10-9-08

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

20* Clemson
10* clm/wf over
10* Uab

10* Dodgers
10* lad/phi over

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

(901) LA Dodgers
(902) PHI Phillies
Take "Over"
The Dodgers have peaked at the right time and they swept right through the Cubs to the NLCS. The addition of Casey Blake and Manny Ramirez has been the catalyst to a stagnant Dodgers' offense. Manny has more post season home runs than anyone and they continued against the Cubs. But most unexpected has been the return of Rafael Furcal, who missed 122 games with a back injury. He has been the spark plug who has led the Dodgers top of the lineup and his return could be the final piece to the puzzle. Both Lowe and Hamels have been very good this year, but with these lineups and power for both clubs we look for an offensive series. The Cubs had some of the best starters in the league this year and they couldn't keep the Dodgers bats down - so we don't see the Phillies fairing much better. Both teams will get their runs here, take the OVER in game one!

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

(105) UAB
(106) Houston
Take "(106) Houston"
Houston is only 2-3 through their first five games, but they're better than their record shows. They gave Oklahoma State a decent battle before getting run over. Their loss to Air Force was easy to forgive due to the distractions of the hurricane and the same holds true for their follow up effort against Colorado State. I thought the Cougars showed what they're made of in an impressive upset of East Carolina. Now Houston plays with extra rest against a weak UAB entry that's really pathetic defensively. Look for Houston to roll in this game, and I believe laying the points is the way to play

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Bonds | CFB Side
triple-dime bet103 Clemson 3.0 (-120) Bodog vs 104 Wake Forest
Analysis:
The Clemson Tigers rarely find themselves as underdogs in regular season games against current ACC competition - but when they do - WATCH OUT.



Clemson is a PERFECT 9-0 ATS in their last nine games in this situation - winning seven of those games SU! The Tigers blew an 11-point lead over a good Maryland team (Leave their Virgiina loss out) and have now had a week to sit around and get focused on the task at hand: Not losing a second ACC game in as many weeks.



Head coach Tommy Bowden is 5-2 in his career against Jim Grobe of Wake Forest and Clemson is the ONLY TEAM to defeat the Deacons the past two years. Why's that of significant? Mainly all of Clemson's players have been a part of the past two victories - including their entire backfield and QB.



Clemson hasn't been an underdog in at least the past 10 meetings and have won 11 of the last 14 meetings.



The Tigers have a balanced attack - but a HUGE MISMATCH presents itself on the ground, as Wake Forest ranks 114th in that nation.



Wake QB Riley Skinner will find it tough to bounce back from a five turnover performance (3 INTs) against a Clemson secondary that's 8th in the country with eight interceptions.



Don't worry about the negative talk around the nation about Clemson's QB. Cullen Harper is actually averaging more yards per pass attempt (7.49) than he did last year (6.93). He's also completing passes at a higher percentage.



Finally a very interest angle: Ranked teams at home that are favorites of a TD or less are 0-6 ATS this year - failing to cover by more than 9 points! The spread opened at a PK and has moved to -2.5/3.....I don't think so - take the points!

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole | CFB Side
double-dime bet103 Clemson 3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 104 Wake Forest
Analysis: 2** Best Bet on: CLEMSON TIGERS plus the points vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons / 7:30pm ET / ESPN TV
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

Both ACC teams come into Thursday night game on a 2-week "STEAM". They each took last week off after dropping games as a FAVORITE two weeks ago. As a result, we have plenty of dynamite ATS ammo that indicates the DOG (Clemson) is the play. As of Wednesday night, the line in this game was Wake Forest -2.5 points. An interesting side note so far in 2008 is this: Home favorites of -2.5 points EXACTLY are 1-6 ATS so far this season. So if the line at KICKOFF is exactly -2.5 (at most sportsbooks), we'll be backed up by a 86% System.

First, let's run through the UPSET losses that both teams come in off.
0-10 ATS since 1995 for ALL Conference favorites of 9 < points off a SU loss as a favorite of -16 > points. Wake Forest was a fav of -17 in their upset loss to Navy, so they indeed qualify in this rare System.

24-9 ATS since 1999 for ALL Conference road underdogs of 13 < points off a SU conference loss in which they were a home fav of -10 or more. If our doggie scored 17 or less points in that upset loss, the results improve to 10-1 ATS. Clemson lost to Maryland 20-17 as a fav of -11 pts two weeks ago. So we have another qualifier. We also note that these conference dogs tend to score (and allow) a lot of points, as the "OVER" is 9-1-1 O/U in this spot.

When Navy burst Wake's bubble two weeks ago, it was the first loss of the season for the Demon Deacons.
0-6 ATS since 2000 for ALL Conference home favorites in Game 5 or greater who lost their first game of the season as a FAVORITE.

Based on the fact that BOTH teams are coming in off a week of REST, that leads to some interesting queries as well.
5-18 ATS since 1990 for ALL Conference home favs playing with REST and a SU loss (Wake Forest)... vs any opponent also playing with REST and a SU loss (CLEMSON). Conference favs of LESS than (<) 10 points are a PERFECT 0-11 ATS in this situation.

Clemson is an OUTSTANDING underdog in the ACC. In the last 5 season, the Tigers are a PERFECT 5-0 ATS as a conference road underdog. On the other hand, Wake Forest is a LOUSY favorite against pissed-off opponents. The Demon Deacons are 5-16 ATS since 1980 as conference home favs against an opp off a SUATS loss. Within this 5-16 ATS set, we note that Wake is a PERFECT 0-3 ATS if they are off a SUATS loss of their own (and they are).

We'll also enjoy a very 'HIGH'-scoring series history when we play a little bit on the OVER. We have the benefit on Thursday of a very nice low OU line.... based on previous matchups. The current line of 43.5 is 6 points LESS than the averages. In the last 7 years, the average OU line in the Wake/Clemson series is 49.4. And the average combined points scored is 56.5. That's more than a TD (+7.4) in OU line value based on the history of this series. When you factor in Thursday's (relatively) low OU line, one can see the obvious value (up to 13 points).

Final score:
CLEMSON 30
WAKE FOREST 20

[Mr. IWS]

JB's Computer Plays

Thursday, October 9, 2008
Time Game Selections

8:15 p.m. LA Dodgers (87-78) at Philadelphia (95-71)


Philadelphia Phillies - 130

[Mr. IWS]

Matty O'Shea | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
902 PHI / 901 LAD Under 7.5 BetUS

DCI Pro Hockey

Season: 3-1 (.750)

DETROIT 4, Toronto 2
COLORADO 3, Boston 2
VANCOUVER 3, Calgary 2
Anaheim vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NHL Money Line
double-dime bet4 COL (-134)Bodog vs 3 BOS
Analysis:
Colorado ? The Avalanche were expected to exhibit more of a wide open style with the return of head coach Tony Granato. However, while the offense should be impressive, especially with ?all hands on deck? and healthy, the defense looks like it could also impress this season. With a top six featuring Adam Foote, Brett Clark, Jordan Leopold, Scott Hannan, John Michael-Liles, and Ruslan Salei, the Avs defense should enjoy success in shutting down a Bruins offense that is the club?s Achilles heel. Boston just can?t seem to score enough goals to enjoy success. Yes, Patrice Bergeron is back but don?t underestimate the loss of center Glen Metropolit as he?s the kind of gritty forward that makes things happen in the offensive zone. Also, Bergeron and goalie Manny Fernandez are both back and healthy for this season but it could take awhile for Bergeron to return to form and the question regarding Fernandez is how his return will impact the play of Tim Thomas who was solid during the time Fernandez was out. Now with Fernandez coming back for this season, could this get into the head of Thomas? As for the Avs, they bring a lot of firepower to the ice as usual and with Granato back we expect some solid offensive performances for this club as that will be his emphasis. Keep in mind that part of last season?s struggles for Colorado had to do with injury issues and being, for the most part, healthy coming into the season is a step in the right direction for this club. The injuries last season forced this Avs team to play under it?s potential. That is offering some line value to the Avalanche in this spot because, on home ice, and facing a weaker Eastern foe, the Avs should roll at home in this one! Colorado was 27-12-2 at the Pepsi Center last season while the Bruins won just 21 of their 41 road games last season. Also, the Avalanche did get off to a quick start last season as they went 7-4 in October. With Granato, 72-44-17 in his career, back coaching the Avs we see renewed enthusiasm with this club and that spills onto the ice right away in their home opener. The Avs in a home rout!

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

Double-Dime Bet

Clemson +2.5 vs Wake Forest
Play On: Clemson

The Tigers take on the Deacon Demons in a key ACC clash Thursday night in Winston-Salem. With both teams entering off a loss, this game becomes pivitol to post-season positioning. More so for Clemson, who has suffered a pair of upset losses this year. With that we note Tiger head coach Tommy Bowden is 19-11 ATS as a conference dog in his head coaching career, including 9-0 in his last nine tries. Better yet, when Bowden is a dog of 5 or less points in a conference game he is 13-2 ATS, including 5-0 SU and ATS when playing off a loss. With Wake Forest 1-12 ATS as a favorite in the 2nd of back-to-back home games, look for Bowden to improve on his numbers here this evening. Grab the points with the Tigers.

[Mr. IWS]

Dave M@linsky

5* Dodgers Series

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

3* LA Dodgers

3* Over 66.5 UAB

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | CFB Side
double-dime bet103 Clemson 2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 104 Wake Forest
Analysis: NCAAB: Clemson Tigers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Clemson +2.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 UNIT "Destroyer"
Game Date: 10/9/2008
Note: This game was supposed to be a Big Game for both of these two teams winning the ACC's Atlantic Division. That may still be the case when it is all said and done, but the fact is, both squads have struggled this year and both most recently. We no know that the Tigers loss to Alabama was not as bad as first expected but losing at home to Maryland is a bad spot on their record. Wake's home setback to Navy was a shocker by anyone's imagination. So what gives in this game? I am sure that both squads have been hearing it from their coaching staffs over the last 10 days. They both will be ready to play. The Tigers have more to play with though and the key to this game is the Tigers to ability to run the ball, Wake's inability to stop it. Conversely, Wake has not shown us much via the run game, and Clemson has not allowed their opponents much leeway in this department. We saw some of that last year with Clemson having their way with the Deacons in a 44-10 romp. That game saw Wake manage just 2.2 yards per carry and they did try to make it work 37 times for just 87 yards. The Clemson D matches up very well with Wake. They are bigger but they also are just as quick as the Wake's offense is. It would not surprise me to see the Demon Deacons come up strong on D to open this game and we could easily see a low scoring affair because of that. But over 60 minutes of play, our team has the much better chance of wearing down their opponent, and I do think that is exactly what we will see. The Tigers have been a very good Dog Proposition under Bowden, and this one should be no different than the past.

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

MLB:
2 units on Philadelphia Under 7.5

NCAA:
3 Units on UAB +18.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

College Football
Wake Forest -2.5 over Clemson
Both teams are coming off of shocking losses at home two weeks ago. Clemson lost to Maryland and Wake lost to Navy. Wake Forest was not sharp turning the ball over six times. Wake Forest does lead the nation in takeaways which is a huge stat to have under you belt playing at home. This is Clemsons first road game of the season other than the neutral site game against Alabama in which they were hammered. Clemson has a real tough time performing in the spotlight and I expect that trend to continue tonight. The Wake Forest home crowd will be in a "black out" and the stadium should be rocking. Kicker Sam Swank is questionable for the Deacons. This is big because he is one of the nations best kickers. If he does not play they do have a decent backup who needs to get game experience anyway for when Swank goes to the NFL. Wake might actually end up going to short yardage 4th downs turning a potential 3pts into 7. Wake has an excellent defense and should slow down James and Spiller. This game is also double revenge for a lot of the Wake veteran players who have lost the last two years to Clemson. Take Wake as the home favorite.

Major League Baseball
Phillies -130 over Dodgers
Hamels/Lowe

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Football Regular Play 50 Star On Clemson Plus The Points. Seabass Vegas Steam 100 Star On Under Wake/Clemson.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units). Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia -134 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.2)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 7.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Cole Hamels gets the ball for the Phillies here while Derek Lowe gets the assignment for the Dodgers. Both of these pitchers had fast finishes to the regular season, and have been pitching well. The Phillies and Dodgers have played to a 4-4 mark this season, but what looks like even is really not. The Dodgers were swept clean in Philly, four straight, and not a single one of the games was even competitive. The Phillies slugged and pitched their way to a 27-5 advantage, out-scoring the Dodgers 6.8-1.3. That has been one of the Dodgers problems all season long. They have the worst road record of any team left in the post-season. The Phillies have been a super team down the stretch at home as they are 20-6 in their last 26 played here. They are 27-10 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Under Torre the Dodgers are just 4-13 on the road vs. AL East opponents. I like the Phillies here in game one, as well as the OVER. The last six times Lowe has started vs the Phillies the games have gone OVER. The Phillies have played 8-3 OVER vs a team with a losing road record. Finally, when either Hamels or Lowe have pitched this year in a Philles vs Dodger matchup, the average runs scored has been 10.7 per game. Take the home team and the OVER.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Marq.

Clemson
Over Hst

[Mr. IWS]

Tony Smith`s 100 VIP Release WAKE FOREST (-2) and Stu`s Thursday night card 40 DIME CLEMSON (+3) and in Baseball LA. DODGERS(Lowe) at PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES(Hamels) 20 DIME UNDER (7)

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

Maple Leafs / Red Wings UNDER 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Alex Smart

CLEMSON +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS FINANCIAL

3 units Houston
3 units Dodgers/Phillies under

[Mr. IWS]

Nite Owl Sports
Sport: College Football
Game: Clemson Tigers @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons - Thursday October 9, 2008 7:30 pm
Pick: 2 units MONEYLINE: Clemson Tigers +112



While we have other FB games this WE that we like better than this one (see below), we believe the best value at these "prices" is taking Clemson on the money line at +112, a much better deal than laying -110 (> a 20 cent difference in the odds) to get Tigers ATS with just 2.5 points.We will wait and see if point spread ever goes up to +3, in which case we will also take Clemson ATS, for two or 3 units, while if it stays at +2 or 2.5, we may "officially" take them ATS at that line for one unit, but in such event would recommend "buying up" to +3 if you can do so for -125 or less in "juice." We may also have one or two individual team totals picks on this game, but those lines have not yet been posted by the books that offer them.

Looking at this match-up and the performances of both teams to date, we are struck mostly by the huge edge Clemson has over Wake in the running game, as well as the projected rushing edge they should have in this game. For example, Clemson averaged 5.4 YPC in disappointing home loss two weeks ago to maryland (caused mostly by 3 Tiger turnovers), and 5.7 YPC in their non-covering 27-9 win earlier over a struggling NC State team. Contrast that to Wake's miserable rushing #s TY, not only averaging only about two YPC on offense, but on defense allowing good rushing offenses to control the ball and the clock by putting together long, time consuming sustained drives, which is what Navy did to Deacons LW in Winston-Salem, where Middies ran for nearly 300 yards and averaged 5 YPC, in upsetting Wake 24-17 as 11 point dogs, while Deacons were equally ineffective running (just 43 YR on 1.4 YPC and two lost fumbles) and passing, with 4 INTs by QB Riley Skinner. So even a "mentally challenged" HC like Clemson's Tommy Bowden should be able to figure out a run-oriented game plan complimented with lots of play action passes by accurate passer QB Harper, to monopolize the game clock and limit Wake's offensive possessions.

Clemson has been a bit hard to figure so far TY, as despite their under-achieving record both SU (1-2 vs Div I opponents) and ATS (0-3 in lined games), Clemson both runs and passes well, and why shouldn't they, with the return TY of not only QB Cullen Harper (who LY passed for nearly 3000 yards on 65% completions and a stellar 27/6 TD/INT ratio) but also top two RBs James Davis and CJ Spiller, who together rushed for > 1900 yards LY, with each averaging at least 5 YPC)? But Tigers just have not been "in sync" very often this season, with their season opening "dud" performance vs Alabama (which now does not look as bad as it did then) and surprising home upset loss to maryland, with those 3 TOs. But Tigers have had two weeks (bye week LW) since that maryland loss to figure things out and get back "on the same page," and based on LY's score and #s vs Wake, it's no 'stretch" to assume they will do exactly that tonite, as in that game they pounded the Deacons 44-10, and outrushed them 4.3 YPC to 2.2 YPC.

So how have these two combatants tonite done in their respective modes for this game (Clemson as a small road pup and Wake as a small home fave)? While Clemson had no opportunities LY as a road dog, they have gone 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU (only SU loss being by one point, at Ga Tech, in 2006) in the two prior seassons (2005 and 2006) as road dogs of 1-4 points, with the same HC and a similar team. And if you expand the point spread range to road games L3Y in which Tigers were either faves or dogs in this 1-4 point spread range, you get a larger sampling (9 games) in which they went 6-3 SU. Contrast to Wake, which has been a model of inconsistency L2+Y as a home fave, having gone 0-2 as same (but double digit faves) in 2006 (their "glory year" when they finished 11-3 and played in their only BCS bowl in school history), then went 3-0 LY as home faves of 1-6 points, with average MOV (margin of victory) of 18 points, but then regressed to 0-2 ATS TY (1-1 SU), with a two point squeaker over Ole Miss as 7 point faves and that dreadful upset loss to Navy discussed in detail above.

So based on the above, we suggest going with Clemson on the money line at this good "plus odds" price, and also taking them ATS, but only at +3 (if your line is +2.5 but you can "buy up" to +3 for -125 juice or less, we would recommend that).Once individual team totals lines are released, we will do an update for our subscribers, in which we will likely have at least one individual team totals play as part of our full betting attack strategy for this game.


While we like Clemson in this game both on the "plus money line" and ATS at +3, there are several FB games this WE (both CFB and NFL) that we like even better, such as our 5 unit Mountain West Round-Up Game of the Week on saturday. So we strongly recommend either our 7 day CFB/NFL combo pack for just $99, with ALL OF OUR FB PICKS through this WE and MNF, or our 7 day All Sports Pass for $129, which also includes our MLB Playoff picks. And speaking of MLB, we are already 4-1 on our playoff side picks TY, and were 10-1 for +23 units in LY's playoffs.

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

Game: Clemson at Wake Forest Oct 9 2008 7:45PM
Prediction: Wake Forest

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Wake Forest ? AiS shows a 73% probability that Wake Forest will win this game by 3 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-39 ATS for 66% since 2002. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is a good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Wake is in a solid role for this game noting that they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage of 60% to 75% over the last 3 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Wake Forest is also 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. HC Bowden has not displayed much resiliency when on an ATS losing streak. He is 10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of Clemson. Further, Clemson has a 3-2 mark with 3 of those wins coming against some of the worst teams in the country. They lost to Maryland and Alabama while defeating the Citadel, South Carolina State, and NC State. Wake has had a far more challenging schedule having defeated Mississippi ( who defeated Florida) Baylor, and won at Florida State. They got caught looking ahead to this game losing to Navy last week. Well, now there is NO look ahead and their focus is squarely on this important ACC conference game. Take Wake Forest.

[Mr. IWS]

2008-10-09 RON RAYMOND'S 5* PRIVATE PLAYERS PLAYS
Pick # 1 Boston Bruins / Colorado Avalanche Under 5.5 -130



RON RAYMOND'S 5* NLCS GAME 1 PICK
Pick # 1 Los Angeles Dodgers / Philadelphia Phillies Over 7.5 -110
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: INDIAN COWBOY

Wake Forest is the POD

3 units (Normal) ATS: UAB Blazers +18 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Marq.

Clemson
Over Hst

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Finer Thursday night card

40 DIME CLEMSON (+3) and

in Baseball LA. DODGERS(Lowe) at PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES(Hamels) 20 DIME UNDER (7)

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet902 PHI (-131)Sportsbetting.com vs 901 Dgr
Analysis:
**** NLCS 4* GAME of the MONTH ****

(Hamels vs Lowe)



*** Please Check Back on Thursday for Possible UPGRADE to 5* GOY Wager ***



Let me start off by saying that the "outfits" went ahead and bought up some Dodgers in Game 1...but the reason that don't concern me is because I spent more than my share of years making those very bets...and they are simply based on value gained by "public perception"...which is going to drop the number anyway...So we would try to beat them to it, since the majority of rec bettors wait until the final hour to wager...And just like so many times in the past, the result is a drop in the number, just like we are seeing for this one...But I wouldn't be surprised to see them come back the other way Thursday, especially if the public money continues to come in on the Dodgers for Both, the series and more importantly for this bet...in Game 1...

So we have covered what the market is doing...and how it is likely to react as we approach game-time...And like I stated, every book that I went by the past 2 night's all have said the same thing...The Dodgers are being bet as if they already won the series...

Well, that is just fine by me because it will only allow us to get more value throughout the series...So let's look at this Game 1 and why I believe this is an excellent spot for the Phils to come out and grab a 1-0 lead...

And as always, I will try to touch on those factors we are using which aren't the obvious, readily available stats that we will see over and over again throughout the series...



For starters...the Home Team has won every game between the 2 this season...and if we take a look at the Phils (50-33), it tells us that we could have laid up to -150 at home and come out ahead...and on the flip side, we see the Dodgers are only 38-45 on the road...

Next, we get to back Cole Hamils at home, at a price of -131...and probably even less tomorrow morning...Well let me tell you that the average price to back Hamels at home was "-190"...so that alone is at times enough, to grab the value and back the Phils...

But it's a lot more than that...true the Dodgers are definately a different team than the one we all saw throughout the season, especially before the Manny deal...but these 2 teams met in August, so we can use what we see to help us capp this match-up and series...

And what I really like is the fact that the Phils kept Manny extremely quiet, and he did absolutely nothing offensively...and if he struggles, I believe the confidence will start to dwindle...like we saw with the Rockies in last year's World Series...Another thing I like for Game 1, is the fact we all know Hamels beat the Dodgers at home 9-2...but more importantly, although the Phils lost 4-3 with him starting for them in LA...the bottom line is that he left the game in the 7th with the lead...and it was a rare blown save by the bull-pen which got LA the win...It had nothing to do with them having their way with Hamels...In fact, in 14inn against LA, Hamels only allowed 4er...

Finally, in Game 1 of a 7 Game Series in All Sports...the Home Team Wins 67% of the time...and 65% in the Semi's...which equates to a lay price of around -200...and we are being asked to lay much less in this one...Although in MLB, that number may drop to 58%, we are still getting very much the best of it at the price we are being asked to lay...

We will definately discuss many more details throughout the Series for both clubs...but for GAME 1, everything that I have worked on points to a PHILS WIN...and you all know that throughout the season, our success came from having the ability to prognosticate projected scoring based on starting pitching, bull-pens, offense, and defense...and for this game, the results show the PHILS winning by 0.78 of a run...which would result in an average line of -185...

So let's go ahead and make our FIRST 4* GAME OF THE MONTH Bet...on the PHILLIES to Win Game 1...VR





*** NLCS 3* SERIES BEST BET ***



1.) PHILLIES -105 (3*)



Rather than cover more stats and trends...I would like to use this opportunity to pass along some things that I have learned about SERIES BETS which have definately allowed me to Profit with them in the Past...I was fortunate enough to learn this from the older "sharps" out here who made so much of their profit from future bets, during a time when the books weren't as sophisticated or even accurate in pricing futures...and here is what I was told...

You only make a series wager based on the Price that is being offered for the Series...now that sounds pretty elementary...but what that means is that as soon as you make that Series Wager...you need to be the kind of bettor who could fold that ticket, put it away...and forget you ever made it until it's time to cash...or there is a nice opportunity to hedge...

The problem most bettors face is that they will follow their series bet, even if it's going down in flames...meaning they will continue to believe and hope that what they thought would happen...still will...even though it's obvious that it won't...

I have never had that problem and after 2 games if I believe that the Dodgers are going to win the series...I will jump ship and look to ride them to Profit...Because once again...the series bet is simply based on the price being offered compared to what our work says it should be...and in this situation...I would have had absolutely no problem at all laying up to -130 on the Phils in this series, even only because they are at home, with the edge they could gain by the smaller ball-park, if their bats start to get hot...

But like I said...we were able to see a lot more than just that while breaking this series down...and at the price they have set...there is only one way to bet this one...So let's go ahead and make the PHILLIES -105, our 3* BEST BET for the NLCS...and then put that ticket away and look to exploit the individual games...VR

[Mr. IWS]

VR NCAAF..

vegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet

106 Houston / 105 UAB Over 66.5 BetUS
Analysis: ** 2* TOTAL **

[Mr. IWS]

The hockey season has started although tonight's games will be the first held on the home ice rinks of the NHL teams. Here are my selections for this evening and I will continue to release my plays free of charge in the NHL through Sunday:

Boston +1.21 (3 Unit Play)

Calgary/Vancouver Under 5 +1.17 (3 Unit Play)

Those are my Thursday NHL Selections for tonight's action and I will be back tomorrow with more winning selections. Best of luck to everyone this evening and enjoy the games.

Oscarxena Sports

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies

500* UAB / Houston Over 66½
30* UAB +18
20* Clemson / Wake Forest Under 43½
20* Wake Forest -2½
10* Dodgers / Phillies Under 7½
Phillies -135 Free Play

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS

10* clemson
10* philadelphia phillies
10* philadelphia series

[Mr. IWS]

JORGE GONZALEZ
17-0 100% 25* NLCS Game of the Year

The last time the Dodgers and the Phillies hooked up in the playoffs was 25 years ago. That series with Tommy John pitching a complete game that saw the Dodgers win that night 4-1 and the Series. Each team has advanced last the NLCS once with Dodgers willing the World Series over the Athletics in 1988 and the Phillies lost to the Blue Jays in 1983. The Dodgers are coming off a three-game sweep of the Cubs and the Phillies knocked out the Brewers in a four games to advance. The Dodgers will be sending their playoff veteran Derek Lowe to the mound to take on Cole Hamels. Lowe has established himself as one of the best big-game pitchers in the game this time of the year. The Dodgers have Manny Rodriguez in the middle of the line-up and the players hitting in front of him and behind him have responded. Since arriving just before the trade deadline to play under the guidance of Manager Joe Torres, Manny is hitting .401, hitting 19 home runs and 56 RBIs. The Phillies know that pitching around Manny can end up being a disaster, ask the Cubs. Manny has 26 post-season home runs, a major league record. The Dodgers Lowe is 4-0 in his last six starts in the playoffs. Manny, Torre and Derek should be enough to get the Dodgers their much needed win in their first game against the Phillies. The Dodgers are 8-0 against teams with a winning record and are 5-0 after d ay off. The Dodgers have won their last four games against pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Take the Dodgers here as an underdog

[Mr. IWS]

DOC - BASEBALL

4 Unit Play. #902 Take Philadelphia over Los Angeles (8:20 pm Fox) That will be his undoing on Thursday as this game means more to Philadelphia and they will take a 1-0 lead in this best of seven series

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens Sports

Ph/Phillies/LA Dodgers Ov.7½
UAB +18½

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club Football 10/9
3 units Clemson +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso College FB 10/9

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10 units Clemson +2.5
5 units UAB +18

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June

10 clem/wf under

10 phi/lad under

[Mr. IWS]

EZ Winners

5* Clemson

[Mr. IWS]

Cokin UNDER THE HAT - Wake Forest

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist INNER CIRCLE - Clemson