEE - Ginter has this mare signed up for the ideal contest. MOBIL CHIC - Zielinski drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to think this one has a good chance at this level. I like to bet on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a strong effort within the last thirty days. This animal has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 58 to 63 to 70 in succession. LUCKY PENNY ROSE - I like to bet on this angle, a campaigner coming back off a strong race within the last thirty days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BOSSY LADY (ML=3/1), #6 NEAR PERFECT (ML=7/2),

BOSSY LADY - This filly didn't race too well last time out. NEAR PERFECT - Looked like she was in good form on November 16th. Hasn't been near the track since then though. Not a positive sign. When scrutinizing today's class rating, she will have to earn a better speed figure than last time out to battle in this dirt route.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #9 BETTER HALF on the nose if you can get odds of 5/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,9] Box [4,9] Box [7,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

[1,5,9] with [1,4,5,7,9] with [1,4,5,7,9] Total Cost: $36



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,9] with [1,5,9] with [1,4,5,7,9] with [1,4,5,7,9] Total Cost: $24

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 64

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW 5/2




# 7 T R'S FIRST 7/2




# 6 STOP SHOP N DROP 9/2




SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW looks to be a decent contender. She has a solid distance/surface win record - 2 out of 8. Has decent early pace and will probably fare well versus this group of horses in this race. Had one of the top speed figures of this field in her last contest. T R'S FIRST - She has a good opportunity in here as handler, Hibdon, has sharp win rate with horses going this distance. Recorded a competitive speed fig last time out. STOP SHOP N DROP - Jockey's recent return on investment figs make this filly a good bet.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 5

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 5-9)


SO $25,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $37,000 • Post: 2:06P


(RAIL AT 24 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE TAPETA COURSE AT ONE MILE AND SEVENTY YARDS)





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * IPANEMA PRINCESS (IRE): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surfa ce (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DONTMESSWITHTESS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. DIVA READY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. R ROSE' ALL DAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).



2

IPANEMA PRINCESS (IRE)

10/1


4/1




11

DONTMESSWITHTESS

2/1


7/1




7

DIVA READY

8/1


8/1




10

R ROSE' ALL DAY

9/2


9/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

SERGEANT MOLLY

6


15/1

Front-runner

82


83


59.7


72.0


58.5




1

BEACH READY

1


12/1

Alternator/Front-runner

80


82


67.6


72.2


56.2




10

R ROSE' ALL DAY

10


9/2

Stalker

82


80


66.2


74.4


68.9




3

SISTER NELL

3


30/1

Alternator/Stalker

84


80


68.8


70.0


59.5




4

GIRLS HOUSE

4


30/1

Alternator/Stalker

77


78


61.6


72.0


56.0




2

IPANEMA PRINCESS (IRE)

2


10/1

Trailer

95


98


89.4


76.9


69.9




9

YOOOU KNOW

9


20/1

Trailer

79


77


78.8


78.8


60.3




11

DONTMESSWITHTESS

11


2/1

Trailer

87


78


72.2


76.8


69.3




5

MISCREANT

5


4/1

Trailer

85


82


63.6


75.8


62.3




8

WINTER PRINCESS

8


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

77


75


83.9


74.0


61.5




7

DIVA READY

7


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

85


80


63.4


78.0


70.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park

Turfway Park - Race 1

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / 50 cent Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)


Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Age 2 • CR: 83 • Purse: $40,000 • Post: 5:55P


FOR AUCTION MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. FOR HORSES WHICH HAVE SOLD OR WERE RNA FOR $50,000 OR LESS IN THEIR MOST RECENT AUCTION.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ADRIFT is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ADRIFT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



8

ADRIFT

9/2


1/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

JOE SHIESTY

3


3/1

Front-runner

0


0


67.3


64.4


58.9




1

BETTER LUCK

1


5/2

Alternator/Front-runner

0


0


63.5


58.8


50.3




8

ADRIFT

8


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


89.1


76.8


73.8




2

HOT WINGS

2


10/1

Trailer

0


0


47.4


58.8


48.3




4

MOR ZIP

4


15/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


44.6


58.8


53.3




5

SILENT SPECTRE

5


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


64.5


16.1


3.1




9

PHENOMENAL DREAM

9


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

84


76


34.6


55.3


46.8































Unknown Running Style: BRICKLAYER (8/1) [Jockey: Conner Tyler - Trainer: McCarthy Michael W], TEN BITS (15/1) [Jockey: Court Aaron J - Trainer: Short Tommy C].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Fair Grounds - Race #4 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 104

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 PLANE TALK (ML=4/1)
#1 FORTUITY (ML=5/1)


PLANE TALK - A gelding like this one, almost always in the money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. We have lots of early speed with this thoroughbred. He could wire this field. This animal has recorded the best recent turf Equibase speed figure at the distance and surface. FORTUITY - This one has recorded the best recent turf speed rating at the dist/surf. May be extremely hard to beat this noble animal on the grass today. Last time around the track scored a nice turf fig, the highest of any of these animals. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed rating, 91, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MISTER MMMMM (ML=3/1), #5 TOUGH CHARLIE (ML=4/1), #9 KAELY'S BROTHER (ML=6/1),

MISTER MMMMM - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition. TOUGH CHARLIE - Tough to invest in any entrant in a short distance event at 4/1 when he hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last couple months. This group is a whole lot tougher than the ones he met in the last event. Registered a common speed figure last race out in a $12,500 Optional Claiming race on August 13th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating. KAELY'S BROTHER - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests recently. Not probable to see him doing it today either.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PLANE TALK - The odds should be right to wager on this mount. There are some 'hidden' pluses in the last event.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #2 PLANE TALK to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race CourseAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 73

JOSHUA RADOSEVICH MEMORIAL S. - FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS $50 TO NOMINATE. $263 TO ENTER AND $487 TO START WITH $75,000 GUARANTEED. PURSE TO BE DIVIDED: 60% TO THE WINNER; 20% TO SECOND; 10% TO THIRD; 5% TO FOURTH; 3% TO FIFTH; 2% TO SIXTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES ALLOWED 2 LBS.; NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES, 4 LBS.; MAIDENS, 6 LBS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 LUST FOR LIFE 20/1




# 9 TOUGH CAT 4/1




# 1 SHADOWY 6/5




LUST FOR LIFE has a competitive shot to take this race and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. Bettors should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of horses in this race. TOUGH CAT - Is hard not to consider given the company run in lately. Conditioner boasts very strong win figs at this distance and surface. SHADOWY - Has been close at the wire most every time lately. This colt ought to be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turfway Park - Race #7 - Post: 8:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#12 GHOSTLY GAL (ML=8/1)
#7 SPRING MAGIC (ML=9/2)


GHOSTLY GAL - Faced tougher last out at Golden Gate Fields. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders. Looking at this mare's running lines, I see she's almost always in the money. 82-91-95 are last three Equibase speed figs. Improving each time out is something she should do again right here in this race. SPRING MAGIC - Last race out, finished fourth on a sloppy track at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Have to give a better effort in this event. Last raced at Mahoning Valley Race Cour carrying 5 lbs more. The lower weight assigned in this field should serve her well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 MAOTAI (ML=3/1), #11 CHIQUITA MOSCA (ML=5/1), #5 THE CLUB (ML=6/1),

MAOTAI - 3/1 is too short of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back races. CHIQUITA MOSCA - 5/1 is too low of a value to take on most any mount that has run poorly in back to back outings. Finished fifth in her most recent effort with a disappointing speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group. THE CLUB - Speed figs tell a narrative of declining condition. Couldn't make up any ground at all on Nov 15th. Hard to bet on today at the expected odds.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - GHOSTLY GAL - Contrary to popular belief, some horses run much better off a long layoff. This one has been off 327 days, and in similar circumstances in the past, has run nicely.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#12 GHOSTLY GAL to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,12]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


7
7
I DID IT MYWAY
7/2
Tetrick, Tim - 27
580.58


2
2
ENERGETIC HANOVER
9/2
Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 18
572.10


4
4
PENZANCE HANOVER
8/1
Stafford, Art Jr - 15
572.00


5
5
MACK
6/1
Teague, Montrell - 14
554.29


6
6
JILLIBY DYNAMITE A
5/2
Wolfenden, Ross - 12
551.98


3
3
JACK'S SHADOW N
10/1
Morgan, Anthony - 18
539.56


1
1
SPROCKET
8/1
Kirby, Victor - 11
502.23

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


5
5
THE BOOK OF LIFE
12/1
Smith, Tyler - 12
534.77


2
2
MR DISOMMA
4/1
Widger, Sam - 11
516.96


4
4
BIG LAW
8/1
Hanners, Austin - 6
507.84


7
7
BEYOND DELIGHT
3/1
Smith, Jeremy - 22
505.39


1
1
DOUBLEORNOTHING N
7/2
Noble, Dan - 17
504.25


6
6
PHOTOBOMBR HANOVER
12/1
Page, Chris - 18
500.58


3
3
ROCKIN DADDY O
7/2
Smith, Trevor - 9
488.48


8
8
ROCKINSWEETVICTORY
9/1
Miller, Brett - 11
467.88


9
9
ONE CORONA TO GO
12/1
Kauffman, Kayne - 7
465.89

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 11 - Post: 10:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$4800 - FILLIES & MARES - CLAIMING $8000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 5 HIGH ROLLING A 9/5




# 9 A SHAM OF AMBER 3/1




# 8 BLACK BETTY 10/1





After thorough analysis by the handicapping team, HIGH ROLLING A comes out as the top selection. Have a vibe this one might take for this one. Worth considering here on the basis of the markings in the speed rating department alone. Racing very well, recorded a strong speed rating in her last competition (72). A SHAM OF AMBER - May be the best in the field of starters here, showing very nice rankings of late. Average speed is a solid 73. More than likely the class of the group of horses with an average rating of 71. A nice selection. BLACK BETTY - A really strong play in here as she has one of the highest winning percents in the field of starters as well as solid credentials all around.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello RacewayAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 2 - Post: 12:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$4600 - SIX YEAR OLDS AND UNDER W/O 1 BUT N/M/T 3 PM


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



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# 2 SECTIONLINE RACER 5/2




# 1 MARTZ CREEK LUCK 3/1




# 6 ONE ONE ONE 8/1





If you want a nice play in here, feast your eyes on SECTIONLINE RACER. The handicapping group saw this horse's name on a billboard. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. He's competing in fine form, recording very strong TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent pick. This standardbred looks tough considering the high class ratings. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics. MARTZ CREEK LUCK - Is a clear-cut choice given the 74 TrackMaster Speed Rating from his most recent contest. This fine animal could get the win here beginning from the Monticello Raceway 1 position. ONE ONE ONE - Not many knocks against this race horse, let's give him a shot.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 10


4
4
MEILLEUR FROMAGE
3/1
Ryan, Jason D - 14
449.94


2
2
BIG DIAMOND
2/1
Harris, J Bradley - 14
447.93


7
7
SHEPLAYSFORKEEPS
10/1
Coulter, Scott - 15
447.70


1
1
NORA D
5/2
Henry, Travis J - 20
438.26


5
5
CUSTARD LITE
4/1
Davies, Paul B - 0
433.84


6
6
LA PETITE GRISE
8/1
Macdonald, Brett A - 16
424.08


3
3
IM DIABOLICAL
6/1
Kelly, Colin - 18
388.03

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 10 - Post: 10:47 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$8000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $8,000 TO $9,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 7 ROYAL RENEGADE 10/1




# 10 HES GOT SWAGGER 3/1




# 1 A BOY NAMED SUUZZ 6/1





ROYAL RENEGADE sure does look ready to dominate and look at those nice morning line odds. Take a look at this interesting entrant's avg speed ranking of 80 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a good play. Has a huge shot for this one, if he can perform to his back racing class. Should be given a look based on the respectable speed figure achieved in the last affair. HES GOT SWAGGER - Considered a solid wager based solely on his high top prize percentage. Feel the need for speed, this interesting entrant has been turning in some fantastic TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 76. A BOY NAMED SUUZZ - Reason to like this gelding as he has in the cart one of the best drivers in win percentage the last 30 days. Seems to have a respectable class edge based on the competition he has faced.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The MeadowsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 6 - Post: 2:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 66 - Purse:$10900 - CD NW 2 EXT PM`S OR $15,000 LIFE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 5 SMASH THE RAIL 2/1




# 7 CASSARIANO 5/2




# 2 SHIFTAN GEARS 5/2





SMASH THE RAIL has a respectable shot to take this competition. This gelding getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Positive instinct - doing work well enough to contend in this outing. Could dominate this group of animals, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 69 - from his last race. CASSARIANO - Had one of the most favorable TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the field in her last race. A good idea to use in your wagers. SHIFTAN GEARS - Worth careful consideration here given the markings in the TrackMaster speed fig department alone. Certainly did like this gelding's last race. Ran a big 69 speed figure. Major contender.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 11


3
3
KILIMANJARO NL
2/1
Bartlett, Jason - 25
569.68


8
8
JUSTICE
4/1
Pantaleano, Jim - 9
547.45


4
4
UNEVERGONNAGETHIS
5/2
Kakaley, Matt - 17
541.21


5
5
TACHYON
8/1
Siegelman, Austin - 9
514.59


2
2
KASHA V
12/1
Holland, Brent - 11
496.62


6
6
SMASHIN RACQUETS
12/1
Brennan, George - 17
489.32


7
7
BLACK TIE BASH
15/1
Lachance, Pat - 10
478.40


1
1
CREATIVE VENTURE
12/1
Dube, Daniel - 9
473.78

[ConleyPicks]

Gulfstream Park Hotlist - December 21
Dec. 20, 2023










By Bob Ehalt and Matt ShifmanHot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (4) Oolong Hai showed nice speed in New York. Should finally graduate at this shorter distance. (6) Sickle Dance returns to turf and put in a solid work for this. (3) Beachland could thrive while debuting on turf. (1) Applause may be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-6.
3rd race – (1) Tapintoyourbeer was second in a similar race last time and can make amends here. (3) Dontkissdaminister drops off a claim and could be the main threat. (6) Tuwaim fits in nicely here. (7) Sha Tin could be a late threat. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.
5th race – (11) Dontmesswithtess may work out a winning trip from the rail with Irad. (1) Beach Ready has speed and the rail and could be hard to catch. (7) Diva Ready ships in from Laurel after a win and deserves consideration. (2) Ipanema Princess could contend with this group. Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-7-11.
7th race – (5) Sir Ollie has been no worse than third in his last four tries and gets the nod through his consistency. (1) Sogno Di Campione comes off a claim and a win and could be the main foe. (4) Lightning Tones should be closing quickly at the end. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5.
9th race – (7) Spirit’s Mischief returns to turf for Ward and looks best in this field. (8) Shea D World may perk up on turf. (3) King of the Track gets some class relief after racing in stakes. (1) Okiro seems well-bred for a strong effort on turf. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-8.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: St Marys -13.5 over Northern Kentucky

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4UThursday's Free Selection: Wichita State/Kansas State over 145 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 SportsThursday's Free Play: Colorado Buffaloes - 22 1/2

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Free play from Hawkeye SportsThursday's Free Pick: NC Wilmington Seahawks - 1

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Thursday: Hofstra Pride + 4

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take CBB Central Florida -24

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Jim FeistJim Feist's Comp Pick, THURSDAY, December 21, 2023
FREE
NBA
509. Pacers / Grizzlies OVER 246 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Roz WinsROZ FREE Selection THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2023
CBK
735. UNC Wilmington -1.5 (4 PT / 7 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the Massachusetts Minutemen -1.5 over Georgia Tech

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday :Take OREGON ST (CBB) -6.5 over Idaho St

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
Kentucky -13' CBB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Teyas SportsFREE PICK 12/21/23 CBB OREGON -6 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony's Free Selection for Thursday: Detroit Pistons

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR THURSDAY
CFB Syracuse/South Florida OVER the total of 56 pts.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: TEXAS TECH -13.5 over UT-Arlington

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic SportsThursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Oregon State Beavers - 6 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Sharp BettorSharpBettor FREE Play THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2023

FREE
CBK
752. N.Illinois +2 (5 PT / 8 ET)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Golden Dragon
Thursday Free Play
Syracuse -3 CFB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Thursday: MINNESOTA -12 over Ball St (CBB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play THURSDAY is on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Abilene Christian/Arkansas over 148.5

No analysis provided.

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Hurricanes-115

[ConleyPicks]

Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On SIU-Edwardsville vs Bradley under 136.5

[ConleyPicks]

Sean Murphy

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Dallas over Vancouver at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.

The Stars have undoubtedly had this game circled on their calendar as they've dropped seven straight meetings with the Canucks including a 2-0 setback in Vancouver earlier this season. I think they're well-positioned to end that skid on Thursday, however, as they play at home on two days' rest while the Canucks wrap up a four-game road trip (and play their third game in four nights). Dallas has reeled off three straight home wins to improve to 9-6 at home this season. The Stars are averaging an impressive 3.8 goals per game in Dallas this season. Note that the Stars are 24-16 in their last 40 games when seeking revenge for a loss in which they scored one goal or less. Take Dallas.

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Williams

1* on Bulls-4

[ConleyPicks]

Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on MEM-175

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Memphis are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games when playing at home against Indiana.

- Indiana are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

- Indiana are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games played in December.

Verdict: The Value is on the home favorite.

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on Saints vs Rams under 46

[ConleyPicks]

Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Saints/Rams under 46 -108

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

[ConleyPicks]

Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Saints+4 -105

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the EASTERN WASHINGTON EAGLES+15.5 for our Thursday Free Play. Washington has gotten off to a solid 7-3 start that includes a big win over Gonzaga but it remains overvalued and we saw that in its last game. The Huskies struggled to get by Seattle as it won by one point in double overtime and it now in a sandwich spot with Pac 12 play on deck. Washington is 4-1 at home with the loss coming against Nevada as a favorite and have covered just two of its four home games when laying points. The Huskies have won 12 straight in this series but covered just half of those with inflated numbers. Eastern Washington ran through the Big Sky Conference last season as it finished 16-2, part of a 23-11 overall record. The Eagles have three starters back and will be contenders again despite getting off to a 4-6 start this season. The schedule has played the part in that as Eastern Washington has played the No. 2 ranked schedule in the country. All six losses have come on the road against major conference teams that includes four Pac 12 teams along with Cincinnati and Mississippi. The Eagles only covered one of those Pac 12 games but experience in those goes a long way. Play (767) Eastern Washington Eagles

[ConleyPicks]

Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Thursday 12-21-23

Ottawa @ Colorado (9:05 PM EST)
Play On: Ottawa +145

The Ottawa Senators travel to Colorado to take on the Avalanche on Thursday night.

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Lundin

Lakers/Wolves NBA Free Pick

The Minnesota Timberwolves took a 122-113 loss in Philadelphia last night, but tonight the Wolves are back home at Target Center where they're 11-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS. They'll be playing on short rest, but so are the Lakers as well after losing 124-108 to the Bulls in Chicago last night.

The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Timberwolves on the other hand are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.

2* FREE PICK ON THE WOLVES-5 -115

[ConleyPicks]

Brandon Lee

7* NBA - Lakers/Wolves Free Pick

PLAY ON: Lakers +6.5

I'll grab the 6.5-points with the Lakers on the road against the Timberwolves. Both teams will be on the 2nd of a back-to-back and playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. I don't know if LA will win the game, but 6.5 is too many for them to be catching in this spot. Lakers are going to be highly motivated to snap their 3-game losing streak and while they will be playing with tired legs, they are healthy for really the first time all season. LA lost by 16 last night in Chicago and that puts them in a great rebound spot, as the Lakers have gone 21-7 ATS over the last 3 seasons off a loss by 15 or more. Give me the Lakers +6.5!

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Ducks+144

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Ducks+135

[ConleyPicks]

AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY Calgary-145

The Flames are 13-14-1-4, while the Ducks are 12-19-0-0. The Flames come in off back-to-back victories at home over a couple of pretty good teams (4-2 over Tampa and 3-1 over Florida), and we're expecting this momentum to get carried over here on the road in this favorable matchup. The Ducks return home after going 2-2 on their road trip. That included two straight to close out, beating New Jersey 5-1 and Detroit 4-3. An imminent letdown does feel "imminent" to us though here. It's the first matchup of the season between the clubs, but we feel it's one that favors the Flames; consider Calgary on Thursday night!

AAA Sports

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Washington State-1

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*