11-5-08

[Mr. IWS]

Vernon Croy's *25 Unit CFB MAC GAME OF THE YEAR**:

25 Units, Take Northern Illinois ATS, This pick falls into one of my elite CFB systems and I have the Huskies winning this game SU Wednesday so grab the points. The huskies have had to face a lot tougher opponents so far this season than Ball State and it will show as they stun the Cardinals Wednesday. The Huskies defense is very solid with opponents averaging just 227 ypg against them over their last 3 games and just 266 ypg overall this season. The Cardinals defense is not great with opponents averaging 366.5 ypg against them at home including 170 rypg and 196 pypg this season. The Huskies will be able to move the ball efficiently against this Ball State defense and they are averaging over 27 ppg this season. The Huskies are very good at running the ball and they will wear down this already mediocre Cardinals defense which will open up their passing game Wednesday night. The Huskies are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and the Cardinals are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning record. Grab the points and take the Huskies as my CFB MAC Game of the Year.

[Mr. IWS]

Patron
Frank Patron
7500 Unit Wednesday Night Lock
Akron Zips -6

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin O’Neill

Northern Illinois (+10) over Ball State
Odd Wednesday night game, but once baseball ends there’s a lot of midweek games in a conference desperate for exposure. Northern Illinois better get used to it. The Huskies are playing four straight games on either Tuesday or Wednesday nights. And the first one is the toughest, as NIU takes on the top team in the league, the Ball State Cardinals. Undefeated, with wins over Navy and Indiana, Ball State has a high-powered passing attack led by Nate Davis. Davis is logging 66% completions, a TD/INT ratio of 15/5, and 8.9 yards per pass attempt. He has been bothered by the career-ending injury to top target Dante Love only slightly. Davis is obviously outstanding. But this is no walkover for Ball State. Northern Illinois is a fine three-loss team, with competitive losses at Minnesota, at Western Michigan, and at Tennessee, all by 4 or less, all spreadcovering defeats. Offering a lot of deception, multiple formations, and a varied attack make NIU difficult to defend. In their game-clinching drive against Bowling Green, the Huskies operated out of five different formations. The various quarterbacks they’ve had to use this season, and the different styles of those quarterbacks, means that opponents have to prepare for plenty of different looks. But the key to this selection is Northern Illinois’ pass defense. With a QB as accomplished as Davis, you have to be able to slow down the pass. The Huskies are uniquely qualified to do that. NIU has what is clearly the best pass defense in the conference. They allow only 5.4 yards per pass attempt, 6 interceptions and only 7 touchdown passes, all outstanding numbers. In conference play it drops to 4.8 yards per pass attempt. They are easily the best pass defense that Davis has faced, as Ball State’s two top non-conference opponents both have poor pass defenses, with Navy allowing 8.5 yards per attempt and Indiana permitting 8.0. Will the quality of this defense mean that it’s finally time for the loss of his top target to come into play? When you look at results in conference, these opponents are pretty equal. Northern Illinois has close losses against better opponents (Minnesota and Tennessee) than anyone Ball State has played. These teams have blown out both mutual opponents. Ball State has beaten Toledo 31-0 and Eastern Michigan 38-16. It was Northern Illinois over Toledo 38-7 and Eastern Michigan 37-0. You would expect that in the same conference teams would have more than two mutual opponents by now, but Toledo and EMU is all there is. Jerry Kill, the first year Northern Illinois coach was known for pulling off upsets over more talented teams in 1-AA, and is 3-0 to the number as an underdog here. From what we know about him and what he’s showing, it would be no surprise if Kill were coaching in the Big 10 or Big 12 in a few years. Northern Illinois hangs around for a long time. Ball State by only 4

[Mr. IWS]

kelso

5 Northern Illinois (+9 ½) over BALL STATE

[Mr. IWS]

LVTR

Northern Illinois +9.5


Indiana Pacers +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

BOB AKMENS FULL CARD FOR TODAY

10* akron -6.5

10* pistons under 183

10* suns -3.5

10* hornets -9

PASS ON NHL

[Mr. IWS]

charlies sports
wednesday nov 5, 2008.

ncaaf. toledo @ akron over 54 (500* )
ncaaf. ball st -9 (30*)
ncaaf. toledo+6' (20*)
ncaaf. niu @ ball st under 47 (20*)
nba. knicks-5 (10*)
nba. t'wolves+4 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Full Service Line
J B Sports 3* Spurs

[Mr. IWS]

Pure Lock

Toledo +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes

Indiana vs Phoenix
NBA - 503 Phoenix Suns @ 504 Indiana Pacers

The Suns cruised in New Jersey yesterday by defeating the local Nets by 114-86, in a game which ended up being under the total posted, when this was a game to go over the total posted by about 20 points. What we have today is a line which is basically the same from yesterday, so we have value on the over.

Phoenix completely dominated yesterday’s game in the paint, with Amare and Shaq not giving any chance to the young frontcourt of the Nets. This will be a back to back game for the Suns and in physical terms, a letdown could be expected for today, however their win yesterday was so easy that the Suns were able to rest all their players. The player who spent more time on the court yesterday was Amare with 28 minutes. The team reached halftime with 65 points scored, while shooting more than 75% FG! Amazing!

For this game against the Pacers, the edge that I’ve referred on my picks on Phoenix yesterday remains, as the frontcourt of the Suns can’t be defended in normal conditions by the Pacers. Indiana’s best Center Nesterovic will be out and the Pacers will need to use their rookie Roy Hibbert on this position. We have seen yesterday what happened with the rookie Brook Lopez and for today the scenario will basically be the same.

On the other side, the Pacers are coming to this game with a lot of confidence. After all, they defeated the Celtics at home by 95-79, in a game where the team had an amazing ball movement with 20 assists and 12 turnovers and had a lead at one point of 25 points over the current champions.

Last season, both games between these two teams ended with a lot of points: 238 and 251 points and this team of the Pacers is 10-2 Over in their last 12 home games against a team with a winning road record. We have in here a game between two very confident teams and with ability to score a lot of points, so I’m taking the over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on 503/504 Over 201,5 @1.96 on Canbet

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take N. Illinois (+9.5) over Ball State (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST

Northern Illinois
• 5-1 ATS when playing in the month of November the last 3 seasons
• 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
• 5-0 ATS in road games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points

------------------------------------------------------

10* Take Toledo (+5) over Akron (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST

Akron
• 0-7 SU vs. Toledo since 1992
• 1-7 SU & ATS after having won 2 of the last 3 games
• 2-9 ATS coming off a win the last 3 seasons

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

20* n ill
10* tol

10* char
10* clv
10* bos

10* edm

[Mr. IWS]

SEBASTIAN:

COMP-NBA Detroit/Toronto UNDER

100* Vegas Steam Play: Northern Illinois, buying hook to +10.

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO


25 units

Utah Jazz -6 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

NoRtHcOaSt MaRqUiS,sponsered,tOlEdO,bye +7,marvin.this is a top opinion,also a regular opinion on nOrThErN iLlInIoS +10

[Mr. IWS]

Jefferson Sports Early Nba


San Antonio Under 182

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK

BALL ST over No Illinois by 6
It’s easy to make fun of a team when they’re stuck in a down cycle but our
usual ‘Gonad’ jokes about Ball State are rapidly disappearing in favor of
outright astonishment. Brady Hoke’s boys from Muncie are as close to perfect
as you can get: 8-0 SU, 8-0 ITS and 6-1 ATS, with their lone ATS defeat coming
last time out versus Eastern Michigan. And with the price currently hovering
in single digits, we wouldn’t be surprised to see longer lines at BSU’s betting
window than what we’ve seen at the polls. However, as we’ve stated before,
undefeated teams feel the pressure ratchet up with every passing week and
can’t be trusted laying points late in the season. That notion is bolstered by
some great numbers favoring Northern Illinois in this matchup. The Huskies
have covered four of the last fi ve games on this fi eld, they’re 4-0 ATS away
off consecutive home games, they’re 5-1 ATS as weekday dogs and they’re
4-1-1 ATS lately when playing with conference revenge. But here’s what we
like best: NIU has held each of its last fi ve foes season to low – or 2nd low
– yardage. With the year Ball State QB Nate Davis is having, we wouldn’t
give the Huskies a look unless we thought they could match up defensively.
Don’t be surprised to see Jerry Kill and his Ball-busters drop the ‘Nads to 1-5
ATS playing with rest.




AKRON over Toledo by 4
Jeez, another MAC weekday game! We haven’t seen any ratings numbers
for this year’s telecasts but we wonder how ESPN can keep a straight face
when sending out invoices to game advertisers. Akron is currently stuck in a
MAC East logjam and needs a win here to keep pace with Buffalo, a feat the
Zips should manage against a Toledo team that’s come apart at the seams
in 2008. Even more troubling for Rocket fans is the recent announcement
that longtime head coach Tom Amstutz will be stepping down at season’s
end to become the school’s chief fund-raiser (what’s that all about?). Toledo
owns an uncharacteristic 0-4 SU record at home this year and has misfi red
in fi ve straight games after facing CMU. But one look at Akron’s current 0-3
SU record at home (and its 4-1 mark away) tells us why the visiting team has
cashed in six of eight Zips’ games this season. Your call.

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

3 Unit Play. #4 Take Over in Edmonton @ Columbus (7:35 pm NHL Center Ice) The Jackets have been a strong over team all season long and have went over tonight’s posted number three straight games. Edmonton is in the midst of a long road trip and combined for nine goals in their victory last Sunday in Philadelphia. This is a pick’em game and thus we will not worry about who wins this one and just collect with the over.






DOC

4 Unit Play. #5 Take Northern Illinois Huskies over Ball State (Wednesday 8:00 pm ESPN 2) Both squads are coming off of a bye week and that should give the Huskies a slight edge because of the status of QB Nicholson. Tradition has a lot of points in this match-up, as the last seven years have averaged 60 points per game. The Cardinals certainly have the better offense, but the better defense lies with the Huskies. As I dig deeper into this match-up, I believe that NIU has played a more difficult schedule. Common opponents are Toledo and Eastern Michigan and the results are very similar. In 2007, Ball State won in DeKalb; however, one must remember that the Huskies at a hospital full of players last season. In this game I feel both team are equal and all the pressure lies with Ball State and their pursuit of perfection. Points look very attractive for a team that I feel could win outright. I felt the line would be seven, but getting near a field goal more then that makes this a strong play with the homer, as the Cardinals survive a tough Wednesday battle. Ball State 31, Northern Illinois 27.

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
pass football

10 knicks
10 spurs

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
3 Ball St. -9.5
4 N.O. -8
3 Phoenix -3

ATS Financial Package
3 Toledo +6.5
4 Cleveland -8
3 Detroit +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Lock of The Day

Wednesday, November 5th, 2008

Today's Lock: Northern Illinois +9.5

Another blowout NBA win with the Suns last night.

Northern Illinois has an excellent defense. Ball State is undefeated, therefore we get a nice, fat, inflated pointspread here. We'll be making just a small wager on Northern Illinois tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

College Football
Northern Illinois +9 over Ball State
Ball State is the most overrated 8-0 team in the history of College Football. They have a great QB, but had one of the softest schedules you could ever have. Northern Illinois on the other hand could be an 8-0 team as all of their losses have been close. This Northern Illinois defense has played solid all season, but in the last few weeks has taken it to a whole new level. This will be a great game between a good offense in Ball State and a good defense in Northern Illinois. Look for another tight game. This spread is too high.

Toledo/Akron Over 54.5
Toledo has a pretty bad offense as they give up over 30 points a game. Akron is right behind them and have looked pretty bad on defense the past few games. Toledo has struggled on offense at times, but tonight should be able to spread out and have their way against Akron. Its hard to predict a winner because both teams cannot be trusted on defense. There should be a ton of points in this game. Take the Over.

NBA Basketball
Pacers +3.5 over Suns
Thunder +9 over Celtics

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Lewis

5* Best Phoenix -3 at Indiana

Yes the Suns will be playing the second of a back-to-back, but Phoenix has looked impressive on the road and was so far ahead Tuesday in New Jersey that most of the starters got ample rest. The Pacers have been off since Saturday's huge win over Boston, but they have no answer for Amare Stoudemire and Shaq inside.

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CSC NBA ...Top 3

INDIANA +3.5 vs Phoenix...........7:05 EDT
The Suns shot 63% last night and should come back down to earth @Indiana tonight.
Pacers beat the Celtics by 16 in their last so they are capable of win and confidence is high.

UNDER189..Wash/Milw.............8:05 EDT
Arenas out for Wash and Redd doubtful for Bucks.
Skiles has Bucks playing defense this year.

UNDER 186..Port/Utah..............9:05 EDT
System play.
Large percentage of bettors playing OVER , but number dropping.
Playmaker Williams out for The Jizz.

[Mr. IWS]

ProCappersNetwork

NBA Play
504 Indiana +3 1/2 -1.02 (2 Unit Play)

NHL Play
5 St. Louis +1.62 (2 Unit Play)

NCAA Play
106 Toledo/Akron Over 54 1/2 -1.06 (3 Unit Play)

I have a six play NBA card with a 4* and four other 2*'s besides the above play, a three play card in the NHL with two 3*'s besides the above play and a three play card in the NCAA Football with a 4* and a 2* besides the above play for tonight. Sign up for any weekly package at procappersnetwork and receive every play for tonight and get ahead of your man for this week as well as a week worth of service plays in every sport as well.

Oscarxena Sports

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 Portland Trailblazers /Utah Jazz Over 185 -115

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

Bulls at Cavaliers: Under 186 (15 Unit Play)

Northern Illinois at Ball State -9: Ball State -9 (5 Unit Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning

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milwaukee/ playmaker

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex
N.Illinois /superplay

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy POD

Sacramento UNDER 193
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS RUNNER


Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Single-Dime Bet
104 Ball St. -9.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 103 N. Illinois
Analysis: * 1* NCAAFB WAGER * (Subscriber's All-Access Bet)




Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Triple-Dime Bet
104 Ball St. (-130) Bodog vs 103 N. Illinois
Analysis:
*** NCAAFB 3* "PRIME-TIME" BEST BET of the WEEK *** (TEASER BET)

BALL ST -2 & TOLEDO +14...(3*)...Teaser...





Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet
106 Akron / 105 Toledo Under 55.0 Bodog
Analysis:
*** 2* NCAAFB "PRIME-TIME" TOTAL PLAY of the DAY ***





Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
105 Toledo 7.5 (-120) Bodog vs 106 Akron
Analysis:
** 2* NCAAFB WAGER **
(BUY the 1/2 to +7.5)

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan
Toledo vs. Akron (NCAAF) - Nov 5, 2008 8:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: 6.5/-105 Toledo Pick Title: Toledo
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toledo – AiS shows a 72% probability that Toledo will lose this game by 5 or fewer points. AiS also projects a 90% probability that Toledo will gain a MINIMUM of 200 yards passing. Note that Akron is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 39-9 ATS for 81% since 1997. Play against any team that is a good offensive team gaining 390 to 440 YPG and is now facing a poor offensive team gaining 280 to 330 YPG and after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Akron is in a very weak role noting they are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Conversely, Toledo in an exceptional role noting they are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Take Toledo.

[Mr. IWS]

Iceman Hockey

4* Columbus Blue Jackets

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Sports Service

Marquee Play:::::Toledo (+)
Opinion::::::::::::Northern Illinois (+)