8-29-08

[Mr. IWS]

Looks like its working..........

[timbob]

SCOTT FERRALL

NFL
San Francisco -1 to San Diego--The Chargers just played Monday, so they'll be gassed and get beat in the Bay--UNDER 37

Oakland +3 from Seattle--same thing here for the Seahawks--they had to play Monday night so they won't be fresh--UNDER 36

Cardinals -2.5 to Broncos--Arizona puts on a show and takes out Denver in the last tune up for the season--the Cards havent' looked half bad in the games that don't count--OVER 38

CFB
8/29:
Temple -7 to Army--The Cadets always suck--let's face it !

Rice -3.5 to SMU--June Jones isn't going to start winning right off the bat

MLB
TORONTO and AJ Burnett -120 at Yankee Stadium over the Bombers

Cleveland -110 over Seattle at the Jake--Sowers over King Felix

Colorado -170 at San Diego--Cook has been tough lately for the Rockies

Arizona +105 over the Dodgers and Kuroda in the desert

Houston +125 over the Cardinals at Minute Maid--Wolf beats Lohse

Washington +150 over the Braves in DC--Perez over Campillo

[timbob]

ace-ace / allen eastman


3-Unit Play. #145 Temple (-7) over Army (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 29)-108

4-Unit Play. Take ‘UNDER’ 40.5 Utah at Michigan (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 30)-105

6-Unit Play. #171 Take Oklahoma State (-7) over Washington State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 30)-108

3-Unit Play. #203 Arkansas State (+19) over Texas A&M (7 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 30)-105

4-Unit Play. #162 Take Oregon (-13.5) over Washington (10 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 30)-108

3-Unit Play. #209 Colorado (-10.5) over Colorado State (7:30 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 31)-105

3-Unit Play. #211 Fresno State (+5) over Rutgers (4 p.m., Monday, Aug. 1)-107

[timbob]

Rocketman Sports
7:00PM ET CFB 4* Best Temple (-7.0 / -110) vs Army

[timbob]

GATOR / CAJUN

e-Report 70% Super Situation:

MLB Friday: Play Under MLB road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, starting a pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, 54-18 Under last five seasons (75%)

PLAY: San Francisco / Cincinnati UNDER 8.5 (-105)




e-Report Top Angle:

MLB Friday: CLEVELAND is 9-0 against the money line with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games this season

[timbob]

These are Friday's plays:


*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

5 STAR: (901) PHILADELPHIA (+$220) over Chicago
(Listing Blanton only)
(Risking $500 to win $1100)
1:20PM Central Time

2 STAR: (910) WASHINGTON (+$139) over Atlanta
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $278)
6:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (912) HOUSTON (+$123) over St. Louis
(Listing Wolf only)
(Risking $200 to win $246)
7:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (905) SAN FRANCISCO (+$167) over Cincinnati
(Listing Zito only)
(Risking $200 to win $334)
6:10PM Central Time

[timbob]

Ross Benjamin
15* Toronto -120

High Profit Sports
3* Play Of The Day Temple-7
3* Twins -158

[timbob]

Tommy Rider | CFB Total
dime bet148 Rice / 147 SMU Over 69.0 SportBet
Analysis: The key to winning overs is that both teams need to score. If that's the case, this may be the easiest over you play all year. Both of these offenses are light years ahead of the defenses. As some of you may know, I'm a huge SMU fan and I talk to some boosters down there. They tell me that this freshman quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is the real deal. Plus, the Ponies have two stud receivers to wreak havoc on an undermanned Rice secondary. The other misconception out there is that the Run 'n' Shoot takes a long time to learn. That's totally untrue. The routes are mostly digs and outs. It's actually an easy offense to pick up compared to something like the spread. On the other side of the ball, SMU is terrible. June Jones will need to outscore people for a couple of seasons until he gets some decent recruits on defense and he knows it. Chase Clement and Jarett Dillard will do anything they want against the Ponies defense. This line has dropped and I guess people thought it was too high. I disagree. I think this is one of the few totals with some value in Week 1. I had the total set at 73, so I'll be more than happy to take it at 69. Both of these teams should easily score in the 30's in what will be an offensive track meet from start to finish.

[timbob]

Investment Play Makers

20* National League Game of the Night [ MLB ]
Date: Friday, August 29, 2008
$28.00 Guaranteed: Current run is now 12-6 .....We nail the Astros yesterday with another win on our Game of the Week plays. There is no stopping us as we continue the momentum in our winnning selections. This National League team has a major advantage in pitching tonight against he team they go up against and we have spotted the weakness. Get this game now and go home a winner tonight.

St Louis Cardinals (Loshe)

[timbob]

Cajun-Sports


NFLX
2* Oakland
2* San Diego

CFB:
4* Rice
1* Temple

[timbob]

PERRY'S PREMIER PICKS FRIDAY PLAY


Perry got off to a solid start Thursday going 2-0 and plus 12 units. If you purchased his Thursday card from the Guaranteed Picks page on this site, congrats! Perry's easy winners were Buffalo -3 5* and Wake Forest -12 7*. Also Perry won with his Free Play Thursday on the Gamecocks of South Carolina...don't forget to check back around 1 am to 2 am eastern Saturday morning for College Football Saturday guaranteed selections.

Friday Play: Temple Owls -7 pts

[timbob]

won my 3* premium play in MLB yesterday on the NY Yankees but lost my 3* play in the NCAAF with Miami Ohio. Let's try to go 2-0 today and I have my NCAAF play for now and will be back later with my baseball selection:

SMU/Rice Over 69 -1.07 (3 Unit Play) - June Jones left Hawaii and took the head coaching job at SMU and this team will be very potent on offense. The reports that I am reading is that Jones is putting Justin Willis who QB'ed SMU last year down to the third string QB and is going with his two freshman recruits so it is apparant that he has confidence in his ability to find talent. The run-and-shoot offense puts the ball in the air a lot and against Rice's defense I don't think that is a bad thing as they were one of the worst defensive teams in the country last year. Rice has an experienced QB back in Chase Clement and they should also have an explosive offense this year and they will be taking on a suspect SMU defense this evening as well. This game has high scoring written all over it and I was surprised to see that it dropped to 69 overnight but that was enough for me to pull the trigger on the Over here tonight. I do like SMU plus the points as well but for purposes of my plays only the Over is official tonight.

Best of luck to everyone and enjoy the Labor Day Weekend.

Don - Oscarxena Sports

[timbob]

System Sports Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, August 29, 2008

24-1 TRIPLE BASEBALL SYSTEM WINNER
Cleveland w/Sowers -117 7:05 EST

The Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 games versus a right-handed starter, the Indians are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series and the Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Add it up and you have our 24-1 TRIPLE BASEBALL SYSTEM WINNER on the CLEVELAND INDIANS!!!

[timbob]

LT Profits

10:00PM ET NFX 2* Action Denver Broncos (3.0 / -120) vs Arizona Cardinals
8:00PM ET CFB 2* Action SMU vs Rice UNDER 69.5 (-110)

[timbob]

yourwinningpicks c-football:

RICE (-3.5) VS. SMU: June Jones rides in from Hawaii to help resurrect the SMU programa and his run-and-shoot offense should certainly make them more entertaining this year. Their defense on the other hand is absolutely dreadful which can also be said about Rice. The Owls do have 15 starters returning on offense however and they should be able to score much the same way they have the last two seasons. Again like the El Paso-Buffalo game, this will be an offensive bonanza. Take the points. THE PICK: SMU (+3.5)

Temple (-7) VS. ARMY: Army is in a good spot here getting a touchdown at home against an Owls team that lost 37-21 to them last season. Temple had problems scoring last year and that looks to continue to be a problem for this season. Army will go to an option offense which should enable them to control the clock and maximize their offensive opportunities. This will be an ugly game with a touchdown being tough to come by. Go with the underdog here. THE PICK: Army (+7)

[timbob]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS




Temple at Army
Army tees it up against one of the three teams it was able to beat last season when the Owls come calling at Michie Stadium in West Point, N.Y.
Army went just 3-9 SU (4-6-1 ATS) last season but scored a 37-21 win over Temple in late September, covering as a six-point home chalk. These two have only met four times in the last 21 years with the Black Knights holding a 3-1 SU and ATS advantage.
Temple (4-8, 7-5 ATS in 2007) is in its third year under coach Al Golden and is coming off an inspired 4-4 Mid-American Conference campaign a year ago, going 4-3 SU (5-2 ATS) to end the season. The Owls? offense improved from No. 117 in the nation in 2006 to No. 44 last year. Meanwhile their defense was ranked No. 1 in the country in the RED ZONE and No. 14 in third-down situations.
Returning for Temple on defense is tackle Terrance Knighton, who was a third-team all-MAC selection a year ago and was a beast against Army, making six tackles, recovering two fumbles and blocking a 54-yard field-goal attempt. Offensively, the Owls return QB Adam DiMichele, who completed 61.9 percent of his throws and torched Army for a season-high 314 yards before suffering a broken leg in the eighth game last year
Army coach Stan Brock is installing an option-based offense after last season?s disaster that saw the Knights average just 87.5 yards per game. Brock is giving junior QB Carson Williams (1,770 yards passing last year) the responsibility to pitch or run with the new offense, and leading the way at RB is the duo of Tony Dace (330 rushing yards in 2007) and sophomore Patrick Mealy (302 rushing yards).
Army has lost 11 straight season-openers is just 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games overall. Meanwhile Temple has lost 29 of its last 31 road games and hasn?t been a road favorite since 2002 at Rutgers. The Owls are 5-8-1 ATS on the highway since Golden took over in 2006, including 3-3 ATS last year, but they?re 6-2 ATS in their last eight against independents.
For Temple, the under is on runs of 7-0 overall, 5-2 on the road and 4-1 in non-conference games. On the flip side, the over is 5-2 in Army?s last seven home games and 8-2 in its last 10 on turf.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



SMU at Rice
The June Jones era begins at Southern Methodist University as the Mustangs travel to Rice Stadium in Houston to take on the Owls in a Conference USA opener.
Rice won a 43-42 shootout over SMU last season when the Owls hit a 31-yard field goal with no time left to get the home win as 7?-point underdogs. Rice has won seven of the last 10 series meetings (7-3 ATS) and six in a row SU and ATS at home. The straight-up winner is 10-0 ATS in those 10 clashes, and the home team is on a 10-2 SU and ATS roll in this rivalry.
Jones brings his run-and shoot offense with him from Hawaii to SMU, which went 1-11 last year (4-8 ATS), including 10 straight losses to finish the season. Jones has stirred up his troops by sending returning QB Justin Willis to the third team. Willis is the school?s all-time leader with 51 TD passes and was an honorable mention all-Conference USA selection last year with 3,643 yards and 25 TDs.
Getting the nod at QB tonight in place of Willis is freshman Bo Levi Mitchell who led his high school team to the Texas Class 5A championship last year. His top target with the Mustangs will be junior WR Emmanuel Sanders who has 18 career TDs and finished on a high note last season by catching 13 balls for 118 yards and three TDs in the season finale against Memphis. On the other side of the ball, the Mustangs look to fix a group that ranked 116th in total defense and 117th in scoring defense in 2007.
Rice (3-9, 5-6 ATS) opened last year with four straight losses (0-3 ATS), including an embarrassing 16-14 setback to Division I-AA Nicholls State in an unlined contest to open the season. The Owls finished the year losing five of eight, but they went 8-5 ATS.
David Bailiff enters his second year at Rice and is hoping to improve a defense that ranked last in the nation in passing yards allowed (312.4 per game) and second to last in points allowed (42.9 per game). Offensively, the Owls have a dynamic duo in QB Chase Clement and WR Jarett Dillard, who have combined for 32 TD passes, six shy of an NCAA record.
Clement is the first player in NCAA history to throw for more than 300 yards and rush for more than 100 in back-to-back games, accomplishing the task in the win over SMU when he threw for 364 yards and two TDs and rushed for 124 yards and two more scores. Dillard is the active NCAA leader in catches, receiving yardage and TDs, and he?s scored at least one TD in 17 of his last 18 conference games.
Rice is 0-3 ATS in its last three in the rare role of favorite, but the Owls are 29-15-2 ATS at home since 1998 and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference matchups. Meanwhile, SMU is 9-5 ATS on the highway since 2005, including 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road pup, but overall the Mustangs are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 overall.
The over is 21-4 in Rice?s last 25 Conference USA games, 21-5 in the Owls? last 26 in front of the home fans and 40-11 in their last 51 games overall. Also, four of the last five head-to-head clashes between these in-state rivals have flown over the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



NFL Preseason

San Diego (2-1 SU and ATS) at San Francisco (2-1 SU and ATS)
The Chargers wrap up preseason play by trekking up the Pacific coast to Monster Park to take on the 49ers in a game that, like most in the final week of exhibition play, won?t have starters seeing much action.
San Diego put up a late TD and a two-point conversion to top Seattle 18-17 on Monday, but failed to cover as a 5?-point home chalk. The Chargers have been a middling preseason team since 2003, with a 12-11 ATS mark (13-10 SU), going 2-2 ATS each year from 2003-2007. The Chargers have also gone just 2-4 ATS in their last six preseason road games (1-0 ATS this year).
San Francisco held off Chicago 37-30 last week as a 3?-point road underdog for its second straight win and cover. Under fourth-year coach Mike Nolan, the 49ers are 6-1 SU and ATS at Monster Park in preseason play, and they are 8-3 SU and ATS at home in August since 2003.
Second-year Chargers coach Norv Turner said no starters will play more than a few series, and QB Philip Rivers, who sat out Week 2, once again likely won?t play at all. While Turner didn?t divulge who would start at QB, backup Billy Volek figures to get the nod, followed by Charlie Whitehurst and possibly Casey Bramlet. Volek relieved Rivers late in the third quarter last week and went just 3 of 9 for 33 yards.
Nolan has already named J.T. O?Sullivan the starting quarterback for the 49ers? regular-season opener, but it?s unlikely that O?Sullivan will play against the Chargers. Former first-round draft pick Alex Smith should see plenty of action, followed by Shaun Hill. Smith went 6 of 17 for 83 yards and a TD last week, and Hill was 6 of 7 for 60 yards.
These teams meet every summer, with San Diego having the upper hand of late, going 4-1 dating to 2003 (3-2 ATS). Last year in Week 4, the Chargers won 16-13, barely cashing as a 2?-point home favorite.
The over has cashed in four of San Francisco?s last six preaseason outings and is 6-3 in San Diego?s last nine August contests. In addition, the over is 3-1 in the past four preseason clashes between these instate rivals.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO and OVER



Denver (1-2, 1-1-1 ATS) at Arizona (2-1 SU and ATS)
The Cardinals, who still haven?t resolved their quarterback controversy, finish the exhibition season by taking on the Broncos at University of Phoenix Stadium.
Arizona pounded Oakland 24-0 last week, winning and covering as a 3?-point road pup. However, the Cardinals are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last four home preseason games, and they?re 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three preseason finales ? all against Denver.
The Broncos fell to Green Bay 27-24 last week laying three points at home. Mike Shanahan?s troops are 15-9 SU in preseason play dating to 2003, with a 7-3-1 SU and ATS mark on the highway. In addition, the Broncos are on a 6-1 ATS tear in their last seven preseason finales, and they?re 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine as an underdog in August.
Second-year Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt hasn?t officially named his regular-season starting QB, but he did say Kurt Warner will start tonight. Last week, Warner played a couple of possessions late in the first half and early in the second half, going 2 of 4 for 40 yards and leading a TD drive. Meanwhile, former first-round pick Matt Leinart had nearly as many INTs as completions against Oakland, going 4 of 12 for 24 yards with three picks.
Whisenhunt said Leinart, who started in Weeks 1 and 3, might not play against the Broncos. If not, look for Brian St. Pierre to relieve Warner, followed by rookie Anthony Morelli.
The Broncos have no such QB issues, with third-year pro Jay Cutler entrenched as the starter ? meaning he likely won?t see a down of action in the preseason finale. Patrick Ramsey is expected to get the start, followed by Darrell Hackney.
Denver hammered the Cardinals 21-3 as a 3 ?-point home favorite in last year?s finale, and the Broncos are 6-1 SU and ATS against Arizona in August since 1999.
The over has cashed in five of the last seven preseason meetings between these squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER



NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (65-69) at Arizona (68-65)
Two teams that have struggled lately square off at Chase Field as the host Diamondbacks hand the ball to southpaw Doug Davis (5-8, 4.53 ERA) to open a key three-game series against the Dodgers, who will send Hiroki Kuroda (7-9, 3.87) to the hill.
Arizona, trying to hold off L.A. atop the N.L. West, comes in flat, having lost four straight games before taking Thursday off. On Wednesday at San Diego, the D-Backs built a 4-0 lead, only to lose 5-4 as the Padres swept the three-game series. Arizona is on further slides of 1-5 overall, 2-8 with Davis on the bump and 3-7 in Friday games.
Los Angeles has fared even worse lately, dropping seven straight games, all on the road. On Wednesday night in Washington, the Dodgers got hammered 11-2 as the lowly Nationals completed a three-game sweep. The Dodgers are in a 1-9 funk overall and are 2-13 in their last 15 road games.
Arizona has won seven of 12 clashes in this rivalry this season, including four of six meetings at Chase Field.
The Diamondbacks have lost in four of Davis? last five starts, including Sunday?s 5-2 home setback against Florida as Davis allowed three runs on seven hits in seven innings. The veteran is just 3-5 with a 4.85 ERA in 11 home starts this year, and he?s 4-3 with a 2.98 ERA in eight career starts versus Los Angeles. However, Davis has gotten shelled in his last two starts against the Dodgers ? at home July 18 and on the road Aug. 3 ? allowing a combined 10 runs (nine earned) on 11 hits in just 4 2/3 innings, for an eye-popping 17.36 ERA.
L.A. wasted a solid effort by Kuroda on Sunday at Philadelphia, as he allowed just one run on two hits in six innings, but got a no-decision in a 5-2 loss. The Dodgers are just 2-5 in Kuroda?s last seven outings, losing the last two in a row. The rookie right-hander is 2-7 with a 4.48 ERA in 13 road starts this season, and he?s 1-1 with a 4.80 ERA in three outings against Arizona.
The under is on a 10-2 roll in Kuroda?s last 12 road starts and is 9-3 in the Dodgers? last 12 division games. Conversely, the over has cashed in Davis? last four starts against L.A.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE