10-6-08

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

(979) TB Rays
(980) CHW White Sox
Take "Over"
Game 4: Play the Rays/White Sox over the total. The White Sox beat Tampa Bay 5-3 Sunday, to stay alive in the series. "At least we play tomorrow," White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen said. "Like I say, we played against the wall before and came out of it." Tampa Bay goes with their No. 5 starter here in Andy Sonnanstine, a guy who was 6-5 with a 4.35 ERA on the road. The White Sox are very familiar with him, as they hit .272 off Sonnanstine in 21 innings this season. Chicago is a good offensive park and both teams used quality relievers yesterday. Chicago is 7-0 over the total the last 7 start made by starter Gavin Floyd. A good spot for a high scoring tilt. Play the Rays/White Sox Game 4 over the total.

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

(981) LA Angels
(982) BOS Red Sox
Take "(981) LA Angels"
The Angels finally beat the Red Sox in a playoff game Sunday night and that means they're basically in on a free pass tonight for Game Four. Boston certainly has the capability of ending this right here but the Halos will now have some legit confidence that they can send this back to Anaheim for a fifth game. I think the Angels would be worth a play tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay 20*: Vikings

ER Sports Playmaker: Vikings

[Mr. IWS]

nsa 20 minn+3

[Mr. IWS]

3Daily Winners

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox (MLB)
Play: Money Line: -129 Chicago White Sox

The Chicago White Sox are proving to be as crafty as any street cat you see find walking around. For the third time in a week, Chicago staved off elimination, beating Tampa Bay 5-3, to trail the Rays 2-1 in the ALDS. The White Sox could care less how many lives they use up, as long as it leads to another World Series, who cares. The White Sox are 23-8 against the money line in home games after having lost two of their last three games this season. They will start Gavin Floyd (17-8, 3.84 ERA) who helped keep the season alive last Monday defeating Detroit 8-2 to help Chicago tie Minnesota for the Central Division lead at the conclusion of 162 games. Floyd and the Sox are 14-3 at U.S. Cellular Field this season. With Chicago having the fourth best home record in baseball, backing the Pale Hose to send it to a fifth and deciding game.

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian Baseball:
50* White Soxs and Over
30* Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Raymond
1 2008-10-06 RON RAYMOND'S MNF FOOTBALL WINNER!
Pick # 1 Minnesota Vikings (3.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

I am passing on the Card Today, but I do have my Research Posted for Both ballgames today. Hopefully you find it useful and it helps you make better wagers. gl.

Vikings vs. New Orleans

Any time there is 70% + of the public on a team, it is reason to be wary. But, Vegas is not getting off this line. So, the question begs, why is this line so low? Well, one reason could be that Colston is still out. The other reason is that Ferrotte is now listed for probable for this game and given his presences, this Vikings team is solid. Remember, the line opened up at 46 and the total has gone up and the line opened up at -4 for the Saints and has actually come down. In fact, in some off-shore books, the line opened up at 45.5 and has gone up. Of course, the line could have gone up because over 65% of the public is on the over as well. So, the biggest burial would happen in this game if the game goes under and the Vikings. The Vikings come off a tough loss on the road to the Titans and they look to bounce-back here. Let's just put it this way, I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go for the Vikings with Ferrotte - with Tavaris Jackson, it will go the Saints. But, I like the Ferrotte a decent amount and remember the Titans are solid so that loss shouldn't look as bad as the score displays for the Vikings. As per me, no lean one way or the other, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a Vikings win here. I'm just staying away from the massive public favorite. Although, typically such a short line does indicate that a over is likely to take place.

[Mr. IWS]

seabass

50* viks +3

[Mr. IWS]

Matty O'Shea | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
981 ANA (+130) SportBet vs 982 BOS

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe:

Major League Baseball
Redsox -140 over Angels
Lester/Lackey

[Mr. IWS]

VINCENT PIOLI's NFL Monday Night Game of the Year

20* minnesota +3

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

20* Vikings
10* min/no under

10* cws
10* tb/cws under

[Mr. IWS]

ProCappersNetwork


Minnesota +3 1/2 -1.10 (3 Unit Play)

Minnesota/New Orleans Under 46 1/2 +1.04 (4 Unit Play)-Okay, this is going to be a longer writeup than I normally provide but I think it is very important to view every aspect of this game tonight in order to find the winners. Let's start with the New Orleans Saints as they are 2-2 on the year and have put up so far this year 111 points on the year. They stand right now at 3-1 ATS and have went Over the total at a clip of 3-0-1 so the total for tonight's game is set high for a reason. The Saints have been very impressive through the air so far throwing for over 300 yards in three out of four games this year but according to tonight's injury report they will be without Marquez Colston(he has already been out I know), David Patten and Jeremy Shockey. These players equal 26.17% of the receptions made by the Saints so far this year and Shockey may be the biggest loss due to the fact that he opens the field up for the other WR's. Last year when Colston went out the Saints had big problems stretching the field for Devery Henderson and I really believe that due to the increased pass rush by the Vikings tonight they will have to dump the ball more to Reggie Bush and play a shorter passing game than they want to. The Vikings defense has been very solid against the run all year just like last year but the passing defense has been suspect but due to the injuries that the Saints have right now they may not be able to fully utilize that weakness that Minnesota has shown so far this year.

Meanwhile the Vikings are still fighting despite a 1-3 start and they are still relying heavily on their ground game as they have rushed for 566 yards on the ground so far this year while allowing Gus Frerotte to work into the offense. The Vikings are also plagued with key injuries on the offensive side of the ball as though these players are likely to play this evening in Kleinsasser, Berrian & Rice who have accounted so far for 16 receptions which equals 22.22% of their catches on the year they are likely to be hampered somewhat by those injuries. The other thing that is important to note here though is that Ellis for New Orleans who plays DT is out for this evening and he has accounted for 15 tackles so far this year and even with Ellis in there the Saints struggled to stop the run and I think the Vikings will take advantage of that situation tonight.

The Saints should struggle to run the ball against the Vikings defensive front tonight and with their receiving corps in some trouble I don't think they will score as much as they usually do. Brees will likely need to hold on to the ball longer to find open WR's and that could lead to more sacks by the Vikings than they have had this season. On the other side of the ball I think Minnesota will be able to move the chains by keeping the ball on the ground and I really see the Vikings trying to limit mistakes this evening and that will mean lots of runs with Adrian Peterson and grounding down the clock. The Vikes do have starting LB EJ Henderson listed as doubtful but again due to the Saints injury situation they should be able to cover that up. In what should be a good game I will call for a Minnesota victory tonight by a score of 20-17.

I have not yet finalized my card in the MLB but I will have at least one selection on each game today and I went 4-0 yesterday so the MLB is still rolling along. Check out procappersnetwork.com today and purchase that $20 MLB Playoff package and you will not only get every selection through the World Series but I will include this week my hockey selections along with my football selections at no additional charge through next Monday! If you can find a better deal out there I would be very surprised!

Oscarxena Sports

[Mr. IWS]

JB's Computer Plays

Monday, October 6, 2008
Time Game Selections
5:05 p.m. Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago White Sox
(R) Andy Sonnanstine (0-0) vs. (R) Gavin Floyd (0-0) Chicago White Sox -125
8:35 p.m. Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
(R) John Lackey (0-1) vs. (L) Jon Lester (1-0) Boston Red Sox -140

[Mr. IWS]

ER Sports Playmaker:

Vikings

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

reg - Chi White Sox

[Mr. IWS]

ATS-4 New Orleans 4 white sox

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Vikings/Saints Under 46.5
Lets take it one team at a time starting with the Vikings. Minnesota has a pretty good run defense with the Williams boys in the middle and on offense Gus Frerotte is the kind of guy that can manage games, but doesn't have the ability to take over the game and light up the scoreboard when playing on the road. Minnesota wants to manage the clock keeping the Saints lethal offense off the field. Look for Peterson and Taylor to run the ball a lot tonight. New Orleans is going to without two of their top receivers tonight and the running game has yet to get going this year. Minnesota will make it hard to for the Saints to be balanced as their run defense is very good. Drew Brees is a great QB, but he stands under 6ft with a huge offensive line and a Minnesota defensive line that is just as big. Brees wont have a big target in Colston to throw the ball too and it makes a big difference when a QB cannot completely see over those trees on the line. Every MNF and Sunday Night game is going over the total with ease. This is a trend that wont continue long and this total is inflated because of how many games did go over the total. Look for a slower paced game then one would think. Take the Under.

College Football
No plays today.

Major League Baseball
Redsox -140 over Angels
Lester/Lackey

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin Kavitch Overall 16-11-1 headed into Monday night's play and Tops are 3-0-0. ATS picks are 14-7-1 67% and totals have disappointed at 2-4-0.

At the heart of this play, Minnesota is better than the public thinks and at 1-3 they'll be hungry and highly motivated. They beat & outgained a good Panthers team 2 weeks ago in Frerotte's 1st start and last week outgained but lost on the road to a strong Titans team. A -3 turnover margin was the difference. That game helps us here and their stock is down because the public just sees the final score and their season record. The Saints have a high powered offense but it will be very tough to run the ball tonight. The Minny pass D has been decent and while New Orleans has the edge in that matchup, the Vikings have the ability to minimize the damage. The big matchup tho is the Vikings offence vs the Saints D. The Saints run D has been horrible and the Vikings have a real chance to control the game there which also takes the ball out of the hands of Brees. Frerotte has played well and has 2 starts under his belt now. The Saints pass D is very beatable. New Orleans won a division game last week (49ers) to move to 2-2. I like the setup as we have the team with better fundamentals, stronger motivation, and matchup advantages catching points. As a bonus, the public is on New Orleans in a big way but the line hasn't moved. Another positive indicator for the Vikings. Take Minnesota +3 for a 5* Top Play.

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast mon nite

2 star,saints-3
marquee..over 46

[Mr. IWS]

EZ MNF GOY

10* Minnesota +3

[Mr. IWS]

ATS-4 New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

ATS FINANCIAL

3 units on under 46.5 mnf

[Mr. IWS]

kelso Monday FB Club
Chairman- 10 units Saints -3
Best Bets 3 units Vikes/Saints OVER 46.5

[Mr. IWS]

BOB AKMENS’ NFL REPORT FOR ACTION OF:
FOR MONDAY 10/6/08

NFL REPORT FOR TODAY’S ACTION:
#432 @835PM 10* NEW ORLEANS -3 vs Minnesota
10* NEW ORELANS / MINNESOTA OVER 46.5
END OF REPORT

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

Monday's Pick
10 Dime - Vikings

I really wanted to take New Orleans tonight; tried to convince myself the Saints could win and cover this game. But everytime I was ready to pull the trigger, I kept thinking about their sieve-like defense (25 ppg yield) and numerous injuries.

Another factor: This game is important for both teams obviously, but it's really a do-or-die game for the 1-3 Vikings and their head coach Brad Childress. Win tonight and they're one game behind the division-leading 3-2 Bears, tied for second place with Green Bay. They could easily get back to .500 with a home game against Detroit next week before meeting the Bears in Chicago two weeks from now with first place at stake.

You know all about Minnesota's quarterback issues; no need to discuss them further. But this team's bigger problem has been Adrian Peterson's hamstring injury suffered in the season's second game against the Colts. In two games since against Carolina (home win) and Tennessee (road loss), the centerpiece of the Vikings offense has carried the ball a total of just 35 times. However, he now says he's back to 90-95% health and that's crucial for his team's success since Minnesota was 7-1 in games they had 30 rushing attempts last season and 1-7 when it didn't. In fact, the Vikings were 4-0 when running the ball at least 39 times in a game last year and 2-0 when they ran it at least 43 times.

A healthy Peterson combined with a dash of Chester Taylor is the key against a New Orleans defense allowing opposing backs to average 5.2 ypc through four games. And while the Saints defense suffered another blow with the loss of defensive tackle Sedric Ellis, their No. 1 pick, Minnesota starting left tackle Bryant McKinnie is returning from a league-imposed four-game suspension to share time at his position with Artis Hicks and that makes the Vikings offensive line even better.

Ellis's injury is just the latest in a long line for New Orleans this season as the offense is similarly crippled by the absence of receiver Marques Colston and tight end Jeremy Shocker. And although Deuce Mcallister had his best game since his return from last season's knee injury last week versus San Francisco, tonight he will be charging into a Minnesota defense that is bigger and better at stopping the run than the 49ers.

Neither one of these teams have been tremendous Monday night performers in the past, but as I said previously, this is a do-or-die game for the Vikings and expect them to return to the ball control style that resulted in their ground game being the league's most productive a year ago. And a strong rushing attack will eat time off the clock and keep Brees off the field longer.

New Orleans is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in its last eight Monday night home outings and 5-11 versus the oddsmakers in its last 16 games when cast as a home favorite. This will be a close game, but I wouldn't be surprised to see the Vikings not only cover but win the game outright.

Taking a look at the line.... As I post this play on Sunday night, I see Minnesota at +3 almost everywhere in Vegas and offshore. No reason you shouldn't be getting at least a field goal. If by chance your book has 2 1/2, you should buy the extra 1/2 point back to +3 to insure you at least push should Minnesota lose by a field goal.
Now, do you buy up the 1/2 point from 3 to 3 1/2 to insure Minnesota wins you money even if it loses by a field goal on the field? Well, we're always trying to push the odds a little more in our favor. Thus buying the 1/2 point up to 3 1/2 is the wise investment move as well.

With that being said, don't for a minute think that I don't realize that I'm asking you to spend additional funds - over and above the purchase of this selection - to essentially buy insurance on this pick. Myself, to be honest, I feel that the breaks always even out over the course of the year and in such situations it's a 50-50 proposition. Obviously there are no guarantees in gambling, but again, when you have the chance to hedge the odds in your favor for a small cost, it's worth the investment when the number is sitting on or around 3.

One more thing.... As I noted on Saturday when releasing Denver early, don't ever discount the importance of price shopping by having numerous accounts and sources to play through. The same goes in Vegas where you're within walking distance or a short cab ride to from a 20+ sportsbooks waiting to take your action.

Fact of life is that some books always are priced higher for favorites. A pain when you're betting chalks, but great news if you're betting the dogs, right? Knowing where to play and when is often the difference between winning and losing. And in tonight's case, if you see the 3 1/2 out there - and there are a few - you take the extra hook for free if you know what I mean since we're on the dog tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies

500* Vikings / Saints Over 46½
30* Vikings+3
20* White Sox-125.
20*Tampa Bay / White Sox Under 8½ runs
10* Angels / Boston Under listed total
Angles free play

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June

Vikings

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS RUNNER


NOS/UND 7pt teaser

NOS/MN UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass 100* Insider Vegas Steam

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

100* Minnesota/New Orleans under the total.

[Mr. IWS]

JB Sports
(3*)New Orleans Saints

[Mr. IWS]

Ats 7* New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

VR ADDED


vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet

982 BOS (-140) Bodog vs 981 ANA

Analysis:

*** MLB 3* AL GAME OF THE WEEK*** (Lester vs Lackey)