10-11-08

[Mr. IWS]

BIG AL's 5* NCAA FOOTBALL RIVALRY GAME OF THE YEAR -- Saturday
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our 5* Rivalry Game of the Year is on the Texas Longhorns plus the points over Oklahoma. In the sports world's latest "Game of the Century," both teams enter the contest unbeaten -- both straight-up and ATS. And like many other rivalries, it's profitable to wager on the dog. Since 1988, the favorite in this Red River Rivalry is a poor 7-13 ATS, including 3-9 ATS if its net yards per rush is less than 1.9 yards. The Longhorns have been terrific as an underdog since 1987, going 36-19-1 ATS their last 56, including a super 12-1 ATS since November 1993 off a momentum-building pointspread win. Also, Texas falls into three of my very best College systems, which have records of 23-3, 48-10, and 136-66 ATS. 5* Rivalry Game of the Year on Texas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns Big 10 GOY - Wisconsin

[Mr. IWS]

Big Al

Saturday
5* Texas+7
4* Northwestern+3
Opinion Kentucky Even (pick)

[Mr. IWS]

DR BOB

2 Star Selection
South Carolina (-1.0) 20 KENTUCKY 10


3 Star Selection
Kansas St. (-2.5) 34 TEXAS A&M 21

3 Star Selection
NORTH CAROLINA (-8.0) 35 Notre Dame 18


2 Star Selection
ARKANSAS ST. (-13.0) 42 UL Monroe 20

3 Star Selection
OREGON (-18.0) 44 UCLA 16



College Strong Opinions

SMU (+25.0) 30 Tulsa 49

Boise St. (-10.5) 38 SOUTHERN MISS 21

Clemson 17 at WAKE FOREST 16 UNDER 42.0

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Spreitzer
25* Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider:7-3 in FB '08

Larry and his "unmatched" contacts are again proving "it pays to be on the inside." They have been combining to produce winning selections for years on the net and FB '08 has been no exception. Larry's exclusive FB Insiders are 7-3 (70%) Y-T-D and his latest CFB Insider goes Saturday. Don't miss this chance to "get on the inside and win!"

UTEP

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness Legend Play
Georgia

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
BIG 10 GAME OF YEAR

I'm taking the points with WISCONSIN. Penn State has admittedly played very well thus far. However, the games have been getting progressively more difficult and this is by far the toughest yet. Not only are the Nittany Lions facing their toughest opponent but they are also playing the second of back to back road games for the first time this season. Note that the Nittany Lions were 0-3 SU/ATS the last two years when playing in that situation. Last season, after playing at Michigan the previous week, the Nittany Lions were favored at Illinois. They lost outright. Later in the season, after winning 31-0 at Temple the previous week, the Nittany Lions were favored at Michigan State. Once again, they lost outright. In 2006, the Nittany Lions only played back to back road games once, which is the case for them again this season. Also like this year, the 2006 Nittany Lions back to back road games came at Purdue and at Wisconsin. That season, Penn State went into Purdue and beat the Boilermakers by 12 points. However, when they traveled to Wisconsin the following week, they were beaten by double- digits. While the Nittany Lions have been playing well, due to the fact that they're loved by the betting public so much, they still haven't been able to cover their inflated pointspreads the last couple of weeks. Last week, despite significantly outgaining the Boilermakers, Penn State had to settle for a push (vs. the closing line) at Purdue. In fact, the Nittany Lions were lucky to even get the push, as Purdue had a touchdown called back, missed a pair of relatively field goals AND missed a point after attempt. The previous week, the Lions won but didn't cover vs. Illinois. Including those results, Penn State is now a money-burning 3-12-1 ATS its last 16 conference games. Since beating up on Wisconsin last season, they're 0-5-1 ATS in six Big 10 games. Note that this week's line has risen from it's opening number, providing additional value with the home dog. It should also be mentioned that Penn State is 4-8-1 ATS the last 13 times it was favored on the road by -3.5 to -7 points and is also 4-8 ATS the past few seasons when coming off back to back SU victories. Paterno knows that the Badgers will be an extremely tough test and was quoted as saying: "I think this will be a real physical test for it (PSU defensive line). No question about it. Wisconsin is a very big, strong, well organized, precise, experienced offensive football team with a dynamic kid running the quarterback spot." Last year's loss at Penn State was Wisconsin's worst loss under coach Bret Bielema and will provide plenty of added motivation for the Badgers here. After back to back heart-breaking losses vs. Michigan and Ohio State, the fear of falling to 0-3 in conference play should also ensure an extremely motivated effort. Yes, the Badgers have lost two in a row. However, as Bielema noted: "...we're five points away from being a 5-0 football team." The 3-point loss to Ohio State was their first home loss since 2005. The Badgers are 5-2 when hosting Penn State and the two losses (1996 and 2002) both came by only three points. The Badgers are a terrific 18-7 ATS (16-9 SU) the past 25 times that they were coming off back to back SU losses and I look for them to bounce back in a big way again here. *Big 10 GOY
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[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS

I'm taking the points with MIAMI OHIO. The Huskies are favored by this much because they are playing at home and because they have been the more competitive team thus far. They're still only 2-3 though (Miami is 1-4) and I don't believe they are ready to be laying double-digits. Keep in mind that this team went just 2-10 last year and that the two wins (vs. Idaho and Kent State) both came by just seven points. This year's team brought back a ton of starters and is certainly improved. However, I don't believe that they're as good as the betting public believes them to be. They fought very hard and played well at Tennessee last week - that's a tough loss to overcome though, as they nearly pulled off the upset and the players have been thinking all week about "what could have been." The Huskies are currently dealing with some serious quarterback issues. Redshirt freshman Chandler Harnish was great in a week one start at Minnesota but he went down with an injury at Western Michigan. Although still recovering from off-season shoulder surgery on his throwing arm, senior Dan Nicholson took the majority of the snaps after Harnish's injury. However, Nicholson injured his non-throwing shoulder last week and did not return for the second half. Neither Harnish nor Nicholson are back to 100% yet which leaves a hole at quarterback. Either they'll have a QB who isn't 100% or they'll be down to third stringer DeMarcus Grady. Note that Grady was four of 10 for 39 yards last week. Either way, note that the Huskies are 0-4 ATS the last four times that they were favored in the -10.5 to -21 range and that they lost three of those games outright. Overall, the Huskies are a dismal 3-9 ATS the last 12 times that they were laying points. It's true that the Red Hawks have under-achieved thus far and that they're coming off a disappointing loss. They're still the defending MAC East champs though and they brought back a whopping 17 starters from that team, including nine on the defensive side of the ball. Note that they outgained league opponents by 97.8 yards last season, which was the best in the MAC. They know that their season is essentially a write-off if they lose here but also know that they can get back in the MAC East race with a win here, as no team in that division is currently better than 1-1. The Red Hawks are 5-3 ATS the last eight times that they were underdogs in the +10.5 to +21 range. During that stretch, they've also gone a perfect 3-0 ATS when playing a road game with an over/under line ranging from 42.5 to 45. These teams have met three times since 2002 and all three meetings were decided by 11 points or less, most recently a 3-point game in 2006. Look for this afternoon's game to prove closer than most are expecting once again. *GOW

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
FALSE FAVORITE GAME OF MONTH

I'm taking the points with MISSISSIPPI STATE. Vanderbilt has certainly gotten off to a great start. However, I still don't believe that the Commodores are as good as their perfect record indicates. Additionally, this is an extremely difficult spot. For starters, they're on the road at a venue where they have always struggled. Additionally, they're potentially in a big letdown spot, after recording one of the bigger wins in school history last week, a hard fought and physical 14-13 affair vs. Auburn. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs come in desperate for a victory and well-rested after having had last week off. Note that the Bulldogs have won six of their last seven against Vanderbilt at home, winning each of the last five meetings here since 1971. Prior to their bye, the Bulldogs had played well, easily covering in a 34-24 loss at LSU. Coach Sylvester Croom had this to say: "I thought we played hard. We played with a lot of passion and commitment throughout the course of the ballgame. We got better at a lot of things." Including their cover vs. the Tigers, the Bulldogs are now 4-1 ATS since 2006 when coming off consecutive SU losses. During the same stretch, they've gone 3-0 ATS when coming off a bye. Looking back further and we find that the Bulldogs are a profitable 25-16-1 ATS the last 42 times that they played a game with a line ranging from +3 to -3. During the same stretch, the Commodores were just 3-10 SU/ATS when playing a game with a line in that range, including 0-3 SU/ATS the last few seasons. The Bulldogs have only played two home games so far. They took care of business against Southeastern Louisiana (34 -10 win) and they very nearly beat Auburn in their only other game here, losing by only one. I'll take the points but I look for Croom to have his Bulldogs ready and for them to play the best game of their season and hand the Commodores their first loss. *False Favorite GOM

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
BLUE CHIP TOTAL

I'm playing on Iowa and Indiana to finish UNDER the total. This over/under line has climbed from its opener and now sits above the key number of 44. I believe that offers us terrific value for a game which I expect to be low-scoring. For starters, note that the UNDER is a perfect 7-0 the last seven times that the Hawkeyes played a road game with an over/under line in the 42.5 to 45 range. This year's Hawkeyes are allowing an average of 11.2 points per game, which is the second best mark in the entire country. With an average of only 34.6 combined points per game, it's no surprise that the Hawkeyes' five lined games have ALL stayed below the total. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a highly profitable 15-3 the last 18 Iowa lined games. It's true that the Hoosiers' defense doesn't rank among the best in the country. Through five games, Indiana is allowing an average of 23.2 points. However, the Hawkeyes have been making all defenses look good lately. Iowa scored just 13 points last time out, the fourth straight time it failed to score more than 20. Since Iowa primarily likes to run the ball, it should also be noted that while the secondary has been somewhat suspect, Indiana's run defense has actually been quite respectable, allowing 122 rushing yard per game. That's well below the league average of 151.2 per game. The Hoosiers also like to run the ball frequently. In fact, their 38.8 rushing attempts per game is even more than Iowa's 37.5 per game. The Hoosiers will be running against an Iowa defense which allows only 98.8 yards per game on the ground and just 281 overall. Indiana managed only seven points and 293 points vs. Minnesota last time out and this Iowa defense is even better. While the offense struggled, the Hoosiers did play well defensively against the Gophers. They limited Minnesota to 16 points and 333 yards. The defense got four sacks and forced a pair of turnovers. Look for the defenses to play well again this week and for a heavy dose of the run from both teams to help keep the clock moving and the final score beneath the total. *Blue Chip

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lang

SATURDAY
30 Dime Oklahoma

5 Dime Army

5 Dime Notre Dame



FREE - Missouri

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Spreitzer
Underdog Gom Miss St

[Mr. IWS]

Root :

"Game of the Decade"- WISCONSIN

[Mr. IWS]

Root

Chairman = Tex
Money Maker = Miss St
Insiders Circle = Okie St
No Limit = Fla
Perfect = Stanford
Mill Game of Decade = Wisc

[Mr. IWS]

Ppp
4% Army
4% No. Illinois
4% Illinois
4% Under Fl Int/Mid Tenn
3% Over Nevada/New Mex St

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness (ALL PLAYS SATURDAY)

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider:7-3 in FB '08

Larry and his "unmatched" contacts are again proving "it pays to be on the inside." They have been combining to produce winning selections for years on the net and FB '08 has been no exception. Larry's exclusive FB Insiders are 7-3 (70%) Y-T-D and his latest CFB Insider goes Saturday. Don't miss this chance to "get on the inside and win!"

UTEP


Larry Ness' LEGEND Play-CFB: 10-2 since '05

Larry's LEGEND plays were previously available to only his personal clients. However, since making them available on the net, these exclusive plays have lived up to their moniker. His lone LEGEND play of CFB '08 (Penn St 45-14 ov Ore St), ups Larry's record to 10-2 (83.3%) in the CFB regular season since '05. Can you afford to miss this one?


Georgia



Larry Ness' Rivalry 9*

Larry features one of his classic LEGEND plays on Saturday (10-2 in CFB's reg season s/'05) but that doesn't mean it's his "ONLY play!" Traditionally, Rivalry Weekend comes in Nov but why wait til then, when a truly great "betting opportunity" is available this Saturday? Need the perfect compliment to Larry's LEGEND play? THIS IS IT!"

Oklahoma



Larry Ness' CFB Bailout Blowout (TV game)
Larry's CFB 'card' features his latest Las Vegas Insider (7-3 TY), his 20* Rivalry GOY, a rare LEGEND play (10-2 since '05!) plus his Bailout Game of the Month. Need that "one late game" to either MAKE or SAVE your CFB Saturday? Then look no further than Larry's Bailout Game of the Month.


Florida Gators

[Mr. IWS]

PPP Free Plays:West Virgina,Penn St,Cincinnati.

[Mr. IWS]

ppp
5 baylor

[Mr. IWS]

Spreitzer

5*ECU
4* Bowling green
TKO Air force
TKO UTEP
TKO Missz
KO W. vir
KO tex tch
KO nw

[Mr. IWS]

Big Al

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas over Temple.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over UTEP.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys plus the points over Mizzou.

Our 3 selections include Northwestern, Mississippi State and Notre Dame

[Mr. IWS]

BIG AL's SATURDAY NIGHT BASEBALL RAYS/BOSOX WINNER
Date: Saturday, October 11, 2008

TAMPA BAY