10-23-08

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky

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4* Auburn +3 released wed morning

[Mr. IWS]

kelso......THE WORLD SERIES.....5 units Devilrays {J.Shields} (-150) over Phillies {B.Myers} 8:29 PM --

[Mr. IWS]

kelso
10 unit wv
5 unit new mex

[Mr. IWS]

Tommy Rider

**2 UNIT PLAY**
West Virginia -3 vs Auburn

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole

Air Force / New Mexico Over 45
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | CFB Side
double-dime bet104 West Virginia -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 103 Auburn
Analysis: NCAAF: Auburn Tigers at West Virginia Mountaineers - West Virginia -3 -110 | Unit Value: 2 UNIT "Beatdown"
Game Date: 10/23/2008
Note: It is quite unusual for me to play against an SEC School in a non-conference game but there are plenty of reasons to do just that tonight. The loss that Auburn suffered to LSU on 9/20 was a hard blow for this team and they have been in a tailspin ever sice. They have fired their offensive coordinator, Tuberville is already rumored to be looking for other coaching jobs. Focus has got to be a problem right now for them. They also have serious injuries on the defensive side of the field. That was very evident last game verses Arkansas, allowing the Hogs to score often back at home and ended the game with a negative 223 yard mark. This short week of preparation does not allow them to heal from the loss of personel and they will play one of the more prolific offenses in the country tonight. The Auburn problems do not end on defense. They have a limited QB that has thrown more INT's than TD's. We all know the problems the Tigers have scoring this year and playing a bunch of fired up Mountaineers tonight is not what the Doctor ordered. Consider this: Auburn has had serious turnover issues this year. The Home team is 46-2 last 48 games when they force more TO's than they have. Our team loves to play SEC Schools and they have won their last 4 times when doing so. Morgantown is going to be a loud and uncomfortable place to be tonight for Auburn so I will lay the 3 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | CFB Side
double-dime bet105 New Mexico 5.0 (-110) Bodog vs 106 Air Force
Analysis: NEW MEXICO ? Air Force has covered four straight in this series but New Mexico did win last season?s match-up straight-up to put an end to the Falcons three consecutive straight-up wins in this series. One of the key advantages for the Lobos in matching up with Air Force is that New Mexico head coach Rocky Long has great knowledge of the option. Even though the Falcons have managed to get the cover in recent meetings with the Lobos, New Mexico actually has done a good job against the Air Force option attack. Offensively, the Lobos certainly got to ?warm up? their attack last week as they scored 70 points in totally dominating San Diego State. While New Mexico comes in off of an easy win, the Falcons barely squeaked by UNLV last week in a one-point non-covering win. Air Force did allow over 400 yards of offense last week and the key was the success of their ground game but that same option attack will not fare as well against the Lobos defense. Also, Air Force has failed to cover 6 of the last 7 times in the week before the Army game. Even though Falcons head coach denies it, the service games do mean a lot to this academy school. Also, the Lobos were able to force a lot of fumbles against the Falcons in last season?s match-up and they will look to disrupt the Air Force offense in the same manner in this season?s match-up. Also, last season we saw dropped passes cost the Lobos a ton of yardage through the air and yet New Mexico still hung on for the win. Additionally, the Falcons first touchdown in that game (among 31 points they scored) was truly a gift after the Lobos fumbled insider their own 20 yard line. The point being that New Mexico?s defense played quite well in last season?s game and this season they have even more team speed! This has been a key to the Lobos defensive success this season and it will be a key to them once again shutting down the Falcons option attack on Thursday night. That will lead to a cover and, quite likely, an outright win for the Lobos!

[Mr. IWS]

Matty O'Shea


Triple-Dime Bet

West Virginia -3.0 vs Auburn

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NHL Money Line
double-dime bet12 COL (-143)BetUS vs 11 EDM
Analysis:
AVALANCHE ? The Avalanche lost their home opener to the Bruins on a late goal. Since that early loss they have won three of their last five even though four of those five games were on the road. Now the Avs get a chance to avenge one of those road losses as they host the Oilers. The Avalanche lost at Edmonton 3-2 on Sunday October 12th. That?s the only time this season that the potent Colorado offensive attack has been held under four goals and tonight, at home, the Avalanche will do something about it! The Avs will take advantage of an Oilers club that is playing the second night of a back to back situation and that could already be looking ahead to a big battle at Vancouver on Saturday. Yes, this is also a division rival tonight but the Oilers are especially mindful of their rivals up in Western Canada ? the Canucks and the Flames. The problem for the Oilers is they?ve come out as the flatter team in recent games and have had to overcome that. In their game last night they couldn?t do that against Chicago. Even if the Oilers regroup and hit the ice with a lot of emotion tonight, it?s going to be hard for them to overcome the energy that the ?amped-up? Avs will bring to the ice tonight. Colorado is seeking revenge and they are a very tough team to beat at The Pepsi Center. Also, unlike the Oilers, Colorado is rested here as they have been off since Monday. The Oil won just 18 road games last season and the Avs won 27 games at home. Factoring that in along with the situational edges that favor Colorado here and the Avalanche are worth laying the price in this spot. Their money line is quite fair considering the situation. The Oilers special teams units have struggled in recent games, after a strong start to the season, and look for the Avalanche to take advantage of that tonight. Lay the price with Colorado!

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Bonds | CFB Side
double-dime bet104 West Virginia -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 103 Auburn
Analysis:
Not willing to fall into the trap of playing the SEC against other conferences in this particular spot. Auburn doesn't normally travel in non-conference games and they walk into a tough place to play on Thursday night.



West Virginia has won four straight over the SEC and Auburn's Tommy Tuberville is 1-2 versus the Big East in his career.



Have to love that West Virginia is 111-25-4 all-time in October home games and 46-2 since 2002 when winning the turnover battle. With the Tigers undergoing a change in offensive identity - it leaves it wide open for a few turnovers to be created.



This isn't the Auburn and West Virginia teams that the public has been use to seeing over the past few years, but have to like one of the better home teams in America in this spot, as Auburn will wonder why its in West Virginia on Thursday night.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Majors | CFB Side
double-dime bet103 Auburn -3.0 (-115) BetUS vs 104 West Virginia
Analysis:
West Virgina Mountaineers host the Auburn Tiger in a Thursday evening matchup.

The Tigers have a solid defense and no offense and the Mountaineers have a good offense and no defense.

The Tigers are 9th in the country in scoring defense allowing 13.1 ppg.

Auburn is 6-1 in Thursday night games and are on a 3 game winning streak; 18-7 ATS in their las 25 games in October; and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

The Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games; 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf; and 1-4 ATS in the last five games overall. They are also 0-4 ATS in the last 4four games following a bye week.

I feel the defense will prevail and Auburn will keep it close. Take the generous points and run to the bank.

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE Thursday MLB Power Play is:

10* Take Tampa Bay (-145) over Philadelphia (Power Play)
8:20 PM EST

Philadelphia
• 4-12 in road games when the total is between 8 and 8.5 runs
• Brett Myers is 3-8 in road games with an ERA of 6.21

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NCAA Football Power Play for Thursday is:

10* Take West Virginia (-3) over Auburn (NCAA Power Play)
7:45 PM EST

West Virginia
• 14-1 SU coming off a loss against the spread
• 15-2 SU in home games the last 3 seasons
• 8-0 SU when playing in the month of October
• 17-2 SU after allowing 6 points or less in the last game

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Sports Plays

Thursday NCAA Football

Take West Virginia (-3) over Auburn
(10* Top NCAA Play)
7:45 PM EST

Auburn has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread and they have also lost 10 of the last 15 games against the spread when the total posted is 42 points or less.

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Angle Sports

Your Thursday Night NCAA Selections is:

Play on West Virginia (-3) over Auburn*
7:45 P.M. EST Kick-Off

West Virginia has won 8 consecutive games when playing in the month of October and they have also won 14 of the last 16 non-conference games. West Virginia has won 15 of the last 17 home games and they are only allowing 11 points a game on defense at home this season. Meanwhile, Auburn has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread.

Play on West Virginia minus the points on Thursday

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Play on Air Force (-5) over New Mexico*
8:00 P.M. EST Kick-Off

Air Force has won 5 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games coming off a conference road win. Air Force has won 11 of the last 15 games as a favorite and they have also won 5 oft the last 6 games vs. New Mexico at home.

Play on Air Force minus the points on Thursday

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback

Auburn / W. Virginia Under

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

Never Lost College Football Super Pick Super Play!

Play On: New Mexico

When the Lobos take on the Falcons at the Air Force Academy Thursday night they will do so knowing New Mexico is 12-1 ATS on the road off back-to-back ATS wins under head coach Rocky Long, including 11-0 when off a conference game. With Air Force just 1-3 ATS as a favorite this season and the Lobos riding a 4-game ATS win streak, look for New Mexico to keep Long's streak in tact tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

MATT RIVERS:



100,000? West Virginia

2. 50,000? Phillies

1. Both Auburn and West Virginia have been overly disappointing this season but both also have an upside as good as most other teams in the nation on one side of the ball. Tommy Tuberville's gang has been very very offensively challenged but boast a defense that may be second to none. Meanwhile Pat White and the extremely athletic and fast Mountaineer offense has not been as dominant as most thought they would be thanks to injuries and just flat out underachieving.

Morgantown is one of the tougher places to play in the country. Routinely teams come in there and leave limping after getting trounced. I'm not sure if Auburn's defense will get trounced as they are awesome but it is not easy at all to try and play for 60 minutes against White, Noel Devine and the ultra tricky WV offense. No doubt Bill Stewart is not a great coach and the Mounties are somewhat vulnerable overall, compared to the past few seasons with Rich Rodriguez running the show, but in college football the home field is as important as in any sport and on the road I do not see the Tigers being able to muster enough offense.

No matter how good of a defense a team has one has to still expect White and the home boys to be able to move the ball a bit and score their 20 or so points. To fully keep them down is pretty much impossible and on the other extreme I do not see Auburn being able to do that much against what is a decent enough Mountaineer defense.

Auburn just failed to score in the final three quarters in that loss at Vanderbilt and in that last game blew a big lead at home in a game they were thoroughly dominated in against what is a pretty dreadful Arkansas squad.

West Virginia has at least won three in a row, are at home where they are still perfect and are just too talented offensively to not be able to score more points than an opponent that is just brutal offensively.

2. James Shields has been great at home and the Rays are definitely no joke which they have proven all season long but a little plus money here on the Fightin' Phils is enough for me.

Longoria, Crawford, Pena and the Rays on their home fast track have been as good as any team in the game. But Charlie Manual's squad has been the best team around on the road and are not exactly going to be intimidated by a few cowbells and fake fans down at the Trop. Rollins, Utley and Howard are stars, if not full fledged superstars and Brett Myers has been great since the stint in the Minors. I'm not at all calling this a lock of my life but plus money with all of the positive factors going the way of the Phils is enough for me.

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia - This is a simple way to look at this game. one team has won 3 of their last 4 and the other has lost 3 of four. Despite being 0-13 with RISP, the Phillies took game 1. What I was most impressed with was that they had the lead off batter on base in the first 5 innings. This Phillie team is mentally tough and it is for that reason they will win the series. The Philly bullpen is literally lights out with Madson and Lidge. Madson has undergone a weight and stretching program this season and it has paid off big time. He was once a 90MPH max pitcher and last night you saw him consistently at 96 MPH and topped off at 98 MPH. The combination of Madson's power and then Lidge is going to be too much for TB to overcome. AiS shows an 85% probability that Myers will complete 6 innings or more and should this happen the Phillies have a 90% probability of winning the game. The pressure is big time on TB and they are wearing the role of favorite - something new for them and something they are not comfortable with at all. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 38-17 making 26.8 units since 2002. Play against home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base and with the game being played on Thursday. Myers is an impressive 12-2 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams outscoring opposition by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997; 15-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage of 54% to 62% in the second half of the season this season. Manuel is a strong 43-21 making 24.2 units this season and 63-30 making 36.2 units over the past 3 seasons. Take the Phils to go up 2-0.

[Mr. IWS]

Johnny Guild

Auburn Tigers at West Virginia Mountaineers

The Mountaineers have won their last three games and are 4-0 at home. Expect a close game in Morgantown. Auburn’s powerful defense is 9th in the country in scoring defense allowing just 13.1 points per game, but will be confronting West Virginia high power offense that is 14th in the nation in rushing at 224.8 yards per game, besides having a solid defense. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games, while the Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall. Take the home team!

Play:West Virginia -3

[Mr. IWS]

Ats lock club
3 units air force -5

[Mr. IWS]

Drew Gordon
Today's Games...

1. 200,000? West Virginia

2. 50,000? Rays

1. West Virginia- Your average bettor loves to talk about how dominant the SEC is over the Big East, how they're faster, stronger, and smarter. While that may be true to some extent (recruiting-wise, the SEC does get the pick of litter), you don't handicap a game by talking about the team's conference, you handicap match ups. And the fact is, this is a flawed Auburn team, playing in Morgantown, against a Mountaineers squad welcoming back their best player in Pat White.

Speaking of the Tigers, they're just 4-3 SU and a dismal 1-6 ATS this season. They're last win came over a very suspect Tennessee team, and their only road win of the season was a laughable 3-2 win at Mississippi State in mid-September. Their offense is sputtering because coach Tuberville keeps shuffling his signal callers. All signs point to sophomore Kodi Burns starting, but either way, which ever QB starts for the Tigers will struggle against the quirky 3-3-5 defense the Moutaineers use (Burns has thrown 4 INTs and 0 TDs this season). Note, WVU allows just under 12 ppg on 293 yards of total offense at home this season!

Also, from a motivational standpoint, this is a HUGE game for West Virginia, played before a raucous sell-out crowd in Morgantown, in what is their biggest home game of the season thus far. Auburn meanwhile is in the midst of a 2-game losing streak, and there's only so much their vaunted defense can do as long as their offense continues to struggle (just 208 total yards at Vanderbilt in their last road game).

Finally, there's the Pat White factor. We saw how this WVU offense struggled against Syracuse, scoring only 17 points and failing to cover. His return off the bye week is a incredible boost for the Mountaineers offense, which is ultra-efficient with him at the helm (72% completion rate, 9 passing TDs vs 1 INT, 2 rushing TDs on a 6.1 yard/carry average)! Guys, Pat White IS the Moutaineers offense, and people can talk about the SEC and the Tigers defense all they want, but White would excel in an conference on the planet, period.

Bottom line, Auburn cannot stick with West Virginia as long as White is on the field. Both teams live off their stout defenses, but the difference here is WVU can actually score points, especially at home where they average 29 ppg (as compared to the Tigers 8 ppg on the road)! People can cling to their SEC beliefs all they want, but I'll take the better team, with the better offense, in a prime time sellout home game any day.

Take West Virginia over Auburn as your top-rated play of the day.


2. Rays- I delivered with my 100K Top Play winner on the Phillies yesterday over the Rays 3-2... So what has changed since then? The pitching match up, that's what! I told you not to over think last night's match up, Cole Hamels was the better pitcher and he would deliver 7 innings of solid work, at which point the Phillies bullpen would seal the deal, and that's exactly what happened. But this time around though, things are going to be nearly as simple for Philadelphia and here's why:

Say what you will about Brett Myers surge after getting sent down to the minors, which was impressive. However, its become clear to me that he peaked too early, and now has reverted back to the same inconsistent ways that's plagued him throughout his career. He maybe 2-0 this postseason, but that stat is decieving, because he's posted an ugly 5.25 ERA over that span. Not only that, but Myers has been a disaster on the road, going 3-8 with a 6.21 ERA this season, and even worse, the Phillies are just 5-14 in his last 19 road starts... Is this really the pitcher you want to back in a critical World Series Game 2 on the road?!

At the other end of the spectrum lies James Shields, who's been a beast at home this season, going 10-4 with a 2.74 ERA. But its not just that, as the Rays are 15-7 in his last 22 starts, and even more importantly a sterling 20-7 in his last 27 home starts! Don't let the fact he lost both starts against Boston fool you, we're talking about a pitcher who given up 3 runs or less in 18 of his last 22 games! Look for him to deliver in this critical bounce back spot for the Rays tonight.

Finally, yesterday the Phillies enjoyed a solid edge at the plate against a lefty. But with two righties squaring off tonight, the two offenses are much closer this time around. Tampa loves hitting righties at home, batting .277 against them and averaging a hearty 5.1 runs per game against them this season. Not only that, but their an outstanding 42-14 against righty starters at home. The Phillies meanwhile are just 29-27 against righties on the road. In the end, the Rays get the match up they want, in a game they most certainly must win, in order to keep this series competitive.

Take the Rays behind Shields over the Phillies and Myers in Game 2 of the World Series tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

ATSLOCKS.COM

Auburn @ West Virginia--under 38 (5 Unit Play)

New Mexico @ Air Force--New Mexico +5.5 (free Play)

[Mr. IWS]

*** EZWINNERS NCAA FOOTBALL ***

1 STAR: (104) WEST VIRGINIA (-3.5) over Auburn
(Risking $110 to win $100)
6:45PM Central Time

1 STAR: (106) AIR FORCE (-5) over New Mexico
(RIsking $110 to win $100)
7PM Central Time


*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

1 STAR: (953) PHILADELPHIA (+$146) over Tampa Bay
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $146)
7:20PM Central Time

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog NHL
Game: Buffalo at Minnesota (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 5.5 -140

Both of these teams are sizzling hot to start the season as they both enter this game unbeaten. The Sabres are getting exceptional goaltending from both netminders as Ryan Miller and Patrick Lalime have both sparkled behind the net. The Sabres are allowing just 1.67 goals per game through their first six, so it is easy to see why they are without a loss. The Wild have been equally as good defensively with Niklas Backstrom allowing just 2.25 goals per game. This one appears to be won on the defensive side with 5.5 goals looking like great value here as neither team has allowed more than three goals yet on the season, and this one appears to play like a 3-2, 2-1 type game. I will back the UNDER here.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe:

MLB

Phillies/Rays Over 8.5
Myers/Shields

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

College Football
West Virginia -3 over Auburn
Tommy Tuberville fired their offensive coordinator due to the lack of offense. This offense is not very good and Tuberville is on his way out as head coach. West Virginia has been a bit sluggish this year, but Pat White is getting healthy and they can run the ball very well. West Virginia is a better team at home and should get the home win. Auburn QB's complete about 50% of their passes. That just isn't going to cut it. Take WVU.

Major League Baseball
Phillies/Rays Over 8.5
Myers/Shields

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

NCAA Football

3 Units on West Virginia Under 38

[Mr. IWS]

Matty O'Shea | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
954 TAM / 953 PHI Over 8.5 SportBet

[Mr. IWS]

JB SPORTS

Double-Dime Bet

West Virginia

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog
Pick: 3 units on Auburn +3 (-105) (risk 3 to win 2.9)

The Mountaineers were supposed to contend for a National Title contender this season, with Pat White and Noel Devine spearheading a big offense. After back-to-back losses to East Carolina and Colorado, those hopes went down the drain. They have since won three straight, but this team remains 1-4 ATS on the season. While last year's Mountaineers offense produced 28+ points in 11 of 13 games, this year's version has yet to put up 28+ against any Division I teams. The concern intensifies when you realize that they have played against average defenses (their opponents own an average defensive rank of 75th out of 120 teams). The problem is White does not have the receivers to throw down field. Not a single reciever is averaging over 10 yards per catch. Teams know they can stack the line, stop the run, and get a win. The Tigers have struggled offensively themselves, but unlike West Virginia, Auburn has played some excellent teams (Mississippi State, LSU, Tennessee and Vandy). Despite the schedule and having to face those caliber teams, the Tigers have been in every game. They lost by 5 to LSU, representing their largest margin of defeat of the season! If West Virginia can't move the ball on poor defensive teams, they will certainly struggle against the Tigers' 14th ranked stop unit. Live dog here!

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL PRIVATE PLAYERS WINNER!
Pick # 1 Washington Capitals (-110

[Mr. IWS]

Brain Smith / NHL 13-8 YTD
NASHVILLE -122
COLORADO -143

[Mr. IWS]

Burns: MWC TOY under 46 confirmed!

Burns Totals-

Auburn/ W.Virginia Over
New Mexico/ Air Force Under

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

1500* - Auburn Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Frank patron
5000 unit college winner
air force falcons -5

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast marquee

new mexico+5-
regular opinion auburn+3

[Mr. IWS]

10* rays....akmens

[Mr. IWS]

akmens


Nashville

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass football

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100 New Mexico/Air Force Under 45

50 West Virg Over 38

30 Auburn

20 Air Force

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
pass football
10* phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Southcoast Sports

105 New Mexico Lobos +5

2-Units (7:00 P.M. CST)

New Mexico's defense has really stepped up their level of play over their last 3 games, allowing a total of 28 points scored, while giving up a total of 269 yards a game. On offense they rely heavily on a rushing attack that has averaged 223 yards a game this season, and 293 yards a game over their last 3 games. And yes, I know that New Mexico faced two to the worst teams in the Mountain West Conference in Wyoming and San Diego St. But they also held a very good BYU team to just 21 points scored a couple of weeks ago. Air Force comes in also relying heavily on the running game, averaging 300 yards a game on the season, and 324 over their last 3 games. They are a solid team defensively allowing 304 total yards a game which ranks 28th nationally. Both teams are so successful rushing the ball, that they very rarely have to pass. This accounts for the less than average numbers in the passing game for both teams. This is an indication that the team that is able to stop the run will have the best chance at winning this game. The New Mexico Lobos have the 22nd ranked rushing defense in the nation, and although they will have their hands full, should be able to slow down the Air Force rushing attack. Lets side with the better defensive team in this Thursday night match up.

Take the New Mexico Lobos +5 for 2-Units.

[Mr. IWS]

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): WEST VIRGINIA -3 ^^^ Pat White will be back tonight and word is he has looked awesome in practice. It's no secret that WV needs to open up the offense and they have been preaching it. Auburn offense is sluggish at best and though they have a very good defense, injuries are abound on the line and in the secondary. We might be looking at some smoke and mirrors here as far as Auburns defense as you have to ask yourself, what offense have they faced that is a high output offense. Only Arkansas comes to mind and that's stretching it but you saw what Arkansas was able to do against Auburn. WV defense is very under rated and should do well against a Auburn Qb who just forces too many plays opening the door for some INT's tonight. Take the small line with this home Fave.

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NEW MEXICO +5.5 ^^^^ Air Force is playing this game on a short week. We love these under the radar teams. Record doesn’t do New Mexico justice as their first four games were very tough. They did beat Arizona who just knocked the socks off of California, so maybe that early schedule has helped New Mexico as they have already taken their hardest hits other than Utah left on the schedule. Air force is now 3-9 on Thursday Night TV.

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): TAMPA BAY RAYS ( NAME SHIELDS) ^^^^ We did it right going with Philly last night as we expected a letdown after Tampa just got done with a battle with Boston. Bats were stale and they were facing a lefty. It all changes tonight as we feel confident, the bats swing back to form as TB got a dose of reality last night. Let’s remember they have the best home record in the league but nothing is going to given to them and they found that out last night. Tampa gets what they want tonight in a right handed pitcher where they have feasted and throw in Brett Myers is 3-8 in 16 road starts with a 6.21 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and .301 BAA. Philly went 5-11 in those 16 road games. Shields is a terror at home recording a 9-2 record this season at home in the dome as Tampa Bay went 14-3 all total in those games. Take the Rays to even it up

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): DALLAS -120 (NHL) ^^^ NO WRITEUP

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio's 25* World Series Game of the YEAR (won Game 1)
Play on Tampa Bay at 8:20 ET. As predicted here, the Phillies got the road win they needed in Game One behind ace Cole Hamels, but asking them to win back-to-back games against the best home team in the majors is too much. Tonight, they have Brett Myers, not Cole Hamels, on the hill. Philadelphia has lost 11 of Myers? 16 road starts this season and his ERA outside the City of the Brotherly Love is a pitiful 6.21. Rays? Game 2 starter James Shields, on the other hand, has been sensational at home this year. Tampa Bay has won 14 of his 17 starts at Tropicana Field. And while the Rays offense struggles vs. lefties (as noted yesterday), they demolish righties to the tune of 5.1 runs/per game. After scoring two runs or less this season, the Rays are 33-12 in their next game. Tampa Bay is our 25* World Series Game of the Year.

Good luck, Lenny

[Mr. IWS]

SEABASS Baseball

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20* TB -1.5
20* Philly on the money line

50* TB/Philly over

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june


West Virginia
Air Force under

[Mr. IWS]

SPYLOCK
1 unit air force

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

3 Unit Play. #6 Take Over in Auburn @ West Virginia (Thursday 7:45 pm ESPN) Granted Auburn has no offense but the West Virginia defense should allow them to score 20 plus points as this battle in Morgantown takes place. QB White is probable for this game and he is the main component of what makes this West Virginia team tick. The Mountaineers have won three straight games and averaged 23 points per game during this span. Any number is the thirties is too low for college football considering that the clock still stops on first downs and the spread offense of the Mountaineers will make for a four hour game and we will not worry if they can cover the spread and just collect on the over.

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE HANZELEK

Take the New Mexico Lobos but I'm I say take them @ the key number of + 7 1/2. I feel NM can win this game outright as Head Coach Rocky Long is well versed against the option. Last week, the Air Force attack received the matador defense from the Rebs in the 4th Qtr. vs. UNLV. Don't expect it again against a much quicker Lobos defense who close the gaps quite well. Air Force is 1-2 ATS @ Home & have big-time rival Army on deck. The Falcons are also 3-7 off an ATS loss. Troy Calhoun's Flyboys are 1-6 before taking on the above-mentioned Army Cadets. New Mexico has a breed of confidence going. They're 5-0 on grass ATS their L5 & carry a 17-5-2 ATS road record versus a team with a winning record. The visitor has also covered nicely historically in New Mexico games going 30-18 ATS. The kicker is the Lobos 16-3-1 ATS record as a road dog off back-to-back ATS wins! I say, "Don't knock the Rock" and stick $200 on New Mexico + 7 1/2 on the buy!
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

25* World Series Game of the YEAR

Play on Tampa Bay

As predicted here, the Phillies got the road win they needed in Game One behind ace Cole Hamels, but asking them to win back-to-back games against the best home team in the majors is too much. Tonight, they have Brett Myers, not Cole Hamels, on the hill. Philadelphia has lost 11 of Myers? 16 road starts this season and his ERA outside the City of the Brotherly Love is a pitiful 6.21. Rays? Game 2 starter James Shields, on the other hand, has been sensational at home this year. Tampa Bay has won 14 of his 17 starts at Tropicana Field. And while the Rays offense struggles vs. lefties (as noted yesterday), they demolish righties to the tune of 5.1 runs/per game. After scoring two runs or less this season, the Rays are 33-12 in their next game. Tampa Bay is our 25* World Series Game of the Year.

[Mr. IWS]

ASA

College Football Picks
10/23/2008
6:45:00 PM Auburn Tigers (+3)
over WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS
ASA 3-STAR #103 Auburn (+3) over West Virginia, Thursday, October. 23rd - 6:45 pm CST.

Many are down on Auburn and we’re not enamored with their offense, however this is a solid spot to jump on them as a dog. This is only the second time this year that the Tigers are coming into a game and not expected to win. Tommy Tuberville has historically thrived as an underdog racking up a 14-5 ATS record when getting points going back to the beginning of the 2002 season. The Tigers lost their only game in the underdog role this year when LSU scored a come from behind TD with just 1:00 minute left in the game to grab a 26-21 win as a 2-point favorite. These two teams have scared bettors away with their combined 2-10 spread record. However, Auburn is the better team in our opinion despite the fact they have struggled on offense and lost 3 of their last 4 games. First of all, the Tigers are much better and faster on defense. They have a stop unit that matches up very well against the spread option attack that West Virginia runs. They also have a coordinator that knows how to beat it. First year Auburn defensive coordinator Paul Rhoads actually held the same position for the last eight seasons at Pitt. And why is that significant? First of all because he’s coached against the WVU offense for the previous eight years as the Panthers DC. Secondly, he took Pitt to Morgantown last year and held a prolific Mountaineer offense to just 9 points and 183 total yards in last year’s huge Pitt 13-9 upset. That was a West Virginia offense that averaged 39 PPG and 450 total yards per game. This year’s version is MUCH more pedestrian putting up just 22 PPG and 342 YPG on offense. Rhoads has a significantly better defense to work with this year and he is facing an offense that is nowhere near as potent as last year. The Auburn defense should do well in this one. WVU QB Pat White is back in the line up for this game, however he didn’t have the Neer’s really clicking on offense when he was on the field. He’s struggled to move the ball for much of the season averaging just 17 PPG their last five games. Now he faces the best defense he has seen BY FAR this year. In fact, of the five Division 1A teams that West Virginia has faced this year, the highest ranked defense they have seen is Rutgers who is 42nd nationally. Auburn is in the top 15 in yards allowed and the top 10 in points allowed at just 13 PPG. To say the Auburn offense has struggled is definitely an understatement. However, they have now had two weeks since the firing of offensive coordinator Tony Franklin to tweak the offense to their liking. They have also nearly two weeks off since their last game to attempt to get the offense rolling. Franklin implemented the spread however, look for Auburn to go back to their bread and butter which is the running attack. They have two solid RB’s in Ben Tate and Brad Lester and they have been under utilized this year. Not anymore. Auburn has played the tougher schedule and is from the much better conference. We’ll take a great defense from the SEC as an underdog against a team from the weak Big East. Auburn rights the ship and gets back in the winning column on Thursday night.

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

toronto - nhl

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

20* auburn
10* aub/wvu under
10* air force

10* rays
10* phi/tb over

10* buffalo

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens w/units

NHL

5 units Nashville Predators (-130)

MLB

5 units Tampa Bay Rays (-156)

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 50 DIME World Series Game 2 Winner(SF1)

Philadelphia (Myers) at Tampa Bay (Shields) - 8:20 p.m. EST




Bottom line here is that after dropping Game 1 last night, if the Rays want to have any chance of capturing this Fall Classic then tonight is an absolute must win. And they will get it. We’re talking about a team that has won 57 of its last 77 home games and every time this year when its backs were against the wall, the Rays responded. And they will tonight in Game 2 behind James Shields. They have won 15 of his last 22 starts overall and 20 of his last 27 at home. He has surrendered three earned runs or less in 18 of his last 22 starts, including the last five straight. In 20 starts this year at Tropicana Field, he went 10-4 with a 2.74 ERA. For the Phils, it’s Brett Meyers, who has a losing record (12-13) and a bloated ERA (4.59). He hasn’t pitched since Oct. 10 when he got rocked by the Dodgers for five runs on six hits and four walks in five frames. He has a 5.25 ERA in two playoff starts and went 3-8 with a 6.21 ERA on the road this year. The Phils won just five of his 19 road starts and they’re not winning this one as the Rays bounce back and take this Game 2.






TAMPA BAY (Shields) (-150) 50 Dimes


Stu's Thursday 50 DIME CFB Winner #1 (SF2)

Auburn (38) at West Virginia (-2') - 7:45 p.m. EST







Points will be at a premium tonight in Morgantown and this SEC-Big East game is destined to stay under the posted price. Both teams are struggling on the offensive side of the football and but getting the job done defensively. Auburn ranks 107th in the country in total offense and 97th in scoring offense. But defensively, the Tigers are big and fast and rank ninth in the country in scoring defense. A big reason for that is they ranked second in the country in third down defense. The Mountaineers rank 79th in total offense and 82nd in scoring offenses, while their underrated defense ranks a solid 15th in scoring defense. Auburn has already fired in offensive coordinator this year as this Tiger offense is totally out of sync. They scored just three points at Mississippi State and 13 at Vanderbilt. Tonight, they’re changing quarterbacks as the hardly-tested Kodi Burns gets the start under center. His stats for the season aren’t impressive as he is 17-for-43 for 198 yards with no scores and three picks. Look for Auburn to turn to its running attack and play ball-control offense. The Mountaineers have a solid QB in Pat White, but he’s back from a concussion and did not play in West Virginia’s most recent game, a lackluster 17-6 win over Syracuse when the Mountaineers needed a long TD run late in the game to ice it. Even with White playing, the Mountaineer passing game this year has very sub-par. Auburn’s defense will come to play tonight. Oh, and the Tigers defensive coordinator, Paul Rhoads, served in that same capacity last year at Pittsburgh when he developed a game-plan that limited a far more potent Mountaineer offense to just 183 yards and nine points in Pitt’s upset win in the regular season finale. Auburn has stayed under in seven of its last nine overall, six of eight on the road and five of seven non-conference games. The Mountaineers have stayed low in all five lined games this year and six of their last seven non-conference tilts. This too will be a low-scoring affair as it stays under with ease.



UNDER (38) 50 Dimes







Stu's 50 DIME Mountain West GOW (SF3)

New Mexico (+5) at Air Force (45') - 8 p.m. EST




Key Mountain West Conference game tonight as the winner will have the inside track to the conference’s fourth bowl tie-in behind league heavyweights Utah, TCU and BYU. This game will be close, but take the points as New Mexico will be in this one throughout and will have an opportunity in the fourth quarter to steal this one outright. Everyone knows how potent the Falcon rushing attack, but the Lobos face this offense every year and they’ve been stout against the run this season. New Mexico, which has won three of its last four (played gamely in 21-3 loss at BYU) with last week’s 70-7 trashing of San Diego State, is allowing just 104.4 yards per game and 3.2 yards per rush. They’ve also come up with 17 sacks and 17 takeaways this season as this is unit that has come up with big plays all yaer. Coach Rocky Long has a very fast defense and look for them to stretch the Falcons’ triple-option attack more east-west than north-south. The Lobos, who have covered four straight, can run the football rather well, too, as they piled up 419 yards on the ground last week and are averaging 293 yards on the ground the last four weeks. Air Force key defensive end Jake Paulson injured his shoulder in last week’s comeback win at UNLV. He should be able to go tonight, but he’s not 100 percent by any means and that hurts the Falcons’ defense. The Lobos have also found they can pass it some too as QBs Brad Gruner and Tate Smith can make plays downfield if the Falcons bottle up the Lobo run game. Air Force has also been sub-par on third down defense (41%). New Mexico got to rest a lot of starters in last week’s 63-point win over the Aztecs and they enter this game on series’ runs of 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS after last year’s three-point home win over Air Force. They’re on ATS runs of 4-1 in MWC play, 19-9-2 on the road and 18-8 as a highway pup. Long knows how to get his troops to play well away from home. The Falcons have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 of a non-covering victory and this is just too many points for them to cover tonight. The Lobos have their swagger and they will stay inside this price.




NEW MEXICO (+5) 50 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lovell
40 Star MLB Phillies vs Rays UNDER 8

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay

10* New Mexico

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel
20* auburn

[Mr. IWS]

eddie roman

HUGE EXECUTIVE RELEASE GOES TODAY

New Mexico +5

7500 Unit Non Conference
Weeknight Game of the Year

Auburn at West Virginia

WV -3
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

New Mexico
New Mexico/Air Force Under
Auburn

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers Auburn