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Mr. IWS
09-30-2008, 02:15 PM
Big Al

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago White Sox over the Minnesota Twins. When the Chisox went into the Metrodome last week, it was no surprise that Minnesota swept them, as Chicago only won one game (against eight losses) on the road vs. the Twins this year. But at home, on the south side of Chicago, Ozzie Guillen's bunch is 7-2 vs. the Twins. Chicago is also 36-18 at home vs. righties, and 22-6 at home off a win of 4+ runs. Last week, Nick Blackburn started the middle game of the series and, although he only gave up 2 runs, he wasn't very effective and had to pitch in-and-out of trouble. He surrendered eight hits and two walks in just five innings pitched, and was fortunate to get the win. Blackburn has been a lot worse on the road this year, compared to at the Metrodome. His ERA away from home is 5.20, while it's 2.95 at home. And at night, his ERA is also much worse than in the day (4.64 compared to 2.95). The White Sox also have a .333 batting average vs. Blackburn this year (in five starts). His ERA vs. the Pale Hose is 5.67 and his WHIP is 1.70, and on the road at US Cellular Field this year, those numbers dip to 7.20 ERA and the Twins lost all three of his starts. Lefthander John Danks didn't start in the series last week vs. Minnesota, and at home this year, he has held opposing batters to a .247 batting average, and he has Chicago's best ERA of any starter this season at 3.47. Interestingly, after the game last week vs. the Twins and Blackburn, manager Ozzie Guillen ripped on Blackburn's performance, and chastised his team for not getting a breakthrough hit when his team had bases loaded, and 2nd and 3rd situations early in the game. Guillen didn't back off his criticism of Blackburn when reminded of his comments yesterday, and Guillen said the White Sox lost that game because they didn't approach hitting against Blackburn the right way. Look for Chicago to get it right today. Take the White Sox. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Mr. IWS
09-30-2008, 03:29 PM
Brandon Lang

10 Dime Florida Atlantic

FREE - White Sox

Mr. IWS
09-30-2008, 06:19 PM
bob
Sun Belt Conference
MIDDLE TENN (-2.5) 28 Florida Atl. 21
05:00 PM Pacific Time Tuesday, Sep-30 - Stats Matchup
Florida Atlantic was the favorite in the Sun Belt Conference this season, but the Owls have played poorly in 3 of their 4 games this season and are coming off a 3-37 loss to a mediocre Minnesota squad. Middle Tennessee is one dimensional on offense, but that one dimension is quarterback Joe Craddock, who has averaged 6.6 yards per pass play in 4 games against teams that would combine to allow 5.9 yppp to an average quarterback. Craddock posted similarly good numbers last season and he should have pretty good success throwing against a slightly worse than average Florida Atlantic pass defense that’s allowed 7.1 yppp to teams that would average 6.9 yppp against an average team. Middle Tennessee is also coming off their worst game of the season, a 14-31 loss to Arkansas State, but the Blue Raiders have beaten a good Maryland team on this field and they hung tough on the road at Kentucky thanks to a good defensive effort. That defense has been pretty solid by Sun Belt standards (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl) and should do a decent job containing a pretty good Owls attack that is 0.2 yppl better than average. While Florida Atlantic does have a slight edge from the line of scrimmage in this game, I’ll favor Middle Tennessee to win on the basis of fewer projected turnovers, much better special teams, and the home field advantage.

Mr. IWS
09-30-2008, 07:04 PM
PPP

2% Florida Atlantic

Mr. IWS
09-30-2008, 07:04 PM
Scott Spreitzer

5* Florida Atlantic

Mr. IWS
09-30-2008, 07:14 PM
Ben Burns

Atlantic +3.0 vs Middle Tenn. St.

This is a very big game for both programs. For starters, it's a rare chance to play on National TV. Additionally, with identical 1-3 records, both teams desperately need a victory. One could argue that the Blue Raiders need the game more, as they are already 0-2 in conference play. However, I believe that the Owls need the game just as badly, as they are coming off back to back blowout losses and desperately need to right the ship. While the Blue Raiders have homefield advantage, I believe that the Owls are the stronger team. I also believe that the matchups on the field favor the Owls.

The Blue Raiders have had an effective passing attack through their first four games. However, their running attack has been non-existent. That should work in favor of the Owls as they've been poor against the run but decent against the pass. The Blue Raiders have proven to be vulnerable against the pass, getting torched by Arkansas State QB Corey Leonard in their last game. Leonard threw for 292 yards and three touchdowns, running for 74 more, which was the best game of his career. The suspect secondary should be just the ticket for FAU QB QB Rusty Smith, the reigning Sun Belt Conference player of the year. The Owls have also gotten soldi production from running back Charles Pierre, who leads the team with 268 yards on 41 carries with two rushing touchdowns

While it's true that the Blue Raiders have been more competitive in their games, two of those were against conference opponents. The Owls, who were the preseason favorites to win the Sun Belt after earning a share of the title and the league's automatic bid to the New Orleans Bowl last season, have played three road games against teams from the Big 10 and Big 12. That included the likes of Texas and Michigan State. Just because they weren't able to win road games against the 'big boys' doesn't mean that they won't be able to play well against the weaker teams from the Sun Belt. Keep in mind that the Owls won their lone game against a team from a non-BCS school by double-digits.

I expect the Owls to benefit from the tough non-conference road schedule. As coach Schnellenberger said earlier in the week: "We look forward to getting in conference play. We need to have a good week of practice to refocus and we need improvement from all three phases of the football team...I'm confident that's going to happen."

On the other hand, Middle Tennessee coach Rick Stockstill admitted he would have preferred more non-conference games, saying: "I think with such a young team, you just wish you had more non-conference games early in the year. And I say that because you'd just like to have more of a chance to get their feet wet with such a young football team." The Owls won last year's meeting by a score of 27-14. The game wasn't even that close as the Owls led 24-0 in the fourth quarter and finished the game with a 411-217 edge in total yards, including a massive 216-18 edge on the ground. One of Middle Tennesee State's two scores was one on blocked punt for a touchdown. The Owls brought back a whopping 18 return starters from that team while the Blue Raiders only brought back 12, making them the youngest team in the Sun Belt. Lastly, in the event that this proves to be a close game, it should be noted that Middle Tennessee freshman kicker Alan Gendreau missed his only field-goal attempt against Arkansas State and that he's just 2-of-5 for the season. I'll gladly grab the points but am expecting an upset. *Main Event