11-3-08

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd


5* MNF BEST BET on Redskins -1
So far the Steelers are 0-2 against the NFC East in 2008 and they'll fall to 0-3 on Monday Night Football. The Steelers offensive line is not as solid as it has been in the past and we knew that would be the case coming into the season with the loss of Alan Faneca. It has struggled against team with a strong pass rush like the Eagles and the Giants and that will continue to be Pitt's Achilles heel this week. The Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games, 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Redskins are 22-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take the Skins at home.

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

(503) DETROIT PISTONS
(504) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Take "Over"
Detroit is running and gunning under new coach Mike Curry, going 2-0 over the total to start the season. The Pistons are off a 117-109 victory over the Washington Wizards Saturday. Richard Hamilton finished with 24 points, while Rasheed Wallace produced 17 points, 12 rebounds and six blocks. That uptempo pace can have a cost at times: The Pistons had 15 turnovers in the first half, which the Wizards converted into 21 points. Charlotte has some good offensive pieces for new coach Larry Brown with Gerald Wallace and Jason Richardson, shooting 53% in a win over Miami. But the team defense is going to take a while to develop. Look for the visiting Pistons to control the tempo with their depth and all-around strong shooting in another high scoring tilt. Play the Pistons/Bobcats over the total.

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Bob
3*Washington -2.5 or less

[Mr. IWS]

Rocco Spacamuro
100* Wash -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, November 03, 2008
$40.00 Guaranteed: ***** is coming off a Sunday he would like to forget about as his plays went 2-4 ATS but there is no reason to panic! ***** is still 35-23 ATS (60.3%) on the year and the best always bounce back which ***** will do here! He has been tearing it up with his totals this year, going 10-2-1 overall (83.3%) including 3-0 (100%) in the NFL! His Total of the Week keeps the record perfect! 11/3/2008

Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins 8:30 PM ET
Under 37 Pittsburgh Steelers/Washington Redskins -110

**7** NFL Total of the Week (100% YTD)** It is Monday night and so far this season, the over has been the ticket with seven of the eight games surpassing the number with one push in the mix as well. The public not only likes overs to begin with but on Monday night when even more of the public is wagering, more over action is coming in. Now when a trend like this comes into play, we will see even more over action. This number has dropped from an opening of 38 but that is due to early sharp action and not public action.

We have two of the best defenses squaring off tonight as the Steelers are currently 1st in the NFL in total defense, allowing 236 ypg while the Redskins check in at 4th, allowing 278.1 ypg. The two combined to allow an average of just over 33 ppg and neither team is going to yield a whole lot. After allowing 24 points two times in their first four games, the Redskins have allowed 16 ppg over their last four games. Pittsburgh meanwhile has not allowed more than 21 points in any game this season.

The Washington offense has been surprisingly strong as it is 7th in the league in total offense, averaging 364.3 ypg. The problem has been that scoring points has not come easy as the Redskins are averaging 20.6 ppg which is 24th in the NFL. They have a 17.66 YPPT (yard per point) ratio which is the third highest in the league. As a comparison, the other four teams in the top five are Oakland, Kansas City, Cincinnati and St. Louis. They are 29th, 26th, 32nd and 30th in total offense so the Washington ranking of 6th is flawed.

The Steelers are 25th in total offense as they have not been able to get any sort of consistency together. They put up solid point totals against the Bengals and Texans, scoring 38 points in each of those games, but those two defenses are not strong at all. Pittsburgh has faced four teams in the top ten in the league in total defense and it has averaged 14.8 ppg in those games in regulation, not counting the three points scored in overtime against the Ravens. This offensive line is a mess and it will show again tonight. 7* Under Pittsburgh Steelers/Washington Redskins

[Mr. IWS]

Players of America

--PoA is currently 3-0 on the year on 5* rated selections...


Today's Selections

PITT vs. WAS
Sport: NFL
Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Redskins
The Play: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 5* (50 Units)
Writeup: N/A
(purchase hook if necessary)

[Mr. IWS]

Patron
Frank Patron
7500 Unit Nfl Lock
Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Raymond's 5* Steelers vs. Redskins MNF Winner!
Pick # 1 Pittsburgh Steelers / Washington Redskins Under 36.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 7-1-0 for +630.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 7-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 56-48-5/-125.00 Units (Special 150 Units 4-3, Top 100 Units 47-45-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 15-20/-101.25 Units (Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 35-26-0 for +510.00 Units (Special 150 Units 4-1, Top 100 Units 31-25)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 18-21/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 12-12, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Dominic Brando Sports NFL Monday Night Football High Volume Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's Monday Night Inter-Conference Game of the Year)
150 Units #428 WASHINGTON REDSKINS MONEY LINE -125 OR -1/-130 over Pittsburgh Steelers

Dominic Brando Sports Tuesday NCAA College Football High Volume Report:
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #102 BUFFALO BULLS -7/-115 over Miami Ohio Redhawks

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Chicago Bulls at Orlando Magic Nov 3 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: under

Reason: Chicago has played under the total in 2 of their 3 games this season. In their last 10 games dating back to last season the under is a profitable 8-2. The Bulls have played under the total in 7 of their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Orlando has also played the under in 2 of their first 3 games. In their last 9 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents the under is 7-2. The team's have played the under in 3 straight meetings and in 5 of their last 6 games. Play the under.

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle 2008-09 NFL/NCAA Football Records Grid:
NFL Regular Season 4-1 for +405.00 Units (Special 150 Units 4-1, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NCAA Regular Season 4-3 for +120.00 Units (Special 150 Units 4-3, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NFL/NCAA Special Teaser Releases 1-0- for +150.00 Units (150 Unit Game of the Year Teaser Iso's 1-0)

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Monday Night Football NFL Week 9 Executive Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's Monday Night Inter-Conference Game of the Year)
150 Units #428 WASHINGTON REDSKINS MONEY LINE -125 OR -1/-130 over Pittsburgh Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

LVTR

Pitt buy up to +3

Sac Kings plus 12

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

1. 100,000? Redskins
2. 50,000? Bulls

1. This price is just too cheap! I do believe that all in all Pittsburgh is the more stout and solid overall team that has a better shot at going further in the playoffs but right now with all of their injuries and being on the road it is just too much to ask them to win this game which they pretty much have to do in order to cover. Mike Tomlin's team blew that last game at home against the Giants in the fourth quarter. I watched that game and something just seemed to be missing. Ben Roethlisberger was not able to get off and things just did not look all rosy for the home boys at Heinz Field. Washington is a team that I do not fully trust and especially not when laying big numbers but I do think that the Redskins at home here on Monday night will man up and take care of business. Jason Campbell has been very consistent this season, Clinton Portis is clearly an MVP candidate and Santana Moss, Antwan Randle El, Chris Cooley and a few others are skilled players at skilled positions. Pittsburgh can come in and punch Washington in the mouth a little but Jim Zorn's team is not close to being all finesse and no toughness as they will not just get knocked out. I expect a competitive game but the Steelers are a beat up team that in the end just should not win this game on the road against a quality opponent. Washington at home should be at least a field goal chalk here and to get under that three is a semi coup and a no-brainer!

2. The Magic are a talented team that will make some noise before all is said and done but right now Dwight Howard and the boys are just not playing very good ball at all. Orlando was wretched in the opener at home against the Hawks in a blowout loss and then looked terrible in Memphis losing to a poor Grizzlies group. They did rebound in that last game beating another awful team in Sacramento but I'm not so sure that things have been fully corrected. I like da Bulls this season with a blossiming superstar in Derrick Rose and believe that last season's debacle was just a poor underachieving season. Chicago is a team with a ton of talent as Rose is a stud and Gordon, Deng, Hinrich, Thomas and others are really solid NBA players. If these guys come together and reach their potential we are looking at one of the better teams in the entire Eastern Conference. Playing on the road here is difficult no doubt but I can see an outright and to therefore get a number back like this is certainly enough for me. Da Bulls!

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers free play: Take the Jazz -6.5

There’s money to be made betting against the heinous teams of the NBA, particularly early in the season as the betting marketplace struggles to adjust to current realities. And the current reality is that the LA Clippers rank among the worst teams in the league, a sharp decline from where they have been in recent seasons. LA’s 0-3 SU and ATS record is no accident, and things aren’t likely to get any better tonight with point guard/sparkplug Baron Davis expected to be on the bench in street clothes.

Without a healthy Davis, Mike Dunleavy has gone with a Jason Hart/Mike Taylor point guard rotation. Hart is supposedly a defensive stopper, but he certainly didn’t stop Allen Iverson down the stretch last weekend as the Nuggets rallied from an 18 point deficit to win the game. Mike Taylor is a rookie second round draft choice who has shown an ability to score, but no ability to defend or run the halfcourt offense. The Hart/Taylor combo is as weak as it gets for point guard play in the NBA, and will remain weak until Davis returns to the lineup.

The Clippers have been god-awful in the second half of every game. The Lakers outscored them 58-35 after the break. The Nuggets outscored them 76-48 after the break. And the Jazz outscored the Clips by 22 in Saturday Night’s blowout win. When opposing teams up the intensity during crunch time, the Clippers simply can’t compete. Blame poor conditioning, blame poor coaching adjustments from Dunleavy and his staff, blame anything you want to. The bottom line is that LA cannot be trusted in this price range against anybody.

When the Jazz beat the Clips by 22 on Saturday, they set a team record with only five turnovers, despite playing without the services of starting point guard Deron Williams. Utah enjoyed a 29-4 assist-to-turnover ratio in that game, while the Clips had 12 assists on their 29 made baskets while committing 18 turnovers.

While the ratio might not be quite so lopsided tonight, we can expect Jerry Sloan’s offense to run circles around the Clips atrocious D all night long once again. Ronnie Price and Brevin Knight can fill in for Williams a lot better than the Clips backup point guards can fill in for Davis. With Chris Kaman struggling and Marcus Camby a question mark to play at all, we can expect another huge night from Carlos Boozer, who positively ate the Clips interior defense for dinner: 12-18 from the field with ten boards despite not having to play most of the fourth quarter….

Take Utah!

[Mr. IWS]

GLENN McGREW

PITTSBURGH STEELERS/WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Take WASHINGTON REDSKINS "

Two of the NFL's top clubs square off in the nation's capital on Monday night as the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) face the Washington Redskins (6-2). Must favor a healthy host that's coming off a 25-17 road win at Detroit over a banged up visitor that fell, at home last week, to the New York Giants 21-14. Despite owning a better record than the Steelers, the Redskins need this game a lot more than a Pittsburgh squad that's sitting comfortably in the AFC North. Washington on the other hand, resides in what is BY FAR, the toughest division in the NFL, the NFC East where the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants lead at 7-1, closely followed by the Philadelphia Eagles (5-3) and Dallas Cowboys (5-4). Don't think the NFC East is the league's premier division? Well, note that the Steelers have just two losses on the year......to the Eagles and Giants! This is a matchup of excellent defenses as the Steelers are the top ranked stop unit in the league (allow 236 total ypg) while the Redskins (278 ypg) have held 17 of their last 20 opponents to 20 points or less. Offensively, Ben Roethlisberger and his mates have struggled a bit due to the numerous injuries at the skill positions. Meanwhile Washington is led by quarterback Jason Campbell who has picked up the nuances of Jim Zorn's west coast offense flawlessly, with NO INTERCEPTIONS on the year. Campbell also has the luxury of playing in the same backfield with the NFL's leading rusher, Clinton Portis (944 yards), who has had topped 120 yards rushing in five consecutive contests. Will back the NFC pedigree here and go with the Monday night home team. Play Washington


DETROIT PISTONS/CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Take CHARLOTTE BOBCATS

After a two year absence, Larry Brown decided to return to the job he does as as well as anyone....coaching in the NBA. Only Lenny Wilkins, Don Nelson, Pat Riley and Jerry Sloan have more NBA career wins than Brown and none of those remarkable coaches has ever won an NCAA Championship as Brown did at Kansas. Now he's guiding the Charlotte Bobcats (1-1) and his squad hosts the Detroit Pistons (2-0) Monday night. Look for Brown to have his Bobcats fired up versus his old team, and they are old......with 5 of their top 6 players 30 years or older, three of them 34 or older. In a close one, take the generous points. Play Charlotte

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian Football


Pittsburgh/Washington UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY

76ers/Kings Under 198 (3 Units)
Warriors -2 (2 Units)

Steelers/Redskins Over 36.5 (3 Units)

[Mr. IWS]

Nick Bogdanovich

2* Sixers -11½

2* Cavaliers/Mavericks Over 191½

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Redskins -2.5 over Steelers
Washington's Jason Campbell is starting to look like a big time NFL QB. The Redskins have a great defense and are tough to beat at home. Pittsburgh has not looked as sharp on offense this season and will be without their starting LT which will have Big Ben on the move avoiding sacks all night. I would say these teams are about evenly matched, but the homefield will give the Skins the victory.

College Football
No plays today.

NBA Basketball
Kings +11.5 over Sixers

[Mr. IWS]

Cal sports NBA 5* GOM on the Dallas Mavs

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* PRIVATE PLAYERS BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 Colorado Avalanche (140)


RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 Sacramento Kings/ Philadelphia 76ers Over 198.5

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK


4* BEST BET

WASHINGTON over Pittsburgh by 14

A myriad of solid handicapping factors are at work in this Monday
night fi ght and we’ll gladly step in and soak all of them up. The
Redskins join fellow division rival Eagles and Giants as the only three
teams in the league to have won the total yardage in all but one game
this season (they won the stats in each of their last seven games). They
are also a Monday night home team off a road game taking on a foe
of a home loss of 7 or more points. Teams in this role are 24-2-1 SU and
21-5-1 ATS since 1980! Tie that into the Steelers’ 3-10 SU and 4-8-1 ATS
record on the Monday night road against an opponent off a win and
you can understand our glee. With new head coach Jim Zorn having
shown a unique tendency to ‘play to the level of the opposition’ (4-0
SU and ATS versus .500 or greater opponents; 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS versus
less than .500 teams), we welcome you to the glee club

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Martin Sports

Monday Night Football
Washington over 36.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
3 Redskins
3 Bobcats

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes

I really need to throw away this ghost on one of my worst runs ever and for that, today's NBA Daily Package will be completely free of charge.

Sacramento Kings @ Philadelphia 76ers

The Sixers are entering this game with a 1-2 record and after an humiliating defeat against the Hawks on their last game by 88-95, in a game where they were up by 23 points! So, I expect a tremendous reaction for the team today, just like how it happened on their game against the Knicks.

On the other side, the Kings lost for the third time in three games, this time by 103-121 against Orlando. It's important to refer the Kings did a very good offensive game at Orlando: 39-74 FG (almost 53%) and 21 assists for 12 turnovers, but the team still lost by 18 points! Their main problem on that game was to stop Howard, who had 11-14 FG, 29 points, 14 rebounds and 5 blocks. The Kings are playing without Brad Miller, who is still suspended and they have a very young frontcourt, with Spencer Hawes and Jason Thompson, who lack experience at this level. Howard completely dominated the game and the Magic took advantage of that. This mismatch on the frontcourt in favor of the Magic isn't much different from the advantage on the frontcourt the Sixers will have tonight against the Kings. Elton Brand will play the role that Howard had last Saturday and these Sixers are the most dominating team on the paint of the league! They have outrebounded Toronto by 56-33, the Knicks by 61-43 and Atlanta by 48-41! The same is to say they have currently a rebound margin of +16 reb/game over their opponents! Impressive! And this will be the key of this game for the Sixers.

The Kings had a very good ball movement against Orlando, something which isn't usual on the team, who uses to struggle on that area (they were last on this area last season) and against a powerful defense of the Sixers, the number of turnovers of the Kings will surely increase and we all know how explosive are the Sixers in fast breaks.

Sacramento will play tonight their final game on this road trip, as they will face the Grizzlies and the Wolves at home on their following games, which are much easier games for them to win, which makes tonight's game as a possible lookahead game for the Kings. The line for this game is at 11,5 points for the Sixers, which is obviously a lot, but the fact they were up by 23 points against the Hawks and lost the game will make them play hard until the last second of the game, no matter how good the result is for them during the game. This emotional factor will make the Sixers look for a big blowout tonight. The Kings have lost their last two games by 26 and 18 points and against an hungry team, the spot isn't the best for them. Take Philadelphia in here.

PLAY on Philadelphia 76ers (-11,5)


Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Bobcats

Detroit has been surprising everybody for their lack of defensive consistence, after all they have allowed 94 points against the Pacers and 109 points against the Wizards. More surprising is the fact the Pacers shot 49.3% FG and the Wizards 51.9% FG! After all, where is the great defense of the Pistons, who has been dominating their opponents over the years?

I think we will see that defense on tonight's game. The Pistons had two games against teams who play with on a fast tempo and who used small lineups. That evidence was referred by coach Michael Curry, while talking about Kwame Brown:

"Kwame was great, and I wish he would have gotten 15-20 minutes," Curry said. "They just went so small that we couldn't get him on the floor.

Looking at that game, we saw the Wizards using their centers for a short period of time. Etan Thomas played for 17:46 and Andray Blatche for 4:17, which confirms what Curry said. The Pistons had no chance in playing their half court game, where their defense outplays their opponents.

Today they will face the Bobcats and the last coach who took the Pistons to a NBA title: Larry Brown. So, this game won't be a game like any other and we all know how Larry Brown loves to put their teams playing good defense. The Bobcats had their first win of the season, with a home win against Miami, while shooting 53.6% FG against the soft defense of the Heat. However, on their opening game against the Cavs, the team was just able to score 79 points and shoot a ridiculous 33.8% FG!

The question of this game is to know what kind of pace we will have in here. I would say Detroit and Cleveland play on a similar style and it will much more complicated for Charlotte to shoot 54% FG like they did against Miami, as we know Detroit is a team who likes to defend. This game will be similar to the game between the Cavs and the Bobcats and Detroit will have a chance to use their powerful defense for the first time this season. Even though the Bobcats defeated Miami last Saturday, they committed 20 turnovers on that game, something which is an huge concern when you're about to face Detroit and which will make them struggle on offense. Take the under in here.

PLAY on Under 184


Chicago Bulls @ Orlando Magic

Orlando has finally woken up and this team when they have confidence is almost unstoppable on their offense. I took the over on their game at Memphis and the Magic showed the same problem they had on their opening game against the Hawks: terrible rhythm, horrible ball movement and poor shot selection. The team had 10A and 15TO vs Atlanta and 16A and 17TO vs Memphis, while scoring 85 and 84 points in those games. After that terrible performance in Memphis, on the following day Orlando scored 121 points, for 25 assists and 12 turnovers at home against Sacramento. How is it possible for a team in less than 24 hours to improve so quickly? All can be resumed on just one word: confidence! Coach Van Gundy explained that very well:

"People don't realize how fragile confidence can be. They think when you hit the major league level, confidence is a given because you have so much success, but a couple of bad nights and all the sudden you're pressing. We're still a long way from where we want to be, but I like what I saw tonight."

It's also curious to see the reaction of Van Gundy after that game, as Orlando struggled on defense, as the Kings shot 52.7% FG, but Van Gundy "said he wasn't going to be negative". His only concern was the team's offensive bounce back and that was achieved, so we will have the Magic being very confident for today's game.

They will host the Bulls, who are currently 2-1, and this game has immediately a mismatch: Howard vs Bulls' frontcourt. Chicago has been using Tyrus Thomas and Drew Gooden in the starting lineup and both players aren't capable of stopping Howard. The Superman had 29 points and 14 rebounds against the Kings and I wouldn't be surprised in seeing Howard have similar numbers tonight, as the Bulls really lack a player to stop him. The Bulls have been playing a good basketball, soft and full of rhythm. On their only road game until now, they were slaughtered by the Celtics (80-96), who play with a defensive intensiveness that the Bulls weren't used to. After that, the Bulls defeated Memphis at home, on a poor offensive performance of the team, shooting just 38.1% FG and scoring just 42 points in the first half. After that, the team improved big time on the second half, while scoring 54 points after the halftime.

I expect the Bulls to be much better on this game, as Orlando just like they did against the Kings will come to this game playing on a fast tempo and the Bulls have conditions to follow the Magic on a fast paced game. The bench of the Bulls has a lot of players capable of shooting from the perimeter: Gordon, Hinrich and Nocioni and come to this, I expect both teams to be very close or even cross the 100 points mark. Last season, Orlando went 4-0 Over on home games with lines below 200 points after winning an home game and today I expect the same to happen. Take the over in here.

PLAY on Over 196


Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies

This pick has to go with the value we have on the totals line in here. 197,5 points for a game involving the Warriors makes the over have immediatly value. The Warriors didn't play a single game last season, with a totals line below 200 points and the only time they played a game with a line on 200 points, the game ended 112-95. Memphis has gone under the total posted the three times they have already played this season and it's important to refer this team isn't a run and gun team like they were last season. I've watched their game against Orlando and the Grizzlies are a team who likes to play with a organized offense. However, that's impossible to do against the Warriors, as we all know Golden State gives so much space to their opponents that it's impossible not to try to take advantage of that.

The Warriors are coming from a 105-97 win over the Nets, in a very tough spot for them: they had to travel the whole coast to play at Toronto, they went to overtime in that game against the Raptors and they were playing on the following night at New Jersey. The team was able to defeat the Nets, but obviously they struggled offensively: Maggete 3-13 FG, Harrington 4-13 FG and the team just shot 42.1% FG, 36.8% 3pts and just 65.4% FT! Now with a full day of rest, I expect the offense of Golden State to bounce back and this young team of Memphis will have no other chance than follow the rhythm of the Warriors. It's curious to see that last season, the games between these two teams had lines of 226.5, 223.5, 230 and 229.5 points, while today's game has a line of just 197,5 points!

The Warriors are able to score 100 points or more in almost every game they play and even though this team of the Grizzlies has managed not to allow 100 points or more on their first three games of the season, I doubt that will happen today against the frenetic offense of the Warriors. Take the over in here.

PLAY on Over 197,5

[Mr. IWS]

GREG SHAKER

Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins
Play: Steelers +3 -120

Note: Buy up to 3 points as I am doing and get this one early. I am going to be very brief and we have clear dynamics for this one. The Pitt QB is coming off what may be his worst game ever against a very good NY Giants squad. He threw 4 INT's and he was sacked and hurried a lot. The word Doodlysquat does come to mind here. We can look for a much better performance tonight from Big Ben as he will get much more time in the pocket. The Skins have just 10 sacks in their first 8 games and because of that, they have not defended the pass that well. They have somewhat lived "Pretty" with poor competition of late and because of that, their value has risen with Oddsmakers. They just do not deserve to be laying any points to what is going to be a very motivated Steeler team tonight in the Nation's Capital. The Redskins need rest badly with ZERO weeks off to date but they will get a week off following this contest. It would have been much better for them to get it now. They do have numerous injury factors tonight as well. However, the biggest key tonight is their running game. Portis needs a good outing in order for them to compete, and going up against what might be the best Run D in the league tonight is not what the Doctor ordered. With this fact, Pitt matching up well on offense, and Pitt coming off a poor game, this one is a No-Brainer. Just do it.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Full Service Line

Accupicks 3* Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso Best Bet
3 units Under 36.5 Steelers/Redskins

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial Package
3 Under 37 Wash/Pitt
4 Magic -7
3 Mavs -3

[Mr. IWS]

Iceman's NFL Play Tonight

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Redskins
Play: Over 36.5

Tonight we have 2 solid rush defenses, however we note that the over is undefeated on Monday night in 2008 winning eight of nine times with one push. Points can come easily on Monday night with all the extra TV timeouts it seems and who are we to argue with such an overwhelming trend. PLAY THE OVER once again, as we'll continue to ride this trend until it loses.

[Mr. IWS]

Joyce Sterling

Memphis +2

Golden St. is on the road for the 3rd time in 4 nights. Memphis lost 96-86 at Chicago on Saturday, Gay had 20 points but the Grizzlies couldn't hold an eight-point halftime lead and were outscored 54-36 in the final two quarters, They hang on at home tonight

[Mr. IWS]

Mon, 11/03/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet 428 WAS -2.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 427 PIT
Analysis: **** MNF 4* GAME OF THE MONTH ****

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

NFL
20* Pitt
10* Pitt/Wash Under

NBA
Philly
Orlando
Cleveland
Charlotte

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report Premier Picks® For 11/03/08


4* Pittsburgh/Washington (NFL) OVER 36.5
Range: 34.5 to 38

3* Detroit -5.5 over Charlotte (NBA)
Range: -4 to -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Lock of the Day


Monday, November 3rd, 2008

Today's Lock: Warriors/Memphis Under 198.5

Weekend Results: A perfect 6-0 this weekend. We really put the hurt on some bookies around this country. VERY profitable weekend!

No, we are not touching the Monday night game. The Redskins are a very tough team to handicap right now. No need to press here.

The Memphis Grizzlies average somewhere in the 80s. The Warriors are not scoring 120+ every game like they were last year. We like the Under today in Tennessee.

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

3 Unit Play. #120 Take Over in Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Redskins (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Not much explanation is needed for this game but hear is the one telling stat that cannot be disputed. The over is undefeated on Monday night in 2008 winning eight of nine times (one push). Points can come easily on Monday night and who are we to argue with such an overwhelming trend. Washington 24, Pittsburgh 20.

[Mr. IWS]

akmens

washinton -2.5 10*

golden state over 196 10*

mavericks over 192 10*

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
10 steelers
10 sixers

[Mr. IWS]

Triple Threat Sports 777

NBA Bulls/Magic OVER 196

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

Cavs +3.5 (POD)

Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Pittsburgh (+1.5) over Washington (NFL Power Play)
8:30 PM EST

Washington
• 1-4 ATS in home games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 38 points
• 3-10 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of the last 8 games
• 2-6 ATS in non-conference games the last 3 seasons

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

Monday, November 03, 2008
Monday Night Game of the Month
50 Units Redskins (-2½) over Steelers
8:30 PM -- FedEx Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.

[Mr. IWS]

Eddie Roman

Highest Rated 10,00 Unit NBA Game of the Year

Golden State Warriors -2 @ Memphis

Golden State played some good teams to start the season and they did start out with two straight losses. They opened their season at home against a very good New Orleans team and they hung right with them before losing by 5 at the end. It was a 1 point game heading into the 4th quarter.

Then they went up to Toronto. First road game of the season and it was a long trip to get there but despite it all they hung with a much improved Toronto team before falling by 4 in overtime. They had the lead with 14 seconds to go before Bosh hit two free throws sending the game into OT.

Then, they played a team who isn't so good, the New Jersey Nets and they blew them out. Yeah, the final score says they only won by 8 but they were up 16 heading into the 4th quarter. Now they play another team tonight that isn't that good and I just feel the Memphis Grizzlies will not be able to run with this squad. They are to good and to athletic for a team like Memphis to hang around with.

They won all 4 meetings with this team last year and 3 of the 4 were relatively easy. Look for them to continue their domination of the Grizzlies tonight and at this price, I feel they are a gift. Golden State is 3-0 ATS this season as the oddsmakers haven't been able to figure them out yet and tonight is another example of it. GS is a huge winner. It should never be in doubt.

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

Monday's Pick
10 Dime - Pittsburgh and Washington Over the Total



When I went against the Steelers last week, telling you New York would win outright in Pittsburgh as a road dog, you might recall my entire premise was based on the Giants taking a page out of Philadelphia's defensive playbook. The key to both NFC East clubs beating the Steelers was pressure they each put on Ben Roethlisberger. The Eagles sacked him nine times; the GIants sacked five times, hit him on 10 on occasions, and intercepted him four times.



Tonight you've got another NFC East club on Pittsburgh's docket, but Washington is missing a key ingredient shared by the Giants and Eagles: the Redskins don't have a pass rush. Washington imported Jason Taylor from Miami to bring the heat, but he's mostly been an injured spectator this season and consequently the 'Skins have just 10 sacks in seven games.



Remember when Pittsburgh faced Jacksonville earlier this season and the Jaguars were unable to get pressure on Big Ben? Personally, I've always thought the Steelers are far more dangerous when they're less reliant on running the ball and instead let Roethlisberger cut loose. He's got the receivers in his arsenal, including Santonio Holmes, who has been reinstated after being suspended for the New York game. And Pittsburgh is also expected to have Willie Parker available to give the ground game a boost, too. To me, those are the ingredients needed to make this game go over the posted price.



Defensively, I expect the Steelers, who are ranked 3rd versus the run with an average yield of 71.6 yards per game (2.8 ypc), to bottle-up Clinton Portis, preventing him from ringing up a sixth straight 120+ yard rushing performance. I believe for the 'Skins to be competitive they must take chances offensively, relying more on Jason Campbell, and that's another factor contributing to my prediction on the over.



The Steelers had gone over the total in three straight games prior to last week's versus the Giants. The Redskins are not in New York's class defensively. They're not as good as Philadelphia either. Pittsburgh stayed under in losses to both of those NFC East foes, but as I illustrated earlier, those teams had an element Washington doesn't: an effective pass rush. Without one, the Steelers will throw the ball with confidence and move the chains. The oddsmakers have set this total too low based on Pittsburgh's previous outings against the NFC, and that is a mistake.

[Mr. IWS]

BOB BALFE

NFL Football
Redskins -2.5 over Steelers
Washington's Jason Campbell is starting to look like a big time NFL QB. The Redskins have a great defense and are tough to beat at home. Pittsburgh has not looked as sharp on offense this season and will be without their starting LT which will have Big Ben on the move avoiding sacks all night. I would say these teams are about evenly matched, but the homefield will give the Skins the victory.

College Football
No plays today.

NBA Basketball
Kings +11.5 over Sixers

[Mr. IWS]

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