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Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 11:28 AM
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Tue, 10/07/08 - 8:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | CFB Total
double-dime bet102 Fla. Atlantic / 101 Troy Under 51.5 Bodog
Analysis: UNDER in Florida Atlantic ? The last time these teams met it was December 1st of last year and the Owls knocked off the Trojans at Troy. That win stole the Sun Belt Title from Troy and that occurred in the Trojans last home game of the season. Needless to say both teams remember that game and the intensity will certainly be up for both teams. The Trojans have revenge on their minds and the Owls are looking to come up with a strong performance at home with the ESPN2 cameras rolling. As a direct result of the intensity being up for this game we should see some solid defense here. Note that Florida Atlantic returned 18 starters for this season and eight of those were on defense. As for Troy, they returned 14 starters this season and seven of those were on defense. Don?t be fooled by some of the big points these teams have given up this season as they?ve faced some very tough competition in games where they were overmatched. Florida Atlantic faced Minnesota and Michigan State from the Big Ten plus Texas from the Big Twelve. They did hold Michigan State to just 17 points. Also, they defeated UAB by 15 in their game against the Blazers and they held Middle Tennessee State to just 14 points. That game was last Tuesday and the Owls were actually up 13-7 when the Blue Raiders scored a TD on the final play of the game. As you would imagine, the Florida Atlantic defense is fired up after seeing last week?s game slip away in the final seconds! Troy allowed 55 points to Oklahoma State in their most recent game but they of course are not in the same class as the Cowboys! Prior to that loss the Trojans allowed an average of just 15 points per game in their first three games of the season even though one of those games came at Ohio State. Give the Trojan defense some respect and note that they will be fired up after having the Sunbelt title taken away from them in last season?s season finale loss to the Owls. Last season?s game between these teams totaled 70 points and that is giving us some line value with the under tonight. Note that the Owls and Trojans met each of the three seasons prior to last season. Those three games averaged a total of just 38 points per game. That?s what you would expect from this SBC rivalry and it looks like another under tonight in Boca Raton, Florida. UNDER!

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 11:29 AM
Jeff Bonds | CFB Side
double-dime bet101 Troy -3.5 (-110) BetUS vs 102 Fla. Atlantic
Analysis:
Talk about a HUGE REVENGE spot that the Troy State Trojans have been waiting for since the Owls dropped them and ended their chances to repeat as Sun Belt Conference champions. That was the first time FAU has beaten Troy State and that winning streak certainly ends tonight.



Troy State is already 1-0 in conference play after handing MTSU a 31-17 loss and FAU will find it hard to match the Trojans intensity after a deflating 14-13 loss on a hail mary last week.



The Trojans strength is running the football, as they've produced a 4-0 ATS record the last two years in conference play when outrushing conference opponents on the road.



Florida Atlantic has scored just two touchdowns in its last 12 quarters and will find it tough against a Troy team that's focused on one single thing - winning the conference title: ?The number one goal is to win our conference ? period. It?s got nothing to do with anything else. Win our conference, and whatever falls under that umbrella, that?s our number one goal, win the league.?

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 02:14 PM
NSA
CFB Troy @ Florida Atlantic 8:00 PM EST 20* Troy -3.5
CFB Troy @ Florida Atlantic 8:00 PM EST 10* UNDER 51.5

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 03:21 PM
Bob Balfe:

FAU +3.5 over Troy
FAU has yet to get their offense going this season and are coming off a tough last second loss to MTSU last week. This is a must win for FAU, but if Troy is looking to knock them off. Last year FAU spoiled Troys bowl bid when the won at Troy. FAU won the Sun Belt and this season has 10 returning starters on offense and 8 of defense. FAU will be just fine on offense. This team had a tough non conference schedule and at home will start to click again. FAU will also get their center Nick Paris back tonight which will allow the rest of the line to return to their natural position. Troy lost their QB and their top 3 receivers from last year. On defense they lost Elbert Mack and the #11 pick in the NFL Draft Leodis Mckelvin. You know when a Troy player gets drafted that high he is a special player. They will miss him dearly this season. This Troy team is young and their offensive coordinator Neal Brown is only 27 years old. What a great accomplishment for such a young guy, but when we put it into perspective Troy should struggle tonight on the road against a FAU team hungry after a last second loss. Take Florida Atlantic

10-07-2008, 04:06 PM
TROY
Jeff Bonds
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Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 04:42 PM
indiancowboy - PASSING

Tuesday College Football

Troy vs. Florida Atlantic

I would have had this research done much sooner but I wanted to wait and see if there will be any line movement in this game. The line opened up at -3.5 for Troy and has remained rock steady. The line opened up at 50 and has remained steady for the most part going up 1 point. Over 63% of the public is on Troy here and the line has yet to move. You know this reminds me of the Memphis UAB game. I wouldn't be surprised if Troy wins by 3 and Florida Atlantic ends up covering by a half a point. Troy does have revenge on the road here as Florida Atlantic won last year 38-32. In fact, Florida Atlantic won outright as a 15 point dog on the road. Oklahoma State just beat Troy by 31 points so Troy is coming off an ugly loss. Troy did beat Middle Tennessee State comfortably as a 6 point favorite. Florida Atlantic has actually covered 3 of their last 4 ballgames. They barely lost to Middle Tennessee State by a point on the road by a point. Look, the bottom line is I hate picking a side here b/c Troy is the public favorite, but they are the better team with the revenge. In the same token, the public slightly favors the over and with having a home dog on a weekday football game, it typically means the over. But, this is a conference game and it can go under. The last 3 times these 2 teams have met the games have steadily gone over. So, my lean here is the over, but it is a conference game so I am staying away. There is always the weekend with full of action and especially the Wednesday night through Friday night games are far more appealing. gl.

Comp Selection: 7 of 8 Comp Winners (4 in a Row) - Yesterday: Miami Outright over Chargers.

None. I'm Passing today. thanks.

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 04:42 PM
Alex Smart

FAU +3.5

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 04:42 PM
LT Profits

TROY -3.5

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 05:50 PM
northcoast tuesday nite marquee // FLOR ATLANTIC +4-

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 05:50 PM
triple threat sports 777

57% on year posted plays.

NBA Preseason: Memphis Grizz +8

YES it has started again!!

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 06:29 PM
seabass

50* troy

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 06:41 PM
Troy/Florida Atlantic Over 52 1/2 -1.10 (3 Unit Play)

Florida Atlantic +4 1/2 -1.10 (3 Unit Play)

Best of luck to everyone tonight and I will be back on Thursday with more winning selections. Enjoy the game and I hope everyone has a great evening.

Oscarxena Sports

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 06:41 PM
ATS FINANCIAL

3 units Troy St. / Fla Atlantic Over 51

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 06:41 PM
Teddy June

Troy 10*

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 06:42 PM
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, October 07, 2008

500K SUN BELT CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
101 Troy -3.5 8:00 EST

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 07:23 PM
ATS Lock club College FB 10/7

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3 units Florida Atlantic +3.5

Mr. IWS
10-07-2008, 07:23 PM
Kelso College FB 10/7

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5 units Troy -3.5