10-6-08

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lang

MONDAY

15 Dime - Saints

FREE - OVER Saints/Vikings

[Mr. IWS]

DR BOB

NEW ORLEANS (-3.0) 27 Minnesota 23
05:30 PM Pacific Time Monday, Oct-06 - Stats Matchup
Drew Brees is playing at an incredible level, as he’s averaged 8.8 yards per pass play against a schedule of teams that would combine to allow just 5.7 yppp to an average quarterback. It may be tough for Brees to maintain that high level of play, but he should post good numbers against a Vikings’ defense that is once again very good defending the run (3.1 ypr allowed) but every mediocre against the pass (6.2 yppp allowed to teams that would combine to average 6.2 yppp against an average defense). Minnesota’s offense has been better since Gus Frerotte was inserted at quarterback in week 3, as the Vikings have averaged 5.0 yards per play the last two games against good defensive teams Carolina and Tennessee, who would combine to allow just 4.6 yppl to an average team. I expect Adrian Peterson to have a big game running against a soft Saints’ defensive front that’s allowed 5.4 ypr this season (to teams that would average 4.5 ypr against an average defensive team). New Orleans has been average in pass defense, but Frerotte has been better than average in his two games, throwing for 5.8 yppp against teams that would allow just 5.2 yppp to an average quarterback. My math model favors New Orleans by 6 points and the Saints apply to a very good 61-21-2 ATS Monday night situation. Minnesota, however, applies to a 55-16-2 ATS statistical match-up indicator and a 56-16-5 ATS game 5 angle. Tough call here, but I’ll lean slightly with New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

Big Al Mcmordie

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox (MLB)
Play: Money Line: 109 Tampa Bay Rays

At 5:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Chicago White Sox. Game 4 for the Rays will rest squarely on the shoulders of 25-year-old righthanded starter Andy Sonnanstine. Although this is Sonnanstine's first ever postseason appearance, the youngster has shown great poise throughout the regular season, so don't expect him to go out there and act like a nervous kid. Another thing that should help boost Sonnanstine's confidence is his previous performances vs. the White Sox. In four lifetime starts vs. the southsiders, Sonnanstine is 1-0 with a 2.96 ERA. As much as the Rays would like to win this series in front of their home crowd back in St. Pete, they have more important things to worry about and would relish the time off that would come by winning this game, especially considering the long games that their rival Red Sox are involved in with the Angels. A few days of rest would allow Tampa to return home, relax a bit, and reload for either of those worthy opponents. So look for them to put the nail in Chicago's coffin this afternoon. Take the Rays.

[Mr. IWS]

Burns

WhiteSox

Vikings UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Al

Vikings
Tampa bay OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Root
Millionaire = Minny +3

[Mr. IWS]

Wayne Allyn Root tonite...

Chairman- Angels

[Mr. IWS]

PRIVATE PLAYERS (PPP)
2 minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Spreitzer
Over Vikings